City of Oakland v. Wells Fargo & Company ( 2020 )


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  •                        FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    CITY OF OAKLAND, A Municipal                          No. 19-15169
    Corporation,
    Plaintiff-Appellee,                     D.C. No.
    3:15-cv-04321-
    v.                                  EMC
    WELLS FARGO & COMPANY; WELLS
    FARGO BANK, N.A.,                                       OPINION
    Defendants-Appellants.
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Northern District of California
    Edward M. Chen, District Judge, Presiding
    Argued and Submitted February 10, 2020
    San Francisco, California
    Filed August 26, 2020
    Before: R. Guy Cole, Jr., * Ronald M. Gould, and
    Mary H. Murguia, Circuit Judges.
    Opinion by Judge Murguia
    *
    The Honorable R. Guy Cole, Jr., United States Chief Circuit Judge
    for the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit, sitting by designation.
    2         CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    SUMMARY **
    Fair Housing
    The panel affirmed in part and reversed in part the
    district court’s partial grant and partial denial of a motion to
    dismiss for failure to state a claim in an action brought under
    the Fair Housing Act by the City of Oakland, alleging that
    Wells Fargo & Company and Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.,
    engaged in discriminatory lending practices by issuing
    predatory loans to Black and Latino residents.
    Oakland alleged that the predatory loans caused
    widespread foreclosures that reduced the City’s property-tax
    revenues and increased its municipal expenses. The panel
    affirmed the district court’s denial of Wells Fargo’s motion
    to dismiss as to Oakland’s claims for lost property-tax
    revenues and the district court’s grant of Wells Fargo’s
    motion to dismiss as to Oakland’s claims for increased
    municipal expenses. The panel reversed the district court’s
    denial of Wells Fargo’s motion to dismiss as to Oakland’s
    claims for injunctive relief, seeking to enjoin Wells Fargo
    from continuing to issue predatory home loans to Black and
    Latino borrowers.
    The panel held that under Bank of Am. Corp. v. City of
    Miami, 
    137 S. Ct. 1296
    (2017), to establish proximate cause
    under the FHA, a plaintiff must show some direct relation
    between the injury asserted and the injurious conduct
    alleged. Evaluating the contours of the FHA’s proximate-
    **
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It
    has been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                 3
    cause requirement, the panel reviewed the statute’s text and
    legislative history and concluded that Congress clearly
    intended the nature of the statutory cause of action to be
    broad and inclusive enough to encompass less direct,
    aggregate, and city-wide injuries. The panel also concluded
    that it was administratively feasible for the district court to
    administer the aggregate, city-wide injuries that Oakland
    claimed it suffered as a result of Wells Fargo’s unlawful
    discriminatory lending practices throughout the City.
    The panel held that the allegations in Oakland’s amended
    complaint were sufficient to plead that its reduced property-
    tax revenues, but not its increased municipal expenses, were
    proximately caused by Wells Fargo’s discriminatory lending
    practices. Construing the amended complaint’s allegations
    in the light most favorable to the City, including the City’s
    proposed statistical regression analyses, the panel held that
    Oakland had plausibly alleged that its decrease in property-
    tax revenues had some direct and continuous relation to
    Wells Fargo’s discriminatory lending practices throughout
    much of the City.
    The further panel held that the FHA’s proximate-cause
    requirement applies to claims for injunctive or declaratory
    relief. Accordingly, the panel reversed the district court’s
    conclusion that Oakland did not have to satisfy this
    requirement as to its claims for injunctive and declaratory
    relief. The panel instructed that on remand, the district court
    should determine whether Oakland plausibly alleged that its
    ongoing injuries are being proximately caused by Wells
    Fargo’s alleged wrongdoing.
    4       CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    COUNSEL
    Neal Kumar Katyal (argued), Colleen Roh Sinzdak,
    Benjamin A. Field, and Sean Marotta, Hogan Lovells US
    LLP, Washington, D.C.; Paul F. Hancock and Olivia
    Kelman, K&L Gates LLP, Miami, Florida; Edward P.
    Sangster and Daniel W. Fox, K&L Gates LLP, San
    Francisco, California; Terry E. Sanchez, Munger Tolles &
    Olson LLP, Los Angeles, California; Bart H. Williams and
    Manuel F. Cachan, Proskauer Rose LLP, Los Angeles,
    California; for Defendants-Appellants.
    Robert S. Peck (argued), Center for Constitutional Litigation
    P.C., Washington, D.C.; Barbara J. Parker, Oakland City
    Attorney; Maria Bee, Chief Assistant City Attorney; Office
    of the City Attorney, Oakland, California; Joel Liberson,
    Trial & Appellate Resources P.C., Torrance, California;
    Yosef Peretz and Ruth Israely, Peretz & Associates, San
    Francisco, California; for Plaintiff-Appellee.
    D. Scott Change, Housing Rights Center, Los Angeles,
    California; Jamie Crook, American Civil Liberties Union
    Foundation of Northern California, San Francisco,
    California; David Loy, American Civil Liberties Union of
    San Diego & Imperial Counties, San Diego, California; Julia
    Devanthéry, American Civil Liberties Union of Southern
    California, Los Angeles, California; Sandra S. Park and
    Alejandro Ortiz, American Civil Liberties Union
    Foundation, New York, New York; Morgan Williams,
    National Fair Housing Alliance, Washington, D.C.; Ajmel
    Quereshi, NAACP Legal Defense & Education Fund Inc.,
    Washington, D.C.; for Amici Curiae American Civil
    Liberties Union Foundation, American Civil Liberties Union
    Foundation of Northern California, American Civil Liberties
    Union Foundation of Southern California, American Civil
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                5
    Liberties Union of San Diego & Imperial Counties, AARP,
    NAACP Legal Defense & Educational Fund Inc., National
    Fair Housing Alliance Inc., Poverty & Race Research Action
    Council, and Twelve Local Fair Housing Centers in the
    Ninth Circuit.
    Dennis J. Herrera, City Attorney; Aileen M. McGrath, Co-
    Chief of Appellate Litigation; City Attorney’s Office, San
    Francisco, California; for Amicus Curiae City and County of
    San Francisco.
    Xavier Becerra, Attorney General; Michael L. Newman,
    Senior Assistant Attorney General; Christine Chuang,
    Supervising Deputy Attorney General; Shubhra Shivpuri
    and Srividya Panchalam; California Department of Justice,
    Oakland, California; for Amicus Curiae State of California.
    OPINION
    MURGUIA, Circuit Judge:
    Throughout our nation’s history, racial and ethnic
    minorities—especially Black Americans—have been
    systematically denied one of the keys to the American
    dream: the opportunity to own a home. In 1967, during a
    pivotal period of civil unrest and reckoning with our
    country’s history of segregation and racial injustice,
    President Lyndon B. Johnson established the National
    Advisory Commission on Civil Disorders (commonly
    known as the “Kerner Commission”).             The Kerner
    Commission found that several government-sanctioned
    practices disadvantaged racial and ethnic minorities’ fair
    access to housing, including rapid urbanization, the flight of
    White families to suburban neighborhoods, racially
    6         CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    restrictive covenants, real estate agents who steered
    homebuyers into racially homogenous areas, and
    discriminatory lending practices like redlining and reverse
    redlining. See Report of the National Advisory Commission
    on Civil Disorders 91 (1968) (“Kerner Commission
    Report”). To address housing segregation, the Kerner
    Commission recommended enactment of “a comprehensive
    and enforceable open-occupancy law making it an offense to
    discriminate in the sale or rental of any housing . . . on the
    basis of race, creed, color, or national origin.” Kerner
    Commission Report at 263. After the assassination of Dr.
    Martin Luther King Jr., Congress heeded the Kerner
    Commission’s recommendation and passed the Fair Housing
    Act of 1968 (“FHA” or the “Act”) to ensure fair access to
    housing for racial minorities and other historically
    disadvantaged groups. The FHA has since been rightfully
    lauded as one of the greatest achievements of the civil rights
    movement.
    Fifty years later, cities across our country began filing
    lawsuits under the FHA accusing the nation’s largest banks
    of some of the same discriminatory lending practices that
    motivated Congress to pass the FHA in the first place. In the
    instant case, the City of Oakland (“Oakland” or the “City”)
    alleges that Wells Fargo & Company and Wells Fargo Bank,
    N.A. (collectively, “Wells Fargo” or the “Bank”) engaged in
    discriminatory lending practices by issuing predatory loans
    to its Black and Latino 1 residents, in violation of the FHA,
    1
    This opinion uses the term “Latino” for purposes of simplicity to
    refer to all “person[s] of Latin American origin living in the [United
    States].” Merriam-Webster Online Dictionary, https://www.merriam-
    webster.com/dictionary/Latino (last visited Aug. 17, 2020). It is also
    meant to include persons who identify as “Latina,” “Latinx,” or
    “Hispanic.”
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                 7
    42 U.S.C. §§ 3604, 3605. According to Oakland, the
    predatory loans caused widespread foreclosures that reduced
    the City’s property-tax revenues and increased its municipal
    expenses.
    Wells Fargo appeals the district court’s partial denial of
    its motion to dismiss the City’s complaint under Federal
    Rule of Civil Procedure 12(b)(6). We have jurisdiction
    pursuant to 28 U.S.C. § 1291, and we affirm in part and
    reverse in part. We affirm the district court’s denial of Wells
    Fargo’s motion to dismiss as to Oakland’s claims for lost
    property-tax revenues and the district court’s grant of Wells
    Fargo’s motion to dismiss as to Oakland’s claims for
    increased municipal expenses. We reverse, however, the
    district court’s denial of Wells Fargo’s motion to dismiss as
    to Oakland’s claims seeking injunctive and declaratory relief
    and we remand for further proceedings consistent with this
    opinion.
    I. Statutory Background.
    The FHA makes it unlawful to “discriminate against any
    person in the terms, conditions, or privileges of sale or rental
    of a dwelling, or in the provision of services or facilities in
    connection therewith, because of race.”            42 U.S.C.
    § 3604(b). More broadly, it makes it unlawful for “any
    person or other entity whose business includes engaging in
    residential real estate-related transactions to discriminate
    against any person in making available such a transaction, or
    in the terms or conditions of such a transaction, because of
    race[.]”
    Id. § 3605(a). The
    FHA established a private right of action for
    damages and injunctive relief.
    Id. § 3613(c)(1). The
    statute
    provides that an “aggrieved person may commence a civil
    action in an appropriate United States district court or State
    8         CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    court . . . to obtain appropriate relief with respect to [a]
    discriminatory housing practice[.]”
    Id. § 3613(a)(1)(A). The
    Act in turn defines “aggrieved person” as any person
    who “claims to have been injured by a discriminatory
    housing practice; or believes that such person will be injured
    by a discriminatory housing practice that is about to occur.”
    Id. §§ 3602(i)(1)–(2). It
    is well established that the term
    “aggrieved person” under the FHA includes cities. Bank of
    Am. Corp. v. City of Miami (Miami I), 
    137 S. Ct. 1296
    , 1306
    (2017) (“[T]he City is an ‘aggrieved person’ able to bring
    suit under the statute.”).
    II. Factual background. 2
    According to Oakland, Wells Fargo engages in
    longstanding and ongoing discriminatory home lending
    practices 3 throughout the City, which result in redlining and
    reverse redlining. Redlining is the practice of denying home
    loans to residents of minority neighborhoods. Reverse
    redlining, by contrast, is the practice of issuing home loans
    to minority borrowers with significantly higher costs and
    more onerous terms than those offered to similarly situated
    2
    The facts as presented are derived from Oakland’s first amended
    complaint.
    3
    Some of the discriminatory lending practices alleged in the
    amended complaint include steering minority borrowers into adjustable-
    rate loans instead of fixed-rate loans, failing to explain loan terms, and
    neglecting to provide loan brochures in Spanish. Oakland also accuses
    Wells Fargo of having facially neutral policies that have an outsized
    negative effect on the terms of the loans extended to Black and Latino
    borrowers, including giving loan officers discretion and incentivizing
    them to offer high-risk and high-cost loans beyond what borrowers are
    qualified to handle. The result is that loan officers often sell more
    expensive, higher-risk loan products to minority borrowers than to
    similarly situated White borrowers.
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                          9
    White borrowers—also known as “predatory loans.”
    Predatory loans include, for example, subprime loans, 4
    negative amortization loans, 5 “No-Doc” loans that require
    no supporting evidence of a borrower’s income, loans with
    balloon payments, and “interest only” loans that carry a
    prepayment penalty. According to Oakland, Wells Fargo not
    only issues predatory loans to its Black and Latino residents,
    but also refuses to refinance those loans even though it is
    willing to refinance the loans of similarly situated White
    residents.
    Using Wells Fargo’s own data, 6 Oakland employs a
    number of regression analyses 7 to show that its Black and
    4
    A subprime loan has “an interest rate that is higher than a prime
    rate and is extended chiefly to a borrower who has a poor credit rating or
    is judged to be a potentially high risk for default.” Merriam-Webster
    Online Dictionary, https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/Subpr
    ime (last visited Aug. 17, 2020).
    5
    A negative amortization loan “is one with a payment structure that
    allows for a scheduled payment to be made by the borrower that is less
    than the interest charge on the loan. When that happens, deferred interest
    is created. The amount of deferred interest created is added to the
    principal balance of the loan, leading to a situation where the principal
    owed increases over time instead of decreases.” Will Kenton, Negatively
    Amortizing Loan, Investopedia (Sept. 6, 2019), https://www.investoped
    ia.com/terms/n/negativelyamortizingloan.asp (last visited Aug. 17,
    2020).
    6
    The City uses data Wells Fargo reports to local and federal
    authorities, which is available through public and private databases.
    7
    A regression analysis is a statistical tool that focuses on the
    relationship between two or more variables of interest to ascertain the
    causal effect of one variable upon another. See Merriam-Webster Online
    Dictionary, https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/regression%
    20analysis (last visited Aug. 17, 2020) (defining “regression analysis” as
    10        CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    Latino residents are more likely to receive predatory loans
    from Wells Fargo; that those predatory loans cause
    foreclosures; and that those foreclosures reduce property
    values and consequently diminish the City’s property-tax
    revenues. The City also alleges, albeit without statistical
    backing, that Wells Fargo’s predatory loans increase its
    municipal expenses, forcing it to reduce its spending in fair-
    housing programs aimed at guaranteeing that all of its
    residents have equal access to safe and affordable housing.
    A. Black and Latino borrowers in Oakland are more
    likely to receive predatory loans from Wells
    Fargo.
    The City’s first set of regression analyses support its
    allegation that Wells Fargo issues predatory home loans to
    Black and Latino borrowers. According to these studies, a
    Black Wells Fargo borrower is 2.403 times more likely to
    receive a predatory loan than a similarly situated White
    borrower. A Latino Wells Fargo borrower is 2.520 times
    more likely to receive such a loan than a similarly situated
    White borrower. Importantly, the first regression analysis
    controls for independent variables such as objective
    characteristics like credit history, loan-to-value ratio, and
    loan-to-income ratio that might contribute to a borrower
    receiving a predatory loan. In fact, this discrepancy holds
    true even for more credit-worthy borrowers—Black and
    Latino borrowers with FICO scores above 660 are,
    respectively, 2.261 and 2.366 times more likely to receive
    “the use of mathematical and statistical techniques to estimate one
    variable from another especially by the application of regression
    coefficients, regression curves, regression equations, or regression lines
    to empirical data”). Simply put, regression analyses examine the effect
    of one or more variables on a particular outcome.
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                       11
    predatory loans from Wells Fargo than similarly situated
    White borrowers. Furthermore, borrowers in minority
    neighborhoods 8 in Oakland are 3.207 times more likely to
    receive a predatory loan than similarly situated borrowers in
    non-minority neighborhoods. According to Oakland, these
    discrepancies between Black and Latino borrowers and their
    White counterparts are statistically significant. 9
    B. Wells Fargo’s predatory home loans to Black and
    Latino borrowers cause foreclosures.
    A second set of regression analyses using the same data
    shows that Black and Latino borrowers who receive
    predatory home loans from Wells Fargo are far more likely
    to have their homes foreclosed on than White borrowers who
    receive non-predatory loans. Taking into account a
    borrower’s race and objective risk characteristics 10 such as
    8
    Oakland defines “minority neighborhoods” as neighborhoods with
    at least fifty percent Black or Latino households. Conversely, Oakland
    defines “non-minority neighborhoods” as neighborhoods with at least
    fifty percent White households.
    9
    According to the amended complaint, the probability that these
    discrepancies are random or coincidental is less than one percent.
    10
    The other “objective risk” variables that the regression analysis
    accounts for include whether the loan had predatory terms, the
    borrower’s credit score, the lien type (first or subordinate lien), the
    property type (single-family home, condo, coop, multifamily home,
    manufactured home, etc.), the loan purpose (purchase, cash-out
    refinance, rate-term refinance, etc.), the loan-to-value ratio, the
    combined loan-to-value ratio, the ratio of monthly loan payments to
    monthly income, the occupancy type (owner-occupied, second home,
    investment property), the month of loan origination, whether the loan
    became part of an agency or non-agency securitization, whether the loan
    was a conventional or an FHA/VA loan, whether the loan had an
    adjustable rate, and the property’s neighborhood characteristics such as
    12        CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    credit history, loan-to-value ratio, and loan-to-income ratio,
    the results demonstrate that predatory home loans—which
    are disproportionately given to Black and Latino
    borrowers—are 1.753 times more likely to result in
    foreclosure. These studies also show that a Black Wells
    Fargo borrower who receives a predatory home loan is 2.573
    times more likely to have their loan foreclosed than a White
    borrower who receives a non-predatory loan. Similarly, a
    Latino Wells Fargo borrower who receives a predatory home
    loan is 3.312 times more likely to have their home foreclosed
    than a White borrower who receives a non-predatory loan.
    In fact, 14.1 percent of Wells Fargo home loans issued in
    Oakland’s minority neighborhoods resulted in foreclosure,
    as compared to only 3.3 percent of Wells Fargo home loans
    in non-minority neighborhoods. These discrepancies in
    foreclosure rates are also statistically significant.
    C. Foreclosures decrease property-tax revenues.
    A third set of regression analyses, which use a technique
    known as “Hedonic regression,” 11 establishes that
    foreclosures caused by Wells Fargo’s predatory loans reduce
    the value of both foreclosed properties and other properties
    nearby. Using routinely maintained property tax and other
    data, Oakland’s statistical model isolates the lost property
    value attributable to Wells Fargo foreclosures and vacancies
    the ratio of median income in the borrower’s neighborhood to the median
    income in the metropolitan area, the share of homes in the neighborhood
    that are owner-occupied, and the median year in which homes in the
    neighborhood were built.
    11
    Oakland explains that “Hedonic regression” is a technique that
    isolates the factors that contribute to the value of a property by studying
    thousands of transactions. Hedonic analysis determines the contribution
    of each of these factors to the value of a home.
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                     13
    caused by discriminatory lending from losses attributable to
    other causes. 12 The Hedonic regression analysis also allows
    Oakland to calculate the impact on a given neighborhood’s
    property values of the first foreclosure caused by a Wells
    Fargo predatory loan, the average impact of subsequent
    foreclosures, and the impact of the last foreclosure of this
    kind. This loss can be isolated from any losses attributable
    to non-Wells Fargo foreclosures or other causes. Therefore,
    according to Oakland, the Hedonic regression analysis
    precisely calculates the loss in property values in Oakland’s
    minority neighborhoods that is attributable to foreclosures
    caused by Wells Fargo’s predatory loans, which in turn can
    be used to calculate the City’s corresponding loss in
    property-tax revenues. 13
    In sum, with the support of several regression analyses,
    Oakland alleges that Wells Fargo’s discriminatory lending
    practices cause foreclosures that directly result in lower
    property values and attendant lower property tax revenues
    for the City.
    12
    Other causes that might contribute to a home’s value include,
    among other things, the size of the home, the number of bedrooms and
    bathrooms in the home, the relative safety of the neighborhood, and
    whether neighborhood properties are well maintained.
    13
    The amended complaint cites to several academic studies that
    have successfully used Hedonic regression analyses to precisely
    calculate the loss of property value caused by predatory-loan-related
    foreclosures in Philadelphia and Los Angeles. See Anne B. Shlay &
    Gordon Whitman, Research for Democracy: Linking Community
    Organizing and Research to Leverage Blight Policy, 5 City & Cmty.
    105, 173 (2006); All. of Cals. for Cmty. Empowerment & Cal.
    Reinvestment Coal., The Wall Street Wrecking Ball: What Foreclosures
    Are Costing Los Angeles Neighborhoods 3 (2011).
    14       CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    D. Foreclosures increased Oakland’s municipal
    expenses and reduced spending in fair housing
    programs.
    Oakland also alleges, without any regression analyses or
    other statistical support, that foreclosures caused by Wells
    Fargo’s discriminatory lending practices increase municipal
    expenses because foreclosed properties require additional
    services such as police forces, firefighting, and safety code
    enforcement. According to Oakland, this increase in
    municipal expenses requires the City to divert resources that
    were otherwise intended for fair-housing programs designed
    to expand access to housing opportunities for Black and
    Latino residents.
    E. Procedural history.
    Oakland sued Wells Fargo under the FHA to recover
    damages in the form of lost property tax revenues and
    increased municipal expenses and to enjoin Wells Fargo
    from continuing to issue predatory home loans to Black and
    Latino borrowers.
    Wells Fargo moved to dismiss the original complaint,
    and the district court granted the motion only as to Oakland’s
    unjust enrichment claim. Shortly thereafter, the Supreme
    Court granted a writ of certiorari in Miami I, which raised
    key standing and proximate causation questions directly
    relevant to this 
    case. 137 S. Ct. at 1306
    . The district court
    subsequently stayed its proceedings until that case was
    decided. On May 1, 2017, the Supreme Court decided
    Miami I, prompting the district court to instruct Oakland to
    amend its complaint consistent with the Supreme Court’s
    decision in that case.
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                     15
    Wells Fargo again moved to dismiss the amended
    complaint, challenging Oakland’s ability to demonstrate
    proximate cause under the FHA for its alleged injuries using
    regression analyses. 14 The district court granted Wells
    Fargo’s motion to dismiss as to Oakland’s claims that it
    suffered increased municipal expenses. However, the
    district court denied Wells Fargo’s motion to dismiss as to
    Oakland’s claims that it suffered reduced property-tax
    revenues, and for declaratory and injunctive relief.
    Wells Fargo then asked the district court to certify its
    order for interlocutory appeal pursuant to 28 U.S.C.
    § 1292(b). The district court granted Wells Fargo’s request,
    certifying two questions: (1) whether Oakland’s claims for
    damages based on the injuries asserted in the first amended
    complaint satisfy proximate cause required by the FHA on a
    motion to dismiss; and (2) whether the proximate-cause
    requirement articulated in Miami I is limited to claims for
    damages under the FHA and not to claims for injunctive or
    declaratory relief.
    III.        Standard of review.
    “We review de novo a district court’s dismissal for
    failure to state a claim pursuant to Federal Rule of Civil
    Procedure 12(b)(6).” Putnam Family P’ship v. City of
    Yucaipa, 
    673 F.3d 920
    , 924–25 (9th Cir. 2012) (citing
    Decker v. Advantage Fund Ltd., 
    362 F.3d 593
    , 595–96 (9th
    Cir. 2004)). “We likewise review de novo questions of
    14
    In its motion to dismiss, and on appeal, Wells Fargo did not
    challenge Oakland’s allegations that it engaged in discriminatory lending
    practices. We express no opinion as to the plausibility or merit of those
    allegations.
    16         CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    statutory interpretation.”
    Id. (citing Aguayo v.
    U.S. Bank,
    
    653 F.3d 912
    , 917 (9th Cir. 2011)).
    At the motion to dismiss stage, “we accept all factual
    allegations in the [amended] complaint as true and construe
    [them] in the light most favorable to [Oakland,] the
    nonmoving party.” Rowe v. Educ. Credit Mgmt. Corp.,
    
    559 F.3d 1028
    , 1029–30 (9th Cir. 2009) (quoting Knievel v.
    ESPN, 
    393 F.3d 1068
    , 1072 (9th. Cir. 2005)); see also
    Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. 662
    , 678 (2009). Furthermore,
    to survive a motion to dismiss, Oakland need only plausibly
    allege that Wells Fargo’s actions proximately caused its
    injuries. See Swierkiewicz v. Sorema N.A., 
    534 U.S. 506
    ,
    514–15 (2002). The operative question is whether the
    amended complaint “contain[s] sufficient factual matter . . .
    to ‘state a claim to relief that is plausible on its face.’” 
    Iqbal, 556 U.S. at 678
    (quoting Bell Atl. Corp. v. Twombly,
    
    550 U.S. 544
    , 570 (2007)).
    IV.        Proximate cause under the FHA.
    We generally presume that a statutory cause of action is
    available only to plaintiffs whose injuries are proximately
    caused by violations of the statute. Lexmark Int’l, Inc. v.
    Static Control Components, Inc., 
    572 U.S. 118
    , 132 (2014).
    Therefore, we must first determine whether the FHA’s
    proximate-cause requirement is sufficiently broad and
    inclusive to encompass Oakland’s alleged aggregate, 15
    citywide injuries.
    15
    The term “aggregate” refers to the cumulative effect that Wells
    Fargo’s alleged “pattern or practice of illegal and discriminatory
    mortgage lending” across thousands of individual loans has on the City’s
    tax base and expenses.
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                        17
    A. General principles of proximate cause.
    Proximate cause is designed to limit liability.
    Id. (“For centuries, it
    has been ‘a well established principle of [the
    common] law, that in all cases of loss, we are to attribute it
    to the proximate cause, and not to any remote cause.’”
    (alteration in original) (quoting Waters v. Merchs.’
    Louisville Ins. Co., 36 U.S. (11 Pet.) 213, 223 (1837))). 16
    Underpinning this bedrock legal principle is “the reality that
    ‘the judicial remedy cannot encompass every conceivable
    harm that can be traced to alleged wrongdoing.”
    Id. (quoting Associated Gen.
    Contractors of Cal., Inc. v. Cal. State
    Council of Carpenters, 
    459 U.S. 519
    , 536 (1983)). We
    therefore assume that Congress is familiar with the
    longstanding common-law rule that loss must be attributable
    to its proximate cause and does not mean to displace this rule
    unless it does so expressly. Miami 
    I, 137 S. Ct. at 1305
    . This
    is certainly true for the FHA, because “[t]he housing market
    is interconnected with economic and social life” such that
    violations of the statute “may, therefore, ‘be expected to
    cause ripples of harm that flow’ far beyond the defendant’s
    misconduct.”
    Id. at 1306
    (quoting Associated Gen.
    
    Contractors, 459 U.S. at 534
    ). Simply put, the purpose of
    the FHA’s proximate-cause requirement is to limit recovery
    to more direct harms, because “[n]othing in the statute
    suggests that Congress intended to provide a remedy
    wherever those ripples travel.”
    Id. There is no
    hard and fast rule for establishing proximate
    cause. Far from being a one-size-fits-all “blackletter rule
    16
    Importantly, proximate cause is not a requirement of Article III,
    but rather an element of the cause of action under a statute, and it “must
    be adequately alleged at the pleading stage in order for the case to
    proceed.” 
    Lexmark, 572 U.S. at 134
    n.6.
    18        CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    that will dictate the result in every case,” the proximate-
    cause requirement varies by statute. Holmes v. Secs. Inv’r
    Prot. Corp., 
    503 U.S. 258
    , 272 n.20 (1992) (quoting
    Associated Gen. 
    Contractors, 459 U.S. at 536
    ); see also
    Bridge v. Phoenix Bond & Indem. Co., 
    553 U.S. 639
    , 654
    (2008) (“Proximate cause . . . is a flexible concept.”
    (emphasis added) (citing 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 272
    n.20)). As
    a result, the proximate-cause requirement is “controlled by
    the nature of the statutory cause of action.” 
    Lexmark, 572 U.S. at 133
    . Although proximate cause “is not easy to
    define,” the basic inquiry is “whether the harm alleged has a
    sufficiently close connection to the conduct the statute
    prohibits. Put differently, the proximate-cause requirement
    generally bars suits for alleged harm that is ‘too remote’
    from the defendant’s unlawful conduct.”
    Id. (emphasis added). 17
    The only controlling Supreme Court precedent on the
    FHA’s proximate-cause requirement is its recent decision in
    Miami I. In that case, the City of Miami, like Oakland,
    claimed that Wells Fargo’s and Bank of America’s
    discriminatory lending practices caused Miami’s decreased
    property-tax revenues and increased municipal expenses.
    Miami 
    I, 137 S. Ct. at 1300
    –01. Reversing the Eleventh
    Circuit, the Court held that “to establish proximate cause
    under the FHA, a plaintiff must do more than show that its
    injuries foreseeably flowed from the alleged statutory
    17
    With these principles in mind, the Supreme Court has defined the
    contours of the proximate-cause requirement of several other statutes,
    but not the FHA. See, e.g.
    , id. at 132–34
    (Lanham Act); Dura Pharms.,
    Inc. v. Broudo, 
    544 U.S. 336
    , 346 (2005) (Private Securities Litigation
    Reform Act); 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 265
    –68 (Racketeer Influenced and
    Corrupt Organizations Act (“RICO”)); Associated Gen. 
    Contractors, 459 U.S. at 529
    –35 (Clayton Act).
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                          19
    violation.” 18
    Id. Rather, “some direct
    relation between the
    injury asserted and the injurious conduct alleged” is
    required.
    Id. at 1306
    (emphasis added) (quoting 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 268
    ). “The ‘general tendency’ in these cases,”
    the Court explained, “is not to go beyond the first step” of
    the causal chain.
    Id. (quoting Hemi Grp.,
    LLC v. City of New
    York, 
    559 U.S. 1
    , 10 (2010)). But what is included in this
    “first step” varies; it “depends in part on the ‘nature of the
    statutory cause of action,’ and an assessment ‘of what is
    administratively possible and convenient.’” Id. (first
    quoting 
    Lexmark, 572 U.S. at 133
    ; then quoting 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 268
    ).
    The Supreme Court then declined to “draw the precise
    boundaries of proximate cause under the FHA and to
    determine on which side of the line the City’s financial
    injuries fall.”
    Id. Instead, it asked
    lower courts to weigh in
    by offering “the benefit of [their] judgment on how the
    contrary principles [of foreseeability and directness] apply
    to the FHA.”
    Id. 19 18
            The Court also reaffirmed its well-established precedent that cities
    have statutory and Article III standing to sue under the FHA, noting that
    “the City’s claimed injuries fall within the zone of interests that the FHA
    arguably protects. Hence, the City is an ‘aggrieved person’ able to bring
    suit under the statute.” Miami 
    I, 137 S. Ct. at 1301
    .
    19
    Since Miami I was decided, only the Eleventh Circuit and a
    handful of district courts have tackled this question.
    On remand, the Eleventh Circuit held that Miami’s use of statistical
    regression analyses—which are virtually identical to those used in
    Oakland’s amended complaint—was sufficient to plausibly allege that
    the drop in Miami’s property-tax revenues was proximately caused by
    Wells Fargo’s redlining and reverse redlining. City of Miami v. Wells
    Fargo & Co. (Miami II), 
    923 F.3d 1260
    , 1280 (11th Cir. 2019).
    20        CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    We are thus asked to decide the questions before us as a
    matter of first impression, guided by the two-step analysis
    laid out by the Supreme Court in Miami I: first, we must
    evaluate “the contours of proximate cause under the FHA,”
    and second, we “decide how that standard applies to the
    City’s claim for lost property-tax revenue and increased
    municipal expenses.” Miami 
    I, 137 S. Ct. at 1306
    . We now
    turn to each prong of this analysis.
    B. The contours of the FHA’s proximate-cause
    requirement.
    To determine the “contours” of a statute’s proximate-
    cause requirement, we evaluate (1) the “nature of the
    statutory cause of action” and (2) what is administratively
    feasible. Id (quoting 
    Lexmark, 572 U.S. at 133
    ). In this case,
    both considerations lead us to confidently conclude that the
    However, while Wells Fargo’s petition for a writ of certiorari was
    pending before the Supreme Court, Miami asked the district court to
    dismiss that case. Miami’s request prompted the Supreme Court to grant
    Wells Fargo’s petition for a writ of certiorari in a two-sentence order,
    vacating the Eleventh Circuit’s opinion in Miami II as moot. Wells
    Fargo & Co. v. City of Miami, 
    140 S. Ct. 1259
    (2020) (citing United
    States v. Munsingwear, Inc., 
    340 U.S. 36
    (1950)).
    Most of the district courts that have decided this issue agree that tax-
    related injuries suffered by cities as a result of banks’ discriminatory
    lending practices fall within the FHA’s proximate-cause requirement.
    See, e.g., City of Sacramento v. Wells Fargo & Co., No. 2:18-cv- 416,
    
    2019 WL 3975590
    , at *7 (E.D. Cal. Aug. 22, 2019); City of Oakland v.
    Wells Fargo Bank N.A., No. 15-cv-4321, 
    2018 WL 3008538
    , at *9 (N.D.
    Cal. June 15, 2018); City of Philadelphia v. Wells Fargo & Co., No. 17-
    2203, 
    2018 WL 424451
    , at *5 (E.D. Pa. Jan. 16, 2018). But see Prince
    George’s County, Md. v. Wells Fargo & Co., 
    397 F. Supp. 3d 752
    , 762–
    63 (D. Md. 2019).
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                21
    FHA’s proximate-cause requirement is sufficiently broad
    and inclusive to encompass aggregate, city-wide injuries.
    i. The nature of the statutory cause of action.
    Evaluating the nature of the statutory cause of action in
    this case requires a close review of the FHA’s text and
    legislative history to glean what Congress intended to be the
    scope of the statute’s proximate-cause requirement. See
    
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 267
    (“The key to the better
    interpretation [of a statute’s proximate-cause requirement]
    lies in some statutory history.”). Oakland, and several
    friends of the court, persuasively argue that the text and
    legislative history of the FHA and its 1988 amendments
    indicate that Congress intended the scope of the statute’s
    proximate-cause requirement to be far-reaching, and to
    include aggregate, city-wide injuries.
    We begin with the text of the FHA, which reveals that
    Congress intended the statute to provide redress for a
    multitude of injuries that result from housing discrimination.
    Indeed, the FHA is widely considered one of the most
    capacious civil rights statutes, in large part due to its broad
    language. For example, its first section declares that the
    law’s purpose is “to provide, within constitutional
    limitations, for fair housing throughout the United States.”
    42 U.S.C. § 3601. Unsurprisingly, the Supreme Court has
    interpreted “[t]he language of the Act [as] broad and
    inclusive,” warranting “a generous construction” that allows
    claims from parties “act[ing] not only on their own behalf
    but also ‘as private attorneys general in vindicating a policy
    that Congress considered to be of the highest priority.’”
    Trafficante v. Metro. Life Ins. Co., 
    409 U.S. 205
    , 209, 211–
    12 (1972) (quoting Brief for the United States as Amicus
    Curiae
    , id. (No. 71-708), 1972
    WL 136282, at *21). Most
    relevant to this appeal is the FHA’s broad definition of the
    22       CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    term “person aggrieved.” Indeed, “[t]he definition of
    ‘person aggrieved’ contained in [the FHA] is in [its] terms
    broad, as it is defined as ‘any person who claims to have been
    injured by a discriminatory housing practice.’”
    Id. at 208
    (emphasis added) (quoting 42 U.S.C. § 3602(i)(1)).
    Other parts of the FHA also underscore that Congress
    intended its application to be very broad, beyond merely
    prohibiting discrimination in the sale or rental of housing.
    Surely, the FHA is most known for making it unlawful “[t]o
    refuse to sell or rent . . . or otherwise make unavailable or
    deny, a dwelling to any person because of race,” and “[t]o
    discriminate against any person in the terms, conditions or
    privileges of sale or rental of a dwelling, or in the provision
    of services or facilities in connection therewith, because of
    race.” 42 U.S.C. § 3604(a)–(b). But the FHA also prohibits
    a host of other forms of insidious housing-related
    discrimination, such as publishing housing-related notices or
    advertisements with racial preferences, misrepresenting that
    a dwelling is not available to a person because of their race,
    and inducing a person to sell or rent a dwelling by making
    “representations regarding the entry or prospective entry into
    the neighborhood of a person or persons of a particular race.”
    Id. § 3604(c)–(e). As
    to the particular cause of action at issue in the instant
    case, the FHA prohibits “any person or other entity whose
    business includes engaging in residential real estate-related
    transactions to discriminate against any person in making
    available such a transaction, or in the terms or conditions of
    such a transaction,” including in loans “for purchasing,
    constructing, improving, repairing, or maintaining a
    dwelling.”
    Id. § 3605(a), (b)(1)(A)
    (emphasis added).
    Based on this far-reaching language, Congress clearly
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.               23
    intended the FHA to tackle discrimination throughout the
    real estate market.
    Even though the text of the statute is sufficient to
    establish that Congress intended the FHA’s proximate-cause
    requirement to be very broad, we also look at the FHA’s
    legislative history to discern what Congress intended the
    statute’s remedial aims to be, and whether aggregate, city-
    wide injuries fall within the scope of its proximate-cause
    requirement. Cf. Blue Shield of Va. v. McCready, 
    457 U.S. 465
    , 478 (1982) (analyzing “the relationship of the injury
    alleged with those forms of injury about which Congress was
    likely to have been concerned . . . in providing a private
    remedy under [the Clayton Act]”); Associated Gen.
    
    Contractors, 459 U.S. at 538
    (reiterating the importance of
    legislative history in evaluating whether an injury “falls
    squarely within the area of congressional concern” in the
    context of the Sherman Act (quoting Blue 
    Shield, 457 U.S. at 484
    )). The FHA’s legislative history underscores that
    Congress intended the statute to reach beyond those
    individuals who are the immediate victims of direct
    discrimination, such as tenants, homebuyers, and home-loan
    borrowers. There is no doubt that Congress intended the
    statute to cover aggregate, city-wide injuries.
    The Supreme Court discussed the legislative history of
    the FHA in Trafficante, where two tenants of an apartment
    complex sued their landlord because its race-based
    discrimination of potential non-White tenants deprived them
    of “the social benefits of living in an integrated 
    community.” 409 U.S. at 208
    . The Court explained that the legislative
    history of the FHA established that “[w]hile members of
    minority groups were damaged the most from discrimination
    in housing practices, the proponents of the legislation
    emphasized that those who were not the direct objects of
    24      CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    discrimination had an interest in ensuring fair housing, as
    they too 
    suffered.” 409 U.S. at 210
    (emphases added).
    Citing to statements by United States senators who
    sponsored the bill, the Court held that “the whole
    community” is the “victim of discriminatory housing
    practices” under the FHA because “the reach of the proposed
    law was to replace the ghettos ‘by truly integrated and
    balanced living patterns.’”
    Id. at 211
    (quoting 114 Cong.
    Rec. 2706, 3422). Therefore, the Court read the FHA’s
    legislative history in Trafficante to suggest that Congress
    intended the scope of the statute’s proximate-cause
    requirement to reach, at the very least, beyond the immediate
    injuries suffered by individuals directly being discriminated
    against.
    Our own review of the Congressional Record reveals that
    Congress enacted the FHA not only to address direct
    discrimination but also to reshape in meaningful ways the
    landscape of American cities. Indeed, the entire purpose of
    the statute was to target and reverse the large-scale insidious
    effects of discrimination, including racial and economic
    segregation within cities, suburban flight, and urban decay.
    We have no doubt that Congress was keenly focused on the
    impact that discriminatory housing practices, including
    discriminatory lending, were having on cities and their tax
    base. Congress therefore clearly intended the proximate-
    cause requirement of the FHA to reach neighborhood-wide
    and city-wide injuries.
    For example, Senator Walter Mondale—who was the
    chief sponsor of the bill that eventually became the FHA—
    explained that the statute was intended to reform entire
    neighborhoods:
    [O]vert racial discrimination remains in one
    major sector of American life—that of
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                25
    housing. . . . [F]air housing is one more step
    toward achieving equality in opportunity and
    education . . . . The soundest, long-range way
    to attack segregated schools is to attack the
    segregated neighborhood. . . . [I]n truly
    integrated neighborhoods people have been
    able to live in peace and harmony—and both
    [Black persons] and [W]hites are the richer
    for the experience.
    114 Cong. Rec. 3421, 3422 (Feb. 20, 1968) (emphases
    added).
    Senator Edward Brooke—a co-sponsor of the FHA—
    underscored that the law’s purpose was to help cities fight
    the economic and social problems that result from
    segregation. He asked, “[a]s segregation continues to grow
    . . . will not the cities which house the majority of the
    nation’s industrial and commercial life find themselves less
    and less able to cope with their problems, financially and in
    every other way?”
    Id. at 2988
    (Feb. 14, 1968) (emphases
    added).
    Even more relevant to Oakland’s claims, Senator
    Mondale specifically and repeatedly referenced cities’
    “declining tax base” as one of the large-scale injuries that the
    FHA was designed to mitigate.
    Id. at 2274
    (“Declining tax
    base, poor sanitation, loss of jobs, inadequate educational
    opportunity, and urban squalor will persist as long as
    discrimination forces millions to live in the rotting cores of
    central cities.” (emphasis added)). In no uncertain terms, he
    underscored that continued housing discrimination would
    “lead to the destruction of urban centers by loss of jobs and
    businesses to the suburbs, a declining tax base, and the ruin
    brought on by absentee ownership of property.”
    Id. at 2993 26
          CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    (emphasis added). Therefore, he said, “[f]air housing
    legislation is a basic keystone to any solution of our present
    urban crisis.”
    Id. 2275
    (emphasis added).
    Given the statutory text and the statements from the
    statute’s sponsors—especially Senator Mondale’s reference
    to a “declining tax base”—we have no difficulty concluding
    that Oakland’s city-wide financial injury claims fall squarely
    within the FHA’s intended purposes, which include helping
    cities fight the insidious and large-scale effects of housing
    discrimination on a neighborhood-wide and city-wide basis.
    N. Haven Bd. of Educ. v. Bell, 
    456 U.S. 512
    , 526–27 (1982)
    (explaining that “remarks . . . of the sponsor of the language
    ultimately enacted[] are an authoritative guide to the
    statute’s construction.”); Fed. Energy Admin. v. Algonquin
    SNG, Inc., 
    426 U.S. 548
    , 564 (1976) (“As a statement of one
    of the legislation’s sponsors, this explanation deserves to be
    accorded substantial weight in interpreting the statute.”).
    Congress reiterated its commitment to a broad and
    inclusive application of the FHA when it revisited the statute
    in 1988. That year, Congress strengthened the FHA’s
    enforcement mechanisms to “remov[e] barriers to the use of
    court enforcement by private litigants,” noting that the FHA,
    up to that point, had “fail[ed] to provide an effective
    enforcement system.” H.R. Rep. No. 100-711, at 13 (1988).
    See generally Fair Housing Amendments Act of 1988, Pub.
    L. No. 100-430, 102 Stat. 1619 (1988). These amendments
    “strengthen[ed] the private enforcement section by
    expanding the statute of limitations, removing the limitation
    on punitive damages,” and updating the attorney’s fees
    section to match similar sections in other civil rights statutes.
    H.R. Rep. No. 100-711, at 17. According to Senator Edward
    Kennedy—who sponsored the 1988 amendments—these
    changes were necessary because the FHA “proved to be an
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.               27
    empty promise because the legislation lacked an effective
    enforcement mechanism.” 134 Cong. Rec. 10454 (1988).
    Undoubtedly, when Congress revisited the FHA in 1988, it
    expanded its reach and reiterated its broad and inclusive
    purpose.
    Significantly, by the time Congress amended the FHA,
    the Supreme Court had long held in Gladstone Realtors v.
    Village of Bellwood, 
    441 U.S. 91
    , 110–11 (1979), that cities
    had standing to sue under the FHA because “[a] significant
    reduction in property values [caused by racially
    discriminatory housing practices] directly injures a
    municipality by diminishing its tax base, thus threatening its
    ability to bear the costs of local government and to provide
    services.”    (emphasis added).       Rather than overturn
    Gladstone, the House Report on the amendments explicitly
    states that the bill “reaffirm[ed] the broad holdings of
    [Gladstone and its progeny].” H.R. Rep. 100-711, at 23
    (emphasis added) (citing 
    Gladstone, 441 U.S. at 91
    ). In no
    uncertain terms, Congress explicitly endorsed lawsuits by
    cities and municipalities under the FHA. Tex. Dep’t of Hous.
    & Cmty. Affs. v. Inclusive Cmtys. Project, Inc., 
    135 S. Ct. 2507
    , 2520 (2015) (“Congress’ decision in 1988 to amend
    the FHA while still adhering to the operative language in
    §§ 804(a) and 805(a) is convincing support for the
    conclusion that Congress accepted and ratified the
    unanimous holdings of the Courts of Appeals finding
    disparate-impact liability.”); see also Forest Grove Sch.
    Dist. v. T.A., 
    557 U.S. 230
    , 243 n.11 (2009) (“When
    Congress amended [the statute at issue] without altering the
    text of [the relevant provision], it implicitly adopted [the
    Supreme Court’s] construction of the statute.”).
    After reviewing the FHA’s text and legislative history,
    we conclude that Congress clearly intended the “nature of
    28       CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    the statutory cause of action” at issue in this case to be broad
    and inclusive enough to encompass less direct, aggregate,
    and city-wide injuries.
    ii. Administrative feasibility.
    The Supreme Court also instructed us to consider “what
    is administratively possible and convenient” when deciding
    the contours of the FHA’s proximate-cause requirement.
    Miami 
    I, 137 S. Ct. at 1306
    (quoting 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 268
    ). Administrative feasibility is important because
    “proximate cause ‘generally bars suits for alleged harm that
    is “too remote” from the defendant’s unlawful conduct.’” Id.
    (quoting 
    Lexmark, 572 U.S. at 133
    (quoting 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 268
    –69). Therefore, when we decide what is
    “administratively possible,” we typically ask whether a
    plaintiff’s alleged injuries are “too remote” to satisfy the
    proximate-cause requirement of the statute at issue. 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 268
    . In other words, to be administratively
    feasible, an indirect injury must have “some direct relation”
    to a defendant’s violative conduct.
    Id. The administrative feasibility
    analysis was outlined by
    the Supreme Court in its seminal decision in Holmes. In that
    case, the Supreme Court laid out three factors that govern
    whether an indirect injury is administratively feasible and
    convenient under a given statute: (1) whether it is possible
    to ascertain “a plaintiff’s [indirect] damages attributable to
    the violation, as distinct from other, independent, factors”;
    (2) whether it is possible to “apportion[] damages among
    plaintiffs removed at different levels of injury from the
    violative acts, to obviate the risk of multiple recoveries”; and
    (3) whether allowing recovery for the indirect injury is
    “unjustified by the general interest in deterring injurious
    conduct, since directly injured victims can generally be
    counted on to vindicate the law as private attorneys general.”
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                29
    Id. at 269–70
    (first citing Associated Gen. 
    Contractors, 459 U.S. at 542
    –44; then citing Blue 
    Shield, 457 U.S. at 473
    –
    75; then citing Hawaii v. Standard Oil Co. of Cal., 
    405 U.S. 251
    , 264 (1972); and then citing Associated Gen.
    Contractors of Cal., 
    Inc., 459 U.S. at 541
    –42). All three of
    these factors support a finding that at least some of
    Oakland’s aggregate, city-wide injuries are administratively
    feasible and convenient under the FHA.
    First, relying on its proposed statistical regression
    analysis, Oakland plausibly alleges that it can precisely
    calculate the exact loss in property values attributable to
    foreclosures caused by Wells Fargo’s predatory loans,
    isolated from any losses attributable to non-Wells Fargo
    foreclosures or other independent causes, such as
    neighborhood conditions. Although Oakland has not yet
    conducted this regression analysis or attached the results to
    its amended complaint, its explanation of the analysis in its
    pleadings is neither speculative nor conclusory. In fact, the
    amended complaint explains in considerable length and
    meticulous detail exactly how it will conduct the regression
    analysis to quantify the loss in property values attributable
    to Wells Fargo’s discriminatory lending. The City also
    points to other studies that use the same methodology to
    produce the kinds of results that Oakland will need to rely
    on to prevail on the merits. In other words, Oakland has
    offered much more than a purely formulaic recitation of how
    the FHA’s causation requirement will be met—it has
    plausibly alleged a harm that is measurable using
    sophisticated, reliable, and scientifically rigorous
    methodologies. See Compton v. Countrywide Fin. Corp.,
    
    761 F.3d 1046
    , 1054 (9th Cir. 2014) (“To survive a motion
    to dismiss, a complaint must contain sufficient factual
    matter, accepted as true, to ‘state a claim to relief that is
    plausible on its face’ . . . . ‘[L]abels and conclusions’ or ‘a
    30      CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    formulaic recitation of the elements of a cause of action’ do
    not suffice.” (first quoting 
    Iqbal, 556 U.S. at 678
    ; and then
    quoting 
    Twombly, 550 U.S. at 570
    )). Therefore, taking
    Oakland’s explanation of the regression analyses in its
    amended complaint as true, we hold that Oakland has
    plausibly alleged that it can calculate exactly which lost
    property-tax revenues are attributable to Wells Fargo’s
    wrongdoing.
    Second, there is no risk of duplicative recoveries in this
    case. In the antitrust context, the Supreme Court has limited
    lawsuits to directly harmed individuals due to “the risk of
    duplicative recovery engendered by allowing every person
    along a chain of distribution to claim damages” from a single
    violation. Blue 
    Shield, 457 U.S. at 474
    –75. Here, by
    contrast, individual borrowers cannot recover for Oakland’s
    aggregate, city-wide injuries like reduced property-tax
    revenues or increased municipal expenses, which means
    there will be no need for the district court to apportion these
    damages between multiple plaintiffs. Furthermore, the
    injuries to individual borrowers from Wells Fargo’s
    predatory loans are completely independent, which means it
    is entirely possible to apportion the damages directly
    suffered by the individual borrowers from Oakland’s
    damages. In fact, in 2017, the Justice Department settled a
    separate nationwide lawsuit on behalf of individual
    borrowers against Wells Fargo for the higher borrowing
    costs and other harmful consequences associated with the
    same discriminatory lending practices at the core of this
    case. See Consent Order, United States v. Wells Fargo Bank
    N.A., No. 1:12-cv-01150 (D.D.C. Sept. 21, 2012), ECF No.
    10. No court would allow these borrowers to also recover a
    City’s lost property-tax revenues. See, e.g., Sacramento,
    
    2019 WL 3975590
    , at *7 (concluding that the City’s alleged
    financial injuries, including lost property-tax revenues “are
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.               31
    unique and uniquely capable of vindication under the
    FHA”).
    Third, and finally, the fact that individual borrowers can
    sue Wells Fargo to vindicate their rights under the FHA does
    not mean that the City is unjustified in also doing so.
    Oakland’s lawsuit in no way affects the ability of the
    individual borrowers to recover from Wells Fargo for the
    same discriminatory lending practices. The Supreme Court
    has primarily applied the third Holmes factor in the antitrust
    context, expressing “concern for the reduction in the
    effectiveness of those suits if brought by indirect purchasers
    with a smaller stake in the outcome than that of direct
    purchasers suing for the full amount of the overcharge.” Ill.
    Brick Co. v. Illinois, 
    431 U.S. 720
    , 745 (1977). Of course,
    this assumes that more directly harmed parties have a larger
    stake in deterring wrongdoers, can sue for the entire harm
    caused by the alleged statutory violation, and will leave no
    “significant antitrust violation undetected or unremedied.”
    Associated Gen. 
    Contractors, 459 U.S. at 542
    . These
    assumptions hold true in antitrust cases where a price
    increase affects the distributor and the consumer in the exact
    same way—they both pay more. Housing discrimination, by
    contrast, affects different parties in different ways. In the
    instant case, for example, Oakland has an independent
    interest in deterring Wells Fargo and other banks from
    issuing predatory loans because individual borrowers cannot
    sue Wells Fargo to recover for the City’s aggregate, city-
    wide injuries. Conversely, Oakland was not a part of and did
    not receive any funds from the $175 million settlement the
    Attorney General entered into with Wells Fargo in the
    aforementioned lawsuit brought on behalf of individual
    borrowers in the District of Columbia. Therefore, the City’s
    lawsuit in no way “undermin[es] the effectiveness of [the
    individual borrowers’] suits,” and vice versa. Holmes,
    32       CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & 
    CO. 503 U.S. at 274
    (quoting Associated Gen. Contractors,
    459 U.S at 545).
    Moreover, Oakland can better deter Wells Fargo’s
    discriminatory lending practices because it can sue to
    remedy the Bank’s systematic misconduct across thousands
    of home loans, whereas individual residents can only
    challenge the effects of the discriminatory lending policies
    on themselves.
    In sum, all three of the Holmes factors support our
    conclusion that it is administratively feasible for the district
    court to administer the aggregate, city-wide injuries that
    Oakland claims it suffered as a result of Wells Fargo’s
    unlawful discriminatory lending practices throughout the
    City.
    V. Oakland’s claims for monetary damages.
    Having established the broad and inclusive contours of
    the FHA’s proximate-cause requirement, we can now turn to
    the two questions the district court certified for interlocutory
    appeal. First, we are asked to decide whether Oakland’s
    claims for monetary damages based on the injuries asserted
    in the amended complaint—reduced property-tax revenues
    and increased municipal expenses—satisfy the FHA’s
    proximate-cause requirement. We hold that the allegations
    in the amended complaint are sufficient to plead that
    Oakland’s reduced property-tax revenues, but not its
    increased municipal expenses, are proximately caused by
    Wells Fargo’s discriminatory lending practices.
    A. Reduced property-tax revenues.
    Understanding the broad and inclusive nature of the
    FHA, as well as what is administratively feasible under the
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                           33
    statute, we hold that Oakland plausibly alleges that its
    decrease in property-tax revenue has some direct relation to
    Wells Fargo’s predatory lending practices.
    It is undisputed that Wells Fargo’s alleged wrongdoing
    did not immediately cause Oakland’s lost property-tax
    revenues. Far from being within the first step of the causal
    chain, the drop in Oakland’s tax base is several steps
    removed from Wells Fargo’s discriminatory lending
    practices. 20 However, these injuries are within the FHA’s
    proximate-cause requirement because the City plausibly
    alleged that they have “a sufficiently close connection to the
    conduct the statute prohibits.” 
    Lexmark, 572 U.S. at 133
    . Of
    course, at summary judgment or trial, a judge or a jury will
    eventually have to decide whether, after discovery, Oakland
    adduced enough evidence that Wells Fargo’s predatory
    lending more likely than not caused the City’s reduced tax
    base.
    Wells Fargo argues that, to satisfy proximate cause under
    any statute, a plaintiff must allege an injury that is the
    immediate result of an alleged statutory violation. 21 Such a
    20
    The district court outlined the multiple causal steps between Wells
    Fargo’s conduct and the City’s financial injuries as follows: (1) the
    unlawful discrimination was carried out by Wells Fargo; (2) leading to
    default by the individual borrowers; (3) which in turn led to foreclosures;
    (4) which led to lower property values; and (5) consequently lower
    property-tax revenues for Oakland.
    21
    Wells Fargo also offers two “rare” exceptions to its proposed
    categorical proximate-cause rule: (1) “where the most directly affected
    party cannot sue,” or (2) “where a plaintiff alleges a harm at the second
    step that is as ‘surely attributable’ to the alleged statutory violation.” But
    these circumstances are not “exceptions.” They are factors that the
    Supreme Court has established, in cases like Lexmark and Holmes,
    34        CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    categorical proximate-cause requirement under the FHA
    would allow parties to recover only for injuries that are
    within the first step of the causal chain—in other words, only
    those who are immediately affected by discrimination. 22
    Applying such standard to this case, Wells Fargo’s liability
    would be limited to the individual borrowers directly harmed
    by the Bank’s redlining and reverse redlining.
    As an initial matter, Wells Fargo’s categorical
    proximate-cause requirement is facially at odds with the
    Supreme Court’s rule that “the general tendency” in
    proximate cause cases “is not to go beyond the first step” of
    the causal chain. Miami 
    I, 137 S. Ct. at 1306
    (emphasis
    added) (quoting 
    Hemi, 559 U.S. at 10
    ). The commonsense
    reading of “general tendency” is that in most cases, but not
    all, the proximate-cause requirement will be limited to the
    first step. Therefore, it cannot be that an intervening step
    automatically vitiates proximate cause. Indeed, Wells Fargo
    does not explain why, if the proximate-cause requirement
    under the FHA is as straight-forward and categorical as
    Wells Fargo suggests, the Supreme Court did not simply
    pronounce it as such in Miami I. If an intervening step alone
    is always enough to vitiate proximate cause, the Supreme
    should be considered when evaluating the contours of a particular
    statute’s proximate-cause requirement.
    22
    Importantly, Wells Fargo relies exclusively on civil RICO cases
    to support its argument that the FHA also requires a categorical first-
    step-only proximate-cause requirement.           All these cases are
    distinguishable, however, because the Supreme Court has clearly held
    that RICO “should not get . . . an expansive reading,” 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 266
    , whereas the FHA is consistently and repeatedly interpreted
    broadly. Compare 
    Hemi., 559 U.S. at 9
    –10, and Anza v. Ideal Steel
    Supply Corp., 
    547 U.S. 451
    , 456 (2006), with 
    Trafficante, 409 U.S. at 208
    –09, and Inclusive 
    Cmtys., 135 S. Ct. at 2516
    –26 (2015), and
    
    Gladstone, 441 U.S. at 103
    , and 
    Havens, 455 U.S. at 372
    –75.
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.               35
    Court would not have sought the input of the lower federal
    courts.
    Moreover, adopting Wells Fargo’s categorical
    proximate-cause requirement would require this court to
    contravene decades of established Supreme Court precedent
    on standing under the FHA. Under Wells Fargo’s proposed
    standard, its predatory lending practices can only
    proximately cause the injuries of its direct victims—the
    individual borrowers. But the Supreme Court has held, time
    and time again, that indirectly injured parties, including
    municipalities, have standing to sue under the FHA. See
    
    Gladstone, 414 U.S. at 100
    –09 (permitting the Village of
    Bellwood to sue realtors who discriminated against Black
    prospective homeowners even though the Village itself was
    not directly discriminated against); 
    Trafficante, 409 U.S. at 212
    (permitting tenants to sue their landlord for
    discriminating against prospective tenants even though the
    landlord had not discriminated against both plaintiffs
    directly); Havens Realty Corp. v. Coleman, 
    455 U.S. 363
    ,
    378–79 (1982) (permitting a fair housing organization to sue
    not only to address harm its members suffered but also to
    recover its own injuries). Under Wells Fargo’s categorical
    proximate-cause requirement, none of the plaintiffs in
    Gladstone, Trafficante, or Havens would have been able to
    recover for the indirect injuries they suffered under the FHA.
    We decline Wells’ Fargo’s invitation to ignore the mandates
    of the Supreme Court.
    In Lexmark, the Supreme Court in fact departed from the
    first-step “general tendency” standard, underscoring that an
    intervening step does not necessarily end proximate cause.
    In that case, the plaintiff was a manufacturer of components
    used by companies that refurbished Lexmark printer
    cartridges (the “remanufacturers”). Lexmark, 
    572 U.S. 36
         CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    at 121.     It sued Lexmark, a printer and cartridge
    manufacturer, under the Lanham Act for misleading
    customers into believing that they were legally obligated to
    return spent cartridges to Lexmark.
    Id. at 120–23.
    The
    injury in that case was the plaintiff’s lost revenue from
    consumers returning their spent cartridges to Lexmark rather
    than taking them to the remanufacturers to be refurbished.
    Id. at 123
    In Lexmark, as here, there was more than one step
    in the causal chain: (1) Lexmark deceived consumers;
    (2) the consumers chose not to take their cartridges to the
    remanufacturers; and (3) those remanufacturers in turn
    bought fewer components from the plaintiff. Like Wells
    Fargo, Lexmark argued for a “categorical test permitting
    only direct competitors to sue for false advertising [under the
    Lanham Act].”
    Id. at 134.
    Writing for a unanimous Court, Justice Scalia explained
    that an intervening step does not necessarily break the causal
    chain if there is continuity between the plaintiff’s alleged
    injuries and the defendant’s alleged misconduct.
    Id. at 139– 40
    . The Court concluded that the Lexmark plaintiff satisfied
    proximate cause under the Lanham Act because, although
    the causal chain “include[d] an intervening link of injury to
    the remanufacturers,” there was no “‘discontinuity’ between
    the injury to the direct victim and the injury to the indirect
    victim, so that the latter is not surely attributable to the
    former (and thus also to the defendant’s conduct), but might
    instead have resulted from ‘any number of [other] reasons.’”
    Id. at 139–40
    (emphases added) (quoting Anza v. Ideal Steel
    Supply Corp., 
    547 U.S. 451
    , 458–59 (2006)). In other
    words, the plaintiff was able to demonstrate continuity: its
    injuries were directly related to the remanufacturers’
    injuries, which were in turn directly related to Lexmark’s
    conduct.
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.               37
    In Bridge, a RICO case, the Supreme Court again
    focused on the continuity between the defendant’s alleged
    violation and the plaintiff’s indirect injury, not how many
    “steps” were in between. 
    See 553 U.S. at 653
    –58. In that
    case, the plaintiffs were bidders participating in county-
    operated tax lien auctions.
    Id. at 642.
    They sued
    defendants—who were also bidders—for filing fraudulent
    documents that increased the defendants’ chances of
    winning the auctions.
    Id. at 642–44.
    Again, there was more
    than one step in the causal chain: (1) the defendants filed
    fraudulent documents; (2) the county relied on the fraudulent
    documents; and (3) the plaintiffs lost the auction.
    Id. Nonetheless, the Court
    held that plaintiffs’ injuries were
    proximately caused by the defendants’ misconduct because
    “first party reliance” was not “necessary to ensure that there
    [was] a sufficiently direct relationship between the
    defendant’s wrongful conduct and the plaintiff’s injury.”
    Id. at 657
    (emphasis added). Although the Court framed its
    analysis in terms of reliance, the principle is the same—
    plaintiffs need not be the most immediate victims of a
    defendant’s misconduct to satisfy proximate cause, as long
    as their injuries have some direct relation and are surely
    attributable to the misconduct.
    Even though Lexmark and Bridge did not involve the
    FHA, the proximate-cause principles they establish squarely
    apply to this case. In Lexmark, “any false advertising that
    reduced the remanufacturers’ business necessarily injured
    [the plaintiff] as well.” 
    Lexmark, 572 U.S. at 139
    . Similarly,
    in Bridge, the injury to the county necessarily injured the
    plaintiffs. The same is true here. Through sophisticated and
    well-explained statistical regression analyses, Oakland has
    plausibly alleged that the predatory loans issued by Well
    Fargo that caused injury to individual borrowers, namely in
    the form of foreclosures, also necessarily injured the City
    38        CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    because the foreclosures caused a respective drop in property
    values and in turn reduced property-tax revenues. Oakland
    achieves this by isolating the lost property value attributable
    to Wells Fargo’s foreclosures, as opposed to other potential
    causes. In other words, if Oakland’s Hedonic regression
    analysis operates as it is explained in the complaint, the same
    continuity the Supreme Court found in Lexmark and Bridge
    exists here.
    In addition, Oakland’s regression analyses plausibly and
    thoroughly account for other variables that might explain
    Oakland’s reduced tax base, such that Oakland’s injury can
    be surely attributed to Wells Fargo. This is especially true
    because Oakland’s claims are aggregate, city-wide claims
    that are well-suited for data-driven statistical regression
    analyses. In this way, the City has established that there is
    some direct relation and continuity between its reduced
    property-tax revenues and Wells Fargo’s predatory loans.
    Wells Fargo attempts to distinguish Bridge and Lexmark
    by arguing that, unlike in those cases, there are more directly
    harmed persons who can bring suit here—the individual
    borrowers. 23 But individual borrowers often lack the
    financial incentive to pursue a lawsuit because their damages
    are much lower than the cost of prosecuting a lawsuit in
    federal court. Also, individual borrowers’ lawsuits are often
    barred by the FHA’s two-year statute of limitations because
    the harmful effects of predatory loans become apparent only
    years after the loans are issued. See Garcia v. Brockway,
    
    526 F.3d 456
    , 461 (9th Cir. 2008) (en banc) (“[A]n
    aggrieved person must bring the lawsuit [under the FHA]
    23
    Wells Fargo conveniently overlooks that there were more directly
    harmed parties that could have sued in both Lexmark and Bridge—the
    remanufacturers and the county, respectively.
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                       39
    within two years of either ‘the occurrence . . . of an alleged
    discriminatory housing practice’ or ‘the termination of an
    alleged discriminatory housing practice.’” (quoting
    42 U.S.C. § 3613(a)(1)(A))); see also Thomas v. S.F. Hous.
    Auth., 765 F. App’x 368 (9th Cir. 2019) (“FHA claims are
    subject to two-year statute of limitations.”); Lopez v. Wells
    Fargo Bank N.A., 727 F. App’x 425, 426 (9th Cir. 2018)
    (“The district court properly dismissed [individual
    borrower’s] . . . FHA . . . claim[] as barred by the applicable
    [two-year] statute[] of limitations.”); Cervantes v.
    Countrywide Home Loans, Inc., No. CV 09-517, 
    2009 WL 3157160
    , at *6 (D. Ariz. Sept. 24, 2009), aff’d, 
    656 F.3d 1034
    (9th Cir. 2011) (finding that because Latino
    “[p]laintiffs obtained their loans in 2006 and brought [the]
    present action in March 2009. . . [their] claims fall outside
    the two-year time limitation”). 24
    Additionally, cities and local governments are uniquely
    well-suited to bring aggregate lawsuits under the FHA to
    deter banks from engaging in widespread, large-scale
    discriminatory lending practices.        Unlike individual
    borrowers, local governments have tools—including home-
    loan counseling programs for potential new homeowners,
    relocation programs for displaced tenants, eviction
    assistance programs, and a complaint system for alleged
    wrongful eviction and rent adjustments—that allow them to
    24
    Oakland’s amended complaint is not subject to the FHA’s two-
    year statute of limitations because it challenges a larger and ongoing
    discriminatory practice. See 
    Garcia, 526 F.3d at 461
    –62 (“[W]here a
    plaintiff, pursuant to the Fair Housing Act, challenges not just one
    incident of conduct violative of the Act, but an unlawful practice that
    continues into the limitations period, the complaint is timely when it is
    filed within [the statutory period, running from] the last asserted
    occurrence of that practice.” (alteration in original) (quoting 
    Havens, 455 U.S. at 380
    –81)).
    40        CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    detect illegal practices and patterns on a large, systematic
    scale.      These tools allow cities—unlike individual
    borrowers—to discern a bank’s pattern of discriminatory
    lending that becomes apparent once a critical mass of
    predatory home loans have been issued, and to generate
    statistical disparities to support an aggregate disparate-
    impact claim.
    Wells Fargo also attacks the City’s foreclosure
    regression on multiple fronts, none of which have merit.
    First, it argues that the regression is invalid because it
    assumes that a borrower defaults on a predatory loan because
    of the loan’s high costs and onerous terms, and not because
    of well-recognized causes of foreclosure like job loss,
    medical hardships, or divorce. 25 Including these variables in
    the regression analysis would likely make no difference,
    however, because they are not correlated with the likelihood
    that a person will receive a predatory loan, especially
    because Wells Fargo argues that these life events happen
    after the borrower receives the predatory loan and before
    they stop making payments. See Daniel L. Rubinfeld,
    Reference Guide on Multiple Regression, in Reference
    Manual on Scientific Evidence 303, 315 (3d ed. 2011)
    (“Omitting variables that are not correlated with the variable
    of interest is, in general, less of a concern, because the
    parameter measures the effect of the variable of interest on
    the dependent variable is estimated without bias.”). By
    arguing that these life events explain the discrepancy in
    foreclosure rates between minority and White borrowers,
    25
    Oakland’s amended complaint acknowledges that, due to data
    limitations, its current regression analysis does not control for every
    aspect of financial hardship that could plausibly affect the likelihood that
    someone defaults on a predatory loan, including job loss, medical
    hardship, or divorce.
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                41
    Wells Fargo implies that minority borrowers are somehow
    more likely than White borrowers to get divorced, suffer
    from medical hardships, or lose their jobs. Because this
    argument has no basis in law or common sense, we conclude
    that accounting for these life events would not increase the
    plausibility of the City’s foreclosure regression analysis. See
    Bazemore v. Friday, 
    478 U.S. 385
    , 400 (1986) (Brennan, J.,
    joined by all other Members of the Court, concurring in part)
    (“While the omission of variables from a regression analysis
    may render the analysis less probative than it otherwise
    might be, it can hardly be said, absent some other infirmity,
    that an analysis which accounts for the major factors ‘must
    be considered unacceptable as evidence of discrimination.’”
    (quoting Bazemore v. Friday, 
    751 F.2d 662
    , 672 (4th Cir.
    1984))).
    Second, Wells Fargo warns that allowing the City to
    plead its injuries using regression analyses would mean that
    every plaintiff going forward would be able to satisfy
    proximate cause under the FHA so long as she has a good
    statistician on hand. We disagree. A local corner store or
    flower shop—to use Wells Fargo’s example—would be
    hard-pressed to design a regression analysis that could
    precisely account for its drop in revenues attributable to
    predatory-loan-related foreclosures. What prevents any
    other private plaintiff from bringing a similar lawsuit is the
    principle, established in Lexmark, that what matters is
    whether Wells Fargo’s wrongdoing “necessarily injured
    [Oakland] as well” as the individual borrowers in such a way
    that the individual borrowers were “not [a] ‘more immediate
    victim[]’” than Oakland. 
    Lexmark, 572 U.S. at 140
    (quoting
    
    Bridge, 553 U.S. at 658
    ). That principle is satisfied in the
    instant case because Oakland plausibly alleges how Wells
    Fargo’s predatory loans to Black and Latino borrowers
    necessarily resulted in widespread foreclosures, which in
    42        CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    turn necessarily reduced property values, and thus
    necessarily reduced Oakland’s property-tax revenues. A
    flower shop, by contrast, could lose revenues for a myriad of
    reasons, including the emergence of new competitors or an
    inexplicable drop in its customers’ appetite for flowers, all
    of which would likely be impossible to quantify in a
    regression analysis. In this way, like in Lexmark, the City’s
    injuries—unlike those of a local corner store or flower
    shop—also have “something very close to a 1:1 relationship”
    to Wells Fargo’s predatory loans.
    Finally, Wells Fargo unconvincingly argues that the
    Ninth Circuit has rejected the use of statistics to overcome
    the remoteness of a plaintiff’s injury. It relies on Oregon
    Laborers-Employers Health & Welfare Trust Fund v. Phillip
    Morris, Inc., 26 where this court held that the statistical model
    used by the plaintiff, a welfare fund, was speculative because
    it sought to establish that the fund’s participants “would have
    allegedly quit smoking or begun smoking safer products,
    reducing their smoking-related illnesses, and thereby
    lowering the Funds’ costs for reimbursing smokers’ health
    care expenditures.” 
    185 F.3d 957
    , 965 (9th Cir. 1999)
    (emphasis added) (quoting Steamfitters Local Union No. 420
    Welfare Fund v. Philip Morris, Inc., 
    171 F.3d 912
    , 929 (3d
    Cir. 1999)). The problem with the statistical analysis in
    Oregon Laborers was that—unlike Oakland’s regression
    analysis here—it speculated about events that had not yet
    occurred.      Indeed, the Oregon Laborers court even
    recognized that it would be “easy to ascertain” the “actual
    damages attributable to medical payments [already] made by
    26
    Wells Fargo also relies on Canyon County v. Sygenta Seeds, Inc.,
    
    519 F.3d 969
    (9th Cir. 2008), which is completely inapposite because
    the plaintiffs in that case did not offer a statistical model or regression
    analysis to show proximate causation.
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                43
    plaintiffs due to smoking-related injuries.”
    Id. at 964.
    Therefore, Oregon Laborers does not support Wells Fargo’s
    unfounded claim that the Ninth Circuit has rejected
    statistical evidence to plausibly plead proximate causation
    altogether.
    In sum, construing the amended complaint’s allegations
    in the light most favorable to the City, including its proposed
    statistical regression analyses, we hold that Oakland has
    plausibly alleged that its decrease in property-tax revenues
    has some direct and continuous relation to Wells Fargo’s
    discriminatory lending practices throughout much of the
    City.
    It is important to note that this case reaches us at the
    motion to dismiss stage, where Oakland has the burden of
    meeting a plausibility standard, not a reasonable probability
    or more-likely-than-not standard. Swierkiewicz v. Sorema
    N. A., 
    534 U.S. 506
    , 515 (2002) (“Rule 8(a) establishes a
    pleading standard without regard to whether a claim will
    succeed on the merits. ‘Indeed it may appear on the face of
    the pleadings that a recovery is very remote and unlikely but
    that is not the test.’” (quoting Scheuer v. Rhodes, 
    416 U.S. 232
    , 236 (1974)). In this regard, Bazemore is instructive:
    Whether, in fact, such a regression analysis
    does carry the plaintiffs’ ultimate burden will
    depend in a given case on the factual context
    of each case in light of all the evidence
    presented by both the plaintiff and the
    defendant. However, as long as the court
    may fairly conclude, in light of all the
    evidence, that it is more likely than not that
    impermissible discrimination exists, the
    plaintiff is entitled to prevail.
    44       CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & 
    CO. 478 U.S. at 400
    –01 (Brennan, J., joined by all other
    Members of the Court, concurring in part).
    Therefore, even if we conclude today that the City has
    plausibly alleged that Wells Fargo’s conduct proximately
    caused a reduction in its tax base, Oakland’s allegations still
    need to be tested through discovery, including the rigors of
    expert rebuttal. For example, Wells Fargo argues that
    Oakland cannot attribute reduced property values in the Bay
    Area to foreclosures because California caps the annual
    property value increases at two percent. Even if proven true,
    this argument is only appropriate at the summary judgment
    or trial stages, when a trier of fact can evaluate competing
    evidence to determine if the two-percent cap undermines
    Oakland’s regression analyses. 
    Iqbal, 556 U.S. at 678
    (holding that at the pleadings stage this court must look only
    at the allegations in the amended complaint to determine if
    they are sufficiently detailed to “state a claim for relief that
    is plausible on its face”). The City’s regression analyses will
    be scrutinized during discovery and at trial before it can be
    determined that Wells Fargo’s conduct more likely than not
    diminished the City’s tax base. 
    Bazemore, 478 U.S. at 400
    –
    01.
    B. Increased municipal expenses.
    Although Oakland plausibly alleges that Wells Fargo’s
    discriminatory lending practices have some direct relation to
    its lost property-tax revenues, it fails to do the same for its
    increased municipal expenses. Miami 
    I, 137 S. Ct. at 1306
    .
    At the pleading stage, Oakland must do more than state,
    in conclusory fashion, its theory of how foreclosures caused
    by Wells Fargo’s predatory loans proximately caused
    additional municipal expenses. 
    Iqbal, 556 U.S. at 678
    (“[T]he tenet that a court must accept as true all of the
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.               45
    allegations contained in a complaint is inapplicable to legal
    conclusions. Threadbare recitals of the elements of a cause
    of action, supported by mere conclusory statements, do not
    suffice.” (citing 
    Twombly, 550 U.S. at 555
    )). Without more,
    the district court cannot precisely ascertain which increases
    in municipal expenses are attributable to foreclosures caused
    by Wells Fargo’s predatory loans to Black and Latino
    residents. Obviously, the entire increase in Oakland’s
    municipal expenses over the relevant time period cannot be
    attributed to Wells Fargo’s alleged predatory lending
    practices. Because Oakland has not accounted for other
    independent variables that might have contributed to or even
    caused the spike in expenses, its claim of increased
    municipal expenses fails the first Holmes factor, which
    requires Oakland to plausibly plead that it is possible to
    ascertain with precision what increase in municipal expenses
    is attributable to Wells Fargo’s 
    misconduct. 503 U.S. at 269
    .
    Accordingly, Oakland’s conclusory proximate-cause
    allegations as to its alleged increased municipal expenses are
    implausible and the district court did not err in dismissing
    them.
    VI.    Oakland’s claims for injunctive and declaratory
    relief.
    The district court also asked us to decide whether the
    FHA’s proximate-cause requirement applies to claims for
    injunctive or declaratory relief. We hold that it does. The
    district court was apparently mistaken in its reading of
    Miami I and other Supreme Court precedents clearly
    establishing that plaintiffs must satisfy the proximate-cause
    requirement to receive any form of 
    relief. 137 S. Ct. at 1305
    –06. Oakland does not dispute this point of law on
    appeal.
    46       CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    In Miami I the Supreme Court noted that claims for
    statutory damages are analogous to common law tort actions,
    and therefore courts “repeatedly applied directness
    principles to statutes with ‘common-law 
    foundations.’” 137 S. Ct. at 1306
    (quoting 
    Anza, 547 U.S. at 457
    ). In doing
    so, the Court simply established that statutes with common
    law foundations require a showing of proximate cause. But
    nowhere in that opinion does the Court state that it requires
    plaintiffs to allege proximate cause only for damages claims
    under those statutes. In fact, the Supreme Court does not
    even mention declaratory or injunctive relief, let alone hold
    that proximate cause is not required to receive such relief.
    See generally
    , id. Furthermore, in Lexmark,
    the Supreme Court was
    unequivocal that “[p]roximate causation is . . . an element of
    the cause of action under the 
    statute.” 572 U.S. at 134
    n.6.
    It specifically underscored that “proximate causation . . .
    must be met in every case,” even if the plaintiff is not entitled
    to damages, because “it may still be entitled to injunctive
    relief.”
    Id. at 135
    (emphasis added). Therefore, the Court
    applied its proximate-cause reasoning generally to the
    plaintiff’s false advertising claim without making any
    distinction based on the type of relief, even though the
    plaintiff sought both damages and injunctive relief. See
    id. at 123, 137.
    Not surprisingly, almost every other court that has
    reviewed analogous FHA claims in the wake of Miami I has
    also applied proximate-cause principles to cities’ claims
    without making any distinction between damages and
    injunctive relief. See, e.g., Miami 
    II, 923 F.3d at 1268
    (applying proximate cause where “[t]he City also asked for
    a declaratory judgment stating that the Banks’ conduct
    violated the FHA, [and] an injunction barring the Banks
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.               47
    from engaging in similar predatory conduct”); Sacramento,
    
    2019 WL 3975590
    , at *2 (applying proximate cause where
    “[t]he City seeks declaratory and injunctive relief and
    damages”); Philadelphia, 
    2018 WL 424451
    , at *1 (applying
    proximate cause where plaintiff sought an injunction
    prohibiting further discriminatory conduct). But see Prince
    George’s 
    County., 397 F. Supp. 3d at 765
    (“[T]o the extent
    that the Counties are seeking injunctive or declaratory relief
    against Defendants’ alleged equity-stripping practices, the
    proximate-cause requirement being less strict, the Counties
    may proceed.” (citing Oakland, 
    2018 WL 3008538
    at *12)).
    Accordingly, we reverse the district court’s conclusion
    that Oakland did not have to satisfy the FHA’s proximate-
    cause requirement as to its claims for declaratory and
    injunctive relief. On remand, the district court should
    determine whether Oakland plausibly alleged that its
    ongoing injuries are being proximately caused by Wells
    Fargo’s alleged wrongdoing.
    VII.   Conclusion.
    We affirm the district court’s denial of Wells Fargo’s
    motion to dismiss as to Oakland’s claims for lost property-
    tax revenues and the district court’s grant of Wells Fargo’s
    motion to dismiss as to Oakland’s claims for increased
    municipal expenses. We reverse, however, the district
    court’s denial of Wells Fargo’s motion to dismiss as to
    Oakland’s claims for injunctive and declaratory relief and
    we remand for future proceedings consistent with this
    opinion.
    AFFIRMED in part; REVERSED in part; and
    REMANDED. Each party shall bear its own costs.