Pico Neighborhood Association v. City of Santa Monica ( 2020 )


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  • Filed 7/9/20
    CERTIFIED FOR PUBLICATION
    IN THE COURT OF APPEAL OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA
    SECOND APPELLATE DISTRICT
    DIVISION EIGHT
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD                     B295935
    ASSOCIATION et al.,
    (Los Angeles County
    Plaintiffs and Respondents,   Super. Ct. No. BC616804)
    v.
    CITY OF SANTA MONICA,
    Defendant and Appellant.
    APPEAL from a judgment of the Superior Court of Los
    Angeles County, Yvette M. Palazuelos, Judge. Reversed.
    Lane Dilg, City Attorney, George Cardona, Special Counsel;
    Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher, Theodore J. Boutrous Jr., Marcellus A.
    McRae, Kahn A. Scolnick, Tiaunia N. Henry and Daniel R. Adler
    for Defendant and Appellant.
    Cole Huber and Derek P. Cole for League of California
    Cities and California Special Districts Association as Amici
    Curiae on behalf of Defendant and Appellant.
    Strumwasser & Woocher, Bryce A. Gee and Caroline C.
    Chiappetti for The Santa Monica Transparency Project as Amicus
    Curiae on behalf of Defendant and Appellant.
    Shenkman & Hughes, Kevin I. Shenkman, Mary R.
    Hughes, Andrea A. Alarcon; Law Office of Robert Rubin, Robert
    Rubin; Goldstein, Borgen, Dardarian & Ho, Morris J. Baller,
    Laura L. Ho, Anne P. Bellows, Ginger L. Grimes; Parris Law
    Firm, R. Rex Parris, Ellery S. Gordon; Law Offices of Milton C.
    Grimes and Milton Grimes; Schonbrun Seplow Harris &
    Hoffman, Paul Hoffman and John Washington for Plaintiffs and
    Respondents.
    Panish Shea & Boyle and Brian Panish for Richard
    Polanco, Sergio Farias, Juan Carrillo, Richard Loa and Austin
    Bishop as Amici Curiae on behalf of Plaintiffs and Respondents.
    Hogan Lovells US, Ira M. Feinberg, Zach Martinez, Patrick
    C. Hynds and Joseph M. Charlet for FairVote as Amicus Curiae
    on behalf of Plaintiffs and Respondents.
    ____________________
    A neighborhood organization and a resident sued the City
    of Santa Monica, which uses at-large voting to elect its City
    Council. The plaintiffs claimed this system discriminated against
    Latinos, which is the term all parties use. After a bench trial, the
    trial court agreed and ordered the City to switch to district-based
    voting. We reverse and enter judgment for the City because the
    City violated neither the California Voting Rights Act nor the
    Constitution.
    I
    We describe the setting.
    A
    At the time of trial, about 90,000 people lived in the City of
    Santa Monica, which is the defendant and appellant in this case
    and which we call the City. Latinos then comprised about 16
    2
    percent of the City’s total population and 13.64 percent of the
    City’s citizen-voting-age population.
    The plaintiffs and respondents are Pico Neighborhood
    Association and Maria Loya.
    Pico Neighborhood Association is an organization dedicated
    to improving conditions and advancing the interests of the Santa
    Monica neighborhood near Pico Boulevard. Residents formed the
    association in 1979 to help neighbors participate fully in the
    democratic process and to ensure a safe and secure community.
    Members advocate for neighborhood interests before the Santa
    Monica City Council.
    Maria Loya is a Pico neighborhood resident and a Pico
    Neighborhood Association board member. Loya ran for the Santa
    Monica City Council in 2004 and lost. Loya’s husband, Oscar de
    la Torre, is a leader of the Pico Neighborhood Association. Oscar
    de la Torre won Santa Monica-Malibu Unified School District
    Board races in 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, and apparently in 2018 as
    well. He ran for the Santa Monica City Council in 2016 and lost.
    We refer to the respondents collectively as Pico unless
    otherwise specified.
    B
    This case concerns two alternative election methods: at-
    large versus district voting. At-large voting is city-wide. District
    voting is also called ward voting: “district” and “ward” are
    synonyms. District voting would divide the City into the number
    of districts (or wards) corresponding to the number of council
    members.
    The City now uses at-large voting to elect its seven-member
    City Council. The City holds elections every two years. National
    presidential elections are every four years. In those years, four
    3
    council seats are up for election: each voter can cast four votes.
    In between national presidential contests are elections for
    Governor. For elections held those years, voters each get three
    votes for the three council seats at stake. Depending on whether
    there are three or four seats open, the top three or four
    candidates receiving the most votes win. Santa Monica also uses
    at-large voting for its School, Rent Control, and College Board
    elections, but this suit targets only City Council elections.
    District voting differs from at-large voting. In district
    voting, each voter casts one vote and votes to select only one
    candidate to represent that district.
    C
    Over the years the City has debated and used both at-large
    and district voting. We review this history, which has six stages.
    We pay particular attention to 1946 and 1992: the years in
    controversy, which are stages three and five. But first we begin
    at the beginning, in 1906.
    1
    A 1906 charter divided the City into seven districts, called
    wards. Voters in each ward voted for one council member to
    represent the ward.
    2
    In 1914, the City switched from wards to at-large elections.
    Voters in this new system elected three commissioners at large.
    Each commissioner occupied a different and specialized post:
    public safety, public works, and finance. The City held separate
    elections for each post. Voters could cast only one vote for one
    candidate in each election.
    4
    3
    In 1946, the City changed its at-large voting into the
    system it uses today. The events of 1946 are crucial in this
    lawsuit and bear careful attention.
    How can we tell what happened in 1946? What are the
    sources of evidence? Apart from the proposed charter and
    documents with voting results, the trial court considered only one
    direct source of evidence about events in 1946. This direct source
    was 1946 Santa Monica newspaper excerpts. In other words, no
    trial witnesses testified about what they saw or heard in 1946.
    The 1946 newspaper excerpts reveal the following.
    In a nutshell, the City in 1946 embarked upon charter
    reform. A deliberative body called the Board of Freeholders
    debated and crafted a proposed new charter. Supporters and
    opponents campaigned about it, and then voters overwhelmingly
    approved it.
    We present the events of 1946 in more detail.
    Voters elected a 15-member Board of Freeholders charged
    with proposing a new city charter. The Freeholders issued their
    charter proposal on August 15, 1946. They proposed the City
    continue at-large elections but expand the number of council
    members from three to seven. They proposed eliminating the
    three specialized posts in favor of seven equal city council
    members, each with a general and comprehensive portfolio.
    Voters would elect three or four council members, depending on
    the year, and correspondingly would cast up to three or four
    votes.
    The new charter proposal would also create the staff office
    of city manager. For this reason, news articles in 1946
    5
    sometimes called the Freeholders’ proposal a “council-manager”
    form of government.
    The record gives us limited demographic information about
    the City in 1946. A table lists the total 1946 population as
    67,473, with “White or Anglo” as 64,415. The other categories are
    “Black,” “Asian,” and “Latino,” but there is no breakdown within
    these columns until later years. Today, there is no majority
    racial or ethnic group in California; statewide, every group is a
    minority. (Sanchez v. City of Modesto (2006) 
    145 Cal. App. 4th 660
    , 666 (Sanchez).) The recent situation has been different in
    Santa Monica; in 2010, the white or anglo population was about
    70 percent of the City’s total. The situation was also different in
    Santa Monica in 1946, when the white or anglo population
    constituted about 95.5 percent. We refer to 1946 Santa Monicans
    in the 4.5 percent group as minorities.
    All minority leaders in our record supported the proposed
    change in 1946. None opposed it. This fact is of dominating
    significance in this lawsuit about race discrimination, and so we
    elaborate.
    Jean Leslie Cornett was Secretary to the Board of
    Freeholders and signed an advertisement supporting the charter.
    Cornett met with members of the National Association for the
    Advancement of Colored People (NAACP) and explained that the
    Freeholders’ charter proposal would increase the opportunity for
    minority group representation by two and a half because it
    expanded the City Council from three to seven members.
    Freeholder Vivian Wilken was a member of the NAACP
    and an organizer in the Santa Monica Interracial Progress
    Committee, which worked toward “[r]espect for human dignity
    through common appreciation of the worth of each individual
    6
    regardless of racial origin.” Wilken also signed on to an
    advertisement supporting the charter.
    Seven members of the Committee for Interracial Progress
    endorsed the charter amendment in newspaper advertisements.
    Among them was Reverend W.P. Carter, the preeminent African-
    American civil rights leader in Santa Monica in the 1940s, 1950s,
    and 1960s. Reverend Carter was a past president of the NAACP
    in Santa Monica.
    Blanche Carter, Reverend Carter’s wife and the first
    African-American Santa Monica school board member, signed an
    advertisement supporting the charter. So did other African-
    American, Latino, and Jewish community leaders.
    No member of the Committee for Interracial Progress
    opposed the charter. No minority leaders, groups, or residents
    opposed the charter.
    By a vote of 15,132 to 6,512, voters approved the charter on
    November 5, 1946.
    4
    In 1975, voters rejected Proposition 3, which, among other
    items, proposed the City switch back to district voting.
    5
    The year 1992 was another focus of attention in this case.
    We review 1992 events in detail.
    As with 1946, the direct evidence about 1992 came strictly
    from historical records. There were only two direct sources of
    evidence: a written commission report and a videotaped City
    Council meeting where the report was discussed.
    One fact witness was present at the 1992 meeting. This
    witness was former City Councilmember Antonio Vazquez.
    Vazquez was on the City Council in 1992 and was one of the
    7
    seven council members who voted on the decision the trial court
    condemned. Vazquez testified at trial by deposition. But as far
    as the record shows, Pico never asked Vazquez whether the City’s
    decisionmaking in 1992 was for the purpose of discriminating
    against Latinos.
    So the lone eyewitness did not weigh in on the crucial equal
    protection issue because Pico refrained from asking him about it.
    As a result, only two items of evidence directly show what
    happened in 1992. These two direct sources are the report and
    the videotape. First we give an overview of what they reveal.
    Then we delve into detail.
    The overview is the City did not change its electoral system
    in 1992. A special study commission concluded the status quo
    should change but could not achieve consensus on what the
    change should be, and so recommended inaction and further
    research. The City Council debated the matter at length and
    could not agree on anything except more study. In short, 1992
    was a year of dissatisfaction, study, debate, and no change.
    Now we plunge into more detail. We begin with the work of
    the Charter Review Commission, and then describe the City
    Council meeting where the Council discussed this Commission’s
    report.
    a
    We describe the special study commission and its work.
    The City Council appointed the 15-member Charter Review
    Commission to analyze a set of questions about the city charter,
    including alternatives to the at-large system the City adopted in
    1946.
    The Commission issued its report in June 1992. The report
    is more than 90 pages and it covered more than a dozen topics,
    8
    including term limits, selection of the city attorney, competitive
    bidding, official bonds, council meeting protocols, and so forth.
    The first and largest topic in the report was the pertinent
    one here: the at-large election method for the City Council. The
    Commission comprehensively explored five voting options: at-
    large voting, district voting, mixed voting systems, and two types
    of proportional representation: single transferable votes and
    cumulative voting.
    The Commission emphasized its dominating goal of racial
    justice. “The central issue, in the Commission’s view, is not one
    of having Council members who are ethnic, but of empowering
    ethnic communities to choose Council members, and on this
    criterion, the at-large system is felt to be inadequate.” The
    Commission sought to “distribute empowerment more broadly in
    Santa Monica, particularly to ethnic groups . . . .” The
    Commission also wrote district voting was not “clearly the most
    empowering option to insure minority influence in Santa
    Monica’s political life.” It decried “the consequence of
    disempowering ethnic minorities.” The Commission underlined
    the virtue of bringing “Latinos much closer to placing their choice
    on City Council.”
    The Commission recounted its efforts to obtain enlightened
    perspectives on the issues. It met with Richard Fajardo, a former
    attorney with the Mexican American Legal Defense and
    Educational Fund (MALDEF), as well as with members of the
    NAACP and Citizens United to Reform Elections (CURE), which
    was Santa Monica’s election reform advocacy group. Three
    Commissioners were members of CURE.
    The Commission consulted scholarship about electoral
    systems. “A substantial part of this material [focused] on ethnic
    9
    representation questions.” A historian who later served as Pico’s
    expert wrote a report to the Commission stating his view that the
    City adopted its at-large system with racially discriminatory
    intent in 1946.
    The Commission was dissatisfied with the at-large status
    quo but could not agree on what to do about it. After reviewing
    the options, the Commission advised the City Council to delay
    action and to gather more information.
    A bare Commission majority favored some type of
    proportional voting but recognized these systems were unusual,
    complex, and largely untested. Apparently the City would have
    to write software from scratch. As alternatives to proportional
    voting, the Commission recommended that—if the City Council
    decided not to propose a proportional method to the voters—both
    a district system and a hybrid district/at-large system should be
    “seriously considered.”
    Five of the 15 Commissioners favored district voting as
    their first choice.
    Most Commissioners reported “that we were making our
    decision with less information than we would have liked to have
    had before us . . . .” The Commission “strongly” suggested further
    study, “utilizing experts in this area as needed.”
    b
    The City Council met to consider the Commission’s report
    on July 7, 1992. This public meeting began at 7:40 p.m. and
    ended at 2:00 a.m. Our record contains a video of the entire
    meeting.
    The Council consisted of Mayor Ken Genser, Mayor Pro
    Tempore Judy Abdo, and members Robert T. Holbrook, Herbert
    Katz, Kelly Olsen, Antonio Vazquez, and Dennis Zane.
    10
    Commission chair Nancy Greenstein presented the report.
    Other Charter Review Commissioners and members of the public
    commented about different election systems and then responded
    to the City Council’s questions, which were many and searching.
    Greenstein noted the election method question was the
    most difficult for the Commission. She said the majority of
    Commissioners recommended the City move away from the at-
    large system, but Commissioners were unsure about district
    voting as a replacement system. While a majority recommended
    the proportional method, this method admittedly was complex
    and had drawbacks. The Commissioners did not have enough
    time to study it. Only five of the 15 Commissioners favored
    district voting. Ultimately, the Commission was “not giving [the
    Council] a definitive yes on any system,” but was recommending
    either staff or a small committee continue to study the
    proportional method and to provide more information about the
    proper technique for counting votes.
    Commissioner Chris Harding was in the Commission’s
    minority and supported districting. Harding urged the City
    Council to “do a thorough investigation and gather further
    information and certainly open this up for more public
    discussion.” He did not “expect [Council] to make a decision
    tonight about this” and encouraged the Council to consider the
    lack of diversity among past mayors and council members.
    George Hickey, another Commissioner, urged the Council
    to call on members of the public in its deliberations, especially
    those who served on the Commission.
    Some speakers favored districts. They argued the City had
    never elected a council member from the Pico neighborhood,
    which had the highest African-American and Latino population
    11
    concentration. They wanted neighborhood-specific
    representatives.
    Other speakers opposed a district system out of a desire to
    have all City Council members represent all residents.
    Council members actively questioned speakers and
    discussed the issues.
    For instance, Councilmember Holbrook asked Commission
    chair Greenstein if the Commission explored whether a hybrid
    district/at-large system would provide any additional advantage
    for underrepresented people to win elections.
    Greenstein responded the Commissioners were not
    particularly interested in the hybrid system. Some thought the
    hybrid system would corrupt the district system and others
    preferred the proportional system. Some also thought the hybrid
    system still would dilute minority representation by making an
    intentionally-formed minority district larger. Councilmember
    Zane responded the hybrid system would only do so if the City
    did not expand the number of districts.
    Councilmember Katz was concerned a district system
    would lead to “total provincialism” and believed each council
    member should represent the city as a whole.
    Katz asked several speakers how they felt about a hybrid
    system’s ability to balance the needs of individual neighborhoods
    with those of the City while intentionally forming districts to
    empower minorities. Katz emphasized the City would have to
    pick the districts, because having an all-white district would not
    help minorities. Katz gave an example of having neighborhoods
    like Pico become districts while keeping other seats at-large, and
    asked whether such a system would increase minority
    12
    representation and still keep the Council focused on overall City
    politics.
    Richard Fajardo answered Katz. Fajardo was a former
    MALDEF attorney who had worked on voting rights cases and
    had advised the Commission. Fajardo told Katz it would depend
    on whether the at-large representatives could still dilute the
    power of the district representatives. Fajardo said the hybrid
    system had been used as a compromise in a number of voting
    rights cases.
    Councilmember Holbrook expressed concerns about how
    districting would work if minority communities were spread out
    in their geographically small city, making it difficult to carve out
    districts.
    Councilmember Vazquez favored districts, but noted the
    report raised a troubling prospect: a district system could pit
    minorities against each other.
    Councilmember Zane spoke as an advocate of affordable
    housing. Zane asked Fajardo about the effect of district voting on
    the prospects for affordable housing projects. Zane worried every
    representative in a district voting system would take a Not-In-
    My-Backyard (NIMBY) view of low-cost housing projects,
    meaning every representative would oppose these projects and
    thus doom them. We quote Zane’s lengthy question verbatim for
    reasons that later will be apparent. We italicize the one sentence
    that emerged as an issue.
    “This is a question about districts that goes less to the sort
    of legal representational issues, more to some kind of policy
    concerns that I want to hear if you have had any experience or
    reflection on. The concern I have about districts sort of somewhat
    mirroring the parochial kinds of concerns that Mr. Katz alluded
    13
    to has to do with, issues like affordable housing and issues that
    are not simply the representational issues of the poor, for
    example, and historically discriminated-against minorities but
    are the sort of substantive needs. One of the experiences of
    people I have been acquainted with, who have made a transition
    from at-large systems to district systems, is that it becomes very
    difficult to get affordable housing projects passed. And the
    reason is, each council member has, for one thing, become
    something of a case manager of services rather than a policy
    maker. Two, each council member feels more vulnerable to any
    neighborhood protest, and affordable housing frequently, if not
    always, brings some level of neighborhood protest. In some of the
    communities I am aware of, they simply don’t get affordable
    housing projects approved any more. Because every council
    member is afraid of them. And so, you gain the representation
    but you lose the housing. Now, do you have experience with
    that?”
    Fajardo agreed “that has been an issue and it has been a
    problem” because “even within the Latino community” a debate
    between homeowners and renters would have to continue. But
    Fajardo’s concern was the inability of minority communities to
    elect their preferred candidates to boards and commissions.
    Zane replied “I just want us to make sure we, you know,
    don’t try to solve our representational issues at the expense of
    our, the needs of the poor or things like affordable housing. We
    need a system we can choose both.”
    Zane returned to his affordable-housing theme about 45
    minutes later, in response to Doug Willis’s public comments.
    Willis, who was African-American and one of the 15 members of
    the Charter Revision Commission, said he belonged to CURE and
    14
    represented the Santa Monica-Venice chapter of the NAACP.
    Willis said he lived in the Pico neighborhood and supported
    district voting.
    Zane responded to Willis. Zane acknowledged district
    voting has some advantages, but asked Willis if he, in turn,
    would acknowledge some of the disadvantages of district voting.
    Zane repeated his concern about whether district voting would
    end affordable housing projects by making district
    representatives frightened of the neighborhood protests that
    usually accompanied such proposals.
    Willis replied the Pico area had the most affordable
    housing in the City.
    Zane said “I’m not trying to identify a particular district.”
    Rather, Zane contrasted Santa Monica’s willingness to
    approve affordable housing projects with communities that
    “proclaim similar progressive philosophies about housing” but
    cannot get affordable housing approved. Zane said the way these
    other places explained it was that the district council members
    are “freaked out” by every neighborhood uprising on any issue—
    not just affordable housing, but also “social service centers” and
    the like. “A small district makes those protesters look very
    powerful.” Zane asked Willis, “how do we combat that” if we
    adopt district voting?
    Willis understood Zane’s point but said “I don’t tend to
    agree” and said no more, thus ending their exchange.
    After hours of further discussion, the council members
    voted four to three not to put a district election system on the
    1992 ballot. They did agree, unanimously, to gather more
    information about the hybrid system and the single-member
    district system.
    15
    The record evidence was that, thereafter, the City’s staff
    did provide the City Council with further information about
    hybrid voting, at-large voting, and district voting.
    In this way, Santa Monica did not change from at-large
    voting in 1992.
    6
    In 2002, voters rejected ballot measure HH, which included
    a proposal to switch back to district elections.
    7
    Because of its history since 1946, Santa Monica now has an
    at-large City Council composed of seven council members. At the
    time of trial, two of these council members self-identified as
    Latinos: Antonio Vazquez (later replaced by Ana Maria Jara)
    and Gleam Davis. Another council member named Terry O’Day
    lived in the Pico neighborhood. During trial, then, the percentage
    of self-identified Latinos on the City Council was about 29
    percent, which is about twice the percentage of voting-age
    Latinos in Santa Monica.
    D
    Now we turn to this lawsuit. Its pertinent procedural
    history began with Pico’s operative complaint of February 23,
    2017, alleging the City’s at-large election system violated the
    California Voting Rights Act and the California Constitution.
    Pico alleged those who adopted and maintained the at-large
    system did so intentionally to dilute Latino voting power and to
    deny Latinos effective political participation in City Council
    elections. Pico also alleged the at-large system prevented Latino
    residents from electing candidates of their choice or influencing
    election outcomes.
    16
    Seven expert witnesses and nine fact witnesses testified
    during a bench trial beginning August 1, 2018, and ending
    September 13, 2018. There were 24 days of testimony. Trial
    days usually started between 9:30 and 10:30 a.m. and ended
    between 3:00 and 4:00 p.m., with a 90-minute lunch break,
    meaning that a “trial day” ranged between three and five hours.
    The trial court handled other cases for the balance of each day.
    The trial devoted more time to experts than to fact
    witnesses. Pico’s main expert, a historian, testified on 10 of the
    24 days, for six full days and four partial days. Another Pico
    expert and two City experts each testified on three days, with one
    of them testifying for three full days.
    Fact witnesses testified more briefly. Only one witness was
    present at the 1992 meeting and could testify about what he
    witnessed. That was former Councilmember Antonio Vazquez
    but, as noted above, Pico avoided asking Vazquez whether the
    City Council’s 1992 vote had been for the purpose of
    discriminating against Latinos. Nor did Pico seek to present
    testimony from Richard Fajardo, Doug Willis, or anyone else
    present when Zane spoke words that decades later Pico would
    contend were racist. So no eyewitnesses testified from personal
    knowledge gained in 1992 about the purpose of the City’s actions
    that year.
    Rather the factual testimony was about other topics.
    Plaintiff Loya testified for two partial days, as did her husband
    Oscar de la Torre. Each of the other fact witnesses testified for
    one or two days.
    On November 8, 2018, the trial court issued a tentative
    order stating the court was ruling in Pico’s favor on both causes
    of action. This order did not provide legal reasoning, but rather
    17
    set a remedies hearing and a briefing schedule. In response to
    the City’s request for a statement of decision, the court ordered
    Pico to prepare one.
    On December 12, 2018, the court prohibited the City from
    holding any at-large City Council elections and ordered future
    elections to be district-based elections, according to an attached
    map.
    Pico asked the trial court to clarify this order because,
    among other reasons, the court’s map defined only one district
    rather than the seven necessary for the City’s seven-member
    council to be elected through district voting. At a hearing, the
    trial court stated: “I am thinking maybe it makes sense to go
    with the seven districts [drawn by Pico’s expert]; order the special
    elections; run with your appeal; and we will see where we end
    up.”
    The court ordered Pico to include seven districts in its
    proposed statement of decision and proposed judgment, and
    again stated, “We will let it run and see where it goes in the court
    of appeal.”
    On January 3, 2019, Pico filed its proposed statement of
    decision and proposed judgment. The City filed objections,
    including some 200 objections to the proposed statement of
    decision. The court sustained eight objections and overruled the
    rest. The trial court’s statement of decision and judgment thus
    basically mirrored Pico’s proposals. This ruling, issued on
    February 13, 2019, was Pico had proved the City violated the
    California Voting Rights Act as well as the equal protection
    clause of the California Constitution.
    Using data provided by a historian, the trial court found “a
    consistent pattern of racially-polarized voting” in the City’s at-
    18
    large elections. The historian analyzed seven City Council
    elections between 1994 and 2016 involving at least one Spanish-
    surnamed candidate, and estimated support from Latino voters
    and support from non-Hispanic white voters. The historian
    presented analyses showing a statistically significant difference
    in how non-Hispanic white voters and Latino voters voted in six
    of the seven elections. In all but one of those six elections, Latino
    voters cohesively supported the Spanish-surnamed candidates.
    According to the historian, “in all but one of those six elections, a
    Latino candidate received the most Latino votes, often by a large
    margin. And in all but one of those six elections, the Latino
    candidate most favored by Latino voters lost, making the racially
    polarized voting legally significant.”
    The trial court rejected the City’s argument the candidate’s
    race was irrelevant under the California Voting Rights Act. The
    court ruled it would consider only Spanish-surnamed candidates
    to be Latino candidates. Although City Councilmember Gleam
    Davis testified she “considers herself Latina because her
    biological father was of Hispanic descent,” the court did not count
    Davis as Latina, because not enough people knew about Davis’s
    ethnicity.
    The trial court found several qualitative factors supported
    its finding of legally significant racially polarized voting,
    including the City’s history of discrimination against Latinos.
    At trial, the City argued the law required Pico to show vote
    dilution—not simply racially polarized voting—to prove the at-
    large system violated the California Voting Rights Act. The trial
    court acknowledged the City’s argument that dilution was a
    separate liability element and held that, assuming dilution was a
    separate element, the evidence still showed the system diluted
    19
    Latino votes. The court noted “it is impossible to predict with
    certainty the results of future elections” but found the evidence
    showed “some alternative method of election would enhance
    Latino voting power.”
    The trial court also found the at-large system violated the
    California Constitution’s equal protection clause because the City
    adopted the system with discriminatory intent in 1946, and
    maintained it with discriminatory intent in 1992. For both years,
    the trial court analyzed five factors from Arlington Heights v.
    Metropolitan Housing Corp. (1977) 
    429 U.S. 252
    , 266–268 to
    determine whether the City adopted or maintained the at-large
    system with discriminatory purpose: the impact, the historical
    background, the specific sequence of events leading to the
    decision, departures from the normal procedural sequence, and
    legislative history.
    The trial court acknowledged minority leaders in 1946
    favored the Freeholders’ proposal and none publicly opposed it.
    The court nonetheless concluded “all understood that at-large
    elections would diminish minorities’ influence on elections.” The
    court found “the evidence of discriminatory intent outweighs the
    contrary evidence.”
    Analyzing the same factors, the trial court concluded the
    City in 1992 deliberately decided “to maintain the existing at-
    large election structure because of, and not merely despite, the
    at-large system’s impact on Santa Monica’s minority population.”
    The trial court based its finding primarily on the Charter Review
    Commission’s report, the July 7, 1992 City Council meeting, and
    Councilmember Zane’s statements about affordable housing at
    the meeting.
    20
    Having basically adopted Pico’s statement of decision, the
    court likewise adopted the district map drawn by a Pico expert as
    the appropriate remedy. The court found it would “likely be
    effective, improving Latinos’ ability to elect their preferred
    candidate or influence the outcome of such an election.” The trial
    court ordered the City to implement district-based elections for
    its City Council in accord with the seven-district map presented
    at trial.
    The City appealed. It also asked the trial court to confirm
    the final judgment operated as a mandatory injunction that the
    appeal automatically would stay, or in the alternative to stay a
    portion of the judgment pending appeal. The trial court denied
    both requests.
    The City petitioned the Court of Appeal for a writ of
    supersedeas, requesting an immediate stay. We granted the
    petition.
    Based on its trial victory, Pico has asked the trial court to
    order the City to pay it about $22 million in attorney fees and
    costs. The trial court set a future hearing on this request.
    II
    This case presents two legal issues. The first is whether
    the City violated a statute. The second is whether it
    transgressed the California Constitution.
    This section concerns the statute. The next section, section
    III, tackles the constitutional issue.
    To summarize our statutory analysis, the trial court
    misinterpreted the statute. Properly interpreted, the statute
    imposes a dilution element Pico failed to prove. The City’s
    actions complied with the statute.
    21
    We independently review issues of statutory interpretation.
    (Weatherford v. City of San Rafael (2017) 
    2 Cal. 5th 1241
    , 1247.)
    The next section sketches the background for the statute,
    which concerns at-large and district voting. The following
    sections describe and apply the statute.
    A
    As context for our statutory analysis, we sketch the
    background against which this statute operates.
    People debate whether at-large voting or district (or
    “ward”) voting is the superior form of democracy. Opinions vary.
    Some of the briefing in this case speaks to this point.
    Amicus League of California Cities is an association of 478 cities
    in California. Joining it in this brief is the California Special
    Districts Association, which consists of over 900 special districts
    throughout California. The special districts provide Californians
    with services relating to police, fire, roads, harbors, waste,
    sewage, mosquitoes, libraries, parks, and similar matters.
    This amicus brief presents the perspectives of these 1,000
    plus California jurisdictions. This brief is not a source of facts
    from which a court could make factual findings. Lawyers wrote
    this brief, and like any brief, it is merely legal advocacy on behalf
    of those with an interest in the outcome of this case.
    The amicus cities and special districts all hold elections.
    These entities take different views about at-large voting versus
    district voting. They recognize at-large voting can dilute
    minority voting power in certain circumstances, and that, when
    this occurs, it is bad. They argue, nonetheless, that legitimate
    debate remains over the merits of the two methods.
    The amicus brief claims some member district and city
    officials support at-large elections. The main idea is at-large
    22
    voting elects representatives devoted to the welfare of the whole.
    Supporters say the district alternative leads to ward politics.
    “Ward politics” is a term with a possibly pejorative
    connotation. (See, e.g., Plunkitt, Plunkitt of Tammany Hall
    (Project Gutenberg 2013) ch. 6 & 23 [talks given by George
    Washington Plunkitt around 1905].)
    Some abuses of ward politics are a matter of record here.
    Santa Monica’s Charter Revision Commission noted ward
    elections—also called district elections—were the rule in U.S.
    cities at the end of the 19th century. Widespread graft and
    corruption in city politics then led to reforming upheaval in
    municipal governance and swept away ward and district
    elections.
    The record in this case also shows that, by 1989, at-large
    elections had become the norm in California. Among California
    cities, for instance, 205 cities then used at-large voting while only
    15 cities preferred district voting. In 2014, most local governance
    bodies in California were elected on an at-large basis. (Jauregui
    v. City of Palmdale (2014) 
    226 Cal. App. 4th 781
    , 788 (Jauregui).)
    Another aspect of district voting is its requirement of
    drawing district lines, which in turn poses the issue of
    gerrymandering. (See Reynolds v. Sims (1964) 
    377 U.S. 533
    ,
    578–579.)
    Yet, according to amici League and the special districts,
    today some among their members take a contrary view and favor
    district voting as the more democratic approach.
    Officials who favor district voting say they believe their
    connections to distinct communities allow them to represent
    those communities better by responding more attentively to local
    and particular interests.
    23
    We also note that, for many decades, esteemed civil rights
    leaders have observed shifts from ward to at-large elections can
    deprive minority voters of fair and effective procedures for
    electing candidates of their choice. (E.g., Days & Guinier,
    Enforcement of Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act in Minority
    Vote Dilution (Davidson edit., 1984) p. 169.)
    Amici League and special districts assert their
    organizations do not favor one system or the other. Rather they
    hold there are legitimate arguments for each system. Reasonable
    people can differ on the choice between district and at-large
    voting.
    B
    The Legislature weighed in on the debate about district
    voting by passing the California Voting Rights Act, which took
    effect in 2003. The Act consists of eight sections of the Elections
    Code: sections 14025 to 14032. Henceforth we refer to this
    statute as the Act. All further statutory references are to the
    Elections Code unless otherwise indicated.
    The Act created a private right of action against political
    subdivisions of the state of California.
    This case requires us to construe the Act. We begin with
    its language and structure in our quest to ascertain its purpose.
    Our central goal is to effectuate that purpose. We must interpret
    the statute’s words in context, keeping in mind the statutory
    purpose. We start by considering the ordinary meaning of the
    statutory language, the language of related provisions, and the
    structure of the statutory scheme. If the language of a statutory
    provision remains unclear after this analysis, we may explore
    extrinsic sources like legislative history. (Scholes v. Lambirth
    Trucking Co. (2020) 
    8 Cal. 5th 1094
    , 1102–1103 (Scholes).) We
    24
    construe the statutory words in context so we can harmonize
    individual sections by considering the provision at issue in the
    context of the statutory framework as a whole. (Kim v. Reins
    Internat. Cal., Inc. (2020) 
    9 Cal. 5th 73
    , 83.)
    The Act requires plaintiffs to satisfy five elements to make
    out a claim:
    1. Protected class;
    2. Resident;
    3. At-large voting;
    4. Racially polarized voting; and
    5. Dilution.
    Protected class. Element one requires plaintiffs to prove
    membership in a protected class. (§§ 14032 [stating this
    element], 14026, subd. (d) [defining protected class].) A protected
    class is a class of voters who are members of a race, color, or
    language minority group, as defined in the federal Voting Rights
    Act (52 U.S.C. § 10301 et seq.). (§ 14026, subd. (d).)
    Resident. Element two requires plaintiffs to prove they
    reside in the political subdivision they are suing. (§§ 14032
    [stating this element], 14026, subd. (c) [defining political
    subdivision].) A political subdivision is a geographic area of
    representation created for the provision of government services,
    and includes general law cities and charter cities. (§ 14026, subd.
    (c).)
    At-large voting. Element three requires plaintiffs to prove
    the political subdivision used an at-large method of electing
    members to the governing body of the political subdivision. (§§
    14027 [stating this element], 14026, subd. (a) [defining at-large
    method of election].) At-large voting includes any of the following
    election methods: (1) one in which voters of the entire
    25
    jurisdiction elect members to the governing body; (2) one in which
    candidates must reside in given areas of the jurisdiction and
    voters of the entire jurisdiction elect members to the governing
    body; and (3) one that combines at-large elections with district-
    based elections. (§ 14026, subd. (a).)
    Racially polarized voting. Element four requires plaintiffs
    to prove racially polarized voting occurred in the political
    subdivision’s elections. (§§ 14028 [stating this element], 14026,
    subd. (e) [defining racially polarized voting].) Racially polarized
    voting is voting in which a protected class’s electoral preferences
    are different from those of the rest of the electorate in a legally
    significant way. (§ 14026, subd. (e).)
    Dilution. Element five requires plaintiffs to prove the
    political subdivision’s at-large election method impaired “the
    ability of a protected class to elect candidates of its choice or its
    ability to influence the outcome of an election, as a result of the
    dilution or the abridgment of the rights of voters” who belong to a
    protected class. (§ 14027, italics added.)
    Section 14030 is a one-way attorney fee provision: the
    prevailing plaintiff party is entitled to fees and costs, so long as
    the plaintiff is not the state or a political subdivision. There is no
    fee provision for prevailing defendants. Prevailing defendants do
    not recover costs unless the action was frivolous or the like. (See
    generally Rey v. Madera Unified School Dist. (2012) 
    203 Cal. App. 4th 1223
    , 1235–1245.)
    The Act defines only five of its statutory terms. (§ 14026,
    subds. (a)–(e).) The Legislature left a number of statutory terms
    undefined, as we explain below.
    26
    The City does not appear to contest that Pico has satisfied
    elements one, two, or three, but it does take issue with the trial
    court’s finding of racially polarized voting and dilution.
    C
    This case turns on element five, which is the dilution
    element. We thus do not consider element four.
    As we have just recounted, the dilution element required
    Pico to prove the City’s at-large method impaired Latinos’ ability
    to elect candidates of their choice or to influence the outcome of
    an election as a result of the dilution or the abridgment of Latino
    voting rights. (§ 14027.)
    We focus on the word dilution, as does Pico. In defending
    its trial court victory, Pico in its brief to us uses a form of the
    word dilution more than 40 times. It uses a form of the word
    abridgement only once, and then only in passing. We focus on
    the issue Pico has posed.
    The Legislature decided not to define the word “dilution.”
    We must decipher what the Legislature meant this word to mean.
    We approach this interpretative work with the standard tools of
    statutory construction. We start by considering the ordinary
    meaning of the statutory language. 
    (Scholes, supra
    , 8 Cal.5th at
    p. 1103.)
    Dilution is a familiar word with a plain meaning. Dilution
    is the act of making something weaker by mixing in something
    else. (The Random House Dict. of the English Language (2d ed.
    unabridged 1987) p. 554 [“to reduce the strength, force, or
    efficiency of by admixture”].)
    Pouring a quart of water into a quart of milk, for instance,
    dilutes the milk to half strength. Diluting the milk weakens its
    nutritional value.
    27
    This familiar concept applies to electoral results.
    Many techniques can manipulate a voting system to dilute
    the ability of particular groups to achieve electoral success. Both
    district voting and at-large voting can be mechanisms of mischief.
    In a district voting system, for instance, one can draw
    district lines to divide a group’s supporters among multiple
    districts so they fall short of a majority in each district.
    That is “cracking.” (Gill v. Whitford (2018) ___ U.S. ___,
    ___ [
    138 S. Ct. 1916
    , 1923–1924] (Gill); cf. Garza v. County of Los
    Angeles (9th Cir. 1990) 
    918 F.2d 763
    , 769 [county intentionally
    fragmented Latino population to dilute that vote].)
    Or one can draw district lines to concentrate a group into a
    few districts so the group wins there by overwhelming margins
    but achieves less overall success than if different line-drawing
    spread the group more evenly through a larger number of
    districts.
    That is “packing.” 
    (Gill, supra
    , 138 S.Ct. at pp. 1923–1924;
    cf. Georgia v. Ashcroft (2003) 
    539 U.S. 461
    , 470, 481, 486–488
    [explaining packing and unpacking].)
    At-large elections are another possible method for diluting
    voting power and curbing electoral success, under particular
    conditions. At-large voting is not a per se violation of minority
    voting rights. (Thornburg v. Gingles (1986) 
    478 U.S. 30
    , 48.)
    This common system can serve legitimate ends. But under
    certain circumstances it is possible to weaken a group’s electoral
    success by using at-large voting instead of district voting.
    A hypothetical example illustrates the point.
    In this hypothetical we speak generally of groups, because
    the groups in electoral cases often are political parties rather
    than expressly racial or ethnic groups. This statute is drafted
    28
    specifically in terms of racial, color, and language groups, but the
    mechanisms of voting dilution extend beyond these categories.
    For our hypothetical, assume everyone votes strictly
    according to group membership and, if possible, only for
    candidates who are members of their own group. Further
    assume one group has voting power of only 10 percent in a given
    city but, within that city, the group’s voting power in
    neighborhood X is 60 percent. If neighborhood X were a voting
    district, the group could elect one of its own members as a district
    representative. The 60 percent neighborhood voting power would
    guarantee success. But now switch to at-large voting. This
    switch defeats the group’s ability to elect anyone from its own
    ranks, because 10 percent is not enough to win. Changing from
    district to at-large voting under these circumstances would
    weaken that group’s electoral success: the change would deny it
    the ability it previously had to elect a member of its own group.
    This hypothetical example shows, with district voting, the
    group could elect one representative belonging to its group. But
    with at-large voting, the group could not elect anyone from its
    own group. Going from one representative to zero would dilute
    this group’s ability to elect candidates from its group. Under
    these circumstances, an at-large system has diluted the group’s
    voting power in a politically damaging way: the group lost the
    power to elect a representative of its choice.
    The possibility of dilution does not mean it is generally a
    negative outcome when voters in a minority lose an election.
    Generally, democracy is majority rule. Under ideal conditions in
    a democracy, the majority of voters tends to win and the minority
    of voters tends to lose. When candidates or causes lose elections
    29
    simply because too few voters support them, that is not
    democracy failing. That is democracy working.
    The dilution element thus must do the work of
    distinguishing between the general case, when majority rule is
    proper, and the special case, when some mechanism has
    improperly diluted minority voting power.
    D
    The City correctly notes Pico offered no valid proof of
    dilution.
    As we have observed, the dilution element required Pico to
    prove the City’s at-large method impaired Latinos’ ability to elect
    candidates of their choice or to influence the outcome of an
    election as a result of the dilution of Latino voting rights. (§
    14027.)
    One cannot speak of the dilution of the value of a vote until
    one first defines a standard as to what a vote should be worth.
    Justice Frankfurter made this point in his long and bitter dissent
    from the landmark decision in Baker v. Carr (1962) 
    369 U.S. 186
    ,
    300 (dis. opn. of Frankfurter, J.). Frankfurter thought his point
    was a reason to reject that decision, but the case law in its wake
    accepted his wisdom and built it into a standard litigation
    practice. (E.g., Reno v. Bossier Parish School Bd. (1997) 
    520 U.S. 471
    , 480 [plaintiffs must postulate an alternative voting practice
    to serve as the benchmark undiluted voting practice, because the
    concept of vote dilution necessitates the existence of an undiluted
    practice against which the fact of dilution may be measured].)
    Pico agreed it was its burden to postulate a reasonable
    alternative voting practice to serve as the undiluted benchmark.
    Pico proposed a district system that, for one district within the
    City, would have 30 percent Latino voting power, as compared to
    30
    the 14 percent city-wide voting power Latinos hold in at-large
    elections.
    Pico’s showing was insufficient. Pico failed to prove the
    City’s at-large system diluted the votes of Latinos. Assuming
    race-based voting, 30 percent is not enough to win a majority and
    to elect someone to the City Council, even in a district system.
    There was no dilution because the result with one voting system
    is the same as the result with the other: no representation.
    Pico thus failed to show the at-large system was the reason
    Latinos allegedly have had trouble getting elected to the City
    Council. The reason for the asserted lack of electoral success in
    Santa Monica would appear to be that there are too few Latinos
    to muster a majority, no matter how the City might slice itself
    into districts or wards. At-large voting is not to blame. Small
    numbers are.
    Perhaps the same holds true for other minorities in Santa
    Monica. Pico’s briefing, however, gives us little data about other
    groups and their electoral histories in Santa Monica.
    In passing, the trial court mentioned “cumulative voting,
    limited voting and ranked choice voting” as systems that, as
    alternatives to district voting, would also “enhance” Latino voting
    power. The court’s treatment of these alternatives was
    perfunctory. The court did not define cumulative voting, limited
    voting, or ranked choice voting. Nor did it attempt to analyze
    how each might satisfy the dilution element. This fleeting
    reference, which Pico authored, is insubstantial and cannot
    support the judgment.
    E
    Pico responds with two arguments.
    31
    1
    First, Pico argued the Act contains no dilution element at
    all. In its 95-page brief, Pico devoted only one sentence to this
    argument. An amicus brief also argued this point. At oral
    argument, however, Pico expressly and conclusively abandoned
    this argument, and for good reason.
    To grasp this argument, recall element four requires
    plaintiffs to prove racially polarized voting occurred in elections
    held by the political subdivision. (§§ 14028 [stating this element],
    14026, subd. (e) [defining racially polarized voting].)
    Pico claimed a showing of racially polarized voting under
    section 14028 completely satisfies and thus supplants the
    dilution element in section 14027. Pico quoted the first sentence
    of subdivision (a) of section 14028: “A violation of Section 14027
    is established if it is shown that racially polarized voting occurs
    in elections for members of the governing body of the political
    subdivision or in elections incorporating other electoral choices by
    the voters of the political subdivision.”
    Pico thus contended the word “dilution” in section 14027
    has no content independent of subdivision (a) of section 14028.
    Pico’s analysis contravened principles of statutory
    interpretation, in two independently fatal ways. Standard
    principles of statutory interpretation direct us to the ordinary
    meaning of the statutory words, the related provisions, and the
    structure of the statutory scheme. 
    (Scholes, supra
    , 8 Cal.5th at p.
    1103.)
    Two standard factors—statutory text and the rule against
    surplusage—upend Pico’s argument and have forced Pico to
    abandon it. We now detail the application in this case of these
    two aspects of statutory interpretation.
    32
    a
    The statutory text is paramount and is contrary to Pico’s
    argument. Three sections require plaintiffs to satisfy both the
    dilution element of section 14027 and section 14028’s
    requirement of racially polarized voting. The three sections
    containing this decisive language are sections 14032, 14029, and
    14030.
    Section 14032 of the Act grants a private right of action to
    any voter in a protected class who resides in a political
    subdivision where a violation of sections 14027 and 14028 is
    alleged.
    Section 14029 also is compelling, as plaintiffs gain
    remedies only by establishing a violation of both 14027 and
    14028.
    Section 14030 follows the same pattern for attorney fees
    and costs.
    In sum, the legislature required litigants to prove both
    dilution and racially polarized voting to establish a claim, to have
    a remedy, and to recover fees.
    These statutory passages require sections 14027 and 14028
    to have independent content. Pico’s argument ran aground on
    this requirement.
    b
    A second and independently fatal problem with Pico’s
    argument was the rule against surplusage. If the Legislature
    had intended the result Pico urges, it would not have included
    the word “dilution” in the Act. But it did, and that too defeated
    Pico’s argument.
    Pico argued the statutory word “dilution” was mere
    surplusage. But surplusage in legislation is unusual and
    33
    disfavored. The venerable assumption is drafters avoid
    surplusage and therefore so should judges who interpret the
    drafting. (E.g., People v. Leiva (2013) 
    56 Cal. 4th 498
    , 506 [avoid
    a construction that makes some words surplusage]; Market Co. v.
    Hoffman (1879) 
    101 U.S. 112
    , 115–116 [this rule was old in
    1879].)
    The word “dilution,” moreover, is not just any old word.
    The word “dilution” has been a core part of the voting rights
    vocabulary at least since the 1964 decision in Reynolds v. 
    Sims, supra
    , 377 U.S. at pages 555 and footnote 29, 557, 563, 567, 568.
    Dissenting Justice Harlan wrote the entire decision in that
    landmark voting rights case boiled down to the concept of
    dilution. (See
    id. at p.
    590 (dis. opn. of Harlan, J.).)
    It would have been incongruous for the Legislature to make
    a key word nugatory. Pico cited no precedent for this illogical
    form of statutory interpretation.
    Pico’s proposed interpretation of the Act thus was incorrect.
    (Cf. 
    Sanchez, supra
    , 145 Cal.App.4th at p. 666 [Act was designed
    to combat a kind of vote dilution].)
    In sum, it is incorrect to read the Act to say a mere showing
    of racially polarized voting necessitates a finding a city has
    misapplied at-large voting. Under the Act, racially polarized
    voting is a necessary but not sufficient element. Dilution also is
    an independent and necessary element. As we have explained,
    Pico did not prove dilution.
    2
    Pico’s second response is its “influence” argument. Pico
    argues the change from 14 percent to 30 percent is legally
    significant because it increases the electoral “influence” of
    34
    Latinos. The Legislature added the word “influence” to section
    14027 of the Act but did not define it.
    Pico proposes a definition of this word that would give a
    winning cause of action to any group, no matter how small, that
    can draw a district map that would improve its voting power by
    any amount, no matter how miniscule. The trial court followed
    this approach by asking whether “some alternative method of
    election would enhance Latino voting power.” According to this
    standard, any unrealized increase in a group’s percentage would
    satisfy the dilution element.
    This standard is untenable because it would create absurd
    results.
    A hypothetical illustrates this fatal problem.
    Assume three facts: there are 3,000,000 voters in a city;
    3,000 belong to a small racial group G; and all voters are racially
    polarized in the sense voters will vote only for candidates of their
    own race.
    In an at-large election, group G would constitute 0.1
    percent of the electorate. Suppose we now switch from at-large
    voting to voting in 15 districts, each with 200,000 voters, and we
    draw the lines to maximize the voting power of group G. Now
    one district incorporates all 3,000 voters of group G. Thus group
    G would increase its voting power from 0.1 percent strength at
    large to 1.5 percent in that district. A change from 0.1 to 1.5
    percent is a 15-fold increase, which seems sizeable in relative
    terms. This change would improve G’s “influence” as Pico would
    define the term. But a group with a vanishingly small numerical
    presence—be it .01 percent or 1.5 percent—can have no practical
    numerical influence in any voting system. There are simply too
    35
    few voters in group G to be numerically effective in an
    environment of race-based voting.
    To define “influence” as Pico proposes would merely ensure
    plaintiffs always win.
    Pico cites the case of Georgia v. 
    Ashcroft, supra
    , 539 U.S. at
    pages 470–471, 482–483. Georgia v. Ashcroft is inapposite in
    many ways. It interpreted section 5 of the federal Voting Rights
    Act, not section 2. These sections combat different evils and,
    accordingly, impose different duties. (Id. at pp. 477–478.)
    Section 5 deals with “retrogression,”
    id. at p.
    477, which is not a
    subject of the California Voting Rights Act. And Georgia v.
    Ashcroft merely held a trial court failed to consider all relevant
    factors when examining whether a redistricting plan would
    diminish minority voters’ effective exercise of the electoral
    franchise. (Id. at p. 485.) It did not hold groups will influence
    elections at the 30 percent level but not at the 14 percent level.
    The holding in Georgia v. Ashcroft does not assist Pico. (See
    Bartlett v. Strickland (2009) 
    556 U.S. 1
    , 19–20 (plur. opn. of
    Kennedy, J.) [a party asserting § 2 liability must show the
    minority population in the potential election district is greater
    than 50 percent].)
    Pico seeks to rescue its influence argument by suggesting
    non-Latinos might “cross over” and vote for Latino candidates,
    buoying Latino power and clearing the 50 percent threshold to
    electoral success. This suggestion arbitrarily embraces racially
    polarized voting when it helps and abandons it when it hurts. It
    creates a manipulable standard boiling down to plaintiff always
    wins.
    The City agrees some “influence” claims in theory could be
    valid if evidence showed a near-majority of minority voters in a
    36
    hypothetical district would often be sufficient for the minority
    group to elect its preferred candidates. But the City correctly
    notes we need not decide that question today, for this case
    presents no such district.
    At oral argument, Pico said plaintiff Maria Loya would
    have won using the seven-district map the trial court adopted.
    The trial court, however, made no such finding. Nor did Pico’s
    briefing to us argue this point, which Pico thereby forfeited.
    Parties cannot fairly raise a new theory for the first time in oral
    argument, for that tactic deprives the other side of notice and an
    opportunity to be heard. It likewise deprives the court of a
    thoughtful adversarial discussion of the issue. (E.g., Jones v.
    Jacobson (2011) 
    195 Cal. App. 4th 1
    , 5, fn. 12, 19 [parties forfeit
    issues and arguments raised for the first time at oral argument].)
    Dilution requires a showing, not of a merely marginal
    percentage increase in a proposed district, but evidence the
    change is likely to make a difference in what counts in a
    democracy: electoral results.
    In sum, Pico failed to prove dilution. The City did not
    violate the statute. In light of this conclusion, we do not reach
    the issues of whether there was racially polarized voting or
    whether the trial court’s interpretation of the Act would make the
    Act unconstitutional as applied to this case.
    We turn to the constitutional question.
    III
    The constitutional question concerns equal protection. The
    trial court found the City’s voting system violated equal
    protection because, in 1946 and again in 1992, the City acted
    with the purpose of suppressing Latino political power. The
    court, however, applied an erroneous legal standard to reach
    37
    these faulty conclusions. A proper analysis shows Pico did not
    prove the City adopted or maintained its system for the purpose
    of discriminating against minorities.
    A
    Federal and state equal protection standards are not
    always the same, but they are for this analysis. (See 
    Jauregui, supra
    , 226 Cal.App.4th at p. 800 [California decisions involving
    voting issues closely follow federal constitutional analyses].) The
    trial court took this approach and no party disputes it.
    The City correctly argues the trial court applied the wrong
    legal rule. We independently review this question of law. (Air
    Couriers Internat. v. Employment Development Dept. (2007) 
    150 Cal. App. 4th 923
    , 932.) This analysis does not require us to
    resolve disputed facts.
    In this case there were no eyewitnesses who testified in a
    pertinent way to the crucial events. Rather, direct evidence
    about the key events came from three types of historical artifacts:
    (1) 1946 newspaper excerpts, voting records, and the proposed
    charter; (2) the 1992 Charter Review Commission report, and (3)
    the July 7, 1992 City Council meeting video. These historical
    artifacts are the core of record for the equal protection analysis.
    They were not created for purposes of litigation.
    We independently review trial court findings based on
    historical artifacts like videotapes. (See Scott v. Harris (2007)
    
    550 U.S. 372
    , 379–380 (Scott) [appellate judges interpret “what
    we see on the video” for themselves; the appellate court gives no
    deference to the trial court’s findings];
    id. at p.
    384 [as a matter of
    law, appellate judges conclude video shows car driver posed a
    threat to pedestrians; no deference]; In re Rosenkrantz (2002) 
    29 Cal. 4th 616
    , 677 [“Because the trial court’s findings were based
    38
    solely upon documentary evidence, we independently review the
    record.”].)
    Historical artifacts differ from the live witness testimony in
    a case Pico cites: Nestle v. City of Santa Monica (1972) 
    6 Cal. 3d 920
    , 924–928. We are in the same position as the trial court was
    to evaluate materials like the 1946 newspaper clippings, the 1992
    commission report, and the 1992 video. We do not defer to a trial
    court’s reaction to historical artifacts like these, any more than
    we would defer to a trial court’s “findings” that A Room of One’s
    Own concerns Napoleon in Russia or that Citizen Kane shows
    Druids built Stonehenge. News articles, videos, and other texts
    that were not created for litigation are different from witnesses in
    a courtroom testifying and being cross-examined under oath, and
    are not fit topics for trial court factfinding to which appellate
    courts will defer.
    Deference to factual findings stems from the fact finder’s
    observation of the demeanor of live witnesses and their manner
    of testifying. (In re Avena (1996) 
    12 Cal. 4th 694
    , 710.) That
    deference is inappropriate when evidence does not involve the
    credibility of live testimony. (In re Resendiz (2001) 
    25 Cal. 4th 230
    , 249; see also People v. Ogunmowo (2018) 
    23 Cal. App. 5th 67
    ,
    79 [no deference is given to trial court’s conclusion about written
    documents, because trial and appellate courts were in the same
    position in interpreting that evidence].)
    Experts in this case testified about these written and video
    artifacts, but that does not change our analysis. Appellate courts
    are not required to defer to expert opinion regarding the ultimate
    issue in a case. (Vergara v. State of California (2016) 
    246 Cal. App. 4th 619
    , 650.) “Expert” opinion about how a court
    should interpret, for instance, this 1992 video is simply highly
    39
    partisan advocacy in the guise of evidence; this type of “expert
    testimony” boils down to argument, not evidence. Courts have
    been familiar with this problem for some time. (Cf. Winans v.
    N.Y. & Erie Railroad Co. (1858) 62 U.S. (21 How.) 88, 101 [courts
    cannot receive professors to prove to the court the proper or legal
    construction of instruments of writing; experience shows that
    opposite opinions of persons professing to be experts may be
    obtained in any amount].)
    B
    The central purpose of equal protection is to prevent
    officials from discriminating on the basis of race. (Washington v.
    Davis (1976) 
    426 U.S. 229
    , 239.) An inquiry into the purpose of
    the challenged conduct is essential. A showing of a racially
    disproportionate impact alone is insufficient. (Rogers v. Lodge
    (1982) 
    458 U.S. 613
    , 617–618.) To prevail on its equal protection
    violation claim, Pico had to prove the City adopted or maintained
    its at-large system with the purpose of discriminating against
    minorities. (Washington v. 
    Davis, supra
    , at pp. 239–244.) The
    parties agree on this.
    Discriminatory purpose requires more than knowledge of
    consequences. (Personnel Administrator of Mass. v. Feeney (1979)
    
    442 U.S. 256
    , 279 (Feeney).) It implies the decision maker
    selected or reaffirmed a particular course of action not in spite of
    adverse impact on a group, but because of that impact. (Ibid.)
    The facts of Feeney illustrate the difference between the
    mental states of purpose and knowledge: between acting with
    the goal of achieving an end, which is purpose, and merely acting
    with awareness a side effect will result, which is knowledge.
    In Feeney, a Massachusetts statute gave veterans
    preference over others for state jobs. The goal was not to harm
    40
    women, but that was the effect, because only two percent of
    veterans then were women. The statute created winners and
    losers, and, overwhelmingly, women lost. Legislators knew that
    would happen. They knew nearly all veterans at that time were
    men. But the law did not deny women equal protection, even
    though its authors knew it would disproportionately harm
    women, because harming women was not their purpose. 
    (Feeney, supra
    , 442 U.S. at pp. 270, 274–281.)
    This equal protection principle holds true as a general
    matter. (Rogers v. 
    Lodge, supra
    , 458 U.S. at pp. 617–618.)
    Legislators’ awareness of a racially disparate impact is not
    enough to prove their intent to discriminate by race. (City of
    Mobile v. Bolden (1980) 
    446 U.S. 55
    , 66–67, 71 & fn. 17,
    superseded by statute on other grounds.)
    This careful distinction between purpose and knowledge is
    familiar in the law. The Model Penal Code precisely defined
    purpose and knowledge. (See Model Pen. Code, § 2.02, subd.
    (2)(a) & (b).) Its definitions perfectly fit the distinction Feeney
    drew.
    People act purposely to achieve gender or race
    discrimination when it is their conscious object to engage in
    conduct of that nature or to cause such a result. People act
    knowingly when they are aware it is practically certain their
    conduct will cause a disparate impact along gender or racial
    lines. (See Model Pen. Code, § 2.02, subd. (2)(a) & (b).)
    The logic of this constitutional distinction is apparent.
    Redistricting legislatures presumably are aware of racial
    demographics, just as we presume they are aware of age,
    economic status, and other demographic factors. But this
    awareness, this knowledge, does not prove a purpose of race
    41
    discrimination. (Shaw v. Reno (1993) 
    509 U.S. 630
    , 646.)
    Plaintiffs must show the government adopted or maintained the
    election system for the purpose of racial discrimination. A
    knowledge of a disparate impact is not enough. (City of Mobile v.
    
    Bolden, supra
    , 
    446 U.S. 55
    at pp. 66–67, 71 & fn. 17.)
    The trial court departed from these equal protection
    standards. Its departure invalidates its conclusions. The trial
    court erroneously concluded the City acted with discriminatory
    intent in 1946, when the City adopted its at-large system, and in
    1992, when the City left this at-large system unchanged. But
    there was no evidence the City had the purpose of engaging in
    racial discrimination on either occasion. For this reason, the
    City’s actions did not violate equal protection.
    We examine events in 1946 and then 1992.
    1
    In 1946, 100 percent of the leaders of the minority
    community who expressed a public opinion supported the City’s
    action. None opposed it. The people who knew best and cared
    most detected no City purpose of race discrimination against
    them. As a matter of law, this unanimous evidence is a litmus
    test dictating a finding in the City’s favor. The City in 1946 did
    not act with a purpose of race discrimination.
    Contemporaneous and unanimous support from minority
    community leaders shows the 1946 charter was not a hostile
    effort to oppress minorities. No one has a more sensitive eye or a
    stronger vested interest than leaders of minority communities. If
    they speak publicly with one supporting voice, as they did about
    the election in 1946, minority leaders are bellwethers for voters
    who care most keenly about the quality of life for minorities.
    42
    Pico’s claim is unprecedented. It asks us to rule a city and
    its electorate engaged in hostile discrimination against minorities
    when that city and its electorate did what minority leaders asked.
    Pico cites no case with that illogical holding.
    Pico does not explain how it, today, has greater insight into
    the racial realities of 1946 than the unified leaders of the
    minority communities who, in 1946, lived in Santa Monica. Pico
    does not argue all these leaders were somehow tricked, out of
    touch, muzzled, or corrupted. Pico simply suggests their views do
    not matter. This is error.
    Pico incorrectly contends “both proponents and opponents
    of at-large elections understood such elections would prevent
    minority representation.” To the contrary, the evidence shows
    there was uniform minority support for the City’s 1946 charter
    change. The only newspaper critiques of the proposed charter
    were advertisements run by an anonymous group calling itself
    the Anti-Charter Committee.
    The work of the anonymous Anti-Charter Committee does
    not show a general understanding the Charter would harm
    minority groups. It is not evidence minority communities were
    divided in their support of the 1946 charter.
    In 1946, the identity of Anti-Charter Committee members
    became a notorious issue in the City. In its ads attacking the
    charter, the Anti-Charter Committee identified itself only as “a
    group of business men [sic] and other private citizens.” A
    newspaper editorial, however, questioned who belonged to, and
    who contributed to, this “well-heeled group.” This editorial
    contrasted the open and published “names of nearly 200
    prominent Santa Monica citizens who have endorsed the new city
    charter” with the secrecy surrounding the identity of the Anti-
    43
    Charter Committee’s membership and its source of funding. The
    editorial asked if the Anti-Charter Committee’s contributors
    included people “who sell certain supplies to the city government
    under contracts very favorable to them, and who are unwilling to
    have their names appear?” “The people of Santa Monica are
    entitled to know who they are.”
    The Anti-Charter Committee never responded to this
    editorial, so far as the record shows.
    The Anti-Charter Committee’s ads provide insight into its
    perspective. One ad, titled “Who’s Going to Manage the City
    Manager?”, states that, “[l]ike Communism, the [charter’s] theory
    of a city-manager-operated city is wonderful. Practically it does
    not work out. Dictatorship never does.”
    A different Anti-Charter Committee ad stressed systems
    like the one in the proposed charter “have higher tax rates and
    higher indebtedness” than the City’s existing system. “Don’t
    write a blank check and give it to a cause that has proved itself a
    spendthrift!”
    Another Anti-Charter Committee ad stated “[t]he first
    claim of minority groups is that they are making a change in the
    interest of ‘true democracy’—this is much the same manner as
    the communists work from within.”
    This same ad continued: “Do you want increased taxes,
    rule of the city by a few? If you don’t, then—VOTE NO . . . .”
    Another ad, titled “DO YOU WANT THIS DISASTER IN
    SANTA MONICA?”, reprinted letters to the editor from a paper
    in Montebello, which the ad said had a government like the
    proposed Freeholders’ charter. The letters expressed anger at the
    high taxes and expenditures in Montebello. After these letters,
    the ad concluded:
    44
    “What more could be said to prove our point that this
    proposed Charter will plunge Santa Monica into bitter political
    strife and chaos; it will mean unbearable taxation, will establish
    dictatorial rule that will starve out minority groups and will
    throw our entire model Civil Service into the discard.”
    Pico puts special emphasis on one Anti-Charter Committee
    ad titled “MINORITY GROUPS and the Proposed Charter.” This
    ad posited “[t]he lot of a member of a minority, whether it be in a
    location of not-so-fine homes, or one of race, creed, or color, is
    never too happy under the best of conditions.” The ad predicted
    the proposed charter would create a “dictatorship” of council
    members who would “mostly originate from North of Montana”
    and this “dictatorship type of government” would block access to
    government. “Where will the laboring man go? Where will the
    Jewish, colored, or Mexican go for aid in his special problems?”
    No evidence shows any “laboring man” or the “Jewish,
    colored, or Mexican” supported the Anti-Charter Committee or its
    advertising or opposed the 1946 charter.
    Pico’s reliance on these ads is misplaced. The Anti-Charter
    Committee was not an advocate for minorities or for minority
    voting rights. Pico claims news clippings show everyone in Santa
    Monica in 1946 understood at-large voting disadvantaged
    minorities, but the news clippings show the opposite. Nor are
    they reason to discard the legal principle that unanimous
    minority support for an electoral result shows the election was
    not the product of racial prejudice against those minorities.
    The same holds for Pico’s other supposed sources of insight
    into the 1946 election. All these arguments unacceptably assume
    Pico and its experts can know better than minority leaders in
    1946 what was good for minorities in 1946.
    45
    In sum, Pico failed to prove the City acted with the purpose
    of discriminating against racial minorities in 1946. 
    (Feeney, supra
    , 442 U.S. at pp. 279–281.) To the contrary, minority
    leaders who spoke in 1946 unanimously favored the City’s action.
    The City did not violate equal protection in 1946.
    2
    We turn to 1992.
    In 1992, the City appointed a 15-member commission that
    wrote a high-minded and comprehensive, but perplexing, report.
    The report was perplexing because it expressed strong
    dissatisfaction with the status quo but offered no consensus
    alternative. The report’s final recommendation was to delay
    action and gather more information. The City Council met
    publicly to mull the report. This public discussion was a model of
    civic engagement: substantive, open, participatory, and cordial.
    There was never a hint of hostility to minorities. To the contrary,
    speaker after speaker sought ways of increasing minority
    empowerment. But after discussing the issue for hours the City
    Council remained deadlocked about the right alternative to the
    status quo and resolved simply to study the issue further.
    As a matter of law, this series of actions was not purposive
    race discrimination. The trial court erred again by applying the
    wrong legal standard. Feeney required proof of a purpose of racial
    discrimination. There was none.
    “There is, [moreover], an added wrinkle in this case:
    existence in the record of a videotape capturing the events in
    question. There are no allegations or indications that this
    videotape was doctored or altered in any way, nor any contention
    that what it depicts differs from what actually happened. The
    videotape quite clearly contradicts the version of the story told by
    46
    [Pico].” 
    (Scott, supra
    , 550 U.S. at p. 378.) Pico’s version of events
    is “so utterly discredited” by this video as to dictate judgment for
    the City. (Id. at p. 380.) The trial court “should not have relied
    on such visible fiction; it should have viewed the facts in the light
    depicted by the videotape.” (Id. at pp. 380–381.)
    We have studied this 1992 videotape. It contains nothing
    showing a purpose of racial discrimination.
    Pico incorrectly focuses on a single sentence from one
    speaker, and argues this sentence showed the City’s entire
    deliberation and vote was for the purpose of hostile race
    discrimination. This one sentence was when Councilmember
    Zane said “And so, you gain the representation but you lose the
    housing.”
    This sentence is not evidence the City had a purpose of
    hostile discrimination against anyone. This sentence contained
    no express, implied, or coded racial reference or hostile purpose of
    racial discrimination.
    An objective observer watching this video sees Zane ask
    about an incentive that district voting creates. This incentive is
    for district representatives to be more responsive to district
    voices. Zane questions whether this is a good thing. He was
    concerned this incentive would imperil a political cause he
    favored: affordable housing projects.
    Zane supported affordable housing. Affordable housing is
    not a policy with a purpose of harming Latinos or minorities. For
    instance, Councilmember Antonio Vazquez testified Santa
    Monicans for Renters’ Rights endorsed his successful run for the
    Santa Monica City Council in 1990, and he thought he probably
    would not have won without that endorsement.
    47
    Zane noted affordable housing projects usually engendered
    NIMBY protests from neighbors. Zane asked Richard Farjado
    and Charter Review Commissioner Doug Willis whether they
    would acknowledge a drawback of district voting in this context.
    The drawback, Zane explained, was the proclivity of district
    representatives to oppose affordable housing projects because of
    their heightened sensitivity to neighborhood protests. “A small
    district makes those protesters look very powerful,” said Zane.
    Zane made no reference to Latinos or the Pico area. He
    suggested he was concerned with a general tendency, not a
    particular district: “I’m not trying to identify a particular
    district.”
    Zane expressed concern district voting would make NIMBY
    voting so prevalent as to doom affordable housing projects.
    Richard Fajardo, a former MALDEF lawyer with experience in
    voting rights cases, agreed “that has been an issue and that has
    been a problem” because “even within the Latino community” a
    debate between homeowners and renters would have to continue.
    In context and beyond question, Zane’s comment was not a
    statement of discrimination against Latinos. The entire
    exchange, in context, was a substantive and cogent discussion of
    the pluses and minuses of district voting. There were no coded
    messages of hostility to Latinos or revealing Freudian slips.
    Pico claims Zane implied the Pico area was a dumping
    ground for undesirable low-income housing projects. This claim
    is incorrect. Zane explained he was not discussing particular
    districts but rather the tendency of any district representative to
    fear the local protest Zane said typically accompanied affordable
    housing projects.
    48
    We decline Pico’s invitation to take the unprecedented and
    unwise path it urges.
    When a city’s commission supports minority empowerment
    but neither it nor the city can achieve consensus about the right
    alternative to at-large voting, the municipal decision to gather
    more information does not violate equal protection. As a matter
    of law, a court need go no further to vindicate this decision
    against the allegation of an invidious purpose.
    In sum, the City did not act with a racially discriminatory
    purpose in 1946 or in 1992. Pico’s equal protection claims fail.
    We gave the parties our tentative opinion in this case in
    advance of oral argument. This tentative opinion included the
    equal protection analysis presented here, including our statement
    of the standard of review and our analysis of the 1946 news
    clippings and the events of 1992. At oral argument, Pico
    forcefully and at considerable length presented its response to
    our tentative opinion, but did not contest our equal protection
    analysis in any respect.
    The City did not violate the California Voting Rights Act or
    the California Constitution. We do not reach the remedies issue
    because there was no wrong to remedy.
    49
    DISPOSITION
    We reverse the judgment. We award costs to, and direct
    the trial court to enter judgment for, the City of Santa Monica.
    WILEY, J.
    We concur:
    BIGELOW, P. J.
    GRIMES, J.
    50