McCutcheon v. Federal Election Commission ( 2020 )


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  •                            UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
    SHAUN MCCUTCHEON and
    MCCUTCHEON FOR FREEDOM,
    Plaintiffs,
    v.                                             Civil Action No. 20-2485 (JDB)
    FEDERAL ELECTION COMMISSION,
    Defendant.
    MEMORANDUM OPINION
    This case raises overlapping questions of administrative and campaign finance law on the
    eve of the 2020 elections, projected to be the costliest—by far—in the nation’s history. See Ctr.
    For Responsive Politics, 2020 Election to Near $11 Billion in Total Spending, Smashing Records,
    OpenSecrets.org (Oct. 1, 2020), https://www.opensecrets.org/news/2020/10/2020-election-to-
    near-11-billion-in-total-spending-smashing-records/. Plaintiff Shaun McCutcheon launched a
    primary campaign for the Libertarian Party’s nomination for president on May 1, 2020, suspending
    it less than a month later after the party convention. During the pendency of his campaign,
    McCutcheon transferred $65,000 of his own money into his campaign committee, McCutcheon
    For Freedom (“MFF,” together with McCutcheon, “plaintiffs”). The campaign incurred net
    expenditures of $10,793.08, leaving it with approximately $54,206.92 in leftover funds.
    The day after McCutcheon suspended his campaign, he sought an advisory opinion from
    the Federal Election Commission (“FEC”) that would authorize MFF to transfer that remainder,
    as well as unlimited additional personal funds McCutcheon may “contribute” to his now-
    suspended campaign committee, to the national committees of the Libertarian and Republican
    1
    parties, notwithstanding statutory limits on the amount an individual may contribute to a national
    party committee. Rather than issue the requested advisory opinion within the statutory sixty-day
    period, though, the FEC ultimately sent plaintiffs a letter on August 10, 2020, stating that the
    Commission was unable to render an advisory opinion for want of the four-member quorum
    required by statute to take action on advisory opinion requests.
    In response, plaintiffs filed a complaint in this Court accompanied by a motion for a
    preliminary injunction. In their motion, plaintiffs seek to bar the FEC from taking any action
    against them to enforce relevant campaign finance laws limiting contributions to political parties,
    as McCutcheon proposes to transfer unlimited amounts of his personal funds through his campaign
    committee, MFF, to the national committees of the Libertarian and Republican Parties. In order
    to obtain a preliminary injunction, plaintiffs must demonstrate, among other things, that they are
    likely to succeed on the merits of their substantive claims. Because they have not done so, the
    Court will deny plaintiffs’ motion.
    BACKGROUND
    I.      Legal Background
    A. Campaign Finance Law
    The Federal Election Campaign Act of 1971 (“FECA”) regulates, in relevant part, the
    amount of money a person may contribute to candidates for federal office, federal political
    campaign committees, and national political party committees for the purpose of influencing a
    federal election. See 52 U.S.C. §§ 30101–30146. Contribution limits have withstood scrutiny
    under the First Amendment since the Supreme Court’s seminal campaign finance decision,
    Buckley v. Valeo, 
    424 U.S. 1
    (1976). In Buckley, the Court rejected a First Amendment challenge
    2
    to caps on contributions to individual candidates, finding that “the Act’s primary purpose to limit
    the actuality and appearance of corruption resulting from large individual financial
    contributions . . . [provides] a constitutionally sufficient justification” for capping individual
    contributions at a set dollar amount per candidate.
    Id. at 26.
    The same principle animates limits on contributions to political party committees, which
    were first enacted in Buckley’s wake. See FECA Amendments of 1976, Pub. L. No. 94-283,
    § 112(2), 90 Stat. 475, 487 (1976) (codified as amended at 52 U.S.C. § 30116(a)(1)(B)). Today,
    under FECA, a person may not contribute more than $35,500 to a national party committee. FEC,
    Contribution    Limits,    https://www.fec.gov/help-candidates-and-committees/candidate-taking-
    receipts/contribution-limits/ (last visited Oct. 19, 2020); see 52 U.S.C. § 30116(a)(1)(B) & (c). A
    national party committee, in turn, may not “receive . . . a contribution, donation, or transfer of
    funds or any other thing of value, or spend any funds, that are not subject to the limitations,
    prohibitions, and reporting requirements of this Act.”
    id. § 30125(a)(1). In
    upholding the latter
    provision from a First Amendment challenge in McConnell v. FEC, the Supreme Court explained
    that “[t]he premise behind these restrictions [on contributions to political party committees] has
    been, and continues to be, that contributions to a federal candidate’s party in aid of that candidate’s
    campaign threaten to create—no less than would a direct contribution to the candidate—a sense of
    obligation.” 
    540 U.S. 93
    , 144 (2003). Even as Supreme Court decisions in the intervening decades
    have struck down other restrictions on campaign spending, the basic principle behind contribution
    limits—whether to individual candidates, their campaign committees, or national party
    committees—has survived. See, e.g., McCutcheon v. FEC, 
    572 U.S. 185
    , 209, 227 (2014)
    (rejecting limits on aggregate spending by an individual across multiple campaigns but “leav[ing]
    the base [contribution limits upheld in Buckley] undisturbed”); Citizens United v. FEC, 
    558 U.S. 3
    310, 359, 365 (2010) (striking down limits on independent corporate expenditures but recognizing
    that “contribution limits . . . have been an accepted means to prevent quid pro quo corruption”);
    accord Rufer v. FEC, 
    64 F. Supp. 3d 195
    , 203 (D.D.C. 2014) (“FECA’s base contribution limits .
    . . remain intact after McCutcheon.”).
    Beyond merely imposing numerical caps on contributions, FECA safeguards against
    circumvention of its anti-corruption objectives. Cf. 
    McCutcheon, 572 U.S. at 200
    (“[S]tatutory
    safeguards against circumvention have been considerably strengthened since Buckley was
    decided, through both statutory additions and the introduction of a comprehensive regulatory
    scheme.”). For starters, FECA prevents donors from using means other than cash to influence
    candidates by broadly defining “contribution” to include “any gift, subscription, loan, advance, or
    deposit of money or anything of value made by any person for the purpose of influencing any
    election for Federal office.” 52 U.S.C. § 30101(8)(A)(i). The Act also includes measures that
    prohibit donors from using intermediaries to funnel contributions to the desired recipient while
    formalistically complying with contribution limits. For example, the Act clarifies that, for the
    purpose of calculating contribution limits, “all contributions made by a person, either directly or
    indirectly, on behalf of a particular candidate, including contributions which are in any way
    earmarked or otherwise directed through an intermediary or conduit to such candidate, shall be
    treated as contributions from such person to such candidate.”
    Id. § 30116(a)(8). Similarly,
    FECA
    requires that “[n]o person shall make a contribution in the name of another person or knowingly
    permit his name to be used to effect such a contribution, and no person shall knowingly accept a
    contribution made by one person in the name of another person.”
    Id. § 30122. Notwithstanding
    FECA’s limits on contributions by persons, “[a] contribution accepted by
    a candidate . . . may be used by the candidate . . . for transfers, without limitation, to a national,
    4
    State, or local committee of a political party.”
    Id. § 30114(a)(4). This
    statutory provision does
    not apply to all funds in a campaign account, but only to “contribution[s] accepted by a
    candidate.” 1 See
    id. The Act does
    not define what it means for a candidate to “accept” a
    contribution, but it does bar candidates and political committees from “knowingly accept[ing] any
    contribution . . . in violation of” FECA’s contribution limits. See
    id. § 30116(f). The
    Court is not
    aware of, nor have the parties identified, any judicial precedent or FEC advisory opinions
    interpreting the precise contours of when a contribution is deemed “accepted by a candidate” so
    as to be eligible for unlimited transfer to a party committee under § 30114(a)(4).
    Contrary to constitutionally permissible limits on contributions, restrictions on campaign
    expenditures—whether of funds drawn from a candidate’s own personal funds or raised by their
    campaign committees—were blocked at the gate in Buckley. Unlike the Act’s contribution limits,
    the Supreme Court reasoned, “[t]he Act’s expenditure ceilings impose direct and substantial
    restraints on the quantity of political speech, . . . [and] limit political expression ‘at the core of our
    electoral process and of the First Amendment freedoms.’” 
    Buckley, 424 U.S. at 39
    (quoting
    Williams v. Rhodes, 
    393 U.S. 23
    , 32 (1968)). Accordingly, it held that “the First Amendment
    requires the invalidation of [FECA’s] . . . ceilings on overall campaign expenditures.”
    Id. at 58.
    Because “a candidate’s expenditure of his personal funds directly facilitates his own
    political speech,” Buckley further established that Congress cannot limit how much of a
    candidate’s own funds can be spent on his or her campaign.
    Id. at 53
    & n.58. The FEC enshrined
    this principle in 11 C.F.R. § 110.10, which provides that “candidates for Federal office may make
    1
    It may be that the “accepted by” limitation on transfers from campaigns to political parties does not in itself
    pose any meaningful restraints on which campaign funds are eligible: the FEC’s regulation implementing Section
    30114(a) simply provides for the unlimited transfer of “funds in a campaign account” without more. See 11 C.F.R.
    § 113.2.
    5
    unlimited expenditures from personal funds,” and then clarified that this allows a candidate to
    make “unlimited contributions to his or her own campaign,” FEC Advisory Op. 2003-31 at 2 (Dec.
    19, 2003) (citing FEC Advisory Op. 1997-10 at 3 (Aug. 15, 1997)).
    By the same token, the Supreme Court has struck down other limits on campaign spending
    that have the effect of banning certain forms of political expenditures outright. In Citizens United,
    the Court cited Buckley’s rejection of expenditure limits as it invalidated a law that imposed
    criminal sanctions—and thereby acted as an “outright ban”—on corporate electioneering
    
    communications. 558 U.S. at 337
    , 346, 365. Four years later, McCutcheon—one of the plaintiffs
    here—challenged the Act’s aggregate limits on contributions, which capped the amount an
    individual could spend in a given election cycle across all races. See 
    McCutcheon, 572 U.S. at 204
    –05. The Court distinguished between the so-called “base limits” upheld in Buckley on the
    one hand (i.e., caps on the amount a person can contribute to a single candidate, campaign, or party
    committee), and the challenged aggregate limits on the other, which the court found to “constitute
    an outright ban on further contributions” to additional candidates, thereby “deny[ing] the
    individual all ability to exercise his expressive and associational rights by contributing to someone
    who will advocate for his policy preferences.” See
    id. at 204.
    By analogizing aggregate limits to
    impermissible limits on expenditures, McCutcheon “le[ft] the base limits undisturbed.”
    Id. at 209
    & n.6 (noting that McCutcheon also “does not overrule McConnell’s holding about ‘soft money’”
    limits on contributions to party committees).
    B. The FEC Advisory Opinion Process
    The 1974 amendments to FECA created the FEC “and vest[ed] in it primary and substantial
    responsibility for administering and enforcing the Act.” 
    Buckley, 424 U.S. at 109
    . Of relevance
    here, the FEC is empowered “to render advisory opinions under section 30108 of this title” and
    6
    “to make, amend, and repeal such rules . . . as are necessary to carry out the provisions of th[e]
    Act.” 52 U.S.C. § 30107(a)(7)–(8).
    Section 30108, in turn, permits a person to request an advisory opinion “concerning the
    application of [FECA], or a rule or regulation prescribed by the Commission, with respect to a
    specific transaction or activity by the person,” and requires the Commission to “render a written
    advisory opinion relating to such transaction or activity” no more than sixty days after receiving a
    “complete written request.”
    Id. § 30108(a)(1). It
    further requires the FEC to publish any request
    for an advisory opinion and “accept written comments submitted by any interested party within
    the 10-day period following the date the request is made public.”
    Id. § 30108(d). If
    the FEC
    renders a favorable advisory opinion in response to a request, the requestor, and any person
    involved in an identical transaction or activity to that described in the request, may rely in good
    faith on the opinion and will be protected from any sanction under FECA that might otherwise
    attach to the transaction or activity.
    Id. § 30108(c). Importantly
    here, Section 30108 does not stand alone. Section 30106 provides that “the
    affirmative vote of 4 members of the Commission shall be required in order for the Commission
    to,” inter alia, render an advisory opinion.
    Id. § 30106(c). The
    FEC’s rules of procedure further
    require the presence of a four-member “quorum for the consideration and resolution of matters
    that involve the exercise of [the FEC’s] duties and powers under the [FECA].” FEC, Directive 10
    (June    8,    1978      amend.      Dec.     20,       2007),   https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-
    content/documents/directive_10.pdf. Obviously, absent a four-member quorum, the FEC cannot
    generate the four affirmative votes necessary to approve or reject an advisory opinion request. In
    part to square the four-vote requirement with the sixty-day window for issuing advisory opinions,
    the FEC promulgated a rule providing that, in lieu of a requested advisory opinion, it may issue “a
    7
    written response stating that the Commission was unable to approve an advisory opinion by the
    required affirmative vote of 4 members” within sixty days of receiving a complete request. 11
    C.F.R. § 112.4(a).
    II.      Factual Background
    The story of this case begins before the facts underlying the present action came to be. On
    March 20, 2020, billionaire and former Democratic presidential candidate Michael Bloomberg
    announced that he was transferring $18 million from his self-funded presidential campaign to the
    Democratic National Committee (“DNC”). Compl. at 1–2 (citing Dan Merica et al., Bloomberg
    Campaign      Transfers   $18    Million   to   DNC,    CNN     (Mar.    20,   2020,   3:26   PM),
    https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/20/politics/bloomberg-campaign-money-dnc/index.html).               The
    following week, Dan Backer, who is plaintiffs’ counsel in the present action as well as MFF’s
    treasurer and custodian of records, filed a complaint with the FEC alleging that by transferring his
    campaign funds to the DNC, Bloomberg “brazenly engag[ed] in one of the largest willful campaign
    finance violations of all time, . . . circumvent[ing] contribution limits through the simply [sic]
    expedient of laundering millions of dollars through his now-defunct campaign account.” FEC
    MUR 7722, Compl. (Mar. 24, 2020) (“Bloomberg Compl.”) at 1–2, available at
    https://secure.greatamericapac.com/Images/Bloomberg_FEC_Complaint.pdf. Backer also gave
    multiple media interviews on his opposition to Bloomberg’s contribution and authored an op-ed
    in the Washington Examiner headlined “Michael Bloomberg is Breaking Campaign Finance Law
    Before Your Very Eyes,” likewise arguing that Bloomberg’s transfer of funds constituted an
    unlawful contribution to a political party in excess of statutory limits. Dan Backer, Michael
    Bloomberg is Breaking Campaign Finance Law Before Your Very Eyes, Wash. Examiner
    (Mar. 26, 2020),     https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/op-eds/michael-bloomberg-is-
    8
    breaking-campaign-finance-law-before-your-very-eyes; see also, e.g., Andrew Keiper, Bloomberg
    Campaign Hit with FEC Complaint for $18 Million Transfer to DNC, Fox News (Mar. 27, 2020),
    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/bloomberg-campaign-hit-with-fec-complaint-for-18-million-
    transfer-to-dnc (quoting Backer saying, “If you allow Bloomberg to do this, you’re giving
    democracy to a billionaire oligarch.”). Bloomberg’s highly publicized transfer of funds provides
    the backdrop for the present action, to which the Court now turns.
    A. The McCutcheon Campaign
    On May 6, Backer filed a Statement of Organization with the FEC on behalf of MFF
    officially launching McCutcheon’s campaign for the Libertarian Party’s nomination for president.
    See McCutcheon for Freedom, FEC Form 1, Statement of Organization, FEC (May 6, 2020),
    https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00745661/1404556/.        McCutcheon is an Alabama
    businessman and political activist who rose to national notoriety in 2014, when he prevailed in the
    aforementioned Supreme Court case that struck down statutory limitations on the aggregate
    amount an individual can contribute to political campaigns in a given election cycle. See
    McCutcheon for Freedom, https://mccutcheonforfreedom.com (last visited Oct. 19, 2020);
    
    McCutcheon, 572 U.S. at 194
    –95.
    To advance his presidential campaign, McCutcheon produced and posted a campaign
    video, launched a campaign website, placed online advertisements, and sent campaign emails and
    text messages to Libertarian Party delegates. Compl. [ECF No. 1] at 5. Expenditures for these
    services, totaling $12,698.50, were duly reported to the FEC. See Spending by McCutcheon for
    Freedom, FEC, https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/P00016030/?cycle=2020&election_full=fals
    e&tab=spending (last visited Oct. 19, 2020). McCutcheon has also stated that Mike Byrne served
    as his campaign manager and Ron Nielsen served as special advisor, although there are no recorded
    9
    disbursements from his campaign fund to either. See id.; Compl. at 5. McCutcheon does not
    appear to have made any media appearances or issued any policy statements. The lone Twitter
    thread by Dave Levinthal of the Center for Public Integrity mentioning McCutcheon’s campaign—
    cited in his advisory opinion request as an example of his “candidacy [being] discussed online,”
    Compl. Ex. 1 [ECF No. 1-1] at 2—appears in fact to be the only coverage of his campaign prior
    to its suspension and his subsequent engagement with the FEC. McCutcheon did not participate
    in any of the Libertarian Party’s state primary contests or take part in any of the party’s twenty-
    two primary debates, including the nationwide debate at the Libertarian National Convention on
    May 21, 2020. See FEC’s Mem. in Opp’n to Mot. for Prelim. Inj. (“Opp’n”) [ECF No. 11] at 10–
    12 & n.3. And his campaign’s Facebook page made only three posts, which were simply links to
    his website and campaign video. See McCutcheon for Freedom, Facebook (last updated May 13,
    2020), https://facebook.com/McCutcheonforFreedom.
    The Libertarian Party held its national convention from May 21–23, 2020, and Jo Jorgensen
    and Spike Cohen were nominated as the party’s candidates for president and vice president,
    respectively.   Brian Doherty, Libertarian Party Picks Spike Cohen as its Vice-Presidential
    Candidate, Reason (May 24, 2020), https://reason.com/2020/05/24/libertarian-party-picks-spike-
    cohen-as-its-vice-presidential-candidate/.   McCutcheon did not receive any votes at the
    convention, see Opp’n at 12, and suspended his campaign thereafter, see Mem. of Law in Supp.
    of Pls.’ Mot. for Prelim. Inj. [ECF No. 2-1] at 3. At that time, he had approximately $54,000
    remaining in his campaign account. Compl. at ¶ 17.
    B. The Advisory Opinion Request
    On May 29, 2020, Backer submitted a request for an advisory opinion to the FEC on behalf
    of plaintiffs. Compl. Ex. 1. McCutcheon appended a declaration in support of the advisory opinion
    10
    request setting forth facts relevant to the FEC’s consideration. Compl. Ex. 2 [ECF No. 1-2]. In
    addition to affirming many of the facts laid out above, McCutcheon’s declaration states that he
    “was solely responsible for funding MFF,” and “maintain[s] complete direction and control over
    MFF’s funds and expenditures.”
    Id. at ¶¶ 8, 12.
           Plaintiffs also appended McCutcheon’s
    declaration to the present motion for a preliminary injunction. Mot. for Prelim. Inj. Ex. 2 [ECF
    No. 2-2].
    The purpose of the advisory opinion request was purportedly to obtain a determination that
    the following transactions (the “Proposed Transactions”) are legal under FECA: 2
    1. McCutcheon transfers $50,000 of the personal funds he has deposited into the account of
    MFF, his authorized principal presidential candidate committee, to the general, unrestricted
    federal account of the Libertarian National Committee, Inc. (“LNC”), a national political
    party committee.
    2. McCutcheon deposits unlimited amounts of additional personal funds into MFF’s account,
    then transfers those funds without limit to the general, unrestricted federal account of the
    LNC and/or the general, unrestricted federal account of the Republican National
    Committee (“RNC”), a national political party committee.
    Compl. Ex. 1 at 3. However, the advisory opinion request paints a less-than-optimistic picture of
    the Proposed Transactions’ legality. It details the story of Bloomberg’s $18 million contribution
    to the DNC described above and states that McCutcheon now “wishes to take advantage of the
    ‘Bloomberg Billionaire Loophole,’ . . . but wishes to confirm the legality of circumventing and
    undermining campaign finance law in this manner before doing so.”
    Id. “Unlike Bloomberg,” the
    request states, “McCutcheon cannot rely on the pervasively Democratic Deep State federal
    bureaucracy to shield him from administrative proceedings or criminal prosecution.”
    Id. at 1. 2
               The Proposed Transactions underlying plaintiffs’ advisory opinion request are the same as those plaintiffs
    ask this Court to declare legal and protect from adverse agency action through the issuance of a preliminary injunction.
    Compare Compl. Ex. 1 at 2, with Mem. of Law in Supp. of Pls.’ Mot. for Prelim. Inj. at 15.
    11
    The legal analysis contained in the request largely mirrors the claims Backer pressed
    against Bloomberg in his March 24 FEC complaint. Compare
    id. at 4–7,
    with Bloomberg Compl.
    All the request offers in support of the legality of the Proposed Transactions is to note that “[t]he
    supposed legal basis for this money laundering scheme is likely 52 U.S.C. § 30114(a)(4),”
    providing for unlimited transfers of “contribution[s] accepted by a candidate” to political party
    committees. Compl. Ex. 1 at 3–4. The request then goes on to describe, without qualifying, “four
    main reasons why the Commission may conclude the Bloomberg Billionaire Loophole is invalid,
    and it would be illegal for McCutcheon to engage in his intended course of action”: (1) the transfers
    from his entirely self-funded campaign “must be treated as contributions directly from
    McCutcheon himself” in excess of individual contribution limits; (2) the transfers may “constitute
    illegal contributions in the name of another”; (3) McCutcheon’s transfers of his own funds to MFF
    were not “contribution[s] accepted by a candidate” for the purposes of 52 U.S.C. § 30114(a)(4),
    and thus cannot be transferred without limit to a party committee; and (4) transfers of funds from
    an individual candidate to his own campaign committee that are not made in furtherance of his
    own campaign are not entitled to the protections afforded to campaign expenditures, and instead
    would constitute contributions in excess of legal limits. Compl. Ex. 1 at 4–7.
    On June 9, 2020, following an email exchange between the FEC and plaintiffs’ counsel,
    the Commission deemed plaintiffs’ advisory opinion request “complete,” thereby starting the
    sixty-day clock for resolution. See Compl. at ¶ 23. On the same date, the request was made public
    for comment, opening the statutory ten-day public comment period, pursuant to which the FEC
    received one public comment from the Campaign Legal Center on June 19 arguing that the
    proposed transfers were illegal. Opp’n at 14. On or before July 20, FEC staff requested that
    plaintiffs waive or extend the sixty-day deadline, since the Commission lacked the requisite
    12
    quorum to even discuss plaintiffs’ request, let alone render an advisory opinion with four
    affirmative votes. Compl. at ¶ 24. On July 20, plaintiffs declined. Compl. Ex. 4 [ECF No. 1-4]
    at 1. On August 10, FEC Associate General Counsel Nevin F. Stipanovic sent plaintiffs a letter
    indicating that the Commission was unable to render an advisory opinion for want of the required
    four-member quorum.
    Id. C.
    The FEC’s Short-Lived Quorum
    At the time the FEC received plaintiffs’ advisory opinion request, it had not had a quorum
    since August 31, 2019. Opp’n at 14. On June 5, 2020, the FEC obtained a quorum when James
    E. “Trey” Trainor III was sworn in as its fourth Commissioner.
    Id. An extensive backlog
    of
    matters requiring a quorum to resolve existed at that time.
    Id. One Commissioner placed
    the
    number of staff reports awaiting Commission action when the quorum was restored at 248.
    Statement of Comm’r Ellen L. Weintraub on the Restoration of the FEC’s Quorum, FEC (June 18,
    2020)       (hereinafter      “Weintraub        Stmt.”),      https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-
    content/documents/2020-06-18_ELW_quorum_restoration_statement.pdf. Just three weeks later,
    on June 26, then-Commissioner Caroline Hunter announced her resignation from the FEC, which
    became effective on July 3, once again depriving the Commission of its four-member quorum.
    Opp’n at 14. The FEC did not release a draft advisory opinion in response to plaintiffs’ request
    before, at, or after its lone open meeting during its short-lived quorum, which was held on June 18
    amidst the ten-day public comment period.
    Id. at 22
    n.9.
    D. The Present Action
    On September 4, 2020, plaintiffs filed a complaint in this Court seeking injunctive and
    declaratory relief against the FEC, as well as a motion for preliminary injunction that would
    13
    “protect them from administrative, civil, or criminal proceedings or penalties for transferring
    personal funds in McCutcheon’s campaign account to the LNC’s general treasury notwithstanding
    any contribution limits set forth in [FECA].” Compl. at 3.
    The complaint presses four counts against the FEC. Count I alleges that, “[b]y failing to
    fulfill its statutory obligation to issue an advisory opinion confirming the legality of McCutcheon’s
    and MFF’s intended course of conduct, the Commission has substantially burdened and chilled
    their exercise of First Amendment rights.”
    Id. at ¶ 34.
    Count II alleges that “the Commission’s
    refusal to issue an advisory opinion violated 52 U.S.C. § 30108(a)” and “deprived McCutcheon
    and MFF of the ‘safe harbor’ which Congress established under 52 U.S.C. § 30108(c)(2).”
    Id. at ¶¶ 42, 44.
    Count III alleges that, under the Administrative Procedure Act (“APA”), 5 U.S.C. § 706,
    the FEC “unlawfully withheld an advisory opinion” from plaintiffs, and that the Commission’s
    failure to issue the requested advisory opinion within sixty days was “arbitrary, capricious, an
    abuse of discretion, and not in accordance with law.”
    Id. at ¶¶ 52, 54.
    Finally, Count IV states a
    claim under the Declaratory Judgment Act, 28 U.S.C. § 2201, seeking a declaratory judgment that
    plaintiffs’ Proposed Transactions are legally permissible.
    Id. at ¶ 61. 3
    The FEC submitted its opposition to plaintiffs’ motion for preliminary injunction on
    October 1. In it, the Commission argues that plaintiffs have no right of action under FECA or the
    Declaratory Judgment Act, Opp’n at 2, and insists that plaintiffs’ APA claims cannot stand
    because, among other reasons, the FEC was legally barred from rendering the requested advisory
    opinion within the sixty-day period after receipt of plaintiffs’ request for want of a quorum
    , id. at 2–3.
    The FEC further notes that “plaintiffs’ purported First Amendment claim merely recasts their
    3
    Plaintiffs seek similar declaratory relief in Counts I and II. Compl. at ¶¶ 35, 44.
    14
    statutory claims” and “is based on the Commission’s supposedly unlawful failure to issue an
    advisory opinion.”
    Id. at 17
    n.7.
    III.      Legal Standard
    “A preliminary injunction is an extraordinary remedy never awarded as of right.” Winter
    v. Nat. Res. Def. Counsel, 
    555 U.S. 7
    , 24 (2008). Before a preliminary injunction may issue,
    plaintiffs “must make a ‘clear showing’ that four factors, taken together, warrant relief: likely
    success on the merits, likely irreparable harm in the absence of preliminary relief, a balance of the
    equities in [their] favor, and accord with the public interest.” Pursuing Am.’s Greatness v. FEC,
    
    831 F.3d 500
    , 505 (D.C. Cir. 2016) (quoting 
    Winter, 555 U.S. at 20
    , 22).
    The first two factors are paramount in the preliminary injunction analysis. First, “without
    a likelihood of success on the merits, [p]laintiffs are not entitled to a preliminary injunction
    regardless of their showing on the other factors.” Brown v. FEC, 
    386 F. Supp. 3d 16
    , 24 (D.D.C.
    2019) (citing Ark. Dairy Coop Ass’n, Inc. v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., 
    573 F.3d 815
    , 832 (D.C. Cir.
    2009)); see also Guedes v. Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms & Explosives, 
    920 F.3d 1
    , 10
    (D.C. Cir. 2019) (“A foundational requirement for obtaining preliminary injunctive relief is that
    the plaintiffs demonstrate a likelihood of success on the merits.”). Further, the D.C. Circuit “has
    suggested, without deciding, that Winter should be read to . . . require[e] plaintiffs to independently
    demonstrate both a likelihood of success on the merits and irreparable harm.” Standing Rock
    Sioux Tribe v. U.S. Army Corps of Eng’rs, 
    205 F. Supp. 3d 4
    , 26 (D.D.C. 2016) (quoting Sherley
    v. Sebelius, 
    644 F.3d 388
    , 392 (D.C. Cir. 2011)).
    As for the latter two factors, where, as here, the government opposes the issuance of a
    preliminary injunction, the Court analyzes both together “because the government’s interest is the
    15
    public interest.” Pursuing Am.’s 
    Greatness, 831 F.3d at 511
    (citing Nken v. Holder, 
    556 U.S. 418
    ,
    435 (2009)).
    ANALYSIS
    Plaintiffs have asserted that a preliminary injunction is necessary to bar the FEC “from
    investigating them, commencing administrative proceedings against or concerning them, imposing
    civil fines or other sanctions, ordering the reversal of the transaction, or making a criminal referral”
    with respect to the Proposed Transactions. Mot. for Prelim. Inj. [ECF No. 2] at 1. Absent an
    injunction, plaintiffs claim, “the threat of such consequences continues to chill [them] from
    engaging in . . . constitutionally protected activities.” Mem. of Law in Supp. of Pls.’ Mot. for
    Prelim. Inj. at 1. The FEC retorts that plaintiffs’ request “is at odds with the purpose of a
    preliminary injunction, which ‘is merely to preserve the relative positions of the parties until a trial
    on the merits can be held.’” Opp’n at 16 (quoting Univ. of Tex. v. Camenisch, 
    451 U.S. 390
    , 395
    (1981)). The Court will now analyze each of the relevant preliminary injunction factors, 4 placing
    due emphasis on the first two, to determine whether plaintiffs have met their burden to obtain the
    “extraordinary remedy” they seek. See Standing Rock Sioux 
    Tribe, 205 F. Supp. 3d at 26
    (“[T]he
    Court may deny a motion for preliminary injunction, without further inquiry, upon finding that a
    plaintiff is unable to show either irreparable injury or a likelihood of success on the merits.”).
    I.       Likelihood of Success on the Merits
    Because plaintiffs fail to show a likelihood of success on the merits on any of the counts
    raised in their complaint, they are not entitled to a preliminary injunction. See
    id. (“[F]ailure to 4
               The FEC suggests that the court may in its discretion deny plaintiffs’ motion on the grounds that plaintiffs
    failed to follow certain rules of procedure. Opp’n at 15 n.6. Because the FEC did not demonstrate any prejudice
    caused by plaintiffs’ alleged procedural faults, the Court will proceed to the merits of plaintiffs’ motion.
    16
    show a likelihood of success on the merits alone is sufficient to defeat a preliminary-injunction
    motion.” (citing Ark. Dairy Coop Ass’n, 
    Inc., 573 F.3d at 832
    )). Fundamental to the Court’s
    conclusion on this point is the plain fact that the FEC’s conduct in processing and disposing of
    plaintiffs’ advisory opinion request was not only legal, it was statutorily mandated. Accordingly,
    to the concrete question of whether the FEC violated plaintiffs’ rights—whether statutory or
    constitutional—by failing to issue a favorable advisory opinion, the answer is a firm no, and no
    suit based on such an allegation can possibly succeed. At the same time, the Court’s preliminary
    injunction analysis need not and will not reach a dispositive conclusion on the ultimate legality of
    the Proposed Transfers. Suffice it to say, plaintiffs have not made the requisite “clear showing”
    that the Proposed Transfers are legal and/or constitutionally protected for this Court to shield them
    from any scrutiny by the very agency charged by Congress with resolving such questions of
    legality in the first instance.
    A. Count I: The FEC’s Failure to Issue a Favorable Advisory Opinion Violated
    Plaintiffs’ First Amendment Rights 5
    Plaintiffs’ First Amendment claim alleges that, “[b]y failing to fulfill its statutory
    obligation to issue an advisory opinion confirming the legality of McCutcheon’s and MFF’s
    intended course of conduct, the Commission has substantially burdened and chilled their exercise
    of First Amendment rights.” Compl. at 12. As the FEC correctly points out, plaintiffs “do not
    allege that either the individual limit on contributions to national parties, which was upheld in
    McConnell, or the unlimited transfer provision between a candidate committee and national parties
    5
    The FEC contends that plaintiffs “have not sought preliminary relief on their constitutional claim,” Opp’n
    at 41, but the Court reads plaintiffs’ motion as at least implicitly incorporating their constitutional claim, see Mem. of
    Law in Supp. of Pls.’ Mot. for Prelim. Inj. at 9 (arguing that absence of a favorable advisory opinion left plaintiffs in
    a “constitutionally untenable position of either refraining from exercising their constitutional and statutory rights, or
    engaging in their intended transfers and facing the prospect of” enforcement), and will thus address the likelihood of
    that claim’s success on the merits here.
    17
    are unconstitutional.” Opp’n at 17 n.7. The constitutional harm alleged thus does not arise out of
    any law, regulation, or action taken or threatened by the FEC; instead, plaintiffs purport to be
    “chilled” in their right to free speech and association by the Commission’s failure to issue the
    desired advisory opinion that would have blessed their proposed course of conduct.
    For this claim to succeed, plaintiffs would, at a minimum, need to identify a constitutional
    right to transfer unlimited amounts of a candidate’s personal funds that have been deposited into
    his or her campaign account to political party committees. They have not even attempted to do so.
    Plaintiffs accurately cite Buckley for the proposition that “a candidate has a constitutional right to
    make unlimited expenditures in support of his own campaign,” but they go on to admit that “does
    not necessarily mean the candidate may make unlimited contributions of his personal funds to a
    political party committee by simply transferring them through his candidate committee.” See
    Compl. at 8. In their motion for a preliminary injunction, plaintiffs once again fail to establish a
    nexus between political expenditures protected by the First Amendment and the Proposed
    Transactions: they assert that “federal regulations”—not the Constitution—“permit candidate
    committees to transfer unlimited amounts of their funds to national political party committees.”
    Mem. of Law in Supp. of Pls.’ Mot. for Prelim. Inj. at 12 (citing 11. C.F.R. § 113.2(c) (“funds in
    a campaign account . . . [m]ay be transferred without limitation to any national, State, or local
    committee of any political party.”)). They then go on to aver that they are “likely to succeed in
    demonstrating that the Intended Transfers are legal,”
    id., not that they
    are protected by the
    Constitution. Plaintiffs’ demure argumentation is a far cry from staking a constitutional right that
    the FEC allegedly violated by failing to issue a favorable advisory opinion.
    Moreover, plaintiffs’ constitutional claim presupposes that they are constitutionally
    entitled to a favorable advisory opinion and concomitant safe harbor protection for the Proposed
    18
    Transactions. But they assume too much. Congress placed a high bar for the issuance of FEC
    advisory opinions and the safe harbor they provide by requiring the affirmative votes of four of
    the FEC’s six commissioners. See 52 U.S.C. § 30106(c). Considering that no more than three
    members of the FEC may be affiliated with the same political party
    , id. § 30106(a)(1), an
    advisory
    opinion request must be sufficiently meritorious as to generate a bipartisan consensus in order to
    secure the requisite level of support. Plaintiffs have not pointed to any evidence indicating that
    their proposed course of action—which plaintiffs’ counsel described as “willful campaign finance
    violations” when executed by Michael Bloomberg, see Bloomberg Compl. at 1—would have
    garnered the four votes necessary to obtain the safe harbor.
    Plaintiffs’ reliance on Carey v. FEC, 
    791 F. Supp. 2d
    121 (D.D.C. 2011), in their reply
    brief to support the proposition that a preliminary injunction is constitutionally warranted here is
    unavailing. See Pls.’ Reply [ECF No. 12] at 6. In Carey, the court issued a preliminary injunction
    against the FEC after the Commission failed to issue a requested advisory opinion 6 determining
    “whether it would be lawful for [a hybrid PAC] to accept unlimited contributions for the purpose
    of making independent expenditures” separate and segregated from its campaign contribution
    funds subject to FECA’s contribution limits. 
    791 F. Supp. 2d
    at 127. The court found that the
    plaintiff PAC was likely to succeed on the merits of its constitutional claim because the course of
    action proposed in its advisory opinion request was “squarely approved by [the D.C. Circuit’s
    decision in] Emily’s List, leading to the inevitable conclusion that [plaintiff] ha[d] a strong
    possibility of success on the merits.”
    Id. at 131
    (citing Emily’s List v. FEC, 
    581 F.3d 1
    (D.C. Cir.
    2009)). Here, far from citing binding precedent to make the case for a constitutional right to
    6
    In Carey, five members of the Commission split 3–2 on votes held on two draft advisory opinions. Although
    there was a quorum, the draft opinions failed to secure the requisite four affirmative votes to issue. See 
    791 F. Supp. 2d
    at 127.
    19
    conduct the Proposed Transactions as in Carey, plaintiffs’ advisory opinion request focuses on
    developing counterarguments against the legality of the Proposed Transactions. While this
    approach is consistent with plaintiffs’ attorney’s crusade against the so-called “Bloomberg
    Billionaire Loophole,” it is not likely to propel plaintiffs’ constitutional claim to success on the
    merits.
    B. Count II: The FEC Violated FECA by Failing to Issue an Advisory Opinion
    Within 60 Days
    Plaintiffs allege that the FEC violated 52 U.S.C. § 30108(a) when it failed to issue an
    advisory opinion within sixty days of determining that plaintiffs’ request was “complete.” The
    FEC contends that this claim cannot succeed on the merits because no statutory cause of action
    exists under FECA to challenge its advisory opinion process. Opp’n at 18. The Court agrees. 7
    FECA includes certain limited provisions for judicial review of FEC action. For example,
    52 U.S.C. § 30109(a)(8) permits an aggrieved party to challenge the FEC’s failure or refusal to act
    on a private administrative complaint like the one filed by plaintiffs’ counsel against Bloomberg.
    Section 30109(a)(4)(C)(iii) entitles a person sanctioned by the FEC to seek judicial review. And
    Section 30110 permits the FEC, the national committee of any political party, or any eligible voter
    to file suit to challenge or construe the constitutionality of any statutory provision of FECA.
    However, no other mechanisms for judicial review, nor other statutory causes of action, exist under
    FECA—including for judicial review of advisory opinions or the FEC’s failure to issue them. See
    Unity08 v. FEC, 
    596 F.3d 861
    , 866 (D.C. Cir. 2010) (reviewing challenge to adverse FEC advisory
    opinion under the APA). Instead, as the D.C. Circuit has repeatedly held, agency actions, rules,
    Indeed, although plaintiffs have replied to some of the FEC’s arguments contained in its opposition brief,
    7
    they have not addressed the absence of an independent cause of action to bring Count II.
    20
    and regulations are subject to judicial review under the APA where, as here, “there is no other
    adequate remedy in a court.” Citizens for Responsibility & Ethics in Wash. v. U.S. Dep’t of
    Justice, 
    846 F.3d 1235
    , 1238 (D.C. Cir. 2017) (quoting 5 U.S.C. § 704); see also Perot v. FEC, 
    97 F.3d 553
    , 560 (D.C. Cir. 1996) (per curiam) (“[A]n action challenging [FECA’s] implementing
    regulations should be brought under the judicial review provisions of the Administrative Procedure
    Act.”).
    C. Count III: The FEC’s Failure to Issue the Requested Advisory Opinion Was
    Unlawful and/or Arbitrary and Capricious Under the APA
    Under the APA, 5 U.S.C. § 706(1) & (2)(A), plaintiffs allege that the FEC “unlawfully
    withheld” 8 from them a favorable advisory opinion, and that the FEC’s failure to issue the
    requested opinion was “arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance
    with law.” See Compl. at 15–17. Because the FEC’s conduct was in accordance with the law,
    both of plaintiff’s APA claims are unlikely to succeed.
    With respect to plaintiffs’ assertion that the FEC “unlawfully withheld” a favorable
    advisory opinion to which plaintiffs were otherwise entitled, the Supreme Court has made clear
    that “a claim under § 706(1) can proceed only where a plaintiff asserts that an agency failed to take
    a discrete agency action that it is required to take.” Norton v. S. Utah Wilderness All., 
    542 U.S. 55
    , 64 (2004). If such a claim is found meritorious, the proper remedy is for the court to compel
    the withheld or delayed agency action. See 5 U.S.C. § 706(1). Although the FEC is required to
    render an advisory opinion in response to a complete request within sixty days of receipt under
    52 U.S.C. § 30108, it is prohibited from issuing an advisory opinion without the affirmative votes
    Plaintiffs do not allege that the FEC “unreasonably delayed” its processing of the plaintiffs’ advisory
    8
    opinion request, see Compl. ¶ 52, so the Court limits its analysis to whether the Commission’s failure to issue the
    requested opinion was lawful.
    21
    of four Commissioners approving such issuance under 52 U.S.C. § 30106. There is nothing in the
    statute to suggest, nor have plaintiffs identified any authority to support, the proposition that the
    FEC is authorized to circumvent the four-vote requirement necessary to render an advisory
    opinion. Indeed, FEC regulations permit the issuance of “a written response stating that the
    Commission was unable to approve an advisory opinion by the required affirmative vote of 4
    members” in lieu of a requested advisory opinion. See 11 C.F.R. § 112.4(a). Plaintiffs do not
    purport to challenge the validity of that rule and the Court sees no reason to call it into question
    here.
    Instead, the Court is called upon to “construe [the] statute[], not isolated provisions.” King
    v. Burwell, 
    576 U.S. 473
    , 486 (2015) (citation omitted). The two provisions at issue indicate
    Congress’s dual intent that the FEC respond expeditiously to requests for advisory opinions, and
    that it only issue advisory opinions where a bipartisan majority of its members agree on the merits
    of a request. If this Court—as it must—construes the statute “so that effect is given to all its
    provisions, so that no part will be inoperative or superfluous, void or insignificant,” Hibbs v. Winn,
    
    542 U.S. 88
    , 101 (2004) (citation omitted), plaintiffs are unlikely to succeed on the merits of their
    claim that the FEC unlawfully withheld the requested advisory opinion. Indeed, to compel the
    FEC to contravene its statutory requirements and issue an advisory opinion with fewer than four
    affirmative votes would impermissibly “produce an absurd . . . result which Congress could not
    have intended,” Clinton v. New York, 
    524 U.S. 417
    , 429 (1998) (citation omitted).
    The temporary existence of a quorum during the pendency of the request does not change
    this conclusion. There was a massive backlog of pending requests received before plaintiffs’
    request, see Opp’n at 22–23; Weintraub Stmt., and the FEC was not required to—nor could it
    reasonably be expected to—resolve all of those requests in just a few weeks. As the FEC points
    22
    out, plaintiffs’ request, having been rendered “complete” on June 9, “was not statutorily eligible
    for consideration at [the Commission’s lone 2020 meeting on June 18] since the mandated public
    comment period had not yet closed.” Opp’n at 22 & n.9 (citing 52 U.S.C. § 30108(d) (providing
    ten-day public comment period following the publication of a complete advisory opinion request)).
    With respect to plaintiffs’ claim that the FEC’s failure to issue the requested advisory
    opinion was arbitrary and capricious under 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A), the parties dispute whether the
    FEC’s failure to render the requested letter constituted a “final agency action” as is required for
    judicial review under 5 U.S.C. § 704. See Trudeau v. Fed. Trade Comm’n, 
    456 F.3d 178
    , 188
    (D.C. Cir. 2006). However, the Court need not resolve that question to conclude that plaintiffs’
    arbitrary-and-capricious claim is unlikely to succeed on the merits, so it will assume, arguendo,
    that the FEC’s August 10 letter did constitute a reviewable final action.
    The bedrock principle underlying the Supreme Court’s APA jurisprudence is that an
    agency “may not exercise its authority ‘in a manner that is inconsistent with the administrative
    structure that Congress enacted into law.’” Ragsdale v. Wolverine World Wide, Inc., 
    535 U.S. 81
    ,
    91 (2002) (quoting FDA v. Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corp., 
    529 U.S. 120
    , 125 (2000)); see
    also Lyng v. Payne, 
    476 U.S. 926
    , 937 (1986) (“[A]n agency’s power is no greater than that
    delegated to it by Congress.”). As already discussed, the FEC was not authorized to issue the
    advisory opinion requested by plaintiffs when it could not possibly have secured affirmative votes
    from four Commissioners—which are required to take such an action. A fortiori, then, the
    Commission’s conduct was compelled by law and could not have been arbitrary, capricious, or an
    abuse of discretion. If anything, the FEC would abuse its discretion by rendering an advisory
    opinion without the requisite four-vote approval, and the Court would certainly not compel it to
    do so here.
    23
    D. Count IV: Plaintiff Is Entitled to a Declaration Under the Declaratory Judgment
    Act that the Proposed Transactions Are Legal and Constitutionally Protected
    McCutcheon’s request for a pre-enforcement declaratory judgment appears to seek a
    declaration that the proposed transfers are protected by the first amendment and/or are otherwise
    legal under FECA. The Declaratory Judgment Act empowers the Court to “declare the rights and
    other legal relations of any interested party seeking such declaration, whether or not further relief
    is or could be sought,” as long as “a case of actual controversy” exists. 28 U.S.C. § 2201(a). The
    FEC contests plaintiffs’ Count IV on the ground that “[t]he Declaratory Judgment Act does not
    itself provide a cause of action.” Opp’n at 39 (quoting Comm. on the Judiciary of U.S. House of
    Representatives v. McGahn, 
    973 F.3d 121
    , 124 (D.C. Cir. 2020), vacated pending reh’g en banc,
    No. 19-5331 (Oct. 15, 2020)). The decision of the split panel of the D.C. Circuit in McGahn was
    since vacated pending rehearing en banc; but even assuming, again arguendo, that plaintiffs do
    have a statutory cause of action to press their claims under the Declaratory Judgment Act, see
    
    McGahn, 973 F.3d at 127
    (Rogers, J., dissenting), such claims would likely fail on the merits.
    As noted above, plaintiffs’ arguments as to why the Proposed Transactions are likely illegal
    are more detailed and more robust on the record before this Court than their arguments supporting
    the Proposed Transactions’ legality under FECA. In support of the Proposed Transactions,
    plaintiffs lay out a straightforward two-step analysis rooted in the FEC’s regulations. First, a
    candidate for federal office like McCutcheon may make unlimited contributions to his own
    campaign. See Mem. of Law in Supp. of Pls.’ Mot. for Prelim. Inj. at 12 (citing 11 C.F.R. § 110.10;
    FEC Advisory Op. 1984-60 at 2 (Jan. 11, 1985)). From there, his campaign committee may
    transfer unlimited funds to national party committees.
    Id. (citing 11 C.F.R.
    §113.2(c)). If these
    provisions stood alone, plaintiffs might well persuade the Court that the Proposed Transactions are
    legal under FECA. But they do not stand alone.
    24
    Plaintiffs’ advisory opinion request presents forceful arguments against the legality of the
    Proposed Transactions, as do the allegations pressed by plaintiffs’ counsel in his FEC complaint
    and public statements against identical conduct by Michael Bloomberg. See Compl. Ex. 1 at 4–7;
    Bloomberg Compl. The Court acknowledges that there appears to be some tension between
    FECA’s provision for unlimited transfers from a campaign committee to a party committee on the
    one hand, and its safeguards against circumvention of contribution limits through conduits on the
    other. In the case of a totally self-funded candidate like McCutcheon, it is indeed difficult to
    distinguish on principle a transfer of funds from his now-inactive campaign to a party committee
    from an individual contribution subject to statutory limits imposed to mitigate actual or apparent
    corruption in campaign finance. In any event, under existing law, it is far from clear where the
    FEC—or a court deciding the question on the merits—would come down. Accordingly, plaintiffs
    have not met their burden to establish a likelihood of success sufficient to justify the “extraordinary
    remedy” of granting a preliminary injunction, see 
    Winter, 555 U.S. at 24
    , that would hamstring
    the FEC’s enforcement powers. The FEC is statutorily empowered to interpret FECA in the first
    instance and should do so via advisory opinion once a quorum is obtained; in the meanwhile, the
    Court will not fill in and assume that responsibility. See 52 U.S.C. §§ 30106-09; see also FEC v.
    Democratic Senatorial Campaign Comm., 
    454 U.S. 27
    , 37 (1981) (holding that the FEC is
    “precisely the type of agency to which deference should presumptively be afforded”).
    Nor does the First Amendment provide a right likely to entitle plaintiffs to declaratory
    relief. There is no constitutional right for an individual to make contributions to a political party
    committee in excess of the limits set by Congress, whether directly or through a conduit. See
    
    McCutcheon, 572 U.S. at 192
    –94 (“[W]e have previously upheld [base limits] as serving the
    permissible objective of combatting corruption. . . . The base limits apply with equal force to
    25
    contributions that are ‘in any way earmarked or otherwise directed through an intermediary or
    conduit’ to a candidate.” (quoting 2 U.S.C. § 441a(a)(8))); 
    McConnell, 540 U.S. at 142
    –45. And
    as discussed above, plaintiffs do not appear to argue that FECA’s provision for the unlimited
    transfer of campaign funds is rooted in the First Amendment.
    E. Summary
    For the foregoing reasons, plaintiffs have not satisfied the “foundational requirement” of
    showing a likelihood of success on the merits to warrant the extraordinary relief of a preliminary
    injunction. See 
    Guedes 920 F.3d at 10
    ; see also 
    Brown, 386 F. Supp. 3d at 24
    (“[W]ithout a
    likelihood of success on the merits, [p]laintiffs are not entitled to a preliminary injunction
    regardless of their showing on the other factors.”). The Court thus need not reach the other
    preliminary injunction factors to deny the motion, but will briefly discuss why they, too, are not
    satisfied.
    II.      Irreparable Injury
    Plaintiffs will not suffer irreparable injury upon this Court’s denial of their motion. The
    D.C. Circuit “has set a high standard for irreparable injury,” demanding that the purported injury
    “be both certain and great . . . actual and not theoretical.” Chaplaincy of Full Gospel Churches v.
    England, 
    454 F.3d 290
    , 297 (D.C. Cir. 2006) (citation omitted). Further, plaintiffs must make a
    “clear showing” that preliminary injunctive relief is necessary to avoid irreparable harm; a
    preliminary injunction may not issue “based only on a possibility” that plaintiff will otherwise be
    harmed. 
    Winter, 555 U.S. at 22
    .
    Plaintiffs allege two classes of irreparable harm, neither of which comes close to the “clear
    showing” required to obtain relief. First, they cite the D.C. Circuit’s opinion in Unity08 for the
    26
    proposition that the FEC’s failure to issue their requested advisory opinion deprives them of a legal
    right to the safe harbor protections afforded to recipients of favorable FEC advisory opinions.
    Mem. of Law in Supp. of Pls.’ Mot. for Prelim. Inj. at 12–13 
    (citing 596 F.3d at 865
    ). But Unity08
    was not a preliminary injunction case at all: it was a challenge to a duly rendered unfavorable
    advisory opinion under the APA. 
    See 596 F.3d at 863
    . As 
    discussed supra
    , here the FEC was not
    legally authorized to issue the plaintiffs’ requested advisory opinion, much less required to do so.
    A preliminary injunction extending the safe harbor protections that the requested opinion would
    afford would thus displace the process Congress put in place for extending those protections. Such
    an outcome would cause harm to the balance of powers more than it would prevent harm to
    plaintiffs. See SEC v. Chenery Corp., 
    318 U.S. 80
    , 88 (1943) (holding that a “court cannot intrude
    upon the domain which Congress has exclusively entrusted to an administrative agency”).
    Plaintiffs further claim that they will suffer irreparable harm through the chilling of their
    First Amendment right to execute the Proposed Transactions. Once again, plaintiffs have not
    articulated a constitutional basis for FECA’s allowance of unlimited transfers of campaign funds
    to party committees that would entitle them to preliminary injunctive relief. They cannot suffer
    infringement of a First Amendment right that does not exist. The cases plaintiffs cite in their
    motion and reply uniformly involve assertions of recognized constitutional rights that are
    jeopardized by statutes, agency actions, or regulations that improperly burden those rights. See,
    e.g., 
    Buckley, 424 U.S. at 22
    (First Amendment right to make campaign expenditures necessary
    to political speech); 
    McCutcheon, 572 U.S. at 203
    (First Amendment right to contribute an
    unlimited amount of money during an election cycle, provided that contributions comply with
    FECA base limits); 
    Carey, 791 F. Supp. 2d at 136
    (First Amendment right of non-profit to receive
    unlimited contributions for independent expenditures); Woodhouse v. Me. Comm’n on Gov.
    27
    Ethics and Election Pracs., 
    40 F. Supp. 3d 186
    , 195–96 (D. Me. 2014) (equal protection right for
    third-party candidates to receive up to the same amount of campaign contributions as major-party
    candidates); Fund for La.’s Future v. La. Bd. Of Ethics, 
    17 F. Supp. 3d 562
    , 575 (E.D. La. 2014)
    (First Amendment right of independent group to raise unlimited funds to make independent
    expenditures). But here, plaintiffs do not even challenge the constitutionality of the statute they
    claim ultimately to be chilled by—the FECA limit on contributions to political parties. Indeed,
    such an attack would likely fail under McConnell. See Republican Nat’l Comm. v. FEC, 698 F.
    Supp. 2d 150, 159 (D.D.C. 2010) (rejecting, via three-judge panel, as-applied challenge to limits
    on contributions to party committees because “contributions to national parties have much the
    same tendency as contributions to federal candidates to result in quid pro quo corruption or at least
    the appearance of quid pro quo corruption” (citing 
    McConnell, 540 U.S. at 144
    )). 9 Instead, then,
    plaintiffs attack the FEC for failing to give them a pass to engage in conduct they readily admit
    “may violate federal law.” Compl. Ex. 1 at 8.
    Any harm plaintiffs might suffer from their inability to make potentially illegal
    contributions to a political party is a far cry from the harm the Supreme Court recognized in
    McCutcheon, where McCutcheon was barred from associating with campaigns that represented
    his policy preferences after he hit the aggregate limits then in place for a given campaign cycle.
    
    See 572 U.S. at 203
    . Hence, “[p]laintiffs will not ‘suffer irreparable harm in the absence of
    preliminary relief’; they will simply be required to adhere to the regulatory regime that has
    governed campaign finance for decades.” 
    Rufer, 64 F. Supp. 3d at 206
    (citation omitted) (rejecting
    request for preliminary injunction against enforcement of limits on contributions to political party
    9
    If plaintiffs did wish to challenge the constitutionality of any of FECA’s provisions, the proper way to do
    so would be to file suit under 52 U.S.C. § 30110 requesting District Court certification of their constitutional challenge
    to an en banc panel of the D.C. Circuit. See Holmes v. FEC, 
    823 F.3d 69
    (D.D.C. 2016).
    28
    committees). Within the bounds of that regulatory regime, as the FEC points out, plaintiffs are
    clearly entitled to contribute up to $35,500 to both the LNC’s and RNC’s general treasury
    accounts, and may contribute much more to their non-general accounts, provided that such
    contributions are properly disclosed and comply with applicable limits. See Opp’n at 13, 43.
    III.      Balance of Equities and Public Interest
    Needless to say in light of the foregoing, the balance of equities does not favor granting
    plaintiffs’ motion, nor would an injunction be in the public interest. The 2020 elections are just
    weeks away, and granting plaintiffs’ motion could add yet another drop of chaos into the ocean of
    tumult that has characterized this year. See 
    Rufer, 64 F. Supp. 3d at 206
    . Plaintiffs’ motion
    advances a novel legal theory they contend underlies the so-called “Bloomberg Billionaire
    Loophole,” but they spend more time disparaging the alleged loophole than advocating for it. To
    grant the requested relief here would thus blaze a rocky and uncertain legal trail and fly in the face
    of the Supreme Court’s admonition that “[t]he purpose of a preliminary injunction is merely to
    preserve the relative positions of the parties until a trial on the merits can be held.” 
    Camenisch, 451 U.S. at 395
    .
    CONCLUSION
    For the reasons stated above, the Court will deny plaintiffs’ motion for preliminary
    injunction. A separate order will be issued on this date.
    /s/
    JOHN D. BATES
    United States District Judge
    Dated: October 19, 2020
    29