LSP Transmission Holdings II, LLC v. FERC ( 2022 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued February 7, 2022             Decided August 19, 2022
    No. 20-1465
    LSP TRANSMISSION HOLDINGS II, LLC, ET AL.,
    PETITIONERS
    v.
    FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY COMMISSION,
    RESPONDENT
    COALITION OF MISO TRANSMISSION CUSTOMERS, ET AL.,
    INTERVENORS
    Consolidated with 20-1466, 21-1004, 21-1005
    On Petitions for Review of Orders of the
    Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
    Robert C. Fallon argued the cause for petitioners. With
    him on the briefs were Michael Ray Engleman and Christina
    Switzer.
    Kenneth R. Stark and Robert A. Weishaar, Jr. were on the
    brief for intervenors in support of petitioners.
    2
    Susanna Y. Chu, Attorney, Federal Energy Regulatory
    Commission, argued the cause for respondent. With her on the
    brief were Matthew R. Christiansen, General Counsel, Robert
    H. Solomon, Solicitor, and Matthew J. Glover, Attorney.
    Kari Valley argued the cause for non-governmental
    intervenors in support of respondent. With her on the joint
    brief were Ilia Levitine, Wendy N. Reed, Matthew J. Binette,
    and David S. Berman.
    William D. Booth, Roxane E. Maywalt, Paul L.
    Zimmering, and Noel J. Darce were on the brief for
    governmental intervenors in support of respondent.
    Before: ROGERS, MILLETT and PILLARD, Circuit Judges.
    Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge PILLARD.
    Opinion dissenting in part and concurring in part filed by
    Circuit Judge ROGERS.
    PILLARD, Circuit Judge: LSP Transmission Holdings II,
    LLC, Cardinal Point Electric, LLC, and LS Power
    Midcontinent, LLC are transmission development companies.
    They petition for review of a set of Federal Energy Regulatory
    Commission (FERC) orders that approve modifications to the
    criteria used by the Midcontinent Independent System
    Operator, Inc. (MISO), a regional transmission grid operator,
    to determine whether opportunities to develop proposed
    transmission upgrades to the interstate power grid are open to
    competitive bids from companies like petitioners. Petitioners
    challenge two aspects of the orders: (1) FERC’s decision to
    accept MISO’s proposal to use 230 kilovolts (kV) as the
    minimum voltage threshold for a project to qualify as a Market
    Efficiency Project (a category of projects subject to
    3
    competitive bidding) rather than requiring a lower 100 kV
    threshold; and (2) FERC’s approval of an exception from
    competitive bidding for certain reliability projects needed soon.
    FERC defends its orders on their merits, but it first contests the
    petitioners’ standing to challenge the orders and whether the
    petitions are ripe for review.
    We hold that at least one petitioner—LS Power
    Midcontinent—has standing to raise these claims, and that the
    petitions are ripe. But the petitions fail on their merits: FERC’s
    decision to accept 230 kV as the new voltage threshold was not
    arbitrary and capricious, and FERC reasonably approved
    MISO’s Immediate Need Reliability Exception. We therefore
    deny the petitions for review.
    BACKGROUND
    I.   Regulatory Background
    “The Federal Power Act gives FERC jurisdiction over
    facilities that transmit electricity in interstate commerce.” Old
    Dominion Elec. Coop. v. FERC, 
    898 F.3d 1254
    , 1255 (D.C.
    Cir. 2018). Under the Act, “electric utilities must charge ‘just
    and reasonable’ rates.” 
    Id.
     (quoting 16 U.S.C. § 824d(a)). That
    standard requires applying a concept called the “cost-causation
    principle,” under which “the rates charged for electricity
    should reflect the costs of providing it.” Id. In other words,
    the “burden” on ratepayers of paying for a project should be
    “matched with [its] benefit” to them, and FERC “may not
    single out a party” or group of parties “for the full cost of a
    project, or even most of it, when the benefits of the project are
    diffuse.” BNP Paribas Energy Trading GP v. FERC, 
    743 F.3d 264
    , 268 (D.C. Cir. 2014).
    In 2011, to help ensure just and reasonable rates, FERC
    promulgated Order No. 1000, which has several features
    4
    relevant to this appeal. See Transmission Plan. & Cost
    Allocation by Transmission Owning & Operating Pub. Utils.
    (“Order No. 1000”), 
    136 FERC ¶ 61,051
    , P 1 (2011). First,
    utilities in each planning region must together produce a
    regional transmission plan to identify transmission alternatives
    that resolve the region’s needs more efficiently or cost-
    effectively than would uncoordinated local utility proposals.
    
    Id.
     PP 6, 148; see Old Dominion, 898 F.3d at 1256. Second,
    utilities must develop a method for allocating the costs of new
    transmission facilities selected for cost allocation under the
    regional plan. 
    136 FERC ¶ 61,051
    , PP 9, 558. That formula
    must abide by the cost-causation principle. 
    Id.
     P 10; Old
    Dominion, 898 F.3d at 1256. Third, Order No. 1000 requires
    transmission planning regions to adopt a competitive process
    for determining which companies will develop the projects for
    which the region’s ratepayers will be charged. 
    136 FERC ¶ 61,051
    , PP 7, 313, 323-31. Projects whose costs are allocated
    only locally, in contrast, need not be competitively bid. See
    Transmission Plan. & Cost Allocation by Transmission
    Owning & Operating Pub. Utils. (“Order No. 1000-A”), 
    139 FERC ¶ 61,132
    , P 430 (2012); see also MISO Transmission
    Owners v. FERC, 
    819 F.3d 329
    , 335 (7th Cir. 2016).
    II. Factual and Procedural History
    A. MISO “is a regional transmission organization and an
    independent system operator authorized by” FERC “to
    administer an open access transmission tariff” and “ensure
    reliable operation of” high-voltage power lines in the
    Midcontinent region, encompassing fifteen states and a
    Canadian province.         Joint Br. of Non-Governmental
    Intervenors for Respondent at iv. Pursuant to Order No. 1000,
    MISO engages in an annual regional transmission planning
    process in which it identifies transmission projects that address
    reliability and economic needs. That process culminates in the
    5
    creation of a regional transmission plan. See Order No. 1000,
    
    136 FERC ¶ 61,051
    , P 47.
    As part of that process, MISO categorizes its future
    transmission projects, and those categorizations dictate
    features of the project relevant to this appeal, including: (1)
    whether the project will be assigned to the incumbent
    transmission provider or be subject to competitive bidding by
    developers; and (2) whether the costs of the project will be
    allocated to ratepayers across the entire region or only to those
    in the local zone in which the project is located.
    This case concerns three categories of projects. The first
    category is Market Efficiency Projects, which is one of two
    MISO categories subject to competitive developer selection
    and regional cost allocation. (The other competitively bid
    category, Multi-Value Projects, is not at issue here.) In other
    words, projects in this category must be assigned to a developer
    through a competitive bidding process, and the costs of such
    projects are shared according to a formula throughout the
    MISO region. The purpose of the Market Efficiency category
    is to facilitate the development of “projects that, through
    congestion relief, provide[] widespread economic benefits.”
    Prepared Direct Test. of Jesse Moser on Behalf of the
    Midcontinent Independent System Operator, Inc. (“Moser
    Testimony”) at 30, Joint Appendix (J.A.) 312. Before the
    challenged orders, to qualify as a Market Efficiency Project, a
    project had to meet a certain regional benefit-to-cost ratio, cost
    at least $5 million, and devote fifty percent or more of the
    project costs to facilities with voltages of at least 345 kV.
    The second relevant category of projects is Baseline
    Reliability Projects. These are network upgrades needed to
    ensure compliance with applicable national and regional
    reliability standards. “[E]nsuring the reliability of the electric
    6
    grid is a primary function of” transmission organizations like
    MISO. Delaware Div. of Pub. Advoc. v. FERC, 
    3 F.4th 461
    ,
    467 (D.C. Cir. 2021). MISO therefore performs Baseline
    Reliability Studies to evaluate its compliance with various
    reliability standards and identify necessary upgrades. Baseline
    Reliability Projects are not eligible for competitive bidding and
    the costs of such projects are allocated locally—that is, within
    the transmission pricing zone where the project is located. 1 If
    a Baseline Reliability Project also meets the criteria of a Market
    Efficiency Project, however, it is considered one and is subject
    to competitive bidding and regional cost allocation (with an
    exception discussed below for projects needed within a certain
    timeframe).      In this way, MISO’s tariff establishes a
    “hierarchy” of project categories. Moser Testimony at 33-34,
    J.A. 315-16.
    Third, projects that do not fall into any other category are
    “Other Projects.” Those projects are not subject to competitive
    bidding or regional cost allocation, meaning that all of their
    costs are allocated to the local zone where the project will be
    physically located. The Other Projects category includes
    projects designed to serve economic needs that do not meet the
    voltage threshold of a Market Efficiency Project.
    B. MISO coordinates with various stakeholders—
    including utilities, municipalities, customers, state utilities
    commissions, and others—to develop the regional transmission
    plan. In 2015, MISO began a stakeholder consultation process
    to develop revisions to its tariff. Starting in February 2019,
    MISO submitted to FERC a series of proposals that emerged
    from that process. FERC rejected MISO’s first two proposals.
    1
    The cost allocation regime for MISO’s Baseline Reliability Projects
    is at issue in a related petition we heard the same day as this one. See
    Coalition of MISO Transmission Customers, et al. v. FERC, No. 20-
    1421.
    7
    It rejected the first proposal because of concerns regarding
    MISO’s proposed new Local Economic Project category for
    certain economic projects operating below 230 kV.
    Midcontinent Indep. Sys. Operator, Inc. Order Rejecting
    Proposed Tariff Revisions (“2019 Proposal Rejection”), 
    167 FERC ¶ 61,258
    , PP 1, 9 (2019). That category would have
    included projects that met both a regional benefit-to-cost ratio
    and a local benefit-to-cost ratio, but the costs of those projects
    would have been allocated only locally. 
    Id.
     PP 58, 63. The
    Commission disapproved as contrary to the cost-causation
    principle MISO’s plan to “identify regional benefits for Local
    Economic Projects, but, for the purpose of imposing its
    preferred cost allocation method, . . . ignore the results of its
    regional benefit metrics analysis in order to allocate the costs
    only to the Transmission Pricing Zone(s) where the project is
    located.” 
    Id.
     P 63.
    MISO tried a second time. Again, FERC rejected the
    proposed cost allocation method for the Local Economic
    Project category. This time, MISO did not require a regional
    benefit-to-cost ratio for Local Economic Projects.
    Midcontinent Indep. Sys. Operator, Inc. Order Rejecting
    Proposed Tariff Revisions (“2020 Proposal Rejection”), 
    170 FERC ¶ 61,241
    , P 60 (2020). MISO would, however, employ
    a benefits metric that called for determining benefits outside
    the local pricing zone where the project is located, “but then
    disregard[] these benefits by allocating costs for the project
    solely within that Transmission Pricing Zone.” 
    Id.
     P 59. FERC
    deemed that method, too, in violation of the cost-causation
    principle. 
    Id.
    In April 2020, MISO submitted a third proposal, which is
    at issue here. This one omits the previously proposed Local
    Economic Project category that FERC had deemed
    problematic. And it reflects a variety of other changes,
    8
    including two that petitioners challenge here. First, MISO
    proposed to lower the minimum voltage threshold for Market
    Efficiency Projects from 345 kV to 230 kV. MISO explained
    that this change would expand the universe of projects open to
    competitive bidding and regional cost allocation while still
    maintaining a distinction between regional projects and those
    that primarily benefit one local zone.
    MISO also proposed a new Immediate Need Reliability
    Project category that would be exempt from competitive
    solicitation. That category would encompass projects that (1)
    meet the requirements of both Baseline Reliability Projects and
    Market Efficiency Projects; and (2) are scheduled for
    completion within three years to resolve a pressing reliability
    need. MISO anticipated that those conditions would occur
    infrequently, resulting in about one exempted project per
    planning cycle. As MISO explained, it was expanding the
    Market Efficiency Project category to include lower voltage
    projects, which, because of the tariff’s hierarchy, would likely
    increase the number of potential Baseline Reliability Projects
    that also qualify as Market Efficiency Projects open to
    developer competition. But because running a competitive
    selection process can take more than a year, MISO reasoned,
    competing a project can postpone its construction and
    completion. Where projects are forecast to be required for grid
    reliability, added time that pushes their completion past the
    projected need-by date can be particularly problematic. MISO
    accordingly defended this new exception as necessary to ensure
    that its expansion of the competitive development process did
    not threaten system reliability.
    In the first of four orders at issue here, FERC approved the
    proposed changes, including the two that petitioners challenge.
    To start, it found MISO’s proposal to lower the Market
    Efficiency Project minimum voltage threshold from 345 kV to
    9
    230 kV to be just and reasonable. And, in so holding, FERC
    rejected the petitioners’ request that the threshold be lowered
    even further to 100 kV. It distinguished our decision in Old
    Dominion, in which we held that “a categorical refusal to
    permit any regional cost sharing for an important category of
    projects conceded to produce significant regional benefits” was
    inconsistent with the cost-causation principle. 898 F.3d at
    1263. “Unlike the situation in” Old Dominion, FERC
    reasoned, “neither MISO nor the Commission . . . has made the
    finding that MISO projects between 100 kV and 230 kV
    produce ‘significant regional benefits.’” Midcontinent Indep.
    Sys. Operator, Inc. Order Accepting Proposed Tariff and
    Transmission Owners Agreement Revisions (“Order Accepting
    Proposal”), 
    172 FERC ¶ 61,095
    , P 49 (2020) (quoting Old
    Dominion, 898 F.3d at 1257, 1261). Moreover, the proposal
    “will increase the universe of projects eligible to be considered
    a Market Efficiency Project,” and thus “will also expand the
    number of potential transmission projects that are eligible for”
    competitive selection. Id. P 50. FERC therefore permitted the
    proposed change to the threshold.
    FERC also approved MISO’s proposal to except
    Immediate Need Reliability Projects from developer
    competition. The Commission cautioned that the exception
    “should be used only in limited circumstances.” Order
    Accepting Proposal, 
    172 FERC ¶ 61,095
    , P 61. In deciding
    whether to approve similar proposals from other regional
    transmission operators, FERC had used “five criteria, which
    place reasonable bounds on discretion to determine whether
    there is sufficient time to permit competition to develop
    reliability projects.” 
    Id.
     FERC noted that MISO’s proposal
    limited its resort to the Immediate Need Reliability category by
    adopting “the same five criteria that the Commission
    previously accepted for use in other” regions. 
    Id.
     P 62. FERC
    therefore approved the proposal. 
    Id.
    10
    Petitioners sought and FERC denied rehearing. See
    Midcontinent Indep. Sys. Operator, Inc. Order Addressing
    Arguments Raised on Rehearing (“Proposal Rehearing
    Order”), 
    173 FERC ¶ 61,203
    , P 2 (2020). Petitioners argued
    that FERC had previously determined that sub-230 kV projects
    have significant regional benefits when it found a then-existing
    345 kV threshold for certain interregional projects
    unreasonable and required MISO to lower it to 100 kV. FERC
    distinguished that decision by relying on the differences
    between interregional and regional projects, noting that
    interregional projects raise a special problem: They must meet
    both MISO’s threshold and the other independent system
    operator’s threshold. It was in that specific circumstance that
    FERC held MISO’s high voltage threshold held up the
    consideration of beneficial interregional projects. FERC also
    rejected the petitioners’ other arguments for a lower threshold,
    including that FERC had ignored evidence that sub-230 kV
    projects have significant regional benefits and that FERC’s
    rejections of MISO’s two prior proposals mandated rejection
    of this one.
    Regarding the Immediate Need Reliability Exception,
    FERC rejected the petitioners’ arguments that the new category
    would be overused and that FERC had failed to follow its own
    precedent. It further explained that FERC’s five criteria for
    when a project may qualify for a reliability category do not
    require MISO to post a description of the reliability need before
    (rather than after) designating the incumbent transmission
    owner as the developer of the project. That is so, FERC
    observed, because MISO will have opportunities to invite
    stakeholder input during the Baseline Reliability Study and
    transmission planning, as well as during a sixty-day comment
    period after it publishes the notice that the project is approved.
    Proposal Rehearing Order, 
    173 FERC ¶ 61,203
    , P 23.
    11
    C. Separately, in June 2019, the petitioners filed a
    complaint against MISO under section 206 of the Federal
    Power Act, 16 U.S.C. § 824e, alleging that the then-existing
    transmission planning process had resulted in unjust and
    unreasonable rates. They asked FERC to require MISO to
    lower the Market Efficiency Project voltage threshold from the
    old 345 kV limit down to 100 kV. They claimed that projects
    between 345 kV and 100 kV can have regional benefits and,
    citing MISO’s 2016 Working Group meeting, argued that
    lowering the threshold to 230 kV was inadequate in view of
    four hypothetical examples MISO had presented of sub-230 kV
    projects with benefits in more than one pricing zone. The
    petitioners also cited examples from the 2017 Working Group
    meeting, as well as projects from MISO’s 2018 transmission
    plan that produced more regional than local benefits. The
    petitioners argued that the 345 kV threshold violated the cost-
    causation principle because the resulting cost allocation did not
    charge all beneficiaries of the projects.
    In the third order on review here, issued the same day as
    the order accepting MISO’s proposed tariff revisions, FERC
    denied the petitioners’ section 206 complaint. Recognizing
    that it had just accepted MISO’s proposed 230 kV threshold in
    the concurrent order, the Commission concluded that the
    petitioners had failed to show that the previously-existing 345
    kV threshold was unjust and unreasonable.                 FERC
    characterized much of the petitioners’ evidence that 230 kV
    projects produce regional benefits as hypothetical or isolated
    and therefore insufficient to meet their burden of demonstrating
    that MISO’s threshold was unjust and unreasonable. It also
    rejected the petitioners’ argument that FERC’s rejection of the
    first two MISO proposals mandated rejecting this proposal.
    Unlike the first two rejections, it explained, in the third
    proposal “MISO does not, and has not, proposed to analyze the
    extent and distribution of benefits of a project and then ignore
    12
    that analysis for the purpose of cost allocation.” LSP
    Transmission Holdings II, LLC et al. v. Midcontinent
    Independent System Operator, Inc. Order Denying Complaint
    (“Complaint Rejection Order”), 
    172 FERC ¶ 61,098
    , P 47
    (2020). It therefore denied the complaint.
    The petitioners also sought rehearing of the order rejecting
    their complaint, arguing that they had put forward substantial
    evidence that a threshold over 100 kV for Market Efficiency
    Projects would inappropriately exclude regionally beneficial
    projects. FERC denied the rehearing request in the fourth order
    challenged here. LSP Transmission Holdings II, LLC, et al. v.
    Midcontinent Independent System Operator, Inc. Order
    Addressing Arguments Raised on Rehearing (“Complaint
    Rehearing Order”), 
    173 FERC ¶ 61,202
    , P 2 (2020). FERC
    explained that it addressed most of the petitioners’ arguments
    on rehearing in the underlying complaint order and reaffirmed
    its holding that the petitioners had failed to demonstrate that
    the Market Efficiency Project threshold was unjust and
    unreasonable.
    D. The petitioners timely sought review of all four FERC
    orders. The petitions garnered four case numbers, which
    correspond as follows: The orders on review in Nos. 20-1466
    and 21-1005 arise from FERC’s decision to accept MISO’s
    tariff revisions under section 205 of the Federal Power Act, 16
    U.S.C. § 824d, while the orders on review in Nos. 20-1465 and
    21-1004 arise from the petitioners’ complaint to FERC under
    section 206 of the Act. We consolidated the petitions. After
    oral argument in this case, we directed the petitioners to file
    supplemental briefs in defense of their position that they have
    Article III standing.
    13
    JURISDICTION
    These petitions are properly before us pursuant to section
    313(b) of the Federal Power Act, 16 U.S.C. § 825l(b). FERC
    disputes, however, whether the petitioners have standing and
    whether their petitions are ripe for review. The answer to both
    questions is yes.
    I.   Petitioner LS Power Midcontinent has sufficiently
    demonstrated its standing.
    We first hold that at least one petitioner—LS Power
    Midcontinent, LLC—has standing. This conclusion follows
    almost directly from our decision earlier this year in LSP
    Transmission Holdings II, LLC v. FERC (LSP 2022), 
    28 F.4th 1285
    , 1287-89 (D.C. Cir. 2022). There, we held that LSP
    Transmission Holdings had standing to challenge ISO New
    England’s immediate-need reliability exception. 
    Id.
     at 1288-
    89. In 2013, FERC had permitted ISO New England to exempt
    from competition reliability projects needed within three years.
    
    Id. at 1287-88
    . By 2019, FERC was concerned that ISO New
    England might not be following Order No. 1000’s competitive
    selection requirements, and it directed the ISO to explain how
    it was complying with the immediate-need reliability project
    criteria. 
    Id. at 1288
    . LSP intervened, arguing that ISO New
    England was overusing the exemption, but FERC eventually
    disagreed and found no error. 
    Id.
     LSP petitioned our court for
    review, and FERC challenged its standing.
    We held that “to establish injury, LSP had only to show
    that it ‘was ready, willing and able to perform’ and that Order
    No. 1000 and the tariff ‘deprived the company of the
    opportunity to compete’ for the work.” LSP 2022, 28 F.4th at
    1288-89 (quoting O’Donnell Constr. Co. v. District of
    Columbia, 
    963 F.2d 420
    , 423 (D.C. Cir. 1992)). And we held
    that “LSP met these requirements” because “[i]t demonstrated
    14
    its readiness when its subsidiary bid on the only one of thirty-
    one recent reliability projects open to competitive bidding.” Id.
    at 1289. “Yet because of the Commission’s criteria, there was
    no competitive bidding for the thirty other transmission
    projects,” and “LSP accordingly ha[d] suffered an Article III
    injury.” Id.
    We distinguished our unpublished decision in LSP
    Transmission Holdings, LLC v. FERC (LSP 2017), 700 F.
    App’x 1 (D.C. Cir. 2017) (per curiam). In LSP 2017, we had
    “held that LSP lacked standing to claim that a utility
    wrongfully excluded it ‘from competition based on state and
    local laws’” because “LSP failed to identify a ‘specific project
    that [the utility] ha[d] approved for regional cost allocation in
    a state whose law gives an incumbent a right of first refusal.’”
    LSP 2022, 28 F.4th at 1289 (quoting LSP 2017, 700 F. App’x
    at 2) (first alteration in original). There, it was not at all clear
    that any project even existed that was located in a state with
    rights of first refusal and thereby foreclosed from competition.
    Given that uncertainty, identifying a specific project was
    essential to demonstrating injury in fact. Unlike in LSP 2017,
    we explained, in LSP 2022 there could “be no doubting [LS
    Power’s] assertion that it ha[d] been denied the ability to bid
    on the thirty identified projects as a result of” the exemption.
    Id.
    The same is true here. LS Power Midcontinent has
    standing in this case under LSP 2022 because it has
    demonstrated that it is ready, willing, and able to perform the
    type of work at issue and that the challenged orders prevented
    it from doing so. First, LS Power Midcontinent is pre-certified
    as a transmission developer under MISO’s criteria for the
    region, and an LS Power affiliate was the winning developer in
    one of only two Market Efficiency Project solicitations.
    Petitioners’ Br. at xi, 32; see LSP 2022, 28 F.4th at 1288.
    15
    Indeed, FERC conceded at oral argument that the petitioners
    are certified transmission developers qualified to compete for
    this type of construction work. Oral Arg. Tr. at 33-34.
    Second, the challenged orders have prohibited LS Power
    from competing for that work. See LSP 2022, 28 F.4th at 1288-
    89. For example, as evidence of its injury from the higher
    voltage threshold, LS Power points to MISO’s 2018
    transmission plan, which included two 161 kV projects that LS
    Power contends were regionally beneficial and therefore
    should have been regionally cost-allocated so competitively
    bid. See Reply Br. at 5. And regarding LS Power’s injury from
    the new exception for immediate need projects, MISO itself
    acknowledged that the exception to competition “would impact
    approximately one Baseline Reliability Project per MTEP
    cycle.” Moser Testimony at 38, J.A. 320. That suffices to
    demonstrate that LS Power has been “deprived . . . of the
    opportunity to compete for . . . work.” LSP 2022, 28 F.4th at
    1289 (internal quotation marks and citation omitted).
    To prove its injury, LS Power need not identify a specific
    project within the class of projects that, “[t]here can be no
    doubting[,]” id., are excluded from competition. No one
    disputes that the identified class in fact includes relevant
    projects. This case is therefore distinguishable from our
    unpublished LSP 2017 decision for the same reason LSP 2022
    was: There is no doubt here that LS Power is completely barred
    from competing for entire categories of projects for which it
    would otherwise compete. See LSP 2022, 28 F.4th at 1289
    (citing LSP 2017, 700 F. App’x at 2). LS Power therefore has
    standing to challenge those categorizations. 2
    2
    The separate opinion’s concerns are well taken as we all agree “that
    a bare assertion that a petitioner is ‘ready, willing, and able’ to
    compete is [not] sufficient to establish Article III injury-in-fact.”
    16
    We also reject FERC’s argument that the petitioners lack
    standing because the Commission’s orders effected a net
    increase in the number of projects eligible for competitive
    bidding by lowering the threshold from 345 kV to 230 kV.
    That FERC gave the petitioners a half-measure of what they
    requested does not negate their injury from the continued bar
    on competition for sub-230 kV projects.            LS Power
    Midcontinent therefore has standing to raise its challenges to
    the four FERC orders. 3
    Separate Op. at 3; see also id. at 5. Instead, a petitioner must also
    show that agency action has “deprived [it] of the opportunity to
    compete for the work.” LSP 2022, 28 F.4th at 1289 (internal
    quotation marks and citation omitted). And it must substantiate its
    standing by pointing to record evidence or submitting new evidence.
    Sierra Club v. EPA, 
    292 F.3d 895
    , 899-900 (D.C. Cir. 2002). LS
    Power has done just that by showing both that it has competed for
    the rare project open to it, and that the challenged rule now
    categorically excludes it from competing for all Market Efficiency
    Projects and Immediate Need Reliability Projects going forward.
    3
    In holding that LS Power has standing, we need not and do not rely
    on the supplemental briefing and affidavits. We caution, however,
    that an agency’s denial of a petitioner’s complaint does not alone
    necessarily suffice to show injury in fact for Article III purposes. Cf.
    Pets. Supp. Br. on Standing at 2-3. “FERC’s rejection of [a
    petitioner’s] challenges in the proceedings before it . . . does not
    establish constitutional standing.” Kan. Corp. Comm’n v. FERC,
    
    881 F.3d 924
    , 929 (D.C. Cir. 2018). Finally, because LS Power
    Midcontinent has standing to raise both claims at issue here, we need
    not decide whether the other petitioners also have standing. See N.Y.
    Republican State Comm. v. SEC, 
    927 F.3d 499
    , 503 (D.C. Cir. 2019)
    (“If any one of the petitioners has standing to raise a claim, then this
    court has jurisdiction over that claim without regard to whether any
    other petitioner also has standing.”).
    17
    II. The petitioners’ claims are ripe for review.
    We readily dispatch FERC’s half-hearted ripeness
    challenge. FERC argues that “the petitions may be dismissed
    for lack of a ripe controversy because they do not present
    concrete issues fit for judicial review at this time.”
    Respondent’s Br. at 34. In support, FERC notes that MISO
    “has stated its intent to review cost allocation for” sub-230 kV
    projects sometime in the future and that MISO “may submit a
    new proposal.” 
    Id.
     (formatting modified and internal citation
    omitted). It therefore suggests we delay review of these
    petitions. We reject FERC’s argument that the petitions are not
    yet ripe because MISO plans to eventually revisit the cost
    allocation for lower voltage projects. “[A]n agency faced with
    a claim that a party is violating the law . . . cannot resolve the
    controversy by promising to consider the issue in a prospective
    legal framework.” City of Miami v. FERC, 
    22 F.4th 1039
    , 1043
    (D.C. Cir. 2022). MISO’s stated intention to consider new
    policies at some future time does nothing to resolve LS Power’s
    current claim of injury from the existing voltage threshold.
    MERITS
    The petitioners object to two features of the orders at issue:
    (1) FERC’s acceptance of MISO’s proposal to lower the
    Market Efficiency Project threshold to 230 kV and attendant
    denial of the petitioners’ request to lower the threshold further
    to 100 kV; and (2) FERC’s acceptance of the Immediate Need
    Reliability Exception to the requirement that Market Efficiency
    Projects be awarded competitively. We reject both challenges.
    We review FERC’s orders under the deferential arbitrary-
    and-capricious standard of review. Old Dominion, 898 F.3d at
    1260. Under that standard, “we uphold FERC decisions if the
    agency has ‘examined the relevant considerations and
    articulated a satisfactory explanation for its action, including a
    18
    rational connection between the facts found and the choice
    made.’” Id. (quoting FERC v. Elec. Power Supply Ass’n, 
    577 U.S. 260
    , 292 (2016)). “Because this standard is deferential,
    we do not require FERC . . . to utilize a particular formula, or
    to allocate costs with exacting precision.” 
    Id.
     (internal citations
    omitted). “However, we have set aside orders when FERC’s
    allocation of costs was either unreasonable, or inadequately
    explained.” 
    Id.
     (internal citations omitted). FERC’s “factual
    findings are conclusive if supported by substantial evidence.”
    S.C. Pub. Serv. Auth. v. FERC, 
    762 F.3d 41
    , 54 (D.C. Cir.
    2014).
    Recall that two of the orders on review arise from a
    complaint filed by the petitioners under section 206 of the
    Federal Power Act, challenging MISO’s then-existing tariff. In
    that posture, the petitioners had the burden of showing that the
    challenged tariff provisions are “unjust, unreasonable, unduly
    discriminatory, or preferential.” 16 U.S.C. § 824e(b); see also
    New England Power Generators Ass’n v. FERC, 
    879 F.3d 1192
    , 1200 (D.C. Cir. 2018). And the other two orders on
    review arise from MISO’s proposed tariff filing under section
    205 of the Act. In those proceedings, MISO bore the burden
    of demonstrating that the proposed tariff revisions are “just and
    reasonable.” 16 U.S.C. § 824d(e); see also New England
    Power Generators Ass’n, 879 F.3d at 1200. In considering
    whether FERC acted arbitrarily in accepting MISO’s filing and
    rejecting the petitioners’ section 206 complaint, we bear these
    respective burdens in mind.
    I.   FERC’s decision to accept 230 kV as the Market
    Efficiency Project threshold was reasonable.
    The petitioners challenge both FERC’s decision to accept
    MISO’s proposed 230 kV threshold for Market Efficiency
    Projects in the section 205 proceeding, and FERC’s rejection
    19
    of the petitioners’ section 206 complaint asking for a 100 kV
    threshold. We uphold both decisions.
    A. FERC reasonably accepted the proposed voltage
    threshold.
    FERC’s decision to accept MISO’s proposal to lower the
    threshold from 345 kV to 230 kV was reasonable. The
    Supreme Court has explained that the “statutory requirement
    that rates be ‘just and reasonable’ is obviously incapable of
    precise judicial definition, and we afford great deference to the
    Commission in its rate decisions.” Morgan Stanley Cap. Grp.
    Inc. v. Pub. Util. Dist. No. 1 of Snohomish Cnty., Wash., 
    554 U.S. 527
    , 532 (2008). FERC thus “enjoys broad discretion to
    invoke its expertise in balancing competing interests and
    drawing administrative lines.” Am. Gas Ass’n v. FERC, 
    593 F.3d 14
    , 19 (D.C. Cir. 2010). “We are generally unwilling to
    review line-drawing performed by the Commission unless a
    petitioner can demonstrate that lines drawn are patently
    unreasonable, having no relationship to the underlying
    regulatory problem.” ExxonMobil Gas Mktg. Co. v. FERC, 
    297 F.3d 1071
    , 1085 (D.C. Cir. 2002) (internal citation omitted and
    formatting modified). And FERC is “free to undertake reform
    one step at a time” so long as its “gradualism” does not “yield[]
    unreasonable” results. S.C. Pub. Serv. Auth., 762 F.3d at 88
    (internal citation omitted). In light of those standards, it was
    reasonable for FERC to accept a 230 kV threshold, which
    increases the overall number of projects subject to regional cost
    allocation and competition, as the new lower bound for Market
    Efficiency Projects.
    MISO’s Director of Economic and Policy Planning, Jesse
    Moser, explained the decision to move the threshold to 230 kV
    but not down to 100 kV. Market Efficiency Projects were
    “developed to provide a regional cost sharing mechanism for
    20
    those projects that, through congestion relief, provided
    widespread economic benefits.” Moser Testimony at 30, J.A.
    312. “[B]ecause of their capability to move large amounts of
    energy long distances efficiently,” Moser continued, “it is
    higher voltage projects that provide additional increased
    capacity that improves regional energy delivery.” Id. “Lower
    voltage projects,” by contrast, “can provide some economic
    congestion relief, but the impacts of those projects tend to stay
    more localized.” Id. Moreover, “because these benefits are
    generally smaller and more locally concentrated, they are more
    volatile and sensitive to assumptions used to
    forecast . . . savings.” Id. Importantly, however, “there are
    projects” at 230 kV and above “that have broader benefits,” and
    MISO therefore brought the threshold down to 230 kV to
    “address[] the potential mismatch of costs and benefits . . . and
    increase[] the range of projects that could qualify as Market
    Efficiency Projects.” Moser Testimony at 30-31, J.A. 312-13.
    MISO also explained why it had not proposed the
    threshold that petitioners favor: Namely, “moving to the even
    lower threshold of 100 kV did not,” in MISO’s view, “provide
    a distinction between regional economic projects and local
    projects needed for local needs.” Moser Testimony at 31, J.A.
    313. Maintaining such a distinction is in line with Order No.
    1000. In requiring competitive solicitation for certain projects,
    FERC in Order No 1000 did not require eliminating rights of
    first refusal for incumbent providers or developers for all
    transmission projects. Rather, it so required only for projects
    whose costs are shared regionally. Order No. 1000, 
    136 FERC ¶ 61,051
    , P 7. FERC therefore apparently thought it important
    to maintain a distinction between projects that generally benefit
    the entire region and those that are locally beneficial, with cost
    causation and the economic benefits of competition tipping
    toward competitive bidding in the former category, but not
    necessarily in the latter.
    21
    We conclude that FERC acted reasonably in accepting 230
    kV as a suitable proxy for the well-established regulatory
    distinction between regional and local projects given that, as a
    general matter, lower voltage projects “tend to stay more
    localized” and their benefits are “more locally concentrated.”
    Moser Testimony at 30, J.A. 312. In these proceedings, FERC
    evaluated MISO’s proposal—which, again, lowered the
    threshold from the 345 kV line FERC had previously
    approved—and determined that it was just and reasonable. See
    Order Accepting Proposal, 
    172 FERC ¶ 61,095
    , PP 46, 50. We
    accept the Commission’s judgment on the point: The threshold
    balances the benefits of competitive solicitation by expanding
    the universe of competitive projects, while recognizing that
    projects responding primarily to local problems need not go
    through the extra steps of competitive solicitation. FERC is
    given considerable latitude in drawing those types of lines and,
    as explained next, none of the petitioners’ contrary evidence
    convinces us that 230 kV is an inappropriate cutoff.
    B. FERC’s rejection of the petitioners’ contrary
    complaint was likewise reasonable.
    In addition to urging FERC to reject MISO’s 230 kV
    proposal, petitioners separately asked FERC to hold that 345
    kV is unjust and require MISO to lower the threshold to 100
    kV. In support of their argument, petitioners point to past sub-
    230 kV projects they say produced significant regional
    benefits. They also rely on FERC’s statements in prior
    opinions that petitioners read as deciding that sub-230 kV
    projects are regionally beneficial. They therefore claim that
    FERC’s failure to lower the voltage threshold to 100 kV
    violated applicable precedent requiring regional cost sharing
    for projects with significant regional benefits.         FERC
    reasonably rejected petitioners’ evidentiary support for the
    notion that 100 kV is the required voltage threshold for Market
    22
    Efficiency Projects, and it adequately reconciled its position
    with the relevant precedent.
    1. FERC acted within its authority when it held that
    petitioners’ argument to lower the threshold to 100 kV was
    insufficiently supported by the record. The petitioners here
    point to evidence before FERC that they say demonstrates that
    the old 345 kV threshold was unjust and unreasonable and that
    the 230 kV threshold adopted in the challenged orders suffers
    the same flaw. They focus in particular on evidence that (1)
    most congestion on the MISO system occurs on facilities below
    230 kV; and (2) some projects between 100 kV and 229 kV
    benefit zones beyond the one in which a project is physically
    located. Those contentions do not persuade us that FERC has
    acted arbitrarily.
    “First,” as FERC notes, “the mere fact that congestion
    exists on facilities below 230 kilovolts does not support LS
    Power’s position that the voltage threshold should be lowered
    to 100 kilovolts.” Respondent’s Br. at 45. “Congestion in the
    grid arises when the demand for electricity exceeds the
    capacity of existing transmission infrastructure.”        Int’l
    Transmission Co. v. FERC, 
    988 F.3d 471
    , 473 (D.C. Cir.
    2021). “That results in a grid that cannot accommodate
    consumer demand in certain areas . . . which ultimately raises
    costs to consumers.” 
    Id.
     As explained above, relieving
    congestion in the grid is one of the purposes of economic
    projects.
    The existence of some congestion on lower voltage
    facilities does not alone mean that lower voltage projects must
    be competitively bid. As MISO explained to FERC, “the
    voltage level of a constraint is not determinative of the voltage
    level of the solution.” J.A. 909 (MISO Answer); see also Joint
    Br. of Non-Governmental Intervenors for Respondent at 18
    23
    (“Congestion is a normal occurrence in interconnected
    transmission systems and the most economical solution to a
    congested flowgate does not necessarily require a transmission
    solution of the same voltage class.”). In other words, that
    petitioners have identified congestion on lower voltage
    facilities does not necessarily mean that the projects used to fix
    that congestion will be below 230 kV. The petitioners also fail
    to close the loop by explaining why any solution to sub-230 kV
    congestion would necessarily have significant regional benefits
    and should therefore be competitively bid. See Joint Br. of
    Non-Governmental Intervenors for Respondent at 18-19. They
    therefore fail to “establish the necessary causal link between
    congestion and regional benefits . . . sufficient to mandate
    regional cost allocation [for such] lower voltage facilities.” Id.
    at 19.
    Second, the petitioners’ few examples of lower voltage
    projects with regional benefits did not render FERC’s
    acceptance of a 230 kV threshold unreasonable. The
    petitioners first point to examples from two MISO stakeholder
    presentations, one from 2016 and another from 2017, that they
    claim show that the 230 kV threshold is unreasonable. But, as
    FERC recognized, those examples were merely hypothetical
    situations used for stakeholder discussions, not actual, vetted
    solutions to reliability issues. Hypothetical project examples
    that “had not undergone thorough engineering review and
    approval through the Midcontinent planning process” are not
    compelling enough evidence to convince us to override
    FERC’s determination in this highly technical area. See Joint
    Br. of Non-Governmental Intervenors for Respondent at 20.
    Petitioners also point to two 161 kV facilities from
    MISO’s 2018 transmission plan that they say benefited more
    than one zone in the MISO region so should have been
    competitively bid but were not because they fell below the
    24
    voltage threshold for Market Efficiency Projects. We conclude
    FERC acted within its authority in dismissing these two
    examples as “isolated.” Complaint Rehearing Order, 
    173 FERC ¶ 61,202
    , PP 7 n.13, 8. FERC need not “consider cost-
    allocation rules on a project-by-project basis, which would
    unravel the framework of ex ante tariffs established by Order
    No. 1000 and approved by this Court.” Long Island Power
    Auth. v. FERC, 
    27 F.4th 705
    , 715 (D.C. Cir. 2022). “Instead,
    FERC must ensure only that there is ‘some resemblance’
    between costs and benefits.” 
    Id.
     (quoting Pub. Serv. Elec. &
    Gas Co. v. FERC, 
    989 F.3d 10
    , 13-14 (D.C. Cir. 2021)). FERC
    reasonably determined that two examples do not sufficiently
    demonstrate that the entire ex ante class of Market Efficiency
    Projects is improperly cost allocated.
    In sum, FERC reasonably held that petitioners’
    hypotheticals and two isolated examples were insufficient
    evidence to necessitate rejecting MISO’s proposed voltage
    threshold.
    2. FERC also reasonably applied its own relevant
    precedent and that of this court.
    a. Petitioners challenge FERC’s orders as inconsistent
    with our decision in Old Dominion, in which we elaborated on
    the requirements of the cost-causation principle. There, we
    remanded FERC’s decision to accept a tariff amendment
    proposed by the regional transmission operator PJM
    Interconnection, LLC, that barred regional cost allocation for
    certain high-voltage transmission projects. 898 F.3d at 1260,
    1264. In that case, the “critical point [wa]s undisputed: high-
    voltage power lines produce significant regional benefits
    within the PJM network, yet the amendment categorically
    prohibit[ed] any cost sharing for high-voltage projects.” Id. at
    1260. “The amendment thus produce[d] a severe misallocation
    25
    of the costs of such projects.” Id. at 1261. For the two high
    voltage projects at issue, the entities paying all of the costs
    would enjoy less than half of the benefits, which we held
    amounted to “a wholesale departure from the cost-causation
    principle.” Id.
    We rejected FERC’s attempt to lump together the high-
    voltage projects with low-voltage projects for purposes of
    evaluating the category’s compliance with the cost-causation
    principle, reasoning that because the costs of low-voltage
    projects had always been allocated locally, the amendment
    primarily operated to eliminate cost sharing for high-voltage
    projects “that FERC ha[d] recognized produce significant
    regional benefits.” Id. at 1261-62 (emphasis in original). We
    noted that FERC “need not always carve out exceptions for
    arguably distinct subcategories of projects.” Id. at 1262. But
    because “it [wa]s undisputed that high-voltage and low-voltage
    projects are significantly different with regard to which utilities
    benefit from them,” we required FERC to disaggregate that
    high-voltage subcategory and allocate those costs regionally.
    Id.
    The crux of our holding in Old Dominion—that where
    FERC has found that a category of projects has significant
    regional benefits, it must permit regional cost-sharing for that
    category—is in line with FERC’s challenged orders. As the
    Commission explained in one of the orders on review, “[u]nlike
    the situation in [Old Dominion], neither MISO nor the
    Commission . . . has made the finding that MISO projects
    between 100 kV and 230 kV produce ‘significant regional
    benefits.’” Order Accepting Proposal, 
    172 FERC ¶ 61,095
    , P
    49 (quoting Old Dominion, 898 F.3d at 1257, 1261). Indeed,
    FERC’s decision to distinguish between higher and lower
    voltage categories in the challenged orders is only bolstered by
    our decision in Old Dominion, which recognized that high-
    26
    voltage and low-voltage projects are “significantly different
    with regard to which utilities benefit from them.” 898 F.3d at
    1262. FERC’s decision to allow the 230 kV threshold is
    therefore consistent with Old Dominion.
    b. FERC’s orders rejecting MISO’s first two proposals
    did not obligate it to reject MISO’s third proposal. The
    petitioners assert that in rejecting the first two, FERC
    determined that MISO could calculate the regional
    beneficiaries of sub-230 kV economic projects, and that
    because the costs of such projects could be allocated to other
    benefitting zones, MISO’s proposals failing to make any such
    allocation violated the cost-causation principle. By accepting
    the third proposal, the petitioners argue that MISO “asked
    FERC to stick its regulator head in the sand, and FERC agreed
    to do that.” Petitioners’ Br. at 46. After FERC twice found
    that MISO could measure the regional beneficiaries of sub-230
    kV projects, petitioners say FERC essentially held here that, as
    long as MISO did not actually calculate any regional benefits,
    “it could pretend that no regional benefits existed.” Id.
    The problem with petitioners’ argument is that it depends
    on a factual conclusion that FERC never made in rejecting the
    two prior proposals: that sub-230 kV projects categorically
    produce significant regional benefits. To the contrary, as
    FERC explained, “[t]he June 2019 Order and the March 2020
    Order did not confer any finding on whether lower-voltage
    transmission facilities produced regional benefits.” Proposal
    Rehearing Order, 
    173 FERC ¶ 61,203
    , P 16.
    When FERC rejected MISO’s first proposal, it found that
    the new Local Economic Project category for certain sub-230
    kV projects was “inconsistent with the cost causation
    principle” because of how the proposal defined that category.
    2019 Proposal Rejection, 
    167 FERC ¶ 61,258
    , P 56. The
    27
    proposed definition, FERC emphasized, would have included
    only projects with actual regional benefits, because “a project
    could not qualify as a Local Economic Project if MISO were
    unable to calculate a region-wide 1.25-to-1 benefit-to-cost
    ratio.” 
    Id.
     P 64. As proposed, then, MISO planned to calculate
    those regional benefits and then “ignore the results . . . in order
    to allocate the costs only to the Transmission Pricing Zone(s)
    where the project is located.” 
    Id.
     P 63. FERC rejected that
    proposal. But it did so on the basis that MISO cannot have a
    category of projects with identified—indeed, definitional—
    regional benefits that it ignores for cost-allocation purposes. It
    did not, however, hold that sub-230 kV projects, as a general
    matter, have significant regional benefits.
    FERC made a similarly limited holding in rejecting
    MISO’s second proposal. This time, MISO eliminated the
    requirement that Local Economic Projects meet a regional
    benefit-to-cost ratio, but it still proposed to evaluate such
    projects using regional benefit metrics and then to ignore those
    benefits, if any were found, by allocating the costs to only the
    local zone. 2020 Proposal Rejection, 
    170 FERC ¶ 61,241
    , PP
    59-60. FERC again held that MISO could not calculate
    regional benefits and then disregard those benefits in allocating
    the costs of projects. 
    Id.
     P 67. But, again, FERC did not hold
    that such projects actually produce significant regional benefits
    in any kind of consistent way such that their costs are
    categorically required to be allocated on a regional basis. At
    most, it held that it was “likely” that MISO would have to
    “disregard regional transmission benefits that it will
    necessarily uncover.” 
    Id.
     That sort of conjecture—that if
    MISO calculated regional benefits for sub-230 kV it might find
    some—is not the same as FERC finding as a factual matter that
    sub-230 kV projects produce the kind of “significant” regional
    benefits that we found problematic in Old Dominion—and
    28
    certainly not that it so found on such as a scale as to require
    MISO to further lower the threshold. See 898 F.3d at 1260.
    To be sure, in rejecting MISO’s first two proposals, FERC
    evidently accepted MISO’s assumption that it was at least
    possible, if not likely, that some sub-230 kV projects could
    produce regional benefits. But that acceptance alone does not
    establish that 230 kV is an unreasonable threshold. First, Old
    Dominion concerned a category of projects conceded to have
    significant regional benefits, a phrase that appears in the
    opinion eleven times. As explained, petitioners’ efforts to
    show incidental regional benefits do not reach that level, nor is
    significant regional benefit established by FERC having told
    MISO it could not ignore regional benefits, if it found them, in
    allocating costs. Second, Old Dominion analyzed FERC’s
    justifications for its treatment of categories of projects. See 898
    F.3d at 1261-63. We have not read Order No. 1000 to require
    that cost allocation be done on a project-by-project basis. See
    Long Island, 27 F.4th at 715. Petitioners have never suggested
    that there is a distinct subtype of sub-230 kV projects that
    produce significant regional benefits that should be cut away
    from the rest and regionally cost-allocated. Cf. Old Dominion,
    898 F.3d at 1261-63. It thus had the burden to prove that the
    entire category was problematic. FERC’s prior rejections,
    which were based on the illogic of MISO’s proposed treatment
    of regional benefits, if and when they arose, does not meet that
    bar.
    We share petitioners’ concern that FERC’s holding here—
    that as long as MISO does not attempt to calculate any regional
    benefits, it may locally allocate the costs of sub-230 kV
    projects—encourages a head-in-the-sand approach to cost
    allocation. When read together, the three FERC opinions seem
    to allow regional transmission organizations to allocate the
    costs of lower voltage projects only to the local zone despite
    29
    possible regional benefits so long as the transmission
    organization does not calculate those regional benefits. But the
    question before us is narrow: whether a 230 kV threshold for
    Market Efficiency Projects is arbitrary and capricious. The
    record here, including the orders rejecting the first two
    proposals, does not reflect any determination that sub-230 kV
    projects in fact produce regional benefits in such a significant,
    categorical way as to require regional cost allocation. And
    FERC’s holding is limited to lower voltage projects, which
    again generally have more local benefits. See Old Dominion,
    898 F.3d at 1261. We accept FERC’s explanation that the
    orders on review comport with the two prior orders.
    c. We have little trouble concluding that FERC
    reasonably distinguished its order in Northern Indiana Public
    Service Co., 
    155 FERC ¶ 61,058
     (2016), concerning
    interregional transmission planning between MISO and PJM.
    In that proceeding, FERC held that MISO’s tariff was unjust
    and unreasonable because its minimum voltage threshold for
    interregional economic transmission projects excluded certain
    projects in the MISO-PJM interregional transmission planning
    process from consideration even though they would “benefit
    both regions.” 
    Id.
     P 129. The Quick Hit Analysis, an effort by
    MISO and PJM to identify potential interregional economic
    transmission projects, had found potential projects rated below
    345 kV, including down to 138 kV, with “significant economic
    benefits to both” regions. 
    Id.
     P 131; see also 
    id.
     P 100 n.175.
    FERC therefore “require[d] MISO to reduce its minimum
    voltage threshold for a[n] interregional economic transmission
    project from 345 kV to 100 kV,” 
    id.
     P 129, which was PJM’s
    threshold, 
    id.
     P 95. In so holding, FERC explicitly stated that
    it was “not requiring MISO to change the Market Efficiency
    Project 345 kV . . . threshold[] for MISO regional transmission
    projects.” 
    Id.
     P 131 n.238.
    30
    Petitioners’ argument that FERC’s holding in Northern
    Indiana mandates a 100 kV threshold for regional, and not just
    interregional, projects does not hold up. In Northern Indiana,
    FERC was addressing a characteristic of the interregional
    planning process: “[A]n interregional economic transmission
    project had to meet both MISO’s minimum voltage threshold
    of 345 kV and PJM’s voltage threshold of 100 kV to be
    constructed.” Proposal Rehearing Order, 
    173 FERC ¶ 61,203
    ,
    P 14 (emphasis in original). In that context, it made sense for
    FERC to require MISO to move its threshold down to meet
    PJM’s 100 kV threshold to encourage project development.
    FERC therefore reasonably viewed Northern Indiana as “tied
    to the specific circumstances involved and the specific findings
    that the Commission made with regard to the record evidence
    in that proceeding.” Id.; see also Entergy Arkansas, LLC v.
    FERC, No. 20-1262, 
    2022 WL 2760877
    , at *7 (D.C. Cir. July
    15, 2022) (explaining that FERC found significant regional
    benefits for lower voltage interregional projects, but not for
    regional projects). On the record in that case, FERC
    determined that projects down to 100 kV would benefit both
    PJM and MISO and MISO should therefore lower its bar to
    match PJM’s. That holding did not announce “the general
    principle that 100 kV is a just and reasonable voltage threshold,
    but 345 kV is not, in all circumstances.” 
    Id.
     “[W]e defer to an
    agency’s reasonable application of its own precedents,” so
    accept FERC’s distinction of Northern Indiana here. Nat’l
    Ass’n of Regul. Util. Comm’rs v. FERC, 
    475 F.3d 1277
    , 1284
    (D.C. Cir. 2007).
    II. FERC’s approval of MISO’s proposed exception from
    competitive solicitation for Immediate Need Reliability
    Projects was reasonable.
    Petitioners argue that FERC’s decision to approve MISO’s
    Immediate Need Reliability Exception should be vacated
    31
    because (1) evidence shows that the exception is unlikely to be
    used in a “limited” way; and (2) MISO’s version of the
    exception is inconsistent with FERC’s acceptance of similar
    exceptions in other regions. Neither argument shows FERC’s
    order to be arbitrary.
    As explained, Order No. 1000 disapproved tariff
    provisions giving incumbent transmission providers a right of
    first refusal to build transmission facilities selected in a
    regional transmission plan. See LSP 2022, 28 F.4th at 1287.
    Instead, it requires the region to hold a competitive developer-
    selection process. Id. “But the Commission recognized an
    exception central to this dispute: if the time needed to solicit
    and conduct competitive bidding would delay the project and
    thereby threaten system ‘reliability,’ then competitive bidding
    would not be required.” Id. (quoting Order No. 1000, 
    136 FERC ¶ 61,051
    , P 329). Several regional transmissions
    organizations thus have FERC-approved immediate need
    reliability exceptions to competitive bidding. See, e.g., ISO
    New England Inc., 
    171 FERC ¶ 61,211
    , PP 1-3 (2020); PJM
    Interconnection, L.L.C., 
    171 FERC ¶ 61,212
    , PP 3, 16 (2020);
    Sw. Power Pool, Inc., 
    171 FERC ¶ 61,213
    , PP 3, 47 (2020);
    ISO New England Inc., 
    172 FERC ¶ 61,293
    , PP 22-32 (2020).
    As noted above, in approving those exceptions, FERC has
    applied five requirements for transmission organizations to
    meet when using the exception: (1) the project is needed in
    three years or less to fix a reliability problem; (2) the
    transmission organization “must separately identify and then
    post an explanation of the reliability violations and system
    conditions in advance for which there is a time-sensitive need,
    with sufficient detail of the need and time-sensitivity”; (3) the
    transmission organization must give stakeholders a written
    description of the decision to designate an incumbent
    transmission owner and the circumstances surrounding the
    32
    immediate reliability need; (4) “[s]takeholders must be
    permitted time to provide comments in response to the project
    description,” which must be made public; and (5) the
    transmission organization must maintain and post a list of prior
    year designations of immediate-need projects. ISO New
    England Inc., 
    171 FERC ¶ 61,211
    , P 3.
    Petitioners’ first argument—that the exception will not be
    sufficiently limited—does not succeed. Although we are
    concerned that the number of exempted reliability projects
    might surpass those open to competition, we owe considerable
    deference to FERC’s expertise in setting the appropriate
    balance between the benefits of competition and the need to
    address pressing reliability problems in the power grid. LSP
    2022, 28 F.4th at 1291. And FERC reasonably rejected the
    petitioners’ evidence for its contention that the exception
    would be overused. Recall that MISO’s proposed exception
    does not cover mere Baseline Reliability Projects and is instead
    limited to those that also qualify as Market Efficiency Projects.
    In this case, the petitioners’ claim rests on the fact that “85%
    of Baseline Reliability Projects approved by MISO were
    needed in 36 months or less,” which they say makes it “likely”
    that most Baseline Reliability Projects that also qualify as
    Market Efficiency Projects will probably be needed within
    three years and thus be exempted from competitive bidding.
    Petitioners’ Br. at 53. FERC considered the statistic and
    reasonably called it “inflated” because of the mismatch
    between the data and the category of projects at issue.
    Proposal Rehearing Order, 
    173 FERC ¶ 61,203
    , P 21; see also
    Petitioners’ Reply Br. at 29 (conceding that “the number of
    combined projects may not be known”). 4
    4
    Contrary to petitioners’ suggestion, FERC did not depart from its
    2013 precedent in ISO New England, Order on Compliance Filings,
    
    143 FERC ¶ 61,150
    , PP 237-38 (2013), in which FERC prevented
    33
    Second, the petitioners’ argument that the exception
    departs from similar proposals in other regions because those
    entities are required to post their explanation of need before
    designating the incumbent owner as the developer fares no
    better. The petitioners emphasize that MISO’s proposal lets it
    provide an explanation of need only after designating an
    incumbent developer. And they claim that when FERC
    approved MISO’s post hoc disclosure proposal, it ignored the
    wording and intent behind the criteria for immediate-need
    exceptions it had previously mandated, thereby depriving
    objectors of any opportunity to dispute whether the project
    qualifies for the exemption until after the incumbent has
    already begun the project, confounding the purpose of the
    notice.
    We conclude FERC adequately justified its decision
    regarding the timing of the requisite notice. FERC determined
    that its precedents adopting criteria for the use of the immediate
    need exception do not necessarily require MISO to post before
    designating the incumbent. As FERC explained, any concern
    regarding the timing of MISO’s notice is adequately
    ameliorated by the fact that stakeholders have ample
    opportunity to provide input during the Baseline Reliability
    Study and transmission planning process, which happens
    before a project is designated an exempted project. And that
    opportunity is supplemented by the sixty-day comment period
    that follows the notice that an exempted project has been
    approved. FERC acted within its discretion when it held that
    the concern motivating its notice requirement in its prior cases
    is “sufficient time for stakeholder input,” and that the
    mechanisms MISO has in place to receive that input suffice to
    ISO New England from exempting projects needed within five years,
    instead requiring a three-year limit. 
    143 FERC ¶ 61,150
    , PP 237-38.
    The three-year period it applied here to MISO’s proposal is the same
    requirement it applied there.
    34
    accomplish that goal. Proposal Rehearing Order, 
    173 FERC ¶ 61,203
    , P 23. Again, FERC’s “interpretation of the
    parameters set by [its] own orders” and its “judgment involving
    regulatory policy at the core of [its] mission,” are “entitled to
    substantial deference. Sacramento Mun. Util. Dist. v. FERC,
    
    616 F.3d 520
    , 533 (D.C. Cir. 2010).
    CONCLUSION
    For the foregoing reasons, we deny the petitions for
    review.
    So ordered.
    ROGERS, Circuit Judge, dissenting in part and concurring
    in part. LSP petitions for review of FERC orders in two cases,
    contending that it has been denied the opportunity to bid on
    transmission projects. A threshold issue was whether LSP
    demonstrated that it has standing under Article III of the
    Constitution to bring these challenges. At oral argument in
    both cases LSP’s experienced counsel asserted that standing
    was self-evident, but candidly acknowledged in response to
    questions1 that LSP’s filings did not include specific evidence
    of its injury-in-fact, as required to establish standing.2 Because
    detailed averments in LSP’s supplemental affidavits filed in
    response to the court’s order, see Am. Orders, No. 20-1421 &
    No. 20-1465 (Feb. 28, 2022) (Rogers, J., not joining), suffice
    to demonstrate standing, I concur in holding LSP has standing
    and in rejecting LSP’s merits challenges to FERC’s orders.
    I.
    To establish standing under Article III, a party “must have
    (1) suffered an injury in fact, (2) that is fairly traceable to the
    challenged conduct of the defendant, and (3) that is likely to be
    redressed by a favorable judicial decision.” Twin Rivers Paper
    Co. LLC v. SEC, 
    934 F.3d 607
    , 612 (D.C. Cir. 2019) (quoting
    Spokeo, Inc. v. Robins, 
    136 S. Ct. 1540
     (2016)). “The party
    invoking the federal courts’ jurisdiction bears the burden of
    establishing each of those elements.” Util. Workers Union of
    Am. Local 464 v. FERC, 
    896 F.3d 573
    , 577 (D.C. Cir. 2018)
    (quoting Lujan v. Defs. of Wildlife, 
    504 U.S. 555
    , 561 (1992)).
    Where, as here, the petitions challenge FERC’s orders directly,
    the petitioner’s “burden of production” is “the same as that of
    a plaintiff moving for summary judgment in the district court:
    it must support each element of standing ‘by affidavit or other
    evidence,’ including whatever evidence the administrative
    1
    See OA Tr. No. 20-1421, at 14; OA Tr. No. 20-1465, at 11-12.
    2
    See OA Tr. No. 20-1421, at 14; OA Tr. No. 20-1465, at 11-12, 21-
    23.
    2
    record may already contain.” 
    Id.
     (quoting Sierra Club v. EPA,
    
    292 F.3d 895
    , 899-900 (D.C. Cir. 2002)). More is “requir[ed]”
    than “representations of counsel” in briefs, Sierra Club, 
    292 F.3d at 901
    , or a party’s “bare assertions,” Util. Workers Union,
    896 F.3d at 578. Standing may be self-evident “if the
    complainant is ‘an object of the action (or foregone action) at
    issue.’” Sierra Club, 
    292 F.3d at 900
     (quoting Lujan, 
    504 U.S. at 561-62
    ). But when, as here, “a petitioner is not directly
    regulated by the challenged [order],” Am. Fuel & Petro. Mfrs.
    v. EPA, 
    3 F.4th 373
    , 379 (D.C. Cir. 2021), standing is
    “ordinarily ‘substantially more difficult’ to establish,” Ass’n of
    Am. Physicians & Surgeons, Inc. v. Schiff, 
    23 F.4th 1028
    , 1032
    (D.C. Cir. 2022) (quoting Lujan, 505 U.S. at 562). More
    specifically, if standing is not “self-evident,” then there must
    either be evidence in the administrative record of the requisite
    injury or petitioners must file sworn affidavits with the opening
    briefs “substantiat[ing]” these injuries. Sierra Club, 
    292 F.3d at 900
    ; see D.C. Circuit Rule 28(a)(7) (incorporating Sierra
    Club, 
    292 F.3d at 900-01
    ).
    It is well settled that the petitioner invoking this court’s
    jurisdiction has the burden to provide evidence that it suffers
    an injury “that is both ‘concrete and particularized’ and ‘actual
    or imminent, not conjectural or hypothetical,’” New England
    Power Generators Ass’n, Inc. v. FERC, 
    707 F.3d 364
    , 368
    (D.C. Cir. 2013) (quoting Lujan 
    504 U.S. at 560-61
    ), because
    the injury “has either transpired or is ‘imminent.’” No Gas
    Pipeline v. FERC, 
    756 F.3d 764
    , 767 (D.C. Cir. 2014) (citing
    Occidental Permian Ltd. v. FERC, 
    673 F.3d 1024
    , 1026 (D.C.
    Cir. 2012)). The imminence requirement “ensure[s] that the
    alleged injury is not too speculative for Article III purposes,”
    Union of Concerned Scientists v. Dep’t of Energy, 
    998 F.3d 926
    , 929 (D.C. Cir. 2021) (quoting Clapper, 568 U.S. at 409),
    so assertions of incurring harm “some day,” Kans. Corp.
    Comm’n v. FERC, 
    881 F.3d 924
    , 930 (D.C. Cir. 2018) (quoting
    3
    Lujan, 
    504 U.S. at 564
    ), or dependent upon an “attenuated
    chain” of interim steps, 
    id.
     (quoting Clapper, 568 U.S. at 410),
    are insufficient.    Rather, the petitioner must “show a
    ‘substantial probability’ that all of these steps will occur and, if
    so, when.” Id. (quoting Am. Petroleum Inst. v. EPA, 
    216 F.3d 50
    , 63 (D.C. Cir. 2000)).
    Neither the Supreme Court nor this court has held that a
    bare assertion that a petitioner is “ready, willing, and able” to
    compete is sufficient to establish Article III injury-in-fact.
    Contra No. 20-1421, slip op. at 16; No. 20-1465, slip op. at 14.
    Nor was this argument advanced by LSP in its opening briefs.
    Cf. Schneider v. Kissinger, 
    412 F.3d 190
    , 200 n.1 (D.C. Cir.
    2005). As the court recently reiterated, “general averments,
    conclusory allegations, and speculative some day intentions are
    inadequate to demonstrate injury in fact.” Finnbin, LLC v.
    Consumer Prod. Safety Comm’n, No. 21-1180 (Aug. 2, 2022)
    (slip op. at 13) (quoting Worth v. Jackson, 
    451 F.3d 854
    , 858
    (D.C. Cir. 2006)). Thus, in LSP Transmission Holdings, LLC
    v. FERC (“LSP I”), 700 F. App’x 1 (D.C. Cir. 2017), the court
    found no standing where petitioners “identified no specific
    project” for which they were prevented from competing. Id. at
    *2. By contrast, in LSP Transmission Holdings II, LLC v.
    FERC (“LSP II”), 
    28 F.4th 1285
     (D.C. Cir. 2022), the court
    held petitioners had standing when they “identified” “thirty []
    projects” for which they were “denied the ability to bid.” 
    Id. at 1289
    .
    II.
    Although this court has identified limited circumstances
    where it may exercise its discretion to request that parties
    submit supplemental affidavits to establish their standing,
    those circumstances did not exist in the instant cases. For
    example, “if the parties reasonably, but mistakenly, believed
    4
    that the initial filings before the court had sufficiently
    demonstrated standing, the court may . . . request supplemental
    affidavits and briefing to determine whether the parties have
    met the requirements for standing.” Ams. For Safe Access v.
    DEA, 
    706 F.3d 438
     (D.C. Cir. 2013) (citing Pub. Citizen, Inc.
    v. Nat’l Highway Traffic Safety Admin., 
    489 F.3d 1279
    , 1296–
    97 (D.C. Cir. 2007)). And although LSP’s counsel in both
    cases acknowledged the insufficiency of their initial filings,
    they never requested that the court allow them to provide
    supplemental affidavits, as had occurred in American Library
    Ass’n v. FCC, 
    401 F.3d 489
    , 492 (D.C. Cir. 2005). See Cmtys.
    Against Runway Expansion, Inc. v. FAA, 
    335 F.3d 678
    , 684
    (D.C. Cir. 2004). Indeed it appears that LSP’s reluctance, in
    the absence of a court order to supplement the record here may
    stem from interim action by the Commission to afford
    petitioners like LSP the relief they sought, namely for the
    Commission to reconsider its requirements for approving
    transmission development plans. See Advance Notice of
    Proposed Rulemaking (July 15, 2021) (“2021 ANPR”), RM21-
    17-000, where there is a broad and comprehensive inquiry into
    the effects of its Orders on transmission planning and
    development, see 2021 ANPR, at 26, where LSP has submitted
    lengthy comments; No. 20-1421, Pet’rs’ Br. at 21-25; No. 20-
    1465, Pet’rs’ Br. at 26-30.
    Consequently, upon expanding circumstances for
    supplemental filings, the court ordered LSP to file
    supplemental submissions “to explain and substantiate their
    claim of standing.” See Am. Orders, at 1 (Feb. 28, 2022)
    (Rogers, J., not joining). 3 In the two cases now before the
    3
    LSP’s supplemental briefs in combination with its counsels’
    statements at oral argument suggest that petitioners “reasonably, but
    mistakenly, believed” that their initial filings were adequate to
    demonstrate Article III Standing. See Am. Orders, at 1-2 (Feb. 28,
    2022) (Rogers, J., not joining); OA Tr. No. 20-1421, at 6, 13, 22-23,
    5
    court, LSP’s initial submissions were insufficient to establish
    standing because they “failed to identify a ‘specific project’”
    for which petitioners were prevented from competing. LSP II,
    28 F.4th at 1289 (quoting LSP I, 700 F. App’x at *2). Being
    “ready, willing, and able” is not the standard under relevant
    precedent. This was clear at oral argument when LSP’s
    counsel could not identify evidence of its standing in either
    case. In No. 20-1421, the court inquired where it could find
    evidence that LSP “would have bid on” specific projects that
    were “erroneously” categorized. OA Tr. No. 20-1421, at 14.4
    Counsel responded citing pages in the record that do not
    identify such projects. Id. And when the court asked counsel
    where the record stated that LSP “competes on all projects,” he
    did not point the court to the information it requested. Id. at
    14. Likewise in No. 20-1465, counsel for LSP did not cite
    record evidence when asked to identify specific projects for
    which his client would compete, OA Tr. No. 20-1465, at 11-12,
    and did not assist the court when he was later prompted to
    “help” it find standing. Id. at 21-23.
    In both cases, however, LSP’s supplemented records
    rectify the deficiencies of its initial filings. In No. 20-1421,
    71; Supp. Br. Standing, No. 20-1421, at 3, 7, 9 (Mar. 9, 2022); OA
    Tr. No. 20-1465, at 11, 20; Supp. Br. Standing, No. 20-1465, at 3-4,
    6, 8 (Mar. 9, 2022).
    4
    Judge Pillard asked counsel “But where can I find a statement such
    as a manager declaration or, you know, CEO declaration, saying, we
    would have bid on these, these ones that are, that are erroneously
    treated as local rather than regional?” OA Tr. No. 20-1421, at 14.
    Judge Rogers asked counsel where in the record it stated that his
    client “competes on all projects.” Id. at 14. Judge Pillard also asked
    counsel “Where did you identify that those were projects that your
    clients would bid on?” OA Tr. No. 20-1465, at 11-12.
    6
    LSP’s President Paul Thessen avers that LSP would have
    competed on twelve specific projects identified in the
    complaint had the projects been subjected to competition: “I
    can state with confidence that had MISO conducted a
    competitive solicitation process for Baseline Reliability
    Projects providing regional benefits, such as the 12 projects
    referenced in the complaint, LS Power Midcontinent would
    have submitted proposals and constructed any awarded
    projects when and where permitted to do so.” Thessen Aff.,
    No. 20-1421, at 8 (Mar. 9, 2022). Additionally, Thessen
    averred that LSP would have competed for 113 projects
    approved by MISO in 2019 if competition had been available,
    and that LSP “would have competed on 2020 and 2021 projects
    when and where permitted had any been subject to
    competition.” Id. at 4. In No. 20-1465, Thessen’s affidavit
    avers “unequivocally yes,” that LSP’s affiliates
    “would . . . submit proposals if regionally beneficial economic
    projects between 100 kV and 229 kV or Market Efficiency
    Projects that are coupled with a Baseline Reliability Project
    were available for competition.” Thessen Aff., No. 20-1465,
    at 10 (Mar. 9, 2022).
    Further, Thessen points to projects at pages 11-13 of LSP’s
    Complaint as ones that have been excluded from competition
    due to their classification by the Midcontinent System
    Operator, Inc. (“MISO”) in the “Other Project Category.” Id.
    at 9. Thessen avers “with confidence that had MISO conducted
    a competitive solicitation process for some or all the economic
    projects that are the subject of the Complaint,” LSP’s affiliates
    “would have submitted proposals and constructed any awarded
    projects when and where permitted to do so.” Id. at 11.
    Thessen’s affidavits thereby suffice under the relevant
    precedent to establish LSP’s Article III standing by identifying
    specific projects for which LSP would compete, see LSP II, 28
    7
    F.4th at 1289 (citing LSP I, 700 F. App’x at 2), such that it is
    actually or imminently harmed by the challenged orders, see
    Clapper, 568 U.S. at 409-10. In both cases, therefore,
    Thessen’s declarations establish an imminent harm as a result
    of the challenged orders by “distinguish[ing]” LSP from “any
    other party who might someday wish to build” a facility. N.Y.
    Reg’l Interconnect, Inc. v. FERC, 
    634 F.3d 581
    , 587-88 (D.C.
    Cir. 2011).
    III.
    In view of the supplemented record establishing LSP’s
    Article III standing under binding precedent, I reach the merits
    of the challenges to FERC’s orders. For the reasons stated by
    the court in No. 20-1421, slip op. at 19-34 and No. 20-1465,
    slip op. at 17-34, I conclude that the petitions for review lack
    merit because FERC’s decisions were not arbitrary and
    capricious. Rather, while acknowledging flaws in some of
    LSP’s arguments on appeal, the court concluded that the
    Commission provided reasoned explanations for denying
    LSP’s petitions for review. For instance, noting the strength of
    LSP’s new evidence to show spillover of Baseline Reliability
    Project benefits to zones other than the local zone under the
    location cost-based allocation approach, it was a sufficiently
    small subset of projects (twelve out of 400) that the
    Commission, in light of its experience and expertise and
    responses to LSP’s arguments, could reasonably conclude that
    setting aside the cost-allocation method for all the projects was
    not required. See No. 20-1421, slip op. Part II.B, at 20.
    Accordingly, I dissent in part and concur in part.