David Thompson v. Heather Hebdon , 909 F.3d 1027 ( 2018 )


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  •                 FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    DAVID THOMPSON; AARON                    No. 17-35019
    DOWNING; JIM CRAWFORD; DISTRICT
    18 OF THE ALASKA REPUBLICAN                 D.C. No.
    PARTY,                                   3:15-cv-00218-
    Plaintiffs-Appellants,          TMB
    v.
    OPINION
    HEATHER HEBDON, in Her Official
    Capacity as the Executive Director
    of the Alaska Public Offices
    Commission; TOM TEMPLE; IRENE
    CATALONE; RON KING; ROBERT
    CLIFT; ADAM SCHWEMLEY, in Their
    Official Capacities as Members of
    the Alaska Public Offices
    Commission,
    Defendants-Appellees.
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the District of Alaska
    Timothy M. Burgess, Chief Judge, Presiding
    Argued and Submitted June 11, 2018
    Anchorage, Alaska
    Filed November 27, 2018
    2                    THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    Before: Sidney R. Thomas, Chief Judge, and Consuelo M.
    Callahan and Carlos T. Bea, Circuit Judges.
    Opinion by Judge Callahan;
    Partial Concurrence and Partial Dissent by
    Chief Judge Thomas
    SUMMARY *
    Civil Rights
    The panel affirmed in part and reversed in part the
    district court’s bench trial judgment and remanded for entry
    of a judgment consistent with the panel’s opinion in an
    action alleging that Alaska law regulating campaign
    contributions violates the First Amendment.
    Plaintiffs, three individuals and a subdivision of the
    Alaska Republican Party, challenged: (1) the $500 annual
    limit on an individual contribution to a political candidate,
    (2) the $500 limit on an individual contribution to a non-
    political party group, (3) annual limits on what a political
    party—including its subdivisions—may contribute to a
    candidate, and (4) the annual aggregate limit on
    contributions a candidate may accept from nonresidents of
    Alaska.
    The panel held that affirmance on the individual-to-
    candidate and individual-to-group limits was compelled by
    *
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It
    has been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                         3
    Lair v. Motl, 
    873 F.3d 1170
     (9th Cir. 2017) (Lair III), reh’g
    en banc denied, 
    889 F.3d 571
     (9th Cir. 2018), and California
    Medical Ass’n v. FEC, 
    453 U.S. 182
     (1981), respectively.
    The panel also upheld the political party-to-candidate limit.
    However, it reversed as to the nonresident limit. The panel
    held that the first three restrictions were narrowly tailored to
    prevent quid pro quo corruption or its appearance and thus
    did not impermissibly infringe constitutional rights. The
    nonresident limit, which at most, targeted contributors’
    influence over Alaska politics, did not target an “important
    state interest” and therefore violated the First Amendment.
    Concurring in part and dissenting in part, Chief Judge
    Thomas agreed with the majority that Alaska’s limitations
    on individual contributions to candidates and election-
    related groups and on political party contributions to
    individual candidates did not violate the First Amendment.
    However, he would hold that the nonresident aggregate
    contribution limit, which furthers Alaska’s important state
    interests in preventing quid pro quo corruption or its
    appearance and in preserving self-governance, also did not
    violate the First Amendment.          Thus, Judge Thomas
    respectfully dissented from Section III(B)(iv) of the majority
    opinion.
    COUNSEL
    Kevin G. Clarkson (argued) and Matthew C. Clarkson,
    Brena Bell & Clarkson P.C., Anchorage, Alaska, for
    Plaintiffs-Appellants.
    Laura Fox (argued), Assistant Attorney General,
    Department of Law, Anchorage, Alaska, for Defendants-
    Appellees.
    4                 THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    Brian A. Sutherland, Reed Smith LLP, San Francisco,
    California; M. Patrick Yingling, Reed Smith LLP, Chicago,
    Illinois; Brent Ferguson and Daniel I. Weiner, Brennan
    Center for Justice, New York, New York; for Amicus Curiae
    Brennan Center for Justice at NYU School of Law.
    Ronald A. Fein and John C. Bonifaz, Free Speech for People,
    Newton, Massachusetts, for Amici Curiae Free Speech for
    People and Professor David Fontana.
    Tara Malloy, Noah B. Lindell, Megan P. McAllen, and Mark
    P. Gaber, Campaign Legal Center, Washington, D.C., for
    Amicus Curiae Campaign Legal Center.
    OPINION
    CALLAHAN, Circuit Judge:
    We must decide whether an Alaska law regulating
    campaign contributions violates the First Amendment. At
    issue are Alaska’s limit on contributions made by individuals
    to candidates, its limit on contributions made by individuals
    to election-related groups, its limit on political party-to-
    candidate contributions, and its limit on the total funds a
    candidate may receive from out-of-state residents. The
    district court upheld all four provisions against a
    constitutional challenge by three individuals and a
    subdivision of the Alaska Republican Party. Affirmance on
    the individual-to-candidate and individual-to-group limits is
    compelled by Lair v. Motl, 
    873 F.3d 1170
     (9th Cir. 2017)
    (Lair III), reh’g en banc denied, 
    889 F.3d 571
     (9th Cir.
    2018), and California Medical Ass’n v. FEC, 
    453 U.S. 182
    (1981), respectively, and we also uphold the political party-
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                         5
    to-candidate limit.      However, we reverse as to the
    nonresident limit. While the first three restrictions are
    narrowly tailored to prevent quid pro quo corruption or its
    appearance and thus do not impermissibly infringe
    constitutional rights, the nonresident limit does not target an
    “important state interest” and therefore violates the First
    Amendment.
    I.
    A.
    Alaska has long regulated campaign contributions to
    political candidates. In 1974, Alaska enacted a statute
    prohibiting individuals from contributing more than $1,000
    annually to a candidate. See Alaska v. Alaska Civil Liberties
    Union, 
    978 P.2d 597
    , 601 (Alaska 1991). One former
    Alaska state representative testified in the bench trial in this
    case that, even under this $1,000 limit, “there was an
    inordinate influence from contributions on the actions of the
    legislature.” Thompson v. Dauphinais, 
    217 F. Supp. 3d 1023
    , 1029 (D. Alaska 2016). A former member of the
    Anchorage Assembly, Charles Wohlforth, testified that “the
    system was rigged by money[ed] interests and that too
    frequently the decisions of the assembly were controlled by
    those interests and their desires, based on the kind of
    contributions they would make.” Id. at 1030 (alteration in
    original).
    In 1996, the Alaska Legislature enacted a revised
    campaign finance law “to restore the public’s trust in the
    electoral process and to foster good government.” 1996
    Alaska Sess. Laws ch. 48 § 1(b). Among other things, the
    law lowered the annual limit on contributions by individuals
    to a candidate from $1,000 to $500 and set a $500 limit on
    annual contributions by individuals to a group that is not a
    6                 THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    political party. Id. §§ 10–11. The law also set aggregate
    limits on the amount candidates could accept from
    nonresidents of Alaska. In 2003, the Alaska legislature
    revised the 1996 law by raising the individual-to-candidate
    and individual-to-group limits from $500 to $1,000. 2003
    Alaska Sess. Laws ch. 108, §§ 8–10.
    In 2006, a ballot initiative—Ballot Measure 1 (the “2006
    Initiative”)—proposed a further revision of the limits. 2006
    Alaska Laws Initiative Meas. 1, § 1. The 2006 Initiative is
    the law at issue here. The 2006 Initiative returned the
    individual-to-candidate and individual-to-group limits to
    their pre-2003 levels of $500 per year. 
    Alaska Stat. § 15.13.070
    (b)(1). It also capped the amount a non-political
    party group could contribute to a candidate at $1,000,
    restricted the amount candidates could receive from
    nonresidents to $3,000 per year, and limited the amount a
    political    party—including      its   subdivisions—could
    contribute to a candidate. 
    Alaska Stat. §§ 15.13.070
    (c)
    & (d), 15.13.072(a)(2) & (e)(3), 15.13.400(15). The voter
    information packet included the following statement of the
    2006 Initiative’s purpose:
    Corruption is not limited to one party or
    individual.    Ethics should be not only
    bipartisan but also universal. From the
    Abramoff and Jefferson scandals in
    Washington D.C. to side deals in Juneau,
    special interests are becoming bolder every
    day. They used to try to buy elections. Now
    they are trying to buy the legislators
    themselves.
    The 2006 Initiative passed with 73% of the popular vote.
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                       7
    B.
    Plaintiffs are three individuals and a subdivision of the
    Alaska Republican Party. In 2015, Plaintiffs brought a First
    Amendment challenge against Defendants, Alaska public
    officials, targeting, as relevant to this appeal, (1) the $500
    annual limit on an individual contribution to a political
    candidate, (2) the $500 limit on an individual contribution to
    a non-political party group, (3) annual limits on what a
    political party—including its subdivisions—may contribute
    to a candidate, and (4) the annual aggregate limit on
    contributions a candidate may accept from nonresidents of
    Alaska. Plaintiffs sought a declaratory judgment that each
    of the challenged provisions is unconstitutional, a permanent
    injunction prohibiting enforcement of the challenged
    provisions, and costs and attorney’s fees under 
    42 U.S.C. § 1983
    . Thompson, 217 F. Supp. 3d at 1027.
    Two of the Plaintiffs, Aaron Downing and Jim Crawford,
    are Alaska residents who wanted to, but legally could not,
    contribute more than $500 to individual candidates running
    for state or municipal office. Crawford would also like to
    give more than $500 to a non-political party group. David
    Thompson is a Wisconsin resident whose brother-in-law is
    Alaska State Representative Wes Keller. Thompson sent
    Keller a $100 check for his campaign in 2015, but Keller
    returned the check because the campaign had already hit the
    $3,000 nonresident limit.        Finally, District 18 is a
    subdivision of the Alaska Republican Party that was limited
    in the amount it could give to Amy Demboski’s mayoral
    campaign due to Alaska’s aggregate limit on the amount a
    campaign can accept from a political party.
    After granting Alaska’s motion for partial summary
    judgment for lack of standing on certain of Plaintiffs’
    8                     THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    claims, 1 the district court held a seven-day bench trial. In
    November 2016, the district court issued a decision rejecting
    all of Thompson’s remaining claims. Thompson, 217 F.
    Supp. 3d at 1027–40. Applying the intermediate scrutiny
    standard for evaluating contribution limitations set forth in
    Montana Right to Life Ass’n v. Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d 1085
    (9th Cir. 2003), the district court determined that each of the
    four challenged provisions was aimed at the “important state
    interest” of combating quid pro quo corruption or its
    appearance, and was “closely drawn” to meet that interest.
    Thompson, 217 F. Supp. 3d at 1040. Plaintiffs (collectively,
    “Thompson”) timely appealed.
    II.
    “We review a district court’s legal determinations,
    including constitutional rulings, de novo.” Berger v. City of
    Seattle, 
    569 F.3d 1029
    , 1035 (9th Cir. 2009) (en banc).
    “When the issue presented involves the First Amendment
    . . . [h]istorical questions of fact (such as credibility
    determinations or ordinary weighing of conflicting
    evidence) are reviewed for clear error, while constitutional
    questions of fact (such as whether certain restrictions create
    a ‘severe burden’ on an individual’s First Amendment
    rights) are reviewed de novo.” Prete v. Bradbury, 
    438 F.3d 949
    , 960 (9th Cir. 2006).
    III.
    “The starting place in the analysis of the constitutionality
    of campaign finance reform legislation is Buckley v. Valeo,
    
    424 U.S. 1
     (1976) [(per curiam)].” Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d at
    1
    The district court’s partial summary judgment determination is not
    at issue in this appeal.
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                      9
    1090. The Court in Buckley explained that limitations on
    campaign contributions implicate the contributor’s First
    Amendment rights. Buckley, 
    424 U.S. at
    20–21. But it
    distinguished limits on expenditures made by candidates
    from limits on contributions made to candidates. 
    Id.
     The
    Court reasoned that the former amounts to a direct affront to
    the regulated entity’s free speech rights, while the latter
    “entails only a marginal restriction upon the contributor’s
    ability to engage in free communication.” 
    Id.
     at 19–21.
    Buckley further explained that
    [a] contribution serves as a general
    expression of support for the candidate and
    his views, but does not communicate the
    underlying basis for the support.            The
    quantity of communication by the contributor
    does not increase perceptibly with the size of
    his contribution, since the expression rests
    solely on the undifferentiated, symbolic act
    of contributing. . . . A limitation on the
    amount of money a person may give to a
    candidate or campaign organization thus
    involves little direct restraint on his political
    communication, for it permits the symbolic
    expression of support evidenced by a
    contribution but does not in any way infringe
    the contributor’s freedom to discuss
    candidates and issues.
    
    Id. at 21
    . Put another way, unlike expenditure limitations,
    “limiting      contributions   [leaves]    communication
    significantly unimpaired.” Nixon v. Shrink Mo. Gov’t PAC,
    
    528 U.S. 377
    , 387 (2000). Accordingly, while expenditure
    limitations must survive exacting scrutiny, limits on
    contributions are “subject to [a] relatively complaisant
    10                 THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    review under the First Amendment.” FEC v. Beaumont,
    
    539 U.S. 146
    , 161 (2003); see also Shrink Mo., 
    528 U.S. at
    387–88. The question is whether the law targets an
    “important state interest,” and, if so, “whether ‘the
    contribution limitation is so radical in effect as to render
    political association ineffective, drive the sound of the
    candidate’s voice below the level of notice, and render
    contributions pointless.’” Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d at
    1091–92
    (quoting Shrink Mo., 
    528 U.S. at 397
    ).
    The bottom line is this: After Buckley and
    Shrink Missouri, state campaign contribution
    limits will be upheld if (1) there is adequate
    evidence that the limitation furthers a
    sufficiently important state interest, and (2) if
    the limits are “closely drawn”—i.e., if they
    (a) focus narrowly on the state’s interest, (b)
    leave the contributor free to affiliate with a
    candidate, and (c) allow the candidate to
    amass sufficient resources to wage an
    effective campaign.
    Id. at 1092. The State bears the burden of satisfying both
    prongs of this inquiry. McCutcheon v. FEC, 
    572 U.S. 185
    ,
    210 (2014). We recently reaffirmed this test in Lair III,
    873 F.3d at 1178–80.
    A.
    In recent years, the Supreme Court has limited the type
    of state interest that justifies a First Amendment intrusion on
    political contributions.          After Citizens United and
    McCutcheon, states must show that any such limitation
    serves to combat actual quid pro quo corruption or its
    appearance. McCutcheon, 572 U.S. at 206–07; Citizens
    United v. FEC, 
    558 U.S. 310
    , 359–60 (2010). It no longer
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                         11
    suffices to show that the limitation targets “undue influence”
    in politics. McCutcheon, 572 U.S. at 208 (holding that “the
    possibility that an individual who spends large sums may
    garner ‘influence over or access to’ elected officials or
    political parties” is not a sufficient state interest for limiting
    campaign contributions (quoting Citizens United, 
    558 U.S. at 359
    )); see also Lair III, 873 F.3d at 1188 (Bea, J.,
    dissenting) (“Citizens United . . . narrowed what can
    constitute a valid important state interest . . . to only the
    state’s interest in eliminating or reducing quid pro quo
    corruption or its appearance.”).
    The Court’s limitation on what constitutes an “important
    state interest” does not necessarily undermine the
    government’s ability to cap contributions made directly to a
    candidate. See McCutcheon, 572 U.S. at 192–93 (“[W]e
    have previously upheld [limits on direct contributions to a
    candidate] as serving the permissible objective of
    combatting corruption.”); Citizens United, 
    558 U.S. at
    356–
    57. That is because the appearance of such corruption is
    “‘inherent in a regime of large individual financial
    contributions’ to particular candidates.” See McCutcheon,
    572 U.S. at 207. To address that risk, states may implement
    prophylactic limits because individual-to-candidate
    contributions could compel “elected officials [to be]
    influenced to act contrary to their obligations of office by the
    prospect of financial gain to themselves or infusions of
    money into their campaigns.” Id. at 225 (emphasis omitted)
    (quoting FEC v. Nat’l Conservative Political Action Comm.,
    
    470 U.S. 480
    , 497 (1985)). Indeed, “restrictions on direct
    contributions are preventative, because few if any
    contributions to candidates will involve [actual] quid pro
    quo arrangements.” Citizens United, 
    558 U.S. at 357
    .
    12                    THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    In Eddleman, we held that the quantum of evidence
    necessary to justify a legitimate state interest is low: the
    perceived threat must be merely more than “mere
    conjecture” and “not . . . ‘illusory.’” Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d at 1092
    . 2
    B.
    We turn to assessing the four challenged provisions of
    the 2006 Initiative. For each, we consider whether it is
    (1) targeted at an “important state interest,” and, if so,
    (2) whether it is “closely drawn” to meet that interest.
    Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d at 1092
    .
    i.
    We begin with the $500 individual-to-candidate
    contribution limit. Thompson challenges both Alaska’s
    power to impose the limit at all and its intent in halving the
    prior $1,000 limit with the challenged $500 limit.
    Thompson first argues that Alaska’s evidence amounts
    to showing only an “undue influence” by contributors on
    candidates for office. In light of Lair III, we reject this
    argument. Alaska proffered substantial evidence of attempts
    to secure votes for contributions. For example, Senator
    Coghill testified that he was approached by a lobbyist
    2
    McCutcheon and Citizens United created some doubt as to the
    continuing vitality of the standard for the evidentiary burden we
    announced in Eddleman. See Lair v. Motl, 
    889 F.3d 571
    , 575 (9th Cir.
    2018) (Ikuta, J., dissenting from denial of rehearing en banc) (“This
    highly attenuated standard is two steps removed from the standard
    explained by Citizens United and McCutcheon.”). However, in Lair III
    we reaffirmed this evidentiary standard, 873 F.3d at 1178, and we denied
    a petition for rehearing en banc, 889 F.3d at 572.
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                            13
    demanding his vote, saying: “This is why we gave to you.
    Now we need your help.” Similarly, Anchorage Assembly
    member Bob Bell testified that an executive offered to hold
    a fundraiser for him if he would support a private prison
    project. When he refused, the executive held a fundraiser for
    his opponent instead. These examples demonstrate attempts
    by individuals to affect public officials’ voting behavior
    through the prospect of financial gain, thereby giving rise to
    a risk of quid pro quo corruption. Finally, there is Alaska’s
    VECO public corruption scandal, which came to light
    shortly after the 2006 Initiative was passed. That scandal
    snared roughly 10% of Alaska’s legislature in a scheme of
    accepting money from VECO, an oil services firm, in return
    for votes and other political favors. 3 Under Lair III, we are
    compelled to conclude that the State’s evidence suffices to
    show that the individual-to-candidate limit “further[s] the
    important state interest of preventing quid pro quo
    corruption or its appearance.” 873 F.3d at 1179–80.
    Thompson next argues that Alaska fails to show that the
    legislative purpose for cutting the individual contribution
    limit in half was to prevent quid pro quo corruption or its
    3
    Thompson dismisses the VECO scandal as irrelevant because
    Alaska fails to show that it was the impetus for the 2006 Initiative. As
    noted, however, the legislative purpose of the initiative is beside the
    point. But Thompson’s argument fails for an additional reason. He
    reasons that prosecuting violators under bribery laws—as occurred with
    the VECO scandal—is the only legitimate means of preventing
    corruption. Not so. By allowing limits on contributions directly to
    candidates as a prophylactic measure, the Supreme Court has made clear
    that the state interest of preventing corruption is not limited to
    prosecuting instances of past corruption. See McCutcheon, 572 U.S. at
    196–98 (citing Buckley, 
    424 U.S. at
    26–29); Shrink Mo., 
    528 U.S. at 389
    (“Congress [can] constitutionally address the power of money ‘to
    influence governmental action’ in ways less ‘blatant and specific’ than
    bribery.” (quoting Buckley, 
    424 U.S. at 28
    )).
    14                 THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    appearance. According to Thompson, Alaska needed to but
    failed to explain why $500 is better suited to combating
    corruption than the prior $1,000 limit. Absent such a
    showing, Thompson asserts, the $500 limit targets at most
    the “influence” and “pressure” that contributors can have on
    elected officials.
    We are unpersuaded. First, the State must demonstrate
    only that when the 2006 Initiative was approved by the
    voters “the risk of actual or perceived quid pro quo
    corruption is more than ‘mere conjecture.’” Lair III,
    873 F.3d at 1178 (quoting Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d at 1092
    ). We
    have rejected—albeit sub silentio—such purpose-based
    arguments in the past. In Yamada v. Snipes, 
    786 F.3d 1182
    ,
    1205–06 (9th Cir. 2015), we held that a limit on
    contributions by government contractors withstood scrutiny
    because it “target[ed] . . . the contributions most closely
    linked to actual and perceived quid pro quo corruption.”
    This was notwithstanding the fact that the ban’s proponents
    in the legislature articulated other goals, including an intent
    to create a “level playing field.” Yamada v. Weaver, 
    872 F. Supp. 2d 1023
    , 1058 n.26 (D. Haw. 2012). Thompson’s
    proposed rule—requiring Alaska to show that reducing the
    limit from $1,000 to $500 is necessary to combat
    corruption—would significantly restrict the deference the
    Supreme Court has given to states to determine how
    precisely to advance the important state interest of
    combating corruption.
    Second, Thompson’s argument about the exact amount
    of the limit misses the mark because the first step of
    Eddleman “is divorced from the actual amount of the
    limits—it is a threshold question whether any level of
    limitation is justified.” Lair III, 873 F.3d at 1178.
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                       15
    Concluding, as we must, that the individual-to-candidate
    contribution limit targets an “important state interest,” we
    turn to the second Eddleman factor: whether the limit is
    “closely drawn.” Lair III, 873 F.3d at 1180; Eddleman,
    
    343 F.3d at 1092
    . To pass scrutiny, Alaska must show that
    the limit “focus[es] narrowly on the state’s interest,”
    “leave[s] the contributor free to affiliate with a candidate,”
    and “allow[s] the candidate to amass sufficient resources to
    wage an effective campaign.” Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d at 1092
    .
    “In making this determination, we look at all dollars likely
    to be forthcoming in a campaign, rather than the isolated
    contribution, and we also consider factors such as whether
    the candidate can look elsewhere for money, the percentage
    of contributions that are affected, the total cost of a
    campaign, and how much money each candidate would
    lose.” 
    Id. at 1094
     (internal citations omitted).
    Narrow Focus. Whether a contribution limit has a
    narrow focus requires us to “assess the ‘fit between the stated
    governmental objective and the means selected to achieve
    that objective,’ looking at whether the limit[] target[s] ‘the
    narrow aspect of political association where the actuality and
    potential for corruption have been identified.’” Lair III,
    873 F.3d at 1180 (internal citations omitted) (quoting
    McCutcheon, 572 U.S. at 199 and Buckley, 
    424 U.S. at 28
    ).
    Consistent with the intermediate scrutiny we apply to
    contribution limits, the fit need not be “perfect, but
    reasonable.” McCutcheon, 572 U.S. at 218 (quoting Bd. of
    Trustees of State Univ. of N.Y. v. Fox, 
    492 U.S. 469
    , 480
    (1989)). Thus, while the 2006 Initiative need not employ
    “the least restrictive means,” it should be “narrowly tailored
    to achieve the desired objective.” 
    Id.
     (quoting Fox, 
    492 U.S. at 480
    ).
    16                    THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    Thompson argues that the individual-to-candidate limit
    lacks a narrow focus because, he asserts, Alaska fails to
    show that reducing the limit from $1,000 to $500 was
    necessary, and because the limit is among the lowest in the
    nation. We have already explained that Alaska need not
    show that it was necessary to reduce the contribution limit to
    $500, only that the new limit targets quid pro quo corruption
    or its appearance. See Buckley, 
    424 U.S. at 30
    . On the
    question of whether the $500 limit is “narrowly focused” on
    that interest, we must uphold the dollar amount unless it is
    “so radical in effect as to render political association
    ineffective, drive the sound of a candidate’s voice below the
    level of notice, and render contributions pointless.” Shrink
    Mo., 
    528 U.S. at 397
    .
    Although the $500 limit is low compared to the laws of
    most other states, whether it is unreasonably low requires a
    deeper dive. The $500 limit affects only the top 12.6% of
    contributions that all candidates received in elections
    occurring after the initiative passed in 2006. This is on par
    with the Montana law’s limit, which we upheld in Eddleman
    and Lair III. That limit targeted the top 10% of
    contributions—i.e., “the high-end contributions most likely
    to result in actual or perceived corruption.” Lair III,
    873 F.3d at 1181; Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d at 1094
    . 4 Moreover,
    although the $500 limit is on the low-end of the range of
    limits adopted by various states, it is not an outlier. At least
    4
    Thompson relies on a different metric: the percentage of campaign
    dollars that came from contributors giving the $500 maximum, which he
    asserts amounted to nearly 40%. Regardless of the accuracy of
    Thompson’s statistic, it is not well-suited to determining “the percentage
    of contributions that are affected.” Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d at 1094
    . It
    merely reflects that large contributions will command a relatively outsize
    share of a candidate’s campaign war chest.
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                          17
    four other states (Colorado, Kansas, Maine, and Montana)
    have the same or lower limit for state house candidates, as
    do at least five comparably sized cities (Austin, Portland,
    San Francisco, Santa Cruz, and Seattle). We recently upheld
    a comparable limit. Lair III, 873 F.3d at 1174 tbls.2 & 3.
    Contributors’ Ability to Affiliate With Candidates.
    Thompson does not argue that the $500 individual-to-
    candidate limit prevents supporters from affiliating with
    candidates. His tacit acknowledgment that Alaska has met
    its burden on this factor is well taken. As with Montana’s
    limit upheld in Eddleman and Lair III, Alaska “not only
    permits such affiliation through direct monetary
    contributions, but also ‘in ways other than direct
    contributions, such as donating money to a candidate’s
    political party, volunteering . . . , sending direct mail . . . , or
    taking out independent newspaper, radio, or television ads to
    convey . . . support.’” Lair III, 873 F.3d at 1184 (alterations
    in original) (quoting Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d at 1094
    ).
    Accordingly, we conclude that the $500 limit does not
    hobble contributors’ ability to affiliate with candidates.
    Candidates’ Ability to Campaign Effectively.
    Thompson argues the $500 individual-to-candidate limit is
    impermissibly low because, he asserts, it favors incumbents
    at the expense of challengers, causes campaigns in
    competitive races to run deficits, and is not indexed for
    inflation. Each of these contentions misses its mark,
    however, because none directly addresses the dispositive
    question: whether the individual-to-candidate limit
    “impede[s] a candidate’s ability to ‘amass the resources
    necessary for effective advocacy.’” Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d at 1091
     (quoting Shrink Mo., 
    528 U.S. at 397
    ). A limit does so
    if it is “so radical in effect as to render political association
    ineffective, drive the sound of a candidate’s voice below the
    18                    THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    level of notice, and render contributions pointless.” Shrink
    Mo., 
    528 U.S. at 397
    . 5
    The district court weighed expert testimony from both
    sides in concluding that the $500 limits allow candidates to
    “amass” the necessary funds. 
    6 Thompson, 217
     F. Supp. 3d
    at 1035. Thompson submitted the testimony of Michael
    Gene Pauley, a campaign manager and consultant, who
    stated his belief that the $500 limits are too low because they
    are not indexed for inflation and because the limits are
    annual in nature. 
    Id.
     at 1034–35. Thompson also offered the
    testimony of Senator John Coghill, who stated that “he has
    always been able to raise sufficient funds to run an effective
    campaign, but that it was ‘just harder’ under the current $500
    limits than under the $1,000 limits because ‘the lower limits
    do cause you to have to go broad.’” Id. at 1035.
    Thompson also called Clark Bensen, a consultant and
    former director of political analysis for the Republican
    National Committee, who testified that, under the $500
    limits, candidates often spend more than they raise. Id. The
    district court did not credit Bensen’s testimony, however,
    because he acknowledged that his analysis was based on
    5
    Thompson relies heavily on Randall v. Sorrell, 
    548 U.S. 230
    (2006). It appears that Justice Breyer’s plurality opinion in Randall, if
    binding, may aid Thompson’s position because at least one of the
    “warning signs” identified in Randall is present here. However, as we
    recognized in Lair v. Bullock, 
    697 F.3d 1200
    , 1204 (9th Cir. 2012) (Lair
    I), and reiterated in Lair v. Bullock, 
    798 F.3d 736
    , 747 (9th Cir. 2015)
    (Lair II), Randall is not binding authority because no opinion
    commanded a majority of the Court.
    6
    The testimony and the district court’s decision addressed together
    the relevant inquiry of both the $500 individual-to-candidate limit and
    the $500 individual-to-group limit. The individual-to-group limit is
    discussed in more detail in Part III.B.ii of our opinion.
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                         19
    exaggerated estimates.           
    Id.
          Moreover, Bensen’s
    determination that campaigns run deficits under current law
    is also unpersuasive because it is analytically unsound. By
    simply comparing total contributions to total expenditures,
    Bensen did not control for certain expenditures that have
    little or nothing to do with running an effective campaign—
    e.g., charitable contributions, loan repayments, and payment
    transfers to future campaign accounts. Campaigns often
    must make such non-campaign-related expenditures because
    they are required to run a zero balance at the end of the
    campaign. Considering the analytical flaws in Bensen’s
    analysis and his own admission that “I didn’t do a very
    sophisticated analysis . . . . It’s not like I didn’t do it, but I
    didn’t do it well, shall we say, or completely,” 
    id.,
     we hold
    that the district court’s credibility determination was not
    clearly erroneous. See Prete, 
    438 F.3d at 960
    . Accordingly,
    we, like the district court, discount Bensen’s testimony.
    Defendants relied on the expert testimony of Thomas
    Begich and John-Henry Heckendorn, both of whom are
    political consultants. Thompson, 217 F. Supp. 3d at 1035.
    Both testified that candidates—challengers and incumbents
    alike—can run effective campaigns under the $500 limits
    and “have done so.” Id. They explained that the candidate
    who raises the most money does not necessarily win the
    election, that it is not—contrary to Thompson’s experts’
    testimony—getting more expensive to run campaigns, and
    that the limits do not favor incumbents over challengers, also
    contrary to Thompson’s claim. Id. at 1035–36. For
    example, they testified that while the cost of some campaign
    elements have gone up, others have gotten cheaper, such as
    advertising and outreach to voters through new technologies.
    Id.
    20                     THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    Additional record evidence supports Defendants’
    position. For example, in the 2012 and 2014 election cycles,
    several successful non-incumbent candidates raised in
    excess of $100,000 from individual contributions alone.
    While different races will require varying levels of
    fundraising, witness testimony established that amassing
    $100,000 allows a candidate to mount an effective
    campaign. For example, TV spending by a state legislative
    candidate generally would not exceed $40,000; radio
    advertising could cost $20,000; consultant services could
    cost another $20,000; a mailer might cost up to $3,000; and
    signs could cost up to $10,000. Thus, even if a candidate
    spent the maximum estimated expenditure in each of these
    categories, she would still spend less than $100,000. And
    that sum does not include the candidate’s total campaign war
    chest. Candidates also receive contributions from political
    action committees (“PACs”) and political parties.
    Viewing the evidence as a whole, we agree with the
    district court that the $500 individual-to-candidate limit
    allows candidates to amass sufficient funds to run an
    effective campaign. 7 And because Defendants also show
    7
    It is unclear whether a district court’s determination that a
    contribution limit allows candidates to amass sufficient funds to run an
    effective campaign is owed any deference. Arguably, such a finding is
    a “constitutional question of fact,” which we review de novo. Prete,
    
    438 F.3d at 960
    . In reversing the district court in Lair III, we implicitly
    applied de novo review. Lair III, 873 F.3d at 1184–86 (holding that
    “Montana’s limits do not prevent candidates from amassing sufficient
    resources to campaign effectively” without giving any deference to the
    district court and without identifying any clear error); see id. at 1178 (“In
    the First Amendment context . . . ‘our review [of the district court’s fact
    finding] is more rigorous than other cases.’” (second alteration in
    original) (quoting Lair II, 798 F.3d at 748 n.8)). In other First
    Amendment contexts, we have suggested some level of deference is
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                              21
    that the limit is narrowly focused on Alaska’s interest in
    combating quid pro quo corruption or its appearance and
    does not impede an individual’s ability to associate with a
    candidate, we affirm the district court’s determination that
    the $500 individual-to-candidate limit is “closely drawn.”
    Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d at 1092
    .
    ii.
    At first glance, the individual-to-group contribution limit
    of $500 appears to present a closer question because that
    limit reflects a more attenuated risk of quid pro quo
    corruption or its appearance than does the individual-to-
    candidate limit. In McCutcheon, the Supreme Court rejected
    a limitation that capped aggregate contributions to PACs.
    572 U.S. at 210–18. Because money was not transacted
    directly between contributor and candidate, “there [wa]s not
    the same risk of quid pro quo corruption or its appearance.”
    Id. at 210. While the government articulated an important
    interest in preventing circumvention of the base limits, the
    Court held that the “Government ha[d] not carried its burden
    of demonstrating that the aggregate limits further[ed] its
    anticircumvention interest.” Id. at 211. The Court did not,
    however, call into doubt anticircumvention as an important
    state interest; the government simply failed to meet its
    evidentiary burden.
    McCutcheon’s tacit embrace of anticircumvention as an
    important state interest in combating quid pro quo corruption
    appropriate. See, e.g., Newton v. Nat’l Broad. Co., 
    930 F.2d 662
    , 670
    (9th Cir. 1990) (“[W]e must simultaneously ensure the appropriate
    appellate protection of First Amendment values and still defer to the
    findings of the trier of fact.”). We need not resolve this question because
    we agree with the district court’s conclusion based on our own
    independent view of the evidence.
    22                 THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    or its appearance means that another Supreme Court case,
    California Medical Ass’n, 
    453 U.S. 182
    , remains good law.
    In that case, applying intermediate scrutiny to limits on
    individual contributions to PACs, the Court upheld the limits
    as “further[ing] the governmental interest in preventing the
    actual or apparent corruption of the political process”
    because they prevent contributors from “evad[ing] the . . .
    limit on contributions to candidates . . . by channeling funds
    through a multicandidate political committee.” Cal. Med.
    Ass’n, 
    453 U.S. at
    197–98; see also FEC v. Colo. Republican
    Fed. Campaign Comm’n, 
    533 U.S. 431
    , 456 (2001) (“[A]ll
    Members of the Court agree that circumvention is a valid
    theory of corruption . . . .”); Thalheimer v. City of San Diego,
    
    645 F.3d 1109
    , 1125 (9th Cir. 2011) (“[T]here is nothing in
    the explicit holdings or broad reasoning of Citizens United
    that invalidates the anti-circumvention interest in the context
    of limitations on direct candidate contributions.”). We
    conclude that Alaska has demonstrated the same interest
    here where the risk of circumvention of the individual-to-
    candidate limit is apparent: under Alaska law, any two
    individuals could form a “group,” which could then funnel
    money to a candidate. 
    Alaska Stat. § 15.13.400
    (8)(B). Such
    groups could easily become pass-through entities for, say, a
    couple that wants to contribute more than the $500
    individual-to-candidate limit.
    If, as we hold, the individual-to-candidate limit is
    constitutional, then under California Medical Ass’n so too is
    Alaska’s law that prevents evasion of that limit.
    iii.
    Alaska law limits the amount a political party may
    contribute to a municipal candidate to $5,000. 
    Alaska Stat. §§ 15.13.070
    (d), 15.13.400(15).       Thompson does not
    challenge the dollar amount; he instead argues that the law’s
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                             23
    aggregation of political party sub-units is unconstitutional.
    He reasons that limiting party sub-units to the $5,000 limit
    but not limiting multiple labor-union PACs to the same limit
    is discriminatory.
    Thompson’s discriminatory treatment argument fails
    because independent labor union PACs are not analogous to
    political party sub-units. Party sub-units, by definition, are
    subsidiaries of a parent entity—the umbrella political party.
    As such, they share the objectives and rules of the party. In
    the past, we have observed without remark that at least one
    other state similarly aggregates party sub-units for purposes
    of campaign contribution limits. See, e.g., Lair II, 798 F.3d
    at 740 (“Montana treats all committees that are affiliated
    with a political party as one entity.”). Different labor unions,
    by contrast, are entirely different entities. Moreover,
    political parties may donate more than labor union PACs
    ($5,000 versus $1,000), which undercuts the basis for a
    direct comparison between the two disparate sets of
    organizations. 
    Alaska Stat. § 15.13.070
    (c), (d). We
    therefore reject Thompson’s inchoate disparate treatment
    argument and uphold the political party-to-candidate limit. 8
    iv.
    Finally, we address Thompson’s challenge to Alaska’s
    nonresident aggregate limit, which bars a candidate from
    accepting more than $3,000 per year from individuals who
    are not residents of Alaska. 
    Alaska Stat. § 15.13.072
    (a)(2),
    (e). This particular provision prevented Thompson from
    making a desired $100 contribution to a candidate for the
    8
    Our holding should not be construed as foreclosing a constitutional
    challenge to the dollar amount of Alaska’s (or some other state’s) limit
    on political party-to-candidate contributions.
    24                THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    Alaska House of Representatives—his brother-in-law—
    because his brother-in-law had already received $3,000 in
    out-of-state contributions.
    The district court held that the nonresident aggregate
    limit serves an anti-corruption purpose. The court cited
    Alaska’s unique vulnerability to “exploitation by outside
    industry and interests,” and referenced trial testimony that
    those entities “can and do exert pressure on their employees
    to make contributions to state and municipal candidates.”
    Thompson, 217 F. Supp. 3d at 1039. The court determined
    that the nonresident limit therefore
    furthers Alaska’s sufficiently important
    interest in preventing quid pro quo corruption
    or its appearance in two ways. First, [it]
    furthers the State’s anticorruption interest
    directly by avoiding large amounts of out-of-
    state money from being contributed to a
    single candidate, thus reducing the
    appearance that the candidate feels obligated
    to outside interests over those of his
    constituents.     Second, the nonresident
    aggregate limit discourages circumvention of
    the $500 base limit and other game-playing
    by outside interests, particularly given [the
    Alaska Public Offices Commission’s] limited
    ability and jurisdiction to investigate and
    prosecute out-of-state violations of Alaska’s
    campaign finance laws.
    Id.
    Taking the district court’s evidentiary findings as true,
    on de novo review we cannot agree that the nonresident limit
    targets quid pro quo corruption or its appearance. At most,
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                            25
    the law aims to curb perceived “undue influence” of out-of-
    state contributors—an interest that is no longer sound after
    Citizens United and McCutcheon. McCutcheon, 572 U.S. at
    206–08. Indeed, Alaska’s argument that the nonresident
    limit “reduces the appearance that a candidate will be
    obligated to outside interests rather than constituents” says
    nothing about corruption. 9 It is not enough to show that out-
    of-state firms—and particularly those wishing to exploit
    Alaska’s natural resources—“can and do exert pressure on
    their employees to make contributions to state and municipal
    candidates.” Thompson, 217 F. Supp. 3d at 1039.
    Moreover, even if we agreed with Alaska that limiting
    the inflow of contributions from out-of-state extractive
    industries served an anti-corruption interest, the nonresident
    aggregate limit is a poor fit. Out-of-state interests can still
    maximize their influence across a large number of
    candidates—they just need to be early players so that they
    can contribute the maximum $500 donation before each of
    those candidates reaches the $3,000 limit.
    McCutcheon is instructive on this point. There, the
    Court invalidated aggregate contribution limits that allowed
    an individual to contribute the maximum to multiple
    candidates but not to any additional candidates once the
    contributor hit the aggregate limit. 572 U.S. at 210–18. The
    Court held that the law was a poor fit for combating quid pro
    quo corruption or its appearance because contributions to a
    candidate before a contributor has reached the aggregate
    9
    In Landell v. Sorrell, the Second Circuit opined that the Alaska
    Supreme Court’s upholding of the nonresident limit “is a sharp departure
    from the corruption analysis adopted by the Supreme Court in Buckley
    and Shrink.” 
    382 F.3d 91
    , 148 (2d Cir. 2004), rev’d on other grounds
    sub nom. Randall, 
    548 U.S. 230
    .
    26                 THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    limit are not somehow less corrupting than contributions to
    another candidate after the aggregate limit is reached. See
    
    id.
    Alaska’s showing as to its nonresident limit is analogous.
    Alaska fails to show why an out-of-state individual’s early
    contribution is not corrupting, whereas a later individual’s
    contribution—i.e., a contribution made after the candidate
    has already amassed $3,000 in out-of-state funds—is
    corrupting. Nor does Alaska show that an out-of-state
    contribution of $500 is inherently more corrupting than a
    like in-state contribution—only the former of which is
    curbed under Alaska’s nonresident limit. Alaska fails to
    demonstrate that the risk of quid pro quo corruption turns on
    a particular donor’s geography. Accordingly, while we do
    not foreclose the possibility that a state could limit out-of-
    state contributions in furtherance of an anti-corruption
    interest, Alaska’s aggregate limit on what a candidate may
    receive is a poor fit.
    As an alternative defense of the law, Alaska argues that
    the nonresident limit targets the important state interest of
    protecting its system of self-governance. We reject Alaska’s
    proffered state interest for three reasons.
    First, what Alaska calls “self-governance” is really a re-
    branding of the interest of combating influence and access
    that the Supreme Court has squarely rejected. To understand
    Alaska’s proffered state interest, it is important to be clear
    on what the State does not mean by “self-governance.” In
    the distinct context of a law restricting “who may exercise
    official, legislative powers,” we recognized “self-
    governance” as a legitimate state interest. Chula Vista
    Citizens for Jobs & Fair Competition v. Norris, 
    782 F.3d 520
    , 531 (9th Cir. 2015) (en banc). In Norris, we used the
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                          27
    term “self-governance” to mean a state’s interest in
    controlling who governs.
    Alaska’s (and the dissent’s) proffered state interest is
    materially different from what we called self-governance in
    Norris. Alaska’s version of “self-governance” is concerned
    with limiting not who governs (as in Norris) but who is
    allowed to contribute to the campaigns of those who would
    govern. Indeed, the dissent correctly characterizes Alaska’s
    proffered interest as seeking “to ensure that its legislators are
    responsive to the individuals that they represent, not to out-
    of-state interests.” Dissent at 37. The premise of Alaska’s
    concern with “outside control” is that Alaska state officials
    will feel pressure to kowtow to out-of-state entities because
    of nonresident contributions.
    The dissent makes a cogent case for the view that states
    should be able to limit who may “directly influence the
    outcome of an election” by making financial contributions.
    See Dissent at 37. But that debate is over. The Supreme
    Court has expressly considered and rejected those
    arguments. See McCutcheon, 572 U.S. at 206–08 (holding
    that states do not have a legitimate interest in curbing
    “‘influence over or access to’ elected officials” by
    individuals “spend[ing] large sums” (quoting Citizens
    United, 
    558 U.S. at 359
    )). In short, Alaska’s proffered
    interest in “self-governance” is indistinguishable from the
    disavowed state interest in combating “influence over or
    access to” public officials. 10
    10
    The Supreme Court has given no indication that the First
    Amendment interest in protecting political access waxes or wanes
    depending on the representative relationship between contributor and
    28                   THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    Second, even if Alaska’s “self-governance” interest
    could be construed as distinct from the interest in combating
    influence and access, the Supreme Court’s recent campaign
    finance decisions leave no room for us to accept the State’s
    proffered interest. The Supreme Court’s opinions articulate
    “only one” narrowly defined legitimate state interest in
    capping campaign contributions: “preventing quid pro quo
    corruption or its appearance.” McCutcheon, 572 U.S. at
    206–07. In McCutcheon, its banner campaign contribution
    case, the Court explains that it has “consistently rejected
    attempts to suppress campaign speech based on other
    legislative objectives.” Id. at 207. McCutcheon resolved
    that “[a]ny regulation must instead target what we have
    called ‘quid pro quo’ corruption or its appearance.” Id. at
    192 (emphasis added) (citing Citizens United, 
    558 U.S. at 359
    ). Indeed, “[c]ampaign finance restrictions that pursue
    other objectives . . . impermissibly inject the Government
    ‘into the debate over who should govern.’” 
    Id.
     (quoting Ariz.
    Free Enter. Club’s Freedom Club PAC v. Bennett, 
    564 U.S. 721
    , 750 (2011)); see also VanNatta v. Keisling, 151 F.3d
    candidate. See Buckley, 
    424 U.S. at
    48–49. In fact, Buckley’s language
    arguably compels the opposite conclusion:
    [T]he concept that government may restrict the speech
    of some elements of our society in order to enhance
    the relative voice of others is wholly foreign to the
    First Amendment, which was designed to secure the
    widest possible dissemination of information from
    diverse and antagonistic sources, and to assure
    unfettered interchange of ideas for the bringing about
    of political and social changes desired by the people.
    
    Id.
     (internal quotation marks omitted). Far from serving the goal of
    “secur[ing] the widest possible dissemination of information from
    diverse and antagonistic sources,” the nonresident limit artificially
    suppresses the free exchange of political ideas.
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                       29
    1215, 1217 (9th Cir. 1998) (noting “the lack of support for
    any claim based on the right to a republican form of
    government”). That unqualified directive leaves no room for
    Alaska’s averred self-governance interest.        Campaign
    contribution limits rise or fall on whether they target quid
    pro quo corruption or its appearance.
    The dissent suggests we are free to accept “self-
    governance” as an important state interest in justifying limits
    on campaign contributions because the Supreme Court has
    not expressly considered and rejected that specific interest.
    Although a prior three-judge opinion of our court does not
    bind a later panel on an issue that was not before the prior
    panel, when it comes to Supreme Court precedent, our court
    is bound by more than just the express holding of a case. Our
    decisions must comport with the “reasoning or theory,” not
    just the holding, of Supreme Court decisions (even in the
    face of prior contrary Ninth Circuit precedent). Miller v.
    Gammie, 
    335 F.3d 889
    , 893 (9th Cir. 2003) (en banc)
    (adopting the view that lower courts are “bound not only by
    the holdings of higher courts’ decisions but also by their
    ‘mode of analysis’” (quoting Antonin Scalia, The Rule of
    Law as a Law of Rules, 
    56 U. Chi. L. Rev. 1175
    , 1177
    (1989))); see id. at 900 (“[T]he issues decided by the higher
    court need not be identical in order to be controlling.”). The
    dissent’s conclusion that self-governance is an important
    state interest in this context is “clearly irreconcilable” with
    the Supreme Court’s reasoning in McCutcheon. See id.
    Third, even if McCutcheon did not shutter the possibility
    of alternative state interests, self-governance is not an
    important state interest in light of countervailing First
    Amendment concerns. Indeed, Alaska fails to prove that
    nonresident participation in a state’s election infringes state
    sovereignty. Instead, it alleges in conclusory fashion that the
    30                     THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    “nonresident limit also furthers the important state interest
    in protecting Alaska’s system of self-government from
    outside control.”
    Accordingly, we hold that Alaska’s aggregate
    nonresident contribution limit violates the First Amendment,
    and we reverse the district court’s judgment on this issue. 11
    CONCLUSION
    States have an important interest in preserving the
    integrity of their political institutions. A vital method of
    doing so is by curbing large monetary contributions, which
    can corrode the public’s faith in its government’s
    responsiveness to the popular will. Thus, while campaign
    contributions implicate a contributor’s First Amendment
    right to express a particular political viewpoint, the State has
    an important interest in combating quid pro quo corruption
    or its appearance.
    11
    The dissent relies on Bluman v. FEC, 
    800 F. Supp. 2d 281
     (D.D.C.
    2011), but that case is inapplicable. The plaintiffs in Bluman were
    foreign citizens who sought the right to participate in the United States
    campaign process by, among other things, making financial
    contributions to candidates. 
    Id.
     at 282–83. They argued they should be
    treated the same as American citizens (such as minors and American
    corporations) who, though unable to vote, are permitted to make
    campaign contributions. 
    Id. at 290
    . The court rejected that argument
    and based its holding on the conclusion that the plaintiffs, in contrast to
    American citizens who are unable to vote, were, by definition, outside
    “the American political community.” 
    Id.
     Thus, contrary to the dissent’s
    statement that Bluman cannot “be distinguished on the grounds that it
    involved a distinction between United States citizens and foreign
    nationals,” Dissent at 39, that distinction was the very basis for the
    Bluman court’s holding.
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                       31
    Under existing precedent, the district court correctly held
    that three of the four challenged provisions of Alaska’s 2006
    campaign finance law are closely drawn to serve this
    interest. But the court erred in upholding the nonresident
    aggregate contribution limit because it, at most, targets
    contributors’ influence over Alaska politics. Since Citizens
    United and McCutcheon, preventing “undue influence” is no
    longer a legitimate basis for restricting contributions under
    the First Amendment. Accordingly, we reverse the district
    court on that provision and remand for entry of judgment
    consistent with this opinion.
    AFFIRMED in part, REVERSED in part, and
    REMANDED.
    The parties shall bear their own costs.
    THOMAS, Chief Judge, concurring in part and dissenting in
    part:
    I agree with the majority that Alaska’s limitations on
    individual contributions to candidates and election-related
    groups and on political party contributions to individual
    candidates do not violate the First Amendment. However, I
    would hold that the nonresident aggregate contribution limit,
    which furthers Alaska’s important state interests in
    preventing quid pro quo corruption or its appearance and in
    preserving self-governance, also does not violate the First
    Amendment. Thus, I respectfully dissent from Section
    III(B)(iv) of the majority opinion. I would affirm the district
    court’s well-reasoned decision in its entirety.
    32                     THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    I
    To survive First Amendment scrutiny in this case,
    Alaska must establish that the limits are justified by the risk
    of quid pro quo corruption or its appearance. And its burden
    is light. 1 Alaska need only show that “the risk of actual or
    perceived quid pro quo corruption” by out-of-state actors is
    neither “illusory” nor “mere conjecture.” Lair v. Motl,
    
    873 F.3d 1170
    , 1188 (9th Cir. 2017) (“Lair III”) (quoting
    Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d at 1092
    ). After a seven-day bench trial,
    the district court concluded that Alaska had satisfied its
    burden. Its factual findings were not clearly erroneous, see
    Prete v. Bradbury, 
    438 F.3d 949
    , 960 (9th Cir. 2006)
    (describing standard), and its conclusions were amply
    supported by the record.         Alaska demonstrated that
    nonresident contributions present a particular risk of quid
    pro quo corruption or its appearance. 2
    1
    Because Thompson raised no challenge to the amount of the
    aggregate limit, the only question is whether “there is adequate evidence
    that the limitation furthers” Alaska’s anti-corruption interest. Lair v.
    Bullock, 
    798 F.3d 736
    , 742 (9th Cir. 2015) (“Lair II”) (quoting Mont.
    Right to Life Ass’n v. Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d 1085
    , 1092 (9th Cir. 2003)).
    2
    The Supreme Court has specifically rejected Thompson’s
    argument that a ban is treated differently than a limit when it comes to
    connecting the regulation to the state’s important interest. Fed. Elections
    Comm’n v. Beaumont, 
    539 U.S. 146
    , 162 (2003) (“It is not that the
    difference between a ban and a limit is to be ignored; it is just that the
    time to consider it is when applying scrutiny at the level selected[.]”).
    And there is no question that Alaska may limit campaign contributions
    to prevent quid pro quo corruption or its appearance. Nixon v. Shrink
    Mo. Gov’t PAC, 
    528 U.S. 377
    , 390 (9th Cir. 2000). Thus, the issue here
    is essentially whether the state may draw a line between residents and
    non-residents.
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                        33
    Alaska is uniquely vulnerable to exploitation by out-of-
    state actors. The district court found that this is so, in part,
    because of “Alaska’s almost complete reliance on one
    industry for a majority of its revenues.” Thompson v.
    Dauphinais, 
    217 F. Supp. 3d 1023
    , 1029 (D. Alaska 2016).
    Indeed, while 85 to 92% of Alaska’s budget derives from the
    oil and gas industry, that industry is not responsible for more
    than 50% of any other state’s budget. 
    Id.
     As one pro-oil and
    gas organization proclaims on its website, “Alaska is the
    only state in the Union that is so dependent on one industry
    to fund its government services.” ALASKA OIL & GAS
    ASS’N, State Revenue, https://www.aoga.org/facts-and-
    figures/state-revenue (last visited Nov. 9, 2018). Today, not
    only does the State depend on the industry to fund its
    services, but boom-and-bust cycles have a more immediate
    impact on Alaskans’ daily lives, too: “the petroleum industry
    supports one-third of all Alaska jobs.” ALASKA OIL & GAS
    ASS’N, Facts and Figures, https://www.aoga.org/facts-and-
    figures (last visited Nov. 9, 2018).
    The economic benefits of natural resource extraction do
    not come without a cost. The interests of out-of-state oil
    companies are often at odds with the interests of some
    Alaska residents. Today, “[a]bout 17 percent of Alaskans—
    or 120,000 people—live in rural areas, where 95 percent of
    households use fish and 86 percent use game for subsistence
    purposes[.]” Azmat Khan, Living off the Land in Rural
    Alaska, PBS, https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/article/
    living-off-the-land-in-rural-alaska (last visited Nov. 9,
    2018). Resource extraction has the potential to cause
    irremediable damage to Alaskan lands and culture: “any
    change that depletes wild resources, reduces access to wild
    areas and resources, or increases competition between user
    groups can create problems for subsistence[,]” which is
    “among the most highly valued parts of [Alaska] culture”
    34                 THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    and “essential . . . to rural economies.” Alaska Dep’t of Fish
    &      Game,         Subsistence     in    Alaska:     FAQs,
    http://www.adfg.alaska.gov/index.cfm?adfg=subsistence.fa
    qs#QA14 (last visited Nov 9, 2018).
    Given the oil and gas industry’s outsized impact on
    Alaska’s economy, it is not difficult to see why, as the
    district court found, Alaska is dependent upon and therefore
    particularly vulnerable to corruption by out-of-state
    corporations, whose interests are likely to be indifferent to
    those of Alaska’s residents. Alaska is vulnerable for another
    reason, too—with “the second smallest legislature in the
    United States and the smallest senate,” it takes only “ten
    votes [to] stop a legislative action such as an oil or gas tax
    increase from becoming law.” Dauphinais, 217 F. Supp. 3d
    at 1029. “Consequently, the incentive to buy a vote, and the
    chances of successfully doing so, are therefore higher in
    Alaska than in states with larger legislative bodies.” Id. The
    district court was persuaded by trial testimony that “the
    unique combination of Alaska’s small population,
    geographic isolation, and great natural resources make it
    extremely dependent on outside industry and interests.” Id.
    at 1039. Alaska cannot afford to extract its natural resources
    without out-of-state corporations. Id. And because out-of-
    state corporations cannot extract without the cooperation of
    government, these corporations do all they can to influence
    state politics. Id.
    As the Supreme Court has recognized, “the dangers of
    large, corrupt contributions and the suspicion that large
    contributions are corrupt are neither novel nor implausible.”
    Shrink Mo., 
    528 U.S. at
    391 (citing Buckley v. Valeo,
    
    424 U.S. 1
    , 27 (1976)). Thus, it is enough to demonstrate
    that out-of-state contributors are particularly interested in
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                        35
    corrupting the political process in Alaska, as the State has
    easily done.
    But the proof at trial was more than theoretical. The
    district court found that “natural resource extraction firms
    can and do exert pressure on their employees” to contribute
    to political campaigns in Alaska. Dauphinais, 217 F. Supp.
    3d at 1039. In other words, these out-of-state interests have
    found a way to circumvent the generally applicable
    contribution limits.
    And, as the trial evidence demonstrated, Alaska’s history
    of corruption is, in fact, storied. As the majority has aptly
    noted, in the mid-2000s, a highly publicized scandal
    implicated ten percent of Alaska’s legislators for improperly
    taking money from VECO, a corporation that provided
    support services to out-of-state oil and gas corporations. Id.
    at 1030.
    Unsurprisingly, the VECO scandal did not go unnoticed
    by the public. News outlets played an FBI surveillance
    video showing one member of the legislature,
    Representative Vic Kohring, accepting cash from VECO in
    exchange for his vote on pending oil tax legislation.
    Representative Kohring went on to pen a newspaper column
    claiming that the only thing separating him from other
    Alaska lawmakers was that he got caught. Id. at 1030. As
    the district court determined, the publicity surrounding the
    VECO scandal supports Alaska’s interest in limiting the
    appearance of quid pro quo corruption by out-of-state
    interests in order to preserve Alaskans’ belief in the integrity
    of their political system. Id. at 1031.
    In sum, I would hold that Alaska’s important anti-
    corruption interest justifies a limit on nonresident speech.
    Nonresident contributions present a special risk of quid pro
    36                 THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    quo corruption that is neither “illusory” nor “mere
    conjecture.” Lair III, 873 F.3d at 1188 (quoting Eddleman,
    
    343 F.3d at 1092
    ). Particularly in the aftermath of the VECO
    scandal, the nonresident aggregate contribution furthers
    Alaska’s interest in preventing the appearance of corruption,
    thereby increasing “[c]onfidence in the integrity of
    [Alaska’s] electoral processes,” a value “essential to the
    functioning of our participatory democracy.” Purcell v.
    Gonzalez, 
    549 U.S. 1
    , 7 (2006) (per curiam). The district
    court was entirely correct, and the record supports its
    conclusion.
    II
    The nonresident aggregate cap is also justified by a
    second important state interest: self-governance. I would
    hold that self-governance is a sufficiently important interest
    to justify the nonresident aggregate cap.
    A
    “[T]he right to govern is reserved to citizens.” Foley v.
    Connelie, 
    435 U.S. 291
    , 297 (1978). There is no question
    that Alaska may bar nonresidents from voting, no matter
    how tangible their interest in a state election, Holt Civic Club
    v. City of Tuscaloosa, 
    439 U.S. 60
    , 68–69 (1978), even
    though “[n]o right is more precious” than the right to vote,
    Wesberry v. Sanders, 
    376 U.S. 1
    , 17 (1964). Because of the
    need for responsiveness to local interests, states may also
    closely guard from nonresident interference those “functions
    that go to the heart of representative government,” such as
    “state elective or important nonelective executive,
    legislative, and judicial positions[.]” Sugarman v. Dougall,
    
    413 U.S. 634
    , 647 (1973).
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                      37
    States should be able to prevent out-of-state interests
    from advancing candidates for whom the contributor cannot
    even vote. Campaign contributions are made primarily to
    directly influence the outcome of an election rather than to
    broadcast one’s one political opinion. Beaumont, 
    539 U.S. at 161
     (“[C]ontributions lie closer to the edges than to the
    core of political expression.”). Thus, they are “subject to
    relatively complaisant review.” 
    Id.
    The nonresident aggregate limit furthers Alaska’s
    important state interest in protecting state sovereignty in
    governance. It is “the choice, and right, of the people to be
    governed by their citizen peers.” Foley, 
    435 U.S. at 296
    .
    When out-of-state interests fund political campaigns, they
    place an obstacle between the people and their
    representatives. Alaska must be able to take measures to
    ensure that its legislators are responsive to the individuals
    that they represent, not to out-of-state interests.
    Alaska’s interest in protecting self-government is
    “important,” as required under Eddleman’s first prong. Lair
    II, 798 F.3d at 742 (quoting Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d at 1092
    ).
    Indeed, on en banc review, we held that a state’s interest in
    “securing the people’s right to self-government” was
    “compelling” in the face of a First Amendment challenge to
    a law requiring municipal initiative proponents to be
    bonafide electors. Chula Vista Citizens for Jobs & Fair
    Competition v. Norris, 
    782 F.3d 520
    , 531 (9th Cir. 2015) (en
    banc). The Supreme Court reached a similar conclusion
    regarding residence requirements under an Equal Protection
    analysis. Dunn v. Blumstein, 
    405 U.S. 330
    , 343–44 (1972)
    (recognizing as “substantial” the government’s interest in
    “preserv[ing] the basic conception of a political
    community”).
    38                 THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    B
    Bluman v. Federal Election Commission, 
    800 F. Supp. 2d 281
     (D.D.C. 2011), summarily aff’d, 
    132 S. Ct. 1087
    (2012) (mem.), decided by a three-judge panel of the D.C.
    District Court, is analogous. There, the court considered a
    federal law preventing foreign nationals from making not
    only contributions but also independent expenditures to
    influence federal elections. Id. at 283. Because spending
    money to influence an election is not only “speech” but also
    “participation in democratic self-government,” foreign
    nationals may be subject to restrictions targeted at protecting
    sovereignty. Id. at 289.
    In Bluman, the court recognized that “[p]olitical
    contributions and express-advocacy expenditures are an
    integral aspect of the process by which Americans elect
    officials to federal, state, and local government offices.” Id.
    at 288. “[I]t is undisputed that the government may bar
    foreign citizens from voting and serving as elected officers”;
    “[i]t follows that the government may bar foreign citizens
    . . . from participating in the campaign process that seeks to
    influence how voters will cast their ballots in the elections.”
    Id.
    Alaska presents an even stronger case than did the
    federal government in Bluman. There, the challenged law
    restricted individual expenditures as well as campaign
    contributions, and the court therefore applied strict scrutiny.
    Id. at 285 (citing McConnell v. FEC, 
    540 U.S. 93
    , 134–37
    (2003) and Buckley, 
    424 U.S. at
    20–23). Here, on the other
    hand, we need not identify a compelling government interest
    but only a “sufficiently important” one. Lair II, 798 F.3d at
    742 (quoting Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d at 1092
    ).
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                              39
    Nor can Bluman be distinguished on the grounds that it
    involved a distinction between United States citizens and
    foreign nationals. “It has long been recognized that resident
    aliens enjoy the protections of the First Amendment.” Price
    v. I.N.S., 
    962 F.2d 836
    , 841 (9th Cir. 1991) (internal citations
    omitted). The line drawn in Bluman separates citizens with
    the right to participate in government from foreign nationals
    subject to federal law but with no corollary right of
    participation. Alaska draws its line even more carefully by
    applying the aggregate contribution limit only to
    nonresidents. 3
    C
    I respectfully disagree that the Supreme Court has
    foreclosed this issue because it rejected other purported
    interests. Op. at 29–30. Foundational to the judicial role is
    a recognition that “[w]ithout jurisdiction the court cannot
    proceed at all in any cause.” Steel Co. v. Citizens for Better
    Env’t, 
    523 U.S. 83
    , 94 (1998) (quoting Ex parte McCardle,
    
    74 U.S. 506
    , 514 (7 Wall.) (1868)). Jurisdiction extends
    only to “Cases” and “Controversies.” U.S. Const. art. III,
    § 2. It emphatically does not extend to issues that are not
    before a court. No court can reject a self-governance theory
    3
    This, too, is why VanNatta v. Keisling, 
    151 F.3d 1215
     (9th Cir.
    1998), is immediately distinguishable, even if it remains good law and
    speaks to this precise issue, both of which propositions are questionable.
    VanNatta is distinguishable because it limited out-of-district
    contributions to candidates for state office. 
    Id. at 1217
    . Further, as we
    noted in Eddleman, reliance on the Court’s approach in VanNatta “fails
    to recognize the impact of the Supreme Court’s . . . decision in Shrink
    Missouri.” 
    343 F.3d at
    1091 n.2. And the majority opinion in VanNatta
    is framed as a rejection of the state’s evidence and legal argument rather
    than as setting forth a hard-and-fast rule regarding the constitutionality
    of all limits on out-of-district contributions. 
    151 F.3d at
    1217–18.
    40                 THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    unless it is asked to do so. The Supreme Court has yet to
    take up this question; in resolving this controversy, it is not
    our role to apply a holding that does not exist.
    D
    “The Constitution limited but did not abolish the
    sovereign powers of the States, which retained ‘a residuary
    and inviolable sovereignty.’” Murphy v. Nat’l Collegiate
    Athletic Ass’n, 
    138 S. Ct. 1461
    , 1475 (2018) (quoting The
    Federalist No. 39, at 245 (James Madison) (Clinton Rossiter
    ed., 1961)). This basic principle arises from “a fundamental
    structural decision incorporated into the Constitution.” 
    Id.
    Our federalist system is not binary; it does not simply pit
    the states—as a single entity—against federal power.
    Rather, it recognizes the sovereignty of each individual state.
    In the words of Justice Marshall, “[n]o political dreamer was
    ever wild enough to think of breaking down the lines which
    separate the States, and of compounding the American
    people into one common mass.” McCulloch v. Maryland,
    
    17 U.S. 316
    , 403 (4 Wheat.) (1819). Under our Constitution,
    “the people of each state compose a State, having its own
    government, and endowed with all the functions essential to
    separate and independent existence.” Lane Cty. v. Oregon,
    
    74 U.S. 71
    , 76 (7 Wall.) (1868). “Not only, therefore, can
    there be no loss of separate and independent autonomy to the
    States, through their union under the Constitution, but . . .
    the preservation of the States, and the maintenance of their
    governments, are as much within the design and care of the
    Constitution as the preservation of the Union and the
    maintenance of the National government.” Texas v. White,
    
    74 U.S. 700
    , 725 (7 Wall.) (1869).
    In the current, highly partisan political climate, regional
    differences may be obscured by contentious national issues.
    THOMPSON V. HEBDON                       41
    Jessica Bulman-Pozen, Executive Federalism Comes to
    America, 102 VA. L. REV. 953, 962–63 (2016). However,
    “[e]ven at the level of national politics, . . . there always
    remains a meaningful distinction between someone who is a
    citizen of the United States and of Georgia and someone who
    is a citizen of the United States and of Massachusetts.” U.S.
    Term Limits, Inc. v. Thornton, 
    514 U.S. 779
    , 859 (1995)
    (Thomas, J., dissenting).
    Here, of course, we are not dealing with politics at a
    national level, but only with Alaska’s ability to take
    measures to “represent and remain accountable to its own
    citizens.” Printz v. United States, 
    521 U.S. 898
    , 920 (1997)
    (internal citations omitted). State governments can and
    should be “more sensitive to the diverse needs” of their
    populations. Gregory v. Ashcroft, 
    501 U.S. 452
    , 458 (1991).
    Alaska must have the right to prevent non-resident interests
    from taking hold of their elections. See Anthony Johnstone,
    Outside Influence, 13 ELECTION L.J. 117, 122–23(2014)
    (“No form of federalism, and therefore no form of
    government under the Constitution, works without limits on
    outside influence in the states.”). Therefore, I disagree that
    Alaska’s self-governance interest is not “sufficiently
    important” for purposes of limiting campaign contributions.
    Lair II, 798 F.3d at 742 (quoting Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d at 1092
    ).
    III
    For these reasons, I respectfully dissent, in part. I agree
    that Alaska’s limitations on individual contributions to
    candidates and election-related groups and on political party
    contributions to individual candidates do not violate the First
    Amendment. However, I also would hold that Alaska’s
    nonresident aggregate contribution limit is constitutional.
    Alaska has shown that the risk of quid pro quo corruption or
    42                 THOMPSON V. HEBDON
    its appearance by out-of-state campaign contributions is
    neither “illusory” nor “mere conjecture.” Lair III, 873 F.3d
    at 1188 (quoting Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d at 1092
    ). Further, it
    has demonstrated its important interest in self-governance,
    which justifies the nonresident aggregate limit. Thus, I
    would affirm the judgment of the district court in its entirety.
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 17-35019

Citation Numbers: 909 F.3d 1027

Filed Date: 11/27/2018

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 11/27/2018

Authorities (22)

Bluman v. Federal Election Commission , 800 F. Supp. 2d 281 ( 2011 )

Board of Trustees of State Univ. of NY v. Fox , 109 S. Ct. 3028 ( 1989 )

Murphy v. National Collegiate Athletic Assn. , 200 L. Ed. 2d 854 ( 2018 )

Gregory v. Ashcroft , 111 S. Ct. 2395 ( 1991 )

U. S. Term Limits, Inc. v. Thornton , 115 S. Ct. 1842 ( 1995 )

Printz v. United States , 117 S. Ct. 2365 ( 1997 )

montana-right-to-life-association-montana-right-to-life-political-action , 343 F.3d 1085 ( 2003 )

fred-vannatta-george-boehnke-center-to-protect-free-speech-inc-v-phil , 151 F.3d 1215 ( 1998 )

marcella-landell-donald-r-brunelle-vermont-right-to-life-committee , 382 F.3d 91 ( 2004 )

Wesberry v. Sanders , 84 S. Ct. 526 ( 1964 )

Steel Co. v. Citizens for a Better Environment , 118 S. Ct. 1003 ( 1998 )

Nixon v. Shrink Missouri Government PAC , 120 S. Ct. 897 ( 2000 )

Purcell v. Gonzalez , 127 S. Ct. 5 ( 2006 )

Arizona Free Enterprise Club’s Freedom Club PAC v. Bennett , 131 S. Ct. 2806 ( 2011 )

Buckley v. Valeo , 96 S. Ct. 612 ( 1976 )

Berger v. City of Seattle , 569 F.3d 1029 ( 2009 )

barbara-prete-eugene-prete-and-jason-donnell-williams-v-bill-bradbury , 438 F.3d 949 ( 2006 )

christine-l-miller-guardian-ad-litem-tonnie-savage-guardian-ad-litem-v , 335 F.3d 889 ( 2003 )

Dunn v. Blumstein , 92 S. Ct. 995 ( 1972 )

Federal Election Commission v. Colorado Republican Federal ... , 121 S. Ct. 2351 ( 2001 )

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