Lorenzen v. Pinnacol Assurance ( 2019 )


Menu:
  •      The summaries of the Colorado Court of Appeals published opinions
    constitute no part of the opinion of the division but have been prepared by
    the division for the convenience of the reader. The summaries may not be
    cited or relied upon as they are not the official language of the division.
    Any discrepancy between the language in the summary and in the opinion
    should be resolved in favor of the language in the opinion.
    SUMMARY
    April 18, 2019
    2019COA54
    Nos. 17CA0044 & 17CA0677, Lorenzen v. Pinnacol Assurance
    — Labor and Industry — Workers’ Compensation; Insurance;
    Torts — Bad Faith Breach of Insurance Contract; Evidence —
    Testimony by Experts
    In this bad faith breach of insurance contract case, plaintiff
    sued his employer’s workers’ compensation insurer, alleging that
    the insurer’s thirteen-day delay in authorizing surgery caused his
    permanent impairment.
    The plaintiff’s proffered experts relied on a theory that
    prolonged nerve compression from a herniated disc leads to nerve
    damage and, therefore, surgery must be performed sooner rather
    than later. The district court disallowed the testimony. It
    concluded that the experts’ theory was not a scientifically reliable
    theory of medical causation and that the experts’ testimony would
    require the jury to speculate as to whether the delay caused the
    plaintiff’s impairment. Then, because the plaintiff could not prove
    his claim without expert evidence, the district court entered
    judgment in favor of the insurer.
    The division concludes that the district court did not abuse its
    discretion in disallowing the expert testimony. First, the division
    determines that the plaintiff had the burden to prove that but for
    the thirteen-day delay, he would not have suffered a permanent
    impairment. Second, the division concludes that the experts’ theory
    of causation did not satisfy CRE 702, because the testimony did not
    reliably connect the premise that nerve compression should be
    alleviated by prompt surgery and the conclusion that it is more
    likely than not that the thirteen-day delay in undergoing surgery
    caused the plaintiff’s permanent impairment.
    COLORADO COURT OF APPEALS                                          2019COA54
    Court of Appeals Nos. 17CA0044 & 17CA0677
    City and County of Denver District Court No. 15CV32703
    Honorable Michael A. Martinez, Judge
    Richard Lorenzen,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v.
    Pinnacol Assurance,
    Defendant-Appellee.
    JUDGMENT AFFIRMED
    Division I
    Opinion by JUDGE HARRIS
    Taubman and Rothenberg*, JJ., concur
    Announced April 18, 2019
    Bisset Law Firm, Jennifer E. Bisset, Denver, Colorado, for Plaintiff-Appellant
    Vaughan & DeMuro, David R. DeMuro, Richard K. Rediger, Denver, Colorado,
    for Defendant-Appellee
    The Gold Law Firm, LLC, Michael J. Rosenberg, Greenwood Village, Colorado,
    for Amicus Curiae Colorado Trial Lawyers Association
    *Sitting by assignment of the Chief Justice under provisions of Colo. Const. art.
    VI, § 5(3), and § 24-51-1105, C.R.S. 2018.
    ¶1    In this bad faith breach of an insurance contract case,
    plaintiff, Richard Lorenzen, sued defendant, Pinnacol Assurance,
    his employer’s workers’ compensation insurer, after Pinnacol
    initially denied his request for surgery to treat a work-related
    injury. Pinnacol’s denial resulted in a thirteen-day delay between
    the date of the request and the date Lorenzen underwent surgery.
    ¶2    Before trial, Lorenzen disclosed four doctors as experts who
    intended to opine that the delay in approving the request caused
    Lorenzen to suffer permanent nerve damage. The experts relied on
    a theory that prolonged nerve compression from a herniated disc
    leads to nerve damage and, therefore, surgery must be performed
    sooner rather than later. As one of the doctors explained the
    theory, “timing matters.”
    ¶3    The district court concluded that the theory relied on by the
    doctors — for patients with a disc herniation causing neurological
    deficits, prompt surgery is preferable to delayed surgery to preserve
    nerve function — was not a scientifically reliable theory of medical
    causation and disallowed the expert testimony. Without his
    experts’ testimony, Lorenzen could not prove causation or damages,
    1
    and so the district court granted summary judgment in favor of
    Pinnacol. 1
    ¶4    On appeal, Lorenzen contends that the district court erred in
    excluding his expert testimony. He maintains that the court
    imposed too stringent a causation standard and that, even under
    the standard applied by the court, he presented a reliable and
    relevant theory of causation that satisfies CRE 702.
    ¶5    Lorenzen also contends that the district court erred in entering
    judgment for Pinnacol, as he retained a claim for noneconomic
    damages that did not require expert testimony.
    ¶6    We reject his contentions and therefore affirm.
    I.   Background
    A.    Factual Background
    1 Pinnacol filed a “Motion to Dismiss Complaint Based on Rulings
    on Expert Testimony” but failed to cite the governing procedural
    rule or applicable standard of proof. The district court construed
    the motion as a motion for summary judgment and reviewed it
    under C.R.C.P. 56, then entered an order granting the motion to
    dismiss. Like the district court, we construe Pinnacol’s motion as a
    motion for summary judgment, and we refer to the court’s order as
    an order granting summary judgment in favor of Pinnacol.
    2
    ¶7     On February 3, 2014, while Lorenzen was working as a
    groundskeeper for a country club, he injured his back and suffered
    a herniated disc with an extruded caudally migrated fragment. 2
    Lorenzen’s employer reported the injury to Pinnacol the next day.
    ¶8     Lorenzen was referred to Dr. Tracey Stefanon. She placed
    Lorenzen on work restriction, recommended over-the-counter anti-
    inflammatories, ordered an MRI, and referred Lorenzen to an
    orthopedic surgeon, Dr. Douglas Beard.
    ¶9     On February 6, Dr. Beard advised Lorenzen that he would
    likely need surgery, but, because Lorenzen wanted to avoid surgery
    if possible, Dr. Beard prescribed steroids with further monitoring.
    Lorenzen returned to Dr. Beard on February 10, still experiencing
    pain and foot weakness, and they decided that Lorenzen should
    have surgery as soon as possible.
    ¶ 10   Lorenzen spoke with a claims adjuster on February 12 and
    discovered that Dr. Beard had not submitted a request for
    2According to the deposition testimony of Drs. Beard and Biggs, a
    caudally migrated disc extrusion occurs when the outer part of the
    spinal disc ruptures, causing the inner material to push “completely
    outside” of the disc. In Lorenzen’s case, the material protruded
    downward, pressing on the nerve.
    3
    authorization of the surgery. He called Dr. Beard’s office with a
    reminder to submit the request to Pinnacol, and Dr. Beard faxed a
    request to Pinnacol marked “urgent.” According to Dr. Beard, an
    urgent request does not denote an emergency.
    ¶ 11   On February 17, Pinnacol verbally advised Lorenzen that it
    would not authorize surgery, and the next day, it formally denied
    his request on the ground that Lorenzen’s injury was not work
    related.
    ¶ 12   On February 20, Lorenzen, now proceeding under his private
    health insurance, consulted with Dr. William Biggs, an orthopedic
    surgeon, and Dr. Biggs performed the surgery on February 25.
    After the surgery, Lorenzen continued to experience right foot
    weakness due to permanent nerve impairment.
    ¶ 13   On June 20, 2014, Pinnacol changed its position and
    determined that Lorenzen’s injury was work related. It reimbursed
    him for his medical costs and paid other workers’ compensation
    benefits.
    B.    Procedural History
    ¶ 14   Lorenzen filed this action against Pinnacol, asserting a claim
    for bad faith breach of an insurance contract. He alleged that “[a]s
    4
    a result of the delay in receipt of surgical intervention, Lorenzen has
    permanent weakness and loss of control over his foot with loss of
    strength and stability, which affects his work, his activities of daily
    living and his hobbies . . . .”
    ¶ 15   In support of his claim, Lorenzen disclosed four medical
    experts (Drs. Stefanon, Beard, and Biggs, and Dr. Rebeka Martin)
    who intended to opine that the delay in authorizing surgical
    intervention for Lorenzen resulted in his permanent nerve damage.
    ¶ 16   Pinnacol filed a pretrial motion to exclude the experts’
    testimony on the issue of medical causation, contending that their
    opinions were not scientifically reliable and were therefore
    inadmissible at trial.
    ¶ 17   The district court held a hearing on the motion at which it
    reviewed the deposition testimony and heard argument from
    counsel. None of the doctors testified at the hearing. Thereafter,
    the district court made detailed findings and issued an order
    disallowing the doctors from testifying at trial that the thirteen-day
    delay caused by Pinnacol resulted in Lorenzen’s permanent
    impairment.
    5
    ¶ 18   Pinnacol then moved for summary judgment, arguing that
    without the expert testimony, Lorenzen could not prove his bad
    faith claim. Lorenzen responded by filing a motion to reconsider the
    order prohibiting his experts’ testimony. He attached to his motion
    additional ex parte “deposition” testimony of Dr. Beard and an
    affidavit by Dr. Martin. His motion for reconsideration continued to
    assert the theory that prompt surgical intervention is generally
    indicated for patients suffering from nerve compression, but it also
    raised a new theory of causation. 3
    ¶ 19   The district court denied Lorenzen’s motion for
    reconsideration, denied as moot Pinnacol’s motion to strike the
    3 We will not address the arguments raised for the first time in
    Lorenzen’s motion for reconsideration or consider the new evidence
    submitted with that motion. See Fox v. Alfini, 
    2018 CO 94
    , ¶ 37
    (neither district court nor appellate court is obliged to consider new
    arguments and evidence submitted in motions to reconsider);
    People v. Schaufele, 
    2014 CO 43
    , ¶ 49 (Boatright, J., concurring in
    the judgment) (“Motions for reconsideration are designed to correct
    erroneous court rulings; they are not designed to allow parties to
    present new legal arguments for the first time and then appeal their
    denial to” an appellate court.); McDonald v. Zions First Nat’l Bank,
    N.A., 
    2015 COA 29
    , ¶ 85 (in reviewing grant of summary judgment,
    appellate court will not consider arguments and evidence that were
    not presented to the trial court in connection with the motion for
    summary judgment).
    6
    doctors’ new testimony, and granted Pinnacol’s motion for summary
    judgment.
    II.        Exclusion of Expert Evidence on Causation
    ¶ 20   Lorenzen argues that the district court applied an overly
    stringent but-for causation test rather than a more lenient
    “substantial factor” test. But in any event, he says, his expert
    evidence satisfies a but-for test and, therefore, the district court
    erred in excluding the experts’ testimony. We disagree.
    A.     The Applicable Standard of Causation
    ¶ 21   The issue of the correct standard of causation is a legal one.
    Reigel v. SavaSeniorCare L.L.C., 
    292 P.3d 977
    , 985 (Colo. App.
    2011). Therefore, our review of that issue is de novo. 
    Id. ¶ 22
      To prevail on a common law claim of bad faith breach of an
    insurance contract, the plaintiff must prove that the insurer acted
    unreasonably and that the insurer’s unreasonable conduct caused
    the plaintiff’s injury or damages. See Bankr. Estate of Morris v.
    COPIC Ins. Co., 
    192 P.3d 519
    , 523 (Colo. App. 2008).
    ¶ 23   Damages for bad faith breach of an insurance contract are
    based on traditional tort principles. City of Westminster v. Centric-
    Jones Constructors, 
    100 P.3d 472
    , 484 (Colo. App. 2003). Under
    7
    traditional tort principles, the plaintiff must show that the
    defendant’s conduct “proximately caused” the claimed injury.
    
    Reigel, 292 P.3d at 985
    ; see also June v. Union Carbide Corp., 
    577 F.3d 1234
    , 1238 (10th Cir. 2009) (“In Colorado, as elsewhere, a
    party seeking recovery in tort must demonstrate that the
    defendant’s conduct caused the alleged injury.”).
    ¶ 24   Proximate cause has two components: causation in fact and
    legal causation. Moore v. W. Forge Corp., 
    192 P.3d 427
    , 436 (Colo.
    App. 2007). Legal causation — which refers to the scope or
    foreseeability of liability, see 
    June, 577 F.3d at 1240
    — is not at
    issue here; Lorenzen only challenges the test for causation in fact.
    ¶ 25   As to causation in fact, the test is “whether, but for the alleged
    [tortious conduct], the harm would not have occurred.” 
    Reigel, 292 P.3d at 985
    (quoting N. Colo. Med. Ctr., Inc. v. Comm. on
    Anticompetitive Conduct, 
    914 P.2d 902
    , 908 (Colo. 1996)).
    Alternatively, the plaintiff can show factual causation by
    establishing that the defendant’s conduct was a “necessary
    component of a causal set that would have caused the injury.” 
    Id. at 987;
    see also Restatement (Second) of Torts § 432(1), (2) (Am.
    Law Inst. 1965). Thus, Lorenzen had to present evidence that, but
    8
    for the thirteen-day delay between the request for authorization and
    the surgery, the permanent nerve damage would not have occurred,
    or that the delay was a necessary component of a causal set that
    would have caused his impairment.
    ¶ 26   Relying on Sharp v. Kaiser Foundation Health Plan of Colorado,
    
    710 P.2d 1153
    (Colo. App. 1985), aff’d, 
    741 P.2d 714
    (Colo. 1987),
    Lorenzen argues that he could instead establish causation under
    the “substantial factor” test by showing that Pinnacol’s conduct was
    a substantial factor in increasing the risk that he would have a less
    optimal surgical outcome.
    ¶ 27   In Sharp, the division held that the jury could decide
    causation where the plaintiff presented expert testimony that the
    defendants’ conduct was a substantial factor in causing the injury
    in that it “substantially increased plaintiff’s risk of the resulting
    harm or substantially diminished the chance of 
    recovery.” 710 P.2d at 1155
    . On review, the supreme court did not reach the issue of
    whether the substantial factor theory was a cognizable, less
    stringent standard of causation because the court concluded that
    the plaintiff had met her burden to show but-for causation. 
    Sharp, 741 P.2d at 720
    .
    9
    ¶ 28     However, as the Tenth Circuit explained in June, the
    “substantial factor” and but-for standards of causation are not
    alternatives; but-for causation is a prerequisite to establishing the
    substantial factor 
    test. 577 F.3d at 1241
    .
    ¶ 29     In explaining the substantial factor test, section 432 of the
    Restatement (Second) of Torts, which the Sharp division did not
    consider, imposes a causation requirement at least as stringent as
    the but-for standard consistently applied by our supreme court:
    (1) Except as stated in Subsection (2), the
    actor’s negligent conduct is not a substantial
    factor in bringing about harm to another if the
    harm would have been sustained even if the
    actor had not been negligent.
    (2) If two forces are actively operating, one
    because of the actor’s negligence, the other not
    because of any misconduct on his part, and
    each of itself is sufficient to bring about harm
    to another, the actor’s negligence may be
    found to be a substantial factor in bringing it
    about.
    Thus, “the allegedly negligent conduct of the defendant must
    satisfy” a but-for test “before it can even qualify as a substantial
    factor under the other Restatement sections.” 
    Reigel, 292 P.3d at 987
    .
    10
    ¶ 30    Regardless of Lorenzen’s theory of liability — that the thirteen-
    day delay between the request for authorization and the surgery
    caused his impairment or increased his risk of permanent
    impairment or aggravated a preexisting condition — he had to show
    that (1) but for the delay, the injury (or the increased risk or the
    aggravation) would not have occurred; or (2) the delay was a
    necessary component of a causal set that would have caused the
    injury. 
    Id. B. The
    District Court Did Not Abuse Its Discretion in Excluding
    Lorenzen’s Expert Testimony Concerning Causation
    ¶ 31    Lorenzen next contends that, even if he had to prove but-for
    causation, he presented expert evidence that the thirteen-day delay
    in performing surgery caused his permanent impairment, and the
    district court erred in excluding the evidence under CRE 702.
    1.   The Experts’ Testimony
    a.    Dr. Biggs
    ¶ 32    Dr. Biggs performed Lorenzen’s surgery. He testified at his
    deposition that five days of the two-week delay — from February 20,
    when he first saw Lorenzen, to February 25, when he performed the
    surgery — did not have “any detrimental effect [o]n the outcome.”
    11
    ¶ 33    When asked about his anticipated testimony concerning the
    effect of the delay in surgery on Lorenzen’s nerve damage, Dr. Biggs
    testified:
    A: If you wait too long, you can end up with a
    permanent injury. Now, the waiting too long
    part is always the question mark. We don’t
    have good data to tell us what’s too long and
    what’s not.
    ....
    Q: “[Your report says that you] will testify that
    it was not helpful to the patient to wait two
    weeks for surgery.” What will you say about
    that?
    A: That’s a tough one. You know, that’s kind
    of the sooner the better sort of thing, but
    there’s no proof in the literature about that.
    Q: “The wait from February 10, 2014, to
    February 25, 2014, was costly to the patient’s
    nerve function.” What would your testimony
    be about that?
    A: It’s maybe in hindsight we can say that he’s
    had no nerve functional recovery or not much.
    But it’s hard to say that from – at the time of
    the injury.
    Q: It’s also hard to attribute that to a two-week
    delay in surgery, isn’t it?
    A: Yes.
    ....
    12
    Q: And also, in his specific case, can you really
    say that having surgery two weeks earlier
    would have resulted in a better outcome?
    ....
    A: For him specifically, no, we can’t say that.
    ¶ 34   With respect to what he referred to as the “sooner is better”
    theory, Dr. Biggs recalled that he had seen articles that “supported
    doing surgery sooner rather than later with progressive neurologic
    injuries.” However, he acknowledged that he did not know of any
    “good studies” to support the theory and that the “sooner is better”
    theory “may be more our dogma.”
    ¶ 35   When asked if “Lorenzen’s best chance of a recovery from this
    [injury] was early or shortly after his injury,” Dr. Biggs replied, “I’m
    not sure I can answer that. . . . I don’t know.” He explained that
    “there’s just no way of saying whether the nerve injury happened at
    the time of the injury or whether it happened during the first three
    weeks. The vast majority of people, if you leave the pressure on
    there for too long, it will continue to get worse and cause more of an
    issue.” Dr. Biggs was asked whether that had “happen[ed] for Mr.
    Lorenzen?” He replied, “I don’t know.”
    b.   Dr. Stefanon
    13
    ¶ 36   Dr. Stefanon was Lorenzen’s initial treating doctor. She
    testified that the majority of people with herniated discs “tend to
    recover without surgery,” and that in most cases (even where
    patients showed symptoms similar to Lorenzen’s), it was reasonable
    to monitor a patient for four to six weeks prior to performing
    surgery.
    ¶ 37   Dr. Stefanon opined that “the longer the pressure is on the
    nerve, the increased risk for damage to the nerve,” but she agreed
    with Dr. Biggs that there is no “good data” on “what’s too long and
    what is not.” She testified that surgery “sooner is better” in a
    “progressive situation,” but she could not cite any peer-reviewed
    articles that would support that position. She looked for articles
    about the timing of surgery — “when nerve root damage was likely
    to occur” or whether “there was a neurological level that generally
    people were sent to surgery” — but she “did not find anything.”
    ¶ 38   Like Dr. Biggs, she could not say one way or the other whether
    a three-week delay in undergoing surgery would have had any
    adverse effect on the outcome. When asked if she “believe[d] that
    some of the damage that Mr. Lorenzen currently faces could have
    14
    been headed off with a more timely surgery,” she replied, “I would
    be speculating.”
    c.   Dr. Martin
    ¶ 39   Dr. Martin is a physiatrist who treated Lorenzen after his
    surgery. She testified that she had reviewed articles indicating that
    early surgical intervention was most helpful for “someone that has
    moderate weakness” after injury and that she would place Lorenzen
    in the “moderate” category. Thus, she opined that surgery
    performed sooner would have been better in Lorenzen’s case.
    ¶ 40   At the same time, she agreed with Dr. Biggs that it was
    difficult to know whether the thirteen-day delay affected Lorenzen’s
    surgical outcome because any conclusion would be based on the
    “sooner the better” theory for which “there is no proof in the
    literature.” She also agreed that waiting too long for surgery could
    result in permanent nerve damage but that there was no good data
    to establish “what is too long and what is not.”
    ¶ 41   When asked whether Lorenzen would be “better today if
    surgery had been performed earlier,” she responded, “The hope
    would be that there would be more rapid and more complete
    myotomal recovery, so that he would have more strength.” But she
    15
    acknowledged that any prediction in that respect was “just an
    assumption,” and that she could not rule out that Lorenzen “would
    have had the same outcome if surgery had occurred earlier.”
    ¶ 42   Dr. Martin summed up her causation theory in this way: “The
    best way to put it is time is nerve. The longer you wait, the more
    potential nerve damage and changes that can occur.”
    d.   Dr. Beard
    ¶ 43   Dr. Beard testified that Lorenzen’s nerve impairment could
    have been caused by (1) the delay in surgery; (2) an injury during
    the surgical procedure; or (3) the original disc herniation on
    February 3, 2014.
    ¶ 44   He agreed with Dr. Biggs that the five-day delay in scheduling
    the surgery (between February 20 and 25, 2014) would not have
    had any adverse effect on its outcome, but, for reasons he did not
    explain, he theorized that the two-day delay in submitting the
    request for authorization (between February 10 and 12, 2014) might
    have resulted in increased nerve damage.
    ¶ 45   Dr. Beard stated that “had [Lorenzen] been able to receive
    surgical intervention in a more timely fashion, it is entirely possible
    that the earlier intervention might have led to less long-term
    16
    damage,” though he admitted that it was also possible that the
    surgery “wouldn’t have done any good at all,” and that even if the
    surgery “had been performed on February 6, 2014,” it was possible
    that Lorenzen “could have ended up with the same outcome as he
    has now.”
    ¶ 46   According to Dr. Beard, “there is pretty good data out there” to
    support a “sooner is better” theory: “[T]here are many articles that
    talk about the shorter the duration of the palsy, the less likely there
    is to be permanent nerve deficit.” On the basis of those articles, he
    believed that “if surgery had been performed sooner, it would have
    been better than surgery performed later.” As he explained it:
    There are some things which kind of
    inherently, common sensibly seem to make
    sense. And I would postulate that most of the
    doctors that are involved in this case, if they
    walked into a doctor’s office with as profound
    of a foot drop as Mr. Lorenzen had, they would
    want to have that piece of disc taken off their
    nerve root.
    It is a reasonable thing to do. Because it is
    nonanatomic. There was clearly a change in
    the anatomy. And by changing that anatomy
    faster, we make it more likely that the nerve
    can recover.
    Now, if you want to say what is that timing
    down to the day and the moment, I can’t give it
    17
    to you. I would agree that there is going to be
    a substantial error rate there. But common
    sense would lead us to believe that the faster
    we reverse the abnormal anatomy, the more
    likely it is that the nerve can have a chance to
    recover.
    Are there going to be those that aren’t going to
    recover? Absolutely, I grant you that. Is Mr.
    Lorenzen one of those? We’ll never know.
    2.   CRE 702
    ¶ 47   CRE 702 governs the admissibility of expert testimony. It
    provides as follows: “If scientific, technical, or other specialized
    knowledge will assist the trier of fact to understand the evidence or
    to determine a fact in issue, a witness qualified as an expert by
    knowledge, skill, experience, training, or education, may testify
    thereto in the form of an opinion or otherwise.”
    ¶ 48   To be admissible under Rule 702, scientific evidence, including
    medical evidence, must be both reliable and relevant. People v.
    Ramirez, 
    155 P.3d 371
    , 378 (Colo. 2007).
    ¶ 49   A trial court determines whether the testimony is reliable and
    relevant by considering whether (1) the scientific principles
    underlying the testimony are reasonably reliable; (2) the expert is
    qualified to opine on such matters; (3) the expert testimony will be
    18
    helpful to the jury; and (4) the evidence satisfies CRE 403. Estate of
    Ford v. Eicher, 
    250 P.3d 262
    , 266 (Colo. 2011).
    ¶ 50   The court’s reliability inquiry should be broad in nature and
    consider the totality of the circumstances of the specific case.
    
    Ramirez, 155 P.3d at 378
    . The standard for admissibility is
    reliability, not certainty. Estate of 
    Ford, 250 P.3d at 266
    . Thus, the
    proponent need not prove that the expert is indisputably correct.
    
    Ramirez, 155 P.3d at 378
    . Rather, reliability analysis under Rule
    702 hinges on whether the scientific principles the expert employed
    are grounded in the methods and procedures of science. Estate of
    
    Ford, 250 P.3d at 267
    . If so, the testimony meets the reliability
    requirement.
    ¶ 51   A court may reject expert testimony that relies on bare
    assertions, subjective belief, or unsupported speculation. 
    Id. The danger
    of speculative opinion testimony that has no sound scientific
    basis is that “what appears to be scientific testimony but is really
    not may carry more weight with the jury than it deserves.” 
    Ramirez, 155 P.3d at 379
    .
    ¶ 52   To determine relevancy under CRE 702, the court should
    consider whether the expert testimony would be useful to the fact
    19
    finder. People v. Shreck, 
    22 P.3d 68
    , 77 (Colo. 2001). Usefulness
    hinges on whether there is a logical relation between the proffered
    testimony and the factual issues involved in the case. 
    Ramirez, 155 P.3d at 379
    . In determining whether the testimony will be helpful
    to the fact finder, the court should consider, among other things,
    the elements of the particular claim and the scope and content of
    the opinion itself. 
    Id. 3. The
    District Court’s Ruling and Standard of Review
    ¶ 53   The district court found that the “sooner is better” theory of
    causation was not “sufficiently grounded in reliable science,” had
    “no prior history of adoption or consideration or approval by other
    courts,” and had not been “subjected to sufficient peer review or
    study” to allow the court to assess the theory’s reliability. Thus, the
    expert evidence would require the jury to “speculate as to whether
    and to what extent the delay . . . caused the current presentation by
    Mr. Lorenzen.”
    ¶ 54   The district court concluded that the experts’ testimony would
    not be helpful to the jury in evaluating whether the thirteen-day
    delay between Lorenzen’s request for authorization of surgery and
    the surgery caused his impairment.
    20
    ¶ 55    In civil cases, where the constitutional right to present a
    defense is not implicated, we review the district court’s decision to
    exclude expert testimony for an abuse of discretion. Core-Mark
    Midcontinent, Inc. v. Sonitrol Corp., 
    2012 COA 120
    , ¶ 29. We will not
    disturb the decision unless it is manifestly erroneous or based on
    an incorrect legal standard. 
    Id. Even where
    a ruling excluding
    expert testimony is “outcome determinative” and the basis for a
    grant of summary judgment, our review is no less deferential. Gen.
    Elec. Co. v. Joiner, 
    522 U.S. 136
    , 142-43 (1997).
    4.   The Experts’ Theory of Causation Does Not Satisfy CRE 702’s
    Reliability and Relevancy Requirements
    ¶ 56    Lorenzen summarizes his experts’ theory of causation as
    follows: “Lorenzen’s treating physicians all agree that when nerve
    compression lasts too long[,] it can result in permanent neurological
    injury[;] therefore surgery must be performed sooner rather than
    later.” Thus, Lorenzen says, “[t]here is no basis to categorically
    reject as a matter of law, the indications for surgery, including the
    well-recognized principle in medicine that ‘sooner is better than
    later’ for treatment of acute disc herniations causing nerve
    compression.”
    21
    ¶ 57   But Lorenzen has to prove that the thirteen-day delay in his
    case caused the “specific ailment of which [he] complain[s]”— nerve
    damage resulting in permanent impairment to his right foot. 
    June, 577 F.3d at 1245-46
    .
    ¶ 58   As Dr. Beard explained, the “sooner is better than later” theory
    amounts to a common sense and universal axiom that expedited
    treatment is preferable to delayed treatment, particularly in cases
    involving a disc herniation causing nerve compression. That axiom
    is undoubtedly sound, but it is not a theory of causation. See
    McDowell v. Brown, 
    392 F.3d 1283
    , 1299-1300 (11th Cir. 2004)
    (“[T]he notion of early treatment is well within common knowledge
    that would be obvious to the average juror, but [it] has nothing to
    do with causation.”). A general principle or axiom does not explain
    the cause of an injury in a particular case. 
    Id. at 1300
    (“[T]his ‘the
    earlier, the better’ theory adds nothing absent some testimony
    connecting the delay to the causation or aggravation of an injury.”).
    ¶ 59   Tomlinson v. Collins, No. 2:09-cv-0125, 
    2010 WL 4317030
    (S.D. Ohio Oct. 25, 2010) (unpublished report and
    recommendation), adopted, 
    2011 WL 478835
    (S.D. Ohio Feb. 7,
    2011) (unpublished opinion), is instructive. There, the plaintiff
    22
    injured his neck while he was an inmate in a state prison. Though
    he complained to various prison staff about his deteriorating
    condition, he did not receive treatment until his release, nearly
    seven months after the injury. By then, he was diagnosed with a
    displaced disc with compression and damage to the spinal cord.
    Surgery alleviated some of his symptoms but left him with
    numbness or pain in his hands, forearm, and neck. 
    Id. at *1-3.
    ¶ 60   Plaintiff offered two medical experts to establish causation.
    The first doctor testified that he believed “that prolonged neural
    compression is more likely to result in permanent defect than had
    the patient been diagnosed and treated sooner.” 
    Id. at *6.
    The
    second doctor testified, similarly, that “the delay in surgery
    certainly could lead to residuals that may have been prevented by
    earlier surgical intervention.” 
    Id. ¶ 61
      The defendants moved to strike the experts’ testimony under
    Fed. R. Evid. 702, which is substantially similar to CRE 702. The
    district court granted the motion. Characterizing the experts’
    theories as a variation of “the earlier, the better” theory rejected in
    McDowell, the court explained that the problem with this theory is
    that it does not go to causation:
    23
    The general proposition that prolonged neural
    compression is more likely to result in a
    permanent defect than had a patient been
    diagnosed and treated sooner says nothing
    about whether the delay in this specific
    plaintiff’s diagnosis and treatment actually
    caused his residual symptoms, and that — not
    the more general relationship between delays
    in treatment and the presence of preventable
    residual injury — is what is at issue here. A
    jury would not be entitled to find on the basis
    of these opinions that the delay in treating
    [plaintiff’s] medical condition actually caused
    him any harm.
    
    Id. at *7.
    ¶ 62    We agree with McDowell, Tomlinson, and the other courts that
    have evaluated the theory 4 and have concluded that, on its own, a
    4 See Estate of Anderson v. Strohman, Civ. A. No. GLR-13-3167,
    
    2016 WL 4013638
    , at *9 (D. Md. July 27, 2016) (excluding as
    unreliable the plaintiff’s expert’s theory of causation that “earlier
    treatment is preferable to later treatment”); Dishman v. Wise, Civ. A.
    No. 7:08-cv-45 (HL), 
    2009 WL 1938968
    , at *5 (M.D. Ga. July 7,
    2009) (a “mere guess” that earlier treatment would have improved
    plaintiff’s condition “simply fails the tests for expert opinion”
    (quoting McDowell v. Brown, 
    392 F.3d 1283
    , 1301 (11th Cir.
    2004))); Maudsley v. Pederson, 
    676 N.W.2d 8
    , 14 (Minn. Ct. App.
    2004) (“The conclusory statements that generally earlier treatment
    results in better outcomes” fail to explain “how and why”
    defendant’s delay in treatment caused plaintiff’s injury.).
    Two cases cited by Lorenzen — O’Neill v. Van Herpe, 
    956 F.2d 263
      (4th Cir. 1992) (per curiam) (unpublished table decision), and
    24
    principle that early treatment is preferable to later treatment is not
    a viable theory of causation.
    ¶ 63   That is not to say, as Lorenzen seems to suggest, that nothing
    short of expert testimony identifying the precise moment that
    Lorenzen’s nerve damage became irreparable is sufficient under
    Rule 702. Instead, what is necessary is evidence that would allow a
    jury to find that, but for the delay, Lorenzen would not have
    suffered the impairment.
    ¶ 64   The line between impermissible speculation and reliable
    medical opinion is illustrated in Bentley v. Highlands Hospital Corp.,
    Civ. No. 15-97-ART, 
    2016 WL 7446910
    (E.D. Ky. Dec. 27, 2016), on
    which Lorenzen primarily relies. The plaintiff in that case arrived at
    the emergency room with symptoms suggesting a serious problem
    with her spinal cord, but the emergency room doctor misdiagnosed
    Prosser v. Nagaldinne, 
    927 F. Supp. 2d 708
    (E.D. Mo. 2013) — do
    not address the reliability of the “sooner is better than later” theory.
    And, contrary to Lorenzen’s argument, the special concurrence in
    Adams v. Laboratory Corp. of America, 
    760 F.3d 1322
    (11th Cir.
    2014) (per curiam), did not “back away from” McDowell, 
    392 F.3d 1283
    . Adams involved expert testimony on the standard of care,
    not on causation, and the concurrence cited McDowell with
    approval.
    25
    her and discharged her. 
    Id. at *1.
    Her condition worsened, and by
    the time she arrived at a second hospital later the next day, she had
    lost motor control in both legs and was having trouble breathing.
    
    Id. After discovering
    inflammation on the plaintiff’s spinal cord,
    doctors at the second hospital treated her with intravenous
    steroids, which stopped the symptoms from progressing but did not
    reverse the loss of motor control. The plaintiff suffered permanent
    paralysis from the chest down. 
    Id. ¶ 65
      She sued the first hospital and the emergency room doctor for
    negligently failing to diagnose and treat her emerging neurological
    condition. 
    Id. at *2.
    Her experts, two doctors, opined that earlier
    administration of steroids could have prevented her paralysis. 
    Id. The defendants
    moved to exclude the testimony as too speculative
    because, while administration of intravenous steroids was
    indisputably the proper treatment, there was no evidence, they
    said, that the injury would have been avoided if the drugs had been
    administered earlier. 
    Id. at *4.
    ¶ 66   The district court distinguished the proposed expert testimony
    from the “generic medical testimony that ‘earlier treatment is
    better’” that has been routinely rejected by courts. 
    Id. at *9.
    The
    26
    district court acknowledged that evidence of the anti-inflammatory
    properties of steroids would have been insufficient to justify the
    doctors’ conclusions that steroids would have helped the plaintiff.
    
    Id. at *7.
    But the district court concluded that the doctors could
    testify more precisely — based on reliable medical principles,
    scientific literature, and their clinical experiences — that (1) if a
    patient has motor control or sensory function, the corresponding
    nerves have not yet been fully destroyed and there is more function
    left to preserve; (2) patients treated with intravenous steroids while
    they still have motor control and/or sensation overwhelmingly have
    good or fair outcomes; (3) they examined the plaintiff and her
    medical records and observed that she still had motor control and
    sensation in her lower extremities when she left the first hospital;
    and (4) the record demonstrated that intravenous steroids did help
    the plaintiff, but they came too late to save much of her
    neurological function. 
    Id. at *6-7.
    ¶ 67   As the court explained in Bentley, the doctors started with the
    general premise that steroids combat inflammation and they
    connected that premise to a conclusion through a series of
    principles and inferences based on their medical knowledge
    27
    (informed by the scientific literature), their clinical experiences, and
    their review of the medical records. They observed that the plaintiff
    had inflammation to her spinal cord; inflammation damages nerve
    tissue; steroids counteract the inflammatory process by inhibiting
    the production of white blood cells; if introduced early enough,
    steroids can accomplish that task before the immune system
    pushes the nerve cells beyond the point of repair; and “early
    enough” means while the patient still has motor control or sensory
    function, an indication the patient’s nerves are not yet destroyed.
    The doctors observed that the plaintiff still had motor control or
    sensory function when she left the first hospital, as evidenced by
    her ability to walk, and, therefore, the introduction of intravenous
    steroids at the first hospital would more likely than not have
    minimized the plaintiff’s paralysis. Based on these facts, the
    district court in Bentley ruled that the doctors had “good grounds”
    for reaching their conclusion regarding causation. 
    Id. at *9.
    ¶ 68   In contrast, Lorenzen’s expert testimony left significant gaps
    between his premise that nerve compression should be alleviated by
    prompt surgery and his conclusion that it is more likely than not
    the thirteen-day delay in undergoing surgery caused his permanent
    28
    nerve damage. Unlike the doctors in Bentley, Lorenzen’s experts
    did not have “good grounds” to opine, with a reasonable degree of
    certainty, that surgery at any point before February 25, 2014,
    would have been “early enough” to prevent or minimize Lorenzen’s
    impairment.
    ¶ 69   Dr. Biggs, the surgeon, admitted that “there’s no way of
    knowing if [Lorenzen’s] permanent nerve injury happened at the
    time of his injury or it happened at day 2 or day 6 or day 12 or day
    whatever it was, 14, 16, 18.” Thus, he could not say when surgery
    would have been “early enough” to make any difference at all, and
    neither could any of the other doctors.
    ¶ 70   Testimony does not assist the trier of fact unless there is a
    “justified scientific relationship” (a “fit”) between the opinion
    testimony and the facts of the case. 
    McDowell, 392 F.3d at 1299
    .
    There is no “fit” where “a large analytical leap must be made
    between the facts and the opinion.” 
    Id. ¶ 71
      The cited medical literature proffered by Lorenzen did not fill
    in the analytical gaps. The district court found that the proffered
    articles were “not factually consistent with the issues in this case”
    29
    and did not support a conclusion that a thirteen-day delay in
    undergoing surgery was likely to cause irreparable nerve damage.
    ¶ 72   Lorenzen directs us to two of the articles representative of
    those submitted to the district court: a 2014 article discussing the
    results of a study comparing surgical versus nonsurgical treatment
    for lumbar disc herniation (the SPORT study), Jon D. Lurie et al.,
    Surgical Versus Nonoperative Treatment for Lumbar Disc Herniation,
    39 SPINE 3 (2014), and a 2002 article discussing the results of a
    study comparing recovery outcomes of patients who underwent
    surgery somewhere between a few weeks and several months after
    the initial injury (the Postacchini article), Franco Postacchini et al.,
    Rediscovery of Motor Deficits After Microdiscectomy for Lumbar Disc
    Herniation, 84-B J. Bone & Joint Surgery 1040 (2002).
    ¶ 73   The SPORT study does not support any theory of causation
    relevant to this case. That patients who undergo surgery do better
    than those who receive nonsurgical treatment is not probative
    because Lorenzen underwent surgery.
    ¶ 74   The Postacchini article is more on point. Of the patients in
    that study who exhibited severe deficits before surgery, those who
    underwent surgery most quickly — within one month of the initial
    30
    injury — had a complete recovery, whereas most patients who
    underwent surgery after seventy days from the date of injury had
    an incomplete recovery of muscle strength. But Lorenzen
    underwent surgery within a month of his initial injury, so,
    according to the study, the timing of his surgery should have helped
    him. What Lorenzen needed to support his theory of causation was
    a study or article showing that surgery performed earlier than his
    surgery led to better outcomes in some group of patients. But he
    did not submit any such study.
    ¶ 75   We therefore discern no abuse of discretion in the district
    court’s determination that the cited articles did not render the
    experts’ testimony reliable.
    ¶ 76   In sum, we conclude that the district court did not abuse its
    discretion in disallowing the experts’ testimony because it would
    not have assisted the jury in determining whether Pinnacol’s delay
    in authorizing surgery caused Lorenzen’s permanent impairment.
    III.   Entry of Judgment for Pinnacol
    ¶ 77   Lorenzen concedes that, without his expert testimony, he
    cannot prove that Pinnacol’s delay in approving surgery caused his
    physical impairment or damages related to the impairment. Still,
    31
    he contends that the district court erred in entering judgment for
    Pinnacol because he retained a separate claim for noneconomic
    damages based on the anxiety, stress, and inconvenience
    associated with Pinnacol’s initial denial of benefits.
    ¶ 78   Pinnacol argues that Lorenzen pleaded a single claim for
    damages based on Pinnacol’s bad faith delay in authorizing surgery,
    and that the complaint did not provide notice of any other claim for
    noneconomic damages.
    ¶ 79   Although the district court did not address this issue, whether
    Lorenzen pleaded a claim for noneconomic damages unrelated to
    his physical injury is a question of law that we review de novo. See
    Eliminator, Inc. v. 4700 Holly Corp., 
    681 P.2d 536
    , 539 (Colo. App.
    1984). Thus, a remand is unnecessary.
    ¶ 80   The purpose of a complaint is to provide the defendant with
    “reasonable notice of the general nature of the matter presented.”
    DiChellis v. Peterson Chiropractic Clinic, 
    630 P.2d 103
    , 105 (Colo.
    App. 1981). If the complaint identifies the transaction that forms
    the basis of the plaintiff’s claim, it provides reasonable notice.
    Denny Constr., Inc. v. City & Cty. of Denver, 
    170 P.3d 733
    , 736
    (Colo. App. 2007), rev’d on other grounds, 
    199 P.3d 742
    (Colo.
    32
    2009). However, while the complaint need not list all examples of
    defendant’s misconduct, it must at least give the defendant
    sufficient notice of the basis of the claim so that the defendant can
    use the discovery rules to prevent any surprise at trial. See
    Southerland v. Argonaut Ins. Co., 
    794 P.2d 1102
    , 1105-06 (Colo.
    App. 1990).
    ¶ 81   Here, even construing Lorenzen’s complaint liberally and
    resolving all doubts in his favor, we cannot conclude that it
    contained a claim for noneconomic injuries unrelated to the
    physical impairment. Denny 
    Constr., 170 P.3d at 736
    .
    ¶ 82   The complaint alleged that, “[a]s a result of the delay in receipt
    of surgical intervention, Lorenzen has permanent weakness and
    loss of control over his foot with loss of strength and stability, which
    affects his work, his activities of daily living and his hobbies,
    including motorcycle trips with his wife and friends.” Lorenzen
    identified his “damages and losses” as “permanent physical
    impairment; disfigurement; unnecessary pain and suffering and
    emotional distress; unnecessary financial hardship; and the
    possibility of future economic losses” based on possible
    unemployment. The complaint did not allege that Lorenzen
    33
    suffered stress, anxiety, or distress for some reason other than his
    physical impairment, including the uncertainty of reimbursement of
    benefits.
    ¶ 83   Nor did Lorenzen disclose any independent claim for
    noneconomic damages during discovery. At his deposition,
    Lorenzen explained that he had been injured by the denial of his
    claim in that “it put off the surgery. It put off any recovery [he]
    had.” He testified that Pinnacol’s handling of the claim was “wrong”
    and left him “very frustrat[ed]” and “angry.”
    ¶ 84   Lorenzen intended to introduce evidence concerning the
    impact of his physical impairment on “the daily activities of life,
    including work and leisure activities.” Lorenzen’s wife submitted a
    statement discussing Lorenzen’s physical and emotional changes
    since his injury. She reported that he was unable to enjoy their
    walks, hikes, and runs; he stumbled frequently, even on flat
    ground; and his impairment made him angry, frustrated, and
    depressed.
    ¶ 85   We conclude that Lorenzen pleaded a single claim for
    economic and noneconomic damages based on his physical
    impairment. And because he cannot prove that Pinnacol’s conduct
    34
    caused his physical impairment, it follows that he also cannot prove
    that Pinnacol is responsible for the noneconomic damages resulting
    from his physical impairment.
    ¶ 86   Accordingly, we discern no error in the court’s dismissal of
    Lorenzen’s complaint and entry of judgment for Pinnacol.
    IV.   Lorenzen’s Additional Contentions
    ¶ 87   In light of our disposition, we need not address Lorenzen’s
    challenges to the district court’s discovery ruling and its order
    imposing costs.
    V.    Conclusion
    ¶ 88   The judgment is affirmed.
    JUDGE TAUBMAN and JUDGE ROTHENBERG concur.
    35