Cboe Futures Exchange, LLC v. SEC ( 2023 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued October 28, 2022               Decided July 28, 2023
    No. 21-1038
    CBOE FUTURES EXCHANGE, LLC,
    PETITIONER
    v.
    SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION,
    RESPONDENT
    MINNEAPOLIS GRAIN EXCHANGE, LLC,
    INTERVENOR
    On Petition for Review of a Final Order
    of the Securities and Exchange Commission
    Paul E. Greenwalt III argued the cause for petitioner.
    With him on the briefs was Michael K. Molzberger.
    Rachel M. McKenzie, Senior Litigation Counsel,
    Securities and Exchange Commission, argued the cause for
    respondent. With her on the brief were Michael A. Conley,
    Solicitor, and Dominick V. Freda, Assistant General Counsel.
    Mark T. Stancil argued the cause for intervenor
    Minneapolis Grain Exchange, LLC in support of respondent.
    2
    With him on the brief were Jeffrey B. Korn and Patricia O.
    Haynes.
    Before: SRINIVASAN, Chief Judge, and WILKINS and RAO,
    Circuit Judges.
    Opinion for the Court filed by Chief Judge SRINIVASAN.
    SRINIVASAN, Chief Judge: A futures contract calls for the
    purchase or sale of an underlying asset on a specific future date
    at a specific price. When the underlying asset is a security (or
    a security index), the futures contract may constitute a “security
    future” under federal law. A security future is subject to more
    stringent regulatory treatment and less favorable tax treatment
    than other futures.
    This case involves futures contracts based on the so-called
    SPIKES Index, which measures the volatility of the S&P 500
    stock market index. In 2020, the Securities and Exchange
    Commission issued an order directing treatment of SPIKES
    futures as futures rather than security futures for purposes of
    the Securities Exchange Act. The SEC’s aim was to promote
    competition with futures that are based on another index that
    measures S&P 500 volatility, known as the VIX Index. For
    years, VIX futures have been regulated as futures, not security
    futures.
    The petition in this case challenges the SEC’s 2020 order
    treating SPIKES futures as futures. We grant the petition. The
    SEC did not adequately explain why SPIKES futures must be
    regulated as futures to promote competition with VIX futures.
    While we thus vacate the Commission’s order, we will
    withhold issuance of our mandate for three calendar months to
    allow market participants sufficient time to wind down existing
    SPIKES futures transactions with offsetting transactions.
    3
    I.
    A.
    A futures contract is an “agreement[] to buy or sell a
    specified quantity” of a specified asset “at a particular price for
    delivery at a set future date.” Dunn v. Commodity Futures
    Trading Comm’n, 
    519 U.S. 465
    , 470 (1997). The assets
    underlying futures are often physical commodities, like oil,
    corn, or aluminum. After enactment of the Commodity Futures
    Modernization Act of 2000, 
    Pub. L. No. 106-554, 114
     Stat.
    2763A-365 (CFMA), futures contracts can also provide for the
    future delivery of financial securities, like shares of a stock or
    the value of a stock index. Depending on the particulars, such
    a futures contract may be treated as a “security future” under
    federal law.
    Both the Securities Exchange Act and the Commodity
    Exchange Act define a “security future” as a “contract of sale
    for future delivery of a single security or of a narrow-based
    security index, including any interest therein or based on the
    value thereof,” with certain exceptions. 7 U.S.C. § 1a(44)
    (Commodity Exchange Act); 15 U.S.C. § 78c(a)(55)(A)
    (Securities Exchange Act). The two Acts also contain an
    identical definition of a “narrow-based security index.” 7
    U.S.C. § 1a(35)(A); 15 U.S.C. § 78c(a)(55)(B). Roughly
    speaking, that term refers to an index based on, or heavily
    weighted towards, a small number of constituent securities.
    See      7    U.S.C.     § 1a(35)(A)(i)–(iv);    15     U.S.C.
    § 78c(a)(55)(B)(i)–(iv). In contrast, more diversified indexes
    that track broader market segments—like the S&P 500—are
    considered “broad-based” indexes. Futures contracts based on
    broad-based indexes are not security futures. See 7 U.S.C.
    § 1a(44); 15 U.S.C. § 78c(a)(55)(A).
    4
    Because security futures reflect characteristics of both
    securities (normally regulated by the Securities and Exchange
    Commission, or SEC) and futures contracts (normally
    regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, or
    CFTC), Congress directed the SEC and the CFTC to jointly
    administer a bespoke regulatory regime for security futures. As
    a general matter, security futures are subject to more stringent
    regulation than other futures. The distinct regulatory regime
    applicable to security futures thus requires, for instance, that
    exchanges for trading security futures register with and submit
    proposed rules to both the SEC and the CFTC. Those rules
    include listing standards, such as the amount of collateral or
    “margin” necessary for a trader to secure and maintain credit
    for use in trading security futures. See, e.g., 7 U.S.C. § 7b-1(a);
    15 U.S.C. §§ 78f(g), 78f(h)(2), 78f(h)(3)(C), 78f(h)(3)(L),
    78g(c)(2)(B), 78s(b)(7)(A)–(B).
    The National Futures Association and the Financial
    Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA)—self-regulatory
    bodies within the financial industry—further require that
    market participants dealing in security futures (but not futures
    contracts) provide a “Security Futures Risk Disclosure
    Statement” before investors may trade those products. See
    Security Futures, FINRA, https://www.finra.org/rules-
    guidance/key-topics/security-futures (last visited July 10,
    2023) [https://perma.cc/RC8B-D642].            The Disclosure
    Statement is a standardized document that “discusses the
    characteristics and risks of standardized security futures
    contracts traded on regulated U.S. exchanges.” FINRA & Nat’l
    Futures Ass’n, Security Futures Risk Disclosure Statement 1
    (2020),        https://www.finra.org/sites/default/files/2020-08
    /Security_Futures_Risk_Disclosure_Statement_2020.pdf
    [https://perma.cc/LF4S-ADJY] (Disclosure Statement).
    5
    By contrast, futures contracts—such as those based on
    physical commodities—are subject to more relaxed regulation,
    by the CFTC alone. For instance, a market that enables futures
    trading can implement proposed rules after ten business days—
    without any need to notify the SEC—unless the CFTC acts to
    stay the certification. See 7 U.S.C. § 7a-2(c)(2); 
    17 C.F.R. § 40.6
    (b). Futures contracts also may be subject to more
    lenient margin requirements and capital gains tax treatment
    than security futures. See SEC Br. 11–14; 26 U.S.C.
    §§ 1234B(b), 1256(a)(3).
    In sum, security futures are more heavily regulated and
    taxed than other futures.
    B.
    1.
    In 2003, petitioner Cboe Futures Exchange (CFE)
    announced plans to list futures contracts based on the Cboe
    Volatility Index, more commonly known as the “VIX Index.”
    See Joint Order Excluding Indexes Comprised of Certain Index
    Options From the Definition of Narrow-Based Security Index
    Pursuant to Section 1a(25)(B)(vi) of the Commodity Exchange
    Act and Section 3(a)(55)(C)(vi) of the Securities Exchange Act
    of 1934, 
    69 Fed. Reg. 16,900
    , 16,900 & n.6 (Mar. 31, 2004)
    (2004 Order). The VIX Index measures the 30-day expected
    volatility of the widely-used S&P 500 stock market index.
    The following year, the SEC and the CFTC issued a joint
    order “exclud[ing] certain indexes comprised of options on
    broad-based security indexes”—including the VIX—“from the
    definition of the term narrow-based security index.” 
    Id. at 16,900
    ; see 7 U.S.C. § 1a(35)(B)(vi); 15 U.S.C.
    § 78c(a)(55)(C)(vi). The effect was to exempt VIX futures
    from treatment as security futures. CFE then began listing
    6
    futures based on the VIX. See Joint Order To Exclude Indexes
    Composed of Certain Index Options From the Definition of
    Narrow-Based Security Index Pursuant to Section
    1a(25)(B)(vi) of the Commodity Exchange Act and Section
    3(a)(55)(C)(vi) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, 
    74 Fed. Reg. 61,116
    , 61,116 n.7 (Nov. 23, 2009).
    2.
    The SPIKES Index is similar, but not identical, to the VIX.
    Both indexes measure the 30-day expected volatility of the
    S&P 500. But whereas the VIX is derived from the prices of
    options on the S&P 500 itself, the SPIKES is derived from the
    prices of options on the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (known as
    the SPY), an index fund that aims to replicate the price and
    yield of the S&P 500. See Self-Regulatory Organizations;
    Miami International Securities Exchange, LLC; Order
    Granting Approval of a Proposed Rule Change To List and
    Trade Options on the SPIKESTM Index, 
    83 Fed. Reg. 52,865
    ,
    52,865 (Oct. 18, 2018) (SPIKES Options Order).
    Intervenor Minneapolis Grain Exchange, LLC (MGEX) is
    a subsidiary of a company that holds a license to the SPIKES.
    In March 2019, MGEX, hoping to list futures based on the
    SPIKES, began working with the CFTC to determine whether
    the SPIKES is a narrow-based or broad-based index. After
    CFTC staff indicated to MGEX that the SPIKES, like the VIX,
    is a broad-based index, MGEX self-certified to the CFTC
    proposed rules for the listing and trading of SPIKES futures.
    See Letter from Lindsay Hopkins, Clearing House Counsel,
    MGEX, to Christopher J. Kirkpatrick, Sec’y of the Comm’n,
    CFTC (Sept. 20, 2019), https://www.mgex.com/documents
    /MGEXSPIKES40.2Submission_redacted_000.pdf [https://
    perma.cc/EW82-6BSW]. The CFTC did not stay MGEX’s
    7
    self-certification, and on November 18, 2019, MGEX began
    listing SPIKES futures for trading.
    But less than two weeks later, on November 29, 2019,
    MGEX, at the request of SEC staff, notified market participants
    that it would halt trading in SPIKES futures later that day. In
    its memorandum announcing the trading halt, MGEX stated
    that its decision was “in the best interests of the market and
    market participants until the Exchange determines whether it
    can work with [the SEC and the CFTC] to resolve certain
    issues.” Memorandum from Minneapolis Grain Exch. to
    MGEX Mkt. Participants (Nov. 29, 2019), J.A. 32.
    3.
    In ensuing discussions with regulators, MGEX proposed
    that the SEC and the CFTC issue a joint order—akin to the
    2004 Order covering the VIX—excluding the SPIKES from the
    definition of narrow-based security index and thereby
    exempting SPIKES futures from treatment as security futures.
    MGEX submitted various materials to the two Commissions in
    support of that request. The Commissions did not issue the
    joint order requested by MGEX.
    In December 2020, the SEC unilaterally issued the order
    under review here, which we will call the Exemptive Order.
    See Order Granting Conditional Exemptive Relief, Pursuant to
    Section 36 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (“Exchange
    Act”) With Respect to Futures Contracts on the SPIKES™
    Index, 
    85 Fed. Reg. 77,297
     (Dec. 1, 2020). The Exemptive
    Order concludes that a futures contract based on the SPIKES
    satisfies the definition of a security future under the Securities
    Exchange Act. 
    Id. at 77
    ,298 & n.20. But the Order then
    invokes section 36 of the Securities Exchange Act, which
    authorizes the SEC to “exempt any person, security, or
    transaction . . . from any provision” of the Securities Exchange
    8
    Act “to the extent that such exemption is necessary or
    appropriate in the public interest, and is consistent with the
    protection of investors.” 15 U.S.C. § 78mm(a)(1). Exercising
    that authority, the Order generally exempts “futures contracts
    on the SPIKES from the definition of ‘security future’ under
    the Exchange Act,” with certain specified exceptions. 85 Fed.
    Reg. at 77,298. As a result of that grant of exemptive relief,
    market participants can trade SPIKES futures “as . . . future[s]
    (and not as . . . security future[s])” as far as the Securities
    Exchange Act goes; MGEX need not submit its proposed rule
    changes to the SEC for approval; and MGEX need not “comply
    with listing standard requirements,” “including with respect to
    margin,” “that are specific to security futures.” Id. at 77,300.
    The Exemptive Order sets certain conditions on its grant
    of exemptive relief, including conditions aimed to ensure that
    the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust closely tracks the performance
    of the S&P 500. Id. The failure of any of those conditions to
    hold, the Order explains, “could potentially undermine the
    basis for providing relief.” Id. So, “[t]o the extent that one or
    more of these conditions is no longer satisfied,” the Order “will
    no longer apply three calendar months after the end of the
    month in which any condition is no longer satisfied.” Id. The
    Order explains that “three calendar months is a sufficient
    amount of time to allow for” market participants to “take the
    necessary steps to wind down their existing transactions in an
    orderly fashion.” Id.
    The Exemptive Order contains a brief statement of the
    rationale for granting exemptive relief: it states that allowing
    SPIKES futures to trade as futures contracts, rather than
    security futures, “should foster competition as [SPIKES
    futures] could serve as an alternative to the only comparable
    incumbent volatility product in the market,” i.e., VIX futures.
    Id. at 77,298–99. The Order then lists some benefits of
    9
    “[f]acilitating greater competition among these types of
    products,” including “provid[ing] market participants with
    access to a wider range of financial instruments to trade on and
    hedge against volatility in the markets, particularly the S&P
    500,” and “lower[ing] transaction costs for market
    participants.” Id. at 77,299.
    CFE filed a petition for review of the Exemptive Order.
    We consider CFE’s petition in this case.
    II.
    We review the Exemptive Order under the familiar
    standard of the Administrative Procedure Act, which requires
    us to “hold unlawful and set aside agency action, findings, and
    conclusions found to be . . . arbitrary” or “capricious.” 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2)(A). To satisfy that standard, an agency must
    “examine the relevant data and articulate a satisfactory
    explanation for its action including a rational connection
    between the facts found and the choice made.” Encino
    Motorcars, LLC v. Navarro, 
    579 U.S. 211
    , 221 (2016) (quoting
    Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n v. State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co.,
    
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983)). The agency’s explanation must be
    clear enough that the agency’s “path may reasonably be
    discerned.” 
    Id.
     (quoting Bowman Transp., Inc. v. Ark.–Best
    Freight Sys., Inc., 
    419 U.S. 281
    , 286 (1974)). And the agency
    may not “entirely fail[] to consider an important aspect of the
    problem.” State Farm, 
    463 U.S. at 43
    .
    We conclude that the Exemptive Order is arbitrary and
    capricious because the SEC failed adequately to explain its
    rationale and failed to consider an important aspect of the
    problem. Because those deficiencies require vacatur of the
    Order, we have no need to consider CFE’s additional
    contention that the SEC failed to consider the possibility that
    10
    its grant of exemptive relief would lead to confusion among
    market participants.
    A.
    We begin with CFE’s contention that the Exemptive Order
    fails to give an adequate explanation of why exemptive relief
    is necessary to achieve the goal of enhancing competition.
    CFE relatedly argues that the Order provides no basis for its
    apparent assumption that existing products do not already
    afford sufficient competition. We agree with CFE.
    The Exemptive Order succinctly identifies the objective of
    enabling SPIKES futures to “trade as . . . futures contract[s], as
    opposed to as . . . security future[s],” through the grant of
    exemptive relief: to “foster competition,” such that SPIKES
    futures “could serve as an alternative to” VIX futures, “the only
    comparable incumbent volatility product in the market.” 85
    Fed. Reg. at 77,298–99. The Order then lists certain “benefits
    to the market” yielded by enhanced competition, such as
    “lower transaction costs for market participants.” Id. at 77,299.
    Critically, however, the Order contains no explanation
    whatsoever of how the grant of exemptive relief relates to the
    goal of promoting competition in the first place. Instead, the
    Order simply identifies that goal and asserts without
    elaboration that, to achieve it, SPIKES futures “will need to
    trade, clear, and settle as . . . futures contract[s],” rather than as
    security futures. Id.
    That assertion does not adequately “explain why [the SEC]
    decided to act as it did.” Butte Cnty. v. Hogen, 
    613 F.3d 190
    ,
    194 (D.C. Cir. 2010). The Order must articulate a “rational
    connection” between the treatment of SPIKES futures as
    futures (rather than security futures) and the promotion of
    competition. Encino Motorcars, 579 U.S. at 221 (quotation
    marks and citation omitted). Yet the Exemptive Order gives
    11
    no reason why exempting SPIKES futures from requirements
    applicable to security futures is likely to—let alone necessary
    to—promote competition. To be sure, VIX futures have been
    regulated as futures rather than security futures for some time
    (although the Exemptive Order never expressly says even that).
    Still, the Order needs to contain some explanation of why
    SPIKES futures, to provide meaningful competition, must also
    be regulated as futures rather than security futures. Without
    some account of the competitive import of the differences
    between those two regulatory regimes, the Order does nothing
    to address the possibility that SPIKES futures could provide
    meaningful competition even if treated as security futures.
    Relatedly, the Exemptive Order fails to explain why no
    existing products meaningfully compete with “the only
    comparable incumbent volatility product in the market.” 85
    Fed. Reg. at 77,299. Indeed, the Exemptive Order does not
    even identify the “incumbent volatility product” by its name or
    characteristics, although all parties acknowledge that the
    phrase refers to VIX futures. And the Order likewise fails to
    explain what it means for a product to be “comparable” to that
    incumbent or what characteristics a product must have to
    compete effectively with that incumbent. To the extent the
    Order could be read to consider the relevant market of
    “comparable” products to be volatility futures (as opposed to
    all volatility products, including volatility security futures), it
    still invites the question: why is that the relevant market? That
    is, why is it that only volatility futures, and not other volatility
    products (including security futures), can meaningfully
    compete with other volatility futures? In short, the Order
    leaves too many key questions unanswered to satisfy the APA.
    See, e.g., Susquehanna Int’l Grp., LLP v. SEC, 
    866 F.3d 442
    ,
    446–47 (D.C. Cir. 2017); Select Specialty Hosp.-Bloomington,
    Inc. v. Burwell, 
    757 F.3d 308
    , 309, 312–14 (D.C. Cir. 2014).
    12
    The SEC maintains that certain materials MGEX
    presented to the SEC and the CFTC in connection with its
    request for a joint exemptive order adequately identified a
    connection between exemptive relief and competition.
    Regardless of the content of the cited analyses, which are under
    seal, they cannot rescue the SEC’s otherwise inadequate
    explanation in the Exemptive Order.
    We have previously rejected an attempt by the SEC to
    substitute “unquestioning reliance” on a regulated entity’s
    submissions for the “reasoned analysis” the APA requires.
    Susquehanna, 
    866 F.3d at 447
    . Such submissions, we
    explained, have “‘little’ supporting value” because they
    express “the ‘self-serving views of the regulated entit[y].’” 
    Id.
    (alteration in original) (quoting NetCoalition v. SEC, 
    615 F.3d 525
    , 541 (D.C. Cir. 2010), superseded by statute on other
    grounds as stated in NetCoalition v. SEC, 
    715 F.3d 342
     (D.C.
    Cir. 2013)). If the SEC wanted to rely on MGEX’s analyses to
    connect the grant of exemptive relief with the goal of
    promoting competition, it needed to “critically review[]” and
    adopt MGEX’s submissions or “perform[] its own”
    comparable analysis. In re NTE Conn., LLC, 
    26 F.4th 980
    , 988
    (D.C. Cir. 2022) (alterations in original) (quoting
    Susquehanna, 
    866 F.3d at 447
    ). But the SEC nowhere in the
    Exemptive Order—or anywhere else in the record—explains
    “why [it] found” MGEX’s analyses “persuasive” or
    independently makes the same points. 
    Id.
    The SEC’s brief in our court ultimately relies on the notion
    that “there are competitive advantages to trading as a future,
    rather than a security future”—specifically, more lenient tax
    treatment and lower margin requirements. SEC Br. 35.
    MGEX’s brief makes similar points. See MGEX Br. 16, 19.
    But we of course base our review on the “grounds invoked by
    the agency” in the administrative record, Calcutt v. FDIC, 143
    
    13 S. Ct. 1317
    , 1318 (2023) (per curiam) (quoting SEC v. Chenery
    Corp., 
    332 U.S. 194
    , 196 (1947)), not later rationales contained
    in briefing in our court. Even if a need to equalize the tax
    treatment and margin requirements applicable to SPIKES
    futures and VIX futures could, in theory, justify the grant of
    exemptive relief, the record contains no indication that the SEC
    in fact relied on that rationale in the Exemptive Order.
    The Order simply contains no mention at all of taxation.
    And although it references margin requirements once in
    passing, it merely observes that, as a result of the relief granted,
    SPIKES futures will be subject to the listing standards
    applicable to futures rather than security futures, “including
    with respect to margin.” 85 Fed. Reg. at 77,300. Nothing in
    the Order suggests that exemptive relief will foster competition
    because of the effect on margin requirements. Tellingly, the
    SEC’s brief in our court, apart from its references to MGEX’s
    submissions (which, again, the SEC never itself adopted),
    relies entirely on sources outside the administrative record—
    from a law review article to Internal Revenue Service
    publications—to support the notion that equalization of tax and
    regulatory treatment is necessary to promote competition. See
    SEC Br. 12–14. There is no indication in the administrative
    record that the grant of exemptive relief is based on the
    reasoning the SEC now offers in its brief. That kind of “post
    hoc litigation rationalization pressed by agency counsel”
    cannot save the Exemptive Order. Gulf Restoration Network
    v. Haaland, 
    47 F.4th 795
    , 804 (D.C. Cir. 2022).
    Finally, the SEC posits that, because the Order is an
    exercise of informal adjudication—“the administrative law
    term for agency action that is neither the product of formal
    adjudication or a rulemaking,” Am. Bioscience, Inc. v.
    
    Thompson, 269
     F.3d 1077, 1084 (D.C. Cir. 2001)—the Order
    need not set forth fulsome explanations on all material points.
    14
    But even though “[w]e have what is known as informal agency
    adjudication,” the SEC still must “explain why it decided to act
    as it did” by providing a “statement . . . of reasoning” rather
    than a mere “conclusion.” Butte Cnty., 
    613 F.3d at 194
    (quotation marks and citation omitted). The SEC, for the
    reasons explained, fails to clear that minimal bar here.
    B.
    We turn next to CFE’s argument that the SEC did not
    adequately address potential harms to investors arising from
    the Exemptive Order’s implications for the Security Futures
    Risk Disclosure Statement. Recall that the Order, before
    granting exemptive relief, concludes that SPIKES futures meet
    the statutory definition of security futures. 85 Fed. Reg. at
    77,298. That determination would ordinarily require securities
    dealers to provide investors seeking to trade SPIKES futures
    with the Disclosure Statement, which describes security futures
    and the risks associated with trading them. See Self Regulatory
    Organizations; Order Granting Approval to Proposed Rule
    Change by the National Association of Securities Dealers, Inc.
    Relating to the Security Futures Risk Disclosure Statement, 
    67 Fed. Reg. 70,993
    , 70,994 (Nov. 27, 2002) (Disclosure
    Statement Order). CFE argues that, while the Exemptive Order
    effectively jettisoned that requirement for SPIKES futures, the
    SEC failed adequately to examine the potential resulting harms
    to SPIKES futures investors. We agree.
    An agency need not address every conceivable implication
    of its decision. But a “statutorily mandated factor, by
    definition, is an important aspect of any issue before an
    administrative agency.” United Parcel Serv., Inc. v. Postal
    Regul. Comm’n, 
    955 F.3d 1038
    , 1050–51 (D.C. Cir. 2020)
    (quotation marks and citation omitted). And with respect to the
    exemptive relief granted here, the Securities Exchange Act
    15
    required the SEC to consider the public interest and the
    protection of investors. See 15 U.S.C. § 78mm(a)(1).
    The SEC considered the same two factors two decades ago
    when it approved a rule requiring securities dealers to provide
    the Disclosure Statement to security futures investors. At that
    time, the SEC found that requirement “consistent” with its
    statutory mandates to “protect investors and the public
    interest.” Disclosure Statement Order, 67 Fed. Reg. at 70,994;
    see 15 U.S.C. § 78o-3(b)(6). In light of that prior finding, the
    SEC needed to “acknowledge” and “offer a reasoned
    explanation” for its evident change of perspective in the
    Exemptive Order—which, in contrast with the previous order,
    effectively discarded the Disclosure Statement requirement for
    a product meeting the statutory definition of a security future.
    Am. Wild Horse Pres. Campaign v. Perdue, 
    873 F.3d 914
    , 923
    (D.C. Cir. 2017). Neither the Exemptive Order nor the record,
    however, contains any mention of the Disclosure Statement.
    The SEC does not dispute that it needed to consider the
    harms that could result from dispensing with the general
    requirement to provide the Disclosure Statement to investors in
    security futures. Instead, the SEC maintains that the Order
    adequately addresses those potential harms, albeit implicitly.
    The Order does so, the SEC reasons, by establishing exceptions
    to and conditions on exemptive relief that serve to protect
    investors from fraud and market manipulation and to ensure
    that SPIKES futures trade in a way that minimizes risk.
    At least with respect to the Exemptive Order’s exceptions,
    however, they do nothing to undercut the rationale for
    providing the Disclosure Statement to SPIKES futures
    investors. The Order’s exceptions preserve the application to
    SPIKES      futures    of      anti-fraud,  anti-manipulation,
    recordkeeping, and inspection requirements that generally
    16
    apply to security futures. See 85 Fed. Reg. at 77,297, 77,299–
    300. So even if the Order’s exceptions, by preserving those
    requirements, serve to limit risks associated with fraud and
    manipulation, those requirements would apply to precisely the
    same extent even absent the grant of exemptive relief. Yet in
    that situation, securities dealers still would have been obligated
    to provide SPIKES futures investors with the Disclosure
    Statement: that obligation applies to all security futures,
    regardless of their risk level.
    It is far from clear, moreover, that the Exemptive Order’s
    exceptions and conditions in fact minimize the risks addressed
    in the Disclosure Statement. The SEC’s brief points only to the
    risk that “prices of security futures contracts may not maintain
    their customary or anticipated relationships to the prices of the
    underlying . . . index.” SEC Br. 49 (quoting Disclosure
    Statement at 6). The Exemptive Order may plausibly minimize
    that risk—it “contains a number of conditions designed to
    protect investors should a tracking error between the SPY and
    its underlying index materialize.” 85 Fed. Reg. at 77,302. But
    it is hard to see—and the SEC does not explain—how the
    Order’s exceptions and conditions address myriad other risks
    discussed in the Disclosure Statement’s forty-plus pages. To
    take just one example, the exceptions and conditions do
    nothing to mitigate the general need for an investor in SPIKES
    futures to have “knowledge of both the securities and the
    futures markets,” nor the risks associated with trading without
    such knowledge. Disclosure Statement at 6.
    The SEC falls back on separate disclosures that SPIKES
    futures investors will receive under the CFTC regulations that
    “will govern every aspect of [SPIKES futures] on a day-to-
    [day] basis.” Exemptive Order, 85 Fed. Reg. at 77,300. The
    suggestion is that those required disclosures for futures, see 
    17 C.F.R. § 1.55
    (b), fill any void left by the Disclosure
    17
    Statement’s absence. For instance, the futures disclosures
    provide warnings about the risk of loss and the difficulty of
    liquidating a position, comparable to similar warnings in the
    Disclosure Statement. Compare 
    id.
     § 1.55(b)(1), (b)(9), with
    Disclosure Statement at 4–5.
    The Exemptive Order, however, never mentions the
    futures disclosures. And at any rate, those disclosures only
    partially fill the void left by the absence of the Disclosure
    Statement. As with the Exemptive Order’s exceptions and
    conditions, the futures disclosures do not address any number
    of matters covered by the Disclosure Statement. And even
    when the two sets of disclosures overlap, the Disclosure
    Statement tends to provide much greater detail than the futures
    disclosures. Compare, e.g., 
    17 C.F.R. § 1.55
    (b)(11) (“The high
    degree of leverage (gearing) that is often obtainable in futures
    trading because of the small margin requirements can work
    against you as well as for you. Leverage (gearing) can lead to
    large losses as well as gains.”), with Disclosure Statement at
    25–28 (making the same basic point over the course of several
    paragraphs, including an explanation of margin requirements
    and numerical examples).
    For those reasons, we conclude that the Exemptive Order’s
    failure adequately to consider the potential harms to investors
    from discarding the obligation to provide the Disclosure
    Statement was arbitrary and capricious.
    III.
    The Exemptive Order’s shortfalls require its vacatur. In
    general, “vacatur is the normal remedy,” although we can
    remand to the agency without vacatur in certain circumstances.
    Allina Health Servs. v. Sebelius, 
    746 F.3d 1102
    , 1110 (D.C.
    Cir. 2014). “The decision whether to vacate depends on ‘the
    seriousness of the order’s deficiencies (and thus the extent of
    18
    doubt whether the agency chose correctly) and the disruptive
    consequences of an interim change that may itself be
    changed.’” Susquehanna, 
    866 F.3d at 451
     (quoting Allied-
    Signal, Inc. v. U.S. Nuclear Regul. Comm’n, 
    988 F.2d 146
    ,
    150–51 (D.C. Cir. 1993)). The SEC and MGEX urge us to
    exercise our discretion to remand without vacatur. We decline
    to do so because they have not shown that vacatur would be so
    disruptive as to justify a departure from our normal course.
    In contending that vacatur would be unduly disruptive, the
    SEC and MGEX point to the Exemptive Order’s recognition
    that, “to the extent that the exemptions in this order are no
    longer effective, market participants will need time to take the
    necessary steps to wind down their existing transactions in an
    orderly fashion, which typically requires entering into
    offsetting transactions.” 85 Fed. Reg. at 77,300. To that end,
    the Order provides that, “[t]o the extent that one or more of”
    the Order’s conditions “is no longer satisfied,” the Order “will
    no longer apply three calendar months after the end of the
    month in which any condition is no longer satisfied.” Id. In
    the SEC’s judgment, that “is a sufficient amount of time to
    allow for such activity to occur.” Id. Notably, Congress made
    essentially the same judgment in the CFMA, which provides
    for a similar three-month grace period when changes to a
    broad-based security index’s composition cause it to become
    narrow-based (thereby causing futures based on that index to
    be reclassified as security futures).          See 15 U.S.C.
    § 78c(a)(55)(E).
    The concerns with assuring adequate time for investors to
    unwind transactions do not counsel against ordering vacatur
    altogether. Rather, they are consistent with granting vacatur
    but building in a grace period akin to the one established by the
    SEC and Congress.          Accordingly, we will vacate the
    Exemptive Order but will withhold issuance of our mandate,
    19
    pursuant to Rule 41(b) of the Federal Rules of Appellate
    Procedure, to provide a three-month period during which
    market participants can wind down their open transactions. See
    Chamber of Com. v. SEC, 
    443 F.3d 890
    , 909 (D.C. Cir. 2006)
    (withholding issuance of mandate for ninety days pursuant to
    Rule 41(b)). Our mandate will issue three calendar months
    after the end of the calendar month in which we enter judgment,
    except that, if a timely petition for rehearing or motion for stay
    of mandate is filed, the mandate will issue three calendar
    months after the end of the calendar month in which we may
    deny such a petition or motion.
    *   *    *   *    *
    For the foregoing reasons, we grant the petition for review
    and vacate the Exemptive Order. We withhold issuance of our
    mandate as set forth in this opinion.
    So ordered.