State of California v. Alex Azar, II ( 2020 )


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  •                                                                    FILED
    FOR PUBLICATION
    FEB 24 2020
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS                MOLLY C. DWYER, CLERK
    U.S. COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    STATE OF CALIFORNIA, by and                No.   19-15974
    through Attorney General Xavier Becerra,
    D.C. No. 3:19-cv-01184-EMC
    Plaintiff-Appellee,
    v.                                         OPINION
    ALEX M. AZAR II, in his Official
    Capacity as Secretary of the U.S.
    Department of Health & Human Services;
    U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH &
    HUMAN SERVICES,
    Defendants-Appellants.
    ESSENTIAL ACCESS HEALTH, INC.;             No.   19-15979
    MELISSA MARSHALL, M.D.,
    D.C. No. 3:19-cv-01195-EMC
    Plaintiffs-Appellees,
    v.
    ALEX M. AZAR II, Secretary of U.S.
    Department of Health and Human
    Services; U.S. DEPARTMENT OF
    HEALTH & HUMAN SERVICES,
    Defendants-Appellants.
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Northern District of California
    Edward M. Chen, District Judge, Presiding
    STATE OF OREGON; STATE OF NEW             No.   19-35386
    YORK; STATE OF COLORADO;
    STATE OF CONNECTICUT; STATE OF            D.C. Nos.   6:19-cv-00317-MC
    DELAWARE; DISTRICT OF                                 6:19-cv-00318-MC
    COLUMBIA; STATE OF HAWAII;
    STATE OF ILLINOIS; STATE OF
    MARYLAND; COMMONWEALTH OF
    MASSACHUSETTS; STATE OF
    MICHIGAN; STATE OF MINNESOTA;
    STATE OF NEVADA; STATE OF NEW
    JERSEY; STATE OF NEW MEXICO;
    STATE OF NORTH CAROLINA;
    COMMONWEALTH OF
    PENNSYLVANIA; STATE OF RHODE
    ISLAND; STATE OF VERMONT;
    COMMONWEALTH OF VIRGINIA;
    STATE OF WISCONSIN; AMERICAN
    MEDICAL ASSOCIATION; OREGON
    MEDICAL ASSOCIATION; PLANNED
    PARENTHOOD FEDERATION OF
    AMERICA, INC.; PLANNED
    PARENTHOOD OF SOUTHWESTERN
    OREGON; PLANNED PARENTHOOD
    COLUMBIA WILLAMETTE; THOMAS
    N. EWING, M.D.; MICHELE P.
    MEGREGIAN, C.N.M.,
    Plaintiffs-Appellees,
    v.
    ALEX M. AZAR II; U.S. DEPARTMENT
    OF HEALTH & HUMAN SERVICES;
    2
    DIANE FOLEY; OFFICE OF
    POPULATION AFFAIRS,
    Defendants-Appellants.
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the District of Oregon
    Michael J. McShane, District Judge, Presiding
    STATE OF WASHINGTON; NATIONAL                 No.   19-35394
    FAMILY PLANNING AND
    REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH                           D.C. Nos.   1:19-cv-03040-SAB
    ASSOCIATION; FEMINIST WOMEN’S                             1:19-cv-03045-SAB
    HEALTH CENTER; DEBORAH OYER,
    M.D.; TERESA GALL,
    Plaintiffs-Appellees,
    v.
    ALEX M. AZAR II, in his official capacity
    as Secretary of the United States
    Department of Health and Human
    Services; U.S. DEPARTMENT OF
    HEALTH & HUMAN SERVICES;
    DIANE FOLEY, MD, in her official
    capacity as Deputy Assistant Secretary for
    Population Affairs; OFFICE OF
    POPULATION AFFAIRS,
    Defendants-Appellants.
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Eastern District of Washington
    3
    Stanley Allen Bastian, District Judge, Presiding
    Argued and Submitted September 23, 2019
    San Francisco, California
    Before: Sidney R. Thomas, Chief Judge, and Edward Leavy, Kim McLane
    Wardlaw, William A. Fletcher, Richard A. Paez, Jay S. Bybee, Consuelo M.
    Callahan, Milan D. Smith, Jr., Sandra S. Ikuta, Eric D. Miller and Kenneth K. Lee,
    Circuit Judges.
    Opinion by Judge Ikuta, Circuit Judge
    Title X of the Public Health Service Act gives the Department of Health and
    Human Services (HHS) authority to make grants to support “voluntary family
    planning projects” for the purpose of offering “a broad range of acceptable and
    effective family planning methods and services.” 42 U.S.C. § 300(a).1 Section
    1008 of Title X prohibits grant funds from “be[ing] used in programs where
    abortion is a method of family planning.” 
    Id. § 300a-6.
    Since 1970, when Title X was first enacted, HHS has provided competing
    interpretations of this prohibition. Regulations issued in 1988, and upheld by the
    Supreme Court in 1991, completely prohibited the use of Title X funds in projects
    where clients received counseling or referrals for abortion as a method of family
    1
    Congress did not design the Title X grant program to provide healthcare
    services beyond “family planning methods and services.” 42 U.S.C. § 300(a); cf.
    Dissent at 1.
    4
    planning. Rust v. Sullivan, 
    500 U.S. 173
    , 177–79 (1991). Regulations issued in
    2000 were more permissive.
    In March 2019, HHS promulgated regulations that are similar to those
    adopted by HHS in 1988 and upheld by Rust. But the 2019 rule is less restrictive
    in at least one important respect: a counselor providing nondirective pregnancy
    counseling “may discuss abortion” so long as “the counselor neither refers for, nor
    encourages, abortion.” 42 C.F.R. § 59.14(e)(5). There is no “gag” on abortion
    counseling. See 
    id. Plaintiffs, including
    several states and private Title X grantees, brought
    various suits challenging the 2019 rule, and three district courts in three states
    entered preliminary injunctions against HHS’s enforcement of the rule. In light of
    Supreme Court approval of the 1988 regulations and our broad deference to
    agencies’ interpretations of the statutes they are charged with implementing,
    plaintiffs’ legal challenges to the 2019 rule fail. Accordingly, we vacate the
    injunctions entered by the district courts and remand for further proceedings
    consistent with this opinion.
    I
    In 1970, Congress enacted Title X of the Public Health Service Act to give
    HHS authority to make grants to Title X projects that provide specified family
    5
    planning services.2 Family Planning Services and Population Research Act, Pub.
    L. No. 91-572, 84 Stat. 1504, 1508 (1970); 42 U.S.C. § 300a-4(c). The Act gives
    HHS broad authority to promulgate regulations to administer the grant program, as
    well as to impose conditions on the grants that HHS “may determine to be
    appropriate to assure that such grants will be effectively utilized for the purposes
    for which made.” § 1006(a)–(b), 84 Stat. at 1507; 42 U.S.C. § 300a-4(a)–(b).
    Congress placed only two limitations on HHS’s discretion. First, an
    individual’s acceptance of family planning services has to be “voluntary” and not
    “a prerequisite to eligibility for or receipt of any other service or assistance from,
    or to participation in, any other program of the entity or individual that provided
    such service or information.” § 1007, 84 Stat. at 1508; 42 U.S.C. § 300a-5.
    Second, § 1008 of Title X provides:
    None of the funds appropriated under this subchapter shall be used in
    programs where abortion is a method of family planning.
    § 1008, 84 Stat. at 1508; 42 U.S.C. § 300a-6.
    Section 1008, which has never been amended, “was intended to ensure that
    Title X funds would ‘be used only to support preventive family planning services,
    2
    Although Title X and its implementing regulations use both the terms
    “program” and “project,” for consistency we refer to a program using Title X funds
    to provide services to clients as a “Title X project.”
    6
    population research, infertility services, and other related medical, informational,
    and educational activities.’” 
    Rust, 500 U.S. at 178
    –79 (quoting H.R. Conf. Rep.
    No. 91-1667, at 8 (1970)); see also New York v. Sullivan, 
    889 F.2d 401
    , 407 (2d
    Cir. 1989), aff’d sub nom. Rust v. Sullivan, 
    500 U.S. 173
    (1991) (noting a
    legislator’s statement that “[w]ith the ‘prohibition of abortion’ amendment—title
    X, section 1008—the [House] committee members clearly intend that abortion is
    not to be encouraged or promoted in any way through this legislation”) (statement
    of Rep. Dingell). As Rust concluded, in enacting § 1008, Congress made a
    constitutionally permissible “value judgment favoring childbirth over 
    abortion.” 500 U.S. at 192
    (quoting Maher v. Roe, 
    432 U.S. 464
    , 474 (1977)).
    Although the purpose of § 1008 is clear, the Supreme Court has determined
    that its language is ambiguous because it does not expressly articulate how its
    prohibition applies to abortion counseling, referral, and advocacy, or how to ensure
    that funds are not used “in programs where abortion is a method of family
    planning.” 
    Id. at 184.
    As a result of this ambiguity, HHS has provided a range of
    alternative interpretations of § 1008 over the years. We provide an overview of
    this history as context to our analysis of the issues raised by the government’s
    appeals.
    A
    7
    In 1971, HHS promulgated (without notice and comment) the first
    regulations designed to implement Title X. Project Grants for Family Planning
    Services, 36 Fed. Reg. 18,465, 18,465–66 (Sept. 15, 1971). The regulations did
    not address the scope of § 1008. Instead, HHS interpreted § 1008 through opinions
    from its Office of General Counsel. In the mid-1970s, HHS issued a legal opinion
    prohibiting directive counseling on abortion (“encouraging or promoting”
    abortion) in a Title X project, while permitting nondirective (“neutral”) counseling
    on abortion. Nat’l Family Planning & Reprod. Health Ass’n v. Sullivan, 
    979 F.2d 227
    , 229 (D.C. Cir. 1992). Subsequent General Counsel opinions interpreted
    § 1008 as “prohibiting any abortion referrals beyond ‘mere referral,’ that is,
    providing a list of names and addresses without in any further way assisting the
    woman in obtaining an abortion.” Statutory Prohibition on Use of Appropriated
    Funds Where Abortion is a Method of Family Planning, 53 Fed. Reg. 2922, 2923
    (Feb. 2, 1988) (the 1988 Rule).
    HHS revised its Title X regulations after notice and comment in 1980. See
    Grants for Family Planning Services, 45 Fed. Reg. 37,433 (June 3, 1980). But like
    the 1971 regulations, the 1980 regulations did not address the scope of § 1008.
    Nat’l Family 
    Planning, 979 F.2d at 229
    (citing 45 Fed. Reg. at 37,437). Instead, in
    1981, HHS issued “Program Guidelines for Project Grants for Family Planning
    8
    Services.” See U.S. Dep’t of Health & Human Servs., Program Guidelines for
    Project Grants for Family Planning Services (1981). For the first time, these
    guidelines required Title X projects to give Title X clients nondirective counseling
    on and referrals for abortion upon request. 
    Id. § 8.6.
    The 1981 “guidelines were
    premised on a view that ‘non-directive’ counseling and referral for abortion were
    not inconsistent with [§ 1008] and were justified as a matter of policy in that such
    activities did not have the effect of promoting or encouraging abortion.” 53 Fed.
    Reg. at 2923.
    It was not until 1988 that HHS addressed the scope of § 1008 in notice-and-
    comment rulemaking. See 53 Fed. Reg. at 2922. The 1988 Rule recognized that
    “[f]ew issues facing our society today are more divisive than that of abortion.” 
    Id. Because §
    1008 was intended to create “a wall of separation between Title X
    programs and abortion as a method of family planning,” the 1988 Rule concluded
    that Congress intended Title X to circumscribe “family planning” to include “only
    activities related to facilitating or preventing pregnancy, not for terminating it.” 
    Id. at 2922–23.
    The 1988 Rule accordingly defined the term “family planning” as
    including “a broad range of acceptable and effective methods and services to limit
    or enhance fertility.” 
    Id. at 2944.
    9
    In light of these concerns, the 1988 Rule imposed specified limits on a Title
    X project. First, the project could not provide prenatal care. 
    Id. at 2945.
    Therefore, “once a client served by a Title X project is diagnosed as pregnant, she
    must be referred for appropriate prenatal and/or social services by furnishing a list
    of available providers that promote the welfare of mother and unborn child.” 
    Id. Further, a
    Title X project could not “provide counseling concerning the use
    of abortion as a method of family planning.” 
    Id. In the
    preamble to the 1988 Rule,
    HHS explained that counseling “which results in abortion as a method of family
    planning simply cannot be squared with the language of section 1008,” and the
    1988 Rule therefore rejected the 1981 program guidelines’ requirement that Title X
    projects give nondirective counseling on abortion. 
    Id. at 2923.
    In barring such
    nondirective counseling, HHS also relied on a General Accounting Office (GAO)
    report and Office of the Inspector General (OIG) audit of Title X projects
    indicating that some Title X projects were “promoting abortion” under the guise of
    providing nondirective counseling. 
    Id. at 2924.3
    3
    For example, the audit found that some Title X projects were providing
    clients with brochures prepared by abortion clinics, providing and witnessing the
    signing of consent forms required by abortion clinics, making appointments for
    clients at abortion clinics, and using Title X funds to pay the administrative costs
    for loans provided to clients to pay for abortions. 53 Fed. Reg. at 2924 n.7.
    10
    Nor could a Title X project “provide referral for abortion as a method of
    family planning.” 
    Id. at 2945.
    Therefore, the list of available providers given to a
    pregnant client could not include “providers whose principal business is the
    provision of abortions.” 
    Id. The 1988
    Rule also required a Title X project to be organized “so that it is
    physically and financially separate” from activities prohibited by § 1008 and the
    regulations. 
    Id. To meet
    this “program integrity” requirement, “a Title X project
    must have an objective integrity and independence from prohibited activities.
    Mere bookkeeping separation of Title X funds from other monies is not
    sufficient.” 
    Id. HHS explained
    that its rules requiring physical and financial separation were
    supported by OIG-audit and GAO-report findings that Title X projects were
    arguably violating § 1008 and that the lack of separation led to confusion as to
    whether federal funds were being used for abortion services. 
    Id. Both OIG
    and
    GAO “urged [HHS] to give more specific, formalized direction to programs about
    the extent of prohibition on abortion as a method of family planning.” 
    Id. at 2923–24.
    After HHS promulgated the 1988 Rule, Title X grantees challenged the
    facial validity of the regulations on the grounds that the regulations were not
    11
    authorized by Title X, were arbitrary and capricious under the Administrative
    Procedure Act (APA), and violated the First and Fifth Amendment rights of Title X
    clients and the First Amendment rights of Title X health care providers. The
    Supreme Court addressed these challenges in Rust.
    Rust first rejected the plaintiffs’ claim “that the regulations exceed [HHS]’s
    authority under Title X and are arbitrary and capricious.” 
    Id. at 183.
    Because the
    language of § 1008 was “ambiguous” as to “the issues of counseling, referral,
    advocacy, or program integrity,” the Court gave “substantial deference” to HHS’s
    interpretation under Chevron, U.S.A., Inc. v. Natural Resources Defense Council,
    Inc., 
    467 U.S. 837
    , 842–43 (1984), and concluded that “[t]he broad language of
    Title X plainly allows [HHS]’s construction of the statute.” 
    Rust, 500 U.S. at 184
    .
    “By its own terms, § 1008 prohibits the use of Title X funds ‘in programs where
    abortion is a method of family planning’” but “does not define the term ‘method of
    family planning,’ nor does it enumerate what types of medical and counseling
    services are entitled to Title X funding.” 
    Id. In light
    of the “broad directives
    provided by Congress in Title X in general and § 1008 in particular,” Rust
    concluded that HHS’s “construction of the prohibition in § 1008 to require a ban
    on counseling, referral, and advocacy within the Title X project” was
    permissible. 
    Id. 12 Rust
    likewise upheld the program integrity requirements, which mandated
    separate facilities, personnel, and records. The Court concluded that the
    requirements were “based on a permissible construction of the statute” and were
    “not inconsistent with congressional intent.” 
    Id. at 188.
    Rust noted that “if one
    thing is clear from the legislative history, it is that Congress intended that Title X
    funds be kept separate and distinct from abortion-related activities.” 
    Id. at 190.
    As
    such, Rust declined to upset HHS’s “reasoned determination that the program
    integrity requirements are necessary to implement the prohibition” in § 1008. 
    Id. Rust also
    rejected the plaintiffs’ argument that the regulations were arbitrary
    and capricious because “they ‘reverse a longstanding agency policy that permitted
    nondirective counseling and referral for abortion’” and constitute “a sharp break
    from [HHS]’s prior construction of the statute.” 
    Id. at 186.
    According to the
    Court, HHS’s revised interpretation was entitled to deference because “the agency,
    to engage in informed rulemaking, must consider varying interpretations and the
    wisdom of its policy on a continuing basis.” 
    Id. (quoting Chevron,
    467 U.S. at
    863–64). HHS gave a reasoned basis for its change of interpretation, including that
    the new regulations were “more in keeping with the original intent of the statute.”
    
    Id. at 187.
    13
    Rust then turned to the constitutional arguments. The Court rejected the
    argument that the restrictions violated the First Amendment speech rights of
    grantees, their staff, and clients, holding that the regulations permissibly
    implemented Congress’s decision to allocate public funds “to subsidize family
    planning services which will lead to conception and childbirth, and declin[e] to
    promote or encourage abortion.” 
    Id. at 193
    (internal quotation marks omitted).
    “Congress’ power to allocate funds for public purposes includes an ancillary power
    to ensure that those funds are properly applied to the prescribed use,” and “the
    regulations are narrowly tailored to fit Congress’ intent in Title X that federal
    funds not be used to ‘promote or advocate’ abortion as a ‘method of family
    planning.’” 
    Id. at 195
    n.4. Doctors were “always free to make clear that advice
    regarding abortion is simply beyond the scope of the [Title X] program.” 
    Id. at 200.
    Rust also rejected arguments that the restrictions violated a woman’s Fifth
    Amendment right to choose whether to obtain an abortion because “[the] decision
    to fund childbirth but not abortion ‘places no governmental obstacle in the path of
    a woman who chooses to terminate her pregnancy, but rather, by means of unequal
    subsidization of abortion and other medical services, encourages alternative
    activity deemed in the public interest.’” 
    Id. at 201
    (quoting Harris v. McRae, 
    448 U.S. 297
    , 315 (1980)). The regulations did not infringe the doctor-patient
    14
    relationship, the Court held, because the doctor and patient remained free to
    discuss abortion and abortion-related services “outside the context of the Title X
    project.” 
    Id. at 203.
    Accordingly, Rust upheld the 1988 Rule.
    Within months after Rust was decided, legislators introduced the Family
    Planning Amendments Act of 1992, H.R. 3090, 102d Cong. (1991), which sought
    to undo the 1988 Rule and to codify the 1981 program guidelines, see S. Rep. No.
    102-86 (1991). Under the proposed legislation, every applicant for a Title X grant
    had to agree to offer “nondirective counseling and referrals regarding–(i) prenatal
    care and delivery; (ii) infant care, foster care, and adoption; and (iii) termination of
    pregnancy.” H.R. 3090, 102d Cong. § 2 (1991); S. 323, 102d Cong. § 2 (1991);
    H.R. Rep. No. 102-767, at 2 (1992). The bill failed to obtain the necessary votes.
    See S. 323, 102d Cong., Roll No. 452 (Oct. 2, 1992).
    After this legislative effort to overturn Rust failed, President Clinton issued a
    memorandum directing HHS to suspend the 1988 Rule. See The Title X “Gag
    Rule,” 58 Fed. Reg. 7455 (Jan. 22, 1993). Two weeks later (without notice or
    comment) HHS issued an interim rule suspending the 1988 Rule and announcing
    that the nonregulatory interpretations that existed prior to the 1988 Rule, including
    those in the 1981 program guidelines, would apply. See Standards of Compliance
    for Abortion-Related Services in Family Planning Service Projects, 58 Fed. Reg.
    15
    7462 (Feb. 5, 1993). Legislators introduced another bill, the Family Planning
    Amendments Act of 1995, H.R. 833, 104th Cong. (1995), which included the same
    language as the amendments proposed in 1991, and would have required
    nondirective counseling on and referral for the “termination of pregnancy.” H.R.
    833, 104th Cong. § 2(b)(3) (1995). As before, these efforts were unsuccessful.
    Around this same time, Congress was debating whether to appropriate funds
    for Title X projects. See 141 Cong. Rec. H8194-02, at 8249–62 (Aug. 2, 1995). In
    response to concerns that Title X clinics were pressing teenagers to obtain
    abortions, see 
    id. at H8260
    (Rep. Waldholtz), legislators proposed a compromise
    bill that would ensure no federal funds were used to support abortion services. As
    ultimately enacted, the 1996 appropriations rider provided (among other things)
    “[t]hat amounts provided to [Title X] projects . . . shall not be expended for
    abortions, [and] that all pregnancy counseling shall be nondirective.” Pub. L. No.
    115-245, 132 Stat. 2981, 3070–71. A version of this rider has been reenacted each
    year since 1996.
    In the wake of the defeat of the Family Planning Amendments Acts of 1992
    and 1995, HHS issued a new regulation adopting the language of the failed
    legislation. See Standards of Compliance for Abortion-Related Services in Family
    Planning Service Projects, 65 Fed. Reg. 41,270 (July 3, 2000) (the 2000 Rule).
    16
    The 2000 Rule provided that a Title X project was required to offer a pregnant
    woman “neutral, factual information and nondirective counseling” on “each of the
    following options: (A) Prenatal care and delivery; (B) Infant care, foster care, or
    adoption; and (C) Pregnancy termination.” 
    Id. at 41,279.
    Each Title X project also
    had to provide referral for each option “upon request.” 
    Id. The 2000
    Rule eliminated several of the 1988 Rule’s provisions. For
    instance, the 2000 Rule dropped the 1988 Rule’s definition of “family planning”
    but did not provide a replacement definition. See 
    id. at 41,278.
    Instead, the 2000
    Rule simply stated that a family planning project must “[p]rovide a broad range of
    acceptable and effective medically approved family planning methods (including
    natural family planning methods) and services (including infertility services and
    services for adolescents).” 
    Id. at 41,278–79.
    The 2000 Rule also eliminated the
    physical and financial separation requirement. See 
    id. at 41,276.4
    While HHS’s oscillations in interpreting § 1008 were playing out, Congress
    enacted various laws (referred to as federal conscience laws) prohibiting
    4
    In promulgating the 2000 Rule, HHS did not go as far as some commenters
    urged. In rejecting comments that it should read § 1008 narrowly as prohibiting
    only “the provision of, or payment for, abortions” and nothing else, HHS stated
    that this was not “the better reading of the statutory language.” 65 Fed. Reg. at
    41,272. HHS also acknowledged that the 1988 Rule was “a permissible
    interpretation” of § 1008. 
    Id. at 41,277.
                                              17
    discrimination against individuals and entities who objected to performing or
    promoting abortion on religious or moral grounds. Beginning in 1973, Congress
    enacted four statutes (collectively referred to as the Church Amendments) that
    prevent the government from conditioning grant funds on assistance with abortion-
    related activities, 42 U.S.C. § 300a-7(b), and prohibit grant recipients from
    discriminating against individuals who refused to assist with abortion because of
    their “religious beliefs or moral convictions,” 
    id. § 300a-7(c).
    In 1996, Congress
    enacted the Coats-Snowe Amendment to the Public Health Service Act, which
    prohibits the federal government from discriminating against any health care entity
    because it refuses to engage in certain abortion-related activities, including
    providing referrals for abortions. Omnibus Consolidated Rescissions and
    Appropriations Act of 1996, Pub. L. No. 104-134, tit. V, § 515, 110 Stat. 1321,
    1321-245 (1996) (codified at 42 U.S.C. § 238n(a)). Finally, in 2004 Congress
    began including a rider in health care appropriations bills to prohibit discrimination
    by recipients of federal grants against health care entities that refused to make
    referrals for abortion, among other things. Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2005,
    18
    Pub. L. No. 108-447, 118 Stat. 2890, 3163 (2004) (referred to as the Weldon
    Amendment).5
    In 2008, HHS concluded that the 2000 Rule’s requirement that Title X
    projects must provide counseling and referrals for abortion upon request was
    inconsistent with these federal conscience laws. Therefore, HHS promulgated
    regulations to clarify it “would not enforce this Title X regulatory requirement on
    objecting grantees or applicants.” Ensuring that Department of Health and Human
    Services Funds Do Not Support Coercive or Discriminatory Policies or Practices in
    Violation of Federal Law, 73 Fed. Reg. 78,072, 78,087 (Dec. 19, 2008) (the 2008
    nondiscrimination regulations). After a new administration took office, HHS
    decided these regulations were “unclear and potentially overbroad in scope” and
    rescinded them. Regulation for the Enforcement of Federal Health Care Provider
    Conscience Protection Laws, 76 Fed. Reg. 9968, 9969 (Feb. 23, 2011).
    Thus, before the 2018 rulemaking, HHS’s interpretations of § 1008 had
    seesawed through multiple formulations: from permitting—then
    requiring—nondirective counseling on abortion as a method of family planning (in
    1971 and 1981 guidance documents); to prohibiting counseling and referrals for
    5
    The Weldon Amendment has been continuously enacted since 2004. See,
    e.g., Department of Defense and Labor, Health and Human Services, and
    Education Appropriations Act, 2019, Pub. L. 115-245, 132 Stat. 2981, 3118.
    19
    abortion as a method of family planning (in the 1988 Rule, upheld by the Supreme
    Court in 1991); and then to once again requiring nondirective counseling and
    referrals for abortion on request (in the 2000 Rule). HHS also vacillated in its
    interpretation of the federal conscience laws. This uncertain history was the
    backdrop for HHS’s reconsideration of this controversial area in 2018.
    B
    In 2018, HHS returned to the task of interpreting § 1008 and issued a notice
    of proposed rulemaking “to ensure compliance with, and enhance implementation
    of, the statutory requirement that none of the funds appropriated for Title X may be
    used in programs where abortion is a method of family planning.” Compliance
    with Statutory Program Integrity Requirements, 83 Fed. Reg. 25,502, 25,502 (June
    1, 2018). After receiving over 500,000 comments reflecting a “sharp diversity of
    opinion,” HHS issued a final rule in March 2019. Compliance with Statutory
    Program Integrity Requirements, 84 Fed. Reg. 7714, 7723 (Mar. 9, 2019) (the
    Final Rule). The Final Rule largely represents a return to the 1988 Rule that the
    Supreme Court upheld in Rust.
    The Final Rule’s definition of the statutory term “family planning” is
    substantially similar to the 1988 Rule’s definition. It “means the voluntary process
    of identifying goals and developing a plan for the number and spacing of children,”
    20
    including by means of “a broad range of acceptable and effective family planning
    methods and services.” 84 Fed. Reg. at 7787; 42 C.F.R. § 59.2 (2019). Like the
    1988 Rule, the Final Rule states that family planning services “include
    preconception counseling” but not “postconception care (including obstetric or
    prenatal care) or abortion as a method of family planning.” 84 Fed. Reg. at 7787;
    42 C.F.R. § 59.2.
    In the preamble to the Final Rule, HHS explained that it adopted this
    definition of “family planning” to “address in part its concern that the requirement
    for abortion referrals, as provided in the 2000 [Rule], violates or leads to violations
    of section 1008’s prohibition on funding Title X projects where abortion is a
    method of family planning.” 84 Fed. Reg. at 7729. HHS also explained it was
    reestablishing the 1988 Rule’s requirement that family planning methods and
    services be “acceptable and effective,” omitting the 2000 Rule’s requirement that
    they also be “medically approved,” because the term “medically approved” lacked
    clear meaning in this context and does not appear in the statute. 
    Id. at 7740–41.
    Repeating the language of Title X, see 42 U.S.C. § 300(a), the Final Rule
    provides that a family planning project must “[e]ncourage family participation in
    the decision to seek family planning services,” 42 C.F.R. § 59.5(a)(14). In the
    preamble, HHS noted that this language was required by the Title X statute itself
    21
    and that Congress had enacted an appropriations rider that “specifically emphasizes
    that grantees encourage family participation ‘in the decision of minors to seek
    family planning services.’” 84 Fed. Reg. at 7718 (quoting Pub. L. No. 115-245,
    div. B, sec. 207, 132 Stat. 2981, 3070 (2018)).
    The Final Rule also sets forth requirements and limitations for post-
    conception services. See 42 C.F.R. § 59.14. Under the Rule, once a client is
    verified as being pregnant, the client “shall be referred to a health care provider for
    medically necessary prenatal health care.” 
    Id. § 59.14(b)(1).
    The regulations
    explain that “[p]rovision of a referral for prenatal health care is consistent with
    [Title X] because prenatal care is a medically necessary service.” 
    Id. § 59.14(e)(1).
    The Final Rule differs from the 1988 Rule with respect to pregnancy
    counseling. HHS noted that the 1996 appropriations rider, as reenacted annually,
    22
    required “that all pregnancy counseling shall be nondirective.”6 84 Fed. Reg. at
    7725 n.36, 7729. Interpreting the rider’s language as permitting such counseling,
    
    id. at 7725,
    the Final Rule states that a Title X project can give a pregnant client
    nondirective pregnancy counseling “when provided by physicians or advanced
    practice providers.” 42 C.F.R. § 59.14(b)(1)(i).7
    6
    The appropriations rider for 2018 provides:
    For carrying out the program under title X of the [Public Health
    Service] Act to provide for voluntary family planning projects,
    $286,479,000: Provided, That amounts provided to said projects
    under such title shall not be expended for abortions, that all pregnancy
    counseling shall be nondirective, and that such amounts shall not be
    expended for any activity (including the publication or distribution of
    literature) that in any way tends to promote public support or
    opposition to any legislative proposal or candidate for public office.
    Pub. L. No. 115-245, div. B, tit. II, 132 Stat. 2981, 3070–71 (2018).
    7
    The Final Rule defines “Advanced Practice Provider” as:
    [A] medical professional who receives at least a graduate level degree
    in the relevant medical field and maintains a license to diagnose, treat,
    and counsel patients. The term Advanced Practice Provider includes
    physician assistants and advanced practice registered nurses (APRN).
    Examples of APRNs that are an Advanced Practice Provider include
    certified nurse practitioner (CNP), clinical nurse specialist (CNS),
    certified registered nurse anesthetist (CRNA), and certified
    nurse-midwife (CNM).
    42 C.F.R. § 59.2.
    23
    Unlike the 1988 Rule, the Final Rule establishes that a counselor providing
    nondirective pregnancy counseling “may discuss abortion” so long as “the
    counselor neither refers for, nor encourages, abortion.” 
    Id. § 59.14(e)(5).
    To
    ensure compliance with federal conscience laws, however, a Title X provider is not
    required to discuss abortion upon request. See 84 Fed. Reg. at 7716, 7746–47. In
    short, the Final Rule does not impose a “gag” on abortion counseling: a counselor
    “may discuss abortion” but is not required to do so. 42 C.F.R. § 59.14(e)(5).8
    8
    The dissent relies heavily on its mistaken view that the Final Rule is a “Gag
    Rule” that “gags health care providers from fully counseling women about their
    options while pregnant.” Dissent at 1–2. The dissent conjures up a “Kafkaesque”
    situation where counselors have to “walk on eggshells to avoid a potential
    transgression” of the Final Rule and in response to questions about terminating a
    pregnancy can merely say: “I can’t help you with that or discuss it. Here is a list
    of doctors who can assist you with your pre-natal care despite the fact that you are
    not seeking such care.” Dissent at 6 (citation omitted). But this “Kafkaesque”
    scenario is belied by the Final Rule itself, which expressly authorizes counseling
    on abortion while prohibiting referrals for abortion. Indeed, the Final Rule
    provides its own example of a straightforward conversation with a client who asks
    about abortion:
    [When a] pregnant woman requests information on abortion and asks
    the Title X project to refer her for an abortion[, then] [t]he counselor
    tells her that the project does not consider abortion a method of family
    planning and, therefore, does not refer for abortion. The counselor
    offers her nondirective pregnancy counseling, which may discuss
    abortion, but the counselor neither refers for, nor encourages,
    abortion.
    42 U.S.C. § 59.14(e)(5) (emphasis added). The dissent’s arguments that the Final
    (continued...)
    24
    Although the Final Rule permits a Title X project to provide nondirective
    counseling that includes information about abortion, it expressly prohibits referrals
    for abortion as a method of family planning. HHS explained its understanding that
    “referral for abortion as a method of family planning, and such abortion procedure
    itself, are so linked that such a referral makes the Title X project or clinic a
    program one where abortion is a method of family planning.” 84 Fed. Reg. at
    7717. Accordingly, “[a] Title X project may not perform, promote, refer for, or
    support abortion as a method of family planning, nor take any other affirmative
    action to assist a patient to secure such an abortion.” 42 C.F.R. § 59.14(a).
    Further, “[a] Title X project may not use the provision of any prenatal, social
    service, emergency medical, or other referral, of any counseling, or of any provider
    lists, as an indirect means of encouraging or promoting abortion as a method of
    family planning.” 
    Id. § 59.14(c)(1).
    While referrals for abortion as a method of family planning are not allowed,
    the Title X project may give a pregnant client a “list of licensed, qualified,
    comprehensive primary health care providers,” which may include “providers of
    8
    (...continued)
    Rule is a “Gag Rule” is merely a restatement of its disagreement with the Final
    Rule’s interpretation of § 1008 as precluding “referral for abortion as a method of
    family planning.” 84 Fed. Reg. at 7717.
    25
    prenatal care[], some, but not the majority, of which also provide abortion as part
    of their comprehensive health care services.” 
    Id. § 59.14(c)(2).
    “Neither the list
    nor project staff may identify which providers on the list perform abortion.” 
    Id. The Title
    X project may also provide referrals for abortion when such a procedure
    is medically necessary. 84 Fed. Reg. at 7748.
    Finally, the Final Rule, like the 1988 Rule, requires that a Title X project be
    organized “so that it is physically and financially separate . . . from activities that
    are prohibited under section 1008 of the Public Health Service Act and §§ 59.13,
    59.14, and 59.16 of these regulations.” 42 C.F.R. § 59.15. HHS explained that the
    physical and financial separation requirements were necessary to avoid the risk “of
    the intentional or unintentional use of Title X funds for impermissible purposes,
    the co-mingling of Title X funds, the appearance and perception that Title X funds
    being used in a given program may also be supporting that program’s abortion
    activities, and the use of Title X funds to develop infrastructure that is used for the
    abortion activities of Title X clinics.” 84 Fed. Reg. at 7764.
    The effective date of the Final Rule was set for May 3, 2019, but the
    compliance deadline for the physical separation requirements is March 4, 2020. 
    Id. at 7714.
    26
    C
    Before the Final Rule’s effective date, several states and private Title X
    grantees (collectively, plaintiffs) filed lawsuits against HHS in three different
    district courts seeking preliminary injunctive relief. The lawsuits challenged the
    Final Rule under the APA as arbitrary and capricious, contrary to law, and in
    excess of statutory authority. 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A), (C).9 All three district courts
    granted plaintiffs’ preliminary injunction motions on similar grounds. See
    Washington v. Azar, 
    376 F. Supp. 3d 1119
    (E.D. Wash. 2019); California v. Azar,
    
    385 F. Supp. 3d 960
    (N.D. Cal. 2019); Oregon v. Azar, 
    389 F. Supp. 3d 898
    (D.
    Or. 2019). HHS timely appealed each of the preliminary injunction orders.10
    We review a district court’s grant of a preliminary injunction “for an abuse
    of discretion.” Gorbach v. Reno, 
    219 F.3d 1087
    , 1091 (9th Cir. 2000) (en banc).
    9
    Plaintiffs also brought various constitutional claims, but the district courts
    did not base their preliminary injunctions on these claims. Plaintiffs do not raise
    these claims as alternative grounds for affirming the district courts’ grants of
    injunctive relief, so any such argument was waived. See United States v. Gamboa-
    Cardenas, 
    508 F.3d 491
    , 502 (2007).
    10
    HHS also moved to stay the injunctions pending a decision on the merits
    of its appeals. We granted the stay motion in a published order. See California v.
    Azar, 
    927 F.3d 1068
    (9th Cir. 2019) (per curiam). Upon the vote of a majority of
    nonrecused active judges, we ordered reconsideration en banc of the stay motion,
    California v. Azar, 
    927 F.3d 1045
    , 1046 (9th Cir. 2019) (mem.), but we did not
    vacate the stay order itself, so it remained in effect, California v. Azar, 
    928 F.3d 1153
    , 1155 (9th Cir. 2019) (mem.). The stay motion is now denied as moot.
    27
    But “legal issues underlying the injunction are reviewed de novo because a district
    court would necessarily abuse its discretion if it based its ruling on an erroneous
    view of law.” adidas Am., Inc. v. Skechers USA, Inc., 
    890 F.3d 747
    , 753 (9th Cir.
    2018) (citation omitted).
    II
    “A plaintiff seeking a preliminary injunction must establish [1] that he is
    likely to succeed on the merits, [2] that he is likely to suffer irreparable harm in the
    absence of preliminary relief, [3] that the balance of equities tips in his favor, and
    [4] that an injunction is in the public interest.” Winter v. Nat. Res. Def. Council,
    Inc., 
    555 U.S. 7
    , 20 (2008); accord Garcia v. Google, Inc., 
    786 F.3d 733
    , 740 (9th
    Cir. 2015). The first factor—likelihood of success on the merits—“is the most
    important” factor. 
    Id. If a
    movant fails to establish likelihood of success on the
    merits, we need not consider the other factors. 
    Id. The Supreme
    Court has recognized that when an issue of law is key to
    resolving a motion for injunctive relief, the reviewing court has the power “to
    examine the merits of the case” and resolve the legal issue. Munaf v.Geren, 
    553 U.S. 674
    , 691 (2008) (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting N.C. R. Co. v.
    Story, 
    268 U.S. 288
    , 292 (1925)). “Adjudication of the merits is most appropriate
    if the injunction rests on a question of law and it is plain that the plaintiff cannot
    28
    prevail.” Id.; accord Blockbuster Videos, Inc. v. City of Tempe, 
    141 F.3d 1295
    ,
    1297 (9th Cir. 1998). The Supreme Court reaffirmed this conclusion in Winter,
    noting that it could “address the underlying merits of plaintiffs’ [legal] claims” in
    the preliminary injunction appeal and proceed to a 
    decision. 555 U.S. at 31
    ; see
    also Blockbuster 
    Videos, 141 F.3d at 1297
    ; Friends of the Earth v. U.S. Navy, 
    841 F.2d 927
    , 931 (9th Cir. 1988).
    This approach applies in appropriate APA cases. See Beno v. Shalala, 
    30 F.3d 1057
    , 1063–64 (9th Cir. 1994). In Beno, we considered plaintiffs’ claim that
    an agency’s action was “‘arbitrary and capricious’ within the meaning of the
    APA.” 
    Id. at 1063.
    The APA claim required only review of the administrative
    record and interpretation of relevant statutes; “additional fact-finding [was] not
    necessary to resolve th[e] claim.” 
    Id. at 1064
    n.11. Because “the district court’s
    denial of injunctive relief rested primarily on interpretations of law, not on the
    resolution of factual issues,” we reviewed de novo the district court’s legal
    conclusions and addressed plaintiffs’ claims on the merits. 
    Id. at 1063–64
    (internal
    quotation marks omitted). We held this was appropriate because “in APA cases, a
    district court decision is generally accorded no particular deference, and is
    reviewed de novo because the district court is in no better position than this court
    to review the administrative record.” 
    Id. at 1063
    n.9 (internal quotation marks and
    29
    citations omitted). This approach is consistent with the Supreme Court’s ruling
    that district courts’ “factfinding capacity” is “typically unnecessary to judicial
    review of agency decisionmaking” because both the district court and the court of
    appeals “are to decide, on the basis of the record the agency provides, whether the
    action passes muster under the appropriate APA standard of review.” Fla. Power
    & Light Co. v. Lorion, 
    470 U.S. 729
    , 744 (1985).
    Here, the only significant issues raised are legal. Plaintiffs argue that the
    Final Rule is invalid on its face because it conflicts with other statutes and the
    agency acted in an arbitrary and capricious manner in promulgating it. An
    agency’s action violates the APA when it is “in excess of statutory jurisdiction [or]
    authority,” 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(C), or when it is “not in accordance with law,” 
    id. § 706(2)(A),
    for instance, when it violates another statute, see FCC v. NextWave
    Pers. Commc’ns Inc., 
    537 U.S. 293
    , 300 (2003). The record before us is sufficient
    to resolve plaintiffs’ challenges, and no additional factual development is
    30
    required.11 The district courts issued preliminary injunctions based on their view
    that plaintiffs were likely to prevail on the merits of these legal claims, and thus the
    district courts were not in any better position to decide these issues than we are.
    11
    Although the parties did not submit the full administrative record (which
    includes over 500,000 public comments) to the district courts, all public comments
    made during the rulemaking process are available online and were available to the
    parties in raising arguments to the district court. See Compliance with Statutory
    Program Integrity Requirements, regulations.gov (last visited Oct. 29, 2019),
    https://www.regulations.gov/document?D=HHS-OS-2018-0008-0001; 84 Fed.
    Reg. at 7722 & n.26. Indeed, the parties used selected public comments to support
    their arguments in their briefs both to the district courts and to us. Despite this, the
    dissent asserts that “[d]eciding the merits of [p]laintiffs’ arbitrary and capricious
    claim is . . . premature” because “[w]e do not have the complete administrative
    record.” Dissent at 15–16. But neither plaintiffs nor the dissent identify additional
    arguments that could be made after submission of the full record, see Dissent at
    15–16; at most, plaintiffs stated at oral argument (but not in their briefing) that they
    might delve deeper into the approximately 500,000 public comments to provide
    additional support for their existing arguments. Because HHS did not omit or
    withhold material information from the administrative record, the cases on which
    the dissent relies are inapposite. See Walter O. Boswell Mem’l Hosp. v. Heckler,
    
    749 F.2d 788
    , 793 (D.C. Cir. 1984) (holding that review could not go forward on a
    partial record where doing so “would be fundamentally unfair” because agency had
    withheld significant information); Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc. v. Train, 
    519 F.2d 287
    , 292 (D.C. Cir. 1975) (remanding to district court for further review where
    agency omitted a key document that “throws light on the factors and considerations
    relied upon” by the agency from the administrative record). Accordingly, we
    conclude that the record before us is sufficient to resolve plaintiffs’ arguments that
    aspects of the Final Rule are arbitrary and capricious. See McChesney v. FEC, 
    900 F.3d 578
    , 583 (8th Cir. 2018); 5 U.S.C. § 706 (“[T]he court shall review the whole
    record or those parts of it cited by a party.”).
    31
    See 
    Beno, 30 F.3d at 1063
    n.9.12 We have received extensive briefing and heard
    argument on the issues presented. Because we can decide, based on the record
    provided, “whether the action passes muster under the appropriate APA standard of
    review,” Fla. Power & Light 
    Co., 470 U.S. at 744
    , we may resolve the legal issues
    on their merits, 
    Beno, 30 F.3d at 1064
    .
    III
    We first consider plaintiffs’ argument that the Final Rule is facially invalid.
    Plaintiffs wisely do not press the argument that the Final Rule is an impermissible
    interpretation of the text of § 1008. Rust held that “[t]he broad language of Title X
    plainly allows [the 1988 Rule’s] construction of the 
    statute,” 500 U.S. at 184
    , and
    the Final Rule is substantially the same as the 1988 Rule with respect to the
    provisions at issue here.
    Rather, plaintiffs mainly argue that two intervening congressional
    enactments altered the legal landscape so that Rust’s holding is no longer valid.
    12
    In considering plaintiffs’ claims that HHS’s action was arbitrary and
    capricious, the district courts properly limited their review to the record before
    them. See 
    California, 385 F. Supp. 3d at 1000
    –18; 
    Washington, 376 F. Supp. 3d at 1131
    ; 
    Oregon, 389 F. Supp. 3d at 914
    –19. While the district courts made factual
    findings and predictions to support their conclusion that plaintiffs showed a
    likelihood of irreparable harm, see, e.g., 
    California, 385 F. Supp. 3d at 978
    –85, see
    also Fed. R. Civ. P. 52(a), these findings are not relevant to the resolution of the
    arbitrary and capricious challenge, see Fla. Power & Light 
    Co., 470 U.S. at 744
    .
    32
    First, plaintiffs point to the 1996 appropriations rider enacted to ensure no federal
    funds were used to support abortion services. See Pub. L. No. 115-245, div. B, tit.
    II, 132 Stat. 2981, 3070–71 (2018). Second, plaintiffs rely on a section of the
    Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA) that limits HHS’s ability to
    promulgate regulations. See Pub. L. No. 111-148, § 1554, 124 Stat. 119, 259
    (2010) (codified at 42 U.S.C. § 18114).
    In considering these arguments, we are mindful that the Supreme Court’s
    “interpretive decisions, in whatever way reasoned, effectively become part of the
    statutory scheme.” Kimble v. Marvel Entm’t, LLC, 
    135 S. Ct. 2401
    , 2409 (2015).
    Therefore, Rust’s conclusion that § 1008 could be interpreted to bar abortion
    counseling, referral, and advocacy within a Title X project became a part of
    Title X’s scheme, and we may not lightly infer that Congress intended to overrule
    that holding in enacting the appropriations rider or § 1554 of the ACA. Because
    “[t]he modification by implication of [a] settled construction of an earlier and
    different section” by a later enactment “is not favored,” United States v. Madigan,
    
    300 U.S. 500
    , 506 (1937), plaintiffs must provide evidence that Congress intended
    to alter Rust’s conclusion that the 1988 Rule was a permissible interpretation of
    Title X and § 1008. They fail to do so.
    A
    33
    We first turn to plaintiffs’ argument that the Final Rule violates the 1996
    appropriations rider. At the time HHS promulgated the Final Rule, the
    appropriations rider provided that “amounts provided to [the Title X project] shall
    not be expended for abortions, [and] that all pregnancy counseling shall be
    nondirective.” Pub. L. No. 115-245, div. B, tit. II, 132 Stat. 2981, 3070–71 (2018).
    HHS interpreted this appropriations rider as permitting Title X projects to provide
    counseling on abortion, and incorporated this interpretation in the Final Rule. See
    84 Fed. Reg. at 7725; 42 C.F.R. § 59.14(e)(5).
    Plaintiffs’ argument about the correct interpretation of this provision
    proceeds in three steps. First, according to plaintiffs, the term “pregnancy
    counseling” must be interpreted as including referrals. Second, plaintiffs contend
    that the term “nondirective” means the presentation of all options on an equal
    basis. Third, putting these two definitions together, plaintiffs argue that the term
    “nondirective pregnancy counseling” requires the provision of referrals for
    abortion on the same basis as referrals for prenatal care and adoption. Because the
    Final Rule requires referrals for medically necessary prenatal health care and
    permits referrals for adoption but precludes referrals for abortion, see 42 C.F.R.
    § 59.14, plaintiffs contend that the Final Rule does not provide nondirective
    34
    pregnancy counseling, and thus violates the appropriations rider. We consider
    each of these steps in turn.
    1
    At the first step, plaintiffs and the dissent argue that the statutory term
    “pregnancy counseling” must be interpreted as including referrals.13 Congress has
    not provided a definition of the term “pregnancy counseling,” or otherwise
    “directly addressed the precise question at issue.” 
    Chevron, 467 U.S. at 843
    . In
    the face of Congressional silence, we give “substantial deference” to the
    interpretations provided by HHS. 
    Rust, 500 U.S. at 184
    .14
    In the Final Rule, HHS provided its interpretation by treating the terms
    “counseling” and “referral” as referring to distinct legal concepts. See 84 Fed.
    Reg. at 7716–17. While a counselor may “provide nondirective pregnancy
    counseling to pregnant Title X clients on the patient’s pregnancy options, including
    abortion,” 
    id. at 7724
    (emphasis added), the Final Rule prohibits any “referral for
    abortion as a method of family planning,” 
    id. at 7717.
    13
    As HHS recognized, the appropriations rider amended Title X by
    expressly requiring all pregnancy counseling to be nondirective. 84 Fed. Reg. at
    7725, 7729. Congress “may amend substantive law in an appropriations statute, as
    long as it does so clearly.” Robertson v. Seattle Audubon Soc’y, 
    503 U.S. 429
    , 440
    (1992).
    14
    HHS is the agency authorized to promulgate regulations to implement
    Title X, see 42 U.S.C. § 300a-4(a).
    35
    In its brief on appeal, HHS made explicit the Final Rule’s implicit
    interpretation of “counseling.”15 According to HHS, under the Final Rule and as a
    matter of common usage, “counseling and referrals are distinct” because
    “‘[p]regnancy counseling’ involves providing information about medical options,
    which is different from referring a patient to a specific doctor for a specific form of
    medical care.”
    HHS’s interpretation of the phrase “pregnancy counseling” as a concept that
    is distinct from the term “referrals” is reasonable and consistent with common
    usage. The dictionary indicates that counseling does not include referrals. The
    dictionary definition of the term “counseling” is “a practice or professional service
    designed to guide an individual to a better understanding of [her] problems and
    15
    We may defer to an interpretation made in a legal brief so long as it is not
    a post hoc rationalization “advanced by an agency seeking to defend past agency
    action against attack.” Auer v. Robbins, 
    519 U.S. 452
    , 462 (1997). As in Auer,
    there is no reason here to think that HHS’s position is a “post hoc rationalization.”
    
    Id. Indeed, HHS
    has long treated “counseling” and “referral” as distinct concepts.
    The 1981 guidelines and the 2000 Rule both provided that Title X projects were
    required to provide “nondirective counseling on each of the options [including
    pregnancy termination], and referral upon request.” 65 Fed. Reg. at 41,279;
    Program Guidelines for Project Grants for Family Planning Services, § 8.6 (1981)
    (emphasis added); see also 53 Fed. Reg. at 2923 (explaining that the 1981
    guidelines required providers to furnish “nondirective ‘options
    couns[e]ling”—including “on pregnancy termination (abortion)”—“followed by
    referral for these services if [the patient] so requests”). And the 2000 Rule treated
    “non-directive counseling,” see 65 Fed. Reg. at 41,272–74, as distinct from
    “[r]eferral[s] for abortion, see 
    id. at 41,274.
                                              36
    potentialities . . . .” Counseling, Webster’s Third New International Dictionary
    518 (2002); see also Counseling, The American Medical Association Encyclopedia
    of Medicine 317 (1989) (defining “counseling” as “[a]dvice and psychological
    support given by a health professional and usually aimed at helping a person cope
    with a particular problem”). By contrast, “referral” is defined as “the process of
    directing or redirecting (as a medical case, a patient) to an appropriate specialist or
    agency for definitive treatment.” Referral, Webster’s Third New International
    Dictionary 1908 (2002). As in Rust, “[t]he broad language of Title X,” as amended
    by the 1996 appropriations rider, “plainly allows [HHS]’s construction of the
    
    statute.” 500 U.S. at 184
    .
    Plaintiffs’ and the dissent’s argument that the term “pregnancy counseling”
    must be interpreted as including referrals is primarily based on their reading of a
    separate statute enacted by Congress, the Children’s Health Act of 2000, Pub. L.
    No. 106-310, 114 Stat. 1101 (2000); see Dissent at 10–11. A provision of that Act,
    the “Infant Adoption Awareness” section, 42 U.S.C. § 254c-6, requires HHS to
    make grants to adoption organizations “for the purpose of developing and
    implementing programs to train the designated staff of eligible health centers in
    providing adoption information and referrals to pregnant women on an equal basis
    with all other courses of action included in nondirective counseling to pregnant
    37
    women.” 42 U.S.C. § 254c-6(a)(1). According to plaintiffs and the dissent, this
    language shows Congress intended that referrals be “included in nondirective
    counseling” and that all options, including abortion, should be presented on an
    equal basis. See Dissent at 10–11.
    This argument fails. The Infant Adoption Awareness section neither
    provides a definition of “nondirective counseling” nor “expressly states” that
    nondirective counseling “encompasses referrals.” Cf. Dissent at 7 n.4.16 Simply
    put, the section does not show that referrals are a type of nondirective counseling.
    Indeed, it does not impose any requirements or limitations on nondirective
    pregnancy counseling at all; rather, it provides funds to adoption organizations to
    enable them to offer training to the staff of health centers regarding the provision
    of adoption information and referrals to clients. HHS could reasonably conclude
    that this section does not indicate that it considers referrals to be a type of
    counseling, as opposed to something that may occur at the same time as
    counseling. 84 Fed. Reg. at 7733. Given that the Infant Adoption Awareness
    section is not part of Title X, does not use language similar to that in the 1996
    16
    Although the dissent claims that Congress “clarified the meaning of the
    term ‘nondirective’” and that Congress’s “intent is clear,” in fact, the dissent
    merely offers its own interpretation of what the term means in context. Dissent at
    10.
    38
    appropriations rider, and was enacted for a substantially different purpose, it sheds
    no light on Congress’s intent in enacting the appropriations rider or on the
    interpretation of its statutory language. Cf. Northcross v. Bd. of Educ. of Memphis
    City Sch., 
    412 U.S. 427
    , 428 (1973) (per curiam) (providing that it is appropriate to
    interpret the language of two separate statutes pari passu where two statutes use
    similar language and were enacted for the same purpose).17
    Plaintiffs’ and the dissent’s second argument, that industry practice requires
    interpreting “counseling” as including referrals, also fails, because the sources on
    17
    In addition to discussing the Infant Adoption Awareness section, 42
    U.S.C. § 254c-6(a)(1), both the plaintiffs and HHS point to other statutes that
    reference counseling and referrals. HHS notes that Congress has frequently
    referred to counseling and referrals separately, showing that the two are legally
    distinct concepts. See, e.g., 42 U.S.C. § 300z-10(a) (“Grants or payments may be
    made only to . . . projects which do not provide abortions or abortion counseling or
    referral . . . .”); 
    id. § 300z-3(b)
    (referring to “counseling and referral services”); 18
    U.S.C. § 248(e)(5) (“reproductive health services” includes “counseling or referral
    services relating to the human reproductive system, including services relating to
    pregnancy or the termination of a pregnancy”). Plaintiffs identify other statutes
    that suggest referrals can occur during the course of counseling. See, e.g., 42
    U.S.C. § 300ff-33 (“post-test counseling (including referrals for care)” provided to
    individuals with positive HIV/AIDS test); 
    id. § 3020e-1(b)
    (referring to “pension
    counseling and information programs” that “provide outreach, information,
    counseling, referral, and other assistance”); 20 U.S.C. § 1161k(c)(4)(A) (requiring
    college counselors to provide “referrals to and follow-up with other student
    services staff”). Because these statutes do not use the same language as the
    appropriations rider and were not enacted for the same purpose, they do not assist
    us in interpreting Congress’s direction “that all pregnancy counseling shall be
    nondirective.” See 84 Fed. Reg. at 7745.
    39
    which plaintiffs rely shed no light on the proper interpretation of the term
    “nondirective pregnancy counseling.” Dissent at 7 n.4. Plaintiffs first point to
    HHS’s guidelines in Providing Quality Family Planning Services (the QFP), which
    state that during a “visit [to] a provider of family planning services,” pregnancy-
    test results “should be presented to the client, followed by a discussion of options
    and appropriate referrals.” U.S. Dep’t of Health & Human Servs., Providing
    Quality Family Planning Services, Morbidity & Mortality Wkly. Rep., Apr. 25,
    2014, at 13–14. Rather than requiring an interpretation of counseling as including
    referrals, this language suggests that counseling (i.e., “discussion of options”) and
    referrals are distinct. Plaintiffs also point to a letter submitted by the American
    Medical Association (AMA) during the notice-and-comment period on the Final
    Rule. In this letter, the AMA listed several provisions in its Code of Medical
    Ethics which it claimed made it unethical for a practitioner to refrain from
    providing “all appropriate referrals, including for abortion services.” But the
    provisions of the code cited in the letter do not even discuss referrals, let alone
    define the term; rather, they state that patients have a right “to receive information
    from their physicians and to have the opportunity to discuss the benefits, risks, and
    costs of appropriate treatment alternatives” and “to expect that their physicians will
    provide guidance about what they consider the optimal course of action for the
    40
    patient based on the physician’s objective professional judgment.” These sources
    do not show that the term “referrals” is included in the phrase “nondirective
    pregnancy counseling.”18
    Because HHS can reasonably interpret “nondirective pregnancy counseling”
    as not including referrals, see 84 Fed. Reg. at 7716, plaintiffs fail at the first step of
    their arguments, that “pregnancy counseling” must be deemed to include referrals.
    2
    Plaintiffs also fail at the second step of their argument: that the term
    “nondirective” means the presentation of all options on an equal basis. Neither
    Title X nor the appropriations rider defines “nondirective.” Again, because
    Congress has “not directly addressed the precise question at issue,” 
    Chevron, 467 U.S. at 843
    , we must give substantial deference to HHS’s interpretation. 
    Rust, 500 U.S. at 184
    . In the Final Rule, HHS filled the Congressional silence by
    interpreting “nondirective pregnancy counseling” to mean “the meaningful
    presentation of options where the physician or advanced practice provider (APP) is
    ‘not suggesting or advising one option over another.’” 84 Fed. Reg. at 7716
    (quoting 138 Cong. Rec. H2822-02, 2826 (statement of Rep. Lloyd)).
    18
    The dissent does not address these sources and merely asserts, without
    explanation, that “industry understanding recognizes that counseling includes
    referrals.” Dissent at 7 n.4 (citing 
    California, 385 F. Supp. 3d at 989
    ).
    41
    Under this definition, “nondirective” does not mean the presentation of all
    possible medical options. Rather, “nondirective” means that options must be
    provided in a neutral manner, without suggesting or advising one option over
    another. Thus, a physician or APP providing nondirective counseling to a client
    does not have to discuss every possible option available to that client, but must
    present options in a neutral manner and refrain from encouraging the client to
    select a particular option. In other words, HHS interpreted “nondirective” to refer
    to the neutral manner in which counseling is provided rather than to the scope of
    topics that must be covered in counseling. 84 Fed. Reg. at 7716.
    This is a reasonable interpretation of “nondirective.” It is consistent with
    HHS’s longstanding distinction between “nondirective” counseling that is
    “neutral” and “directive” counseling that encourages or promotes abortion. Nat’l
    Family 
    Planning, 979 F.2d at 229
    . And it is consistent with the dictionary
    definition of the term “nondirective” as a type of counseling where “the counselor
    refrains from interpretive or associative comment but usually by repeating phrases
    used by the client encourages [the client] to express, clarify, and restructure [the
    client’s] problems.” Nondirective, Webster’s Third New International Dictionary
    1536 (2002); see also 84 Fed. Reg. at 7716 (nondirective counseling involves
    “clients tak[ing] an active role in processing their experiences and identifying the
    42
    direction of the interaction”). Because HHS’s interpretation of “nondirective” is
    reasonable, we defer to that interpretation. See 
    Chevron, 467 U.S. at 843
    –44; Nw.
    Envtl. Advocates v. EPA, 
    537 F.3d 1006
    , 1014 (9th Cir. 2008).
    We also reject plaintiffs’ and the dissent’s argument that the Final Rule is
    directive because it requires referrals for medically necessary prenatal health care.
    Dissent at 5. HHS could reasonably conclude that referrals for prenatal care are
    nondirective, as HHS defines this term, because a referral for prenatal care does not
    steer the client toward any particular option and does not discourage a client from
    seeking an abortion outside of the Title X program. As HHS points out, “seeking
    prenatal care is not the same as choosing the option of childbirth.” 84 Fed. Reg. at
    7748. Further, HHS could reasonably conclude that providing a referral for
    prenatal care is not directive because it is “medically necessary” for the health of
    the client during pregnancy, 
    id. at 7748,
    7761–62, regardless of whether the client
    43
    later chooses an abortion outside of a Title X project.19 “Where care is medically
    necessary, as prenatal care is for pregnancy, referral for that care is not directive
    because the need for the care preexists the direction of the counselor, and is,
    instead, the result of the woman’s pregnancy diagnosis or the diagnosis of a health
    condition for which treatment is warranted.” 
    Id. at 7748.
    Because prenatal care is
    medically necessary for a pregnant client, see 
    id. at 7748,
    7761–62, referrals for
    such care are distinguishable from referrals for abortions for the purpose of family
    planning, which are not medically necessary. Indeed, the Supreme Court has long
    recognized that abortion need not be treated the same as other medical procedures:
    “Abortion is inherently different from other medical procedures, because no other
    procedure involves the purposeful termination of a potential life.” Harris v.
    19
    Plaintiffs and the dissent point to declarations from doctors and nurse
    practitioners conclusorily stating that prenatal care “is not medically necessary for
    someone who wishes to terminate her pregnancy.” Dissent at 8 n.5. But HHS
    reasonably concluded otherwise, 84 Fed. Reg. at 7748, 7761–62, based on its
    determination that “pregnancy may stress and affect extant [i.e., existing] health
    conditions [of the client],” such that “primary health care may be critical to ensure
    that pregnancy does not negatively impact such conditions,” 
    id. at 7750.
    The dissent’s argument that HHS did not justify the referral requirement on
    the ground that prenatal care is medically necessary for the health of the client,
    Dissent at 8 n.5, is refuted by the record; indeed, the sentence of the Final Rule on
    which the dissent relies for this argument makes clear that prenatal care is
    “important for . . . the health of the women,” 84 Fed. Reg. at 7722 (emphasis
    added); see also 
    id. at 7748,
    7761–62.
    44
    McRae, 
    448 U.S. 297
    , 325 (1980); see also 
    Maher, 432 U.S. at 480
    (“The simple
    answer to the argument” that a law imposes different requirements on abortion than
    other medical procedures is that other “procedures do not involve the termination
    of a potential human life.”).20 Given these distinctions, requiring referrals for
    20
    Given the “inherent[] differen[ces]” between abortion and other medical
    procedures, 
    McRae, 448 U.S. at 325
    , the dissent’s attempt to liken nontherapeutic
    abortion to treatment options for prostate cancer is meritless, Dissent at 7–8.
    Prostate cancer is a disease, and “chemotherapy, radiation, [and] hospice” are
    treatment options. Dissent at 7–8. Pregnancy is not a disease, and a
    nontherapeutic abortion is not a treatment option.
    By contrast, abortion is not used as a “method of family planning” under
    § 1008 or the Final Rule when abortion is medically necessary (i.e., therapeutic).
    See Abortion, elective, The American Medical Association Encyclopedia of
    Medicine 57 (1989) (defining a “therapeutic abortion” as an abortion “carried out
    to save the life or health of the mother”). Referrals for and counseling on
    therapeutic abortions are not subject to the same restrictions as those imposed on
    nontherapeutic ones; rather, in situations where “emergency care is required,” the
    Final Rule requires that clients be referred “immediately to an appropriate provider
    of medical services needed to address the emergency.” 42 C.F.R. § 59.14(b)(2);
    see also 
    id. § 59.14(e)(2)
    (requiring referral for emergency medical care upon the
    discovery of an ectopic pregnancy).
    45
    medically necessary prenatal health care but not for nontherapeutic abortions does
    not make pregnancy counseling directive.21
    21
    The dissent’s argument that clients who receive counseling on prenatal
    care and abortion (but not referrals for abortion providers) are “coerced,”
    “demeaned,” and prevented from taking “an active role in identifying the
    direction” of their lives is absurd. Dissent at 8 (cleaned up). Nothing in the Final
    Rule prevents clients from procuring abortions. See 42 C.F.R. § 59.14. Similarly,
    the dissent’s reliance on the 2000 Rule to argue that failing to provide abortion
    referrals is coercive, Dissent at 8 n.5, is misplaced because the 2000 Rule merely
    suggested that a referral for “prenatal care and delivery” might be coercive if the
    client has rejected that option, 65 Fed. Reg. at 41,275 (emphasis added); the 2000
    Rule said nothing about whether it is coercive to require a referral for prenatal care
    to safeguard the health of the client, see 84 Fed. Reg. at 7722.
    The dissent’s suggestion that clients relying on Title X services cannot
    locate abortion providers without a referral from a Title X counselor, Dissent at 9
    n.6, is contrary to the reality—recognized in the Final Rule—that “[i]nformation
    about abortion and abortion providers is widely available and easily accessible,
    including on the internet,” 84 Fed. Reg. at 7746. We decline to second-guess
    HHS’s determination based on plaintiffs’ unsupported declarations. See Dep’t of
    Commerce v. New York, 
    139 S. Ct. 2551
    , 2571 (2019); cf. Dissent at 9 n.6. In any
    event, Title X was not designed to be a source of assistance for procuring
    abortions, cf. Dissent at 8–9; rather, Congress’s purpose in enacting Title X was to
    “fund and, thereby, encourage preconception services, a focus that “generally
    excludes payment for postconception care and services,” including abortion. 84
    Fed. Reg. at 7723. Congress’s restriction on Title X projects leaves clients with “at
    least the same range of choice in deciding whether to obtain” an abortion as they
    would have had if Congress provided no Title X funding. 
    Harris, 448 U.S. at 317
    .
    As Rust recognized, “a doctor’s ability to provide, and a woman’s right to receive,
    abortion-related information remains unfettered outside the context of the Title X
    
    project.” 500 U.S. at 203
    . That some Title X clients “may be effectively precluded
    by indigency” or other circumstances from procuring “abortion-related services” is
    a product of those circumstances, “not of governmental restrictions.” Id.; cf.
    Dissent at 9 n.6. Thus, the dissent, and the amici on which it relies, mistakenly
    (continued...)
    46
    Nor is the Final Rule directive because it allows referrals for adoption. See
    42 C.F.R. § 59.5(a)(1). The Infant Adoption Awareness section, 42 U.S.C. § 254c-
    6(a)(1), does not require Title X projects to urge or encourage adoptions; rather, it
    provides funds for training staff of eligible health centers (which may include Title
    X projects) to provide adoption information and referrals on an equal basis with
    other courses of action included in nondirective counseling. Based on this
    legislation, HHS reasonably concluded that referrals for adoption are “appropriate
    under Title X, since Congress specified that Title X clinics and providers were
    eligible health centers to whom adoption related training should be offered,” 84
    Fed. Reg. at 7730. Further, the language of the Infant Adoption Awareness section
    suggests that Congress did not interpret the phrase “nondirective counseling” as
    necessarily requiring a presentation of all options on an equal basis. To the
    contrary, if Congress had defined “nondirective counseling” to require the
    presentation of all options on an equal basis, it would have been unnecessary to
    encourage health center staff to present information about adoption “on an equal
    basis with all other courses of action” as part of nondirective counseling, because
    the staff would have already been required to do so. 42 U.S.C. § 254c-6(a)(1).
    21
    (...continued)
    fault the Final Rule for not helping clients “access[] abortion.” Dissent at 8–9.
    47
    Finally, the Final Rule’s restrictions on referral lists do not render pregnancy
    counseling directive because a referral list does not present information in a way
    that encourages or promotes a specific option—it is merely “[a] list of licensed,
    qualified, comprehensive primary health care providers.” 42 C.F.R.
    § 59.14(b)(1)(ii). As Rust recognized, doctors are “free to make clear that advice
    regarding abortion is simply beyond the scope of the 
    program.” 500 U.S. at 200
    .22
    Because HHS has reasonably interpreted the phrase “pregnancy counseling”
    as not including referrals, and has interpreted the word “nondirective” to mean a
    neutral presentation of options as opposed to the presentation of all possible
    options, we reject plaintiffs’ argument that the term “nondirective pregnancy
    counseling” requires the provision of referrals for abortion on the same basis as
    referrals for prenatal care and adoption. Accordingly, the challenged provisions of
    the Final Rule do not violate the 1996 appropriations rider.
    22
    Plaintiffs briefly argue that the Final Rule’s general prohibition on
    promoting or providing support for abortion as a method of family planning, see 42
    C.F.R. § 59.14(a), may “chill discussions of abortion and thus inhibit[] neutral and
    unbiased counseling.” We reject this argument. If a provider promoted or
    supported abortion as a method of family planning, the counseling would be
    directive and therefore violate the appropriations rider. See 84 Fed. Reg. at 7747.
    By contrast, the Final Rule’s prohibition on promoting or supporting abortion as a
    method of family planning both reinforces the rider’s nondirective-counseling
    requirement and implements § 1008’s prohibition on using Title X funds in
    programs “where abortion is a method of family planning.” § 1008, 42 U.S.C.
    § 300a-6.
    48
    B
    Plaintiffs next argue that the Final Rule is inconsistent with § 1554 of the
    ACA. See § 1554, 124 Stat. at 259 (codified at 42 U.S.C. § 18114). In March
    2010, Congress passed the ACA “to expand coverage in the individual health
    insurance market,” King v. Burwell, 
    135 S. Ct. 2480
    , 2485 (2015), and to decrease
    the cost of health care, Nat’l Fed. of Indep. Bus. v. Sebelius, 
    567 U.S. 519
    , 538
    (2012). The ACA adopted “a series of interlocking reforms” primarily involving
    insurance reform, including barring insurers from considering an individual’s
    health when deciding whether to offer coverage, requiring individuals to maintain
    health insurance coverage or face a penalty, and offering certain tax credits to
    make health insurance more affordable. 
    King, 135 S. Ct. at 2485
    .
    While Title I of the ACA focuses on health insurance issues, Subtitle G of
    that title, entitled “Miscellaneous Provisions,” does not address insurance directly.
    Instead, it sets forth a series of measures aimed at protecting the interests of entities
    and individuals that might be affected by the ACA’s sweeping program. Among
    other things, it requires HHS to promote transparency by providing a “list of all of
    the authorities provided to the Secretary under th[e] Act.” 42 U.S.C. § 18112. It
    also precludes discrimination against health care providers for failing to offer
    assisted suicide, see 
    id. § 18113,
    ensures that individuals and entities have the
    49
    freedom not to participate in federal health insurance programs, see 
    id. § 18115,
    and prohibits health care programs and employers from engaging in various
    discriminatory acts, see 
    id. § 18116.
    Section 1554, part of Subtitle G’s
    “Miscellaneous Provisions,” is titled “Access to therapies” and provides:
    Notwithstanding any other provision of this Act, the Secretary of Health and
    Human Services shall not promulgate any regulation that—
    (1) creates any unreasonable barriers to the ability of individuals to
    obtain appropriate medical care;
    (2) impedes timely access to health care services;
    (3) interferes with communications regarding a full range of treatment
    options between the patient and the provider;
    (4) restricts the ability of health care providers to provide full
    disclosure of all relevant information to patients making health care
    decisions;
    (5) violates the principles of informed consent and the ethical
    standards of health care professionals; or
    (6) limits the availability of health care treatment for the full durations
    of a patient’s medical needs.
    § 1554, 124 Stat. at 259; 42 U.S.C. § 18114.
    Plaintiffs and the dissent contend that three provisions of the Final Rule
    conflict with this provision of the ACA: the Final Rule’s restrictions on promoting
    or supporting abortion as a method of family planning and making referrals for
    abortion; its physical and financial separation requirement; and its requirement that
    50
    providers encourage family participation in family planning decisions. Dissent at
    13.23
    We disagree. The Supreme Court has long made a distinction between
    regulations that impose burdens on health care providers and their clients and those
    that merely reflect Congress’s choice not to subsidize certain activities. See 
    Rust, 500 U.S. at 192
    ; cf. United States v. Am. Library Ass’n, 
    539 U.S. 194
    , 211–12
    (2003); Regan v. Taxation With Representation of Wash., 
    461 U.S. 540
    , 549–50
    23
    The government argues that plaintiffs’ ACA-based challenge is waived
    because § 1554 was not raised during the notice-and-comment period, and so HHS
    did not have an opportunity to provide analysis and reasoning regarding whether
    the Final Rule was consistent with § 1554 or to make any conforming changes to
    the Final Rule. Plaintiffs contend that many comments used terminology similar to
    that used in § 1554, and the similarity in terminology was enough to give HHS
    notice that the Final Rule could violate § 1554. For instance, plaintiffs claim that
    commenters’ objections to the Final Rule on the grounds that it would “ban Title X
    providers from giving women full information about their health care options”
    gave HHS notice that the Final Rule would violate § 1554’s ban on promulgating a
    regulation that “interfere[] with communications regarding a full range of
    treatment.” 42 U.S.C. § 18114(3). The district courts agreed. See 
    California, 385 F. Supp. 3d at 994
    –95; 
    Oregon, 389 F. Supp. 3d at 914
    ; Washington, 
    376 F. Supp. 3d
    at 1130. Because there is an obvious difference between arguing that a
    regulation violates best medical practices and arguing that a regulation violates a
    statute, we are doubtful that plaintiffs preserved their argument that the Final Rule
    violated § 1554. See Koretoff v. Vilsack, 
    707 F.3d 394
    , 398 (D.C. Cir. 2013) (per
    curiam) (holding that a proponent must raise a “specific argument,” as opposed to a
    “general legal issue” to preserve a legal argument for review) (citing Nuclear
    Energy Inst., Inc. v. Envtl. Prot. Agency, 
    373 F.3d 1251
    , 1291 (D.C. Cir. 2004)).
    Nevertheless, because the Final Rule does not conflict with § 1554, we need not
    address this question of waiver.
    51
    (1983). Under the Supreme Court’s jurisprudence, a state’s decision not to
    subsidize abortion on the same basis as other procedures does not impose a burden
    on women, even when indigence “may make it difficult and in some cases,
    perhaps, impossible for some women to have abortions,” because the law “neither
    created nor in any way affected” her indigent status. 
    Maher, 432 U.S. at 474
    ; see
    also Webster v. Reprod. Health Servs., 
    492 U.S. 490
    , 509–10 (1989) (holding that
    a state law prohibiting abortions in public hospitals was permissible because it
    “leaves a pregnant woman with the same choices as if the State had chosen not to
    operate any public hospitals at all”); 
    Harris, 448 U.S. at 317
    (“[T]he Hyde
    Amendment [prohibiting the use of federal funds to pay for abortion services
    except under specified circumstances] leaves an indigent woman with at least the
    same range of choice in deciding whether to obtain a medically necessary abortion
    as she would have had if Congress had chosen to subsidize no health care costs at
    all.”).
    Rust applied this well-established principle to the Title X context, rejecting
    arguments that the 1988 Rule’s limitations on counseling and referrals for abortion
    impermissibly burdened the doctor-patient relationship, interfered with a woman’s
    right to make “an informed and voluntary choice by placing restrictions on the
    patient-doctor dialogue,” and impeded a woman’s access to abortion services. 
    500 52 U.S. at 202
    . The Court recognized “[t]here is a basic difference between direct
    state interference with a protected activity and state encouragement of an
    alternative activity consonant with legislative policy.” 
    Id. at 193
    (quoting 
    Maher, 432 U.S. at 475
    ). A government restriction on funding certain activities “is not
    denying a benefit to anyone, but is instead simply insisting that public funds be
    spent for the purposes for which they were authorized.” 
    Id. at 196.
    Nor do
    restrictions on funding interfere with appropriate medical care. In the context of
    Title X funding, restrictive regulations “leave the [Title X] grantee unfettered” in
    the services it can perform outside of the Title X project, 
    id., because the
    regulations “govern solely the scope of the Title X project’s activities” and “do not
    in any way restrict the activities of those persons acting as private individuals,” 
    id. at 198–99.
    Further, “the Title X program regulations do not significantly impinge
    upon the doctor-patient relationship” because the doctor and patient may “pursue
    abortion-related activities when they are not acting under the auspices of the Title
    X project,” 
    id. at 200,
    and “[a] doctor’s ability to provide, and a woman’s right to
    receive, information concerning abortion and abortion-related services outside the
    context of the Title X project remains unfettered,” 
    id. at 203.
    The Court
    distinguished the sorts of limitations imposed by the 1988 Rule from a regime “in
    which the Government has placed a condition on the recipient of the subsidy rather
    53
    than on a particular program or service, thus effectively prohibiting the recipient
    from engaging in the protected conduct outside the scope of the federally funded
    program.” 
    Id. at 197
    (emphasis omitted).24
    Rust’s logic applies equally to statutory and constitutional claims. If, as the
    Supreme Court has concluded, a rule implementing the government’s policy
    decision to encourage childbirth rather than abortion does not burden or interfere
    with a client’s health care at all, see 
    Harris, 448 U.S. at 317
    , then it does not matter
    whether the client’s heath care rights were created by the Constitution or a statute.
    The same reasoning applies here and requires us to distinguish between
    § 1554’s prohibition on direct interference with certain health care activities and
    the Final Rule’s directives that ensure government funds are not spent for an
    unauthorized purpose. As in Rust, the Final Rule’s restrictions on funding certain
    activities do not create unreasonable barriers, impede access to health services,
    restrict communications, or otherwise involve “denying a benefit to anyone.” 
    Id. at 196.
    Nor, as Rust explained, do they interfere with appropriate medical care or
    24
    The Supreme Court has repeatedly reaffirmed Rust’s ruling that the
    government may constitutionally preclude recipients of federal funds from
    addressing specified subjects so long as the limitation does not interfere with a
    recipient’s conduct outside the scope of the federally funded program. See Agency
    for Int’l Dev. v. All. for Open Soc’y Int’l, Inc., 
    570 U.S. 205
    , 213 (2013) (citing
    
    Rust, 500 U.S. at 195
    n.4); accord Walker v. Tex. Div., Sons of Confederate
    Veterans, Inc., 
    135 S. Ct. 2239
    , 2246 (2015).
    54
    “significantly impinge upon the doctor-patient relationship.” 
    Id. at 200.
    Rather,
    the Final Rule leaves a grantee “unfettered in its other activities” because it
    governs solely the scope of the services funded by Title X grants, 
    id. at 196,
    and
    doctors and their clients remain free to exchange abortion-related information
    outside the context of the Title X project, 
    id. at 203.
    25 Therefore, the Final Rule’s
    measures to ensure that government funds are spent for the purposes for which
    they were authorized does not violate § 1554’s restrictions on direct regulation of
    certain aspects of care.
    The ACA itself makes clear that § 1554 is meant to prevent direct
    government interference with health care, not to affect Title X funding decisions.
    The most natural reading of § 1554 is that Congress intended to ensure that HHS,
    in implementing the broad authority provided by the ACA, does not improperly
    impose regulatory burdens on doctors and patients. Indeed, by introducing § 1554
    with language focusing on the ACA—that “[n]otwithstanding any other provision
    25
    Plaintiffs and the California district court speculate (without any support
    in the record) that the Final Rule’s referral-list restrictions will delay clients from
    locating abortion providers and thus leave them worse off. See California, 385 F.
    Supp. 3d at 998. This is merely another version of the argument that Congress
    cannot prohibit Title X projects from assisting clients seeking abortion referrals.
    But such an argument has been rejected by the Supreme Court. See 
    Rust, 500 U.S. at 193
    –94 (recognizing that restrictions of this type are permissible to ensure that
    “the limits of [Title X] are observed” so that project grantees and their employees
    do not “engag[e] in activities outside of the project’s scope”).
    55
    of this Act,” HHS may not take certain steps, 42 U.S.C. § 18114—Congress
    showed its intent to ensure that certain interests of individuals and entities would
    be protected notwithstanding the broad scope of the ACA, and that such
    protections would supersede any other provision of the ACA “in the event of a
    clash.” NLRB v. SW Gen., Inc., 
    137 S. Ct. 929
    , 939 (2017) (citations omitted).
    By contrast, the ACA did not seek to alter the relationship between federally
    funded grant programs and abortion in a fundamental way. See, e.g., Pub. L. No.
    111-148, title X, § 10104(c)(2), 124 Stat. at 897 (codified at 42 U.S.C.
    § 18023(c)(2)). Section 10104(c)(2)(A) of the Act provides that “[n]othing in this
    Act shall be construed to have any effect on Federal laws regarding (i) conscience
    protection; (ii) willingness or refusal to provide abortion; and (iii) discrimination
    on the basis of the willingness or refusal to provide, pay for, cover, or refer for
    abortion or to provide or participate in training to provide abortion.” 42 U.S.C.
    § 18023(c)(2)(A). An Executive Order issued shortly after the ACA was passed
    emphasized the ACA’s neutrality regarding abortion issues, stating that “[u]nder
    the Act, longstanding Federal laws to protect conscience . . . remain intact and new
    protections prohibit discrimination against health care facilities and health care
    providers because of an unwillingness to provide, pay for, provide coverage of, or
    refer for abortions.” Ensuring Enforcement and Implementation of Abortion
    56
    Restrictions in the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, Exec. Order No.
    13,535, 75 Fed. Reg. 15,599 (Mar. 24, 2010). Nor did the ACA single out Title X
    for any changes. The ACA mentions Title X only to clarify that Title X providers
    may qualify as “teaching health centers” eligible for funds under a different grant
    program. See Pub. L. No. 111-148, tit. V, § 5508, 124 Stat. at 669–70 (codified at
    42 U.S.C. § 293l-1).
    In short, the ACA did not address the implementation of Congress’s choice
    not to subsidize certain activities. The Final Rule places no substantive barrier on
    individuals’ ability to obtain appropriate medical care or on doctors’ ability to
    57
    communicate with clients or engage in activity when not acting within a Title X
    project, and therefore the Final Rule does not implicate § 1554.26
    In sum, the Final Rule is not contrary to the appropriations rider, § 1554 of
    the ACA, or Title X. Plaintiffs’ claims based on these provisions will not succeed.
    26
    The plaintiffs raise several other arguments that the Final Rule violates
    Title X, but they do not merit much discussion. First, Washington argues that the
    Final Rule violates § 1008’s requirement that “acceptance by any individual of
    family planning services . . . shall be voluntary” because the Final Rule requires
    doctors to provide referrals for prenatal care regardless whether a client asks for
    abortion information. We disagree. The Final Rule preserves the requirement that
    “[a]cceptance of services must be solely on a voluntary basis,” 42 C.F.R.
    § 59.5(a)(2), and nothing in the Final Rule makes acceptance of family planning
    services a “prerequisite to eligibility for or receipt of any other service or
    assistance from, or to participation in, any other program.” 42 U.S.C. § 300a-5.
    Second, some plaintiffs argue, and the Washington district court held, 376 F.
    Supp. 3d at 1130, that the central purpose of Title X is “to equalize access to
    comprehensive, evidence-based, and voluntary family planning” and that the Final
    Rule is inconsistent with this purpose. We disagree. The Supreme Court
    determined that provisions substantially identical with those in the Final Rule were
    consistent with Title X. 
    Rust, 500 U.S. at 178
    –79.
    Finally, Washington argues in passing that 42 C.F.R. § 59.18 is invalid
    because it allows Title X funds to be used “to offer family planing methods and
    services” but not “to build infrastructure for purposes prohibited with these funds,
    such as support for the abortion business of a Title X grantee or subrecipient.” 42
    C.F.R. § 59.18(a) (emphasis added). According to Washington, this provision
    “limits the use of Title X funds for core functions” and therefore violates a
    provision of Title X authorizing the use of funds “to assist in the establishment and
    operation of voluntary family planning projects,” § 1001; 42 U.S.C. § 300. This
    argument is meritless, because § 59.18 merely harmonizes § 1001 with § 1008’s
    prohibition on the use of Title X funds “in programs where abortion is a method of
    family planning.” § 1008; 42 U.S.C. § 300a-6.
    58
    Accordingly, plaintiffs have not demonstrated likelihood of success on the merits
    based on these grounds. See 
    Winter, 555 U.S. at 20
    .
    IV
    We now turn to plaintiffs’ arguments that the Final Rule is arbitrary and
    capricious under the APA.27 The APA requires a reviewing court to “hold
    unlawful and set aside agency action, findings, and conclusions found to be . . .
    arbitrary [or] capricious.” 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A). Our review under this directive is
    narrow and deferential. Dep’t of Commerce v. New York, 
    139 S. Ct. 2551
    , 2569
    (2019). We “must uphold a rule if the agency has examined the relevant
    considerations and articulated a satisfactory explanation for its action, including a
    rational connection between the facts found and the choice made.” FERC v. Elec.
    Power Supply Ass’n, 
    136 S. Ct. 760
    , 782 (2016) (cleaned up). “Th[is] requirement
    is satisfied when the agency’s explanation is clear enough that its path may
    reasonably be discerned,” Encino Motorcars, LLC v. Navarro, 
    136 S. Ct. 2117
    ,
    2125 (2016) (internal quotation marks omitted), even where an agency’s decision
    27
    While the district court in Oregon found only “serious questions going to
    the merits of [the] claims that the Final Rule is arbitrary and capricious,” 389 F.
    Supp. 3d at 903, the California district court went further and concluded that the
    promulgation of the Final Rule was, in fact, arbitrary and capricious, 
    385 F. Supp. 3d
    at 1000. Rather than review these determinations separately, we consolidate our
    analysis given that the Final Rule is not arbitrary and capricious as a matter of law.
    59
    is “of less than ideal clarity,” FCC v. Fox Television Stations, Inc., 
    556 U.S. 502
    ,
    513 (2009).
    We defer to the agency’s expertise in interpreting the record and to “the
    agency’s predictive judgment” on relevant questions. 
    Id. at 521;
    see also Trout
    Unlimited v. Lohn, 
    559 F.3d 946
    , 959 (9th Cir. 2009). “It is well established that
    an agency’s predictive judgments about areas that are within the agency’s field of
    discretion and expertise are entitled to particularly deferential review, so long as
    they are reasonable.” BNSF Ry. Co. v. Surface Transp. Bd., 
    526 F.3d 770
    , 781
    (D.C. Cir. 2008) (quoting Wis. Pub. Power, Inc. v. FERC, 
    493 F.3d 239
    , 260 (D.C.
    Cir. 2007)). Agency predictions of how regulated parties will respond to its
    regulations do not require “complete factual support in the record” and
    “necessarily involve[] deductions based on the expert knowledge of the agency.”
    FCC v. Nat’l Citizens Comm. for Broad., 
    436 U.S. 775
    , 814 (1978) (internal
    quotation marks omitted).28
    28
    The district courts relied on the predictions and opinions of experts
    provided by plaintiffs. See, e.g., California, 
    385 F. Supp. 3d
    at 1015–19; 
    Oregon, 389 F. Supp. 3d at 918
    ; 
    Washington, 376 F. Supp. 3d at 1131
    . But it is not our job
    to weigh evidence or pick the more persuasive opinions and predictions. Rather,
    the agency has discretion to rely on its own expertise “even if, as an original
    matter, a court might find contrary views more persuasive.” Lands Council v.
    McNair, 
    629 F.3d 1070
    , 1074 (9th Cir. 2010) (internal quotations marks omitted).
    60
    We also defer to the agency’s expertise in identifying the appropriate course
    of action. With respect to the agency’s final decision, we cannot “ask whether a
    regulatory decision is the best one possible or even whether it is better than the
    alternatives.” Elec. Power Supply 
    Ass’n, 136 S. Ct. at 782
    . Nor may we
    “substitute our judgment for that of the [agency].” Dep’t of 
    Commerce, 139 S. Ct. at 2569
    . We are also prohibited from “second-guessing the [agency]’s weighing of
    risks and benefits and penalizing [it] for departing from the . . . inferences and
    assumptions” of others. 
    Id. at 2571.
    Nor do we give heightened review to agency action that “changes prior
    policy.” 
    Fox, 556 U.S. at 514
    . The APA “makes no distinction . . . between initial
    agency action and subsequent agency action undoing or revising that action.” 
    Id. at 514–15.
    Initial agency determinations are “not instantly carved in stone.”
    
    Chevron, 467 U.S. at 863
    . Of course, the “requirement that an agency provide
    reasoned explanation for its action would ordinarily demand that [the agency]
    display awareness that it is changing position” and “that there are good reasons for
    the new policy.” 
    Fox, 556 U.S. at 515
    . For example, an agency may not “depart
    from a prior policy sub silentio or simply disregard rules that are still on the
    books.” 
    Id. Likewise, “[i]t
    would be arbitrary or capricious to ignore,” where
    applicable, that “its new policy rests upon factual findings that contradict those
    61
    which underlay its prior policy,” or that “its prior policy has engendered serious
    reliance interests that must be taken into account.” 
    Id. But under
    our narrow
    review, an agency “need not demonstrate to a court’s satisfaction that the reasons
    for the new policy are better than the reasons for the old one; it suffices that the
    new policy is permissible under the statute, that there are good reasons for it, and
    that the agency believes it to be better, which the conscious change of course
    adequately indicates.” 
    Id. In sum,
    we “must confine ourselves to ensuring that
    [the agency] remained within the bounds of reasoned decisionmaking.” Dep’t of
    
    Commerce, 139 S. Ct. at 2569
    (internal quotation marks omitted).
    Plaintiffs argue that several aspects of the Final Rule are arbitrary and
    capricious: (1) the physical and financial separation requirement; (2) HHS’s
    overall cost-benefit analysis; (3) the counseling and referral restrictions; (4) the
    requirement that pregnancy counseling be provided only by medical doctors or
    advanced practice providers; and (5) the requirement that family planning options
    be “acceptable and effective,” rather than also “medically approved.” We consider
    these arguments in turn.
    A
    Plaintiffs first argue that HHS’s promulgation of the physical and financial
    separation requirement in 42 C.F.R. § 59.15 was arbitrary and capricious because
    62
    HHS failed to substantiate an adequate need for the requirement and ignored the
    predictions of some commenters that the requirement would have a significant
    adverse impact on the Title X network and client health.
    We disagree. HHS examined the relevant considerations and provided a
    reasoned analysis for adopting this provision. See Elec. Power Supply 
    Ass’n, 136 S. Ct. at 782
    . It stated its primary reason for reestablishing the requirement was
    that physical separation would more effectively implement § 1008. 84 Fed. Reg. at
    7764. While the financial separation required by the 2000 Rule was a necessary
    component of § 1008’s implementation, HHS explained, physical separation was
    equally required given Congress’s mandate that Title X funds not support
    programs in any location “‘where’ abortion is offered as a method of family
    planning.” 
    Id. at 7765
    (emphasis added). HHS also expressly adopted the 1988
    Rule’s rationale for physical and financial separation upheld in Rust, 
    id., and gave
    ample additional reasons supporting this conclusion.
    First, HHS pointed to the public confusion caused when physical separation
    was lacking. 
    Id. According to
    HHS, the performance of abortion services and
    Title X-funded services in the same location engendered confusion and rendered it
    “often difficult for patients, or the public, to know when or where Title X services
    end and non-Title X services involving abortion begin.” 
    Id. at 7764.
    This
    63
    confusion was evidenced by comments HHS had received on the Final Rule;
    according to HHS, many commenters seemed wholly unaware of the fact that
    Title X explicitly excludes funding for projects where abortion is a method of
    family planning. 
    Id. at 7729.
    HHS could reasonably conclude that the physical
    separation requirements could help minimize the appearance that the government is
    funding abortion as a method of family planning. See Brief of Amici Curiae Ohio
    and 12 Other States in Support of Defendants-Appellants and Reversal at 16–19,
    California v. Azar, Nos. 19-15974 & 19-15979 (9th Cir. June 7, 2009)
    (emphasizing the importance to many citizens of putting “a greater distance
    between public funding and abortion-performing entities,” and noting that at least
    18 states have enacted laws designed to avoid even the appearance that state
    healthcare funds are being used to support entities involved in abortion services.).
    Second, HHS concluded that performing all services in the same facility
    “create[s] a risk of the intentional or unintentional use of Title X funds for
    impermissible purposes, the co-mingling of Title X funds, . . . and the use of
    Title X funds to develop infrastructure that is used for the abortion activities of
    Title X clinics.” 84 Fed. Reg. at 7764. This risk is not speculative. As HHS
    explained, economies of scale and shared overhead achieved through collocation of
    a Title X clinic and an abortion-providing clinic effectively support the provision
    64
    of abortion. See 
    id. at 7766.
    HHS relied in part on recent studies that show
    abortions are increasingly being performed at facilities that had historically
    focused on providing contraceptive and family planning services (the typical
    profile of facilities that receive Title X funds), which supports the inference that a
    growing number of Title X recipients may perform abortions at facilities that also
    offer Title X-funded services. 
    Id. at 7765
    .
    In reaching its conclusion, HHS responded to commenters’ concerns in
    detail. HHS first noted the concern that requiring physical and financial separation
    “would increase the cost for doing business.” 
    Id. at 7766.
    HHS explained that
    such comments confirmed its concern that Title X funds were directly or indirectly
    supporting abortion as a method of family planning. 
    Id. “Money is
    fungible,”
    Holder v. Humanitarian Law Project, 
    561 U.S. 1
    , 31 (2010), and HHS reasonably
    concluded that “flexibility in the use of Title X funds under the 2000 [Rule]”
    allowed grantees to use Title X funds to “build infrastructure that can be used for
    [prohibited] purposes . . . such as support for the abortion business of a Title X
    grantee,” 84 Fed. Reg. at 7773, 7774.
    Next, with respect to those Title X projects that would need to make changes
    to comply with the separation requirements, HHS predicted that the costs of
    compliance would not be as significant as some commenters predicted. 
    Id. at 7781
    65
    (noting such commenters “did not provide sufficient data to estimate these
    [predicted] effects across the Title X program”). HHS discounted the predictions,
    which relied on “assumptions that [providers] would have to build new facilities in
    order to comply with the requirements.” 
    Id. Rather, HHS
    predicted that most
    entities would likely choose lower cost methods of compliance. 
    Id. For example,
    “Title X providers which operate multiple physically separated facilities and
    perform abortions may shift their abortion services, and potentially other services
    not financed by Title X, to distinct facilities, a change which likely entails only
    minor costs.” 
    Id. HHS explained
    that the Final Rule permitted “case-by-case
    determinations on whether physical separation is sufficiently achieved to take the
    unique circumstances of each program into consideration,” and that “[p]roject
    officers are available to help grantees successfully implement the Title X program”
    and to come up with “a workable plan” for compliance. 
    Id. at 7766.
    Finally, HHS addressed the “contention of some commenters that the
    physical and financial separation requirements will destabilize the network of
    Title X providers,” upset the reliance interests of providers who have incurred
    costs relying on HHS’s previous regulations, and “exacerbate health inequalities or
    harm patient care.” 
    Id. HHS disagreed
    with the commenters’ predictions that the
    separation requirements would result in a significant departure of Title X providers
    66
    from the program, explaining that the Final Rule “continues to allow organizations
    to receive Title X funds even if they also provide abortion as a method of family
    planning, as long as they comply with” the separation requirements. 
    Id. HHS further
    noted that a Congressional Research Service report estimated that only 10
    percent of clinics that receive Title X funding offer abortion as a method of family
    planning. 
    Id. at 7781
    . And while some Title X providers “may share resources
    with unaffiliated entities that offer abortion as a method of family planning,” HHS
    estimated that only around 20 percent of all Title X service sites had “their Title X
    services and abortion services . . . currently collocated” such that they would be
    materially impacted by the separation requirements. 
    Id. Accordingly, HHS
    concluded that the separation requirements would have only “minimal effect on the
    majority of current Title X providers.” 
    Id. At the
    same time, HHS predicted that providers who were willing to comply
    with the new requirements would expand their services and that other provisions of
    the Final Rule would encourage new “individuals and institutions to participate in
    the Title X program.” 
    Id. at 7766.
    For example, HHS expected “that honoring
    statutory protections of conscience in Title X may increase the number of providers
    in the program,” because providers or entities would now “know they will be
    protected from discrimination on the basis of conscience with respect to counseling
    67
    on, or referring for, abortion.” 
    Id. at 7780.
    HHS cited a poll by the Christian
    Medical Association showing that faith-based medical professionals would limit
    the scope of their practice without conscience protections; HHS reasoned the Final
    Rule’s prohibition on abortion referral and removal of the 2000 Rule’s abortion
    counseling requirement would allow such professionals to enter the Title X
    program. 
    Id. at 7780
    n.138.29 And while HHS acknowledged that it “cannot
    calculate or anticipate future turnover in grantees,” under HHS’s “best estimates,”
    it did “not anticipate that there will be a decrease in the overall number of facilities
    29
    HHS’s inferences regarding the data’s implication for Title X applications
    is within HHS’s core area of expertise and therefore entitled to deference. See
    Trout 
    Unlimited, 559 F.3d at 959
    ; BNSF Ry. 
    Co., 526 F.3d at 781
    . The dissent’s de
    novo evaluation of the study is not entitled to such deference. See Dissent at
    24–25.
    68
    offering services, since it anticipates other, new entities will apply for funds, or
    seek to participate as subrecipients, as a result of the final rule.” 
    Id. at 7782.30
    Plaintiffs, in effect, argue that HHS’s determination was arbitrary and
    capricious because the agency relied on its own predictions and rejected those
    submitted by commenters opposing the Final Rule. We reject this argument
    because HHS’s predictive judgments about the Final Rule’s effect on the
    availability of Title X services are entitled to deference. See Trout 
    Unlimited, 559 F.3d at 959
    . Here, the predictions concern matters squarely within HHS’s “field of
    discretion and expertise.” BNSF Ry. 
    Co., 526 F.3d at 781
    (quoting Wis. Pub.
    
    Power, 493 F.3d at 260
    ). As the agency tasked with implementing the grant
    program, HHS is in the best position to anticipate the behavior of grantees and
    prospective grantees. HHS reasonably considered the evidence before it, where
    30
    In supporting its argument that HHS’s cost-benefit analysis is arbitrary
    and capricious, the dissent looks outside the record to argue that some grantees,
    such as Planned Parenthood, have voluntarily terminated their participation in Title
    X. See Dissent at 22 & n.15. Of course, such post hoc, extra-record evidence
    cannot be a basis for determining whether HHS’s promulgation of the Final Rule
    was arbitrary and capricious. In any event, the dissent’s extra-record observation is
    misleading: HHS has issued supplemental grant awards to other Title X recipients
    that, in HHS’s estimation, “will enable grantees to come close to—if not [in excess
    of]—prior Title X patient coverage,” Press Release, Dep’t Health & Human Servs.,
    HHS Issues Supplemental Grant Awards to Title X Recipients (Sept. 30, 2019),
    https://www.hhs.gov/about/news/2019/09/30/hhs-issues-supplemental-grant-award
    s-to-title-x-recipients.html.
    69
    “complete factual support” for any prediction was “not possible or required,” Nat’l
    Citizens Comm. for 
    Broad., 436 U.S. at 814
    , such that its decision “remained
    ‘within the bounds of reasoned decisionmaking,’” Dep’t of 
    Commerce, 139 S. Ct. at 2569
    (quoting Baltimore Gas & Elec. Co. v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc., 
    462 U.S. 87
    , 105 (1983)). Although the commenters opposing the Final Rule provided
    numerous expert declarations elaborating their gloomy assumptions about the
    future behavior and activities of current and future Title X grantees, at bottom such
    future-looking “pessimistic” predictions and assumptions are “simply evidence for
    the [agency] to consider,” Dep’t of 
    Commerce, 139 S. Ct. at 2571
    , and are not
    entitled to controlling weight.31 HHS need not produce “some special justification
    for drawing [its] own inferences and adopting [its] own assumptions.” 
    Id. 31 Department
    of Commerce held that it was not arbitrary and capricious for
    the Secretary of Commerce to decline to rely on the conclusions of the
    “technocratic” experts in the Census 
    Bureau. 139 S. Ct. at 2571
    . So too here:
    HHS may reasonably decide not to rely on the opinions of outside commenters,
    even where they claim expertise. The dissent insinuates that reliance on
    Department of Commerce is misplaced because “the Court struck down the
    Secretary of Commerce’s attempt to reinstate the citizenship question on the
    census.” Dissent at 23 n.15. But the Court “d[id] not hold that the agency decision
    . . . was substantively invalid”; it merely affirmed the district court’s decision to
    remand to the agency due to a perceived “mismatch between the decision the
    Secretary made and the rationale provided.” Dep’t of 
    Commerce, 139 S. Ct. at 2575
    –76. Here, there is no “disconnect between the decision [HHS] made and the
    explanation given,” 
    id. at 2575,
    so the grounds on which Department of Commerce
    ultimately affirmed the decision to remand are irrelevant.
    70
    Although plaintiffs and the dissent have reached a different conclusion, we
    consider only whether the agency examined the relevant considerations and laid a
    reasonably discernable path.
    In light of HHS’s reasoned explanation of its decisions and its consideration
    of the comments raised, we reject plaintiffs’ arguments that HHS failed to base its
    decision on evidence, failed to consider potential harms in its cost-benefit analysis,
    failed to explain its reasons for departing from the 2000 Rule’s provisions, and
    failed to consider the reliance interest of providers who have incurred costs relying
    on HHS’s previous regulation. The Final Rule’s separation requirements are not
    arbitrary and capricious.
    B
    Plaintiffs and the dissent make a similar argument that HHS’s cost-benefit
    analysis of the Final Rule was arbitrary and capricious. Dissent at 21–28. They
    argue that HHS ignored the commenters who predicted the Final Rule would cause
    an exodus of Title X providers and have a deleterious effect on client care, and
    instead relied on its own predictions about the Final Rule’s benefits.
    Like plaintiffs’ challenge to the physical and financial separation
    requirements, the challenge to HHS’s cost-benefit analysis fails. HHS considered
    and addressed “the concern expressed by some commenters regarding the effect of
    71
    this rule on quality and accessibility of Title X services,” and explained its reasons
    for relying on its own predictions regarding the likely behavior of current and
    future Title X grantees. 84 Fed. Reg. at 7780. HHS likewise rejected the
    “extremely high cost estimates” for compliance with the separation requirements,
    reasoning that providers would tend to seek out lower cost options, such as shifting
    abortion services to distinct facilities rather than constructing new ones. 
    Id. at 7781
    –82.32 HHS was not required to accept the commenters’ “pessimistic” cost
    predictions, Dep’t of 
    Commerce, 139 S. Ct. at 2571
    , and the agency adequately
    explained why it did not expect grantees to participate in a mass rejection of
    32
    The dissent asserts that HHS “calculated [the] costs of compliance with
    the physical separation requirement in a ‘mystifying’ way.” Dissent at 22 n.16
    (quoting California, 
    385 F. Supp. 3d
    at 1008). But there is nothing “mystifying”
    about HHS’s cost estimates. HHS estimated that between 10 and 30 percent of all
    Title X projects would need to be evaluated to determine compliance with the
    physical separation requirements. 84 Fed. Reg. at 7781. It then predicted that such
    evaluations would determine that between 10 to 20 percent of the evaluated sites
    do not comply with the physical separation requirements. 
    Id. “At each
    of these
    service sites, [HHS] estimates that an average of between $20,000 and $40,000,
    with a central estimate of $30,000, would be incurred to come into compliance
    with physical separation requirements in the first year following publication of a
    final rule in this rulemaking.” 
    Id. at 7781
    –82. HHS then added together the costs
    of conducting the evaluations and bringing non-compliant facilities into
    compliance, and concluded its estimates “would imply costs of $36.08 million in
    the first year following publication of a final rule.” 
    Id. at 7782.
    Based solely on
    statements made by plaintiffs’ lawyers during oral argument, the dissent speculates
    that HHS’s cost estimates were too optimistic. Dissent at 22 n.16. But we need
    not favor plaintiffs’ pessimistic cost estimates over those provided by HHS. See
    Dep’t of 
    Commerce, 139 S. Ct. at 2571
    .
    72
    Title X funds, see 84 Fed. Reg. at 7766. In light of HHS’s conclusion that an
    ample number of Title X projects would continue to provide family planning
    services, HHS reasonably concluded that the harms flowing from a gap in care
    would not develop. See 
    id. at 7775,
    7782. We give substantial deference to such
    predictive judgments within the scope of HHS’s expertise. Trout 
    Unlimited, 559 F.3d at 959
    . On this record, we will not second-guess HHS’s consideration of the
    risks and benefits of its action. See Dep’t of 
    Commerce, 139 S. Ct. at 2571
    .
    C
    Plaintiffs next assert that the referral restrictions are arbitrary and capricious.
    They first argue that HHS failed to justify the need for this provision adequately.
    We disagree. HHS stated it was reestablishing the 1988 Rule for referrals because
    it concluded that the 2000 Rule was inconsistent with § 1008. Under HHS’s
    interpretation of § 1008, “in most instances when a referral is provided for
    abortion, that referral necessarily treats abortion as a method of family planning.”
    84 Fed. Reg. at 7717. Further, HHS concluded that the 2000 Rule’s requirement
    that Title X projects provide abortion referrals and nondirective counseling on
    abortion was inconsistent with federal conscience laws. 
    Id. at 7716.
    HHS
    referenced its 2008 nondiscrimination regulations, which had reached the same
    conclusion. 
    Id. (quoting 73
    Fed. Reg. at 78,087). HHS also explained that
    73
    eliminating the 2000 Rule’s counseling and referral requirements would “reduce
    the regulatory burden [on HHS] associated with monitoring and regulating Title X
    providers for compliance,” 
    id. at 7719,
    “add clarity to extant conscience
    protections, [and make] it easier for entities to participate who may have felt
    unable to do so in the past,” 
    id. at 7778.
    In sum, HHS engaged in “reasoned
    decisionmaking.” Dep’t of 
    Commerce, 139 S. Ct. at 2569
    .33
    Plaintiffs next argue that HHS did not justify the need for the counseling and
    referral restrictions because non-objecting health care staff could provide
    counseling and referrals for abortion without violating the federal conscience laws.
    Therefore, plaintiffs urge, HHS’s reliance on federal conscience laws as
    justification was arbitrary and capricious. We reject this argument, because it
    amounts to little more than the claim that HHS should have adopted plaintiffs’
    preferred regulatory approach. But HHS acted well within its authority in deciding
    how best to avoid conflict with the federal conscience laws. We do not “ask
    whether a regulatory decision is the best one possible or even whether it is better
    33
    The plaintiffs’ argument that the referral restrictions are arbitrary and
    capricious because they conflict with guidelines in the QFP is meritless, because
    these guidelines were based on the 2000 Rule, and are superseded by the Final
    Rule. See Dep’t Health & Human Servs., Announcement of Availability of Funds
    for Title X Family Planning Services Grants, at 14–15 (2019).
    74
    than the alternatives.” Elec. Power Supply 
    Ass’n, 136 S. Ct. at 782
    . Rather, we
    defer to the agency’s reasoned conclusion.
    Plaintiffs also argue that HHS failed to consider claims by some commenters
    that the restrictions would require “providers to violate their ethical obligations to
    stay in the program” because they require “providers to withhold information about
    abortion (including referral) that the patient needs,” and to provide “a biased and
    misleading list of primary health care providers.”34 But HHS specifically
    34
    The dissent repeatedly echoes the plaintiffs’ claims that the Final Rule
    contradicts or violates medical ethics because it limits Title X projects from
    encouraging and supporting abortion and from referring clients to abortion
    providers. See Dissent at 12–13, 19–20 & n.13. Despite the dissent’s and
    plaintiffs’ ethical claims, neither cites an opinion from the AMA’s Code of
    Medical Ethics directly addressing abortion. See, e.g., Dissent at 20 n.13. Rather,
    the dissent and plaintiffs cite more general guidance regarding a physician’s
    obligation to inform the patient regarding “treatment alternatives” for medical
    conditions; because a nontherapeutic abortion is not a “treatment” option for a
    medical condition but rather a procedure for terminating a healthy pregnancy, such
    guidance does not directly relate to this issue.
    It is not surprising that medical ethical rules are not as absolute as the dissent
    claims; as noted in Roe v. Wade, the AMA’s views of medical ethics and abortion
    changed from a condemnation of the “unwarrantable destruction of human life” to
    the conclusion that abortions could properly be performed in some circumstances.
    
    410 U.S. 113
    , 142 (1973). Despite greater public acceptance of abortion today, the
    issue raise controversial ethical questions, as demonstrated by (among other things)
    the continued enactment of federal conscience laws and public comments urging
    HHS to protect physicians’ ability to decline to counsel on or refer for abortion.
    See 84 Fed. Reg. at 7746–47; see also Brief of Amici Curiae Ohio, supra at 16
    (many citizens “believe that permitting abortion providers or advocates to
    (continued...)
    75
    addressed those concerns. It stated that the counseling and referral restrictions
    would not result in ethical violations because the Final Rule permitted providers to
    give “nondirective pregnancy counseling to pregnant Title X clients on the
    patient’s pregnancy options, including abortion.” 84 Fed. Reg. at 7724.35 HHS
    reasoned that the Final Rule allows physicians “to discuss the risks and side effects
    of each option, [including abortion,] so long as this counsel in no way promotes or
    refers for abortion as a method of family planning.” 
    Id. A client
    may “ask
    questions and . . . have those questions answered by a medical professional.” 
    Id. HHS also
    noted that where care is medically necessary, referral for that care is
    required, notwithstanding the Final Rule’s other requirements. 
    Id. Consistent with
    Rust, HHS concluded that “it is not necessary for women’s health that the federal
    government use the Title X program to fund abortion referrals, directive abortion
    counseling, or give to women who seek abortion the names of abortion providers.”
    34
    (...continued)
    participate in providing a government-funded service implies a public imprimatur
    on abortion—an imprimatur that citizens legitimately seek to withhold”).
    35
    The dissent argues that in reaching this conclusion, HHS contradicted its
    prior conclusion in the 2000 Rule as to “what medical ethics demand.” Dissent at
    19. But HHS did not provide an opinion on this issue when it overruled its prior
    1988 Rule; it merely referenced the views of commenters, without adopting those
    views as its own. See 65 Fed. Reg. at 41,273. Thus, the dissent’s argument that
    HHS “changed its position on what medical ethics demand” is meritless.
    76
    
    Id. at 7746.36
    These statements show HHS examined the relevant considerations
    arising from commenters citing medical ethics and rationally articulated an
    explanation for its conclusion. See Elec. Power Supply 
    Ass’n, 136 S. Ct. at 782
    .
    Because HHS’s decisionmaking path “may reasonably be discerned,” Dep’t
    of 
    Commerce, 139 S. Ct. at 2578
    , we reject plaintiffs’ claims that the counseling
    and referral restrictions are arbitrary and capricious.
    D
    We next consider plaintiffs’ claim that the Final Rule’s requirement that all
    pregnancy counseling be provided by medical doctors or advanced practice
    providers is arbitrary and capricious. Plaintiffs argue that because HHS defined
    the term “advanced practice providers” too narrowly, and did not have a reasoned
    36
    Rust rejected ethical arguments similar to those raised here. 
    See 500 U.S. at 213
    –14 (Blackmun, J. dissenting) (arguing that “the ethical responsibilities of
    the medical profession demand” that a physician be free to inform patients about
    abortion). According to the Court, “the Title X program regulations do not
    significantly impinge upon the doctor-patient relationship” because, among other
    reasons, “the doctor-patient relationship established by the Title X program [is not]
    sufficiently all encompassing so as to justify an expectation on the part of the
    patient of comprehensive medical advice,” and “a doctor’s silence with regard to
    abortion cannot reasonably be thought to mislead a client into thinking that the
    doctor does not consider abortion an appropriate option for her,” given that “[t]he
    program does not provide post conception medical care.” 
    Id. at 200.
    And under
    the Final Rule, as under the 1988 Rule, “[t]he doctor is always free to make clear
    that advice regarding abortion is simply beyond the scope of the program.” 
    Id. 77 basis
    for drawing the line at which medical professionals may provide pregnancy
    counseling, the provision is arbitrary and capricious.
    We disagree. HHS explained that, in its judgment, “medical professionals
    who receive at least a graduate level degree in the relevant medical field and
    maintain a federal or State-level certification and licensure to diagnose, treat, and
    counsel patients . . . are qualified, due to their advanced education, licensing, and
    certification to diagnose and treat patients while advancing medical education and
    clinical research.” 84 Fed. Reg. at 7728.37 We have no basis to conclude that this
    line-drawing determination, an inherently discretionary task, “is so implausible”
    that a difference with plaintiffs’ views “could not be ascribed to a difference in
    view or the product of agency expertise.” Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n of U.S., Inc.
    v. State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983). Accordingly, we reject
    plaintiffs’ arguments that HHS’s technical determination of which medical
    professionals may provide pregnancy counseling is arbitrary and capricious.
    E
    37
    Although the dissent asserts that this requirement will “reduce the number
    of people who can provide pregnancy counseling and . . . require significant
    changes in Title X providers’ staffing,” Dissent at 23, HHS’s definition covers a
    wide range of licensed medical professionals that HHS reasonably deemed
    qualified to provide health care advice, including physician assistants, certified
    nurse practitioners, clinical nurse specialists, certified registered nurse anesthetist,
    and certified nurse-midwifes, see 42 C.F.R. § 59.2.
    78
    Finally, we reject plaintiffs’ argument that HHS was arbitrary and capricious
    in reestablishing the language of the 1988 Rule’s requirement that all family
    planning methods and services be “acceptable and effective,” instead of retaining
    the 2000 Rule’s revision requiring that such methods and services also be
    “medically approved.” 84 Fed. Reg. at 7732.
    HHS adequately explained its reasons for reestablishing the 1988 Rule.
    HHS explained that the change was intended to “ensure that the regulatory
    language is consistent with the statutory language,” 
    id. at 7740,
    which requires
    Title X projects to “offer a broad range of acceptable and effective family
    planning methods and services,” 42 U.S.C. § 300(a). HHS also explained that the
    meaning of “medically approved” was unclear. 84 Fed. Reg. at 7741. “For
    example, would approval by one medical doctor suffice, or would some larger
    number need to approve, and if so, how many; would certain medical
    organizations, or governmental organizations, or both, need to approve, and if so,
    which ones; would a certain level of medical consensus need to exist concerning a
    particular method or service, and if so, how would the Department measure that
    consensus; and when doctors and medical organizations disagree either about a
    family planning method or service, how would that requirement apply?” 
    Id. at 7732.
    79
    HHS also explained its rejection of the comment suggesting the phrase
    “medically approved” means “FDA approved.” HHS stated that “[s]ome family
    planning methods cannot be medically approved by . . . the [FDA], because they do
    not fall within its jurisdiction,” and provided examples, such as fertility-awareness
    based methods of family planning. 
    Id. at 7741
    & n.69. In HHS’s judgment, “[t]his
    did not mean that such methods of family planning are unacceptable or ineffective
    in the view of medical sources.” 
    Id. at 7741
    . Accordingly, HHS determined that
    “[t]he statutory language of ‘acceptable and effective family methods or services,’
    without the phrase ‘medically approved[,]’ provides sufficient guidance to Title X
    projects in considering the types of family planning methods and services that they
    provide.” 
    Id. HHS likewise
    sufficiently addressed comments that its decision to omit the
    phrase “medically approved” would promote political ideology over science, lead
    to negative health consequences for clients, and undermine recommendations from
    other agencies. See 
    id. at 7740–41.
    We defer to HHS’s reasonable conclusion that
    Title X’s statutory requirement that family planning methods and services must be
    “acceptable and effective” sufficiently prohibits Title X projects from engaging in
    health fraud or quackery. 
    Id. at 7741
    .
    80
    Because HHS “examined the relevant considerations and articulated a
    satisfactory explanation for its action,” Elec. Power Supply 
    Ass’n, 136 S. Ct. at 782
    (cleaned up), we reject plaintiffs’ argument that this change was arbitrary and
    capricious.
    In sum, we hold that the Final Rule is not arbitrary and capricious.
    ***
    Because plaintiffs’ claims will not succeed given our resolution of the
    underlying legal questions, we end our analysis here. See 
    Munaf, 553 U.S. at 691
    ;
    
    Garcia, 786 F.3d at 740
    . We hold that the Final Rule is a reasonable interpretation
    of § 1008, it does not conflict with the 1996 appropriations rider or other aspects of
    Title X, and its implementation of the limits on what Title X funds can support
    does not implicate the restrictions found in § 1554 of the ACA. Moreover, the
    Final Rule is not arbitrary and capricious because HHS properly examined the
    relevant considerations and gave reasonable explanations. See Elec. Power Supply
    
    Ass’n, 136 S. Ct. at 782
    . Plaintiffs will not prevail on the merits of their legal
    claims, so they are not entitled to the “extraordinary remedy” of a preliminary
    injunction. See 
    Winter, 555 U.S. at 22
    . Accordingly, the district courts’
    preliminary injunction orders are vacated and the cases are remanded for further
    81
    proceedings consistent with this opinion. The government’s motion for a stay
    pending appeal is denied as moot.
    VACATED AND REMANDED.38
    38
    Costs on appeal shall be taxed against plaintiffs.
    82
    FILED
    State of California v. Azar, No. 19-15974+                                      FEB 24 2020
    MOLLY C. DWYER, CLERK
    PAEZ, Circuit Judge, joined by THOMAS, Chief Judge, WARDLAW and U.S. COURT OF APPEALS
    FLETCHER, Circuit Judges, dissenting:
    Millions of Americans depend on Title X for their health care, including
    lifesaving breast and cervical cancer screenings, HIV testing, and infertility and
    contraceptive services. Congress created the Title X program in 1970 to ensure
    that family planning services would be “readily available to all persons desiring
    such services,” Pub. L. No. 91-572 § 2, 84 Stat. 1504 (1970), and entrusted the
    United States Department of Health and Human Services (“HHS”) with the
    responsibility of disbursing Title X funds to health care providers serving low-
    income Americans.
    Since then, Congress has twice circumscribed HHS’s authority in
    administering the Title X program. First, Congress directed that the health care
    providers who receive Title X funds inform pregnant patients of their options
    without advocating one choice over another. Second, Congress barred HHS from
    promulgating regulations that burden patients’ access to health care, interfere with
    communications between patients and their health care providers, or delay patients’
    access to care.
    In 2019, HHS promulgated the regulations at issue in this litigation (“the
    Rule”). See Compliance with Statutory Program Integrity Requirements, 84 Fed.
    1
    Reg. 7714 (Mar. 4, 2019). Among other things, the Rule gags health care
    providers from fully counseling women about their options while pregnant and
    requires them to steer women toward childbirth (the “Gag Rule”). It also requires
    providers to physically and financially separate any abortion services they provide
    (through non-Title X funding sources) from all other health care services they
    deliver (the “Separation Requirement”).
    Three separate district courts in well-reasoned opinions recognized that the
    Rule breaches Congress’s limitations on the scope of HHS’s authority and enjoined
    enforcement of the Rule.1 In vacating the district courts’ preliminary injunctions,
    the majority sanctions the agency’s gross overreach and puts its own policy
    preferences before the law. Women 2 and their families will suffer for it. I strongly
    dissent.
    ***
    1
    See Oregon v. Azar (Oregon), 
    389 F. Supp. 3d 898
    (D. Or. 2019); State of
    California v. Azar (California), 
    385 F. Supp. 3d 960
    (N.D. Cal. 2019); Washington
    v. Azar (Washington), 
    376 F. Supp. 3d 1119
    (E.D. Wash. 2019).
    2
    While the Rule disproportionately impacts women, people of all genders rely on
    Title X services, can become pregnant, and will suffer the consequences of the
    Rule. See, e.g., Cal. Code Regs., tit. 2, § 11035(g) (defining individuals eligible
    for pregnancy accommodation as including “transgender employee[s] who [are]
    disabled by pregnancy”); Jessica A. Clarke, They Them, and Theirs, 132 Harv. L.
    Rev. 894, 954 (2019) (“People of all gender identities can be pregnant[.]”); see
    also Juno Obedin-Maliver & Harvey J. Makadon, Transgender Men and
    Pregnancy, 9 Obstetric Med., 4, 5 (2016).
    2
    The majority would return us to an older world, one in which a government
    bureaucrat could restrict a medical professional from informing a patient of the full
    range of health care options available to her. Fortunately, Congress has ensured
    such federal intrusion is no longer the law of the land.
    The majority heavily relies, mistakenly, on Rust v. Sullivan and Harris v.
    McRae, decisions that held the Constitution confers no affirmative entitlement to
    state subsidization of abortion. Maj. Op. 11–15, 46 n.21, 51–55; Rust, 
    500 U.S. 173
    , 201 (1991); McRae, 
    448 U.S. 297
    , 318 (1980); see also Webster v.
    Reproductive Health Services, 
    492 U.S. 490
    , 509 (1989); Maher v. Roe, 
    432 U.S. 464
    , 474 (1977). “Whether freedom of choice that is constitutionally protected
    warrants federal subsidization,” the Court reasoned in McRae, “is a question for
    Congress to answer, not a matter of constitutional 
    entitlement.” 448 U.S. at 318
    .
    It is constitutionally permissible to “leave[] an indigent woman with at least the
    same range of choice in deciding whether to obtain a medically necessary abortion
    as she would have had if Congress had chosen to subsidize no health care costs at
    all.” 
    Id. at 317.
    In other words, Congress can choose to disburse its funds
    however it likes. I do not take issue with that principle.
    The problem for the majority’s position is that Congress has in fact chosen
    to disburse public funds differently since the days of Rust. Perhaps recognizing
    that medical ethics and gender norms have evolved, Congress in 1996 and again in
    3
    2010 enacted statutory protections that exceed the constitutional floor set decades
    ago. In 1996 (and every year since) Congress clarified that its decision not to
    subsidize abortion does not prohibit pregnancy counseling on the range of
    women’s options; to the contrary, Congress explicitly required that “all pregnancy
    counseling shall be nondirective.” Omnibus Consolidated Rescissions and
    Appropriations Act of 1996, Pub. L. No. 104-134, 110 Stat. 1321 (1996) (“the
    nondirective mandate”). And, in 2010, Congress prohibited HHS from
    promulgating regulations that frustrate patients’ ability to access health care. 42
    U.S.C. § 18114.
    The majority disregards twenty years of progress, insistent on hauling the
    paternalism of the past into the present. Because Congress has clarified the scope
    of HHS’s authority, the Rust line of cases has little bearing on the matter before us.
    Our only task is to determine whether HHS has exceeded the authority Congress
    granted it. And as the district courts concluded, it has.
    I.      The Rule Violates Congress’s Nondirective Mandate
    Since 1996, Congress has provided a clear limitation on Title X funding,
    specifying “that all pregnancy counseling shall be nondirective.” Department of
    Defense and Labor, Health and Human Services, and Education Appropriations
    Act, and Continuing Appropriations Act, Pub. L. No. 115-245, 132 Stat. 2981,
    3070–71 (2018) (emphasis added). The district courts separately determined that
    4
    the Rule conflicts with Congress’s nondirective mandate. 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A);
    see 
    Oregon, 389 F. Supp. 3d at 909
    –13; California, 
    385 F. Supp. 3d
    at 986–92;
    Washington, 
    376 F. Supp. 3d
    at 1130. I agree. 3
    The Rule is nothing but directive. By its very terms, it requires a doctor to
    refer a pregnant patient for prenatal care, even if she does not want to continue the
    pregnancy, while gagging her doctor from referring her for abortion, even if she
    has requested specifically such a referral. 42 C.F.R. §§ 59.14(a), (b). The Rule
    does not stop there. If a doctor provides a patient a referral list of primary health
    care providers, no more than half of those providers may offer abortion services.
    42 C.F.R. § 59.14(c)(2). And if the patient asks who on the list might actually
    provide her an abortion? The Rule muzzles her doctor from telling her. 
    Id. The result
    is that patients are steered toward childbirth at every turn.
    3
    We review for abuse of discretion the district courts’ grant of the preliminary
    injunctions. Alliance for the Wild Rockies v. Cottrell, 
    632 F.3d 1127
    , 1131 (9th
    Cir. 2011). “The district court’s interpretation of the underlying legal principles,
    however, is subject to de novo review and a district court abuses its discretion
    when it makes an error of law.” Sw. Voter Registration Educ. Project v. Shelley,
    
    344 F.3d 914
    , 918 (9th Cir. 2003). Because Plaintiffs’ first two claims, namely
    whether the Rule violates Congress’s nondirective mandate or the Affordable Care
    Act, turn on the merits of several legal issues, I agree with the majority that we
    may address the merits of those issues directly. The majority goes too far,
    however, in adjudicating the merits of the third claim, namely whether the
    promulgation of the Rule was arbitrary and capricious, for the reasons discussed in
    Section III, infra.
    5
    What can a doctor even say when confronted with her patient’s questions
    about abortion? The Rule bars doctors from “promot[ing] . . . or support[ing]
    abortion as a method of family planning, []or tak[ing] any other affirmative action
    to assist a patient” in exercising her right to abortion. 42 C.F.R. § 59.14(a); see
    also 42 C.F.R. § 59.5(a)(5). Imagine a patient visits her Title X provider and asks
    whether she can get an abortion at the local hospital. Would it qualify as
    “promoting” abortion to answer the question? The Gag Rule makes doctors who
    desire to provide their patients with accurate information “walk on eggshells to
    avoid a potential transgression of the . . . Rule, whereas those describing the option
    of continuing the pregnancy face no comparable risk.” California, 
    385 F. Supp. 3d
    at 992.
    The result is Kafkaesque. 
    Oregon, 389 F. Supp. 3d at 912
    . As Judge
    McShane of the District of Oregon observed:
    The Gag Rule is remarkable in striving to make professional health
    care providers deaf and dumb when counseling a client who wishes to
    have a legal abortion or is even considering the possibility. The rule
    handcuffs providers by restricting their responses in such situations to
    providing their patient with a list of primary care physicians who can
    assist with their pregnancy without identifying the ones who might
    perform an abortion. Again, the response is required to be, “I can’t
    help you with that or discuss it. Here is a list of doctors who can
    assist you with your pre-natal care despite the fact that you are not
    seeking such care. Some of the providers on this list—but in no case
    more than half—may provide abortion services, but I can’t tell you
    which ones might. Have a nice day.” This is madness.
    
    Id. at 913
    (footnote omitted).
    6
    The majority purports to see no problem here. Although HHS itself defines
    “nondirective counseling” as “the meaningful presentation of options where the
    [medical professional] is ‘not suggesting or advising one option over another,’” 84
    Fed. Reg. at 7716 (citation omitted), the majority insists such counseling does not
    require the meaningful presentation of “all” options. Maj. Op. 42. Rather, in the
    majority’s tortured telling, “nondirective” requires only the “neutral” presentation
    of some options.4 Maj. Op. 42.
    Excluding an entire category of options is neither meaningful nor neutral. If
    a man were diagnosed with prostate cancer, and his doctor concluded that
    chemotherapy, radiation, or hospice were equally viable responses, each with
    4
    The majority sanctions HHS’s post hoc interpretation that “counseling” does not
    include “referrals.” Maj. Op. 35–41. Judge Chen of the Northern District of
    California readily dismissed this argument. California, 
    385 F. Supp. 3d
    at 988–91.
    As Judge Chen explained, nondirective counseling encompasses referrals for three
    reasons. First, Congress expressly stated so, a point HHS recognized when it
    promulgated the Rule. See 42 U.S.C. § 254c-6(a)(1) (requiring HHS to make
    training grants on “providing adoption information and referrals to pregnant
    women on an equal basis with all other courses of action included in nondirective
    counseling to pregnant women”) (emphasis added); 84 Fed. Reg. at 7733
    (“Congress has expressed its intent that postconception adoption information and
    referrals be included as part of any nondirective counseling in Title X projects
    when it passed . . . 42 U.S.C. 254c-6[.]”) (emphasis added). Second, HHS itself
    describes referrals as part of counseling throughout the Rule and has done so
    across administrations. See, e.g., 84 Fed. Reg. at 7730, 7733–34; U.S. Dep’t
    Health & Human Services, Program Guidelines for Project Grants for Family
    Planning Services § 8.2 (1981) (“Post-examination counseling should be provided
    to assure that the client . . . receives appropriate referral for additional services as
    needed.”). Third, industry understanding recognizes that counseling includes
    referrals. See 
    California, 385 F. Supp. 3d at 989
    .
    7
    different consequences for his quality of life, he would be upset, to say the least, to
    discover that he had been referred only for hospice care. Such a sham
    “presentation” of options would in no sense be nondirective.
    So too here. Indeed, HHS itself has recognized that there can be no
    meaningful choice when a whole category of options is hidden from a patient: “In
    nondirective counseling, abortion must not be the only option presented by
    [medical professionals]; otherwise the counseling would violate . . . the
    Congressional directive that all pregnancy counseling be nondirective[.]” 84 Fed.
    Reg. at 7747. The Gag Rule does exactly that. For all pregnancy counseling not
    involving abortion, women can take an “active” and “informed” role in their
    pregnancy and family planning process; but once a woman asks for abortion
    information, she can no longer be provided all the information she seeks about her
    own medical care. See 84 Fed. Reg. at 7716–17. “[E]mpower[ed]” so long as she
    does what the agency and the majority want; “coerc[ed]” and demeaned if she tries
    to “take an active role in . . . identifying the direction” of her life’s course. 84 Fed.
    Reg. at 7716; 65 Fed. Reg. at 41275.5 The consequences will be profound,
    5
    Indeed, in 2000, the agency concluded that “requiring a referral for prenatal care
    and delivery or adoption where the client rejected those options would seem
    coercive and inconsistent with the concerns underlying the ‘nondirective’
    counseling requirement.” 65 Fed. Reg. at 41275 (emphasis added).
    The majority attempts to salvage the prenatal care referral requirement by
    claiming that prenatal care is medically necessary for all patients’ health,
    8
    delaying some women’s access to time-sensitive care and preventing others from
    accessing abortion altogether.6
    regardless of their intent to end a pregnancy. Maj. Op. 44 & n.19. That’s not true,
    as the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (“ACOG”) and other
    professional medical associations, as well as numerous physicians and other health
    care providers have attested. See, e.g., Br. of Amici Curiae Am. Coll. of
    Obstetricians & Gynecologists, et al., at 14–15 (“Prenatal care is not medically
    indicated when a pregnant patient plans to terminate her pregnancy—it is
    recommended only when a patient plans to continue her pregnancy.”); Decl. of J.
    Elisabeth Kruse, Nat’l Family Planning & Reprod. Health Ass’n Supplemental
    Excerpts of Record (“SER”) at 256 (Washington) (“[O]f course, such care is not
    medically necessary for someone who wishes to terminate her pregnancy.”); Decl.
    of Dr. Melissa Marshall, California SER 579 (California) (“[P]renatal health care
    is not medically necessary when a patient is terminating her pregnancy.”); Decl. of
    Dr. Judy Zerzan-Thul, Washington SER 161 (Washington) (“[I]f a patient
    determined to be pregnant elects to terminate the pregnancy, pre-natal care would
    not be medically necessary.”). And, regardless, that’s not how HHS justified the
    requirement. Rather, HHS required the prenatal care referral because “such care is
    important” not only for women’s health but also “for healthy pregnancy and
    birth.” 84 Fed. Reg. at 7722 (emphasis added).
    6
    As health care providers and amici make clear, the notion that “information about
    abortion is readily available ‘on the internet’ betrays a complete lack of
    understanding of the realities of our Title X patient population” who, “because of
    language, literacy (including health literacy and electronic literacy), or economic
    barriers[,]” depend on referrals from Title X providers in order to access care.
    Kruse, Nat’l Family Planning & Reprod. Health Ass’n SER 262 (Washington); see
    also Decl. of Dr. Sarah Prager, 
    id. at 298–99
    (“Because many Title X patients have
    linguistic, educational, informational, and financial barriers to accessing
    healthcare, the impediments introduced by the New Rule may prevent such
    patients from accessing abortion altogether.”); Decl. of Dr. Blair Darney, Oregon
    SER 41 (Oregon) (“Researchers have studied the reasons women delay entry to
    care for abortion; logistics such as knowing where to go is among the reasons.”);
    cf. Maj. Op. 46 n.21.
    The barriers created by the Gag Rule are particularly substantial for young
    people, LGBTQ people, those with limited English proficiency, and patients in
    9
    Congress has prohibited such a result. Contrary to the majority’s contention
    that HHS is owed Chevron deference because Congress has not clarified the
    meaning of the term “nondirective”, Maj. Op. 41, Congress has in fact done so.
    And where Congress’s intent is clear, we “must give effect to the unambiguously
    expressed intent of Congress.” Chevron, U.S.A., Inc. v. Nat. Res. Def. Council,
    Inc., 
    467 U.S. 837
    , 843 (1984).
    Congress has used “nondirective counseling” in only two instances: the
    annual HHS Appropriations Act at issue here and section 254c-6(a)(1) of the
    Public Health Service Act (“PHSA”). The latter provides that HHS shall make
    training grants “providing adoption information and referrals to pregnant women
    on an equal basis with all other courses of action included in nondirective
    counseling to pregnant women.” 42 U.S.C. § 254c-6(a)(1) (emphasis added).
    rural areas. See, e.g., Br. of Amici Curiae Nat’l Ctr. for Youth Law, et al., at 16–
    17 (“Adolescents without easy access to transportation, a phone, and the Internet
    might be unable to research the providers on the list they are given. They also
    might not immediately comprehend that a medical professional, whom they trust,
    has referred them for care that they do not need or want . . . . Particularly for
    adolescents who are homeless or in foster care, navigating a maze of providers that
    might or might not offer abortion services could prove impossible.”); Br. of Amici
    Curiae Nat’l Ctr. for Lesbian Rights, et al., at 13; Decl. of Kathryn Kost, California
    SER 156 (California). As one health care provider concluded, “The New Rule’s
    coercive requirements would force me to disrespect, contradict, and patronize my
    patient, and violate her trust[.]” Kruse, Nat’l Family Planning & Reprod. Health
    Ass’n SER 262 (Washington).
    10
    In response, the majority asserts that because § 254c-6(a)(1) is not part of
    Title X and was enacted for a different purpose, “it sheds no light on Congress’s
    intent in enacting the appropriations rider or on the interpretation of its statutory
    language.” Maj. Op. 38–39. If § 254c-b(a)(1) sheds no light, HHS certainly didn’t
    think so: it relied on the PHSA definition in formulating the Rule. See 84 Fed.
    Reg. at 7733 (“Congress has expressed its intent that . . . referrals be included as
    part of any nondirective counseling in Title X projects when it passed the . . .
    Public Health Service Act[.]”); 84 Fed. Reg. at 7745. As HHS apparently
    recognized, Congress’s use of the term “nondirective counseling” should be read
    consistently between the PHSA and the nondirective appropriations rider to
    include providing referrals on an equal basis with all other options. See
    Erlenbaugh v. United States, 
    409 U.S. 239
    , 243 (1972) (“[A] legislative body
    generally uses a particular word with a consistent meaning in a given context.”);
    see also Dir., Office of Workers’ Comp. Prog., Dep’t of Labor v. Newport News
    Shipbldg. & Dry Dock Co., 
    514 U.S. 122
    , 130 (1995) (instructing that in
    interpreting an ambiguous statutory phrase, “[i]t is particularly illuminating to
    compare” two different statutes employing the “virtually identical” phrase).
    Because the Gag Rule requires doctors to push patients toward one option
    over another, it violates Congress’s mandate that patients receive counseling on
    their pregnancy options in a nondirective manner.
    11
    II.      The Rule Violates Section 1554 of the Affordable Care Act
    In 2010, as part of the Affordable Care Act’s (“ACA”) sweeping reforms,
    Congress imposed limits on the scope of HHS’s regulatory authority:
    Notwithstanding any other provision of this Act, the Secretary of
    Health and Human Services shall not promulgate any regulation
    that—
    (1) creates any unreasonable barriers to the ability of individuals to
    obtain appropriate medical care;
    (2) impedes timely access to health care services;
    (3) interferes with communications regarding a full range of treatment
    options between the patient and the provider;
    (4) restricts the ability of health care providers to provide full
    disclosure of all relevant information to patients making health care
    decisions;
    (5) violates principles of informed consent and the ethical standards of
    health care professionals; or
    (6) limits the availability of health care treatment for the full duration
    of a patient’s medical needs.
    42 U.S.C. § 18114 (“section 1554”). The three district courts separately
    determined that the Rule violates section 1554 of the ACA. See Oregon, 389 F.
    Supp. 3d at 914–15; California, 
    385 F. Supp. 3d
    at 992–1000; Washington, 376 F.
    Supp. 3d at 1130. I agree.
    First, the Gag Rule—which restricts communications between health care
    providers and patients, 42 C.F.R. §§ 59.14(a)–(c)—will “obfuscate and obstruct
    patients from receiving information and treatment for their pressing medical
    needs.” California, 
    385 F. Supp. 3d
    at 998; see also Washington, 
    376 F. Supp. 3d
    at 1130. In so doing, the Rule exceeds HHS’s statutory authority: it “impedes
    12
    timely access to health care services[,]” “interferes with communications regarding
    a full range of treatment options[,]” “restricts the ability of health care providers to
    provide full disclosure of all relevant information to patients making health care
    decisions[,]” and “violates . . . the ethical standards of health care professionals[.]”
    42 U.S.C. § 18114.
    Second, the Separation Requirement—which requires Title X recipients to
    physically and financially separate abortion provision from all other medical
    services, through the use of separate entrances and exits as well as separate
    accounting, personnel, and medical records, 42 C.F.R. § 59.15—plainly will
    impinge on the ability of providers to offer care. See 
    Oregon, 389 F. Supp. 3d at 915
    ; Washington, 
    376 F. Supp. 3d
    at 1130. By its own terms, HHS’s Separation
    Requirement creates unreasonable barriers to health care; it also frustrates “timely
    access” to care, contrary to Congress’s plain directive that HHS may not do so. 42
    U.S.C. § 18114.
    Finally, the Rule’s requirement that doctors encourage family participation
    in reproductive decisions will “force [doctors] to breach their ethical obligations”
    in certain circumstances. 
    California, 385 F. Supp. 3d at 1000
    ; see also
    Washington, 
    376 F. Supp. 3d
    at 1130. This requirement directly contravenes
    Congress’s prohibition on promulgating regulations that “violate[] . . . the ethical
    standards of health care professionals[.]” 42 U.S.C. § 18114.
    13
    Tellingly, the majority does not even attempt to argue that the Rule complies
    with the ACA. Instead, it characterizes the Rule as falling conveniently outside the
    scope of the limitations Congress imposed on HHS in the ACA. It relies on the
    Rust and McRae line of cases for the proposition that, as a constitutional matter,
    Congress need not subsidize abortion. It then asserts that the constitutional minima
    identified in those cases “applies equally” to statutory claims. Maj. Op. 51–55.
    The majority offers no support for this bold proposition.
    How could it? Congress may, and regularly does, enact statutory
    requirements and protections that exceed the constitutional floor. Aetna Life Ins.
    Co. v. Lavoie, 
    475 U.S. 813
    , 828 (1986) (“The Due Process Clause demarks only
    the outer boundaries . . . . Congress and the states, of course, remain free to impose
    more rigorous standards[.]”); Am. Legion v. Am. Humanist Assoc., 
    139 S. Ct. 2067
    ,
    2094 (2019) (Kavanaugh, J., concurring) (“The constitutional floor is sturdy and
    often high, but it is a floor.”). That is exactly what Congress has done here. 7 That
    7
    The majority’s assertion that the ACA does not impact Title X is contradicted by
    the terms of the ACA. Maj. Op. 56–57. Section 1554 governs “any regulation,”
    42 U.S.C. § 18114 (emphasis added). If Congress had meant to restrict its scope to
    the ACA, it would have said “any regulation pursuant to this Act.” Cf. St. Paul
    Fire & Marine Ins. Co. v. Barry, 
    438 U.S. 531
    , 550 (1978) (discussing the breadth
    of the word “any” and concluding that if Congress intends to limit the scope of
    statutory language, it will make that explicit). As Judge Chen reasoned, the clause
    “[n]otwithstanding any other provision of this Act” is most naturally read to mean
    that the Secretary “cannot engage in the type of rulemaking proscribed by [s]ection
    1554 even if another provision . . . could be construed to permit it.” California,
    14
    a congressional decision not to subsidize abortion does not burden the abortion
    right in the constitutional sense, see e.g., 
    McRae, 448 U.S. at 316
    , has no bearing
    whatsoever on whether an agency has overstepped its statutory authority. And,
    here, the agency has.8
    III.   The Rule Is Likely Arbitrary and Capricious
    Finally, I turn to Plaintiffs’ claim that the promulgation of the Rule was
    arbitrary and capricious under the Administrative Procedure Act (“APA”). As an
    initial matter, the majority contends that it is appropriate, on review of the district
    courts’ preliminary injunctions, to adjudicate the merits of the arbitrary and
    capricious claim. Maj. Op. 28–32. It is not. Unlike our consideration of
    Plaintiffs’ first two claims, which required us to address the underlying legal
    question to determine whether the district courts abused their discretion, review of
    the arbitrary and capricious claim requires examination of the administrative
    record. We do not have the complete administrative record before us, and neither
    
    385 F. Supp. 3d
    at 995. In other words, “the directive of [s]ection 1554 is to be
    given primacy” over other parts of the ACA.
    8
    The majority makes much of the fact that the Rule is purportedly “less restrictive
    in at least one important respect” than the 1988 regulation upheld in Rust. Maj.
    Op. 5. That is immaterial. The Rust decision predated the passage of the
    nondirective mandate by half a decade and the ACA by two decades, so whether
    the Rule or its 1988 predecessor violated those laws was not and could not possibly
    have been before the Court.
    15
    did the district courts when they issued the preliminary injunctions. Deciding the
    merits of Plaintiffs’ arbitrary and capricious claim is therefore premature. See
    Walter O. Boswell Mem’l Hosp. v. Heckler, 
    749 F.2d 788
    , 792 (D.C. Cir. 1984)
    (“If a court is to review an agency’s action fairly, it should have before it neither
    more nor less information than did the agency when it made its decision.”)
    (emphasis added); Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc. v. Train, 
    519 F.2d 287
    , 291 (D.C.
    Cir. 1975) (“The Administrative Procedure Act and the cases require that the
    complete administrative record be placed before a reviewing court.”); see also
    Univ. of Texas v. Camenisch, 
    451 U.S. 390
    , 395 (1981) (“[G]iven the haste that is
    often necessary . . . a preliminary injunction is customarily granted on the basis of
    procedures that are less formal and evidence that is less complete than in a trial on
    the merits. A party thus is not required to prove his case in full at a preliminary-
    injunction hearing[.]”).9 Indeed, “[t]o review less than the full administrative
    record might allow a party to withhold evidence unfavorable to its case, and so the
    APA requires review of ‘the whole record.’” Boswell Mem’l 
    Hosp., 749 F.2d at 9
      Indeed, while Defendants pursued their appeals of the preliminary injunctions,
    briefing advanced to the merits in the Eastern District of Washington. There,
    Defendants produced to Plaintiffs the full administrative record (two months after
    the preliminary injunction issued), see Case No. 1:19-cv-03040-SAB, Dkt. No. 88
    (June 24, 2019) and, with the benefit of the complete record, Plaintiffs further
    developed their arbitrary and capricious claim. See Case No. 1:19-cv-03040-SAB,
    Dkt. No. 121 (Nov. 20, 2019).
    16
    792. Accordingly, I address only Plaintiffs’ likelihood of success on the merits.
    The majority should have done the same.10
    Under the APA, a court “shall . . . hold unlawful and set aside agency action
    . . . found to be . . . arbitrary [and] capricious.” 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A). An agency
    action is arbitrary and capricious if “the agency has relied on factors which
    Congress has not intended it to consider, entirely failed to consider an important
    aspect of the problem, [or] offered an explanation for its decision that runs counter
    to the evidence before the agency.” Motor Vehicle Mfrs’ Ass’n v. State Farm Mut.
    Auto. Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983). “[T]he agency must examine the relevant
    data and articulate a satisfactory explanation for its action including a rational
    10
    The cases on which the majority relies to proceed to the merits are inapt. First,
    unlike the cases the majority cites, Maj. Op. 28–32, we do not have the full
    administrative record before us. Cf. Beno v. Shalala, 
    30 F.3d 1057
    , 1064 n.11 (9th
    Cir. 1994) (reaching the merits because “Plaintiffs’ . . . claim requires a review of
    the administrative record, which is complete, and interpretation of relevant statutes;
    additional fact-finding is not necessary to resolve this claim”) (emphasis added);
    Blockbuster Videos, Inc. v. City of Tempe, 
    141 F.3d 1295
    , 1297 (9th Cir. 1998)
    (same, because “[t]he record . . . is fully developed”); see also Fla. Power & Light
    Co. v. Lorion, 
    470 U.S. 729
    , 744 (1985) (“The APA specifically contemplates
    judicial review on the basis of the agency record compiled in the course of . . .
    [the] agency action[.]”) (emphasis added). Nor is this a case that implicates
    sensitive foreign policy concerns. Munaf v. Geren, 
    553 U.S. 674
    , 692 (2008)
    (reasoning that reaching the merits was “the wisest course” because the case
    “implicate[d] sensitive foreign policy issues in the context of ongoing military
    operations”).
    17
    connection between the facts found and the choice made.” 
    Id. (internal quotation
    marks omitted).
    When an agency changes its policy, the agency must provide a “reasoned
    explanation for its action.” FCC v. Fox Television Stations, Inc., 
    556 U.S. 502
    ,
    515 (2009). The new policy need not be better than the old one, but it must be
    permissible and based on “good reasons.” 
    Id. When the
    reasons the agency relies
    on for changing its position are “not new,” the agency fails to provide a “reasoned
    explanation.” Org. Vill. of Kake v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., 
    795 F.3d 956
    , 967 (9th
    Cir. 2015) (en banc). “In explaining its changed position, an agency must also be
    cognizant that longstanding policies may have engendered serious reliance
    interests that must be taken into account.” Encino Motorcars, LLC v. Navarro, 
    136 S. Ct. 2117
    , 2126 (2016) (internal quotation marks omitted). Here, the Rule
    replaced the regulation adopted in 2000, not the 1988 regulation addressed in Rust;
    thus the 2000 Rule is the one to which we must look to assess HHS’s changed
    positions. See Standards of Compliance for Abortion-Related Services in Family
    Planning Services Projects, 65 Fed. Reg. 41270 (Jul. 3, 2000). Plaintiffs are likely
    to prevail on their claim that the promulgation of the Rule was arbitrary and
    capricious for at least two reasons. 11
    11
    None of the district courts needed to address Plaintiffs’ arbitrary and capricious
    arguments because they had independently found Plaintiffs were likely to succeed
    on their other merits arguments. Nevertheless, each district court recognized the
    18
    A. HHS Failed to Provide a Reasoned Justification for Its Policy Change
    First, the Rule represents a dramatic shift in policy, yet HHS failed to
    provide the required “reasoned explanation for its action.” Fox 
    Television, 556 U.S. at 515
    . Take the Gag Rule and Separation Requirement, for example. In
    2000, when it adopted regulations rescinding the 1988 version of the Gag Rule,
    HHS explicitly considered Congress’s recently enacted nondirective mandate as
    well as comments emphasizing that “medical ethics and good medical care . . .
    requir[e] that patients receive full and complete information to enable them to
    make informed decisions”; “[c]onsequently,” the agency “decided to reflect [the
    nondirective requirement] . . . in the regulatory text.” 65 Fed. Reg. at 41273. By
    contrast, here HHS has changed its position on what medical ethics demand
    without providing a reasoned explanation for or acknowledgment of the change, as
    strength of Plaintiffs’ APA challenge. 
    California, 385 F. Supp. 3d at 1000
    –19
    (addressing—with painstakingly detailed analysis—the shortcomings of HHS’s
    justifications for the physical separation requirement, the counseling and referral
    restrictions, the “physicians or advanced practice providers” requirement, and the
    removal of the “medically approved” requirement, as well as HHS’s inadequate
    cost-benefit analysis); 
    Oregon, 389 F. Supp. 3d at 917
    –18 (noting that HHS
    “nowhere squares” particular medical ethics requirements with the requirements of
    the Rule and that HHS “appears to have failed to seriously consider persuasive
    evidence”); 
    Washington, 376 F. Supp. 3d at 1131
    (recognizing that Plaintiffs and
    amici had “presented facts and argument that the . . . Rule is arbitrary and
    capricious because it reverses long-standing positions of [HHS]” without
    considering relevant medical opinions and likely consequences).
    19
    is required by the APA. 12 See Org. Vill. of 
    Kake, 795 F.3d at 966
    (“Unexplained
    inconsistency between agency actions is a reason for holding an interpretation to
    be an arbitrary and capricious change.”) (internal quotation marks and citation
    omitted). 13
    12
    That abortion remains controversial, as the majority contends, Maj. Op. 75 n.34,
    does not explain why HHS may shift its understanding of medical ethics from 2000
    without a reasoned explanation.
    13
    I also agree with Judge McShane of the District of Oregon that HHS’s “failure to
    respond meaningfully to the evidence” that the Gag Rule contradicts medical ethics
    “renders its decision[] arbitrary and capricious.” 
    Oregon, 389 F. Supp. 3d at 918
    (quoting Tesoro Alaska Petroleum Co. v. FERC, 
    234 F.3d 1286
    , 1294 (D.C. Cir.
    2000)). A doctor and leader of the American Medical Association—the
    organization that “literally wrote the book on medical ethics”—stated that the
    American Medical Association’s Code of Medical Ethics prohibits withholding
    information from a patient, except in emergency situations, and requires decisions
    or recommendations to be based on the patient’s medical needs. 
    Id. at 916.
    He
    concluded that the Gag Rule “is an instruction to physicians to intentionally
    mislead patients, which, if followed, is an instruction for physicians to directly
    violate the Code of Medical Ethics[.]” 
    Id. at 917.
    In its cursory response, HHS merely announced that it “believes” the Rule
    presents no ethical problems because patients are permitted to ask questions “and
    to have those questions answered by a medical professional.” 84 Fed. Reg. at
    7724. That assertion is contradicted by the plain text of the Rule, which
    specifically prohibits medical professionals from answering certain questions, such
    as, “who on this list is an abortion provider?” 42 C.F.R. § 59.14(c)(2). HHS’s
    insistence that the Gag Rule is “nondirective” does not salvage the Rule either, as it
    is both conclusory and, for the reasons explained in Section 
    I, supra
    , false.
    Because the Gag Rule “contradicts . . . persuasive evidence from the leading expert
    on medical ethics,” and HHS has failed to present even a “plausible explanation
    outlining its rationale for rejecting the evidence and reaching a different
    conclusion,” 
    Oregon, 389 F. Supp. 3d at 917
    (citing State Farm 
    Mut., 463 U.S. at 43
    ), it is arbitrary and capricious. The majority is wrong to conclude otherwise.
    20
    Similarly, in 2000, HHS recognized that “Title X grantees are subject to
    rigorous financial audits” and ultimately concluded that a physical separation
    requirement “is not likely ever to result in an enforceable compliance policy that is
    consistent with the efficient and cost-effective delivery of family planning
    services.” 65 Fed. Reg. at 41275–76 (2000) (emphasis added). As justification for
    its about-face in the new Rule, HHS speculated about a “risk” of Title X funds
    being used for impermissible purposes.14 84 Fed. Reg. at 7765 (discussing the risk
    of “potential co-mingling” without citing any evidence of co-mingled funds). A
    speculative risk is not a reasoned explanation. Ariz. Cattle Growers’ Ass’n v. U.S.
    Fish & Wildlife, 
    273 F.3d 1229
    , 1244 (9th Cir. 2001); see also Nat’l Fuel Gas
    Supply Corp. v. FERC, 
    468 F.3d 831
    , 841 (D.C. Cir. 2006).
    B. HHS’s Cost-Benefit Analysis Is Contrary to the Evidence
    Second, the Rule is likely arbitrary and capricious because HHS offered an
    explanation for its cost-benefit analysis that runs contrary to the evidence before
    the agency. See State Farm 
    Mut., 463 U.S. at 43
    . As the district courts explained,
    there are at least three provisions of the Rule that will cause providers to leave the
    14
    To be clear: the “recent studies” that the majority notes HHS relied on do not
    demonstrate any actual misuse of Title X funds. Maj. Op. 65. Rather, they reflect
    facilities that comply with Title X but likely will be forced out of the program by
    the Separation Requirement. 84 Fed. Reg. at 7765.
    21
    Title X program, leading to decreased access to Title X-funded care, which will in
    turn create costs that HHS did not account for.
    First, the Gag Rule. Because it “require[s] doctors to violate . . .
    fundamental ethical and professional norms[,]” 
    Oregon, 389 F. Supp. 3d at 916
    ,
    the Gag Rule will trigger providers to leave the Title X program, “drastically
    reduc[ing] access to Title X services, and lead[ing] to serious disruptions in care
    for Title X patients.” California, 
    385 F. Supp. 3d
    at 1008. For example, the
    provider serving approximately 40% of all Title X patients—1.6 million people—
    which is also the only family planning provider in ten percent of rural counties,
    declared that if the Gag Rule is implemented, it will leave the Title X program in
    order to maintain its ethical obligations to patients.15 
    Oregon, 389 F. Supp. 3d at 918
    ; California, 
    385 F. Supp. 3d
    at 979.
    15
    Indeed, this exodus has come to pass. Plaintiffs informed us that all Planned
    Parenthood Title X direct grantees would withdraw from Title X beginning August
    19, 2019, as a result of enforcement actions by HHS, and they have done so. See
    Sarah McCammon, Planned Parenthood Withdraws From Title X Program Over
    Trump Abortion Rule, Nat’l Pub. Radio (Aug. 19, 2019),
    https://www.npr.org/2019/08/19/752438119/planned-parenthood-out-of-title-x-
    over-trump-rule. Planned Parenthood is not alone. See Nicole Acevedo, Nearly
    900 Women’s Health Clinics Have Lost Federal Funding Over Gag Rule, NBC
    News (Oct. 22, 2019) https://www.nbcnews.com/news/latino/nearly-900-women-s-
    health-clinics-have-lost-federal-funding-n1069591; Anna North, How A Beloved
    Clinic for Low-Income Women Is Fighting to Stay Alive in the Trump Era, Vox
    (Nov. 22, 2019), https://www.vox.com/identities/2019/11/22/20952297/title-x-
    funding-abortion-birth-control-trump.
    22
    Second, the Separation Requirement. Compliance with the Separation
    Requirement will be so cost-prohibitive for many providers that they will have to
    leave the Title X program.16 California, 
    385 F. Supp. 3d
    at 1008–11.
    Third, the requirement that only “physicians or advanced practice providers”
    may provide counseling. See 84 Fed. Reg. at 7727–28 (defining “advanced
    practice providers”). This limitation will significantly reduce the number of people
    who can provide pregnancy counseling and will require significant changes in Title
    X providers’ staffing, or else devastate their capacity to serve patients. 
    Id. at 7778
    (noting that for “1.7 million Title X family planning encounters in 2016,” services
    were delivered by providers who are not “physicians or advanced practice
    providers”); California, 
    385 F. Supp. 3d
    at 1013 (recognizing that “65% of Title X
    sites rel[ied] on trained health educators, registered nurses, and other qualified
    providers (excluding physicians and advanced practice clinicians) to counsel
    16
    HHS also calculated costs of compliance with the physical separation
    requirement in a “mystifying” way. California, 
    385 F. Supp. 3d
    at 1008. HHS’s
    internal guidelines—and common sense—suggest that compliance costs for
    making physically separate facilities would include expenses related to equipment,
    leasing space, utilities, and personnel. Yet, HHS estimated that an average of only
    $30,000 per affected Title X site would be incurred to comply with the physical
    separation requirement. 84 Fed. Reg. at 7782. As Plaintiffs’ counsel indicated at
    oral argument, even just hiring a single front desk staff member to staff a new
    entrance to a facility would exceed that estimate, not to mention all the other costs
    that would accompanying creating and maintaining such a facility. See, e.g.,
    Washington SER 355–56 (Washington); California SER 396–97 (California).
    23
    patients in selecting contraceptive methods”) (internal quotation marks and citation
    omitted).
    HHS dismissed the loss of access by speculating that there would not “be a
    decrease in the overall number of facilities offering [Title X] services, since [HHS]
    anticipates other, new entities will apply for funds, or seek to participate as
    subrecipients, as a result of the final rule.” 84 Fed. Reg. at 7782. HHS
    simultaneously contradicted that very prediction, by stating, “[HHS] cannot
    calculate or anticipate future turnover in grantees.” 
    Id. (emphasis added).
    Nonetheless, HHS stated, “[b]ased on [HHS’s] best estimates, it anticipates that the
    net impact on those seeking services from current grantees will be zero[.]” 
    Id. HHS provided
    no explanation of how it arrived at its “best estimates.” See also
    California, 
    385 F. Supp. 3d
    at 983 (“[A]t oral argument [before the district court],
    when pressed for any record evidence substantiating this (highly consequential)
    assertion, Defendants’ counsel could offer none.”). Nor did HHS provide any
    specifics about its estimates, such as the locations or geographic distribution of any
    “new” clinics, their number or size, or how long it would take them to become
    operational grantees. Thus, HHS failed to offer “an explanation for its decision
    that runs counter to the evidence before” it. State Farm 
    Mut., 463 U.S. at 43
    .
    Proceeding in this manner is the hallmark of arbitrary and capricious
    administrative action.
    24
    The majority disagrees, citing readily distinguishable case law and a poll
    that did not conclude what the majority purports it does. 17 Maj. Op. 68. The
    “poll” that HHS cited is a summary showing both that a majority of “faith-based
    healthcare professionals” would prefer not to violate their conscience and that a
    majority of them never experienced pressure to refer a patient for a procedure to
    which the professional had moral, ethical, or religious objections. 84 Fed. Reg. at
    7780 n.138; Freedom2Care & The Christian Med. Ass’n, National Poll Shows
    Majority Support Healthcare Conscience Rights, Conscience Law (May 3, 2011),
    https://perma.cc/3AU4-ACGA. Nothing suggests that the poll asked medical
    professionals about expanding into Title X. It is baffling how HHS made the leap
    17
    The majority relies extensively on the Supreme Court’s recent opinion, Dep’t of
    Commerce v. New York, 
    139 S. Ct. 2551
    (2019). Maj. Op. 59, 61–62, 70–77. That
    case raised the issue of whether the Secretary of Commerce was required to accept
    the Census Bureau’s predictions about accurate gathering of citizenship data.
    Dep’t of 
    Commerce, 139 S. Ct. at 2569
    . The Court held that the Secretary was not
    beholden to the Bureau’s analysis because “the Census Act authorizes the
    Secretary, not the Bureau, to make policy choices within the range of reasonable
    options[,]” 
    id. at 2571
    (emphasis added), and there was support for the Secretary’s
    decision, 
    id. at 2569.
    Conversely, here, we are reviewing HHS’s own
    administrative decisions in the face of contravening evidence, and there is no
    support for HHS’s decisions.
    Moreover, the Court struck down the Secretary of Commerce’s attempt to
    reinstate the citizenship question on the census. 
    See 139 S. Ct. at 2575
    –76 (“Our
    review is deferential, but we are ‘not required to exhibit a naiveté from which
    ordinary citizens are free.’”). Similarly, here, deference to HHS does not mean
    turning a blind eye to the agency’s actions, as the majority does.
    25
    from the poll data—the quality and veracity of which is unclear from the summary
    the agency cited—to its conclusion that there would be no decrease in facilities.
    
    Id. And a
    predicate to giving deference to an agency is that the agency’s
    inferences must not contradict the findings of the study. State Farm 
    Mut., 463 U.S. at 43
    . That is by no means de novo review, contrary to the majority’s
    contention. Maj. Op. 68 n.29.
    Moreover, the cases on which the majority relies to endorse HHS’s
    guesswork arose in different circumstances. Maj. Op. 68–70. When the Supreme
    Court in FCC v. National Citizens Committee for Broadcasting condoned an
    agency’s “forecast” for future behaviors without “complete factual support,” the
    underlying agency decision was “to ‘grandfather’” existing policies into a new
    rule. 
    436 U.S. 775
    , 813–14 (1978). There, the agency’s predictions concerned
    maintenance of the status quo, rather than the change in policy HHS made here.
    And in other cases cited by the majority, the regulations at issue “reflect[ed]
    reasoned predictions about technical issues.” BNSF Ry. Co. v. Surface Transp.
    Bd., 
    526 F.3d 770
    , 781 (D.C. Cir. 2008) (citation omitted); see also Trout
    Unlimited v. Lohn, 
    559 F.3d 946
    , 959 (9th Cir. 2009) (noting that the record
    showed that the agency relied on “scientific data, and not on mere speculation”).
    HHS’s prediction here is not reasoned or based on any data or studies, and should
    not be afforded deference. See Sorenson Commc’ns Inc. v. FCC, 
    755 F.3d 702
    ,
    26
    708 (D.C. Cir. 2014) (“[T]he wisdom of agency action is rarely so self-evident that
    no other explanation is required.”); McDonnell Douglas Corp. v. U.S. Dep’t of the
    Air Force, 
    375 F.3d 1182
    , 1187 (D.C. Cir. 2004) (“[W]e do not defer to the
    agency’s conclusory or unsupported suppositions.”).
    Further, because of HHS’s sunny, and baseless, prediction that new clinics
    will appear to provide services to at least 40% of the patient population served by
    Title X, HHS did not address the potential health consequences of decreased
    services and their corresponding costs in its cost-benefit analysis. As the Northern
    District of California recognized, the decreased services could cause a 31%
    increase in the nation’s unintended pregnancy rate, which would lead to “[b]illions
    of dollars in public costs[.]” California, 
    385 F. Supp. 3d
    at 1016. Even if the
    number of clinics were to remain the same, a changed geographic reach would
    have devastating consequences. See 84 Fed. Reg. at 7782 (recognizing that
    patients will have to travel further to obtain health care); California, 
    385 F. Supp. 3d
    at 1017–18 (noting that when a rural Indiana county lost a Planned Parenthood
    clinic, “the county lost free HIV testing services and almost immediately
    experienced one of the largest and most rapid HIV outbreaks the country has ever
    seen”) (internal quotation marks omitted). An agency governed by the APA must
    grapple with potential costs, and HHS—an agency with power over public health,
    27
    no less—failed to do so here. See State Farm 
    Mut., 463 U.S. at 43
    ; Nat’l Ass’n of
    Home Builders v. EPA, 
    682 F.3d 1032
    , 1040 (D.C. Cir. 2012).
    The majority is correct that we give agencies deference—but only insofar as
    the agency “examine[s] the relevant data and articulate[s] a satisfactory
    explanation for its action including a rational connection between the facts found
    and the choice made.” State Farm 
    Mut., 463 U.S. at 43
    (internal quotation marks
    omitted). The majority fails to hold HHS to that basic standard here.
    ***
    In vacating the preliminary injunctions, the majority blesses an executive
    agency’s disregard of the clear limits placed on it by Congress. The consequences
    will be borne by the millions of women who turn to Title X-funded clinics for
    lifesaving care and the very contraceptive services that have caused rates of
    unintended pregnancy—and abortion—to plummet.
    I strongly dissent.
    28
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 19-15974

Filed Date: 2/24/2020

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 2/24/2020

Authorities (45)

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walter-o-boswell-memorial-hospital-v-margaret-m-heckler-secretary-of , 749 F.2d 788 ( 1984 )

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Lands Council v. McNair , 629 F.3d 1070 ( 2010 )

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