Commonwealth v. Guinan , 86 Mass. App. Ct. 445 ( 2014 )


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    13-P-592                                                Appeals Court
    COMMONWEALTH     vs.   DOUGLAS F. GUINAN.
    No. 13-P-592.
    Berkshire.       April 8, 2014. - October 3, 2014.
    Present:    Berry, Katzmann, & Sullivan, JJ.
    Motor Vehicle, Homicide, Operating under the influence, Defect.
    Homicide. Evidence, Expert opinion, Qualification of
    expert witness, Intoxication, Third-party culprit.
    Witness, Expert. Intoxication.
    Indictments found and returned in the Superior Court
    Department on February 18, 2011.
    The cases were tried before Daniel A. Ford, J.
    Susan E. Taylor for the defendant.
    John P. Bossé, Assistant District Attorney, for the
    Commonwealth.
    SULLIVAN, J.        Douglas F. Guinan appeals from convictions of
    motor vehicle homicide while under the influence of alcohol; and
    operating a motor vehicle while under the influence of alcohol,
    causing serious bodily injury.         See G. L. c. 90, § 24G(a); G. L.
    2
    c. 90, § 24L(1).   He contends that the trial judge abused his
    discretion in admitting, over objection, expert testimony ruling
    out the computer-assisted power steering mechanism of the
    defendant's automobile as a cause of the collision.     We conclude
    that the State trooper who offered this opinion lacked the
    qualifications to testify regarding the computer system employed
    in the operation of the motorized power steering mechanism.
    Because the issue of causation was a central issue at trial, the
    error was prejudicial.    Accordingly, we reverse.
    Background.    1.    The collision.   On October 23, 2010, while
    traveling north on South Street in Pittsfield, a 2011 Hyundai
    Sonata operated by the defendant crossed the center line and
    struck an oncoming Ford Focus, killing the passenger, Michael
    Ashline, and seriously injuring the driver, Nicole Rudd.      The
    crash occurred at approximately 5:00 P.M.     The weather and road
    conditions were dry, and the percipient and expert witnesses
    agreed that the defendant's car was going at the speed of
    traffic and within the speed limit.
    Five witnesses who were traveling on South Street at the
    time of the collision testified that they observed nothing
    unusual before the defendant's car suddenly swerved left and
    crossed the center line.    Two other witnesses testified that the
    car veered to the right once, then a second time, striking the
    curb and causing rubber to peel off the passenger's side tire.
    3
    The car then veered to the left and into oncoming traffic.     The
    Commonwealth's accident reconstruction experts did not, however,
    observe any damage to or marks on the tires or the whitewalls
    consistent with hitting a curb (or anything else) before the
    crash.
    There were five cans of beer in the car -- one open twelve-
    ounce "Bud Light" beer can with liquid on the lip found on the
    floor of the front passenger's side, and four unopened twelve-
    ounce "Bud Light" beer cans on the back seat and floor.      The
    paramedic and the police officer at the scene detected an odor
    of alcohol coming from the defendant.   The defendant's whole
    blood alcohol concentration was .06 percent; the judge
    instructed the jury that impairment could not be inferred from
    that blood alcohol concentration alone, and that they must look
    at all of the evidence in the case.
    The defendant was prescribed Vicodin for pain on September
    21, 2010, and was scheduled for gall bladder surgery in November
    of 2010.   At the time of the collision, one month after
    receiving the prescription, he had taken six of the fifteen
    pills prescribed.   Blood tests showed the presence of 1.4
    micrograms of hydrocodone, the analgesic pain reliever found in
    Vicodin, per deciliter of blood.   Both alcohol and hydrocodone
    are central nervous system depressants.   According to the
    emergency department trauma unit surgeon who treated the
    4
    defendant, hydrocodone and alcohol in combination increase the
    effect of one another.
    The surgeon treated the defendant for alcohol withdrawal
    because the defendant, unconscious on admission, appeared
    disoriented and agitated when he regained consciousness.    Six
    days later, the defendant had a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)
    examination.   He then was seen by a neurologist who determined
    that the defendant suffered from diffuse axonal injury, a
    traumatic brain injury otherwise known as "brain sheer."    The
    neurologist and the surgeon testified that the symptoms of brain
    sheer are the same as those of alcohol withdrawal, i.e.,
    agitation and disorientation, and that brain sheer also causes
    short-term memory loss.   Both physicians agreed that the brain
    sheer could not have been diagnosed upon admission, and that it
    was not evident until the MRI was conducted several days later,
    after the defendant's condition had stabilized.   There was no
    testimony concerning long-term alcohol abuse or dependency.
    The defendant testified at trial, stating he had no memory
    of the collision or of most of the events leading up to it.       He
    did recall working with his wife Cheryl to close up their lake
    house on the day of the crash.   The defendant could not recall
    whether he had taken Vicodin or had drunk beer that day.    Cheryl
    testified that she left the lake house at 3:30 P.M., and had not
    observed the defendant drink alcohol or take Vicodin while they
    5
    were together.    She saw him drive past her at approximately 4:00
    P.M.    She confirmed that, since the collision, the defendant has
    suffered from short-term memory loss, and has had issues with
    his speech and his judgment.
    2.   The recall notice.   After the collision, Cheryl
    received a notice of recall from Hyundai Motor America
    (Hyundai), which stated that 2011 Hyundai Sonata vehicles "may
    have improperly assembled or loose steering column intermediate
    shaft universal joint connections," a defect that, if
    uncorrected, "would" cause the driver to "lose the ability to
    steer the front wheels," and "may increase the risk of a vehicle
    crash."     The recall notice also stated that a Hyundai dealer
    "will update the power steering software to ensure that steering
    wheel vibration or shaking will not occur as a result of a motor
    driven power steering malfunction."      The recall notice further
    stated that "manual steering is still operative," and a warning
    light "will illuminate indicating that the power steering is not
    operating properly."     Cheryl brought the recall notice to the
    Pittsfield police.
    3.   Expert testimony.    The role of the power steering in
    the collision was contested at trial.       State Trooper Michael
    George testified as an expert for the Commonwealth.       Trooper
    George attended vocational high school, and worked as an
    automobile mechanic and a tow truck driver before becoming a
    6
    dispatcher for the North Attleborough police department.      After
    joining the State police, Trooper George received extensive
    training and experience as an accident reconstruction
    specialist.
    There was no objection to the trooper's testimony as a
    mechanical expert or as an accident reconstruction expert.        The
    trooper conducted the mechanical inspection outlined in the
    recall notice and the accompanying technical service bulletin.1
    He opined that there was no mechanical failure in the steering
    mechanism, and that the steering system was "properly
    installed."
    There was objection, however, to the trooper's testimony
    regarding the computer system and the software update.      The
    Hyundai Sonata was powered by a computer-assisted, motor-driven
    power steering mechanism, not a mechanically operated hydraulic
    power steering mechanism.   Because the recall notice was
    received after the collision, the software update had not been
    performed.    The defendant objected to the testimony of Trooper
    George regarding the computer system on the ground that George
    had no "foundation for his knowledge" of the system or the
    software.    The judge overruled the objection, but directed the
    1
    The inspection was observed by defense counsel and various
    experts for Hyundai and the parties to pending personal injury
    actions.
    7
    prosecutor to lay additional foundation in the presence of the
    jury.
    While the trooper had a background in automobile mechanics,
    he did not testify to any training or experience in computer
    science, computer software, or computer systems.2   He had
    "inspected," but not "worked on" the type of computer-assisted
    motorized steering system described in the recall notice.    He
    did not examine the software or the computer program, and did
    not observe the process for updating the software on any other
    vehicle.   He did not display any specific knowledge of how the
    software program in the recall notice actually worked.     The
    trooper testified that he had conversations with Hyundai
    mechanics and had read articles, manuals, and online resources,
    including interviews with engineers in peer-reviewed journals,
    concerning the motorized power steering system.3
    2
    George was an "Automobile Master Technician," certified by
    the National Institute for Automotive Excellence, an
    organization he described as "a nationally recognized certifying
    body where you have to pass a test on engine performance,
    transmissions, brakes, [and] electrical systems."
    3
    Prosecutor: "Have you ever worked on cars or worked on
    motor driven power steering in your life?"
    George: "I've never directly worked on them but I have
    inspected them. And in this case, to help lay the foundation, I
    went to two separate Hyundai dealers before this trial and spoke
    with the service managers and shop foreman of both dealerships.
    I got information from them on how the system works, directly
    from them. I did research online as far as how the electric
    power steering system works. There are interviews with
    8
    Over renewed objection, the trooper then testified at
    length regarding the computer software and the relationship
    between the motorized power steering and the computer system.
    He stated that the motorized power steering provided additional
    assistance to the steering mechanism, but could not "take over"
    the car.4   He further testified that, based on his discussions
    with the mechanics and his research, "the system is built with
    numerous fail-safes.    As long as your hand is on the wheel you
    can control the car."    He stated that the mechanical system
    always remained available to steer the car, and that sensors in
    the computer system would "shut down a system if there are any
    malfunctions."   The trooper ruled out the motor-driven power
    steering as a cause of the crash.
    On cross-examination, however, the trooper acknowledged
    that this description was based on what happened when the
    computer system was operating properly.   He stated that the
    computer program linked to the motor changes the amount of
    assistance given to, and torque on, the steering column based on
    engineers that developed these systems that talk about the fail-
    safe issues with them and how they prevent anything from going
    wrong, what happens if something does go wrong. There [is] a
    lot of published information out there from known peer-reviewed
    sources that I reviewed leading up to this trial."
    4
    Prosecutor: "Let me ask you this: Does the motor-driven
    power steering system have the ability to take over control and
    steer the car?"
    George:   "No."
    9
    the speed of the car.   He agreed that the motor may react very
    quickly and may move with a lot of force when it is directed to
    do so by the computer program, which controls both amperage and
    voltage.   He also testified that similar motor-driven systems in
    other cars can be programmed to provide "park assist," that is,
    parking of the car without any assistance by the driver or
    manual operation of the steering column.   He reiterated,
    however, that this car did not have park assist, and that the
    safety features in this vehicle's computer program would turn
    the system off if there were an unusual event.
    It also emerged during Trooper George's testimony that
    although he inspected the mechanical components of the car in
    the first inspection, there was a second inspection where
    various people representing the parties in the pending civil and
    criminal litigation were present, and representatives of Hyundai
    ran a series of computerized diagnostic tests of components of
    the car.   On cross-examination Trooper George acknowledged that
    he had not seen these software programs before and was unaware
    of the results.   He did not make an effort to determine if there
    was an event data recorder in the vehicle, and did not inquire
    of Hyundai.5   On redirect, he continued to opine that the motor-
    5
    The Pittsfield police were unable to obtain data from the
    car's event data recorder because Hyundai would not permit
    access to the proprietary software necessary to read the event
    data recorder. The record does not disclose exactly who
    10
    driven power steering played no role in the collision.6
    Discussion.    1.   Expert testimony.   A judge "has broad
    discretion regarding the admission of expert testimony"; we
    review that decision only for an "abuse of discretion."
    Commonwealth v. Robinson, 
    449 Mass. 1
    , 5 (2007).      "'The crucial
    issue,' in determining whether a witness is qualified to give an
    expert opinion, 'is whether the witness has sufficient
    "education, training, experience and familiarity" with the
    subject matter of the testimony.'"    Commonwealth v. Richardson,
    
    423 Mass. 180
    , 183 (1996), quoting from McLaughlin v. Selectmen
    of Amherst, 
    422 Mass. 359
    , 361-362 (1996).      See Mass. G. Evid.
    § 702 (2014).    Testimony "'on matters within the witness's field
    of expertise is admissible' when the testimony concerns matters
    beyond the common knowledge of the jurors and will aid the
    jurors in reaching a decision (emphasis supplied). . . .
    Consequently, a judge's discretion can be abused when an expert
    initiated or was present at the second inspection, whether
    Hyundai proprietary software was used in the second inspection,
    or whether an event data recorder was examined. Defense counsel
    represented to the judge during the hearing on motions in limine
    that Hyundai declined to provide the defendant with the codes
    necessary to permit his expert to examine the software.
    6
    Prosecutor: "Was there anything that you could observe
    about the car, the motor-driven power steering system, that the
    failure of that or malfunction in that could have contributed to
    the crash that occurred as you described it?"
    George:    "No."
    11
    witness is permitted to testify to matters beyond an area of
    expertise or competence."   Commonwealth v. Frangipane, 
    433 Mass. 527
    , 533 (2001).
    Trooper George had no training or experience in electronic
    power steering, or in the computer software and sensors that
    control it.   He had no background in computer science or
    software engineering.    While George was qualified to opine as to
    the mechanical integrity of the car, and to evaluate the forces
    interacting in a collision as an accident reconstruction expert,
    he was not qualified to opine regarding the electronic software
    update and the operation of the computer-assisted, motor-driven
    power steering system.    The witness exceeded the scope of his
    expertise.    See 
    ibid.
     (expert permitted to testify to
    dissociative memory loss in child sex abuse victims, but should
    not have been permitted to testify to neurological processes
    underlying traumatic memory loss).    See also Guinan v. Boston
    Elev. Ry., 
    267 Mass. 526
    , 528 (1929) (expert who did not have
    knowledge of chemical properties, composition, and
    inflammability of motion picture film was not qualified to
    testify to cause of flash fire).
    We are "particularly concerned" that George's "ultimate
    conclusion" as to the cause of the collision "was based on
    information that we rely on experts to interpret and which
    [George] did not have the qualifications to evaluate."      Peterson
    12
    v. Foley, 
    77 Mass. App. Ct. 348
    , 352 (2010) (police officer not
    qualified to give expert opinion on speed as cause of motor
    vehicle crash where he lacked expertise in accident
    reconstruction).    George's lack of familiarity with the software
    programs at issue was brought into stark relief by his
    testimony, in which he described the recall notice's proposed
    repair to the power steering software simply as "basically
    hitting update."7
    In the absence of relevant training or experience, the
    witness was not able to bring independent judgment to bear on
    the information provided by the sources he consulted.     It was
    for the expert to evaluate whether "the concerns that prompted
    the recall were [accurately] . . . set forth in the recall"
    notice, the technical service bulletins, and the online
    resources.   Santos v. Chrysler Corp., 
    430 Mass. 198
    , 208 (1999).
    In view of the fact that the trooper also failed to ascertain
    the results of the other diagnostic tests performed in the
    second inspection, and had no knowledge of or familiarity with
    the software programs at issue, his opinion was at best, adopted
    7
    George previously had testified on direct examination,
    "There was nothing that could be done. It was just a matter of
    the technician plugging in the computer and sending a different
    software program to the module that controls the motor-driven
    power steering."
    13
    hearsay, and at worst, "merely an opinion, ipse dixit."
    Peterson v. Foley, supra at 354.8
    The Commonwealth urges us to treat this as a case involving
    a subspecialty of discrete knowledge to which the trooper, as a
    generalist, was permitted to testify.   See Commonwealth v.
    Mahoney, 
    406 Mass. 843
    , 852-853 (1990).   "A witness's training
    and experience may well qualify him to give an opinion in
    reference to a problem which he has never before encountered in
    precisely the same form."   Commonwealth v. Bellino, 
    320 Mass. 635
    , 638 (1947).   See Commonwealth v. Mahoney, 
    supra;
    Commonwealth v. Gomes, 
    459 Mass. 194
    , 205-206 (2011).     For
    example, in Bollmeier v. Ford Motor Co., 
    130 Ill. App. 2d 844
    ,
    848-849 (1970), a master mechanic with extensive experience in
    the hydraulic steering mechanisms found in heavy equipment,
    trucks, tractors, and cars was permitted to testify to the
    failure of the hydraulic steering mechanism in a Ford
    Thunderbird, even though he never had worked on a Ford.     The
    experts in that case agreed that hydraulic steering mechanisms
    8
    This case stands in stark comparison to those in which an
    expert with knowledge of and experience in the subject matter of
    his testimony consults with others in formulating an opinion.
    For example, in Commonwealth v. Pope, 
    19 Mass. App. Ct. 627
    , 628
    (1985), a witness with significant training and experience in
    the gaming industry consulted with a retired law enforcement
    official concerning the analysis of gaming slips. The expert
    noted areas of agreement and disagreement based on his own
    considerable training and experience, and was found to have
    ultimately exercised independent judgment. Id. at 629.
    14
    were substantially the same in all types of vehicles.     Id. at
    849.
    This case, by contrast, involves far more than a variation
    in form.   There is no evidence in the record that any portion of
    George's general training as a mechanic equipped him to evaluate
    the ability of a computer software program to direct a motor to
    move the steering mechanism, or to determine whether defects
    might exist in the computer system or in the software program.
    See Commonwealth v. Frangipane, 433 Mass. at 533.9   George lacked
    the knowledge and the expertise (whether as a generalist or as a
    specialist) to understand and to evaluate the efficacy of the
    computer system or its software.   See, e.g., Articulate Sys.,
    Inc. v. Apple Computer, Inc., 
    66 F. Supp. 2d 105
    , 108-109 (D.
    Mass. 1999) (witness without computer science degree or
    programming experience lacked necessary qualifications to
    9
    See, e.g., Watson v. Ford Motor Co., 
    389 S.C. 434
    , 450-451
    (2010) (error to admit expert testimony of software developer
    regarding cause of crash where expert had no experience with
    cruise control systems). See also Olson v. Ford Motor Co., 
    411 F. Supp. 2d 1137
    , 1143-1144 (D. N.D. 2006) (accident
    reconstruction expert unqualified to offer opinion as to design
    defects in vehicle); Azzano v. O'Malley-Clements, 
    126 Ohio App. 3d 368
    , 376 (1998) (accident reconstruction expert not qualified
    to offer opinion as to likelihood of bodily symptoms resulting
    from collision). Cf. Cansler v. Mills, 
    765 N.E.2d 698
    , 703-704
    (Ind. App. 2002), overruled on other grounds by Schultz v. Ford
    Motor Co., 
    857 N.E.2d 977
     (Ind. App. 2006) (expert testimony of
    mechanic as to deployment of air bags properly excluded where
    mechanic had no training or experience in air bag systems);
    Kitchens v. McKay, 
    38 Ohio App. 3d 165
    , 169 (1987) (witness who
    lacked education or experience in design defects of forward-
    control vehicles barred from testifying as expert).
    15
    testify in patent action); Sennett v. State, 
    406 S.W.3d 661
    , 668
    (Tex. App. 2013) (witness's credentials insufficient to support
    qualification as forensic computer expert).10
    The claim of error was preserved.    The issues at trial were
    impairment and causation.   The improperly admitted evidence was
    extensive and detailed.   If believed, it foreclosed any argument
    that the collision was caused by the computer-assisted, motor-
    driven power steering.    Because Trooper George was qualified in
    the presence of the jury, inadmissible hearsay regarding his
    conversations with Hyundai mechanics, and the opinions of
    Hyundai engineers, "about the fail-safe issues with the [power
    steering system] and how they prevent anything from going
    wrong," was heard by the jury during the direct examination of
    the witness.   See Commonwealth v. Greineder, 
    464 Mass. 580
    , 601-
    602, cert. denied, 
    134 S. Ct. 166
     (2013) (precluding testimony
    on direct examination about hearsay underlying expert opinion).11
    10
    Put another way, the Commonwealth's suggestion that
    George's research and consultations rendered him an expert in
    the area of motor vehicle software programs "ignore[s] the
    conceptual distinction between an expert's qualifications and
    the reliability of his proffered opinion." Folsom v. Kawasaki
    Motors Corp. U.S.A., 
    509 F. Supp. 2d 1364
    , 1377 (M.D. Ga. 2007),
    quoting from Quiet Technology DC-8, Inc. v. Hurel-Dubois UK
    Ltd., 
    326 F.3d 1333
    , 1342 (11th Cir. 2003). The former turns on
    familiarity with the field, the latter focuses on the bases of
    the opinion. 
    Ibid.
    11
    In addition, "Such an offer and finding by the [c]ourt
    might influence the jury in [their] evaluation of the expert and
    the better procedure is to avoid an acknowledgement of the
    16
    Finally, the prosecutor forcefully and repeatedly argued in
    closing argument that the trooper's testimony regarding
    causation put to rest any suggestion that the issues identified
    in the recall notice played a role in the crash.12   Because the
    testimony went to the heart of the defense that the collision
    may have been caused by a malfunction of the computer-assisted
    power steering system, it cannot be said that the error in
    admitting the testimony "did not influence the jury, or had but
    very slight effect."   Commonwealth v. Frangipane, 433 Mass. at
    537, quoting from Commonwealth v. Flebotte, 
    417 Mass. 348
    , 353
    (1994).
    The Commonwealth submits that the evidence of impairment
    was overwhelming, and that no prejudice may be found.     We
    disagree.   The evidence as to impairment was inferential and
    conflicting.   The blood alcohol concentration was .06 percent.
    The judge told the jury that they could not, from those results,
    "draw any inference either way as to whether or not the
    defendant was under the influence of alcohol," and that they
    witness['s] expertise by the [c]ourt." Commonwealth v.
    Frangipane, 433 Mass. at 530 n.4. For this reason, the Supreme
    Judicial Court has strongly urged that expert qualification be
    undertaken outside the hearing of the jury. Ibid. In this
    case, no motion in limine was filed and the challenge to the
    expert's qualifications arose during trial.
    12
    "They cannot take over the steering of your car. . . .
    They cannot force your vehicle into oncoming traffic. That was
    his expert opinion. . . . [H]e told you that there is no way it
    could happen. It's impossible."
    17
    must "look to all the evidence in the case."    The jury were
    asked to conclude that the defendant had consumed two beers
    between 3:30 P.M. and 5:00 P.M., and had taken one or more of
    the Vicodin pills that day.    The jury could have so found, but
    the circumstantial evidence was far from overwhelming, given the
    medical testimony that his postaccident behavior also could be
    attributed to brain sheer.    The prejudice associated with the
    admission of improper expert testimony was significant.
    The Commonwealth also maintains that the defendant should
    not have been permitted to argue that the collision was
    attributable to the power steering mechanism because the
    defendant was unable to testify to what occurred at the time of
    the crash.   Just as the Commonwealth sought to convince the jury
    that the precipitous turn into oncoming traffic was the product
    of impairment, the defendant was entitled to argue from the
    evidence that the assessment of the steering mechanism was
    incomplete, and that the software defect identified in the
    recall notice caused the crash.    The fact that "certain tests
    were not conducted or certain police procedures not followed
    . . . could raise a reasonable doubt as to the defendant's guilt
    in the minds of the jurors."    Commonwealth v. Lao, 
    460 Mass. 12
    ,
    23 (2011), quoting from Commonwealth v. Bowden, 
    379 Mass. 472
    ,
    18
    486 (1980).13       See Commonwealth v. Silva-Santiago, 
    453 Mass. 782
    ,
    801-804 (2009).
    2.   Similar circumstances.    In view of our disposition, we
    address only those issues likely to recur in the event of a
    retrial.14    The defendant maintains that it was error to exclude
    the testimony of Tara Winter, who testified in a voir dire
    hearing that, while driving her 2011 Hyundai Sonata, the car
    took a sudden turn to the left that she initially was unable to
    control.     The defendant contends that the testimony was relevant
    to show that a third-party culprit, to wit, his car, was
    responsible for the collision.       See Commonwealth v. Hoose, 
    467 Mass. 395
    , 410 (2014).
    "Trial judges are permitted broad discretion in determining
    whether to exclude evidence that a third party committed the
    crime."     
    Ibid.
        The parties have not submitted, and we have not
    found, a case in which the alleged third-party culprit was a
    car.    Rather, the cases focus on the issue of causation.     See,
    e.g., Williams v. State, 
    165 Ga. App. 831
    , 832 (1983)
    13
    The Commonwealth recognized its obligation at trial,
    telling the jury in its opening statement, "Now, during the
    investigation of a case like this, the police have a
    responsibility to examine all of the evidence and pursue all of
    the leads."
    14
    We do not address the defendant's argument that the
    admission of the hearsay basis of Trooper George's opinion
    violated Crawford v. Washington, 
    541 U.S. 36
    , 57 (2004), and
    created a substantial risk of miscarriage of justice.
    19
    (mechanical defect in car presented questions of accident and
    causation in motor vehicle homicide case).    Nor have we
    confronted the question whether evidence of similar
    circumstances, e.g., other accidents, is admissible in a
    criminal case.15   We need not decide whether these doctrines
    apply, however, because even if they did, we conclude, as did
    the trial judge, that the evidence was too speculative to
    warrant admission.
    Because the right to raise a third-party culprit defense is
    one "of constitutional dimension, we review the judge's ruling
    independently."    Commonwealth v. Hoose, supra.   Both lines of
    cases are concerned with the danger of speculative evidence.
    With respect to third-party culprit evidence, nonhearsay is
    admissible if it has "a rational tendency to prove the issue the
    15
    The defendant sought admission of evidence of similar
    circumstances for substantive purposes based on a third-party
    culprit defense, as opposed to a Bowden defense. See
    Commonwealth v. Silva-Santiago, supra (discussing distinctions
    between third-party culprit defense and Bowden defense). In a
    civil case, where the burden of proof is on the plaintiff, the
    plaintiff first must produce evidence of a defect before
    evidence of other accidents may be admitted for corroboration or
    to refute evidence that the car is safe. See Carey v. General
    Motors Corp., 
    377 Mass. 736
    , 744 (1979); Santos v. Chrysler
    Corp., 430 Mass. at 204-205. The Santos formulation does not
    apply seamlessly in criminal cases, where the Commonwealth bears
    the burden of proof and the defendant has a right to argue that
    the burden has not been met. Given our conclusion, however, we
    need not decide whether expert testimony regarding the existence
    of a defect is a predicate to the admission of evidence of other
    accidents in the context of a third-party culprit defense.
    Compare Santos v. Chrysler Corp., supra. See generally Kaitz v.
    Foreign Motors, Inc., 
    25 Mass. App. Ct. 198
    , 201 (1987).
    20
    defense raises, and it is not 'too remote or speculative.'"
    Ibid., quoting from Commonwealth v. Bizanowicz, 
    459 Mass. 400
    ,
    418 (2011).   In a civil proceeding, evidence of other accidents
    is admissible "if the judge first determines that the jury could
    find a substantial similarity in circumstances."     Santos v.
    Chrysler Corp., 430 Mass. at 202.     This type of evidence is open
    to objection, however, because of the danger of unfairness,
    confusion, and speculation.   Ibid.
    Here, Winter testified on voir dire that a salesperson at a
    Hyundai dealership told her that a bolt had broken on the car's
    steering column, and that the dealership took the car back.      In
    this case, the Commonwealth had introduced expert testimony to
    show that there was no mechanical defect in the defendant's car.
    Although the defendant's offer of proof was that Winter's car
    had the mechanical defect described in the recall notice, this
    defect was not found in the defendant's car.16    There was,
    therefore, a marked difference in the condition of the steering
    systems in the two cars, and any link between the two cars was
    purely speculative.   The defendant failed to demonstrate a
    substantial similarity between his and Winter's vehicles.      The
    exclusion of evidence concerning Winter's car was not in error.
    16
    The fact of the recall did not prove the existence of a
    defect in either car, but the recall notice placed the
    Commonwealth on notice of a possible defect. See Santos v.
    Chrysler Corp., supra at 207.
    21
    Furthermore, the judge did not preclude the third-party
    culprit defense.    The recall notice was admitted in evidence and
    the defendant argued to the jury that the car was the cause of
    the collision.     The judge did not abuse his discretion in
    excluding Winter's testimony on the basis of the record before
    him.    See Commonwealth v. Hoose, supra.
    Judgments reversed.
    Verdicts set aside.