Deondre Staten v. Ronald Davis ( 2020 )


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  •                 FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    DEONDRE ARTHUR STATEN,                    No. 17-99008
    Petitioner-Appellant,
    D.C. No.
    v.                     2:01-cv-09178-
    MWF
    RONALD DAVIS, Warden, Warden,
    California State Prison at San
    Quentin,                                   OPINION
    Respondent-Appellee.
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Central District of California
    Michael W. Fitzgerald, District Judge, Presiding
    Argued and Submitted January 13, 2020
    Pasadena, California
    Filed June 18, 2020
    Before: Susan P. Graber, Marsha S. Berzon, and
    Michelle T. Friedland, Circuit Judges.
    Opinion by Judge Graber;
    Dissent by Judge Berzon
    2                         STATEN V. DAVIS
    SUMMARY*
    Habeas Corpus / Death Penalty
    The panel affirmed the district court’s denial of Deondre
    Staten’s habeas corpus petition challenging his conviction
    and capital sentence for murdering his parents.
    Staten alleged that he received ineffective assistance of
    trial counsel because his lawyer failed to present additional
    evidence of third-party culpability. The panel held that
    Staten’s trial counsel rendered deficient performance by
    failing to present testimony that gang members appeared to
    claim credit for the murders, but that counsel did not perform
    deficiently by failing to find and call a gang expert to counter
    the testimony of the prosecution’s gang expert. The panel
    held that fairminded jurists could disagree as to whether the
    testimony of five witnesses regarding the gang members’
    boasting was reasonably likely to have changed the outcome
    of Staten’s trial, and that the California Supreme Court’s
    summary denial of the ineffective-assistance claim was
    therefore not objectively unreasonable.
    Staten also brought claims that a contract for indigent
    defense services between Los Angeles County and the
    Pomona Contract Lawyers Association (PCLA) violated his
    constitutional rights because it interfered with his ability to
    obtain second trial counsel. The panel held that the
    California Supreme Court’s summary denial of these claims
    was reasonable because there is no evidence in the record that
    *
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It has
    been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    STATEN V. DAVIS                        3
    trial counsel was appointed to represent Staten pursuant to the
    contract, was a member of the PCLA at the time the initial
    contract was signed, or was a signatory to the original
    contract.
    Judge Berzon dissented from the majority’s holding that
    the California Supreme Court’s imputed holding as to
    whether trial counsel’s deficient performance likely
    prejudiced the outcome of Staten’s trial was a reasonable
    application of clearly established Supreme Court law. She
    would hold that there was prejudice under Strickland v.
    Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
     (1984), that any conclusion to the
    contrary was unreasonable, and that 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)
    therefore does not preclude habeas relief.
    4                      STATEN V. DAVIS
    COUNSEL
    Jerry L. Newton (argued), Carmel, California; Norman D.
    James, Corvallis, Montana; for Petitioner-Appellant.
    Scott A. Taryle (argued), Supervising Deputy Attorney
    General; A. Scott Hayward, Deputy Attorney General; Lance
    E. Winters, Senior Assistant Attorney General; Gerald A.
    Engler, Chief Assistant Attorney General; Xavier Becerra,
    Attorney General; Attorney General’s Office, Los Angeles,
    California; for Respondent-Appellee.
    OPINION
    GRABER, Circuit Judge:
    Petitioner Deondre Staten appeals the district court’s
    denial of habeas relief in this capital case. Petitioner was
    convicted in state court, after a jury trial, of murdering his
    parents. The jury returned verdicts of death for both murder
    counts. On federal habeas review, Petitioner alleges that he
    received ineffective assistance of trial counsel because his
    lawyer failed to present additional evidence of third-party
    culpability. His other claims allege that a contract for
    indigent defense services between Los Angeles County and
    the Pomona Contract Lawyers Association (“PCLA”)
    violated his constitutional rights because it interfered with his
    ability to obtain second trial counsel. The district court
    denied his petition. Petitioner timely sought our review. We
    affirm.
    STATEN V. DAVIS                           5
    BACKGROUND1
    A. The Crimes
    Petitioner lived with his parents, Arthur and Faye Staten,
    in Los Angeles County. Petitioner’s parents owned and
    managed a beauty supply store and salon. They had four life
    insurance policies worth, in total, more than $300,000. In
    August 1990, Arthur and Faye revised three of those policies
    to name Petitioner as the sole beneficiary and the fourth
    policy to name Petitioner and his brother as co-beneficiaries.
    The prosecution argued that Petitioner murdered his parents
    to obtain the proceeds from those policies.
    The prosecution presented evidence that Petitioner and his
    father had a strained relationship, that they argued often, and
    that Arthur had evicted Petitioner from the parents’ house on
    prior occasions.       Prosecution witnesses testified that
    Petitioner had boasted that he would “take his father out,”
    that he would “take care of him,” and that he would come
    into a large sum of money if his parents died. Two witnesses
    testified that Petitioner told them that they would be paid a
    “five-digit” sum of money if they would “bump off” two
    people who lived around the corner and owned a beauty
    supply and hair salon. A witness recalled that Petitioner,
    while watching a television program about the Menendez
    brothers,2 commented that the brothers “did it wrong” and
    “shouldn’t have gotten caught.”
    1
    The facts, as recited here, are not disputed.
    2
    The Menendez brothers were convicted of the 1989 murders of their
    parents. Menendez Brothers Sentenced to Life in Prison, N.Y. Times, July
    3, 1996, at A15.
    6                     STATEN V. DAVIS
    In September 1990, Arthur and Faye left for a vacation,
    leaving Arthur’s truck at a relative’s house and leaving
    Faye’s car for Petitioner to drive. Arthur and Faye kept a
    .38 caliber revolver with a brown handle at the beauty supply
    shop. Petitioner’s friend, John Nichols, testified that he saw
    Petitioner carrying that revolver about a week after Arthur
    and Faye left. Nichols testified that Petitioner told him on
    more than one occasion that he had hollow-point bullets in
    the revolver.
    Two or three evenings before Arthur and Faye returned,
    Nichols and another friend were at Petitioner’s house when
    Petitioner told them that he heard something in the backyard.
    Petitioner took the revolver and looked around in the
    backyard but said that he did not see anyone. Petitioner said
    that he was worried because he had received threatening
    phone calls from members of a local Latino gang, the East
    Side Dukes (“ESD”), whose territory bordered Petitioner’s
    street. Petitioner and his family are African-American, and
    witnesses testified that there was animosity between the ESD
    and the African-American community. The following day,
    Petitioner showed his friends the letters “ESD” spray-painted
    on the backyard patio.
    Arthur and Faye returned from vacation on October 11,
    1990, and stayed with their relatives overnight and for most
    of the next day. Petitioner asked his cousin, who lived near
    where Arthur and Faye stayed, to call him when they left to
    drive home. Petitioner called his cousin repeatedly that day
    to find out when his parents would return home. Petitioner’s
    friends testified that, throughout the afternoon, Petitioner was
    drinking malt liquor, acting fidgety, and wearing a
    STATEN V. DAVIS                               7
    characteristic pair of 501 Levi’s blue jeans3 with the brown
    handle of a revolver sticking out of his waistband.
    Petitioner’s relatives invited him to join his parents for
    dinner, but he declined. He told them that his mother’s car
    was not working.
    According to the timeline established by prosecution
    witnesses, Petitioner’s parents left to drive home between
    11:20 and 11:25 p.m. on October 12. Petitioner’s neighbor,
    Bertha Sanchez, testified that she saw Arthur’s truck arrive
    home at approximately 11:40 p.m. Sanchez and her husband
    testified that, sometime between 11:50 and 11:55 p.m., they
    heard three gunshots. Another neighbor testified that he also
    heard gunshots around that time. No witness testified to
    hearing shots fired later than that. At 12:04 a.m., Petitioner’s
    aunt called the parents’ house; Petitioner answered. He told
    his aunt that his parents had not yet arrived home and that he
    was getting ready to leave. At 12:31 a.m., she called again
    and, when Petitioner answered, he told her that his parents
    had arrived home, but he did not offer to put them on the line
    as he normally did. At some point after midnight, Sanchez
    testified that she heard what she thought was Arthur’s truck
    starting, driving away, and returning about 20 minutes later.
    Around 1:00 a.m., Petitioner knocked on another
    neighbor’s door and said that his parents had been killed. He
    was crying and seemed to be dry-heaving. The neighbor
    went with Petitioner to his house and found Faye’s body face
    down near the entryway and Arthur’s body in a bedroom.
    The words “ESD kills” were spray-painted on a mirrored wall
    in the living room.
    3
    A friend of Petitioner’s testified that Petitioner had the nickname
    “501 man” because he often wore 501 Levi’s blue jeans.
    8                       STATEN V. DAVIS
    When police arrived, Petitioner did not answer their
    questions and appeared to be in a trance-like state. The
    neighbor testified that Petitioner was overdoing or “faking”
    his state of mind, because he had been able to communicate
    earlier. Petitioner had a cut with dried blood on one finger
    and was wearing shorts. Later, at the police station,
    Petitioner collapsed and appeared unconscious but was
    revived and fully oriented by the time paramedics arrived,
    and he stated that he did not require medical attention.
    Arthur died of a single gunshot wound to the back of the
    head, caused by a .38 or .357 caliber hollow-point bullet.
    Faye died of multiple stab wounds, seven of which could
    have been fatal. The police found no evidence of forced entry
    or robbery, and Faye’s purse was left on a table in plain view
    with cash inside. Police found a book of historic Los Angeles
    Times headlines on a table in the den, open to the front page
    describing the Sharon Tate murders4 with a page of
    handwritten notes that appeared to be “verses to a potential
    song” on the facing page. Investigators found Petitioner’s
    fingerprints on that page.
    The prosecution and the defense stipulated that blood
    sample evidence taken throughout the house showed that
    some of the blood came from Arthur and that some of the
    blood could have come from either Petitioner or Faye. A
    partial handprint on the mirrored wall below “ESD kills”
    matched Petitioner’s handprint. An expert testified for the
    prosecution that there was a 90-percent probability that the
    same person spray-painted the “ESD” on the back porch and
    4
    In 1969, actress Sharon Tate and four others were murdered by
    Charles Manson’s followers. Dial Torgerson, “Ritualistic Slayings”:
    Sharon Tate, Four Others Murdered, L.A. Times, Aug. 10, 1969, at A1.
    STATEN V. DAVIS                         9
    “ESD kills” inside the house. The paint from both samples
    was made up of the same commercial formula, which
    matched a can of spray paint found in a hall closet.
    On October 14, police arrested Petitioner’s friend,
    Nichols, for a probation violation. Nichols agreed to
    cooperate with the police and met with Petitioner while
    wearing a wire. In the recording played for the jury,
    Petitioner claimed that he had gotten rid of the .38 revolver
    before his parents returned home. He asked Nichols to tell
    the police that Staten did not have a revolver, reassuring him
    that the police would not find it and that there would be no
    case if they stuck to their stories. In the recording, Petitioner
    said: “[T]hey can’t do shit. All they can do is close the
    mother fucker. If they still can’t find it, I’m still going to
    blame it on the Dukes.”
    After an initial investigation, the sheriff’s department
    concluded that the murders were not gang-related. Detective
    David Watkins testified as a gang expert for the prosecution.
    He testified that the graffiti found on the back patio and in the
    house did not match the distinctive style favored by the ESD.
    Detective Watkins and two of the Statens’ neighbors drew
    examples of typical ESD lettering, and the prosecution
    presented exemplar photographs of ESD graffiti to the jury.
    Detective Watkins also testified that a gang would not place
    its graffiti out of public view, but would instead tag the front
    of the house and include the names of the targets and gang
    members to increase the level of intimidation.
    Detective Watkins further testified that the ESD tended to
    kill in drive-by shootings or after calling someone outside.
    He had not seen the gang engage in a home-invasion murder
    of neighborhood residents. He also testified that the ESD
    10                    STATEN V. DAVIS
    generally focused on killing rival gang members and, when
    non-combatants were killed, it tended to be the result of
    collateral damage. ESD members denied involvement in the
    murders to an investigator. A neighbor also testified that he
    had asked ESD members about the murders and they denied
    involvement, even though they had readily admitted to a
    drive-by shooting at another house.
    A relative of Petitioner’s, with whom he stayed after his
    parents’ deaths, testified that she did not see him wear blue
    jeans until he bought a new pair about three weeks after the
    killings. She twice searched the Statens’ house, the beauty
    shop, and the salon, but she did not find any jeans in Staten’s
    size. Detectives also searched for Petitioner’s jeans and the
    missing .38 revolver, but found neither.
    The defense theory at trial was that ESD gang members
    committed the murders when Petitioner left the house to get
    food between 12:45 and 1:00 a.m. The defense introduced
    evidence that Petitioner had a strong relationship with his
    parents and was especially close to his mother. Petitioner
    testified that he never spoke to friends about killing his
    parents for insurance money. Petitioner and other witnesses
    testified about threats that ESD had made against Petitioner
    and about intimidation and harassment from ESD members
    in their neighborhood.
    Petitioner testified that he took the .38 revolver from his
    parents’ beauty supply shop for protection because he had
    received threatening calls from ESD members. Petitioner
    testified that the revolver disappeared during a party while his
    parents were out of town, but he did not mention it to Nichols
    because he suspected that one of Nichols’s friends had taken
    the weapon. Petitioner said that he had cut his finger while
    STATEN V. DAVIS                        11
    gardening, when he was trying to get the house and yard
    cleaned up before his parents returned home, and that he
    might have left blood in the house when he walked through
    it looking for a bandage. He testified that he had worn shorts
    all day and that his blue jeans were either in his bedroom or
    in the laundry. He also testified that, while working on lyrics
    for a rap song, he looked through the book of historic
    headlines. He was looking for headlines about Dr. Martin
    Luther King, Jr., not about the Sharon Tate murders.
    The defense highlighted inconsistencies in the neighbors’
    initial accounts to the police regarding whether and when
    they heard gunshots. And Petitioner testified that his parents
    did not arrive home until shortly after midnight. According
    to Petitioner, when his aunt called the first time, around
    12:04 a.m., his parents were not yet home. When his aunt
    called back at 12:30 a.m., his mother indicated that she did
    not want to talk on the phone. Petitioner testified that he left
    in his father’s truck to get food between 12:30 and 12:45 a.m.
    and returned home around 1:00 a.m. after he realized that he
    had left home without cash. When he returned, he discovered
    his parents’ bodies and the “ESD kills” graffito inside the
    house.
    The police never found the murder weapons, and no
    gunshot residue was found on Petitioner’s hands. Petitioner
    did not file an insurance claim during the three months
    between the killings and his arrest.
    B. Procedural Background
    The jury found Petitioner guilty of both murder counts
    and found true the special circumstances of multiple murders
    and murder for financial gain. The jury returned verdicts of
    12                    STATEN V. DAVIS
    death for both murder counts. The trial court sentenced
    Petitioner to death on January 16, 1992.
    The California Supreme Court affirmed the convictions
    and sentence. People v. Staten, 
    11 P.3d 968
    , 988 (Cal. 2000).
    The United States Supreme Court denied certiorari. Staten v.
    California, 
    534 U.S. 846
     (2001).
    Petitioner filed his first state habeas petition in the
    California Supreme Court in 2002, alleging ineffective
    assistance of trial counsel for failing to present additional
    evidence of third-party culpability (corresponding to Claim
    7 in this case). The California Supreme Court denied the
    petition “on the merits for failure to state a prima facie case
    for relief” and, alternatively, dismissed most of the claims as
    untimely.
    In a second state petition, Petitioner reiterated the
    ineffective assistance of counsel claim. He also argued that
    the denial of a second appointed trial lawyer violated due
    process and equal protection principles and that his trial
    counsel rendered ineffective assistance by making an
    inadequate showing in support of his request for second
    counsel. The California Supreme Court dismissed all claims
    as untimely and procedurally barred, and the court also
    summarily denied all claims on the merits for failure to state
    a prima facie case.
    Petitioner filed a third state habeas petition in which he
    asserted that the terms of a contract between Los Angeles
    County and the PCLA violated his constitutional rights.
    Under the terms of the contract, the County paid the PCLA a
    flat fee to provide indigent defense services when the public
    defender’s office had a conflict. The public defender’s office
    STATEN V. DAVIS                        13
    had a conflict of interest in Petitioner’s case, and so could not
    represent him. Instead, the trial court appointed John Tyre to
    represent Petitioner at trial. Petitioner alleged that Tyre was
    appointed pursuant to the contract and that there was a
    contractual limitation of one lawyer per case. For the PCLA
    to add a second lawyer to a case, Staten alleged, either a
    PCLA lawyer would have to provide the services pro bono or
    the PCLA would have to reimburse the County for fees paid
    to a non-PCLA lawyer. Petitioner argued that those funding
    limitations were the reason why he did not have a second
    lawyer at trial, and not the trial court’s stated reason that the
    case was not so complex as to require a second lawyer. He
    argued that the contract thus created a conflict of interest in
    violation of his Sixth Amendment right to counsel (Claim 11
    in this case); and he reasserted his previous due process,
    equal protection, and ineffective assistance claims regarding
    the denial of a second counsel in light of the PCLA contract
    (Claims 1, 2, and 3 in this case). The California Supreme
    Court dismissed the claims as untimely and repetitive and
    also denied them on the merits for failure to state a prima
    facie case for relief.
    Petitioner filed an initial 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
     petition in the
    district court in 2003 and a first amended petition in 2005.
    Petitioner moved for an evidentiary hearing on several
    claims, including those at issue in this appeal. The district
    court denied the motion for an evidentiary hearing and denied
    all claims, except Claim 11, for failing to meet the
    requirements of 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)(1). After additional
    briefing on Claim 11, the district court granted summary
    judgment to the State and entered judgment denying the
    petition.
    14                    STATEN V. DAVIS
    The district court granted a certificate of appealability for
    Claims 1, 2, 3, 7, and 11. Petitioner timely filed a notice of
    appeal.
    STANDARDS OF REVIEW
    We review de novo the district court’s denial of a petition
    for habeas corpus. Stanley v. Schriro, 
    598 F.3d 612
    , 617 (9th
    Cir. 2010). We review for abuse of discretion the district
    court’s determination that a petitioner is not entitled to an
    evidentiary hearing. 
    Id.
    Because Petitioner filed his § 2254 habeas petition after
    April 24, 1996, the Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty
    Act of 1996 (“AEDPA”), Pub. L. No. 104-132, 
    110 Stat. 1214
    , governs his petition. Lambert v. Blodgett, 
    393 F.3d 943
    , 965 (9th Cir. 2004). Under AEDPA, we must defer to
    a state court’s decision with respect to any claim that was
    adjudicated on the merits unless the decision was:
    (1) “contrary to, or involved an unreasonable application of,
    clearly established Federal law, as determined by the
    Supreme Court of the United States”; or (2) “based on an
    unreasonable determination of the facts in light of the
    evidence presented in the State court proceeding.” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d).
    DISCUSSION
    The California Supreme Court denied Petitioner’s claims
    on state procedural grounds and summarily on the merits.
    Although the decision “is unaccompanied by an explanation,”
    Petitioner still has the burden to show that “there was no
    reasonable basis for the state court to deny relief.”
    Harrington v. Richter, 
    562 U.S. 86
    , 98 (2011).
    STATEN V. DAVIS                       15
    Because we conclude that Petitioner’s claims do not
    survive review under § 2254(d), we decline to address the
    State’s procedural default arguments. Franklin v. Johnson,
    
    290 F.3d 1223
    , 1232–33 (9th Cir. 2002).
    A. Ineffective Assistance of Counsel (Claim 7)
    Petitioner argues that his trial counsel, John Tyre,
    rendered deficient performance because he failed to
    investigate and present evidence that the ESD claimed credit
    for the murders and because he failed to call a gang expert to
    counter the prosecution’s expert.
    To prevail, Petitioner must show (1) “that counsel’s
    representation fell below an objective standard of
    reasonableness”; and (2) that there is “a reasonable
    probability that, but for counsel’s unprofessional errors, the
    result of the proceeding would have been different.”
    Strickland v. Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
    , 688, 694 (1984).
    Petitioner must further show that the California Supreme
    Court’s denial of his ineffective assistance of counsel claim
    was not only “incorrect or erroneous,” but “objectively
    unreasonable.” Lockyer v. Andrade, 
    538 U.S. 63
    , 75 (2003).
    Only where “there is no possibility fairminded jurists could
    disagree” may we reverse the state court’s ruling on the
    claim. Richter, 
    562 U.S. at 102
    ; see also 
    id. at 105
     (“Federal
    habeas courts must guard against the danger of equating
    unreasonableness under Strickland with unreasonableness
    under § 2254(d).”).
    1. Deficient Performance
    Under the first prong, Strickland requires a showing that
    counsel’s performance was deficient, measured by a standard
    16                    STATEN V. DAVIS
    of reasonable professional assistance. This standard gives a
    “strong presumption that counsel’s conduct falls within the
    wide range of reasonable professional assistance; that is, the
    defendant must overcome the presumption that, under the
    circumstances, the challenged action might be considered
    sound trial strategy.” Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 687
     (internal
    quotation marks omitted). Below, we consider Tyre’s failure
    to: (a) investigate and present evidence that ESD members
    claimed credit for the murders; and (b) call a gang expert.
    a. Evidence that ESD Members Claimed Credit for the
    Murders
    We conclude that Tyre rendered deficient performance by
    failing to present testimony that ESD members appeared to
    claim credit for the murders. It was objectively unreasonable
    for the California Supreme Court to conclude otherwise.
    Richter, 
    562 U.S. at 102
    .
    Robert Oseguera, Brian Ellis, and Keith Taylor stated in
    declarations that on the morning after the murders they saw
    a car containing ESD members drive by the Staten home and
    say, “yeah we got them.” Pat Oseguera declared that she also
    saw ESD members drive by, but she did not hear what they
    were bragging about. Quincy Murphy stated in a declaration
    that he saw ESD members drive by “giving us hard stares.”
    Tyre interviewed all five witnesses. Both Pat Oseguera
    and Ellis mentioned the incident to him. Ellis stated that Tyre
    did not seem particularly interested in the incident. The
    record thus suggests not that Tyre thoroughly probed the
    issue and determined that the witnesses’ stories were not
    credible, but rather that he did not recognize the possible
    STATEN V. DAVIS                        17
    significance of the incident and failed to investigate it fully.
    Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at
    690–91.
    Tyre’s choice not to present evidence of a direct
    connection between the ESD and the murders was not
    reasonable. Although the witnesses’ declarations are not
    entirely consistent with one another regarding certain details
    about the incident, the basic account is consistent: ESD
    members drove by and behaved in a way that suggested that
    they were claiming credit for the murders. Tyre called Ellis,
    Murphy, and the Osegueras as witnesses, suggesting that he
    had determined they were sufficiently credible. Any
    credibility problems they did have were already before the
    jury; asking a few additional questions would not have
    changed the credibility calculus. It would not have been a
    reasonable trial strategy for Tyre to choose not to present his
    only evidence (besides the “ESD” graffiti at the Staten
    residence) linking the ESD to the murders simply because the
    witnesses’ accounts were not consistent on every detail.
    The testimony of those witnesses fit squarely into Tyre’s
    defense theory: that ESD gang members committed the
    murders when Petitioner left the house that night. The only
    direct evidence presented at trial that the murders were gang-
    related was the presence of “ESD” graffiti, of disputed
    authenticity, found at the house. Staten, 
    11 P.3d at 974
    .
    Tyre’s choice not to make use of readily available evidence,
    from apparently disinterested witnesses, that would have
    enhanced his chosen defense theory was unreasonable. See
    Alcala v. Woodford, 
    334 F.3d 862
    , 869–71 (9th Cir. 2003)
    (concluding that counsel was deficient for failing to present
    testimony and records that would have been “far more
    helpful” for establishing the defense’s theory than the
    evidence that was presented); Lisker v. Knowles, 
    651 F. Supp. 18
                        STATEN V. DAVIS
    2d 1097, 1121 (C.D. Cal. 2009) (noting that, where the
    defense strategy was to show that the petitioner did not
    commit the murder, there was “no logical reason” for failing
    to present evidence that someone else had); cf. Clark v.
    Chappell, 
    936 F.3d 944
    , 979 (9th Cir. 2019) (per curiam)
    (declining to determine that counsel had provided ineffective
    assistance for failing to present third-party culpability
    evidence where trial counsel considered that theory but
    reasonably rejected it), amended on denial of reh’g, 
    948 F.3d 1172
     (9th Cir. 2020). Testimony that the ESD had claimed
    credit for the murders would not have weakened other aspects
    of the guilt- or penalty-phase defense. The potential benefit
    of introducing the evidence was high, and any disadvantage
    was negligible.
    In short, it was objectively unreasonable for the California
    Supreme Court to conclude that Tyre’s performance was not
    deficient. Richter, 
    562 U.S. at 102
    .
    b. Gang Expert
    By contrast, we conclude that Tyre did not perform
    deficiently by failing to find and call a gang expert to counter
    the testimony of the prosecution’s gang expert. Tyre stated
    in a declaration that he sought funds for a gang expert, but
    that the trial court denied the request. Tyre “was entitled to
    formulate a strategy that was reasonable at the time and to
    balance limited resources in accord with effective trial tactics
    and strategies.” 
    Id. at 107
    . The prosecution’s gang expert,
    Detective Watkins, testified that the graffiti found in and
    around the Staten home was not authentic and that the
    murders of Petitioner’s parents were not gang-related. Rather
    than call a gang expert, Tyre chose to challenge Detective
    STATEN V. DAVIS                        19
    Watkins’ testimony through effective cross-examination and
    the presentation of other witnesses.
    For example, Tyre challenged Detective Watkins’s
    opinion that the “ESD” graffiti were not authentic by showing
    him and other witnesses samples of ESD graffiti that were
    consistent with the graffiti found at the scene. And Tyre
    elicited testimony from the assistant principal at the local
    high school that the graffiti at the Staten home looked like the
    ESD graffiti with which he was familiar. Tyre also cross-
    examined Detective Watkins regarding other violent activities
    by the ESD, and he questioned many neighbors regarding
    animosity between the ESD and African-Americans. Tyre
    questioned Petitioner and other witnesses about the history of
    threats that the ESD had made against them. Finally, Tyre
    challenged the prosecution’s case directly by cross-examining
    the investigating detectives on their lack of substantive
    investigation into the possibility that the ESD committed the
    crimes. Tyre argued in closing that the detectives’ refusal to
    investigate a possible gang killing reflected both an early bias
    and incomplete work.
    Tyre’s choice to undermine the prosecution’s case with
    cross-examination and other witnesses, rather than through
    the presentation of a counter-expert, was a reasonable tactical
    decision given the known and available resources. 
    Id. at 107
    ;
    see Babbitt v. Calderon, 
    151 F.3d 1170
    , 1173 (9th Cir. 1998)
    (emphasizing that the relevant inquiry under Strickland is
    whether “the choices made by defense counsel were
    reasonable” (internal quotation marks omitted)). At a
    minimum, it was not unreasonable for the California Supreme
    Court to conclude that Tyre’s choice not to call a gang expert
    met Strickland’s deferential standard. Richter, 
    562 U.S. at
    106–07.
    20                     STATEN V. DAVIS
    2. Prejudice
    Claim 7 nevertheless fails because fairminded jurists
    could disagree as to whether the testimony of the five
    witnesses regarding ESD members’ boasting was reasonably
    likely to have changed the outcome of Petitioner’s trial.
    Richter, 
    562 U.S. at 102
    ; Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 694
    . Thus,
    the California Supreme Court’s summary denial of that claim
    was not objectively unreasonable. Lockyer, 
    538 U.S. at 75
    .
    The prosecutor acknowledged from the start that the case
    was “entirely circumstantial” and that he might not be able to
    prove that Petitioner “killed these people himself or by
    himself,” but only that he was “involved in these murders.”
    The murder weapons were never found, and the results of the
    blood sample tests were inconclusive.
    But even though the prosecution’s case was not
    overwhelming, there was compelling evidence of Petitioner’s
    guilt. Petitioner’s friends testified that he talked about killing
    his parents and told them about his parents’ life insurance
    policies, bragging of a windfall if his parents died. He told a
    cousin on the night of his parents’ funeral that it was “time to
    party and get high.” Another witness saw Petitioner, after his
    parents’ deaths, opening a safe in his parents’ bedroom that
    contained stacks of cash. Petitioner had been carrying his
    parents’ .38 revolver the day of the murders and had told
    friends he had hollow-point bullets for it. The weapon used
    to kill his father was never found, but the bullets at the scene
    matched the caliber of the .38 revolver and were hollow-point
    bullets. A partial handprint on the mirrored wall below the
    “ESD kills” graffito matched Petitioner’s. And there was no
    evidence of a forced entry or of entry into the backyard.
    Despite the inconclusive blood tests, Petitioner conceded that
    STATEN V. DAVIS                             21
    his blood might be in the house, testifying that he had cut his
    finger earlier in the day and may have left a trail of blood.
    Petitioner, characteristically, had been wearing blue jeans on
    the day of the murders, but when police arrived at the scene
    he was in shorts. Detectives searched for his jeans but never
    found them, and the relative with whom Petitioner stayed
    after his parents’ deaths testified that she did not see him
    wear jeans again until he bought a new pair about three weeks
    after the killings. And there was sufficient leeway in the
    timeline given by prosecution witnesses to permit the jury to
    conclude that events unfolded as the prosecution described.
    Against the backdrop of that evidence, a reasonable jurist
    could conclude that testimony about the overheard boasting
    of ESD members would not have had a reasonable probability
    of changing the outcome of the guilt phase of the trial.5
    Additionally, although the defense that Tyre presented
    was not as strong as it could have been, he presented evidence
    that ESD gang members could have been responsible for the
    murders. The assistant principal testified that the graffiti
    appeared authentic. Tyre elicited testimony that ESD
    members had made threats against Petitioner personally; that
    there was animosity between the ESD and the African-
    American community; and that the ESD claimed territory in
    Petitioner’s neighborhood, including the row of houses
    behind his house. The testimony about the ESD members’
    5
    The dissent argues that much of the evidence that composed the
    prosecution’s case is open to multiple interpretations and innocent
    explanations. But viewing the evidence in the light most favorable to
    Petitioner does not accord with AEDPA deference where the inquiry is
    whether a reasonable jurist could conclude that the deficient performance
    did not undermine confidence in the outcome. Richter, 
    562 U.S. at
    111–12.
    22                    STATEN V. DAVIS
    boasting could have bolstered the existing defense theory, but
    it was not a new theory that the jury never heard.
    When we have found the omission of cumulative
    evidence prejudicial, the evidence has been so persuasive that
    it would have meaningfully altered the jury’s view of the
    case. See, e.g., Vega v. Ryan, 
    757 F.3d 960
    , 968, 973 (9th
    Cir. 2014) (per curiam) (holding that cumulative evidence
    was prejudicial where the omitted testimony of a priest
    “would have brought credibility” to the claims of another
    witness who had motivation to lie); Cannedy v. Adams,
    
    706 F.3d 1148
    , 1164–66 (9th Cir. 2013) (holding that defense
    counsel’s failure to present testimony about the victim’s
    recantation was prejudicial in a “he said, she said” case where
    the defendant was the only defense witness). Here, by
    contrast, the omitted testimony may have been more direct
    than the evidence that Tyre presented, but it was no more
    reliable and would not have significantly changed the nature
    of the defense.
    And in the cases in which we and the California Supreme
    Court have concluded that failure to present evidence of
    third-party culpability was prejudicial, the omitted evidence
    was far more compelling than it was here and would have
    supplemented weaker defense evidence than what Tyre put on
    in Petitioner’s trial. In Thomas v. Chappell, 
    678 F.3d 1086
    (9th Cir. 2012), for example, defense counsel presented a
    “bare defense” that a third party was responsible for the
    murder: the “seemingly incoherent” grand jury testimony of
    one woman that was read to the jury because she could not be
    located to testify at trial. 
    Id.
     at 1092–93, 1100, 1105.
    Defense counsel failed to present testimony from several
    other witnesses that would have corroborated the woman’s
    testimony, identified the man that she implicated, and
    STATEN V. DAVIS                               23
    described that man’s incriminating behavior and statements
    after the murders. 
    Id. at 1106
    . The prosecution’s case was
    also weaker than that against Petitioner: the prosecution
    presented no motive, murder weapon, witnesses to the crime,
    or fingerprint or blood evidence. 
    Id. at 1103
    .
    Similarly, in In re Hardy, 
    163 P.3d 853
     (Cal. 2007), the
    evidence that defense counsel failed to present was more
    significant both in quantity and quality than the testimony
    that Tyre failed to elicit. There, the prosecution’s key witness
    had made incriminating statements before and after the
    murder and there was evidence that his alibi was false. 
    Id.
    at 886–87. Had defense counsel presented that testimony, it
    would not only have provided strong evidence of third-party
    culpability, but also would have undermined the critical
    testimony that implicated the defendant.6 The testimony was
    all the more likely to have affected the outcome of the trial
    because there were no eyewitnesses, no witnesses to place the
    defendant at the crime scene, no forensic evidence, and no
    murder weapon or evidence that the defendant typically
    carried anything like the murder weapon. 
    Id.
    Here, the testimony that Tyre failed to present did not
    have similar probative value. The witnesses the jury would
    have heard from were either not new or not more credible.
    6
    Although the California Supreme Court concluded that Hardy was
    prejudiced as to the theory that he was the actual killer, it ultimately held
    that his ineffective assistance of counsel claim failed because he could
    have been found guilty of murder under a derivative theory. Hardy,
    
    163 P.3d at 887
    . On appeal, we held that was an unreasonable application
    of clearly established federal law because the prosecution’s entire theory,
    including its arguments under the derivative theories, rested on the
    defendant’s being the actual killer. Hardy v. Chappell, 
    849 F.3d 803
    ,
    820–21 (9th Cir. 2016).
    24                    STATEN V. DAVIS
    And the testimony would have inconsistently described an
    incident that only implicitly implicated ESD members. Tyre
    performed deficiently because that was better evidence that
    ESD was responsible than anything he presented and there
    was no justifiable reason for him not to present it—not
    because the testimony was compelling. Tyre, unlike the
    defense counsel in Thomas or Hardy, offered a credible—if
    not strong—defense that included several witnesses
    connecting ESD gang members to Petitioner and to the
    neighborhood. But the jury rejected that theory, and the
    additional testimony would not have significantly changed
    that defense. Moreover, the inclusion of the testimony would
    have left the prosecution’s case intact—it would not have
    undermined any of the evidence that the prosecution
    presented. And that evidence was stronger than that
    presented in either Thomas or Hardy: here, the prosecution
    presented evidence of a motive; testimony placing Petitioner
    at the scene at the time of the murders; and evidence that, on
    the day of the murders, Petitioner had been in possession of
    a firearm that was consistent with the murder weapon. The
    additional testimony would not have changed the light in
    which the jury viewed that evidence.
    The dissent discusses additional evidence that Tyre did
    not present to the jury—regarding Petitioner’s and Arthur
    Staten’s drug dealing activity, gang associations, and the
    resulting tension with ESD—and argues that the evidence
    would have made the omitted testimony more persuasive.
    But Petitioner did not challenge Tyre’s failure to present that
    evidence on appeal, so that issue is forfeited. See Orr v.
    Plumb, 
    884 F.3d 923
    , 932 (9th Cir. 2018). Even if we were
    to consider it, we would disagree with the dissent’s
    suggestion that Tyre may have made a different decision
    about introducing that evidence had he considered the ESD
    STATEN V. DAVIS                       25
    members’ boasting. There were good reasons for Tyre to
    keep the evidence out intentionally. With or without the
    testimony that ESD members claimed credit, testimony about
    Petitioner’s and Arthur Staten’s drug dealing and gang
    associations could have damaged Petitioner’s credibility,
    could have hurt the penalty phase defense, and—perhaps
    most significantly—could have provided the prosecution with
    another argument that Petitioner had a financial motive to kill
    his father. In our prejudice analysis, we cannot consider the
    cumulative effect of non-errors. Williams v. Filson, 
    908 F.3d 546
    , 570 (9th Cir. 2018).
    If we reviewed only for prejudice under Strickland,
    Tyre’s failure to introduce the witness testimony might be
    enough to “undermine [our] confidence in the outcome.”
    Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 694
    . But when § 2254(d) applies, that
    is not the question. Richter, 
    562 U.S. at 105
    . Instead, the
    question is whether the state court reasonably could have
    concluded that the evidence of prejudice fell short of
    Strickland’s deferential standard. 
    Id.
     at 111–12. Here, there
    were reasonable grounds for the California Supreme Court to
    conclude that the omitted testimony would not have altered
    the outcome.
    B. PCLA Contract Claims (Claims 1, 2, 3, and 11)
    Petitioner’s remaining claims concern a contract between
    Los Angeles County and the PCLA. The contract provided
    that the PCLA would act as conflict counsel to represent
    indigent defendants when the public defender’s office legally
    could not. The initial contract ran from November 1, 1990,
    to October 31, 1991. Under the terms of that contract, the
    PCLA agreed to represent up to 500 defendants during the
    contract year in criminal actions ranging from infractions and
    26                     STATEN V. DAVIS
    misdemeanors to parole violations, guilty pleas, and felony
    trials, including capital cases. Los Angeles County paid a flat
    fee of $495,833 and agreed to pay an additional $991.67 for
    each defendant in excess of 500. Petitioner alleged that the
    trial court appointed his counsel, Tyre, under the terms of the
    initial contract. He further alleged that funding limitations
    contained in the terms of the contract were the reason why he
    did not have a second trial lawyer, which violated his
    constitutional rights.
    Petitioner’s claims concerning the contract fail for lack of
    evidence to support the underlying premise. There is no
    evidence in the record that Petitioner’s trial counsel was
    appointed to represent Petitioner pursuant to the contract.
    Nor is there evidence that Tyre was a member of the PCLA
    at the time the initial contract was signed or was a signatory
    to the original contract. The PCLA contract is not mentioned
    in the trial record. The California Supreme Court could
    reasonably have concluded that Petitioner’s allegations on all
    those points are unsupported and that his argument therefore
    collapses.
    Because of this lack of support, the California Supreme
    Court’s summary denial of Petitioner’s claims was
    reasonable. See 
    id. at 98
     (“Where a state court’s decision is
    unaccompanied by an explanation, the habeas petitioner’s
    burden still must be met by showing there was no reasonable
    basis for the state court to deny relief.”); see also Schriro v.
    Landrigan, 
    550 U.S. 465
    , 474 (2007) (“[I]f the record refutes
    the applicant’s factual allegations or otherwise precludes
    habeas relief, a district court is not required to hold an
    evidentiary hearing.”); Hibbler v. Benedetti, 
    693 F.3d 1140
    ,
    1148 (9th Cir. 2012) (noting that, “if a district court would be
    within its discretion in denying an evidentiary hearing, a state
    STATEN V. DAVIS                       27
    court’s similar decision is probably not objectively
    unreasonable”).
    The state court had a copy of the original PCLA contract,
    which neither included a signature page for the contracting
    PCLA attorneys nor named them. But the original contract
    contained a brief description of the contractors, stating “that
    each of the attorneys has practiced law for more than ten
    (10) years.” During the first contract year—the year in which
    Tyre was appointed to represent Staten—that description did
    not apply to Tyre, who had been practicing for only eight
    years. The description did apply to Tyre during subsequent
    extensions for the second and third contract years, when the
    record shows that Tyre signed on as a member of the PCLA.
    Although Tyre submitted two declarations discussing the
    assistance that he received from investigators, difficulties he
    encountered getting funds approved for investigators and
    experts, and the application for second counsel, he did not
    mention the PCLA contract.
    Petitioner’s state and federal habeas counsel submitted
    declarations stating that they believed Tyre had been
    appointed to represent Petitioner under the PCLA contract,
    but they provided no reasons for that belief. To the contrary,
    each noted that Tyre expressly denied that he was appointed
    under the contract.
    Additionally, the record contains evidence tending to
    refute the assertion that the PCLA contract governed Tyre’s
    compensation or remuneration for expenses. For example,
    Tyre filed motions for funds under California Penal Code
    § 987.2, for expenses including stationery, travel, phone,
    photographic materials, medical records, video and audio
    materials, copying, and scanning costs. The trial court
    28                    STATEN V. DAVIS
    granted most of those motions in full or in part. But those
    types of expenses were included in the flat fee of the original
    PCLA contract, which stated that the contracting attorneys
    would provide “all legal defense services typically provided
    by the Office of the Public Defender, including . . . legal
    research, preparation of documents, secretarial and clerical
    support services, and travel.” Had Tyre been appointed under
    the PCLA contract, the trial court likely would have denied
    his requests.
    Even if we considered Petitioner’s additional declaration,
    which he did not submit to the California Supreme Court,
    nothing in that declaration suggests that Tyre was appointed
    under the contract. Petitioner averred that Tyre never told
    him that he was appointed under an agreement for legal
    services and never discussed the PCLA contract. Petitioner
    asserted that he first heard of the PCLA contract from his
    federal habeas attorneys. The declaration does not present
    any additional justification for concluding that Tyre accepted
    appointment under the PCLA contract.
    We therefore hold that the California Supreme Court’s
    summary denial on the merits of Claims 1, 2, 3, and 11 was
    not unreasonable. Richter, 
    562 U.S. at
    97–98.
    AFFIRMED.
    BERZON, Circuit Judge, dissenting in part:
    I concur in the majority’s analysis of Deondre Staten’s
    (“Staten”) claims regarding the Pomona Contract Lawyers
    Association Contract, Part B, and its holding that it was
    STATEN V. DAVIS                         29
    objectively unreasonable for the California Supreme Court to
    conclude that Staten’s counsel’s performance during the guilt
    phase of the trial was not deficient, Part A.1. But I dissent
    from the majority’s holding that the California Supreme
    Court’s imputed holding as to whether trial counsel’s
    deficient performance likely prejudiced the outcome of
    Staten’s trial was a reasonable application of clearly
    established Supreme Court law. I would hold that there was
    prejudice under the standard established in Strickland v.
    Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
     (1984), that any conclusion to the
    contrary was unreasonable, and that 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)
    therefore does not preclude habeas relief.
    In Staten’s state habeas petition, he alleged that his
    counsel provided ineffective assistance of counsel (“IAC”) by
    failing to investigate and present certain third-party
    culpability evidence. In support of this claim, Staten
    submitted five witness declarations that described members
    of the East Side Dukes’ gang (“the ESD gang”) driving by the
    Statens’ house the morning after the murders and behaving
    “in a way that suggested that they were claiming credit for the
    murders.” Robert Oseguera, Brian Ellis, and Keith Taylor
    heard the ESD gang members say “yeah we got them,” Pat
    Oseguera saw the ESD gang members who “seemed to be
    bragging,” and Quincy Murphy described the ESD gang
    members “giving . . . hard stares” as they drove by.
    The opinion explains that Staten’s counsel likely “did not
    recognize the possible significance of the incident [described
    in the declarations] and failed to investigate it fully,” and that
    any “choice not to make use of readily available evidence,
    from apparently disinterested witnesses, that would have
    enhanced his chosen defense theory was unreasonable.”
    Majority Opinion (“Maj. Op.”) at 16–17. It was therefore
    30                    STATEN V. DAVIS
    “objectively unreasonable for the California Supreme Court
    to conclude that [Staten’s counsel’s] performance was not
    deficient.” Maj. Op. at 18. I agree with that conclusion. But
    the majority goes on to maintain that a fairminded jurist could
    decide that the failure to investigate and present third-party
    culpability evidence did not prejudice Staten. Maj. Op. at 20.
    On that point, I respectfully disagree.
    The case against Staten was based almost entirely on
    circumstantial evidence. There were no witnesses to the
    murders; no murder weapon was ever found; blood samples
    from the crime scene were inconclusive. The evidence Staten
    introduced in his state habeas filing, if credited, was direct
    and compelling. Given that contrast, even under the
    deference to the state courts required under § 2254(d) of the
    Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act of 1996
    (“AEDPA”), the conclusion that the jury would not likely
    have been swayed had the five witnesses testified to the ESD
    gang’s bravado is not minimally persuasive. As 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d) therefore does not bar federal habeas relief, I would
    either require supplemental briefing or remand to the district
    court to consider whether Staten’s IAC claim was
    procedurally defaulted, an issue not adequately briefed on
    appeal.
    I
    A
    Staten filed his petition after the effective date of
    AEDPA. Under AEDPA, we defer to a state court’s decision
    regarding any claim adjudicated on the merits unless that
    decision was: (1) “contrary to, or involved an unreasonable
    application of, clearly established Federal law, as determined
    STATEN V. DAVIS                       31
    by the Supreme Court of the United States”; or (2) “based on
    an unreasonable determination of the facts in light of the
    evidence presented in the State court proceeding.” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d). “An unreasonable application must be objectively
    unreasonable, not merely wrong.” Andrews v. Davis,
    
    944 F.3d 1092
    , 1107 (9th Cir. 2019) (en banc) (citation and
    quotation marks omitted).
    To prove his IAC claim, in addition to showing that
    “counsel’s representation fell below an objective standard of
    reasonableness,” Staten must demonstrate that “there is a
    reasonable probability that, but for counsel’s unprofessional
    errors, the result of the proceeding would have been
    different.” Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 688, 694
    . “A reasonable
    probability is a probability sufficient to undermine confidence
    in the outcome.” 
    Id. at 694
    . Strickland “does not require a
    showing that counsel’s actions more likely than not altered
    the outcome.” Cannedy v. Adams, 
    706 F.3d 1148
    , 1165 (9th
    Cir. 2013) (quoting Harrington v. Richter, 
    562 U.S. 86
    ,
    111–12 (2011)). As I agree with the majority’s conclusion
    that it was objectively unreasonable for the state court to
    determine that Staten’s counsel was not deficient in failing to
    investigate and present the third-party culpability evidence,
    as well as its explanation for that conclusion, I focus on
    Strickland’s prejudice requirement.
    B
    To determine whether counsel’s errors prejudiced the
    outcome of the trial, we “must compare the evidence that
    actually was presented to the jury with that which could have
    been presented had counsel acted appropriately.” Hardy v.
    Chappell, 
    849 F.3d 803
    , 826 (9th Cir. 2016) (quotation marks
    omitted). Unlike cases in which the evidence of guilt was
    32                       STATEN V. DAVIS
    “overwhelming,” see, e.g., United States v. Mikhel, 
    889 F.3d 1003
    , 1046 (9th Cir. 2018); Murray v. Schriro, 
    882 F.3d 778
    ,
    825 (9th Cir. 2018), the prosecution’s case against Staten was
    fairly weak, and was based nearly entirely on circumstantial
    evidence. The prosecutor recognized as much in his opening
    statement, explaining “I do not necessarily expect to prove to
    you that Mr. Staten . . . killed these people himself or by
    himself.” A close look at the evidence presented and the
    culpability evidence that could have been presented confirms
    that § 2254(d) does not bar federal habeas relief for Staten’s
    IAC claim.
    i
    The majority summarizes the facts of the case and
    describes the evidence most relevant to its holding that Staten
    was not prejudiced by his counsel’s deficient performance.
    See Maj. Op. at 5–11, 20–25. I will not repeat those details
    here. In my view, the most damaging evidence against Staten
    included:     testimony that Staten had mentioned in
    conversation with friends getting money from killing his
    parents;1 Staten’s uncorroborated and questionable alibi that
    his parents were killed in 15 minutes he was out of the house
    to get food; and testimony about Faye and Arthur Staten’s
    .38 caliber revolver. Witnesses testified the Statens’
    .38 revolver was in Deondre’s possession on the day of the
    murders; the prosecution introduced evidence that a
    .38 revolver could have been used to shoot Arthur Staten; and
    the Statens’ .38 revolver was never found after the murders.
    This evidence, taken together, amounted to a circumstantial
    1
    The majority mentions this encounter, Maj. Op. at 5, but does not
    explain that Staten’s two friends, John Nichols and Bishop Higgins,
    “didn’t take [Staten] serious[ly]” and described Staten as “just joking.”
    STATEN V. DAVIS                        33
    case against Staten adequate to support the verdict. Still, no
    direct evidence connected Staten to the murders.
    Troublingly, the majority’s prejudice analysis also
    emphasizes evidence that seems more distracting than
    convincing. Although I agree with the majority that we do
    not view evidence “in the light most favorable to [Staten],”
    this evidence lacks probative value in any light. Maj. Op.
    at 21 n.5. Evidence the majority relies on that does not merit
    much, if any, weight in my view includes:
    (1) Staten’s partial handprint on the mirrored wall below
    the “ESD kills” graffiti. This palm print was found in a
    hallway Staten traveled frequently as a resident of the house.
    (2) Blood samples from the crime scene that could have
    been Staten’s.       The blood evidence was relatively
    vague—this was not DNA evidence, but a stipulation from
    the defense and the prosecution that some blood samples
    taken from the crime scene “could have” come from Staten
    and others “could have” come from Faye. The majority
    acknowledges that the blood sample tests were
    “inconclusive.” Maj. Op. at 20. Also, Staten gave an
    explanation as to why his blood may have been in the
    house—that it came from a finger that he cut while trimming
    the hedges earlier that day.
    (3) Neither the detectives nor Staten’s aunt could find
    jeans in Staten’s size at his house after the crime, even though
    Staten frequently wore jeans and was seen in jeans on the day
    of the murders. The implication of this evidence seems to be
    that Staten was wearing jeans when he murdered his parents
    but disposed of them, along with the murder weapon, before
    reporting the murders to his neighbors. But that version of
    34                     STATEN V. DAVIS
    events would not explain why none of Staten’s jeans were
    found at his house. Staten testified to owning three pairs of
    jeans, and was known by at least one friend as “501 man”
    because he wore Levi jeans so often.
    (4) Staten told his cousin that it was “time to party and get
    high” on the night of his parents’ funeral.                 This
    statement—which could have been an inappropriate attempt
    to comfort his crying cousin—did not meaningfully implicate
    Staten in his parents’ murders. And there was evidence that
    Staten was emotionally affected by his parents’ murders—
    several witnesses testified to seeing Staten upset after over his
    parents’ death.
    (5) Staten was seen opening a safe in his parents’
    bedroom, which one witness described as having “[m]aybe
    ten inches” of bills, but which Staten described as containing
    less than 300 dollars and his parents’ will. There is nothing
    unusual about Staten opening his parents’ safe to find their
    will after their deaths, even if a substantial amount of money
    was also in the safe.
    Considered together, then, the evidence implicating Staten
    in the murders was fairly weak. And other evidence
    introduced at trial supported Staten’s innocence.
    First, that Arthur Staten was shot but Faye Staten was
    stabbed to death suggests, as the defense argued and the
    prosecution acknowledged in its opening statement, that more
    than one person was likely involved in the murders. But the
    jury was never presented with a theory as to who else could
    or would have helped Staten murder his parents. Second,
    numerous witnesses testified that Staten had a very close
    relationship with his mother, making it unlikely that Staten,
    STATEN V. DAVIS                             35
    who had no history of violence, would have stabbed her
    18 times. Third, Staten did not test positive for gunshot
    residue on the night of the murders. Finally, the recorded
    conversation between Staten and his friend John Nichols,
    described in part by the majority, Maj. Op. at 9, partially
    supports Staten’s defense. Nichols, who was cooperating
    with the police and wearing a wire, repeatedly asks if Staten
    was involved in Arthur’s and Faye’s murders. Over the
    course of the conversation, Staten says a version of “I didn’t
    do it” five times; explains that he “left to get something to
    eat,” before coming home to find his parents dead; states that
    he did not have the .38 revolver when his parents returned;
    and expresses how much he loved his mother, and how upset
    he was after his parents died.
    The majority argues that “in the cases in which [the Ninth
    Circuit] and the California Supreme Court have concluded
    that failure to present evidence of third-party culpability was
    prejudicial,” (1) “the omitted evidence was far more
    compelling than it was here,” and (2) “[t]he prosecution’s
    case was . . . weaker.” Maj. Op. at 22–23. As discussed
    below, the omitted evidence here was both compelling and
    fundamentally different than any other evidence admitted at
    trial. See infra, Section I.B.ii.
    As to the strength of the prosecution’s case, analogous
    case law supports the conclusion that the case against Staten
    was weak. The only Ninth Circuit case the majority discusses
    to support its position that the prosecution’s evidence against
    Staten was stronger than in analogous cases is Thomas v.
    Chappell, 
    678 F.3d 1086
     (9th Cir. 2012).2 Maj. Op. at 22.
    2
    See infra, page 40 for discussion of the other case relied on by the
    majority, In re Hardy, 
    163 P.3d 853
    , 886–87 (Cal. 2007).
    36                        STATEN V. DAVIS
    The strength of the evidence against Thomas was, in fact,
    very similar to that in the case against Staten.
    The majority, summarizing the evidence against Staten,
    states that “the prosecution presented evidence of a motive;
    testimony placing [Staten] at the scene at the time of the
    murders; and evidence that, on the day of the murders,
    [Staten] had been in possession of a firearm that was
    consistent with the murder weapon.” Maj. Op. at 24. In
    Thomas, the jury was presented with evidence that Thomas
    “possessed a rifle that could have been the murder weapon,”
    that Thomas had fired the rifle the night before the murders,
    that the rifle had disappeared by the next morning and was
    never found, and that “[t]he rifle had some peculiarities such
    that, if a person unfamiliar with the rifle used it, it might
    jam.” 
    678 F.3d at 1102
    . The jury also heard that Thomas
    “asserted that he could think of many motives for killing the
    victims but declined to offer one when asked,” and “was seen
    with the victims shortly before the likely time of murder . . .
    [and] appeared angry.” 
    Id.
     This Court held that, despite the
    “circumstantial evidence that cast considerable suspicion
    upon [Thomas],” the testimony of three additional witnesses
    supporting “the theory of the alternative credible killer . . .
    created a reasonable doubt as to [Thomas’s] guilt,” and so
    Thomas was prejudiced by his attorney’s failure to investigate
    and present third-party culpability evidence. 
    Id. at 1102, 1104, 1106
    .3 The similarities between Thomas and this case
    3
    Staten’s case is also similar to Thomas’s because “the objective
    clues as to the jury’s assessment of the case strongly suggest that the case
    was close.” Thomas, 
    678 F.3d at 1103
    . Here, the jury deliberated for two
    days and requested readbacks of certain testimony, which “is an indication
    that the jury was clearly struggling to reach a verdict.” 
    Id.
     (quotation
    marks and citation omitted). See also Daniels v. Woodford, 
    428 F.3d 1181
    , 1209–10 (9th Cir. 2005) (holding that “[t]he jury deliberat[ing] for
    STATEN V. DAVIS                                 37
    support the conclusion that Staten was prejudiced by his
    counsel’s deficient performance, and undermine the
    majority’s proposition that cases in which this Court has
    found evidence of third-party culpability to be prejudicial
    involved weaker cases by the prosecution.4
    Not only is this case, in the words of the prosecutor’s
    opening statement, an “entirely circumstantial case” with “no
    direct evidence,” the trial record is notable for the paucity of
    direct evidence regarding the involvement of the ESD gang.
    Defense counsel elicited and presented some evidence to
    support its primary defense—that the ESD gang murdered the
    Statens. That evidence included that the ESD gang claimed
    territory bordering the Statens’ street and graffitied its name
    widely and frequently in the Statens’ neighborhood; that the
    ESD gang had a record of confronting African-Americans,5
    and repeatedly painted graffiti stating “ESD Kills Niggers” in
    the Statens’ neighborhood; that the assistant principal at
    Staten’s school had seen “ESD” graffiti in the same style as
    the spray-painted letters found inside the Statens’ house;6 and
    two days before returning a verdict . . . suggests that the jury may have
    been influenced by [additional] evidence had it been offered”). Notably,
    the jury requested during their deliberations a transcript of the recorded
    conversation between Nichols and Staten in which Staten repeatedly
    denies having anything to do with the murders and maintains that the ESD
    gang was likely responsible.
    4
    Thomas did not involve AEDPA deference, and so only considered
    whether Thomas was prejudiced by his counsel’s deficient performance.
    5
    Staten and his family are African American.
    6
    This testimony contradicted the prosecution’s gang expert, who
    testified that the graffiti found in the Statens’ house did not match the style
    of the ESD gang’s graffiti.
    38                        STATEN V. DAVIS
    that Staten had had several confrontations with the ESD gang.
    Staten and other witnesses testified that Staten received
    threatening phone calls from and was shot at by ESD gang
    members. Defense counsel also emphasized that the police
    did not conduct a thorough investigation of possible gang
    involvement before ruling out the ESD gang as suspects. But
    the defense did not present any evidence, aside from the
    graffiti in the Statens’ house, that directly connected the ESD
    gang to Arthur and Faye Staten or to their murders.
    ii
    As to the importance of the exculpatory evidence that
    could have been submitted at trial but was not, the evidence
    Staten presented in his habeas petition of the ESD gang
    members claiming credit for Arthur’s and Faye’s murders is
    fundamentally different from any evidence presented to the
    jury. I strongly disagree with the majority’s assertion that the
    new evidence “would not have significantly changed the
    nature of the defense.”7 Maj. Op. at 22. Staten presented
    declarations of five witnesses, all of whom would have
    testified that they saw members of the ESD gang driving by
    the Statens’ house the morning after the murders. The
    declarations explained that the ESD gang members were
    7
    The majority also asserts that the evidence offered in Staten’s state
    habeas petition is less probative because it involved witnesses who “were
    either not new or not more credible.” Maj. Op. at 23. For one thing, we
    cannot know how credible the jury would have found Keith Taylor, who
    did not testify at Staten’s trial. But more importantly, even if the
    witnesses would not have been new to the jury, their testimony connecting
    the ESD gang to the murders would have been. That these witnesses
    provided other unrelated testimony does nothing to diminish the probative
    value of testimony regarding the ESD gang claiming credit for the
    murders.
    STATEN V. DAVIS                         39
    “giving . . . hard stares,” and three witnesses heard the gang
    members say “yeah we got them.”
    Had it been presented at trial, this evidence would have
    been the only “direct connection between the ESD and the
    murders” aside from the “ESD kills” graffiti, which the
    prosecution’s gang expert debunked. Maj. Op. at 17. This
    evidence would therefore not be “cumulative.” Maj. Op.
    at 22. The majority rightly points out that the evidence of
    ESD gang members’ responsibility for the murders did not
    present a “new theory.” Maj. Op. at 21–22. But to say that
    the defense already had a theory about who committed the
    murders does not mean that critical evidence supporting that
    theory would not have made it materially more likely that the
    theory would have been accepted rather than rejected.
    Analogous case law, unpersuasively relied on by the
    majority, confirms that habeas evidence can be prejudicial
    when it supports the same defense theory presented at trial.
    Vega v. Ryan, 
    757 F.3d 960
    , 974 (9th Cir. 2014), for example,
    held “that the state court’s findings that [the victim’s priest’s]
    testimony [regarding victim’s recantation] would have been
    cumulative and would have had no effect on the verdict [was]
    an unreasonable determination of the facts in light of the
    evidence presented in the state court proceedings,” even
    though the jury had heard evidence that the victim recanted
    to her mother. In In re Hardy, the California Supreme Court
    held that Hardy was prejudiced by his counsel’s deficient
    performance at the penalty phase because counsel failed to
    investigate and present third-party culpability evidence, even
    though counsel’s closing argument “made clear that his
    strategy was to create a reasonable doubt in the minds of the
    jurors by convincing them it was [a third party]” who
    committed the murders. 
    163 P.3d 853
    , 885, 893 (Cal. 2007).
    40                    STATEN V. DAVIS
    The majority makes an unhelpful comparison in relying
    on In re Hardy as a case in which the potential impact of
    third-party culpability evidence was stronger than it was here.
    Maj. Op. at 23. Although the California Supreme Court
    concluded that Hardy was prejudiced by his counsel’s
    deficient performance at the penalty phase, that court had
    held that Hardy was not prejudiced by counsel’s deficient
    performance in the guilt phase because of the “ample
    evidence” that Hardy was a member of the conspiracy and
    aided and abetted others in the commission of the murders.
    In re Hardy, 
    163 P.3d at 891
    . This Court, however, held that
    conclusion unreasonable and granted habeas relief. Hardy v.
    Chappell, 849 F.3d at 826–27.
    The evidence of Hardy’s involvement in the conspiracy,
    which made him as liable for the murders as if he committed
    them himself, was much stronger than the circumstantial
    evidence against Staten here. Hardy’s girlfriend at the time
    of the murders testified that Hardy was paid $1,000 for his
    role in the murders, told her at least twice that he had been to
    the victims’ home the night of the murders, told her and his
    brother to dispose of a rifle that was allegedly stolen from the
    victim’s house, and told her to destroy a pair of his shoes
    after he learned that police had discovered a footprint at the
    crime scene. Id. at 862. Despite the strength of this evidence,
    this Court held, applying AEDPA deferential review, that the
    California Supreme Court unreasonably applied Strickland in
    holding that Hardy was not prejudiced in the guilt phase by
    his counsel’s deficient performance. Hardy v. Chappell held
    that, had counsel performed competently, “the jury would
    have been torn between two conflicting theories on the
    identity of the . . . killer.” 849 F.3d at 826.
    STATEN V. DAVIS                       41
    The same is true here. Analogously to Hardy v. Chappell,
    the defense in this case rested on the jury believing that the
    ESD gang could well have murdered Arthur and Faye
    Staten—not that the gang did commit the murders—and so
    Staten was not guilty beyond a reasonable doubt. Defense
    counsel presented no alternative theory of who could have
    committed the crime and repeatedly emphasized the possible
    role of the ESD gang throughout the trial. But the general
    evidence about the ESD gang’s proximity to the Statens and
    conflict with other African Americans, and even the specific
    testimony that the ESD gang threatened and harassed Staten,
    does not compare to direct evidence presented in the habeas
    declarations that the ESD gang claimed responsibility for
    Arthur’s and Faye’s murders. This evidence is also distinct
    from the evidence admitted at trial and important to Staten’s
    defense, because it would have countered testimony that the
    ESD gang denied responsibility for the murders when
    interviewed by a police investigator.
    The prejudicial effect of Staten’s counsel’s deficient
    performance must also be considered in conjunction with
    other third-party culpability evidence Staten’s counsel failed
    to present. In his state habeas filing, Staten presented the
    California Supreme Court with evidence that Arthur and
    Deondre Staten sold drugs in ESD gang territory. Three
    witness declarations described Arthur Staten’s drug dealing
    and indicated that his activities caused problems between the
    ESD gang and the Statens. Keith Taylor stated that Arthur
    Staten “advertised that he was a successful drug dealer” by
    wearing expensive jewelry and clothes and going on
    42                       STATEN V. DAVIS
    expensive vacations.8 Brian Ellis and Quincy Murphy also
    described Arthur Staten buying a new truck and making
    expensive improvements to the Statens’ house and beauty
    salon with the money he made selling drugs. Murphy
    explained that Arthur’s and Deondre’s drug sales “caused big
    time problems with the Dukes, who wanted to control the
    entire drug trade in the area.”
    This evidence “cannot simply be ignored when assessing
    prejudice” of Staten’s counsel’s deficient performance in
    failing to present critical evidence of third-party culpability.
    See Williams v. Filson, 
    908 F.3d 546
    , 570 (9th Cir. 2018).
    That Staten’s counsel made a tactical decision to avoid
    presenting evidence of Deondre Staten as a gang associate or
    drug dealer while presenting little direct evidence that the
    ESD gang was involved does not mean that he would have
    made the same decision with such evidence, or that the
    decision would have been reasonable on an expanded record
    of gang responsibility for the murders. And evidence that the
    ESD gang had both a motive to kill Arthur Staten and
    publicly claimed credit for the murders likely would have
    created reasonable doubt in the mind of the jury.
    Despite the hole-ridden case the prosecution presented to
    the jury and the unique nature of the third-party culpability
    evidence presented in Staten’s habeas petition, the majority
    concludes that it was reasonable for the California Supreme
    Court to conclude that the omitted evidence would not have
    altered the outcome. I would instead hold that “[w]ith all due
    respect for our state colleagues, the state court’s application
    8
    The fact that Arthur and Faye Staten had recently returned from a
    trip to Egypt when they were murdered would have supported this
    testimony.
    STATEN V. DAVIS                        43
    of Strickland was objectively unreasonable.” Vega, 757 F.3d
    at 974.
    II
    The Government briefly argues that Staten’s IAC claim
    has been procedurally defaulted. Neither the district court nor
    the majority assesses whether review of Staten’s IAC claim
    has been barred by an “independent and adequate” state
    procedural rule. Assuming that Staten’s IAC claim was
    barred by an independent and adequate state rule, Staten
    would have to show cause and prejudice to excuse that
    procedural default under Martinez v. Ryan, 
    566 U.S. 1
    , 13–14
    (2012), by demonstrating ineffective assistance during the
    state habeas proceedings resulting in the failure to properly
    raise a substantial claim of ineffective assistance at trial. I
    note that establishing cause and prejudice under Martinez
    largely depends on the strength of the underlying claim of
    trial counsel IAC, see Clabourne v. Ryan, 
    745 F.3d 362
    ,
    377–78 (9th Cir. 2014), and, as described in the majority
    opinion (as to deficient performance) and this dissent (as to
    prejudice), Staten has quite a strong underlying claim. Still,
    the issue of procedural default has not been adequately
    briefed before this court, and Staten’s counsel was
    unprepared to answer questions about procedural default at
    oral argument. I therefore would either order supplemental
    briefing on the procedural default issue, or remand to the
    district court to address the issue of procedural default in the
    first instance.
    For the foregoing reasons, I respectfully dissent. I would
    hold that § 2254(d) does not bar federal habeas relief for
    Staten’s IAC claim, and order supplemental briefing or
    remand to the district court for further proceedings.