District Hospital Partners v. Sylvia Mathews Burwell ( 2015 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued February 12, 2015                Decided May 19, 2015
    No. 14-5061
    DISTRICT HOSPITAL PARTNERS, L.P., DOING BUSINESS AS
    GEORGE WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL, ET AL.,
    APPELLANTS
    v.
    SYLVIA MATHEWS BURWELL, SECRETARY OF THE UNITED
    STATES DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES,
    APPELLEE
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the District of Columbia
    (No. 1:11-cv-00116)
    Robert L. Roth argued the cause for the appellants. James
    F. Segroves and John R. Hellow were with him on brief.
    John L. Oberdorfer, Pierre H. Bergeron, Stephen P. Nash
    and Sven C. Collins were on brief for the amici curiae
    Non-Profit Hospitals in support of the appellants.
    James C. Luh, Trial Attorney, United States Department
    of Justice, argued the cause for the appellee. Stuart F. Delery,
    Assistant Attorney General, Ronald C. Machen, Jr., U.S.
    Attorney, and H. Thomas Byron III, Attorney, were with him
    on brief.
    2
    Before: HENDERSON, ROGERS and BROWN, Circuit
    Judges.
    Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge HENDERSON.
    KAREN LECRAFT HENDERSON, Circuit Judge: This case
    requires us to slough through the “labyrinthine world” of
    Medicare reimbursements. Adirondack Med. Ctr. v. Sebelius,
    
    740 F.3d 692
    , 694 (D.C. Cir. 2014). Under the current
    system, hospitals are reimbursed for treating a Medicare
    patient based on the average treatment cost for that patient’s
    ailment/condition.       Some patients, however, require
    protracted care that far outpaces an illness’s average cost of
    treatment.     To account for this, hospitals can request
    “additional payments,” known as outlier payments, if the cost
    of treating a particular patient is sufficiently high. 42 U.S.C.
    § 1395ww(d)(5)(A). Every year, the Secretary of Health and
    Human Services (HHS) sets a monetary threshold above which
    outlier payments may be recovered.
    A group of 186 hospitals that participates in Medicare
    believes that the HHS Secretary set the monetary threshold for
    outlier payments too high in 2004, 2005 and 2006. Led by
    District Hospital Partners (DHP), the hospitals sued the
    Secretary in federal district court, claiming that she violated the
    Administrative Procedure Act (APA), 5 U.S.C. §§ 551 et seq.,
    by engaging in arbitrary and capricious decision-making.
    They also moved to supplement the administrative record.
    The district court denied the motion to supplement in part and
    rejected DHP’s APA challenges to each outlier threshold. We
    affirm the district court’s partial denial of the motion to
    supplement and its rejection of the APA challenges to the 2005
    and 2006 outlier thresholds. Its conclusion that the 2004
    threshold is adequately explained, however, is erroneous and
    3
    we therefore reverse its summary judgment grant to the
    Secretary on this claim and remand to the district court with
    instructions to remand to the Secretary for further proceedings.
    See Miller v. Dep’t of Navy, 
    476 F.3d 936
    , 939–40 (D.C. Cir.
    2007).
    I. BACKGROUND
    A. THE OUTLIER PAYMENT SYSTEM
    Medicare was “[e]stablished in 1965 as part of the Social
    Security Act.” Fischer v. United States, 
    529 U.S. 667
    , 671
    (2000). It operates as a “federally funded medical insurance
    program for the elderly and disabled,” 
    id., and is
    managed by
    the HHS Secretary, 42 U.S.C. § 1395kk(a). The program
    originally reimbursed hospitals for the “reasonable costs” of
    services provided to Medicare patients. Cnty. of L.A. v.
    Shalala, 
    192 F.3d 1005
    , 1008 (D.C. Cir. 1999). That system
    deteriorated over time, however, because it provided “little
    incentive for hospitals to keep costs down,” as “[t]he more they
    spent, the more they were reimbursed.” 
    Id. In 1983,
    the
    Congress became particularly concerned “that hospitals
    reimbursed on a reasonable cost basis lacked incentives to
    operate efficiently.” Transitional Hosps. Corp. of La., Inc. v.
    Shalala, 
    222 F.3d 1019
    , 1021 (D.C. Cir. 2000).
    To rectify the problem, the Congress shifted to a
    prospective payment system that reimburses hospitals based on
    the average rate of “operating costs [for] inpatient hospital
    services.” Cnty. of 
    L.A., 192 F.3d at 1008
    . Because different
    illnesses entail varying costs of treatment, the Secretary uses
    diagnosis-related groups (DRGs) to “modif[y]” the average
    rate. Cape Cod Hosp. v. Sebelius, 
    630 F.3d 203
    , 205 (D.C.
    Cir. 2011). A DRG is a group of related illnesses to which the
    Secretary assigns a weight representing “the relationship
    between the cost of treating patients within that group and the
    4
    average cost of treating all Medicare patients.” 
    Id. at 205–06.
    To calculate a specific reimbursement, the Secretary “takes the
    [average] rate, adjusts it [to account for regional labor costs],
    and then multiplies it by the weight assigned to the patient’s
    DRG.” Cnty. of 
    L.A., 192 F.3d at 1009
    .
    The major innovation of the prospective payment system
    is that hospitals are “reimbursed at a fixed amount per patient,
    regardless of the actual operating costs they incur in rendering
    [those] services.” Sebelius v. Auburn Reg’l Med. Ctr., 
    133 S. Ct. 817
    , 822 (2013) (emphasis added). The new system
    incentivizes hospitals to keep costs as low as possible. But the
    “Congress recognized that health-care providers would
    inevitably care for some patients whose hospitalization would
    be extraordinarily costly or lengthy.” Cnty. of 
    L.A., 192 F.3d at 1009
    . To account for costly patients, the Congress allows
    hospitals to request outlier payments.          See 42 U.S.C.
    § 1395ww(d)(5)(A)(ii). A hospital is eligible for an outlier
    payment “in any case where charges, adjusted to cost, exceed .
    . . the sum of the applicable DRG prospective payment rate . . .
    plus a fixed dollar amount determined by the Secretary.” 
    Id. Although calculating
    outlier payments is an elaborate
    process, three particular numbers are important: (1) the
    cost-to-charge ratio, (2) the fixed loss threshold, and (3) the
    outlier threshold.     A hospital’s cost-to-charge ratio is
    calculated from data in its most recent cost report. See 42
    C.F.R. § 412.84(i)(2). The ratio represents a hospital’s
    “average markup.” Appalachian Reg’l Healthcare, Inc. v.
    Shalala, 
    131 F.3d 1050
    , 1052 (D.C. Cir. 1997). Markup is
    key because outlier payments are available only “where
    charges, adjusted to cost, exceed” the applicable DRG rate by a
    fixed amount. 42 U.S.C. § 1395ww(d)(5)(A)(ii) (emphasis
    added). The ratio ensures that the Secretary does not simply
    reimburse a hospital for the charges reflected on a patient’s
    5
    invoice but instead only for charges that are “adjusted to cost.”
    
    Id. Applying the
    cost-to-charge ratio in practice is
    straightforward. For example, if a hospital’s cost-to-charge
    ratio is 75% (total costs are approximately 75% of total
    charges), the Secretary multiplies the hospital’s charges by
    75% to calculate the hospital’s cost. See Boca Raton Cmty.
    Hosp., Inc. v. Tenet Health Care Corp., 
    582 F.3d 1227
    , 1229
    n.3 (11th Cir. 2009).
    The second important number is the fixed loss threshold.
    A hospital can request an outlier payment if its charges exceed
    the “DRG prospective payment rate . . . plus a fixed dollar
    amount determined by the Secretary.”                42 U.S.C.
    § 1395ww(d)(5)(A)(ii) (emphasis added). The italicized
    portion—“a fixed dollar amount”—is known as the fixed loss
    threshold. In effect, this threshold “acts like an insurance
    deductible because the hospital is responsible for that portion
    of the treatment’s excessive cost” above the applicable DRG
    rate. Boca Raton Cmty. 
    Hosp., 582 F.3d at 1229
    . The
    Secretary calculates a new fixed loss threshold for each fiscal
    year. See 42 U.S.C. § 1395ww(d)(6).
    The third number is the outlier threshold. The Secretary
    calculates it by adding the DRG rate for a certain illness or
    condition to the fixed loss threshold. 1 See Cnty. of L.A., 192
    1
    We have simplified the calculation. Although the outlier
    threshold is calculated by adding the applicable DRG rate to the
    fixed loss threshold, there are other variables that must be added to
    that amount as well. These include “any IME and DSH payments,
    and any add-on payments for new technology.” 68 Fed. Reg.
    45,346, 45,477 (Aug. 1, 2003). IME is an acronym for indirect
    costs of medical education, which the Secretary must consider in
    disbursing outlier payments. See 42 U.S.C. § 1395ww(d)(5)(B).
    DSH is an acronym for a disproportionate share hospital, which
    considers whether a hospital serves a disproportionate share 
    of 6 F.3d at 1009
    . Any cost-adjusted charges imposed above the
    outlier threshold are eligible for reimbursement under the
    outlier    payment      provision.       See    42      U.S.C.
    § 1395ww(d)(5)(A)(ii). Since 2003, outlier payments have
    been 80% of the difference between a hospital’s adjusted
    charges and the outlier threshold. See 68 Fed. Reg. at 45,476;
    42 C.F.R. § 412.84(k).
    We can tie this all together with an example. Assume that
    the Secretary sets the fixed loss threshold at $10,000. Assume
    also that a hospital treats a Medicare patient for a broken bone
    and that the DRG rate for the treatment is $3,000. The
    Medicare patient required unusually extensive treatment which
    caused the hospital to impose $23,000 in cost-adjusted charges.
    If no other statutory factor is triggered, 
    see supra
    n.1, the
    hospital is eligible for an outlier payment of $8,000, which is
    80% of the difference between its cost-adjusted charges
    ($23,000) and the outlier threshold ($13,000). See generally
    62 Fed. Reg. 45,966, 45,997 (Aug. 29, 1997) (explaining
    similar example).
    Apart from calculating individual reimbursements, the
    Secretary must also ensure that total outlier payments are
    neither “less than 5 percent nor more than 6 percent” of the
    total DRG-related payments in a given year. 42 U.S.C.
    low-income patients.      See 
    id. § 1395ww(d)(5)(F).
               And
    technological add-on payments refer to the Secretary’s obligation to
    consider whether the applicable DRG rate takes into account the
    expenses of “a new medical service or technology.”               
    Id. § 1395ww(d)(5)(K)(ii)(I).
           None     of    these    additional
    variables—IME, DSH and technology add-on payments—is
    relevant here. For convenience, then, we refer to the outlier
    threshold as the sum of the applicable DRG rate and the fixed loss
    threshold.
    7
    § 1395ww(d)(5)(A)(iv). The Secretary complies with this
    provision by selecting outlier thresholds that, “when tested
    against historical data, will likely produce aggregate outlier
    payments totaling between five and six percent of projected . . .
    DRG-related payments.” Cnty. of 
    L.A., 192 F.3d at 1013
    .
    Nevertheless, testing against historical data is only a predictive
    exercise. 
    Id. at 1009.
    Accordingly, the Secretary does not
    take corrective action once the fiscal year ends even if outlier
    payments fall outside the five-to-six per cent range. 
    Id. We have
    upheld this practice. 
    Id. at 1020.
    B. THE OUTLIER CORRECTION RULE
    The outlier payment system began to break down in the
    late 1990s. Outlier payments were supposed to be made “only
    in situations where the cost of care is extraordinarily high in
    relation to the average cost of treating comparable conditions
    or illnesses.” 68 Fed. Reg. 10,420, 10,423 (Mar. 5, 2003).
    But hospitals could manipulate the outlier regulations if their
    charges were “not sufficiently comparable in magnitude to
    their costs.” 
    Id. The Secretary
    issued a notice of proposed
    rulemaking (NPRM) to address these concerns. 
    Id. at 10,420.
    In the NPRM, the Secretary described how a hospital
    could use “the time lag between the current charges on a
    submitted bill and the cost-to-charge ratio taken from the most
    recent settled cost report.” 
    Id. at 10,423.
    A hospital knows
    that its cost-to-charge ratio is based on data submitted in past
    cost reports. 
    Id. If it
    dramatically increased charges between
    past cost reports and the patient costs for which reimbursement
    is sought, its cost-to-charge ratio would “be too high” and
    would “overestimate the hospital’s costs.” 
    Id. Some hospitals
    took advantage of this weakness in the system. The
    Secretary identified “123 hospitals whose percentage of outlier
    payments relative to total DRG payments increased by at least
    8
    5 percentage points” between fiscal years 1999 and 2001. 
    Id. The adjusted
    charges at those 123 hospitals “increased at a rate
    at or above the 95th percentile rate of charge increase for all
    hospitals . . . over the same period.” 
    Id. And during
    that
    time, the 123 hospitals had a “mean rate of increase in charges
    [of] 70 percent” alongside a decrease of “only 2 percent” in
    their cost-to-charge ratios. 
    Id. at 10,424.
    The 123 hospitals
    are referred to as turbo-chargers.
    The Secretary published the final rule three months after
    the NPRM. See 68 Fed. Reg. 34,494 (June 9, 2003) (outlier
    correction rule). As relevant here, the Secretary adopted two
    new provisions to close the gaps in the outlier payment system.
    First, a hospital’s cost-to-charge ratio was to be calculated
    using more recent cost reports. 
    Id. at 34,497–99
    (codified at
    42 C.F.R. § 412.84(i)(1)–(2)). This change reduced “the time
    lag for updating cost-to-charge ratios by a year or more” and
    ensured that those ratios accurately reflected a hospital’s costs.
    
    Id. at 34,497.
    Second, a hospital’s outlier payments were to
    be subject to reconciliation when its “cost report[] coinciding
    with the discharge is settled.” 
    Id. at 34,504
    (codified at 42
    C.F.R. § 412.84(i)(4)). Outlier payments were still disbursed
    based on the “best information available at that time.” 
    Id. at 34,501.
    They were adjusted after the fact, however, if the
    “actual cost-to-charge ratios [were] found to be plus or minus
    10 percentage points from the cost-to-charge ratio” used to
    calculate the outlier payments. 
    Id. at 34,503.
    C. THE CHALLENGED RULES
    Once the Secretary promulgated the outlier correction
    rule, she initiated rulemakings to set the outlier thresholds for
    2004, 2005 and 2006, respectively. See 68 Fed. Reg. 45,346;
    69 Fed. Reg. 48,916 (Aug. 11, 2004); 70 Fed. Reg. 47,278
    (Aug. 12, 2005). DHP challenges all three rules. Each one is
    9
    quite long and has its own context. We therefore summarize
    them individually.
    In the 2004 rule, the Secretary established the outlier
    threshold at “the prospective payment rate for the DRG . . . plus
    $31,000.” 68 Fed. Reg. at 45,477. To arrive at the $31,000
    threshold, the Secretary had to “simulate[] payments” for 2004.
    
    Id. at 45,476.
    In order to simulate 2004 payments, the
    Secretary used cost and charge data from 2002 and “inflate[d]”
    it by two years to predict charges for 2004. 
    Id. The Secretary
    inflated the 2002 data using the “2-year average
    annual rate of change in charges per case” between 2000 and
    2002. 
    Id. The average
    annual rate of change is sometimes
    referred to as the “charge inflation factor.” 
    Id. at 45,477.
    The charge data used to calculate the charge inflation factor
    came from all hospitals’ “cost-to-charge ratios.” 
    Id. at 45,476.
    The Secretary also made adjustments in the 2004
    rulemaking to account for the outlier correction rule. One
    change was to use “more recent cost-to-charge ratios” in order
    to best “approximate” the “latest tentative settled cost reports.”
    
    Id. Another change
    took account of the possibility that
    hospitals’ outlier payments were subject to the reconciliation
    process set forth in the outlier correction rule. 2 
    Id. 2 As
    discussed, supra p. 8, the reconciliation process corrects for
    hospitals that take advantage of the time lag in updating
    cost-to-charge ratios. See 68 Fed. Reg. at 34,500–01. The outlier
    correction rule reduced “the opportunity for hospitals to manipulate
    the system to maximize outlier payments.” 
    Id. at 34,501.
    But the
    Secretary recognized that the outlier correction rule did not eliminate
    “all such opportunity.” 
    Id. A hospital
    could still skew the system
    by increasing charges for current invoices because the Secretary
    used past cost-to-charge ratios that did not capture the most recent
    charge increases. See 
    id. To account
    for this asymmetry, the
    10
    Specifically, the Secretary made preliminary calculations and
    found “approximately 50 hospitals [she] believe[d] will be
    reconciled.” 
    Id. To avoid
    understating the rate of charge
    inflation for these hospitals, the Secretary “attempted to project
    each hospital’s cost-to-charge ratio” using “its rate of increase
    in charges per case based on [fiscal year] 2002 charges,
    compared to costs.” 
    Id. at 45,477.
    One commenter asked the Secretary to “factor in the
    calculation of the [outlier] threshold the fact that certain
    hospitals have distorted their charges significantly.” 
    Id. at 45,477.
    In other words, the commenter wanted the 2004
    outlier threshold to account for the turbo-chargers. The
    Secretary answered this concern by noting that the 2004
    threshold “reflect[s] the changes made to outliers from the
    [outlier correction] rule.” 
    Id. Had the
    Secretary not
    accounted for the changes, the 2004 fixed loss threshold would
    have been “approximately $50,200.” 
    Id. The difference
    between this amount and the one selected—$31,000—allowed
    hospitals “to qualify for higher outlier payments due to the
    lower threshold.” 
    Id. The Secretary
    therefore saw no harm
    to hospitals because “the [2004] threshold ha[d] fallen
    significantly from the proposed threshold.” 
    Id. Secretary created
    the reconciliation process. Outlier payments are
    still disbursed based on the most recently available “cost-to-charge
    ratios.” 
    Id. at 34,504
    . But once the cost report “coinciding with
    the discharge is settled”—which occurs after the outlier payment for
    that discharge is disbursed—the Secretary will reconcile (i.e., adjust)
    outlier payments after the fact. 
    Id. at 34,504
    . Reconciliation
    occurs if the hospital’s actual cost-to-charge ratio is “plus or minus
    10 percentage points from the cost-to-charge ratio used during that
    time period to make outlier payments.”                
    Id. at 34,503.
    Consequently, any interim gains from turbo-charging are erased
    through post-disbursement reconciliation.
    11
    In the 2005 rule, the Secretary established that the outlier
    threshold was to be “equal to the prospective payment rate for
    the DRG . . . plus $25,800.” 69 Fed. Reg. at 49,278. But she
    arrived at that threshold only after a number of commenters
    urged her to adopt a methodology different from the one set
    forth in the proposed rule. The proposed rule provided that
    the 2005 outlier threshold was to be the applicable DRG rate
    “plus $35,085.” 
    Id. at 49,276.
    Some commenters worried
    that raising the fixed loss threshold from $31,000 to $35,085
    “would make it more difficult for hospitals to qualify for
    outlier payments and put them at greater risk when treating
    high cost cases.” 
    Id. The Secretary
    considered these
    concerns and revised the methodology “in order to calculate
    the [fiscal year] 2005 outlier thresholds.” 
    Id. at 49,277.
    Her
    revision accounted for the changes in the outlier correction rule
    and the “exceptionally high rate of hospital charge inflation
    [i.e., turbo-charging] that is reflected in the data” for 2001,
    2002 and 2003. 
    Id. The Secretary
    was unable to anticipate
    these changes in 2004 because she had “insufficient data” due
    to the “limited time from the publication of [the outlier
    correction rule] to the publication” of the 2004 outlier
    threshold. 
    Id. As she
    did one year earlier, the Secretary had to
    “simulate[] payments” for 2005 using past data based on
    “hospital cost-to-charge ratios.” 
    Id. But “[i]nstead
    of using
    the 2-year average annual rate of change in charges per case”
    between 2001 and 2003, the Secretary took the “unprecedented
    step” of using data from the most recent fiscal year. 
    Id. This innovation
    required her to calculate “the 1-year average annual
    rate of change in charges per case from the first half of [fiscal
    year] 2003 to the first half of [fiscal year] 2004.” 
    Id. She believed
    that these changes would lead to a “more accurate
    determination of the rate of change in charges per case”
    between 2003 and 2005. 
    Id. The Secretary
    also decided
    12
    there was no need to account for the effect of reconciliation;
    given the outlier correction rule, she declared, “the majority of
    hospitals’ cost-to-charge ratios will not fluctuate significantly
    enough . . . to meet the criteria to trigger reconciliation of their
    outlier payments.” 
    Id. at 49,278.
    For 2006, the Secretary established that the outlier
    threshold was to be “equal to the prospective payment rate for
    the DRG . . . plus $23,600.” 70 Fed. Reg. at 47,494. As with
    the earlier rules, the Secretary had to “simulate payments” for
    2006 using past data. 
    Id. But she
    worried that data from
    2002 and 2003 was skewed by “the atypically high rate of
    hospital charge inflation” during that time. 
    Id. To ensure
    the
    data was not tainted by charge inflation, she opted to calculate
    the “charge inflation factor based on the first six months of
    [fiscal year] 2005 relative to [the] same period for [fiscal year]
    2004.” 
    Id. The data
    for 2004 and 2005 was “taken from the
    most recent tentatively settled cost reports of hospitals.” 
    Id. Her choice
    was significant because the outlier correction rule
    was in effect for the entire period, meaning that the past data
    “fully incorporate[d] implementation of the new outlier
    policy.” 
    Id. D. PROCEDURAL
    HISTORY
    DHP asserts that, had the Secretary “established more
    accurate outlier thresholds for federal fiscal years 2004, 2005
    and 2006, [it] would have received substantially more in outlier
    payments.” Compl. ¶ 20. After pursuing administrative
    remedies for some claims, see 42 U.S.C. § 1395oo(a), it filed
    suit in federal district court. The Secretary moved to dismiss
    the complaint on the grounds of failure to exhaust
    administrative remedies and failure to state a claim for relief.
    See Dist. Hosp. Partners, LP v. Sebelius, 
    794 F. Supp. 2d 162
    ,
    164 (D.D.C. 2011).          The district court dismissed the
    13
    unexhausted claims but concluded that the APA challenges to
    the outlier thresholds should be resolved on summary
    judgment. 
    Id. at 173.
    The parties subsequently proceeded to discovery but could
    not agree on the contents of the administrative record. DHP
    eventually filed a motion to compel the Secretary to
    supplement the record. See Dist. Hosp. Partners, LP v.
    Sebelius, 
    971 F. Supp. 2d 15
    , 18–19 (D.D.C. 2013). The
    district court supplemented the 2004 rulemaking record with
    two documents: (1) a public comment on the 2004 outlier
    threshold; and (2) a version of the outlier correction rule the
    Secretary had sent to the Office of Management and Budget
    (OMB) for review but eventually abandoned. 
    Id. at 28,
    31.
    See generally Exec. Order No. 12,866 § 6(a)(3)(B)(i), 58 Fed.
    Reg. 51,735 (Sept. 30, 1993) (requiring agencies taking
    “significant regulatory action” to send OMB “[t]he text of the
    draft regulatory action” before publication in the Federal
    Register).       After discovery concluded, the parties
    cross-moved for summary judgment.            See Dist. Hosp.
    Partners, LP v. Sebelius, 
    973 F. Supp. 2d 1
    , 5 (D.D.C. 2014).
    The district court granted summary judgment to the Secretary
    because she “made reasonable methodological choices in
    determining the fixed loss thresholds” for 2004, 2005 and
    2006. 
    Id. DHP timely
    appealed.
    II. ANALYSIS
    We review a grant of summary judgment de novo.
    Deppenbrook v. PBGC, 
    778 F.3d 166
    , 171 (D.C. Cir. 2015).
    Summary judgment may be granted “if the movant shows that
    there is no genuine dispute as to any material fact and the
    movant is entitled to judgment as a matter of law.” FED. R.
    CIV. P. 56(a). “Our inquiry is more nuanced, however, if the
    dispute involves the review of agency action.” Deppenbrook,
    
    14 778 F.3d at 171
    . If so, “we review the administrative record”
    directly and “accord no particular deference to the judgment of
    the District Court.” 
    Id. (quotation mark
    omitted). We will
    affirm summary judgment for the agency unless it “violated the
    Administrative Procedure Act by taking action that is
    ‘arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not
    in accordance with law.’ ” 
    Id. (quoting 5
    U.S.C. § 706(2)).
    We review the district court’s “refusal to supplement the
    administrative record for abuse of discretion.” Am. Wildlands
    v. Kempthorne, 
    530 F.3d 991
    , 1002 (D.C. Cir. 2008).
    DHP makes three arguments on appeal. First, it claims
    that the district court should have ordered the Secretary to
    supplement the administrative record with additional
    documents. Second, it contends that the Secretary violated
    the APA by failing to use the best available data. And third, it
    argues that the outlier thresholds for 2004, 2005 and 2006 were
    set too high and are therefore arbitrary and capricious. We
    address each argument in turn.
    A. SUPPLEMENTING THE ADMINISTRATIVE RECORD
    DHP claims that the district court abused its discretion by
    not including additional materials in all three rulemaking
    records. We disagree. 3
    In evaluating agency action under the APA, our review
    must “be based on the full administrative record that was
    before the Secretary” when she made her decision.
    
    Kempthorne, 530 F.3d at 1002
    . To ensure that we review only
    3
    The Secretary also asks us to reverse the district court’s decision
    to supplement the 2004 rulemaking record with the OMB draft
    outlier correction rule. We decline to do so because the district
    court did not abuse its discretion in partially supplementing the 2004
    rulemaking record.
    15
    those documents that were before the agency, we “do not allow
    parties to supplement the record unless they can demonstrate
    unusual circumstances justifying a departure from this general
    rule.” 
    Id. (quotation mark
    omitted). We have identified
    three “unusual circumstances”:
    (1) the agency deliberately or negligently excluded
    documents that may have been adverse to its decision;
    (2) the district court needed to supplement the record
    with background information in order to determine
    whether the agency considered all of the relevant
    factors; or (3) the agency failed to explain
    administrative action so as to frustrate judicial review.
    
    Id. (quotation mark
    s, citations and alteration omitted); see also
    City of Dania Beach v. FAA, 
    628 F.3d 581
    , 590 (D.C. Cir.
    2010) (denying motion to supplement administrative record
    because “[n]one of these [three] conditions is met”).
    DHP complains that the district court should have
    supplemented the administrative record with source data used
    to approximate cost-to-charge ratios for 2004. But it does not
    explain—or even try to explain—how its request falls into one
    of the three unusual circumstances elucidated in Kempthorne.
    The Secretary did not frustrate judicial review by saying too
    little; the 2004 rulemaking explained at length how she
    calculated cost-to-charge ratios in light of the outlier correction
    rule. See 68 Fed. Reg. at 45,476 (explaining “three steps”
    used to calculate “updated cost-to-charge ratios”). Nor does
    the source data constitute critical background information.
    See James Madison Ltd. ex rel. Hecht v. Ludwig, 
    82 F.3d 1085
    ,
    1095–96 (D.C. Cir. 1996) (unnecessary to supplement
    administrative record with underlying source documents
    because record contained “detailed memoranda describing the
    [agency’s] findings and recommendations”). DHP has also
    16
    failed to establish that this source data was deliberately or
    negligently excluded by the Secretary.          Meeting this
    exception requires a “strong showing of [agency] bad faith”
    and the “conclusory statements” in DHP’s brief “fall far short”
    of that high threshold. 
    Id. at 1095
    (quotation mark omitted).
    DHP next argues that the district court should have
    supplemented the administrative record with the “trimmed”
    version of hospital charge data. Appellants’ Br. 55. It says
    that the trimmed data is different from the “complete data sets”
    the Secretary provided to the public, which allegedly left it in
    the dark as to how the Secretary in fact calculated
    cost-to-charge ratios. 
    Id. DHP is
    wrong: “[T]he process of
    ‘trimming’ involved neither the modification of the [data] files
    currently in the administrative record, nor the creation of new
    [data] files not in the record.” Dist. Hosp. Partners, 971 F.
    Supp. 2d at 25. Moreover, the trimmed files are similar to
    source data and therefore are neither background information
    nor material that is needed because the agency failed to explain
    itself. See James 
    Madison, 82 F.3d at 1095
    –96. Again, DHP
    makes no showing that the exclusion of the trimmed files was
    done in bad faith.
    DHP’s final claim is that the administrative record should
    have been supplemented with the congressional testimony of a
    former HHS official. 4 This material also fails to fall within
    one of Kempthorne’s three exceptions. We are not reviewing
    4
    Although DHP also asserts that the district court should have
    supplemented the 2005 and 2006 rulemaking records with the OMB
    draft, its argument on this point consists of only one sentence in its
    opening brief and is therefore forfeited. See Bryant v. Gates, 
    532 F.3d 888
    , 898 (D.C. Cir. 2008) (appellant forfeited argument
    supported by “only [a] single, conclusory statement” in opening
    brief).
    17
    agency rules that say so little they “frustrate judicial review”
    and the congressional testimony is not “background
    information” that illustrates the Secretary’s decision-making.
    
    Kempthorne, 530 F.3d at 1002
    . Nor was this document
    excluded in bad faith because it was not withheld: As the
    Secretary points out, the testimony is a “matter of public
    record.” Appellee’s Br. 55.
    Accordingly, the district court did not abuse its discretion
    in limiting supplementation to the 2004 rulemaking record
    with only the draft rule sent to OMB and a 2004 public
    comment.
    B. USING THE BEST AVAILABLE DATA
    DHP asserts that the Secretary was obligated to use the
    best available data in formulating the outlier thresholds for
    2004, 2005 and 2006. While some statutes require an agency
    to use the best available data when taking certain action, 5 DHP
    has not identified a similar statute constraining the Secretary’s
    discretion in setting outlier thresholds. DHP also claims that
    the Secretary herself required the agency to always use the best
    available data. See 65 Fed. Reg. 47,026, 47,038 (Aug. 1,
    2000). But she simply noted that she “use[s] the best
    available cost reporting data” for a specific calculation, 
    id., but did
    not impose as a freestanding regulatory obligation the use
    of the best available data in every rulemaking.
    5
    See, e.g., 16 U.S.C. § 1533(b)(1)(A) (Interior Secretary must use
    “the best scientific and commercial data available to him” in
    determining “whether any species is an endangered species or a
    threatened species”); 42 U.S.C. § 13256(b) (Energy Secretary must
    prepare “technical and policy analysis” on alternative fuels “based
    on the best available data and information obtainable by the
    Secretary”).
    18
    DHP attempts to resuscitate its claim by arguing that, in
    Gas Appliance Manufacturers Ass’n, Inc. v. DOE (GAMA),
    
    998 F.2d 1041
    (D.C. Cir. 1993), we imposed a generic
    obligation on agencies to always use the best available data.
    DHP is in error. Nowhere in GAMA did we require agencies
    to collect and use only the best available data. Instead, we
    reversed the Energy Department’s decision because it was not
    adequately explained. 
    Id. at 1046–48,
    1049–51. We also
    rejected a specific calculation Energy had made because it did
    not explain why it used two different data sets for the same
    inquiry.     
    Id. at 1048.
           But far from imposing a
    best-available-data obligation on all agencies, GAMA was
    simply a routine APA case in which we found the challenged
    agency action arbitrary and capricious. See NRDC v. Daley,
    
    209 F.3d 747
    , 752 (D.C. Cir. 2000).
    To be clear, agencies do not have free rein to use
    inaccurate data. An agency is required to “examine the
    relevant data and articulate a satisfactory explanation for its
    action including a rational connection between the facts found
    and the choice made.” Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n v. State
    Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983) (emphasis
    added; quotation mark omitted). If an agency fails to examine
    the relevant data—which examination could reveal, inter alia,
    that the figures being used are erroneous—it has failed to
    comply with the APA. Moreover, an agency cannot “fail[] to
    consider an important aspect of the problem” or “offer[] an
    explanation for its decision that runs counter to the evidence”
    before it. 
    Id. These requirements
    underscore that an agency
    cannot ignore new and better data. See Catawba Cnty., NC v.
    EPA, 
    571 F.3d 20
    , 46 (D.C. Cir. 2009) (agencies “have an
    obligation to deal with newly acquired evidence in some
    reasonable fashion”); see also New Orleans v. SEC, 
    969 F.2d 1163
    , 1167 (D.C. Cir. 1992) (“an agency’s reliance on a report
    or study without ascertaining the accuracy of the data
    19
    contained in the study or the methodology used to collect the
    data is arbitrary” (quotation mark omitted)).
    Whether an agency has arbitrarily used deficient data
    depends on the specific facts of a particular case, as “the
    parameters of the arbitrary and capricious standard of review
    will vary with the context of the case.” WWHT, Inc. v. FCC,
    
    656 F.2d 807
    , 817 (D.C. Cir. 1981) (quotation marks omitted);
    see also Maggard v. O’Connell, 
    671 F.2d 568
    , 571 (D.C. Cir.
    1982) (“the concept of arbitrary and capricious review defies
    generalized application and must be contextually tailored”
    (quotation marks omitted)). It is to that inquiry we now turn.
    C. SETTING THE OUTLIER THRESHOLDS
    DHP contends that the Secretary acted arbitrarily and
    capriciously by setting the outlier thresholds too high in 2004,
    2005 and 2006. Because the Secretary dealt with different
    considerations in each rulemaking, we discuss them separately.
    1. The 2004 Rule
    The Secretary established that the 2004 outlier threshold
    was the applicable DRG rate “plus $31,000.” 68 Fed. Reg. at
    45,477. As discussed above, the Secretary selected this
    number by first simulating 2004 outlier payments using data
    from 2002. 
    Id. at 45,476.
    She inflated the 2002 data using
    “the 2-year average annual rate of change in charges per case”
    between 2000 and 2002, which calculation was made from all
    hospitals’ “cost-to-charge ratios.” 
    Id. And she
    accounted for
    the effects of reconciliation by identifying “approximately 50
    [turbo-charging] hospitals” that were likely to be reconciled.
    
    Id. For each
    of the 50 hospitals, the Secretary sought to
    20
    project its “cost-to-charge ratio based on its rate of increase in
    charges per case” in 2002. 6 
    Id. at 45,477.
    DHP argues that the Secretary, in calculating the charge
    inflation factor, should have excluded the data from the 123
    turbo-charging hospitals identified in the NPRM. The
    Secretary excluded them in the OMB draft rule and DHP faults
    the Secretary for not explaining why she changed course in the
    2004 rulemaking and opted to include turbo-chargers’ data.
    But, as already noted, HHS abandoned the OMB draft rule and
    never published it in the Federal Register. Relying on the
    OMB draft rule to impugn the 2004 rulemaking, then, presents
    a problem. The Supreme Court recently iterated that “federal
    courts ordinarily are empowered to review only an agency’s
    final action.” Nat’l Ass’n of Home Builders v. Defenders of
    Wildlife, 
    551 U.S. 644
    , 659 (2007). Deviations from a
    6
    At oral argument, counsel for DHP intimated that the charge
    inflation factor and cost-to-charge ratios come from two different
    datasets. Oral Arg. Tr. at 11–12, 14–15, 38. Because this data is
    separate, DHP asserted, the Secretary could make adjustments to one
    group but not the other. We do not believe the intimation is
    supported by the record. In each rulemaking, the Secretary
    specified that she derived the charge inflation factor from the
    cost-to-charge ratios for individual hospitals. See 70 Fed. Reg. at
    47,494 (Secretary calculated “a charge inflation factor of 14.94
    percent . . . us[ing] updated cost-to-charge ratios from the March
    2005 update” of hospital files); 69 Fed. Reg. at 49,277 (“[t]he 1-year
    average annual rate of change in charges per case . . . was 8.9772
    percent, or 18.76 percent over 2 years. As discussed above, as we
    have done in the past, we used hospital cost-to-charge ratios” from
    hospital files (emphasis added)); 68 Fed. Reg. at 45,476 (charge
    inflation factor is derived from “the 2-year average annual rate of
    change in charges per case” and is based on “cost-to-charge ratios”
    from hospital files). Accordingly, any adjustment to cost-to-charge
    ratios is reflected in the charge inflation factor.
    21
    “preliminary determination” that was subsequently “overruled
    at a higher level . . . does not render the decisionmaking
    process arbitrary and capricious.” 
    Id. It is
    true, of course,
    that an agency cannot “depart from a prior policy sub silentio
    or simply disregard rules that are still on the books.” FCC v.
    Fox Television Stations, Inc., 
    556 U.S. 502
    , 515 (2009). But
    this principle is inapplicable here—the OMB draft was never
    “on the books” in the first place. 
    Id. We held
    as much in Kennecott Utah Copper Corp. v. DOI,
    
    88 F.3d 1191
    (D.C. Cir. 1996). That case involved, among
    other things, draft regulations that were sent by a Department
    of Interior (Interior) official to the Office of the Federal
    Register (OFR) for publication. 
    Id. at 1200.
    Before they
    were published, however, Interior switched course and
    withdrew the draft from publication. 
    Id. at 1200–01.
    Interior
    then proposed and eventually published a new set of
    regulations. 
    Id. at 1201.
    Certain Kennecott petitioners
    challenged the published regulations because they supposedly
    “repealed and modified” the never-published draft regulations
    without a new round of notice and comment. 
    Id. at 1207.
    We disagreed and held that the published regulations did not
    “repeal or modify” anything because the draft “never became a
    binding rule requiring repeal or modification.” 
    Id. at 1208.
    The APA requires notice and comment only when
    “formulating, amending, or repealing a rule,” 5 U.S.C.
    § 551(5), and the “agency was in no sense ‘formulating’ a rule”
    by “discarding” the earlier draft, 
    Kennecott, 88 F.3d at 1209
    .
    Nevertheless—and without regard to the OMB draft—we
    believe that the Secretary’s promulgation of the 2004 outlier
    threshold violated the APA. In the NPRM—a formal agency
    document that was published in the Federal Register—the
    Secretary identified 123 turbo-charging hospitals. 68 Fed.
    Reg. at 10,423–24. The 123 hospitals reported adjusted
    22
    charges that “increased at a rate at or above the 95th percentile
    rate of charge increase for all hospitals” between 1999 and
    2001. 
    Id. at 10,423.
    The Secretary also noted that the 123
    hospitals were the principal beneficiaries of the outlier
    payment system: Their “mean rate of increase in charges was
    70 percent” for that two-year period while their cost-to-charge
    ratios “declined by only 2 percent.” 
    Id. at 10,424.
    The 123 hospitals are nowhere to be found in the 2004
    rulemaking. Granted, the Secretary identified 50 hospitals
    “that have been consistently overpaid recently for outliers.”
    68 Fed. Reg. at 45,476. But she did not explain how the 50
    hospitals differed from the 123 she identified in the NPRM.
    This unexplained inconsistency is significant because factoring
    in the outlier correction rule “resulted in a substantial
    reduction in the outlier threshold from the proposed level.”
    
    Id. at 45,477
    (emphasis added). The changes, in fact, caused
    the actual 2004 fixed loss threshold to fall from $50,200 in the
    proposed rule to $31,000 in the final rule. 
    Id. Had the
    Secretary accounted for more turbo-charging hospitals in the
    2004 rule, perhaps the 2004 outlier threshold would have been
    even lower. Or perhaps not. Either way, we have no way to
    know for sure because there was scarcely a word about the 123
    turbo-chargers in the 2004 rule. 7
    7
    Although the NPRM was not technically part of the 2004
    rulemaking record, it was sufficiently similar to, and
    contemporaneous with, the 2004 rulemaking as to require the
    Secretary to explain inconsistencies in the data. See Portland
    Cement Ass’n v. EPA, 
    665 F.3d 177
    , 187 (D.C. Cir. 2011) (agency
    must account for and explain changes that affect “a
    contemporaneous and closely related rulemaking”); Ala. Power Co.
    v. FCC, 
    773 F.2d 362
    , 371 (D.C. Cir. 1985) (noting that agency
    adopted “inconsistent” principles in different but related orders and
    23
    Our conclusion follows naturally from the Supreme
    Court’s holding in State Farm. There, the Court stated that an
    agency “must examine the relevant data and articulate a
    satisfactory explanation for its action including a rational
    connection between the facts found and the choice 
    made.” 463 U.S. at 43
    (emphases added; quotation mark omitted).
    The Secretary failed to do so here. She identified only 50
    turbo-charging hospitals despite that figure being “counter to
    the evidence” before her, 
    id., namely the
    123 hospitals in the
    NPRM. The inconsistency went unresolved in the 2004
    rulemaking because the Secretary never discussed it. We
    have often declined to affirm an agency decision if there are
    unexplained inconsistencies in the final rule. See, e.g., Engine
    Mfrs. Ass’n v. EPA, 
    20 F.3d 1177
    , 1182 (D.C. Cir. 1994)
    (noting that “unexplained inconsistency” in final rule was “not
    reasonable”); Gulf Power Co. v. FERC, 
    983 F.2d 1095
    , 1101
    (D.C. Cir. 1993) (“[W]hen an agency takes inconsistent
    positions . . . it must explain its reasoning.”); General Chem.
    Corp. v. United States, 
    817 F.2d 844
    , 846 (D.C. Cir. 1987)
    (agency action was arbitrary and capricious because its
    analysis was “internally inconsistent and inadequately
    explained”). Nor do we uphold agency action if it fails to
    consider “significant and viable and obvious alternatives.”
    Nat’l Shooting Sports Found., Inc. v. Jones, 
    716 F.3d 200
    , 215
    (D.C. Cir. 2013) (quotation marks omitted). The analysis of
    the 123 turbo-charging hospitals identified in the NPRM was a
    significant and obvious alternative to the 50 hospitals the
    Secretary ultimately considered in the 2004 final rule.
    The Secretary maintains that she had no obligation to
    explain the inconsistency given our holding in Bell Atlantic
    Telephone Cos. v. FCC, 
    79 F.3d 1195
    (D.C. Cir. 1996). But
    remanding to agency for further explanation “[i]n light of this
    unexplained inconsistency”).
    24
    our holding there is off point. In Bell Atlantic, the FCC was
    required by regulations to set a price cap for telephone carriers
    that included an offset based on “productivity growth” in the
    telecommunications industry. 
    Id. at 1198.
    In a 1990 order,
    the Commission included data from a controversial study and
    arrived at a productivity offset that was relatively low. See 
    id. at 1200.
    Then, in 1995, the Commission reversed course and
    excluded the data from that same study, which led to a higher
    productivity offset. 
    Id. at 1200–01.
    We held that it was
    reasonable for “[o]ne Commission . . . to include a suspicious
    data point because it was relevant, [and] a later Commission
    . . . to exclude a relevant data point because it was suspicious.”
    
    Id. at 1203
    (first alteration in original). Neither decision
    should “be viewed as more rational” than the other. 
    Id. The same
    circumstances do not exist here. In Bell
    Atlantic, the later Commission acknowledged the inclusion of
    suspect data in the past and explained why it decided to
    exclude that information in calculating the 1995 price cap. 
    Id. at 1200–03.
    In the 2004 rulemaking, however, the Secretary
    never even acknowledged the possibility of excluding the 123
    turbo-charging hospitals from the dataset. Her muteness
    makes Bell Atlantic inapposite. Indeed, as we explained in
    that case: “Everyone agrees that an agency’s change of mind
    does not itself render the agency’s action arbitrary. What
    matters is the Commission’s explanation for its decision.” 
    Id. at 1202
    (emphasis added; citations omitted).
    The Secretary also claims that our deferential standard of
    review tilts in favor of upholding the 2004 outlier threshold.
    We have stated that “in framing the scope of review, the court
    takes special note of the tremendous complexity of the
    Medicare statute. That complexity adds to the deference
    which is due to the Secretary’s decision.” Methodist Hosp. of
    Sacramento v. Shalala, 
    38 F.3d 1225
    , 1229 (D.C. Cir. 1994).
    25
    We do not retreat from that statement. The Secretary’s task of
    collecting and analyzing hospital charge data remains
    challenging. And when agency decisions “involve complex
    judgments about sampling methodology and data analysis that
    are within the agency’s technical expertise,” they receive “an
    extreme degree of deference.” Alaska Airlines, Inc. v. TSA,
    
    588 F.3d 1116
    , 1120 (D.C. Cir. 2009). But our deference “is
    not unlimited” and we will remand to the agency if it fails to
    apply its “expertise in a reasoned manner.” Cape Cod 
    Hosp., 630 F.3d at 206
    .
    Having decided that the Secretary’s explanation is
    insufficient, the question becomes one of remedy. “If the
    record before the agency does not support the agency action
    . . . the proper course, except in rare circumstances, is to
    remand to the agency for additional investigation or
    explanation.” Fla. Power & Light Co. v. Lorion, 
    470 U.S. 729
    , 744 (1985). We have likewise held that “bedrock
    principles of administrative law preclude us from declaring
    definitively that [the Secretary’s] decision was arbitrary and
    capricious without first affording her an opportunity to
    articulate, if possible, a better explanation.” Cnty. of 
    L.A., 192 F.3d at 1023
    ; see also New York v. Reilly, 
    969 F.2d 1147
    , 1153
    (D.C. Cir. 1992) (remanding “for more reasoned
    decisionmaking” because agency failed to “adequately
    explain” its final rule). We follow that well-worn path here
    and remand to the Secretary for additional explanation. On
    remand, the Secretary should explain why she corrected for
    only 50 turbo-charging hospitals in the 2004 rulemaking rather
    than for the 123 she had identified in the NPRM. She should
    also explain what additional measures (if any) were taken to
    account for the distorting effect that turbo-charging hospitals
    had on the dataset for the 2004 rulemaking. And if she
    decides that it is appropriate to recalculate the 2004 outlier
    threshold, she should also decide what effect (if any) the
    26
    recalculation has on the 2005 and 2006 outlier and fixed loss
    thresholds.
    2. The 2005 Rule
    The Secretary set the 2005 outlier threshold as the
    applicable DRG rate “plus $25,800.” 69 Fed. Reg. at 49,278.
    In arriving at this number, she considered the suggestions of
    numerous commenters and ultimately adopted a methodology
    in the final rule that was different from that in the proposed
    rule. 
    Id. at 49,277.
    The Secretary said that she had to use
    more recent data to address both the outlier correction rule and
    the “exceptionally high rate of hospital charge inflation that is
    reflected in the data for [fiscal years] 2001, 2002, and 2003.”
    
    Id. Although the
    data in the revised methodology was more
    recent, it still had to be inflated to accurately predict charges
    for 2005. 
    Id. Instead of
    using the “2-year average annual
    rate of change in charges per case,” the Secretary took “the
    unprecedented step of using the first half-year of data from
    [fiscal year] 2003 and comparing this data to the first half year
    of data for [fiscal year] 2004.” 
    Id. The Secretary
    ’s methodology in the 2005 rulemaking
    obviated any need to eliminate the turbo-charging hospitals
    from her dataset. She opted to use the most recent
    cost-to-charge ratios in calculating the 2005 charge inflation
    factor, half of which were from the “first half year of data for
    [fiscal year] 2004.” 
    Id. This data
    came after the effective
    date of the outlier correction rule; it was not infected by
    turbo-charging because the outlier correction rule had by then
    corrected the flaw in the outlier payment system that created
    the opportunity—and incentive—to turbo-charge. See 
    id. at 49,278;
    see also supra pp. 7–8. The ratios were therefore
    based on “either the most recent settled cost report or the most
    recent tentative settled cost report, whichever is from the latest
    27
    cost reporting period.” 42 C.F.R. § 412.84(i)(2). This data
    was “more recent” than previous data used by the Secretary.
    69 Fed. Reg. at 49,278. Her revised methodology, she
    believed, would “account for the[] changes” resulting from the
    outlier correction rule. 
    Id. at 49,277.
    It is true that the data from the “first half-year” of 2003
    was affected by turbo-charging. 
    Id. But it
    makes little sense
    to remove turbo-charging hospitals from this half of the dataset
    without making similar adjustments to the other half of the
    dataset (i.e., the first half-year of data from fiscal year 2004).
    As discussed, there was no need to modify the 2004 data
    because that information was collected while the outlier
    correction rule was in effect. With no need to change the 2004
    data, the Secretary reasonably left both halves unaltered. See
    
    id. (stating that
    it is “optimal to employ comparable periods in
    determining the rate of change from one year to the next”).
    Indeed, if the Secretary had removed turbo-chargers from the
    2003 dataset, she would have had to project how that decision
    affected the 2004 dataset. If that projection indicated
    significant effects, she would have had to undertake further
    statistical adjustments and perhaps remove hospitals from the
    2004 dataset. The Secretary sensibly opted for a simpler
    approach that did not entail piling projections atop projections.
    See 
    id. (noting her
    preference “to employ actual data rather
    than projections in estimating the outlier threshold because we
    employ actual data in updating charges[] themselves”); see
    also Ashland Exploration, Inc. v. FERC, 
    631 F.2d 817
    , 822
    (D.C. Cir. 1980) (agencies “may rationally turn to simplicity
    . . . and administrative convenience”).
    Moreover, even if this dataset was less than perfect,
    imperfection alone does not amount to arbitrary
    decision-making. See, e.g., White Stallion Energy Ctr., LLC
    v. EPA, 
    748 F.3d 1222
    , 1248 (D.C. Cir. 2014) (agency’s
    28
    “data-collection process was reasonable, even if it may not
    have resulted in a perfect dataset”); In re Polar Bear ESA
    Listing, 
    709 F.3d 1
    , 13 (D.C. Cir. 2013) (“That a model is
    limited or imperfect is not, in itself, a reason to remand agency
    decisions based upon it.”); Allied Local and Reg’l Mfrs.
    Caucus v. EPA, 
    215 F.3d 61
    , 71 (D.C. Cir. 2000) (“[w]e
    generally defer to an agency’s decision to proceed on the basis
    of imperfect scientific information”); North Carolina v. FERC,
    
    112 F.3d 1175
    , 1190 (D.C. Cir. 1997) (“The mere fact that the
    Commission relied on necessarily imperfect information . . .
    does not render [its decision] arbitrary.”); Chemical Mfrs.
    Ass’n v. EPA, 
    28 F.3d 1259
    , 1265 (D.C. Cir. 1994) (agency
    may nonetheless use model “even when faced with data
    indicating that it is not a perfect fit”). This precedent further
    supports the Secretary’s conclusion that removing
    turbo-charging hospitals from both datasets in the 2005
    rulemaking was not a “significant and viable and obvious
    alternative[].” Nat’l Shooting Sports 
    Found., 716 F.3d at 215
    (quotation marks omitted).
    DHP claims that our holding in County of Los Angeles
    supports its argument. We disagree. In pertinent part, we
    held there that the Secretary’s 1985 and 1986 outlier thresholds
    were arbitrary and 
    capricious. 192 F.3d at 1021
    –23. To set
    the thresholds, the Secretary used data that was collected when
    hospitals were still reimbursed based on the reasonable cost of
    their services rather than the average cost of treatment. 
    Id. at 1020.
    She did so even though she had a wealth of readily
    available       data      collected     under       the     new
    average-cost-of-treatment regime. 
    Id. at 1021.
    The more
    recent data, unlike the older numbers, also accounted for a
    downward “trend” in outlier payments that was caused by the
    new reimbursement scheme. 
    Id. The Secretary
    nevertheless
    concluded that “there [was] no evidence to suggest that total
    outlier payments” decreased under the new system. 
    Id. We 29
    held that her failure to account for the contrary evidence in the
    record—as well as her refusal to use more recent data—were
    arbitrary and capricious actions. 
    Id. at 1023.
    Here, by contrast, the Secretary did not reject a more
    recent dataset; she stated time and again that the revised
    methodology “use[d] the most recent charge data available.”
    69 Fed. Reg. at 49,277. She also stated that the revised
    methodology for calculating the 2005 outlier threshold
    “address[ed] both the changes to the outlier payment
    methodology and the exceptionally high rate of hospital charge
    inflation” between 2001 and 2003. 
    Id. Thus, unlike
    in
    County of Los Angeles, the Secretary here used the most recent
    data that accounted for the outlier correction rule’s effects.
    Accordingly, we reject DHP’s APA challenge to the 2005
    outlier threshold.
    3. The 2006 Rule
    We need not linger with this rulemaking because the 2006
    outlier threshold was plainly reasonable. The Secretary set it
    at the applicable DRG rate “plus $23,600.” 70 Fed. Reg. at
    47,494. She settled on $23,600 by simulating 2006 payments
    using a charge inflation factor. 
    Id. The data
    used to compute
    this factor was taken—as in the earlier rules—from “updated
    cost-to-charge ratios” included in “the most recent tentatively
    settled cost reports of hospitals.” 
    Id. With this
    data in hand,
    the Secretary compared charges from the “first six months of
    [fiscal year] 2005 relative to [the] same period for [fiscal year]
    2004.” 
    Id. Importantly, the
    Secretary noted that the entire
    period (i.e., both six-month sets) occurred while the outlier
    correction rule was in effect. 
    Id. Because all
    of the charge data for the 2006 rule was
    collected with the outlier correction rule in effect, the specter
    of turbo-charging was nil. Indeed, the Secretary noted in the
    30
    2006 rulemaking that the outlier correction rule worked as
    predicted: “The actual rate of charge inflation subsided
    significantly in [fiscal year] 2004 after we made significant
    changes to our outlier policy.” 
    Id. In other
    words, “hospitals
    changed their charging practices as a result” of the outlier
    correction rule. 
    Id. The Secretary
    reasonably weighed the
    evidence and concluded that there was no need to account for
    turbo-chargers because turbo-charging was no longer
    occurring. See El Conejo Americano of Texas, Inc. v. DOT,
    
    278 F.3d 17
    , 20 (D.C. Cir. 2002) (courts do not “reweigh the
    evidence” if agency’s “conclusion was reasonable”). And, to
    state the obvious, excluding data from those hospitals was
    neither a significant nor an obvious alternative the Secretary
    had to consider. See Nat’l Shooting Sports 
    Found., 716 F.3d at 215
    –16.
    We are perplexed by DHP’s objection to the 2006 outlier
    threshold. DHP cites favorably a comment submitted during
    the 2006 rulemaking that advocated a fixed loss threshold of
    $24,050, using the methodology the Secretary in fact
    employed. Moreover, at oral argument, DHP’s counsel
    suggested that the fixed loss threshold for 2006 should have
    been in the “low twenties.” Oral Arg. Tr. at 35–36. That is
    exactly where it ended up: $23,600. 70 Fed. Reg. at 47,494.
    Accordingly, we conclude that the Secretary’s calculation of
    the 2006 fixed loss threshold was neither arbitrary nor
    capricious.
    For the foregoing reasons, we affirm the district court’s
    partial supplementation of the 2004 rulemaking record and its
    rejection of the APA challenges to the 2005 and 2006 outlier
    thresholds. We reverse its ruling upholding the 2004 outlier
    threshold because that threshold is inadequately explained and
    remand to the district court with instructions to remand the
    31
    2004 rule to the Secretary for further proceedings consistent
    with this opinion.
    So ordered.
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 14-5061

Judges: Henderson, Rogers, Brown

Filed Date: 5/19/2015

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 11/5/2024

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