Davis v. Kelly ( 2020 )


Menu:
  •                                        253
    Argued and submitted December 3, 2018, affirmed April 1, petition for review
    denied August 27, 2020 (
    366 Or 826
    )
    MICHAEL ANDRE DAVIS,
    Petitioner-Appellant,
    v.
    Brandon KELLY,
    Superintendent,
    Oregon State Penitentiary,
    Defendant-Respondent.
    Marion County Circuit Court
    09C22052; A163243
    461 P3d 1043
    Petitioner appeals a post-conviction judgment that denied post-conviction
    relief with respect to the guilt phase of his trial. The post-conviction court con-
    cluded that trial counsel performed deficiently in three respects: failing to dis-
    credit the state medical examiner’s conclusion about the time of death based on
    the gastric contents of one of the victims; acquiescing to the perpetuation depo-
    sition of a dying witness and the admission of the videotaped testimony at trial;
    and failing to establish that a number of the state’s witnesses had an oppor-
    tunity to conspire and fabricate testimony during their overlapping periods of
    incarceration. The post-conviction court nonetheless denied relief on those claims
    because it determined that petitioner did not prove that the deficiencies preju-
    diced him. On appeal, petitioner argues that the post-conviction court’s prejudice
    determination was erroneous and that he is entitled to relief in the form of a new
    trial. The superintendent defends the court’s prejudice determination and cross-
    assigns error to the court’s determinations regarding deficient performance.
    Held: Petitioner failed to demonstrate that trial counsel made an unreasonable
    decision to agree to perpetuate testimony in exchange for a continuance to better
    prepare for trial. In light of that earlier choice, and the fact that petitioner was
    given an opportunity to cross-examine the witness during that deposition, peti-
    tioner also failed to demonstrate that subsequent trial counsel made an unrea-
    sonable decision by not lodging an objection to playing the videotape at trial—an
    objection that would have been futile. And, even assuming that counsel’s per-
    formance was deficient with regard to establishing an opportunity for prisoners
    to conspire against petitioner and the handling of the medical examiner’s tes-
    timony regarding time of death, the post-conviction court correctly determined
    that petitioner failed to prove that those deficiencies could have tended to affect
    the outcome of the trial.
    Affirmed.
    Paul G. Crowley, Judge pro tempore.
    Andy Simrin argued the cause for appellant. Also on the
    opening brief were Andy Simrin PC and Peter B. Fahy. Also
    254                                         Davis v. Kelly
    on the reply brief on cross-assignment of error was Andy
    Simrin PC.
    Rebecca M. Auten, Assistant Attorney General, argued
    the cause for respondent. Also on the briefs were Ellen F.
    Rosenblum, Attorney General, and Benjamin Gutman,
    Solicitor General.
    Before Lagesen, Presiding Judge, and DeVore, Judge, and
    James, Judge.
    LAGESEN, P. J.
    Affirmed.
    Cite as 
    303 Or App 253
     (2020)                               255
    LAGESEN, P. J.
    Petitioner was sentenced to death for the murder
    of two people. In this post-conviction proceeding, the post-
    conviction court granted post-conviction relief as to the pen-
    alty phase of petitioner’s case but denied relief as to the guilt
    phase. With regard to the guilt phase, the post-conviction
    court concluded that trial counsel performed deficiently in
    three respects: failing to discredit the state medical exam-
    iner’s conclusion about the time of death based on the gas-
    tric contents of one of the victims; acquiescing to the per-
    petuation deposition of a dying witness and the admission
    of the videotaped testimony at trial; and failing to establish
    that a number of the state’s witnesses had an opportunity to
    conspire and fabricate testimony during their overlapping
    periods of incarceration. The court nonetheless denied relief
    on those guilt-phase claims because it determined that peti-
    tioner did not prove that those deficiencies prejudiced him.
    On appeal, petitioner argues that the post-conviction
    court’s prejudice determination was erroneous and that he
    is entitled to relief in the form of a new trial as to his guilt.
    The superintendent defends the court’s prejudice determi-
    nation and cross-assigns error to the court’s determina-
    tions regarding deficient performance. As explained below,
    we agree with the superintendent that petitioner failed to
    demonstrate that trial counsel’s approach to the perpetu-
    ation deposition amounted to deficient performance. And,
    even assuming that counsel’s performance was deficient
    with regard to establishing an opportunity for prisoners to
    conspire against petitioner and the handling of the medi-
    cal examiner’s testimony regarding time of death, the post-
    conviction court correctly determined that petitioner failed
    to prove that those deficiencies prejudiced petitioner, that is,
    that they tended to affect the outcome of the trial. We there-
    fore affirm.
    I. BACKGROUND
    A.   Underlying Criminal Trial Proceedings
    The Supreme Court’s opinion on direct appeal pro-
    vides a helpful summary of the events giving rise to petitioner’s
    post-conviction case, and we draw from that summary here
    256                                                           Davis v. Kelly
    unless otherwise noted.1 See State v. Davis, 
    345 Or 551
    , 554-
    63, 201 P3d 185 (2008).
    On Sunday, November 3, 1991, the police found the
    bodies of Phillips and Flannigan inside a motel room at the
    Ara’Bel Motel. Inside the room, investigators found four .45
    caliber shell casings, all of which had been fired from the
    same pistol, and three spent bullets; a fourth spent bullet
    was later found in Phillips’s body. Investigators also found
    several personal items and recently purchased food prod-
    ucts, but they found no useful fingerprints in the room. 
    Id. at 554
    .
    The state medical examiner, Gunson, performed
    autopsies on both Phillips and Flannigan. Based on the
    partially digested food in Phillips’s stomach, combined
    with information concerning the time that Phillips last had
    eaten, Gunson concluded that Phillips had died between
    8:45 to 10:45 p.m. or 11:00 p.m. on November 2.2 Gunson was
    unable to use the undigested food in Flannigan’s stomach to
    assess her time of death, because Gunson had no informa-
    tion about when Flannigan last had eaten. 
    Id. at 555
    .
    Detectives interviewed petitioner shortly after the
    murders and learned that he had met Flannigan sometime
    in October 1991 at the Five Spot Tavern where she worked.
    At the time, petitioner had been living with his half-brother,
    Foreman. Petitioner and Flannigan had started dating,
    and they eventually both moved into the apartment of
    Bynum. According to petitioner, Flannigan stopped return-
    ing to the apartment, and petitioner eventually learned
    that Flannigan had resumed her relationship with her
    ex-boyfriend (Phillips). A few days later, when Flannigan
    returned to Bynum’s apartment to retrieve her clothing,
    1
    The Supreme Court explained that it was stating the facts in the light most
    favorable to the state, which is not the standard that applies to our review of
    the post-conviction judgment. To the extent that aspects of the trial record now
    must be viewed differently in light of the issues presented at the post-conviction
    proceedings, we discuss those aspects of the record later in the opinion.
    2
    The Supreme Court’s opinion reflects the window described in Gunson’s
    pretrial testimony, 8:20 to 10:20 p.m. At trial, Gunson put the time of death in a
    two-hour window from 8:45 to 10:45 p.m., “maybe up to 11,” as opposed to 8:20 to
    10:20 p.m.
    Cite as 
    303 Or App 253
     (2020)                           257
    Flannigan and petitioner argued about a $500 debt and
    Flannigan left on foot without her clothing. Id. at 556.
    Petitioner told detectives that, on the day of the
    murders, he and Bynum had planned that night to go to a
    friend’s house to watch a Trail Blazers game on television,
    but that he decided to go home instead. He said that Bynum
    dropped him off at their apartment between 6:30 p.m. and
    6:45 p.m., and that Bynum later called him at the apart-
    ment during halftime, between 8:00 p.m. and 8:30 p.m., to
    tell him that he was not missing anything because the cable
    TV connection had gone out. Petitioner also told detectives
    that, between 10:00 p.m. and 10:30 p.m., he drove one of
    Bynum’s cars to a Safeway store, bought beer and cigarettes,
    and returned to the apartment. Bynum was home when he
    returned and, a short time later, Foreman arrived at the
    apartment with a friend. Foreman, his friend, and petitioner
    then went to the New York Diner, a nightclub, where they
    remained until closing time, about 2:30 a.m. They then tried
    to eat at restaurants but the restaurants were too crowded,
    so they returned to Bynum’s apartment between 3:00 a.m.
    and 4:00 a.m. on November 3. Id. at 557.
    Bynum gave statements to detectives that were
    consistent with petitioner’s. Bynum also stated that peti-
    tioner had taken one of his cars without permission and
    that Bynum had called Foreman to ask about petitioner’s
    whereabouts, but, as he did, petitioner walked in carrying a
    40-ounce bottle of beer. Id.
    Detectives also interviewed Foreman, who told them
    that he and two friends—Lowery and Payne—had planned
    to go to the Trail Blazers game at halftime and watch it in
    the arena. Foreman said that, when they could not get into
    the game, they went to the Five Spot between 9:00 p.m. and
    9:15 p.m., where Flannigan was dancing. Foreman said he
    and his friends left the Five Spot soon after Flannigan fin-
    ished her shift, around 9:30 p.m. and 9:45 p.m., and went
    to a Safeway store and then to a 7-Eleven store. After that,
    they dropped Payne off at the University of Portland, went
    to a McDonald’s, and then went to Bynum’s apartment
    sometime between 10:30 p.m. and 11:30 p.m. to pick up peti-
    tioner. Foreman stated that the group, including petitioner,
    258                                            Davis v. Kelly
    then went to the New York Diner and remained there until
    2:30 a.m., then attempted to eat at two restaurants that were
    too crowded, and finally dropped petitioner back at Bynum’s
    apartment between 4:00 a.m. and 4:30 a.m. on November 3.
    Detectives got a similar description of events from Lowery.
    They were not able to locate Payne. Id. at 557-58.
    The investigation stalled until 1996, when a person
    named Grihm, who was facing unrelated criminal charges,
    disclosed to police that petitioner was involved in the mur-
    ders. Grihm had been staying in Portland with his sister,
    who was in a sporadic relationship with petitioner and had
    lived with him for several years in the mid-1990s. Grihm
    told detectives that he had overheard two conversations in
    which petitioner and Grihm’s sister talked about Flannigan
    and Phillips, and that petitioner had admitted killing them.
    Id. at 559-60.
    The investigation then stalled again until a break in
    April 2002, when detectives learned that petitioner, who had
    been incarcerated on other charges at the Eastern Oregon
    Correctional Institution, admitted to an inmate there, Teal,
    that he had killed Flannigan and Phillips. Detectives inter-
    viewed Teal on May 17, 2002, and he informed them that
    he had been petitioner’s weightlifting partner in prison
    and that petitioner had told him that Flannigan had stolen
    $70,000 from Bynum and had purchased a Mercedes Benz
    for Phillips. According to Teal, petitioner had characterized
    himself as a hit man for Bynum and described in detail how
    he had murdered Flannigan and Phillips. After interview-
    ing Teal, detectives again interviewed petitioner, and peti-
    tioner confirmed that his statements in the previous inves-
    tigative report were correct. Id. at 561.
    By then, Bynum was under investigation for drug
    trafficking, and detectives reinterviewed him as well. He
    initially confirmed the statements that he had made to
    detectives in 1991. But then he negotiated a deal in which
    the state would agree to a reduction in Bynum’s sentence on
    the drug trafficking charge in exchange for his participation
    in the murder case against petitioner. At that point, Bynum
    changed his earlier story in one regard: He reported that he
    could not remember whether he had telephoned petitioner
    Cite as 
    303 Or App 253
     (2020)                           259
    during halftime of the basketball game, no longer corrob-
    orating petitioner’s whereabouts from 8:00 to 8:30 p.m. on
    the night of the murders. He also added a new admission
    from petitioner: that, after the 1991 interview with detec-
    tives, Bynum had asked petitioner whether he had killed
    Flannigan and Phillips, and petitioner said, “Yeah, I killed
    them, Cuz.” Id. at 561.
    Detectives then interviewed another inmate who
    had been part of petitioner’s weightlifting circle in prison,
    Modaff. Modaff told detectives that petitioner had talked
    about having problems with a black pimp and a white girl,
    referring to Phillips and Flannigan, and told Modaff that
    “I got them motherfuckers.” Modaff also reported that their
    weightlifting circle grew to include Ford and Eddie Lee
    Davis. Modaff asked petitioner why he had let Ford and
    Davis join the group, and petitioner replied something to
    the effect of, “You keep your friends close, and your enemies
    even closer.” Modaff asked what he meant by that, and peti-
    tioner explained that he had killed a member of Davis’s fam-
    ily. Investigators later confirmed that Phillips was related
    to Davis. Id. at 562-63.
    In light of those new developments, police renewed
    their efforts to locate Payne, who had been with petitioner
    on the night of the murders but had not previously been
    interviewed. A detective eventually found him in Helsinki,
    Finland, and interviewed him by phone in October 2002.
    Payne told the detective that, on the night of the murders,
    he had been in Foreman’s SUV with Lowery, petitioner,
    and a fifth person, whom he could not remember, and that
    Foreman had been driving. Payne said that petitioner had
    been extremely angry and upset over $500 that Flannigan
    had stolen from him and used to buy a car for another man.
    According to Payne, petitioner was “ranting and raving”
    about how he was going to kill Flannigan and was load-
    ing a .45 caliber pistol and telling the others in the vehi-
    cle that they had the next 45 minutes to establish an alibi.
    Payne recalled dropping petitioner off between 9:00 p.m.
    and 10:00 p.m. at the motel. Id. at 562. Payne also told the
    detective that, shortly after he had learned about the mur-
    ders in the news, petitioner had threatened to kill him if he
    260                                               Davis v. Kelly
    talked to the police. Payne explained that, after that call, he
    avoided any contact with the police. Id. at 563.
    Payne returned to Portland from Finland to testify
    before the grand jury on November 7, 2002, and the pros-
    ecutor and detectives reinterviewed Lowery on the same
    date. Lowery revealed several details that he previously
    had not told police, including that, after failing to get into
    the Trail Blazers game at halftime, he and Foreman had
    met petitioner in the parking lot of a bar across the street
    from the Ara’Bel Motel between 9:00 p.m. and 10:00 p.m.
    Lowery said that they drove to the University of Portland
    without petitioner, dropped Payne off at his dormitory, and
    went to the New York Diner. While they were there, peti-
    tioner called Foreman on his cell phone, and they left to pick
    him up at Bynum’s apartment; on the way there, Foreman
    told Lowery that petitioner had just killed two people. They
    then picked up petitioner at Bynum’s and returned to the
    New York Diner, where they stayed until closing. Lowery
    also told detectives that, after police initially interviewed
    petitioner about the murders in 1991, Lowery and Foreman
    constructed an alibi and agreed to tell police the truth about
    everything that had happened that night, but to leave out
    the trip to the parking lot across from the Ara’Bel Motel.
    Lowery said that petitioner later thanked him for providing
    an alibi. Id. at 563-64.
    Petitioner was subsequently indicted on eight counts
    of aggravated murder with a firearm and four counts
    of aggravated felony murder with a firearm for killing
    Flannigan and Phillips. A jury found petitioner guilty of all
    counts and, after a penalty-phase proceeding, the trial court
    sentenced him to death. On direct and automatic appeal,
    the Supreme Court affirmed the convictions and death sen-
    tence. Id. at 593.
    B. Post-Conviction Proceedings and Issues on Appeal
    Petitioner subsequently initiated this post-conviction
    proceeding, alleging that his attorneys provided inadequate
    and ineffective assistance of counsel under Article I, section 11,
    of the Oregon Constitution and the Sixth Amendment to the
    United States Constitution, in both the guilt and penalty
    Cite as 
    303 Or App 253
     (2020)                                                261
    phases of his trial. The superintendent conceded below that
    petitioner was entitled to post-conviction relief with regard
    to his death sentence, and petitioner has since been resen-
    tenced to a life sentence without the possibility of parole.3
    Accordingly, only specifications related to the guilt phase of
    his trial remain at issue.
    As relevant to this appeal, petitioner alleged three
    ways in which his post-conviction counsel’s assistance fell
    below constitutional standards during the guilt phase of
    his trial.4 First, he alleged that his counsel “failed to dis-
    credit, by means of an independent pathologist or cross-
    examination with reference to learned treatises, testimony
    by medical examiner Karen Gunson regarding her deter-
    mination of Phillips’s time of death on the basis of the con-
    tents of his stomach.” Second, he alleged that counsel was
    constitutionally inadequate in failing to object to the state’s
    presentation of videotaped deposition testimony from Teal, a
    key witness for the state who died before the criminal trial.
    And, third, he alleged that counsel failed to establish that
    witnesses like Teal, who claimed that petitioner had con-
    fessed to them in prison, had been housed together and had
    an opportunity “to collaborate in their accusations against
    him.”
    After a two-day hearing, the post-conviction court
    issued a detailed letter opinion in which it agreed with peti-
    tioner that trial counsel had performed deficiently in those
    three respects. But, the court concluded, petitioner was
    not prejudiced by counsel’s failings. The court ruled that
    the three specifications, whether standing alone or viewed
    cumulatively, were not “trial outcome-changing issues”
    in light of the overwhelming strength of the state’s case.
    3
    Petitioner had alleged, and the superintended conceded, that trial coun-
    sel failed to investigate and assert that petitioner’s mental capacity and level
    of adaptive behavior rendered him ineligible for the death penalty. The post-
    conviction court entered a limited judgment on that issue, remanding the case
    to the trial court for an Atkins hearing to determine petitioner’s eligibility. See
    Atkins v. Virginia, 
    536 US 304
    , 321, 
    122 S Ct 2242
    , 
    153 L Ed 2d 335
     (2002).
    Following that hearing, petitioner was determined to be ineligible for the death
    penalty, and the parties stipulated to a life sentence without the possibility of
    parole.
    4
    Petitioner raised a number of other specifications of inadequate assistance
    related to the guilt phase that are not before us.
    262                                             Davis v. Kelly
    Accordingly, the post-conviction court entered a judgment
    denying relief as to the guilt phase of petitioner’s trial.
    Petitioner appeals that judgment, arguing that the
    post-conviction court erred in its prejudice assessment. The
    superintendent defends the post-conviction court’s conclu-
    sion regarding prejudice and also cross-assigns error to the
    post-conviction court’s rulings as to counsel’s performance,
    which the superintendent argues met state and federal con-
    stitutional standards.
    II. APPLICABLE LEGAL PRINCIPLES AND
    STANDARD OF REVIEW
    Under Article I, section 11, a criminal defendant has a
    right to a lawyer who provides adequate assistance. To estab-
    lish that his counsel rendered inadequate assistance within
    the meaning of that provision, petitioner was required to
    prove two elements: (1) a performance element—that trial
    counsel “failed to exercise reasonable professional skill and
    judgment”; and (2) a prejudice element—in this context,
    that counsel’s failure had “ ‘a tendency to affect the result of
    his trial.’ ” Johnson v. Premo, 
    361 Or 688
    , 699, 399 P3d 431
    (2017) (quoting Lichau v. Baldwin, 
    333 Or 350
    , 359, 39 P3d
    851 (2002)). To satisfy the performance prong, a petitioner
    must prove that counsel’s decision “reflects an absence of
    reasonable professional skill and judgment,” a question
    that “turns on the facts known to counsel at the time that
    [counsel] made that decision.” Cartrette v. Nooth, 
    284 Or App 834
    , 841, 395 P3d 627 (2017). As for the prejudice prong,
    “because many different factors can affect the outcome of a
    jury trial, in that setting, the tendency to affect the outcome
    standard demands more than mere possibility, but less than
    probability.” Green v. Franke, 
    357 Or 301
    , 322, 350 P3d 188
    (2015).
    A functionally equivalent two-element standard
    governs claims of ineffective assistance of counsel under the
    Sixth Amendment. Johnson, 
    361 Or at 699
    . To prevail under
    the federal standard, petitioner was required to demon-
    strate that “trial counsel’s performance ‘fell below an objec-
    tive standard of reasonableness,’ ” and also that “there was a
    ‘reasonable probability that, but for counsel’s unprofessional
    Cite as 
    303 Or App 253
     (2020)                                               263
    errors, the result of the proceeding would have been differ-
    ent.’ ” Id. at 700 (quoting Strickland v. Washington, 
    466 US 668
    , 688, 694, 
    104 S Ct 2052
    , 
    80 L Ed 2d 674
     (1984)).
    In reviewing the post-conviction court’s determina-
    tions concerning adequate performance and prejudice, our
    review “is not open-ended. We review such proceedings for
    errors of law,” and a “post-conviction court’s findings of his-
    torical fact are binding on this court if there is evidence in
    the record to support them.” Green, 
    357 Or at 312
    . If the
    post-conviction court did not make express findings of fact
    on all the issues—and there is evidence from which such facts
    could be decided more than one way—we will presume that
    the facts were decided consistently with the post-conviction
    court’s conclusions of law. 
    Id.
    We examine each of the challenged rulings of the
    post-conviction court in light of the foregoing standards.
    III.   DISCUSSION
    A.    Failure to Object to the Presentation of Teal’s Deposition
    Testimony
    The state’s case, as recounted above, relied heavily
    on evidence that petitioner confessed both murders to vari-
    ous inmates, including Teal, petitioner’s weightlifting part-
    ner at the Eastern Oregon Correctional Institution. Teal
    had agreed to cooperate with prosecutors in exchange for
    his own early release from prison. He was terminally ill.
    At a pretrial hearing in November 2003, petitioner’s
    attorneys at the time, Krasik and Shertz, sought to postpone
    the trial date that was set for the following March. The pros-
    ecutor explained that the state was ready to try the case in
    March and objected to petitioner’s request for a continuance,
    but he also signaled the state’s willingness to accommodate
    petitioner’s motion.5 The prosecutor explained:
    “And before you ultimately decide, one of the state’s
    positions, and all of this has been discussed with counsel,
    one of the state’s expected witnesses, a Mr. Ronald Teal,
    5
    The prosecutor stated, “[T]here’s the table pounding objection and the other
    type of objection. And this is that. We are ready. We could try it.”
    264                                                 Davis v. Kelly
    I’m told is quite ill, possibly life threatening illness. And I
    get this from his parole officer and from a significant other
    of his. I haven’t spoken with him recently.
    “* * * [Teal] may pass away in the relevant time period
    in front of us.
    “So one of the things the state has let defense know, is
    that pursuant to ORS 136.080 would ask that before you
    order this trial altered or different than March, is that we
    perpetuate Mr. Teal’s testimony.”
    The statute cited by the state, ORS 136.080, pro-
    vides:
    “When an application is made for the postponement of a
    trial, the court may in its discretion require as a condition
    precedent to granting the same that the party applying
    therefor consent that the deposition of a witness may be
    taken and read on the trial of the case. Unless such consent
    is given, the court may refuse to allow such postponement
    for any cause.”
    Following the state’s request, the trial court
    explained to petitioner that the decision to postpone was
    ultimately petitioner’s but that, “if in fact we do have to set
    it over, we probably will have to perpetuate this person’s tes-
    timony. If the person lives, great, we don’t use it.” The court
    explained that, even in the case of a deposition, the court
    would still be ruling “on what is and is not admissible” and
    that “[w]e will preserve your right to confrontation, which is
    really an eyeball to eyeball thing. And we’ll have to video-
    tape it in a way so that the witness is visible to the jury. So
    you really aren’t giving anything up. It is your request.”
    After petitioner was given an opportunity to con-
    sult with Krasik and Shertz, petitioner told the trial court
    that he had no further questions about the matter. Krasik
    then stated, “We would join in the state’s request to perpet-
    uate Mr. Teal’s testimony, and do it in a manner that we
    believe we can work out.” The court then asked petitioner
    again whether he understood why his lawyers were seeking
    a continuance, and petitioner responded that he understood
    their reasoning and was satisfied that it was in his interest
    Cite as 
    303 Or App 253
     (2020)                             265
    to obtain additional time between March and October. The
    court then stated, “All right. Then with those two under-
    standings, I would reset it.”
    Teal’s deposition was subsequently taken in court
    and videotaped, with petitioner present, and subject to
    cross-examination by Shertz and Krasik; a judge was also
    present and ruling on objections. Teal died before trial, and
    the videotaped deposition, in which Teal recounted a confes-
    sion from petitioner, was later played for the jury. By that
    time, petitioner had new lawyers, and they did not object
    when the testimony was played.
    In his petition for post-conviction relief, petitioner
    alleged that counsel was inadequate in failing to “object to
    the presentation to the jury of the videotaped perpetuation
    deposition of witness Ronald Teal.” At the post-conviction
    hearing, petitioner argued that an objection to playing the
    testimony would have been sustained, because it violated
    petitioner’s right to confront witnesses; in his view, even
    though Teal had been subject to cross-examination by Shertz
    and Krasik during the deposition, they were no longer part
    of the defense team at the time of trial, and the two-dimen-
    sional image of Teal was no substitute for a living person.
    Petitioner argued that, in light of the prosecution’s focus on
    Teal—more than 80 references to him during arguments to
    the jury—he was prejudiced by the lack of an objection to
    the admission of Teal’s testimony.
    The post-conviction court agreed that counsel per-
    formed deficiently, stating that it was not aware of “any
    legal authority for the perpetuation” apart from the stipu-
    lation; that the trial court had “failed to ascertain whether
    Petitioner understood the confrontation clause issues related
    to agreeing to perpetuated testimony”; and that, “in the
    absence of any detail of the reasons for a need to continue
    the case,” the decision by Krasik and Shertz to agree to the
    deposition was unreasonable. The court further explained
    that, irrespective of the stipulation by Krasik and Shertz,
    petitioner’s trial counsel could have objected to the presen-
    tation based on the confrontation clause, thereby preserv-
    ing the issue for appellate review. Thus, the court concluded
    266                                                 Davis v. Kelly
    that petitioner “has proven error in (i) the initial agreement
    to the perpetuation and (ii) the failure to object to the evi-
    dence being presented at trial.”
    The superintendent cross-assigns error to that rul-
    ing, arguing that the record reflects legitimate, good-faith
    reasons for Krasik and Shertz to have sought the contin-
    uance, that both petitioner and his counsel expressly stip-
    ulated to the perpetuation deposition in exchange for the
    continuance, and that, under those circumstances, a subse-
    quent objection by trial counsel would have been futile. We
    agree with the superintendent.
    The post-conviction court appears to have assessed
    trial counsels’ initial decision to agree to the perpetuation
    of Teal’s testimony based on an erroneous view of the record.
    The post-conviction court stated that it was required to ana-
    lyze the reasonableness of the decision “solely on the weight
    of Teal’s testimony and the jurors’ inability to make a face-
    to-face assessment of his credibility,” because of the “absence
    of any detail of the reasons for a need to continue the case.”
    But the trial transcript and court file, which were part of
    the record before the post-conviction court, detail exactly
    why petitioner’s counsel sought the continuance.
    In an affidavit in support of a written motion for a
    continuance, Shertz laid out the reason for the request:
    “The reason for this request for continuance is: this case
    when it was charged was already twelve years old. Finding
    witnesses has been difficult and sometimes impossible.
    There have been changes in [petitioner’s] defense team.
    More importantly, a case that until two weeks ago had a
    codefendant no longer has a codefendant because the state
    chose to dismiss the case against [petitioner’s] brother,
    Edgar Foreman. This has led to a substantial shifting of
    the legal posture this case is in; evidence which was pre-
    viously admissible no longer is, witnesses who previously
    were likely to testify in this case have become irrelevant.
    In short, we simply need additional time to assess our situ-
    ation and provide a competent defense to [petitioner].”
    Then at the hearing, after the prosecutor explained
    his objection to moving the trial date, the trial court identified
    similar reasons that petitioner might need a continuance:
    Cite as 
    303 Or App 253
     (2020)                                267
    “[T]wo things happened. One was that [petitioner’s code-
    fendant] Mr. Foreman was removed from the mix, which
    is really not the defense’s fault in any way, shape or form.
    “But then also, too, evidence keeps turning up, doesn’t
    it? You wait a bit longer, and Lord knows what will turn up.
    So there was another reason why you needed the time. It
    wasn’t just the dismissal against Mr. Foreman.”
    Petitioner’s counsel responded, “That’s correct, Your Honor.”
    Thus, contrary to the post-conviction court’s ruling,
    the record reflects why Krasik and Shertz sought the con-
    tinuance: They believed they needed more time, in light of
    evidentiary complications and a shift in the legal posture of
    the case, to provide a competent defense to petitioner. Under
    those circumstances, it was reasonable for them to conclude
    that the need for the continuance outweighed the risks of
    perpetuating Teal’s testimony, where petitioner would retain
    the right to cross-examine Teal, the court would still rule on
    evidentiary issues, and, as the trial court stated, “If the per-
    son lives, great, we don’t use it.” See Gorham v. 
    Thompson, 332
     Or 560, 567, 34 P3d 161 (2001) (explaining that strategic
    decisions will not be second-guessed during post-conviction
    proceedings unless they reflect “an absence or suspension of
    professional skill and judgment”).
    Nor were petitioner’s subsequent trial counsel
    inadequate for failing to object to playing the deposition
    testimony at trial. Neither the state nor federal constitu-
    tion requires counsel to advance a futile objection. See, e.g.,
    Krummacher v. Gierloff, 
    290 Or 867
    , 884, 
    627 P2d 458
     (1981)
    (stating that “the constitution does not require counsel to
    make useless and futile gestures for the sake of form”). ORS
    136.080, on which the prosecutor and criminal trial court
    relied, is an express exception to the general rule that “the
    testimony of a witness shall be given orally in the presence
    of the court and jury.” ORS 136.420(1) (stating the general
    rule and creating an exception “[i]n the case of a witness
    whose testimony is taken by deposition by order of the court
    in pursuance of the consent of the parties, as provided in
    ORS 136.080 to 136.100”). That exception for perpetuated
    testimony has existed since before the time of statehood,
    and our Supreme Court has held that testimony of a witness
    268                                                             Davis v. Kelly
    obtained pursuant to the statute satisfies Article I, section
    11’s requirement of “face to face” confrontation “when at
    some stage of the case against him in a proceeding autho-
    rized by law, he is confronted with the witness, and given
    an opportunity to cross-examine him.” See State v. Bowker,
    
    26 Or 309
    , 313, 
    38 P 124
     (1894).6 The process of perpetuat-
    ing and admitting the testimony of a since-deceased witness
    in that manner—with the criminal defendant present, and
    with an opportunity for cross-examination by counsel—also
    passes muster under the Sixth Amendment. See Crawford
    v. Washington, 
    541 US 36
    , 68, 
    124 S Ct 1354
    , 
    158 L Ed 2d 177
     (2004) (“Where testimonial evidence is at issue, how-
    ever, the Sixth Amendment demands what the common law
    required: unavailability and a prior opportunity for cross-
    examination.” (Emphasis added.)).7
    In sum, petitioner failed to demonstrate that Krasik
    and Shertz made an unreasonable decision to agree to per-
    petuate Teal’s testimony in exchange for a continuance to
    6
    Bowker, which involved the statutory predecessor to ORS 136.080, is
    directly on point:
    “But the defendant expressly consenting, in open court, to the taking of
    Mrs. Vann’s deposition, the case was postponed, under the provisions of sec-
    tion 1345 of the Code, until a future day. The deposition of Mrs. Vann was
    subsequently taken, in the presence of the defendant and his counsel, and on
    the trial offered in evidence by the state, she having died in the meantime.
    The objection of defendant to this deposition is based upon the contention
    that he had a constitutional right, which he could not waive, to meet the wit-
    nesses against him face to face on the trial, in the presence of the court and
    jury. The constitution of this state provides that in all criminal prosecutions
    the accused shall have the right ‘to meet the witnesses face to face.’ Article 1,
    § 11. But this language does not require that in all cases he shall be confronted
    with the witnesses on a pending trial. The right secured by the constitution
    to the defendant is ‘to meet the witnesses face to face,’ and this requirement is
    satisfied when at some stage of the case against him in a proceeding authorized
    by law, he is confronted with the witness, and given an opportunity to cross-
    examine him.”
    
    26 Or at 313
     (emphasis added).
    7
    The post-conviction court also stated that the trial court “failed to ascer-
    tain whether Petitioner understood the confrontation clause issues related to
    agreeing to perpetuated testimony.” It is not clear what role that observation
    played in the court’s analysis, but we note that the record reflects that the trial
    court gave petitioner an opportunity to speak with counsel about perpetuating
    Teal’s testimony, received assurance from petitioner that his counsel had cleared
    up any questions he had, and then expressly asked petitioner if he understood the
    reasons for seeking a continuance and was satisfied with those reasons, to which
    he responded affirmatively. We are not aware of any authority that would require
    more from the trial court under the circumstances.
    Cite as 
    303 Or App 253
     (2020)                                 269
    better prepare for trial. In light of that earlier choice, and
    the fact that petitioner was given an opportunity to cross-
    examine Teal during that deposition, petitioner also failed
    to demonstrate that subsequent trial counsel made an
    unreasonable decision by not lodging an objection to play-
    ing the videotape at trial—an objection that would have
    been futile. We therefore conclude that the superintendent’s
    cross-assignment of error is dispositive: Petitioner failed to
    prove that he was denied adequate or effective assistance of
    counsel regarding Teal’s perpetuated testimony.
    B.    Failure to Establish that Prisoners had an Opportunity
    to Collaborate in Their Accusations Against Petitioner
    Petitioner’s trial counsel sought to discredit Teal’s
    testimony and that of other “inmate witnesses” on the
    ground that they had lied about petitioner confessing in
    order to obtain more lenient sentences or early release from
    prison. His post-conviction petition alleged that counsel
    should have done more to undermine their testimony by
    establishing “that prisoners who provided evidence against
    Petitioner had opportunity to collaborate in their accusa-
    tions against him”—that is, counsel should have presented
    the jury with information that the inmates’ periods of incar-
    ceration had overlapped, thereby giving them an opportu-
    nity to propagate a false story about alleged confessions.
    In support of that allegation, petitioner presented
    evidence that Krasik had created a spreadsheet and chart
    to show where state informants had been incarcerated and
    at what times, to show “multiple clear pathways for infor-
    mation to be propagated down the line from one to another,
    and back and forth, and overlaps and who was where when.”
    Krasik had provided that information to his successor coun-
    sel, but no evidence or argument related to the chart or
    housing of inmates was presented at trial.
    The post-conviction court agreed with petitioner
    that his trial counsel performed deficiently by failing to
    establish a “propagation line”:
    “A large part of the State’s case was premised upon con-
    fessory statements Petitioner made to many people, includ-
    ing the inmate witnesses. In any case involving inmate wit-
    nesses, motive to fabricate is a common defense argument.
    270                                              Davis v. Kelly
    That a common thread can be woven between the inmates
    in this case, establishing the prospect of a propagation
    line, is a unique argument. Under the desperate defense
    circumstances in this case, the argument should have been
    made. That is not to suggest that the argument would have
    prevailed. It would, however, have given the jurors another
    reason to doubt.”
    The superintendent cross-assigns error to that rul-
    ing, arguing that Krasik’s chart itself would not have been
    admissible because it was hearsay or opinion evidence,
    and that petitioner therefore did not establish that counsel
    performed deficiently by not offering it into evidence. The
    superintendent also argues that, in any event, the post-
    conviction court correctly ruled that the failure to present
    a propagation theory had no tendency to affect the outcome
    of the trial, considering how speculative that theory was on
    this record. Because we agree with the superintendent with
    regard to prejudice, we need not address the parties’ conten-
    tions regarding the performance prong.
    We begin our analysis of prejudice with a brief sum-
    mary of the context in which a propagation theory would
    have been offered by petitioner. The state presented multi-
    ple witnesses who testified that petitioner had talked about
    the murders at various times, both with inmates and with
    people who were not incarcerated. The state called six wit-
    nesses who had been incarcerated and at some point claimed
    to have heard petitioner admit to the murders: Teal, Bynum,
    Modaff, Williams, Wesson, and Weinberger. Two additional
    witnesses who do not appear on Krasik’s chart as inmates,
    Lowery and Grihm, also testified that they heard petitioner
    claim to have murdered Flannigan and Phillips.
    Faced with that evidence, petitioner’s counsel made
    the decision to acknowledge that petitioner had talked about
    the murders and was the source of much of the witnesses’
    knowledge about the case against him. But counsel argued
    that each of the inmates, in order to obtain a benefit from
    the state, then traded on that knowledge or other widely
    available information, inventing additional incriminat-
    ing admissions. For example, with regard to Teal, counsel
    explained:
    Cite as 
    303 Or App 253
     (2020)                                 271
    “The point is, is there anything about Mr. Teal’s infor-
    mation that is so unique, so unknown to anyone else that
    by virtue of the fact that Ronald Teal has that information,
    [petitioner] must have told him or are we getting caught up
    in yet another con game.
    “* * * * *
    “He tells the detectives and he tells you on the video-
    tape Gerald Phillips is a pimp. Well, how hard is it to add
    [petitioner] hates pimps. The woman owed him money.
    [Petitioner] told that to the detectives. [Petitioner] never
    saw any reason to hide that. That was a fact. He’s told the
    police that in 1991. So of course when he talks about his
    case, he’s going to tell Ronald Teal that.”
    (Emphases added.)
    Given that context—where the jury would have no
    reason to doubt that petitioner had talked about his case
    with different inmates—the addition of evidence and argu-
    ment about a possible “propagation line” could only tend to
    affect the jury’s view of the credibility of the inmate wit-
    nesses to the extent it explained something beyond the type
    of general knowledge of the case that they would have had
    from conversations with petitioner—that is, to the extent
    that it would explain either how different witnesses came to
    know about certain specific admissions they later reported
    or why and how they would have conspired against peti-
    tioner. For a number of reasons, that was not the case here.
    First, to the extent that there was any overlap
    between specific details of the testimony about admissions
    between Teal, Modaff, and Williams, the jury was already
    aware of their potential to collude, and petitioner’s counsel
    made that point explicitly in closing. For example, petition-
    er’s counsel pointed out that Teal and Modaff were part of
    the same weightlifting group and that Modaff was there
    “when [petitioner] talked to Ron Teal and said, That guy,
    meaning Eddie Davis, thinks I killed his brother.” With
    regard to Williams, petitioner’s counsel argued, “[Williams]
    tells you that way back when, me and Ron Teal were good
    buddies and me and Ron Teal had lots of conversations
    about this case. So we know where his information came
    from, even if he had any information, we would know where
    272                                                          Davis v. Kelly
    it came from.”8 Additional evidence and argument about a
    propagation line would not have added anything beyond
    what the jury already knew about the credibility of those
    witnesses or the source of their information about petition-
    er’s admissions.
    Second, the post-conviction record does not estab-
    lish that a propagation theory based on Krasik’s chart
    would have had any likelihood of affecting the jury’s assess-
    ment of the credibility of the remaining three inmate
    witnesses—Bynum, Wesson, and Weinberger. It bears
    emphasis that Krasik’s chart and petitioner’s post-conviction
    claim is about establishing the opportunity to conspire, not
    that the witnesses actually associated with one another
    while imprisoned. That distinction is critical with regard to
    Bynum, Wesson, and Weinberger.
    Bynum, unlike the other inmates, was personally
    involved in the underlying events, and his version of the mur-
    ders was diametrically opposed to Teal’s (to recall: In Teal’s
    version of events, Bynum authorized the execution of the
    victims over a financial debt). Under those circumstances, it
    is not likely that a jury would view Bynum’s testimony any
    differently simply because he overlapped with Teal or other
    witnesses who testified against petitioner, without any evi-
    dence that he in fact associated with or spoke to any of those
    other inmates.
    As for Wesson, Krasik’s chart does not show that
    he was incarcerated at the same time with any other wit-
    nesses or informants. The chart reflects that Wesson was
    released from the Oregon State Penitentiary a few weeks
    before Weinberger arrived. Moreover, even if there had been
    an overlapping period of incarceration, it would have been
    clear to the jury that Wesson and Bynum had an opportu-
    nity to share information about the murder. As petitioner’s
    counsel argued during closing:
    “So I questioned [Wesson] directly from a police report
    written by one of the Portland Police Bureau detectives and
    8
    He continued, “I’ll get to Ronald Teal, but keep in mind that Mr. Williams
    has already acknowledged discussing in ‘99, 1999 and 2000 on numerous occa-
    sions what it is Mr. Teal says [petitioner] told him.”
    Cite as 
    303 Or App 253
     (2020)                                  273
    read to him the statement in there that he had had many
    conversations with Eddie Bynum about this case. What did
    he do? He looked at me and he said, No, I didn’t. Yeah, he
    did.”
    (Emphasis added.) Thus, the jury was presented with a more
    plausible and direct line of propagation between Bynum and
    Wesson, and it is implausible to think that a more specu-
    lative and convoluted explanation—that they could have
    encountered and conspired with other inmate witnesses—
    could have had any tendency to affect the jury’s credibility
    assessment of either witness.
    Weinberger was the only inmate witness who,
    during trial, was not tied to other sources of information
    besides petitioner, but who is shown on Krasik’s chart
    as being housed at relevant times with other inmates.9
    However, Weinberger’s testimony about petitioner confess-
    ing to the murders included almost no details of the crimes;
    in fact, he disclaimed knowing any details:
    “[WEINBERGER:] I think I asked him when he was
    getting out, and he said that they wanted to give him the
    rest of his life, they wanted to kill him. And that he was in
    for two murders and said that I might have read about it
    in the paper and, you know, I don’t read the paper a whole
    lot, so I didn’t know nothing about his case. And pretty much
    still don’t.”
    (Emphasis added.) According to Weinberger, when he and
    petitioner were together in the Multnomah County Jail in
    2002, petitioner asked him whether he could be convicted on
    circumstantial evidence. Weinberger testified that, at one
    point in that conversation, petitioner said, “Yeah, I left no
    evidence behind.” That fact was consistent with testimony by
    Wesson, but again, Krasik’s chart does not show that Wesson
    overlapped in prison with Weinberger or other inmate wit-
    nesses. Weinberger further testified that petitioner later told
    him that “I’m willing to die for what I believe in. Those two
    people I killed, I believed they had it coming. I’m willing to
    die for it.” That purported admission—that petitioner would
    do it again because he believed they had it coming—was
    9
    Weinberger is listed by a different name, Hensley.
    274                                             Davis v. Kelly
    not repeated by the other witnesses. In that context, evi-
    dence that Weinberger overlapped with other witnesses and
    merely had an opportunity to conspire against petitioner
    would have done little to cast his testimony in a different
    light, let alone in a way that could have tended to affect the
    verdict. The mere possibility that the jury could have seized
    on a speculative propagation theory is not enough to show
    prejudice under either the state or federal standard. Green,
    
    357 Or at 322
    ; Johnson, 
    361 Or at 700
    .
    For those reasons, we affirm the post-conviction
    court’s denial of relief on the ground that petitioner did not
    prove that his counsel’s failure to establish that prisoners
    had an opportunity to collaborate in their accusations
    against him could have tended to affect the jury’s verdict.
    C. Failure to Discredit Gunson’s Time-of-Death Testimony
    Last, we address petitioner’s claim regarding coun-
    sel’s handling of expert testimony about the time of Phillips’s
    death. As described above, Gunson, the state medical exam-
    iner, testified at trial that, based on the partially digested
    food in Phillips’s stomach, along with information concern-
    ing the time that Phillips had last eaten, it was her opinion
    that Phillips had died between 8:45 p.m. and 11:00 p.m. on
    November 2. That timeline was significant to the state’s case
    because it substantially overlapped with a window of time
    for which petitioner had no alibi. In his petition for post-
    conviction relief, petitioner alleged that counsel was inad-
    equate in failing “to discredit, by means of an independent
    pathologist or cross-examination with reference to learned
    treatises, testimony by medical examiner Karen Gunson
    regarding her determination of Phillips’s time of death on
    the basis of the contents of his stomach.”
    Petitioner supported that allegation with testimony
    from Krasik. When deposed as part of this post-conviction
    proceeding, Krasik testified that he had anticipated Gunson’s
    testimony and consulted with Dr. Brady, who was the state
    medical examiner before Gunson and had served as her
    mentor. Krasik testified that he could have effectively cross-
    examined Gunson with a medical treatise undermining her
    conclusion but that, in any event, Brady was available and
    Cite as 
    303 Or App 253
     (2020)                                275
    would have testified that Gunson’s gut-content analysis was
    “scientifically bankrupt.”
    Petitioner also supported his claim with an affida-
    vit from a specialist in forensic pathology, Dr. Raven, who
    opined that “[u]tilizing gastric contents to estimate the time
    of death is an extremely unreliable method,” and that there
    is “no scientific support in the available literature” to sup-
    port Gunson’s estimate of the narrow two-hour window in
    which Phillips died, because of the myriad variables that
    influence gastric emptying. Among other problems, “and
    probably most importantly, the estimate of the time of
    death is predicated on the statement by a witness of when
    Mr. Phillips consumed a meal. It is not known if this meal
    was indeed the last time Mr. Phillips ate prior to his death.
    He may well have eaten again without the witness’ knowl-
    edge.” From the available data, and without relying on gas-
    tric contents, Raven believed that Phillips’s time of death
    could have ranged anywhere from 5:00 p.m. on November 2
    to 5:00 a.m. on November 3.
    Petitioner argued that counsel’s failure to discredit
    Gunson’s analysis, either through cross-examination or the
    use of an opposing expert, was especially prejudicial because
    it allowed the prosecutor to use petitioner’s own statements
    against him. The prosecutor had argued in closing:
    “Why is the time line [in which petitioner told detec-
    tives that he was alone between 8:00 p.m. and 10:00 to
    10:30 p.m.] so important? Up until very recently, no doubt,
    certainly in 2002 [when petitioner talked to detectives],
    [he] still did not know, would have no way of knowing what
    Dr. Gunson knew.”
    The power of that argument, petitioner contended, had the
    potential to sway the jury’s decision.
    The post-conviction court agreed with petitioner
    that his trial attorneys failed to exercise reasonable skill
    and judgment in not offering available expert testimony
    or cross-examining Gunson about the scientific validity of
    her gastric-content analysis. However, as with the other
    deficiencies it identified in counsel’s performance, the court
    276                                              Davis v. Kelly
    concluded that the mistake did not tend to affect the out-
    come of the trial and denied his claim for post-conviction
    relief.
    Petitioner assigns error to the post-conviction court’s
    prejudice ruling, and the superintendent cross-assigns error
    to the court’s ruling as to counsel’s performance. We agree
    with the court’s conclusion regarding prejudice and affirm
    on that basis. As we will explain, if counsel had discredited
    Gunson’s gut-content analysis through cross-examination
    or an opposing expert, it would have resulted in a larger
    window of time in which the murder could have been
    committed—sometime after Flannigan returned from work
    after her 9:30 p.m. shift until 5:00 or 5:30 a.m. the next morn-
    ing. But that expanded window still would have included
    the period for which petitioner had no alibi (between 8:00
    a.m. and 10:00 to 10:30 a.m.), and the hypothetical possibil-
    ity of a later time of death would have done little under the
    circumstances to affect the jury’s view of (1) other testimony
    putting petitioner at the scene of the crime during that same
    time, just before Flannigan would arrive home from work;
    (2) unchallenged evidence connecting him to the same type
    of weapon that killed the victims; (3) testimony about peti-
    tioner repeatedly confessing to planning to commit or having
    committed the murders during that same window of time—
    including testimony by two witnesses, Payne and Lowery,
    who had no readily discernable motive to fabricate their tes-
    timony; (4) or the absence of any evidence or credible theory
    that the murder actually occurred later, when petitioner had
    an alibi. It is conceivable, in an abstract sense, that intro-
    ducing doubt about Gunson’s theory of the precise time of
    death could have allowed defense counsel to point to a gap in
    the state’s proof in that regard and posit hypothetical expla-
    nations about the murder having occurred sometime after
    10:15 a.m. But the prejudice inquiry requires a petitioner
    to show something more than that an argument could have
    been made; the question is whether the petitioner demon-
    strated something less than a probability but more than a
    mere possibility that the ultimate outcome could have been
    different. See Green, 
    357 Or at 322
    ; Richardson v. Belleque,
    
    362 Or 236
    , 265, 406 P3d 1074 (2017) (explaining that the
    “tendency to affect the outcome” standard involves “the
    Cite as 
    303 Or App 253
     (2020)                             277
    ultimate outcome of the proceedings as to which counsel’s
    deficient performance related”). Petitioner has not done so
    here.
    In assessing the role that counsel’s purported defi-
    ciency could have played at trial, we first note that Gunson’s
    testimony on time of death was not limited to an analysis of
    gastric contents. On direct examination, she explained that
    “the time of death, the determination is based on several
    aspects that we look at at the scene and then later on at the
    autopsy. And it’s an estimate. It is not—you can’t tell exactly
    when somebody died, but you can estimate that time of
    death.” She explained that it is based on “several aspects of
    the case,” including rigor mortis, post-mortem settling of the
    blood, and body temperature. Taking into account those fac-
    tors, she initially estimated the time of death to be between
    3:30 p.m. on November 2 and 3:30 a.m. on November 3.
    Then, accounting for evidence that the investigating officers
    turned down the heat in the motel room quickly upon dis-
    covering the bodies, she testified that the window “might
    move it ahead a little bit more so that maybe it would be 5:30
    on the 2nd to 5:30 in the morning on the 3rd.”
    After providing that broader window, Gunson then
    offered the opinion that is the subject of petitioner’s post-
    conviction claim. She testified that “we know basically how
    long it takes for the stomach to empty of food,” so “we look
    at the gastric contents of everyone we do an autopsy on and
    decide how much food is there. We actually measure it.”
    Based on the contents of Phillips’s stomach, coupled with
    information supplied by Phillips’s girlfriend about when
    Phillips last ate (between 8:30 p.m. and 8:45 p.m.), Gunson
    estimated Phillips’s time of death to be between 8:45 p.m.
    and 10:45 or 11:00 p.m.
    Petitioner’s post-conviction claim is directed solely
    at the latter, narrower estimate. In fact, petitioner’s own
    expert during the post-conviction hearing offered a time-of-
    death window very similar to Gunson’s estimate of 5:30 p.m.
    to 5:30 a.m.; Raven opined that the time of death ranged
    anywhere from 5:00 p.m. on November 2 to 5:00 a.m. on
    November 3, 1991. And, as a practical matter, there was
    no dispute that Flannigan was working until 9:30 p.m. on
    278                                             Davis v. Kelly
    the night of the murders. Therefore, our prejudice analysis
    turns on what difference the two different windows could
    have made to the jury’s determination in this case.
    As petitioner points out, the prosecutor seized on
    the narrower window from 8:45 p.m. to 10:45 or 11:00 p.m.
    during closing, and he emphasized that evidence to the jury
    because it placed the murder in the window in which peti-
    tioner had claimed to have been alone and without an alibi.
    But Gunson’s testimony was hardly the only evidence that
    the murder occurred in that two-hour window when peti-
    tioner lacked an alibi. Rather, all of the most incriminating
    testimony against petitioner put the murder in that very
    same window.
    Two of the state’s most important witnesses, Lowery
    and Payne, both of whom testified to statements made by
    petitioner about the murder, placed petitioner near the site
    of the homicide during the narrower window identified
    by Gunson. They both testified that they were in an SUV
    between 9:00 p.m. and 10:00 p.m. near the Ara’Bel Motel
    when they saw petitioner. Payne testified that he was in an
    SUV driven by Foreman when Foreman said that he needed
    to go meet his brother. He testified that they then pulled
    up to a parking lot where petitioner stepped over to the car.
    Payne testified that petitioner got in the backseat of the car
    and “just rants and raves. He’s upset about the $500 [that
    his girlfriend had taken], saying that she bought another
    person a car.” Payne was asked, “What time period? We’re
    after the halftime of the Blazer game. What time period are
    we talking about at this point?” Payne responded, “Between
    9 and 10” and agreed that it was dark outside.
    Payne further testified that petitioner “pulls out a
    .45” and started to load it with bullets, calling Flannigan
    different names. He testified that petitioner got out of the car
    and “says that we have 45 minutes to be someplace before
    the incident, before he kills her.” Payne also confirmed that
    the parking lot where that occurred was near the Ara’Bel;
    he testified that he later saw the address in a newspaper
    article about the murder and that it was “the same place we
    were at” with petitioner in the car, and that the parking lot
    was “directly across from the motel.”
    Cite as 
    303 Or App 253
     (2020)                                             279
    Lowery likewise testified that, around halftime
    of the Portland Trail Blazers game,10 Foreman received
    a phone call and said that “he needs to make a run.” He
    testified that they met petitioner “in that vicinity” of the
    Ara’Bel. Lowery was asked, “The time period when you had
    been out to—we saw the pictures here, the Ara’Bel Motel
    where the blue awning is, do you remember what time frame
    that was?” He responded, “9, 10.” He then responded affir-
    matively when the prosecutor asked, “Between 9 and 10; is
    that what you’re saying?”
    Lowery testified that he later returned with
    Foreman to Bynum’s house, and left with petitioner to go to
    the New York Diner. Lowery testified that, on the way there,
    petitioner, who was in the backseat with him, “said he killed
    two people” with a gun—something that Lowery said that
    he did not believe until seeing the newspaper the following
    day. Lowery said that they arrived at the New York Diner
    around “10:30, 11.” Defense counsel did not cross-examine
    Lowery.11
    Although defense counsel pointed out some incon-
    sistencies between Payne’s and Lowery’s recollections and
    the fact that they had not come forward sooner, the relevant
    timelines in their testimony were largely consistent. Beyond
    that, the record does not reveal—and petitioner has not
    identified—any plausible motivation that either had to fab-
    ricate the key parts of their testimony on which they agreed:
    that they had driven to the Ara’Bel and saw petitioner there
    between 9:00 p.m. and 10:00 p.m., and that petitioner had
    made statements implicating himself in the murder.
    That time frame, in turn, corresponded with the
    period in which Bynum testified that petitioner had taken
    a car from him without permission before returning around
    10:00 p.m. or 10:15 p.m., and the undisputed testimony
    about when Flannigan got off work and would have been
    10
    An employee of the Trail Blazers, who served as the team’s historian and
    archivist, testified that halftime likely would have begun between 7:56 p.m. and
    7:59 p.m. that night.
    11
    That is another ground on which petitioner brought his post-conviction
    petition, but the post-conviction court rejected it. Petitioner has not assigned
    error to that ruling.
    280                                               Davis v. Kelly
    returning home. Phillips’s girlfriend, Renfrow, testified that
    Phillips left their house around 9:10 p.m. or 9:15 p.m. to
    rush to the Five Spot, which was approximately 20 minutes
    away, because Flannigan was scheduled to get off work at
    9:30 p.m. And, the prosecutor relied on that evidence and
    Payne’s timeline in closing arguments:
    “We know who [petitioner] was with, and we’ll get to that
    as we go on. He was with Edgar Foreman, Josh Lowery,
    Erik Payne at times, and about 9:35 to 9:45, he was in the
    Room No. 24 at the Ara’Bel Motel executing in cold blood
    Gerald Phillips and Belinda Flannigan.
    “* * * * *
    “When does Erik Payne say this happened? November
    2nd, 1991, between 9 and 10 p.m. That is exactly when you
    would expect to find [petitioner] at the Ara’Bel Motel and
    saying you have 45 minutes if you were at 9:00. The shift
    ends at 9:30, a few minutes to get there.”
    In addition to that evidence implicating petitioner
    in the murder between 9:00 p.m. and 11:00 p.m., the state
    presented evidence that petitioner and Foreman either
    threatened or encouraged witnesses to cover up the mur-
    ders. Payne testified that, about 10 days after the murder, he
    received a phone call from Foreman, who then put petitioner
    on the phone. He testified that petitioner “told me not to talk
    to the detectives if they try and get in contact with me” and
    that he “threatened that the same thing that happened to
    them could happen to me.” Lowery testified that, after his
    police interview on November 8, petitioner “thanked me for
    giving an alibi.” Another witness, Ford, testified that peti-
    tioner had asked her to say that he had arrived earlier in
    the evening with Foreman at the New York Diner.
    The state also presented testimony from various
    witnesses who tied petitioner to the same type of weapon
    used in the murder, a .45-caliber gun. The state’s criminalist
    testified that the spent casings recovered from the murder
    scene were .45 automatic shell casings. As described above,
    Payne testified that petitioner was loading a .45-caliber gun
    in the car just before saying he was going to kill Flannigan,
    and three other witnesses testified that petitioner carried
    Cite as 
    303 Or App 253
     (2020)                            281
    something resembling a .45-caliber gun around the time of
    the murders.
    One of those witnesses, Cline, who was a regular
    at the club where Flannigan danced, also testified that he
    had seen petitioner and Flannigan arguing in the park-
    ing lot of the club two days before her murder. He testified
    that petitioner was upset that Flannigan wanted to get
    back together with her previous boyfriend. Petitioner sim-
    ilarly told detectives that Flannigan had returned to her
    ex-boyfriend who was also her pimp, and Bynum similarly
    testified that Flannigan and petitioner had “an argument
    about she wanted her clothes [after moving out], but she
    owed [petitioner] some money, so he wouldn’t give her her
    clothes until she gave him his money.”
    In addition, as earlier discussed, the state pre-
    sented the testimony of seven witnesses besides Payne and
    Lowery—Grihm, and six people who had been incarcerated
    with petitioner, who said that petitioner had admitted to the
    killings.
    Petitioner rested without calling any witnesses,
    instead relying on closing argument to persuade the jury
    that there was reasonable doubt that petitioner commit-
    ted the murders. His counsel argued that petitioner lacked
    a motive (“So if [petitioner] was motivated to kill Belinda
    Flannigan because he had learned she was with another
    man, he could have done it that night.”); that petitioner’s
    brother, Foreman, “might have been the person in that
    room”; that various witnesses—Teal, Modaff, Williams,
    Wesson, and Weinberger, as well as Bynum and Grihm—
    “are people coming to you primarily as a result of having at
    some point in time gained a benefit” and did not have any
    information that was unique or credible; and that, despite a
    search warrant being executed at Foreman’s home, no gun
    was found. He then turned to some of the most challenging
    evidence that petitioner faced—the testimony from Payne
    and Lowery putting him at the Ara’Bel.
    Defense counsel acknowledged that Payne “appeared
    compelling,” but he argued that his testimony conflicted with
    that of Lowery, who did not remember seeing petitioner in
    282                                            Davis v. Kelly
    the car ranting about Flannigan and brandishing a .45. He
    also noted that Lowery had initially agreed with Foreman
    to not tell the police about their time at the motel, suggest-
    ing that he was covering for Foreman rather than petitioner.
    Counsel further argued that the discrepancy between their
    testimony resulted because Payne was never “brought into
    the loop on the alibi” that Lowery and Foreman had agreed
    upon.
    Counsel eventually turned specifically to the time
    of death, noting that the prosecutor’s “strongest argument
    for that are the stomach contents.” Defense counsel argued
    that evidence from the room suggested that Flannigan and
    Phillips had perhaps eaten later—that there was evidence
    of food containers and drinks in the motel room that could
    have been consumed after Flannigan got off work. Relying
    on Gunson’s testimony, and focusing on the even narrower
    window that the prosecutor suggested in closing, defense
    counsel argued that the food “could have been consumed at
    any time up till 1:30 or 2:30 in the morning, which places
    the time of death far outside, far outside this narrow 9:35 to
    9:50.” (Emphasis added.) Counsel added, “Because of that,
    we don’t know what to make of Karen Gunson’s testimony
    regarding time of death. That is the one variable that she
    hung her hat on because she knew there was information
    Gerald Phillips had eaten at 8:15 or 8:30.”
    Petitioner then presented a timeline to the jury that
    attempted to show why he believed it was impossible for peti-
    tioner to have committed the murder between 9:35 p.m. and
    9:50 p.m. He argued that, “[i]n their efforts to squeeze down
    this timeline, you have literally been told that this crime
    took place within a 15-minute time span, that it had to have.
    Because otherwise, this and that wouldn’t fit”—specifically,
    that if Bynum called petitioner at home in Beaverton during
    halftime, which started about 8:00 p.m. and lasted 20 min-
    utes, the phone call could have come as late as 8:20 p.m.;
    petitioner was required to drive about 20 minutes to the
    Ara’Bel, then place a call from a phone booth to Foreman,
    who left the New York Diner in Beaverton and drove to the
    Ara’Bel and talked to petitioner for five or 10 minutes; and
    if Flannigan arrived home around 9:50 p.m., it meant that
    “petitioner comes into the room, does what the State says
    Cite as 
    303 Or App 253
     (2020)                                                283
    he did, comes back out to his car, this borrowed car, and
    drives all the way back to Beaverton and arrives there not
    later than 10:15 to 10:30. That can’t be done. Simply can’t be
    done.”
    We draw several conclusions from the way that
    that evidence and those arguments were presented. First,
    the state presented a volume of evidence tying petitioner
    to the murders, in the way of circumstantial evidence of
    motive, opportunity, weapon, and purported admissions to
    the crimes, which were consistent with the murder occur-
    ring somewhere between 9:30 p.m. and 10:00 p.m. Second,
    petitioner’s defense, as a practical matter, required the jury
    to doubt the testimony of two witnesses, Payne and Lowery,
    who placed petitioner at the scene of the murder at that time,
    and his strategy as to those witnesses was to suggest that
    they were for some reason covering for the actual murderer,
    Foreman—a person who was with petitioner after 10:00 p.m.
    and would have had the same alibi if the murders had been
    committed later. And, third, to the extent that petitioner
    posited a theory that the murder may have occurred later
    than 10:00 p.m., it actually took advantage of Gunson’s tes-
    timony that time of death can be determined from gut con-
    tents: that Flannigan and Phillips had eaten at the motel
    room, fixing the time of death two hours after that meal.12
    Petitioner has not demonstrated, given that con-
    text, how the jury’s assessment of the weight of the evidence
    implicating petitioner in the murders could have turned in
    any meaningful way on Gunson’s narrowing of the time of
    death, or that cross-examination or an opposing expert on
    that point—which would have still left the broader 12-hour
    window that Gunson and Raven identified—could have had
    any tendency to affect the outcome. Given the volume and
    breadth of the state’s evidence about when the murder likely
    occurred and petitioner’s involvement, petitioner failed to
    demonstrate any likelihood that the jury’s determination
    12
    The Supreme Court’s opinion on direct review describes the content of
    two 9-1-1 calls from a neighboring room that, according to the Ara’Bel’s phone
    records, were made closer to 3:00 a.m., but that, according to the callers, con-
    cerned “loud pops” that occurred much earlier in the evening. See Davis, 
    345 Or at 555
    . At trial, only the fact of the Ara’Bel’s records of two 9-1-1 calls—and not
    the content of the calls—was ultimately admitted.
    284                                                           Davis v. Kelly
    of the credibility of Payne or Lowery, or any other wit-
    ness, turned on the fact that their timeline about petition-
    er’s involvement matched the window offered by Gunson.
    Again, the prejudice inquiry does not require a probabil-
    ity that the outcome would have been different, but it also
    requires something more than an abstract possibility. And
    we are confident, based on this post-conviction record, that
    the jury would have reached the same verdict if it had been
    told instead, either through cross-examination or an oppos-
    ing expert, that the murder could have occurred anytime
    between 5:00 p.m. and 5:00 a.m. the next morning, which
    still would have included the same period that Payne or
    Lowery placed petitioner at the Ara’Bel, when Flannigan
    would have returned from her 9:30 p.m. shift. If anything,
    testimony undermining the reliability of gut-content
    analysis would have undercut one of the theories petitioner
    used to attempt to sow doubt—the possibility that Phillips
    and Flannigan ate in the motel room after their return,
    meaning that the time of death must have been two hours
    later, during the period in which petitioner had an alibi.
    For those reasons, we conclude that this case is
    distinguishable from others in which courts have con-
    cluded that counsel’s ineffective handling of expert tes-
    timony resulted in prejudice.13 In this case, given the role
    that Gunson’s gut-content analysis played in the case as a
    whole, petitioner failed to demonstrate that there was any
    risk that that analysis, or the absence of contrary testimony
    about that analysis, affected the jury’s verdict. We therefore
    affirm the post-conviction court’s judgment with regard to
    13
    E.g., Jackson v. Franke, 
    364 Or 312
    , 322, 434 P3d 350 (2019) (holding
    that counsel’s failure to object to the admission of expert testimony was preju-
    dicial, because it created more than a mere possibility that such evidence influ-
    enced the determination of guilt in light of the risk that jurors could be “overly
    impressed or prejudiced” by “a credentialed expert, surrounded with the hall-
    marks of the scientific method” (internal quotation marks and citation omitted));
    Farmer v. Premo, 
    363 Or 679
    , 701-02, 427 P3d 170 (2018) (concluding that there
    was more than a mere possibility that the verdict had been affected by counsel’s
    failure to present expert testimony that a gun found at another suspect’s home
    was “likely” the murder weapon; that testimony “could have been significant,”
    where, among other things, there was evidence that the other suspect resembled
    the shooter, the petitioner’s admissions to the murder differed from forensic evi-
    dence, and there was evidence that cast doubt on the reliability and credibility
    of witnesses identifying the petitioner and placing him in the area before the
    shooting).
    Cite as 
    303 Or App 253
     (2020)                            285
    that specification of inadequate and ineffective assistance of
    counsel.
    IV. CONCLUSION
    In summary, we conclude that petitioner failed to
    demonstrate that trial counsel’s approach to the perpetu-
    ation deposition amounted to deficient performance. We
    further conclude that, even if counsel’s performance was
    deficient with regard to establishing an opportunity for
    prisoners to conspire against petitioner and handling of
    Gunson’s gut-content analysis, the post-conviction court cor-
    rectly determined that petitioner failed to prove that those
    deficiencies prejudiced petitioner. Accordingly, we affirm the
    post-conviction court’s judgment.
    Affirmed.
    

Document Info

Docket Number: A163243

Judges: Lagesen

Filed Date: 4/1/2020

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 10/10/2024