People v. Winkler ( 2020 )


Menu:
  • Filed 11/2/20
    CERTIFIED FOR PARTIAL PUBLICATION *
    IN THE COURT OF APPEAL OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA
    THIRD APPELLATE DISTRICT
    (El Dorado)
    ----
    THE PEOPLE,                                                       C077992
    Plaintiff and Respondent,                (Super. Ct. No. P13CRF0308)
    v.
    TODD ALAN WINKLER,
    Defendant and Appellant.
    APPEAL from a judgment of the Superior Court of El Dorado County, Kenneth J.
    Melikian, Judge. Affirmed.
    Athena Shudde, under appointment by the Court of Appeal, for Defendant and
    Appellant.
    Kamala D. Harris and Xavier Becerra, Attorneys General, Gerald A. Engler, Chief
    Assistant Attorney General, Michael P. Farrell, Assistant Attorney General, Eric L.
    Christoffersen, Robert C. Nash, Deputy Attorney General, for Plaintiff and Respondent.
    * Pursuant to California Rules of Court, rules 8.1105 and 8.1110, this opinion is certified
    for publication with the exception of Parts II – V of the Discussion.
    1
    Defendant killed his third wife (the victim) by plunging a pair of scissors into her
    neck, severing her jugular vein. She had been having an extramarital affair and was
    planning to divorce defendant. Defendant did not deny killing her, but claimed he did so
    in self-defense. A jury found defendant guilty of murder in the first degree and found true
    the enhancement allegation that defendant personally used a deadly or dangerous weapon
    in the commission of the murder. (Pen. Code, §§ 187, 189, 12022, subd. (b)(1).) 1 The trial
    court sentenced defendant to a term of 26 years to life.
    On appeal, defendant asserts that: (1) the trial court erred in admitting, pursuant to
    Evidence Code section 1101, subdivision (b), evidence related to the 1999 death of his
    second wife as relevant to his intent to kill the victim, the absence of mistake or accident,
    or to negate self-defense; (2) the trial court erred in admitting the victim’s prior
    statements to others about her fear of defendant; (3) the cumulative effect of the
    foregoing errors requires reversal; (4) the evidence was legally insufficient to support a
    finding of premeditation and deliberation so as to support a conviction of first degree
    murder; and (5) an error on the abstract of judgment must be corrected.
    We conclude the trial court abused its discretion in admitting evidence of the 1999
    death of defendant’s second wife under Evidence Code section 1101, subdivision (b).
    The Georgia authorities where the incident took place determined the death was
    accidental. Before allowing the jury to hear this evidence, the trial court had a
    gatekeeping duty under Evidence Code section 403, subdivision (a) to determine whether
    there was sufficient evidence to establish a homicidal act by a preponderance of the
    evidence. In doing so, the trial court relied on evidence related to the charged offense as
    proof of the earlier homicidal act. This was error. We further conclude that any
    probative value the uncharged act evidence had was substantially outweighed by the
    1 Further undesignated statutory references are to the Penal Code unless otherwise
    indicated.
    2
    Evidence Code section 352 concerns of undue consumption of time and undue prejudice.
    However, given the strength of the admissible evidence, we conclude the error was
    harmless.
    As to his asserted error regarding evidence related to the victim’s fear of him,
    defendant forfeited several of these contentions. Those contentions which are preserved
    are either without merit or harmless. As to those claims which defendant forfeited, we
    conclude that, contrary to defendant’s contentions, he was not denied the constitutionally
    effective assistance of counsel for his attorney’s failure to object to the evidence. We
    also reject defendant’s cumulative error argument. And we conclude there was
    substantial evidence of premeditation and deliberation to support his conviction of
    murder in the first degree. Finally, we agree with defendant that the abstract of judgment
    must be corrected to reflect that the indeterminate sentence imposed was 25 years to life,
    and delete reference to the term of life without the possibility of parole.
    We affirm.
    FACTUAL AND PROCEDURAL BACKGROUND
    Given the nature of defendant’s claims, a fairly detailed summary of the evidence
    presented at trial and the hearing concerning the uncharged act evidence is required.
    The Prosecution’s Evidence
    Defendant’s Report of a “Domestic Incident,” His Physical Condition &
    Arrest
    At approximately 10:30 or 11:00 a.m. on February 27, 2012, D.B., defendant’s
    neighbor and a social acquaintance, received a telephone call from defendant. Defendant
    told D.B. there had been a domestic incident, and that the victim had been killed. D.B.
    told defendant that he would call 911 while defendant took his children to a neighbor’s
    house.
    At approximately 10:30, defendant knocked on the door of his neighbors, V.J. and
    B.J. B.J. answered the door and defendant stated there was a medical emergency and he
    3
    asked them to watch his children. When defendant dropped off the children, V.J. noticed
    that defendant had “taken a shower. He smelled like shampoo or cologne.” V.J. testified
    that defendant did not have any injuries on his hands or face. When defendant handed
    V.J. his infant son, she saw that there were no injuries on his hands. B.J. also testified
    that he did not observe any injuries to defendant’s hands or face. V.J. and B.J. both
    testified that defendant’s tone was “normal,” he had no tears in his eyes and was not
    acting nervous, emotional, or with any urgency or panic.
    At approximately 10:40, El Dorado County Deputy Sheriff Michael Roberts
    responded to the defendant’s house. Roberts parked across the street and kept the house
    under observation while awaiting additional units. Seventeen minutes after he arrived,
    defendant emerged from the house. Roberts pointed his firearm at defendant, identified
    himself, and ordered defendant to approach him with his hands in the air. Roberts
    observed bandages on both of defendant’s hands. The bandages were “obvious” and he
    first noticed them from some 20 feet away. Roberts later observed a “pretty significant
    gouge . . .” to one of defendant’s thumbs. After placing defendant in his patrol car,
    Roberts and other law enforcement officers entered the house. When Roberts saw the
    victim, it was clear that she was dead.
    Defendant’s Interview Statement Describing the Killing 2
    Detectives Michael Lensing and Paul Hadjes interviewed defendant on the day of
    his arrest. Defendant stated that the victim had been having an affair, he had recently
    accepted the fact that she did not wish to reconcile with him, and she had told him that
    she wanted primary custody of the children. Defendant stated that, on a family trip to Las
    Vegas the previous weekend, he finally accepted that the couple would divorce. The
    victim “started to lay out . . . all the terms that she had wanted and . . . one of them was
    2 The two-hour interview between defendant and two detectives was video recorded. A
    substantial portion of the recording was played for the jury.
    4
    primary custody of the children and [she] wants to keep the children up here in—in this
    area, in the Cameron Park area because that’s where her boyfriend lives.”
    Defendant told the detectives he woke up at approximately 3:30 a.m. that morning
    to prepare to leave for work in Alameda County. He went into the victim’s bedroom, as
    they had been sleeping in separate bedrooms, and crawled into bed next to her, which,
    according to defendant, was “still . . . okay with her, no sexual relations . . . .” She was
    awake. Defendant told her that he would not agree to allow her to have full custody of
    the children. He told her, “I’m a—going to fight you on this.” According to defendant,
    the victim responded, “I can have my boyfriend get rid of you.” Defendant told the
    detectives the victim’s boyfriend was “a big gun collector . . . I don’t know if he’s
    dangerous or not but his ex-wife says that he is . . . .” Defendant said after the victim’s
    comment, he hit her with his fist on the right side of her face. She sat up with her back to
    him. Defendant rubbed her back and apologized. According to defendant, the victim
    then turned around and came at him “with a V of scissors.” Defendant said he “got a
    hold of them,” got his hand “into the V” and then they struggled over the scissors and fell
    off the bed. He said he took some cuts to his hands trying to get the scissors away from
    her, including the cut the detective noticed when he and the detective shook hands earlier.
    Defendant stated he “was able to get—em turned around onto her . . . ,” “[a]nd
    give her some—some jabs, a lot of jabs . . . .” He “was just striking for her face.” The
    couple engaged in a “long, long protracted struggle” over the scissors. According to
    defendant, the victim was “a very strong girl” and was in much better shape than he was.
    During the course of the struggle, she was injured, but “probably not seriously.”
    Defendant stated that he “poked her in the eye really hard 3 and got her to break free . . . .”
    He then dropped the scissors and ran to the garage.
    3 During his testimony at trial, he explained he poked the victim in the eye with his
    thumb.
    5
    In the garage, defendant became concerned about the children and felt that he
    needed to get his infant child out of the victim’s bedroom. Defendant put on a padded
    motorcycle jacket because it had pads “for like breaking down the door” and returned to
    the bedroom. As Lensing went over the events a second time, defendant said that, at this
    point, he was concerned that the victim may have been drinking, and he should not leave
    the children in the house.
    When defendant returned to the victim’s bedroom, the door was closed. He turned
    the doorknob, rushed into the room, tripped on something in the doorway, and fell down
    at the foot of the bed on all fours. The victim, who was sitting on the floor, kicked him in
    the face. Defendant became enraged, and he “went after her.” They began to struggle on
    the floor. Defendant “bear crawled up her,” and tried to choke her with both hands.
    According to defendant, the victim “end[ed] up with the scissors again in her hand.”
    Defendant said he “started to get the upper hand . . . ,” and eventually got control of the
    scissors and “went for her throat.” He struck her on the face and throat.
    Defendant told the detectives that the victim begged for her life, and repeatedly
    told him they could “resolve this.” She said they would not get a divorce, and she begged
    for her life and for defendant to “give [her] another chance.” She pleaded with him:
    “[d]on’t do this.” However, defendant told the detectives he “felt like if [he] g[a]ve her a
    chance she’ll be right back at [him] and [he] was exhausted.” According to defendant, he
    “pushed the scissors in as far as [he] could.” Defendant explained he “[j]ust tried to drive
    it deeper and deeper” into her throat. He said he was in a rage, but he also felt like he
    was in a “kill or be killed” situation. Defendant acknowledged that, at that point, he
    wanted the victim to die. He stated, “I just . . . went for the throat and then eventually her
    body went limp.” He said it took “a long time” before she went motionless.
    Defendant said he “just laid there on top of her for a long time to make sure she
    actually was (inaudible) but I (inaudible) for I don’t know how long, for a long time.” He
    estimated that he laid on top of her for five or ten minutes. He told the detectives that
    6
    approximately 30 minutes later, he tried to resuscitate her. He performed chest
    compressions, but “blood just flowed out of her,” “blood just squirted out, I mean big
    time, there was blood everywhere—um—she’s clearly dead.”
    Not wanting his children to “see their mom all bloody and see there’s blood
    everywhere,” defendant began to clean up the blood. After it became light and all three
    children were up, defendant got the children situated in another part of the house. He
    then went back to the victim’s bedroom and thought, “what do I do with all these
    cleaning supplies, this looks horrible.” Defendant threw the cleaning supplies into the
    fire in the fireplace. He stated he bandaged himself when he cleaned himself up. 4
    Thereafter, he called D.B. and told him: “[The victim’s] dead. We got in a—we
    got in a fight. She came at me with a pair of scissors but—um—I didn’t have to take it
    that far.” Defendant asked D.B. to call 911 while he brought the children to a neighbor’s
    house.
    Defendant told the detectives he should not have confronted the victim because
    she had “been spinning a little more and more out-of-control, whole lots of different . . .
    things indicated that . . . you know, a powder keg.” He said she had been binge drinking.
    He acknowledged that the victim had made up her mind about the divorce.
    However, when he mentioned getting an attorney, she said they should “leave the
    attorneys out of this” and go to mediation.
    He said when he went back into her room, his priority was getting the baby. He
    stated, “I want my children” and “I’m thinking get possession now . . . or I may never get
    possession.” He was thinking he would just grab his son and the two girls and leave.
    4  At trial, defendant testified that he cleaned and bandaged his hands before going to the
    J.s.
    7
    The Investigation and Autopsy
    Lensing had Deputies Palmberg and Massingale transport defendant to a medical
    center to have his blood drawn and to have his hands examined. Photographs showed
    injuries to defendant’s left cheek and nose, the backs of his hands, his left thumb, his
    palms, his left hand and index finger, and to his left thigh. Palmberg described defendant
    during this time as “[v]ery quiet. Kind of a stern look on his face. Really a lack of any
    type of real emotion.” Defendant was 5 feet 6 inches tall and weighed 230 pounds at the
    time of his arrest.
    Lensing returned to defendant’s house for a more detailed review of the scene.
    Based on blood stains, their location, blood flow on the victim’s body, spatter patterns,
    and the coagulation of the blood, Lensing concluded that the victim was seated in an
    upright position when she received the wound to her neck.
    Lensing looked throughout the house for a Toshiba computer that belonged to the
    victim. However, law enforcement never located it. Also, there was a hard drive missing
    from a computer at the house which was never located. A box labeled “Ashes of [name
    of defendant’s second wife]” was found in a bed stand in the master bedroom.
    Dr. Stephany Fiore, a forensic pathologist, performed the autopsy. The victim was
    5 feet 3 inches tall, and weighed 110 pounds. She sustained abrasions to her nose, face,
    and lips. She had bruising around her eye and an abrasion beginning above her eyebrow
    and extending onto her cheek. The bruising under the victim’s eye could have been
    caused by punching or similar direct trauma. A cluster of wounds on the victim’s left
    arm and hand were consistent with bite marks. The victim had some pinpoint
    hemorrhaging in her eye that could have resulted from neck compressions or
    strangulation. And she had a fractured rib on her left side, which could have been
    inflicted by a bear-type hug.
    The victim had multiple incised wounds which could have been caused by the
    blades of scissors. One such wound was partially gaping and extended from the edge of
    8
    her eyelashes down her cheek, exposing her cheekbone. Another, more shallow, incised
    wound extended from her eyelashes towards her ear.
    There was a small abrasion to the cheek and multiple similar injuries behind the
    ear, on her neck and in the area of the collar bone. Dr. Fiore opined that these wounds
    could have been caused by the tip of closed scissors.
    The victim also had several linear wounds crossing the front of her neck from one
    side to the other. These were consistent with something long being drawn across the skin
    of her neck. She described these wounds as being “like tracks,” “a pattern that’s being
    repeated on the neck.” Additionally, there was a stab wound to the victim’s lip that
    punctured through to the inside. The victim also had a “fairly deep” stab wound just
    above the buttocks.
    The victim had multiple incised and stabbing wounds to her hands, which Dr.
    Fiore described as defensive. There was a stab wound on the victim’s left hand between
    her thumb and index finger. As for her right hand, there were cuts across the joints of her
    index, middle, and ring fingers which, on two of those fingers, cut into, and in one case,
    through her tendons, causing the index and middle fingers to “go straight.” It was “like
    something was drawn across all those fingers at one time.” There were also separate
    “small pokes” to the palm of the right hand.
    Fiore also noted the victim had multiple abrasions and bruises to her knees. These
    wounds had the appearance “like she maybe had been on her knees, fell to her knees,
    moving around on her knees.”
    Fiore testified that the victim sustained a fatal stab wound to the right side of her
    neck. This wound was created by an object with two closed or overlapping blades, such
    as scissors, “being driven into the neck.” The wound was approximately an inch and a
    half deep, extending into her jugular vein.
    Fiore testified that death would not have been instantaneous. Rather, it would
    have taken several minutes, perhaps as many as ten, before the victim lost enough blood
    9
    to lose consciousness, and several more minutes, but less than a half an hour, before she
    died. At the time of her death, the victim’s blood alcohol level was 0.011 percent.
    Based on photographs of defendant’s hands, Fiore testified that, in addition to a
    number of superficial wounds, some of which she described as scratches, defendant
    sustained a deep wound to his left thumb with the tissue appearing to have been cut away.
    Fiore testified it looked “more kind of cut out” than a defensive wound. Defendant also
    had a stab wound to the palm of his right hand that could have been caused by scissors
    twisting into it. Additionally, he sustained a fairly deep linear wound to his left thigh.
    The Affair and the Victim’s Plans for Divorce
    D.E. was a pilot, and he had met the victim when she managed the Cameron Park
    Airport. J.W. lived with D.E. J.W. met the victim in September 2009; they worked
    together and then became friends. In June 2010, they began a romantic relationship. In
    2013, they planned to marry. J.W. testified the victim felt guilty about having an affair,
    particularly because her father was a pastor. She also knew it was not fair to defendant
    that she was having an affair, but she wanted to divorce him.
    At some point, the victim told J.W. that defendant was aware of the affair. In an
    October 2010 e-mail to J.W., the victim expressed concern that defendant was suspicious,
    and she told J.W. they had to “put it on ice for a while.”
    In another communication, the victim complained of how much money defendant
    spent, and wrote: “This is what scares me about [defendant]. He spends to the max, and
    so divorce is going to piss him off.” The victim noted that defendant made $200,000 or
    $280,000 annually and said, “[w]e are rich,” but followed that with: “Hahhahahaha. And
    I worry about getting offed over child support.” The victim further wrote: “[defendant]
    will definitely move on. He doesn’t care about me and what I do, just what affects him,
    his money.” On one occasion, J.W. asked the victim if defendant was abusive, and she
    responded, “I don’t bruise easily.” The victim also told J.W., D.E., and her brother on
    10
    separate occasions that defendant had raped her, and that was how she became pregnant
    with her third child.
    Je.W. met the victim when they were in college. In October 2011, Je.W., the
    victim, and two other friends went to Calistoga for a “girls’ weekend.” During a
    conversation that weekend, the victim started to cry. She said that her marriage was
    falling apart, and said that she needed advice and help. The victim stated that defendant
    was extremely controlling. He did not let her have money and she had been forced to ask
    friends for money for diapers and formula. Her house was in a state of disrepair and
    defendant would not give her money to fix it. The victim also stated defendant was
    extremely manipulative and good at “creating situations,” and she was afraid that he
    might manipulate things to make matters look bad for her. The victim also told her
    friends that she had not wanted a third child, but defendant “basically forced himself
    upon her.”
    Je.W., being a lawyer, advised the victim about the divorce process. The victim
    felt she needed to get her financial matters in order before she could move forward; she
    was worried that she would be left with nothing and with no way to support her three
    children. The victim also told Je.W. that she did not intend to take the children away
    from defendant or prevent him from being around the children. She hoped to come up
    with a solution that was fair, and she hoped to resolve the matter through a settlement
    agreement rather than through a contentious divorce process.
    Approximately three months before the victim was killed, she told D.E. she had
    discovered defendant had stopped making payments on the house, the cars, and the boat.
    The victim knew defendant was “keeping the money somewhere . . . ,” but she did not
    know why. She said this made her fear for her life.
    On November 9, 2011, the victim called Je.W. and indicated she was ready to
    move forward, and that things were happening that made her feel it was “time to do this.”
    The victim told Je.W. that defendant, who was in Amsterdam, was planning to fake a
    11
    nervous breakdown with his employer so that he could take medical leave. Je.W. sent the
    victim an e-mail directing her to a California courts website so that the victim could fill
    out the paperwork to start the divorce process.
    The victim began filling out divorce papers. She spent time at D.E.’s house filling
    out the forms on her laptop. In February 2012, the victim indicated that she was ready to
    file. However, she told J.W. defendant discovered the electronic document on her
    computer, and, according to J.W., either the document or the computer itself
    disappeared. 5 J.W. printed a copy of the forms so the victim could complete them by
    hand, and she started to do so.
    The victim’s father testified he learned that the victim was having an extramarital
    affair. He let her know he opposed it. Shortly before the victim’s death, defendant called
    the victim’s father, which was unusual. Defendant spoke to him “with this kind of high-
    pitched, almost fake voice, like a little child’s, saying ‘Daddy, what am I going to do?
    . . . the marriage is in trouble. What can I do? I’m desperate. I want to save my family.’
    ” Defendant told the victim’s father the victim was psychologically unstable, she was
    smoking, drinking, and losing weight. Defendant said the victim was having an affair
    and claimed she was “losing her mind.” Defendant also called the victim’s brother and
    told him she was having an affair, and that he had no one to talk to.
    The victim’s father saw no indication that the victim was binge drinking or having
    psychological problems. J.W. testified that the victim drank only moderately and that,
    between 2009 and her death, her drinking habits did not change. He did not detect
    alcohol on her breath, and did not think she was sneaking alcohol. J.W. testified that,
    during this time, the victim was losing weight and losing hair, but he thought it was from
    5 It is not clear from J.W.’s testimony whether it was the computer or the forms that
    disappeared. He testified: “when [defendant] came back when she was filling out the
    electronic divorce papers, he got ahold of the computer and it disappeared.”
    12
    stress. However, she did not talk about suicide or depression or anxiety or anything that
    caused J.W. to be concerned about her mental health. They were planning a future
    together.
    On February 5, 2012, J.W., who had been a Marine and who owned firearms, had
    just finished shooting target practice in his backyard when the victim’s vehicle pulled
    into his driveway. J.W. went out front and saw defendant and her father each holding
    one of the children “as human shields.” J.W. kept his nine-millimeter handgun under his
    coat because the victim had told him defendant “chased people down the street in the
    neighborhood with baseball bats and thr[ew] rocks at people.” J.W. did not know what to
    expect and did not want to take any chances. Defendant told J.W., “[the victim] and I are
    not divorced yet. I would appreciate if you wouldn’t see her anymore.” J.W. said,
    “Fine,” and the two men left. Thereafter, J.W. called the victim. 6
    The victim’s father testified that it was his idea to go talk to J.W. He
    acknowledged he and defendant brought one of the children “as kind of a safety shield
    from any violence.” According to the victim’s father, defendant was holding a child
    when he spoke with J.W.
    On February 26, 2012, the day before defendant killed the victim, she sent a text to
    J.W. saying that she had told defendant “to chill and not be so doomsdayers and dramatic
    about divorce. He keeps crying and pleading.” She also asked J.W. if she could come
    over to work on the divorce paperwork. She could not stay at home while defendant was
    there. She told J.W., “He keeps trying to talk me into staying and saying it’s all about
    you and I haven’t given him a chance . . . .”
    J.W. picked the victim up and brought her to the house he shared with D.E. The
    victim worked on the divorce paperwork and child support calculations. J.W. helped.
    6 There was no testimony about the conversation J.W. had with the victim after
    defendant and her father left.
    13
    J.W. testified that the California online support calculator indicated that, based on the
    information the victim provided, defendant would be required to pay approximately
    $7,800 per month. The victim asked if she could return the following morning to use
    D.E.’s fax machine to fax divorce papers to her attorney. D.E. agreed. The victim
    planned to leave defendant with her kids the next day, temporarily move in with J.W.,
    and file the divorce paperwork.
    J.W. repeatedly tried to get in touch with the victim the next morning. Eventually,
    D.E. called him and told him defendant had killed her. J.W. called the victim’s father
    who confirmed that defendant killed her.
    Defendant’s Characterization of the Victim as Unstable
    E.D. was defendant’s supervisor at work. He recalled that, approximately two
    weeks before the victim’s death, defendant was very depressed and he expressed concern
    for the victim. Defendant told E.D. that the victim was paralyzed with depression, and
    that defendant was trying to arrange for psychiatric care. Defendant also told E.D. that
    the victim had been drinking and was suffering from alcoholism. He stated that he was
    concerned about her ability to care for the children. Defendant told E.D. that he might
    need to take time off from work. On February 10, 2012, E.D. texted defendant that he
    hoped all was well “on the family front.” Defendant responded, “trying to get [the
    victim] stabilized. Hard. Outcome unknown.” In what E.D. thought was the last
    sequence of text messages he received from defendant, defendant texted E.D., “Very
    serious home situation. Out all week,” and “Sorry.” The next day, E.D. learned
    defendant had killed the victim.
    14
    The Death of Defendant’s Second Wife 7
    At 2:00 or 3:00 a.m. on the morning of September 26, 1999, W.D. and M.H. were
    camping in the Chattahoochee National Forest in Georgia and were awoken by someone
    calling, “Help. Help. Help. My wife is dead.” The two men walked towards a trail
    where they encountered defendant and two women. One of the women told W.D. they
    were afraid and did not want anything to do with the situation. W.D. said he would
    handle it and spoke with defendant. Defendant said he had been camping with his wife,
    he had been stung by a bee and had an allergic reaction, his wife was rushing him to the
    hospital while he lay in the back of a pickup truck, his wife lost control of the vehicle and
    he was ejected from it. W.D. testified defendant said “he came to because of the
    adrenaline from maybe the fire or something around had—had made the allergic reaction
    to the bee sting go away, and then he came down the mountain to our campsite.” 8
    W.D. thought defendant’s attire – boots and winter clothes including very thick
    pants and a jacket—was odd given that it was not below 60 degrees outside. M.H., who
    was wearing shorts, also took notice of how defendant was dressed. M.H. estimated that
    it was 70 degrees at the time.
    7 In part I. of the Discussion, post, we conclude that the trial court erred in admitting this
    evidence.
    8 On cross-examination, the defense sought to discredit the testimony concerning what
    defendant said caused the allergic reaction and where he was situated in the truck. M.H.
    initially testified defendant said he had been “stung by a bee or an ant or something or
    had an allergic reaction.” However, on cross-examination, M.H. said defendant “did not
    specify exactly what had bit him,” but only said he was bitten and was having an allergic
    reaction. W.D. acknowledged that the police report memorializing their statements (he
    and M.H. were interviewed together) did not mention that defendant told them he was in
    the bed of the truck. M.H. acknowledged he did not personally tell the deputy that
    defendant had said that. He said W.D. did.
    15
    W.D. stated that defendant initially seemed somewhat frantic, but as he related his
    story, he “went kind of very calm and just kind of going through this—this story.” W.D.
    characterized defendant’s demeanor as “maybe not . . . real legitimate concern or care.”
    M.H. testified that defendant was sobbing when he first entered their campsite, but
    to M.H., “it didn’t seem believable.” M.H. stated, “I don’t know if it was the adrenaline
    that he was going through and—it was just such a hard story to believe, that I just
    couldn’t fathom that something like that would happen. He just didn’t seem to be really
    genuine, like he didn’t convince me.”
    W.D. and M.H. then drove defendant back to the crash site, where they found a
    large area engulfed in flames. Upon their arrival, W.D, and M.H. ran down to the vehicle
    while defendant remained on the road. The flames were very high, and there was no way
    to get inside the vehicle. The whole truck was on fire. Defendant then asked the two
    men to take him back to his campsite, stating that perhaps his wife had walked back to
    the campsite after the wreck. When they did, defendant’s wife was not there. They
    remained there for approximately five minutes before returning to the crash site to meet
    first responders.
    W.D, did not observe any injuries on defendant and did not observe defendant
    limping. M.H. did not see any injuries on defendant or anything about defendant which
    would suggest that he needed medical attention.
    Deputy Ricardo Johnson responded to the scene of the crash at approximately 4:00
    a.m. He asked defendant if there was someone in the burning vehicle. Defendant
    responded that his wife was in or around the vehicle. Deputy Johnson recalled that
    defendant said he had been bitten by an insect and started having an allergic reaction and
    he and his wife were on their way to the hospital when the vehicle crashed. On direct
    examination, Deputy Johnson testified defendant first indicated he had been in the bed of
    the truck, but thereafter he “just stated he was in the truck.” However, on cross-
    examination, after being shown his written report, Deputy Johnson acknowledged he first
    16
    wrote “in the bed of” and crossed it out because he had made a mistake. Defendant had
    actually told him that he had been in the truck, not the bed of the truck. Defendant said
    he remembered waking up halfway down the mountain and seeing the vehicle on fire.
    Defendant then climbed up the mountain and went for help.
    Deputy Johnson asked defendant to show him the insect bite. Defendant changed
    the subject, stating that “his wife was down there. He didn’t have time to show [him] the
    bug bite or anything.” Deputy Johnson asked several times to see the insect bite, but
    defendant never did. He changed the subject each time Deputy Johnson asked. He also
    changed the subject when Deputy Johnson asked why he did not bring an EpiPen
    camping if he knew he was allergic to insect bites.
    Deputy Johnson asked defendant a number of questions “about what happened,
    how the car got down there, what were you doing when it went down there.” Instead of
    answering the questions, defendant repeated that his wife was down the hill in the truck.
    Deputy Johnson spoke with defendant for 20 or 30 minutes. He did not observe any
    injuries on defendant, and defendant did not complain of pain or ask for medical
    attention. Deputy Johnson also noted that defendant was “bundled up,” wearing a long
    sleeve shirt and “toboggan, long pants.” His attire was not seasonal for that time of year.
    Deputy Johnson characterized defendant’s demeanor as casual. He was not upset or
    crying; he was “just there.”
    When another deputy arrived, Deputy Johnson left defendant and rappelled down
    to the crash site. The truck was on its passenger side. Deputy Johnson discovered a
    badly charred body underneath the truck, near the bed.
    The responding deputies thought the circumstances were suspicious, so they called
    for an investigator. Detective Gerald Johnson, an investigator with the local Sheriff’s
    office, responded. Special Agent Mike Roberts from the Georgia Bureau of Investigation
    (GBI) also responded and took the lead in the investigation.
    17
    Detective Johnson and Agent Roberts together interviewed defendant at the
    Sheriff’s facility. Defendant stated that he and his wife had come to the camping location
    at approximately 3:00 p.m. the previous day, and, after a hike, they stayed at the campsite
    all night. Defendant had started having an allergic reaction to an insect bite including
    shortness of breath, swelling of his throat, and loss of muscle control. Detective Johnson
    remembered defendant describing prior anaphylactic episodes before addressing what
    happened to his wife. Defendant had experienced prior episodes that did not require
    medical intervention. Defendant said he forgot to bring his EpiPen on the camping trip.
    Defendant told the investigators he told his wife he needed help, and she helped
    him to the truck. Defendant lay down in the seat while his wife drove out of the
    campsite. According to defendant, his wife was frantic. After driving for approximately
    30 seconds, defendant felt the vehicle go off the road and roll. Defendant was not
    wearing a seat belt, and the next thing he knew, he awoke, the pickup truck was
    approximately 60 or 80 feet below him, and the surrounding woods were on fire.
    Defendant yelled for his wife and looked for her, thinking that she may have been thrown
    from the vehicle as well. After looking for approximately 20 minutes, defendant returned
    to the road and then to the campsite to see if she had found her way back, but she was not
    there. Defendant retrieved a gallon of water, went back to the crash site, and threw the
    water on the fire.
    Defendant told the investigators he left and found another campsite where he
    spoke to two women and asked them to call 911. They did not have a cell phone, but
    they drove him to a nearby campsite where he asked some men to call 911 and to take
    him back to the crash site. Eventually, the two women from the first campsite drove
    defendant back to the crash site. Defendant said he continued to look for his wife and
    was calling her name when help arrived.
    Defendant told the investigators that he and his wife were not having any financial
    problems or marital problems. To Detective Johnson, defendant “seemed very matter of
    18
    fact, almost distant to actually what we were there to investigate in the sense that it was
    almost like he was just telling a story . . . .” It seemed that defendant brought up many
    subjects “other than the actual death investigation.”
    Detective Johnson testified that, based on his experience, he would expect to see
    more injuries on defendant or more evidence consistent with someone having been
    involved in a rollover accident that resulted in a fatality. According to Detective
    Johnson, defendant only had minor injuries to his head and arm.
    Detective Johnson acknowledged on cross-examination that, notwithstanding
    inconsistencies which raised his suspicion, no one was arrested in connection with the
    death. Johnson told an insurance investigator no evidence was found to substantiate any
    theory other than that the incident was an accident.
    The road where the accident took place was a narrow, single lane dirt road with
    fresh gravel. W.D. testified that when he drove M.H. and defendant up the mountain to
    get to the crash site it took like what “seemed like . . . forever to get there.” It was only a
    mile and a half from the where they had met defendant. As W.D. explained, “[t]he roads
    are a little bit treacherous there.” He had a lot of experience on that road, and testified he
    was always very careful when travelling on it. 9 W.D. testified, “we went slowly up there.
    You couldn’t drive fast,” and noted that the speed limit is “maybe” 25 miles per hour.
    W.D. testified there are points in the road “where it just kind of falls a good long ways
    down” and told the jury “at high speeds, . . . the gravel . . . would cause you to have an
    accident.” Defendant’s campsite was about one to two miles past the crash site, near the
    end of the road.
    9 W.D. testified he was very familiar with the area because he went there “practically
    every other weekend.” He had experience travelling on that road in a car, on foot and on
    his mountain bike.
    19
    The second wife’s sister testified that she visited her sister approximately two
    weeks prior to her death. The second wife told her sister that defendant had been
    “hounding her to go on a camping trip,” but she did not want to go. She had also told her
    sister that she was hoping to perform well on an upcoming physical examination because
    they were increasing her life insurance policy. On cross-examination, the sister testified
    that she was aware that defendant had a history of allergic reactions.
    Prior to her death, the second wife told N.D., a coworker, that she and defendant
    were experiencing difficult financial times, and that defendant’s startup business
    produced little to no income. On one occasion, the second wife told N.D. that she had a
    doctor’s appointment in connection with a life insurance application. Approximately two
    weeks later, she left her job. Approximately two weeks after that, N.D. learned she was
    dead.
    Marilyn Meixner testified as an expert in forensic auditing. Meixner investigated
    the second wife’s USAA life insurance policy. Defendant applied for the policy in
    February 1999. The policy paid out on February 29, 2000, in the amount of $457,833.21,
    which included interest. Defendant and his wife had applied for a second life insurance
    policy, furnished by CIGNA, on August 19, 1999. The payout under the voluntary
    coverage was issued in January 2000, for $155,211.60, and the accidental death benefit of
    $553,753.75 paid out in March 2000. Thus, the total amount paid out on life insurance
    policies taken out on the life of defendant’s second wife was $1,166,798.56. With regard
    to the Winkler’s general financial status, Meixner testified that, on a monthly basis, their
    expenditures outpaced their income.
    Dr. Fiore reviewed the Georgia pathologist’s report prepared in connection with
    the second wife’s death, as well as photographs from the scene and autopsy. The report
    set forth the cause of death as soot and smoke inhalation and thermal burns. Fiore
    testified that the Georgia pathologist did “a fairly thorough job.” The Georgia pathologist
    concluded that the causes of death were accidental. Testing did not reveal the presence of
    20
    any volatile substances or accelerants. The pathologist also did not find any penetrating
    wounds such as stab wounds or gunshot wounds or other trauma that would have been
    masked by the burned nature of the body.
    Dr. Fiore stated that the body was not found in the vehicle or near the driver’s side
    of the car. Rather, the pickup truck was resting on the driver’s side, and the body was
    found on her back underneath the back end of the truck by the wheel well. 10 Dr. Fiore
    testified that there was nothing in the materials she reviewed that would establish where
    the second wife had been in the truck at the time of the crash, or even that she was in the
    cab of the truck as opposed to the truck bed. But Dr. Fiore also testified on recross-
    examination, “I don’t think that anybody staged that accident and put her underneath the
    truck and tipped it up on end. I don’t think that’s a reasonable scenario. [¶] I think the
    accident is a real – is a real thing. I just don’t know where she was to start with because
    she was ejected, and that’s true of any motor vehicle accident where somebody is ejected.
    It’s very difficult to tell where they were positioned at the time prior to the accident.” Dr.
    Fiore stated that there was “no evidence to support or refute,” asphyxiation and that it
    was simply unknown. According to Dr. Fiore, the toxicological testing was not the most
    comprehensive, “but for what they looked at at that time, they didn’t find any drugs or
    alcohol in her system.” Dr. Fiore concluded on redirect examination that it was fair to
    say that “there’s a lot that’s just unknown.”
    Dr. Travis Miller, a physician specializing in allergies, testified that he had been
    practicing since 2006. 11 He consulted colleagues who were experts regarding issues
    10Dr. Fiore’s testimony that the truck was resting on the driver’s side conflicted with
    Deputy Johnson’s testimony that the truck was found on its passenger side.
    11  Dr. Miller received his undergraduate degree, went to medical school, and completed
    his medical training in California. He did not testify that he had any experience with
    allergies or allergic reactions related to the Georgia woods where the crash took place.
    21
    relating to anaphylactic shock and epinephrine. Dr. Miller testified that it was difficult to
    say whether a person experiencing an anaphylactic reaction could recover without
    treatment. He clarified, “If it’s truly anaphylaxis and you have a combination of two
    symptoms, I guess, theoretically, it’s possible that someone could.” He continued, “with
    the lower grades of allergic reactions, some people we know, by experience, that do
    experience symptoms don’t administer epinephrine and can live through the event.”
    However, with higher grades of anaphylaxis, it would be unlikely for the person to
    survive without treatment. Presented with a hypothetical scenario where a patient
    suffering an allergic reaction presented with shortness of breath, swelling in the throat,
    loss of muscle control, feeling woozy, and loss of vision, Miller testified that he would
    not expect the person to recover without epinephrine or other treatment. Miller testified
    that he had never seen a patient recover from similar symptoms without intervention, but
    noted the “caveat” that when he sees a person in that condition, he administers
    epinephrine. Miller also testified that he had never seen nor heard of a situation where
    someone had an allergic reaction to an insect bite which was sufficient to render them
    capable only of crawling to their car to try to get to a hospital, yet, one hour later, that
    person had no signs of any bite.
    Defendant’s Statements about the Second Wife’s Death and Her Ashes
    J.W. recalled the victim telling him that defendant’s second wife died when they
    were driving in Georgia. She told J.W. a bee flew in the vehicle and stung defendant, he
    lost control of the vehicle and was thrown from it, and the vehicle crashed and burned.
    J.W. also recalled the victim telling him that defendant “walked away without a scratch,”
    and that he received a $630,000 life insurance payment. The victim’s father also recalled
    her telling him that the second wife had been killed when the car she was in went over a
    cliff, “and that [defendant] escaped pretty much unscathed.”
    E.D., defendant’s supervisor, recalled defendant telling him that his second wife
    had died in a car crash. Defendant told E.D. that he had been stuck in the car and
    22
    unconscious and there was a fire. Defendant regained consciousness and was able to get
    out of the car, but his second wife did not make it. E.D. did not recall defendant telling
    him anything about having been bitten.
    The victim told several people, including her father, Je.W., J.W., and D.E. that, at
    some point, she found the second wife’s ashes in a box in the garage. According to the
    victim’s father they were “next to some greasy airplane parts on the shelf . . . .” In each
    account, the victim shared an exchange she had with defendant upon finding the ashes
    and asking defendant if that “what’s going to happen to me someday” or words to that
    effect. She told her father defendant replied, “No. Just don’t make me—not if you don’t
    make me angry.” She told Je.W. defendant responded by saying something like, “[i]f you
    don’t get out of line, then you won’t.” She told J.W. defendant responded, “You’re not
    going to get in my way, are you?” She told D.E. defendant responded, “Not if you watch
    yourself.” The victim said defendant’s response made her feel nervous and afraid.
    Three days to a week before the victim was killed, she told D.E. she intended to
    seek a restraining order against defendant. When D.E. asked why, she responded that
    defendant had told her in the preceding week, “If you divorce me, you’ll wind up like my
    second wife.”
    Additional Incidents Causing the Victim to Fear Defendant 12
    The victim’s brother testified that, on one occasion when he went out with his
    girlfriend, defendant, and the victim, defendant described a time when he got what he felt
    to be a bad deal on an airplane which he felt put his life in danger. Defendant
    demonstrated what he wanted to do to the person involved in that transaction by grabbing
    the victim around her neck and shaking her violently. Defendant released her, betraying
    12 As will be discussed in an unpublished portion of this opinion, part II. of the
    Discussion, the defense moved in limine to exclude some of the victim’s statements
    evincing her fear of defendant, but did not object to all of this evidence.
    23
    no awareness that he had hurt her, and then went to the bathroom. When defendant left,
    the victim began to cry.
    E.D. recalled attending a conference with defendant in Amsterdam in 2011 where
    defendant was scheduled to make a presentation to 300 to 400 people. E.D. reviewed
    defendant’s plans for the presentation several days prior to traveling to Amsterdam and
    told him that the presentation needed to be more limited. On the Sunday night before the
    conference was to begin, another employee brought E.D. to defendant’s hotel room
    where defendant had been found by a maid incapacitated or paralyzed. Defendant was
    taken to the hospital, and E.D. gave the presentation. The victim told J.W. and her father
    that defendant staged this incident.
    The victim also told J.W. and her father that defendant was considering staging an
    accident in which he would dive out of his Mustang at the last minute and the car would
    be destroyed. Defendant intended to sue his employer, claiming that the lawsuit would
    be worth $23 million because he was working 20 hours a day, six days a week at that
    time.
    The victim told Je.W. and her other friends during the girls’ weekend that, on one
    occasion when she was on vacation, a man hit on her, and defendant “beat that person to
    a bloody pulp and left them there, and she wasn’t sure if they were alive or dead.” J.W.
    testified that, according to the victim, during her honeymoon in Bali, defendant assaulted
    a tour guide who had “goosed” the victim. The victim said defendant beat the man and
    may have killed him.
    J.W. also testified that the victim told him she and defendant were on their
    honeymoon in Australia scuba diving at night in 60 feet of water. Defendant, who had
    the only light, left. The victim was left disoriented and frightened, and this experience
    made her afraid of defendant. The victim told her father a similar story, where she said
    she had to swim for her life to get back to the boat.
    24
    The victim also told J.W. that, while she was riding on the back of a motorcycle
    with defendant in New Mexico, defendant tried to throw her off. She said defendant
    accelerated and she nearly fell off.
    When they first began their romantic relationship, the victim told J.W., “[i]f
    anything happens to me, I want you to look at” defendant.
    Defendant’s Evidence
    Prior Allergic Reactions
    M.Hd. attended the Air Force academy with defendant, and after graduation they
    were both stationed in Texas. M.Hd. was boating with defendant when defendant was
    bitten by an insect. Defendant began sweating profusely, complained of dizziness, and
    grew incoherent. Defendant laid down on the boat while M.Hd. navigated to shore.
    M.Hd. had to assist defendant to the truck because he was wobbly on his feet. He turned
    on the truck’s air conditioning and got defendant some ice and cold water. Defendant did
    not want to go to the hospital and stated he just wanted to go home. As defendant cooled
    off in the truck, drank water, and iced the insect bites, his condition improved. The next
    day, defendant was fine.
    Defendant’s Injuries after the Crash
    Regarding the crash involving defendant’s second wife, Dr. Albert DiVittorio
    testified that defendant’s injuries were consistent with being thrown out of a vehicle and
    within the range of what one could expect. DiVittorio emphasized the sloping nature of
    the topography and the brush in the area which would have gradually slowed defendant
    down.
    Defendant’s Testimony
    Defendant testified he attended the United States Air Force Academy, and became
    an F-16 fighter pilot. He married his second wife while he was stationed in Florida, and
    was later reassigned to Japan.
    25
    While stationed in Japan, defendant developed carpal tunnel syndrome which
    prevented him from flying. Defendant was angry and frustrated as a result of this
    setback. Approximately three months later, he was called into his commanding officer’s
    office and informed that he had been filmed shoplifting at a base store in Korea where he
    had been two days earlier. Defendant had an angry, emotional outburst. He testified that,
    prior to being confronted about the incident, he had no recollection of walking out of the
    store without paying for items. This is an example of what defendant described as his
    occasional instances of amnesia. As a result of this incident, defendant was hospitalized
    and treated by psychiatrists for three or four months in Hawaii. Defendant spent another
    four months in treatment in the Washington D.C. area. He was honorably discharged and
    he and his second wife returned to Florida.
    Thereafter, defendant and his second wife moved to Georgia, and defendant
    started his own business. They were planning to have a family.
    Defendant testified that he had experienced symptoms of an allergic reaction on
    the boat as described by M.Hd. Following that episode, defendant recovered after
    resting, and he was not treated by a doctor or in a hospital. On another occasion,
    defendant was in his front yard in Tampa when he began to feel nauseous and sat down.
    Defendant looked down and saw ants on his ankle. After removing the ants, the nausea
    increased and defendant began to experience tightening of the throat and difficulty
    breathing. Thereafter, he walked into the house and collapsed. He crawled into the
    kitchen, and his second wife called 911. Defendant was transported to the hospital and
    treated by EMTs on the way. A physician prescribed defendant an EpiPen. Defendant
    had another allergic reaction while at his home in Georgia.
    Defendant testified that he and his second wife enjoyed outdoor activities
    including hiking, camping, and skiing, both in Japan and in Georgia. Contrary to the
    testimony of her sister, the second wife did want to go on the camping trip.
    26
    On the first night of the camping trip, his wife invited Ranger David Shattock to
    eat dinner with them, but he declined. Later, after they went to sleep, defendant woke up
    and left the tent to urinate. After he returned, he felt the symptoms of an allergic
    reaction, including shortness of breath, tightness of the throat, and weakness. Defendant
    woke up his wife and alerted her to his condition. She assisted him in getting into the
    passenger seat of the truck, and he reclined. She then drove to the road.
    At some point, defendant felt the truck beginning to roll over. The next he knew,
    he was lying on the ground in the midst of a fire. Defendant could see the truck in the
    fire and realized that he had been in an accident. He feared his wife might be in the fire,
    but he also thought it possible that she, too, was ejected from the vehicle. He began to
    search the area and tried try to get near the truck to locate her. He could not see whether
    she was in the truck, as it was engulfed in flames. He testified that he spent
    approximately 20 minutes searching the area, and then he went up to the road.
    Thinking that his second wife may have made it out of the truck and returned to
    the campsite, defendant went there, but she was not there. Defendant grabbed a jug of
    water from the campsite, returned to the fire, and tossed the water on the fire as a
    “nonsensical effort at fire fighting.” Because he did not have a cell phone, defendant
    went to look for help.
    Defendant went downhill toward other campsites and came upon the campsite of
    two women. Defendant yelled that there had been an accident and said he thought his
    wife was dead. The women did not have a phone, so they had defendant ride in the back
    of their truck and drove to another campsite. Defendant approached W.D, and M.H.’s
    campsite, yelling that his wife was dead, he needed help, and asking them to call 911,
    which one of them did. Defendant began to walk back to the site of the accident.
    According to defendant, the two women gave defendant a ride back to the accident site,
    and W.D, and M.H. followed in their vehicle.
    27
    Defendant and one of the men searched the area for 15 to 20 minutes. Defendant
    could not get closer than 100 feet from the vehicle. He decided to check their campsite
    again, so he went there, accompanied by W.D. and M.H. She was not there, so they
    returned to the crash site.
    As defendant arrived back at the scene of the crash, law enforcement and
    firefighters were arriving. Other than W.D, and M.H., the only people defendant had
    contact with at the scene were the two deputies. Deputy Johnson informed defendant that
    he had seen his wife’s body.
    Defendant testified that, when Deputy Johnson asked to see the bug bite,
    defendant responded that he did not know where it was. He said he did not know what
    caused his allergic reaction.
    Agent Roberts later interviewed defendant for 30 to 45 minutes. Defendant
    showed Roberts his injuries, including his swollen hand, scrapes on his forearm, his knee,
    and a contusion and scrape on his forehead. Defendant’s jacket was torn. During the
    interview, defendant was asked where he was bitten, and he again responded that he did
    not know. Defendant said he never determined the cause of his allergic reaction.
    Defendant denied that he was wearing boots, heavy pants, a heavy jacket, and a
    stocking cap when he encountered W.D. and M.H. He said he was wearing a T-shirt, a
    medium-weight jacket, and cargo pants.
    Defendant denied killing his second wife. He also denied that any medical
    appointment she attended in the weeks prior to her death was for purposes of obtaining
    life insurance. There was only one life insurance policy which required a medical
    examination, and that had been completed in November or December 1998.
    Defendant later relocated to the Bay Area. He met the victim in July 2005, and
    they married three weeks later. Defendant’s company relocated him to Australia where
    they remained for 13 months.
    28
    Defendant acknowledged he kept some of his second wife’s ashes in a box in his
    nightstand. He testified he never stored the ashes in the garage. According to defendant,
    the victim did confront him about the ashes. She asked defendant why the ashes were in
    the bedroom, and defendant replied that he thought it was an okay place to keep them.
    He testified the victim never asked him if she was going to end up like that, and he never
    told her that she would if she did not do as he said.
    Defendant denied that his baby son was conceived as a result of him raping the
    victim.
    He testified that, in 2010, he first began to suspect that the victim and J.W. were
    involved in a relationship. Sometime thereafter, defendant received a telephone call from
    J.W.’s wife. She told defendant that J.W. and the victim were having an affair, that J.W.
    was dangerous, and that defendant should be careful. She told defendant that J.W.
    possessed “an arsenal of weapons . . . .” and that he was no longer able to work in
    corrections because he had a violent altercation while employed in law enforcement. The
    victim confirmed to defendant that J.W. owned guns and that he had a violent altercation
    while in law enforcement. She also confirmed the affair and how long it had been going
    on.
    On the suggestion of the victim’s father, defendant and the father went to J.W.’s
    house to confront him and tell him to “lay[] off.” Defendant acknowledged that he was
    holding one of his children when he did so, but denied holding her as a human shield.
    The father was holding defendant’s son.
    According to defendant, after he confronted J.W., the victim seemed more
    amenable to, even eager for, reconciliation. Defendant and the victim formed a tentative
    plan to move to the city where her father lived. They viewed some rental properties
    there. Ultimately, the plan did not come to fruition, as the victim and J.W. resumed their
    relationship.
    29
    Defendant testified that he and the victim were not sexually intimate in the month
    of February 2012. This corresponded with the resumption of her relationship with J.W.
    According to defendant, the victim changed dramatically that month.
    In December 2011, the victim had told defendant she planned to leave, but she
    stated that defendant could keep the children. Therefore, as of February 26 or 27, 2012,
    defendant believed that, in the event he and the victim separated, custody of the children
    would be resolved amicably and fairly.
    Defendant testified that, as of February 2012, the victim was “lashing out, and
    confrontational and combative.” She started smoking cigarettes and started “doing a little
    bit of day drinking, not much, but some day drinking.” While the victim previously had
    been a capable mother, in the month of February, when defendant would come home on
    Fridays, he would find her “highly inebriated with the kids in the house.” She also
    stopped taking the children to their social activities, and she stopped breast feeding the
    baby. She told defendant that she did not even want the children, which was shocking to
    defendant. She also stopped engaging in her own social activities.
    On the night of February 26, 2012, the victim came home and told defendant she
    intended to have the children 100 percent of the time, and defendant would only be
    allowed to visit them. Previously, they seemed to agree they would share equal custody
    of the children.
    Defendant got up at approximately 3:00 a.m. the following morning to go to work.
    Later, he went into the victim’s bedroom. Defendant got in bed with her. He told her
    that her having the children 100 percent of the time was unacceptable. According to
    defendant, the victim responded, “I’ll get [J.W.] to come over here and take care of you.”
    Defendant perceived this as a death threat. Defendant testified, “I knew she was spinning
    out of control, but I didn’t know it had gotten to this point.”
    Defendant hit the victim with a partially closed fist on the left side of her face.
    The victim sat up and turned away from defendant with her feet on the floor, and
    30
    defendant started to rub her back and apologized. The victim turned around and lunged
    at defendant with scissors with the blades open. She thrust the scissors at defendant, and
    defendant put his hand up between the blades to block them. Defendant and the victim
    wrestled, each attempting to control the scissors. He felt endangered. He testified he
    sustained injuries to his hands, and the victim sustained cuts from the scissors on her
    chest and face. He poked the victim’s left eye with his thumb, she bit his hand, and
    defendant fled the room and ran to the garage.
    In the garage, defendant thought “maybe leaving this situation isn’t the best.
    Maybe I need to get the children out of here.” Because of the victim’s purported binge
    drinking and the fact that she just attacked him with scissors, defendant decided to collect
    the children and remove them from the house because they were not safe there. Their son
    was in his crib in the victim’s bedroom, and defendant testified he thought it urgent to get
    him away from her. Defendant was particularly worried about his son and believed he
    was in danger because the victim had a “weird” relationship with him as he was the result
    of an unwanted pregnancy. On cross-examination, defendant testified he thought it was
    possible that the victim was capable of killing their son. However, he also acknowledged
    that she had never shown aggression towards the children and had never harmed them.
    He also acknowledged that he did not call 911 after he left the room.
    Defendant ran back to the bedroom where he saw that the door was closed. He
    thought the victim might be on the other side of the door, holding it closed. He returned
    to the garage and put on his motorcycle jacket because it had crash padding and would
    protect him if he broke the door in as well as against scissor attacks.
    Defendant again returned to the bedroom, turned the doorknob, and put his
    shoulder into the door. He fell into the room onto the floor and landed at the victim’s feet
    where she was seated on the floor with her legs in front of her. He testified that the
    victim kicked him in the head. Defendant said he “crawled up [her] body . . . ,” and she
    began to fight back. He testified he felt a sharp pain below his waist, and later discovered
    31
    that he had been cut on his left thigh. Defendant said he grabbed the victim by the throat
    and then noticed she was holding the scissors. He testified they struggled over the
    scissors again as they rolled around on the floor.
    Defendant turned the scissors toward the victim and jabbed at her face and chest.
    According to defendant, the victim then got control of the scissors, and he grew
    concerned that he “might not win this battle.” He felt as though they struggled for 20
    minutes, although he testified that the struggle probably lasted only four to five minutes.
    He testified he was exhausted and had no energy remaining. He felt that he was in a “kill
    or be killed” situation.
    Unable to use his right arm and right hand, defendant testified he bit the victim’s
    arm. Defendant slid his head up the victim’s arm and bit the back of her left hand. With
    his left hand, defendant overpowered the victim’s right hand. Defendant then pushed the
    scissors into the left side of her neck. As this began to happen, the victim told defendant
    that she wanted to resolve everything, that she was willing to reconcile and that she
    wanted to remain together. Defendant did not respond because he could not speak. He
    did not stop struggling, because he believed that if she gained the upper hand, she would
    kill him. He believed that if he did not kill her, she would have obtained control over the
    scissors and he would not have the ability to defend himself. Defendant pushed the
    scissors into the victim’s neck, killing her. He then lay on top of the victim for what felt
    like a long time. Thereafter, he pushed himself off of her and cried.
    On cross-examination, defendant acknowledged that the victim had begged for her
    life, and, at that point, he wanted her to die. Defendant agreed that he told law
    enforcement that he did not have to “take it that far,” although on redirect, he testified he
    meant he “should have had the strength to disable her and get the child and get out of the
    room without having it erode or degrade into a life-or-death situation.”
    Defendant acknowledged that he did not tell law enforcement he was unable to
    move his right hand and arm during the incident. He also acknowledged that he told law
    32
    enforcement he pushed the scissors into the victim’s neck with his left hand while pulling
    her in with his right hand.
    He admitted the victim was not a violent person. He also acknowledged she had
    never threatened him or anyone else.
    Defendant admitted that, after killing the victim, he did not call police right away,
    but instead “start[ed] processing what’s happened.” He burned a bottle of cleaner, rubber
    gloves, a scrub brush, and paper towels. On redirect, defendant testified that he did that
    because he realized it looked bad, as though he was trying to manipulate the crime scene.
    He said six and a half hours passed between defendant killing the victim and calling D.B.
    At some point after killing the victim, defendant sent a text message to E.D.,
    stating, “Very serious home situation. Out all week. Sorry.” He testified he sent this
    message “as a professional courtesy” to let E.D. know that he would not be at work.
    Defendant claimed he cleaned and bandaged his hands before going to the J.s.
    He testified that the victim handled household finances, and he did not prevent her
    from accessing or using any funds. She never complained she did not have enough
    money for her needs and the needs of the children. There was only a $25,000 policy on
    her life.
    Defendant denied that any incident occurred on their honeymoon where he nearly
    beat a man to death for acting inappropriately toward the victim. Although she did ride
    on the back of his motorcycle on numerous occasions, defendant did not recall an
    incident where she nearly fell off. Defendant also denied chasing a contractor down the
    street while holding a baseball bat. He testified he did not recall the incident described
    by the victim’s brother, in which defendant purportedly described being cheated on an
    airplane deal and grabbed the victim by the throat.
    Regarding the Amsterdam trip, defendant testified that he was to deliver a major
    presentation. However, once he arrived in Amsterdam, he was directed by executives,
    who did not have a full understanding of the presentation, to reconfigure it. Defendant
    33
    worked on revising the presentation for 72 hours straight until he collapsed in his hotel
    room. He was taken to a hospital where he was treated over six days for psychosomatic
    disorder. Defendant experienced paralysis of his limbs and inability to speak. He denied
    this episode was a scam or was perpetrated to defraud his company, or that he told
    anyone as much. However, defendant acknowledged on cross-examination that, when
    paramedics arrived, his vital signs were fine.
    Defendant also denied planning a scheme to obtain money from his company by
    staging an automobile accident. However, based on how he felt he was mistreated in
    connection with the presentation, defendant did tell the victim that he wanted to file a
    lawsuit. Ultimately, he decided not to pursue the matter.
    Defendant testified that, when he worked for a previous employer, he was having
    inappropriate verbal outbursts with other employees and he was being reprimanded for
    his conduct. He was told to attend anger management classes, although he did not do so.
    He pretended to have cancer so that he could work from home and avoid these situations.
    Defendant used the same ruse when he later worked for E.D. Defendant testified he had
    discovered the affair between the victim and J.W., and he could not be in the office in his
    emotional state.
    On cross-examination, defendant testified that, although he had lied in the past, he
    was not lying in his testimony. He testified that J.W. was not truthful about some things
    in his testimony. D.E. and the victim’s father were “untruthful about some things,” and
    the victim’s brother, E.D., Deputy Johnson, Detective Johnson, W.D., M.H., and N.D.
    were all “[l]ess than truthful.” According to defendant, the J.s were “as truthful as [they]
    could be” There were aspects of his second wife’s sister’s testimony with which he
    disagreed. He testified that the victim lied. But, again, defendant testified that he told the
    truth about everything.
    34
    Expert Testimony Concerning Defendant’s Mental Heath
    Dr. Frank Lossy, a psychiatrist, psychoanalyst, and forensic psychiatrist, testified
    as an expert. Lossy reviewed investigative reports and other materials, including
    defendant’s military records, records from defendant’s hospitalization in Amsterdam, and
    defendant’s interview with police. Lossy also interviewed defendant on three occasions.
    Lossy testified that the medical personnel who prepared defendant’s military
    records in connection with his psychological treatment concluded that defendant suffered
    from a dissociative disorder, or a state of mind which is dissociated from the subject’s
    normal state of mind. Such a state can cause the subject to experience amnesia. In
    defendant’s case, the diagnosis of dissociative disorder was supported by a period of
    amnesia with no physical pathology in the brain or central nervous system to account for
    it.
    With regard to the Amsterdam incident, Dr, Lossy testified that defendant
    experienced outrage at the developments concerning the presentation. Lossy opined that,
    when defendant was admitted into the hospital in Amsterdam, he was suffering from
    conversion disorder, by which the subject copes with a situation he or she deems
    unacceptable by developing an abnormality of the motor or sensory apparatus. The
    physical symptom is not caused by any physical pathology, but is purely a mental
    phenomenon. According to Dr. Lossy, defendant’s condition resulted from an inner
    conflict about anger.
    Dr. Lossy’s opinion was that, at the time of defendant’s struggle with the victim
    resulting in her death, defendant was suffering from elements of both a dissociative
    disorder and a conversion disorder. He opined that defendant’s mental disorder could
    have been a factor in causing defendant to act the way he did which resulted in the killing
    of the victim. Dr. Lossy further opined that defendant’s mental disorder could explain
    defendant’s conduct between the victim’s death and when police were contacted.
    35
    Stipulations
    The parties stipulated that, if called, Dr. Frederick Hellman would testify that “it is
    possible to have an allergic reaction to a bug bite or something breathed and recover
    without treatment. This is referring to common allergies. [¶] In answering the question
    as to whether someone can recover from anaphylactic shock without treatment, he would
    say he would not be . . . able to answer that question without first doing some research on
    the issue.”
    In another stipulation, the parties stipulated that Ranger David Shattock stated,
    “On Saturday evening, 9-25-99, I went by the campsite of [the Winklers]. I talked briefly
    with the Winklers from my pickup truck. Ms. Winkler asked . . . me to come down and
    have some sausage, that she was cooking with them. I did not go eat with the Winklers.
    Everything seemed fine with the Winklers when I left them.”
    The parties agreed that, during the interview with Detective Johnson and Agent
    Roberts in 1999, defendant “ ‘was emotional and had injuries to his left knee. His left
    hand was swollen and hurting. His jacket was torn at the right shoulder. His forehead
    was scraped and bruised. There was a large scrape and bruise along the right forearm up
    to the wrist area.’ ”
    Verdict and Sentence
    The jury found defendant guilty of murder in the first degree. (§§ 187, 189.) The
    jury also found true the personal use of a deadly weapon enhancement allegation.
    (§ 12022, subd. (b)(1).)
    The trial court sentenced defendant to 26 years to life, calculated as follows: 25
    years to life for murder in the first degree (§§ 187, 189), and a consecutive one-year term
    for the personal use of a deadly weapon enhancement (§ 12022, subd. (b)(1)).
    36
    DISCUSSION
    I. Evidence Concerning the Second Wife’s Death –
    Evidence Code section 1101, subdivision (b)
    A. Defendant’s Contentions
    Defendant asserts that the trial court erred in admitting evidence of the 1999
    uncharged death of his second wife under Evidence Code section 1101, subdivision (b)
    (section 1101(b)) as evidence proving his intent to kill the victim here, absence of
    mistake or accident, and to negate self-defense. He asserts that the uncharged death of
    his second wife had no tendency to prove his intent to kill the victim. He further asserts
    that the prosecution “conjured up” a murder where there was no evidence that he turned
    the steering wheel or struck his wife, causing the vehicle to go over the embankment as
    the prosecution speculated. He contends that the grounds on which the prosecutor relied
    in the trial court in arguing the admissibility of the evidence, such as witnesses’
    conclusions that “there was something that wasn’t right,” and that “[n]othing made
    sense,” amounted to pure speculation. He emphasizes that the 1999 incident was ruled an
    accident by the Georgia authorities and no charges were filed. He also asserts there were
    no similarities between the death of his second wife and the charged offense substantial
    enough to have any significant probative value. He acknowledges the similarities upon
    which the trial court relied, but argues they are without significance.
    Defendant further asserts that even if this evidence was relevant, it should have
    been excluded pursuant to Evidence Code section 352 (section 352), because whatever
    probative value it had was substantially outweighed by the probability that its admission
    would create a substantial danger of undue prejudice, of confusing the issues, and of
    misleading the jury. He also asserts that the error in admitting this evidence violated his
    right to due process and was prejudicial, in that he was essentially forced to defend
    himself against a second murder.
    37
    We agree with defendant that the trial court abused its discretion in admitting the
    evidence pertaining to the second wife’s death. However, we further conclude that based
    on the admissible evidence, defendant was not prejudiced by this error.
    B. Additional Background
    1. The Prosecution’s Motion
    In a pretrial motion, the prosecution argued the evidence was admissible to prove
    defendant’s intent to kill, contending that defendant had placed his intent to kill at issue
    by claiming he killed the victim in self-defense. The prosecution asserted that the death
    of his second wife and this case bore the following similarities: the decedent was married
    to defendant; defendant offered innocent explanations in each case; defendant walked
    away from each incident essentially unharmed despite the underlying violence involved;
    both killings were preceded by financial hardship; and defendant stood to benefit
    financially as a result of both killings. According to the prosecution, these similarities
    satisfied the threshold of the “least degree of similarity” necessary for the introduction of
    uncharged misconduct evidence to prove intent. (People v. Ewoldt (1994) 
    7 Cal. 4th 380
    ,
    402 (Ewoldt).) The prosecution also asserted this evidence was admissible to prove
    absence of mistake. As a separate theory, the prosecution asserted that the evidence was
    admissible under the doctrine of chances, which holds that the more often one does
    something, the more likely that doing so was intended. 13
    The prosecution further asserted that section 352 did not bar the admission of this
    evidence. It argued its probative value was not substantially outweighed by the
    13 The prosecution did not argue that the evidence of the second wife’s death was
    admissible to show the absence of accident related to the charged crime. The trial court,
    nevertheless, included that theory in its instruction about how the jury could use the
    uncharged act evidence. While defendant’s claim of self-defense could entail the concept
    of mistake (mistake in the need to defend or to use the level of force used), we do not see
    how the defense of accident applies here. However, defendant makes no specific
    contention as to this matter, and accordingly, we shall not discuss it further.
    38
    probability that the admission of the evidence would necessitate an undue consumption of
    time, or create a substantial danger of undue prejudice, of confusing the issues, or of
    misleading the jury. The prosecution argued the evidence had additional probative value
    because it was “cross-admissible,” in that it related to the statements defendant made to
    the victim when she asked about the second wife’s ashes and that defendant was planning
    to stage a vehicle accident. Additionally, the prosecution argued “the circumstances of
    both wives’ death show an overall pattern of deceit and lies by defendant.”
    In opposing the motion, defendant maintained he did not commit the prior act
    alleged to be uncharged misconduct. He marshaled evidence from law enforcement and
    insurance investigation reports, and asserted that the evidence demonstrated the death of
    his second wife was an accident. An insurance investigation report submitted to the trial
    court as part of defendant’s opposition stated: “An extensive interview was conducted
    with the GBI special agent who has also advised that they have received no information
    which is contrary to what the beneficiary has reports [sic]. The GBI agent also advised
    he felt that this situation was nothing more than an unfortunate accident.” The report
    from a second insurance company indicated the GBI agent said they could not disprove
    anything defendant told them and there were no signs of foul play nor evidence indicating
    defendant was responsible for his second wife’s death. Based on the evidence, the GBI
    agent told the second insurance company’s investigator, “it just appears to be a sad and
    tragic accident, with no foul play involved.” A GBI arson investigator also ruled out
    “foul play.”
    The defense also proffered information from the Georgia pathologist, who stated
    he found “no evidence of foul play.” Additionally, the pathologist stated, “It is possible
    to have an allergic reaction to a bite or something breathed and recover without
    treatment.” He added that a person could have an allergic reaction to various plants in
    the woods, and allergic reactions to insects and plants in the area are not uncommon.
    39
    Defendant also proffered documents and photographs indicating that the injuries
    he suffered were not inconsistent with his description of what happened, disputing the
    prosecutor’s representations that he walked away from the incident “unscathed.” The
    GBI agent noted one of defendant’s knees was swollen twice the normal size and he had
    scrapes along his arms. The injury to his left arm was described as a “large scrape” and
    bruise. His left hand was also swollen. His forehead was also scraped and bruised.
    None of the reports or proffers of evidence before the court indicated defendant’s injuries
    were inconsistent with his description of what happened.
    The GBI investigative report noted the mountain road on which defendant and his
    second wife had been travelling was a narrow, single-lane road with ravines on the edge.
    The GBI agent told insurance investigators that the mountain road was “extremely slick.”
    Addressing similarity, defendant asserted that the accidental death bore no
    similarities to the instant case beyond the fact that he was married to both decedents. He
    argued that admission of evidence based on the doctrine of chances depends on the
    existence of prior similar acts as a “foundation for a probability based calculation.” He
    asserted that, because there was no prior similar act here, the evidence of his second
    wife’s death was inadmissible.
    Finally, defendant asserted that the evidence should be excluded under section
    352. He argued this evidence would essentially entail a second murder trial, which would
    give rise to undue consumption of time, including testimony by accident reconstruction
    experts, road engineers, and insurance investigators. 14 He argued this was “a classic
    example of the need for . . . section 352 protection to avoid the undue consumption of
    time, avoid substantial danger of undue prejudice, confusing the issues and misleading
    14 Ultimately, the defense offered no testimony from reconstruction experts, road
    engineers, and insurance investigators.
    40
    the jury” and that “[a]ny probative value of the dissimilar 1999 accident is far outweighed
    by its prejudicial effect.”
    In reply, the prosecution asserted that the “jury should be the final authority on
    what facts they find true.” The prosecution also argued the court should look to the law
    of joinder, asserting that area of the law would provide “insight” here. It also argued that
    the evidence of the victim’s state of mind to establish that the defendant was the initial
    aggressor would be admissible, and thus there was cross-admissibility regarding
    statements made by the victim establishing her fear based on what had happened to
    defendant’s second wife. 15
    2. The Hearing on the Motion
    At the hearing, the court noted that the 1999 incident had been determined by the
    Georgia authorities to be an accident. When the trial court asked the prosecutor to
    explain how defendant caused the crash, the prosecutor responded, “we’ll never know
    exactly,” because he was the only witness. She stated that defendant had said he had an
    allergic reaction to a bug bite requiring that he go to the hospital and that is why his
    second wife was driving. She asserted that defendant had provided different versions of
    where he was in the vehicle at the time of the incident. “So he’s somewhere in the car,
    and he pushes her – pushes the car or gets her out and turns the – or gets out, turns the
    wheel. Who knows exactly how he managed –” The trial court interrupted, stating that it
    required a plausible theory and opining that it would not be easy to do what the
    prosecutor alleged. The court stated, “I need some kind of workable theory as to how he
    15  In this appeal, the People do not advance the prosecution’s “cross-admissibility”
    theory concerning the victim’s fear stemming from statements she reported defendant
    made concerning the second wife’s death. We note that the statements were essentially
    related to the victim’s inquiries of defendant as to whether she would end up as ashes in a
    box, which did not require the breadth of evidence introduced regarding the Georgia
    incident. In any event, since the People do not advance the prosecution’s theory on
    appeal, we have no reason to consider it.
    41
    got out of the car so much earlier, almost unscathed, and his [second] wife ends down at
    the bottom of the ravine and then she burned to death.” The prosecutor responded,
    “There could be 800 ways that he did this” and proffered: “It’s his wife. He could tell
    her to stop the car. He needs to throw up. Who knows what his excuse was . . . why he
    needed the car stopped. He gets out and puts it into drive, turns the wheel, and, you
    know, punches her. [¶] I mean, there could be many ways. He turns the wheel himself.
    He could be – they could be driving along, and he has his car – he has his door unlocked,
    ready to go. He’s driving along. He swerves the car and jumps out, you know, taking
    control of the car himself, swerving the car, and jumping out. What’s – I mean, there are
    many different ways that he could have gone about doing it.” Later, the prosecutor
    argued, “How do we know that this [d]efendant wasn’t the one that was driving, driving
    her off?”
    The court disagreed that there were many ways defendant could have engineered
    the crash, but agreed that he could have been in the seat, steered the wheel down the
    embankment and jumped out. “I guess that’s doable. But I don’t think there’s 800 ways
    this could be done.” The court added, “It’s kind of a difficult thing to do, to be honest”
    and “it sounds like it would be somewhat difficult to get a car all the way down there to
    the point where it kills one party and the other one is suffering only minor injuries.” The
    prosecutor stated that, although the incident had been ruled an accident, “every law
    enforcement person and every civilian that we have interviewed has said that they knew
    there was something that wasn’t right. Nothing made sense.” According to the
    prosecutor, “[t]hey couldn’t say for sure what happened, so they had no choice but to
    ultimately rule it an accident.”
    The trial court first considered the three-part analysis courts employ when
    deciding whether to admit uncharged act evidence, beginning with the materiality of the
    42
    uncharged act evidence. 16 The court observed that defendant’s intent was at issue, as
    was his related claim of self-defense. Based on that, the trial court concluded that the
    materiality of the uncharged event was “significant.”
    As to the probative value of the uncharged misconduct evidence, the court told the
    prosecutor, “I’m having a little trouble here.” It noted that the detective who investigated
    the incident appeared to be “fairly comfortable” concluding that the incident was an
    accident, and the arson investigator and the pathologist likewise determined the death
    was accidental. According to the trial court, based on the evidence submitted in the
    motion and opposition, not one agency involved in the investigation “pushed this for a
    homicide.” The court told the prosecutor that while the circumstances sounded “fishy,”
    that did not make the event a homicide.
    The prosecutor argued that, for evidence to be admitted pursuant to section
    1101(b), the prior uncharged misconduct need not have resulted in prosecution, and could
    even be a crime for which there was an acquittal. When pressed by the court on how she
    would demonstrate that the death was indeed a homicide as opposed to an accident, and
    thus probative, the prosecutor listed the following circumstances: the second wife hated
    camping and did not want to go; defendant had recently taken out new life insurance
    policies on her; defendant had just substituted a “fake ring” for her diamond wedding
    ring; 17 they went to a remote location; defendant, who was a former fighter pilot, was
    16  As discussed in more detail, post, “the admissibility of uncharged crimes depends
    upon three factors: (1) the materiality of the facts sought to be proved; (2) the tendency
    of the uncharged crimes to prove or disprove the material fact (i.e., probative value); and
    (3) the existence of any rule or policy requiring the exclusion of relevant evidence (i.e.,
    prejudicial effect or other section 352 concern).” (People v. Hendrix (2013) 
    214 Cal. App. 4th 216
    , 238 (Hendrix).)
    17 In his opposition to the prosecution’s motion, defendant asserted that they had
    purchased a ring with a more modern setting to replace his second wife’s antique style
    ring. The new ring had been delivered with a Cubic Zirconia stone. The plan had been to
    43
    trained in survival skills and “knows how to handle himself in a situation like this”; he
    did not bring a cell phone or EpiPen on the camping trip; when defendant approached
    two individuals’ campsite for assistance, he seemed suspicious to them because he was
    not acting as though anything was wrong; law enforcement did not initially observe any
    injuries on defendant; when asked, defendant did not show law enforcement the insect
    bite which allegedly caused him to go into anaphylactic shock; the notion that defendant
    could recover from an anaphylactic episode without any treatment was not credible; and
    defendant only exhibited injuries after he had been outside of the presence of law
    enforcement for a period of time. The prosecutor noted circumstances in the charged
    case, including that defendant initially had no injuries but, after some time to himself, he
    had minor injuries, which the prosecutor asserted were self-inflicted.
    The trial court then turned to Evidence Code section 352. The court expressed
    skepticism about whether the People could present this evidence within one day, as the
    prosecutor claimed in her moving papers, thus avoiding undue consumption of time. The
    prosecutor asserted that, even if the matter consumed two days of trial, it would not
    constitute undue consumption of time in the context of what was expected to be a long
    trial.
    Regarding points of similarity, the trial court noted: (1) both decedents were
    married to defendant; (2) both suffered “violent deaths;” (3) defendant was the only other
    person present; (4) the injuries suffered by defendant were minor given what would be
    expected if the events occurred as defendant claimed; and (5) defendant stood to gain
    financially in both cases, in the prior situation based on life insurance proceeds, and in
    this case because the victim intended to divorce defendant, which would be costly, and
    she intended to seek spousal and child support. The prosecutor added to these similarities
    replace the Cubic Zirconia that came in the modern setting with the diamond from the
    antique style ring, but his second wife had not gotten around to doing that. Nine months
    passed, during which defendant did not sell the old ring or its diamond.
    44
    that, prior to each incident, the defendant and his wives were experiencing financial
    hardships.
    In opposition, defense counsel asserted that the prosecutor’s arguments were based
    on “assumptions and speculation.” Defense counsel also emphasized that, in controlling
    case law relied upon by the prosecution, the killings themselves bore substantial
    similarities to each other. For instance, in People v. New (2008) 
    163 Cal. App. 4th 442
    (New), both of the defendant’s wives were “shot in the head” while they were asleep. (Id.
    at p. 446.) The court acknowledged that the offenses in New were “very, very similar,”
    but noted the New court stated the most important similarity was the fact both victims
    were the defendant’s wives. Defense counsel responded that is the only similarity present
    here.
    After defense counsel pointed out the similarities in the manner and circumstances
    of the killings in New, the trial court asked “should a defendant who’s smart enough to do
    two killings in different methods benefit from the fact that he didn’t shoot both victims or
    didn’t stab both victims?” Defense counsel acknowledged that the mere fact of killing
    two different victims in two different ways would not automatically result in the
    inadmissibility of the evidence. But here, there were no similarities between the two
    events, and evidence of the second wife’s death was irrelevant to defendant’s intent here.
    Focusing on one of the suspicious circumstances, defense counsel argued that the
    Georgia pathologist noted it was not unusual to have an anaphylactic reaction from a bug
    bite or from something he breathed in the woods and it was possible for the reaction to
    clear up without treatment. Additionally, there were other incidents in defendant’s life
    where he suffered from anaphylactic reactions. Counsel also emphasized there was no
    evidence of any trauma to the second wife other than the injuries resulting from the
    vehicle crash and fire.
    In reviewing the points of similarity with defense counsel, the court stated: “I’ve
    never heard of anyone receiving such minor injuries,” as in the Georgia incident and “that
    45
    would be true of the stabbing too.” The court stated the belief that in both situations,
    defendant would have received more serious injuries if events occurred as he claimed.
    3. The Trial Court’s Ruling
    The trial court concluded that the evidence was material, as defendant’s intent and
    whether he acted in self-defense were at issue. The court again recited the similarities it
    found between the two incidents, noting again based on New, the fact they were married
    “is a very important factor.” The trial court then stated: “The Court is satisfied that, by a
    preponderance of the evidence, the prior uncharged act is true. I’m not making any
    indication as to whether or not it’s been proven by beyond a reasonable doubt or whether
    it’s been proven by clear and convincing evidence. That’s not the standard. The standard
    is preponderance of the evidence, and I believe it’s been met in view of the summaries
    that I’ve just given as well as the similarities as well as the information provided by
    counsel.” (Italics added.) We discuss the significance of the italicized portion of the
    court’s ruling, post.
    In considering the Evidence Code section 352 balancing analysis, the trial court
    did acknowledge that the asserted manner of killing in each of the two cases was
    dissimilar. However, the court further stated that the underlying circumstances, if not the
    manner of death, were very similar, as were the motives. Ultimately, the court concluded
    that the probative value of the evidence was not substantially outweighed by its
    prejudicial effect. The court allowed the evidence to be admitted.
    4. Uncharged Misconduct Evidence Instructions & the Defense Mistrial
    Motions
    At the conclusion of the prosecution’s case-in-chief, upon the request of the
    defense, the trial court instructed the jury: “The People have presented evidence
    regarding the death of [defendant’s] former wife . . . in Georgia on September 26 of 1999.
    This evidence was admitted for limited purposes. You may consider this information
    only to determine whether or not at the time of [the victim’s] death, in Count I, that
    46
    [defendant] had necessary intent. [¶] You may also use this information to determine
    whether . . . [d]efendant’s alleged actions in Count I—regarding Count I were the result
    of a mistake, accident, or self-defense. You may consider that evidence only for these
    purposes and for no other.”
    Following the close of all evidence, the trial court instructed the jury with
    CALCRIM No. 375 as follows: “The People presented evidence that . . . [d]efendant
    committed an uncharged offense, to wit, murder, on September 26, 1999, and that offense
    was not charged in this case. [¶] You may consider that evidence only if the People have
    proved by a preponderance of the evidence that the [d]efendant, in fact, committed the
    uncharged offense. [¶] Proof by a preponderance of the evidence is a different burden of
    proof than proof beyond a reasonable doubt. A fact is proved by a preponderance of the
    evidence if you conclude that it is more likely than not that the fact is true. [¶] If the
    People have not met this burden, you must disregard this evidence entirely. [¶] If you
    decide that the [d]efendant committed the uncharged offense, you may, but are not
    required to, consider that evidence for the limited purpose of deciding whether or not: [¶]
    A, . . . [d]efendant acted with the intent to kill [the victim] in this case; [¶] Or B—
    and/or B, whether or not . . . [d]efendant’s actions were the result of a mistake, accident,
    or self-defense. [¶] In evaluating this evidence, consider the similarity or lack of the
    similarity between the uncharged offense and the charged offense, and do not consider
    this evidence regarding September 26[], 1999, for any other purpose. [¶] Do not
    conclude from that evidence that . . . [d]efendant has a bad character or is disposed to
    commit crime. [¶] And if you conclude that . . . [d]efendant committed the uncharged
    offense, that conclusion is only one factor to consider, along with all the other evidence.
    It is not sufficient by itself to prove that . . . [d]efendant is guilty of murder. The People
    must still prove the charge in this case beyond a reasonable doubt.”
    During the prosecution’s initial closing argument, defendant moved for a mistrial,
    asserting that the prosecutor was impermissibly arguing propensity, and that the argument
    47
    was misconduct. The trial court noted the argument “could have been cleaner,” but
    denied the motion. 18
    During the prosecution’s rebuttal argument, the defense again objected, but the
    objection was overruled without argument. 19 After the jury began deliberating, the
    defense sought to make a record regarding the basis for its objection and moved once
    more for a mistrial. The defense asserted the prosecution argued propensity and was
    using circular logic and improperly attempting to prove defendant killed his second wife
    based on the evidence in the instant case, and then prove defendant had the intent to kill
    the victim here with willfulness, premeditation, and deliberation, based on the prior
    death. In the alternative to granting a mistrial, the defense argued the jury should be
    instructed the 1999 incident involving the second wife had to be proved on its own merits
    without consideration of the evidence related to the charged offense. The prosecutor
    responded that her argument was not inappropriate and that it was the same concept she
    argued in her initial closing argument. “It’s the Doctrine of Chances. The person that
    wins the lottery once – this is exactly what the basis of the cases are that allow this
    18  The prosecutor argued the following to the jury: “[B]esides the fact that the evidence
    has showed us what happened to [the victim] that night, we also know that the Defendant
    killed [her] because of what happened with [his second wife], and it’s what’s called the
    Doctrine of Chances. [¶] You know, there’s a saying that if you win the lottery once,
    you’re envied. If you win the lottery twice, you’re investigated. And there’s a reason for
    that. [¶] Look at – look at what’s happened with the death of [his second wife]. The
    Defendant now has two dead wives, and in both cases look at these similarities: He’s the
    only witness. Two cases, he’s the only witness.” It was at this point that defendant
    objected on the grounds the prosecutor was arguing propensity and requested a mistrial.
    19 The prosecutor told the jury: “So either you believe his testimony – and to believe
    him, you must believe that he is the unluckiest guy in the world, because he had two
    wives die under suspiciously similar circumstances, going to his intent. Both of his
    wives—” It was at this point that the defense objected, but the objection was overruled.
    The prosecutor went on to argue that both of defendant’s wives “called him a
    pathological liar,” but never said anything more about intent.
    48
    1101(b) evidence to come in. The person who wins it once is envied. The person that
    wins it twice is . . . investigated.” She further explained she was going to discuss intent
    when the objection was made. The court acknowledged further instruction might be
    warranted, indicated it would look at the transcript of the prosecutor’s rebuttal argument,
    and took the matter under submission overnight.
    The following morning, after filing a written mistrial motion, the defense
    reiterated its arguments from the previous afternoon. Thereafter, the trial court brought
    in the jury and reread CALCRIM No. 375 and then gave the following additional
    instruction: “In determining whether the People have proven that the Defendant
    committed murder in Georgia on September 26, 1999, by a preponderance of the
    evidence, you must analyze the Georgia incident apart from all of the other evidence in
    this case. [¶] In other words, you may not consider in any way any evidence that
    pertains to the charged February 2012 incident in determining whether or not the
    Defendant committed murder on September 26, 1999, in Georgia.” 20
    C. Admissibility of Uncharged Misconduct Evidence
    “Subdivision (a) of section 1101 prohibits admission of evidence of a person’s
    character, including evidence of character in the form of specific instances of uncharged
    misconduct, to prove the conduct of that person on a specified occasion.” (
    Ewoldt, supra
    ,
    7 Cal.4th at p. 393.) “ ‘The reason for this rule is not that such evidence is never
    relevant; to the contrary, the evidence is excluded because it has too much probative
    value.’ [Citations.] ‘ “The natural and inevitable tendency” ’ is to give excessive weight
    20 On the previous day, the defense also argued that the prosecution’s use of a
    PowerPoint slide which stated “ ‘Defendant is the unluckiest man in the world and has
    two wives die’ ” was the equivalent of arguing propensity and was misconduct. The trial
    court indicated it was concerned about that argument, but concluded the new instruction
    would cure it. On appeal, defendant does not raise the propriety of any of the
    prosecutor’s arguments to the jury.
    49
    to the prior conduct and either allow it to bear too strongly on the present charge, or to
    take the proof of it as justifying a conviction irrespective of guilt of the present charge.”
    (
    Hendrix, supra
    , 214 Cal.App.4th at p. 238, quoting People v. Guerrero (1976) 
    16 Cal. 3d 719
    , 724 (Guerrero).)
    “Evidence of other crimes is admissible, however, when relevant for a
    noncharacter purpose—that is, when it is relevant to prove some fact other than the
    defendant’s criminal disposition, such as ‘motive, opportunity, intent, preparation, plan,
    knowledge, identity, absence of mistake [of fact] or accident.’ [Citations.] [¶] Although
    a prior criminal act may be relevant for a noncharacter purpose to prove some fact other
    than the defendant’s criminal disposition, the probative value of that evidence may
    nevertheless be counterbalanced by a section 352 concern. Evidence may be excluded
    under section 352 if its probative value is ‘substantially outweighed by the probability
    that its admission [would] . . . create substantial danger of undue prejudice, of confusing
    the issues, or of misleading the jury.’ ” (
    Hendrix, supra
    , 214 Cal.App.4th at p. 238.)
    Thus, as noted ante, the admissibility of uncharged crimes evidence depends upon
    consideration of three factors: (1) materiality of the facts to be proved; (2) probative
    value, or the tendency of the uncharged crimes to prove or disprove the material fact; and
    (3) the existence of any rule or policy requiring the exclusion of relevant evidence such
    as prejudicial effect or other section 352 concerns. (Ibid.) “Courts subject other crimes
    evidence to ‘ “extremely careful analysis.” ’ ” (Ibid., quoting, 
    Ewoldt, supra
    , 7 Cal.4th at
    p. 404.)
    “[O]ther crimes evidence need be proven only by a preponderance of the
    evidence.” (People v. Steele (2002) 
    27 Cal. 4th 1230
    , 1245, fn. 2 (Steele).) And as
    defendant acknowledges, his plea of not guilty put all elements of the charged offense at
    issue. (People v. Booker (2011) 
    51 Cal. 4th 141
    , 171.) “We review the trial court’s
    evidentiary rulings for abuse of discretion.” (People v. Bryant, Smith and Wheeler (2014)
    
    60 Cal. 4th 335
    , 405.)
    50
    In performing its gatekeeping function 21 under Evidence Code section 403,
    subdivision (a), 22 the trial court must determine by a preponderance of the evidence the
    existence of the prior uncharged act and defendant’s connection to it as preliminary
    factual issues before the prior misconduct can be deemed admissible. (People v. Cottone
    (2013) 
    57 Cal. 4th 269
    , 286, fn.10 (Cottone) [distinguishing the preliminary fact
    determinations between other crimes evidence under Evid. Code, §§ 1101, subdivision
    (b) & 1108]; People v. Garelick (2008) 
    161 Cal. App. 4th 1107
    , 1115 (Garelick) [“the
    truth of the prior uncharged act and defendant’s connection to it are preliminary factual
    issues which must be decided before the prior misconduct can be deemed admissible”
    under section 1101(b)]; People v. Simon (1986) 
    184 Cal. App. 3d 125
    , 131, 132, 135
    (Simon) [same; evidence was admissible under section 1101(b) to prove intent, motive,
    and to negate self-defense].) “[I]f the prior and defendant’s connection to it are not
    established by a preponderance of the evidence, the prior is irrelevant to prove the . . .
    section 1101(b) fact for which it is being offered.” (Garelick, at p. 1115.) Thus, in the
    context of this case, the court had a duty to determine whether there was sufficient
    21 Another panel of this court described Evidence Code section 402 as a “gatekeeping
    procedure.” (People v. Galambos (2002) 
    104 Cal. App. 4th 1147
    , 1157.) And our high
    court has also used the term “gatekeeper” to describe the court’s duty in determining the
    admissibility of expert testimony. (Sargon Enterprises, Inc. v. University of Southern
    California (2012) 
    55 Cal. 4th 747
    , 771-772.) Thus, we shall use the same term to
    describe the trial court’s preliminary fact-determination duty under Evidence Code
    section 403 relative to the admissibility of evidence under section 1101(b).
    22 Evidence Code section 403, subdivision (a) provides in pertinent part: “(a) The
    proponent of the proffered evidence has the burden of producing evidence as to the
    existence of the preliminary fact, and the proffered evidence is inadmissible unless the
    court finds that there is evidence sufficient to sustain a finding of the existence of the
    preliminary fact, when: [¶] (1) The relevance of the proffered evidence depends on the
    existence of the preliminary fact; . . . (4) The proffered evidence is . . . conduct of a
    particular person and the preliminary fact is whether that person . . . so conducted
    himself.”
    51
    evidence to determine defendant committed a homicidal act when his second wife was
    killed.
    In cases where the underlying act of the uncharged act event is a given, probative
    value strictly depends on the degree of similarity between the uncharged act and charged
    crime. “The least degree of similarity is needed when . . . the evidence is offered to prove
    intent.” (People v. Jones (2011) 
    51 Cal. 4th 346
    , 371; see 
    Ewoldt, supra
    , 7 Cal.4th at
    p. 402.) “[T]o be admissible to prove intent, the uncharged misconduct must be
    sufficiently similar to support the inference that the defendant ‘ “probably harbor[ed] the
    same intent in each instance.” [Citations.]’ ” (Ewoldt, at p. 402, italics added.) As our
    high court has explained, “the recurrence of a similar result tends to negate an innocent
    mental state and tends to establish the presence of the normal criminal intent.” (Jones, at
    p. 371; see also Ewoldt, at p. 402.)
    Still, the similarities between the two events must be substantial enough to have
    probative value. 
    (Guerrero, supra
    , 16 Cal.3d at p. 728.) As defendant observes, “ ‘it
    would be possible to list any number of marks common to the charged and uncharged
    crimes each of which is so lacking in distinctiveness that its presence, whether or not in
    combination with other equally nondistinctive factors, is wholly lacking in significance. .
    . . The sum of zeroes is always zero.’ ” (Id. at pp. 728-729.) And as another panel of
    this court recently observed, the trial court “ ‘ “must look behind the label describing the
    kind of similarity or relation between the [uncharged] offense and the charged offense; it
    must examine the precise elements of similarity between the offenses with respect to the
    issue for which the evidence is proffered and satisfy itself that each link of the chain of
    inference between the former and the latter is reasonably strong.” [Citation.] If the
    connection between the uncharged offense and the ultimate fact in dispute is not clear,
    the evidence should be excluded.’ ” (People v. Williams (2018) 
    23 Cal. App. 5th 396
    , 419-
    420 (Williams), italics added, quoting People v. Thompson (1980) 
    27 Cal. 3d 330
    , 316
    (Thompson); see also People v. C. Thompson (2016) 
    1 Cal. 5th 1043
    , 1114 (C. Thompson)
    52
    [“[b]ecause this type of evidence can be so damaging, ‘[i]f the connection between the
    uncharged offense and the ultimate fact in dispute is not clear, the evidence should be
    excluded’ ”]; People v. Daniels (1991) 
    52 Cal. 3d 818
    , 856 (Daniels) [same]; 
    Hendrix, supra
    , 214 Cal.App.4th at p. 245 [same]; People v. Spector (2011) 
    194 Cal. App. 4th 1335
    ,
    1373 (Spector) [same].)
    D. Decisional Law Relied Upon by the Trial Court
    The trial court relied upon a line of cases involving the admission of evidence of
    prior uncharged acts. Unlike here, in each of these cases, there was no dispute that the
    defendant committed the act underlying the uncharged events.
    In People v. Griffin (1967) 
    66 Cal. 2d 459
    (Griffin), the defendant was charged
    with the sexually motivated murder of a woman. On appeal, the defendant contended
    that the trial court erred in admitting evidence of a subsequently alleged act of sexual
    misconduct involving another woman which took place in Mexico. The defendant relied
    on the fact that he had been acquitted of that crime. (Id. at p. 464.) Our high court first
    stated that otherwise admissible evidence of another crime is not rendered inadmissible
    by the defendant’s acquittal. (Ibid.) The court then reasoned: “the evidence of the
    subsequent crime was admissible because the similarities between the crimes made
    evidence of the later crime relevant to prove that [the victim’s] injuries were not
    accidental but inflicted by defendant and to prove that he intended to rape her. The
    evidence tended to prove that in both instances defendant became acquainted with a man
    living with a common law wife, used that acquaintance to be invited to the man’s home
    for the night or longer, and then attacked the woman in the man’s absence. Under these
    circumstances, the evidence of the other crime is relevant . . . ..” 23 (Id. at pp. 464-465.)
    23 Our high court further concluded, however, that it was reversible error for the trial
    court to exclude evidence that the defendant was acquitted of that subsequent crime by a
    Mexican court. 
    (Griffin, supra
    , 66 Cal.2d at pp. 465-467.)
    53
    But in Griffin there was no dispute that there had been a sexual encounter between
    defendant and the woman. When the woman’s husband arrived home, he found the
    woman in her slip and defendant in the process of pulling up his pants. (Id. at p. 463.)
    The Mexican judgment stated: the woman “complained that she had been forcibly raped;
    [the] defendant declared that she had offered to have intercourse for five dollars.” (Id. at
    p. 466, fn. 3.) Thus, it was a given that there had been a sexual encounter between the
    two.
    In 
    Steele, supra
    , 
    27 Cal. 4th 1230
    , the defendant was charged with the 1988 killing
    of a woman (the victim) and the trial court admitted evidence of the defendant’s 1971
    killing of another woman as relevant to the defendant’s mental state when he killed the
    victim. (Id. at p. 1243.) There was no dispute the defendant committed the 1971 killing.
    Our high court summarized the relevant evidence as follows: “In 1971, [the] defendant
    stabbed to death [a woman], who had been babysitting his girlfriend’s children. [Both]
    killings bore several similarities. Both victims suffered manual strangulation and
    received a cluster of about eight stab wounds in the chest or abdomen. The victims
    resembled each other somewhat. Moreover, in both cases, [the] defendant admitted the
    killing to the police shortly afterwards, but supplied an explanation. After the first
    killing, [the] defendant claimed he had taken some mescaline, drank some beer, and
    smoked marijuana. When he arrived home, the victim complained that he had been gone
    a long time. Then, [the] defendant told the police, ‘It just hit me the wrong way. All
    these mescaline and everything was taking effect. And I hit her. The next thing that I
    really remember is when I stabbed her and all the blood and everything.’ In this case,
    [the] defendant blamed the killing on drinking peppermint schnapps and hearing a
    helicopter.” (Id. at p. 1244, italics added.) Our high court concluded that the two killings
    were sufficiently similar to make the 1971 killing relevant to the defendant’s mental state
    in committing the 1988 killing, observing that the least degree of similarity is required to
    prove intent. (Ibid., citing 
    Ewoldt, supra
    , 7 Cal.4th at p. 402.)
    54
    In its reasoning, the Steele court applied the doctrine of chances, which “is based
    on a combination of similar events,” and “teaches that the more often one does
    something, the more likely that something was intended, and even premeditated, rather
    than accidental or spontaneous. Specifically, the more often one kills, especially under
    similar circumstances, the more reasonable the inference the killing was intended and
    premeditated.” (
    Steele, supra
    , 27 Cal.4th at p. 1244.) From this, the Steele court
    reasoned that the evidence pertaining to the 1971 killing bolstered all three categories of
    evidence generally considered in determining whether the evidence of premeditation and
    deliberation is sufficient. 24 (Id. at pp. 1244-1245.)
    In 
    New, supra
    , 
    163 Cal. App. 4th 442
    , defendant moved for severance. At issue
    was whether two murders were properly joined and whether the evidence was cross-
    admissible. 25 The defendant was convicted of two counts of first degree murder, one
    count based on the shooting death of his first wife in 1973, and the other count for the
    shooting death of his third wife in 2004. (Id. at p. 446.) The defendant acknowledged
    the 1973 shooting, but claimed his rifle had discharged when he dropped it while
    cleaning it. (Ibid.) Law enforcement had initially concluded the shooting was accidental,
    but reopened the case after the shooting of the defendant’s third wife. (Ibid.) His third
    wife was discovered shot to death in the couple’s bed. (Ibid.) The defendant denied
    shooting her, claiming he had gone out and later returned home to find her dead. (Ibid.)
    24 Discussed in greater detail post, these three categories of evidence or guidelines that
    may be considered in determining whether the evidence is sufficient to support a finding
    of premeditation and deliberation are: (1) planning activity, (2) motive, and (3) the
    manner of the killing. (People v. Anderson (1968) 
    70 Cal. 2d 15
    , 26-27 (Anderson).)
    25 The trial court relied heavily on New and so do the People on appeal. As we discuss
    post, the analysis for severance is different from the analysis concerning the admissibility
    of uncharged acts of misconduct.
    55
    The trial court in New ruled the evidence was cross-admissible to “prove absence
    of mistake or accident with regard to the 1973 events” and further to prove intent and
    motive. (
    New, supra
    , 163 Cal.App.4th at pp. 466-467.) The defendant asserted that he
    was prejudiced by the trial court’s denial of his motion to sever the two murder charges
    because the evidence was not cross-admissible. (Id. at p. 468.) Specifically, the
    defendant asserted that the earlier murder was not cross-admissible because evidence of
    the circumstances surrounding his first wife’s death was not admissible to prove identity
    or common plan or design in connection with his third wife’s death. (Id. at p. 469.)
    However, on appeal, the court in New reasoned that evidence regarding the
    defendant’s third wife’s death was cross-admissible on the issue of intent and lack of
    accident or mistake with regard to the defendant’s first wife’s death. (
    New, supra
    , 163
    Cal.App.4th at p. 469.) Noting that the least degree of similarity was required for intent,
    the New court stated: “The circumstances surrounding” the deaths of the defendant’s first
    and third wives were similar. “Perhaps most significant is the fact that both victims were
    married to [the defendant] at the time they were killed. In addition, both [victims] were
    shot a single time, in the back of the head, from a relatively close distance. Both victims
    appeared to have been asleep at the time they were shot. At the time each of the victims
    was killed, [the defendant] was the beneficiary of the victim’s life insurance policy.
    These facts are sufficient to support an inference that [the defendant] did not accidentally
    shoot [his first wife], but instead, that he shot her intending to kill her.” (Id. at p. 470.)
    The trial court here found New significant because it viewed New as an example of
    an uncharged prior act “deemed an accident initially” but later held to be admissible
    under section 1101(b). However, the issue in New was not admissibility under section
    1101(b); the issue was severance. And although the defendant asserted the first shooting
    was accidental, there was no dispute that the defendant had caused the gun to discharge
    and kill his first wife.
    56
    In 
    Spector, supra
    , 
    194 Cal. App. 4th 1335
    , the defendant was charged with murder
    for the shooting death of a woman (the victim) with whom he was acquainted. The
    question at trial was whether the defendant committed implied malice murder by killing
    the victim in the course of assaulting her with a firearm or whether the victim shot
    herself, either committing suicide or killing herself accidently. (Id. at p. 1342.) The trial
    court allowed testimony from five different women acquaintances who were victims of
    armed assaults by the defendant over a 20-year period. (Id. at pp. 1342-1343, 1372.) The
    Spector court concluded that the other crimes evidence was properly admitted to prove
    the defendant’s motive for committing the victim’s murder, and to prove that the victim’s
    fatal gunshot wound was not self-inflicted. (Id. at pp. 1342-1343.)
    In discussing the materiality of this evidence to prove absence of accident,
    mistake, or suicide, the Spector court stated that the evidence “was relevant because it
    tended logically, naturally, and by reasonable inference to make it less likely [the victim]
    had shot herself either intentionally or accidentally, a fact the defense tried to prove. As a
    result, the other crimes evidence tended to establish both the corpus delicti of the charged
    offense, and that Spector was responsible for the actus reus, facts the prosecution needed
    to prove.” (
    Spector, supra
    , 194 Cal.App.4th at p. 1374.)
    The Spector court determined that the other crimes evidence “was logically
    relevant because of . . . the ‘doctrine of chances.’ ” (
    Spector, supra
    , 194 Cal.App.4th at
    p. 1377.) It described the “doctrine of chances” as a “probability-based calculation that
    arises from a history of prior similar acts.” (Id. at 1379.) Under the doctrine of chances,
    the trier of fact must decide “whether the uncharged incidents are so numerous that it is
    objectively improbable that so many accidents would befall the accused.” (Ibid.) The
    doctrine of chances is a “ ‘ “ ‘logical process which eliminates the element of innocent
    intent by multiplying instances of the same result until it is perceived that this element
    cannot explain them all.’ ” ’ ” (Id. at p. 1380, quoting People v. Carpenter (1997) 
    15 Cal. 4th 312
    , 379, abrogated on another ground in Verdin v. Superior Court (2008) 43
    57
    Cal.4th 1096,1106-1107.) Because of the similarities, the Spector court concluded that
    the separate incidents in which the defendant committed armed assaults against women
    acquaintances in specific circumstances tended to prove the improbability that the victim
    either committed suicide or accidentally killed herself. (Spector, at p. 1380.)
    Regarding similarity, the Spector court noted the following: “ ‘The record reveals
    defining similarities between appellant’s assault on [the victim] and his prior
    assaults . . . . In each of these prior incidents, (1) appellant was alone with a woman
    whom he had invited to his house or hotel, (2) appellant had a romantic or sexual interest
    in her, (3) appellant drank alcohol, (4) appellant exhibited romantic or sexual behavior
    with her, (5) she attempted to leave, (6) appellant lost control, (7) appellant threatened
    her and pointed his accessible gun at her, and (8) appellant blocked or locked the door to
    force her to stay against her will.’ ” (
    Spector, supra
    , 194 Cal.App.4th at p. 1383.) The
    Spector court also observed that, in each instance, the defendant was characterized as
    extremely angry or enraged, and he demonstrated a significant mood swing. (Id. at
    p. 1384.) The evidence regarding the charged crime showed: “[the victim] . . . agreed to
    go [to Spector’s home] with [Spector]. . . . Spector drank a substantial amount of alcohol
    that night. There was evidence some intimate or sexual activity had taken place during
    the two hours [the victim] spent at Spector’s house. When she was shot, [the victim] was
    sitting in a foyer near the rear door of Spector’s house, just a few feet from where
    [Spector’s chauffeur] was sitting in the Mercedes waiting to drive her home. [The
    victim’s] purse was apparently slung over her shoulder in preparation for leaving.”
    (Ibid.) Under the circumstances presented, the Spector court concluded that the trial
    court did not abuse its discretion in admitting the other crimes evidence to show motive
    for his conduct and lack of accident or suicide. (Id. at p. 1385.) The court also rejected
    the defendant’s claim that the trial court erred in finding the other crimes evidence more
    probative than prejudicial. (Id. at pp. 1387-1390.)
    58
    In People v. Rogers (2013) 
    57 Cal. 4th 296
    (Rogers), the defendant asserted the
    trial court improperly admitted evidence of the murder of two women in other states as
    probative of the defendant’s intent and common design or plan in murdering the victim of
    the charged murder. (Id. at p. 325.) In each of the uncharged out-of-state murders, the
    victims died from multiple stab wounds. (Id. at pp. 312-315.) Thus, there was no dispute
    that the uncharged crime victims died as the result of a homicidal act at the hands of
    another. The victim of the charged killing died from manual strangulation. (Id. at
    pp. 302, 309-310.) Notwithstanding the difference in the manner of killing, the
    prosecution asserted that there were numerous distinctive features between the charged
    murder and the two uncharged murders. (Id. at p. 327.) Our high court determined that
    the trial court acted within its discretion in determining that “the combination of
    distinctive marks and similarities in all three murders was sufficient to meet the standard
    for admissibility of the other crimes evidence” as to intent, premeditation and
    deliberation. (Ibid.) Our high court observed: “Defendant selected each of his victims in
    a similar manner, used a common ploy to lure them to a place where they would be alone
    before murdering them, then acted in similar fashion after each murder; cleaning up the
    murder scenes or otherwise attempting to conceal the victims’ bodies to buy himself time
    to escape, taking personal property from each victim, and fleeing across state lines.” (Id.
    at pp. 327-328.)
    Rejecting the defendant’s argument that the three killings were insufficiently
    similar to be probative because “ ‘there was nothing distinctive about the fact that he
    “talked, danced and drank” in bars with women his own age,’ ” our high court observed
    that the “ ‘features of substantial but lesser distinctiveness may yield a distinctive
    combination when considered together.’ ” 
    (Rogers, supra
    , 57 Cal.4th at p. 328.) The
    court continued: “Although several of the factors . . . , e.g., drinking, dancing, and
    socializing with persons close to one’s age in bars, when viewed in isolation, may not
    appear particularly unusual or distinctive, it was the combination of similar factors
    59
    common to all three murders—defendant’s socializing, drinking, or dancing with women
    in their 30’s, unaccompanied by a male companion, in local bars; buying them rounds of
    drinks to gain their trust; convincing them to give him a ride, or to accompany him back
    to his home or lodging; killing them in a confined or secluded space ([one victim’s]
    bedroom, defendant’s Tampa motel room to which [the other victim] had given him a
    ride, and in the case of [the charged] murder, the cab of [the victim’s] pickup under cover
    of darkness late at night); hiding the bodies (or in the case of [the victim of the charged
    murder], burning her body) so as to avoid detection and buy further time to escape;
    fleeing from each crime scene with the victim’s property; crossing state lines, in each
    instance within two days, to further facilitate his escape; and the fact that all three
    murders were committed within the very short time span of approximately six weeks—
    that rendered evidence of the out-of-state murders admissible to show that [the charged]
    murder was both premeditated and deliberate and committed with express malice.”
    (Ibid.) (Bold omitted.)
    All of these cases have one key circumstance in common. Unlike here, there was
    no dispute about whether the defendant committed the act underlying the uncharged
    misconduct evidence. In Griffin, there was no dispute the defendant had a sexual
    encounter with the woman in Mexico. In Steele, New, and Rogers, there was no dispute
    that the victims died as the result of homicidal acts. And in Spector, the evidence clearly
    showed defendant had engaged in prior assaultive conduct. We shall discuss the import
    of this circumstance post in our discussion of probative value.
    E. Analysis
    1. Material Purpose
    “In order to satisfy the requirement of materiality, the fact sought to be proved or
    disproved must be either an ultimate fact or an intermediate fact from which such
    ultimate fact may be inferred. [Citation.] Elements of the offense and defenses are
    ultimate facts. [Citation.] The absence of mistake is an intermediate fact. [Citation.] By
    60
    pleading not guilty . . . defendant placed all elements of the crime in dispute.” (
    Hendrix, supra
    , 214 Cal.App.4th at pp. 239-240.) Indeed, defendant’s mental state (intent to
    unlawfully kill and premeditation and deliberation) and whether he acted in self-defense
    or imperfect self-defense were in active dispute here. (See People v. Rios (2000) 
    23 Cal. 4th 450
    , 462 (Rios) [where the issue of imperfect self-defense is properly presented,
    the prosecution must prove beyond reasonable doubt that this circumstance was lacking
    to establish the element of malice]; 
    Simon, supra
    , 184 Cal.App.3d at p. 129 [section
    1101(b) has been interpreted to allow the admission of “other acts” evidence that tends to
    negate a defendant’s claim of self-defense].)
    Accordingly, the uncharged act evidence here was offered for a material purpose.
    2. Relevance and Probative Value
    Normally, our review on this prong of the analysis would focus exclusively on
    similarities, but we first address another issue that is pertinent to the tendency of the
    evidence to prove material facts typically not addressed in other cases involving
    admissibility under section 1101(b). As in the cases upon which the trial court relied,
    there is typically no dispute about the act underlying the uncharged crime. In this case,
    the actus reus of the prior incident was in dispute. Unlike the cases upon which the trial
    court relied, it was not clear that defendant committed an act that caused his second
    wife’s death. In our view, the theory advanced in limine by the prosecution amounted to
    using the charged killing of the victim to prove criminal agency as to the second wife’s
    death, so as to then establish mens rea and negate self-defense regarding the victim’s
    killing. Uncharged act evidence cannot be used in this way.
    In People v. Albertson (1944) 
    23 Cal. 2d 550
    , our high court stated:
    “Circumstantial proof of a crime charged cannot be intermingled with circumstantial
    proof of suspicious prior occurrences in such manner that it reacts as a psychological
    factor with the result that the proof of the crime charged is used to bolster up the theory
    or foster suspicion in the mind that the defendant must have committed the prior act, and
    61
    the conclusion that he must have committed the prior act is then used in turn to strengthen
    the theory and induce the conclusion that he must also have committed the crime
    charged. This is but a vicious circle.” (Id. at pp. 580-581.) Other California appellate
    courts have applied this principle from Albertson. (See People v. Erving (1998) 
    63 Cal. App. 4th 652
    , 664; People v. Long (1970) 
    7 Cal. App. 3d 586
    , 590.) Here, although
    there is direct evidence defendant committed the act causing the victim’s death in the
    charged offense and that he intended to kill her, the evidence concerning whether he
    intended to unlawfully kill, premeditation, deliberation and negating self-defense is
    circumstantial. And the evidence related to the death of defendant’s second wife could
    aptly be characterized as “circumstantial proof of suspicious prior occurrences . . . .”
    (Albertson, at pp. 580-581.) Thus, we conclude the “vicious circle” referred to in
    Albertson is present here. Indeed, when the defense pointed out Long in arguing for
    mistrial after the prosecution’s rebuttal argument, the trial court gave a belated instruction
    telling the jurors they must not consider evidence of the charged crime in determining
    whether defendant murdered his second wife. The problem here is that the trial court did
    that very thing in ruling on the admissibility of the uncharged event.
    As we have noted, as a preliminary fact, the trial court must determine by a
    preponderance of the evidence the existence of the prior uncharged act and defendant’s
    connection to it. 
    (Cottone, supra
    , 57 Cal.4th at p. 286, fn.10; 
    Garelick, supra
    , 161
    Cal.App.4th at p. 1115; 
    Simon, supra
    , 184 Cal.App.3d at pp. 131, 132, 135.) And “if the
    prior and defendant’s connection to it are not established by a preponderance of the
    evidence, the prior is irrelevant to prove the . . . section 1101(b) fact for which it is being
    offered.” (Garelick, at p. 1115.) Courts have also noted that “[i]f the connection
    between the uncharged offense and the ultimate fact in dispute is not clear, the evidence
    should be excluded.” 
    (Thompson, supra
    , 27 Cal.3d at p. 316, italics added; 
    Daniels, supra
    , 52 Cal.3d at p. 856; 
    Williams, supra
    , 23 Cal.App.5th at p. 420; 
    Hendrix, supra
    ,
    214 Cal.App.4th at p. 245; 
    Spector, supra
    , 194 Cal.App.4th at p. 1373.) This is so
    62
    “[b]ecause this type of evidence can be so damaging.” (C. 
    Thompson, supra
    , 1 Cal.5th at
    p. 1114.) Thus, other acts evidence under section 1101(b) “ ‘should be received with
    “extreme caution” and if its connection with the crime is not clearly perceived, the doubt
    should be resolved in favor of the accused.’ ” 
    (Guerrero, supra
    , 16 Cal.3d at p. 724,
    italics added.) The connection between an uncharged act and the charged crime cannot
    be clear unless there is clarity that the defendant committed the asserted act underlying
    the uncharged crime.
    Indeed, there was no evidence establishing that defendant committed a specific act
    that resulted in his second wife’s death. During the in limine hearing, the prosecutor
    speculated that there may have been “800 ways” defendant could have caused the crash
    and engineered his second wife’s death, but no proof was offered to establish any specific
    act. The proffered evidence argued by the prosecution to establish defendant’s
    culpability was a series of suspicious circumstances. But the proffered evidence before
    the trial court also showed that the lead investigator, arson investigator and pathologist
    concluded the death was accidental.
    Nevertheless, in ruling on the admissibility of the Georgia incident, the trial court
    stated: “The Court is satisfied that, by a preponderance of the evidence, the prior
    uncharged act is true. . . . The standard is preponderance of the evidence, and I believe
    it’s been met in view of the summaries that I've just given as well as the similarities as
    well as the information provided by counsel.” (Italics added.) The court did not outline
    the evidence establishing a homicidal act in the “information provided by counsel” or
    otherwise discuss the proffered evidence that satisfied it that defendant’s commission of
    murder regarding his second wife could be established by a preponderance of the
    evidence. Our review of the record reveals that the “summaries” the trial court referred
    to did not involve evidence establishing the murder of the second wife, but rather was a
    reference to its summary of the similarities between the deaths of defendant’s second and
    third wives. And in any event, the italicized portion of the trial court’s ruling set forth
    63
    above makes clear it relied, at least in part, on the purported similarities to determine
    there was proof by a preponderance of the evidence that defendant murdered his second
    wife. By relying on these similarities, the trial court used evidence related to the charged
    offense to establish defendant’s culpability for murder related to the uncharged act.
    Thus, in performing its gatekeeping duty to determine the truth of the uncharged act of
    misconduct, the trial court did exactly what it later appropriately admonished the jury it
    could not do.
    Part of the trial court’s error relates back to its misunderstanding of 
    New, supra
    ,
    
    163 Cal. App. 4th 442
    , upon which it heavily relied. Indeed, the trial court returned to
    New in discussing defendant’s mistrial motion after the prosecutor’s rebuttal argument.
    Again, the trial court focused on New’s analysis of similarities. In doing so, the court
    erroneously observed, “the issue in the New case was whether or not the defendant at the
    time of the charged offense possessed the intent to kill his victim.” But that was only
    partially correct. The issue there was whether charges related to the deaths of both wives
    were properly joined. And in such a situation, evidence of the later wife’s death could be
    used to establish that the death of the prior wife was intentional. The same does not hold
    true when the issue is the admissibility of uncharged acts to prove some material fact
    related to charged offenses. In other words, unlike where evidence may be considered
    “cross-admissible” for purposes of severance of joined charges, when the issue is strictly
    whether evidence of an uncharged offense is admissible under section 1101(b) to
    establish some material fact related to the charged offense, evidence of the charged
    offense cannot be used to establish the commission of an uncharged criminal act.
    “ ‘Action that transgresses the confines of the applicable principles of law is
    outside the scope of discretion and we call such action an “abuse” of discretion’ ”; thus,
    where the trial court failed to apply the applicable principles in ruling on the admissibility
    of evidence, we must consider that an abuse of discretion. (
    Hendrix, supra
    , 214
    Cal.App.4th at p. 239.) Accordingly, we conclude that the trial court abused its
    64
    discretion in performing its gatekeeping function and making its preliminary fact
    determination that there was evidence establishing by a preponderance of the evidence
    defendant’s culpability for his second wife’s death. Thus, we conclude the trial court
    abused its discretion in determining the evidence of the second wife’s death tended to
    prove material facts related to the charged offense.
    We need not address whether the evidence concerning the Georgia incident
    independent of the evidence related to the charged offenses established defendant
    committed a homicidal act resulting in his second wife’s death because, as we next
    discuss, the probative value of this evidence, if any, was substantially outweighed by
    concerns listed in section 352.
    3. Section 352 Analysis
    Even if we were to conclude that the evidence related to the second wife’s death
    was relevant and had probative value, we would conclude that the trial court abused its
    discretion by refusing to exclude that evidence pursuant to section 352. Section 352,
    provides that a court “may exclude evidence if its probative value is substantially
    outweighed by the probability that its admission will (a) necessitate undue consumption
    of time or (b) create substantial danger of undue prejudice, of confusing the issues, or of
    misleading the jury.”
    Defendant asserts that any probative value related to the evidence of his second
    wife’s death was substantially outweighed by section 352 prejudice because: (1) the
    uncharged act, which occurred in 1999, was remote; (2) the uncharged act had little
    probative value to prove that which it was admitted to prove; (3) the uncharged act was
    inflammatory; (4) the jury may have wanted to punish defendant for his second wife’s
    death; and (5) the evidence would have the tendency to lead the jury to believe that he
    was a criminal mastermind and must have killed the victim here with deliberation and
    premeditation, and thus was impermissible propensity evidence.
    65
    We conclude that, assuming the trial court did not err in determining there was
    sufficient proof of defendant’s culpability as to his second wife’s death to establish
    relevance, any probative value of that evidence was substantially outweighed by the
    probability that its admission would necessitate undue consumption of time and create a
    substantial danger of undue prejudice. (Evid. Code, § 352.)
    a. Probative Value – Proof of Culpability and Similarities
    As a first step to weighing the section 352 concerns, courts must first consider the
    evidence’s probative value. That consideration includes an evaluation of how strongly
    the evidence tends to prove the material fact at issue. Because substantial prejudicial
    effect is inherent in uncharged act evidence, such evidence is admissible over a section
    352 objection only if it has “substantial probative value.” 
    (Rogers, supra
    , 57 Cal.4th at
    p. 331; People v. Foster (2010) 
    50 Cal. 4th 1302
    , 1331; 
    Ewoldt, supra
    , 7 Cal.4th at p. 404;
    
    Thompson, supra
    , 27 Cal.3d at p. 318.) Given the lack of proof as to the actus reus, i.e.,
    the homicidal act defendant purportedly committed to cause the death of his second wife,
    and the dissimilarities between her death and the killing here, we conclude that any
    probative value the uncharged event had relative to establishing intent and negating
    mistake and self-defense was insubstantial.
    Even though the lowest degree of similarity is required to show intent, the more
    substantive similarities there are from which one can infer that defendant probably
    harbored the same intent in each instance, the higher the probative value. The similarities
    the trial court found here do not provide substantial probative value. Those points of
    similarity are: (1) both decedents were married to defendant; (2) both victims suffered
    “violent deaths” and defendant was the only person present at the time each wife was
    killed; (3) despite the violent nature of both incidents, defendant sustained relatively
    minor injuries which were purportedly not consistent with what one would expect if the
    events occurred as defendant claimed; and (4) both times defendant was under financial
    stress and he stood to benefit financially as a result of the deaths. We acknowledge these
    66
    similarities, but in examining “the precise elements of similarity” (
    Williams, supra
    , 23
    Cal.App.5th at pp. 419-420), we also note in our calculus of probative value that there are
    significant dissimilarities.
    The trial court here relied heavily on the New court’s statement about the
    significance of the fact the defendant therein was married to both victims. So too do the
    People on appeal, referring to this as the most “glaring similarity.” But the New court’s
    observation about marital status was made in the context of a motion to sever separate
    murder charges for the defendant’s killing of two wives, not in analyzing probative value
    of evidence to balance against section 352 concerns.
    Our high court has noted that there are differences in the analysis concerning
    severance of properly joined charges and the analysis applicable to the related but
    different situation posed by admission of facts underlying an uncharged offense. (People
    v. Soper (2009) 
    45 Cal. 4th 759
    , 772 (Soper).) In the latter situation, the prosecution has
    the burden of establishing the admissibility of the evidence, including persuading the trial
    court that the potential prejudice is outweighed by the probative value of the evidence.
    (Ibid.) “ ‘Admission of the evidence involves, inter alia, the danger of confusing the
    issues, introducing collateral matters, or tempting the jury to condemn [the] defendant
    because he has escaped adequate punishment in the past. [Citation.] It is therefore
    appropriate, when the evidence is of an uncharged offense, to place on the People the
    burden of establishing that the evidence has substantial probative value that clearly
    outweighs its inherent prejudicial effect.’ ” (Id. at pp. 772-773, second italics added.)
    The burden is reversed when it comes to the question of severance. (Id. at p. 773.)
    Regarding severance, “ ‘[t]he prosecution is entitled to join offenses under the
    circumstances specified in section 954.[ 26] The burden is on the party seeking severance
    26Section 954 provides in pertinent part: “An accusatory pleading may charge two or
    more different offenses connected together in their commission, or different statements of
    67
    to clearly establish that there is a substantial danger of prejudice requiring that the
    charges be separately tried. [Citations.] When the offenses are [properly] joined for trial
    the defendant’s guilt of all the offenses is at issue and the problem of confusing the jury
    with collateral matters does not arise. The other-crimes evidence does not relate to [an]
    offense for which the defendant may have escaped punishment. That the evidence would
    otherwise be inadmissible [under section 352] may be considered as a factor suggesting
    possible prejudice, but countervailing considerations [of efficiency and judicial economy]
    that are not present when evidence of uncharged offenses is offered must be weighed in
    ruling on a . . . motion [to sever properly joined charges]. The burden is on the defendant
    therefore to persuade the court that these countervailing considerations are outweighed
    by a substantial danger of undue prejudice.’ ” (Soper, at p. 773.)
    In addition to the different allocation of the burdens, the nature of the abuse of
    discretion standard is different. 
    (Soper, supra
    , 45 Cal.4th at p. 774.) A defendant
    seeking to establish error for failure to sever “must make a ‘ “clear showing of prejudice
    to establish that the trial court abused its discretion . . . .” ’ ” (Ibid.) Thus, “ ‘in the
    context of properly joined offenses, “a party seeking severance must make a stronger
    showing of potential prejudice than would be necessary to exclude other-crimes evidence
    in a severed trial.” ’ ” (Ibid.) Where the evidence underlying the charges “would be
    cross-admissible, that factor alone is normally sufficient to dispel” prejudice for purpose
    of severance of properly joined charges. (Id. at pp. 774-775.) For example, in New, the
    evidence related to the last wife’s death could be considered to establish that the previous
    wife’s death was intentional and not accidental. (
    New, supra
    , 163 Cal.App.4th at
    pp. 469-470.) However, as we have noted, in the context of the issue before us, the
    evidence here was not cross-admissible in the sense that evidence of the charged offense
    the same offense or two or more different offenses of the same class of crimes or
    offenses, under separate counts, and if two or more accusatory pleadings are filed in such
    cases in the same court, the court may order them to be consolidated.”
    68
    could be used to establish the commission of a culpable act related to the uncharged
    offense. Accordingly, while the New court’s discussion of similarities has some bearing
    here, its reasoning, conclusion, and affirmance of the trial court’s ruling in that case is not
    “apples to apples” analogous.
    As for the similarities the trial court relied upon here, we begin with the fact that
    both women were married to defendant at the time of their deaths. As the People point
    out, the court in New observed: “The circumstances surrounding [the two] deaths were
    similar. Perhaps most significant is the fact that both victims were married to [the
    defendant] at the time they were killed.” (
    New, supra
    , 163 Cal.App.4th at p. 469.) But
    the court immediately followed that statement with: “In addition, both . . . were shot a
    single time, in the back of the head, from a relatively close distance. Both victims
    appeared to have been asleep at the time they were shot. At the time each of the victims
    was killed, New was the beneficiary of the victims’ life insurance policy. These facts are
    sufficient to support an inference that [the defendant] did not accidentally shoot [the first
    wife], but instead, that he shot her intending to kill her.” (Id. at pp. 469-470, italics
    added.) Thus, as the italicized language makes clear, the New court’s observation
    concerning marital status was not divorced from important aspects of the circumstances
    in which the two wives were killed and the motive for the killings. And while we find
    the fact defendant here was married to the two decedents is not insignificant, we conclude
    the way in which the victims were killed and the lack of proof related to that
    circumstance regarding defendant’s second wife cannot be overlooked in deciding the
    probative value to be weighed in the balance. This is not to say that other act evidence
    has to involve the same manner of killing. Rogers is an example where that was not
    required. 
    (Rogers, supra
    , 
    57 Cal. 4th 296
    [prior uncharged murders committed by
    stabbing, charged murder committed by strangulation].) Nevertheless, the manner of
    killing is a significant dissimilarity here and more to the point, it was questionable
    whether defendant even committed a homicidal act in relation to his second wife’s death.
    69
    Next, the trial court noted that the defendant was the only person present when the
    two wives were killed. And, on appeal, the People argue: “there was no question that
    [defendant] was the only person present” at the time of the deaths. We disagree. Unlike
    the uncharged Georgia incident, the charged offense did not take place in a remote
    location where nobody else was around. The charged act took place in the family home
    in a residential neighborhood and the couple’s children were in the home at the time.
    Thus, this is not a situation where defendant committed a homicidal act at a location of
    his choosing where there was no chance of his act being discovered by others.
    The trial court relied on its characterization that both victims suffered “violent
    deaths” as a similarity, but this does not strike us as being of much probative value. First,
    most homicides are the result of violence, so the same could be said for nearly all
    killings. Second, there is no similarity between the violence of inflicting multiple stab
    wounds and injuries sustained in a vehicle crash. Indeed, unlike the direct violence
    inflicted in the killing in the charged offense, under the prosecution’s speculative theory,
    the purported violence related to the second wife’s death was only indirectly inflicted by
    defendant by somehow causing the crash.
    The trial court also relied on the nature of defendant’s injuries, but this
    circumstance does not help move the needle either. It appears that the determination that
    defendant’s injuries were inconsistent with both the uncharged event and the charged
    event was nothing more than the opinion of the trial court at the time it made its ruling.
    Indeed, there was no specific evidentiary proffer or expert report submitted to the trial
    court before its ruling indicating that the injuries defendant had after the Georgia incident
    were inconsistent with his description of what had happened or opining as to what
    injuries one should expect following such an incident. Nor was there any such evidence
    provided to the trial court supporting its finding that the type of injuries observed on
    defendant after his arrest for the charged offense were inconsistent with the events as he
    described them. Rather, again, at the time of the ruling, the determination that
    70
    defendant’s injuries in both instances were inconsistent with what would be expected
    under the attendant circumstances was merely the court’s opinion.
    The trial court found as a point of similarity that defendant was under financial
    stress at the time of both deaths and that he financially benefited from both deaths.
    However, the nature of the financial benefit and amount of the benefits are materially
    dissimilar. Unlike the death of the second wife which resulted in large insurance
    payments, there was no such benefit associated with the death of the victim here. As for
    child support, defendant would be legally obligated to support his children whether the
    victim was alive or dead. And since there was evidence that it was the victim’s income
    that paid for the kids’ food, clothing and childcare, killing her would mean defendant
    would have to fund these expenses from his income. That leaves the potential avoidance
    of support payments to the victim, but to achieve the benefit of avoiding spousal support,
    defendant would have to convince people that he killed the victim in self-defense; this
    case does not present a situation where a killer husband tries to make the deaths of both
    wives appear accidental to achieve a financial benefit. As for defendant being financially
    stressed, the insurance payoff would have alleviated this problem at the time his second
    wife died, but killing the victim here would not have made his bills go away. Similar to
    child support, killing the victim and losing her income would only exacerbate this
    problem.
    More importantly here, when the in limine motions were argued, it was clear that
    the main motive in this case was the affair and fear of loss of custody of his children, not
    financial gain. (See 
    Williams, supra
    , 23 Cal.App.5th at p. 410 [noting that the motive in
    the charged incident was “rage at the collapse of the marriage”].) Defendant only killed
    the victim here when it was clear she would not terminate the affair and resume her
    relationship with him. Importantly, no similar circumstance was established regarding
    the death of the second wife.
    71
    The prosecution argued in the trial court and the People argue on appeal that the
    doctrine of chances establishes probative value. But the doctrine of chances is not a
    separate doctrine to show intent; rather it explains why a defendant’s intent can be
    inferred from other acts of misconduct and events involving similar circumstances.
    Indeed, the doctrine of chances is the theory upon which the requirement to show
    similarities to establish intent is based.
    Our high court has written: “The reasoning underlying use of an actor’s prior acts
    as circumstantial evidence of that actor’s later intent is well explained by Wigmore. It is
    based on ‘the doctrine of chances—the instinctive recognition of that logical process
    which eliminates the element of innocent intent by multiplying instances of the same
    result until it is perceived that this element cannot explain them all. Without formulating
    any accurate test, and without attempting by numerous instances to secure absolute
    certainty of inference, the mind applies this rough and instinctive process of reasoning,
    namely, that an unusual and abnormal element might perhaps be present in one instance,
    but that the oftener similar instances occur with similar results, the less likely is the
    abnormal element likely to be the true explanation of them. [¶] . . . In short, similar
    results do not usually occur through abnormal causes; and the recurrence of a similar
    result (here in the shape of an unlawful act) tends (increasingly with each instance) to
    negative accident or inadvertence or self-defense or good faith or other innocent mental
    state, and tends to establish (provisionally, at least, though not certainly) the presence of
    the normal, i.e., criminal, intent accompanying such an act; and the force of each
    additional instance will vary in each kind of offense according to the probability that the
    act could be repeated, within a limited time under given circumstances, with an innocent
    intent.’ ” (People v. Robbins (1988) 
    45 Cal. 3d 867
    , 879-880.)
    Imwinkelried, upon whom the Robbins court relied, has noted: “The doctrine
    teaches us that the more often the defendant performs the actus reus, the smaller is the
    likelihood that the defendant acted with an innocent state of mind.” (1 Imwinkelried,
    72
    Uncharged Misconduct Evidence (rev. ed. 2020), § 5:6, p. 6 (Imwinkelried).) However,
    sometimes a single uncharged act will suffice when the conduct underlying the uncharged
    and charged events is similar and complex. “If the crime requires several separate steps
    for completion, the defendant’s performance of a similar, complex act has obvious
    probative value on the issue of intent.” (Id. at § 5:7, p. 5)
    However, application of the doctrine of chances requires clarity as to the culpable
    act underlying the uncharged events as well as similarity. When uncharged misconduct
    evidence is offered to prove mens rea in the charged offense, Imwinkelried has noted: “It
    is a given that the defendant committed the uncharged acts, and the question is whether
    those acts are so similar to the charged act that they increase the probability that the
    defendant committed the charged act with a mens rea.” 
    (Imwinkelried, supra
    , at § 5:8,
    p. 9, italics added.) Here, it was not “a given” that defendant committed the uncharged
    acts, there is no complex series of similar acts, and in fact, as we have noted, there are
    material dissimilarities in the asserted similar circumstances.
    This case is nothing like 
    Steele, supra
    , 
    27 Cal. 4th 1230
    and 
    Spector, supra
    , 
    194 Cal. App. 4th 1335
    , upon which the People rely in their doctrine of chances argument. We
    have previously discussed both cases, but briefly return to Steele, a case involving a
    single uncharged act event and the application of the doctrine of chances. The Steele
    court noted, “the doctrine of chances is based on a combination of similar events. . . .
    The fact that defendant killed twice under similar circumstances is logically probative of
    whether the second killing was premeditated even if no independent evidence existed that
    the first killing was itself premeditated. . . . The fact defendant had previously killed
    with a knife strengthens the inference that he considered the possibility of homicide from
    the outset when he entered the victim’s house with a knife. The fact that defendant had
    previously killed a young woman supports his stated motive that he hated women. The
    fact that defendant killed twice in the same distinctive manner—a cluster of seven or
    eight stab wounds in the chest or abdomen combined with manual strangulation—
    73
    strengthens the inference that he had a calculated design to kill precisely that way.”
    (Steele, at pp. 1244-1245.) There is no similar combination of complex circumstances
    here.
    We conclude that given the problems of proof concerning the asserted homicidal
    act and the dissimilarities, the probative value of the evidence concerning the second
    wife’s death was not substantial. We turn next to the pertinent section 352
    counterweights.
    b. Undue Consumption of Time
    The “probability” that the presentation of the subject evidence would necessitate
    undue consumption of time was high. (Evid. Code, § 352.) We review the trial court’s
    ruling in this regard based on matters as they were before the trial court at the time of the
    motion, not at trial. (See People v. Cervantes (2004) 
    118 Cal. App. 4th 162
    , 176 [we
    normally review a trial court’s evidentiary ruling based on the facts known to the trial
    court at the time of the ruling].)
    In its pretrial motion to introduce this evidence, the prosecution represented that
    it’s presentation would consume “no more than one day” of trial. The trial court correctly
    expressed skepticism, stating: “I’m not so sure I can see how you can possibly do it
    anywhere near that quickly.” The prosecution even acknowledged that it would present
    the testimony of at least two “civilian witnesses,” presumably W.D. and/or M.H. and/or
    the second wife’s sister, “a couple of police officers,” testimony concerning the autopsy,
    and testimony concerning financial matters. Defense counsel notified the court that
    defendant would testify to respond to these matters. Defense counsel asserted that, if this
    evidence were introduced, “[w]e’re talking about two trials.” In addition to evidence
    presentation, the closing argument on the uncharged event by both counsel and additional
    instructions were factors the trial court should have considered regarding the
    consumption of time. (See People v. Harris (1998) 
    60 Cal. App. 4th 727
    , 739 [noting that
    the other act evidence “necessitated lengthy instructions and admonitions and occupied a
    74
    good portion of the closing arguments”].) In short, it was clear at the time the trial court
    originally considered and ruled on this motion that the presentation of this evidence was
    going to consume a substantial amount of time. Defense counsel was right in that the
    evidence essentially involved a second murder trial. As it turned out, at trial, between the
    prosecution and the defense, no fewer than 13 witnesses testified, at least in part, about
    circumstances related to the second wife’s death. This testimony was presented over
    parts of eight different days. The entire trial involved the presentation of witness
    testimony over the course of 12 days.
    It was always clear that the presentation of the evidence and argument of the
    evidence related to the second wife’s death would consume a significant portion of this
    trial.
    c. Undue Prejudice
    While the evidence concerning the death of the second wife was not necessarily
    more inflammatory than the evidence of the charged offense, it nevertheless presented a
    substantial danger of prejudice because it painted defendant as someone who repeatedly
    killed his spouses. In the absence of sufficient evidence establishing a culpable
    homicidal act and points of similarity tending logically, naturally, and by reasonable
    inference to establish a culpable mental state in the charged offense or tending to negate
    self-defense or the existence of a mistaken need to act in self-defense, the evidence was
    not much more than speculative propensity evidence.
    Moreover, as our high court has noted, “the prejudicial effect of [uncharged act]
    evidence is increased if the uncharged acts did not result in a criminal conviction. This is
    because the jury might be inclined to punish the defendant for the uncharged acts
    regardless of whether it considers the defendant guilty of the charged offense and because
    the absence of a conviction increases the likelihood of confusing the issues, in that the
    jury will have to determine whether the uncharged acts occurred.” (People v. Tran
    (2011) 
    51 Cal. 4th 1040
    , 1047, citing 
    Ewoldt, supra
    , 7 Cal.4th at p. 405.) Unlike in
    75
    Steele, where the court concluded the fact the defendant was convicted of the prior killing
    reduced any prejudicial effect (
    Steele, supra
    , 27 Cal.4th at p. 1245), here there was no
    punishment and, to the contrary, there was a significant financial benefit defendant
    realized–over one million dollars in insurance payments. Thus, the danger that some
    jurors might want to punish defendant for his second wife’s death was high.
    Moreover, at the time of the ruling, the evidence was potentially unduly
    prejudicial inasmuch as it gave rise to the likelihood of the jury employing circular
    reasoning in convicting him: Defendant killed is third wife in the charged offense,
    therefore he likely killed his second wife during the 1999 Georgia incident, therefore in
    the charged offense, he acted with intent to unlawfully kill and premeditation and
    deliberation and not in self-defense or under the mistaken belief in the need to defend
    himself. The trial court finally realized this potential prejudice and gave an instruction in
    an attempt to mitigate that prejudice.
    d. Conclusion – Section 352
    In light of the insubstantial probative value of this evidence, and the probability
    that its admission would necessitate undue consumption of time and create a substantial
    danger of undue prejudice, we conclude the trial court abused its discretion in denying
    defendant’s objection on section 352 grounds.
    F. Harmless Error
    Notwithstanding our conclusion that the evidence related to the second wife’s
    death should have been excluded, we conclude that the error was harmless.
    1. Standard of Review
    Defendant asserts that we must assess the prejudice he sustained under the
    “harmless beyond a reasonable doubt” standard from Chapman v. California (1967) 
    386 U.S. 18
    [
    17 L. Ed. 2d 705
    ] (Chapman) because the error violated his constitutional right to
    due process and a fair trial by requiring him to defend against another homicide
    allegation which, in turn, deprived him of the opportunity to present a viable defense. He
    76
    asserts that the introduction of this evidence was conducive to irreparable mistake, and
    therefore its admission violated his federal due process rights. “The beyond-a-
    reasonable-doubt standard of Chapman ‘requir[es] the beneficiary of a [federal]
    constitutional error to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that the error complained of did
    not contribute to the verdict obtained.’ [Citation.] ‘To say that an error did not
    contribute to the ensuing verdict is . . . to find that error unimportant in relation to
    everything else the jury considered on the issue in question, as revealed in the record.’
    [Citation.] Thus, the focus is what the jury actually decided and whether the error might
    have tainted its decision. That is to say, the issue is ‘whether the . . . verdict actually
    rendered in this trial was surely unattributable to the error.” (People v. Neal (2003) 
    31 Cal. 4th 63
    , 86.)
    The People counter that the test set forth in People v. Watson (1956) 
    46 Cal. 2d 818
    (Watson) is applicable here. “[T]he Watson test for harmless error ‘focuses not on
    what a reasonable jury could do, but what such a jury is likely to have done in the absence
    of the error under consideration. In making that evaluation, an appellate court may
    consider, among other things, whether the evidence supporting the existing judgment is
    so relatively strong, and the evidence supporting a different outcome is so comparatively
    weak, that there is no reasonable probability the error of which the defendant complains
    affected the result.’ ” (People v. Beltran (2013) 
    56 Cal. 4th 935
    , 956 (Beltran).)
    We agree with the People that the Watson standard applies. “Erroneous admission
    of other crimes evidence is prejudicial if it appears reasonably probable that, absent the
    error, a result more favorable to the defendant would have been reached.” (People v.
    Felix (1993) 
    14 Cal. App. 4th 997
    , 1007-1008; see also People v. Welch (1999) 
    20 Cal. 4th 701
    , 749-750 [whether introduction of other crimes evidence violated section 1101, it
    was not prejudicial based on the Watson standard]; People v. Ghebretensae (2013) 
    222 Cal. App. 4th 741
    , 755 [it is well-settled that claims of error in the admission of prior
    crimes evidence are evaluated under the Watson standard]; People v. Lopez (2011) 198
    
    77 Cal. App. 4th 698
    , 716 [applying the Watson standard to determine whether the erroneous
    admission of other crimes evidence was harmless]; People v. Perkins (1984) 
    159 Cal. App. 3d 646
    , 652 [applying the Watson standard to assess prejudice resulting from the
    erroneous admission of evidence of uncharged offense].) “[T]he admission of evidence,
    even if erroneous under state law, results in a due process violation only if it makes the
    trial fundamentally unfair.” (People v. Partida (2005) 
    37 Cal. 4th 428
    , 439.) “Absent
    fundamental unfairness, state law error in admitting evidence is subject to the traditional
    Watson test.” (Ibid.) While we conclude it was error to admit this evidence, we further
    conclude that it did not render defendant’s trial fundamentally unfair, and therefore we
    apply the Watson test in evaluating prejudice.
    2. Analysis
    It was undisputed that defendant killed the victim. Defendant acknowledged he
    pushed the scissors into the victim’s neck and that he wanted her to die when he did so.
    Thus, by his own admission, defendant acted willfully in that he intended to kill the
    victim. (See CALCRIM No. 521.)
    “ ‘ “ ‘ “[P]remeditated” means “considered beforehand,” and “deliberate” means
    “formed or arrived at or determined upon as a result of careful thought and weighing of
    considerations for and against the proposed course of action.” ’ ” ’ ” (People v. Morales
    (2020) 
    10 Cal. 5th 76
    , 88 (Morales).) “ ‘ “ ‘The true test is not the duration of time as
    much as it is the extent of the reflection. Thoughts may follow each other with great
    rapidity and cold, calculated judgment may be arrived at quickly . . . .’ ” ’ ” (People v.
    Casares (2016) 
    62 Cal. 4th 808
    , 824 (Casares), disapproved on another ground in People
    v. Dalton (2019) 
    7 Cal. 5th 166
    , 214.) Courts look to evidence of planning, motive, and
    manner of killing as guidelines to assess the sufficiency of evidence establishing
    deliberation and premeditation (see generally Morales, at pp. 88-89; 
    Anderson, supra
    , 70
    Cal.2d at pp. 26-27), and we find it useful to consider those guidelines here in our
    harmless error review.
    78
    We begin with motive. The evidence establishes that the victim was involved in
    an extra-marital romantic relationship. She planned to divorce defendant and marry J.W.
    Defendant was aware of the victim’s relationship with J.W., and of how long it had been
    going on. Shortly before the victim’s death, defendant called her father, which was
    unusual. Defendant asked, “ ‘Daddy, what am I going to do? … the marriage is in
    trouble. What can I do? I’m desperate. I want to save my family.’ ”
    The day before defendant killed the victim, she worked on divorce forms. She
    planned to fax the divorce papers to her attorney the following day. The evidence of the
    ongoing affair and impending divorce provided a strong motive for killing the victim.
    We next consider planning. In the weeks leading to the victim’s death, defendant
    was busy painting a picture of the victim as psychologically unstable, paralyzed with
    depression, and in need of psychiatric care. Defendant told the victim’s father that she
    was psychologically unstable, that she was smoking, drinking, and losing weight. He
    said she was “losing her mind.”
    Approximately two weeks before the victim’s death, according to E.D.,
    defendant’s supervisor, defendant expressed concern for the victim. Defendant told E.D.
    that she was paralyzed with depression, and that he was trying to arrange for psychiatric
    care. Defendant also told E.D. that the victim had been drinking and was suffering from
    alcoholism. Defendant claimed he was concerned about her ability to care for the
    children. He stated that he might need to take time off from work. On February 10,
    2012, E.D. sent a text message to defendant stating that he hoped all was well “on the
    family front.” Defendant responded, “ ‘trying to get [the victim] stabilized. Hard.
    Outcome unknown.’ ”
    After he killed the victim, defendant told the detectives he should not have
    confronted her because she had been “spinning a little more and more out-of-control.”
    He described her as a “powder keg.”
    79
    Defendant’s characterization of the victim was starkly at odds with the other
    descriptions of her in the time period before she was killed. Her father saw no indication
    that the victim was binge drinking or having psychological problems. J.W. testified that
    the victim drank only moderately and that, between 2009 and her death, her drinking
    habits did not change. J.W. did not detect alcohol on the victim’s breath which would
    make him think she was sneaking alcohol. J.W. testified that, during this time, the victim
    was indeed losing weight and losing hair from stress. However, she did not talk about
    suicide or depression or anxiety or anything that caused J.W. to be concerned about her
    mental health. They were planning a future together.
    This fabricated evidence concerning the victim’s emotional state supports the
    conclusion that defendant was planning her death, laying the groundwork for some claim
    related to her purportedly deteriorating mental state.
    Additionally, law enforcement never located the missing Toshiba computer on
    which the support calculations had been made or the missing hard drive from the home
    computer. A reasonable inference can be drawn based on the missing computer that
    defendant was aware of that the victim had filled out the Judicial Council forms. Under
    the circumstances, it could be reasonably inferred that defendant removed the computer
    and hard drive to cover up his motive and as part of a plan to kill the victim.
    The manner in which defendant killed the victim supports the jury’s determination
    that he acted deliberately and with premeditation. According to defendant’s own
    account, he ran out of the room to the garage after an initial altercation. He then decided
    to go back. Before doing so, he put on a padded motorcycle jacket. He barged into the
    victim’s bedroom. According to defendant, when the victim kicked him, he became
    enraged and “went after her.” He “bear crawled up her,” and tried to choke her.
    Defendant eventually gained control over the scissors and struck her on the face and
    throat. He “went for her throat.”
    80
    At this point, in defendant’s own narrative to the detectives, the victim began to
    beg for her life, and kept telling defendant that they could “resolve this.” She insisted
    they could work it out and that they would not get a divorce, and she begged defendant to
    “give [her] another chance.” She pleaded with him, “[d]on’t do this.” It can be
    reasonably inferred from these circumstances and the motive that instead of stopping,
    defendant made a calculated decision to “push[] the scissors [into his wife’s throat] as far
    as [he] could.” According to defendant’s statement to the detectives, he “[j]ust tried to
    drive it deeper and deeper.” Defendant expressly acknowledged that at that point, he
    wanted the victim to die. He told the detectives, “I just . . . went for the throat and then
    eventually her body went limp.” During his testimony, defendant confirmed that the
    victim had begged for her life, and that he wanted her to die.
    Dr. Fiore testified that the victim’s death would not have been instantaneous.
    Rather, it would have taken several minutes, perhaps as long as ten minutes, before she
    lost enough blood to lose consciousness. Defendant told the detectives that, after the
    victim went limp, he lay on top of her “for a long time,” perhaps five or ten minutes,
    which roughly corresponds with how long it would have taken the victim to lose enough
    blood to lose consciousness.
    After neutralizing the purported threat, defendant did not summon medical aid or
    call law enforcement, and according to his own account, did not himself attempt to
    resuscitate his wife for approximately 30 minutes. Defendant then cleaned the scene, but
    thinking “what do I do with all these cleaning supplies, this looks horrible,” he threw the
    cleaning supplies into the fire in the fireplace. By the time defendant caused law
    enforcement to be summoned, the victim had been dead for hours.
    That defendant intended to kill and thought about killing before he did so is not in
    serious dispute. The question was whether the killing was lawful because he acted in
    self-defense or voluntary manslaughter because he killed in imperfect self-defense. The
    prosecution had to prove beyond a reasonable doubt the absence of self-defense and
    81
    imperfect self-defense. (People v. Banks (1976) 
    67 Cal. App. 3d 379
    , 384; 
    Rios, supra
    , 23
    Cal.4th at p. 462.)
    At the time of the killing, the victim weighed 110 pounds. Defendant weighed
    230 pounds, outweighing her by 120 pounds. According to defendant’s account to the
    detectives, after he initially went into the victim’s separate bedroom, he was the one who
    started the physical confrontation by punching her. Thus, even according to his own
    story, defendant was the initial aggressor.
    Also pertinent to who was the initial aggressor, there was substantial evidence
    indicating that the victim feared defendant for which there was no objection and is not
    challenged on appeal. Three days to a week before the victim was killed, she told E.D.
    that she was seeking a restraining order in connection with her divorce because defendant
    threatened, “ ‘[i]f you divorce me, you’ll wind up like my second wife.’ ” From this
    evidence, it can be inferred that the victim was not the aggressor in the incident that led to
    her death. 27 (See People v. Spencer (1969) 
    71 Cal. 2d 933
    , 945-946 (Spencer) [victim’s
    statements of fear are admissible to prove the victim was not the aggressor when
    defendant claims self-defense]; People v. Romero (2007) 
    149 Cal. App. 4th 29
    , 37
    (Romero) [same].)
    The evidence concerning the victim’s wounds undermined defendant’s claim of
    self-defense. The wounds reflected a much more vicious attack than defendant described
    to the detectives, and also demonstrate the deliberate nature of his attack. The victim
    27  There was additional evidence of statements the victim made which defendant did not
    object to and does not challenge on appeal. These were the statements defendant made
    concerning his second wife’s ashes, but given the inconsistencies, this evidence was less
    compelling. The victim either told various people several versions or the witnesses
    misrecollected what she told them. As noted, when the victim inquired about winding up
    like the second wife – ashes in a box – the victim told people defendant responded:
    “ ‘not if you watch yourself’ ”; “ ‘if you don’t get out of line, then you won’t’ ”; “ ‘you’re
    not going to get in my way, are you?’ ”; and “ ‘not if you don’t make me angry.’ ”
    82
    sustained a severe incised wound leading from the edge of her eyelashes down her cheek,
    exposing her cheekbone. Another incised wound extended from her eyelashes towards
    her ear. It is reasonable to infer that once those wounds were inflicted, they would have
    significantly impeded any attempt by the victim to attack defendant. Additionally, the
    victim sustained several linear track-like wounds crossing the front of her neck from one
    side to the other which were consistent with something long being repeatedly drawn
    across the skin of her neck. It would be reasonable to infer that defendant deliberately
    inflicted these wounds in an unsuccessful attempt to slash the victim’s throat before
    resorting to stabbing her through her jugular vein. As for the fatal wound, it was an inch-
    and-a-half deep stab wound to the right side of her neck extending into her jugular vein
    created by an object such as scissors “being driven into the neck.”
    And the victim’s defensive wounds, including the stab wounds to the palms and
    the severed tendons to her right hand making her two fingers immobile undermine
    defendant’s claim that he and she struggled over control of the scissors which he claimed
    were in her right hand just before he wrestled them away and inflicted the fatal wound.
    The incised wounds to the face, the stab wound to the lip, the stab wound to the back
    above the buttocks, and the multiple marks behind her ear and on her neck and collar
    bone area possibly caused by the closed tip of scissors further show that defendant had
    full control over the scissors as he deliberately poked, stabbed and slashed the victim.
    Also undermining defendant’s version of the events and his claim of self-defense,
    is the testimony of the neighbors to whom defendant brought the children later that
    morning. V.J. testified defendant looked like he had “taken a shower” and “smelled like
    shampoo or cologne.” She also testified that defendant did not have any injuries on his
    hands or face. She specifically testified when defendant handed her his baby, she saw his
    hands, and there were no injuries on his hands. B.J. also testified he did not observe any
    injuries to defendant’s hands or face. However, when police arrived later, defendant had
    “obvious” bandages on his hands. Dr. Fiore examined photographs of these injuries and
    83
    opined that one of them looked “more kind of cut out” than a defensive wound. A jury
    could reasonably infer that some or all of defendant’s injuries were self-inflicted in a
    belated effort to contrive evidence to support his self-defense claim.
    As the jury was instructed, a determination that a defendant committed a
    justifiable homicide based on self-defense required a finding that the defendant used no
    more force than reasonably necessary to defend himself against the imminent danger of
    being killed or suffering great bodily injury. (CALCRIM No. 505.) But, according to his
    account of the events, defendant fled the physical altercation with the victim and went to
    the garage. At that time, he could have chosen to leave, or to call 911, which he did not
    do. Instead, he went back into the bedroom. Further, as noted, when he reported the
    victim’s death to D.B., he acknowledged: “I didn’t have to take it that far.” While at trial
    defendant testified that, when he said this, he meant that he “should have had the strength
    to disable her and get the child and get out of the room without having it erode or degrade
    into a life-or-death situation,” the jury was free to reject this belated explanation and
    conclude instead that defendant’s earlier statement acknowledged that the force he used
    was excessive. And again, based on his own account of the struggle, the victim pleaded
    for her life before he thrust the scissors into her neck severing her jugular vein.
    Moreover, the only evidence directly supporting defendant’s claim of self-defense
    was his own statements to law enforcement and his testimony. Defendant testified that a
    litany of the prosecution witnesses had lied or been less than truthful, and that the victim
    had lied. Unlike all the other witnesses, he maintained he told the truth about everything.
    However, the jury also heard evidence, and defendant’s admissions, that he had lied to
    employers on two occasions by telling them that he had cancer when he did not. And, as
    noted, the evidence established that defendant fabricated evidence concerning the
    victim’s mental state prior to the killing. A rational trier of fact may disbelieve those
    portions of a defendant’s statements that are obviously self-serving, reject implausible
    explanations, and draw inculpatory inferences from his testimony and the other evidence.
    84
    (People v. Silva (2001) 
    25 Cal. 4th 345
    , 369.) It would have been reasonable for the jury
    to conclude defendant lacked credibility or otherwise reject his account of the events and
    his claim of self-defense.
    That defendant chose to return to the bedroom after escaping to the garage also
    undermines a finding that defendant killed in the heat of passion. Even assuming the
    victim’s purported threat to have J.W. take care of defendant was both believable and
    sufficient provocation, defendant had an opportunity to cool off when he went to the
    garage. As the jury was instructed, “[i]f enough time passed between the provocation and
    the killing for a person of average disposition to ‘cool off’ and regain his or her reasoning
    and judgment, then the killing is not reduced to voluntary manslaughter on this basis.”
    (CALCRIM No. 570.) In defendant’s own description of the initial confrontation, he
    gained the upper hand and fled from the bedroom to the garage, where he had the choice
    to leave, to call 911, to call friends for assistance, or to take some course of action other
    than donning a padded motorcycle jacket as armor and returning as he described.
    Defendant’s flight to the garage after gaining the upper hand on the victim “represented a
    distinct and divisible event in the sequence of events and provided him sufficient time to
    ‘cool down.’ ” (People v. Middleton (1997) 
    52 Cal. App. 4th 19
    , 34, disapproved on
    another ground in People v. Gonzalez (2003) 
    31 Cal. 4th 745
    , 752, fn. 3.)
    Finally, defendant attempted to mount a mens rea defense through the expert
    testimony of Dr. Lossy, summarized ante. However, nothing Dr. Lossy said in his
    testimony undermines our conclusion about the strength of the evidence establishing that
    defendant committed willful, premeditated and deliberate murder.
    As we noted ante, in our harmless error analysis under Watson, we “may consider,
    . . . whether the evidence supporting the existing judgment is so relatively strong, and the
    evidence supporting a different outcome is so comparatively weak, that there is no
    reasonable probability the error of which the defendant complains affected the result.’ ”
    (Beltran, 56 Cal.4th at p. 956.) And we focus “not on what a reasonable jury could do,
    85
    but what such a jury is likely to have done in the absence of the error under
    consideration.” (Ibid.)
    3. Conclusion – Harmless Error
    Independent of the evidence concerning the second wife’s death, the evidence
    outlined above established that defendant intentionally killed the victim, and that he did
    so willfully and with deliberation and premeditation. Indeed, the evidence
    overwhelmingly supports this conclusion. 28 In light of the other evidence before the
    jury, it is not reasonably probable that, had the uncharged act evidence not been admitted,
    a result more favorable to defendant, such as a conviction of second degree murder,
    voluntary manslaughter based on heat of passion or imperfect self-defense, acquittal upon
    a finding of lawful self-defense, or even a hung jury would have been achieved. (See
    generally 
    Watson, supra
    , 46 Cal.2d at pp. 836-837.)
    II. The Victim’s Statements and Evidence Relating to Fear of Defendant
    A. Additional Background
    In his motions in limine, defendant sought to exclude: (1) the victim’s statements
    about defendant beating an unidentified person in Bali approximately 10 years prior to
    the date of trial; (2) the testimony of the victim’s brother describing the incident when
    defendant allegedly choked the victim in front of others as a sort of demonstration; and
    (3) the victim’s statements about a plan by defendant to stage an automobile accident in
    order to collect money from his employer. Defendant requested the exclusion of this
    evidence on relevance, hearsay, and section 352 grounds.
    28  In our evaluation of harmless error here, we have not considered the evidence related
    to the victim’s state of mind that defendant argues on appeal was erroneously admitted.
    We discuss that evidence in an unpublished portion of this opinion in part II. of the
    Discussion, post.
    86
    In opposition, the prosecution asserted that the victim’s state of mind was relevant
    and fell within an exception to the hearsay rule. Relying on Evidence Code section 1250,
    the prosecutor asserted that the evidence of the victim’s then-existing state of mind was
    not inadmissible by operation of the hearsay rule when offered to prove her state of mind
    at that time when it is an issue in the action. And the evidence was relevant to the
    victim’s state of mind and fear of defendant at the time of the killing to show that she was
    not the initial aggressor and thus to negate defendant’s claim of self-defense.
    The court denied defendant’s motion and allowed the jury to hear the evidence
    based on the prosecution’s state of mind theory.
    At the close of the prosecution’s case, the trial court instructed the jury
    “concern[ing] statements made by [the victim] before her death.” The trial court
    instructed the jury: “The People have also presented evidence that [the victim] made a
    number of statements prior to her death on February 27, 2012. If you believe that one or
    more of these statements were made by [the victim], you may consider that information
    only for the limited purpose of determining her state of mind at the time of her death.
    That evidence may not be considered for any other purpose.” The trial court re-read this
    instruction to the jury following the close of all evidence.
    B. Defendant’s Contentions
    Defendant asserts that the trial court erred in admitting evidence relevant to the
    victim’s state of mind, specifically her fear of defendant, on the ground that it was
    irrelevant, improper character evidence, and was otherwise inadmissible on section 352
    grounds. Defendant raises this contention in connection with numerous accounts about
    which witnesses testified, beyond the three instances that were the subject of defendant’s
    in limine motion. In addition to those three instances, defendant raises this claim in
    connection with testimony describing: (1) the scuba diving incident in which defendant,
    who had the only source of light, abandoned the victim; (2) defendant chasing a
    contractor down the street with a baseball bat and throwing rocks at people; (3) the
    87
    victim’s statement to J.W. to look carefully at defendant if she ended up dead; (4) the
    victim’s claim that defendant raped her, resulting in an unwanted pregnancy; (5) the
    victim’s description of defendant as emotionally abusive, and her statement, in response
    to being asked about whether defendant was physically abusive, that she did not bruise
    easily; and (6) the fact that defendant was hiding money which made her fear for her life.
    Defendant asserts that the admission of this evidence infringed on his federal
    constitutional due process rights. He also asserts that, to the extent he forfeited any
    contentions relating to this evidence, he was denied the constitutionally effective
    assistance of counsel.
    C. Forfeiture
    Regarding the testimony which was not the subject of the in limine motion,
    defendant did not object on the grounds asserted in this appeal when the testimony was
    introduced. 29 Thus, defendant forfeited his contentions by failing to object to the
    admission of the evidence in the trial court on the grounds he asserts on appeal. (People
    v. Pearson (2013) 
    56 Cal. 4th 393
    , 438 (Pearson) [defense counsel’s hearsay objection in
    the trial court failed to preserve claim based on relevance, which claim was therefore
    forfeited on appeal]; People v. Alexander (2010) 
    49 Cal. 4th 846
    , 912 [because defendant
    did not object to evidence at trial as improper character evidence under Evid. Code,
    § 1101, he forfeited such a claim]; People v. Gurule (2002) 
    28 Cal. 4th 557
    , 626 [failure
    to raise objection based on Evid. Code, § 352 before the trial court forfeits contention on
    appeal]; see also Evid. Code, § 353.) Because defendant has also raised the contention
    that his trial counsel was constitutionally ineffective for failing to object to the
    29 As for E.D.’s testimony that the victim told him defendant was keeping money
    somewhere, she did not know why, and that this frightened her, the defense did object,
    but on grounds of speculation. The objection was overruled. Defendant does not renew
    that contention here.
    88
    introduction of this evidence, we shall address defendant’s contentions post, following
    our discussion of his preserved contentions.
    D. State of Mind Evidence and Standard of Review
    “In pertinent part, Evidence Code section 1250 creates an exception to the hearsay
    rule that permits admission of ‘evidence of a statement of the declarant’s then existing
    state of mind, emotion, or physical sensation (including a statement of intent, plan,
    motive, design, mental feeling, pain, or bodily health) . . . when: [¶] (1) The evidence is
    offered to prove the declarant’s state of mind, emotion, or physical sensation at that time
    or any other time when it is itself an issue in the action; or [¶] (2) The evidence is
    offered to prove or explain acts or conduct of the declarant.’ ” (People v. Jablonski
    (2006) 
    37 Cal. 4th 774
    , 819 (Jablonski), quoting Evid. Code, § 1250, subd. (a).) 30 As our
    high court has made clear, “ ‘ “a victim’s out-of-court statements of fear of an accused
    are admissible under [Evidence Code] section 1250 only when the victim’s conduct in
    conformity with that fear is in dispute. Absent such dispute, the statements are
    irrelevant.” ’ ” (Jablonski, at p. 819.)
    In addition to statements admissible under Evidence Code section 1250,
    statements that convey circumstantial evidence supporting the premise that the victim
    feared defendant could be admissible as nonhearsay statements not offered to prove the
    truth of the matter asserted. Our high court explained the difference between statements
    providing direct evidence of a victim’s fear admissible under the Evidence Code section
    1250 hearsay exception and nonhearsay statements providing circumstantial evidence of
    30  Evidence Code section 1250 is subject to the limitation set forth in Evidence Code
    section 1252. That section provides: “Evidence of a statement is inadmissible under this
    article if the statement was made under circumstances such as to indicate its lack of
    trustworthiness.” Defendant does not raise Evidence Code 1252 or assert that any of the
    statements at issue were made under circumstances indicating their lack of
    trustworthiness.
    89
    the victim’s fear. “In the hearsay category of statements were [the victim’s] direct
    declarations of her state of mind—e.g., ‘I am afraid of [defendant].’ Although these
    statements were hearsay, they were admissible under the hearsay exception of Evidence
    Code section 1250 to prove the truth of the matters asserted.” (People v. Riccardi (2012)
    
    54 Cal. 4th 758
    , 822 (Riccardi), disapproved on another ground in People v. Rangel
    (2016) 
    62 Cal. 4th 1192
    , 1216 (Rangel).) “In the nonhearsay category of statements were
    [the victim’s] indirect declarations of her state of mind, because they contained
    descriptions or assessments of defendant’s conduct that engendered [the victim’s] fear or
    altered her conduct—e.g., ‘[Defendant] kidnapped me at gunpoint.’ These statements
    were not hearsay to the extent they were admitted to prove circumstantially [the victim’s]
    state of mind or conduct, and not to prove the truth of matters asserted regarding
    defendant’s conduct.” (Riccardi, at p. 823.)
    We review the trial court’s admission of this evidence over objections based on
    relevance or section 352 for an abuse of discretion. (
    Riccardi, supra
    , 54 Cal.4th at
    pp. 809, 815.)
    E. Analysis of Preserved Contentions
    In light of defendant’s reliance on self-defense, the victim’s state of mind was at
    issue. Thus, her statements about threats defendant made and statements she made about
    defendant’s conduct from which one could infer her fear of him were relevant and
    admissible under Evidence Code section 1250 or as circumstantial evidence of her fear.
    (See 
    Riccardi, supra
    , 54 Cal.4th at p. 822; 
    Spencer, supra
    , 71 Cal.2d at pp. 945-946;
    
    Romero, supra
    , 149 Cal.App.4th at p. 37.) Having raised the issue of self-defense, which
    would require the trier of fact to determine that the victim was the aggressor, the
    prosecution was entitled to demonstrate she was apprehensive and unlikely to be
    aggressive. “ ‘Her fear would then have been a factor properly before the factfinder in its
    deliberations on the defendant’s claim of self-defense.’ ” (Spencer, at p. 946.)
    90
    1. Beating in Bali
    The victim told Je.W. and her other girlfriends that, on an occasion when she was
    on vacation, a person had hit on her, and defendant “beat that person to a bloody pulp and
    left them there, and she wasn’t sure if they were alive or dead.” Similarly, the victim told
    J.W. that during her honeymoon in Bali, defendant assaulted a tour guide who had
    “goosed” her. She said defendant beat the man and may have killed him.
    The event recounted demonstrates that the victim observed an episode of
    defendant’s explosive violence firsthand. We conclude that this testimony was relevant
    to the victim’s state of mind, specifically her fear of defendant, and this testimony was
    thus relevant and admissible for the proper inference that the victim was not the aggressor
    in the confrontation with defendant that led to her death.
    This evidence was not hearsay admitted for its truth – that defendant beat a man
    while on his honeymoon. Rather, it was offered for the nonhearsay purpose of serving as
    circumstantial evidence of the victim’s state of mind – that she was in fear of defendant.
    (See 
    Riccardi, supra
    , 54 Cal.4th at p. 823.) Thus, we conclude that the trial court did not
    abuse its discretion in admitting this nonhearsay evidence as relevant to the victim’s state
    of mind, which was at issue.
    Contrary to the cases on which defendant relies (People v. Hernandez (2003) 
    30 Cal. 4th 835
    , 872; 
    Jablonski, supra
    , 37 Cal.4th at pp. 818-821), where the victim’s state of
    mind was not in issue, here, because self-defense was asserted and the victim’s fear of
    defendant was at issue, this evidence was admissible. (See 
    Spencer, supra
    , 71 Cal.2d at
    pp. 945-946; 
    Romero, supra
    , 149 Cal.App.4th at p. 37.) 31
    31 Citing Jablonski, defendant also suggests that such evidence is only admissible if the
    victim’s statements were communicated to the defendant. But in Jablonski, the court
    expressly concluded the victim’s state of mind was not in issue and thus the evidence was
    inadmissible for that purpose. 
    (Jablonski, supra
    , 37 Cal.4th at p. 820.) The court then
    went on to conclude that because the victim’s statement of fear had been communicated
    91
    Defendant attacks the probative value of this evidence based on remoteness.
    However, it does not matter that this attack occurred 10 years prior to the killing and that
    the victim continued to live with defendant in the interim. Neither the passage of time
    nor the fact that she did not immediately abandon defendant undermine the conclusion
    that the victim had witnessed defendant’s violence and, as a result, knew what he was
    capable of when provoked.
    We further conclude that the trial court did not abuse its discretion in admitting
    this evidence over defendant’s section 352 objection. This testimony was probative, as
    stated, and gave rise to no probability that its admission would necessitate undue
    consumption of time, confuse the issues, or mislead the jury. (See Evid. Code, § 352.)
    While this evidence could arguably create some danger of undue prejudice as tending to
    depict defendant as a violent person, given his self-defense claim, we conclude this
    potential danger did not substantially outweigh its probative value. And this evidence
    was far less inflammatory than the properly admitted evidence, in the form of defendant’s
    own statements regarding how he killed his wife.
    Additionally, the trial court instructed the jury that evidence of the victim’s
    statements was admissible for the limited purpose of assessing her state of mind, and that
    it was not to be considered for any other purpose.
    Thus, we conclude that the trial court properly denied defendant’s in limine
    motion as to this testimony.
    to defendant, it was admissible to establish defendant’s state of mind in that he knew his
    encounter with the victim at her residence was “ ‘not going for a friendly visit,’ ” and
    thus established that defendant planned to approach the victim by stealth as opposed to
    open confrontation, which, in turn, established premeditation and deliberation. (Id. at
    p. 821.) Thus, the evidence was admitted not to show the victim was afraid of defendant
    but rather for the effect on defendant’s state of mind. (Id. at pp. 820-821.) That is not the
    case here.
    92
    2. Strangulation Demonstration
    The victim’s brother testified that defendant described a time when he got what he
    felt was a bad deal on an airplane which put his life in danger. Defendant demonstrated
    what he wanted to do to the person involved in that transaction by grabbing the victim
    around her neck and shaking her violently. After defendant released her, he was
    apparently unaware he had hurt her. When he left to go to the bathroom, the victim cried.
    For the same reasons the testimony concerning defendant’s beating of a stranger in
    Bali was properly admitted, we conclude that the evidence pertaining to this strangulation
    demonstration was also relevant and admissible to circumstantially establish the victim’s
    fear of defendant, and show she was unlikely the aggressor in the incident where
    defendant took her life.
    We further note that defendant’s conduct as described by the victim’s brother was
    an act of domestic violence. Defendant was not entitled to have the jury determine his
    guilt or innocence on a false presentation that his relationship with the victim was
    peaceful. (People v. McCray (1997) 
    58 Cal. App. 4th 159
    , 172; People v. Zack (1986) 
    184 Cal. App. 3d 409
    , 415.) Indeed, this act of domestic violence was relevant and probative
    on the issue of defendant’s intent as well as the victim’s state of mind. (McCray, at
    p. 174.) And the probative value of this evidence was enhanced when considered in
    combination with the autopsy evidence and defendant’s own statements indicating that
    defendant choked the victim before he killed her.
    Moreover, the probative value of this evidence is not substantially outweighed by
    any section 352 concern. The admission of this testimony did not take a significant
    period of time and presented no danger of confusing the issues or misleading the jury. As
    for undue prejudice, this testimony did cast defendant in an unfavorable light. However,
    again, it was far less inflammatory than the evidence presented to the jury as to how
    defendant killed the victim. And in light of defendant’s self-defense claim, the probative
    93
    value of this evidence was substantial and not substantially outweighed by the danger of
    undue prejudice.
    Therefore, we conclude the trial court properly admitted this evidence.
    3. Plan to Stage Automobile Accident to Collect Money from Employer
    The victim told J.W. and her father that defendant was considering staging an
    accident in which he would dive out of his Mustang at the last minute and his car would
    be destroyed. Defendant intended to thereafter sue his employer, claiming that the
    lawsuit would be worth $23 million because he was working excessive hours.
    We agree with defendant that the trial court abused its discretion in denying his in
    limine motion to exclude this hearsay testimony. This statement bore no relation to any
    threats or defendant’s capacity for physical violence or the victim’s awareness thereof.
    Nor was any other connection made between this statement and the victim’s fear of
    defendant. At best, the evidence showed the victim was afraid that defendant would do
    something illegal, but this fear was not pertinent to whether the victim was the aggressor
    or defendant’s self-defense claim. We conclude this evidence was not relevant (see Evid.
    Code, § 210), and the trial court should have granted defendant’s request to preclude it as
    such. (Evid. Code, § 350.)
    However, we further conclude that, the admission of this evidence was harmless.
    The questions the jury was to answer was whether self-defense and imperfect self-
    defense had been negated and intent to unlawfully kill and premeditation and deliberation
    had been established. In light of the evidence discussed in our harmless error review
    related to defendant’s 1101(b) contention, it is not reasonably probable that, had the
    statement about the plan to stage an accident not been admitted, a result more favorable
    to defendant would have been achieved. (See 
    Watson, supra
    , 46 Cal.2d at pp. 836-837;
    see also 
    Riccardi, supra
    , 54 Cal.4th at p. 827 [applying the Watson test to the admission
    of statements made by the murder victim concerning her state of mind and her fear of
    defendant].) Here again, we note the court instructed the jury that it could only consider
    94
    this evidence for the limited purpose of determining the victim’s state of mind and it
    could not be used for any other purpose.
    F. Unpreserved Contentions and Ineffective Assistance of Counsel
    Anticipating we would conclude the belated contentions he raises on appeal have
    been forfeited, defendant asserts that he was deprived of the constitutionally effective
    assistance of counsel.
    1. Ineffective Assistance of Counsel Analysis
    To prevail on a claim of ineffective assistance of counsel, a defendant must show
    (1) counsel’s performance fell below an objective standard of reasonableness under
    prevailing professional norms, and (2) the deficient performance prejudiced defendant.
    (Strickland v. Washington (1984) 
    466 U.S. 668
    , 688, 691-692 [
    80 L. Ed. 2d 674
    ]
    (Strickland); People v. Ledesma (1987) 
    43 Cal. 3d 171
    , 216-217 (Ledesma).)
    “ ‘Surmounting Strickland’s high bar is never an easy task.’ ” (Harrington v. Richter
    (2011) 
    562 U.S. 86
    , 105 [
    178 L. Ed. 2d 624
    , 642] (Richter), quoting Padilla v. Kentucky
    (2010) 
    559 U.S. 356
    , 371 [
    176 L. Ed. 2d 284
    , 297].) The reason why Strickland’s bar is
    high is because “[a]n ineffective-assistance claim can function as a way to escape rules of
    waiver and forfeiture and raise issues not presented at trial, and so the Strickland standard
    must be applied with scrupulous care, lest ‘intrusive post-trial inquiry’ threaten the
    integrity of the very adversary process the right to counsel is meant to serve. [Citation.]
    . . . It is ‘all too tempting’ to ‘second-guess counsel’s assistance after conviction or
    adverse sentence.’ ” (Richter, at p. 105.)
    To establish prejudice, “[i]t is not enough ‘to show that the errors had some
    conceivable effect on the outcome of the proceeding.’ ” 
    (Richter, supra
    , 562 U.S. at
    p. 104.) To show prejudice, defendant must show a reasonable probability that he would
    have received a more favorable result had counsel’s performance not been deficient.
    (
    Strickland, supra
    , 466 U.S. at pp. 693-694; 
    Ledesma, supra
    , 43 Cal.3d at pp. 217-218.)
    “A reasonable probability is a probability sufficient to undermine confidence in the
    95
    outcome.” (Strickland, at p. 694; accord, Ledesma, at p. 218.) The likelihood of a
    different result must be substantial, not just conceivable. (Richter, at p. 112.)
    2. Admissible Statements Establishing Circumstantial Proof of the Victim’s
    Fear
    We conclude that the evidence of the victim’s statements concerning the scuba
    diving incident; defendant chasing a contractor with a bat and throwing rocks; the victim
    warning J.W. “[i]f anything happens to me, I want you to look at” defendant; the rape
    resulting in an unwanted pregnancy; that defendant was emotionally abusive and the
    victim’s statement that she did not bruise easily in response to a question as to whether
    defendant physically abused her; and her fear of defendant because he was hiding money
    was all admissible as circumstantial evidence of the victim’s fear of defendant. (See
    
    Riccardi, supra
    , 54 Cal.4th at p. 823.) This evidence was relevant to show that, because
    of this fear, the victim was not the initial aggressor and to negate defendant’s self-defense
    story.
    We further conclude the trial court would not have abused its discretion in
    admitting this evidence over a section 352 objection had such an objection been made.
    This testimony did not present a probability that its admission would necessitate undue
    consumption of time, confuse the issues, or mislead the jury. (See Evid. Code, § 352.)
    Moreover, its probative value was not substantially outweighed by the probability that its
    admission would create a substantial danger of undue prejudice. True, the evidence made
    defendant look bad, but it was not inflammatory, particularly when compared to the
    conduct underlying the charged offense. Additionally, as noted, the trial court instructed
    the jury that evidence of the victim’s statements was admissible for the limited purpose of
    assessing the victim’s state of mind, and that it was not to be considered for any other
    purpose.
    Therefore, we conclude that defendant’s trial counsel’s performance in which he
    failed to object to this evidence on the grounds now asserted did not fall below an
    96
    objective standard of reasonableness. (See generally 
    Strickland, supra
    , 466 U.S. at
    pp. 688, 691-692; 
    Ledesma, supra
    , 43 Cal.3d at pp. 216-217.) Moreover, in light of the
    evidence we summarized in our harmless error review concerning the section 1101(b)
    evidence, defendant has failed to establish prejudice.
    3. Inadmissible Victim Statement - The Amsterdam Incident
    Testimony concerning the Amsterdam episode, and whether defendant was
    malingering, as asserted by the People, was not a subject of defendant’s in limine motion,
    although defendant essentially treats it as though it was and discusses it jointly with the
    alleged plan to stage an automobile accident, discussed ante. The Amsterdam incident
    was discussed at oral argument before the trial court on defendant’s in limine motion, but
    as background information relevant to the alleged plan to stage an automobile accident.
    No specific objection was made with regard to this evidence. To the extent defendant
    contends that the Amsterdam evidence should have been precluded as irrelevant, the
    contention has been forfeited because of the failure to make a specific objection. (See
    Evid. Code, § 353; 
    Pearson, supra
    , 56 Cal.4th at p. 438.) However, given defendant’s
    ineffective assistance of counsel claim we next discuss this evidence.
    We conclude this evidence was not relevant to the victim’s fear of defendant as
    asserted by the People. It was thus not relevant, at least in the prosecution’s case-in-
    chief. (See Evid. Code, § 210.) Accordingly, we further conclude that defendant’s trial
    counsel could have made a valid objection to this testimony on relevance grounds. (Evid.
    Code, § 350.)
    However, assuming there was no tactical reason for not objecting, 32 we also
    conclude defendant suffered no prejudice. Based on the evidence of defendant’s guilt,
    32  We note that since part of defendant’s mens rea defense related to Dr. Lossy’s
    testimony concerning the Amsterdam episode, defense counsel may very well have had a
    tactic reason for not objecting to this evidence.
    97
    discussed ante in our harmless error analysis concerning the section 1101(b) evidence
    and the relative insignificance of the Amsterdam incident evidence, defendant has not
    established a reasonable probability that he would have achieved a more favorable result
    had counsel objected to this evidence. (
    Strickland, supra
    , 466 U.S. at pp. 693-694;
    
    Ledesma, supra
    , 43 Cal.3d at pp. 217-218.) 33
    III. Cumulative Error
    Defendant asserts that the cumulative effect of the errors discussed in parts I and II
    of the Discussion warrants reversal. He asserts that, because the errors complained of
    involved Chapman error, the Chapman standard of review applies to the cumulative error
    analysis.
    We disagree that reversal is required. The premise behind the cumulative error
    doctrine is that, while a number of errors may be harmless taken individually, their
    cumulative effect requires reversal. (People v. Bunyard (1988) 
    45 Cal. 3d 1189
    , 1236-
    1237.) However, any of the potential errors identified above “were harmless, whether
    considered individually or collectively. Defendant was entitled to a fair trial but not a
    perfect one.” (People v. Cunningham (2001) 
    25 Cal. 4th 926
    , 1009.) We have found no
    prejudice when considering defendant’s claims separately. Viewed cumulatively, our
    conclusion is the same. Defendant was not deprived of a fair trial.
    33 The conclusion that an error is not prejudicial under Watson yields the same result as
    to Strickland prejudice because the two standards are essentially the same. (People v.
    Ocegueda (2016) 
    247 Cal. App. 4th 1393
    , 1407, fn. 4.) Thus, even if oral argument before
    the trial court on defendant’s in limine motion could be deemed to have preserved an
    objection concerning the admissibility of the Amsterdam incident, we would conclude
    that admission of that evidence was nevertheless harmless.
    98
    IV. Sufficiency of the Evidence of Premeditation and Deliberation
    A. Defendant’s Contentions
    Defendant asserts that “as a matter of law,” the evidence was legally insufficient to
    support the finding of premeditation and deliberation necessary for conviction of first
    degree murder. (§ 189.) Defendant asserts there is no evidence in this record of any of
    planning, motive, and the manner of the killing sufficient to support a finding of
    premeditation and deliberation. He specifically asserts that there was no evidence of
    planning or that the scissors defendant used to kill the victim were anything other than a
    weapon of opportunity. He also asserts that, while evidence of a defendant’s subsequent
    behavior may furnish a basis for the conclusion that planning was involved, here, he
    admitted his behavior and did not attempt to conceal the killing. Defendant further
    contends that there was no evidence of any particular motive. Finally, he asserts that the
    manner in which he killed his wife does not support a finding of deliberation and
    premeditation; he asserts that, however brutal the killing, it was neither particular nor
    exacting, but rather more consistent with a frenzied attack.
    B. Standard of Review and the Anderson Guidelines
    “ ‘In assessing the sufficiency of the evidence, we review the entire record in the
    light most favorable to the judgment to determine whether it discloses evidence that is
    reasonable, credible, and of solid value such that a reasonable trier of fact could find the
    defendant guilty beyond a reasonable doubt.’ ” (
    Steele, supra
    , 27 Cal.4th at p. 1249.)
    “The appellate court presumes in support of the judgment the existence of every fact the
    trier could reasonably deduce from the evidence.” (People v. Kraft (2000) 
    23 Cal. 4th 978
    , 1053.) Substantial evidence includes circumstantial evidence and any reasonable
    inferences that can be drawn therefrom. (People v. Lopez (2013) 
    56 Cal. 4th 1028
    , 1069-
    1070, disapproved on other grounds in 
    Rangel, supra
    , 62 Cal.4th at p. 1216.) “An
    appellate court must accept logical inferences that the jury might have drawn from the
    circumstantial evidence.” (People v. Maury (2003) 
    30 Cal. 4th 342
    , 396.) “ ‘If the
    99
    circumstances reasonably justify the findings made by the trier of fact, reversal of the
    judgment is not warranted simply because the circumstances might also reasonably be
    reconciled with a contrary finding.’ ” (People v. Kaufman (2017) 
    17 Cal. App. 5th 370
    ,
    380-381.) “ ‘A reversal for insufficient evidence “is unwarranted unless it appears ‘that
    upon no hypothesis whatever is there sufficient substantial evidence to support’ ” the
    jury’s verdict.’ ” (People v. Penunuri (2018) 
    5 Cal. 5th 126
    , 142, italics added; see also
    People v. Zamudio (2008) 
    43 Cal. 4th 327
    , 357.)
    In 
    Anderson, supra
    , 70 Cal.2d at pages 26-27, our high court stated: “The type of
    evidence which this court has found sufficient to sustain a finding of premeditation and
    deliberation falls into three basic categories: (1) facts about how and what defendant did
    prior to the actual killing which show that the defendant was engaged in activity directed
    toward, and explicable as intended to result in, the killing—what may be characterized as
    ‘planning’ activity; (2) facts about the defendant’s prior relationship and/or conduct with
    the victim from which the jury could reasonably infer a ‘motive’ to kill the victim, which
    inference of motive, together with facts of type (1) or (3), would in turn support an
    inference that the killing was the result of ‘a pre-existing reflection’ and ‘careful thought
    and weighing of considerations’ rather than ‘mere unconsidered or rash impulse hastily
    executed’ [citation]; (3) facts about the nature of the killing from which the jury could
    infer that the manner of killing was so particular and exacting that the defendant must
    have intentionally killed according to a ‘preconceived design’ to take his victim’s life in a
    particular way for a ‘reason’ which the jury can reasonably infer from facts of type (1) or
    (2).”
    As our high court has since cautioned, however, “ ‘ “[u]nreflective reliance on
    Anderson for a definition of premeditation is inappropriate. The Anderson analysis was
    intended as a framework to assist reviewing courts in assessing whether the evidence
    supports an inference that the killing resulted from preexisting reflection and weighing of
    considerations. It did not refashion the elements of first degree murder or alter the
    100
    substantive law of murder in any way.” ’ ” 
    (Casares, supra
    , 62 Cal.4th at p. 824, quoting
    People v. Koontz (2002) 
    27 Cal. 4th 1041
    , 1081.) The Anderson guidelines “ ‘ “are
    descriptive and neither normative nor exhaustive, and . . . reviewing courts need not
    accord them any particular weight.” ’ ” 
    (Morales, supra
    , 10 Cal.5th at p. 89; Casares, at
    p. 824.)
    C. Analysis
    We have already discussed the admissible evidence in the context of the Anderson
    guidelines in our harmless error analysis related to the section 1101(b) evidence. We
    need not repeat that here. However, we shall address defendant’s argument concerning
    the manner of killing.
    Relying on Anderson and subsequent cases, defendant asserts that a killing which
    is particularly brutal or involves multiple wounds is not, in itself, sufficient to support a
    finding of premeditation and deliberation because it is just as consistent with a sudden,
    random explosion of violence as with calculated murder. (See 
    Anderson, supra
    , 70
    Cal.2d at pp. 24-25 [“the brutality of a killing cannot in itself support a finding that the
    killer acted with premeditation and deliberation. ‘If the evidence showed no more than
    the infliction of multiple acts of violence on the victim, it would not be sufficient to show
    that the killing was the result of careful thought and weighing of considerations.’ ”]; see
    also People v. Moon (2005) 
    37 Cal. 4th 1
    , 31; People v. Pensinger (1991) 
    52 Cal. 3d 1210
    ,
    1238; People v. Alcala (1984) 
    36 Cal. 3d 604
    , 626, abrogated by statute as stated in
    People v. Falsetta (1999) 
    21 Cal. 4th 903
    , 911.)
    However, the fact that defendant inflicted numerous and varied injuries during his
    attack cannot insulate him from a determination that his killing of the victim was willful,
    deliberate, and premeditated. This is particularly true given the exacting nature of the
    fatal wound to the neck and jugular vein inflicted while the victim begged for her life for
    defendant’s express purpose of ending the victim’s life. (See 
    Anderson, supra
    , 70 Cal.2d
    at p. 27 [“directly plunging a lethal weapon into the chest evidences a deliberate intention
    101
    to kill . . . .”].) By his own admission, it can be reasonably inferred this was a calculated
    effort to ensure death rather than a mere unconsidered explosion of violence.
    Viewing the evidence in the light most favorable to the judgment (
    Steele, supra
    ,
    27 Cal.4th at p. 1249), we conclude that it was legally sufficient to establish, beyond a
    reasonable doubt, that defendant acted willfully and with premeditation and deliberation
    in killing the victim. Thus, we conclude that the evidence was legally sufficient to
    support the jury’s determination that defendant was guilty of murder in the first degree.
    V. Error in the Abstract of Judgment
    Defendant asserts that the abstract of judgment must be corrected because, while
    the trial court imposed an indeterminate term of 25 years to life on count one, on the
    abstract of judgment, boxes are checked indicating indeterminate terms of both 25 years
    to life (Box 6b) and life without the possibility of parole (Box 5) were imposed.
    Respondent agrees and so do we.
    The trial court sentenced defendant to 25 years to life and a consecutive one-year
    term for personal use of a deadly or dangerous weapon, for an aggregate term of 26 years
    to life.
    “ ‘Courts may correct clerical errors at any time, and appellate courts . . . that have
    properly assumed jurisdiction of cases have ordered correction of abstracts of judgment
    that did not accurately reflect the oral judgments of sentencing courts.’ ” (People v. High
    (2004) 
    119 Cal. App. 4th 1192
    , 1200, quoting People v. Mitchell (2001) 
    26 Cal. 4th 181
    ,
    185.)
    Accordingly, we direct the trial court to correct the abstract of judgment to reflect
    that, on count one, defendant is sentenced to an indeterminate term of 25 years to life,
    and is not also sentenced to a term of life without the possibility of parole.
    DISPOSITION
    We direct the trial court to strike the sentence of life without the possibility of
    parole reflected in box five of the abstract of judgment, prepare a corrected abstract of
    102
    judgment and send a certified copy of the corrected abstract of judgment to the
    Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation. The judgment is otherwise affirmed.
    /s/
    MURRAY, J.
    We concur:
    /s/
    HULL, Acting P. J.
    /s/
    ROBIE, J.
    103