Council of Parent Attorneys and Advocates, Inc. v. Devos ( 2019 )


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  •                            UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
    )
    COUNCIL OF PARENT ATTORNEYS  )
    AND ADVOCATES, INC.,         )
    )
    Plaintiff,           )
    )
    v.                       )                       Civil Action No. 18-cv-1636 (TSC)
    )
    )
    ELIZABETH (BETSY) DEVOS,     )
    SECRETARY OF EDUCATION;      )
    JOHNNY W. COLLET, ASSISTANT  )
    SECRETARY FOR SPECIAL        )
    EDUCATION AND REHABILITATIVE )
    SERVICES; U.S. DEPARTMENT OF )
    EDUCATION,                   )
    )
    Defendants.          )
    )
    MEMORANDUM OPINION
    This decision resolves three motions currently pending before the court: (1) Defendants’
    Motion to Dismiss, ECF No. 14; (2) Plaintiff’s Motion for Summary Judgment, ECF No. 16; and
    (3) Defendants’ Cross-Motion for Summary Judgment, ECF No. 22.
    Having reviewed the parties’ filings, the record, and the relevant case law, the court, for
    reasons set forth below, hereby DENIES Defendants’ Motion to Dismiss, ECF No. 14;
    GRANTS Plaintiff’s Motion for Summary Judgment, ECF No. 16; DENIES Defendants’ Cross-
    Motion for Summary Judgment, ECF No. 22; and VACATES “the Delay Regulation,”
    Assistance to States for the Education of Children With Disabilities; Preschool Grants for
    Children With Disabilities, 
    83 Fed. Reg. 31306
     (July 3, 2018).
    Page 1 of 43
    I.     BACKGROUND
    A. IDEA
    The Individuals with Disabilities Education Act (“IDEA”) was enacted to improve
    educational outcomes for students with disabilities by “ensur[ing] that [they] receive needed
    special education services.” Fry v. Napoleon Cmty. Sch., 
    137 S. Ct. 743
    , 748 (2017). The statute
    requires States to implement various provisions or risk losing federal funding. See 
    20 U.S.C. §§ 1411
    , 1412; Assistance to States for the Education of Children with Disabilities; Preschool
    Grants for Children With Disabilities, 
    81 Fed. Reg. 10968
    -01, 10970 (Mar. 2, 2016).
    Congress has amended IDEA numerous times because of the over-representation of
    minority students in various special education programs. See, e.g., 20 U.S.C §§ 1400(c)(12)(B)
    (“More minority children continue to be served in special education than would be expected
    from the percentage of minority students in the general school population.”); (C) (“African-
    American children are identified as having intellectual disabilities and emotional disturbance at
    rates greater than their White counterparts.”); (D) (“In the 1998-1999 school year, African-
    American children represented just 14.8 percent of the population aged 6 through 21, but
    comprised 20.2 percent of all children with disabilities.”); (E) (“Studies have found that schools
    with predominately White students and teachers have placed disproportionately high numbers of
    their minority students into special education.”). See also Compl. ¶¶ 30-50.
    In 1997 Congress amended the IDEA after finding that “[g]reater efforts [were] needed to
    prevent the intensification of problems connected with mislabeling . . . among minority children
    with disabilities.” Pub. L. No. 105-17, § 601(c)(8)(A), 
    111 Stat. 37
    , 40 (1997). This was the
    first time Congress “expressly identified racial over-representation in special education as a
    problem.” Compl. ¶ 51. To address this problem, Congress required States to collect and
    Page 2 of 43
    examine data to determine if significant disproportionality based on race was occurring in the
    identification and placement of students with disabilities, and to provide reviews and appropriate
    revisions of policies, practices, and procedures utilized in identifying students with disabilities.
    Individuals with Disabilities Education Act Amendments for 1997, Pub. L. No. 105-17, § 618(c),
    
    111 Stat. 37
    , 102 (1997).
    Seven years later, when reauthorizing and amending the IDEA, Congress expanded the
    significant disproportionality provisions beyond the identification and placement of children with
    disabilities to cover the “the incidence, duration, and type of disciplinary actions, including
    suspensions and expulsions.” Individuals with Disabilities Education Improvement Act of 2004,
    Pub. L. No. 108-446, § 618(d)(1)(C); 
    118 Stat. 2647
    , 2739 (2004). See 
    id.
     § 618(d)(1)(A)
    (identification); id. § 618(d)(1)(B) (placement). If school districts (also referred to as local
    education agencies (“LEAs”)) are identified as having significant disproportionality in any of
    these respects, States must: (1) “provide for the review and, if appropriate, revision of the
    policies, procedures, and practices used in such identification or placement;” id. § 618(d)(2)(A);
    (2) require school districts to spend 15% of their federal IDEA money “to provide
    comprehensive coordinated early intervening services to serve children in the local educational
    agency particularly children in those groups that were significantly overidentified;” id. §
    618(d)(2)(B), see id. § 613(f); and (3) “require the local educational agency to publicly report on
    the revision of policies, practices, and procedures.” Id. § 618(d)(2)(C).
    B. 2016 Regulations
    From 2006 through 2016, the Department of Education’s (hereinafter “the Department”
    or “the government”) regulations implementing the IDEA gave States “the discretion to define
    [significant disproportionality] for the LEAs and for the States in general.” Assistance to States
    Page 3 of 43
    for the Education of Children With Disabilities and Preschool Grants for Children With
    Disabilities, 
    71 Fed. Reg. 46540
    , 46738 (Aug. 14, 2006). This approach started to shift in 2014,
    when the Government Accountability Office (“GAO”) reported that “the way some States
    defined overrepresentation made it unlikely that any districts would be identified.” U.S. Gov’t
    Accountability Office, GAO-13-137, Individuals with Disabilities Education Act: Standards
    Needed to Improve Identification of Racial and Ethnic Overrepresentation in Special Education
    (2013), https://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-13-137. The GAO recommended “a standard
    approach for defining significant disproportionality to be used by all states.” Id. at 22.
    In 2014, following the GAO report, the Department issued a Request for Information, 
    79 Fed. Reg. 35154
     (June 19, 2014), because of “concern[] that the definitions and procedures for
    identifying LEAs with significant disproportionality that many States have established may set
    the bar so high that even LEAs with significant racial and ethnic disparities in the identification
    of children for special education are not identified as having significant disproportionality.” Id.
    at 35155.
    After considering the responses to the Request for Information, the Department issued a
    Notice of Proposed Rulemaking that would “require States to use a standard methodology . . .
    when making determinations of significant disproportionality.” Notice of Proposed Rulemaking
    Regarding Assistance to States for the Education of Children With Disabilities; Preschool Grants
    for Children With Disabilities, 
    81 Fed. Reg. 10968
    , 10978 (Mar. 2, 2016). In response to
    comments, the Department revised the proposed regulations and adopted its final regulations in
    2016. Final Regulation Regarding Assistance to States for the Education of Children With
    Disabilities; Preschool Grants for Children With Disabilities, 
    81 Fed. Reg. 92376
    , 92378 (Dec.
    19, 2016) (hereinafter “2016 Regulations”). In issuing the 2016 Regulations, the Department
    Page 4 of 43
    noted that “[m]any commenters” asserted that the proposed regulations “would put into place
    racial quotas that would interfere with the appropriate identification of children with disabilities
    based purely on the children's needs.” Id. at 92385. The Department “recognize[d] the
    possibility that, in cases where States select particularly low risk ratio thresholds, LEAs may
    have an incentive to avoid identifying children from particular racial or ethnic groups in order to
    avoid a determination of significant disproportionality.” Id. To counter that incentive, the
    Department explained that the final regulations “provide[] States the flexibility to set their own
    reasonable risk ratio thresholds, with input from stakeholders and State Advisory Panels.” Id.
    This process, the Department believed, would “help States and LEAs to address large racial and
    ethnic disparities without undermining the appropriate implementation of child find procedures.”
    Id. The Department further explained that “nothing in these regulations establishes or authorizes
    the use of racial or ethnic quotas limiting a child's access to special education and related
    services” and that “use of racial or ethnic quotas . . . would almost certainly conflict with the
    LEA's obligations to comply with other Federal statutes, including civil rights laws governing
    equal access to education” and “would almost certainly result in legal liability under Federal civil
    rights laws, including title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and the Constitution.” Id.
    Moreover, the Department intended to “conduct an evaluation of the implementation of this
    regulation to assess its impact, if any, on how LEAs identify children with disabilities.” Id. It
    explained that this evaluation would “include an examination of the extent to which school and
    LEA personnel incorrectly interpret the risk ratio thresholds and implement racial quotas in an
    attempt to avoid findings of significant disproportionality by States, contrary to IDEA.” Id.
    The 2016 Regulations set “common parameters for analysis, which each State must use to
    determine whether significant disproportionality is occurring at the State and local level.” 81
    Page 5 of 43
    Fed. Reg. at 92391. As part of this analysis, States were required to use “risk ratios” to analyze
    disparities across seven racial and ethnic groups and compare each group to the children in the
    school district in fourteen categories. See 
    81 Fed. Reg. 10968
    , 10973; 
    34 C.F.R. §§ 300.647
    (a)(6), (b)(2)–(4). 1 Plaintiff explains that “a risk ratio of 1.0 indicates that children
    from a given racial or ethnic group are no more or less likely than children from all other racial
    or ethnic groups to experience a particular outcome” and that, for instance, a risk ratio of 2.0
    means that one groups is twice as likely to experience that outcome. Compl. ¶ 67. As previously
    mentioned, States were given “the flexibility to set their own reasonable risk ratio
    thresholds, with input from stakeholders and State Advisory Panels,” 81 Fed. Reg at 92454,
    because the Department expected States to “work with stakeholders to identify particular risk
    ratio thresholds that help the State to address large racial and ethnic disparities without
    undermining the appropriate implementation of child find and evaluation procedures.” 
    Id.
     In
    explaining the benefit of this collaborative approach, the Department noted that
    it is important for States to take time to consult with their stakeholders and State
    Advisory Panels to ensure that, when setting risk ratio thresholds, they balance the need
    to identify significant disproportionality in LEAs with the need to avoid perverse
    incentives that would inhibit a child with a disability from being identified or placed in
    the most appropriate setting based on the determination of the IEP Team.
    Id. at 92394.
    The risk ratio threshold is the point at which disproportionality based on race or ethnicity
    can be determined to be significant. 
    34 C.F.R. § 300.647
    (a)(7). The regulation provides that if
    the risk ratio for a group exceeds the risk ratio threshold, then an LEA may be identified as
    significantly disproportionate. 
    Id.
     § 300.647(b)(6). If “a determination of significant
    1
    A “risk ratio is a calculation performed by dividing the risk of a particular outcome for children
    in one racial or ethnic group within an LEA by the risk for children in all other racial and ethnic
    groups within the LEA.” 
    34 C.F.R. §300.647
    (a)(6).
    Page 6 of 43
    disproportionality with respect to the identification of children as children with disabilities or the
    placement in particular educational settings” is made, the State must “review and, if appropriate,
    revis[e] . . .the policies, practices, and procedures used in identification or placement in
    particular education settings,” 
    id.
     § 300.646(c)(1). The LEA is required to “publicly report on
    the revision of policies, practices, and procedures,” id. § 300.646(c)(2), and must “identify and
    address the factors contributing to the significant disproportionality,” id. § 300.646(d)(1)(ii).
    Although the regulations took effect on January 18, 2017, the Department set the compliance
    date for States at July 1, 2018 to provide “States time to plan for implementing these final
    regulations, including to the extent necessary, time to amend the policies and procedures
    necessary to comply.” 81 Fed. Reg. at 92378.
    In addition to allowing States to set the risk ratio threshold applicable to their own school
    districts, subject to a requirement of reasonableness, 81 Fed. Reg. at 92388; 
    34 C.F.R. § 300.647
    (b)(1)(i), (b)(1)(iii)(B), the regulations gave States discretion in two additional
    respects. First, States had flexibility to determine when there were sufficient children in a
    particular racial or ethnic group to permit application of the regulation’s methodology. 
    34 C.F.R. §§ 300.647
    (a)(3), (4). Second, States had discretion not to identify as significantly
    disproportionate if the risk ratio for a racial or ethnic group in the relevant category had not
    exceeded the risk ratio threshold for three prior consecutive years, or if the district had
    demonstrated reasonable progress in lowering its risk ratio for the group in each of the two prior
    years. 
    34 C.F.R. §§ 300.647
    (d)(1), (2).
    C. The 2018 Postponement of the 2016 Regulations – The “Delay Regulation”
    In February 2018 the Department issued a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, proposing to
    “postpone the compliance date [of the 2016 Regulations] by two years, from July 1, 2018 to July
    Page 7 of 43
    1, 2020.” Assistance to States for the Education of Children With Disabilities; Preschool Grants
    for Children With Disabilities, 
    83 Fed. Reg. 8396
     (Feb. 27, 2018). In seeking public comment,
    the Department noted it would “consider comments on proposed delayed compliance dates only
    and [would] not consider comments on the text or substance of the final regulations.” 
    Id.
     In July
    2018, citing concerns that the 2016 Regulations “may create an incentive for LEAs to establish
    de facto quotas,” the Department issued its final rule postponing the compliance date of the 2016
    Regulations by two years. Final Rule Delaying Compliance Date Regarding Assistance to States
    for the Education of Children With Disabilities; Preschool Grants for Children With Disabilities,
    
    83 Fed. Reg. 31306
    , 31308 (July 3, 2018) (hereinafter the “Delay Regulation”). In support of the
    delay, the Department argued that data from Texas corroborated its concern that the 2016
    Regulations could incentivize LEAs to employ de facto quotas. 
    Id. at 31308, 31311
    . The
    Department decided it was “more prudent to delay the compliance date [of the 2016 Regulations]
    and address that concern through a review of the standard methodology before States [were]
    required to implement the regulations rather than during implementation.” 
    Id. at 31310
    . The
    Delay Regulation, however, allowed States to use the standard methodology from the 2016
    Regulations. 
    Id. at 31309
     (“States may implement the standard methodology or may use any
    methodology of their choosing to collect and examine data to identify significant
    disproportionality in their LEAs until the Department evaluates the regulations and issues raised
    in this rulemaking.”). Indeed, the Department predicted that when the Delay Regulation went
    into effect, many States would implement the standard methodology. 
    Id. at 31312
     (“States may,
    and many States have commented that they intend to, implement the standard methodology in
    the 2016 significant disproportionality regulations even if the Department delays these
    regulations.”).
    Page 8 of 43
    D. Plaintiff’s Lawsuit
    Plaintiff Council of Parent Attorneys and Advocates, Inc. (“COPAA”) is a “national not
    for-profit organization of parents of children with disabilities, their attorneys, and their
    advocates,” whose mission is “to protect and enforce the legal and civil rights of students with
    disabilities and their families.” Compl. ¶ 12. COPAA advances its mission by:
    providing resources, training, and information to parents, advocates, and attorneys to
    assist them in obtaining the equal educational opportunity to which children with
    disabilities are entitled under the federal civil rights laws, including the IDEA; educating
    members of the public and policy makers, including federal agencies, about the
    educational experiences of children with disabilities and their families (including the
    intersection of race and disability); and educating COPAA members about developments
    in the federal civil rights laws and policies affecting education of children with
    disabilities.
    Id. ¶ 14. To help prepare its educational materials, COPAA relies “on information and research
    it collects about what school districts are doing with regard to disability and race, including how
    States identify school districts as significantly disproportionate and how school districts respond
    (with or without their states’ assistance) to determinations of significant disproportionality.” Id.
    ¶ 17. COPAA relies heavily on reports and analyses generated after school districts are
    identified as significantly disproportionate, including publicly available reports of revisions to
    school districts’ policies, practices, and procedures, and analyses of identifying factors
    contributing to the significant disproportionality determinations, known as “root-cause analyses.”
    Compl. ¶ 119; 
    34 C.F.R. §§ 300.646
    (c)(2), (d)(1)(ii). COPAA claims these “reports and
    analyses are an important source of information relied upon by COPAA in preparing educational
    materials, in adopting policy positions, and in advocating on behalf of children before federal
    agencies.” Compl. ¶ 119.
    On July 3, 2018 the Department published the Delay Regulation in the Federal Register.
    Nine days later, COPAA filed suit, requesting that this court declare the Delay Regulation
    Page 9 of 43
    unlawful; vacate and set aside the Delay Regulation; enjoin the Department of Education and its
    officers, employees, and agents from implementing the Delay Regulation; award COPAA its
    reasonable costs and attorney’s fees incurred in the prosecution of this action; and award such
    other equitable and further relief as this court deems just and proper. Compl. ¶ 133.
    COPAA claims, among other injuries, that the Delay Regulation will “reduce the number
    of school districts that are identified as significantly disproportionate in the 2018-19 school year
    compared to what would occur if compliance with the 2016 Final Regulations were required for
    the 2018-19 school year in all States.” Compl. ¶ 116. COPAA asserts that the reduction “will
    have certain inevitable consequences that will injure COPAA, its members, and students,” id. ¶
    117; that it will “reduce the number of school districts that must engage in a review of their
    policies, practices, and procedures,” id. ¶ 118, and “reduce the amount of information available
    to COPAA and its members,” id. ¶ 119. See Plaintiff’s Opposition to Defendants’ Motion to
    Dismiss and Plaintiff’s Motion for Summary Judgment, ECF No. 16 at 9 (“Pl.’s Opp’n to Defs.’
    Mot. to Dismiss and Pl.’s Mot. for Summ. J.”) (“The two-year delay of the 2016 Regulations
    hampers COPAA’s public education activities by reducing the amount of information available
    to it about significant disproportionality at the state and local levels compared to what it would
    have received under the 2016 Regulations.”). COPAA further asserts that some of its members
    will be individually harmed by the Delay Regulation because they have children “enrolled in
    school districts that would have been identified as significantly disproportionate absent the Delay
    Regulation.” Id. These parents, COPAA maintains, “have lost important practical services that
    would have flowed from a determination of disproportionality, including an automatic review
    provided by the state of the policies, practices and procedures—including individual review of
    their child’s identification, placement, or discipline—and mandatory revisions of any illegal
    Page 10 of 43
    practices,” id. at 9-10, and “the opportunity for their district[s] to engage in a root-cause analysis
    to ensure that the comprehensive coordinated early intervening services (“CEIS”) are used
    toward reducing such disparities,” id. at 10 (citing Compl. and Almazan, Adams, Cone, and
    Gerland Affidavits).
    Defendants have moved to dismiss for lack of standing, and both parties have moved for
    summary judgment.
    II.    MOTION TO DISMISS
    A. Legal Standard
    A motion pursuant to Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 12(b)(1) “presents a threshold
    challenge to the court’s jurisdiction.” Haase v. Sessions, 
    835 F.2d 902
    , 906 (D.C. Cir. 1987).
    “[T]he core component of standing is an essential and unchanging part of the case-or-
    controversy requirement of Article III.” Lujan v. Defs. of Wildlife, 
    504 U.S. 555
    , 560 (1992).
    The plaintiff bears the burden of establishing the elements of standing, 
    id. at 561
    , and each
    element “‘must be supported in the same way as any other matter on which the plaintiff bears the
    burden of proof, i.e., with the manner and degree of evidence required at the successive stages of
    the litigation.’” Arpaio v. Obama, 
    797 F.3d 11
    , 19 (D.C. Cir. 2015) (quoting Lujan, 
    504 U.S. at 561
    ). The plaintiff must “show a ‘substantial probability’ that it has been injured, that the
    defendant caused its injury, and that the court could redress that injury.” Sierra Club v. E.P.A.,
    
    292 F.3d 895
    , 899 (D.C. Cir. 2002) (citation omitted). With respect to a facial 12(b)(1) motion
    to dismiss, the court must “accept the well-pleaded factual allegations as true and draw all
    reasonable inferences from those allegations in the plaintiff's favor.” Arpaio v. Obama, 
    797 F.3d 11
    , 19 (D.C. Cir. 2015). At the summary judgment stage, the plaintiff “must support each
    Page 11 of 43
    element of its claim to standing by affidavit or other evidence.” Scenic Am., Inc. v. U.S. Dep't of
    Transp., 
    836 F.3d 42
    , 48 n.2 (D.C. Cir. 2016).
    Under the law of this Circuit, COPAA “‘can assert standing on its own behalf, on behalf
    of its members, or both.’” PETA v. USDA, 
    797 F.3d 1087
    , 1093 (D.C. Cir. 2015) (quoting Equal
    Rights Ctr. v. Post Props., Inc., 
    633 F.3d 1136
    , 1138 (D.C. Cir. 2011)). In asserting standings on
    its own behalf, i.e., organizational standing, COPAA must, “like an individual plaintiff,” show
    “[1] actual or threatened injury in fact [2] that is fairly traceable to the alleged illegal action and
    [3] likely to be redressed by a favorable court decision.” 
    Id.
     (quotation marks and citations
    omitted). In asserting standing on behalf of its members, i.e., associational standing, COPAA
    must show “(1) at least one of its members has standing in its own right, (2) the interests [it]
    seeks to protect are germane to its purpose, and (3) neither the claim asserted nor the relief
    requested requires the participation of an individual . . . member in the suit.” Interstate Nat. Gas
    Ass'n of Am. v. FERC, 
    494 F.3d 1092
    , 1095 (D.C. Cir. 2007) (citation omitted).
    B. Organizational Standing
    1. Injury in Fact
    COPAA claims that the Delay Regulation has denied it the information it would have
    received if the 2016 Regulations had not been delayed. An Article III injury in fact occurs if the
    government cuts off information that legally must be publicly disclosed. “[A] plaintiff suffers an
    ‘injury in fact’ when the plaintiff fails to obtain information which must be publicly disclosed
    pursuant to a statute.” FEC v. Akins, 
    524 U.S. 11
    , 21 (1998) (citations omitted). “To establish
    such an injury, a plaintiff must espouse a view of the law under which the defendant (or an entity
    it regulates) is obligated to disclose certain information that the plaintiff has a right to obtain.”
    ASPCA v. Feld Entm't, Inc., 
    659 F.3d 13
    , 23 (D.C. Cir. 2011).
    Page 12 of 43
    The D.C. Circuit has set forth well-established principles for determining standing. In
    Action All. of Senior Citizens of Greater Philadelphia v. Heckler, 
    789 F.2d 931
    , 935 (D.C. Cir.
    1986), plaintiffs were “four organizations that endeavor[ed], through informational, counseling,
    referral, and other services, to improve the lives of elderly citizens.” 
    Id.
     They sued the
    Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), alleging that HHS’s regulation “significantly
    restrict[ed],” the flow of “information regarding services available to the elderly” that, if
    possessed by plaintiffs, “would enhance [their] capacity . . . to refer members to appropriate
    services and to counsel members when unlawful age discrimination may have figured in[to] a
    benefit denial.” 
    Id. at 937
    . The D.C. Circuit found that the plaintiffs established standing,
    because the regulations kept plaintiffs from “access to information and avenues of redress they
    wish[ed] to use in their routine information-dispensing, counseling, and referral activities.
    Unlike the mere ‘interest in a problem’ or ideological injury in Sierra Club [v. Morton, 
    405 U.S. 727
    , 739 (1972)], plaintiffs had “alleged inhibition of their daily operations, an injury both
    concrete and specific to the work in which they [were] engaged.” Id. at 937-38 (quotation marks
    omitted) (footnote omitted).
    In PETA, Plaintiff, an animal rights organization, sued the USDA, asking the court to
    order USDA to “extend enforcement of the AWA [Animal Welfare Act] to birds covered by the
    AWA, by enforcing the general AWA standards that presently exist.” 797 F.3d at 1091
    (quotation marks omitted) (footnote omitted). PETA claimed that USDA’s failure to investigate
    allegations of bird mistreatment denied the public reports of those alleged instances, and that
    PETA used the information in the reports to educate its members and the public. Id. at 1095,
    1096. The district court found that PETA had standing because USDA’s decision not to apply
    the AWA to birds “precluded PETA from preventing cruelty to and inhumane treatment of these
    Page 13 of 43
    animals through its normal process of submitting USDA complaints and it deprived PETA of key
    information that it relies on to educate the public.” Id. at 1094 (quotation marks and citation
    omitted). The D.C. Circuit affirmed, noting that “[t]he key issue is whether PETA has suffered a
    concrete and demonstrable injury to [its] activities, mindful that, under our precedent, a mere
    setback to [PETA's] abstract social interests is not sufficient.” Id. at 1093 (second alteration in
    original) (quotation marks and citations omitted). The Circuit explained that in determining
    “whether an organization's injury is concrete and demonstrable,” a court asks “first, whether the
    agency's action or omission to act injured the [organization's] interest and, second, whether the
    organization used its resources to counteract that harm.” Id. at 1094 (alteration in original)
    (quotation marks and citations omitted). Applying these standards, the Court found that PETA’s
    alleged injuries were “materially indistinguishable from those alleged by the organizations in
    Action Alliance[].” Id. It held that the “USDA's allegedly unlawful failure to apply the AWA's
    general animal welfare regulations to birds has perceptibly impaired PETA's ability to both bring
    AWA violations to the attention of the agency charged with preventing avian cruelty and
    continue to educate the public.” Id. at 1095 (quotation marks and brackets omitted). PETA
    established organizational standing because it had expended resources to counter its injuries. Id.
    In Waterkeeper All. v. EPA, 
    853 F.3d 527
    , 530 (D.C. Cir. 2017), plaintiffs challenged an
    EPA regulation that “generally exempt[ed] farms from [statutory] reporting requirements for air
    releases from animal waste.” The Court of Appeals found here, too, that the challenged
    regulation inflicted “informational injury.” Id. at 533. Invoking the rule “that the plaintiff must
    assert ‘a view of the law under which the defendant (or an entity it regulates) is obligated to
    disclose certain information that the plaintiff has a right to obtain,’” id. (quoting ASPCA, 
    659 F.3d at 22-23
    ), the Court explained that the question is “whether a reporting mandate under
    Page 14 of 43
    CERCLA triggers a requirement of public disclosure. If so, exempting a release from the
    mandate extinguishes the corresponding disclosure.” 
    Id.
     The Court held “the EPA’s allegedly
    unlawful CERCLA exemption reduces the information that must be publicly disclosed under
    EPCRA. As a result Waterkeeper (and others) who previously sought that information no longer
    have a statutory right to access it. For the purpose of standing, that’s injury enough.” 
    Id.
    This trio of cases – Action Alliance, PETA, and Waterkeeper – controls this court’s
    decision. The Delay Regulation prevents COPAA from receiving information to which it is
    legally entitled. Because 
    20 U.S.C. § 1418
    (b)(1) directs States to “publicly report[]” information
    that the Department requires they collect, States must publicly disclose the significant
    disproportionality designation of LEAs. See 83 Fed. Reg. at 31313 (“States will continue to
    report to the Department and the public whether each LEA was identified with significant
    disproportionality and the category or categories of analysis under which the LEA was
    identified.”). The IDEA also requires States to publicly disclose revisions made to LEAs’
    policies, procedures, and practices. 
    20 U.S.C. § 1418
    (d)(2)(C); 
    34 C.F.R. § 300.646
    (c)(2).
    COPAA has convincingly shown that the Delay Regulation deprives it of information it
    would have received if the 2016 Regulations had gone into effect, that this information would
    assist it, including with educating its members and the public, and that it has expended resources
    counteracting the loss of information.
    First, COPAA explains that to fulfill its mission “to protect and enforce the legal and civil
    rights of students with disabilities and their families,” Compl. ¶ 12, it relies on information
    related to significant disproportionality. Specifically:
    COPAA relies on information and research it collects about what school districts are
    doing with regard to disability and race, including how States identify school districts as
    significantly disproportionate and how school districts respond (with or without their
    states’ assistance) to determinations of significant disproportionality.
    Page 15 of 43
    Id. ¶ 17; see also Almazan Aff. ¶ 6 (“In conducting these activities to fulfill its mission,
    including its public education activities, COPAA relies on public information and research it
    collects about what school districts are doing with regard to disability and race, including how
    States identify school districts as significantly disproportionate and how school districts respond
    (with or without their States’ assistance) to determinations of significant disproportionality,
    including revising policies, practices, and procedures and spending their IDEA funds on
    comprehensive coordinated early intervention services.”).
    Second, COPAA explains “[t]he delay in the compliance date will necessarily reduce the
    amount of information available to COPAA and its members because it will reduce the number
    of school districts determined to be significantly disproportionate and, in turn, reduce the number
    of school districts subject to two information-generating provisions of the IDEA and the 2016
    Final Regulations.” Compl. ¶ 119. COPAA identifies two types of information that it will lose:
    “first, a report, which will be made publicly available, of revisions, if any, of the school district’s
    policies, practices, and procedures, 
    34 C.F.R. § 300.646
    (c)(2); and second, an analysis that
    identifies the factors contributing to the significant disproportionality, i.e., a root–cause analysis,
    
    id.
     § 300.646(d)(1)(ii).” Id. COPAA explains that “[t]hese reports and analyses are an important
    source of information relied upon by [it] in preparing educational materials, in adopting policy
    positions, and in advocating on behalf of children before federal agencies.” Id.; see also
    Almazan Aff. ¶ 8.
    Third, COPAA demonstrates that the information it will be deprived of is of the type “on
    which it relies to educate its members and the public” and that it uses that information as part of
    its “routine information–dispensing activities.” Id. ¶ 120. COPAA explains that this, in turn,
    prevents its members from “learn[ing] what school districts that would otherwise be determined
    Page 16 of 43
    to be significantly disproportionate under the 2016 Regulations are doing.” Id.; see also
    Almazan Aff. ¶¶ 8-12.
    Fourth, COPAA explains that the loss of information will necessarily result in the
    additional expenditure of revenues.
    [I]n order to continue to educate the public, policy makers, and its members, COPAA
    will have to find the same information elsewhere. Such efforts include independent
    investigation and public records requests to numerous states and LEAs; researching the
    labyrinth of state significant disproportionality formulas and thresholds; and reaching out
    to parents directly. These more costly methods hardly guarantee the same information,
    impairing COPAA’s ability to provide the same robust guidance to the public and its
    members.
    Pl.’s Mem. in Opp’n to Defs.’ Mot. to Dismiss and in Supp. of Pl.’s Mot for Summ. J. at 14
    (citations omitted). See also Almazan Aff. ¶ 15; Compl. ¶ 122.
    COPAA demonstrates that even its own independent research efforts will not provide
    access to the same quality of information that would be available under the 2016 Regulations. It
    explains that the “Department of Education does not make publicly available data that would
    allow COPAA to calculate racial disparities in identification, placement, and discipline of
    students with disabilities at the school district level disaggregated by disability type (as opposed
    to as the state level).” Almazan Aff. ¶ 7. Similarly, “in virtually all States, there is very little
    public data available that would allow COPAA to calculate racial disparities in identification,
    placement and discipline of students with disabilities at the school district level.” Id. Therefore,
    COPAA “relies on the determinations of significant disproportionality announced by the States
    in determining which school districts have the most significant racial disparities in the State and
    consequently are in most need of COPAA’s monitoring and education functions.” Id. ¶ 8. 2
    2
    The government claims that, because States maintain considerable discretion “under the 2016
    Regulations, Plaintiff will still lack comparable information on racial disproportionality . . .
    Page 17 of 43
    In sum, because COPAA’s alleged injury—i.e., denial of access to significant
    disproportionality information—is “concrete and specific to the work in which [it is] engaged,”
    and because it has expended resources to counter that injury, COPAA has alleged a cognizable
    injury sufficient to support organizational standing. PETA, 797 F.3d at 1095. 3
    The government argues on several fronts that COPAA fails to establish organizational
    standing. First, it contends that the underlying premise of COPAA’s injury-in-fact argument –
    “that ED’s postponement of the compliance date for the 2016 regulations will result in fewer
    school districts being identified with significant disproportionality than would have occurred
    absent the postponement” – is “speculative.” Defendants’ Motion to Dismiss at 19, ECF No. 14
    (“Defs.’ Mot. to Dismiss”); see also id. at 3, 14, 18, 23, 28, 31. “Plaintiff simply assumes
    without any factual basis that States would have chosen to implement the 2016 Regulations in
    such a way as to result in more school districts being identified with significant
    disproportionality,” and therefore COPAA’s alleged injuries are “conjectural and hypothetical, as
    [because] the amount and types of information made available through school districts’ reports
    will still necessarily vary.” Defendants’ Reply in Support of Motion to Dismiss at 13, ECF No.
    19 (“Defs.’ Reply in Supp. of Mot. to Dismiss”) (quotation marks omitted). The government’s
    prior statements undercut its current assertion. In 2018, the government stated that “the only
    benefits we believe could be reasonably argued to be delayed as a result of this regulatory action
    would be the reduction in the use of inappropriate policies, practices, and procedures, and the
    increased comparability of data across States.” 83 Fed. Reg. at 31316. The government said the
    same in 2016. See 81 Fed. Reg. at 92457 (“The Department believes this regulatory action to
    standardize the methodology States use to identify significant disproportionality will provide
    clarity to the public, increase comparability of data across States . . . [and] will accrue benefits to
    stakeholders in reduced time and effort needed for data analysis and a greater capacity for
    meaningful advocacy.”); see also id. at 92386, 92407. Therefore, the Delay Regulation hampers
    Plaintiff’s ability to conduct comparability assessments of data across States.
    3
    There is reason to believe that for informational standing COPAA does not need to demonstrate
    a diversion of resources. See, e.g., Campaign Legal Center v. FEC, 
    245 F. Supp. 3d 119
    , 127–
    128 (D.D.C. 2017). But the court need not decide this question because COPAA has shown that
    the Delay Regulation has forced it to expend resources trying to collect the information.
    Page 18 of 43
    opposed to actual or imminent,” id. at 20. The essence of the government’s argument is that the
    likelihood of fewer school districts being identified “depends on the independent actions of
    entities not before the Court and not parties to this litigation . . . ,” id., and those entities have
    wide latitude in implementing the regulations. In particular, States had three types of discretion
    in implementing the 2016 Regulations: (1) States could set a reasonable risk ratio threshold
    applicable to their own schools districts, 81 Fed. Reg. at 92388; 
    34 C.F.R. §§ 300.647
    (b)(1)(i),
    (b)(1)(iii)(B); (2) States had flexibility to determine when there were sufficient children in a
    particular racial or ethnic group to permit application of the regulations’ methodology in the first
    instance, 
    34 C.F.R. §§ 300.647
    (a)(3), (4); and (3) States had discretion not to identify an LEA as
    significantly disproportionate if the risk ratio for a racial or ethnic group in the relevant category
    of analysis had not exceeded the risk ratio threshold for three prior consecutive years or if the
    district had demonstrated reasonable progress in lowering its risk ratio for the group in the
    relevant category of analysis in each of the two prior years, 
    34 C.F.R. §§ 300.647
    (d)(1), (2).
    This discretion, the government argues, renders any prediction about whether the 2016
    Regulations would have led to more schools being identified as significantly disproportionate as
    an exercise in speculation. Defs.’ Mot. to Dismiss at 23.
    In further support of this argument, the government also points to the fact that when it
    issued the 2016 final regulations, the Department admitted that it was uncertain “how many
    LEAs would be newly identified in future years, particularly given the wide flexibilities provided
    to States in the final regulations,” 81 Fed. Reg. at 92388, and that it was “possible that these
    regulations may not result in any additional LEAs being identified as having significant
    disproportionality.” Id. at 92458. Finally, the government argues that Plaintiff has not proffered
    “markers or allegations to suggest how the States intended to implement the 2016 Regulations,
    Page 19 of 43
    or how they intend to act following postponement of the compliance date.” Defs.’ Mot. to
    Dismiss at 26.
    The government’s own statements undermine its argument that an increase in LEAs
    being identified as significantly disproportionate is speculative. Indeed, these statements
    demonstrate that an increase in the number of LEAs found to be significantly disproportionate
    was likely had the 2016 Regulations gone into effect. Although the Department said that it is
    possible that these regulations may not result in any additional LEAs being identified as having
    significant disproportionality, it found this outcome “unlikely” and that “400 LEAs above
    baseline represents the most reasonable estimate of the likely costs associated with these final
    rules.” 81 Fed. Reg. at 92458, 92462. In a similar vein, when the Department promulgated the
    Delay Regulation, it estimated there would be fewer LEAs identified as having significant
    disproportionality. See 83 Fed. Reg. at 31316 (“[W]e also estimate that 150 additional LEAs
    will be identified with significant disproportionately in Year 1 [2018-2019], 220 in Year 2
    [2019-2020], and 400 in Year 3 [2020-2021].”). While the court notes that these projections
    were not made “with a high degree of certainty,” 81 Fed. Reg. at 92388, COPAA’s “burden of
    proof is not to demonstrate certainty but to show a substantial probability” of injury. In re Idaho
    Conservation League, 
    811 F.3d 502
    , 508 (D.C. Cir. 2016) (quotation marks and citation omitted)
    (emphasis in original). Moreover, although the government now argues that these estimates
    were “proffered without explanation or analytical support,” Defs.’ Reply in Supp. of Mot. to
    Dismiss at 1, this claim is undercut by the government’s pre-litigation statement that its estimates
    were based on “the expertise of its staff members and relevant external sources.” Adams Decl. II
    ¶ 37, Plaintiff’s Reply in Support of its Motion for Summary Judgment and Opposition to
    Defendants’ Cross-Motion for Summary Judgment, ECF No. 25 at 5 (“Pl.’s Reply Supp. Mot.
    Page 20 of 43
    for Summ. J. and Opp’n to Defs.’ Cross-Mot. for Summ. J.”) (quoting an e-mail from Ms. Hill,
    the Department of Education Press Secretary).
    Furthermore, information from three states that have not implemented the 2016
    Regulations – Colorado, Missouri, and South Dakota – shows that had they done so, more LEAs
    would have been identified. The Colorado Department of Education “did not expect to identify
    any districts as significantly disproportionate in the 2018-19 school year under the non-federal
    methodology Colorado has opted to use instead of the 2016 federal regulations.” Adams Decl. I
    ¶ 5, Pl.’s Opp’n to Defs.’ Mot. to Dismiss and Pl.’s Mot. for Summ. J., Ex. E. “[F]ive LEAs . . .
    would have been identified as significantly disproportionate for the 2018-19 school year under
    the 2016 federal regulations.” Id. ¶ 6. Missouri did not expect to identify any LEAs using its
    methodology, while predicting it would have identified 33 school districts as significantly
    disproportionate for the 2018-19 school year if using the 2016 Regulations. Id. ¶¶ 15, 16. South
    Dakota reported that under its methodology, one school district would likely be identified as
    significantly disproportionate. Id. ¶ 21. Under the 2016 Regulations, South Dakota would have
    identified ten. Id. ¶ 22. This information from the States shows that the likelihood of increased
    identification of LEAs as significantly disproportionate if the 2016 Regulations had gone into
    effect is not speculative. 4
    The government also contends that COPAA’s informational injury is speculative,
    because the likelihood of additional information being publicly reported would require a school
    4
    The government nonetheless argues that the States’ own reporting was “uncertain,” and that
    “States did not indicate whether they did or would exercise any of the discretion afforded to them
    under the 2016 Regulations.” Defs.’ Reply in Supp. of Mot. to Dismiss at 5-6. However,
    COPAA confirmed with Missouri, South Dakota and Colorado that they “took into account all
    the flexibilities permitted by the Final Regulations when the department identified school
    districts as significantly disproportionate.” Adams Decl. II ¶ 3; see also id. ¶¶ 14-15.
    Page 21 of 43
    district to determine that a change to its “policies, practices, or procedures” is necessary for
    compliance and then actually make a change. Defs.’ Mot. to Dismiss at 43 (citing 
    34 C.F.R. § 300.646
    (c)(2)). Again, the government’s prior statements refute its current argument. In
    promulgating the 2016 Regulations, the government estimated that “half of the new LEAs
    identified with significant disproportionality . . . would need to revise their policies, practices,
    and procedures.” 81 Fed. Reg. at 92461. This estimate remained unchanged when the
    government adopted the Delay Regulation. 83 Fed. Reg. at 31316.
    The government next argues that COPAA is in the same position it has always been in
    and cannot show any injury to its daily operations and activities because the regulations’
    compliance date was postponed, and so school districts were never required to adopt the standard
    methodology. Defs.’ Mot. to Dismiss at 29. This argument is misplaced because the compliance
    date for the 2016 Regulations was July 1, 2018, two days before the Delay Regulation was
    published in the Federal Register. Moreover, “the baseline for measuring the impact of a change
    or rescission of a final rule is the requirements of the rule itself, not the world as it would have
    been had the rule never been promulgated.” Air All. Hous. v. EPA, 
    906 F.3d 1049
    , 1068 (D.C.
    Cir. 2018). The government’s argument that COPAA cannot show injury because it did not
    previously have access to the increased information about significant disproportionality is
    inconsistent with both PETA and Action Alliance. In those cases, the Court of Appeals found
    injury in fact even though plaintiffs claimed an entitlement to information to which they
    previously did not have access. See PETA, 797 F.3d at 1089 (“Although the Agency has taken
    steps to craft avian-specific animal welfare regulations, it has yet to complete its task after more
    than ten years and, during the intervening time, it has allegedly not applied the Act's general
    animal welfare regulations to birds.”); Action Alliance, 
    789 F.2d at 937
    .
    Page 22 of 43
    The government further contends that none of the cases on which COPAA relies
    “involves an alleged informational injury that arises from the Government’s non-regulation of
    non-parties to the litigation and which is therefore contingent on how third-party actors will
    exercise their discretion.” Defendants’ Reply in Support of Motion to Dismiss, ECF No. 19 at 9
    (Defs.’ Reply in Supp. of Mot. to Dismiss). However, in Waterkeeper, a statute required certain
    private entities to notify state or local governments if the entities released hazardous substances
    into the environment. 853 F.3d at 534. The state or local government was required to make the
    “followup emergency notices” from the entity available to the public. Id. (internal brackets and
    quotation marks omitted). A federal agency sought to exempt certain entities from the reporting
    requirement, and the Court of Appeals held that petitioners had standing to challenge the
    exemption because it “reduces the information that must be publicly disclosed.” Id. at 533.
    Petitioners did not have to show how many local and state governments would comply with the
    disclosure requirements, or how many emergency notices would be submitted by exempted third
    parties to local and state governments. The Court concluded that petitioners had informational
    standing, even though the production of information required the involvement of two sets of
    parties not before the court. 5
    5
    The government argues that Plaintiff’s inability to obtain “root-cause analyses” cannot create
    standing, because Plaintiff does not have a statutory right to that information. See, e.g., PETA,
    797 F.3d at 1103 (Millett, J., concurring dubitante); Friends of Animals v. Jewell, 
    828 F.3d 989
    ,
    992 (D.C. Cir. 2016). The court need not decide this question, because COPAA adequately
    alleges informational harm based on the loss of information on disproportionality designations,
    to which COPAA has a legal right. See 
    20 U.S.C. §§ 1418
    (b)(1), (d)(2); 83 Fed. Reg. at 31313;
    
    34 C.F.R. § 300.646
    (c)(2).
    Page 23 of 43
    2. Causation and Redressability
    The causation element of standing requires “a fairly traceable connection between the
    plaintiff’s injury and the complained-of conduct.” Steel Co. v. Citizens for a Better Env’t, 
    523 U.S. 83
    , 103 (1998) (citation omitted). Because the 2016 Regulations required States to use a
    standard methodology, but for the Delay Regulation COPAA would have the information it
    seeks. Therefore, COPAA has satisfied the causation element. To satisfy the redressability
    requirement, COPAA must show “a likelihood that the requested relief will redress the alleged
    injury.” 
    Id.
     COPAA does not have “‘to prove that granting the requested relief is certain to
    alleviate’ [its] injury.” Int'l Ladies' Garment Workers' Union v. Donovan, 
    722 F.2d 795
    , 811
    (D.C. Cir. 1983) (quoting Cmty. Nutrition Inst. v. Block, 
    698 F.2d 1239
    , 1248 (D.C. Cir. 1983),
    rev’d on other grounds, 
    467 U.S. 340
     (1984)) (emphasis in original). If this court vacates the
    Delay Regulation, the 2016 Regulations will likely provide COPAA access to the information it
    seeks. Therefore, COPAA has satisfied the redressability element. 6
    C. Associational Standing
    A plaintiff asserting associational standing must show that “(1) at least one of its
    members has standing in its own right, (2) the interests [plaintiff] seeks to protect are germane to
    its purpose, and (3) neither the claim asserted nor the relief requested requires the participation of
    an individual . . . member in the suit.” Interstate Nat. Gas Ass'n of Am. v. FERC, 
    494 F.3d 1092
    ,
    1095 (D.C. Cir. 2007) (citation omitted). Based on the record before it, the court finds that
    COPAA has satisfied this standard.
    6
    The government’s argument on causality and redressability relies on its erroneous conclusion
    that the likelihood of more LEAs being identified as significantly disproportionate if the 2016
    Regulations were implemented is only speculative. See Defs.’ Mot. to Dismiss at 41-43.
    Page 24 of 43
    In its Cross-Motion for Summary Judgment, see Pl.’s Mem. in Opp’n to Defs.’ Mot. to
    Dismiss and in Supp. of Pl.’s Mot for Summ. J., COPAA identified two members, Cone and
    Gerland, whose children are enrolled in LEAs in States where, but for the Delay Regulation, the
    LEAs would have been identified as significantly disproportionate. See Almazan Aff. ¶ 21;
    Adams Aff. ¶¶ 3-7; Cone Aff. ¶¶ 3-5, 7-8; Gerland Aff. ¶¶ 3-7. 7
    These individual members suffered two types of injuries caused by the Delay Regulation:
    First, they suffered informational injuries because the loss of the disproportionality information
    undercuts their ability to keep abreast of important developments that shape their children’s
    education under the IDEA, such as picking school districts and coordinating individual
    educational plans. See, e.g., Cone Aff. ¶ 8; Gerland Aff. ¶ 7. “[W]e have recognized that a
    denial of access to information can work an injury in fact for standing purposes, at least where a
    statute (on the claimants' reading) requires that the information be publicly disclosed
    and there is no reason to doubt their claim that the information would help them.” ASPCA v.
    Feld Entm't, Inc., 
    659 F.3d at 22
     (citations and quotation marks omitted). Members also suffered
    an injury because they lost the opportunity to adjust and correct their children’s treatment. A
    failure to designate their LEAs as significantly disproportionate denies members an automatic
    7
    Cone and Gerland were not identified in COPAA’s Complaint, and the government argued that
    this fact was fatal to COPAA’s associational standing argument. See Defs.’ Mot. to Dismiss at
    38-39. Cone and Gerland were subsequently identified through affidavits in COPAA’s motion
    for summary judgment, after which the government ceased to press its argument. Although the
    D.C. Circuit has not held that a plaintiff need not identify an affected member by name at the
    pleading stage, numerous other courts have so found. See, e.g., Ass'n of Am. Physicians &
    Surgeons, Inc. v. Sebelius, 
    901 F. Supp. 2d 19
    , 31 (D.D.C. 2012) (collecting cases and stating
    that at the pleading stage “the plaintiff need not identify an affected member by name”). The
    court finds that the addition of Cone and Gerland’s names in pleadings filed after the Complaint
    was sufficient.
    Page 25 of 43
    state review to identify students who are misidentified, misplaced, or improperly disciplined.
    See Cone Aff. ¶¶ 6-7; Gerland Aff. ¶ 7. As a result, these members are deprived of the beneficial
    effect of these reviews, which would lead to corrections and improvements to their children’s
    education.
    Second, COPAA seeks to protect and enforce the legal and civil rights of students with
    disabilities and their families. See Compl. ¶ 12. COPAA’s litigation goals in this suit are
    “germane” to this mission. This requirement is not demanding, requiring “only that an
    organization’s litigation goals be pertinent to its special expertise and the grounds that bring its
    membership together.” Humane Soc’y of the U.S. v. Hodel, 
    840 F.2d 45
    , 56 (D.C. Cir. 1988)
    (footnote omitted).
    Third, COPAA’s members do not have to participate in the litigation for this court to
    issue injunctive and declaratory relief. See 
    id. at 53
     (“[T]he declaratory and injunctive relief
    requested by [the plaintiff organization] is clearly not of a type that requires the participation of
    any individual member.”); see also id. at n.8.
    The government contends that the fact that Cone and Gerland “would read school district
    reports issued under 
    34 C.F.R. § 300.646
    (c) does not . . . demonstrate that the absence of those
    reports has or will imminently undermine their parental involvement . . . .” Defs.’ Reply in
    Supp. of Mot. to Dismiss at 16 (emphasis in original). But the Supreme Court rejected this
    argument in Havens Realty:
    As we have previously recognized, [t]he actual or threatened injury required by Art. III
    may exist solely by virtue of statutes creating legal rights, the invasion of which creates
    standing. Section 804(d), which, in terms, establishes an enforceable right to truthful
    information concerning the availability of housing, is such an enactment. A tester who
    has been the object of a misrepresentation made unlawful under § 804(d) has suffered
    injury in precisely the form the statute was intended to guard against, and therefore has
    standing to maintain a claim for damages under the Act's provisions. That the tester may
    have approached the real estate agent fully expecting that he would receive false
    Page 26 of 43
    information, and without any intention of buying or renting a home, does not negate the
    simple fact of injury within the meaning of § 804(d).
    Havens Realty Corp. v. Coleman, 
    455 U.S. 363
    , 373-74 (1982) (alteration in original) (quotation
    marks and citations omitted).
    The government also denies that COPAA’s members are injured by the loss of automatic
    reviews because the IDEA and the Department do not require those reviews to “identify
    individual instances of student misidentification, misplacement, or improper discipline.” Defs.’
    Reply in Supp. of Mot. to Dismiss at 17 (emphasis in original). This argument ignores case law
    holding that losing the opportunity to review the child’s school district is injury enough. “We
    have held that ‘a plaintiff suffers a constitutionally cognizable injury by the loss of
    an opportunity to pursue a benefit . . . even though the plaintiff may not be able to show that
    it was certain to receive that benefit had it been accorded the lost opportunity.’” Teton Historic
    Aviation Found. v. U.S. Dep't of Defense., 
    785 F.3d 719
    , 724 (D.C. Cir. 2015) (quoting CC
    Distribs., Inc. v. United States, 
    883 F.2d 146
    , 150 (D.C. Cir. 1989) (emphasis in original)).
    For the reasons discussed above, the court finds that COPAA has proven both
    organizational and associational standing. Because the court is denying the government’s
    motion to dismiss, it will now address the parties’ cross-motions for summary judgment.
    III.   SUMMARY JUDGMENT
    A. Legal Standard
    A court “shall grant summary judgment if the movant shows that there is no genuine
    dispute as to any material fact and the movant is entitled to judgment as a matter of law.” Fed.
    R. Civ. P. 56(a). When a plaintiff challenges an agency’s final action under the Administrative
    Procedure Act (“APA”), summary judgment “is the mechanism for deciding whether as a matter
    Page 27 of 43
    of law an agency action is supported by the administrative record and is otherwise consistent
    with the APA standard of review.” Louisiana v. Salazar, 
    170 F. Supp. 3d 75
    , 83 (D.D.C. 2016)
    (citing Citizens to Preserve Overton Park, Inc. v. Volpe, 
    401 U.S. 402
    , 415 (1971)).
    The APA requires courts to “hold unlawful and set aside” an agency’s action that is
    “arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law.” 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2)(A). An agency must “examine the relevant data and articulate a satisfactory
    explanation for its action including a ‘rational connection between the facts found and the choice
    made.’” Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n of U.S., Inc. v. State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    ,
    43 (1983) (quoting Burlington Truck Lines, Inc. v. United States, 
    371 U.S. 156
    , 168 (1962)).
    The court’s role is to “consider whether the [agency’s] decision was based on a consideration of
    the relevant factors and whether there has been a clear error of judgment.” State Farm Mut.
    Auto. Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. at 43
     (quotation marks and citations omitted). An agency must provide
    a satisfactory explanation for departing from its prior position. FCC v. Fox Television Stations,
    Inc., 
    556 U.S. 502
    , 515 (2009) (“[T]he agency must show that there are good reasons for the new
    policy.”).
    B. Analysis
    The court finds that the Department of Education violated the APA in two ways. First, it
    failed to provide a reasoned explanation for delaying the 2016 Regulations. Second, it failed to
    consider the costs of delay, rendering the Delay Regulation arbitrary and capricious. 8
    8
    COPAA argues the Delay Regulation is arbitrary and capricious for two additional and
    independent reasons: (1) the government failed to consider reasonable alternatives; and (2) the
    government failed to provide for meaningful participation in the rulemaking. See Pl.’s Opp’n to
    Defs.’ Mot. to Dismiss and Pl.’s Mot. for Summ. J. at 39-45. Because the court finds that the
    government’s failure to provide a reasoned explanation and its failure to consider costs render
    the Delay Regulation arbitrary and capricious, it will not reach these two arguments.
    Page 28 of 43
    1. The Government Failed to Provide a Reasoned Explanation
    The government implemented the Delay Regulation because it was concerned that the
    2016 Regulations could incentivize LEAs to use racial quotas to avoid findings of significant
    disproportionality. This decision did not have adequate support in the rulemaking record.
    The issue of the 2016 Regulations acting as an incentive for racial quotas was thoroughly
    discussed and dealt with years before 2018, when the government cited it as the basis for
    implementing the Delay Regulation. In adopting the 2016 Regulations, the government
    responded to comments arguing that the regulations “would create an incentive [for LEAs] to not
    identify children for special education and related services in order to reduce disproportionality
    numbers,” 81 Fed. Reg. at 92454, by acknowledging this possibility, but concluded that it was
    limited to States that selected “particularly low risk ratio thresholds.” Id. (“[T]he
    Department recognizes the possibility that, in cases where States select particularly low risk ratio
    thresholds, LEAs may have an incentive to avoid identifying children from particular racial or
    ethnic groups in order to avoid a determination of significant disproportionality.”).
    Although the government in 2016 found this danger to be smaller than some commenters
    proposed, it nonetheless worked to address them in the final regulations. The preamble to the
    final 2016 Regulations condemned the use of racial quotas. Id. at 92381 (“[N]othing in these
    regulations establishes or authorizes the use of racial or ethnic quotas limiting a child’s access to
    special education and related services.”). The government expressly stated that the use of quotas
    violates the IDEA. Id. at 92393 (“[I]t is a violation of IDEA for LEAs to attempt to avoid
    determinations of significant disproportionality by failing to identify otherwise eligible children
    as children with disabilities.”). The preamble also warned that the use of quotas would expose
    an LEA to various forms of legal liability. See id. at 92381 (“[A]n LEA's use of quotas to
    Page 29 of 43
    artificially reduce the number of children who are identified as having a disability, in an effort to
    avoid a finding of significant disproportionality, would almost certainly conflict with their
    obligations to comply with other Federal statutes, including civil rights laws governing equal
    access to education.”); id. at 92385 (“[T]he establishment of any such quotas would almost
    certainly result in legal liability under Federal civil rights laws, including title VI of the Civil
    Rights Act of 1964 and the Constitution.”). And the government stated that it had “added a new
    § 300.646(f) to make clear that these regulations do not authorize a State or an LEA to develop
    or implement policies, practices, or procedures that result in actions that violate any IDEA
    requirements.” Id.
    The government implemented additional safeguards beyond these warnings. Because the
    government found that States which “select particularly low risk ratio thresholds,” id., were most
    likely to be incentivized to use quotas, the 2016 Final Regulations “provide[d] States the
    flexibility to set their own reasonable risk ratio thresholds, with input from stakeholders and
    State Advisory Panels.” Id. The government explained that “[a]s part of the process of setting
    risk ratio thresholds, States must work with stakeholders to identify particular risk ratio
    thresholds that help States and LEAs to address large racial and ethnic disparities without
    undermining the appropriate implementation of child find procedures.” Id.
    Moreover, the government committed to “monitor States for any use of risk ratio
    thresholds that may be unreasonable and take steps, as needed, to ensure the States’ compliance.”
    Id. at 92419. The regulations required “States to report all risk ratio thresholds, minimum cell
    sizes, minimum n-sizes, standards for measuring reasonable progress, and the rationales for
    each,” and these rationales had to “include a detailed explanation of why the numbers are
    reasonable and how they ensure appropriate analysis for significant disproportionality.” Id. at
    Page 30 of 43
    92460. The government also committed “to publish guidance to help schools to prevent racial
    discrimination in the identification of children as children with disabilities, including over-
    identification, under-identification, and delayed identification of disabilities by race.” Id. at
    92397. Finally, the regulations included monitoring of States and LEAs. Id. at 92385 (“[T]he
    Department intends to conduct an evaluation of the implementation of this regulation to assess its
    impact, if any, on how LEAs identify children with disabilities.”). This evaluation would
    “include an examination of the extent to which school and LEA personnel incorrectly interpret
    the risk ratio thresholds and implement racial quotas in an attempt to avoid findings of
    significant disproportionality by States, contrary to IDEA.” Id. at 92386.
    In 2018, the government rejected its prior conclusion that the 2016 Regulations
    adequately protected against the risk of States using racial quotas to avoid findings of significant
    disproportionality. However, the government did not explicitly find that the safeguards in the
    2016 Regulations were insufficient or that the 2016 Regulations would result in the use of
    quotas. Rather, it stated it needed more time to determine whether the regulations “may”
    incentivize quotas. 83 Fed. Reg. at 31308 (“We want to evaluate whether the numerical
    thresholds in the 2016 significant disproportionality regulations may incentivize quotas or lead
    LEAs to artificially reduce the number of children identified as children with disabilities under
    the IDEA.”). Such equivocation pervades the explanation for the Delay Regulation. See, e.g., 83
    Fed. Reg. at 31307 (“We are concerned the 2016 significant disproportionality regulations could
    result in de facto quotas ….”); id. at 31308 (Quotas are “precisely the risk[] that the Department
    believes the standard methodology may pose.”); id. (“The Department is concerned that the 2016
    significant disproportionality regulations may create an incentive for LEAs to establish de facto
    quotas ….”); id. (“[T]he regulations themselves may, in fact, incentivize quotas.”); id. (“We want
    Page 31 of 43
    to evaluate whether the numerical thresholds in the 2016 significant disproportionality
    regulations may incentivize quotas ….”); id. at 31309 (“may result in encouraging quotas”); id. at
    31311 (“may result in de facto quotas”); id. at 31312 (“concerned that the 2016 significant
    disproportionality regulations, potentially create[] an express or implied incentive for LEAs to
    set quotas”) (emphasis added to all).
    The Delay Regulation either did not address the 2016 Regulations’ safeguards to deter
    the use of racial quotas or responded to them in an inadequate or cursory manner. The Delay
    Regulation dismissed the explicit warning in the 2016 Regulations against the use of quotas as
    “insufficient” to protect “against [LEAs] creating de facto quotas because, regardless of the
    disclaimer, the regulations themselves may, in fact, incentivize quotas.” 83 Fed. Reg. at 31308.
    In response to its earlier commitment to provide public guidance and conduct an evaluation of
    whether States erected quotas in implementing the 2016 Regulations, the government in 2018
    stated only that the efficacy of these measures “require[d] careful review, which we will do
    during this delay.” Id. at 31315. The Delay Regulation did not address the other specific
    safeguards in the 2016 Regulations. Moreover, the safeguards built into the 2016 Regulations
    were not meant to operate in isolation; they worked together to prevent LEAs from being
    incentivized to use quotas. In implementing the Delay Regulation, the government failed to
    explain why the safeguards as a whole would not prevent against the risk of quotas being used by
    LEAs.
    The government did not explain why it had changed its position that the 2016 safeguards
    would be effective. Instead, it concluded that the 2016 Regulations could incentivize the use of
    quotas—a conclusion that was contrary to and inconsistent with its prior determination. While
    “[a]gencies are free to change their existing policies,” in doing so they must “provide a reasoned
    Page 32 of 43
    explanation for the change.” Encino Motorcars, LLC v. Navarro, 
    136 S. Ct. 2117
    , 2125 (2016)
    (citations omitted). The Supreme Court has explained an agency’s obligation when it departs
    from a prior decision:
    When an agency changes its existing position, it need not always provide a more detailed
    justification than what would suffice for a new policy created on a blank slate. But the
    agency must at least display awareness that it is changing position and show that there are
    good reasons for the new policy. In explaining its changed position, an agency must also
    be cognizant that longstanding policies may have engendered serious reliance interests
    that must be taken into account. In such cases it is not that further justification is
    demanded by the mere fact of policy change; but that a reasoned explanation is needed
    for disregarding facts and circumstances that underlay or were engendered by the prior
    policy. It follows that an [u]nexplained inconsistency in agency policy is a reason for
    holding an interpretation to be an arbitrary and capricious change from agency practice.
    Id. at 2125-26 (quotation marks and citations omitted) (alteration in original).
    The government’s “concerns”—drenched in qualification—about the possibility of
    incentivizing racial quotas amount to the type of speculation the Supreme Court and the D.C.
    Circuit have rejected. “Though an agency's predictive judgments about the likely economic
    effects of a rule are entitled to deference . . . deference to such ... judgment[s] must be based on
    some logic and evidence, not sheer speculation.” Sorenson Commc'ns Inc. v. FCC, 
    755 F.3d 702
    , 708 (D.C. Cir. 2014) (quotation marks and citations omitted) (alteration in original). See
    also Nat’l Lifeline Ass’n v. FCC, No. 18-1026, 
    2018 WL 4154794
     (D.C. Cir. Aug. 10, 2018) (per
    curiam); Sorenson Commc’ns, Inc., 755 F.3d at 708 (“[A]gency action based on speculation
    rather than evidence is arbitrary and capricious.”).
    Moreover, if the “new policy rests upon factual findings that contradict those which
    underlay its prior policy,” the agency must “provide a more detailed justification than what
    would suffice for a new policy created on a blank slate” by providing “a reasoned explanation …
    for disregarding facts and circumstances that underlay or were engendered by the prior policy.”
    Fox Television Stations, Inc., 
    556 U.S. at 515-16
    . Again, the government here provides no such
    Page 33 of 43
    “reasoned explanation.” It relies exclusively on data from Texas to justify its change in position
    regarding the possible use of racial quotas and the adequacy of the safeguards to prevent their
    use. During a monitoring visit to Texas in February 2017, Department officials “determined that
    some ISDs [Independent School Districts] took actions specifically designed to decrease the
    percentage of children identified as children with disabilities under the IDEA to 8.5 percent or
    below.” Texas Part B 2017 Monitoring Visit Letter at 1, AR-001290, ECF No. 28. The report
    showed that ISDs believed that reducing identification rates below 8.5 percent could result in
    “less monitoring.” Id. at 2, AR-001291. This information, the government concluded, was “a
    clear example of what can happen when schools are required to meet numerical thresholds in
    conjunction with serving children with disabilities.” 83 Fed. Reg. at 31308.
    The Texas data proves nothing new. First, it sheds no light on how likely LEAs are to
    incorrectly identify students based on their race or ethnicity to avoid significant
    disproportionately findings, because, as the government concedes, the Texas example did not
    involve the use of racial or ethnic quotas. Defendants’ Cross-Motion for Summary Judgment
    and Opposition to Plaintiff’s Motion for Summary Judgment at 19, ECF No. 22 (“Defs.’ Cross-
    Mot. for Summ. J. and Opp’n to Pl.’s Mot. for Summ. J.”). As noted, the 2016 Regulations
    emphasize the danger of legal liability to deter LEAs from utilizing racial quotas. See 
    42 U.S.C. §§ 1983
    , 1988, 2000d. By contrast, the IDEA does not allow recovery of civil damages.
    Second, the fact that numerical limitations could incentivize the use of quotas was not new
    information to the government, which was aware of this risk when drafting the 2016 Regulations,
    and which included safeguards to prevent the use of quotas. The Texas system did not contain
    those safeguards.
    Page 34 of 43
    The insufficiency of the government’s explanation for its policy change is highlighted by
    the fact that, while the government expressed “concern” about using standard methodology
    incentivizing quota use, the Delay Regulation did not forbid LEAs from using this methodology.
    Rather, it allowed states to comply voluntarily with the 2016 Regulations during the delay. 83
    Fed. Reg. at 31309 (“States may implement the standard methodology or may use any
    methodology of their choosing to collect and examine data to identify significant
    disproportionality in their LEAs until the Department evaluates the regulations and issues raised
    in this rulemaking.”). Indeed, the government acknowledged that “many States have commented
    that they intend to . . . implement the standard methodology in the 2016 significant
    disproportionality regulations even if the Department delays these regulations.” Id. at 31312. 9
    This inconsistency between the government’s purported concern about the risk of using the
    standard methodology and the government’s decision to permit LEAs to use the standard
    methodology is amplified by the government’s decision to allow the use of the standard
    methodology without the 2016 Regulations safeguards designed to deter racial and ethnic quotas.
    The government denies any inconsistency. It argues that
    ED did not find that the 2016 regulations would result in racial quotas, or even that they
    would incentivize racial quotas. Rather, ED simply concluded that the regulations may or
    potentially could incentivize [districts] to establish quotas. In light of this perceived risk,
    ED chose not to require nationwide compliance with the standard methodology while it
    studied the issue. At the same time, it chose not to divest States of the ability to decide
    for themselves what type of methodology to use.
    Defs.’ Cross-Mot. for Summ. J. and Opp’n to Pl.’s Mot. for Summ. J. at 28-29 (quotation marks
    and citations omitted) (emphasis in original) (alteration in original). This explanation merely
    9
    The government predicted: “20 States will implement the 2016 significant disproportionality
    regulations on July 1, 2018. We further assume 10 States will implement the standard
    methodology on July 1, 2019, with the remainder doing so on July 1, 2020, if the standard
    methodology is required by law then.” 83 Fed. Reg. at 31316.
    Page 35 of 43
    reinforces the point that the government never “even” found that the 2016 Regulations would
    incentivize the use of racial quotas. See id. The inconsistency in the government’s argument
    only serves to show that there was no need for the delay at all, and it renders the Delay
    Regulation arbitrary and capricious. See Dist. Hosp. Partners, L.P. v. Burwell, 
    786 F.3d 46
    , 59
    (D.C. Cir. 2015) (“We have often declined to affirm an agency decision if there are unexplained
    inconsistencies in the final rule.”) (citations omitted).
    The government also urges the court to defer to its “predictive judgment” concerning its
    regulatory actions, “even in the absence of evidence.” Defs.’ Cross-Mot. for Summ. J. and
    Opp’n to Pl.’s Mot. for Summ. J. at 20 (quoting Fox Television Studios, Inc., 
    556 U.S. at 521
    ).
    The court is hard-pressed to classify the government’s many equivocations about the effect of the
    2016 Regulations as “predictive judgments.” As noted, the government itself emphasizes that it
    never found “that the 2016 regulations would result in racial quotas, or even that they would
    incentivize racial quotas . . . [and] simply concluded that the regulations may or potentially could
    incentivize [districts] to establish quotas.” In any event, as the D.C. Circuit has made clear,
    “[T]hough an agency's predictive judgments about the likely economic effects of a rule are
    entitled to deference . . . deference to such . . . judgment[s] must be based on some logic and
    evidence, not sheer speculation.” Sorenson Commc'ns Inc. v. FCC, 
    755 F.3d 702
    , 708 (D.C. Cir.
    2014) (quotations marks and citations omitted).
    The government in 2018 likewise failed to adequately explain why it needed to delay the
    implementation of the 2016 Regulations to further evaluate whether the regulations could
    incentivize using quotas. This failure also renders the Delay Regulation arbitrary and capricious.
    As the D.C. Circuit has explained:
    Agencies regularly reconsider rules that are already in effect [and] a decision to
    reconsider a rule does not simultaneously convey authority to indefinitely delay the
    Page 36 of 43
    existing rule pending that reconsideration. Thus, the mere fact of reconsideration, alone,
    is not a sufficient basis to delay promulgated effective dates specifically chosen by [an
    agency] on the basis of public input and reasoned explanation.
    Air All. Hous. v. EPA, 
    906 F.3d 1049
    , 1067 (D.C. Cir. 2018) (quotation marks and citations
    omitted). In delaying a regulation, an agency must explain “how the effectiveness of the rule
    would prevent [the agency] from undertaking notice and comment or other tasks for
    reconsideration, why a delay is necessary to [the agency’s] process, or how the [underlying] Rule
    becoming effective on schedule would otherwise impede [the agency’s] ability to reconsider that
    rule.” 
    Id.
     (citation omitted). See Pub. Citizen v. Steed, 
    733 F.2d 93
    , 102 (D.C. Cir. 1984)
    (“Without showing that the old policy is unreasonable, for [the agency] to say that no policy is
    better than the old policy solely because a new policy might be put into place in the indefinite
    future is as silly as it sounds.”) (emphasis in original).
    In promulgating the Delay Regulation, the government explained that it was “more
    prudent to delay the compliance date and address [its] concern through a review of the standard
    methodology before States are required to implement the regulations rather than during
    implementation.” 83 Fed. Reg. at 31310. The government contends that this distinguishes the
    Delay Regulation from Air All. Houston because “ED chose postponement pending reevaluation
    to avoid a specific, undesirable outcome—here, incentivizing the use of de facto quotas—while
    its study of such issues took place, in contrast to EPA’s explanation [in Air All. Houston] for
    delay, which rested on ‘the mere fact of reconsideration alone.’” Defs.’ Cross-Mot. for Summ. J.
    and Opp’n to Pl.’s Mot. for Summ. J. at 21 n.4 (quoting Air All. Hous. v. EPA, 906 F.3d at 1067)
    (comma from Air All. Houston omitted in the government’s pleading).
    The argument is unavailing. In Air All. Houston, the EPA delayed a regulation, pointing
    to “a specific, undesirable outcome,” Defs.’ Cross-Mot. for Summ. J. and Opp’n to Pl.’s Mot. for
    Page 37 of 43
    Summ. J at 21 n.4, namely “security risks and other hypotheticals raised by industry” even
    though the EPA did not conclude that the underlying rule “would increase such risks.” Air All.
    Hous. v. EPA, 906 F.3d at 1065 (quotation marks and citations omitted). The Court of Appeals
    found that the EPA did not provide a “sufficient basis [for] delay,” id. at 1067, because it did not
    explain how implementing the rule would interfere with reconsideration of the rule. Id. Here
    too, the government has not shown that delay is necessary to permit reconsideration of the 2016
    Regulations. 10
    2. Failure to Consider the Cost was Arbitrary and Capricious
    The Delay Regulation is also arbitrary and capricious because the government failed to
    consider all the relevant factors when considering the cost of the regulation. “Agencies have
    long treated cost as a centrally relevant factor when deciding whether to regulate. Consideration
    of cost reflects the understanding that reasonable regulation ordinarily requires paying attention
    to the advantages and the disadvantages of agency decisions.” Michigan v. EPA, 
    135 S. Ct. 2699
    , 2707 (2015) (emphasis in original). 11 Courts must be deferential when reviewing “an
    10
    In its briefing, COPAA addressed several other rationales included in the Delay Regulation.
    See Pl.’s Opp’n to Defs.’ Mot. to Dismiss and Pl.’s Mot. for Summ. J.at 32-34. The government
    neither responded to COPAA’s arguments concerning these rationales nor independently
    advanced them. COPAA therefore argued that the government “abandoned” these reasons as
    “bases for the delay.” Pl.’s Reply Supp. Mot. for Summ. J. and Opp’n to Defs.’ Cross-Mot for
    Summ. J. at 12 n.5. The government did not respond to this abandonment argument in its Reply,
    and the court deems those arguments abandoned.
    11
    The government contended in its Motion for Summary Judgment that because its regulatory
    impact analysis was conducted pursuant to Executive Orders, it is not subject to judicial review.
    Defs.’ Cross-Mot. for Summ. J. and Opp’n to Pl.’s Mot. for Summ. J. at 29-30. Similarly, it
    argued that the IDEA does not provide a statutory cause of action to challenge its cost-benefit
    analysis. Id. at 30-31. These arguments are contrary to D.C. Circuit precedent. Because the
    government relied on its cost-benefit analysis in its Delay Regulation, see 83 Fed. Reg. at 31314,
    a flaw in that analysis can render the regulation arbitrary and capricious. Nat'l Ass'n of Home
    Builders v. EPA, 
    682 F.3d 1032
    , 1039-40 (D.C. Cir. 2012) (explaining that although an agency
    Page 38 of 43
    agency’s cost/benefit analysis,” Am. Trucking Ass’ns, Inc. v. Fed. Motor Carrier Safety Admin.,
    
    724 F.3d 243
    , 254 (D.C. Cir. 2013), and their review is limited to deciding whether the agency’s
    “decision was based on a consideration of the relevant factors and whether there has been a clear
    error in judgment,” Ctr. For Auto Safety v. Peck, 
    751 F.2d 1336
    , 1342 (D.C. Cir. 1985). Here,
    the government failed to adequately account for two relevant factors—the States’ reliance cost
    and the cost of delay on children, parents, and society.
    An agency must consider reliance costs when delaying a regulation. “In explaining its
    changed position, an agency must also be cognizant that longstanding policies may have
    engendered serious reliance interests that must be taken into account.” Encino Motorcars, LLC
    v. Navarro, 
    136 S. Ct. 2117
    , 2126 (2016) (quotation marks and citations omitted). As the
    government concedes, for 18 months—the time between the effective and compliance dates of
    the 2016 Regulations—States and LEAs incurred costs by coming into compliance with the 2016
    Regulations. See 83 Fed. Reg. at 31316 (explaining that the costs incurred by States in
    implementing the standard methodology in reliance on the 2016 Regulations were “expenditures
    already incurred by entities that cannot be recovered in any case”). The government labels these
    costs “sunk investments” and explains that “[r]egardless of whether the Department delayed the
    required compliance date, States would be unable to recover those expenses, and therefore it
    would not be appropriate to assign their value as either a cost or benefit of this action.” Id. The
    government, however, does not explain why this would be inappropriate. Under this logic, the
    requirement to consider reliance costs would become illusory, because an agency could simply
    may “not have a statutory duty to demonstrate that the benefits of the amended rule outweigh its
    costs,” if the “agency decides to rely on a cost-benefit analysis as part of its rulemaking, a
    serious flaw undermining that analysis can render the rule unreasonable”) (citations omitted).
    The government did not press this argument in its Reply Brief.
    Page 39 of 43
    rebrand “reliance costs” as “sunk costs.” Tellingly, the government cites no law in support of
    this proposition.
    The Delay Regulation also fails to account for the costs to children, their parents, and
    society. In promulgating the Delay Regulation, the government identified “five sources of
    benefits” for children with disabilities, their parents, and society from the 2016 Regulations: “(1)
    Greater transparency; (2) increased role for the State Advisory Panels; (3) reduction in the use of
    inappropriate policies, practices, and procedures; (4) increased comparability of data across
    States; and (5) expansion of activities allowable under comprehensive CEIS.” 83 Fed. Reg. at
    31315. In so far as the delay in implementation undercuts these benefits, the Delay Regulation
    imposes costs that must be accounted for. But the government has not fully accounted for these
    costs. As to the potential losses of the transparency benefit and the increased stakeholder
    participation, the government claims that the mere preparation for the 2016 Regulations
    effectively achieve those benefits. See id. This argument ignores the fact that “part of the
    purpose of the standard methodology [was] to foster greater transparency in how States identify
    significant disproportionality,” and that States would adopt “simple and easily interpreted
    analyses” when identifying LEAs with significant disproportionality. 81 Fed. Reg. at 92404.
    This is a loss for which the government does not account. Similarly, the government fails to
    explain how preparation for stakeholders’ expanded involvement would also have occurred if
    compliance with the standard methodology were required.
    IV.    REMEDY
    The D.C. Circuit has stated that “vacatur is the normal remedy” for an APA violation.
    Allina Health Servs. v. Sebelius, 
    746 F.3d 1102
    , 1110 (D.C. Cir. 2014). The APA “itself
    contemplates vacatur as the usual remedy when an agency fails to provide a reasoned
    Page 40 of 43
    explanation for its regulations. 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2)(A) (‘The reviewing court shall . . . hold
    unlawful and set aside agency action, findings, and conclusions found to be . . . arbitrary,
    capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law . . .’” AARP v. U.S.
    Equal Emp’t Opportunity Comm'n, 
    292 F. Supp. 3d 238
    , 242 (D.D.C. 2017) (emphasis in
    original). The presumption of vacatur, “however, is not absolute, and a remand without vacatur
    may be ‘appropriate [if] “there is at least a serious possibility that the [agency] will be able to
    substantiate its decision’ given an opportunity to do so, and when vacating would be
    ‘disruptive.”’” Bauer v. DeVos, 
    332 F. Supp. 3d 181
    , 184 (D.D.C. 2018) (quoting Radio-
    Television News Dirs. Ass'n v. FCC, 
    184 F.3d 872
    , 888 (D.C. Cir. 1999)) (quoting Allied-Signal,
    Inc. v. U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Comm'n, 
    988 F.2d 146
    , 151 (D.C. Cir. 1993)) (alterations in
    original). “Courts in this Circuit . . . have long recognized that ‘when equity demands, an
    unlawfully promulgated regulation can be left in place while the agency provides the proper
    procedural remedy.’” Shands Jacksonville Med. Ctr. v. Burwell, 
    139 F. Supp. 3d 240
    , 267
    (D.D.C. 2015) (quoting Fertilizer Inst. v. EPA, 
    935 F.2d 1303
    , 1312 (D.C. Cir. 1991) (citation
    omitted) (footnote omitted).
    Whether to remand without vacatur “depends on the ‘seriousness of the order’s
    deficiencies’ and the likely ‘disruptive consequences’ of vacatur.” Allina Health Servs., 746
    F.3d at 1110 (quoting Allied–Signal, Inc. v. U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Comm'n, 
    988 F.2d 146
    ,
    150-51 (D.C. Cir. 1993)). As discussed above, the government’s deficiencies were substantial,
    and the court finds it unlikely that the government could justify its decision on remand. The
    government stresses that if the court remanded without vacatur, it would be able to “provide a
    more fulsome explanation of what occurred in Texas, the lessons it took from that experience,
    and the reasons why the conclusions it drew from that example support the action it took in the
    Page 41 of 43
    2018 Final Rule.” Defs.’ Cross-Mot. for Summ. J. and Opp’n to Pl.’s Mot. for Summ. J. at 44.
    However, this court has already found the Texas example provides no evidence of whether the
    2016 Regulations incentivize LEAs to use racial quotas, and the government has not been able to
    explain how, on remand, it could extract more useful information from the Texas study than it
    was able to do during its rulemaking and in its summary judgment pleadings. “To the extent the
    Secretary bears the burden of demonstrating that the ‘normal remedy’ of vacatur does not
    apply, Allina Health Servs., 746 F.3d at 1110, [the government] has failed to show that the flaw
    in the rule was not serious.” Shands Jacksonville Med. Ctr. v. Burwell, 
    139 F. Supp. 3d 240
    , 268
    (D.D.C. 2015).
    The court must also consider the second Allied-Signal factor—the disruptive
    consequences—of vacating the Delay Regulation. The government argues that vacatur “could be
    extremely disruptive.” Defs.’ Cross-Mot. for Summ. J. and Opp’n to Pl.’s Mot. for Summ. J. at
    44 (emphasis added). But the suggestion that States were unprepared to comply with the 2016
    Regulations is not supported by the record and inconsistent with the fact that for eighteen months
    between the effective date of the 2016 Regulations and the compliance date, States were
    preparing to utilize the standard methodology. And as noted earlier, the Delay Regulation
    rulemaking record showed that even if the government decided to delay the 2016 Regulations,
    many States planned to use the standard methodology. 83 Fed. Reg. at 31312 (“The Department
    notes that, in any event, States may, and many States have commented that they intend to,
    implement the standard methodology in the 2016 significant disproportionality regulations even
    if the Department delays these regulations.”). Moreover, the government’s contention that States
    might have to shift funding in the middle of the school year, Defs.’ Reply in Supp. Mot. for
    Summ. J. at 25, is both speculative and without support in the record.
    Page 42 of 43
    In weighing the two Allied-Signal factors, the court finds that they both favor vacatur as
    the appropriate remedy. Moreover, ordering vacatur for the illegal delay of a legal regulation
    differs from ordering vacatur of a new rule on a clean slate. “This is not a case in which ‘the egg
    has been scrambled and there is no apparent way to restore the status quo ante.’ Rather, vacating
    the Delay Rule would simply allow the [the original rule] to take effect, as the agency originally
    intended.” Nat'l Venture Capital Ass'n v. Duke, 
    291 F. Supp. 3d 5
    , 21 (D.D.C. 2017) (quoting
    Sugar Cane Growers Co-op of Fla. v. Veneman, 
    289 F.3d 89
    , 97 (D.C. Cir. 2002)). To order
    remand without vacatur “would simply remedy the agency’s delay with more delay.” 
    Id.
    Considering this court’s findings above, and the weighing of the Allied-Signal factors, the
    appropriate remedy is vacatur.
    V.     CONCLUSION
    The court hereby DENIES Defendants’ Motion to Dismiss, ECF No. 14; GRANTS
    Plaintiff’s Motion for Summary Judgment, ECF No. 16; DENIES Defendants’ Cross-Motion for
    Summary Judgment, ECF No. 22; and VACATES “the Delay Regulation,” Assistance to States
    for the Education of Children With Disabilities; Preschool Grants for Children With Disabilities,
    
    83 Fed. Reg. 31306
     (July 3, 2018).
    An appropriate Order will accompany this Memorandum Opinion.
    Date: March 7, 2019
    Tanya S. Chutkan
    TANYA S. CHUTKAN
    United States District Judge
    Page 43 of 43
    

Document Info

Docket Number: Civil Action No. 2018-1636

Judges: Judge Tanya S. Chutkan

Filed Date: 3/7/2019

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 3/7/2019

Authorities (25)

allied-signal-inc-v-us-nuclear-regulatory-commission-and-the-united , 988 F.2d 146 ( 1993 )

Federal Election Commission v. Akins , 118 S. Ct. 1777 ( 1998 )

Edward Haase v. William S. Sessions, Director, F.B.I. , 835 F.2d 902 ( 1987 )

Block v. Community Nutrition Institute , 104 S. Ct. 2450 ( 1984 )

Sugar Cane Growers Cooperative of Florida v. Veneman , 289 F.3d 89 ( 2002 )

Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Assn. of United States, Inc. v. State ... , 103 S. Ct. 2856 ( 1983 )

Citizens to Preserve Overton Park, Inc. v. Volpe , 91 S. Ct. 814 ( 1971 )

Steel Co. v. Citizens for a Better Environment , 118 S. Ct. 1003 ( 1998 )

Fry v. Napoleon Community Schools , 137 S. Ct. 743 ( 2017 )

International Ladies' Garment Workers' Union v. Raymond J. ... , 722 F.2d 795 ( 1983 )

public-citizen-and-center-for-auto-safety-v-diane-steed-deputy , 733 F.2d 93 ( 1984 )

Cc Distributors, Inc. And Whitman Distributing Company v. ... , 883 F.2d 146 ( 1989 )

Sierra Club v. Environmental Protection Agency , 292 F.3d 895 ( 2002 )

Michigan v. Envtl. Prot. Agency , 135 S. Ct. 2699 ( 2015 )

Lujan v. Defenders of Wildlife , 112 S. Ct. 2130 ( 1992 )

the-fertilizer-institute-v-united-states-environmental-protection-agency , 935 F.2d 1303 ( 1991 )

Interstate Natural Gas Ass'n of America v. Federal Energy ... , 494 F.3d 1092 ( 2007 )

Federal Communications Commission v. Fox Television ... , 129 S. Ct. 1800 ( 2009 )

center-for-auto-safety-v-raymond-a-peck-jr-administrator-of-the , 751 F.2d 1336 ( 1985 )

Action Alliance of Senior Citizens of Greater Philadelphia ... , 789 F.2d 931 ( 1986 )

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