State v. Hedgpeth , 365 Or. 724 ( 2019 )


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  •                                         724
    Argued and submitted March 1, at Willamette College of Law, Salem, Oregon;
    decision of Court of Appeals affirmed, judgment of circuit court reversed, and
    case remanded to that court for further proceedings November 21, 2019
    STATE OF OREGON,
    Petitioner on Review,
    v.
    JOHN CHARLES HEDGPETH,
    Respondent on Review.
    (CC 14CR1014) (CA A158196) (SC S065921)
    452 P3d 948
    Defendant was convicted for driving under the influence of intoxicants
    (DUII), based only on the fact that his BAC was .09 percent two hours after he
    drove and that he consumed no alcohol between the time he was pulled over and
    the breath test. The trial court determined that defendant’s BAC was at least .08
    percent at the time of driving and found him guilty of DUII. Defendant argued
    that those facts were insufficient to permit a non-speculative inference that his
    BAC was over the legal limit, .08 percent, at the time he drove. The Court of
    Appeals reversed. Held: On the facts, the generic proposition that blood alcohol
    dissipates over time was not enough to permit a non-speculative inference that
    defendant’s BAC was over the legal limit at the time he drove. Balmer, J., filed a
    dissenting opinion in which Baldwin, S. J., joined.
    The decision of the Court of Appeals is affirmed. The judgment of the circuit
    court is reversed, and the case is remanded to that court for further proceedings.
    On review from the Court of Appeals.*
    Paul L. Smith, Deputy Solicitor General, Salem, argued
    the cause and filed the briefs for petitioner on review. Also
    on the briefs were Ellen F. Rosenblum, Attorney General,
    and Benjamin Gutman, Solicitor General.
    Emily P. Seltzer, Deputy Public Defender, Office of Public
    Defense Services, Salem, argued the cause and filed the brief
    for the respondent on review. Also on the brief was Ernest G.
    Lannet, Chief Deputy Defender.
    Before Walters, Chief Justice, and Balmer, Nakamoto,
    Flynn, Duncan, and Nelson, Justices, and Baldwin, Senior
    Justice pro tempore.**
    ______________
    ** Appeal from Coos County Circuit Court, Richard L. Barron, Judge. 
    290 Or App 399
    , 415 P3d 1080 (2018).
    ** Garrett, J., did not participate in the consideration or decision of this case.
    Cite as 
    365 Or 724
     (2019)                             725
    FLYNN, J.
    The decision of the Court of Appeals is affirmed. The
    judgment of the circuit court is reversed, and the case is
    remanded to that court for further proceedings.
    Balmer, J., dissented and filed an opinion, in which
    Baldwin, S. J., joined.
    726                                          State v. Hedgpeth
    FLYNN, J.
    This case arises out of defendant’s challenge to his
    conviction for driving under the influence of intoxicants
    (DUII) by driving with a blood alcohol concentration (BAC)
    of at least .08 percent. The record consisted solely of evi-
    dence that a breathalyzer test measured defendant’s BAC as
    .09 percent nearly two hours after he drove and that defen-
    dant had consumed no additional alcohol in the interim. The
    Court of Appeals agreed with defendant that the state’s evi-
    dence was insufficient to demonstrate that defendant drove
    with a BAC of at least .08 percent. State v. Hedgpeth, 
    290 Or App 399
    , 415 P3d 1080, rev allowed, 
    363 Or 119
     (2018). We
    allowed the state’s petition for review to consider whether
    “common knowledge” of the proposition that blood alcohol
    levels dissipate over time permits a factfinder reasonably
    to infer that defendant drove with a blood alcohol level
    above the legal limit from evidence that defendant’s blood
    alcohol level two hours later was .09 percent, with no con-
    sumption in the interim. On those bare facts, we conclude
    that something more than the generic proposition that blood
    alcohol levels dissipate over time is needed to permit a non-
    speculative inference that the defendant drove with a blood
    alcohol level above the legal limit.
    I. BACKGROUND
    A. DUII Laws Generally
    Oregon has had laws prohibiting driving under the
    influence of intoxicants for more than 100 years. See State
    v. Miller, 
    309 Or 362
    , 368, 
    788 P2d 974
     (1990) (citing Or
    Laws 1917, ch 29, § 1). The crime is currently codified at
    ORS 813.010, which provides,
    “(1) A person commits the offense of driving while
    under the influence of intoxicants if the person drives a
    vehicle while the person:
    “(a) Has 0.08 percent or more by weight of alcohol in
    the blood of the person as shown by chemical analysis of
    the breath or blood of the person made under ORS 813.100,
    813.140 or 813.150;
    “(b) Is under the influence of intoxicating liquor, can-
    nabis, a controlled substance or an inhalant; or
    Cite as 
    365 Or 724
     (2019)                                                   727
    “(c) Is under the influence of any combination of intox-
    icating liquor, cannabis, a controlled substance and an
    inhalant.”1
    As we have explained, the statute describes alter-
    native methods for proving that a person drove while under
    the influence of intoxicants:
    “The state can establish that the defendant’s BAC was .08
    percent or more, ORS 813.010(1)(a), regardless of observ-
    able symptoms, or the state can prove that * * * the defen-
    dant was adversely affected by intoxicants to a perceptible
    degree, ORS 813.010(1)(b), (c).”
    State v. Eumana-Moranchel, 
    352 Or 1
    , 7-8, 277 P3d 549
    (2012); see also State v. King, 
    316 Or 437
    , 446, 
    852 P2d 190
     (1993) (ORS 813.010(1)(a) and (b) describe a “single
    offense” with two elements—that the accused drove a motor
    vehicle, and that the accused was under the influence of
    intoxicants—and jurors did not need to agree on whether
    the state had proven the latter element by way of test results
    or otherwise). We have emphasized that the first method,
    which we have referred to as the per se method of proving
    DUII, reflects the legislature’s apparent assumption,
    “based upon scientific studies and accepted medical knowl-
    edge, that the physical and mental condition of a driver
    with such a level of blood alcohol is impaired to such a
    degree as to make it unsafe for him to drive a motor vehi-
    cle, regardless of observable physical symptoms.”
    State v. Clark, 
    286 Or 33
    , 39, 
    593 P2d 123
     (1979).
    We also have emphasized two features of the stat-
    ute that complicate the state’s burden of proof. First, under
    either method of proof, “the state must prove that the driver
    had the proscribed BAC or was perceptibly impaired at the
    time that he or she was driving.” Eumana-Moranchel, 352
    Or at 8 (emphasis in original). Second, proof of a per se vio-
    lation based on blood alcohol concentration must be “shown
    by chemical analysis of the breath or blood.” State v. O’Key,
    
    321 Or 285
    , 308, 
    899 P2d 663
     (1995) (explaining that state
    1
    The current version of ORS 813.010(1) reflects 2017 amendments to address
    cannabis but is otherwise identical to the 2015 provision that governs defendant’s
    conviction. Or Laws 2017, ch 21, § 80.
    728                                                       State v. Hedgpeth
    could not rely solely on results of horizontal gaze nystagmus
    test (HGN) to prove per se violation under ORS 813.010(1)(a)
    because “HGN test does not involve a chemical analysis of
    breath or blood”).
    Those requirements present a challenge when the
    state seeks to prove that a person has committed DUII
    based only on evidence from a chemical analysis of blood
    alcohol concentrations because, as we observed in Eumana-
    Moranchel, “it is virtually always the case that the chem-
    ical test of the breath or blood is administered some time
    after the person has stopped driving.” 352 Or at 9 (emphasis
    in original). From that premise and the additional premise
    that “a person’s BAC changes during the time between being
    stopped and undergoing a breath test[,] * * * [i]t follows that
    a chemical test result alone never ‘shows’ the actual BAC of
    the driver at the time of driving.” Id. Thus, as we empha-
    sized, “[s]omething more is necessary to connect the breath
    test result to the statutory requirement of a BAC of .08 per-
    cent or more at the time of driving.” Id. at 9-10.
    B.    Procedural History of the Case
    For reasons of strategy that have no bearing on
    this appeal, the state chose to prove that defendant com-
    mitted the crime of DUII only under the per se method of
    proof—proving that he drove with a BAC of at least .08.2
    The evidence at trial consisted exclusively of testimony
    from the arresting officer that (1) he had stopped defen-
    dant for riding a motorcycle without a helmet; (2) he sub-
    sequently took defendant into custody for DUII;3 (3) he took
    defendant to the police station where a breathalyzer test
    was administered one hour and 55 minutes after the stop;
    (4) defendant did not consume alcohol between the time of
    the stop and the administration of the breathalyzer test, and
    (5) the breathalyzer result showed a BAC of 0.09. Defendant
    2
    Before trial, defendant had notified the state that he intended to offer evi-
    dence that the ratio of breath alcohol to blood alcohol—the so-called “partition
    ratio”—varies among individuals. The state believed that the evidence would be
    irrelevant if it pursued only a per se theory of DUII under ORS 813.010(1)(a), so
    it chose to proceed only under that theory. The trial court ultimately agreed with
    the state’s assessment and refused to admit defendant’s evidence.
    3
    For reasons not relevant to this appeal, the trial court excluded evidence of
    the officer’s observations that led the officer to arrest defendant for DUII.
    Cite as 
    365 Or 724
     (2019)                                729
    argued to the trial court that the evidence was insufficient
    to permit a nonspeculative inference that his BAC was over
    the legal limit at the time he drove, but the court disagreed.
    Sitting as factfinder, the court explained: “I will find him
    guilty because the only evidence before me is what he blew,
    and I don’t have evidence at all that suggests one way or the
    other what you do with the—with that to equate it with time
    of driving. But that’s the evidence I have.”
    On appeal, defendant renewed his challenge to
    the sufficiency of the evidence, and the state responded by
    arguing that the “common knowledge” that alcohol rates
    dissipate over time permitted the factfinder to draw a rea-
    sonable inference that defendant’s BAC was at least .08
    at the time of driving. The Court of Appeals agreed with
    defendant and reversed the conviction. The court reasoned
    that “the factfinder cannot, at least on this record, apply
    the common knowledge that blood alcohol goes up and down
    over time to make a reasonable inference about when defen-
    dant’s BAC likely reached .08 or above and whether that
    occurred while defendant was driving.” Hedgpeth, 290 Or
    App at 406. The Court of Appeals identified three possible
    inferences that could be drawn: That defendant’s BAC was
    above .08 when he drove; that it was at .08 when he drove;
    or that it was under .08 when he drove. Id. at 407. Because
    the state did not present “any evidence bearing on the move-
    ment of alcohol through defendant’s body or the presence
    of alcohol in defendant’s body at the time or shortly before
    defendant drove,” the court concluded that “there is nothing
    but speculation that guides a factfinder to select from one of
    those three possible inferences.” Id. at 406, 407 (emphasis
    in original).
    This court allowed review to address the role of
    inferences and “common knowledge” when a court tests the
    sufficiency of evidence to permit a criminal conviction. As
    we explain below, we agree with the conclusion of the Court
    of Appeals that “common knowledge” is not enough on this
    record to supply the “[s]omething more” that is “necessary to
    connect the breath test result to the statutory requirement
    of a BAC of .08 percent or more at the time of driving.” See
    Eumana-Moranchel, 352 Or at 9-10.
    730                                                        State v. Hedgpeth
    II. ANALYSIS
    A. The Standard of Review for an MJOA
    We turn to a preliminary dispute regarding the
    legal standard for granting a motion for judgment of acquit-
    tal.4 We have repeatedly explained that our standard for
    reviewing the denial of a motion for judgment of acquittal
    involves viewing the evidence in the “light most favorable to
    the state” to determine if the “state presented sufficient evi-
    dence from which a rational trier of fact, making reasonable
    inferences,” could find the essential elements of the crime
    beyond a reasonable doubt. State v. Clemente-Perez, 
    357 Or 748
    , 756, 762, 359 P3d 232 (2015); see also State v. Lupoli,
    
    348 Or 346
    , 366, 234 P3d 117 (2010) (same).
    According to the state, the trial court’s finding that
    defendant had a BAC of at least .08 at the time that he was
    driving was a reasonable inference from the evidence of
    three predicate facts: 1) the trooper placed defendant under
    arrest for DUII shortly after he observed defendant driving;
    2) a chemical test performed nearly two hours later mea-
    sured defendant’s BAC at .09 percent; and 3) defendant did
    not drink in the interim.
    However, defendant proposes that a “reasonable
    inference” requires more precision. According to defendant,
    “in order to make an inference, a factfinder must be able
    to logically deduce a probable conclusion from the underly-
    ing facts” through a “logical syllogism.” Defendant acknowl-
    edges that a factfinder could infer, based on common experi-
    ence, that people intoxicated by alcohol become less so over
    time. But the factfinder could not, defendant asserts, infer
    from that general knowledge and evidence of the later blood
    alcohol test that defendant’s BAC would have been at least
    0.08 at the time he drove. Defendant argues that, while it
    4
    Defendant did not expressly move for judgment of acquittal. Instead, he
    argued to the trial court in closing argument that the evidence was insufficient to
    permit a finding of guilt. Under the circumstances, defendant raised the issue in
    a way that is equivalent to making a motion for judgment of acquittal. See State v.
    Gonzalez-Valenzuela, 
    358 Or 451
    , 454 n 1, 365 P3d 116 (2015) (agreeing “with the
    long-standing case law from the Court of Appeals that,” when a defendant opts
    for a bench trial, a challenge to the legal sufficiency of the state’s evidence during
    closing argument can be “the equivalent of a motion for judgment of acquittal” for
    purposes of preserving the issue).
    Cite as 
    365 Or 724
     (2019)                                 731
    is possible that his BAC declined between the time of driv-
    ing and the time of testing, it also is possible that his BAC
    was rising during at least part of that time and had not yet
    reached .08 when he was driving. Because there was no evi-
    dence to aid the factfinder in distinguishing between those
    possibilities, defendant contends that there was no basis
    for the factfinder to “logically deduce a probable conclusion
    from the underlying facts.”
    The decision of the Court of Appeals suggests that a
    similar degree of precision governs the inquiry into whether
    evidence permits a “reasonable inference” of guilt. In an
    en banc decision, the Court of Appeals majority explained
    that it understood the issue as “whether mere logic renders
    probable that, when a person’s BAC is .09 percent one hour
    and 45 minutes after he drove and he has not consumed
    alcohol over that period, that person’s BAC was at least .08
    at the time that he was driving.” Hedgpeth, 290 Or App at
    404. The court reasoned that “it does not follow solely as a
    matter of probability and logic that a person whose BAC is
    measured at .09 percent would have necessarily had a BAC
    of at least .08 percent an hour and 45 minutes earlier if he
    or she consumed no alcohol during that intervening time
    period.” Id. at 406-07.
    The suggestion of defendant and the Court of
    Appeals that reasonable inferences are limited to those
    that follow “necessarily” from the established facts, or as
    a matter of probability through “logical syllogism,” unduly
    narrows the test that courts must apply when reviewing a
    motion for judgment of acquittal. “Probability” generally
    refers to something that is “more likely than not.” See, e.g.,
    State v. Longo, 
    341 Or 580
    , 603-04, 148 P3d 892 (2006) (not-
    ing that “probability” of future dangerousness as used in
    ORS 163.150(1)(b)(B) meant “more likely than not”); State
    v. Vasquez-Villagomez, 
    346 Or 12
    , 23, 203 P3d 193 (2009)
    (probable cause standard set forth in ORS 131.005(11) states
    standard as “more likely than not”); Joshi v. Providence
    Health System, 
    342 Or 152
    , 159, 149 P3d 1164 (2006) (noting
    that “reasonable probability” causation standard for negli-
    gence claim equated to “more likely than not”).
    But a court evaluating a motion for judgment of
    acquittal does not base its decision on whether any particular
    732                                         State v. Hedgpeth
    inference to be drawn from the evidence is “more likely than
    not.” Rather, our decisions make clear that the evidence in
    a case can give rise to more than one reasonable inference,
    and when it does, the factfinder is allowed to decide the case.
    See, e.g., State v. Hall, 
    327 Or 568
    , 574, 
    966 P2d 208
     (1998)
    (defendant was not entitled to judgment of acquittal, where
    factfinder “reasonably could infer” three different things from
    the evidence offered to prove an element of the offense but,
    because “[a]ny of those inferences is reasonable * * * it was
    appropriate to allow the jury to decide the question”); State v.
    Walker, 
    356 Or 4
    , 6, 333 P3d 316 (2014) (“court gives the state
    the benefit of all reasonable inferences that can be drawn
    from the evidence”). The notion that reasonable inferences are
    those that follow necessarily from the state’s evidence cannot
    be squared with our case law that the evidence may give rise
    to multiple reasonable inferences and that the choice between
    those reasonable inferences is a matter for the jury.
    Nevertheless, defendant and the Court of Appeals
    are not wrong to emphasize the court’s obligation to distin-
    guish between inferences that can be reasonably drawn from
    the evidence and inferences that are mere speculation. We
    have emphasized that facts in issue can “be established by
    reasonable inferences, but not through speculation.” State v.
    Jesse, 
    360 Or 584
    , 597, 385 P3d 1063 (2016). This court has
    identified certain inferences as impermissible speculation
    and, thus, held the evidence insufficient to support a reason-
    able inference. For example, in State v. Daniels, 
    348 Or 513
    ,
    519, 234 P3d 976 (2010), we emphasized that the state was
    relying “on speculation” to prove that the defendant had once
    possessed drugs that his girlfriend was carrying in a plastic
    baggie. Pointing to evidence that the defendant in Daniels
    had plastic baggies in his house and had sold drugs within
    the prior month, the state argued that a jury reasonably
    could infer possession either by inferring that the defendant
    had supplied his girlfriend with the drugs she carried or by
    inferring that he had placed the drugs in her bag to avoid
    having them discovered by the police. 
    Id.
     This court empha-
    sized that “[a]lthough those scenarios are possible, they rely
    on speculation rather than reasonable inferences,” and we
    held that the defendant was entitled to a motion for judg-
    ment of acquittal. 
    Id. at 519, 522
    .
    Cite as 
    365 Or 724
     (2019)                                733
    Defendant and the Court of Appeals also are not
    wrong to suggest that logic plays some role in determining
    whether evidence permits a “reasonable inference.” We cau-
    tioned in Jesse that “[t]he line between permissible infer-
    ences and impermissible speculation is difficult to articu-
    late with precision,” but we explained that “federal courts
    usefully have described that line” as “drawn by the laws of
    logic.” 
    360 Or at
    597 n 7 (quoting Tose v. First Pennsylvania
    Bank, N.A., 648 F2d 879, 895 (3d Cir), cert den, 
    454 US 893
    ,
    
    102 S Ct 390
    , 
    70 L Ed 2d 208
     (1981), abrogated on other
    grounds by Griggs v. Provident Consumer Discount Co., 
    459 US 56
    , 
    103 S Ct 400
    , 
    74 L Ed 2d 225
     (1982)).
    However, references to “logic” do not mean that
    a reasonable inference must follow “necessarily” or in the
    form of a “logical syllogism.” “Logic” includes “principles of
    deduction or inference.” Webster’s Third New Int’l Dictionary
    1330 (unabridged ed 2002). And it has long been settled law
    in Oregon that a party may rely on reasonable inferences
    arising from circumstantial evidence to establish elements
    of a criminal offense. See, e.g., State v. Colson, 
    251 Or 624
    ,
    625, 
    447 P2d 302
     (1968) (“law is settled that the commission
    of a crime may be proved solely by circumstantial evidence”);
    see also Hall, 327 Or at 570 (“[w]hen analyzing the suffi-
    ciency of the evidence,” court makes “no distinction between
    direct and circumstantial evidence as to the degree of proof
    required”).
    When a court considers a motion for judgment of
    acquittal, the question is whether the factfinder reasonably
    could infer that a particular fact flows from other proven
    facts, not whether the inference necessarily flows from the
    proven facts. See id. at 574 (because factfinder could “rea-
    sonably infer” three different things from the evidence, “it
    was appropriate to allow the jury to decide the question”).
    B.   “Common Knowledge” to Connect Defendant’s BAC Test
    Result to His Earlier BAC
    Ultimately, the resolution of this case turns both
    on the line between speculation and inference and on the
    extent to which common knowledge of the body’s reaction
    734                                                    State v. Hedgpeth
    to alcohol bridges that gap. The state does not dispute that
    “[s]omething more” than a blood alcohol level obtained
    nearly two hours after driving is needed for the factfinder
    reasonably to infer that defendant’s BAC was at least .08 at
    the time he drove, as we explained in Eumana-Moranchel,
    352 Or at 9-10. And defendant does not dispute that a fact-
    finder’s common knowledge can supply the bridge to a fact-
    finder’s reasonable inference. See, e.g., Dodge v. Tradewell
    Stores, 
    256 Or 514
    , 516, 
    474 P2d 745
     (1970) (“jury is enti-
    tled to draw inferences from matters of common knowl-
    edge”). Defendant also does not dispute that it is a matter
    of common knowledge that alcohol dissipates from the blood
    over time. He acknowledges our cases that have seemingly
    accepted that proposition. See Eumana-Moranchel, 352 Or at
    10 (describing State v. Parker, 
    317 Or 225
    , 232 n 9, 
    855 P2d 636
     (1993), as “stating, in dictum, that, in [a] case where the
    defendant had a BAC of .07 percent five hours after driving,
    the state did not need to call an expert on the dissipation
    of blood alcohol content, because the fact that blood alco-
    hol dissipates over time is common knowledge”).5 However,
    defendant and the state propose very different answers to
    the question of whether common knowledge that blood alco-
    hol dissipates over time is sufficient to permit a reasonable
    inference in this case that defendant had a BAC of at least
    .08 two hours before the test.
    Defendant contends that the common knowledge
    that blood alcohol dissipates over time is too general on this
    record to bridge the gap between his breath-test BAC of .09
    and his BAC two hours earlier because how a particular
    body processes alcohol in a particular situation depends on
    numerous factors, none of which are addressed by the evi-
    dence here. Defendant does not endorse the more extreme
    suggestion of the Court of Appeals, that the state needed
    evidence “on rates of accumulation and dissipation” to con-
    nect defendant’s BAC test to his BAC at the time of driving.
    Hedgpeth, 290 Or App at 406. He observes that the gap might
    be filled by something other than expert testimony, such as
    evidence that a defendant showed symptoms of impairment
    5
    Eumana-Moranchel did not comment on whether the state must call an
    expert to prove a case of per se DUII when the breath test shows a BAC under the
    legal limit. That is an open question that has not been resolved by this court.
    Cite as 
    365 Or 724
     (2019)                                                    735
    at the time he or she was stopped.6 But he argues that the
    bare record in this case is insufficient to permit more than
    speculation that defendant’s BAC was at least .08 at the
    time he drove.7
    The state emphasizes that “the process of alcohol
    absorption and dissipation is a matter of common knowl-
    edge, even if the specific rates of absorption and dissipation
    are not” (emphasis in brief). According to the state, that
    general knowledge permitted the jury reasonably to infer
    that defendant’s BAC was lower after a period of nearly two
    hours without additional consumption than his BAC level
    had been when he drove. The state relies on a statement
    that this court made in Eumana-Moranchel. In that case,
    after emphasizing that “the state must be able to offer rel-
    evant evidence to explain how a driver’s BAC at the time of
    the test ‘shows’ that he or she had .08 percent or more by
    weight of alcohol in the bloodstream at that earlier point,”
    we observed, “[t]hat explanation can be simply an infer-
    ence that blood alcohol rates dissipate over time, or, as in
    this case, an expert’s testimony explaining that retrograde
    extrapolation shows the actual presence of the prohibited
    percentage of alcohol in a driver’s blood when he or she was
    driving.” 352 Or at 10, 11. The state seizes on that reference
    to the possibility that an “inference that blood alcohol rates
    dissipate over time” can explain “how a driver’s BAC at the
    time of the test ‘shows’ that he or she had .08 percent or
    more” at the time of driving as confirmation that “common
    knowledge” supplies the explanation in this case.
    The Court of Appeals at least implicitly concluded
    that our observation in Eumana-Moranchel was dictum,
    and does not resolve this case, when it held that common
    knowledge cannot “bear the weight” of proving defendant’s
    6
    As our decisions in Clark and Eumana-Moranchel make clear, such evi-
    dence is relevant even to prove a per se violation of ORS 813.010 because it can be
    used by the factfinder as the “[s]omething more” that “is necessary to connect the
    breath result to the statutory requirement of a BAC of .08 percent or more at the
    time of driving.” Eumana-Moranchel, 352 Or at 9-10.
    7
    The limited record in this case is a product of the trial court’s ruling—
    based on an erroneous interpretation of O’Key—that evidence “other than the
    exact chemical test” was irrelevant given the state’s election to prove “a per se
    DUII .08 or above blood alcohol.” But the state did not cross-assign error to the
    ruling in the Court of Appeals.
    736                                                    State v. Hedgpeth
    BAC on a record like this. See Hedgpeth, 290 Or App at 405.
    Before explaining why we agree with the Court of Appeals
    that “common knowledge” is insufficient to bear such weight
    in this case, we begin with an examination of the power of
    “common knowledge” to fill evidentiary gaps.
    In general, common knowledge can be understood
    as information that is commonly known to the average per-
    son. See, e.g., Meyers v. Oasis Sanitorium, Inc., 
    224 Or 414
    ,
    418, 
    356 P2d 159
     (1960) (“matter of common knowledge that
    a linoleum floor becomes slippery while it is being mopped”);
    Black’s Law Dictionary 334 (10th ed 2014) (defining “common
    knowledge” as a “fact that is so widely known that a court
    may accept it as true without proof”). Scholars have pro-
    posed that the rationale for allowing the factfinder to base a
    decision on a commonly known fact is that the high degree of
    reliability or lack of disagreement in the community makes
    it unnecessary to introduce formal evidence to establish the
    point. See generally 2 McCormick On Evidence § 329 (7th ed
    2013); Richard M. Fraher, Adjudicative Facts, Non-Evidence
    Facts, and Permissible Jury Background Information, 62 Ind
    LJ 333, 342-43 (1987) (explaining that treatises, case law,
    and statutes “suggest that the basis for letting information
    get to the jury without the test of the adversarial process is
    either the high reliability of the information or the lack of
    disagreement in the community”).8
    In the context of alcohol intoxication, this court has
    identified a variety of propositions that are matters of com-
    mon knowledge. For example, this court long ago declared
    the proposition that certain beverages are intoxicating
    liquors to be a matter of common knowledge. State v.
    Carmody, 
    50 Or 1
    , 7, 
    91 P 446
     (1907) (finding that “[a]s long
    as laws for licensing the sale of intoxicating liquors have
    existed, brandy, whisky, gin, rum and other alcoholic liquids
    have been held to be intoxicating liquors per se * * * because
    it is within the common knowledge * * * that they are intoxi-
    cating liquors”); see also State v. Edwards, 
    106 Or 58
    , 64, 210
    8
    In any discussion of “common knowledge,” it is worth noting that even
    commonly understood propositions can be wrong. See, e.g., 1 Weinstein’s Federal
    Evidence § 201.11 (2019) (observing that, as “circumstances and society change,
    so does our ‘common knowledge,’ including the facts that meet with unconditional
    acceptance by the public”).
    Cite as 
    365 Or 724
     (2019)                                                   
    737 P 1079
     (1922) (common knowledge that beer is intoxicating
    liquor).9
    This court also has identified as a matter of com-
    mon knowledge the effects that intoxicating liquor may have
    on individuals. See Chapman v. Mayfield, 
    358 Or 196
    , 218,
    361 P3d 566 (2015) (common knowledge that intoxicated
    persons experience impaired judgment); Lynn v. Stinnette,
    
    147 Or 105
    , 114, 
    31 P2d 764
     (1934) (“It is common knowl-
    edge that intoxicating liquor has varying effects on differ-
    ent individuals. Some it impels to boisterousness and loud
    talking; others, to quarrelsomeness and sullenness.”); State
    v. Noble, 
    119 Or 674
    , 678, 
    250 P 833
     (1926) (“matter of com-
    mon knowledge” that drinking liquor “has some effect upon
    the person drinking it, and that this effect continues for a
    longer or shorter period, according to the amount drunk,
    and the individual drinking it”); see also Clark, 
    286 Or at 39-40
     (listing observable signs of alcohol intoxication,10 and
    explaining that common knowledge of those signs could pro-
    vide foundation to make evidence of the “absence of such
    observable symptoms” relevant for the purpose of challeng-
    ing the accuracy of BAC test result).
    However, we have also emphasized that certain
    effects of alcohol consumption are beyond the realm of com-
    mon knowledge. See, e.g., O’Key, 
    321 Or at 297
     (explaining
    that “[t]he relationship between the effects of alcohol on the
    central nervous system, the nystagmus phenomenon, and
    the HGN test is not within the realm of common knowledge
    of the average person”). Moreover, and of particular rele-
    vance to the present dispute, this court has emphasized that
    common knowledge of a general proposition regarding the
    effects of alcohol does not equate to knowledge of the effects
    in a specific instance. For example, in Eumana-Moranchel,
    90
    The tradition of allowing the factfinder to rely on facts of “common knowl-
    edge” may be a hold-over from the historical role of juries at English common
    law as a factfinding body that relied exclusively upon its own knowledge of
    events within the county. See State v. Mills, 
    354 Or 350
    , 358, 312 P3d 515 (2013)
    (explaining historical role of juror knowledge about county events as source of
    venue requirement).
    10
    The court took judicial notice of symptoms such as flushed appearance,
    lack of coordination, speech difficulties, dizziness and nausea, among other
    things. Clark, 
    286 Or at 39-40
    . We do not suggest that judicial notice and common
    knowledge are necessarily identical concepts.
    738                                          State v. Hedgpeth
    352 Or at 10, we observed that, although the proposition
    that alcohol dissipates over time may be a matter of com-
    mon knowledge, the rate of dissipation in a specific instance
    is not a matter of common knowledge. See also Noble, 
    119 Or at 678
     (explaining that, although it was a “matter of
    common knowledge” that drinking liquor “has some effect
    upon the person drinking it,” bare proof of consumption of
    liquor was insufficient to prove that person was under the
    influence of intoxicants because “[t]he effects resulting from
    the drinking of intoxicating liquor[s] are manifested in var-
    ious ways”). Compare State v. Sprague, 
    171 Or 372
    , 377, 
    136 P2d 685
     (1943) (observing that it is common knowledge that
    some intoxicated men are “brutal and quarrelsome”) with
    Chapman, 
    358 Or at 218
     (concluding that “general knowl-
    edge is not sufficient to permit a jury to decide, from the fact
    of overservice alone, that one who serves alcohol to a visibly
    intoxicated person should reasonably have expected that
    that person would commit an assault”). The “common knowl-
    edge” concerning alcohol that we draw from this court’s ear-
    lier case law described above is that alcohol consumption
    causes intoxication, but also that its effects last “for a longer
    or shorter period according to the amount drunk, and the
    individual drinking it.” Noble, 
    119 Or at 678
    .
    In the context of that authority, our reference in
    Eumana-Moranchel to an “inference that blood alcohol rates
    dissipate over time” should not be understood as a holding
    that resolves this case. 352 Or at 11. Eumana-Moranchel
    did not address the extent to which the state can rely on
    common knowledge to prove the defendant’s BAC at the
    time of driving; rather, the issue in Eumana-Moranchel was
    whether the state was entitled to rely on expert testimony
    regarding blood alcohol dissipation to show the relationship
    between the defendant’s BAC at the time of driving and
    his BAC as measured by a later breath test. Although we
    described an earlier decision as having “suggested” in dic-
    tum that common knowledge about alcohol dissipation made
    it unnecessary for the state to call an expert on the dissipa-
    tion of blood alcohol content, id. at 10 (quoting Parker, 
    317 Or at
    232 n 9), we did not decide—and we have never decided—
    that common knowledge alone is sufficient to provide the
    “something more” that can establish the connection between
    Cite as 
    365 Or 724
     (2019)                                                     739
    a BAC result at the time of testing with BAC at the time of
    driving. Indeed, our emphasis on the state’s valid reasons
    for introducing the expert testimony in Eumana-Moranchel
    suggests that common knowledge will not be sufficient to
    permit a reasonable inference that a defendant drove with a
    BAC over the legal limit.
    C. Application to This Case
    Under the circumstances of this case, the general
    proposition that blood alcohol concentrations fall over time
    is too general to permit any reasonable inference about
    defendant’s blood alcohol concentration at the time that
    he drove. The parties agree that various factors affect the
    rates of alcohol absorption and dissipation, and they provide
    citations to authorities that describe the scientific process
    of using a later BAC test to identify BAC levels at a point
    two hours earlier.11 Those authorities describe a process that
    is more complicated than simply applying the general rule
    that blood alcohol dissipates over time. Indeed, as the cited
    authorities reveal, the complexity can leave even experts
    unable to reach a nonspeculative decision on a record as
    spare as the record in this case.
    Defendant cites Eumana-Moranchel, in which we
    explained that the state sought to offer testimony from
    an expert in alcohol absorption and dissipation that, given
    information about when the defendant stopped drinking, he
    could use the defendant’s later breath test result to esti-
    mate a range for the defendant’s BAC at the time of driving,
    through “a method called retrograde extrapolation.” 352 Or
    at 5. We then described in detail the expert’s explanation of
    the variables affecting that scientific extrapolation:
    “Bessett testified that men and women eliminate alcohol
    at an average rate of .018 percent per hour, but that the
    specific elimination rate for any particular individual var-
    ies according to his or her tolerance for alcohol. The least
    alcohol-tolerant drinker would eliminate alcohol at a rate of
    11
    The state agrees that “variability in specific rates of alcohol absorption
    and dissipation make it possible that someone’s BAC may still be rising—and not
    yet at .08 percent—at the time of driving” but disagrees about the likelihood of
    that scenario in a given case and the significance of that possibility in evaluating
    the sufficiency of the evidence.
    740                                          State v. Hedgpeth
    .01 percent per hour, while the most tolerant drinker would
    eliminate alcohol at a rate of up to .025 percent per hour.
    For that reason, Bessett testified, retrograde extrapolation
    would produce a range for a driver’s BAC at any given time,
    rather than a single, specific number.”
    Id. (footnotes omitted, emphasis in original). We added that
    the expert “testified [that], to calculate a person’s BAC at a
    given time, he would need to know the time of the test, the
    time of the driver’s last consumption of alcohol, and the time
    that the driver was stopped.” Id.
    As defendant emphasizes, scientific evidence described
    in cases from both the United States Supreme Court and
    the Oregon Court of Appeals also consistently demonstrates
    the complexity and variability that limit an expert’s abil-
    ity to predict how a particular person will eliminate alcohol
    on a particular occasion. See Missouri v. McNeely, 
    569 US 141
    , 152, 
    133 S Ct 1552
    , 
    185 L Ed 2d 696
     (2013) (“Testimony
    before the trial court in this case indicated that the percent-
    age of alcohol in an individual’s blood typically decreases by
    approximately 0.015 percent to 0.02 percent per hour once
    the alcohol has been fully absorbed * * *. More precise cal-
    culations of the rate at which alcohol dissipates depend on
    various individual characteristics (such as weight, gender,
    and alcohol tolerance) and the circumstances in which the
    alcohol was consumed.” (citing Stripp, Forensic and Clinical
    Issues in Alcohol Analysis, in Forensic Chemistry Handbook
    437-441 (L. Kobilinsky ed 2012))); see also State v. Baucum,
    
    268 Or App 649
    , 661 n 12, 343 P3d 235 (2015), rev den, 
    357 Or 550
     (2015) (explaining that other studies show that experts
    use a range of elimination rates from 0.010 to 0.025 percent
    per hour (citing Alan Wayne Jones, Evidence-based survey of
    the elimination rates of ethanol from blood with applications
    in forensic casework, 200 Forensic Science International 1,
    14 (2010))).
    In addition, the scientific evidence discussed in those
    cases reveals that extrapolating to a blood alcohol concen-
    tration in any particular case is further complicated by vari-
    ations in the time it can take for consumed alcohol to be
    absorbed, and BAC to rise to peak level, before beginning to
    dissipate. See Eumana-Moranchel, 352 Or at 9 (describing
    Cite as 
    365 Or 724
     (2019)                                  741
    expert as testifying “that 80 percent of consumed alcohol
    enters the blood within five to 10 minutes, and 100 percent
    enters the blood within 30 to 60 minutes”); Baucum, 
    268 Or App at
    662 n 14 (noting that “[a]rticles on retrograde
    extrapolation indicate that some studies show individuals
    reach peak BAC between forty-five and seventy-five minutes
    after the last drink was consumed, and other studies show
    that peak BAC is reached in as few as fifteen minutes and
    as long as three hours” (citing Justin Noval and Edward
    J. Imwinkelried, Jr., Retrograde Extrapolation of Blood
    Alcohol Concentration, 50 No. 1 Crim. Law Bulletin ART
    7 (WestlawNext at 10) (2014)); A.W. Jones. K.A. Jonsson, A.
    Neri, Peak Blood-Ethanol Concentration and the Time of Its
    Occurrence After Rapid Drinking on an Empty Stomach, 36
    Journal of Forensic Sciences 376, 381 (1991) (concluding that
    the time for an individual to reach peak BAC depends on
    variables including, “drinking pattern, the type of beverage
    consumed, the fed or fasted state, the nature (liquid or solid)
    and composition of foodstuff in the stomach, the anatomy
    of the gastrointestinal canal, and the mental state of the”
    individual); see also McCormick On Evidence § 205 (7th ed)
    (cautioning that “one cannot assume that BAC inevitably is
    higher at the time of an accident than it is afterwards, for
    the concentration rises after drinking, then drops”).
    Our discussion of the reviews of scientific studies is
    not an endorsement of the accuracy of any particular study.
    Rather, we discuss the cited authorities to emphasize the
    uniformity with which they describe the process of using
    a later test to identify earlier BAC levels as a process that
    is far more complex than simply applying the general rule
    that blood alcohol dissipates over time. The state’s strongest
    response is a citation to one study of retrograde extrapolation
    to measure BAC for 161 drivers who had been given a breath
    test at the time of the stop and a second test up to two hours
    later. Rod G. Gullberg and Anthony J. McElroy, Comparing
    Roadside with Subsequent Breath Alcohol Analyses and
    Their Relevance to the Issue of Retrograde Extrapolation,
    57 Forensic Science International 193 (1992). Based on a
    review of that data, the authors emphasized that “when ret-
    rograde extrapolation is performed, a range of values should
    be reported with the lower limit being the results of actual
    742                                       State v. Hedgpeth
    evidentiary analyses,” and they concluded that earlier val-
    ues calculated through that method “appear to be very good
    approximations and certainly not overestimations” of BAC
    at the point of driving. Id. at 200. For purposes of the pres-
    ent analysis, however, the significance of the Gullberg arti-
    cle is that the technical nature of the process that the study
    recommends for using later tests to estimate an earlier
    BAC level confirms that the process requires more than just
    application of “common knowledge” that alcohol generally
    dissipates over time.
    Indeed, the limitations of the bare knowledge that
    blood alcohol dissipates is so commonly recognized that
    courts in a number of jurisdictions prevent the state from
    using even an expert’s opinion to prove that a later blood
    alcohol test proves a person’s blood alcohol concentration at
    the time of driving unless there is a factual basis for infer-
    ring that the defendant had reached peak absorption at
    the time of the stop. See, e.g., State v. Trujillo, 
    271 Or App 785
    , 792 n 9, 353 P3d 609, 614 (2015), rev den, 
    358 Or 146
    (2015) (noting that “some jurisdictions require an expert
    to demonstrate knowledge of whether the defendant’s body
    was absorbing or eliminating alcohol at the time of a blood-
    alcohol test, sufficiently consider the eating and drinking
    history of a defendant in establishing peak absorption, or
    demonstrate where on a BAC curve a defendant’s BAC falls,
    in order for retrograde extrapolation evidence to be deemed
    reliable”); State v. Babich, 
    797 SE2d 359
    , 363-64 (NC Ct App
    2017) (relying on what it described as view of the “majority”
    of courts to consider the issue to hold that expert opinion
    purporting to extrapolate defendant’s BAC at time of driv-
    ing from BAC test results obtained 1 hour and 45 minutes
    later should have been excluded as unhelpful because expert
    conceded that mathematical model was accurate only if the
    driver had already reached peak absorption by the time of
    the stop and because no evidence supported that assump-
    tion); see also State v. Eighth Judicial Dist. Court, 127 Nev
    927, 937, 267 P3d 777, 783 (2011) (holding that trial court
    did not err in concluding that probative value of expert’s
    opinion purporting to extrapolate BAC at the time of driv-
    ing from blood draw more than two hours after the accident
    was substantially outweighed by danger of unfair prejudice
    Cite as 
    365 Or 724
     (2019)                                                       743
    because opinion was “insufficiently tethered to individual
    factors necessary to achieve a reliable calculation”).12
    We have not previously addressed whether we agree
    with those limits on the state’s ability to rely on an expert’s
    extrapolation of BAC from a later measurement, and we do
    not address that issue here. But the complexity inherent in
    such extrapolations even when undertaken by experts per-
    suades us that a lay factfinder’s “common knowledge” that
    blood alcohol dissipates over time cannot supply the only
    basis for a reasonable inference that a BAC of .09 percent,
    measured two hours after driving and without consumption
    in the interim, establishes that the defendant’s BAC was at
    least .08 percent at the time of driving. We emphasize: There
    was no evidence of when or how much alcohol defendant had
    consumed before he was stopped; there is no evidence of why
    the officer who stopped defendant for riding a motorcycle
    without a helmet arrested defendant for DUII; and there
    is no evidence that defendant exhibited any signs of intox-
    ication either before or after the stop.13 And, of course, as
    the Court of Appeals observed, there was no evidence about
    alcohol absorption and dissipation rates, although we do not
    suggest that such evidence is necessary.
    The sole question before us is whether that extremely
    limited record was sufficient to survive a motion for judg-
    ment of acquittal. We conclude that it was not. Viewed in
    the light most favorable to the state, there must still be some
    12
    Although this court in Eumana-Moranchel held that the evidence of retro-
    grade extrapolation was not categorically inadmissible in a prosecution for DUII
    based on “chemical analysis of the breath or blood,” this court was not asked to
    consider and did not address other potential challenges to admissibility of that
    expert testimony. 
    352 Or 1
    .
    13
    The state suggests that the evidence of defendant’s arrest for DUII pro-
    vides some additional basis for an inference that his blood alcohol concentration
    exceeded the legal limit at the time of driving. But the state offered no evidence
    of why the officer believed that the stop and arrest were justified. The state cites
    no authority for its proposition that the arrest itself is probative of anything other
    than the fact that it occurred, and we reject the state’s suggestion that a fact-
    finder can draw an inference of guilt from the bare fact that an officer stopped or
    arrested defendant for a crime. See, e.g., Taylor v. Kentucky, 
    436 US 478
    , 485, 
    98 S Ct 1930
    , 
    56 L Ed 2d 468
     (1978) (emphasizing that, as a matter of due process,
    “one accused of a crime is entitled to have his guilt or innocence determined
    solely on the basis of the evidence introduced at trial, and not on grounds of
    official suspicion, indictment, continued custody, or other circumstances not
    adduced as proof at trial”).
    744                                                    State v. Hedgpeth
    evidence to permit an inference that defendant drove with a
    blood alcohol level of at least .08 percent. The dissent would
    prefer a rule under which the state makes out a prima facie
    case of the crime of driving under the influence of intoxicants
    with nothing more than evidence that the defendant had a
    BAC above the legal limit two hours after driving (without
    alcohol consumption in the interim). As the state points out,
    other states have adopted DUII statutes that capture the
    policy reflected by such a rule of proof.14 But Oregon has
    not. Whatever the practical advantages of such a policy may
    be, deciding whether to adopt that policy is a matter for the
    legislature.
    Here, the only evidence was that defendant’s blood
    alcohol level was over the legal limit when measured almost
    two hours after he drove, and that he had consumed no alco-
    hol in the interim. In the absence of any other evidence, the
    jury’s common knowledge of the generic (and incomplete)
    proposition that alcohol dissipates from the blood over time
    is not sufficient to constitute the “[s]omething more” that—
    as we said in Eumana-Moranchel—is necessary for a non-
    speculative connection between the BAC test results and
    defendant’s blood alcohol concentration when he was driving
    approximately two hours earlier. See 352 Or at 9.
    III.   CONCLUSION
    The decision of the Court of Appeals is affirmed.
    The judgment of the circuit court is reversed, and the case
    is remanded to that court for further proceedings.
    BALMER, J., dissenting.
    Defendant was lawfully stopped for driving his
    motorcycle without a helmet. The officer who stopped him
    developed probable cause (which defendant does not dispute)
    to believe that defendant was driving under the influence
    of intoxicants. A breath test nearly two hours after the
    initial stop (during which time defendant had consumed
    14
    See, e.g., Colo Rev Stat § 42-4-1301(2)(a) (“A person who drives a motor
    vehicle when the person’s BAC is 0.08 or more at the time of driving or within
    two hours after driving commits DUI per se.”); Wash Rev Code § 46.61.502(1)(a)
    (defining per se DUII as having a BAC of .08 or higher “within two hours after
    driving”).
    Cite as 
    365 Or 724
     (2019)                                  745
    no alcohol) found a blood alcohol content (BAC) of .09 per-
    cent. The majority concludes that that evidence, presented
    through the testimony of the arresting officer, was insuffi-
    cient to support a conviction. For that reason, the majority
    concludes, the trial court erred as a matter of law in denying
    defendant’s motion for a judgment of acquittal. I disagree,
    and I fear that the majority opinion may lead to serious and
    unnecessary impediments to the use of BAC evidence in
    future DUII cases. I respectfully dissent.
    I agree generally with the thoughtful dissent in the
    Court of Appeals. State v. Hedgpeth, 
    290 Or App 399
    , 407,
    415 P3d 1080 (2018) (Powers, J., dissenting). I direct the
    reader to that dissent, including its discussion of this court’s
    prior cases, which strongly, if sometimes in dicta, point in
    the opposite direction of the majority’s articulation of how
    courts should draw the line between reasonable (and there-
    fore permissible) inferences that a factfinder may draw from
    measured BAC levels and impermissible “speculation.”
    I add the following thoughts to the analysis set out
    in the dissent in the Court of Appeals. First, although the
    majority sets out the standards of review correctly, it is dif-
    ficult for me to square the facts in this case with the major-
    ity’s application of those standards. A motion for judgment
    of acquittal must be denied if, viewing all the evidence in
    the light most favorable to the state, “any rational trier of
    fact could have found the essential elements of the crime
    beyond a reasonable doubt.” State v. King, 
    307 Or 332
    , 339,
    
    768 P2d 391
     (1989) (emphases added). Here, the evidence
    above, including the testimony of the arresting officer—and
    the reasonable inferences that the trial court could have
    drawn from that evidence—seems to me to meet that stan-
    dard. Moreover, when the trial court’s denial of a motion for
    a judgment of acquittal is reviewed by an appellate court, we
    are to accept all “reasonable inferences and reasonable cred-
    ibility choices” that the finder of fact could have made. State
    v. Walters, 
    311 Or 80
    , 82-83, 
    804 P2d 1164
    , cert den, 
    501 US 1209
     (1991). Here, the trial court necessarily inferred from
    the evidence presented at trial that defendant’s BAC at the
    time he was driving was at or over .08 percent. Focusing
    on that standard of appellate review—viewing the evi-
    dence in the light most favorable to the state and giving the
    746                                       State v. Hedgpeth
    factfinder the deference to which he was entitled, including
    to draw reasonable inferences from the evidence—I would
    conclude that the trial court did not err in denying defen-
    dant’s motion for judgment of acquittal.
    On the merits, this case turns on the elusive line
    between permissible inferences and impermissible specula-
    tion. The majority importantly—and correctly—rejects the
    suggestion in the Court of Appeals’ majority opinion that a
    factfinder cannot draw a conclusion from facts unless that
    conclusion follows as a result of “probability and logic.” 290
    Or App at 406. The Court of Appeals majority seemed to
    view inductive logic as an invalid means of reaching rational
    conclusions, when that plainly is not correct. The majority
    instead reaffirms our cases holding that we defer to the fact-
    finder whenever “the evidence may give rise to multiple rea-
    sonable inferences.” 365 Or at 732.
    But I part ways with the majority when it concludes
    that the trial court’s finding that defendant drove with a
    BAC of at least .08 was not a reasonable inference that could
    be drawn from the record here. The basis for the majority’s
    position is that, although it may be “common knowledge”
    that alcohol is absorbed into the blood and then dissipates
    over time, the rates of absorption and dissipation, and the
    factors that affect those rates in any particular circum-
    stance, are not common knowledge. Without that “common
    knowledge” to link defendant’s BAC of .09 percent measured
    two hours after the last moment at which he could possibly
    have consumed alcohol to a BAC of .08 or more at the time
    he was driving, the majority holds, defendant should have
    been acquitted without a trial.
    But although the majority cites various scientific
    studies about alcohol absorption and dissipation rates, none
    of those support the majority’s conclusion about what is or
    is not “common knowledge” among judges or jurors. Nor do
    those studies support the majority’s conclusion that it was
    unreasonable for the trial judge here to infer from the evi-
    dence at trial that defendant was driving with a BAC of at
    least .08 percent. Although jurors may not know the details
    of absorption and dissipation rates, even occasional drinkers
    Cite as 
    365 Or 724
     (2019)                                 747
    and high school students who have taken mandatory heath
    education classes, as well as experienced trial court judges,
    know that the effects of alcohol increase after consumption
    and then decrease. They also know that whether one has
    eaten before or while consuming alcohol, the type of food
    one has eaten, one’s body weight, and other individual and
    circumstantial factors can influence the effects of alcohol
    consumption and the duration of those effects. From that
    common knowledge, they also can draw a reasonable infer-
    ence (even if, as the majority acknowledges, it is not a logi-
    cally necessary inference) that a BAC level that is measured
    at least two hours after the last consumption of alcohol and
    is above the legal limit strongly suggests that the BAC level
    also was above the legal limit when defendant was driving
    two hours earlier.
    What the studies described by the majority do show
    is the many variables that can affect the BAC measure-
    ment for a particular individual on a particular occasion.
    As noted, in my view, members of the public have a layper-
    son’s understanding that alcohol is absorbed into the blood
    over some time period after drinking and at some point
    begins to dissipate, and that a number of factors (only some
    of which they may be aware of) can affect those rates. But
    the asserted complexity of inferring an earlier BAC while
    driving from a later test for DUII purposes, upon which the
    majority relies, although not particularly persuasive as to
    this defendant, in fact calls into question the entire enter-
    prise of measuring BAC levels, whether through a breath
    test, as here, or a blood draw that is tested in a labora-
    tory. The majority enumerates multiple variables as to the
    time that an individual may reach peak BAC (in addition to
    the most obvious factors such as the amount of alcohol con-
    sumed and when it was last consumed), including weight,
    gender, type of beverage, “fed or fasted state,” drinking pat-
    terns, alcohol tolerance, “the anatomy of the gastrointesti-
    nal canal,” and the individual’s mental state. 365 Or at 740-
    41. If all those variables must be known for a post-driving
    BAC test to be used to determine whether the driver’s BAC
    was at least .08 percent when he or she was driving, one
    wonders whether any BAC measurement could ever be the
    basis for a DUII conviction.
    748                                                       State v. Hedgpeth
    Although not mentioned in the majority opinion,
    as a practical matter, this decision may well mean that the
    state will have to present expert testimony in every case
    about absorption and dissipation rates and about at least
    some of the factors mentioned above that might affect those
    rates.1 The defendant might also want to present expert
    testimony, but because the burden is on the state to prove
    the facts beyond a reasonable doubt, the defendant, like
    defendant here, may simply raise general questions about
    the validity of BAC measurement and extrapolation—and
    cite today’s decision. But the state’s expert will encounter
    a problem. To answer the challenges posed by the majority,
    the expert would want information on the variables men-
    tioned above, including most importantly, when the driver
    last drank (and ate) and what and how much, weight, alco-
    hol tolerance, drinking patterns, and so on. Yet that infor-
    mation ordinarily will be available only from the driver,
    and the driver need not answer any questions that might
    incriminate him. See State v. Scott, 
    343 Or 195
    , 203, 166
    P3d 528 (2007) (interrogation for purposes of right against
    self-incrimination extends to police conduct that police
    should know is “reasonably likely to elicit an incriminat-
    ing response,” which means “any inculpatory or exculpatory
    response that the prosecution later may seek to introduce
    at trial”); State v. Fish, 
    321 Or 48
    , 60, 
    893 P2d 1023
     (1995)
    (holding aspects of field sobriety tests that required an indi-
    vidual to provide information about residence, date of birth,
    beliefs, knowledge, or state of mind unconstitutional as “tes-
    timonial” for purposes of Article I, section 12, of the Oregon
    Constitution).
    The majority fails to mention this obvious problem
    (or to explain why it is not a problem) or to provide any
    guidance for prosecutors who wish to use BAC evidence.
    Of course, testimony about the driver weaving back and
    forth, slurring her words, the smell of alcohol, and so on can
    always be used to help prove that the driver was driving
    1
    But the majority seems to throw cold water even on such expert testimony,
    at least in circumstances like those present here: “Indeed, * * * the complexity [of
    extrapolating from a BAC measurement] can leave even experts unable to reach
    a nonspeculative decision on a record as sparse as the record in this case.” 365 Or
    at 739.
    Cite as 
    365 Or 724
     (2019)                                                    749
    under the influence of intoxicants. But the legislature’s
    purpose in establishing a more consistent, objective means
    of determining when one is driving under the influence
    of intoxicants—the BAC test—will have been seriously
    undermined.
    Perhaps concerned about the potential consequences
    of its decision, the majority points to multiple aspects of this
    case to suggest that it may be an outlier: The prosecutor chose
    to rely only on a per se theory, depending almost entirely on
    the BAC evidence; the trial court (erroneously, in the major-
    ity’s view) excluded testimony by the state’s expert; the state
    failed to cross-assign error to that trial court ruling; no one
    asked the arresting officer about defendant’s appearance
    or demeanor; the record was “sparse”; the BAC level was
    only slightly above the legal limit of .08 percent.2 Perhaps
    in the next case, the state will not choose to pursue only a
    per se theory (although the legislature presumably estab-
    lished the per se test in order to simplify DUII cases); per-
    haps the trial judge will allow the state’s expert to testify,
    despite the majority’s previously noted caution (or if not, the
    state will appeal the erroneous ruling); perhaps the officer
    will offer additional testimony about the appearance, bad
    driving, demeanor, or smell of alcohol on the driver’s breath
    to support the charge. Perhaps.
    But I am concerned that the majority’s stark
    conclusion—that it is not permissible for a factfinder to
    infer that a driver whose BAC level was .09 percent two
    hours after being arrested for DUII had a BAC of level of
    at least .08 percent when he was driving—will unneces-
    sarily hinder the state’s efforts to deter and punish drunk
    driving.
    I respectfully dissent.
    Baldwin, S. J., joins in this dissent.
    2
    Query at what post-driving BAC level the majority would draw the line and
    hold that an inference of .08 percent or more at the time of driving would be “rea-
    sonable.” Query, too, how the majority would approach a measured BAC of .09
    percent 20 minutes after driving, or four hours after driving. Given the appar-
    ently daunting complexity of the task, the viability of the entire BAC testing
    protocol seems potentially at risk.
    

Document Info

Docket Number: S065921

Citation Numbers: 365 Or. 724

Judges: Flynn

Filed Date: 11/21/2019

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 10/24/2024