Santos Iraheta-Martinez v. Merrick Garland ( 2021 )


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  •                     FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    SANTOS RAFAEL IRAHETA-                          No. 18-72692
    MARTINEZ, AKA “Jose Benigno,”
    AKA “Santos Climaco,”                            Agency No.
    Petitioner,              A098-912-596
    v.
    OPINION
    MERRICK B. GARLAND, Attorney
    General,
    Respondent.
    On Petition for Review of an Order of the
    Board of Immigration Appeals
    Argued and Submitted February 11, 2021
    San Francisco, California
    Filed September 7, 2021
    Before: Andrew D. Hurwitz and Daniel A. Bress, Circuit
    Judges, and Gary Feinerman, * District Judge.
    Opinion by Judge Feinerman
    *
    The Honorable Gary Feinerman, United States District Judge for
    the Northern District of Illinois, sitting by designation.
    2              IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    SUMMARY **
    Immigration
    Denying Santos Iraheta-Martinez’s petition for review of
    a decision of the Board of Immigration Appeals, the panel
    held that: (1) because Iraheta’s prior removal order was
    reinstated, he had no right under the Immigration and
    Nationality Act (“INA”) to seek asylum, and no
    constitutional right to have the Department of Homeland
    Security consider whether as a discretionary matter to
    decline to reinstate that removal order; and (2) the Board
    applied the correct frameworks governing the denial of
    withholding and protection under the Convention Against
    Torture, and its factual basis for denying such relief was
    supported by the record.
    Iraheta raised a statutory and constitutional claim
    concerning his eligibility for asylum relief in reinstatement
    proceedings. As an initial matter, the panel concluded that
    there was no need to decide whether Iraheta had exhausted
    these arguments because doing so would have been futile,
    given regulatory limitations on reinstatement proceedings,
    and circuit precedent holding that the agency lacks authority
    to disregard those regulations.
    Iraheta’s statutory claim rested on the interplay of
    several INA provisions providing and limiting the right to
    apply for asylum. Under 8 U.S.C § 1158(a): “Any alien who
    is physically present in the United States or who arrives in
    **
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It
    has been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                       3
    the United States . . . , irrespective of such alien’s status, may
    apply for asylum.” That broad authorization, however, is
    subject to exceptions set forth in §§ 1158(a)(2)(B) & (C)—
    the one-year and previous denial bars. Those bars in turn are
    subject to their own exception in § 1158(a)(2)(D), upon a
    showing of material “changed circumstances.”                   For
    noncitizens subject to reinstatement of a prior removal order,
    § 1231(a)(5) provides that they are not eligible and may not
    apply for “any relief” under this chapter. Iraheta argued that
    notwithstanding § 1231(a)(5), he was eligible to seek asylum
    under § 1158(a)(2)(D)’s exception if he could show changed
    circumstances.
    The panel observed that Perez-Guzman v. Lynch, 
    835 F.3d 1066
     (9th Cir. 2016), left open the question, at issue
    here, of how § 1158(a)(2)(D) might affect § 1231(a)(5),
    where a noncitizen asserts changed circumstances. Looking
    to the statutory language and various textual clues, the panel
    concluded that the INA makes clear that noncitizens with
    reinstated removal orders, while eligible to seek withholding
    and CAT relief, are not eligible to seek asylum. The panel
    rejected Iraheta’s invocation of the general-specific canon,
    under which he argued that § 1158(a)(2)(D) more
    specifically governs his asylum eligibility than does
    § 1231(a)(5). The panel explained that the determining
    which statute is “general” and which is “specific” is an
    unilluminating exercise, rendering the canon inapplicable,
    and a close reading of both provisions reveals that there is
    no conflict, also rendering the canon inapplicable.
    The panel also rejected Iraheta’s argument that because
    the INA allows noncitizens with reinstated removal orders
    to seek withholding and CAT relief despite § 1231(a)(5),
    asylum should be available, as well. The panel explained
    that the availability of certain relief notwithstanding
    4            IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    § 1231(a)(5) only underscores that the INA and its
    implementing regulations offer a comprehensive set of rules
    governing which noncitizens are eligible for what forms of
    relief, and the INA makes clear that noncitizens with
    reinstated removal orders are not eligible for asylum. The
    panel also rejected Iraheta’s contentions that his reading of
    the statutes was required under the constitutional avoidance
    canon and to avoid running afoul of the United States’s
    treaty obligations, explaining that neither principle came into
    play here, because there is no ambiguity in the relationship
    between §§ 1158(a)(2)(D) and 1231(a)(5).
    Relying on Villa-Anguiano v. Holder, 
    727 F.3d 873
     (9th
    Cir. 2013) (noting that nothing in 
    8 U.S.C. § 1231
    (a)(5) or
    its implementing regulations deprives the agency of
    discretion to afford a new plenary removal hearing), Iraheta
    argued in the alternative that even if the INA did not afford
    him a statutory right to seek asylum, because DHS has the
    discretion to overlook a prior removal order rather than
    reinstate it, due process required DHS to consider his
    changed circumstances before deciding whether to reinstate
    the order or place him in ordinary removal proceedings. The
    panel rejected that argument, explaining that Villa-Anguiano
    did not create a due process right to present an argument that
    may sway DHS in the exercise of its purely discretionary
    authority to overlook a prior removal order, and that
    recognizing such a right would undermine the agency’s
    plenary discretion over when to exercise that form of
    leniency.
    Turning to Iraheta’s claims for withholding of removal
    and CAT protection, the panel concluded that the evidentiary
    record supported the denial of relief. Both the Board and IJ
    assumed that the abuse Iraheta faced in his youth by his
    father qualified as persecution due to his perceived sexual
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                  5
    orientation, thus creating a presumption that he would be
    persecuted in the future as well. The panel concluded that
    the agency properly applied the burden-shifting framework
    in determining that the government had rebutted the
    presumption of future persecution with evidence that
    circumstances have changed now that Iraheta is a grown man
    who no longer needs to live with his father.
    The panel also held that the evidence did not compel the
    conclusion that Iraheta would more likely than not be
    persecuted by anyone else on account of his perceived sexual
    orientation, or by gang members or his brother based on his
    anti-gang beliefs. The panel concluded that the Board also
    adequately considered the aggregate risk of torture in
    denying CAT protection.
    COUNSEL
    Etan Newman (argued), Pangea Legal Services, San
    Francisco, California, for Petitioner.
    Mona Maria Yousif (argued), Attorney; Brianne Whelan
    Cohen, Senior Litigation Counsel; Office of Immigration
    Litigation, Civil Division, United States Department of
    Justice, Washington, D.C.; for Respondent.
    6            IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    OPINION
    FEINERMAN, District Judge:
    Santos Rafael Iraheta-Martinez petitions for review of a
    Board of Immigration Appeals (“BIA”) order denying his
    application for withholding of removal and relief under the
    Convention Against Torture (“CAT”). We find no error in
    the BIA’s denial of that relief. Iraheta also challenges the
    BIA’s refusal to allow him to seek asylum in light of the
    reinstatement of his prior order of removal, arguing that he
    had a right to seek asylum under the Immigration and
    Nationality Act (“INA”), 
    8 U.S.C. § 1101
     et seq., and in the
    alternative that he had a procedural due process right to
    reasoned consideration by the Department of Homeland
    Security (“DHS”) of whether to forego reinstating his prior
    removal order and thereby allow him to seek asylum. We
    disagree and hold that a noncitizen in Iraheta’s
    circumstances enjoys neither right. We therefore deny his
    petition for review.
    I
    A
    Iraheta grew up in El Salvador as one of eleven children.
    His father, Victor, was physically and emotionally abusive
    toward all his children, and was especially harsh with Iraheta
    because he believed that Iraheta was gay. In addition to
    subjecting Iraheta to beatings, Victor routinely berated him
    with homophobic slurs.
    When Iraheta was about 18 years old, he suffered a
    particularly severe public beating from his father and felt he
    could no longer return home. In 2005, Iraheta fled El
    Salvador, entered the United States unlawfully, and was
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                    7
    apprehended. He did not appear at his April 2006 removal
    hearing, and the immigration judge (“IJ”) entered a removal
    order against him in absentia. Iraheta ultimately was
    apprehended and removed in 2009, but reentered the United
    States days later. Over the next two years, Iraheta reentered
    the United States twice more and was removed both times.
    After his latest removal in September 2010, Iraheta
    returned to his parents’ home in El Salvador. Victor became
    outraged when he saw that Iraheta was wearing an earring,
    “yelling something like, ‘I never thought I’d have a fucking
    faggot in my house.’” Victor ripped the earring out of
    Iraheta’s ear and told him he never wanted to see Iraheta in
    his home again. Iraheta fled once again to the United States,
    where he now resides with his wife and their two sons.
    In 2016, Iraheta’s brother Valentin, who still lives in El
    Salvador, informed Iraheta that he had become involved
    with the MS-13 gang. Iraheta expressed disapproval and
    urged his brother to stop associating with the gang. Valentin
    became angry and told Iraheta that if he were to return to El
    Salvador and continue to criticize Valentin’s membership in
    MS-13, Valentin would “do whatever he wanted” to Iraheta.
    Iraheta asked if Valentin would murder his own brother, and
    Valentin responded that if Iraheta returned to El Salvador,
    Valentin would “‘either kill you myself or send my homies
    to kill you.’”
    B
    1
    In May 2017, Iraheta was taken back into custody, and
    DHS reinstated his prior removal order. See 
    8 U.S.C. § 1231
    (a)(5) (authorizing reinstatement of a prior removal
    order “[i]f the Attorney General finds that an alien has
    8             IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    reentered the United States illegally after having been
    removed”); 
    8 C.F.R. § 1241.8
    (a) (“An alien who illegally
    reenters the United States after having been removed, or
    having departed voluntarily, while under an order of
    exclusion, deportation, or removal shall be removed from the
    United States by reinstating the prior order. The alien has no
    right to a hearing before an immigration judge in such
    circumstances.”).
    Iraheta expressed a reasonable fear of returning to El
    Salvador, so an asylum officer referred his case to an IJ for
    “withholding-only” removal proceedings to determine his
    eligibility for withholding of removal and relief under CAT.
    See 
    8 C.F.R. § 208.31
    (e); Alvarado-Herrera v. Garland,
    
    993 F.3d 1187
    , 1190 (9th Cir. 2021) (“If the asylum officer
    determines that the non-citizen [with a reinstated removal
    order] has established a reasonable fear, the non-citizen is
    placed in ‘withholding only’ proceedings before an
    immigration judge, during which the judge will hold a
    hearing on whether to grant the non-citizen withholding of
    removal or protection under CAT.”) (citing 
    8 C.F.R. § 208.2
    (c)(2)–(3)).
    Before the IJ, Iraheta filed a “motion to preserve his right
    to apply for asylum,” purporting to “preserve the argument
    that he remains eligible for asylum even though he is in
    withholding-only proceedings” and asking that the “record
    . . . reflect that [he] does not concede that he is not eligible
    for asylum.” Iraheta conceded that he was asylum-ineligible
    under Perez-Guzman v. Lynch, 
    835 F.3d 1066
     (9th Cir.
    2016), but argued that he might become eligible if his prior
    removal order were reopened or if the Supreme Court
    reversed Perez-Guzman.
    The IJ denied Iraheta’s motion, stating that he “is not
    eligible for asylum because he is in ‘withholding only’
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                     9
    proceedings,” and noting that he “has presented the legal
    issue . . . should there be a change in the law.” The IJ then
    addressed whether Iraheta was entitled to withholding of
    removal or CAT relief. As to Iraheta’s claim for withholding
    based on persecution by Victor for being perceived as gay,
    the IJ observed that “[i]f an alien demonstrates that he
    suffered past persecution in the proposed country of
    removal, the burden shifts to [DHS] to demonstrate that a
    fundamental change in circumstances has occurred in that
    country, or that [he] could safely relocate to another area in
    the proposed country of removal.”              See 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.16
    (b)(1). Applying that standard, the IJ found that
    even if Iraheta had suffered past persecution, “circumstances
    have changed” because, while Victor had abused Iraheta
    when he was a youth, Iraheta was now “a grown man” who
    was “not required to live in his father’s house.” The IJ added
    that Victor “is an aging man” and that Iraheta’s brothers,
    including one still living with Victor, no longer faced abuse.
    As to Iraheta’s claim that he was likely to face
    persecution from his brother Valentin on account of his anti-
    gang political opinion, the IJ found that “a singular threat
    from his brother is insufficient to sustain his burden of
    demonstrating that he is likely to be persecuted or harmed in
    any way by his brother upon return to El Salvador.”
    Concluding that Iraheta had not shown that he was likely to
    be persecuted by either his father or his brother, the IJ denied
    withholding of removal.
    Turning to CAT relief, the IJ held that Iraheta “ha[d]
    failed to demonstrate that he is likely to be harmed by his
    father, his brother, or members of MS-13 upon removal to
    El Salvador,” and that he therefore “is not likely to be
    harmed for purposes of the [CAT].” The IJ further found
    10            IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    that Iraheta “ha[d] failed to establish the acquiescence piece
    of his [CAT] claim.” See 
    8 C.F.R. § 208.18
    (a)(1).
    2
    Iraheta appealed. The BIA dismissed the appeal,
    reasoning as to Iraheta’s withholding claim that the IJ did
    not clearly err in finding a fundamental change of
    circumstances sufficient to rebut the presumption of future
    persecution, and discerning no clear error in the IJ’s finding
    that he could relocate within El Salvador. See 
    8 C.F.R. § 1003.1
    (d)(3)(i). In particular, the BIA held that the IJ “did
    not clearly err in finding that the applicant’s father has aged,
    the applicant is now an independent adult man with a family
    of his own, and the applicant need not live with or associate
    with his father upon return to El Salvador.” The BIA thus
    concluded that, “even assuming, as the Immigration Judge
    did, that [Iraheta] suffered past persecution by his father on
    account of a protected ground, [DHS] has rebutted the
    presumption that [his] life or freedom will be threatened in
    the future on the basis of the original claim.”
    As for Iraheta’s CAT claim, the BIA agreed with the IJ
    that “the single, unfulfilled threat by his brother
    approximately 2 years ago is [in]sufficient to establish that
    he will more likely than not be tortured upon return to El
    Salvador by his brother or the MS-13.” The BIA also agreed
    with the IJ that the evidence of past abuse by Iraheta’s father
    was not enough to show a likelihood of torture on account of
    his perceived sexual orientation. The BIA therefore rejected
    Iraheta’s CAT claim without addressing the acquiescence
    issue.
    The BIA said nothing about asylum. In a footnote in his
    BIA brief, Iraheta argued that he was eligible for asylum and
    that he wished to “preserve[] the argument that [he] should
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                   11
    be considered for asylum.” As he did before the IJ, Iraheta
    acknowledged “the controlling precedent [Perez-Guzman]
    holding that individuals with reinstated removal orders are
    ineligible for asylum,” but asserted that it “was wrongly
    decided.”
    II
    The BIA had jurisdiction to review Iraheta’s removal
    order under 
    8 C.F.R. §§ 1003.1
    (b)(3) and 1240.15. We have
    jurisdiction over this petition for review under 
    8 U.S.C. § 1252
    (a)(5). We review de novo the BIA’s conclusions on
    pure questions of law. See Conde Quevedo v. Barr, 
    947 F.3d 1238
    , 1241 (9th Cir. 2020). We review the BIA’s factual
    findings for substantial evidence. See Medina-Rodriguez v.
    Barr, 
    979 F.3d 738
    , 744 (9th Cir. 2020).
    III
    After DHS reinstated Iraheta’s removal order in May
    2017, Iraheta expressed a fear of persecution, and an asylum
    officer assigned his case to an IJ for a “withholding-only”
    proceeding, in which Iraheta was given the opportunity to
    seek withholding of removal and CAT relief, but not asylum.
    See 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.31
    (e) (limiting such proceedings to
    “consideration of the request for withholding of removal
    only”). Iraheta claims that the agency’s refusal to consider
    whether he was entitled to asylum in light of circumstances
    that arose after the removal order was first issued violated
    both the INA and the Constitution.
    A
    The fact that the BIA did not expressly address Iraheta’s
    eligibility for asylum does not by itself raise jurisdictional
    concerns, as the BIA cannot preclude judicial review of a
    12            IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    properly raised issue by not mentioning it. But given the
    BIA’s silence, we must ensure either that Iraheta exhausted
    the asylum issue or that exhaustion is excused, for if he did
    not exhaust and exhaustion is not excused, we lack
    jurisdiction to consider the issue. See Alvarado v. Holder,
    
    759 F.3d 1121
    , 1127 & n.5 (9th Cir. 2014) (“Generally,
    
    8 U.S.C. § 1252
    (d)(1) ‘mandates exhaustion and therefore
    . . . bars us, for lack of subject-matter jurisdiction, from
    reaching the merits of a legal claim not presented in
    administrative proceedings below.’”) (alteration in original)
    (quoting Barron v. Ashcroft, 
    358 F.3d 674
    , 678 (9th Cir.
    2004)); Vasquez-Rodriguez v. Garland, —F.4th —, 
    2021 WL 3413164
    , at *5 (9th Cir. Aug. 5, 2021) (“[A]liens need
    not exhaust in cases ‘where resort to the agency would be
    futile.’”) (quoting Sun v. Ashcroft, 
    370 F.3d 932
    , 943 (9th
    Cir. 2004)).
    Iraheta presents two claims regarding asylum, one being
    that the INA allowed him to seek asylum given the
    circumstances that arose after his prior order of removal was
    entered, and the other, stated in the alternative, being that he
    had a procedural due process right to DHS’s consideration
    of whether, given those changed circumstances, his prior
    order of removal should have been reinstated. These are
    analytically distinct claims. If Iraheta is correct on his
    statutory argument, then he may apply for asylum, period.
    But if he is correct only on his due process argument, then
    he wins only the right to have DHS consider whether to give
    him fresh removal proceedings rather than reinstating his
    prior removal order.
    There is no need to decide whether Iraheta exhausted his
    statutory claim because the futility exception would excuse
    any failure to do so. The governing regulation provides that
    noncitizens with reinstated removal orders who express a
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                   13
    reasonable fear of persecution or torture if returned to their
    country of removal may pursue before the IJ “withholding
    of removal only.” 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.31
    (e) (emphasis added).
    As we explained in Perez-Guzman, “the BIA ha[s] no
    authority to disregard this regulation.” 835 F.3d at 1073.
    Accordingly, it would have been futile for Iraheta to urge the
    BIA (or the IJ) to disregard the regulation, and allow him to
    seek asylum, on the ground that the INA allows noncitizens
    with reinstated removal orders to seek asylum if they can
    show a change in pertinent circumstances since entry of the
    prior removal order. See Coyt v. Holder, 
    593 F.3d 902
    , 905
    (9th Cir. 2010) (“Because the BIA has no authority to
    declare a regulation invalid, ‘the exhaustion doctrine does
    not bar review of a question concerning the validity of an
    INS regulation because of a conflict with a statute.’”)
    (quoting Espinoza-Gutierrez v. Smith, 
    94 F.3d 1270
    , 1273
    (9th Cir. 1996)); see also Perez-Guzman, 835 F.3d at 1073
    (citing Coyt in holding that “exhaustion would have been
    futile” for a noncitizen with a reinstated removal order to
    urge the BIA to disregard § 1208.31(e) and allow him to seek
    asylum).
    A possible fly in the ointment is that Iraheta conceded
    before the IJ and the BIA that his statutory claim was
    foreclosed by Perez-Guzman, while here he effectively
    withdraws that concession, arguing that he is eligible for
    asylum notwithstanding Perez-Guzman.               But the
    government does not press a waiver argument, so we need
    not decide whether Iraheta’s concession before the agency
    that Perez-Guzman forecloses his asylum eligibility waived
    his right to argue here that Perez-Guzman does no such
    thing. See United States v. Tercero, 
    734 F.3d 979
    , 981 (9th
    Cir. 2013) (“It is well-established that the government can
    waive waiver implicitly by failing to assert it.”) (quoting
    Norwood v. Vance, 
    591 F.3d 1062
    , 1068 (9th Cir. 2010)).
    14           IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    The futility exception likewise excuses Iraheta’s failure
    to press his due process claim before the IJ or the BIA. “An
    exception to the exhaustion requirement has been carved for
    constitutional challenges to . . . [DHS] procedures.” Sola v.
    Holder, 
    720 F.3d 1134
    , 1135 (9th Cir. 2013) (per curiam)
    (first alteration in original) (quoting Rashtabadi v. INS,
    
    23 F.3d 1562
    , 1567 (9th Cir. 1994)). As to due process
    claims in particular, “[t]he key is to distinguish the
    procedural errors, constitutional or otherwise, that are
    correctable by the administrative tribunal from those that lie
    outside the BIA’s ken.” 
    Id.
     (quoting Liu v. Waters, 
    55 F.3d 421
    , 426 (9th Cir. 1995)). Thus, the question here is whether
    the BIA could have granted Iraheta relief on his due process
    claim had he raised it in his agency appeal.
    The answer is no. The governing regulation provides
    that “[t]he scope of review in [withholding of removal]
    proceedings . . . shall be limited to a determination of
    whether the alien is eligible for withholding or deferral of
    removal,” and that, “[d]uring such proceedings, all parties
    are prohibited from raising or considering any other issues,
    including but not limited to issues of admissibility,
    deportability, eligibility for waivers, and eligibility for any
    other form of relief.” 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.2
    (c)(3)(i) (emphasis
    added). Fairly read, this regulation would have precluded
    the IJ or the BIA from correcting what Iraheta now contends
    is the constitutional error, i.e., DHS’s failure to consider
    whether, in light of his particular circumstances, it should
    overlook rather than reinstate the prior removal order. See
    Johnson v. Guzman Chavez, 
    141 S. Ct. 2271
    , 2283 (2021)
    (holding that reasonable fear proceedings for a noncitizen
    with a reinstated order of removal “are ‘limited to a
    determination of whether the alien is eligible for withholding
    or deferral of removal,’ and as such, ‘all parties are
    prohibited from raising or considering any other issues,
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                    15
    including but not limited to issues of admissibility,
    deportability, eligibility for waivers, and eligibility for any
    other form of relief’”) (quoting 
    8 C.F.R. §§ 208.2
    (c)(3)(i),
    1208.2(c)(3)(i)).     We therefore are not deprived of
    jurisdiction to consider Iraheta’s due process claim.
    B
    1
    Iraheta’s statutory argument rests on the interplay of
    several INA provisions, some giving the right to apply for
    asylum and others limiting or taking away that right. The
    question is which of these provisions has the last word
    where, as here, the noncitizen has a prior order of removal
    reinstated after unlawfully reentering the United States.
    Section 1158(a), which governs “[a]uthority to apply for
    asylum,” reads in pertinent part as follows:
    (1) In general
    Any alien who is physically present in the
    United States or who arrives in the United
    States (whether or not at a designated port of
    arrival and including an alien who is brought
    to the United States after having been
    interdicted in international or United States
    waters), irrespective of such alien’s status,
    may apply for asylum in accordance with this
    section or, where applicable, [
    8 U.S.C. § 1225
    (b)].
    16        IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    (2) Exceptions
    (A) Safe third country
    Paragraph (1) shall not apply to an alien
    if the Attorney General determines that
    the alien may be removed, pursuant to a
    bilateral or multilateral agreement, to a
    country (other than the country of the
    alien’s nationality or, in the case of an
    alien having no nationality, the country of
    the alien’s last habitual residence) in
    which the alien’s life or freedom would
    not be threatened on account of race,
    religion, nationality, membership in a
    particular social group, or political
    opinion, and where the alien would have
    access to a full and fair procedure for
    determining a claim to asylum or
    equivalent temporary protection, unless
    the Attorney General finds that it is in the
    public interest for the alien to receive
    asylum in the United States.
    (B) Time limit
    Subject to subparagraph (D), paragraph
    (1) shall not apply to an alien unless the
    alien demonstrates by clear and
    convincing evidence that the application
    has been filed within 1 year after the date
    of the alien’s arrival in the United States.
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                    17
    (C) Previous asylum applications
    Subject to subparagraph (D), paragraph
    (1) shall not apply to an alien if the alien
    has previously applied for asylum and
    had such application denied.
    (D) Changed circumstances
    An application for asylum of an alien may
    be      considered,      notwithstanding
    subparagraphs (B) and (C), if the alien
    demonstrates to the satisfaction of the
    Attorney General either the existence of
    changed circumstances which materially
    affect the applicant’s eligibility for
    asylum or extraordinary circumstances
    relating to the delay in filing an
    application within the period specified in
    subparagraph (B).
    (E) Applicability
    Subparagraphs (A) and (B) shall not
    apply to an unaccompanied alien child (as
    defined in [
    6 U.S.C. § 279
    (g)].
    
    8 U.S.C. § 1158
    (a).
    Subparagraph (a)(1) broadly grants the right to apply for
    asylum: “Any alien who is physically present in the United
    States or who arrives in the United States . . . , irrespective
    of such alien’s status, may apply for asylum . . . .” 
    Id.
    § 1158(a)(1); see United States v. Shill, 
    740 F.3d 1347
    , 1352
    (9th Cir. 2014) (holding that the statutory term “any”
    18           IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    indicates “that Congress intended the statute’s reach to be
    broad”). That broad authorization, however, is subject to
    several “[e]xceptions” in the next subparagraph,
    § 1158(a)(2). Most relevant here, asylum applications may
    not be filed more than one year after a noncitizen’s arrival in
    the United States, see 
    8 U.S.C. § 1158
    (a)(2)(B), and a
    noncitizen may not seek asylum if a prior application had
    been denied, see 
    id.
     § 1158(a)(2)(C). Those two exceptions
    are subject to an exception of their own, providing that a
    noncitizen may apply for asylum, “notwithstanding” the
    one-year and previous-denial bars, upon a showing of
    material “changed circumstances.” Id. § 1158(a)(2)(D).
    Another provision, § 1231(a)(5), addresses what
    happens upon the reinstatement of a prior removal order
    upon a noncitizen’s unlawful reentry to the United States:
    If the Attorney General finds that an alien has
    reentered the United States illegally after
    having been removed or having departed
    voluntarily, under an order of removal, the
    prior order of removal is reinstated from its
    original date and is not subject to being
    reopened or reviewed, the alien is not eligible
    and may not apply for any relief under this
    chapter, and the alien shall be removed under
    the prior order at any time after the reentry.
    Id. § 1231(a)(5); see Perez-Guzman, 835 F.3d at 1073
    (noting that asylum is a form of “relief under this chapter”
    for § 1231(a)(5) purposes). Section 1231(a)(5) thus takes
    away what otherwise would be the right under § 1158(a)(1)
    to apply for asylum by precluding a noncitizen with a
    reinstated removal order from applying.
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                    19
    Because Iraheta’s current removal proceedings arose out
    of the reinstatement of his prior removal order, if
    § 1231(a)(5) governs, he is barred from seeking asylum.
    However, if § 1158(a)(2)(D) governs, then he is eligible to
    seek asylum so long as he can demonstrate “changed
    circumstances” since the prior removal order. The pertinent
    question, then, is this: if a noncitizen has a prior removal
    order reinstated after unlawfully reentering the United
    States, but can show changed circumstances since the prior
    order was issued, is he eligible to seek asylum? Iraheta says
    yes, arguing that § 1158(a)(2)(D) controls, while the
    government says no, arguing that § 1231(a)(5) controls. The
    government is correct.
    We touched on the interplay between §§ 1158(a) and
    1231(a)(5) in Perez-Guzman. That case did not involve
    changed circumstances, so we had no reason to examine
    § 1158(a)(2)(D) in detail. Instead, we addressed the
    dissonance between § 1158(a)(1)’s rule that “[a]ny” alien
    can apply for asylum and § 1231(a)(5)’s bar on asylum
    applications by noncitizens with reinstated removal orders.
    See Perez-Guzman, 835 F.3d at 1071. Unable to resolve the
    conflict with ordinary tools of statutory construction, we
    gave Chevron deference to the Attorney General’s
    interpretation, reflected in 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.31
    (e), that when
    a noncitizen with a reinstated removal order expresses a
    credible fear of persecution, his hearing before an IJ is
    limited “to consideration of the request for withholding of
    removal only.” Perez-Guzman, 835 F.3d at 1074–82. We
    held that § 1231(a)(5) takes precedence over § 1158(a)(1),
    and thus that a noncitizen “is not eligible to apply for asylum
    under § 1158 as long as he is subject to a reinstated removal
    order.” Id. at 1082. We bracketed, however, noncitizens
    potentially covered by § 1158(a)(2)(D). Because the
    applicant in Perez-Guzman was “a first-time asylum
    20           IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    claimant” who “allege[d] no circumstances that materially
    changed between his removal from the United States and his
    subsequent reentry,” we had “no opportunity . . . to
    determine how § 1158(a)(2)(D) might affect § 1231(a)(5) in
    a case where those two provisions are actually in conflict.”
    Id. at 1082 & n.10.
    That question is now before us. Two textual clues
    convince us that the changed-circumstances rule of
    § 1158(a)(2)(D) applies only within the closed universe of
    § 1158(a)(2)(B)–(D); that is, § 1158(a)(2)(D)’s grant of the
    right to apply for asylum comes into play only when that
    right would otherwise be revoked by § 1158(a)(2)(B) or (C),
    and not when the revocation is effected by § 1231(a)(5) or
    any other INA provision.
    The first clue is § 1158(a)(2)(D)’s placement within the
    INA generally and within § 1158(a) in particular. Recall that
    § 1158(a) begins with a broad permissive rule—any
    noncitizen in the United States may apply for asylum.
    Section 1158(a)(2) cuts back on that rule by carving
    exceptions, including those in § 1158(a)(2)(B) and (C). But
    then § 1158(a)(2) adds the changed-circumstances
    provision, § 1158(a)(2)(D), another permissive rule. If
    Congress meant § 1158(a)(2)(D) to apply broadly—
    overriding not just the asylum-eligibility bars imposed by
    § 1158(a)(2)(B) and (C), but other restrictive provisions in
    the INA as well—why did it place § 1158(a)(2)(D) within
    § 1158(a)(2)? See Pub. L. 104-208, § 604, 
    110 Stat. 3009
    ,
    690–91 (1996) (enacting the language codified at
    § 1158(a)(2)). Iraheta provides no answer, and none is
    apparent to us, particularly given the “notwithstanding
    subparagraphs (B) and (C)” clause of § 1158(a)(2)(D),
    which confirms its limited scope.
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                    21
    The second textual clue is the phrase “[s]ubject to
    subparagraph (D)” at the beginning of both § 1158(a)(2)(B)
    and (C).      That phrase is the mirror image of the
    “notwithstanding” clause in § 1158(a)(2)(D), creating a
    closed loop of exceptions (to § 1158(a)(1)’s broad grant of
    asylum eligibility) and an exception-to-the-exceptions. The
    “subject to” clauses in § 1158(a)(2)(B) and (C) confirm that
    those two prohibitions are absolute except for the
    changed-circumstances exception-to-the-exceptions in
    § 1158(a)(2)(D), and the “notwithstanding” clause in
    § 1158(a)(2)(D) confirms that it carves only a narrow
    exception to the exceptions that appear above it in
    § 1158(a)(2)(B) and (C). If Iraheta’s broad reading of
    § 1158(a)(2)(D)—that it carves exceptions to all limitations
    in the INA on the right to apply for asylum, and not just those
    in § 1158(a)(2)(B) and (C)—were correct, what purpose
    would the “subject to” clauses in § 1158(a)(2)(B) and (C)
    serve? If Iraheta were right, why does § 1231(a)(5) not have
    a clause that reads, “subject to subparagraph (a)(2)(D) of
    section 1158”? And if Iraheta were right, why does
    § 1158(a)(2)(D) begin with “notwithstanding subparagraphs
    (B) and (C)” rather than “notwithstanding any other
    provision of this chapter”? Again, Iraheta provides no
    answer, and none is apparent to us.
    Granted, a “notwithstanding” clause preceding a
    statutory rule does not necessarily limit the rule’s application
    to situations where the rule clashes with the provisions
    referenced by the clause. See NLRB v. SW Gen., Inc.,
    
    137 S. Ct. 929
    , 940 (2017) (“A ‘notwithstanding’ clause . . .
    just shows which of two or more provisions prevails in the
    event of a conflict. Such a clause confirms rather than
    constrains breadth. Singling out one potential conflict might
    suggest that Congress thought the conflict was particularly
    difficult to resolve, or was quite likely to arise. But doing so
    22           IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    generally does not imply anything about other, unaddressed
    conflicts, much less that they should be resolved in the
    opposite manner.”). So Iraheta is correct in arguing that
    § 1158(a)(2)(D)’s notwithstanding clause must be read in
    context. But the context of § 1158(a)(2)(D)—specifically,
    its placement within § 1158(a)(2) and its mutually
    reinforcing cross-references with § 1158(a)(2)(B) and (C)—
    shows that it does not override asylum-restrictive provisions
    in the INA other than § 1158(a)(2)(B) and (C). See Lara-
    Aguilar v. Sessions, 
    889 F.3d 134
    , 140–43 (4th Cir. 2018)
    (reaching the same conclusion).
    Pressing the opposite result, Iraheta invokes the general-
    specific canon, arguing that § 1158(a)(2)(D) more
    specifically governs his asylum eligibility than does
    § 1231(a)(5). See In re Border Infrastructure Env’t Litig.,
    
    915 F.3d 1213
    , 1225 (9th Cir. 2019) (“The ‘general/specific
    canon’ of statutory construction . . . provides that when two
    conflicting provisions cannot be reconciled, the more
    specific provision should be treated as an exception to the
    general rule.”). The argument is unpersuasive. As is often
    the case, determining which of §§ 1158(a)(2)(D) and
    1231(a)(5) is “general” and which is “specific” is an
    unilluminating exercise, rendering the canon inapplicable.
    See Perez-Guzman, 835 F.3d at 1075 (“As Scalia and Garner
    acknowledge, . . . it is ‘[s]ometimes . . . difficult to
    determine whether a provision is a general or a specific one.’
    Here, the difficulty is that each subsection is specific in
    certain respects and general in others.”) (second and third
    alterations in original) (citation omitted). In any event, a
    close reading of both provisions reveals that there is no
    conflict, rendering the canon inapplicable on that ground as
    well. See Lara-Aguilar, 889 F.3d at 141–43 (holding that
    “there is no irremediable conflict [between §§ 1158(a)(2)(D)
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                  23
    and 1231(a)(5)] requiring us to invoke the general-specific
    rule of interpretation”).
    Iraheta next argues that because the INA allows
    noncitizens with reinstated removal orders to seek
    withholding and CAT relief despite the broad bar imposed
    by § 1231(a)(5), see Perez-Guzman, 835 F.3d at 1075
    (“[O]ur well-settled interpretation of § 1231(a)(5)
    recognizes that, notwithstanding the prohibition on ‘any
    relief,’ withholding of removal and CAT protection are
    available to individuals in reinstatement proceedings.”),
    asylum should be available as well. But the availability of
    certain relief notwithstanding § 1231(a)(5) only underscores
    that the INA and its implementing regulations offer a
    comprehensive set of rules governing which noncitizens are
    eligible for what forms of relief. See 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.31
    (e)
    (allowing an alien with a reinstated removal order to apply
    for withholding of removal); 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.16
    (c)(4)
    (allowing applications for CAT protection). The INA makes
    clear that noncitizens with reinstated removal orders, while
    eligible to seek withholding and CAT relief, are not eligible
    to seek asylum.
    Iraheta next invokes several presumptions we sometimes
    apply when encountering ambiguous statutes. For example,
    he argues that we should adopt his reading of
    § 1158(a)(2)(D) to avoid running afoul of the United States’s
    treaty obligations. See Trans World Airlines, Inc. v.
    Franklin Mint Corp., 
    466 U.S. 243
    , 252 (1984) (“A treaty
    will not be deemed to have been abrogated or modified by a
    later statute unless such purpose on the part of Congress has
    been clearly expressed.”) (citation omitted). He also argues
    that his reading is necessary to avoid serious due process
    questions. See Jennings v. Rodriguez, 
    138 S. Ct. 830
    , 836
    (2018) (“Under the constitutional-avoidance canon, when
    24           IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    statutory language is susceptible of multiple interpretations,
    a court may shun an interpretation that raises serious
    constitutional doubts and instead may adopt an alternative
    that avoids those problems.”). Neither principle comes into
    play here, because, as explained, there is no ambiguity in the
    relationship between §§ 1158(a)(2)(D) and 1231(a)(5). See
    Jennings, 
    138 S. Ct. at 836
     (“[A] court relying on th[e]
    [constitutional-avoidance] canon still must interpret the
    statute, not rewrite it.”); Swinomish Indian Tribal Cmty. v.
    BNSF Ry. Co., 
    951 F.3d 1142
    , 1160 (9th Cir. 2020) (holding
    that a statute’s “unambiguous language” overcomes the
    presumption against abrogating treaty rights).
    2
    Iraheta claims in the alternative that even if the INA did
    not afford him a statutory right to seek asylum, due process
    required DHS to consider whether to let him do so anyway.
    Iraheta observes that DHS has the discretion to overlook a
    noncitizen’s prior removal order rather than reinstate it,
    which results in the noncitizen entering ordinary removal
    proceedings, where he can apply for asylum, rather than
    withholding-only proceedings, where he cannot. See Perez-
    Guzman, 835 F.3d at 1081 (“[T]he government has
    discretion to forgo reinstatement and instead place an
    individual in ordinary removal proceedings. Once in
    ordinary proceedings, the individual can raise an asylum
    application without implicating § 1231(a)(5)’s bar.”); Villa-
    Anguiano v. Holder, 
    727 F.3d 873
    , 878 (9th Cir. 2013)
    (“Even though an alien is not entitled to a hearing before an
    immigration judge on the issue of reinstatement of a prior
    removal order, nothing in 
    8 U.S.C. § 1231
    (a)(5) or its
    implementing regulations deprives the agency of discretion
    to afford an alien a new plenary removal hearing.”). And as
    Iraheta notes, we held in Villa-Anguiano that “[d]ue process
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                   25
    . . . entitles an unlawfully present alien to consideration of
    issues relevant to the exercise of an immigration officer’s
    discretion” in deciding whether to reinstate a prior removal
    order. 727 F.3d at 881. Invoking Villa-Anguiano, Iraheta
    argues that by failing to consider his changed circumstances
    before reinstating his removal order and thereby depriving
    him of the ability to seek asylum, DHS violated his
    procedural due process rights.
    Iraheta reads Villa-Anguiano too broadly. Our due
    process discussion there concerned only a noncitizen’s right
    to contest the factual predicates for reinstating a prior
    removal order—i.e., whether the noncitizen in fact was
    subject to the removal order and whether his reentry in fact
    was unlawful—not the right to present arguments why the
    immigration officer should, as a discretionary matter,
    decline to reinstate a prior removal order whose factual
    predicates are clear. See id. at 877–81. The immigration
    officer in Villa-Anguiano reinstated a noncitizen’s prior
    removal order, but instead of removing him, the government
    criminally charged him with illegal reentry under 
    8 U.S.C. § 1326
    . See 
    id.
     at 876–77. During the criminal proceedings,
    the noncitizen lodged a successful collateral challenge to the
    prior removal order, resulting in its invalidation and the
    dismissal of his criminal charges. See 
    id.
     Nonetheless, the
    noncitizen was later removed without being given the
    opportunity to argue that, because his prior removal order
    had been invalidated, it was not subject to reinstatement. See
    id. at 877. We held that the noncitizen’s due process rights
    were violated because he was not given a chance to
    challenge an essential predicate for placing him into
    reinstatement proceedings—the existence of a valid, prior
    order of removal. See id. at 877–81.
    26           IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    Here, by contrast, Iraheta does not dispute the predicates
    rendering him lawfully subject to reinstatement. Rather, he
    contends that due process required DHS to consider whether
    to forego reinstatement of his prior removal order in light of
    the facts supporting what he hoped would be his new asylum
    claim. But Villa-Anguiano does not give a noncitizen a due
    process right to present an argument that may sway DHS in
    the exercise of its purely discretionary authority to overlook
    a prior removal order. Indeed, recognizing such a right
    would undermine the agency’s plenary discretion over when
    to exercise that form of leniency. See Heckler v. Chaney,
    
    470 U.S. 821
    , 831 (1985) (“This Court has recognized on
    several occasions over many years that an agency’s decision
    not to prosecute or enforce, whether through civil or criminal
    process, is a decision generally committed to an agency’s
    absolute discretion.”) (citing cases). The fact of DHS’s
    discretion does not mean that every noncitizen with a prior
    removal order has a due process right to make his case to
    DHS for why its discretion should be exercised in his favor.
    *   *    *
    In sum, Iraheta does not have the right to seek asylum
    under the INA, and he did not have a constitutional right to
    have DHS consider whether, as a discretionary matter, to
    overlook his prior removal order and thereby allow him to
    seek asylum. Iraheta is ineligible for asylum, and the BIA
    did not err in declining to allow him to seek asylum.
    IV
    We turn next to our review of what the BIA did address
    on the merits: Iraheta’s claims for statutory withholding of
    removal and CAT relief.
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                   27
    A
    A noncitizen in removal proceedings may seek
    withholding of removal under § 1231(b)(3), which prohibits
    removal to a country where the noncitizen’s “life or freedom
    would be threatened” on account of his “race, religion,
    nationality, membership in a particular social group, or
    political opinion.” 
    8 U.S.C. § 1231
    (b)(3)(A); see Bare v.
    Barr, 
    975 F.3d 952
    , 961 (9th Cir. 2020); Diaz-Reynoso v.
    Barr, 
    968 F.3d 1070
    , 1084–85 (9th Cir. 2020). To prevail,
    the noncitizen must show, by a preponderance of the
    evidence, that he will face persecution on account of a
    protected ground if removed. See 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.16
    (b);
    Doe v. Holder, 
    736 F.3d 871
    , 877 (9th Cir. 2013).
    Iraheta sought withholding of removal on account of
    (1) his perceived or imputed membership in the social group
    of Salvadoran gay men and (2) his anti-gang political
    opinion.
    1
    Iraheta first challenges the BIA’s conclusion that he is
    not likely to face persecution in El Salvador on account of
    his imputed sexual orientation. Both the IJ and the BIA
    assumed that the abuse Iraheta faced in his youth by his
    father qualifies as persecution due to his perceived sexual
    orientation, creating a “presumption” that he would be
    persecuted in the future as well. 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.16
    (b)(1)(i).
    Because the agency assumed that Iraheta faced past
    persecution, we do so as well. See Hanna v. Keisler,
    
    506 F.3d 933
    , 938 (9th Cir. 2007).
    Once the presumption of future persecution arises, DHS
    bears the burden to rebut it by demonstrating that either:
    (1) due to a “fundamental change of circumstances,” the
    28           IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    noncitizen would not be persecuted on account of a protected
    ground; or (2) the noncitizen could avoid future persecution
    by relocating to another part of the country, and it would be
    reasonable to expect the noncitizen to relocate. 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.16
    (b)(1)(i)–(ii); see Vitug v. Holder, 
    723 F.3d 1056
    ,
    1065 (9th Cir. 2013). Iraheta argues that the agency did not
    properly recognize the presumption of future persecution.
    We disagree.
    The IJ correctly stated the governing framework, noting
    that “[i]f an alien demonstrates that he suffered past
    persecution in the proposed country of removal, the burden
    shifts to [DHS] to demonstrate that a fundamental change in
    circumstances has occurred in that country, or that the
    applicant could safely relocate to another area in the
    proposed country of removal.”                See 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.16
    (b)(1)). The IJ then found, as a factual matter, that
    “circumstances have changed,” as Iraheta was now “a grown
    man” who had no need to live with his father. Given that
    finding, the IJ concluded that Iraheta was not likely to face
    persecution by his father in the future. The BIA adopted that
    factual conclusion, discerning no clear error.
    Iraheta’s attempts to poke holes in the BIA’s reasoning
    are unavailing. First, he contends that the IJ did not properly
    apply the burden-shifting framework, and thus never
    actually made a finding of changed circumstances to which
    the BIA could defer. We disagree. True enough, at one point
    in her opinion, the IJ referred to “[Iraheta’s] burden of
    demonstrating that he is likely to suffer persecution by his
    father in the future.” That statement’s overall context,
    however, makes clear that the IJ was referring to Iraheta’s
    ultimate burden of showing his entitlement to statutory
    withholding, and further that she properly understood and
    held DHS to its burden of showing a change in
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                   29
    circumstances. She then made a factual finding that DHS
    met its burden, and the BIA was within its rights to defer to
    that finding.
    Iraheta next argues that even if the IJ found changed
    circumstances that could rebut the presumption of future
    persecution, the BIA “misapplied its own standard of
    review,” since “[w]hether DHS met its burden to show a
    fundamental change by a preponderance of the evidence is a
    mixed question of law and fact subject to de novo, not clear
    error, review.” But the BIA set forth the correct standard of
    review at the outset of its opinion, citing 
    8 C.F.R. § 1003.1
    (d)(3), and Iraheta does not point to, and we cannot
    find, any portion of the opinion that strayed from this
    standard.
    Next, Iraheta argues that the agency could not possibly
    have carried its burden to show changed circumstances
    because it was “obligated to introduce evidence” but did not
    do so. In support, Iraheta cites Rios v. Ashcroft, 
    287 F.3d 895
     (9th Cir. 2002), which holds that the agency, to defeat
    the presumption of future persecution, must “introduce
    evidence that, on an individualized basis, rebuts a particular
    applicant’s specific grounds for his well-founded fear of
    future persecution.” 
    Id. at 901
     (quoting Ernesto Navas v.
    INS, 
    217 F.3d 646
    , 662 (9th Cir. 2000)). Iraheta interprets
    Rios to establish that DHS can demonstrate changed
    circumstances only by introducing new evidence of its own,
    as opposed to drawing inferences from evidence already in
    the record. But there is no reason why DHS cannot use
    evidence introduced by the noncitizen to rebut the
    presumption. DHS did so here by pointing to Iraheta’s and
    Victor’s respective ages and life circumstances.
    Iraheta also attempts to cast doubt on the BIA’s ultimate
    factual finding that there has been a fundamental change in
    30            IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    his circumstances, arguing that it “misconstrued the
    evidence.”      Whether there has been a change in
    circumstances is a question of fact that we review for
    substantial evidence. See Singh v. Holder, 
    753 F.3d 826
    ,
    830 (9th Cir. 2014). Under that deferential standard, we
    reject Iraheta’s argument, as the record does not compel a
    conclusion different from the one the IJ reached and to which
    the BIA deferred. See Mairena v. Barr, 
    917 F.3d 1119
    , 1123
    (9th Cir. 2019) (per curiam); Jie Shi Liu v. Sessions,
    
    891 F.3d 834
    , 837 (9th Cir. 2018).
    Iraheta first contends that the IJ erred in treating Victor’s
    advanced age as a relevant change in circumstances. He
    points out that his father has continued to call him “faggot”
    over the phone since he last left El Salvador, and that there
    was evidence in the record (an affidavit from one of Iraheta’s
    brothers) that Victor would beat Iraheta if he returned to El
    Salvador. In so arguing, Iraheta misconstrues the reasoning
    behind the IJ’s finding of changed circumstances. That
    finding was based only in part on Victor having aged,
    making him less able to exert physical dominion over
    Iraheta. The finding was based as well on the fact that
    Iraheta himself had aged—specifically, that he had become
    a “grown man” who was no longer “required to live on his
    father’s property.” Iraheta does not point to record evidence
    suggesting that he will be required to live with his father if
    removed to El Salvador, so we cannot find fault with the IJ’s
    conclusion that Iraheta, having become an adult, faces
    materially changed circumstances.
    To undermine the conclusion that the passage of time is
    a relevant changed circumstance, Iraheta points out that his
    father assaulted him when he was last in El Salvador, in
    2010, when he was about 24 years old. The IJ discounted
    that incident as falling short of persecution “because at the
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                     31
    time of the incident [Iraheta] was an adult man, free to go
    about his business, free to relocate to wherever he chooses
    in El Salvador.” The IJ’s broader logic holds, as there was
    no evidence that Iraheta was compelled to visit his father
    when he was last in El Salvador, that he would be compelled
    to visit his father if removed to El Salvador, or that his father
    would seek him out and abuse him. We thus have no basis
    for disturbing the BIA’s agreement with the IJ that Iraheta’s
    age is a material changed circumstance.
    Iraheta maintains that the 2010 incident with his father
    “demonstrates that [his] family status has not changed his
    father’s will and ability to harm him.” The question, though,
    is not whether Iraheta’s father has the desire to harm him;
    rather, it is whether Iraheta is more likely than not to be
    abused by him if returned to El Salvador. Even if Iraheta
    were likely to face abuse if he visited his father’s house, that
    would not compel the more general conclusion that he is
    likely to face abuse if removed to El Salvador.
    Finally, Iraheta contends that even if the BIA were
    correct that DHS rebutted the presumption of future
    persecution from his father, the BIA failed to apply that
    presumption to other Salvadoran actors who might also
    persecute him for being or appearing to be gay. In Iraheta’s
    view, “[b]ecause the BIA assumed Mr. Iraheta established
    past persecution on the basis of his imputed homosexuality,
    it should have required [the government] to show a change
    in circumstances such that Mr. Iraheta would not be harmed
    by his father or others for this reason.”
    Iraheta invokes Hanna v. Keisler to support his position,
    but he misreads that decision. Hanna involved an Iraqi
    national who had been persecuted in his home country,
    before the Iraq War, by forces loyal to Saddam Hussein. See
    
    506 F.3d at
    936–37. The BIA assumed past persecution,
    32           IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    shifting the burden to DHS, but found that the regime change
    following Saddam’s ouster effected a fundamental change of
    circumstances that rebutted the presumption of future
    persecution. 
    Id. at 938
    . We disagreed, noting that the regime
    change “alone d[id] not satisfy the government’s burden to
    show that circumstances have changed.” 
    Id.
     We held,
    rather, that “the government[’s] show[ing] . . . that Hanna
    would not be persecuted on account of his religion by a
    government led by Saddam Hussein” did not establish that
    he would not be persecuted by others on that basis. Id.; see
    
    id.
     at 938 n.1 (“If anything, the changed circumstances in
    Iraq would seem to make it more likely, not less likely, that
    Hanna would suffer persecution in Iraq on account of his
    religion.”).
    Hanna does not stand for the proposition that whenever
    an applicant for withholding of removal shows past
    persecution, DHS can defeat the presumption of future
    persecution only by affirmatively proving that no one else
    will persecute the applicant on the same basis. Rather,
    Hanna is a straightforward application of the burden-shifting
    framework: to rebut the presumption, DHS must show not
    just any change of circumstances, but a change of
    circumstances “such that the applicant’s life or freedom
    would not be threatened on account of any of the five
    [protected] grounds.” 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.16
    (b)(1)(i)(A). Here,
    DHS did just that, showing that the only person who had ever
    persecuted Iraheta on account of his imputed sexual
    orientation—in fact, the only person in El Salvador who
    even perceived him to be gay—would no longer able to do
    so because Iraheta was no longer compelled to live in his
    father’s home. In the BIA’s view, that change in
    circumstances made it unlikely that Iraheta would face
    further persecution on that ground. As the IJ explained in
    the portion of her opinion denying CAT relief: “There is not
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                    33
    sufficient evidence in the record to indicate or to conclude
    that a community would even perceive [Iraheta] to be gay.
    It seems that only two people may have perceived him as
    such, his father, and a man he got into an argument with in
    the United States.”
    Iraheta also argues that the country-conditions evidence
    showed that violence against LGBT individuals in El
    Salvador is rampant, and thus that substantial evidence did
    not support the BIA’s conclusion that he would not be
    persecuted by others on account of his perceived sexual
    orientation. But the record does not compel Iraheta’s view
    of the evidence, particularly since it supports a finding that
    others in El Salvador did not perceive Iraheta to be gay. The
    same rationale sinks Iraheta’s argument that he is likely to
    be persecuted if he returned to his hometown because
    “[c]ommunity assumptions about sexuality are informed by
    a person’s family, and Mr. Iraheta’s treatment by his father
    was well-known.” The fact remains that there was no
    evidence of anyone else perceiving Iraheta as gay in all his
    years in El Salvador.
    Because the BIA’s finding of changed circumstances
    was sound and sufficient to rebut the presumption of future
    persecution on account of Iraheta’s perceived sexual
    orientation, there is no need to address the BIA’s finding that
    Iraheta could safely relocate within El Salvador.
    2
    Iraheta’s claim of persecution based on political opinion
    rests on a telephonic threat made by his brother Valentin
    when Iraheta was in the United States. Iraheta does not
    claim that he faced persecution on this basis in the past, so
    there is no presumption of future persecution. He therefore
    bears the burden of showing that he is more likely than not
    34            IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    to be persecuted on the basis of his anti-gang beliefs if
    removed to El Salvador.
    The IJ concluded, after considering the phone call and
    country-conditions evidence, that it was not more likely than
    not that MS-13 or Valentin would harm Iraheta if he returned
    to El Salvador. The BIA found no clear error in this factual
    determination. The record does not compel a different
    conclusion.
    In pressing the opposite result, Iraheta focuses on one
    aspect of the BIA’s reasoning: that “[t]here is no evidence in
    the record that his brother has tried to harm [Iraheta] while
    in the United States.” Iraheta correctly suggests that this
    point is not compelling, as there is no reason to think
    Valentin has either the will or capacity to harm Iraheta
    outside of El Salvador. But that one possible misstep does
    not doom the BIA’s ultimate finding, for the record as a
    whole offers sufficient support for the IJ’s conclusion that
    Valentin’s threat does not demonstrate that he or MS-13 is
    more likely than not to harm Iraheta. It certainly does not
    compel the conclusion that if Iraheta is removed to El
    Salvador, the threat is likely to be carried out.
    Iraheta responds with evidence showing how dangerous
    it can be for those who vocally oppose MS-13. Perhaps
    Iraheta is right that “return to El Salvador is a death sentence
    for those willing to vocally oppose the MS-13.” But Iraheta
    is far from a vocal opponent of Salvadoran gangs. Rather,
    the evidence shows only that he once tried to convince his
    brother to leave the gang. Absent more, we will not
    “substitute our view of the matter for that of the [agency].”
    Prasad v. INS, 
    47 F.3d 336
    , 340 (9th Cir. 1995).
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                   35
    3
    Iraheta also argued in the agency proceedings that he
    would be persecuted in El Salvador on account of his
    membership in several other social groups—as someone
    who attends a Pentecostal church, as a brother of Valentin,
    as a son of his parents, and as a “Salvadoran son[] viewed as
    property by virtue of [his] position within the domestic
    relationship.” Before the BIA, however, Iraheta addressed
    only the latter two groups, and the BIA rejected his claims,
    finding that he was not persecuted on the basis of being a son
    of his parents and that “Salvadoran sons viewed as property
    by virtue of their position within the domestic relationship”
    is not a cognizable social group.
    In a footnote in his briefing before us, Iraheta explains
    that he “does not concede the correctness of the BIA’s
    determination on these issues,” apparently because he
    disagrees with an Attorney General opinion on which the
    BIA relied. See Matter of A-B-, 
    27 I. & N. Dec. 316
     (A.G.
    2018). But by failing to develop the argument in his opening
    brief, Iraheta forfeited it. See Cachil Dehe Band of Wintun
    Indians of Colusa Indian Cmty. v. Zinke, 
    889 F.3d 584
    , 606
    (9th Cir. 2018); WildEarth Guardians v. U.S. EPA, 
    759 F.3d 1064
    , 1072 n.3 (9th Cir. 2014).
    *   *   *
    In sum, there is no basis for upsetting the BIA’s denial
    of Iraheta’s application for withholding of removal.
    B
    In denying Iraheta’s request for CAT relief, the IJ found
    that Iraheta was not likely to face torture in El Salvador for
    “the same reasons” he was not likely to face persecution for
    36            IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND
    withholding purposes. The BIA “discern[ed] no clear error”
    in that determination. The IJ also found that Iraheta had not
    demonstrated that any torture would occur with the
    acquiescence of the Salvadoran government, but the BIA
    declined to reach the acquiescence issue given its agreement
    with the IJ that Iraheta had failed to show a likelihood of
    torture. We find no fault with the BIA’s decision.
    To obtain CAT relief, the applicant must show that it is
    more likely than not that he will face torture in the country
    of removal. See Xochihua-Jaimes v. Barr, 
    962 F.3d 1175
    ,
    1183 (9th Cir. 2020). “In considering a CAT application, the
    IJ and BIA must consider ‘all evidence relevant to the
    possibility of future torture,’ and must ‘consider the
    aggregate risk that [the applicant] would face.’” Guerra v.
    Barr, 
    951 F.3d 1128
    , 1133 (9th Cir. 2020) (alteration in
    original) (citations omitted) (quoting Cole v. Holder,
    
    659 F.3d 762
    , 770, 775 (9th Cir. 2011)), amended in other
    part, 
    974 F.3d 909
     (9th Cir. 2020); see also Quijada-
    Aguilar v. Lynch, 
    799 F.3d 1303
    , 1308 (9th Cir. 2015)
    (“CAT claims must be considered in terms of the aggregate
    risk of torture from all sources, and not as separate, divisible
    CAT claims.”).
    Iraheta argues that the BIA’s factual finding that he was
    not likely to be tortured in El Salvador was flawed because
    it “erroneously failed to undertake an aggregate analysis” of
    all potential sources of torture. True enough, the BIA did
    not make it perfectly clear that it was performing an
    aggregate analysis. On balance, though, the BIA said
    enough to convince us that it did, in fact, find that there is
    less than a 50% chance that Iraheta will be tortured by all
    potential sources of torture (Victor and MS-13) in the
    aggregate.
    IRAHETA-MARTINEZ V. GARLAND                    37
    The BIA bookended its CAT analysis with generalized
    statements about the overall risk of torture. At the outset, the
    BIA explained that it “discern[ed] no clear error in the
    Immigration Judge’s factual finding that [Iraheta] has not
    shown that he will more likely than not be tortured by, at the
    instigation of, or with the consent or acquiescence of a public
    official or other person acting in an official capacity.” That
    summary is fairly read as approving the IJ’s finding that the
    probability of torture is less than 50% in the aggregate. The
    BIA proceeded to analyze the possibilities of torture by MS-
    13 and Victor separately, but its main point remained in
    focus: Iraheta failed to establish an overall likelihood of
    torture of greater than 50%. And that becomes clear again
    at the end of its analysis, when the BIA summed things up
    as follows: “[Iraheta] has not demonstrated that he is more
    likely than not to be tortured in El Salvador . . . .” The BIA
    did enough here for its analysis to survive review. See
    Garland v. Ming Dai, 
    141 S. Ct. 1669
    , 1679 (2021) (“[A]
    reviewing court must ‘uphold’ even ‘a decision of less than
    ideal clarity if the agency’s path may reasonably be
    discerned.’”) (quoting Bowman Transp., Inc. v. Ark.-Best
    Freight Sys., Inc., 
    419 U.S. 281
    , 286 (1974)).
    V
    Because Iraheta’s prior removal order was reinstated, he
    had no right under the INA to seek asylum and no
    constitutional right to have DHS consider whether, as a
    discretionary matter, to decline to reinstate that order. The
    BIA correctly applied the frameworks governing Iraheta’s
    requests for withholding of removal and CAT relief, and the
    factual basis for the BIA’s decisions finds support in the
    evidentiary record.
    PETITION FOR REVIEW DENIED.