People v. Valentine CA1/2 ( 2016 )


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  • Filed 1/22/16 P. v. Valentine CA1/2
    NOT TO BE PUBLISHED IN OFFICIAL REPORTS
    California Rules of Court, rule 8.1115(a), prohibits courts and parties from citing or relying on opinions not certified for
    publication or ordered published, except as specified by rule 8.1115(b). This opinion has not been certified for publication
    or ordered published for purposes of rule 8.1115.
    IN THE COURT OF APPEAL OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA
    FIRST APPELLATE DISTRICT
    DIVISION TWO
    THE PEOPLE,
    Plaintiff and Respondent,
    A140133
    v.
    GARY VALENTINE,                                                      (San Mateo County
    Super. Ct. No. SC042969)
    Defendant and Appellant.
    Appellant Gary Valentine, presently serving a three strikes prison term of 26 years
    to life imposed in 1999, appeals from the denial of his petition for resentencing under
    Proposition 36, the Three Strikes Reform Act. He argues that the constitutional
    guarantee of equal protection of the law is violated by the requirement that a person
    whose third strike term was imposed for a nonviolent felony be granted resentencing only
    if he or she does not pose an unreasonable risk of danger to public safety, while a person
    newly sentenced for a nonviolent felony is entitled to a second strike sentence regardless
    of current dangerousness. Additionally, he maintains that the definition of “unreasonable
    risk of danger to public safety” set forth in Proposition 47, enacted while this appeal was
    pending, must be applied to his case. Finally, he contends the trial court erroneously
    denied his petition based on immutable facts of his past record which had no rational
    nexus to current dangerousness. For the reasons explained herein, we reverse and
    remand for reconsideration of whether appellant currently poses an unreasonable risk of
    danger.
    1
    STATEMENT OF THE CASE
    In 1999, appellant was convicted of recklessly setting fire to an inhabited property
    (Pen. Code, § 452, subd. (b))1 and sentenced to a prison term of 25 years to life, plus one
    year for a prior conviction resulting in a prison term (§ 667.5).2 This court affirmed the
    judgment.3
    On December 24, 2012, appellant filed a petition for resentencing pursuant to
    section 1170.126.
    On October 25, 2013, the trial court denied the petition, finding that appellant
    posed an unreasonable risk of danger to the public.
    Appellant filed a timely notice of appeal on October 28, 2013.
    STATEMENT OF FACTS
    The facts of the offense underlying appellant’s 1999 conviction were described in
    this court’s unpublished opinion filed on September 6, 2000, as follows:
    “In March 1998, appellant was living with his wife, Carol Valentine, in a cottage
    behind her mother’s residence. Appellant was an alcoholic. Due to his heavy drinking,
    he was having marital problems with his wife.
    “On the evening of March 19, 1998, appellant told her that he was going to burn
    the cottage down.[4] Carol decided to stay at her mother’s residence that night. Later in
    the evening, appellant telephoned Carol and told her that ‘something bad was going to
    1
    Further unspecified code references are to the Penal Code.
    2
    Appellant was prosecuted for a number of offenses: maliciously setting fire to an
    inhabited property (§451, subd. (b)); recklessly setting fire to an inhabited property
    (§ 452, subd. (b)); burglary (§ 460, subd. (a)); assault on a peace officer (§ 245, subd.
    (c)); attempt to dissuade a witness (§ 136.1, subd. (a)(2)); and receiving stolen property
    (§ 496, subd. (a)). He was convicted only of the count of recklessly setting fire.
    3
    We found that the trial court erred in calculating appellant’s custody credits and
    remanded for amendment of the abstract of judgment to reflect an additional 41 days of
    custody credits.
    4
    “Previously, Carol testified that appellant was speaking incoherently on the night
    of the fire. At trial, she explained that her earlier testimony was motivated by her desire
    to protect her husband.”
    2
    happen.’ Approximately 10 minutes later, Carol looked at the cottage window and saw
    an ‘orange glow’ in front of appellant’s silhouette. She called 911 immediately.
    “When police officers arrived at the scene, the area near the cottage door was in
    flames and the cottage was filled with smoke. Appellant was sitting on the couch about
    six feet away from the fire, smoking a cigarette. The officers forced the door open,
    extinguished the fire, and pulled appellant from the cottage. Appellant was intoxicated.
    He told San Bruno Police Corporal Elizabeth Mariner that he set the fire with lighter fluid
    because he had an argument with his wife. He acknowledged telling his wife that he
    ‘was going to do it.’
    “Inside the cottage, there was a partially full bottle of lighter fluid on a coffee
    table, and a pile of smoldering pillows, blankets, and other personal items behind the
    front door. San Bruno Fire Captain Scott Marshall examined the scene of the fire. He
    concluded that the fire was not an accident. In Captain Marshall’s opinion, the fire
    started after an accelerant was squirted, spilled or splashed onto the pile of personal
    effects near the door, and the pile was ignited.”
    In rejecting appellant’s claim that his sentence violated the constitutional
    prohibition against cruel and unusual punishment, we described his criminal history:
    “Appellant, who was 49 years old at the time of sentencing, has an extensive
    criminal history with convictions that have become increasingly serious over time. His
    criminal record includes a 1968 conviction for joyriding, a 1972 conviction for
    possession of marijuana, a 1986 conviction for robbery with use of a firearm, a 1986
    conviction for bank robbery, a 1987 conviction for voluntary manslaughter, and a 1999
    conviction for driving under the influence of alcohol.
    “Appellant’s crimes involved extremely dangerous conduct. For instance,
    appellant accomplished the 1986 robbery by threatening the clerk at a toy store with a
    handgun. In the 1986 bank robbery, appellant threaten[ed] the teller by telling her that he
    had a ‘ “magnum” ’ in his pocket, and that a bomb was in place that would blow the bank
    apart. The 1987 conviction for voluntary manslaughter occurred after appellant’s gun
    went off and killed his girlfriend during a drunken fight. In the 1999 drunk driving
    3
    incident, appellant was driving with a blood alcohol level of .31 percent, and caused
    collisions involving three different vehicles.” We noted that appellant was incarcerated
    for the majority of the 10 years between his 1986 and 1987 convictions and the 1998
    burning of the cottage, meaning the remoteness of the earlier convictions was “no
    indication of appellant’s ability to refrain from criminal conduct,” and we commented
    that he was “a recidivist offender who is extremely dangerous to the public.” 5
    At an August 2, 2013, hearing on the resentencing petition, retired Police Officer
    David Stamer testified that on the evening of the fire in March 1998, he and other officers
    forced their way into an in-law unit that was in flames, yelling “police, open up.” Amid
    the smoke in the residence, appellant was seated on the sofa smoking a cigarette. The
    officers ordered him to come out for his safety, but appellant just stared at them. As they
    forcibly removed appellant from the residence, the officers smelled alcohol about his
    person. Appellant was committed under Welfare and Institutions Code section 5150.
    On July 9, 1998, Stamer responded again to the same residence sometime after
    3:00 a.m. and found appellant inside the garage attempting to pry open with a screw
    driver the door to the attached in-law unit. Stamer called appellant by his first name and
    ordered him several times to drop the screwdriver. Appellant made a closed fist around
    the screwdriver with the point sticking out. As Stamer yelled for appellant to drop the
    screwdriver, appellant ignored the orders and came toward the officers; he continued
    after Stamer asked if he wanted to be pepper-sprayed and even after Stamer sprayed him,
    not dropping the screwdriver until Stamer’s partner kicked him in the chest, knocking
    him backwards. There was a struggle as the officers got appellant handcuffed. As they
    5
    To demonstrate that the commitment offense was a “low-level felony, a
    wobbler,” appellant submitted the factual statement from our prior opinion, the
    description of facts related in the probation report, and a letter from appellant’s wife’s
    mother, the property owner, stating that the damage from the fire was “very minor” and
    had been repaired. The full probation report was submitted to show that appellant’s
    strike offenses occurred “more than a quarter of a century ago and there have not been
    any subsequent violent offenses,” along with the abstract of judgments for the 1988
    robbery and manslaughter convictions, and the presentence report for the 1988 bank
    robbery conviction.
    4
    were walking appellant outside, appellant’s wife appeared. Appellant looked right at her
    and angrily stated that he “would be getting out of jail.” Stamer asked him if that was a
    threat and appellant replied, “you bet it is.” Appellant was intoxicated. At the police
    station, he was “extremely belligerent and uncooperative.” Stamer never heard appellant
    say that he did not mean what he said to his wife. Stamer acknowledged that he had not
    seen appellant in almost 15 years and did not know what he was like at the time of the
    hearing.
    Appellant testified that he spent most of his younger years in a children’s home
    after his parents split up. Around age 18, he had surgery for scoliosis, which entailed
    fusing his spine and inserting a steel rod. That rod had broken in two, causing nerve
    damage and impaired mobility. The pain, in his entire spine and radiating down his right
    leg, was “intense” due to the nerve damage, and for the seven years preceding the
    resentencing hearing, he had been receiving methadone twice a day, which gave him
    three to four hours relief after each dose.
    About age 18, appellant became a hippy, and started using drugs; he started
    drinking alcohol much later, around 30. He had been married three times, and had a son
    from his third marriage. Around 1988, when he was in his late 30’s, things “fell apart”
    for appellant after he and his wife divorced and he was unable to see his son, and he
    started “really drinking” and also using drugs. He tried to stop himself from drinking by
    putting himself in rehabilitation programs four or five times, and twice he put himself in
    mental wards to “detox myself.” In late 1988, he was convicted of three “strike”
    offenses: Robbery of a toy store with a firearm, bank robbery, and voluntary
    manslaughter. The victim of the voluntary manslaughter was his girlfriend. Appellant
    testified that she grabbed a gun he had lying “out in the open” and pointed it toward her
    back to shoot herself. He grabbed the gun from her and put it back where it had been,
    thinking she just wanted attention. He turned to do something else, then heard a shot and
    turned back to see she had shot herself in the chest. He was arrested and his attorneys
    negotiated a disposition for all three offenses under which appellant pled no contest to
    5
    voluntary manslaughter and his sentence was run concurrent with his sentences on the
    other offenses.
    Appellant spent about eight years in federal custody. While there, he earned 62
    college credit hours, many of which were for drug and alcohol counseling. When
    released from federal custody, appellant spent three months in a halfway house in
    Arizona and then was on parole. In 1995, appellant turned himself into his parole officer
    after drinking for about three weeks. He served another nine months in federal prison for
    this violation and was released to a halfway house in San Francisco. He then remained
    sober from the time of his release until his marriage to his fourth wife, Carol. He worked
    as a fundraiser.
    Appellant started drinking again a couple of months before the fire incident that
    led to his state prison term: He thought he “could have a beer” but “a beer ended up my
    downfall.” Carol was spending time in the main house because of appellant’s drinking.
    With respect to the fire, appellant testified, “what I believe happened is I thought that I
    was lighting a cigarette or something. And I caught the curtains on the door on fire. But
    maybe I—maybe something else happened. I don’t know. I was pretty messed up.” All
    he remembered was sitting on the couch and the fire fighters coming in. Appellant was
    not immediately arrested for the burning incident. He put himself into an inpatient
    program at Walden House, where he previously had been an outpatient at the direction of
    his federal parole officer. About a month into the program, appellant learned that a
    warrant had issued for him. He went to the court and was taken into custody. While out
    on bond, he and his wife got together a couple of times. On the night when he was
    arrested on the charges that resulted in acquittals (the July 9 incident Stamer described),
    appellant thought he was “just going home.”
    After his conviction in the present case, appellant was first at San Quentin and
    then at Solano State Prison for almost 10 years. His security level at Solano was three,
    whereas the typical level for a person beginning a life sentence would be four. He
    worked as a teacher’s assistant and tutored prisoners getting their GEDs, then when
    6
    required to change jobs after two years, worked in the computer lab, helping with general
    education and tutoring. His work ratings were the highest it was possible to get.
    Appellant testified that it was very easy to get alcohol at Solano and he could have
    been drinking if he had wanted to. He never did. He testified that alcohol had ruined his
    life and he was never going to drink again.
    When he came to Solano, his number on the classification system was high—
    around 47 or 50—but for the last six or seven years it had been the lowest possible for an
    inmate serving a life sentence, which he believed was 19. His risk assessment number
    was also “the lowest.”
    Appellant requested to be moved to San Quentin because it was “a better place”
    with “less trouble.” His security level was reduced to two. Alcohol and illegal
    substances were readily available but appellant had never partaken of either.
    Eleven years before the resentencing hearing, appellant joined a Bible study group
    and ever since had read the Bible every day. Appellant testified that finding God and
    Jesus had changed his life and, more recently, his view of Alcoholics Anonymous (AA).
    Previously, he had had “trouble” with the steps because they were based on a “higher
    power” model, but he now felt the program fit him perfectly.
    Appellant had a lower bunk for medical reasons, because he was unable to get to a
    top one. Getting to an activity such as a church service would be difficult for him
    because it required going up and down stairs, which was hard due to his mobility issues
    and his Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD), which made it hard for him to
    breathe. Related to the COPD, he had had pneumonia requiring hospitalization outside
    the prison on two occasions; he had also been hospitalized for acute renal failure. He had
    Hepatitis C, for which treatment had failed, and cirrhosis of the liver. He also had
    coronary artery disease, with a 40 percent blockage in his arteries, and took medication
    for depression.
    Appellant testified that having a beer “would be just like slicing my wrist . . . You
    know, it would kill me. It would kill me not just medically, but it would kill my soul as
    well. It just would ruin me. I have . . . cirrhosis. My platelets are . . . getting lower and
    7
    lower each time I have a test where I bruise easily. That’s from just the cuffs I had on
    just yesterday. And if . . . they keep going down, eventually the doctor said I will just
    eventually bleed out if my liver gets any worse than it is. It hurts at times.” If released,
    appellant planned to get involved in church and AA, and make sure he never has another
    drink by “setting up everything I can that’s available to make . . . that happen, to make
    that work.”
    Appellant testified that if his resentencing request was granted and he was released
    from state prison, due to his federal parole hold, he would go into federal custody for
    between one and three years, followed by three months in a halfway house and then
    supervision by the federal probation department. Because he would have “drug and
    alcohol aftercare,” he would have to call every day and would be required to come for
    drug testing two or three times a week and to participate in counseling. Once released
    from the halfway house, appellant planned to live with his sister and her husband, who
    had a spare room for him in their condominium. Appellant did not expect to be given
    methadone while in federal custody but expects some other form of pain medication;
    once released, he intended to get Medicare and appropriate medical care for all of his
    conditions.
    Appellant acknowledged that when released from federal custody after the nine
    months he served for his parole violation, he understood he was not allowed to drink
    alcohol. His blood alcohol level was .31 on February 25, 1998, when he was arrested for
    drunk driving, and he was on federal probation and very drunk when he set fire to the
    cottage. He did not believe there were flammable liquids involved in the fire, and did not
    believe he told a police officer that he had warned his wife he was going to set the place
    on fire. He denied being taken to a mental institution on a Welfare and Institutions Code
    section 5150 hold after the fire, saying he was only taken to a regular hospital due to
    smoke inhalation. When he was arrested, he was “loaded” and had a screwdriver in his
    hand. He did not see or talk to his wife after the police pepper sprayed him, but told the
    police officer who hit him that they could not keep him in prison forever. Appellant
    testified that he was “very remorseful” about the time in his life when he committed his
    8
    crimes. He was “heavily into drugs and drinking” at the time, and drinking made him do
    things he would not normally do. He testified that it was physically hard for him to get to
    AA and NA (Narcotics Anonymous) meetings in prison and that he had gone, but not
    long enough to get a certificate.
    Dr. John Cranshaw, who had been appellant’s primary care physician at San
    Quentin for a number of years, had last seen him in the spring of 2013. He testified that
    appellant was “quite frail” and had multiple medical conditions, the most important being
    moderate to severe emphysema (a variant of COPD), hepatitis C with probable cirrhosis
    of the liver, severe degenerative changes in his spine and scoliosis for which he had had
    surgery. Appellant was able to get around: he could get in and out of a chair and
    ambulate at least 100 yards with a cane. He had chronic pain for which he was being
    treated with methadone, as other medications had not helped him. Appellant also had
    coronary artery disease, hypertension, pre-diabetes, and, recently, a vitamin B12
    deficiency with probable related neurologic changes and more significant cervical spinal
    stenosis. He probably had restrictive lung disease since having had surgery to remove
    pockets of fibrosis and pus due to an infection around his lungs, a procedure that usually
    leads to the lungs being smaller and not expanding well. He was at risk for further such
    infections, another one of which could “easily” be life threatening. An attempted
    treatment for hepatitis C had failed and in the last year or so appellant had begun to
    develop laboratory abnormalities suggesting (but not proving) he had developed cirrhosis
    of the liver. A period of binge drinking would likely have significant physical
    consequences, and heavy enough drinking could easily result in liver failure and death.
    Cranshaw had seen no indication that appellant was drinking or abusing his medication.
    Cranshaw testified that appellant’s health had declined over time, in particular his
    lung and liver function. In custody, appellant wears a vest that alerts staff to his mobility
    issues and he had an aide to help him with mobility issues. If released, he would have
    difficulty with mobility, would not be able to travel more than short distances, would not
    be able to sit or stand for long periods of time and would not have a great deal of stamina.
    Outside of prison, methadone is administered through clinics or a pain management
    9
    specialist; Cranshaw expected that a pain management specialist would monitor appellant
    but give him limited amounts of medication to take at home on a regular basis. Due to
    his medical conditions, appellant does not have the life expectancy of a normal 65-year-
    old. In particular, lung disease invariably gets worse over time.6
    Appellant submitted evidence documenting that during 14 years in prison, the only
    negative entries in his record concerned minor infractions—smoking a cigarette on one
    occasion in 2000, having an unauthorized beard on three occasions in 2002 and 2003, and
    failing to report to medication line on two occasions in 2005. A 1994 report indicated
    that in federal custody since 1988 appellant had met most of the goals set upon his initial
    classification, including a 28-week drug education course and numerous educational
    programs; he had “continuously” received “excellent to outstanding work reports”; and
    his only incident report was for possession/use of intoxicants in 1993, the disposition of
    which was “7 Days No Commissary.” While in federal custody, he earned 64 college
    credits, with a 3.906 cumulative grade point average. Appellant’s grades on
    miscellaneous CDC work supervisors’ reports from 2000 to 2007 ranged from
    “satisfactory” to “exceptional.”
    Appellant’s score on the California Static Risk Assessment administered by the
    Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation was 1, meaning “low.” Psychologist
    Douglas Korpi, who was retained to perform a risk evaluation for appellant, noted in his
    report that appellant had been “extensively treated for a number of medical problems,
    6
    Consistent with Cranshaw’s testimony, the “problem list” in appellant’s prison
    medical records included “advanced chronic obstructive pulmonary disease with history
    of multiple exacerbations”; “mobility impaired, designated as a permanent Disability Not
    Impacting Institutional Placement”; hypertension; hyperlipidemia; “hepatitis C genotype
    1b, failed treatment 2005”; “chronic low back pain with severe scoliosis status post
    Harrington rod placement, on methadone for chronic pain”; impaired fasting glucose;
    coronary artery disease with history of catheterization November 2011”; “history of acute
    renal failure, resolved”; “mental health issues, followed by psychiatry, correctional
    clinical care management system (CCMS)”; and “history of pneumonia 2011 with
    empyema status post thoracotomy and decortication.” As of April 2009, appellant was
    identified as “mobility impaired (D-DNM), requiring a cane, lower bunk and no stairs.”
    10
    these including [COPD], hypertension, hepatitis C, coronary artery disease, and
    scoliosis.” With respect to the scoliosis, he had been prescribed methadone due to the
    problem with the rod in his spine. He had also been receiving medication for depression.
    Korpi noted that appellant was “a dangerous man” in his thirties and forties, but that “[a]t
    issue is the defendant’s dangerousness now, a quarter of a century since his last
    conviction for violence.” At 64 years of age, appellant was “not the risk he once was, but
    neither [was] he 90 and incapacitated.” Korpi stated that “Department of Justice figures
    make clear that individuals over the age of 60 are many times less likely to violently act
    out than men in their 30’s and 40’s. At age 60 and above, approximately 3% of men
    violently recidivate (by contrast, 5 years recidivism rates for men in their 30’s cluster
    about 25%.)”
    Korpi discussed five “changing, dynamic, and current psychological and
    sociological factors” that bear on predicting future risk. “First, we want to look at an
    individual’s responsivity to treatment in pro-social activities. In this regard, the
    defendant’s current Central File is rife with better-than-average work reports, notices of
    substance abuse treatment completion, and general treatment compliance all-round.
    Likewise, the defendant no longer gives evidence of an impulsive lifestyle: his last Rules
    Violation was back in 2003, and even then the violation was exceptionally minor
    (grooming). The defendant does not give ongoing evidence of depression, affective
    instability, or agitation. Fourth, the defendant no longer harbors the resentments of what
    it means to be antisocial, he is not prone to blaming, and he does not feel himself to be a
    victim. And lastly, the defendant seems to have some insight into the nature of his
    antisocial and drinking ways, acknowledging the damage he has done others and himself,
    allowing himself to understand the degree to which alcoholism has ruined his life and
    quick to assign blame to no one else other than himself.” Korpi felt appellant’s plans for
    release—living with his sister and her husband in Arizona—were reasonable. Korpi
    stated that he “would not go so far as to conclude that the defendant was at no risk to
    violently offend, but I would conclude just as has CDCR in their California Static Risk
    Assessment: the defendant’s risk to violently act out in the future is Low.”
    11
    In an addendum, Korpi assessed appellant’s risk of alcohol relapse as “low-
    moderate.” By history alone, appellant’s risk of relapse would be “very significant,” but
    Korpi identified a number of positive “present and clinical or psychological factors”:
    Appellant did not appear to be “angry, bitter and blaming,” he was cooperative in dealing
    with medical and psychiatric staff, he had adequate insight into the nature of his
    alcoholism, he had sought out psychological treatment as needed, he acknowledged that,
    for him, alcohol use was life-threatening, he had a history of being responsive to
    treatment and intervention, his plans for the future were sound. Korpi concluded, “His
    historical risk is so very high that he will always be at some risk to resume drinking, but
    the clinical markers in this case are exceptionally good, and his risk-management factors
    and medical needs are, by and large, protective.”
    Richard Subia, who had retired after 27 years with the Department of Corrections
    (Department) in positions from correctional officer to prison warden to Director of
    Division of Adult Institutions, responsible for oversight of all adult institutions in the
    state, testified as an expert on Department operations. He had about 11 years of personal
    experience with risk assessment, including chairing committees on inmate risk
    assessment and establishing risk assessment tools.
    Subia testified that alcohol and controlled substances are as available in prison as
    outside, although the cost is higher. Appellant’s prison records did not reflect any
    alcohol or substance abuse violations. He was identified as mobility impaired, as a result
    of which his housing and program was adjusted, he was required to wear a yellow vest to
    prevent staff from taking aggressive action if he did not comply with instructions, and he
    was assigned an aide to assist with tasks such as carrying his tray in the dining hall. After
    reviewing appellant’s records and interviewing him, Subia concluded appellant would not
    pose an unreasonable risk to public safety if released. This conclusion was based on
    appellant’s ability to refrain from using drugs and alcohol, the absence of serious or
    violent offenses in his prison record, the documentation of his helping other inmates
    through activities such as tutoring, and the fact that inmates of appellant’s age have a
    lower propensity to violate once released, especially in his condition. He did not view
    12
    appellant’s treatment with methadone and medication for his depression as a substitute
    for alcohol because, unlike many inmates who would hoard prescribed medication or use
    it in addition to alcohol or other controlled substances, there was no indication appellant
    had done anything but follow his doctors’ directions. Subia noted that appellant took it
    upon himself to do the work of the AA program despite being unable to directly
    participate: NA/AA programs at San Quentin were held in the lower yard, some 50 to 75
    steps down, and appellant found it too difficult to go down and back up, while at Solano,
    rehabilitative programs were only offered to inmates in the last 36 months of their terms.
    Cheryl Simone, a former federal probation officer, testified that there was a federal
    detainer lodged against appellant for a pending parole violation. If released from state
    custody, he would be remanded to federal authorities and transferred to a local federal
    institution. Within 90 days, he would be brought to Oklahoma City for a hearing before
    the United States Parole Commission. Assuming the alleged parole violation was based
    on the offenses for which appellant was convicted in California, he would be found in
    violation of his federal parole and the parole board would determine his penalty.
    Appellant had four years remaining of his original 12-year federal sentence. He would be
    given credit for his years in state custody against the pending parole violation, but this
    would not necessarily mean he would be released immediately. Appellant first would
    have to propose a release plan in coordination with a case manager at the Bureau of
    Prisons, which would be sent to the proposed release district, in this case Arizona.
    Simone had interviewed appellant’s sister, who said that she and her husband were eager
    to have appellant live with them. They maintained a clean and sober living environment
    and were prepared to work cooperatively with the probation officer. The release protocol
    would often call for a transitional period in a halfway house. Simone expected that the
    treatment plan for appellant would include electronic alcohol monitoring, which was one
    of the many resources available in Arizona. Having been a probation officer from 1990
    until 2012, Simone testified that supervision standards had increased and drug and
    alcohol resources were very strong.
    13
    Evette Feigel, appellant’s niece, testified to her life-long warm relationship with
    appellant and his effort to maintain it through letters throughout his incarceration, as well
    as to develop and maintain a relationship with her daughter, who was born while
    appellant was in custody. Appellant also submitted documentation of the support he
    would receive upon his release. Appellant’s sister wrote that appellant would be living
    with her and her husband in Arizona, with his own room and bathroom in their
    condominium in a gated community. Another sister wrote to the court attesting to the
    family’s love and support, as did three nieces. The husband of the mother of appellant’s
    son offered emotional support, living space and employment at his family medical
    practice in New York. The director of Share Group Inc., where appellant worked as a
    fundraiser from August 1996 until February 1998, commended his commitment,
    reliability and attitude and stated she would re-hire him “in a heartbeat.”
    In response to the court’s inquiry whether there had been any contact between
    appellant and his ex-wife Carol after the threat on the night of the fire, the defense
    submitted letters appellant wrote to her after his arrest. The court agreed that these were
    conciliatory, not threatening, and that there was no evidence of other contact.
    DISCUSSION
    Prior to the adoption of Proposition 36, the Three Strikes Reform Act of 2012
    (Reform Act), a defendant who had previously been convicted of two or more serious or
    violent felonies was subject to an indeterminate sentence of 25 years to life upon
    conviction of any new felony. (People v. Chubbuck (2014) 
    231 Cal.App.4th 737
    , 740
    (Chubbuck); People v. White (2014) 
    223 Cal.App.4th 512
    , 517 (White); People v. Kaulick
    (2013) 
    215 Cal.App.4th 1279
    , 1285 (Kaulick).) “The Reform Act prospectively changed
    the Three Strikes law by reserving indeterminate life sentences for cases where the new
    offense is also a serious or violent felony, unless the prosecution pleads and proves an
    enumerated disqualifying factor. In all other cases, a recidivist defendant will be
    sentenced as a second strike offender, rather than a third strike offender.” (Chubbuck, at
    pp. 740-741; Kaulick, at p. 1286; People v. Yearwood (2013) 
    213 Cal.App.4th 161
    , 167-
    168 (Yearwood).)
    14
    “The Reform Act also created a ‘ “post-conviction release proceeding” ’ whereby
    a Three Strikes prisoner who is serving an ‘indeterminate life sentence’ for a crime that
    was not a serious or violent felony—and who is not otherwise disqualified—may have
    his or her sentence recalled and be resentenced as a second strike offender, unless the
    court ‘determines that resentencing . . . would pose an unreasonable risk of danger to
    public safety.’ (§ 1170.126, subds. (a), (f), (m); see Yearwood, supra, 213 Cal.App.4th at
    p. 168.)” (Chubbuck, supra, 231 Cal.App.4th at p. 741; White, supra, 223 Cal.App.4th at
    p. 517.) In determining whether the petitioner would pose an unreasonable risk of danger
    to public safety, “the court may consider: [¶] (1) The petitioner’s criminal conviction
    history, including the type of crimes committed, the extent of injury to victims, the length
    of prior prison commitments, and the remoteness of the crimes; [¶] (2) The petitioner’s
    disciplinary record and record of rehabilitation while incarcerated; and [¶] (3) Any other
    evidence the court, within its discretion, determines to be relevant in deciding whether a
    new sentence would result in an unreasonable risk of danger to public safety.”
    (§ 1170.126, subd. (g).)
    I.
    We consider first appellant’s argument that “unreasonable risk of danger to public
    safety” as used in subdivision (g) of section 1170.126 must be viewed as having the
    definition that was expressly provided for the same phrase in the subsequently enacted
    section 1170.18, subdivision (c).7 This latter statute was enacted by Proposition 47, the
    Safe Neighborhoods and Schools Act, on November 4, 2014 (effective Nov. 5, 2014),
    two years after the enactment of section 1170.126 and a year after the trial court denied
    appellant’s petition for resentencing. Section 1170.18, subdivision (c), provides: “As
    used throughout this Code, ‘unreasonable risk of danger to public safety’ means an
    unreasonable risk that the petitioner will commit a new violent felony within the meaning
    7
    This argument was raised in appellant’s reply brief. Proposition 47 was enacted
    after appellant’s opening brief was filed. His argument based on Proposition 47 is
    essentially a modification of the argument in his opening brief addressing the
    determination of dangerousness under section 1170.126, subdivision (g).
    15
    of clause (iv) of subparagraph (C) of paragraph (2) of subdivision (e) of Section 667.”
    The cited clause enumerates eight particularly egregious felonies, sometimes referred to
    as “super strikes.”8 (People v. Johnson (2015) 
    61 Cal.4th 674
    , 682.)
    Proposition 47 requires misdemeanor sentences for certain drug and theft related
    offenses that had been felonies or wobblers, unless the defendant has a prior conviction
    for one of the super strikes. (Health & Saf. Code, §§ 11350, subd. (a), 11357, subd. (a),
    11377, subd. (a); §§ 459.5, subd. (a), 473, subd. (b), 476a, subd. (b), 490.2, subd. (a),
    496, subd. (a), 666, subd. (b), 1170.18, subd. (a).) It also enacted a new statutory
    provision permitting a person serving a felony sentence for a reclassified offense to
    petition for a recall of his or her sentence. (§ 1170.18, subd. (a).) Like section 1170.126,
    section 1170.18 requires the trial court to determine whether “resentencing the petitioner
    would pose an unreasonable risk of danger to public safety” before imposing a
    8
    The felonies described in clause (iv) of section 667, subdivision (e)(2)(C), are as
    follows:
    “(I) A ‘sexually violent offense’ as defined in subdivision (b) of Section 6600 of
    the Welfare and Institutions Code.
    “(II) Oral copulation with a child who is under 14 years of age, and who is more
    than 10 years younger than he or she as defined by Section 288a, sodomy with another
    person who is under 14 years of age and more than 10 years younger than he or she as
    defined by Section 286, or sexual penetration with another person who is under 14 years
    of age, and who is more than 10 years younger than he or she, as defined by Section 289.
    “(III) A lewd or lascivious act involving a child under 14 years of age, in
    violation of Section 288.
    “(IV) Any homicide offense, including any attempted homicide offense, defined
    in Sections 187 to 191.5, inclusive.
    “(V) Solicitation to commit murder as defined in Section 653f.
    “(VI) Assault with a machine gun on a peace officer or firefighter, as defined in
    paragraph (3) of subdivision (d) of Section 245.
    “(VII) Possession of a weapon of mass destruction, as defined in paragraph (1) of
    subdivision (a) of Section 11418.
    “(VIII) Any serious and/or violent felony offense punishable in California by life
    imprisonment or death.”
    16
    misdemeanor sentence, and in making this determination the court is authorized to
    consider the same factors as specified for courts considering whether to resentence a
    petitioner under the Reform Act. (§§ 1170.18, subd. (b), 1170.126, subd. (g).)9 Because
    section 1170.18, subdivision (c), provides that its definition of “ ‘unreasonable risk of
    danger to public safety’ ” applies “throughout this Code,” appellant maintains he can be
    found to pose such danger only if there is evidence he poses an unreasonable risk of
    committing one of the felonies referenced in section 1170.18, subdivision (c).
    The question whether the definition of “unreasonable risk of danger to public
    safety” stated in Proposition 47 applies to resentencing under Proposition 36 is currently
    pending before the California Supreme Court, which has granted review in a number of
    cases that rejected the argument appellant makes here.10 In appellant’s view, section
    1170.18, subdivision (c), is straightforward and unambiguous: The restrictive definition
    it provides applies “throughout this Code”—the Penal Code—and therefore necessarily
    applies to section 1170.126, subdivision (f), the only other provision in the Penal Code
    that uses the phrase “unreasonable risk of danger to public safety.” And because sections
    1170.18 and 1170.126 set forth retrospective, remedial procedures to reduce previously
    9
    These factors are “[t]he petitioner’s criminal conviction history, including the
    type of crimes committed, the extent of injury to victims, the length of prior prison
    commitments, and the remoteness of the crimes”; “[t]he petitioner’s disciplinary record
    and record of rehabilitation while incarcerated”; and “[a]ny other evidence the court,
    within its discretion, determines to be relevant in deciding whether a new sentence would
    result in an unreasonable risk of danger to public safety.” (§§ 1170.18, subd. (b),
    1170.126, subd. (g).)
    10
    These cases include People v. Valencia (2014) 
    232 Cal.App.4th 514
    , review
    granted February 18, 2015, S223825; People v. Chaney (2014) 
    231 Cal.App.4th 1391
    ,
    review granted February 18, 2015, S223676; People v. Payne (2014) 
    232 Cal.App.4th 579
    , review granted March 25, 2015, S223856; People v. Crockett (2015) 
    234 Cal.App.4th 642
    , review granted May 13, 2015, S225198; People v. Davis (2015) 
    234 Cal.App.4th 1001
    , review granted June 10, 2015, S225603.
    17
    imposed sentences that have since been deemed disproportionate, appellant maintains the
    new definition created in Proposition 47 must be applied retroactively to his case.11
    “ ‘ “When statutory language is clear and unambiguous, there is no need for
    construction and courts should not indulge in it.” [Citation.]’ [Citation.]” (People v.
    Hendrix (1997) 
    16 Cal.4th 508
    , 512.) But “[t]he literal language of a statute does not
    prevail if it conflicts with the lawmakers’ intent[.] [Citations.]” (People v. Osuna (2014)
    
    225 Cal.App.4th 1020
    , 1033–1034.) In determining that intent, we consider extrinsic
    aids such as “ ‘the ostensible objects to be achieved, the evils to be remedied, the
    legislative history, public policy, contemporaneous administrative construction, and the
    statutory scheme of which the statute is a part. [Citations.]’ (People v. Woodhead (1987)
    
    43 Cal.3d 1002
    , 1007-1008.) We also ‘ “refer to other indicia of the voters’ intent,
    particularly the analyses and arguments contained in the official ballot pamphlet.”
    [Citation.]’ (People v. Rizo [(2000)] 22 Cal.4th. [681,] 685.)” (Osuna, supra, at
    p. 1034.) We consider “the consequences that will flow from a particular interpretation”
    (Dyna–Med, Inc. v. Fair Employment & Housing Com. (1987) 
    43 Cal.3d 1379
    , 1387), as
    well as “the wider historical circumstances” of the statute’s or statutes’ enactment (ibid.).
    “ ‘Using these extrinsic aids, we “select the construction that comports most closely with
    the apparent intent of the [electorate], with a view to promoting rather than defeating the
    general purpose of the statute, and avoid an interpretation that would lead to absurd
    consequences.” [Citation.]’ (People v. Sinohui (2002) 
    28 Cal.4th 205
    , 212.)” (Osuna, at
    pp. 1034–1035.)
    11
    Appellant asks us to take judicial notice of the text of Proposition 47 and ballot
    materials, and we do so. Appellant also asks us to judicially notice information posted on
    the website of a group opposing Proposition 47 and a memorandum by the California
    District Attorneys Association evaluating the proposition, and another such memorandum
    by the Judicial Council of California, as well as various documents concerning the
    implementation of Proposition 47. We deny this portion of the request for judicial notice
    as we do not find the documents at issue relevant to our resolution of this appeal.
    (Mangini v. R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Co. (1994) 
    7 Cal.4th 1057
    , 1063, overruled on
    another ground in In re Tobacco Cases II (2007) 
    41 Cal.4th 1257
    , 1276.)
    18
    While Propositions 36 and 47 both lessened punishment for certain offenders, their
    subject matter was not the same. The three strikes law, of course, addresses recidivism
    and, in particular, recidivism involving serious or violent felonies. “The purpose of the
    three strikes law has been variously stated as being ‘ “to ensure longer prison sentences
    and greater punishment for those who commit a felony and have been previously
    convicted of serious and/or violent felony offenses” ’ (In re Young (2004) 
    32 Cal.4th 900
    , 909) and ‘to promote the state’s compelling interest in the protection of public safety
    and in punishing recidivism’ (People v. Gipson (2004) 
    117 Cal.App.4th 1065
    , 1070).
    Although the [Reform] Act ‘diluted’ the three strikes law somewhat (People v.
    Yearwood, supra, 213 Cal.App.4th at p. 167), ‘[e]nhancing public safety was a key
    purpose of the [Reform] Act’ (id. at p. 175).” (Osuna, supra, 225 Cal.App.4th at
    pp. 1035-1036.) Thus, the proposed law declared, “The People enact the Three Strikes
    Reform Act of 2012 to restore the original intent of California’s Three Strikes law—
    imposing life sentences for dangerous criminals like rapists, murderers, and child
    molesters.” (Voter Information Guide, Gen. Elec. (Nov. 6, 2012) text of proposed law,
    § 1, p. 105, italics added.) The findings and declarations focused mainly on safety,
    including statements that the proposed law would require that “murderers, rapists, and
    child molesters . . . receive life sentences, even if they are convicted of a new minor third
    strike crime” and “[p]revent the early release of dangerous criminals who are currently
    being released early because jails and prisons are overcrowded with low-risk, non-violent
    inmates serving life sentences for petty crimes.” (Ibid.)12
    12
    The other findings and declarations stated that the proposed law would
    “[r]estore the Three Strikes law to the public’s original understanding by requiring life
    sentences only when a defendant’s current conviction is for a violent or serious crime”;
    “[m]aintain that repeat offenders convicted of non-violent, non-serious crimes like
    shoplifting and simple drug possession will receive twice the normal sentence instead of
    a life sentence”; and “[s]ave hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars every year for at
    least 10 years” since the state would “no longer pay for housing or long-term health care
    for elderly, low-risk, non-violent inmates serving life sentences for minor crimes.”
    (Voter Information Guide, Gen. Elec. (Nov. 6, 2012) text of proposed law, § 1, p. 105,
    italics added.)
    19
    Proposition 47 addressed specific less serious offenses and cost savings to be
    achieved by reclassifying these offenses as misdemeanors. The findings and declarations
    state that the measure was enacted “to ensure that prison spending is focused on violent
    and serious offenses, to maximize alternatives for nonserious, nonviolent crime, and to
    invest the savings generated from this act into prevention and support programs in K–12
    schools, victim services, and mental health and drug treatment. This act ensures that
    sentences for people convicted of dangerous crimes like rape, murder, and child
    molestation are not changed.” (Voter Information Guide, Gen. Elec. (Nov. 4, 2014) text
    of proposed law, § 2, p. 70.)
    Nothing in the official ballot pamphlet for Proposition 47 suggests it would have
    any impact on the procedure for resentencing three strike inmates. The legislative
    analysis provided in the ballot pamphlet states that Proposition 47 was intended to reduce
    penalties “for certain nonserious and nonviolent property and drug offenses from
    wobblers or felonies to misdemeanors.” (Voter Information Guide, Gen. Elect. (Nov. 4,
    2014) analysis by the Legislative Analyst, p. 35.) Those crimes were identified as
    “Grand Theft,” “Shoplifting,” “Receiving Stolen Property,” “Writing Bad Checks,”
    “Check Forgery,” and “Drug Possession.” (Id. at pp. 35–36.) The proponents of
    Proposition 47 argued the measure “is sensible” in that it “[s]tops wasting prison space on
    petty crimes and focuses law enforcement resources on violent and serious crime by
    changing low-level, nonviolent crimes such as simple drug possession and petty theft
    from felonies to misdemeanors.” (Id. at p. 38, argument in favor of Prop. 47.) With
    respect to resentencing, the Legislative Analyst explained that the measure would allow
    “offenders currently serving felony sentences for the above crimes to apply to have their
    felony sentences reduced to misdemeanor sentences,” but that “no offender who has
    committed a specified severe crime could be resentenced or have their conviction
    changed” and that a court “is not required to resentence an offender currently serving a
    felony sentence if the court finds it likely that the offender will commit a specified severe
    crime.” (Id. at p. 36, italics added.)
    20
    The absence of any mention of three strikes resentencing in the materials
    concerning Proposition 47 is particularly striking because the measure was put before the
    voters only two years after Proposition 36 and clearly modeled its resentencing
    provisions on those of Proposition 36. As just noted, the legislative analyst stated that
    “no offender who has committed a specified severe crime could be resentenced or have
    their conviction changed” and that a court “is not required to resentence an offender
    currently serving a felony sentence if the court finds it likely that the offender will
    commit a specified severe crime” (id. at p. 36) but gave no hint that Proposition 47 would
    affect sentencing for anything other than the new misdemeanors—certainly not
    sentencing of three strikes offenders whose current crimes—even if eligible for
    resentencing under Proposition 36—remain felonies.
    The “throughout this Code” language that appellant relies upon appears only in the
    text of the proposed law—which comprises almost five full pages of the ballot pamphlet
    and consists of densely worded text creating the new “Safe Neighborhoods and Schools
    Fund,” adding and amending the statutes describing the affected offenses and, finally,
    creating the resentencing procedures. The ballot analysis did not mention this language,
    nor did it suggest the restrictive definition of dangerousness set forth in section 1170.18,
    subdivision (c), would apply to anything other than resentencing for the specific offenses
    addressed in Proposition 47.
    Proposition 36, as we have said, diluted the severity of the three strikes law but
    retained a strong emphasis on public safety in its provisions for sentencing recidivist
    offenders with histories involving multiple serious or violent felonies. In allowing for
    more lenient treatment of recidivist offenders whose “third strike” offenses were of a less
    serious nature, section 1170.126 allowed courts broad discretion to determine whether
    resentencing would pose an “unreasonable risk to public safety.” There is absolutely no
    basis for inferring that the voters who adopted Proposition 47—a measure dealing
    entirely with nonserious offenses and misdemeanor sentencing—intended not only to
    change three strikes resentencing but to do so by drastically limiting courts’ discretion to
    avoid resentencing three strikes offenders.
    21
    II.
    As explained above, under section 1170.126, subdivision (f), a three strikes inmate
    whose sentence was imposed for an offense that was not a serious or violent felony and
    who is not disqualified by one of the enumerated factors may be resentenced as a second
    strike offender unless found to present an unreasonable risk of danger to public safety. A
    defendant with two or more prior strike convictions who is sentenced after passage of the
    Reform Act for an offense that is not a serious or violent felony and who is not otherwise
    disqualified is entitled to be sentenced as a second strike offender without consideration
    of dangerousness. Appellant contends that this difference in treatment violates the
    constitutional guarantee of equal protection of the law.
    We disagree. “ ‘The concept of equal protection recognizes that persons who are
    similarly situated with respect to a law’s legitimate purposes must be treated equally.
    [Citation.] Accordingly, “ ‘[t]he first prerequisite to a meritorious claim under the equal
    protection clause is a showing that the state has adopted a classification that affects two
    or more similarly situated groups in an unequal manner.’ ” [Citation.] “This initial
    inquiry is not whether persons are similarly situated for all purposes, but ‘whether they
    are similarly situated for purposes of the law challenged.’ ” [Citation.]’ (People v.
    Brown (2012) 
    54 Cal.4th 314
    , 328; accord, People v. Wutzke (2002) 
    28 Cal.4th 923
    ,
    943.)” (People v. Losa (2014) 
    232 Cal.App.4th 789
    , 792-793.) Appellant is not similarly
    situated to persons being newly sentenced for current offenses under the amended three
    strikes law. (Id. at p. 793.) “Defendant is not merely entering the prison system; rather,
    he has been confined there for a substantial period of time[,]” having been properly
    convicted of a third felony after having committed two prior serious or violent felonies.
    (Ibid.)
    In rejecting the claim that prospective-only application of the Reform Act violated
    equal protection, Yearwood, supra, 
    213 Cal.App.4th 161
     explained: “In [People v. Floyd
    (2003) 
    31 Cal.4th 179
     (Floyd)] our Supreme Court rejected the defendant’s claim that
    denying him the benefits of an ameliorative statute creating an alternative drug offender
    sentencing scheme violated his equal protection rights by creating two classes of
    22
    nonviolent drug offenders based on the date of conviction. The court reasoned:
    ‘Defendant has not cited a single case, in this state or any other, that recognizes an equal
    protection violation arising from the timing of the effective date of a statute lessening the
    punishment for a particular offense. Numerous courts, however, have rejected such a
    claim—including this court.’ (Id. at p. 188.) ‘ “[T]he 14th Amendment does not forbid
    statutes and statutory changes to have a beginning, and thus to discriminate between the
    rights of an earlier and later time.” [Citation.]’ (Id. at p. 191.)” (Yearwood, at p. 178.)13
    “The rational relationship test has been deemed appropriate to equal protection
    challenge such as this one. (Floyd, 
    supra,
     31 Cal.4th at p. 191; People v. Cruz [(2012)]
    207 Cal.App.4th [664,] 678–680.) Prisoners are not a suspect class. The status of being
    incarcerated is neither an immutable characteristic nor an invidious basis of classification.
    ([Cruz,] at p. 676, fn. 11.) Prospective application of amended sections 667 and 1170.12
    furthers legitimate interests and does not unfairly discriminate against appellant. A
    prisoner who was sentenced to an indeterminate life term before the Act’s effective date
    may file a section 1170.126 petition upon finality of the judgment. If qualified, the
    prisoner will ordinarily receive the same sentencing reduction that would have been
    obtained if he or she had been resentenced under amended sections 667 and 1170.12.
    The discretionary public safety exception to second strike sentencing that is present in
    section 1170.126, but not in amended sections 667 and 1170.12, is rationally related to a
    13
    Yearwood explained that the general rule presuming that legislation mitigating
    the punishment for a particular criminal offense is intended to apply to all nonfinal
    judgments (In re Estrada (1965) 
    63 Cal.2d 740
    ) “is not ‘constitutionally compelled’ and
    does not require a contrary result.” (Yearwood, supra, 213 Cal.App.4th at p. 178.)
    “ ‘Estrada is today properly understood, not as weakening or modifying the default rule
    of prospective operation codified in section 3, but rather as informing the rule’s
    application in a specific context by articulating the reasonable presumption that a
    legislative act mitigating the punishment for a particular criminal offense is intended to
    apply to all nonfinal judgments.” (People v. Brown[, supra,] 54 Cal.4th [at p.] 324.)”
    (Yearwood, at pp. 173-174.) “The Estrada decision ‘recognized that when the
    Legislature has amended a statute to lessen the punishment, its determination as to which
    statute should apply to all convictions not yet final, “either way, would have been legal
    and constitutional.” ’ ” (Id. at p. 178, quoting Floyd, supra, 31 Cal.4th at pp. 188-189.)
    23
    legitimate state interest. It increases the likelihood that prisoners whose sentences are
    reduced or who are released due to the Act will not pose an unreasonable risk of danger
    to the public. Thus, the distinction drawn between felony offenders sentenced before,
    and those offenders who are sentenced after the Act’s effective date, does not violate
    appellant’s state or federal equal protection rights. (Floyd, . . . at pp. 188–191; see also
    [Cruz], at pp. 674–680.)” (Yearwood, supra, 213 Cal.App.4th at p. 178.)
    The critical difference between initial sentencing under the Reform Act and
    resentencing under section 1170.126, of course, is the dangerousness inquiry appellant
    challenges here; retroactive application of the Reform Act would obviate the need for
    resentencing in cases not yet final, ensuring a second strike sentence for a previously
    sentenced inmate who would receive a second strike sentence after the Reform Act. With
    respect to the dangerousness issue, Yearwood explained further: “Giving amended
    sections 667 and 1170.12 prospective-only application supports the Act's public safety
    purpose by reducing the likelihood that prisoners who are currently dangerous will be
    released from prison due to the Act. During the pretrial, trial and sentencing phases of
    the criminal justice system, various discretionary decisions are available to the prosecutor
    and the trial court that can result in a shorter or longer term of imprisonment (e.g.,
    selection of the appropriate base term, concurrent or consecutive sentencing, dismissal of
    a strike in the interests of justice). Once the defendant is sentenced, prosecutorial and
    judicial discretion are effectively exhausted. Amended sections 667 and 1170.12 do not
    provide the trial court with any discretion to impose a third strike sentence based on a
    finding of current dangerousness. In contrast, section 1170.126 entrusts the trial court
    with discretion that may be exercised to protect the public. A court may deny a section
    1170.126 petition if, after examination of the prisoner’s criminal history, disciplinary
    record while incarcerated, and any other relevant evidence, it determines that the prisoner
    poses ‘an unreasonable risk of danger to public safety.’ (§ 1170.126, subd. (f).)
    “If amended sections 667 and 1170.12 are given retroactive application, prisoners
    in appellant’s procedural posture would be entitled to automatic resentencing as second
    strike offenders without any judicial review to ensure they do not currently pose an
    24
    unreasonable risk of danger to public safety. The time period between sentencing and
    finality of the judgment can span years. Prisoners can substantially increase in
    dangerousness during this interval. An increase in dangerousness will not always be
    reflected in new criminal convictions. Also, prisoners could have been dangerous when
    the life sentences were imposed and remained unreasonable safety risks. It would be
    inconsistent with the public safety purpose of the Act to create a loophole whereby
    prisoners who were sentenced years before the Act’s effective date are now entitled to
    automatic sentencing reduction even if they are currently dangerous and pose an
    unreasonable public safety risk.” (Yearwood, 213 Cal.App.4th at p. 176.)
    People v. Losa, supra, 232 Cal.App.4th at page 793, also denied an equal
    protection challenge to the section 1170.126 resentencing procedures. The court
    explained that the defendant was not similarly situated to defendants being newly
    sentenced under the Reform Act. “ ‘[Defendant] was properly sentenced to prison for an
    indefinite term because he was properly convicted (beyond a reasonable doubt, by a
    unanimous jury) of a third felony after he had committed two prior serious or violent
    felonies. It was his third felony conviction which, pursuant to the law in effect at the
    time, subjected him to an indeterminate sentence. Now, due to the adoption of the Act,
    [defendant] may be entitled to a downward modification of this indeterminate term to a
    determinate second strike sentence. That he may be denied such downward modification
    due to a finding of dangerousness based on a preponderance of the evidence does not
    mean that he would be subjected to indefinite confinement based on this finding. He is
    subject to the indeterminate term due to his original third strike sentence; the
    dangerousness finding would simply deny him a downward modification. This process
    does not deny [defendant] his constitutional right to equal protection of the law.’
    (Kaulick, supra, at p. 1306, fn. omitted.)” (Losa, at p. 793.)
    We agree. Appellant’s equal protection challenge is without merit.
    III.
    In support of his petition for resentencing, defense counsel argued that appellant
    was exactly the sort of person for whom resentencing was contemplated by the Reform
    25
    Act: His prior serious or violent felonies occurred in a short period of time almost 30
    years earlier, when he had been on a substance abuse and/or alcohol binge, and the
    commitment offense also occurred when he was grossly intoxicated and was an attempt
    to get his wife’s attention; for almost 15 years in prison, he did not take advantage of
    readily available alcohol or drugs; his medical condition made it very unlikely he would
    commit a serious or violent offense; and, if released, he would not go straight to the street
    but rather would be under federal supervision.
    The prosecutor, on the other hand, argued that despite appellant’s age and frailty,
    “a can of lighter fluid and a match, Judge, that’s all it would take.” The prosecutor
    emphasized that appellant had threatened to set the fire before he did so; that police
    officers suffered from smoke inhalation; that appellant’s blood alcohol level was .27 on
    the night of the fire and .31 a month before, when he was in a drunk driving accident; and
    that all the victims of his crimes were women—the bank teller, the store clerk, the
    girlfriend and the ex-wife. The prosecutor argued that appellant did not need to use
    alcohol or other substances in prison because he was taking his prescribed methadone,
    and that he behaved in prison because it was a controlled environment, he was being
    medicated and there were no vulnerable women. The prosecutor voiced distrust of the
    federal parole system, noting appellant’s intoxication only months after being released on
    federal parole in 1994.
    The trial court denied the petition for resentencing, acknowledging that in general
    a person is less dangerous as he or she ages and to the extent he or she has a deteriorating
    physical condition, but nevertheless finding that releasing appellant would pose an
    unreasonable risk to public safety. The court expressly disagreed with Subia’s
    assessment that appellant would not pose an unreasonable risk, stating that it questioned
    Subia’s conclusions “in light of the factors that he didn’t know about [appellant] and the
    fact that they had no effect on his opinions.” The court was “not reassured” by the fact
    that appellant would be under federal parole supervision because he had previously
    violated federal parole by drinking heavily. Accepting that appellant’s prior offenses
    were committed “a long time ago,” the court noted their seriousness, then stated that “it’s
    26
    not just youthful criminality,” as appellant set fire to the cottage, threatened his wife and
    “went at arresting officers” with a screwdriver when he was nearly 50 years old. The
    court referred to appellant’s last wife describing appellant threatening to kill her and
    trying to kill her pets in order to torment her, apparently a reference to events related to
    the other charges against appellant in 1998. Rejecting defense counsel’s characterization
    of appellant as a “poster child” for resentencing, the court quoted at length the comments
    of the judge who, at sentencing in 1999, emphasized the severity of appellant’s substance
    abuse problem and failure to deal with it and as the seriousness of the priors, as well as
    this court’s description of appellant as “extremely dangerous to the public” in our opinion
    affirming the three strikes sentence. Stating that appellant was “a man who with very
    little at his disposal can threaten, and does threaten, and follows through with those
    threats,” and agreeing with the prosecutor’s observation that all it would take for
    appellant to repeat his crime is “lighter fluid and a match,” the court concluded that
    appellant posed an unreasonable risk of danger to public safety “notwithstanding his age
    and his physical condition.”14
    14
    The court’s full explanation was as follows:
    “These are all difficult cases. They are difficult particularly when you have an
    inmate who is older, as the defendant is, who has physical limitations, as the defendant
    does. I don’t think it’s an unreasonable general rule to say that a person is less dangerous
    as they age and less dangerous to the extent that they have a deteriorating physical
    condition.
    “However, I do believe in Mr. Valentine’s case that releasing him would pose an
    unreasonable risk of danger to public safety. [¶] I disagree with Mr. Subia. And I
    question his conclusions in light of the factors that he didn’t know about Valentine and the
    fact that they had no effect on his opinions.
    “I’m not reassured by the fact of federal parole supervision. He had federal parole
    supervision previously. And I recognize that we can say, well, it’s different now than it
    was. It remains a fact that it did nothing to assist the public with regard to Valentine.
    “In his much younger years, he committed robberies. It’s true that was a long time
    ago. One was a robbery of a woman in a toy store at gunpoint, or a threat of a gun, or
    threat of a bomb. And one was a bank robbery threatened use of weapons again. A
    female teller there.
    27
    “But it’s not just threats with Valentine. He is responsible for the death of a
    girlfriend who was found dead shot in the chest. It was the defendant’s gun. He says he
    went—it went off by accident.
    “And it’s not just youthful criminality that we are talking about with Valentine.
    He not only threatened but actually set fire to the cottage where he and his wife were
    living because he was angry at his wife. He also threatened his wife at the time of his
    arrest. He also went at arresting officers with a weapon, a screwdriver, even when
    ordered to drop it. And this was all when he was nearly 50 years old.
    “And then there is the statement of the person who knows him best, the victim of
    that arson, his last wife, and her statements are chilling. The threats to kill, the explicit
    threat when holding a concrete block threatening to kill her telling her, you always knew
    it would come to this that I would kill you, today is the day.
    “On the day of the arrest, he tells her, Carol, I will get out of jail some day.
    “And is asked, is that a threat?
    “Yes, it is.
    “And the statements of Carol Karwatt with regard to the things that he did, not as a
    young man, this was his fourth wife, multiple attempts to kill her pets, trying to get them
    to cross El Camino Real so that they would be killed. All in an effort to torment his
    fourth wife.
    “You say, [defense counsel], this is the poster child. This is not the poster child.
    I have seen cases that have come across my desk in post-Prop 36 where there are poster
    children for three strikes re-sentencing. This is not him.
    “What was said by the Court of Appeal with reference to this man having read his
    record where he challenged the three strikes sentence, this was after his offense committed
    at the age of 50, “Appellant is a recidivist offender who is extremely, not unreasonably,
    extremely dangerous to the public.
    “And the trial judge, the trial judge said in denying his motion to strike the prior
    convictions, ‘This was not a shoplift, this was not a 666,’ the trial judge said, ‘to say you
    have a substance abuse problem is to put it mildly. You have one of the worst ones that
    I’ve ever come across.’ Shortly before this incident led to your arrest, you had been
    arrested for a drunk driving charge with a blood alcohol I believe of .31 where you
    rammed into a car on the roadway. You then backed up into another car. You then
    backed up in order to get away. And I think you ultimately smashed into four cars.
    Apparently, according to the people involved, you express no deep remorse just basically
    admitted you did the offense.
    “You’ve had numerous opportunities to deal with your substance abuse problem
    which goes back to I believe the mid-sixties, as Valentine was candid enough to admit.
    28
    Appellant argues that the trial court improperly relied upon immutable facts in his
    past record with no evidence of a rational nexus to current dangerousness. He draws an
    analogy to the context of inmates sentenced to indeterminate life term sentences being
    considered for parole after completion of their minimum terms. Under section 3041,
    subdivision (b), “a release date must be set ‘unless [the Board] determines that the gravity
    of the current convicted offense or offenses, or the timing and gravity of current or past
    convicted offense or offenses, is such that consideration of the public safety requires a
    more lengthy period of incarceration for this individual, and that a parole date, therefore,
    cannot be fixed at this meeting.’ ” (In re Lawrence (2008) 
    44 Cal.4th 1181
    , 1202,
    quoting § 3041, subd. (b), emphasis in Lawrence.)
    In the parole context, “the paramount consideration for both the Board and the
    Governor under the governing statutes is whether the inmate currently poses a threat to
    public safety and thus may not be released on parole.” (In re Lawrence, 
    supra,
     44
    You have been all over the United States violating the laws of various states. Las Vegas,
    Nevada, Florida, Chicago, New Orleans, now the State of California.
    “The fact that you were trying to, you thought from your letters, the best time of
    your life was when you were with your wife. You had your yard. You had a job. And yet
    you continued to fall off the wagon. You keep drinking alcohol, using drugs. You are a
    danger to the community. You have been previously convicted of manslaughter with a
    weapon where apparently substance abuse occurred. You’ve committed a bank robbery
    where you threatened and scared the devil I’m sure out of your teller in that case. You
    committed a robbery of a small store which I believe sold various small items. You were
    to buy beer. You scared the heck out of the two people there at the shop making serious
    threats with a weapon. Expression of using a weapon on them.
    “You fit within the spirit of the three strikes law frankly. You are a classic case. I
    don’t see any reason why I would exercise my discretion in striking the strikes in this
    matter which were found to be true, three of them plus I believe a prison prior.’ ”
    “He is not the poster child for three strikes relief. He is instead a man who with
    very little at his disposal can threaten, and does threaten, and follows through with those
    threats. I don’t disagree with the prosecution in terms of lighter fluid and a match. I
    consider Valentine notwithstanding his age and his physical condition to be an
    unreasonable risk of danger to public safety.
    “And on that basis, I’m going to deny his motion for re-sentencing.”
    29
    Cal.4th at p. 1210.) The seriousness of the inmate’s offenses does not alone constitute
    evidence of “current dangerousness to the public unless the record also establishes that
    something in the prisoner’s pre- or postincarceration history, or his or her current
    demeanor and mental state, indicates that the implications regarding the prisoner’s
    dangerousness that derive from his or her commission of the commitment offense remain
    probative of the statutory determination of a continuing threat to public safety.” (Id. at
    p. 1214.)
    As we explained in In re Stoneroad (2013) 
    215 Cal.App.4th 596
    , 621 (Stoneroad),
    “the commitment offense is an immutable factor that would almost always mandate
    upholding the denial of parole. Furthermore, after a period of time the commitment
    offense loses much of its usefulness in predicting the likelihood of future offenses.
    [Citation.] ‘At some point,’ Lawrence reasons, ‘when there is affirmative evidence,
    based upon the prisoner’s subsequent behavior and current mental state, that the prisoner,
    if released, would not currently be dangerous, his or her past offense may no longer
    realistically constitute a reliable or accurate indicator of the prisoner’s current
    dangerousness.’ [Citation.) The result of Lawrence and its progeny is that the
    aggravating nature of a crime can no longer provide evidence of current dangerousness
    ‘unless there is also evidence that there is something about the commitment offense
    which suggests the inmate still presents a threat to public safety.’ (In re Denham (2012)
    
    211 Cal.App.4th 702
    , 715, citing Lawrence, at p. 1214.)” (Stoneroad, at p. 621.) “[T]he
    Board may not base a parole denial upon the circumstances of the offense, or other
    immutable facts, unless those facts support the ultimate conclusion that the inmate
    continues to pose an unreasonable risk of safety if released on parole.” (In re Criscione
    (2009) 
    180 Cal.App.4th 1446
    , 1459.)
    Respondent does not dispute that the trial court was required to determine
    appellant’s current dangerousness. According to respondent, however, the court did
    consider the factors appellant relies upon to claim he does not pose an unreasonable risk
    of danger to the public, and did not abuse its discretion in determining that appellant’s
    30
    past conduct was a more significant indication of his present dangerousness than his
    medical condition and compliant behavior in prison.
    “Where, as here, a discretionary power is statutorily vested in the trial court, its
    exercise of that discretion ‘must not be disturbed on appeal except on a showing that the
    court exercised its discretion in an arbitrary, capricious or patently absurd manner that
    resulted in a manifest miscarriage of justice. [Citations.]’ ” (People v. Rodrigues (1994)
    
    8 Cal.4th 1060
    , 1124-1125, quoting People v. Jordan (1986) 
    42 Cal.3d 308
    , 316.) But
    “ ‘ “The discretion of a trial judge is not a whimsical, uncontrolled power, but a legal
    discretion, which is subject to the limitations of legal principles governing the subject of
    its action, and to reversal on appeal where no reasonable basis for the action is shown.
    [Citation.]” ’ (Westside Community for Independent Living, Inc. v. Obledo (1983) 
    33 Cal.3d 348
    , 355, citing to 6 Witkin, Cal. Procedure (2d ed. 1971) Appeal, § 244.) The
    scope of discretion always resides in the particular law being applied, i.e., in the ‘legal
    principles governing the subject of [the] action . . . .’ Action that transgresses the
    confines of the applicable principles of law is outside the scope of discretion and we call
    such action an ‘abuse’ of discretion. (See Hurtado [v. Statewide Home Loan Co. (1985)]
    167 Cal.App.3d [1019,] 1022.)” (City of Sacramento v. Drew (1989) 
    207 Cal.App.3d 1287
    , 1297–1298.)
    Here, the court did specifically mention appellant’s age and infirmity as factors
    that would normally weigh against a finding of dangerousness, finding that he posed an
    unreasonable risk of danger “notwithstanding his age and his physical condition.” The
    court did not refer to any other postoffense factor, such as appellant’s positive work
    reports, the absence of significant violations of prison rules in his records or his
    refraining from substance abuse during the 14 years of his state confinement. By
    describing appellant’s past offenses and threats, and quoting the remarks of the trial judge
    who sentenced him in 1999 and this court, in affirming that judgment, the trial court here
    made clear that it found appellant’s conduct and substance abuse issues 15 and 25 years
    before more dispositive of his current dangerousness than his age and physical infirmity.
    But it did not explain why it reached this conclusion, and its remarks gave no indication it
    31
    even considered appellant’s conduct in the years since his last conviction. The court’s
    view that appellant is “a man who with very little at his disposal can threaten, and does
    threaten, and follows through with those threats” was stated in the present tense, but the
    only explanation of this view was the description of conduct 15 to 25 years in the past.
    The closest the trial court came to explaining its dismissal of appellant’s physical
    frailty as a factor weighing against finding him unreasonably dangerous was its statement
    that “it did not disagree” with the prosecutor’s comment that “a can of lighter fluid and a
    match” is “all it would take.” The obvious point is that appellant’s burning of the cottage
    did not require any significant effort or mobility. The court made no effort, however, to
    explain why appellant posed an unreasonable danger of repeating such conduct 15 years
    later. Similarly, taking the court’s reference to appellant’s conduct at age 50 as its
    explanation for rejecting his advancing age as a factor mitigating his dangerousness, the
    court made no effort to explain its conclusion that nothing would have changed with the
    passage of an additional 15 years. The court obviously believed that appellant would
    relapse into alcohol abuse if released, but offered no evaluation of the impact of
    appellant’s 14 years of abstinence; the only apparent explanation for its belief was its
    statement that it was not reassured by the fact appellant would be supervised by federal
    probation officers because he had returned to drinking while on federal parole in 1995.
    The essence of the trial court’s determination on dangerousness appears to have
    been that appellant committed dangerous offenses and threatened violence 15 to 25-plus
    years ago and was not able to gain control over his alcohol and substance abuse at those
    times, and therefore would relapse and pose an unreasonable risk of danger if released.
    In other words, the decision was based on the immutable factors of appellant’s past
    conduct.
    A great deal of evidence presented to the trial court indicated that things had
    changed for appellant. He was 64 years old, not 50. He suffered from numerous
    debilitating medical conditions that were growing progressively worse over the years. He
    had abstained from alcohol for 14 years, he had received consistently positive work
    32
    evaluations in prison and his only disciplinary records were for such minor infractions as
    violations of grooming standards and smoking a cigarette.
    The record makes clear that appellant’s offenses, both in the late 1980’s and in
    1998, were directly related to his alcohol abuse. Aside from his avoidance of alcohol in
    prison—which the evidence indicated was readily available—appellant’s current medical
    condition has a clear bearing on his likelihood of relapse. Appellant testified that he had
    learned he was not able to drink at all without losing control, and that because of his liver
    condition, drinking would be akin to killing himself. Accordingly, he planned to
    participate actively in AA and to live with his sister and her husband, who maintained a
    sober household. There is no suggestion in the record that the medical conditions which
    gave appellant a life-or-death reason to avoid alcohol existed when he failed to remain
    sober while on parole two decades ago or when he relapsed around the time of the 1998
    offense.
    The prosecutor’s position at the sentencing hearing was that appellant remained
    sober in prison only because he was being treated with methadone and an antidepressant,
    and therefore did not need to resort to prohibited substances. The prosecution presented
    no evidence to support this view; it simply argued the inference it wished the court to
    draw. Subia, however, testified that he did not view appellant’s prescribed medications
    as a substitute for alcohol because, unlike the many inmates Subia was aware of who
    hoarded prescribed medication or used it in addition to alcohol or other controlled
    substances, appellant followed the directions of his physicians without misusing or
    abusing his medication. Subia also noted that appellant had taken it upon himself to do
    AA work despite being unable to directly attend meetings due to his mobility issues.
    Korpi, who specifically evaluated the issue for the defense, deemed appellant’s risk of
    relapse into alcohol abuse to be “low-moderate.” Korpi stated that appellant’s “historical
    risk is so very high that he will always be at some risk to resume drinking, but the clinical
    markers in this case are exceptionally good, and his risk-management factors and medical
    needs are, by and large, protective.” The factors Korpi identified as underlying his
    conclusion were that appellant did not “present as angry, bitter and blaming,” was
    33
    cooperative with medical and psychiatric staff, acknowledged that alcohol use was life-
    threatening for him, had sought out psychological treatment as needed, and had adequate
    insight into the nature of his alcoholism, a history of being responsive to treatment and
    intervention, and sound plans for the future.
    The trial court’s remarks demonstrate its awareness that appellant’s past dangerous
    behavior was connected to alcohol abuse and its assumption that appellant would relapse
    if released from prison, but do not acknowledge, much less explain, its rejection of the
    evidence suggesting relapse was not very likely.
    The trial court did expressly disagree with Subia’s conclusion that appellant would
    not pose an unreasonable risk of danger if released, noting that it questioned Subia’s
    conclusions “in light of the factors that he didn’t know about [appellant] and the fact that
    they had no effect on his opinions.” The trial court did not identify what factors it was
    referring to. We are aware of three instances where Subia indicated he was not aware of
    information pertaining to appellant. First, Subia acknowledged that he was not aware
    that appellant was “reported at one point saying well maybe I was lighting a cigarette,
    that’s how the fire happened, I didn’t set a fire with lighter fluid[.]” Subia was asked
    whether this “minimization” affected his risk assessment but did not in fact answer this
    question. Second, Subia testified on cross examination that he was not aware that
    appellant “was there four months after the fire, drunk as a skunk, and went at a police
    officer with a screwdriver[.]” He was not asked whether this affected his assessment.
    Third, Subia was asked if appellant had mentioned that after the fire he told his wife, “I
    will get out of jail some day,” the police officer asked if that was a threat and appellant
    said, “you bet it is.” Before Subia answered, the prosecutor continued, “Does that fact
    change your assessment of risk?” Subia answered in the negative but we have no way of
    knowing whether he was answering the first question, the second, or both.
    The trial court apparently understood Subia as having testified that he had not
    been aware of these three facts and that they would not have altered his assessment of
    appellant’s dangerousness, although the literal testimony does not fully support this
    characterization. Regardless, two of the three facts at issue relate solely to appellant’s
    34
    past conduct. Subia’s evaluation of appellant’s dangerousness was based on appellant’s
    post-offense conduct: his ability to refrain from using drugs and alcohol, the absence of
    serious or violent offenses in his prison record, his tutoring and helping other inmates, his
    age and his physical condition. Since Subia was aware of appellant’s criminal history, it
    must be concluded that he considered the indicators of appellant’s present functioning
    more important than his past conduct in assessing current dangerousness. Accordingly, it
    is not surprising that his view would not be not changed by the additional information
    about appellant’s conduct 15 years before. The trial court simply disagreed about the
    importance of the past conduct.
    As to the remaining point, appellant having stated that he did not set the fire with
    lighter fluid and might have been lighting a cigarette, perhaps the trial court agreed with
    the prosecutor’s view that appellant was minimizing the events. As we have said, the
    court did not elaborate what it had in mind in referring to information Subia did not have
    about appellant. Appellant’s testimony was somewhat more equivocal than the
    prosecutor’s question made it sound: He testified that he believed he was lighting a
    cigarette and did not believe lighter fluid was involved, but also that “maybe something
    else happened,” he was “pretty messed up” and all he really remembered was sitting on
    the couch two feet from the door and the fire department coming in.15 Subia stated that in
    his interview appellant “was clear in the fact that he was involved in the crime with
    regard to setting the fire and the reasons behind it.”
    Subia’s conclusion that appellant would not pose an unreasonable risk to public
    safety if released appears to be consistent with all the assessments of appellant’s
    15
    Appellant testified, “what I believe happened is I thought that I was lighting a
    cigarette or something. And I caught the curtains on the door on fire. But maybe I—
    maybe something else happened. I don’t know. I was pretty messed up. [¶] All I know,
    I was sitting on the—I remember sitting on the couch two feet from the door. And I
    remember the fire department coming in. That’s all I really remember.” On cross
    examination, asked why he needed flammable fluids to light a cigarette, appellant
    responded, “[t]here was no flammable fluids.” When the prosecutor followed with, “so
    that crime really didn’t happen? That was an accident?” appellant stated, “[n]o, it did
    happen. But I don’t believe there were flammable fluids involved.”
    35
    dangerousness. Appellant’s score on the California Static Risk Assessment administered
    by the Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation was 1, meaning “low.” Korpi,
    whose evaluation of appellant the court did not mention, agreed that appellant’s “risk to
    violently act out in the future is low.” Like Subia, Korpi focused on indicators of
    appellant’s current level of dangerousness, expressly acknowledging that appellant had
    been “a dangerous man” in his thirties and forties, but noting that the present issue was
    his dangerousness “now, a quarter of a century since his last conviction for violence.”
    Korpi’s conclusion that appellant’s risk of violence was low was based on statistical
    evidence of extremely low rates of violent recidivism for individuals of his age and
    evidence of appellant’s reduced “antisocial impulse” in his prison file—his “better-than-
    average work reports,” his compliance with treatment, the absence of recent rules
    violations and fact that the most recent one, a decade before, was “exceptionally minor
    (grooming),” the lack of “ongoing evidence of depression, affective instability, or
    agitation” and appellant “no longer harbor[ing] the resentments of what it means to be
    antisocial,” not being “prone to blaming” and not feeling himself to be a victim,
    appellant’s insight into his antisocial and drinking behavior, and his acknowledgement of
    the damage he had done to himself and others and assignment of blame to himself. The
    trial court did not mention, much less explain, its rejection of Korpi’s evaluation and the
    Department’s own risk assessment.
    The trial court’s emphasis of the comments of the original sentencing court and of
    this court on appellant’s appeal from his three strikes sentence add nothing to its
    explanation. That appellant, in 1999, had an intractable alcohol problem and was a
    “classic case” “within the spirit of the three strikes law” in 1999 (according to the
    sentencing court) and was “extremely dangerous” (according to our prior opinion) does
    not establish that he remained so in 2013, more than a decade later.
    In short, based on the trial court’s lengthy explanation of its ruling, it found that
    appellant would pose an unreasonable risk of danger if released due to his history of
    substance and alcohol abuse, the seriousness of his offenses and the fact that he relapsed
    into alcohol abuse while on federal parole, despite undisputed evidence that appellant had
    36
    not committed a serious or violent felony for over 25 years, had not consumed alcohol for
    14 years, suffered from numerous medical conditions that severely impacted his mobility
    and life expectancy; had no significant disciplinary record in prison, had consistently
    positive work evaluations, and had been assessed as low-risk for violent re-offense by the
    Department of Corrections, a former Department official with many years expertise in
    inmate risk evaluation, and a psychologist retained by the defense to evaluate this
    question. The court said nothing to explain its rejection of the evidence favorable to
    appellant.
    Appellant’s age and physical infirmity alone require more consideration than the
    trial court appears to have given them. Korpi’s report specifically noted that according to
    Department of Justice statistics, “[a]t age 60 and above, approximately 3% of men
    violently recidivate (by contrast, 5 years recidivism rates for men in their 30’s cluster
    about 25%.)” This low recidivism rate is consistent with that reported in connection with
    parole release. We have observed that “due to their age, the recidivism rate of lifers is
    dramatically lower than that of all other state prisoners, indeed infinitesimal. (Weisberg
    et al., Stanford Criminal Justice Center, Life in Limbo: An Examination of Parole Release
    for Prisoners Serving Life Sentences with the Possibility of Parole in California (Sept.
    2011) 1, 17 (Stanford Study).)” (Stoneroad, supra, 215 Cal.4th at p. 634.) The Stanford
    Study observed that in one study of 860 murders paroled since 1995, the recidivism rate
    was less than one percent, as compared to a 48.7 percent rate of recommitment for new
    crimes for the state’s overall inmate population. (Stoneroad, at p. 634, fn. 21, citing
    Stanford Study at p. 17.) According to the Stanford Study, “other studies ‘demonstrate
    that as a general matter, people age out of crime. For most offenses—and in most
    societies—crime rates rise in the early teenage years, peak during the mid-to-late teens,
    and subsequently decline dramatically. Not only are most violent crimes committed by
    persons under 30, but even the criminality that continues after that declines drastically
    after age 40 and even more so after age 50.’ ” (Stoneroad, at p. 634, fn. 21, quoting
    Stanford Study, at p. 17, fn. omitted.)
    37
    The same point has been made by the three-judge federal court overseeing
    litigation addressing the serious overcrowding in California’s prisons. As we discussed
    in Stoneroad, California is required by federal court order to reduce its prison population
    in order to remedy systemic violations of the Eighth Amendment, the primary cause of
    which was found to be the prison’s severe overcrowding. (Brown v. Plata (2011) 
    563 U.S. 493
    .) In 2013, denying a motion to vacate the federal court order, “the three-judge
    court found, among other things, that the state had failed to take many of the measures
    identified in the court’s prior order and opinion, specifically including the ‘ “release or
    diversion of certain [s]ub populations, such as women, the elderly and the sick from
    prison to community-based facilities.’ (Coleman v. Brown (2013) 
    922 F.Supp.2d 1004
    ,
    1051.) Citing the Stanford Study, the three-judge court lamented the fact that ‘despite
    their low level of recidivism,’ very few lifers have been released. (Coleman v. Brown, at
    p. 1051, fn. 47.) As the court pointed out, notwithstanding the fact that 14 percent of
    California’s lifer population, which consists of over 30,000 prisoners, are over 55 years
    of age, the state has ‘taken no meaningful action to release elderly low-risk prisoners in
    this category.’ (Id. at p. 1051.)” (Stoneroad, supra, 215 Cal.App.4th at p. 634.)
    Proper implementation of the Reform Act plays a part in addressing the problem
    of prison overcrowding.16 One of the bullet-points highlighted in the argument in favor of
    16
    Appellant has requested that we take judicial notice of certain materials he
    views as supporting an inference that “in petitions decided before Proposition 47, judges
    in San Mateo County applied a standard of ‘dangerousness’ that was not only much
    broader than the definition of that standard in new section 1170.18, subdivision (c), but
    also broader than the standard applied statewide by judges in other counties.” He offers
    four documents:
    (1) “Records” of the San Mateo County Superior Court “in 14 cases, showing that
    10 petitions for resentencing were granted and 4 (29%) were denied on dangerousness
    grounds” (exhibit G);
    (2) A federal district court “[r]ecord” consisting of the CDCR’s March 17, 2014,
    Status Update for the three-judge panel “showing in ¶ 3, p. 2, that as of that date ‘over
    1,700 petitions [under § 1170.126] have been reviewed by state courts and only 59
    petitions (3.5%) were denied resentencing [on “dangerousness” as opposed to eligibility
    38
    Proposition 36 set forth in the Official Voter Information Guide specifically addressed
    this issue:
    “MAKE ROOM IN PRISON FOR DANGEROUS FELONS
    “Prop. 36 will help stop clogging overcrowded prisons with non-violent offenders,
    so we have room to keep violent felons off the streets.”
    grounds]’ ()” (exhibit H);
    (3) The October 15, 2014, Status Update “showing in ¶ 3, p. 2, that ‘[a]s of
    October 1, 2014, approximately 1901 third-strike inmates have been released’ ” (exhibit
    I); and
    (4) “Proposition 36 Progress Report (April 2014) by Stanford Law School ‘Three
    Strikes Project,’ showing on pp. 1 and 3 that 1613 petitions under section 1170.12 had
    been granted and 1500 remained pending, on p. 2 that ‘To date, 96 percent of petitions
    filed and adjudicated under Proposition 36 have been granted’, and on p 1 that ‘The
    CDCR data shows that the recidivism rate of prisoners released under Proposition 36 is
    1.3 percent’ (compared to over 30 percent for all other inmates).
    (https://www.law.stanford.edu/sites/default/files/child-page/595365/doc/slspublic/
    ThreeStrikesReport.pdf)” (exhibit J).
    Appellant urges that exhibits G, H and I are court records that we may judicially
    notice under Evidence Code section 452, subdivision (d), and exhibit J under Evidence
    Code section 452, subdivision (h), “facts and propositions that are not reasonably subject
    to dispute and are capable of immediate and accurate determination by resort to sources
    of reasonably indisputable accuracy.”
    For the reasons discussed earlier in this opinion, we reject appellant’s contention
    that the definition dangerousness used in Proposition 47 applies to resentencing under
    section 1170.126. The suggestion that San Mateo County judges deny a disproportionate
    number of resentencing petitions, while disturbing if true, is not directly relevant to the
    present appeal, in which the question remains whether it was an abuse of discretion to
    deny the petition of this defendant in the individual circumstances of this case. For this
    reason, we deny the request for judicial notice. (Mangini v R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Co.,
    supra, 7 Cal.4th at p. 1063.) Moreover, while exhibits H and I may be court records in
    that they were filed in federal district court, this does not enable us to take judicial notice
    of the truth of all matters stated in them. (Mangini, at p. 1063.) Exhibit G does not in
    fact appear to be an official court record: It is merely a typed list of 10 case numbers and
    names under the heading “Petitions Granted” and four case numbers and names under the
    heading “Petitions Denied on ‘Dangerousness’ Grounds.” Nothing in this exhibit
    indicates how it was compiled or whether it is exhaustive.
    39
    Clearly, there may be cases in which an elderly and/or infirm inmate would pose
    an unreasonable risk of danger if released from prison. But the statistical evidence of
    declining rates of recidivism is dramatic and not to be dismissed without reason. At 65
    years of age, appellant is not elderly, but he is well over the age at which recidivism rates
    have been found to drop significantly—and, if released, he will still have years under
    federal supervision. Moreover, his physical infirmities are extreme. To be sure, his most
    recent offense did not require physical strength or mobility. But, as we have said, that
    offense was committed over 15 years ago. No evidence presented to the trial court
    suggested appellant was in the same frame of mind as he was at that time or otherwise
    was likely to commit a similar offense, much less a serious or violent felony such as he
    had committed some 25 years ago.
    To reiterate, “Absent affirmative evidence of a change in the prisoner’s demeanor
    and mental state, the circumstances of the commitment offense may continue to be
    probative of the prisoner’s dangerousness for some time in the future. At some point,
    however, when there is affirmative evidence, based upon the prisoner’s subsequent
    behavior and current mental state, that the prisoner, if released, would not currently be
    dangerous, his or her past offense may no longer realistically constitute a reliable or
    accurate indicator of the prisoner’s current dangerousness.” (In re Lawrence, 
    supra,
     44
    Cal.4th at p. 1219.) “Rather, the relevant inquiry is whether the circumstances of the
    commitment offense, when considered in light of other facts in the record, are such that
    they continue to be predictive of current dangerousness many years after commission of
    the offense. This inquiry is, by necessity and by statutory mandate, an individualized
    one, and cannot be undertaken simply by examining the circumstances of the crime in
    isolation, without consideration of the passage of time or the attendant changes in the
    inmate’s psychological or mental attitude.” (Id. at p. 1221.)
    The record in the present case does contain “affirmative evidence of a change in
    the prisoner’s demeanor and mental state,” yet the trial court failed to explain how the
    immutable facts of appellant’s past conduct and threats “realistically constitute . . .
    reliable or accurate indicator[s]” of his current dangerousness. (In re Lawrence, 
    supra,
    40
    44 Cal.4th at p.1219.) The point is not that the trial court is required to expressly discuss
    each piece of evidence before it, but that what the trial court said here fails to
    demonstrate a reasoned analysis articulating “a rational nexus between [appellant’s past
    conduct] and current dangerousness.” (Id. at p. 1227; see In re Young, 
    supra,
     204
    Cal.App.4th at p. 305.) As a result, we cannot find that the court “ ‘balanced the relevant
    facts and reached an impartial decision in conformity with the law.’ ” (People v. Zichwic
    (2001) 
    94 Cal.App.4th 944
    , 961.) Remand is required for the trial court to reconsider its
    decision.
    DISPOSITION
    The order denying appellant’s petition for resentencing is reversed and the matter
    remanded to the trial court for reconsideration in accordance with the views expressed
    herein.
    _________________________
    Kline, P.J.
    We concur:
    _________________________
    Richman, J.
    _________________________
    Stewart, J.
    41