NRDC v. Michael Regan ( 2023 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued January 27, 2023                  Decided May 9, 2023
    No. 20-1335
    NATURAL RESOURCES DEFENSE COUNCIL,
    PETITIONER
    v.
    MICHAEL S. REGAN, ADMINISTRATOR, U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL
    PROTECTION AGENCY AND ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
    AGENCY,
    RESPONDENTS
    AMERICAN WATER WORKS ASSOCIATION,
    INTERVENOR
    On Petition for Review of a Final Action
    of the Environmental Protection Agency
    Sarah V. Fort argued the cause for petitioner. With her on
    the briefs was Charles R. Corbett.
    David J. Berger was on the brief for amici curiae
    Academic Scientists in support of petitioner.
    2
    Sarah A. Buckley, Senior Attorney, U.S. Department of
    Justice, argued the cause for respondents. With her on the brief
    was Todd Kim, Assistant Attorney General.
    Corinne Snow argued the cause for respondent-intervenor
    American Water Works Association. With her on the brief was
    Ronald J. Tenpas. Jeremy C. Marwell entered an appearance.
    Annie S. Amaral and Thomas C. Roberts were on the brief
    for amici curiae American Chemistry Council and Western
    Growers in support of respondents.
    Before: PAN, Circuit Judge, and SENTELLE and TATEL,
    Senior Circuit Judges.
    Opinion for the Court filed by Senior Circuit Judge
    SENTELLE.
    Opinion concurring in the judgment filed by Circuit Judge
    PAN.
    SENTELLE, Senior Circuit Judge:             In 2011, the
    Environmental Protection Agency (“EPA”) issued its “final
    determination to regulate perchlorate in drinking water” under
    the Safe Drinking Water Act. Drinking Water: Regulatory
    Determination on Perchlorate, 
    76 Fed. Reg. 7,762
    , 7,762 (Feb.
    11, 2011). That determination started a clock under the Safe
    Drinking Water Act requiring EPA to propose regulations
    within twenty-four months and promulgate regulations within
    eighteen months of the proposal. See 42 U.S.C. § 300g-
    1(b)(1)(E).    But EPA never promulgated perchlorate
    regulations. Instead, nine years later, the agency purported to
    withdraw its regulatory determination. See Drinking Water:
    Final Action on Perchlorate, 
    85 Fed. Reg. 43,990
    , 43,991 (July
    21, 2020). Natural Resources Defense Council (“NRDC”)
    3
    petitions for review of this action, arguing that EPA lacks the
    authority to withdraw a regulatory determination under the Act
    and that, even if EPA possesses such authority, it acted
    arbitrarily and capriciously by doing so. EPA, joined by
    Intervenor American Water Works Association, defends its
    action. Because the Safe Drinking Water Act does not permit
    EPA to withdraw a regulatory determination, we grant
    NRDC’s petition, vacate EPA’s withdrawal of its regulatory
    determination, and remand to the agency for further
    proceedings.
    I.      Background
    a. Statutory Framework
    The Safe Drinking Water Act authorizes EPA to regulate
    potentially harmful contaminants in the nation’s drinking
    water. See 42 U.S.C. § 300g-1(b)(1)(A). First enacted in 1974,
    the Act has since undergone several amendments. The 1986
    amendments required EPA to select at least twenty-five new
    contaminants for regulation every three years. Pub. L. No. 99-
    339, § 101(b)(3)(C), (D), 
    100 Stat. 642
    , 644 (1986). Congress
    apparently created this strict regulatory scheme, at least in part,
    because it believed EPA had failed to regulate a sufficient
    number of contaminants under the Act’s prior structure. See S.
    Rep. No. 104-169, at 8, 12 (1995). When Congress amended
    the Act in 1996 to create the present scheme, it replaced the
    strict three-year regulatory requirement with a discretionary
    scheme that allows EPA to determine when contaminants
    warrant regulation. 42 U.S.C. § 300g-1(b)(1)(A); S. Rep. No.
    104-169, at 12–13.
    Under the current Act, every five years EPA must publish
    a list of unregulated contaminants that may require future
    regulation (the “Contaminant Candidate List”) and make a
    4
    preliminary determination, subject to notice and comment, of
    whether to regulate at least five listed contaminants. 42 U.S.C.
    § 300g-1(b)(1)(B)(i)(I), (ii)(I). After the comment period ends,
    EPA must make its final regulatory determination. Id.
    § 300g-1(b)(1)(B)(ii)(I). The agency can only determine to
    regulate a contaminant if it finds, based upon the “best
    available      public         health       information,”      id.
    § 300g-1(b)(1)(B)(ii)(II), that:
    (i) the contaminant may have an adverse effect on the
    health of persons; (ii) the contaminant is known to
    occur or there is a substantial likelihood that the
    contaminant will occur in public water systems with a
    frequency and at levels of public health concern; and
    (iii) in the sole judgment of the Administrator,
    regulation of such contaminant presents a meaningful
    opportunity for health risk reduction for persons served
    by public water systems,
    id. § 300g-1(b)(1)(A)(i)–(iii).
    The Act frontloads EPA’s discretion, allowing the agency
    to create the list of contaminants that may require future
    regulation, id. § 300g-1(b)(1)(B)(i)(I), select which of those
    listed contaminants to consider for regulation, id.
    § 300g-1(b)(1)(B)(ii)(I), and determine whether the selected
    contaminants meet the statutory criteria for regulating, id.
    § 300g-1(b)(1)(A)(iii). Once EPA makes its regulatory
    determination, however, the Act balances that discretion with
    a strict, mandatory scheme governing the regulatory process.
    It instructs that, after determining the statutory criteria are met,
    the EPA Administrator “shall, in accordance with the
    procedures established by this subsection, publish a maximum
    contaminant level goal and promulgate a national primary
    drinking water regulation.” Id. § 300g-1(b)(1)(A) (emphasis
    5
    added). The maximum contaminant level goal (“MCLG”) is
    an unenforceable, aspirational level and is defined as “the level
    at which no known or anticipated adverse effects on the health
    of persons occur and which allows an adequate margin of
    safety.” Id. § 300g-1(b)(4)(A). The national primary drinking
    water regulations also normally include an enforceable
    maximum contaminant level (“MCL”) that must be set “as
    close to the maximum contaminant level goal as is feasible.”
    Id. § 300g-1(b)(4)(B). In limited circumstances, EPA can issue
    an alternative enforceable standard. See id. § 300g-1(b)(6)(A),
    (7)(A). EPA must propose the MCLG and national primary
    drinking water regulations within twenty-four months of
    making its determination to regulate and must publish the
    MCLG and promulgate the regulations within eighteen months
    of the proposal, subject to a nine-month extension. Id.
    § 300g-1(b)(1)(E).
    The statute also contains an “anti-backslide” provision that
    ensures that, once issued, a regulation can only be revised in a
    way that will “maintain . . . or provide for greater” health
    protections. Id. § 300g-1(b)(9). In all decisions the agency
    makes that are based on science, EPA is instructed to use “the
    best     available,     peer-reviewed      science.”          Id.
    § 300g-1(b)(3)(A)(i).
    b. Factual and Procedural Background
    Perchlorate, the contaminant at issue in this case, is a
    naturally occurring and manufactured chemical commonly
    used in the aerospace and defense sectors. When ingested,
    perchlorate can inhibit the thyroid’s ability to absorb iodide.
    85 Fed. Reg. at 43,994. An iodide-deficient thyroid, in turn,
    disrupts the production of thyroid hormones. Id. And
    disruptions in thyroid hormone production can lead to adverse
    neurodevelopmental outcomes in sensitive populations whose
    6
    brains are still developing, including fetuses and children of
    lactating women. Id.
    Recognizing the potential health risks associated with
    perchlorate, EPA added perchlorate to its Contaminant
    Candidate List in 1998, categorizing it as a chemical “needing
    additional health effects, treatment research, and occurrence
    information.”     Announcement of the Drinking Water
    Contaminant Candidate List, 
    63 Fed. Reg. 10,274
    , 10,275,
    10,282 (Mar. 2, 1998). The agency published its first
    Unregulated Contaminant Monitoring Rule (“UCMR-1”) in
    1999, requiring all large water systems and a sample of small
    water systems to collect data on perchlorate contamination
    between 2001 and 2005. 85 Fed. Reg. at 43,993.
    In 2008, after applying a health reference level (the “level
    of concern”) of 15 μg/L and evaluating the frequency of
    perchlorate contamination at that level using the UCMR-1 data,
    EPA issued a preliminary determination not to regulate
    perchlorate after determining that regulation “would not
    present a meaningful opportunity for health risk reduction” and
    sought comment on that proposed action. Drinking Water:
    Preliminary Regulatory Determination on Perchlorate, 
    73 Fed. Reg. 60,262
    , 60,269, 60,280–81. (Oct. 10, 2008). EPA issued
    a supplemental notice seeking comment on alternative health
    reference levels the following year. See Drinking Water:
    Perchlorate Supplemental Request for Comments, 
    74 Fed. Reg. 41,883
    , 41,889 (Aug. 19, 2009).            Deviating from its
    preliminary determination, the agency issued its “final
    determination to regulate perchlorate” in 2011. 76 Fed. Reg.
    at 7,762. That determination “initiate[d] the process to develop
    a national primary drinking water regulation . . . for
    perchlorate” and started the clock for EPA to propose the
    MCLG and regulations within twenty-four months and to
    promulgate the final MCLG and regulations within the
    7
    following eighteen months. 76 Fed. Reg. at 7762–63; 42
    U.S.C. § 300g-1(b)(1)(A), (E).
    Consistent with its statutory obligation, see id.
    § 300g-1(e), EPA consulted with the Science Advisory Board
    as it worked to develop perchlorate regulations, National
    Primary Drinking Water Regulations: Perchlorate, 
    84 Fed. Reg. 30,524
    , 30,527–28 (June 26, 2019). At the Board’s
    urging, EPA revised the model it used to predict the effects of
    perchlorate exposure, developing a “broader and more
    comprehensive framework” that directly links iodide uptake
    inhibition to changes in thyroid hormone levels, allowing the
    agency to better analyze the neurodevelopmental effects
    caused by perchlorate exposure. 
    Id.
    After EPA missed the statutory deadlines for proposing
    and promulgating the MCLG and regulations, NRDC sued the
    agency in 2016, seeking to compel the agency to regulate. 84
    Fed. Reg. at 30,526. The parties entered a consent decree
    requiring EPA to propose and promulgate the MCLG and final
    regulations by 2020. NRDC v. EPA, No. 1:16-cv-01251-ER,
    ECF Nos. 38, 60 (S.D.N.Y.); 84 Fed. Reg. at 30,526. In June
    2019, EPA proposed setting the MCLG and MCL at 56 μg/L
    or, in the alternative, at 18 μg/L or 90 μg/L. 84 Fed. Reg. at
    30,525. Alternatively, the agency also considered withdrawing
    its 2011 regulatory determination and not promulgating an
    MCLG or national primary drinking water regulations. Id. The
    agency sought comment on its proposal and the three
    alternatives. Id.
    In July 2020, after the comment period ended, EPA
    announced it was withdrawing its determination to regulate and
    issuing a “final determination not to regulate perchlorate.” 85
    Fed. Reg. at 43,991. The agency explained that it had “re-
    evaluated” whether perchlorate satisfied the statutory criteria
    8
    for regulating using its updated model and concluded that
    “perchlorate does not occur at a frequency and at levels of
    public health concern” and that regulation “does not present a
    meaningful opportunity for health risk reduction.” Id. at
    43,998. In EPA’s view, because its “re-evaluat[ion]” showed
    that the statutory criteria were not met, it lacked the authority
    to regulate. Id.
    II.     Analysis
    a. Statutory Authority
    EPA makes two primary arguments in support of its
    authority to withdraw a regulatory determination. First, it
    argues that its withdrawal of the 2011 regulatory determination
    was consistent with the statute. Its second argument is
    premised on its “inherent authority” to change positions and
    withdraw a determination to regulate, which it claims the Safe
    Drinking Water Act does not abrogate. Resp. Br. at 22.
    We start with EPA’s second argument, which rests on a
    faulty premise. While we have often referred to agencies’
    “inherent authority,” see, e.g., Ivy Sports Med., LLC v. Burwell,
    
    767 F.3d 81
    , 86 (D.C. Cir. 2014), the term “inherent” is
    misleading because “it is ‘axiomatic’ that ‘administrative
    agencies may act only pursuant to authority delegated to them
    by Congress,’” Clean Air Council v. Pruitt, 
    862 F.3d 1
    , 9 (D.C.
    Cir. 2017) (quoting Verizon v. FCC, 
    740 F.3d 623
    , 632 (D.C.
    Cir. 2014)). Thus, “the more accurate label” for the power EPA
    describes “is ‘statutorily implicit.’” HTH Corp. v. NLRB, 
    823 F.3d 668
    , 679 (D.C. Cir. 2016) (quoting Ivy Sports Med., 
    767 F.3d at 93
     (Pillard, J., dissenting)). And although the power to
    decide is normally accompanied by the power to reconsider,
    “Congress . . . undoubtedly can limit an agency’s discretion to
    reverse itself.” New Jersey v. EPA, 
    517 F.3d 574
    , 582–83
    9
    (D.C. Cir. 2008); see Ivy Sports Med., 
    767 F.3d at 86
     (“[A]ny
    inherent reconsideration authority does not apply in cases
    where Congress has spoken.”).
    EPA, then, has no inherent authority. It has only the
    authority given it by the Safe Drinking Water Act. The
    question, then, is whether that authority includes the authority
    to withdraw a regulatory determination.
    To answer that question, we look to the statutory text. The
    Act instructs that “[t]he [EPA] Administrator shall, in
    accordance with the procedures established by this subsection,
    publish a maximum contaminant level goal and promulgate a
    national primary drinking water regulation for a contaminant
    . . . if the Administrator determines that” the statutory criteria
    have been met. 42 U.S.C. § 300g-1(b)(1)(A) (emphasis
    added). Elsewhere in the statute, Congress repeated the
    directive three additional times that EPA “shall” regulate. “For
    each contaminant that the Administrator determines to regulate
    under subparagraph (B), the Administrator shall publish
    maximum contaminant level goals and promulgate, by rule,
    national primary drinking water regulations . . . .”            Id.
    § 300g-1(b)(1)(E) (emphasis added). Within 24 months of
    making the determination to regulate, “[t]he Administrator
    shall propose the maximum contaminant level goal and
    national primary drinking water regulation.” Id. (emphasis
    added). And within 18 months of proposing the MCLG and
    regulations, “[t]he Administrator shall publish a maximum
    contaminant level goal and promulgate a national primary
    drinking water regulation.” Id. (emphasis added).
    It is well established that “[t]he word ‘shall’ generally
    indicates a command that admits of no discretion on the part of
    the person instructed to carry out the directive.” Assoc. of
    Civilian Technicians, Mont. Air Chapter No. 29 v. FLRA, 22
    
    10 F.3d 1150
    , 1153 (D.C. Cir. 1994). That is even more true
    where, as here, the statute explicitly grants the agency
    significant discretion at the outset but later instructs the agency
    that it “shall” act. Cf. Anglers Conservation Network v.
    Pritzker, 
    809 F.3d 664
    , 671 (D.C. Cir. 2016) (“[W]hen a
    statutory provision uses both ‘shall’ and ‘may,’ it is a fair
    inference that the writers intended the ordinary distinction.”).
    In 2011, EPA determined that perchlorate satisfied the
    statutory criteria for regulating. 76 Fed. Reg. at 7,763. Under
    the statute, then, EPA has one authorized course of action: it
    “shall” propose and promulgate the MCLG and regulations,
    and it “shall” do so by the statutory deadlines. See 42 U.S.C.
    § 300g-1(b)(1)(A), (E). EPA recognized as much when it
    issued its 2011 “final regulatory determination.” See 76 Fed.
    Reg. at 7,763 (“Once EPA makes a determination to regulate a
    contaminant in drinking water, [the Act] requires that EPA
    issue a proposed [regulation] within 24 months and a final
    [regulation] within 18 months of proposal.” (emphasis added)).
    Intervenors likewise admit the statute imposes “a duty to issue
    regulations where the Administrator has determined to
    regulate.” Intervenor’s Br. at 35. To read into the statute
    another course of action—one that allows EPA to withdraw its
    regulatory determination entirely and decide that it “shall not”
    regulate—would be to contravene the statute’s clear language
    and structure and “nullif[y] textually applicable provisions
    meant to limit [EPA’s] discretion.” New Jersey v. EPA, 
    517 F.3d 574
    , 583 (D.C. Cir. 2008) (quoting Whitman v. Am.
    Trucking Ass’ns, 
    531 U.S. 457
    , 485 (2001)). Because EPA
    lacked the authority to withdraw its regulatory determination
    in the first instance, its argument that its authority to do so is
    not time-limited by the statutory deadlines for proposing and
    promulgating regulations is of no import.
    EPA urges the Court to overlook the statute’s clear
    language, first by arguing that its 2011 determination to
    11
    regulate was only a preliminary, interlocutory step in the
    regulatory process that did not bind the agency to issue future
    regulations. This argument contradicts the plain language of
    the statute and is easily disposed of. The Safe Drinking Water
    Act does anticipate that the agency will make a preliminary
    regulatory      determination.           See     42     U.S.C.
    § 300g-1(b)(1)(B)(ii)(I) (“[T]he Administrator shall, after
    notice of the preliminary determination and opportunity for
    public comment, . . . make determinations of whether or not to
    regulate such contaminants.”).          But the preliminary
    determination precedes the notice and comment period. Once
    that period ends, the agency makes its regulatory
    determination, and that determination is final. See id.
    § 300g-1(b)(1)(E). EPA issued its preliminary determination
    in 2008 and then, after the period for public comments, issued
    its final determination in 2011. Compare 73 Fed. Reg. at
    60,263 (presenting “EPA’s preliminary regulatory
    determination on perchlorate”), with 76 Fed. Reg. at 7,762
    (presenting “EPA’s final determination to regulate
    perchlorate”).
    EPA cites several other provisions of the statute that it
    argues implicitly give the agency the authority to withdraw a
    regulatory determination. None of these provisions, however,
    negate the statute’s clear directive that the agency “shall”
    propose and promulgate regulations after making a regulatory
    determination. The first provision EPA cites requires the
    agency to consider the “best available public health
    information” when evaluating whether the statutory criteria for
    regulating are met, id. § 300g-1(b)(1)(B)(ii)(II), while a similar
    provision requires it to apply “the best available, peer-reviewed
    science” to all decisions it makes that are based on science, id.
    § 300g-1(b)(3)(A)(i). EPA argues, and Intervenor agrees, the
    statute required the agency to use its new model, which it
    considers to be the “best available public health information,”
    12
    to re-evaluate whether the statutory criteria for regulating were
    satisfied. Because it did so and concluded that two of the
    criteria were no longer met—specifically, that “perchlorate
    does not occur at a frequency and at levels of public health
    concern, and that regulation of perchlorate does not present a
    meaningful opportunity for health risk reduction”—EPA and
    Intervenor argue the agency lacked the authority to regulate
    and had to withdraw its regulatory determination. 85 Fed. Reg.
    at 43,998.
    This argument rests on a faulty dichotomy: that EPA must
    either disregard the statutory requirements and issue the
    regulations, or that it can adhere to the statutory requirements
    but is then required to withdraw its regulatory determination.
    Instead, the statute compels a third option. EPA must apply the
    “best available public health information” to determine
    whether the statutory criteria for regulating are satisfied. Id.
    § 300g-1(b)(1)(B)(ii)(II). Once that determination is made, it
    is final. EPA’s obligation then is to consider and apply the
    “best available, peer-reviewed science,” including any new
    developments, to set the substance of the regulations—not to
    reevaluate whether to regulate. See id. § 300g-1(b)(3)(A)(i).
    EPA claims that this reading of the statute will
    “hamstr[i]ng” its decision-making and result in outdated,
    scientifically unsupported regulations. 85 Fed. Reg. at 43,992.
    But this takes an “all-or-nothing” approach and ignores the
    statutory requirements. If the science changes after the agency
    makes its determination to regulate but before it issues the
    regulations, EPA can—and must—account for those changes
    when setting the appropriate regulatory level.
    Undeterred, EPA argues that several other provisions
    militate against our understanding that “shall” means “shall.”
    One such provision, known as the “anti-backslide” provision,
    13
    requires EPA to review regulations at least every six years and
    only permits revisions to those regulations that will “maintain,
    or provide for greater, [health] protection.” Id. § 300g-1(b)(9).
    In EPA’s view, because this provision applies only to existing
    regulations, the agency is free to withdraw a regulatory
    determination at any time before it promulgates final
    regulations. EPA also argues that another provision that
    renders a determination not to regulate subject to judicial
    review, see id. § 300g-1(b)(1)(B)(ii)(IV), implicitly means that
    a determination to regulate is not subject to judicial review and
    can be withdrawn. Both arguments ignore the rigidity of the
    statute, which creates only two possible courses of action after
    the agency considers a contaminant for regulation: EPA can
    either determine not to regulate, or it can determine to regulate
    and then promulgate the regulations. If EPA takes the first
    approach, there are no regulations to which the anti-backslide
    provision can apply, and its determination is subject to judicial
    review. If EPA takes the second approach, it must promulgate
    regulations, to which the anti-backslide provision applies, and
    which are themselves subject to judicial review. EPA’s attempt
    to create a third option, one in which there are no regulations
    to which the anti-backslide provision applies but whereby the
    agency still evades judicial review, is inconsistent with the
    statutory scheme.
    Having run out of provisions in the statute that it views as
    favorable, EPA flips the script and cites to the absence of a
    provision governing how the agency must withdraw a
    regulatory determination, arguing that because the agency did
    not “contravene any express statutory command” or “avoid any
    otherwise applicable statutory process” for withdrawing a
    determination to regulate, its withdrawal was permissible.
    Resp. Br. at 26–27 (internal citation omitted). But this just
    repackages the already rejected argument that the agency
    possesses an “inherent” authority to change its mind. Congress
    14
    did not create a process for EPA to withdraw a regulatory
    determination because it seemingly did not want EPA to have
    the power to do so. “Regardless of how serious the [purported]
    problem an administrative agency seeks to address, . . . it may
    not exercise its authority ‘in a manner that is inconsistent with
    the administrative structure that Congress enacted into law.’”
    FDA v. Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corp., 
    529 U.S. 120
    ,
    125 (2000) (quoting ETSI Pipeline Project v. Missouri, 
    484 U.S. 495
    , 517 (1988)). Further, EPA’s withdrawal of its
    regulatory determination did contravene an express statutory
    command: the command that the agency “shall” regulate.
    EPA eventually abandons the statute altogether, turning
    instead to the Act’s legislative history. In its view, allowing
    the agency to withdraw a regulatory determination would be
    consistent with Congress’s intent in passing the 1996
    amendments, which it argues was to grant the agency
    additional discretion to decide when regulation is warranted
    and to eliminate wasteful spending on regulations without
    significant health benefits. EPA runs into two problems with
    this argument.       First, and most fundamentally, EPA’s
    interpretation of what Congress intended in the statute cannot
    overcome the statute’s directive that the agency “shall”
    regulate. See Azar v. Allina Health Servs., 
    139 S. Ct. 1804
    ,
    1815 (2019) (“[M]urky legislative history . . . can’t overcome
    a statute’s clear text and structure.”). And second, the history
    EPA cites is not inconsistent with our interpretation. The 1996
    amendments undoubtedly gave the agency more discretion in
    determining which contaminants to consider for regulation and
    whether to regulate them in the first instance. But they also
    balanced that discretion with a mandatory scheme requiring
    EPA to regulate after it determines to do so.
    Because the Safe Drinking Water Act requires that the
    agency “shall” regulate after making a regulatory
    15
    determination, EPA lacks authority to withdraw that
    determination and decide that it “shall not” regulate.
    b. Arbitrary and Capricious Challenges
    NRDC also challenges EPA’s decision-making process
    that led to the withdrawal of its regulatory determination,
    arguing that EPA acted arbitrarily and capriciously by setting
    “levels of public health concern” that fail to protect against
    adverse health effects and by relying on selectively updated
    data to assess the frequency of perchlorate contamination.
    Because we conclude that EPA lacked statutory authority to
    withdraw its regulatory determination, we do not reach these
    issues. See New York Stock Exch. LLC v. SEC, 
    962 F.3d 541
    ,
    559 (D.C. Cir. 2020). Having been apprised of NRDC’s
    contentions and our concurring colleague’s views, EPA is, of
    course, free to take those into consideration when it develops
    perchlorate regulations.
    III.   Conclusion
    We grant NRDC’s petition, vacate EPA’s withdrawal of
    its determination to regulate, and remand to the agency for
    further proceedings.
    PAN, Circuit Judge, concurring in the judgment: In 2011,
    the EPA determined that perchlorate met the statutory factors
    for regulation under the Safe Drinking Water Act. For
    unexplained reasons, the agency missed the 24-month deadline
    to propose the required regulation and the 42-month deadline
    to promulgate it. Eight years passed. When the EPA finally
    commenced the notice-and-comment process to limit
    perchlorate in drinking water, the agency proposed establishing
    a Maximum Contaminant Level Goal (“MCLG”) associated
    with a two-point drop in the average IQ of the most sensitive
    population.     The agency also sought comments about
    alternative MCLGs associated with one- or three-point drops
    in the benchmark IQ. Moreover, the EPA requested comments
    about whether perchlorate should be regulated at all, “in light
    of new considerations . . . including information on lower
    levels of occurrence of perchlorate than the EPA had
    previously believed to exist and new analysis of the
    concentration [of perchlorate] that represents a level of health
    concern.” National Primary Drinking Water Regulations:
    Perchlorate, 
    84 Fed. Reg. 30,524
    , 30,525 (June 26, 2019).
    After the notice-and-comment period expired, the EPA decided
    that the statutory factors for regulation were not met, and
    therefore “withdr[e]w” its 2011 determination to regulate
    perchlorate, based on an updated understanding of the “best
    available public health information.” Drinking Water: Final
    Action on Perchlorate, 
    85 Fed. Reg. 43,990
    , 43,992 (July 21,
    2020).      The agency’s withdrawal of its regulatory
    determination relied on a MCLG associated with a one-point
    drop in the average IQ of the most sensitive population, and on
    a partial update of the data that the agency used to measure the
    prevalence of perchlorate in the nation’s drinking water.
    In my view, under the circumstances presented, the EPA
    had authority to withdraw its initial regulatory determination
    based on changes in the best available, peer-reviewed science.
    But the agency’s ultimate decision not to regulate perchlorate
    was arbitrary, capricious, and not in accordance with law,
    2
    because it relied on a MCLG that did not meet the statutory
    standard, as well as on a biased dataset that was selectively
    updated. I would vacate and remand on those alternative
    grounds, and therefore respectfully concur in the judgment.
    I.      Background
    In 2011, the EPA published a final determination that
    perchlorate met the requirements for regulation under the Safe
    Drinking Water Act. See Drinking Water: Regulatory
    Determination on Perchlorate, 
    76 Fed. Reg. 7,762
     (Feb. 11,
    2011). Specifically, it found that perchlorate (1) “may have an
    adverse effect on the health of persons”; (2) “is known to occur
    or there is a substantial likelihood that [perchlorate] will occur
    in public water systems with a frequency and at levels of public
    health concern”; and (3) “in the sole judgment of the
    Administrator[ of the EPA], regulation of [perchlorate]
    presents a meaningful opportunity for health risk reduction for
    persons served by public water systems.” 
    Id. at 7
    ,762–63; see
    also 42 U.S.C. § 300g-1(b)(1)(A)(i)–(iii). The statute required
    the agency to propose a MCLG and an accompanying
    regulation that would limit perchlorate in drinking water within
    24 months after making that regulatory determination — i.e.,
    by February 11, 2013. See 42 U.S.C. § 300g-1(b)(E).
    But the EPA missed that deadline. In February of 2016,
    the Natural Resources Defense Council (“NRDC”) brought suit
    to compel the agency to issue the tardy perchlorate regulation.
    See Compl., NRDC v. EPA, No. 2:16-cv-1251 (S.D.N.Y. Feb.
    19, 2016), ECF No. 7. The parties entered a consent decree
    that required the EPA to propose the MCLG and accompanying
    regulation by May 28, 2019, and to finalize the MCLG and
    accompanying regulation by June 19, 2020. See Consent
    Decree and Extensions, NRDC v. EPA, No. 2:16-cv-1251
    (S.D.N.Y.), ECF No. 38, 57, 59, 60.
    3
    Pursuant to the consent decree, the EPA issued its proposal
    for limiting the amount of perchlorate in drinking water in
    2019. See 84 Fed. Reg. at 30,565. The agency proposed setting
    both the MCLG and Maximum Contaminant Level (“MCL”)
    at 56 micrograms per liter (µg/L), a level associated with “a 2
    percent decrease in IQ” in the most sensitive population. Id. at
    30,540. The proposal also requested public comments on three
    alternatives: (1) setting the MCLG and MCL at 18 µg/L, a
    level associated with a one-point drop in IQ; (2) setting the
    MCLG and MCL at 90 µg/L, a level associated with a three-
    point drop in IQ; or (3) withdrawing the agency’s 2011
    determination to regulate perchlorate altogether, “based on new
    information that indicates that perchlorate does not occur in
    public water systems with a frequency and at levels of public
    health concern and there may not be a meaningful opportunity
    for health risk reduction.” Id. at 30,524, 30,541.
    In 2020, the EPA withdrew the 2011 determination to
    regulate perchlorate. The agency based its decision on a new
    understanding of the scientific evidence regarding
    perchlorate’s prevalence in drinking water and its effects on
    human health. The agency “recognize[d] that the [Safe
    Drinking Water Act] does not include a provision explicitly
    authorizing withdrawal of a regulatory determination,” but
    concluded that “such authority is inherent in the authority to
    issue a regulatory determination . . . particularly given the
    requirement that such determination be based on the ‘best
    available public health information.’” 85 Fed. Reg. at 43,992.
    The EPA explained that “new data and analysis developed by
    the Agency as part of the 2019 proposal demonstrate that the
    occurrence and health effects information used as the basis for
    the 2011 determination no longer constitute ‘best available
    information,’ are no longer accurate, and no longer support the
    Agency’s prioritization of perchlorate for regulation.” Id.
    4
    According to the EPA, the best available scientific
    evidence had changed in two ways. First, the EPA refined its
    understanding of the concentrations at which perchlorate
    causes health problems. In 2011, the agency identified “levels
    of public health concern” that “range[d] from 1 µg/L to 47
    µg/L.” See 76 Fed. Reg. at 7,764. But the publication of
    various studies in the following years shed further light on the
    relationship between exposure to perchlorate and iodide
    deficiencies in pregnant women that cause “a variety of adverse
    neurodevelopmental outcomes” in their fetuses, including
    decreases in IQ. See 84 Fed. Reg. at 30,531; 85 Fed. Reg. at
    44,000 (identifying “the fetus of the iodide deficient pregnant
    mother” as the most sensitive population). Using a new study
    that the agency identified as “the most rigorous analysis
    available in the literature to date,” see 84 Fed. Reg. at 30,534,
    the EPA developed a new model that caused it to reconsider the
    levels at which perchlorate is detrimental to health. Based on
    that model, the agency increased the relevant “levels of public
    health concern” from between 1 and 47 µg/L to between 18 and
    90 µg/L. See 85 Fed. Reg. at 43,992.
    Second, the EPA revised its data showing the prevalence
    of perchlorate in the nation’s water supply. The agency based
    its 2011 determination to regulate in part on the UCMR-1
    study, a nationwide survey of perchlorate occurrence in
    drinking water conducted between 2001 and 2005. See 76 Fed.
    Reg. at 7,764–65. After the 2001–2005 period of data
    collection for the UMCR-1 study, California and
    Massachusetts enacted enforceable state-level perchlorate
    drinking-water standards. See 85 Fed. Reg. at 43,995. The
    EPA used compliance-monitoring information from those
    states to update some of the UMCR-1 data points. Id. The
    updates for California, in particular, had the potential to
    disproportionately affect the national picture of perchlorate
    occurrence: “In the original UCMR 1 dataset . . . 320 of 540
    5
    samples in which perchlorate was detected were in California.”
    EPA Br. 52; see also Env’t Prot. Agency, EPA 816-R-19-003,
    Perchlorate Occurrence and Monitoring Report App. D at D-
    3 (May 2019). Based on the updated data, the EPA concluded
    that perchlorate did not occur in public water systems at the
    requisite levels of public health concern to justify regulation.
    See 85 Fed. Reg. at 43,992.
    II.     Authority to Withdraw            a   Regulatory
    Determination
    Under the Safe Drinking Water Act, the EPA’s issuance of
    a regulatory determination triggers a duty to propose and
    promulgate an appropriate regulation. As my colleagues in the
    majority note, the statute imposes that duty by repeatedly using
    the word “shall.” See Maj. Op. 9–10. Specifically, the EPA
    Administrator (1) “shall, in accordance with the procedures
    established by this subsection, publish a [MCLG] and
    promulgate a[n accompanying] regulation for a contaminant . .
    . if the Administrator determines that” the statutory factors are
    met, 42 U.S.C. § 300g-1(b)(1)(A) (emphasis added); (2) “shall
    publish [MCLGs] and promulgate, by rule,” accompanying
    regulations “[f]or each contaminant that the Administrator
    determines to regulate,” id. § 300g-1(b)(1)(E) (emphasis
    added); (3) “shall propose” the MCLG and accompanying
    regulation within 24 months of the determination to regulate,
    id. (emphasis added); and (4) “shall publish” the MCLG and
    accompanying regulation within 18 months of the proposal
    (with a possible nine-month extension), id. (emphasis added).
    Based on this language, the majority concludes that when
    the EPA initially determined to regulate perchlorate in 2011,
    the issuance of regulations became mandatory — full stop. See
    Maj. Op. 9–10. But in my view, the question here is not
    whether the existence of a regulatory determination gives rise
    6
    to a duty to actually regulate. It undoubtedly does. Instead, the
    salient question is whether the agency may withdraw its
    determination to regulate based on changed circumstances,
    thereby vitiating the agency’s obligation to proceed with
    regulation. It is the regulatory determination that kicks off all
    the statutory timelines and imposes on the agency a firm
    obligation to regulate; if that determination is withdrawn, those
    attendant requirements are no longer operative.
    The withdrawal of a determination to regulate in this
    context appears to be unprecedented. This may be explained
    by the 24-month statutory deadline to propose a regulation: A
    significant change in the underlying science is unlikely to occur
    in that relatively short timeframe. But here, eight years passed
    after the EPA issued its initial determination. At that point,
    after undergoing a notice-and-comment procedure, the agency
    made a new determination based on updated information. The
    issue before us is not whether the EPA should have violated the
    Safe Drinking Water Act’s statutory deadline — it should not
    have. But, now that it has, we must consider whether the EPA
    has the power to withdraw a regulatory determination when
    changed circumstances justify such a withdrawal. In my view,
    the agency surely has that authority.
    Contrary to my colleagues’ view, nothing in the Safe
    Drinking Water Act forbids the EPA from withdrawing a
    determination to regulate. The statute is silent on that issue.
    But reading such a prohibition into the Safe Drinking Water
    Act would force the EPA to violate another statutory provision.
    Specifically, the statute obligates the EPA to use “the best
    available, peer-reviewed science and supporting studies
    conducted in accordance with sound and objective scientific
    practices” in every action under the Safe Drinking Water Act
    that “is based on science.” 42 U.S.C. § 300g-1(b)(3)(A)(i). If
    new information comes to light before the EPA proposes a
    7
    MCLG and accompanying regulation, and the “best available,
    peer-reviewed science” makes clear that the initial regulatory
    determination is no longer supported by the evidence, then
    proceeding to regulate despite that new evidence would violate
    this provision. We obviously should not adopt an interpretation
    of the statute that discounts or ignores the EPA’s duty to rely
    on the best available science. See Loughrin v. United States,
    
    573 U.S. 351
    , 358 (2014) (explaining the “‘cardinal principle’
    of interpretation that courts ‘must give effect, if possible, to
    every clause and word of a statute’” (quoting Williams v.
    Taylor, 
    529 U.S. 362
    , 404 (2000))); Del. Dep’t of Nat. Res. &
    Env’t Control v. EPA, 
    895 F.3d 90
    , 99 (D.C. Cir. 2018) (“[W]e
    strive to construe statutes ‘so that effect is given to all its
    provisions, so that no part will be inoperative or superfluous,
    void or insignificant.’” (quoting Corley v. United States, 
    556 U.S. 303
    , 314 (2009))).
    The majority asserts that the agency can reconcile these
    statutory mandates by “apply[ing] the ‘best available, peer-
    reviewed science,’ including any new developments, to set the
    substance of the regulations — not to reevaluate whether to
    regulate.” Maj. Op. 12; see also NRDC Br. 34–35 (making a
    similar argument). But that fails to account for circumstances
    where, as here, the agency concludes that the best available,
    peer-reviewed science does not support regulating a
    contaminant at all. Under the majority’s approach, the agency
    is forced to regulate anyway. The regulation of a contaminant
    entails setting a MCLG and a MCL, which in turn triggers
    potentially costly testing requirements. See 42 U.S.C.
    § 300g-3(c)(1)(A)(i) (requiring public water systems to notify
    customers of “any failure” to “comply with an applicable
    maximum contaminant level”); 
    40 C.F.R. § 141.23
     (requiring
    water systems to “conduct monitoring to determine compliance
    with . . . maximum contaminant levels”). The majority’s
    interpretation gives the agency no choice but to impose a
    8
    pointless burden on water systems to test for a substance that
    the agency does not even think should be regulated. Congress
    could not have intended “such an illogical result.” Tri-State
    Hosp. Supply Corp. v. United States, 
    341 F.3d 571
    , 577 (D.C.
    Cir. 2003); see also Mova Pharm. Corp. v. Shalala, 
    140 F.3d 1060
    , 1068 (D.C. Cir. 1998) (highlighting “the long-standing
    rule that a statute should not be construed to produce an absurd
    result,” i.e., a “result [that] is contrary to common sense” and
    “inconsistent with the clear intentions of the statute’s
    drafters”).
    For its part, NRDC contends that the “best available, peer-
    reviewed science” provision requires the EPA to consider only
    the best evidence that was available “at the time” of the original
    determination, i.e., in 2011. See NRDC Br. 35–36. Citing our
    decision in Chlorine Chemistry Council v. EPA, NRDC relies
    on our statement “that the action [should] be taken on the basis
    of the best available evidence at the time of the rulemaking.”
    
    206 F.3d 1286
    , 1291 (D.C. Cir. 2000) (emphasis in original).
    But Chlorine Chemistry Council involved very different facts.
    In that case, the EPA refused to establish a MCLG supported
    by the best available evidence “because of the possibility of
    contradiction in the future by evidence unavailable at the time
    of the action.” 
    Id.
     at 1290–91. In this case, the EPA is not
    arguing that the currently available evidence might be
    contradicted in the future, but that the currently available
    evidence does contradict the agency’s past understanding of the
    science. Moreover, although the EPA made a regulatory
    determination in 2011, the “time of the rulemaking” in this case
    was in 2019, when the EPA sought comments about its
    proposed MCLG and accompanying regulation. See 
    5 U.S.C. § 551
    (5) (“‘[R]ule making’ means agency process for
    formulating, amending, or repealing a rule[.]”). If the best
    available evidence at that later time revealed that the statutory
    prerequisites for regulation were not met, then the agency’s
    9
    only way forward was to withdraw its earlier decision to the
    contrary. Otherwise, the EPA would be simultaneously
    forbidden yet compelled to rely on “the best available, peer-
    reviewed science.” 42 U.S.C. § 300g-1(b)(3)(A)(i).
    Notably, Congress clearly knew how to limit the agency’s
    ability to change its mind and chose to do so only later in the
    Safe Drinking Water Act’s regulatory process. Specifically,
    the statute’s anti-backsliding provision applies after
    promulgation of the MCLG and accompanying regulation. See
    id. § 300g-1(b)(9). It mandates that “[a]ny revision of a
    national primary drinking water regulation . . . shall maintain,
    or provide for greater, protection of the health of persons.” Id.
    (emphasis added). That provision is inoperative here because
    the EPA made (and then withdrew) only a determination to
    regulate. Nevertheless, Congress’s enactment of a specific
    limitation on the EPA’s ability to revisit and alter drinking-
    water regulations under the Safe Drinking Water Act highlights
    the absence of any explicit limitation on changing regulatory
    determinations in this context. The statutory text thus strongly
    suggests that there is no implicit constraint on the agency’s
    ability to reconsider a regulatory determination. See Jama v.
    Immigr. & Customs Enf’t, 
    543 U.S. 335
    , 341 (2005) (“We do
    not lightly assume that Congress has omitted from its text
    requirements that it nonetheless intends to apply, and our
    reluctance is even greater when Congress has shown elsewhere
    in the same statute that it knows how to make such a
    requirement manifest.”).
    My conclusion that the EPA may withdraw a regulatory
    determination is consistent with the ordinary rule that agencies
    may “use the same procedures when they amend or repeal a
    rule as they used to issue the rule in the first instance.” Perez
    v. Mortg. Bankers Ass’n, 
    575 U.S. 92
    , 101 (2015) (citing FCC
    v. Fox Television Stations, Inc., 
    556 U.S. 502
    , 515 (2009));
    10
    Hickman & Pierce, Administrative Law Treatise § 4.5.1 (6th
    ed. 2019) (“In the ordinary course, legislative rules must be
    promulgated using notice and comment procedures and can
    only be modified or replaced using notice and comment
    procedures.”). Indeed, it is a core principle of administrative
    law “that an agency must be given ample latitude to ‘adapt their
    rules and policies to the demands of changing circumstances.’”
    See Motor Vehicles Ass’n of U.S., Inc. v. State Farm Mut. Auto.
    Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 42 (1983) (citation omitted)). If
    Congress had intended to depart from these well-established
    principles in the present context, it would have spoken to that
    issue directly. Cf. Ivy Sports Med., LLC v. Burwell, 
    767 F.3d 81
    , 86 (D.C. Cir. 2014). As it did not, the EPA changed its
    mind in the way that agencies routinely do: It made its 2011
    determination to regulate after notice and comment; then, eight
    years later, it went through another round of notice and
    comment before deciding to change course. 1
    Finally, it bears mention that if, after “employing
    traditional tools of statutory construction,” the Safe Drinking
    Water Act remained ambiguous about whether the EPA can
    withdraw a regulatory determination, the agency’s
    interpretation ordinarily would be entitled to deference. See
    1
    This case does not fall within the exception that applies when
    Congress, by providing an alternative statutory mechanism to correct
    mistakes, restricts the means through which an agency can change
    course. See, e.g., Ivy Sports, 
    767 F.3d at 86
     (holding that agency
    lacked authority to reconsider prior decision where Congress
    “creat[ed] . . . a specific statutory mechanism to correct alleged . . .
    errors”); New Jersey v. EPA, 
    517 F.3d 574
    , 582–83 (D.C. Cir. 2008)
    (similar); Am. Methyl Corp. v. EPA, 
    749 F.2d 826
    , 835 (D.C. Cir.
    1984) (similar). To the contrary, denying the EPA the ability to
    withdraw its regulatory determination under the present
    circumstances leaves the agency with no mechanism at all to alter
    what it later concluded was an incorrect decision.
    11
    Chevron, U.S.A., Inc. v. NRDC, 
    467 U.S. 837
    , 843 n.9 (1984).
    But because the EPA did not cite Chevron in its brief and
    avoided relying on it at oral argument, see Oral Arg. Tr. 27:15–
    18, I decline to consider the applicability of Chevron here. See
    HollyFrontier Cheyenne Refin., LLC v. Renewable Fuels
    Ass’n, 
    141 S. Ct. 2172
    , 2180 (2021) (“[T]he government does
    not [invoke Chevron.] . . . We therefore decline to consider
    whether any deference might be due its regulation.”).
    In short, under the circumstances presented, it was
    permissible for the EPA to reconsider and withdraw a
    determination to regulate a contaminant under the Safe
    Drinking Water Act. The agency had not yet proposed and
    promulgated a final regulation when it made a new finding that
    the best available, peer-reviewed science no longer supported
    its prior regulatory determination. In my view, the EPA may
    appropriately reverse a decision to regulate based on a change
    in scientific evidence, after engaging in notice-and-comment
    procedures.
    III.    Withdrawal of the 2011 Determination to
    Regulate Perchlorate
    Although the EPA was empowered to reconsider its initial
    regulatory determination based on changes in the best
    available, peer-reviewed science, the agency’s ultimate
    decision not to regulate perchlorate in drinking water was
    arbitrary, capricious, and otherwise not in accordance with law.
    See 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2)(A); see also Fox Television Stations, 
    556 U.S. at
    514–16; Nat’l Ass’n of Home Builders v. EPA, 
    682 F.3d 1032
    , 1037–38 (D.C. Cir. 2012). An agency action is arbitrary
    or capricious “if the agency has relied on factors which
    Congress has not intended it to consider, entirely failed to
    consider an important aspect of the problem, offered an
    explanation for its decision that runs counter to the evidence
    12
    before the agency, or is so implausible that it could not be
    ascribed to a difference in view or the product of agency
    expertise.” State Farm, 
    463 U.S. at 43
    . An agency action that
    “violates [a statute] is ‘not in accordance with law’ within the
    meaning of 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2)(A).” Chrysler Corp. v. Brown,
    
    441 U.S. 281
    , 318 (1979); see also Ethyl Corp. v. EPA, 
    306 F.3d 1144
    , 1150 (D.C. Cir. 2002) (holding that agency action
    that violated authorizing statute was “not in accordance with
    law”).
    A. Proposed MCLGs
    The Safe Drinking Water Act requires the EPA to “set [the
    MCLG] at the level at which no known or anticipated adverse
    effects on the health of persons occur and which allows an
    adequate margin of safety.” 42 U.S.C. § 300g-1(b)(4)(A)
    (emphasis added). But the EPA sought comments on MCLGs
    that permitted levels of perchlorate associated with one-, two-,
    and three-point decreases in the average IQ of the most
    sensitive population; and then used those MCLGs as the “levels
    of public health concern” by which it evaluated the need to
    limit perchlorate in drinking water. See 85 Fed. Reg. at 43,995
    (“[T]he EPA used these potential MCLGs as the levels of
    public health concern in assessing the frequency of occurrence
    of perchlorate in this regulatory determination.”). 2 The EPA
    2
    The EPA characterizes its proposed MCLGs of 18 µg/L,
    56 µg/L, or 90 µg/L as the levels of perchlorate that “avoid” IQ
    decreases of one, two, or three points, respectively. See 85 Fed. Reg.
    at 43,994, 43,995, 43,999; EPA Br. 2, 11, 16, 33, 34, 39, 45. That
    characterization is at best confusing and at worst misleading. The
    proposed MCLGs are the levels of perchlorate associated with
    decreases in IQ of one, two, or three points — not the levels at which
    those cognitive harms do not occur. See 84 Fed. Reg. at 30,536
    (explaining that the agency based its calculations on the daily dose
    of perchlorate “associated with a 1, 2, or 3 point decrease from the
    13
    found that “even at the most stringent regulatory level
    considered in the 2019 proposal” — i.e., the level associated
    with a one-point drop in IQ — “perchlorate does not occur in
    public water systems ‘with a frequency and at levels of public
    health concern.’” Id. at 43,992.
    The EPA’s proposed MCLGs plainly violated the statutory
    mandate to reflect “the level at which no known or anticipated
    adverse effects on the health of persons occur.” 42 U.S.C.
    § 300g-1(b)(4)(A). A decrease in average IQ of even one point
    is undoubtedly an “adverse effect[] on the health of persons.”
    Id. Rather than debate that self-evident conclusion, the EPA
    chooses the path of obfuscation, essentially arguing that in this
    “complicated technical area,” the court must defer to the
    agency’s chosen approach to regulation. EPA Br. 34, 37.
    Specifically, the EPA says that we should defer to its reliance
    on the agency’s “‘Benchmark Dose Guidance,’ which
    supported using a 1% effect [on IQ] as a starting point.” Id. at
    34. That guidance focuses not on “what individual levels [of a
    contaminant] can be considered adverse” but instead on “the
    level of change in the endpoint [here, IQ] at which the effect is
    considered to become biologically significant (as determined
    by expert judgment or relevant guidance documents).” See
    Env’t Prot. Agency, Benchmark Dose Technical Guidance x
    (June 2012). In other words, the agency relied on its own
    judgment about whether an adverse health effect is
    standardized mean IQ”). At oral argument, the EPA contended that
    setting MCLGs at these levels would “avoid” the relevant IQ
    decreases because regulating at those levels of perchlorate would
    prevent water from containing those levels of perchlorate. See Oral
    Arg. Tr. 37:24–38:14, 39:7–9. But the truth appears to be the
    opposite: Setting a maximum of 18 µg/L would not avoid water
    having that much perchlorate, it would permit that level of
    perchlorate — a level that, according to the EPA’s own data, is
    associated with a one-point decline in IQ.
    14
    “biologically significant” instead of adhering to the statutory
    standard, which requires setting the MCLG “at the level at
    which [there are] no known or anticipated adverse effects on
    the health of persons.” 42 U.S.C. § 300g-1(b)(4)(A). Notably,
    the EPA used the Benchmark Dose Guidance to replace the
    “NOAEL/LOAEL [no or low observed adverse effect level]
    approach,” which had been “used for many years” and which
    mirrors what the statute requires. See Benchmark Dose
    Technical Guidance viii. One need not be a scientist to
    understand that by rejecting the “no observed adverse effect
    level” approach, the EPA eschewed what the Safe Drinking
    Water Act demands.           Compare id., with 42 U.S.C.
    § 300g-1(b)(4)(A).
    Beneath the technical jargon and puffery about agency
    expertise, the EPA is not really arguing that it complied with
    the statute. Instead, the agency appears to contend that the
    statute’s requirements are not the best way to go about making
    policy in this area, and that its own judgment should control.
    Of course, that position finds no support in the law. Congress
    directed the EPA to set MCLGs “at the level at which no known
    or anticipated adverse effects on the health of persons occur.”
    42 U.S.C. § 300g-1(b)(4)(A). The agency did not act in
    accordance with that law when it used a MCLG associated with
    a one-point drop in IQ — which plainly is an “adverse effect[]
    on the health of persons,” id. — as the basis for withdrawing
    its determination to regulate perchlorate.
    B. UCMR-1 Data
    As previously noted, the EPA relied on data from the
    UCMR-1 — a nationwide sampling of public water systems for
    perchlorate — when it made its determination to regulate in
    2011. See 76 Fed. Reg. at 7,764. The UCMR-1 survey
    detected “perchlorate at levels greater than or equal to 4 µg/L .
    15
    . . [in] approximately 1.9 percent of the” samples collected
    during the 2001–2005 study period. Id. After the UCMR-1
    study, however, Massachusetts and California passed
    enforceable state-level standards on perchlorate in drinking
    water. As a result, statewide monitoring data of perchlorate
    have become available in those states. See 85 Fed. Reg. at
    43,995.
    When the EPA reconsidered its determination to regulate
    in 2019, it updated the UCMR-1 data to reflect some, but not
    all, of the newly available information from Massachusetts and
    California. Instead of replacing all the data points from
    Massachusetts and California in the UCMR-1 dataset, the
    agency updated only those samples where perchlorate was
    detected during the 2001–2005 data collection. See id. In other
    words, it revised any samples that were positive for perchlorate
    in the 2001–2005 data, but left untouched those samples that
    were negative for perchlorate. Thus, as NRDC argues, the
    “EPA set up a one-way ratchet: [C]ontaminated water could
    become clean, but clean water could not become
    contaminated.” NRDC Br. 62. If the purpose of adjusting the
    UCMR-1 data was to obtain the most current systematic picture
    of perchlorate occurrence, there was no apparent reason (and
    the agency proffers none) to selectively update the data from
    Massachusetts and California instead of using all the new data
    from those states. The EPA’s evident failure “to consider [that]
    important aspect of the problem” was arbitrary and capricious.
    State Farm, 
    463 U.S. at 43
    .
    IV.     Conclusion
    For the foregoing reasons, I would hold that the EPA has
    authority to withdraw a determination to regulate a
    contaminant under the Safe Drinking Water Act, prior to the
    promulgation of a MCLG and accompanying regulation, when
    16
    the best available science supports the agency’s conclusion that
    the required factors for regulation are no longer met. But in my
    view, the EPA’s 2020 decision not to regulate perchlorate was
    arbitrary, capricious, and contrary to law because it was based
    on a MCLG that did not comply with a statutory directive, and
    relied on selectively updated data concerning the prevalence of
    perchlorate in drinking water. On those grounds, I would
    vacate the agency’s withdrawal of its 2011 regulatory
    determination and remand for further proceedings. I therefore
    concur in the judgment.