United States v. Akeem Caldwell , 760 F.3d 267 ( 2014 )


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  •                                     PRECEDENTIAL
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE THIRD CIRCUIT
    _____________
    No. 13-1918
    _____________
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
    v.
    AKEEM ABDUL CALDWELL,
    Appellant
    _____________
    On Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Western District of Pennsylvania
    District Court No. 2-12-cr-00111-001
    District Judge: The Honorable Donetta W. Ambrose
    _____________
    Argued: May 13, 2014
    Before: SMITH, VANASKIE, and SHWARTZ, Circuit
    Judges
    (Filed: July 24, 2014)
    Rebecca R. Haywood, Esq.
    Michael L. Ivory, Esq. [ARGUED]
    Office of United States Attorney
    700 Grant Street
    Suite 4000
    Pittsburgh, PA 15219
    Counsel for Appellee
    Lisa B. Freeland, Esq.
    Renee Pietropaolo, Esq. [ARGUED]
    1500 Liberty Center
    1001 Liberty Avenue
    Pittsburgh, PA 15222
    Counsel for Appellant
    _____________________
    OPINION
    _____________________
    SMITH, Circuit Judge.
    Akeem Caldwell brings this appeal following his
    conviction of being a felon in possession of a firearm
    under 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(1). Caldwell contends that he is
    entitled to a new trial because the District Court (1)
    erroneously admitted evidence that he had two prior
    convictions for unlawful firearm possession and (2)
    2
    improperly excluded a third-party’s out-of-court
    statement admitting responsibility for the offense.
    Because we conclude that admission of Caldwell’s prior
    convictions was improper, we will vacate the judgment
    of the District Court and remand for further proceedings.
    I.
    On January 24, 2012, at approximately 11:45 p.m.,
    three detectives with the Pittsburgh Police Department—
    Judd Emery, Robert Smith, and Mark Adametz—were on
    patrol in an unmarked police cruiser near the Northview
    Heights housing projects. As they approached the
    intersection of Penfort Street and Mount Pleasant Road,
    they spotted Akeem Caldwell and Darby Tigney walking
    side-by-side in the direction of the police car. When the
    detectives’ car turned left onto Mount Pleasant Road,
    Detective Emery observed Caldwell remove a black
    firearm from his waistband and hold it behind Tigney’s
    back. Emery immediately alerted the other detectives to
    the presence of the weapon and brought the cruiser to a
    stop. He then jumped out and ran to the rear of the car,
    drew his weapon, and yelled: “Pittsburgh Police. Drop
    the gun.”
    Emery later testified that, upon his command,
    Caldwell released the firearm, letting it fall to the ground
    directly between Tigney’s legs. Emery then directed
    Caldwell and Tigney to get on the ground, and the other
    detectives placed them in handcuffs. As he was being
    3
    placed in custody, Caldwell emphatically insisted that he
    was not the one who had been holding the gun,
    exclaiming: “That’s not my gun. You didn’t see me with
    a gun.” App. 402.
    Detective Smith, who was sitting in the front
    passenger seat at the time of the encounter, testified that
    he saw Caldwell “brandish” the weapon and later release
    the gun behind Tigney’s back. Detective Adametz, who
    was seated in the rear passenger seat, testified that he
    could not see the gun in Caldwell’s hands because
    Caldwell’s arm was obstructed by Tigney’s body.
    However, he stated that both of Tigney’s hands were
    visible and empty when the gun fell to the ground.
    Caldwell provided his identity to the detectives,
    and a records search revealed that he had a prior criminal
    record. After discovering that Caldwell was a convicted
    felon who was not permitted to possess a firearm, the
    detectives transported him to the Allegheny County Jail
    for processing. Tigney, on the other hand, identified
    himself as “Shakur Jackson.” The detectives, unaware
    that Tigney had falsely identified himself, released him
    into the custody of a woman who claimed to be his aunt
    after they determined that “Shakur Jackson” did not have
    a criminal record.
    Caldwell was charged under 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(1)
    with possession of a firearm by a convicted felon. On
    April 16, 2012, shortly after that charge was filed, Tigney
    4
    contacted Caldwell’s defense counsel and claimed that he
    (Tigney) was the one who had possessed the firearm the
    evening of Caldwell’s arrest and that he intended to turn
    himself in to prosecutors. During a follow-up interview
    with a defense investigator, Tigney asserted that the gun
    had fallen from his pants and that Caldwell did not know
    about the gun. Tigney also admitted that he lied to the
    officers about his identity. After providing this statement
    to Caldwell’s defense team, Tigney retained independent
    counsel and asserted his Fifth Amendment privilege not
    to testify.
    The case against Caldwell proceeded to trial on
    November 14, 2012. The result was a mistrial after a jury
    was unable to reach a verdict. United States v. Caldwell,
    No 2:12-cr-0111 (W.D. Pa.), Docket Nos. 72, 112. A
    second trial commenced on December 4, 2012. This time,
    the jury returned a verdict finding Caldwell guilty of the
    § 922(g)(1) offense.1
    Caldwell’s theory at trial was that Tigney—and
    1
    Although the second trial is the operative proceeding
    for purposes of this appeal, the parties and the District Court
    repeatedly referenced and incorporated remarks from the
    earlier proceeding when arguing the evidentiary questions at
    the second trial. Accordingly, we consider the jointly
    submitted portions of the record from both the first
    proceeding as well as the second trial.
    5
    only Tigney—possessed the gun on the evening of his
    arrest. In support of this claim, Caldwell repeatedly
    emphasized that Tigney provided a false name to the
    detectives at the scene, and that this indicated a
    consciousness of guilt. Caldwell also sought to admit, as
    a statement against interest, Tigney’s out-of-court
    admission to defense investigators that he had possessed
    the gun. The District Court initially granted Caldwell’s
    motion in limine requesting that he be allowed to
    introduce Tigney’s statement. On the Government’s
    motion for reconsideration, however, the Court changed
    its decision on the morning of the first trial, holding that
    the statement lacked the corroborating circumstances
    necessary to satisfy Federal Rule of Evidence 804(b)(3).
    On the morning of the second trial, prosecutors informed
    the Court and defense counsel that Tigney had recanted
    his earlier admission. Noting that Tigney’s decision to
    disavow his prior statement bolstered its ruling from the
    first proceeding, the Court again held the statement to be
    inadmissible.
    In addition to arguing that Tigney possessed the
    firearm, Caldwell sought to impeach the credibility of the
    testifying detectives. Caldwell theorized that the
    detectives targeted him rather than Tigney as the
    possessor of the gun because he had a prior felony
    conviction, thus subjecting him to federal charges,
    whereas Tigney, a juvenile, was subject to only an
    adjudication of delinquency. Caldwell also pointed out
    6
    that, despite having done so in other cases, investigators
    never sought to obtain surveillance footage of the
    Northview Heights scene of his encounter with police
    from the Housing Authority. Such evidence, he
    maintained, would have shown that Tigney possessed the
    gun.
    Caldwell testified in his defense at both trials. He
    claimed that, at the time he was stopped by the
    detectives, he was holding a cell phone in his hand—not
    a gun—and was talking to his girlfriend, Tiffany Dungan.
    Dungan corroborated this claim by testifying that she was
    on the phone with Caldwell when the police stopped him.
    She also presented phone records showing that, around
    the time of the arrest, she participated in a seventeen
    minute phone call with a number that she claimed
    belonged to Caldwell. Caldwell also offered the
    testimony of a bystander, Manly Banks, who stated that
    he witnessed an officer take a cell phone out of
    Caldwell’s hand and hang up the phone.
    In the course of cross-examining Caldwell during
    the first trial, the Government sought to introduce, under
    both Rule 404(b) and Rule 609(a)(1)(B) of the Federal
    Rules of Evidence, two prior convictions for unlawful
    firearm possession. One of Caldwell’s “priors” was a
    federal conviction for possession of a firearm by a
    convicted felon—the very offense for which he was
    7
    being tried.2 With respect to Rule 404(b), the
    Government argued the evidence was admissible to show
    “knowledge and absence of mistake or accident.” App.
    313. Caldwell’s counsel countered that absence of
    mistake and knowledge were irrelevant because the only
    issue in the case was whether Caldwell actually
    possessed the gun. Indeed, he conceded that “[w]hoever
    possessed [the gun] knew it.”3 App. 317.
    The District Court was initially skeptical of the
    Government’s claim that the evidence was admissible
    under Rule 404(b). See App. 313 (“What do you think he
    said that would make it more than propensity evidence?
    What do you think he says that goes to knowledge and
    2
    Caldwell filed pretrial motions in limine in advance of
    both trials seeking to exclude evidence of his prior
    convictions. In both instances, the District Court denied the
    motions as premature, noting its intention to “rule on the
    admissibility of [the] evidence at trial after considering its
    factual context.” App. 72; see also App. 351–52.
    3
    This statement was consistent with Caldwell’s position
    throughout both trials. See App. 119 (offering to “stipulate
    that whoever possessed the firearm on January 24, 2012 also
    had the requisite knowledge and intent to possess that
    firearm”); App. 600–01 (arguing to the jury at closing that
    “whoever possessed that gun had the knowledge that it was a
    gun and intended to possess it. It’s who possessed it [that] is
    the question. Not knowledge and intent”).
    8
    intent? He’s saying he never had a gun. . . . He’s not
    saying I had it and it was somebody else’s.”). After a
    short recess, however, the Court ruled in favor of the
    Government: “[I]n terms of 404(b) evidence, I agree with
    the government that knowledge and intent is an issue
    here and I am going to allow [the prosecutor] to question
    Mr. Caldwell about his prior convictions for firearm
    violations.” App. 318–19. The Court continued:
    I understand it’s prejudicial, but when you
    have a situation where this is a complete
    credibility determination, Mr. Caldwell has
    testified in a manner diametrically opposed
    to those of the police officers and I do
    believe it is probative for knowledge and
    intent and that that probative value
    outweighs the prejudicial effect, which I
    acknowledge is prejudicial.
    App. 319. Defense counsel immediately objected to the
    Court’s reference to Caldwell’s “credibility,” which is
    generally not a concern in the 404(b) inquiry. This, in
    turn, prompted the Court to clarify its position: “So the
    record is clear, I’m not saying . . . it is admissible for
    credibility. I’m saying it’s admissible for knowledge and
    intent . . . .” App. 319–20.
    This review process was more streamlined when
    the second trial took place. The Government again sought
    to introduce Caldwell’s prior convictions during cross-
    9
    examination. But instead of explaining the basis for
    admissibility, the prosecutor simply asked for “a ruling
    on which convictions . . . would be permissible for the
    Government to inquire as to the Defendant about.” App.
    525. Recalling the Government’s proffer and arguments
    from the previous trial, the Court again ruled the
    evidence was admissible:
    I know what your arguments are, not only
    because I’ve heard them before, but because
    they’ve been incorporated into your written
    submissions. . . . [O]n the prior convictions
    for illegal possession of firearms, when the
    Defendant, as here, is charged with a
    specific intent crime, the knowing
    possession of a firearm unlawfully, the
    Government may present other acts or
    evidence to prove intent and knowledge, and
    I find that Mr. Caldwell has put his
    knowledge and intent to possess a firearm at
    issue by claiming innocence.
    App. 525–26. The Court then discussed Rule 403
    balancing, stating “not only are [Caldwell’s prior
    convictions] admissible under 404(b), but because
    knowledge and intent are at issue here, they are more
    probative than prejudicial. I find that the probative value
    outweighs any prejudicial effect as well as to their
    10
    admissibility.”4 App. 527.
    At the close of the second trial, the jury returned a
    verdict convicting Caldwell of the charged offense. The
    District Court sentenced Caldwell to 77 months in prison
    and three years of supervised release. Caldwell timely
    filed this appeal.5
    II.
    Caldwell’s primary argument is that the District
    Court erred in admitting his two prior convictions for
    unlawful weapons possession. We review a district
    court’s evidentiary rulings for an abuse of discretion.
    United States v. Green, 
    617 F.3d 233
    , 239 (3d Cir. 2010).
    “We exercise plenary review, however, of [the district
    court’s] rulings to the extent they are based on a legal
    interpretation of the Federal Rules of Evidence.” 
    Id. (quoting Complaint
    of Consolidation Coal Co., 
    123 F.3d 126
    , 131 (3d Cir. 1997)). This includes plenary review
    over “whether evidence falls within the scope of Rule
    404(b).” United States v. Smith, 
    725 F.3d 340
    , 344–45
    (3d Cir. 2013) (quoting 
    Green, 617 F.3d at 239
    ).
    4
    The Court initially neglected to balance the probative
    value against the prejudicial effect, but later conducted the
    Rule 403 balancing after the Government requested that the
    test be made explicit “[f]or the record.” App. 526.
    5
    The District Court had jurisdiction under 18 U.S.C. §
    3231, and we have jurisdiction under 28 U.S.C § 1291.
    11
    We have repeatedly emphasized that Rule 404(b)
    must be applied with careful precision, and that evidence
    of a defendant’s prior bad acts is not to be admitted
    unless both the proponent and the District Court plainly
    identify a proper, non-propensity purpose for its
    admission. See United States v. Davis, 
    726 F.3d 434
    , 442
    (3d Cir. 2013) (citing United States v. Sampson, 
    980 F.2d 883
    , 887 (3d Cir. 1992)). For the reasons discussed
    below, we conclude the evidence of Caldwell’s prior
    convictions was not admitted for a proper purpose.
    A.
    It is indisputable that evidence of Caldwell’s prior
    convictions satisfies Rule 401’s definition of relevant
    evidence, at least to the extent a criminal defendant’s
    prior offenses make it more likely he would commit the
    same crime again. As our Supreme Court long ago
    explained, “logically speaking, it is quite clear that an
    antecedent bad character would form quite as reasonable
    a ground for the presumption and probability of guilt as a
    previous good character lays the foundation of
    innocence.” Michelson v. United States, 
    335 U.S. 469
    ,
    476 n.9 (1948) (citation omitted); see also 1 Wigmore on
    Evidence § 55 (3d ed. 1940) (“A defendant’s character,
    then, as indicating the probability of his doing or not
    doing the act charged, is essentially relevant.”).
    Yet notwithstanding the logical relevance of this
    evidence, Rule 404(b) provides that “[e]vidence of a
    12
    crime, wrong, or other act is not admissible to prove a
    person’s character in order to show that on a particular
    occasion the person acted in accordance with the
    character.” Fed. R. Evid. 404(b)(1). This rule reflects the
    longstanding concern that evidence of prior bad acts,
    when offered only to show the defendant’s propensity to
    commit the charged crime, “is said to weigh too much
    with the jury and to so overpersuade them as to prejudice
    one with a bad general record and deny him a fair
    opportunity to defend against a particular charge.”
    
    Sampson, 980 F.2d at 886
    (quoting 
    Michelson, 335 U.S. at 475
    ).
    Derived from English common law, Rule 404(b)’s
    instruction that prior criminal acts are not admissible to
    show a defendant’s propensity to commit the charged
    offense is now well-entrenched in our American
    jurisprudence. But such prior act evidence was not
    always prohibited. Indeed, early English courts did not
    recognize a rule excluding evidence of prior bad acts, and
    instead evaluated the admissibility of such acts according
    to the ordinary test of relevance. See Julius Stone, The
    Rule of Exclusion of Similar Fact Evidence: England, 46
    Harv. L. Rev. 954, 958–59 (1933). Prior act evidence
    was easily admissible under this approach, “even if the
    only theory of relevance was to establish the defendant’s
    character and, in turn, use character as circumstantial
    proof of conduct.” 1 Edward J. Imwinkelried, Uncharged
    Misconduct Evidence § 2:25 (2009).
    13
    Over time, however, courts and commentators
    came to appreciate the uniquely prejudicial impact that
    prior bad act evidence has on a jury. By the turn of the
    nineteenth century, British and American courts were in
    agreement that prior act evidence introduced for the
    limited purpose of showing a defendant’s propensity to
    commit the charged offense should be excluded. 
    Stone, supra, at 958
    . The evidence in question, however, could
    still be introduced “if [it] was relevant for any purpose
    other than, or in addition to, a suggestion of a general
    propensity to commit the [charged] crimes.” Kenneth J.
    Melilli, The Character Evidence Rule Revisited, 1998
    B.Y.U. L. Rev. 1547, 1558 (1998). Non-propensity
    purposes for which evidence was admitted included, inter
    alia, proof of knowledge, intent, motive, and identity.
    
    Stone, supra, at 966
    .
    Throughout the nineteenth century and into the
    twentieth, American courts differed as to whether the
    common law rule was “exclusionary” or “inclusionary.”
    
    Davis, 726 F.3d at 441
    (citing United States v. Long, 
    574 F.2d 761
    , 765–66 (3d Cir. 1978)). Both of these
    descriptors can be misleading. To be sure, no one
    doubted that evidence relevant only for the limited
    purpose of showing a defendant’s general propensity to
    commit the charged offense was inadmissible. Instead,
    the debate concerned whether the list of previously
    recognized non-propensity purposes was exhaustive (or
    “exclusive”), or whether any non-propensity purpose,
    14
    even if not previously recognized, could support
    admission of the prior act evidence (the “inclusive”
    approach). See David P. Leonard, The New Wigmore:
    Evidence of Other Misconduct and Similar Events §4.3.2,
    at 224 (2009) (“[T]he real question . . . is whether the
    courts actually confine admissibility to a set of
    enumerated purposes.”).
    The matter was settled in 1975 with the adoption
    of the Federal Rules of Evidence. After noting its general
    prohibition on prior act evidence to prove a person’s
    character, the text of new Rule 404(b)(2) provided that
    prior act evidence “may be admissible for another
    purpose, such as proving motive, opportunity, intent,
    preparation, plan, knowledge, identity, absence of
    mistake, or lack of accident.” Fed. R. Evid. 404(b)(2)
    (emphasis added). By introducing the list of permissible
    purposes with the words “such as,” the drafters made
    clear that the list was not exclusive or otherwise limited
    to a strictly defined class.
    We have on occasion noted that Rule 404(b)
    adopted an inclusionary approach. See, e.g., 
    Davis, 726 F.3d at 441
    . Our use of the term “inclusionary” merely
    reiterates the drafters’ decision to not restrict the non-
    propensity uses of evidence. It does not suggest that prior
    offense evidence is presumptively admissible. On this
    point, let us be clear: Rule 404(b) is a rule of general
    exclusion, and carries with it “no presumption of
    admissibility.” 1 Christopher B. Mueller & Laird C.
    15
    Kirkpatrick, Federal Evidence § 4:28, at 731 (4th ed.
    2013) [hereinafter Mueller, Federal Evidence]. The Rule
    reflects the revered and longstanding policy that, under
    our system of justice, an accused is tried for what he did,
    not who he is. And in recognition that prior offense
    evidence is generally more prejudicial than probative,
    Rule 404(b) directs that evidence of prior bad acts be
    excluded—unless the proponent can demonstrate that the
    evidence is admissible for a non-propensity purpose.
    The “permitted uses” of prior act evidence set forth
    in Rule 404(b)(2) are treated like exceptions to this rule
    of exclusion. As is generally the case with exceptions, the
    party seeking to admit evidence under Rule 404(b)(2)
    bears the burden of demonstrating its applicability. Our
    opinions have repeatedly and consistently emphasized
    that the burden of identifying a proper purpose rests with
    the proponent of the evidence, usually the government.
    See, e.g., 
    Davis, 726 F.3d at 442
    (discussing proponent’s
    burden to identify a proper purpose and explain how the
    proffered evidence is relevant to that purpose); 
    Sampson, 980 F.2d at 887
    (same). This hurdle is not
    insurmountable, but it must be satisfied before the
    exception can be invoked.
    There are four distinct steps that must be taken
    before evidence is admissible for a non-propensity
    purpose under Rule 404(b)(2). First, the proponent must
    identify a proper 404(b) purpose for admission (such as
    knowledge or intent) that is “at issue” in, or relevant to,
    16
    the case. In evaluating whether an identified purpose is
    “at issue,” courts should consider the “material issues and
    facts the government must prove to obtain a conviction.”
    
    Sampson, 980 F.2d at 888
    . We stress that “a proponent’s
    incantation of the proper uses of [prior act] evidence . . .
    does not magically transform inadmissible evidence into
    admissible evidence.” United States v. Morley, 
    199 F.3d 129
    , 133 (3d Cir. 1999). Rather, the proponent must
    identify a specific purpose that “is of consequence in
    determining the action.” Fed. R. Evid. 401(b).
    Once the proponent identifies a non-propensity
    purpose that is “at issue” in the case, the proponent must
    next explain how the evidence is relevant to that purpose.
    This step is crucial. The task is not merely “to find a
    pigeonhole in which the proof might fit,” but to actually
    demonstrate that the evidence “prove[s] something other
    than propensity.”6 Mueller, Federal Evidence § 4:28, at
    731.
    As we have frequently stated, “[i]n proffering such
    evidence, the government must explain how it fits into a
    6
    We emphasize that steps one and two are distinct
    inquiries. The first step requires the proponent to identify a
    proper purpose that is pertinent to the case, whereas the
    second step requires the evidence tend to establish the
    identified purpose. Both must be satisfied before evidence
    may be admitted under Rule 404(b).
    17
    chain of inferences—a chain that connects the evidence
    to a proper purpose, no link of which is a forbidden
    propensity inference.” 
    Davis, 726 F.3d at 442
    (citing
    
    Sampson, 980 F.2d at 887
    ). Despite our repeated
    instructions in this area, some proponents of Rule 404(b)
    evidence still fail to follow this course. See United States
    v. Givan, 
    320 F.3d 452
    , 466 (3d Cir. 2003) (McKee, J.,
    dissenting) (stating that the directive to articulate how
    proffered evidence is relevant for a non-propensity
    purpose is “so often honored in the breach that it
    resonates about as loudly as the proverbial tree that no
    one heard fall in the forest”). To be sure, the proffered
    evidence must be excluded if the proponent neglects or is
    unable to articulate this chain of inferences, and failure to
    exclude such evidence constitutes reversible error. See
    
    Sampson, 980 F.2d at 888
    .
    To ensure that protections afforded by Rule 404(b)
    are not ignored, we also require care and precision by the
    district court in ruling on the admission of prior act
    evidence for a non-propensity purpose. “The district
    court, if it admits the evidence, must in the first instance,
    rather than the appellate court in retrospect, articulate
    reasons why the evidence also goes to show something
    other than character.” 
    Sampson, 980 F.2d at 888
    . “The
    reasoning should be detailed and on the record; a mere
    recitation of the purposes in Rule 404(b)(2) is
    insufficient.” 
    Davis, 726 F.3d at 442
    .
    In reviewing a proffer of relevance, the court
    18
    should remain mindful that “[r]elevance is not an
    inherent characteristic” of the purposes under Rule
    404(b). 
    Sampson, 980 F.2d at 888
    (citation omitted).
    Indeed, “evidence that may be relevant for some
    purposes may be irrelevant for the purpose for which it is
    offered,” or only relevant in some impermissible way.
    
    Morley, 199 F.3d at 133
    . “Relevance is a relationship
    between the evidence and a material fact at issue which
    must be demonstrated by reasonable inferences that make
    a material fact more probable or less probable than it
    would be without the evidence.” 
    Sampson, 980 F.2d at 888
    . That is why our decisions are so emphatic in
    requiring the proponent and the trial judge to articulate,
    with precision, a chain of inferences that does not contain
    a propensity link.
    Importantly, the district court’s job is not complete
    once it finds the proponent has shown that the evidence is
    relevant for a proper, non-propensity purpose. Under the
    third step of our analysis, the court must evaluate
    pursuant to Rule 403 whether the evidence is sufficiently
    probative, such that its probative value is not outweighed
    by the inherently prejudicial nature of prior bad act
    evidence. 
    Sampson, 980 F.2d at 889
    (reversing because
    Rule 403 balancing not apparent from the record); 
    Smith, 725 F.3d at 349
    (same). This balancing requires great
    care on the part of the district court, “because few
    categories of evidence bring greater risk of prejudice to
    the accused under Rule 403.” Mueller, Federal Evidence
    19
    § 4:28, at 731.
    Finally, and if the defendant requests it, the court
    must provide a limiting instruction, which advises the
    jury that the evidence is admissible for a limited purpose
    and may not be considered in another manner. 
    Davis, 726 F.3d at 445
    . If such a request is made, the court should
    provide the instruction at the time the evidence is
    admitted. 
    Id. To summarize,
    Rule 404(b) provides that prior act
    evidence is inadmissible unless the evidence is (1)
    offered for a proper non-propensity purpose that is at
    issue in the case; (2) relevant to that identified purpose;
    (3) sufficiently probative under Rule 403 such that its
    probative value is not outweighed by any inherent danger
    of unfair prejudice; and (4) accompanied by a limiting
    instruction, if requested. 
    Davis, 726 F.3d at 441
    (citing
    United States v. Huddleston, 
    485 U.S. 681
    , 691–92
    (1988). With these principles in mind, we turn to whether
    the evidence of Caldwell’s prior convictions was
    properly admitted. We address the four factors seriatim.
    B.
    (1)
    We first consider whether the government offered
    Caldwell’s prior convictions for an acceptable, non-
    propensity purpose—i.e., one that is “at issue” in, or
    20
    relevant to, the prosecution. At trial, the government
    argued that the evidence was “admissible to show
    knowledge and absence of mistake or accident.” App.
    313. The District Court ultimately concluded the
    evidence was admissible “to prove intent and
    knowledge,” because Caldwell “put his knowledge and
    intent to possess a firearm at issue by claiming
    innocence.” App. 525–26. Because “knowledge” was the
    only purpose mentioned by both the Government and the
    Court, we focus on whether that was a permissible
    purpose under Rule 404(b).7
    7
    The District Court correctly refused to admit the prior
    act evidence to show “absence of mistake or accident”
    because this Rule 404(b) purpose was not at issue in the case.
    The Government did not present any reason why it would
    have been necessary to prove that Caldwell’s possession was
    not accidental, nor did Caldwell contend that he mistakenly
    possessed the gun. The other purpose mentioned by the
    Court—“intent”—is likewise a non-issue. Caldwell was
    charged under 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(1), which makes it
    unlawful for a convicted felon to knowingly possess a
    firearm. United States v. Huet, 
    665 F.3d 588
    , 596 (3d Cir.
    2012), cert. denied, 
    133 S. Ct. 422
    (2012). The Government
    was not required to prove that Caldwell intentionally
    possessed the gun. Nor did Caldwell contend that he lacked
    such intent. See United States v. Linares, 
    367 F.3d 941
    , 948
    (D.C. Cir. 2004) (holding prior act evidence not admissible to
    show intent in a trial for unlawful firearm possession by
    convicted felon because § 922(g)(1) does not require
    21
    In determining whether an identified purpose is at
    issue in a case, we begin by considering the “material
    issues and facts the government must prove to obtain a
    conviction.” 
    Sampson, 980 F.2d at 888
    . We have
    explained that “the government must . . . proffer a logical
    chain of inference[s] consistent with its theory of the
    case.” 
    Id. (emphasis added).
    This makes sense in light of
    the definition of relevant evidence. Evidence is relevant
    if it has a tendency to make more or less probable a fact
    that “is of consequence in determining the action.” Fed.
    R. Evid. 401(b) (emphasis added).
    The Government charged Caldwell with violating
    18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(1), which makes it unlawful for a
    convicted felon to “knowingly possess[] [a] firearm.”
    United States v. Huet, 
    665 F.3d 588
    , 596 (3d Cir. 2012),
    cert. denied, 
    133 S. Ct. 422
    (2012). The government can
    prove possession of a firearm for purposes of §922(g)(1)
    in two ways: (1) by showing that the defendant exercised
    direct physical control over the weapon (actual
    possession), or (2) by showing that he exercised
    dominion or control over the area in which the weapon
    was found (constructive possession). See United States v.
    Jones, 
    484 F.3d 783
    , 788 (5th Cir. 2007). At trial, the
    prosecution offered evidence that two detectives directly
    observed Caldwell physically remove the gun from his
    government to prove intentional possession). Accordingly, we
    reject both of these purposes as grounds for admitting the
    evidence under Rule 404(b).
    22
    waistband and hold it behind Tigney’s back. A third
    detective testified that he observed conduct consistent
    with this version of events. There was no contention that
    Caldwell exercised dominion over an area where the gun
    was later found. Rather, the Government’s theory was
    purely one of actual possession, and the jury was
    accordingly instructed only on this theory. App. 555
    (instructing the jury that “[t]he term possess means to
    exercise authority, dominion or control over an object,”
    and making no mention of control over an area where an
    object was found).
    Because the Government proceeded solely on a
    theory of actual possession, we hold that Caldwell’s
    knowledge was not at issue in the case. Although 18
    U.S.C. § 922(g)(1) criminalizes the “knowing”
    possession of a firearm by a convicted felon, a
    defendant’s knowledge is almost never a material issue
    when the government relies exclusively on a theory of
    actual possession. Indeed, absent unusual circumstances
    (such as when a defendant claims he did not realize the
    object in his hand was a gun), the knowledge element in
    a felon-in-possession case will necessarily be satisfied if
    the jury finds the defendant physically possessed the
    firearm. See United States v. Linares, 
    367 F.3d 941
    , 946–
    47 (D.C. Cir. 2004) (stating that no reasonable jury in an
    actual possession case would acquit a defendant “based
    on the belief that the government proved possession but
    failed to prove knowledge”). This is true here, and
    23
    Caldwell conceded as much. His counsel repeatedly
    noted that if the jury found that Caldwell possessed the
    gun, then it must also find that his possession was
    knowing.8
    In United States v. Lee, 
    612 F.3d 170
    (3d Cir.
    2010), we recognized that, in a trial for a violation of §
    922(g)(1), knowledge and intent are not proper 404(b)
    purposes where the prosecution is based on the
    defendant’s actual possession of the firearm. The
    defendant in Lee was pulled over pursuant to a routine
    traffic stop. While approaching Lee’s window, the officer
    scanned the back seat and observed a large black coat
    that appeared to be wrapped around a long narrow object.
    
    Id. at 174.
    Immediately suspicious, the officer
    commanded Lee to raise his hands, but instead, Lee
    drove off. 
    Id. Investigators later
    found the black coat and
    an AK-47 assault rifle about a mile down the road near
    where Lee abandoned his vehicle. 
    Id. at 175.
    At trial, Lee
    8
    See App. 119 (offering to “stipulate that whoever
    possessed the firearm on January 24, 2012 also had the
    requisite knowledge and intent to possess that firearm”); App.
    317 (arguing that knowledge was not at issue because
    “[w]hoever possessed [the gun] knew it.”); App. 600–01
    (stating in closing arguments that “whoever possessed that
    gun had the knowledge that it was a gun and intended to
    possess it. It’s who possessed it [that] is the question. Not
    knowledge and intent.”).
    24
    denied possessing the firearm, claiming that it was never
    in his vehicle and that he was not the person who
    disposed of it. 
    Id. at 176.
    Over the defense’s objection,
    the district court admitted, as relevant to Lee’s
    knowledge and intent, statements that he made to
    investigators, including that “he had access to a lot of
    guns and would use them against anyone who threatens
    him or his family.” 
    Id. On appeal,
    we held that these
    statements were not admissible to show Lee’s
    knowledge:
    Lee’s trial . . . was not about whether he
    knew that he had a rifle in the back seat of
    his Jeep. There was no question of accident
    or mistake. Rather, Lee’s defense was
    simply that there was no rifle in his Jeep and
    that the rifle recovered at the Apartments
    was not his.
    ....
    . . . Lee has not put knowledge at issue. Lee
    is not arguing that he did not know there
    was a rifle in his back seat. His argument is
    a straightforward denial that any gun was
    there.
    
    Id. at 186–87.
    Because Lee’s knowledge was not at issue
    25
    in the case, we concluded that knowledge was not a
    proper Rule 404(b) purpose for admitting the statements.9
    Id.; see also 
    Lee, 612 F.3d at 200
    (Rendell, J., dissenting)
    (agreeing with majority’s conclusion that “the knowledge
    and intent rationales for admitting the statements [about
    guns] do not hold water”).
    Our sister circuits that have considered this
    question agree that knowledge is generally not at issue in
    a prosecution under § 922(g)(1) where the government
    claims the defendant actually possessed the gun. In
    United States v. Linares, the defendant was prosecuted
    for being a felon in possession of a firearm based on
    three eye witness accounts that he fired a gun from the
    window of his car and later tossed it 
    away. 367 F.3d at 944
    . Over objection, the district court permitted the
    government to introduce evidence of Linares’s prior
    conviction for unlawful firearm possession in order to
    show his “intent, knowledge, and absence of mistake.”
    
    Id. at 946.
    On appeal, the D.C. Circuit concluded the
    evidence was erroneously admitted. The court explained:
    “If the jury believed these eyewitnesses, then Linares
    9
    The majority ultimately concluded the statements were
    admissible for another Rule 404(b) purpose: motive. United
    States v. 
    Lee, 612 F.3d at 189
    . The Government has not
    offered motive as a proper purpose in this case, nor is there a
    colorable argument for admitting Caldwell’s prior convictions
    to show motive to possess the gun found at the scene.
    26
    possessed the gun knowingly; if it did not, then it should
    have acquitted based on the government’s failure to
    prove possession rather than its failure to prove
    knowledge.” 
    Id. Left with
    this disjunctive choice between
    actual possession or no possession, the court held the
    evidence was inadmissible because “no reasonable jury
    could have concluded that the defendant possessed a
    firearm either unknowingly or mistakenly.”10 
    Id. at 950.
          Similarly, in United States v. Jones, the Fifth
    Circuit concluded that knowledge was not a proper
    404(b) purpose where the government’s case was
    premised on a theory of actual possession. A New
    Orleans police officer witnessed Jones remove a gun
    from his waistband and place it under a house. 
    Jones, 484 F.3d at 785
    . Jones claimed he never possessed the
    weapon. 
    Id. Over Jones’s
    objection, the district court
    permitted the government to introduce evidence that he
    had previously been convicted of the same offense. 
    Id. In reversing
    the conviction, the Fifth Circuit explained that,
    unlike constructive possession cases where “knowledge
    and intent are frequently at issue,” actual possession
    cases require the government to show only that the
    defendant was aware that he physically possessed the
    gun. 
    Id. at 788.
    After concluding that the government’s
    10
    Despite concluding the evidence was improperly
    admitted, the court upheld Linares’s conviction because it
    concluded the error was harmless. 
    Linares, 367 F.3d at 953
    .
    27
    case relied on an actual possession theory, see 
    id. at 790
    (rejecting the constructive possession theory because
    Jones did “not own, rent, occupy, or otherwise exercise
    any dominion over” the house underneath which the gun
    was recovered), the court held that knowledge was not a
    proper basis for admitting the evidence. 
    Id. The record
    here suggests that the able District
    Judge initially understood these principles and
    recognized that Caldwell’s knowledge was not a material
    issue since the only disputed fact was whether he actually
    possessed the gun. The Court even noted that knowledge
    might be at issue “in a constructive possession kind of
    situation,” app. 314, but not where Caldwell was “saying
    he never had a gun.” App. 313. Yet despite starting in the
    right direction, the Court ultimately changed course,
    concluding that Caldwell “put his knowledge . . . at issue
    by claiming innocence.” App. 526. Based on the
    principles we have recited above, this decision was
    incorrect.
    Finally, we believe it necessary to address the
    District Court’s suggestion that Caldwell “put his
    knowledge at issue by claiming innocence.” It is unclear
    whether the District Court understood Caldwell to have
    “claimed innocence” by testifying at trial, or more
    broadly by pleading not guilty. Either way, we believe
    this line of reasoning is improper.
    Situations may indeed arise where the content of a
    28
    defendant’s trial testimony transforms a previously
    irrelevant 404(b) purpose into a material issue in a case.
    For example, if Caldwell had testified that he thought the
    object in his hand was something other than a gun, then it
    would immediately become critical for the prosecution to
    rebut his claim of mistake and to show his knowledge of
    the true nature of the thing possessed. We disagree,
    however, with the proposition that, merely by denying
    guilt of an offense with a knowledge-based mens rea, a
    defendant opens the door to admissibility of prior
    convictions of the same crime. Such a holding would
    eviscerate Rule 404(b)’s protection and completely
    swallow the general rule against admission of prior bad
    acts. See United States v. Miller, 
    673 F.3d 688
    , 697 (7th
    Cir. 2012) (citing United States v. Hicks, 
    635 F.3d 1063
    ,
    1071 (7th Cir. 2011)) (explaining that “if a mere claim of
    innocence were enough to automatically put intent at
    issue, the resulting exception would swallow the general
    rule against admission of prior bad acts”). Accordingly,
    we reject the suggestion that “claiming innocence” is
    sufficient to place knowledge at issue for purposes of
    Rule 404(b).
    Based on the foregoing reasons, we conclude that
    knowledge was not at issue in this case and, thus, was not
    a proper basis for admitting evidence of Caldwell’s prior
    convictions.
    (2)
    29
    We also conclude that the Government failed to
    satisfy the second step of the 404(b) inquiry which
    requires that it show that the proffered evidence is
    actually relevant to the identified non-propensity
    purpose. “In proffering [prior act] evidence, the
    government must explain how [the evidence] fits into a
    chain of inferences—a chain that connects the evidence
    to a proper purpose, no link of which is a forbidden
    propensity inference.” 
    Davis, 726 F.3d at 442
    (citing
    
    Sampson, 980 F.2d at 887
    ). We require that this chain be
    articulated with careful precision because, even when a
    non-propensity purpose is “at issue” in a case, the
    evidence offered may be completely irrelevant to that
    purpose, or relevant only in an impermissible way.
    The Government argues that Caldwell’s prior
    convictions are relevant to show his knowledge, yet it has
    failed to satisfactorily explain why this is so. There is in
    the record no articulation by the Government of a logical
    chain of inferences showing how Caldwell’s prior
    convictions are relevant to show his knowledge. Nor does
    the Government present such a chain of logical
    inferences in its argument on appeal. Instead, the
    Government repeatedly returns to its baseline position
    that the evidence is generally relevant to show Caldwell’s
    knowledge that he possessed the gun. This tells us
    nothing about how the evidence accomplishes this task,
    and is insufficient to secure admission under Rule 404(b).
    The record reveals that the District Court likewise
    30
    failed to articulate how the disputed evidence tends to
    show that Caldwell knowingly possessed the gun. During
    the first trial, the District Court connected the
    admissibility of the evidence to Caldwell’s credibility as
    a witness, stating that because “this is a complete
    credibility determination . . . [the evidence] is probative
    for knowledge.” App. 319. We fail to see what bearing
    Caldwell’s credibility as a trial witness has on whether he
    knowingly possessed a gun the evening of the stop.
    Caldwell’s prior convictions may tend to impeach his
    credibility as a witness, but the admissibility of evidence
    for impeachment purposes is an entirely distinct question
    from its admissibility under 404(b).11
    Perhaps recognizing that credibility was another
    matter entirely, the District Court provided a different
    rationale for admitting the evidence in the second trial.
    The Court explained that, because the charged offense
    was “the knowing possession of a firearm . . . , the
    Government may present other acts or evidence to prove
    . . . knowledge.” App. 525–26. We have already
    expressed our disagreement with the suggestion that
    knowledge was at issue in this case. Aside from that,
    however, the Court’s statement still does not explain how
    the evidence tends to prove Caldwell’s knowledge that he
    possessed the gun. Again, we emphasize that it is not
    11
    We address the admissibility of the evidence for
    impeachment under Rule 609 in Part III, infra.
    31
    enough to merely recite a Rule 404(b) purpose that is at
    issue; the Court must articulate how the evidence is
    probative of that purpose.
    The reason we require the proponent and the court
    to articulate a logical chain of inferences connecting the
    evidence to a non-propensity purpose is because we must
    assure that the evidence is not susceptible to being used
    improperly by the jury. Another way to frame this
    requirement is to ask the prosecution to explain “exactly
    how the proffered evidence should work in the mind of a
    juror to establish the fact the government claims to be
    trying to prove.” 
    Miller, 673 F.3d at 699
    . Framed this
    way, the flaw in the evidence proffered in this case
    becomes apparent.
    The prosecution’s fundamental task was to prove
    that Caldwell unlawfully possessed the gun recovered by
    the detectives. Caldwell’s defense was that he never
    possessed the gun. The prosecution sought to admit
    evidence that, on two prior occasions, Caldwell was
    convicted of unlawfully possessing firearms. The
    question the prosecution must answer is this: “How,
    exactly, do Caldwell’s two prior convictions for unlawful
    firearm possession suggest he knowingly possessed this
    gun on this occasion?” Hard as we try, we see only one
    answer to that question: If Caldwell knowingly possessed
    firearms in the past, he was more likely to have
    knowingly possessed the firearm this time. This is
    precisely the propensity-based inferential logic that Rule
    32
    404(b) forbids.
    We can envision numerous scenarios where, with
    slightly different facts, a proper, non-propensity chain
    might be forged. For example, assume that Caldwell’s
    knowledge was at issue because he claimed to have
    believed the gun in his hand was a toy. Under this
    hypothetical, the chain of inferences leading to the
    admissibility of the evidence would be as follows:
    Caldwell was twice previously convicted of unlawful
    firearm possession; he is, thus, familiar with the touch
    and feel of an authentic firearm; and because he knows
    what a real firearm feels like, it is more likely that he
    knew the gun in his hand on this occasion was a real
    firearm.
    Alternatively, assume the gun was discovered
    inside a backpack that Caldwell was carrying, and that he
    defended the charge by claiming the gun was placed
    there without his knowledge. If the proffered evidence
    consisted of eyewitness testimony that Caldwell
    threatened another individual with a black handgun two
    hours before his arrest, the chain of logical inferences
    could be forged as follows: Caldwell possessed a black
    handgun earlier that evening, therefore it is less likely
    that a similar black handgun was unknowingly deposited
    in his backpack.
    Importantly, however, the chain of inferences in
    this latter hypothetical may not necessarily extend to
    33
    permit the prosecution to introduce evidence of prior
    convictions for unlawful gun possession, particularly
    where those convictions involved different firearms and
    are remote in time. As the Seventh Circuit explained, “If
    the prior possession was of a different gun, then its value
    as direct or circumstantial evidence of the charged
    possession drops and the likelihood that it is being used
    to show propensity to possess guns rises considerably.
    Similarly, as the prior possession is further removed in
    time, it becomes less probative of possession on the date
    charged.” 
    Miller, 673 F.3d at 695
    .
    We engage in the foregoing exercise simply to
    demonstrate why it is important that a district judge go
    beyond the question of whether knowledge, or any other
    non-propensity purpose, is directly at issue in a case. The
    judge must also analytically consider whether the
    proffered evidence does in fact tend to establish the fact
    the proponent is trying to prove. The case before us
    proves the point. The record suggests that once the
    District Court concluded that knowledge was at issue, it
    was content to allow any evidence offered for that
    purpose. Yet had the Court been more exacting in
    requiring the prosecution to articulate how Caldwell’s
    2005 and 2006 firearms convictions tended to prove his
    knowledge that he was holding this gun some seven years
    later, it would have been clear that the evidentiary chain
    cannot survive close scrutiny.
    The Government was unable to articulate any
    34
    theory that united the prior convictions to Caldwell’s
    knowledge on the night of his arrest. The evidence
    provided the jury with nothing more than the ability to
    draw inferences about Caldwell’s propensity to possess
    guns. That evidence should not have been admitted.
    (3)
    We also conclude that the District Court’s Rule
    403 analysis did not provide the meaningful balancing
    required by our precedent. Before prior act evidence may
    be admitted under Rule 404(b), we require district courts
    to balance the probative value of the proffered evidence
    against its prejudicial effect under Rule 403. We will
    reverse where the Court’s reasoning “is not apparent
    from the record.” 
    Smith, 725 F.3d at 348
    (quoting
    
    Sampson, 980 F.2d at 889
    ).
    We are not required here to perform Rule 403
    balancing because the proffered 404(b) purpose was not
    at issue in the case, nor was the evidence probative of the
    identified purpose. Nonetheless, in the interest of
    providing guidance on this issue, we will explain why the
    District Court’s analysis fell short of the mark.
    Even if Caldwell’s prior convictions were
    probative of his knowledge (which they were not), the
    probative value would, at best, be minimal. As already
    explained, in a trial for unlawful firearm possession by a
    convicted felon, a defendant’s knowledge is generally
    35
    subsumed within a finding that he physically possessed
    the firearm. Accordingly, any value added by the prior
    convictions on the issue of Caldwell’s knowledge would
    be negligible.
    Further, the probative value of prior act evidence is
    diminished where the defendant does not contest the fact
    for which supporting evidence has been offered. Such
    was the case here. Caldwell conceded to the jury that
    “whoever possessed th[e] gun had the knowledge that it
    was a gun and intended to possess it.” App. 600. We do
    not mean to suggest that the admissibility of evidence
    under 404(b) is predicated on the manner in which the
    defendant frames his defense. It is not. 
    Sampson, 980 F.2d at 888
    (“Issues are not irrelevant just because the
    defense’s theory presupposes them to be so.”).
    Nevertheless, Rule 403 balancing may tilt in favor of
    excluding highly prejudicial evidence when it is offered
    to establish a fact that is completely uncontested by the
    defendant.
    On the other side of the scale, it is beyond cavil
    that the evidence of Caldwell’s prior firearm convictions
    was highly prejudicial. As the Advisory Committee’s
    Note to Rule 404(a) explains, the prejudice associated
    with character evidence is quite real:
    Character evidence is of slight probative
    value and may be very prejudicial. It tends
    to distract the trier of fact from the main
    36
    question of what actually happened on the
    particular occasion. It subtly permits the
    trier of fact to reward the good man and to
    punish the bad man because of their
    respective characters despite what the
    evidence in the case shows actually
    happened.
    Fed. R. Evid. 404(a) Advisory Committee’s Note; see
    also 
    Michelson, 335 U.S. at 476
    (explaining that
    character evidence “is said to weigh too much with the
    jury and to so overpersuade them as to prejudice one with
    a bad general record and deny him a fair opportunity to
    defend against a particular charge”). The prejudicial
    impact is only heightened when character evidence is
    admitted in the form of a prior criminal conviction,
    especially a prior conviction for the same crime as that
    being tried. Of this fact, the Government is fully aware.
    “Although the government will hardly admit it,” its
    motive for introducing prior bad act evidence is “often
    mixed between an urge to show some other consequential
    fact as well as to impugn the defendant’s character.”
    
    Sampson, 980 F.2d at 886
    .
    Based on the record before us, we conclude that
    the District Court’s Rule 403 balancing does not reflect
    the meaningful evaluation of these competing
    considerations as required by our cases. As a preliminary
    matter, the Court did not provide a Rule 403 balancing
    until the Government requested it “[f]or the record.”
    
    37 Ohio App. 526
    . Following this request, the Court gave the
    following statement:
    What I want to say is that not only are they
    admissible under 404(b), but because
    knowledge and intent are at issue here, they
    are more probative than prejudicial. I find
    that the probative value outweighs any
    prejudicial effect as well as to their
    admissibility.
    App. 527. This statement is nothing more than a bare
    recitation of Rule 403, with an added notation about the
    Court’s understanding that knowledge is at issue in the
    case. The Court did not address the diminished probative
    value of the evidence in light of the fact that the issue of
    Caldwell’s knowledge was unchallenged. Nor did it
    address the particularly prejudicial impact of introducing
    evidence that Caldwell was previously convicted of the
    identical crime for which he was then being tried.
    “When a court engages in a Rule 403 balancing
    and articulates on the record a rational explanation, we
    will rarely disturb its ruling.” 
    Sampson, 980 F.2d at 889
    .
    But we cannot infer such a “rational explanation” where
    the court merely recites the text of the rule. The
    reasoning underlying the Court’s Rule 403 balancing was
    “not apparent from the record.” 
    Smith, 725 F.3d at 348
    (citation omitted). This omission provides an independent
    ground for reversal.
    38
    C.
    The Government maintains that, even if erroneous,
    the admission of Caldwell’s prior convictions does not
    warrant reversal because any error was harmless. “The
    test for harmless error is whether it is ‘highly probable
    that the error did not contribute to the judgment.’” United
    States v. Cunningham, 
    694 F.3d 372
    , 391–92 (3d Cir.
    2012) (citations omitted). “This ‘[h]igh probability’
    requires that the court possess a ‘sure conviction that the
    error did not prejudice the defendant.’” 
    Id. at 392.
    To support its claim that the error was harmless,
    the Government contends that the remainder of the
    evidence offered against Caldwell was “overwhelming,”
    noting that two detectives testified that they observed
    Caldwell with the gun and no one was able to place the
    gun in Tigney’s hands. Though the prosecution’s case
    may have been strong, it does not provide us with a “sure
    conviction” that the evidence of Caldwell’s prior
    convictions did not contribute to the judgment.
    This is not a case where the defendant declined to
    offer a substantive defense and chose instead to hold the
    government to its burden of proof. Rather, Caldwell
    vigorously maintained his innocence throughout both
    trials, testifying on his own behalf and introducing
    witness testimony corroborating his claim that he held a
    cell phone rather than a firearm. Caldwell’s theory that
    Tigney possessed the firearm was bolstered by evidence
    39
    that Tigney provided the officers with a false name at the
    time of the stop. He also managed to poke holes in the
    Government’s investigation, pointing out that it failed to
    obtain available security surveillance tapes.
    We are aware, of course, that the harmless error
    question in this case is raised against the backdrop of an
    earlier mistrial in which the jury was unable to agree
    upon a verdict. Yet our conclusion that the error in this
    case was not harmless is based solely on our review of
    the record from the second trial. Our task is not to weigh
    the evidence anew, but simply to determine whether “it is
    highly probable that the error did not contribute to the
    judgment.” 
    Smith, 725 F.3d at 348
    (quoting United States
    v. Helbling, 
    209 F.3d 226
    , 241 (3d Cir. 2000)). Based on
    the record before us, we cannot say the erroneously
    admitted evidence was inconsequential to the verdict.
    Accordingly, we are unable to find it harmless.
    III.
    The Government alternatively argues that the
    evidence of Caldwell’s prior convictions was admissible
    for impeachment purposes under Federal Rule of
    Evidence 609(a)(1)(B). The Government preserved this
    argument by proffering Rule 609 as a basis for admission
    both in its pretrial filings and during trial. App. 66, 315,
    525. Because the District Court found the evidence
    admissible under Rule 404(b), it did not reach the
    Government’s alternative argument. See App. 319–20
    40
    (“So the record is clear, I’m not saying it is . . .
    admissible for credibility. I’m saying it’s admissible for
    knowledge and intent.”).12 Although such circumstances
    may be unusual, it is conceivable that evidence could be
    excluded under Rule 404(b), yet admissible for
    impeachment purposes under Rule 609.13 See 28 Charles
    12
    The Court did, however, explicitly decline to admit
    several other prior convictions under Rule 609, including
    cruelty to animals, criminal trespass, and heroin possession.
    App. 319.
    13
    The Eight Circuit has cogently explained why this is
    so:
    [T]he respective rules operate in two completely
    different situations. In a criminal setting,
    evidence offered under Rule 404(b) is
    substantive evidence against the accused, i.e., it
    is part of the government’s case offered to
    prove his guilt beyond a reasonable doubt. Rule
    609 evidence on the other hand has to do with
    the accused’s ability to tell the truth when
    testifying on his or her own behalf. While both
    rules speak of “probative value” and
    “prejudice,” it is critical to note that evidence
    offered under the respective rules is probative
    as to different matters. The probative character
    of evidence under Rule 609 has to do with
    credibility of a witness, while 404(b)
    “probativeness” essentially goes to the question
    41
    Alan Wright & Victor James Gold, Federal Practice and
    Procedure § 6134, at 268 (2d ed. 2012) [hereinafter
    Wright & Gold, Federal Practice and Procedure].
    Accordingly, we consider whether Rule 609 provided an
    alternative basis for admitting the evidence of Caldwell’s
    prior convictions.
    Rule 609 permits evidence of a prior felony
    conviction to be offered to impeach a testifying witness.
    However, when the testifying witness is also the
    defendant in a criminal trial, the prior conviction is
    admitted only “if the probative value of the evidence
    outweighs its prejudicial effect to that defendant.” Fed.
    R. Evid. 609(a)(1)(B). This reflects a heightened
    balancing test and a reversal of the standard for
    admission under Rule 403. Commentators have observed
    that structuring the balancing in this manner creates a
    “predisposition toward exclusion.” Wright & Gold,
    Federal Practice and Procedure § 6132, at 216. “An
    exception is made only where the prosecution shows that
    the evidence makes a tangible contribution to the
    of whether or not the accused committed the
    crime charged. Any similarity or overlap in the
    standards of admissibility under the respective
    rules is irrelevant because the rules apply to
    completely distinct situations.
    United States v. Valencia, 
    61 F.3d 616
    , 619 (8th Cir. 1995).
    42
    evaluation of credibility and that the usual high risk of
    unfair prejudice is not present.” 
    Id. § 6132,
    at 217.
    Our Court has recognized four factors that should
    be considered when weighing the probative value against
    the prejudicial effect under this heightened test. These
    factors include: “(1) the kind of crime involved; (2) when
    the conviction occurred; (3) the importance of the
    [defendant’s] testimony to the case; [and] (4) the
    importance of the credibility of the defendant.” Gov’t of
    Virgin Islands v. Bedford, 
    671 F.2d 758
    , 761 n.4 (3d Cir.
    1982).
    When evaluating the first factor—the kind of
    crime involved—courts consider both the impeachment
    value of the prior conviction as well as its similarity to
    the charged crime. The impeachment value relates to how
    probative the prior conviction is to the witness’s
    character for truthfulness. 5 Jack B. Weinstein &
    Margaret A. Berger, Weinstein’s Federal Evidence §
    609.06[3][b] (2d ed. 2011) [hereinafter Weinstein’s
    Federal Evidence]. Crimes of violence generally have
    lower probative value in weighing credibility, but may
    still be admitted after balancing the other factors. In
    contrast, crimes that by their nature imply some
    dishonesty, such as theft, have greater impeachment
    value and are significantly more likely to be admissible.
    
    Id. 43 With
    respect to the similarity of the crime to the
    offense charged, the balance tilts further toward
    exclusion as the offered impeachment evidence becomes
    more similar to the crime for which the defendant is
    being tried. As the Fourth Circuit has explained:
    Admission of evidence of a similar offense
    often does little to impeach the credibility of
    a testifying defendant while undoubtedly
    prejudicing him. The jury, despite limiting
    instructions, can hardly avoid drawing the
    inference that the past conviction suggests
    some probability that defendant committed
    the similar offense for which he is currently
    charged. The generally accepted view,
    therefore, is that evidence of similar
    offenses for impeachment purposes under
    Rule 609 should be admitted sparingly if at
    all.
    United States v. Sanders, 
    964 F.2d 295
    , 297–98 (4th Cir.
    1992) (quoting United States v. Beahm, 
    664 F.2d 414
    ,
    418–19 (4th Cir. 1981)); see also Weinstein’s Federal
    Evidence § 609.05[3][d] (“[P]rior convictions for the
    same or similar crimes are admitted sparingly.”); Wright
    & Gold, Federal Practice and Procedure § 6134, at 253
    (“[T]he danger of unfair prejudice is enhanced if the
    witness is the accused and the crime was similar to the
    crime now charged, since this increases the risk that the
    jury will draw an impermissible inference under Rule
    44
    404(a).”); cf. United States v. Hans, 
    738 F.2d 88
    , 94 (3d
    Cir. 1984) (finding that district court did not abuse its
    discretion by excluding evidence of prior crime because
    it was “too similar” to the charged offense).14
    14
    Some have suggested that the unfair prejudice of an
    identical prior conviction can be reduced by permitting the
    introduction of only the fact and date of conviction, but not
    the nature of the crime. See United States v. Beahm, 
    664 F.2d 414
    , 419 (4th Cir. 1981) (stating that the district court should
    have excluded the similar prior conviction “or at the very
    least limited disclosure to the fact of conviction without
    revealing its nature”). Circumstances may exist where
    redacting the facts underlying the prior conviction in this
    manner is a viable way to reduce the prejudicial effect of the
    evidence. However, this approach may create other obstacles
    to admission. There are many types of felonies, and not all
    felony convictions strongly support the inference that the
    defendant is untrustworthy. Thus, the probative value of a
    prior felony conviction will be diminished where the jury is
    not provided information about the prior conviction that
    would help in evaluating the extent to which the offense
    reflects on the defendant’s veracity as a trial witness.
    Additionally, in a situation such as this one—where the jury
    is already aware that the defendant is a convicted felon—the
    probative value is further diminished because introducing
    only the fact that the defendant has a prior history of unlawful
    behavior would not tell the jury anything it does not already
    know.
    45
    The second factor is the age of the prior
    conviction. Convictions more than ten years old are
    presumptively excluded and must satisfy the special
    balancing requirements in Rule 609(b) to overcome this
    presumption. But even where the conviction is not
    subject to the ten-year restriction, “the passage of a
    shorter period can still reduce [a prior conviction’s]
    probative value.” Wright & Gold, Federal Practice and
    Procedure § 6134, at 258. The age of a conviction may
    weigh particularly in favor of exclusion “where other
    circumstances combine with the passage of time to
    suggest a changed character.” 
    Id. For example,
    a prior
    conviction may have less probative value where the
    defendant-witness has maintained a spotless record since
    the earlier conviction or where the prior conviction was a
    mere youthful indiscretion. Conversely, the probative
    value of an older conviction may remain undiminished if
    the defendant was recently released from confinement or
    has multiple intervening convictions, both of which could
    suggest his character has not improved. See 
    id. § 6134,
    at
    259 (collecting cases).
    The third factor inquires into the importance of the
    defendant’s testimony to his defense at trial. “The tactical
    need for the accused to testify on his or her own behalf
    may militate against use of impeaching convictions. If it
    is apparent to the trial court that the accused must testify
    to refute strong prosecution evidence, then the court
    should consider whether, by permitting conviction
    46
    impeachment, the court in effect prevents the accused
    from testifying.” Glenn Weissenberger & James J.
    Duane, Weissenberger’s Federal Evidence § 609.2 (4th
    ed. 2001); see also Weinstein’s Federal Evidence §
    609.05[3][e] (“A defendant’s decision about whether to
    testify may be based in part on whether his prior
    convictions will be admitted for impeachment purposes.
    Thus, the fact that a defendant’s testimony is important to
    demonstrate the validity of his or her defense constitutes
    a factor weighing against the admission of a prior
    conviction.”). “If, on the other hand, the defense can
    establish the subject matter of the defendant’s testimony
    by other means, the defendant’s testimony is less
    necessary, so a prior conviction is more likely to be
    admitted.” Weinstein’s Federal Evidence § 609.05[3][e];
    see also United States v. Causey, 
    9 F.3d 1341
    , 1344 (7th
    Cir. 1993) (noting that prejudicial impact diminished
    where defendant “did not obviously need to testify to
    raise his various defenses” because several other defense
    witnesses provided the same testimony).
    The final factor concerns the significance of the
    defendant’s credibility to the case. “When the
    defendant’s credibility is a central issue, this weighs in
    favor of admitting a prior conviction.” Weinstein’s
    Federal Evidence § 609.05[3][f]. See United States v.
    Johnson, 
    302 F.3d 139
    , 153 (3d Cir. 2002) (affirming
    admission of prior conviction under Rule 609(a) because
    the defendant’s credibility was important). Conversely,
    47
    the probative value of a defendant’s prior conviction may
    be diminished “where the witness testifies as to
    inconsequential matters or facts that are conclusively
    shown by other credible evidence.” Wright & Gold,
    Federal Practice and Procedure § 6134, at 258.15
    15
    We acknowledge the tension between the related third
    and fourth factors. See, e.g., Roger Park & Tom Lininger, The
    New Wigmore: Impeachment and Rehabilitation § 3.4.4.1.1.4
    (2012) (“There is a tension between these two factors.
    Perhaps they cancel each other out.”); Jeffrey Bellin,
    Circumventing Congress: How the Federal Courts Opened
    the Door to Impeaching Criminal Defendants with Prior
    Convictions, 42 U.C. Davis L. Rev. 289, 318 (2008) (“In
    essence, the factors cancel each other out. To the extent a
    defendant’s testimony is ‘important’ (for example, if the
    defendant is the key defense witness), his credibility becomes
    ‘central’ in equal degree, leading to a curious equipoise. . . .
    Thus, [these] factors seem[] to have no practical significance
    at all, existing in a rough state of equipoise that prevent[s]
    either factor from impacting the overall impeachment
    calculus.”); Roderick Surratt, Prior-Conviction Impeachment
    Under the Federal Rules of Evidence: A Suggested Approach
    to Applying the ‘Balancing’ Provision of Rule 609(a), 31
    Syracuse L. Rev. 907, 943 & 945 (1980) (observing that “it
    appears that as one of these factors increases in importance in
    a particular case, so does the other” and “there appears to be
    no principled way to determine which factor should prevail”).
    Be that as it may, these factors have long been accepted as
    independent components of the Rule 609(a)(1) balancing
    48
    After reviewing the record and the arguments
    presented on appeal, we conclude that the Government
    has failed to carry its burden of showing that the
    probative value of Caldwell’s prior convictions
    outweighs their prejudicial effect under Rule
    609(a)(1)(B). The only factor the Government identified
    in favor of admission is that Caldwell’s credibility was a
    central feature of the case. We do not minimize this
    point. At its core, this case was a “he said, they said”
    battle between Caldwell’s version of events and that of
    the detectives. See Wright & Gold, Federal Practice and
    Procedure § 6134, at 256 (“[W]here a case is reduced to
    a swearing contest between witnesses, the probative
    value of conviction is increased.”). But this single factor
    is not enough to warrant admission of the prior
    convictions where all others favor exclusion. Caldwell’s
    prior state conviction was quite similar to the charged
    offense, and his prior federal conviction was an identical
    match. That made the “priors” highly prejudicial. At the
    opposite end, the impeachment value of the prior
    convictions is low because unlawful firearms convictions
    do not, by their nature, imply a dishonest act. The
    Government also failed to show that the probative value
    of the evidence was not diminished by the passage of
    more than six-and-a-half years. And finally, Caldwell’s
    testimony was fundamentally important to his defense.
    inquiry and we conclude that they should continue to inform
    the district court’s admissibility determination.
    49
    As already noted, the jury was required to choose
    between Caldwell’s version of events and that provided
    by the officers. Given the consistency of the officers’
    accounts, Caldwell would have taken a great risk by
    failing to testify in his defense.
    When offering a prior conviction to impeach a
    testifying defendant, the government bears the burden of
    satisfying the heightened balancing test set out in Rule
    609(a)(1)(B). Based on our review of the record before
    us, the Government failed to establish that “the probative
    value of the evidence outweighs its prejudicial effect.”
    Fed. R. Evid. 609(a)(1)(B). Accordingly, Rule 609 was
    not a proper alternative basis for admitting Caldwell’s
    prior convictions.16
    IV.
    Finally, Caldwell claims the District Court erred
    by refusing to admit Tigney’s out-of-court confession to
    defense counsel as a statement against penal interests
    under Rule 804(b)(3). We review a district court’s
    decision to admit or exclude evidence under Rule
    804(b)(3) for abuse of discretion. United States v. Boyce,
    
    849 F.2d 833
    , 837 n.3 (3d Cir. 1988).
    16
    Our determination that the Government did not satisfy
    its heightened burden under Rule 609(a)(1)(B) in the previous
    trial does not preclude it from attempting to satisfy this
    burden in any subsequent proceeding.
    50
    Rule 804(b)(3) provides an exception to the
    general rule against the admission of hearsay statements
    when a declarant is unavailable and his out-of-court
    statement tends to subject him to criminal liability. Fed.
    R. Evid. 804(b)(3)(A). There is, however, one caveat to
    admission. Where the statement is offered to exculpate
    the accused in a criminal trial, it must be “supported by
    corroborating circumstances that clearly indicate its
    trustworthiness.” Fed. R. Evid. 804(b)(3)(B). This
    requirement reflects the concern that a third party with
    less risk of prosecution will fabricate a confession to
    exculpate the guilty party. See United States v. Guillette,
    
    547 F.2d 743
    , 754 (2d Cir. 1976) (discussing the
    “inherent danger that third party confessions tending to
    exculpate a defendant are the result of fabrication”).
    Importantly, the rule “does not require that the
    information within the statement be clearly corroborated;
    it requires only that there be corroborating circumstances
    that clearly indicate the trustworthiness of the statement
    itself.” Weinstein’s Federal Evidence § 804.06[5][b]
    (second emphasis added); see also George E. Dix, et al.,
    McCormick on Evidence § 319 (7th ed. 2013)
    (“Significantly, the rule does not require that the
    statements themselves be independently proved to be
    accurate; rather it requires only that corroborating
    circumstances indicate trustworthiness.”).
    We assess corroboration in light of the totality of
    circumstances. See 
    Boyce, 849 F.2d at 837
    . The Federal
    51
    Rules of Evidence do not describe the type of
    corroborating circumstances that “clearly” indicate
    trustworthiness, nor has our Court expounded on this
    issue. Examples of corroborating circumstances
    identified by other courts include the lack of a close
    relationship between declarant and the accused, United
    States v. Silverstein, 
    732 F.2d 1338
    , 1346 (7th Cir. 1984),
    the fact that the statement was voluntarily made after the
    declarant was advised of his Miranda rights, United
    States v. Price, 
    134 F.3d 340
    , 347–48 (6th Cir. 1998);
    and the fact that the statement was not made to curry
    favor with the government, United States v. Garcia, 
    897 F.2d 1413
    , 1421 (7th Cir. 1990). See also Weinstein’s
    Federal Evidence § 804.06[5][b][ii] (listing these three as
    examples of circumstances that might satisfy the
    corroboration requirement).
    Here,    the    only    remotely    corroborating
    circumstance is that Tigney confessed to Caldwell’s
    defense counsel at a time when the Government was not
    investigating him in connection with the offense. This
    aside, all other considerations reflect adversely on the
    trustworthiness of the statement. The record reflects that
    Tigney viewed Caldwell “like an older brother,” app.
    108, and thus might have been motivated to lie on
    Caldwell’s behalf. The confession was made to defense
    investigators (not prosecutors) and it was made nearly
    four months after Caldwell was arrested. At the time the
    statement was made, Tigney was not under oath, had not
    52
    been read his Miranda rights, and was not represented by
    counsel. Finally, Tigney’s account changed on multiple
    occasions, with him ultimately recanting his admission to
    defense investigators. Given these circumstances, we
    hold that the District Court did not abuse its discretion in
    excluding Tigney’s statements because the totality of the
    circumstances support its conclusion that the confession
    lacked the indicia of trustworthiness required by Rule
    804(b)(3).
    V.
    In sum, we conclude that the admission under Rule
    404(b) of Caldwell’s prior convictions for unlawful
    firearm possession was erroneous and that the error was
    not harmless. While it may be that this opinion breaks no
    new ground, we believe it necessary to reiterate the
    importance of a methodical approach by the proponent of
    prior act evidence and a carefully reasoned ruling by the
    trial judge who must decide the question of admissibility.
    For the reasons stated, we will vacate the judgment
    of conviction and sentence and remand for further
    proceedings consistent with this opinion.
    53
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 13-1918

Citation Numbers: 760 F.3d 267

Judges: Shwartz, Smith, Vanaskie

Filed Date: 7/24/2014

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 8/31/2023

Authorities (26)

United States v. David Guillette and Robert Joost , 547 F.2d 743 ( 1976 )

United States v. Leslie William Hans , 738 F.2d 88 ( 1984 )

United States v. Yul Darnell Givan, United States of ... , 320 F.3d 452 ( 2003 )

United States v. Michael J. Morley, II , 199 F.3d 129 ( 1999 )

United States v. William F. Helbling , 209 F.3d 226 ( 2000 )

United States v. Aaron Boyce , 849 F.2d 833 ( 1988 )

Government of the Virgin Islands v. Bedford, Warren , 671 F.2d 758 ( 1982 )

United States v. Gene Barrett Johnson, A/K/A Gexex Johnson , 302 F.3d 139 ( 2002 )

United States v. Harvey Sampson and Rose Sampson Harvey ... , 980 F.2d 883 ( 1992 )

United States v. Lee , 612 F.3d 170 ( 2010 )

United States v. Green , 617 F.3d 233 ( 2010 )

United States v. Francis P. Long, A/K/A \"Red\", John ... , 574 F.2d 761 ( 1978 )

United States v. Huet , 665 F.3d 588 ( 2012 )

complaint-of-consolidation-coal-company-as-owner-of-the-motor-vessel , 123 F.3d 126 ( 1997 )

United States v. Thomas E. Silverstein, Adolph Reynosa, ... , 732 F.2d 1338 ( 1984 )

United States v. Jones , 484 F.3d 783 ( 2007 )

United States v. Michael Price , 134 F.3d 340 ( 1998 )

United States v. Carlos Garcia and Jose Luis Garcia , 897 F.2d 1413 ( 1990 )

United States v. Luther Amos Beahm , 664 F.2d 414 ( 1981 )

United States v. Carlos Sanders , 964 F.2d 295 ( 1992 )

View All Authorities »