Gerald Hawkins v. Debra Haaland ( 2021 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued November 23, 2020              Decided March 19, 2021
    No. 20-5074
    GERALD H. HAWKINS, INDIVIDUALLY AND AS A TRUSTEE OF
    THE CN HAWKINS TRUST AND GERALD H. HAWKINS AND
    CAROL H. HAWKINS TRUST, ET AL.,
    APPELLANTS
    v.
    DEBRA A. HAALAND, SECRETARY OF THE INTERIOR,
    ET AL.,
    APPELLEES
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the District of Columbia
    (No. 1:19-cv-01498)
    David J. Deerson argued the cause for appellants. With
    him on the briefs were Damien M. Schiff and Dominic M.
    Carollo.
    John L. Smeltzer, Attorney, U.S. Department of Justice,
    argued the cause for appellees. With him on the brief were
    Jeffrey Bossert Clark, Assistant Attorney General, Eric Grant,
    Deputy Assistant Attorney General, and Erika Kranz and
    Daron T. Carreiro, Attorneys.
    2
    Before: ROGERS, KATSAS and RAO, Circuit Judges.
    Opinion for the Court by Circuit Judge ROGERS.
    ROGERS, Circuit Judge: Ranchers in the Upper Klamath
    Basin region of the State of Oregon who hold irrigation water
    rights, sued to prevent the exercise of water rights that interfere
    with the irrigation of their lands. The district court dismissed
    their lawsuit for lack of standing under Article III of the
    Constitution. Viewing their standing to turn on whether the
    Klamath Tribes can call upon state officials to implement their
    superior instream water rights without the consent of the
    federal government, the ranchers challenge a Protocol
    Agreement executed by the United States and the Tribes. They
    contend that the federal government, as trustee of those water
    rights, unlawfully delegated its call-making authority to the
    Tribes and that absent such delegation, the Tribes would be
    unable to secure state implementation of their water rights. The
    ranchers maintain that the economic, environmental, and
    recreational injuries they suffered because of water cut offs
    imposed to satisfy the Tribes’ superior water rights are fairly
    traceable to the federal government’s delegation of its authority
    and could be redressed by invalidation of the Protocol, which
    would restore the federal government’s call-making authority.
    We conclude that the Protocol does not delegate federal
    authority to the Tribes but recognizes the Tribes’ preexisting
    authority to control their water rights under a Treaty in 1864
    with the United States. Accordingly, the ranchers have not
    established the causation or redressability necessary for
    standing, and the dismissal of their complaint is affirmed.
    I.
    The Klamath Tribes have hunted, fished, and lived in the
    Klamath River watershed of Southern Oregon for over a
    3
    thousand years. See Oregon Dep’t of Fish & Wildlife v.
    Klamath Indian Tribe, 
    473 U.S. 753
    , 766 (1985); United States
    v. Adair, 
    723 F.2d 1394
    , 1397–98 (9th Cir. 1983). In 1864, the
    Tribes entered into a treaty with the United States in which they
    ceded most of their aboriginal territory, approximately 22
    million acres, excluding approximately 1.9 million acres that
    the parties agreed would be held for the Tribes “as an Indian
    reservation.” Oregon Dep’t, 
    473 U.S. at 755
     (internal
    quotation marks omitted) (quoting Treaty Between the United
    States of America and the Klamath and Moadoc Tribes and
    Yahooskin Band of Snake Indians (“1864 Treaty”) art. I, Oct.
    14, 1864, 
    16 Stat. 707
    , 707–08).1 The Tribes reserved “the
    exclusive right of taking fish in the streams and lakes” on the
    reservation, 1864 Treaty art. I, 16 Stat. at 708, and of
    “gathering edible roots, seeds, and berries within its limits,” id.,
    and the United States agreed to compensate the Tribes for the
    ceded lands in the form of federal expenditures to promote the
    Tribes’ well-being and “advance them in civilization . . .
    especially agriculture,” id. art. II, 16 Stat. at 708.
    After establishing the Klamath Reservation, Congress
    enacted the General Allotment Act of 1887, which authorized
    subdivision of the reservation and allotment of parcels granted
    in fee to individual members of the Tribes, as part of a policy,
    since repudiated, “to extinguish tribal sovereignty, erase
    reservation boundaries, and force the assimilation of Indians
    into the society at large.” Upper Skagit Indian Tribe v.
    Lundgren, 
    138 S. Ct. 1649
    , 1652–53 (2018) (internal quotation
    marks omitted) (quoting Cnty. of Yakima v. Confederated
    1
    The Klamath Tribes are federally recognized as a single tribal
    entity, but that entity is composed of three historically distinct
    groups: the Klamath tribe, the Modoc tribe, and the Yahooskin band
    of Snake Indians. See 1864 Treaty preamble, 16 Stat. at 707. The
    court follows the practice of the parties to refer to “the Tribes” while
    some older sources refer to the Klamath as a single “tribe.”
    4
    Tribes & Bands of the Yakima Indian Nation, 
    502 U.S. 251
    ,
    254 (1992)). Since then Congress has addressed the federal
    government’s relationship to the Tribes in ways directly
    relevant here. Nearly a century later, Congress ended the
    federal government’s historical role as trustee while
    reaffirming the Tribes’ reserved aboriginal water rights. By
    1986, Congress had restored certain of its trustee services to the
    Tribes, but again expressly left the Tribes’ aboriginal water
    rights in the Tribes’ exclusive control.2
    The Klamath Termination Act of 1954 terminated federal
    supervision of the Tribes and provided for disposition of their
    reservation land that had not been allotted. Pub. L. No. 83-587,
    § 1, 
    68 Stat. 718
    , 718. It closed the tribal roll and provided that
    tribal members could elect to withdraw from the Tribes and
    receive a cash payout of the individual’s interest in tribal
    property. Termination Act §§ 3–5, 68 Stat. at 718–19. The
    Tribes’ property could be appraised and sold to fund individual
    cash payments. Id. § 5, 68 Stat. at 719. The property of the
    remaining members of the Tribes would be managed by a
    private trustee or corporation. Id. All restrictions on sale or
    encumbrance of land owned by members of the Tribes would
    be removed four years after the Act became effective. Id. § 8,
    68 Stat. at 720. Specifically, the Termination Act provided:
    Upon removal of Federal restrictions on the property
    of the tribe and individual members thereof, the
    2
    Regarding the federal government’s trust relationship with Indian
    tribes, see COHEN’S HANDBOOK OF FEDERAL INDIAN LAW
    §§ 5.05(1)(b)–(2), 15.03, 19.06 (Nell Jessup Newton ed., 2017)
    (hereinafter “COHEN’S HANDBOOK”); see also Reid Peyton
    Chambers, Judicial Enforcement of the Federal Trust Responsibility
    to Indians, 27 STAN. L. REV. 1213 (1975); Mary Christina Wood,
    Indian Land and the Promise of Native Sovereignty: The Trust
    Doctrine Revisited, 1994 UTAH L. REV. 1471.
    5
    Secretary [of the Interior] shall publish in the Federal
    Register a proclamation declaring that the Federal
    trust relationship to the affairs of the tribe and its
    members has terminated. Thereafter individual
    members of the tribe shall not be entitled to any of the
    services performed by the United States for Indians
    because of their status as Indians and, except as
    otherwise provided in this Act, all statutes of the
    United States which affect Indians because of their
    status as Indians shall no longer be applicable to the
    members of the tribe, and the laws of the several
    States shall apply to the tribe and its members in the
    same manner as they apply to other citizens or persons
    within their jurisdiction.
    Id. § 18(a), 68 Stat. at 722. Regarding water and fishing rights,
    the Termination Act provided:
    (a)     Nothing in this Act shall abrogate any water
    rights of the tribe and its members, and the
    laws of the State of Oregon with respect to the
    abandonment of water rights by nonuse shall
    not apply to the tribe and its members until
    fifteen years after the [termination of the
    federal trust relationship to the tribe].
    (b)     Nothing in this Act shall abrogate any fishing
    rights or privileges of the tribe or the members
    thereof enjoyed under Federal treaty.
    Id. § 14, 68 Stat. at 722.
    About 78% of the Tribes’ members elected to withdraw
    and receive a payout. Klamath & Modoc Tribes v. United
    States, 
    436 F.2d 1008
    , 1012 (Ct. Cl. 1971). Reservation
    property not set aside to pay their claims was transferred to a
    6
    private trustee. 
    Id.
     In 1961, the Secretary of the Interior
    published a notice in the Federal Register that “the Federal trust
    relationship to the affairs of the tribe and its members is
    terminated.” Termination of the Federal Trust Relationship to
    the Property of the Klamath Tribe of Indians Located in the
    State of Oregon, and of Federal Supervision Over the Affairs
    of the Individual Members Thereof, 
    26 Fed. Reg. 7362
    , 7362
    (Aug. 12, 1961).
    In 1986, Congress unwound some of the effects of the
    Termination Act. The Klamath Indian Tribe Restoration Act
    of 1986 restored the Federal trust relationship with the Tribes.
    It provided:
    All rights and privileges of the tribe and the members
    of the tribe under any Federal treaty, Executive order,
    agreement, or statute, or any other Federal authority,
    which may have been diminished or lost under the
    [1954 Termination Act] are restored, and the
    provisions of such Act, to the extent that they are
    inconsistent with this Act, shall be inapplicable to the
    tribe and to members of the tribe after the date of the
    enactment of this Act.
    Pub. L. No. 99-398, § 2(b), 
    100 Stat. 849
    , 849. The Tribes were
    restored to the status of a federally recognized tribe. 
    Id.
     § 2(a),
    100 Stat. at 849. The Act specified that it did not “alter any
    property right or obligation,” and thus did not restore
    previously alienated lands to the Tribes’ land base. See id.
    §§ 2(d), 6, 100 Stat. at 850. It also expressly provided that the
    Act would not “affect in any manner any hunting, fishing,
    trapping, gathering, or water right of the tribe and its
    members.” Id. § 5, 100 Stat. at 850. The United States
    presently recognizes the Tribes as a tribal sovereign, 
    25 U.S.C. §§ 3601
    (3), 5123(h), with inherent powers of self-government,
    7
    including powers over land and water rights except as reserved
    by Congress. See Kahawaiolaa v. Norton, 
    386 F.3d 1271
    , 1273
    (9th Cir. 2004); Burlington N. R.R. Co. v. Blackfeet Tribe of the
    Blackfeet Indian Rsrv., 
    924 F.2d 899
    , 902 (9th Cir. 1991),
    overruled on other grounds by Big Horn Cnty. Elec. Co-op.,
    Inc. v. Adams, 
    219 F.3d 944
    , 953 (9th Cir. 2000); see also
    Michigan v. Bay Mills Indian Cmty., 
    572 U.S. 782
    , 788 (2014);
    Oregon Dep’t, 
    473 U.S. at
    765–66; United States v. Shoshone
    Tribe of Indians of Wind River Rsrv., 
    304 U.S. 111
    , 116–17
    (1938); Indian Entities Recognized by and Eligible to Receive
    Services from the United States Bureau of Indian Affairs, 
    84 Fed. Reg. 1200
    , 1202 (Feb. 1, 2019).
    A.
    Prior to passage of the Restoration Act, the determination
    of competing claims to water in the Klamath Basin was
    underway in the federal courts and under Oregon law. The
    Tribes’ reserved water rights arise as an exception to the
    doctrine of prior appropriation governing rights to use water
    from river systems in Oregon and other western states, based
    on acknowledgement that the establishment of an Indian
    reservation and other federal reservations impliedly reserves
    then-unappropriated water “to the extent needed to accomplish
    the purpose of the reservation.” Cappaert v. United States, 
    426 U.S. 128
    , 138 (1976).
    In 1975, the United States sued in federal court for a
    declaration of water rights in the Williamson River drainage in
    the Klamath Basin. Adair, 723 F.2d at 1398. The Tribes
    intervened as a plaintiff. Id. at 1399. The State of Oregon
    intervened as defendant and moved unsuccessfully for the
    federal court to abstain to state proceedings. Id. The Court of
    Appeals for the Ninth Circuit concluded that the Tribes held a
    right to “a quantity of the water flowing through the reservation
    8
    . . . for the purpose of maintaining the [Tribes’] treaty right to
    hunt and fish on reservation lands.” Id. at 1410. The right is
    “non-consumptive” in that the holder is not entitled to
    withdraw water from the stream but has “the right to prevent
    other appropriators from depleting the stream[’s] waters below
    a protected level in any area where the non-consumptive right
    applies.” Id. at 1411. Further, the right carried a priority date
    of “time immemorial,” and the amount of water protected
    under the right was not to the flows present at the 1864 Klamath
    Treaty, but rather to “the amount of water necessary to support
    its hunting and fishing rights as currently exercised to maintain
    the livelihood of Tribe members.”              Id. at 1414–15.
    Additionally, the court concluded that:
    [T]he [federal] [g]overnment has no ownership
    interest in, or right to control the use of, the Klamath
    Tribe’s hunting and fishing water rights. The hunting
    and fishing rights from which these water rights arise
    by necessary implication were reserved by the Tribe
    in the 1864 treaty with the United States. The hunting
    and fishing rights themselves belong to the Tribe and
    may not be transferred to a third party. Because the
    Klamath Tribe’s treaty right to hunt and fish is not
    transferable, it follows that no subsequent transferee
    may acquire that right of use or the reserved water
    necessary to fulfill that use.
    Id. at 1418 (citations omitted). The court proceeded to
    determine the extent of the federal government’s own water
    right, id. at 1418–19, while leaving the quantification of the
    Tribes’ water right to be determined in the state proceeding, id.
    at 1399, 1407. In 1952, Congress had adopted the McCarran
    Amendment, 
    43 U.S.C. § 666
    (a), which waived the United
    States’ sovereign immunity and granted consent to join the
    9
    United States in any suit for the adjudication of rights to use of
    a river system or other source.
    Under Oregon law, a call system is used to allocate water.
    The process, as relevant, begins when the Oregon Water
    Resources Department (“OWRD”) collects the water claims
    submitted by various persons, resolves objections to them, and
    as needed holds a hearing on the claims. 
    Or. Rev. Stat. §§ 539.021
    , .030, .100, .110. OWRD will issue “findings of
    fact and an order of determination . . . establishing the several
    rights to the waters of the stream.” 
    Id.
     § 539.130(1). Upon
    issuance of the order, OWRD’s administrative determination is
    in “full force and effect.” Id. § 539.130(4). OWRD files its
    findings and order, along with the administrative record, in
    Oregon Circuit Court for a non-jury adjudication, where
    exceptions can be filed. Id. § 539.130(1), .150. While the
    matter is pending before the Circuit Court, the division of water
    from the stream involved in the appeal is made in accordance
    with the order of OWRD. Id. § 539.170. Upon the “final
    determination” of water rights, OWRD will issue “a certificate
    setting forth the name and post-office address of the owner of
    the right; the priority of the date, extent and purpose of the
    right, and if the water is for irrigation purposes, a description
    of the legal subdivisions of land to which the water is
    appurtenant.” Id. § 539.140. To administer determined water
    rights, OWRD has established water districts, id. § 540.010,
    whose “watermasters” allocate water in accordance with the
    users’ existing water rights of record in the OWRD, id.
    §§ 540.020, .045(1)(a), with authority — when a holder of
    water rights has placed a “call” for water — to suspend
    conflicting upstream usages, see 
    Or. Admin. R. 690
    -025-0025.
    In 1975, the Klamath Basin Adjudication began when
    OWRD announced the intent to investigate usage of the
    Klamath River. The Tribes and the federal government filed
    10
    the water enforcement claims at issue in 1997. The federal
    government’s claims (Nos. 625–40) included claims on behalf
    of the Tribes, whose trust relationship had by then been
    restored; the Tribes filed their own claim (No. 612), which
    incorporated the claims made by the federal government.
    Following a lengthy administrative process, an administrative
    law judge in 2011 issued a proposed order approving the claims
    of the federal government and the Tribes and quantifying the
    flows “necessary to establish a healthy and productive habitat
    to allow the exercise of the Klamath Tribes’ hunting, fishing,
    trapping, and gathering rights guaranteed by the treaty of
    1864.”3 OWRD’s Administrative Determination largely
    confirmed the ALJ’s proposal as to the federal government’s
    claims, but dismissed the Tribes’ omnibus claim (No. 612) as
    “duplicative of the United States’ claims, not additive,”
    because “[t]he United States holds the rights recognized herein
    in trust for the Klamath Tribes.”                Administrative
    Determination, supra note 3, at 4898, 5074 (citing Colorado
    River Water Conservation Dist. v. United States, 
    424 U.S. 800
    ,
    810 (1976)). It also provisionally confirmed water rights
    claimed by the ranchers with priority dates of 1864 or later,
    including irrigation water rights acquired from reservation
    allottees. See Am. Compl. ¶¶ 5, 8. OWRD filed its
    Administrative Determination in the Oregon Circuit Court, 
    Or. Rev. Stat. § 539.130
    (1), and the parties here, and other
    claimants, filed exceptions, 
    id.
     § 539.150. The Oregon Circuit
    Court recently issued an opinion on Phase 3, Part 1, Group C
    Motions, In re Waters of the Klamath River Basin, No.
    3
    Amended Corrected Findings of Fact and Order of Determination
    at 5153, Klamath River Basin General Stream Adjudication (Feb. 28,
    2014),        https://www.oregon.gov/owrd/programs/WaterRights/
    Adjudications/KlamathRiverBasinAdj/Pages/ACFFOD.aspx
    (hereinafter “Administrative Determination”).
    11
    WA1300001 (Or. Cir. Ct. Feb. 24, 2021) (“Or. Cir. Ct. Op.,
    Feb. 24, 2021”).
    The Tribes and the federal government executed a
    Protocol Agreement following OWRD’s Administrative
    Determination in order “to position themselves to make [water
    rights] calls in a timely and effective manner.” Protocol at 1
    (May 2013). It provided that “[e]ach Party retains its
    independent right to make a call” and that if after following a
    consultation procedure “the Parties cannot agree on whether to
    make a call, either Party may independently make a call and
    the other will not object to the call.” Id. at 3. As amended in
    2019, the Protocol extends some consultation deadlines and
    adds that “the United States retains the right not to concur with
    any call for water that is inconsistent with the [Administrative
    Determination] or other legal obligations.” Protocol at 4 (Mar.
    2019).
    In June 2013, the Tribes issued enforcement calls to
    OWRD. Am. Compl. ¶ 25. Oregon, the Tribes, and
    landowners including most of the ranchers here then entered
    into the Upper Klamath Basin Comprehensive Agreement (the
    “Upper Basin Agreement”). Id. ¶ 26. The Tribes agreed to
    forbear from enforcing the full extent of their reserved instream
    water rights in exchange for commitments by the other parties
    as to water use, riparian protection, and economic
    development.       Notice Regarding Upper Klamath Basin
    Comprehensive Agreement, 
    82 Fed. Reg. 61,582
    , 61,582–83
    (Dec. 28, 2017) (“Notice”). During 2014–16, the Tribes made
    calls for flows at these lower levels. Am. Compl. ¶ 29. But, in
    2017, citing a lack of progress in implementing the promised
    benefits, the Tribes reverted to the higher water levels under
    OWRD’s Administrative Determination. Id. ¶ 30. The federal
    government terminated the Upper Basin Agreement in view of
    Congress’s failure to approve the necessary funding. Notice,
    12
    82 Fed. Reg. at 61,583–84. In 2018 and 2019, the Tribes again
    issued calls for the full enforcement of their water rights. Am.
    Compl. ¶¶ 31–32.
    B.
    The ranchers filed the instant lawsuit against the federal
    government in May 2019. In their amended complaint, they
    alleged that after termination of the Upper Basin Agreement,
    the Tribes “by and through the power and authority delegated
    by” the federal government issued calls for enforcement of the
    full extent of their instream flow water rights. Am. Compl.
    ¶¶ 31–32. OWRD’s enforcement of these calls, they alleged,
    resulted in “widespread and severe curtailment” of water rights
    for irrigation use on their lands, resulting in environmental and
    economic injury, and that similar injury will result from future
    calls. Id. ¶¶ 31–38. Specifically, the ranchers alleged they
    have suffered and will continue to suffer the following injuries:
    (1) reduction of wildlife on their ranches, (2) infestation of
    undesirable plants, (3) the loss of plant communities, (4) lost
    revenues, and (5) reduced property values. Id. ¶¶ 36–37. The
    ranchers argued that the Protocol constitutes an unlawful
    delegation to the Tribes of the federal government’s authority
    to decide whether to concur in a call. Id. ¶¶ 41–46. Further,
    they argued that the calls made in 2013 and 2017–19
    constituted major federal actions for which an environmental
    impact statement should have been prepared under the National
    Environmental Policy Act (“NEPA”). Id. ¶¶ 47–53. As a
    remedy, they asked the district court to set aside the Protocol,
    all previous calls, and to enjoin any future calls by the federal
    government until it “fully complied with the law,” including
    “to make a final, independent decision on the propriety of a
    call, having taken into account the general public interest and
    welfare, as well as NEPA.” Id.
    13
    The district court dismissed the complaint for lack of
    Article III standing. The court determined that the Klamath
    Tribes “are entitled to enforce their senior water rights . . .
    regardless of whether the Protocol . . . stand[s].” Mem. Op. 18
    (Jan. 31, 2020). The ranchers thus could not demonstrate that
    their injuries were traceable to the challenged Protocol or to
    any action of the federal government. Id. at 10–15. Nor could
    they show redressability because even if the federal
    government were prohibited from enforcing the Tribes’ rights,
    the district court concluded, the Tribes would do so themselves,
    resulting in the same hardships to the ranchers. Id. at 15–21.
    The ranchers appeal.
    II.
    To establish standing to litigate in the federal courts,
    Article III of the Constitution requires a plaintiff to “present an
    injury that is concrete, particularized, and actual or imminent;
    fairly traceable to the defendant’s challenged behavior; and
    likely to be redressed by a favorable ruling.” Dep’t of
    Commerce v. New York, 
    139 S. Ct. 2551
    , 2565 (2019) (internal
    quotation marks omitted) (quoting Davis v. Fed. Election
    Comm’n, 
    554 U.S. 724
    , 733 (2008)). Causation requires a
    “fairly traceable connection between the plaintiff’s injury and
    the complained-of conduct of the defendant.” Steel Co. v.
    Citizens for a Better Env’t, 
    523 U.S. 83
    , 103 (1998). And
    redressability requires a litigant to demonstrate “a likelihood
    that the requested relief will redress the alleged injury.” 
    Id.
    The ranchers frame their claims in terms of procedural
    injury. They concede that as junior appropriators they have no
    right to water that infringes the Tribes’ instream rights,
    Appellants’ Br. 5–7, and priority enforcement of water rights
    through a call system is in accordance with the nature of those
    rights under Oregon law, see Montana v. Wyoming, 
    563 U.S. 14
    368, 375–76 (2011); Klamath Irrigation Dist. v. United States,
    
    227 P.3d 1145
    , 1150 (Or. 2010).
    To establish traceability in a procedural-injury case, “an
    adequate causal chain must contain at least two links:” (1) a
    connection between the omitted procedure and a government
    decision and (2) a connection between the government decision
    and the plaintiff’s particularized injury. WildEarth Guardians
    v. Jewell, 
    738 F.3d 298
    , 306 (D.C. Cir. 2013) (internal
    quotation marks omitted) (quoting Fla. Audubon Soc’y v.
    Bentsen, 
    94 F.3d 658
    , 668 (D.C. Cir. 1996)). The plaintiff is
    not required to “show that but for the alleged procedural
    deficiency the agency would have reached a different
    substantive result. ‘All that is necessary is to show that the
    procedural step was connected to the substantive result.’” 
    Id.
    (citations omitted) (quoting Massachusetts v. EPA, 
    549 U.S. 497
    , 518 (2007)). Claims for procedural violations also receive
    a “relaxed redressability requirement” in which the plaintiff
    need only show that “correcting the alleged procedural
    violation could still change the substantive outcome in the
    [plaintiff’s] favor” not “that it would effect such a change.”
    Narragansett Indian Tribal Historic Pres. Office v. FERC, 
    949 F.3d 8
    , 13 (D.C. Cir. 2020). These relaxed standards do not
    apply to the link between the government decision and the
    plaintiff’s injury. See WildEarth Guardians, 738 F.3d at 306.
    “[Alt]hough the plaintiff in a procedural-injury case is relieved
    of having to show that proper procedures would have caused
    the agency to take a different substantive action, the plaintiff
    must still show that the agency action was the cause of some
    redressable injury to the plaintiff.” Arpaio v. Obama, 
    797 F.3d 11
    , 21 (D.C. Cir. 2015) (internal quotation marks omitted)
    (quoting Renal Physicians Ass’n v. U.S. Dep’t of Health &
    Human Servs., 
    489 F.3d 1267
    , 1279 (D.C. Cir. 2007)).
    15
    Notably here, “[w]here traceability and redressability
    depend on the conduct of a third party not before the court
    ‘standing is not precluded, but it is ordinarily substantially
    more difficult to establish.’” Competitive Enter. Inst. v. FCC,
    
    970 F.3d 372
    , 381 (D.C. Cir. 2020) (quoting Lujan v. Defs. of
    Wildlife, 
    504 U.S. 555
    , 562 (1992)). “The party invoking our
    jurisdiction must show that the third party will act ‘in such
    manner as to produce causation and permit redressability of
    injury.’” 
    Id.
     A permissible theory of standing “does not rest
    on mere speculation about the decisions of third parties; it relies
    instead on the predictable effect of Government action on the
    decisions of third parties.” Dep’t of Commerce, 
    139 S. Ct. at 2566
    .
    The ranchers trace their alleged injuries to OWRD orders
    that compelled them to curtail irrigation of their lands. Am.
    Compl. ¶¶ 25, 30–32. Those orders follow from the Tribes’
    calls for enforcement of their reserved water rights. 
    Id.
     ¶¶ 22–
    25, 29–33. The Tribes and OWRD are third parties not joined
    as defendants in the ranchers’ lawsuit here. Instead, the
    ranchers sued only the federal government on the premise that
    the Tribes would be unable to obtain enforcement of their calls
    for water in the absence of concurrence by the federal
    government. Am. Compl. ¶¶ 2, 38. To determine whether the
    ranchers have standing, the court must determine whether the
    federal government’s concurrence in or non-objection to the
    Tribes’ enforcement calls will have a predictable effect on the
    OWRD watermaster’s issuance of orders that require the
    ranchers to curtail irrigation of their lands. For the following
    reasons, we conclude that no such concurrence requirement
    exists under federal or Oregon law, and that, consequently, the
    ranchers cannot establish the causation or redressability
    necessary for standing.
    16
    A.
    The Tribes’ water rights have their source in federal law.
    The 1864 Klamath Treaty extinguished the Tribes’ title to
    ceded lands while preserving their “exclusive right” to hunt and
    fish on reservation land. Art. I, 16 Stat. at 707–08. The scope
    of the Tribes’ water rights under the Treaty is a question of
    federal law. Under the “reserved water rights” doctrine, when
    the federal government creates an Indian reservation, it
    impliedly reserves “that amount of water necessary to fulfill the
    purpose of the reservation.” Cappaert, 
    426 U.S. at 141
    . The
    1864 Treaty thus reserved to the Tribes “a quantity of the water
    flowing through the reservation . . . for the purpose of
    maintaining [their] treaty right to hunt and fish on reservation
    lands.” Adair, 723 F.2d at 1410. The nature of the federal
    government’s trust relationship with the Tribes is also
    governed by federal law, and the ranchers’ understanding of
    the federal government’s role and the Protocol is
    “fundamentally in error.” Appellees’ Br. 24.
    The principles announced by the Supreme Court disfavor
    the ranchers’ assertion of standing. In United States v. Mitchell
    (“Mitchell I”), 
    445 U.S. 535
     (1980), individual Indians who
    had been allotted former reservation land sought damages from
    the federal government for failing its fiduciary duties to
    maximize the value of timber on the allotted land. 
    Id. at 537
    .
    The Supreme Court concluded that under the General
    Allotment Act “the trust Congress placed on allotted lands is of
    limited scope,” and held, therefore, that the Act did not give
    rise to a claim for breach of fiduciary duty of timber
    management. 
    Id.
     at 542–43, 546. On remand, the U.S. Court
    of Claims interpreted various statutes and regulations related to
    timber management to impose fiduciary duties on the federal
    government as trustee. The Supreme Court affirmed, holding
    in United States v. Mitchell (“Mitchell II”), 
    463 U.S. 206
    17
    (1983), that the cited statutes and regulations vested in the
    federal government “full responsibility to manage Indian
    resources and land for the benefit of the Indians” and thereby
    “establish[ed] a fiduciary relationship and define[d] the
    contours of the United States’ fiduciary responsibilities.” 
    Id. at 224
    . Although this conclusion was “reinforced by the
    undisputed existence of a general trust relationship between the
    United States and the Indian people,” the Court principally
    grounded its holding on the text of the statues and regulations,
    which “clearly establish[ed] fiduciary obligations of the
    [federal government] in the management” of the lands and
    resources at issue. 
    Id.
     at 224–26; see also COHEN’S HANDBOOK
    § 5.05(1)(b).
    This court applied these principles in Shoshone-Bannock
    Tribes v. Reno, 
    56 F.3d 1476
     (D.C. Cir. 1995). There, as here,
    a state had commenced a general stream adjudication and
    joined the United States. 
    Id. at 1478
    . The Shoshone-Bannock
    Tribes argued that they were entitled to water rights beyond
    their reservation’s boundaries based on a treaty provision
    granting them the right to hunt on unoccupied land outside the
    reservation. 
    Id.
     When the federal government declined to
    assert the off-reservation claims on their behalf, the tribes filed
    suit seeking to compel the U.S. Attorney General to file their
    claims. 
    Id. at 1479
    . This court acknowledged that under the
    federal doctrine reserved water rights on Indian reservations
    “belong to the Indians rather than to the United States, which
    holds them only as trustee.” 
    Id.
     Recognizing that the Attorney
    General generally retained discretion to conduct litigation on
    behalf of the United States, the court noted that the tribes had
    identified no statute or other restriction limiting that discretion.
    
    Id.
     at 1480–82. Explaining, the court stated:
    While it is true that the United States acts in a
    fiduciary capacity in its dealings with Indian tribal
    18
    property, it is also true that the government’s fiduciary
    responsibilities necessarily depend on the substantive
    laws creating those obligations. We agree with the
    district court that an Indian tribe cannot force the
    government to take a specific action unless a treaty,
    statute or agreement imposes, expressly or by
    implication, that duty.
    
    Id. at 1482
     (citations omitted). The “‘mere existence’ of the
    Treaty [did not] require[] the federal government to protect
    whatever [water claims] the Tribes may wish to advance.” 
    Id.
    Neither the 1864 Klamath Treaty, nor the 1954
    Termination Act, nor the 1986 Restoration Act establish a trust
    relationship between the federal government and the Tribes
    that requires the federal government to concur in the Tribes’
    calls for enforcement of their reserved instream water rights.
    Article I of the Treaty guaranteed the Tribes’ “exclusive”
    hunting and fishing rights on the reservation. That exclusive
    right was expressly acknowledged by Congress as to the
    reserved water rights in both the Termination Act and the
    Restoration Act. Those Acts provided as well that nothing in
    their provisions would “affect in any manner any . . . water right
    of the tribe and its members,” Restoration Act § 5, 100 Stat. at
    850, or “abrogate any water rights of the tribe and its
    members,” Termination Act § 14(a), 68 Stat. at 722. Despite
    restoring federal recognition to the Tribes and the “rights and
    privileges” that might have been diminished under the
    Termination Act, section 5 of the Restoration Act expressly
    carved out the Tribes’ exclusive rights guaranteed by the
    Treaty.      The federal government’s historical trustee
    relationship with Indian tribes was thereby limited so as not to
    interfere with the Tribes’ exclusive rights under Article I of the
    1864 Treaty.
    19
    In short, as was true before the Restoration Act, the federal
    government has “no ownership interest in, or right to control
    the use of, the Klamath Tribe’s hunting and fishing” rights and
    attendant reserved water rights. Adair, 723 F.2d at 1418; see
    Oregon Dep’t, 
    473 U.S. at
    765–68. Neither statutory text nor
    the historical trusteeship that existed prior to the Termination
    Act indicate that Congress intended in the Restoration Act to
    require the federal government’s concurrence for the Tribes’
    instream calls to be effective. They do not require the federal
    government to assume “elaborate control,” Mitchell II, 
    463 U.S. at
    224–25, over the Tribes’ water rights. Nor would such
    a requirement be a “right,” “privilege,” “service,” or “benefit”
    within the meaning of section 2 of the Restoration Act, 100
    Stat. at 849. To the contrary, such a concurrence requirement
    would directly interfere with the Tribes’ exercise of their
    sovereignty, here their assertion and control of their reserved
    water rights. See Restoration Act § 5, 100 Stat. at 850. See
    generally COHEN’S HANDBOOK § 19.06. Indeed the federal
    government maintains that it was obligated, if asked, to concur
    in lawful water calls proposed by the Tribes. This court
    previously held that despite the existence of a trust relationship
    “an Indian tribe cannot force the government to take a specific
    action unless a treaty, statute, or agreement imposes, expressly
    or by implication, that duty.” Shoshone-Bannock Tribes, 
    56 F.3d at 1482
    . The court need not consider whether that
    standard was met here given our conclusion that the Tribes
    were free to make calls in the exercise of their treaty rights.
    B.
    The heart of the ranchers’ argument is that a concurrence
    requirement is found in Oregon law, which is made applicable
    to the Klamath Basin Adjudication by the McCarran
    20
    Amendment of 1952, 
    43 U.S.C. § 666
    (a).4 Appellants’ Br. 13–
    24. In Colorado River Water Conservation District v. United
    States, 
    424 U.S. 800
     (1976), the Supreme Court held that the
    McCarran Amendment is properly understood to reach Indian
    reserved water rights held in trust on behalf of Indians. 
    Id. at 809
    . The Supreme Court emphasized that in “resolv[ing]
    conflicting claims to a scarce resource,” 
    id. at 812
    , such state
    jurisdiction “in no way abridges any substantive claim on
    behalf of Indians under the doctrine of reserved rights,” 
    id. at 813
    . The McCarran Amendment, then, does not change the
    fact that the substance and scope of tribal water rights is
    governed by federal law. Arizona v. San Carlos Apache Tribe
    of Ariz., 
    463 U.S. 545
    , 571 (1983). Necessarily, “[s]tate courts,
    as much as federal courts, have a solemn obligation to follow
    federal law.” 
    Id.
     Still, in submitting federal water right
    4
    The McCarran Amendment provides:
    Consent is given to join the United States as a defendant in
    any suit (1) for the adjudication of rights to the use of water
    of a river system or other source, or (2) for the
    administration of such rights, where it appears that the
    United States is the owner of or is in the process of
    acquiring water rights by appropriation under State law, by
    purchase, by exchange, or otherwise, and the United States
    is a necessary party to such suit. The United States, when
    a party to any such suit, shall (1) be deemed to have waived
    any right to plead that the State laws are inapplicable or
    that the United States is not amenable thereto by reason of
    its sovereignty, and (2) shall be subject to the judgments,
    orders, and decrees of the court having jurisdiction, and
    may obtain review thereof, in the same manner and to the
    same extent as a private individual under like
    circumstances: Provided, That no judgment for costs shall
    be entered against the United States in any such suit.
    
    43 U.S.C. § 666
    (a).
    21
    controversies to state courts for “adjudication” or
    “administration,” the Supreme Court concluded that state
    procedural rules apply because the McCarran Amendment
    “bespeaks a policy that recognizes the availability of
    comprehensive state systems for adjudication of water rights,”
    which advance the goal of avoiding piecemeal proceedings and
    inconsistent dispositions. Colorado River, 
    424 U.S. at 819
    ; see
    United States v. Idaho ex rel. Idaho Dep’t of Water Res., 
    508 U.S. 1
    , 6–8 (1993).
    The ranchers maintain that requiring the concurrence of
    the legal title holder (i.e., the trustee) is a state procedural rule
    to which the McCarran Amendment subjects the Tribes’
    reserved water rights. The federal government suggests that
    even if there were such a rule, it would be a substantive one
    that flows from the nature of the trust relationship, not state
    procedure. Appellees’ Br. 32–33. We need not resolve that
    question because none of the four sources of an Oregon-law
    concurrence requirement offered by the ranchers show that
    Oregon law requires the federal government to concur in the
    Tribes’ calls for their reserved water rights held in trust.
    (1) Fort Vannoy Irrigation District v. Water Resources
    Commission, 
    188 P.3d 277
     (Or. 2008). The ranchers
    characterize Fort Vannoy as establishing a general rule that “a
    call for the implementation of water rights that are held in trust
    must be approved by the holder of legal title.” Appellants’ Br.
    16. No such broad proposition is found in Fort Vannoy. There,
    Ken-Wal Farms had filed an application to change the points
    of diversion for water under two water rights certificates, which
    had been issued to the Fort Vannoy Irrigation District. Fort
    Vannoy, 188 P.3d at 280–81. By Oregon statute, the “holder
    of any water use subject to transfer” is given the authority to
    seek a change of the point of diversion. Id. at 281 (quoting 
    Or. Rev. Stat. § 540.510
    (1)). An irrigation district to facilitate the
    22
    construction of irrigation works is formed upon proposal of
    landowners, governed by an elected board of directors, and has
    the power to acquire lands for reservoirs or other purposes. Id.
    at 286. The “legal title to all such property ‘vests in the
    irrigation district and is held by it in trust.’” Id. (alterations
    omitted) (quoting 
    Or. Rev. Stat. § 545.253
    ). The narrow
    question in Fort Vannoy was whether such a district is the
    “holder of any water use subject to transfer,” when it receives
    the certificate to a particular water right. Id. at 286, 288.
    In identifying the “holder,” the court in Fort Vannoy
    examined the trust relationship between the irrigation district
    and its members. Id. at 295. The trust relationship was not
    governed by federal Indian law; instead, a state statute
    established that property acquired by the district would be held
    in trust and the board was empowered “to hold, use, acquire,
    manage, occupy, possess and dispose of the property as
    provided in the Irrigation District Law.” Id. (quoting 
    Or. Rev. Stat. § 545.253
    ). Relying in part on the Oregon law of private
    trusts, the court in Fort Vannoy concluded that “the phrase
    ‘holder of any water use subject to transfer’ cannot be
    construed as referring to Ken–Wal, because such a construction
    would run afoul of the trust relationship by permitting a
    beneficiary to manage the trust property.” 
    Id.
     at 295–96.
    As is evident, Fort Vannoy did not establish a general
    procedural rule governing calls to enforce water rights held in
    trust and its construction of the state statutes governing
    irrigation districts has nothing to say about a trust relationship
    created by federal Indian law.
    (2) State statutes related to water rights certificates. The
    ranchers urge that the necessity of a concurrence by the legal
    title holder is reflected in Oregon’s procedures for stream
    adjudication. Appellants’ Br. 17. At the conclusion of a stream
    23
    adjudication, they state, OWRD issues a certification listing the
    owner of the right, which original certificate is sent to the
    owner and used by the watermasters to determine whether
    action should be taken. See 
    Or. Rev. Stat. § 539.140
    . The
    owner of an equitable interest, they continue, does not receive
    a certificate. Appellants’ Br. 17–18. The ranchers maintain
    that the reasonable inference from this administrative process
    is that implementation of water rights is “keyed” to the
    certification, and implementation of the Tribes’ equitable water
    right depends at least in part on the federal government’s say.
    Id. at 18. Even were the court to assume for purposes of
    argument that the ranchers have accurately described the
    process, they do not demonstrate that OWRD regulations
    authorizing enforcement of the Administrative Determination
    require such a certificate. The OWRD watermasters are to
    allocate water in accordance with the claims determined in the
    Determination.       See 
    Or. Admin. R. 690
    -025-0020(1)–
    (2), -0025(1). Those claims list rights in the name of both the
    Tribes and the federal government. See, e.g., Administrative
    Determination at 5076 (listing the Tribes as the “claimants”
    and the federal government as “trustee” for the Tribes).
    Nothing in the ranchers’ cited authority on certificates imposes
    a concurrence requirement here.
    (3) Denial of the Tribes’ independent claim in OWRD’s
    Administrative Determination. As noted, OWRD reasoned
    that the Tribes’ composite claim (No. 612) was “duplicative of
    the [federal government’s] claims, not additive. The [federal
    government] holds the rights recognized herein in trust for the
    Klamath Tribes. Colorado River Water Conservation Dist. v.
    United States, 424 [U.S.] 800, 810 (1976).” Administrative
    Determination at 4898, 5074. The citation to Colorado River
    reveals this ruling was grounded in OWRD’s understanding of
    federal law. Right or wrong, OWRD’s decision to deny the
    24
    Tribes’ claim cannot reasonably be understood to impose a
    state law concurrence requirement.
    The ranchers’ view is that recognizing the Tribes’
    authority to exercise their own water rights is inconsistent with
    OWRD’s determination that the federal government “holds”
    the water rights “in trust” for the Tribes. See Appellants’ Br.
    21–23. The ranchers also point to the recent decision of the
    Oregon Circuit Court indicating that the Tribes’ water rights
    are held by the United States “in trust,” and declining to disturb
    the Administrative Determination on this point. Or. Cir. Ct.
    Op., Feb. 24, 2021, at 8–9; Appellants’ FED. R. APP. P. 28(j)
    Ltr. of Mar. 3, 2021. This misunderstands the nature of the
    limited trust involved. Although Congress may abrogate or
    diminish treaty rights by clearly expressed intent, Minnesota v.
    Mille Lacs Band of Chippewa Indians, 
    526 U.S. 172
    , 202
    (1999), the Termination Act abrogated the Tribes’ land rights
    but it did not abrogate any reserved water rights of the Tribes.
    The Restoration Act restored the federal trust relationship with
    the Tribes while expressly stating in section 5 that it would not
    “affect in any manner any . . . water right of the [Tribes].” 100
    Stat. at 850. Unlike in Mitchell II, where federal statutes and
    regulations “establish[ed] ‘comprehensive’ responsibilities” in
    the federal government for managing the harvesting of Indian
    timber, 463 U.S. at 222 (quoting White Mountain Apache Tribe
    v. Bracker, 
    448 U.S. 136
    , 145 (1980)), the relevant federal
    statutes have preserved the Tribes’ instream water rights
    impliedly reserved in the 1864 Treaty for tribal fisheries and
    fishing rights. Absent a treaty or statutory provisions clearly
    abrogating or diminishing the Tribes’ exclusive instream
    rights, their beneficial ownership of reservation lands includes
    “all rights normally associated with ‘fee simple absolute title.’”
    Blackfeet Tribe, 
    924 F.2d at 902
     (quoting Shoshone Tribe of
    Wind River, 
    304 U.S. at 117
    ). In denying the Tribes’
    independent claim, OWRD relied on the principle of federal
    25
    law that water rights reserved for Indians are held in trust by
    the federal government, whose limited trust designation does
    not imply federal authority or obligations to control or manage
    the trust resource. Given the specific text of the Termination
    Act and the Restoration Act, the Tribes retain full authority to
    control the use of their water right. See Oregon Dep’t., 
    473 U.S. at
    765–67; Adair, 723 F.2d at 1418; Blackfeet Tribe, 
    924 F.2d at 902
    . Nothing in the recent opinion of the Oregon
    Circuit Court could alter the federal law that defines and
    determines the scope of the Tribes’ reserved water rights. The
    ranchers do not contest the well-established legal federal
    precedent that the substance of the Tribes’ reserved water
    rights remains governed by federal law even in state water
    adjudicatory proceedings. See Appellants’ Br. 13.
    (4) Emails from OWRD employees suggesting the federal
    government’s concurrence was necessary. The ranchers’
    reliance on informal communications between OWRD
    employees is unavailing. In 2017, upon receiving a call from
    the Tribes, an OWRD employee emailed another employee,
    “[W]e need to await concurrence from [the Bureau of Indian
    Affairs] on this.” In 2018, an OWRD employee inquired about
    whether the federal government would again provide an
    “official concurrence.” Even assuming the emails indicate
    these employees thought the federal government’s concurrence
    was needed for an effective Tribal call, in the absence of a legal
    basis for a concurrence requirement these emails are
    insufficient to show that OWRD would predictably decline to
    enforce the Tribes’ instream rights without a concurrence by
    the federal government. Insofar as the emails reflect a
    misunderstanding of the federal trust relationship, that would
    presumably be corrected by today’s decision, which explains
    that there is no federal law concurrence requirement for the
    Tribes’ water rights. State agency adjudicators, like the state
    courts reviewing their decisions, can be expected to discharge
    26
    their “solemn obligation to follow federal law.” San Carlos
    Apache Tribe, 463 U.S. at 571.
    Moreover, to the extent the ranchers point to the clause in
    the 2019 Protocol that the parties would not “withhold any
    required concurrence” in a call made by the other party after
    following the consultation procedures, they overlook a key
    word. The Protocol states that “either Party may independently
    make a call and the other party will not withhold any required
    concurrence or object to the call,” except that the United States
    reserves the right not to concur in a call that is inconsistent with
    the Administrative Determination or other legal obligations.
    Protocol at 4. Inclusion of the word “any” belies the ranchers’
    suggestion that the federal government had concluded such
    concurrence was “required.”
    In sum: There is no concurrence requirement imposed by
    federal law on the Tribes’ reserved instream water rights,
    whether by the 1864 Klamath Treaty or the federal
    government’s trust relationship. The McCarran Amendment
    subjects the Tribes’ reserved water rights to state procedural
    rules in its quantification proceedings, but the substance and
    scope of the Tribes’ rights remain governed by federal law.
    Oregon law does not require federal government concurrence
    to enforce the Tribes’ water rights, and we leave for another
    day the question of what, if any, legal effect such a state
    requirement could have. Therefore, invalidating the Protocol,
    and requiring the federal government to independently assess
    whether it would concur in the Tribes’ calls, would not remedy
    the ranchers’ injuries. The Tribes would continue to make calls
    in the exercise of their Treaty rights, and OWRD would enforce
    the calls. Because the ranchers fail to show their alleged
    injuries are fairly traceable to federal government action or
    inaction, or would be redressed by striking the Protocol, they
    27
    lack Article III standing. Accordingly, the dismissal of the
    ranchers’ complaint for lack of standing is affirmed.