Township of Manalapan v. Anthony Gentile (083137)(Monmouth County & Statewide) ( 2020 )


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  •                                        SYLLABUS
    This syllabus is not part of the Court’s opinion. It has been prepared by the Office of the
    Clerk for the convenience of the reader. It has been neither reviewed nor approved by the
    Court. In the interest of brevity, portions of an opinion may not have been summarized.
    Township of Manalapan v. Anthony Gentile (A-14-19) (083137)
    Argued February 4, 2020 -- Decided June 2, 2020
    SOLOMON, J., writing for the Court.
    The Township of Manalapan challenges the condemnation award in favor of
    defendants entered after a jury trial. The issue is whether it was error to admit testimony
    that the condemned property’s highest and best use would require a variance without first
    determining whether there is a reasonable probability the variance would be granted.
    Defendants’ property was in an area zoned as R20 (residential) until 2002, when
    the Township rezoned it to RE (residential environmental). The R20 zone allows for
    single family dwellings on half-acre lots, whereas the RE zone provides for single family
    dwellings on lots of no fewer than three acres. Therefore, undivided land in an R20 zone
    would have a greater fair market value than the same land in an RE zone.
    At trial, the Township’s expert explained that, in arriving at his estimate of $2.83
    million, he assumed the continued application of RE zoning and evaluated the property
    by reference to the sale price of similar properties. He acknowledged, however, that
    unlike the subject property, those he compared did not have sanitary sewer or municipal
    water systems. By contrast, defendants’ expert planner opined, over the Township’s
    objection, that the highest and best use of the subject property would be to divide it into
    smaller lots, as would be permitted in an R20 zone. He explained that such use of the
    property would yield “up to six times the density” under the current RE zoning but that
    “the Township committee would have to agree to change the zone.” Importantly, he did
    not offer any opinion about the value of the property as is or if a variance were granted,
    or even about the probability that such a variance would be granted. Indeed, in ruling on
    the Township’s objection to his testimony, the court cautioned defendants’ expert not to
    “opin[e] on possibilities or likelihoods or odds or procedures about getting variances.”
    The Township moved for judgment at the close of evidence. The court granted the
    motion in part, ordering defense counsel not to argue in closing that, when calculating the
    property’s value, the jury could assume a variance will be granted. But the court allowed
    the question of fair market value to go to the jury. During closing, defense counsel
    reminded the jurors that the subject property is surrounded by an R20 zone and
    repeatedly referenced the possibility of rezoning.
    1
    The court instructed the jurors to decide the market value of the property using the
    expert opinions if they “find those opinions helpful.” The judge instructed that if the
    jurors were to reject all expert testimony, then they could “come up with another figure
    for the fair market value of the property,” so long as that figure is based on the evidence
    presented. The jury returned a unanimous verdict awarding defendants $4.5 million.
    The Township filed post-trial motions claiming that the Court’s decision in
    Borough of Saddle River v. 66 East Allendale, LLC, 
    216 N.J. 115
    (2013), required the
    trial court to conduct an N.J.R.E. 104 hearing as to the reasonable probability of a
    variance before admitting any testimony by defendants’ expert that the subject property’s
    highest and best use would require R20 zoning. The trial court denied those motions, and
    the Appellate Division affirmed. The Court granted certification, “limited to the issue of
    whether the Appellate Division erred in concluding that a plenary hearing regarding the
    ‘reasonable probability’ of a zoning change was not required before the commencement
    of trial.” 
    239 N.J. 495
    (2019).
    HELD: As the Court explained in Borough of Saddle River v. 66 East Allendale, LLC,
    evidence that risks misleading the jury into assuming a zoning variance for purposes of
    calculating a property’s value must not be admitted absent a judicial finding it is
    reasonably probable that the variance will be obtained. 
    216 N.J. 115
    , 142 (2013).
    Therefore, the trial court erred by allowing the jury to consider testimony that the highest
    and best use of the subject property would require a variance without first confirming the
    probability of securing that variance.
    1. A municipality has the authority to take private property for a public use provided that
    just compensation is paid to the property owner. Just compensation is the fair market
    value of the property as of the date of taking. The fair market value generally considers
    “the property’s highest and best use.” To constitute the ‘highest and best use,’ a use must
    be ‘1) legally permissible, 2) physically possible, 3) financially feasible, and 4)
    maximally productive. (pp. 10-11)
    2. Whether potential zoning changes might be considered in determining a property’s
    best use or whether such consideration would run afoul of the “legally permissible”
    requirement was addressed in Commissioner of Transportation v. Caoili, where the Court
    held that “the jury may consider a potential zoning change affecting the use of the
    property provided the court is satisfied that the evidence is sufficient to warrant a
    determination that such a change is reasonably probable.” 
    135 N.J. 252
    , 265 (1994)
    (emphasis added). (pp. 11-12)
    3. In 66 East Allendale, the Court applied those principles in the context of a purported
    highest and best use that could be achieved only if a variance were granted and held that,
    “only when the trial court has first determined that the evidence is of a quality to allow
    the jury to consider the probability of a zoning change should the jury be permitted to
    2
    assess a premium based on that zoning change . . . . The gatekeeping function was
    assigned to the judge specifically to screen the jury from hearing mere 
    speculation.” 216 N.J. at 142
    . From 66 East Allendale derives the following overarching approach to
    predicating highest and best use analyses on not-yet obtained zoning variances. A use
    that does not conform to current zoning is not legally permissible and so cannot be a
    property’s highest and best use. See
    id. at 137.
    However, while a property’s highest and
    best use “is ordinarily evaluated in accordance with current zoning ordinances[,] [c]ertain
    circumstances may permit valuation to include an assessment of a change in the
    permitted use of a property, but only if there is a reasonable probability that a zoning
    change would be granted.”
    Id. at 119.
    That substantive determination of probability
    must account for “the standard that would govern the particular zoning change under
    consideration.”
    Id. at 143.
    In making that determination, the trial court must examine the
    parties’ evidence as to the probability of the zoning change to “determine whether [the
    court] can render its required determination based on the papers.”
    Ibid. If that determination
    cannot be made on the written submissions alone, the court shall conduct a
    pretrial Rule 104 hearing to resolve the issue.
    Id. at 142-43.
    (pp. 12-16)
    4. The question presented in this case was answered in 66 East Allendale. The trial court
    here neglected its role as gatekeeper by letting the jury consider evidence about a
    variance without following the procedures and standards laid out in 66 East Allendale.
    Because there was no finding that a variance from RE to R20 would likely be granted, the
    jury should not have been permitted to evaluate the property on any basis other than its
    highest and best use “in accordance with current zoning ordinances.” See
    id. at 119
    (emphasis added). Given the state of the evidence in this case, a Rule 104 hearing would
    have been necessary to make a finding as to the likelihood of obtaining the variance, but
    the trial court never held that hearing or made that finding. The result was that “the
    quality of the evidence that the jury was allowed to consider undermined the soundness
    of the jury’s property valuation.”
    Ibid. Given that the
    only opinion put before the jury as
    to the value of the property was that of plaintiff’s expert appraiser, who valued the
    property at $2.83 million based upon RE zoning, the jury’s $4.5 million verdict was a
    manifest miscarriage of justice that shocks the conscience and requires a new trial.
    (pp. 16-18)
    5. On remand, if defendants seek once again to admit testimony of a highest and best use
    that would require a variance, the trial court must conduct a Rule 104 hearing to
    determine whether there exists a reasonable probability that a variance would be granted.
    Only if the court makes that finding may the jury consider, for valuation purposes, uses
    of the subject property that would require a zoning variance. See
    id. at 142.
    REVERSED and REMANDED.
    CHIEF JUSTICE RABNER and JUSTICES LaVECCHIA, ALBIN, PATTERSON,
    FERNANDEZ-VINA, and TIMPONE join in JUSTICE SOLOMON’S opinion.
    3
    SUPREME COURT OF NEW JERSEY
    A-14 September Term 2019
    083137
    Township of Manalapan,
    a Municipal Corporation of the State
    of New Jersey,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v.
    Anthony Gentile, individually and
    as Executor of The Estate of Eugene Gentile,
    Eugene Gentile, and Frank Gentile,
    Administrator of the Estate of Eugene John Gentile,
    Defendants-Respondents.
    On certification to the Superior Court,
    Appellate Division.
    Argued                       Decided
    February 4, 2020               June 2, 2020
    William J. Wolf argued the cause for the appellant
    (Bathgate Wegener & Wolf, attorneys; William J. Wolf,
    Peter H. Wegener, and Ryan S. Malc, on the briefs).
    Lawrence B. Sachs argued the cause for the respondents
    (Lawrence B. Sachs, on the brief).
    JUSTICE SOLOMON delivered the opinion of the Court.
    1
    When a municipality condemns private property for the purpose of
    taking it, the municipality must compensate the owner based upon the fair
    market value of the property, which is generally calculated in terms of what
    the property would be worth if put to its highest and best use. In this case, the
    Township of Manalapan challenges the condemnation award in favor of
    defendants Anthony, Eugene, and Frank Gentile entered after a jury trial. The
    issue is whether it was error to admit testimony that the condemned property’s
    highest and best use would require a variance without first determining
    whether there is a reasonable probability the variance would be granted.
    Briefly stated, the Township presented expert testimony that the subject
    property as currently zoned was valued at $2.83 million. Defendants’ expert
    did not offer any opinion as to the value of the property but testified instead
    that the property’s highest and best use would require it to be subdivided into
    multiple half-acre lots, although the property was in a zone that permitted lots
    of no fewer than three acres. The jury returned a verdict of $4.5 million as
    compensation for the defendants, and the Appellate Division affirmed.
    As we explained in Borough of Saddle River v. 66 East Allendale, LLC,
    evidence that risks misleading the jury into assuming a zoning variance for
    purposes of calculating a property’s value must not be admitted absent a
    judicial finding it is reasonably probable that the variance will be obtained.
    2
    
    216 N.J. 115
    , 142 (2013). We therefore hold that the trial court erred by
    allowing the jury to consider testimony that the highest and best use of the
    subject property would require a variance without first confirming the
    probability of securing that variance. Accordingly, we reverse the judgment of
    the Appellate Division and remand for a new trial.
    I.
    Defendants’ property, a 48.94-acre tract of land, was in an area zoned as
    R20 (residential) until 2002, when the Township rezoned it to RE (residential
    environmental). As relevant here, the difference between those zones is that
    the R20 zone allows for single family dwellings on half-acre lots, whereas the
    RE zone provides for single family dwellings on lots of no fewer than three
    acres. As noted by defense expert Paul Phillips, land in the R20 zone could
    yield “up to six times the density of the [same amount of land in] RE [three-
    acre] zoning.” Therefore, undivided land in an R20 zone would have a greater
    fair market value than the same land in an RE zone.
    After a nearly decade-long dispute between the parties, the details of
    which are not relevant here, the Township commenced condemnation
    3
    proceedings.1 The court appointed condemnation commissioners to hear the
    matter; they issued a report awarding defendants $3.6 million in compensation
    for the taking.2 The Township appealed, and the case went to trial before a
    jury to determine the subject property’s fair market value. The trial record
    reveals admission of the following evidence for consideration by the jury.
    The Township’s expert appraiser, James Stuart, explained that, in
    arriving at his estimate of $2.83 million, he assumed the continued application
    of the current RE zoning (permitting no more than twelve single-family lots on
    the subject property) and evaluated the property by reference to the sale price
    of similar properties. He acknowledged, however, that unlike the subject
    property, the properties he used for comparison did not have sanitary sewer or
    municipal water systems, and that, if the subject property were to yield more
    1
    Defendants subsequently filed a counterclaim alleging inverse
    condemnation, but the court dismissed defendants’ claims before trial and we
    denied defendants’ cross-petition for certification, see 
    239 N.J. 520
    (2019).
    2
    “Upon determination that the condemnor is authorized to and has duly
    exercised its power of eminent domain, the court shall appoint 3
    commissioners to determine the compensation to be paid by reason of the
    exercise of such power.” N.J.S.A. 20:3-12(b). “Within 4 months next
    following their appointment, or within any extended period in accordance with
    the rules, the commissioners, or a majority of them, shall make and file in form
    and content fixed by the rules, an award fixing and determining the
    compensation to be paid by the condemnor.” N.J.S.A. 20:3-12(g); see also R.
    4:73-4. “Any party who has appeared at the hearings of the commissioners,
    either personally or through an attorney, may appeal from the award of the
    commissioners.” N.J.S.A. 20:3-13(a); see also R. 4:73-6.
    4
    than twelve lots, “you’ve got a whole different ball game” in terms of property
    valuation.
    The Township also offered the expert testimony of planner Jennifer
    Beahm, who noted that the subject property is surrounded by an R20 zone and
    that a zoning variance would be necessary to use the subject property in ways
    not otherwise permitted in its current RE zone.
    By contrast, defendants’ expert planner Paul Phillips opined, over the
    Township’s objection, that the highest and best use of the subject property
    would be to divide it into smaller lots, as would be permitted in an R20 zone.
    He explained that such use of the property would yield “up to six times the
    density” than under the current RE zoning, although he noted that, “for R20
    zoning to be on the [subject] property[,] the Township committee would have
    to agree to change the zone.”
    Importantly, Phillips did not offer any opinion about the value of the
    property as is or if a variance were granted, or even about the probability that
    such a variance would be granted. Indeed, in ruling on the Township’s
    objection to his testimony, the court cautioned Phillips not to “opin[e] on
    possibilities or likelihoods or odds or procedures about getting variances.”
    The Township moved for judgment at the close of evidence, noting that
    the only issue in the case was the property’s value and that the only expert
    5
    valuation of the property was Stuart’s estimate of $2.83 million. The court
    granted the motion in part, ordering defense counsel not to argue in closing
    that, when calculating the property’s value, the jury could assume a variance
    will be granted. However, the court also denied the motion in part, holding
    that reasonable minds could differ on the value of the property because Stuart
    conceded that the property could yield more than twelve lots. Accordingly, the
    court allowed the question of fair market value to go to the jury.
    During closing, without expressly inviting the jurors to take a variance
    for granted when evaluating the property, defense counsel reminded them that
    the subject property is surrounded by an R20 zone. He also repeatedly
    referenced the possibility of rezoning the subject property, observing that,
    at least under the current zoning we can get fourteen 3
    lots [on the Gentile property, and that] . . . if anybody
    wanted to do anything with respect to these lots, they
    would have to go [to] the Zoning Board. . . . So that’s
    I think an important consideration for you.
    The court instructed the jurors that they “must decide the market value
    of the [subject] property after comparing and considering all the evidence
    using the expert opinions,” if they “find those opinions helpful.” The judge
    instructed that if, on the other hand, the jurors were to reject all expert
    3
    Defense counsel misspoke: the record demonstrates that the property could
    be divided into only twelve lots under the current RE zoning.
    6
    testimony, then they could “come up with another figure for the fair market
    value of the property,” so long as that figure is based on the evidence
    presented. The jury returned a unanimous verdict awarding defendants $4.5
    million for their condemned property.
    The Township filed post-trial motions for judgment notwithstanding the
    verdict and for a new trial, claiming that our decision in 66 East Allendale
    required the trial court to conduct an N.J.R.E. 104 hearing as to the reasonable
    probability of a variance before admitting any testimony by defendants’ expert
    that the subject property’s highest and best use would require R20 zoning. The
    court denied those motions, and the Township appealed.
    The Appellate Division affirmed, holding in relevant part that the trial
    court “properly exercised its discretion by allowing defendants’ planning
    expert to testify in a limited manner.” The court found that a Rule 104 hearing
    was not necessary under 66 East Allendale because Phillips “did not make any
    speculative comments regarding the likelihood of defendants’ obtaining a
    variance,” having instead opined only that defendants’ property is best suited
    for a use that would require a variance. Relatedly, the court also held there
    was no error in denying the Township’s motions for judgment and for a new
    trial, since some evidentiary basis existed for the jury to deviate from Stuart’s
    estimate of $2.83 million -- Stuart took for granted that the property could be
    7
    divided into no more than twelve lots, and the properties he looked to for
    comparison, unlike the subject property, did not have sanitary sewer or
    municipal water systems.
    We granted the Township’s petition for certification, “limited to the
    issue of whether the Appellate Division erred in concluding that a plenary
    hearing regarding the ‘reasonable probability’ of a zoning change was not
    required before the commencement of trial.” 
    239 N.J. 495
    (2019).
    II.
    The Township argues that by permitting the defense expert to testify that
    the highest and best use would require a variance -- without first holding a
    Rule 104 hearing to determine if there is a reasonable probability the variance
    would be granted -- the trial court admitted testimony likely to mislead the jury
    into calculating the property’s value with an assumption that the variance
    would be granted. The Township concludes that the trial court neglected its
    role as gatekeeper by admitting that evidence without regard for the
    procedures and standards laid out in 66 East Allendale, resulting in a
    groundless $4.5 million verdict that the Township asserts shocks the
    conscience.
    Defendants distinguish this case from 66 East Allendale on the basis
    that, there, testimony about the likelihood of a variance being granted was
    8
    offered but lacked a proper foundation whereas, here, the defense expert
    testified only that the property’s highest and best use would require a variance
    without ever testifying about the probability of securing such a variance.
    Defendants also point out that the jury had reason to doubt the credibility of
    Stuart’s valuation of the property at $2.83 million because Stuart
    acknowledged that, when calculating that number, he compared the property to
    others that lacked sanitary sewer or municipal water systems and took for
    granted that the subject property would be divided into no more than twelve
    lots. Thus, defendants assert there is no need to assume that in reaching its
    verdict the jury improperly relied on testimony about the variance.
    III.
    “The standard of review on appeal from decisions on motions for a new
    trial is the same as that governing the trial judge.” Risko v. Thompson Muller
    Auto. Grp., Inc., 
    206 N.J. 506
    , 522 (2011). Thus, to determine whether the
    Township is entitled to a new trial based on the record before us, we consider
    whether denying a new trial “would result in a miscarriage of justice shocking
    to the conscience of the court.”
    Id. at 521
    (quoting Kulbacki v. Sobchinsky,
    
    38 N.J. 435
    , 456 (1962)); see also R. 4:49-1(a) (“The trial judge shall grant the
    motion if, having given due regard to the opportunity of the jury to pass upon
    9
    the credibility of the witnesses, it clearly and convincingly appears that there
    was a miscarriage of justice under the law.”).
    We therefore must determine whether allowing the jury to consider
    evidence that the property’s highest and best use under R20 zoning could yield
    “up to six times the density” under the current RE zoning, without first
    determining whether there was a reasonable probability that the property
    would be rezoned, resulted in a miscarriage of justice. We do so by
    considering the applicable constitutional and statutory provisions, as well as
    our jurisprudence.
    A.
    A municipality, like the Township here, has the authority to take private
    property for a public use provided that just compensation is paid to the
    property owner. See U.S. Const. amend. V (“[N]or shall private property be
    taken for public use, without just compensation.”); accord N.J. Const. art. I, ¶
    20; N.J.S.A. 20:3-29 (a section of New Jersey’s Eminent Domain Act, N.J.S.A.
    20:3-1 to -50, providing that a “condemnee shall be entitled to compensation
    for the property, and damages, if any, to any remaining property, together with
    such additional compensation as provided for herein, or as may be fixed
    according to law”).
    10
    “Just compensation is ‘the fair market value of the property as of the
    date of taking . . . .’” Comm’r of Transp. v. Caoili, 
    135 N.J. 252
    , 260 (1994)
    (quoting Comm’r of Transp. v. Silver, 
    92 N.J. 507
    , 513 (1983)). The fair
    market value generally considers “the property’s highest and best use,” ibid.,
    which can be described as “the use that at the time of the appraisal is the most
    profitable, likely use” or, in the alternative, “the available use and program of
    future utilization that produces the highest present land value,” so long as that
    use has “a probability of achievement,” Hous. Auth. of New Brunswick v.
    Suydam Inv’rs, L.L.C., 
    177 N.J. 2
    , 20 (2003) (quoting County of Monmouth v.
    Hilton, 
    334 N.J. Super. 582
    , 587 (App. Div. 2000)). “To constitute the
    ‘highest and best use,’ a use must be ‘1) legally permissible, 2) physically
    possible, 3) financially feasible, and 4) maximally productive.’”
    Ibid. (quoting Hilton, 334
    N.J. Super. at 588).
    Whether potential zoning changes might be considered in determining a
    property’s best use or whether such consideration would run afoul of the
    “legally permissible” requirement is a question this Court addressed in Caoili.
    There we held,
    consistent with our decision in Gorga, that in
    determining the fair market value of condemned
    property as a basis for just compensation, the jury may
    consider a potential zoning change affecting the use of
    the property provided the court is satisfied that the
    11
    evidence is sufficient to warrant a determination that
    such a change is reasonably probable. If evidence
    meets that level of proof, it may be considered in fixing
    just compensation in light of the weight and effect that
    reasonable buyers and sellers would give to such
    evidence in their determination of the fair market value
    of the property.
    [135 N.J. at 265 (emphasis added) (relying on State
    Highway Comm’r v. Gorga, 
    26 N.J. 113
    (1958)).]
    In 66 East Allendale, this Court applied those principles in the context of
    a purported highest and best use that could be achieved only if a variance were
    granted. In that case, the defendant and the Borough of Saddle River disputed
    the fair market value of the defendant’s 
    property. 216 N.J. at 125
    . The
    defendant proposed “that the highest and best use of the property would be a
    bank,” ibid., but that proposal would have required a variance,
    id. at 121-22.
    The defendant had previously applied for the requisite variance in seeking a
    development permit but withdrew its permit application upon encountering
    opposition to the proposed development.
    Id. at 121-22,
    143. Nevertheless, at
    trial, the defendant submitted expert reports and testimony indicating the
    experts’ belief that the bulk variance would be granted.
    Id. at 126-29.
    The Borough of Saddle River moved to strike the defendant’s experts’
    opinions “on the reasonable probability of a zoning change,” arguing that those
    opinions failed to address the standards under which a bulk variance
    12
    application would be reviewed and, therefore, “lacked a proper foundation.”
    Id. at 123.
    Alternatively, the Borough asked for a Rule 104 hearing to ass ess
    whether there was a reasonable probability that the property would be rezoned.
    Ibid. The motion court
    denied those requests, ibid., and, following a jury trial,
    entered judgment in the defendant’s favor,
    id. at 133.
    The Appellate Division
    affirmed.
    Id. at 134-36.
    We reversed, holding that because neither the trial court nor the experts
    analyzed whether “there exists the reasonable probability of a zoning change
    based on the standard that would govern the particular zoning change under
    consideration,” the trial court neglected its gatekeeping function by leaving the
    determination of probability to be made at trial.
    Id. at 142-43.
    We specified that, notwithstanding any expert opinion as to the
    likelihood a variance will be granted,
    only when the trial court has first determined that the
    evidence is of a quality to allow the jury to consider the
    probability of a zoning change should the jury be
    permitted to assess a premium based on that zoning
    change . . . . The gatekeeping function was assigned to
    the judge specifically to screen the jury from hearing
    mere speculation.
    [Id. at 142 (citing 
    Caoili, 135 N.J. at 264-65
    ).]
    And we explained that, in order to be relevant to the issue of a property’s fair
    market value, evidence presupposing a variance must be more than merely
    13
    speculative.
    Id. at 138.
    Our rule did not discriminate between speculative and
    irrelevant evidence -- neither is invited through the gate. Accord 
    Caoili, 135 N.J. at 264
    (“The risk of unsound and speculative determinations concerning
    fair market value is real when that determination is based on evidence of a
    future change that is inherently vague or tenuous because it suggests no more
    than the possibility of change. . . . The court can [reduce that] risk by
    performing, in effect, a gatekeeping function by screening out potentially
    unreliable evidence and admitting only evidence that would warrant or support
    a finding that a zoning change is probable.”).
    Though there was some expert testimony in 66 East Allendale as to the
    probability that the municipal body would grant the variance necessary for the
    proposed use of the 
    property, 216 N.J. at 130-32
    , our courts have properly
    recognized that case’s broader significance by applying its gatekeeping
    procedures and standards even when no evidence is presented regarding the
    probability of obtaining a variance, see, e.g., N.J. Transit Corp. v. Franco, 
    447 N.J. Super. 361
    , 373, 377-78 (App. Div. 2016) (relying on 66 East Allendale to
    find “legally inadequate” the opinions offered by the defendants’ experts, who
    did not “show a reasonable probability Weehawken would either grant a use
    variance for the cul-de-sac or accept the dedication of the cul-de-sac as a
    public street”). In short, with or without expert testimony as to the probability
    14
    of a variance, trial courts must guard against evidence likely to mislead juries
    into calculating a property’s fair market value at its highest and best use under
    an unsupported assumption that a variance will be granted.
    From 66 East Allendale, therefore, derives the following overarching
    approach to predicating highest and best use analyses on not-yet-obtained
    zoning variances. A use that does not conform to current zoning is not legally
    permissible and so cannot be a property’s highest and best use. 
    See 216 N.J. at 137
    . However, while a property’s highest and best use “is ordinarily evaluated
    in accordance with current zoning ordinances[,] [c]ertain circumstances may
    permit valuation to include an assessment of a change in the permitted use of a
    property, but only if there is a reasonable probability that a zoning change
    would be granted.”
    Id. at 119.
    That substantive determination of probability
    must account for “the standard that would govern the particular zoning change
    under consideration.”4
    Id. at 143.
    In making that determination, the trial court
    must examine the parties’ evidence as to the probability of the zoning change
    to “determine whether [the court] can render its required determination based
    on the papers.”
    Ibid. If that determination
    cannot be made on the written
    4
    The Township’s Board of Adjustment has discretion to grant variances to an
    applicant who satisfies certain conditions and who follows procedures laid out
    in Township ordinances. Township of Manalapan, Development Regulations
    of the Township of Manalapan § 95-4.4 (citing N.J.S.A. 40:55D-70).
    15
    submissions alone, the court shall conduct a pretrial Rule 104 hearing to
    resolve the issue.
    Id. at 142-43.
    B.
    The question before this Court -- whether it was error to admit testimony
    that the condemned property’s highest and best use for purposes of valuation
    would be one for which a variance would be necessary without first
    determining that there is a reasonable probability that such a variance would be
    granted -- was answered in 66 East Allendale.
    In this case, the evidence about a variance is as follows: After plaintiff’s
    expert appraiser Stuart opined that, under current zoning, the property value
    would be $2.83 million, plaintiff’s expert planner Beahm testified that the
    property was located in the RE zone and that it could not be used as though it
    were in the R20 zone, like surrounding properties, without first obtaining a
    variance. Next, after the trial court forbade defendants’ expert planner Phillips
    from “opining on possibilities or likelihoods or odds or procedures about
    getting variances,” he testified that the highest and best use of the property
    would require R20 zoning, which could yield “up to six times the density of
    the underlying RE three[-]acre zoning.” However, Phillips conceded on cross-
    examination that “for R20 zoning to be on the [subject] property[,] the
    Township committee would have to agree to change the zone.” Nevertheless,
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    during closing argument defense counsel referenced how the subject property
    is zoned differently than the surrounding properties, reviewed types of
    variances that could be secured with municipal approval, and emphasized the
    absence of certain barriers to modifying applicable land use regulations .
    The trial court here neglected its role as gatekeeper by letting the jury
    consider evidence about a variance without following the procedures and
    standards laid out in 66 East Allendale. That case stands for more than the
    proposition that speculative testimony about the probability of obtaining a
    variance should not be allowed to reach a jury. That is but one way in which
    the harm 66 East Allendale identifies and seeks to prevent can occur. Another
    is what happened here: the jurors were invited to set a valuation based on a
    highest and best use that would require a variance without any judicial
    consideration of the probability of obtaining that variance. Whether the jurors
    are allowed to consider speculative expert testimony or invited to supply their
    own speculation, the result is the same: evidence not demonstrated to be
    reliable or relevant is put before the jury. The application of 66 East Allendale
    by the trial court, which the Appellate Division affirmed, departed from the
    letter and undermined the spirit of that case.
    Here, because there was no finding that a variance from RE to R20
    would likely be granted, the jury should not have been permitted to evaluate
    17
    the property on any basis other than its highest and best use “in accordance
    with current zoning ordinances.” See 66 East 
    Allendale, 216 N.J. at 119
    (emphasis added). Testimony about a hypothetical highest and best use was
    unreliable and misleading because its relevance presupposed an R20 use
    variance without evidence that the variance was likely to be granted. Given
    the state of the evidence in this case, a Rule 104 hearing would have been
    necessary to make a finding as to the likelihood of obtaining the variance, but
    the trial court never held that hearing or made that finding.
    The result was that “the quality of the evidence that the jury was allowed
    to consider undermined the soundness of the jury’s property valuation.”
    Ibid. Given that the
    only opinion put before the jury as to the value of the property
    was that of plaintiff’s expert appraiser, who valued the property at $2.83
    million based upon RE zoning, the jury’s $4.5 million verdict was a manifest
    miscarriage of justice that shocks the conscience and requires a new trial.
    IV.
    In light of the foregoing, the judgment of the Appellate Division is
    reversed, and the matter is remanded for a new trial. On remand, if defendants
    seek once again to admit testimony that the condemned property’s highest and
    best use for purposes of valuation would be one for which a variance would be
    necessary, the trial court must conduct a Rule 104 hearing to determine
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    whether there exists a reasonable probability that a variance would be granted.
    Only if the court makes that finding may the jury consider, for valuation
    purposes, uses of the subject property that would require a zoning variance.
    See
    id. at 142.
    CHIEF JUSTICE RABNER and JUSTICES LaVECCHIA, ALBIN,
    PATTERSON, FERNANDEZ-VINA, and TIMPONE join in JUSTICE
    SOLOMON’S opinion.
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