Joseph Arpaio v. Barack Obama , 797 F.3d 11 ( 2015 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued May 4, 2015                 Decided August 14, 2015
    No. 14-5325
    JOSEPH M. ARPAIO,
    APPELLANT
    v.
    BARACK OBAMA, ET AL.,
    APPELLEES
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the District of Columbia
    (No. 1:14-cv-01966)
    Larry Klayman argued the cause and filed the briefs for
    appellant.
    Beth S. Brinkmann, Deputy Assistant Attorney General,
    U.S. Department of Justice, argued the cause for appellees.
    With her on the brief were Benjamin C. Mizer, Acting
    Assistant Attorney General, Ronald C. Machen Jr., U.S.
    Attorney at the time the brief was filed, and Scott R.
    McIntosh, Jeffrey Clair, and William E. Havemann,
    Attorneys.
    Before: BROWN, SRINIVASAN and PILLARD, Circuit
    Judges.
    2
    Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge PILLARD.
    Concurring opinion filed by Circuit Judge BROWN.
    PILLARD, Circuit Judge:          The Secretary of the
    Department of Homeland Security, facing what he perceives
    to be enormous practical obstacles to removing from the
    United States the eleven million people unlawfully present
    here, has sought to set enforcement priorities. He accordingly
    directed relevant agencies temporarily to defer low-priority
    removals of non-dangerous individuals so that the agencies
    can focus their resources on removing dangerous criminals
    and strengthening security at the border. People whose
    removal has been deferred are generally eligible to apply for
    authorization to work, and to reside in the United States for up
    to three years.
    Joseph Arpaio, the Sheriff of Maricopa County, Arizona,
    sued to enjoin the Secretary’s deferred action policies. He
    asserts that they are unconstitutional, arbitrary and capricious,
    and invalid under the Administrative Procedure Act as, in
    effect, regulations that have been promulgated without the
    requisite opportunity for public notice and comment. We
    cannot resolve those claims unless Sheriff Arpaio has Article
    III standing to raise them. To have standing, a plaintiff must
    have suffered or be about to suffer a concrete injury fairly
    traceable to the policies he challenges and redressable by the
    relief he seeks.
    Sheriff Arpaio’s standing arguments rest on the premise
    that more people causing more crimes harm him because, as
    Sheriff, he will be forced to spend more money policing the
    county and running its jails. He alleges two ways in which he
    believes that the population of undocumented aliens
    committing crimes will increase as a result of deferred action.
    3
    First, he contends that deferred action will act as a magnet
    drawing more undocumented aliens than would otherwise
    come across the Mexican border into Maricopa County,
    where they will commit crimes. Second, he alleges that the
    challenged policies will decrease total deportations by
    deferring action against approximately six million
    undocumented aliens, so that more individuals will remain
    unlawfully in Maricopa County and commit crimes than
    would be the case without deferred action.
    We conclude that Sheriff Arpaio has failed to allege an
    injury that is both fairly traceable to the deferred action
    policies and redressable by enjoining them, as our standing
    precedents require. His allegations that the policies will cause
    more crime in Maricopa County are unduly speculative.
    Projected increases he anticipates in the county’s policing
    burden and jail population rest on chains of supposition and
    contradict acknowledged realities.
    Sheriff Arpaio recognizes that the deferred action policies
    he challenges apply only to people who are already present in
    the United States and who either arrived as children or are
    parents of children who are United States citizens or lawful
    permanent residents. His magnet theory nonetheless assumes
    that the policies will cause non-citizens outside of the United
    States to cross the border in the mistaken hope of benefitting
    from the current policies. Alternatively, Sheriff Arpaio posits
    that foreign citizens will view the current policies as a sign of
    things to come, and will therefore cross the border in the hope
    of benefitting from hypothesized future, similar policies that
    are not the subject of Sheriff Arpaio’s challenge. Our
    precedents establish that standing based on third-party
    conduct—such as the anticipated reactions of undocumented
    aliens abroad—is significantly harder to show than standing
    based on harm imposed by one’s litigation adversary. That
    4
    difficulty is compounded here because the third-party conduct
    the complaint forecasts depends on large numbers of people
    having the same unlikely experiences and behaviors: For the
    harms Sheriff Arpaio alleges to occur and be redressable by
    the injunction he seeks, aliens abroad would have to learn
    about the deferred action policies, mistakenly think that they
    were eligible to benefit from them, or harbor a hope of
    becoming eligible for future, similar policies as yet
    unannounced, actually leave their homes and enter the United
    States illegally based on that false assumption, commit crime
    in Maricopa County, become involved in—and costly to—the
    criminal justice system there, and be less likely under deferred
    action to be removed from the United States than they would
    have been without those policies in place.
    Sheriff Arpaio’s second standing theory is no less
    tenuous. Sheriff Arpaio recognizes that only non-dangerous
    immigrants are eligible for deferred action, but he nonetheless
    contends that those deferrals will mean that crime by
    undocumented aliens will be higher than it would be without
    them. This second theory rests on the mistaken premise that
    the challenged policies decrease the number of removals
    below what would have been accomplished had the policies
    not been adopted. Accurately read, however, the policies seek
    not to decrease the total number of removals but to prioritize
    removal of individuals who pose a threat to public safety over
    removal of those who do not. The policy is designed to make
    the Department of Homeland Security’s expenditure of
    resources more efficient and effective. Even if it were
    plausibly alleged (and it is not) that the challenged policies
    would mean more undocumented aliens remain in the county,
    the reduced-removals theory also depends on unsupported
    speculation that these policies, expressly confined to
    individuals who do not pose threats to public safety, will
    increase the number of crimes in Maricopa County above
    5
    what could reasonably be anticipated in the absence of any
    such policies.
    Because Sheriff Arpaio’s allegations of causation and
    redressability rest on speculation beyond that permitted by our
    standing decisions, we affirm the district court’s dismissal of
    the complaint for want of Article III standing.
    I.
    A.
    The nation’s immigration laws provide for the removal
    from the United States of people who were “inadmissible at
    the time of entry,” or who commit certain offenses or meet
    other criteria for removal. Arizona v. United States, 
    132 S. Ct. 2492
    , 2499 (2012). The Secretary of Homeland Security
    is “charged with the administration and enforcement” of the
    immigration laws. 
    8 U.S.C. § 1103
    (a)(1). With enforcement
    responsibility comes the latitude that all executive branch
    agencies enjoy to exercise enforcement discretion—discretion
    necessitated by the practical fact that “[a]n agency generally
    cannot act against each technical violation of the statute it is
    charged with enforcing.” Heckler v. Chaney, 
    470 U.S. 821
    ,
    831 (1985). The Supreme Court has particularly recognized
    that “[a] principal feature of the removal system is the broad
    discretion exercised by immigration officials.” Arizona, 
    132 S. Ct. at 2499
    . Whether to initiate removal proceedings and
    whether to grant relief from deportation are among the
    discretionary decisions the immigration laws assign to the
    executive. 
    Id.
    In making immigration enforcement decisions, the
    executive considers a variety of factors such as the danger
    posed to the United States of an individual’s unlawful
    presence, the impact of removal on the nation’s international
    6
    relations, and the “human concerns” of whether the individual
    “has children born in the United States, long ties to the
    community, or a record of distinguished military service.” 
    Id.
    More generally, the Supreme Court has recognized that all
    agencies have discretion to prioritize in light of the
    Secretary’s and, ultimately, the President’s assessments
    “whether agency resources are best spent on this violation or
    another, whether the agency is likely to succeed if it acts,
    whether the particular enforcement action requested best fits
    the agency’s overall policies, and, indeed, whether the agency
    has enough resources to undertake the action at all.” Heckler,
    
    470 U.S. at 831
    .
    One form of discretion the Secretary of Homeland
    Security exercises is “deferred action,” which entails
    temporarily postponing the removal of individuals unlawfully
    present in the United States. See Reno v. Am.-Arab Anti-
    Discrimination Comm., 
    525 U.S. 471
    , 484 (1999).
    Immigration authorities have made decisions to defer action
    or take similar measures since the early 1960s. See The
    Department of Homeland Security’s Authority to Prioritize
    Removal of Certain Aliens Unlawfully Present (“OLC Op.”),
    38 O.L.C. Op. ----, pp. 7-8, 12-13 (Nov. 19, 2014). For
    example, in 1990, the Immigration and Naturalization Service
    implemented a “Family Fairness” program that deferred
    removal of and provided work authorizations to
    approximately 1.5 million individuals whose spouses or
    parents had been granted legal status in the United States
    under the Immigration and Reform Control Act of 1986, Pub.
    L. No. 99-603, 
    100 Stat. 3359
    .           OLC Op. at 14.
    Approximately forty percent of individuals unlawfully present
    in the United States at that time were potentially eligible for
    the program. 
    Id. at 31
    .
    7
    Today, the Department of Homeland Security estimates
    that there are approximately 11.3 million people in the United
    States who may be subject to removal under the immigration
    laws. See 
    id. at 1
    . Of those, the Department estimates that it
    has the resources to remove fewer than 400,000 each year. 
    Id.
    In an effort to allocate the Department’s limited resources,
    Secretary Janet Napolitano in June 2012 directed relevant
    agencies “to ensure that our enforcement resources are not
    expended on . . . low priority cases but are instead
    appropriately focused on people who meet our enforcement
    priorities.” Memorandum from Janet Napolitano, Exercising
    Prosecutorial Discretion with Respect to Individuals Who
    Came to the United States as Children 1 (June 15, 2012), J.A.
    101. In what became known as Deferred Action for
    Childhood Arrivals, or DACA, the Secretary outlined a policy
    to defer removal proceedings for two years, subject to
    renewal, of individuals who came to the United States as
    children, met certain eligibility criteria, and cleared a
    background check. 
    Id. at 1-2
    . Those eligible for DACA
    could identify themselves to the Department for
    individualized review and, if eligible, receive temporary
    deferral and authorization, on a case-by-case basis, to work in
    the United States. 
    Id. at 3
    . The memorandum emphasizes,
    however, that deferred action remains discretionary and
    reversible, and “confers no substantive right, immigration
    status or pathway to citizenship.” 
    Id.
    In November 2014, Jeh Johnson, Napolitano’s successor
    as Secretary of Homeland Security, revised the DACA
    program by extending it to more childhood arrivals and
    extending to three years the deferred action and work
    authorization periods.    Memorandum from Jeh Charles
    Johnson, Exercising Prosecutorial Discretion with Respect to
    Individuals Who Came to the United States as Children and
    with Respect to Certain Individuals Who are Parents of U.S.
    8
    Citizens or Permanent Residents 1 (Nov. 20, 2014), J.A. 145.
    In addition, the Secretary outlined a second deferred action
    policy for the parents of United States citizens and lawful
    permanent residents, which has become known as Deferred
    Action for Parents of Americans, or DAPA. 
    Id. at 4-5
    .
    Parents seeking to take part in DAPA must meet similar
    eligibility requirements as DACA beneficiaries, and they, too,
    must clear a background check. 
    Id.
     Neither DACA nor
    DAPA applies to individuals who arrived in the United States
    after January 1, 2010. 
    Id. at 4
    .
    The Secretary explained that DACA and DAPA apply to
    individuals who “are extremely unlikely to be deported given
    [the] Department’s limited enforcement resources—which
    must continue to be focused on those who represent threats to
    national security, public safety, and border security.” 
    Id. at 3
    .
    In a separate memorandum issued on the same day, the
    Secretary revised the Department’s enforcement priorities.
    Memorandum from Jeh Charles Johnson, Policies for the
    Apprehension, Detention and Removal of Undocumented
    Immigrants 1 (Nov. 20, 2014), J.A. 154. One of the eligibility
    requirements of DACA and DAPA is that individuals must
    not fall under any of three enforcement priority categories.
    The first applies to “threats to national security, border
    security, and public safety,” i.e., those engaged in or
    suspected of terrorism or espionage, apprehended at the
    border or ports of entry attempting to enter the United States
    unlawfully, convicted of an offense involving participation in
    gangs or organized crime, or convicted of a felony or
    aggravated felony. 
    Id. at 3
    . The second category applies to
    those convicted of three or more offenses (not including
    traffic- or immigration-related offenses), or of a single
    “significant misdemeanor,” including crimes of violence, drug
    distribution or trafficking, driving under the influence of an
    impairing substance, and any other misdemeanor that resulted
    9
    in more than ninety days’ incarceration. 
    Id. at 3-4
    . The third
    category applies to individuals who have been issued a final
    order of removal on or after January 1, 2014. 
    Id. at 4
    .
    DACA and DAPA therefore apply to the portion of the
    population that the Department considers not threatening to
    public safety and that has not had any involvement, or only
    minimal and minor involvement, with the criminal justice
    system. Although estimates of this kind are notoriously
    difficult to make, it appears that up to about six million of the
    11.3 million individuals subject to removal from the United
    States may be eligible either for DACA or DAPA.1
    B.
    On the same day that the President announced the
    revisions to DACA and the new DAPA policy, the elected
    Sheriff of Maricopa County, Arizona, Joseph Arpaio, sued the
    President and other federal officials seeking a declaration and
    preliminary injunction that DACA and DAPA violate the
    Administrative Procedure Act, 
    5 U.S.C. § 551
     et seq., the
    President’s constitutional duty to “take Care that the Laws be
    faithfully executed,” U.S. Const. art. II, § 3, and the non-
    delegation doctrine.
    1
    Sheriff Arpaio claims throughout his briefing, without citation,
    that the total number of DACA- and DAPA- eligible individuals is
    six million. The Department estimates that four million people may
    be eligible for DAPA, but acknowledges the difficulty of arriving at
    accurate estimates. See OLC Op. at 30. We have found no
    estimate of DACA eligibility in the record, but one court has noted
    that some observers expect the number of eligible individuals to
    reach 1.7 million, Texas v. United States, No. CIV. B-14-254, --- F.
    Supp. 3d ---, 
    2015 WL 648579
    , at *4 (S.D. Tex. Feb. 16, 2015),
    bringing the combined total to 5.7 million. The Sheriff’s estimate
    thus appears reasonable.
    10
    Maricopa County is the fourth most populous county in
    the nation, and the most populous by far in Arizona. It stands
    thirty miles from the United States’ border with Mexico.
    Sheriff Arpaio alleges that he was “adversely affected and
    harmed in his office’s finances, workload, and interference
    with the conduct of his duties, by the failure of the executive
    branch to enforce existing immigration laws” through
    adoption of DACA in 2012. Compl. ¶ 27. He asserts that his
    office has been “severely affected” by increases in unlawful
    entries that he alleges were motivated by the President’s
    “amnesty” policies, and he predicted further unlawful entries
    due to the policies announced in 2014. 
    Id.
     In a declaration,
    Sheriff Arpaio avers that the increased number of unlawful
    arrivals in Maricopa County after DACA was first adopted in
    2012 imposed costs on his office in terms of “manpower and
    financially” because some of those individuals who arrived
    without documentation ended up in the Sheriff’s jails, and
    others committed offenses that required additional
    investigation on the part of the Sheriff’s office. Supp’l
    Arpaio Decl., J.A. 656-58 ¶¶ 12, 18-20, 27.
    The district court denied a preliminary injunction and
    dismissed the complaint for lack of subject matter jurisdiction
    because Sheriff Arpaio had failed to allege a cognizable
    injury in fact for purposes of Article III standing. Arpaio v.
    Obama, 
    27 F. Supp. 3d 185
    , 192, 207 (D.D.C. 2014). The
    court held that Sheriff Arpaio presents a non-justiciable
    “generalized grievance,” as opposed to a particularized injury.
    
    Id. at 202
    . If it recognized Sheriff Arpaio’s standing to bring
    these claims, the court opined, it “would permit nearly all
    state officials to challenge a host of Federal laws simply
    because they disagree with how many—or how few—Federal
    resources are brought to bear on local interests.” 
    Id.
     The
    district court also concluded that Arpaio lacked standing
    because his claimed injury was “largely speculative.” 
    Id.
     at
    11
    203. The court found implausible the contention that “the
    challenged deferred action programs will create a ‘magnet’ by
    attracting new undocumented immigrants into Maricopa
    County, some of whom may commit crimes under Arizona
    law.” 
    Id.
     Sheriff Arpaio’s theory treats as a certain and
    immediate effect of the challenged programs, the court held,
    migration decisions that are in reality “complex decision[s]
    with multiple factors, including factors entirely outside the
    United States’ control, such as social, economic and political
    strife in a foreign country.” 
    Id.
     Sheriff Arpaio timely
    appealed.
    II.
    We review de novo the district court’s dismissal for lack
    of standing. Renal Physicians Ass’n v. U.S. Dep’t of Health
    & Human Servs., 
    489 F.3d 1267
    , 1273 (D.C. Cir. 2007). The
    plaintiff bears the burden of invoking the court’s subject
    matter jurisdiction, including establishing the elements of
    standing. Lujan v. Defenders of Wildlife, 
    504 U.S. 555
    , 561
    (1992). The “irreducible constitutional minimum of standing
    contains three elements”: injury in fact, causation, and
    redressability. 
    Id. at 560-61
    . Injury in fact is the “invasion of
    a legally protected interest which is (a) concrete and
    particularized . . . and (b) actual or imminent, not conjectural
    or hypothetical.” 
    Id. at 560
     (internal quotation marks and
    citations omitted). The “causal connection between the injury
    and the conduct complained of” must be “fairly traceable to
    the challenged action of the defendant, and not the result of
    the independent action of some third party not before the
    court.” 
    Id. at 561
     (internal quotation marks and alterations
    omitted). And it must be “likely, as opposed to merely
    speculative, that the injury will be redressed by a favorable
    decision.” 
    Id.
     (internal quotation marks omitted). Finally,
    because Sheriff Arpaio seeks prospective declaratory and
    12
    injunctive relief, he must establish an ongoing or future injury
    that is “certainly impending”; he may not rest on past injury.
    Clapper v. Amnesty Int’l USA, 
    133 S. Ct. 1138
    , 1147 (2013)
    (emphasis omitted).
    “[E]ach element [of standing] must be supported in the
    same way as any other matter on which the plaintiff bears the
    burden of proof, i.e., with the manner and degree of evidence
    required at the successive stages of the litigation.” Lujan, 
    504 U.S. at 561
    .       Consequently, because the Department
    challenges the adequacy of Sheriff Arpaio’s complaint and
    declarations to support his standing, we accept the well-
    pleaded factual allegations as true and draw all reasonable
    inferences from those allegations in the plaintiff’s favor, as
    we do in reviewing dismissals for failure to state a claim. See
    Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. 662
    , 678 (2009). Nevertheless,
    “[t]hreadbare recitals of the elements of [standing], supported
    by mere conclusory statements, do not suffice.” 
    Id.
     We do
    not assume the truth of legal conclusions, 
    id.,
     nor do we
    “accept inferences that are unsupported by the facts set out in
    the complaint,” Islamic Am. Relief Agency v. Gonzales, 
    477 F.3d 728
    , 732 (D.C. Cir. 2007). Thus, “[t]o survive a motion
    to dismiss, a complaint must contain sufficient factual matter,
    accepted as true, to ‘state a claim [of standing] that is
    plausible on its face.’” Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. at 678
     (quoting Bell
    Atl. Corp. v. Twombly, 
    550 U.S. 544
    , 570 (2007)).
    III.
    The Sheriff’s Office’s expenditures of resources on
    criminal investigation, apprehension, and incarceration of
    criminals are indeed concrete, but Sheriff Arpaio lacks
    standing to challenge DACA and DAPA because any effects
    of the challenged policies on the county’s crime rate are
    unduly speculative.
    13
    A.
    Sheriff Arpaio’s standing theory relies on a predicted
    chain of events, as follows: Under the challenged policies,
    the Secretary of Homeland Security will refrain from
    removing DACA and DAPA beneficiaries. Foreign citizens
    outside of the United States and ineligible for either DACA or
    DAPA will learn of those policies. Those people will either
    mistakenly believe that they are eligible to benefit from them,
    or conjecture that the policies make it likely that the federal
    government will adopt a future, similar policy of deferred
    action for which they would be eligible. Relying on such
    surmise, those individuals will decide to enter the United
    States unlawfully, stimulated by the hope of obtaining relief
    from deportation. Some of those new arrivals will settle in
    Maricopa County. And some subset of those, contrary to their
    own plans to benefit from anticipated deferred action or
    removal opportunities restricted to non-criminal aliens, will
    commit crimes. The portion of those who are investigated,
    arrested, or jailed by the Sheriff’s Office will cause an
    increased expenditure of resources. See Supp’l Arpaio Decl.
    ¶ 18. It is that predicted expenditure of resources that Sheriff
    Arpaio seeks to redress through this suit.
    Any injury Sheriff Arpaio suffers from the financial
    burdens imposed by new arrivals would not be fairly traceable
    to DACA or DAPA. Neither DACA nor DAPA applies to
    people who entered the United States after January 1, 2010,
    and thus plainly neither applies to entrants arriving now or in
    the future. Sheriff Arpaio argues that foreign citizens will see
    DACA and DAPA as harbingers of the federal government’s
    future immigration policies, and so be encouraged to enter the
    United States unlawfully. Even if the causal links in that
    attenuated chain were adequately alleged, the decisions of
    such individuals to enter the United States unlawfully lack
    14
    any legitimate causal connection to the challenged policies.
    Just as the law does not impose liability for unreasonable
    reliance on a promise, see Restatement (Second) of Contracts
    § 90 (1981), it does not confer standing to complain of harms
    by third parties the plaintiff expects will act in unreasonable
    reliance on current governmental policies that concededly
    cannot benefit those third parties. We are aware of no
    decision recognizing such an attenuated basis for standing.
    See Mideast Sys. & China Civil Const. Saipan Joint Venture,
    Inc. v. Hodel, 
    792 F.2d 1172
    , 1178 (D.C. Cir. 1986) (“[T]he
    mere possibility that causation is present is not enough; the
    presence of an independent variable between either the harm
    and the relief or the harm and the conduct makes causation
    sufficiently tenuous that standing should be denied.”).
    Even were we to ignore the disconnect between the
    challenged policies and the increased law enforcement
    expenditures that Sheriff Arpaio predicts, his reliance on the
    anticipated action of unrelated third parties makes it
    considerably harder to show the causation required to support
    standing. The injuries Sheriff Arpaio predicts would stem not
    from the government’s DACA or DAPA programs, but from
    future unlawful entrants committing crimes in Maricopa
    County after their arrival. Although “standing is not
    precluded” in a case that turns on third-party conduct, “it is
    ordinarily substantially more difficult to establish.” Lujan,
    
    504 U.S. at 562
     (internal quotation marks omitted). We have
    required “substantial evidence of a causal relationship
    between the government policy and the third-party conduct,
    leaving little doubt as to causation and the likelihood of
    redress.” Nat’l Wrestling Coaches Ass’n v. Dep’t of Educ.,
    
    366 F.3d 930
    , 941 (D.C. Cir. 2004); see also Renal
    Physicians, 
    489 F.3d at 1275
    .
    15
    Likewise, because Sheriff Arpaio must rest his claims for
    declaratory and injunctive relief on predicted future injury,
    see Clapper, 
    133 S. Ct. at 1147
    , he bears a “more rigorous
    burden” to establish standing, United Transp. Union v. ICC,
    
    891 F.2d 908
    , 913 (D.C. Cir. 1989). We must take the
    complaint’s allegations “of facts, historical or otherwise
    demonstrable,” as true. 
    Id. at 912
    . But we treat “allegations
    that are really predictions” differently.         
    Id.
         “When
    considering any chain of allegations for standing purposes, we
    may reject as overly speculative those links which are
    predictions of future events (especially future actions to be
    taken by third parties),” as well as predictions of future injury
    that are “not normally susceptible of labelling as ‘true’ or
    ‘false.’” 
    Id. at 913
    . In order to establish standing premised
    on future injury, Sheriff Arpaio “must demonstrate a realistic
    danger of sustaining a direct injury.” 
    Id.
     (quoting Babbitt v.
    United Farm Workers Nat’l Union, 
    442 U.S. 289
    , 298
    (1979)).
    Sheriff Arpaio asserts that he is entitled to proceed based
    on a lenient assessment of his alleged concrete injury, because
    his complaint includes a claim of procedural injury from
    violation of the Administrative Procedure Act.              That
    contention mischaracterizes our procedural injury cases.
    “[T]hough the plaintiff in a procedural-injury case is relieved
    of having to show that proper procedures would have caused
    the agency to take a different substantive action, the plaintiff
    must still show that the agency action was the cause of some
    redressable injury to the plaintiff.” Renal Physicians, 
    489 F.3d at 1279
    .
    Here, Sheriff Arpaio’s allegations that DACA and DAPA
    will cause unlawful immigration to increase are conjectural
    and conclusory. See, e.g., Suppl. Arpaio Decl. ¶¶ 16-17. The
    only relevant specifics appear not in his pleadings, but in his
    16
    brief, where he points to the “flood of unaccompanied minors
    in the Summer of 2014 crossing the Mexican border”—an
    increase that he attributes to Secretary Napolitano’s June 2012
    DACA memorandum. Arpaio Br. 17. He argues that we may
    extrapolate from that experience that the revised DACA and
    new DAPA policies will cause increased unlawful
    immigration in the future. Even if we could credit an
    assertion in a brief as if it were alleged in a pleading, see
    Runnemede Owners, Inc. v. Crest Mortg. Corp., 
    861 F.2d 1053
    , 1057 (7th Cir. 1988) (“[A]ssertions contained only in
    the briefs may not be used to expand the allegations of the
    complaint.”), Sheriff Arpaio’s argument nonetheless suffers
    from the logical fallacy post hoc ergo propter hoc (after this,
    therefore because of this). Just as we do not infer that the
    rooster’s crow triggers the sunrise, we cannot infer based on
    chronology alone that DACA triggered the migrations that
    occurred two years later.
    Sheriff Arpaio provides no factual allegations to link the
    2014 “flood” of minors to DACA. The record reveals only
    speculation about the complex decisions made by non-citizens
    of the United States before they risked life and limb to come
    here. While immigration policies might have played into that
    calculus, so, too, might the myriad economic, social, and
    political realities in the United States and in foreign nations.
    Even assuming that it is conceivable that inaccurate
    knowledge of DACA could have provided some
    encouragement to those who crossed the southern border, the
    Supreme Court’s precedent requires more than illogic or
    “unadorned speculation” before a court may draw the
    inference Sheriff Arpaio seeks. Simon v. E. Ky. Welfare
    Rights Org., 
    426 U.S. 26
    , 44 (1976).
    Moreover, even if we were to assume DACA and DAPA
    increase unlawful immigration, we cannot further infer that
    17
    they increase crime. At base, Sheriff Arpaio’s contention is
    that more immigrants mean more crime. There is simple
    appeal to the notion that, all else being equal, more people
    will commit more crime. But the reality is that crime is
    notoriously difficult to predict. Explaining its causes, even
    after the fact, is rife with uncertainty. Crime rates are affected
    by numerous factors, such as the local economy, population
    density, access to jobs, education, and housing, and public
    policies that directly and indirectly affect the crime rate.
    Even if it were possible to do so, Sheriff Arpaio does not
    explain how increased migration would interact with those
    and other factors affecting the crime rate. On this record, it is
    pure speculation whether an increase in unlawful immigration
    would result in an increase, rather than a decrease or no
    change, in the number of crimes committed in Maricopa
    County.      Where predictions are so uncertain, we are
    prohibited from finding standing. See O’Shea v. Littleton,
    
    414 U.S. 488
    , 497 (1974) (holding that a class of African
    Americans and civil rights activists lacked standing to
    challenge an alleged pattern and practice of selective and
    discriminatory criminal law enforcement because “attempting
    to anticipate whether and when these respondents will be
    charged with crime . . . takes us into the area of speculation
    and conjecture”).
    We faced one example of the obstacles to standing based
    on predicted harms flowing from third-party conduct in
    Northwest Airlines, Inc. v. FAA, 
    795 F.2d 195
    , 201 (D.C. Cir.
    1986). Northwest Airlines sought to challenge the FAA’s
    decision to certify a pilot to continue flying after the airline
    discharged him for flying while intoxicated. The airline
    argued that “allowing unfit pilots in the skies endangers all
    others who fly and confers upon [the endangered parties]
    standing to challenge any . . . certification decision.” 
    Id. at 201
    . We reiterated that the standing requirements “will not be
    18
    satisfied simply because a chain of events can be
    hypothesized in which the action challenged eventually leads
    to actual injury.” 
    Id.
     Consequently, we held that the airline
    lacked standing because the “possibility” that the pilot would
    be hired by another airline, fly in the same region as the
    plaintiff airline, and actually cause injury to the plaintiff’s
    passengers and crew was “too remote and speculative to
    constitute injury.” 
    Id.
     Just as the airline’s challenge to the
    FAA’s decision to treat an alcoholic pilot leniently was
    premised on the airline’s hypothesis that the decision created
    a “marginally increased possibility” that the pilot would
    engage in unlawful behavior, 
    id. at 202
    , Sheriff Arpaio’s
    challenge to the Department of Homeland Security’s deferred
    action policies rests on his hypothesis that they will lead to
    increased unlawful behavior. Both theories suffer from the
    same weakness: “the likelihood of any injury actually being
    inflicted [is] too remote to warrant the invocation of judicial
    power.” Id.2
    2
    Sheriff Arpaio also argues that we are required to draw the
    inference that “a demonstrated willingness to break this nation’s
    laws to get what one wants but is not entitled to, experiencing a
    widespread outcry excusing their law-breaking, and suffering no
    consequences constitute valid grounds for predicting a lowered
    resistance to breaking more laws.” Arpaio Br. 46. Not so. Sheriff
    Arpaio has made no factual allegations that might support his
    asserted connection between the decision to enter the United States
    unlawfully and the propensity to commit other crimes. See Islamic
    Am. Relief Agency, 
    477 F.3d at 732
     (“This Court need not . . .
    accept inferences that are unsupported by the facts set out in the
    complaint.”). Even if he had, he has not contended with the legal
    hurdle posed by courts’ general reluctance to predict propensities to
    commit crime in the future. See, e.g., City of Los Angeles v. Lyons,
    
    461 U.S. 95
    , 108 (1983) (“[I]t is surely no more than speculation to
    assert either that Lyons himself will again be” arrested and
    19
    Sheriff Arpaio contends that cases recognizing
    competitor standing support his reliance on anticipated future
    harm. In certain circumstances, we have found standing
    premised on the federal government’s favorable regulatory
    treatment of a plaintiff’s competitor. Plaintiffs may claim
    predictable economic harms from the lifting of a regulatory
    restriction on a “direct and current competitor,” Mendoza v.
    Perez, 
    754 F.3d 1002
    , 1013 (D.C. Cir. 2014) (internal
    quotation marks and emphasis omitted), or regulatory action
    that enlarges the pool of competitors, which will “almost
    certainly cause an injury in fact” to participants in the same
    market, Sherley v. Sebelius, 
    610 F.3d 69
    , 73 (D.C. Cir. 2010).
    But we have not hesitated to find competitor standing lacking
    where the plaintiff’s factual allegations raised only “‘some
    vague probability’” that increased competition would occur.
    
    Id. at 74
     (quoting DEK Energy Co. v. FERC, 
    248 F.3d 1192
    ,
    1196 (2001)). Because of the generally contingent nature of
    predictions of future third-party action, we have remained
    sparing in crediting claims of anticipated injury by market
    actors and other parties alike. See United Transp. Union, 
    891 F.2d at
    912 n.7 (distinguishing “allegations of future injury
    that are firmly rooted in the basic laws of economics” from
    other allegations of future injury). Sheriff Arpaio’s theory
    that more immigrants mean more crime is not sufficiently
    analogous to the basic laws of economics for our competitor
    standing cases to apply.
    Finally, we note that the Fifth Circuit’s recent decision in
    Texas v. United States, 
    787 F.3d 733
     (5th Cir. 2015), does not
    support Sheriff Arpaio’s standing. That court found that the
    State of Texas had standing to challenge DAPA because it
    would be required to issue driver’s licenses to DAPA
    subjected to a chokehold by resisting arrest.); O’Shea v. Littleton,
    
    414 U.S. at 497
    ; cf. Nw. Airlines, 
    795 F.2d at 201
    .
    20
    beneficiaries. Id. at 748-54. Texas offers driver’s licenses at
    a substantially subsidized price; it loses $130.89 on each
    license it issues. Id. at 748. DAPA renders the approximately
    500,000 of its beneficiaries who reside in Texas eligible to
    obtain Texas driver’s licenses. Id. at 752. Texas alleged that
    anyone who qualifies under DAPA also by the same token
    qualifies for a Texas license. Such an increase in the numbers
    of persons eligible for Texas driver’s licenses, the Fifth
    Circuit reasoned, has the “direct and predictable effect” of
    imposing costs on the state. Id. Assuming arguendo the
    correctness of that conclusion, here, by contrast, the record
    reveals nothing from which we may draw the inference that
    the “direct and predictable effect” of the challenged policies
    will be an increase in the costs to Sheriff Arpaio’s office of
    responding to crime. Sheriff Arpaio’s contention is, at
    bottom, premised on the speculative prediction that DACA
    and DAPA will create incentives on third parties to behave in
    misinformed or irrational ways that would harm him. The
    claim in Texas, by contrast, was that undocumented aliens
    immediately become eligible for the license benefit by dint of
    becoming DAPA beneficiaries.               Insofar as those
    circumstances pose “actual and imminent” concrete harm to
    Texas, we face a significantly different situation here. See id.
    at 744-45, 751.
    B.
    Sheriff Arpaio’s argument in the district court focused on
    the harms he anticipates from an increased number of people
    unlawfully crossing the border. On appeal, his standing
    theory focuses more on a separate prediction that fewer of the
    undocumented aliens already in the United States will be
    removed under the new policies than would have been
    removed without them. See Oral Arg. Tr. 15:6-10. Under
    this second theory, Sheriff Arpaio argues that he will be
    21
    injured because some portion of the six million people who
    might benefit from deferred action will remain in Maricopa
    County rather than being removed, and some portion of those
    will commit crimes. This theory rests on the unsupported
    assumption that the total removals will drop due to DACA
    and DAPA, plus the speculation that those programs’
    beneficiaries will increase the crime rate.
    A crucial assumption behind this standing claim is that,
    but for the challenged policies, the government would be able
    promptly to remove individuals eligible for DACA or DAPA.
    But Sheriff Arpaio does not dispute that the Department of
    Homeland Security has the resources only to remove fewer
    than 400,000 undocumented aliens per year. See Hrg. Tr.,
    J.A. 718-19. Indeed, he repeatedly alleges that, before DACA
    and DAPA, the government was removing far fewer
    undocumented aliens from Maricopa County than he thought
    was appropriate. But Sheriff Arpaio does not generally
    challenge what he calls the executive’s failure to enforce the
    immigration laws; his claims are directed only to DACA and
    DAPA. Neither those policies, nor the Department of
    Homeland Security that administers them, contemplates the
    net removal of fewer individuals under the policies than under
    the status quo ante.
    The relevant question, then, is not whether the
    government will remove fewer undocumented aliens under
    the challenged policies than without them, but whether the
    shift in removal priorities that DACA and DAPA reflect will
    cause an increase in crime in Maricopa County. Sheriff
    Arpaio’s prediction of an increase in undocumented aliens
    committing crime runs contrary to the thrust of those policies.
    DACA and DAPA apply only to non-dangerous immigrants.
    They are designed to allow the Department to focus its
    resources on removing those undocumented aliens most
    22
    disruptive to the public safety and national security of the
    United States. To qualify for DAPA or DACA, individuals
    must pass a background check, have long-term ties to the
    United States, and submit to individualized assessments for
    compatibility with the Secretary’s priorities in removing
    criminals. Even after they are approved for deferred action,
    DAPA and DACA beneficiaries are subject to the
    Department’s overall enforcement priorities. They get no free
    pass to commit offenses, whether dangerous or otherwise
    serious; those types of offenders remain high priorities for
    removal from the United States.
    The flaw in Sheriff Arpaio’s logic is fatal to his claim.
    See Renal Physicians, 
    489 F.3d at 1278
    . The challenged
    policies seek to increase the proportion of removal
    proceedings and deportations of those who pose a threat to
    public safety or national security. The policies are designed
    to remove more criminals in lieu of removals of
    undocumented aliens who commit no offenses or only minor
    violations while here. To the extent that such predictions are
    possible, if the programs are successful by their own terms,
    the number of crimes committed by undocumented aliens in
    Maricopa County should drop. Sheriff Arpaio has not
    explained how making the removal of criminals a priority
    over the removal of non-dangerous individuals will instead
    result in an increase in crime.3 This is thus not a case in
    3
    The Fifth Circuit recently acknowledged a similar flaw in
    Mississippi’s challenge to DACA. Mississippi’s claim of injury
    was not supported by facts showing that DACA-eligible
    undocumented aliens would impose increased costs on the state.
    Crane v. Johnson, 
    783 F.3d 244
    , 252 (5th Cir. 2015). The Fifth
    Circuit observed that it could instead be the case, as the Department
    of Homeland Security argued and contrary to Mississippi’s
    contentions, “that the reallocation of DHS’s assets is resulting in
    the removal of immigrants that impose a greater financial burden on
    23
    which the plaintiff and defendant each present plausible
    explanations for the facts alleged. See Starr v. Baca, 
    652 F.3d 1202
    , 1216-17 (9th Cir. 2011). Dismissal is required because
    the “plausible alternative explanation” that DACA and DAPA
    will result in fewer crimes in Maricopa County, not more, “is
    so convincing that [the] plaintiff’s explanation is
    implausible.” Id.; see also Renal Physicians, 
    489 F.3d at 1277
    .
    *   *    *
    We have observed that the “complexity and
    interdependence of our society and governmental policies”
    enable prospective plaintiffs to allege theories of causation
    that, though severely attenuated, carry with them “some
    plausibility.” Nw. Airlines, 
    795 F.2d at
    203 n.2. “If such
    allegations were routinely accepted as sufficient to confer
    standing, courts would be thrust into a far larger role of
    judging governmental policies than is presently the case, or
    than seems desirable.” 
    Id.
     We must rigorously review
    allegations by plaintiffs who seek to invoke the subject matter
    jurisdiction of the federal courts based on the projected
    response of independent third parties to a challenged
    government action. In this case, Sheriff Arpaio’s standing
    allegations fall short. For these reasons, we hold Sheriff
    Arpaio lacks standing to challenge DACA and DAPA.
    Accordingly, we affirm the judgment of the district court.
    So ordered.
    the state,” and, if so, DACA’s “net effect would be a reduction in
    the fiscal burden on the state.” 
    Id.
     The court affirmed dismissal of
    the case for want of “a sufficiently concrete and particularized
    injury that would give Plaintiffs standing to challenge DACA.” 
    Id. at 255
    .
    BROWN, Circuit Judge, concurring: Today we hold that
    the elected Sheriff of the nation’s fourth largest county,
    located mere miles from our border with Mexico, cannot
    challenge the federal government’s deliberate non-
    enforcement of the immigration laws. I agree with my
    colleagues that the state of the law on standing “requires, or at
    least counsels, the result here reached.” Haitian Refugee Ctr.
    v. Gracey, 
    809 F.2d 794
    , 798 (D.C. Cir. 1987). But,
    recognizing that Sheriff Arpaio’s claims reflect the wide-
    spread perception that the administration’s prosecutorial
    discretion meme is constitutionally problematic, I write
    separately to emphasize the narrowness of today’s ruling, and
    note the consequences of our modern obsession with a
    myopic and constrained notion of standing.
    ***
    Sheriff Joseph Arpaio of Maricopa County, Arizona, filed
    suit to prevent the President from implementing programs
    deferring the removal of certain undocumented immigrants
    from the United States. These programs, referred to as
    Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) and
    Deferred Action for Parents of Americans (DAPA), generally
    delay removal proceedings for undocumented immigrants
    who pass a background check and satisfy specified eligibility
    criteria. See Memorandum from Janet Napolitano, Exercising
    Prosecutorial Discretion with Respect to Individuals Who
    Came to the United States as Children 1 (June 15, 2012), J.A.
    101; Memorandum from Jeh Charles Johnson, Exercising
    Prosecutorial Discretion with Respect to Individuals Who
    Came to the United States as Children and With Respect to
    Certain Individuals Who are Parents of U.S. Citizens or
    Permanent Residents 1 (Nov. 20, 2014), J.A. 145. Those who
    qualify receive authorization to work and reside in the United
    States for renewable periods.
    2
    What the government views as permissible prosecutorial
    discretion, Sheriff Arpaio views as a violation of the
    President’s duty to “take Care that the Laws be faithfully
    executed,” U.S. CONST. art. II, § 3, and the non-delegation
    doctrine. Sheriff Arpaio also identifies potential procedural
    violations, contending the orders fail to comply with notice-
    and-comment procedures required by the Administrative
    Procedure Act.
    Sheriff Arpaio’s problems with the challenged policies
    run deeper than a difference in philosophy or politics. He
    claims DACA and DAPA impose clear and “severe[]” harms
    on his ability to protect the people of Maricopa County.
    Compl. ¶ 27. In particular, he argues that deferring removal
    proceedings and providing work authorizations to
    undocumented immigrants “harmed . . . his office’s finances,
    workload, and interfere[d] with the conduct of his duties . . .
    .” Id. He attributes an influx of undocumented immigrants to
    the Department’s non-enforcement policies, and claims it
    corresponded with a rise in crime. Increased crime means
    increased costs for the Sheriff, who must run the jails and
    provide deputies to police the streets.
    ***
    Sheriff Arpaio’s concerns are no doubt sincere. But, as
    the court concludes, we cannot hear his claims because he
    lacks standing to proceed. Under our standing jurisprudence,
    the injuries he claims resulted from DACA and DAPA are
    simply too inexact and speculative. Consequently, we must
    affirm the district court’s dismissal of the complaint.
    Some may find today’s outcome perplexing. Certainly
    Sheriff Arpaio cannot be blamed for believing he had
    standing. The relevant judicial guideposts do not exactly
    3
    “define[]” standing “with complete consistency.” Valley
    Forge Christian Coll. v. Ams. United for Separation of
    Church & State, Inc., 
    454 U.S. 464
    , 475 (1982). And some
    cases suggest standing can be satisfied based on fairly
    ephemeral injuries and attenuated theories of causation. See,
    e.g., Massachusetts v. EPA, 
    549 U.S. 497
    , 516–26 (2007).
    Indeed, at first blush, Sheriff Arpaio’s allegations appear
    somewhat similar to those the Supreme Court found sufficient
    to secure standing in Massachusetts v. EPA. That case
    revolved around EPA’s decision not to regulate greenhouse
    gas emissions in new vehicles. Then, as now, standing
    consisted of a tripartite test. Plaintiffs must show they were
    or will be concretely injured by an action fairly traceable to
    the defendant and redressable by the court. See Steel Co. v.
    Citizens for a Better Env’t, 
    523 U.S. 83
    , 102–04 (1998). The
    rules are somewhat relaxed for plaintiffs who, like
    Massachusetts and Sheriff Arpaio, seek to vindicate a
    procedural right, including “the right to challenge agency
    action unlawfully withheld.” Massachusetts, 
    549 U.S. at 517
    .
    Procedural rights claims can proceed “without meeting all the
    normal standards for redressability and immediacy.” 
    Id.
     at
    517–18 (quoting Lujan v. Defenders of Wildlife, 
    504 U.S. 555
    ,
    572 n.7 (1992)). Massachusetts received a further benefit. As
    a sovereign state, it was “entitled to special solicitude in [the]
    standing analysis.” Id. at 520.
    Massachusetts, like Sheriff Arpaio, believed the federal
    government had “abdicated its [statutory] responsibility” to
    protect the State’s interests. Id. at 505. The State, like the
    Sheriff, asked the Court to construe the meaning of a federal
    statute, “a question eminently suitable to resolution in federal
    court.” Id. at 516. And Congress had authorized challenges
    to the EPA, id., just as Congress has generally authorized the
    type of challenge Sheriff Arpaio now pursues, see 
    5 U.S.C. §
                                 4
    704; see also Texas v. United States, 
    787 F.3d 733
    , 751–52
    (5th Cir. 2015).
    The Supreme Court ultimately found that Massachusetts’
    injury lay in the potential loss of coastal land caused by the
    threat of rising seas. The Court said “the rise in sea levels
    associated with global warming has already harmed and will
    continue to harm Massachusetts.” Massachusetts, 
    549 U.S. at 526
    . Scientific evidence suggested a causal relationship
    between greenhouse gases and atmospheric warming. The
    Court brushed aside EPA’s argument that Massachusetts had
    only a generalized grievance widely shared by others. The
    global nature of global warming did not negate the state’s
    claimed concrete injury. See 
    id.
     at 522–23.
    Just as EPA’s inaction harmed Massachusetts’ shores,
    inaction on immigration is said to harm Sheriff Arpaio’s
    streets. Immigration, like global warming, affects the entire
    nation. But that does not mean no one has standing to
    challenge the concrete effects of the federal government’s
    immigration policies. “[W]here a harm is concrete, though
    widely shared, the Court has found ‘injury in fact.’” FEC v.
    Akins, 
    524 U.S. 11
    , 24 (1998).
    Based on these facial similarities, someone in Sheriff
    Arpaio’s shoes may well believe he has standing. After all,
    Massachusetts sets out a “loosened standard” under which
    “any contribution of any size to a cognizable injury” seems to
    be “sufficient for causation, and any step, no matter how
    small,” seems to be “sufficient to provide the necessary
    redress.” Jonathan H. Adler, Standing Still in the Roberts
    Court, 59 CASE W. RES. L. REV. 1061, 1078 (2009). Under
    that elastic framework, the risk of harm, however tenuously
    linked to the challenged government action, appears to suffice
    to show standing.
    5
    Despite initial appearances, Massachusetts does not
    support the Sheriff’s standing. Preliminarily, perhaps sensing
    that Massachusetts’ broad-based claim could not satisfy the
    ordinary rules of standing, the Court lowered the bar, ruling
    that state litigants were “entitled to special solicitude” in the
    standing calculus. Massachusetts, 
    549 U.S. at 520
    . In
    addition to being special, the solicitude the Massachusetts’
    Court manufactured was highly selective: cast in concerns
    over state sovereignty, see 
    id.
     at 518–20, this bit of doctrinal
    favoritism likely does not extend to non-state litigants like the
    Sheriff, who must clear the ordinary hurdles to standing. The
    Sheriff falls short, largely for the reasons addressed below.
    Without the laxity afforded to state litigants, Sheriff
    Arpaio’s arguments for causation are overly speculative. At
    bottom, Sheriff Arpaio avers that DACA and DAPA inspired
    a flood of immigration which led, in turn, to increased crime.
    His injury rests on the behavior of third parties,
    undocumented immigrants who chose to commit crime. “[I]t
    is ordinarily substantially more difficult to establish” standing
    based on the actions of third parties. Lujan, 
    504 U.S. at 562
    (internal quotations omitted). The Sheriff has not met that
    higher burden. The link between DACA and DAPA—
    programs designed for non-criminals—and crimes committed
    by undocumented immigrants is too attenuated and
    susceptible to intervening factors.1 See, e.g., Mideast Sys. &
    1
    Of course, in reality, the link may be no more attenuated than that
    connecting a potential twenty-centimeter rise in sea level with
    greenhouse gas emissions from new vehicles. See Massachusetts,
    
    549 U.S. at 522
    ; see also Adler, supra, at 1074 n. 91 (“[T]he
    amount of sea-level rise that constitute[d] Masachusetts’s actual,
    present injury is less than 0.1cm-0.2cm per year, and the amount of
    projected sea-level rise that could be redressed by regulation of
    greenhouse gas emissions from new motor vehicles under [EPA’s
    6
    China Civil Const. Saipan Joint Venture, Inc. v. Hodel, 
    792 F.2d 1172
    , 1178 (D.C. Cir. 1986) (“[T]he presence of an
    independent variable between either the harm and the relief or
    the harm and the conduct makes causation sufficiently
    tenuous that standing should be denied.”). Lacking grounds
    for special treatment under Massachusetts, Sheriff Arpaio has
    not satisfied the demands of our standing doctrine.
    Finally, the central difference between this case and
    Massachusetts may be much more practical in nature:
    Massachusetts, unlike Sheriff Arpaio, did its homework. The
    State hired experts and introduced detailed information
    suggesting a causal relationship between certain gases,
    atmospheric warming and a rise in sea levels.              See
    Massachusetts, 
    549 U.S. at
    521–23. Sheriff Arpaio instead
    can show potential costs but not causation, owing largely to
    the difficulty of showing causation in cases dependent on
    third-party behavior. Without more, his claim cannot survive
    the scrutiny of our modern, formalistic approach to standing.
    ***
    Today’s holding puts the consequences of our standing
    jurisprudence in stark relief. If an elected Sheriff responsible
    for the security of a county with a population larger than
    regulatory authority] is even less, as U.S. motor vehicles only
    represent a fraction of [greenhouse gas] emissions.”). Even so,
    Sheriff Arpaio has not shown that link with the particularity our
    precedents demand. See, e.g., Nat’l Wrestling Coaches Ass’n v.
    Dep’t of Educ., 
    366 F.3d 930
    , 941 (D.C. Cir. 2004) (requiring
    “substantial evidence” in the record “of a causal relationship
    between the government policy and the third-party conduct, leaving
    little doubt as to causation and the likelihood of redress”).
    7
    twenty-one states2 cannot bring suit, individual litigants will
    find it even more difficult to bring similar challenges. But
    today’s decision, however broad it may seem, is actually quite
    narrow in two respects.
    First, our decision holds only that Sheriff Arpaio lacks
    standing to challenge DACA and DAPA, not that those
    programs are categorically shielded from suit. Indeed, those
    programs are currently subject to challenge in a number of
    other circuits. See Texas, 787 F.3d at 747–55 (upholding
    Texas’ standing to challenge DAPA based on the costs of
    providing drivers licenses to DAPA beneficiaries); Ariz.
    DREAM Act Coal. v. Brewer, No. 15-15307, 
    2015 WL 300376
     (9th Cir. July 17, 2015) (ordering the parties, and
    inviting the federal government, to file briefs discussing
    whether DACA violates the separation of powers or the Take
    Care Clause of the Constitution); cf. Crane v. Johnson, 
    783 F.3d 244
    , 252 (5th Cir. 2015) (holding Mississippi lacked
    standing to challenge DACA because the state failed to
    “submit[] . . . evidence that any DACA eligible immigrants
    resided in the state” or “produce evidence of costs it would
    incur if some DACA-approved immigrants came to the
    state”).
    Second, today’s decision does not take issue with the
    claim that unlawful immigration carries consequences.
    Indeed, the Supreme Court has previously made clear that
    Sheriff Arpaio’s home state of Arizona “bears many of the
    consequences of unlawful immigration.” Arizona v. United
    States, 
    132 S. Ct. 2492
    , 2500 (2012). “Hundreds of thousands
    of deportable aliens are apprehended in Arizona each year.
    2
    Maricopa County Profile, MARICOPA COUNTY OPEN BOOKS,
    http://www.maricopa.gov/OpenBooks/profile.aspx (last visited July
    28, 2015).
    8
    Unauthorized aliens who remain in the State comprise, by one
    estimate, almost six percent of the population.” 
    Id.
     In the
    county the petitioner is charged with policing, “these aliens
    are reported to be responsible for a disproportionate share of
    serious crime.” 
    Id.
     Nothing in today’s opinion casts doubt on
    these conditions. The court holds only that these general
    conditions, without more, do not afford the right to challenge
    the specific federal deferred action programs at issue.
    ***
    Our jurisprudence on standing has many shortcomings.
    As today’s decision demonstrates, standing doctrines often
    immunize government officials from challenges to allegedly
    ultra vires conduct. To understand how this deferential
    attitude came to pass, we must briefly consider how the
    standing doctrine evolved over the decades.
    Academic accounts suggest that, from the time of the
    founding until the early twentieth century, “there was no
    separate standing doctrine at all.” Cass R. Sunstein, What's
    Standing After Lujan? Of Citizen Suits, "Injuries," and Article
    III, 91 MICH. L. REV. 163, 170 (1992); accord JOSEPH
    VINING, LEGAL IDENTITY: THE COMING OF AGE OF PUBLIC
    LAW 55 (1978) (“The word ‘standing’ . . . does not appear to
    have been commonly used until the middle of . . . [the
    twentieth] century.”); William A. Fletcher, The Structure of
    Standing, 98 YALE L.J. 221, 224–25 (1988) (“[N]o general
    doctrine of standing existed.”). “In early practice in England
    and in the United States, moreover, certain forms of action, or
    writs, were available to all citizens without any showing of a
    ‘personal stake’ or an ‘injury in fact.’” Alex Hemmer, Note,
    Civil Servant Suits, 124 YALE L.J. 758, 764 (2014). There
    were limits. Namely, plaintiffs could only proceed based on a
    cause of action rooted in common law or statute. See
    9
    Sunstein, supra, at 169–70; Fletcher, supra, at 224. The
    absence of a free-standing, self-conscious doctrinal approach
    left room to challenge the government’s failure to meet its
    obligations. That type of claim, “the public action—an action
    brought by a private person primarily to vindicate the public
    interest in the enforcement of public obligations—has long
    been a feature of our English and American law.” Louis L.
    Jaffe, Standing to Secure Judicial Review: Private Actions, 75
    HARV. L. REV. 255, 302 (1961).
    If public actions ever were a feature of our law, that is
    true no longer. Soon after the turn of the twentieth century, as
    the administrative state materialized, the Supreme Court
    began focusing on standing as a critical component of
    justiciability. See Sunstein, supra, at 179–81. In a significant
    1923 case, the Court dismissed a taxpayer’s constitutional
    challenge to the Maternity Act of 1921, finding the taxpayer’s
    pecuniary interest in the Act to be “minute and
    indeterminable” and noting this scant interest was “shared
    with millions of other[]” citizens. Massachusetts v. Mellon,
    
    262 U.S. 447
    , 487 (1923). In a sign of things to come, the
    opinion emphasized the “inconveniences” inherent in
    permitting challenges to widely shared grievances. 
    Id.
    Emboldened justiciability doctrines along these lines served
    to “insulate progressive and New Deal legislation” from a
    variety of challenges. Sunstein, supra, at 179.
    In the following decades, the standing doctrine secured
    its footing and coalesced around the three factors we know
    today: injury in fact, causation and redressability. See Lujan,
    
    504 U.S. at 560
    . But hidden within these factors, and the
    surrounding case law, is a surprising hostility to suits seeking
    to redress executive branch wrongdoing. That hostility is
    encapsulated in the generalized grievance doctrine, which the
    district court below emphasized in dismissing Sheriff
    10
    Arpaio’s suit. As the district court described the doctrine, “a
    plaintiff who seeks to vindicate only the general interest in the
    proper application of the Constitution and laws does not
    suffer the type of direct, concrete and tangible harm that
    confers standing and warrants the exercise of jurisdiction.”
    Arpaio v. Obama, 
    27 F. Supp. 3d 185
    , 200 (D.D.C. 2014).
    Separation of powers concerns underlie this approach.
    “Vindicating the public interest (including the public interest
    in Government observance of the Constitution and laws),” we
    are reminded, “is the function of Congress and the Chief
    Executive.” Lujan, 
    504 U.S. at 576
    .
    Today’s decision reaches the same conclusion as did the
    district court—Sheriff Arpaio lacks standing—but wisely
    rests on grounds other than the generalized grievance
    doctrine. Our antagonism to so-called generalized grievances,
    if unbounded, threatens multiple harms. For one thing, this
    doctrine gives public officials all the wrong incentives. The
    advice seems to be: “Never steal anything small.” Focused
    acts of wrongdoing against particular persons or classes of
    persons will probably result in injury in fact, affording
    standing to challenge public officials. But the larger the
    injury, and the more widespread the effects, the harder it
    becomes to show standing.
    Moreover, the generalized grievance theory and related
    principles of contemporary standing doctrine effectively
    insulate immense swaths of executive action from legal
    challenge. Our relentless emphasis on the need to show a
    concrete injury caused by executive action and redressable by
    judicial relief makes it virtually impossible to challenge many
    decisions made in the modern regulatory state. Executive
    branch decisions crafting binding enforcement (or non-
    enforcement) policies, devoting resources here or there (at
    taxpayer expense), or creating generally applicable norms
    11
    may well escape challenge. See, e.g., Hemmer, supra, at
    768–69; see also Heckler v. Chaney, 
    470 U.S. 821
    , 831
    (1985) (noting the “general unsuitability for judicial review of
    agency decisions to refuse enforcement”).
    Consider this case. The Sheriff’s claims on the merits
    may well raise a constitutionally cogent point. Despite the
    dazzling spin DHS puts on the DACA and DAPA programs, a
    categorical suspension of existing law—distinct from the
    case-by-case deferrals or targeted humanitarian exemptions
    cited as past precedent—complete with a broad-based work
    authorization, arguably crosses the line between
    implementing the law and making it. See Zachary S. Price,
    Enforcement Discretion and Executive Duty, 67 VAND. L.
    REV. 671, 759–61 (2014). And this is true even if the
    legislature aids and abets the usurpation. See generally
    Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act of
    2010, Pub. L. No. 111-83, 
    123 Stat. 2142
    , 2149 (2009);
    Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2014, Pub. L. No. 113-
    76, div. F., Tit. II, 
    128 Stat. 5
    , 251 (2014) (directing the
    Secretary of Homeland Security to “prioritize the
    identification and removal of aliens convicted of a crime by
    the severity of that crime,” but silent as to the propriety of
    categorically suspending existing removal laws). Neither the
    aggressive entrepreneurship of the executive nor the
    pusillanimity of the legislative branch can alter the
    fundamental constraints of the Constitution. See, e.g., Robert
    J. Delahunty & John C. Yoo, Dream On: The Obama
    Administration’s Nonenforcement of Immigration Laws, the
    DREAM Act, and the Take Care Clause, 91 TEX. L. REV. 781,
    850–56 (2013); Price, supra, at 759–61. However, although it
    is the denial of standing rather than its grant that undermines
    democratic accountability in such circumstances, concerns
    about the efficacy of separation of powers principles can be
    12
    dismissed as “generalized grievances” no one has standing to
    challenge.
    Separation of powers concerns surely cannot justify every
    application of the generalized grievance doctrine. By
    prohibiting abstract, general claims, the doctrine aims to
    ensure that the President’s “most important constitutional
    duty, to ‘take Care that the Laws be faithfully executed’” is
    not transferred to the courts. Lujan, 
    504 U.S. at 577
     (quoting
    U.S. CONST. art. II, § 3). But what if the Chief Executive
    decides not to faithfully execute the laws? In that case our
    doctrine falls silent. Paying a nominal filing fee guarantees
    access to the federal courts, but challenge the executive’s
    decision to undermine the rule of law and you will likely find
    your fee wasted.
    This court has previously emphasized the need to
    approach the standing of challengers to ultra vires conduct
    with a measure of sensitivity. In a 1987 case, we held that a
    non-profit providing services to Haitian refugees lacked
    standing, under both constitutional and prudential rubrics, to
    challenge the executive’s policy of interdicting Haitian
    refugees on the open ocean. Haitian Refugee Ctr., 
    809 F.2d at 796
    . After concluding the challengers lacked standing
    under Article III, the court applied the prudential standing
    doctrine, which asks whether a plaintiff falls within the zone
    of interests protected under a particular statutory or
    Constitutional provision. Some flexibility was in order. The
    challengers did not have to satisfy the zone of interest test
    with respect to the
    constitutional and statutory powers invoked by the
    President in order to establish their standing to challenge
    the interdiction program as ultra vires. Otherwise, a
    meritorious litigant, injured by ultra vires action, would
    13
    seldom have standing to sue since the litigant’s interest
    normally will not fall within the zone of interests of the
    very statutory or constitutional provision that he claims
    does not authorize action concerning that interest.
    
    Id.
     at 811 n.14. While the court’s comments centered on
    prudential standing, they offer a useful reminder that standing
    doctrines—both constitutional and prudential in nature—
    should not be construed so narrowly as to choke legitimate
    challenges to ultra vires conduct. Here, the lesson is clear.
    We should, at the very least, give careful thought before
    blindly applying the generalized grievance doctrine in cases
    challenging federal programs as ultra vires.
    The second shortcoming of our standing doctrine is this:
    standing has become a “lawyer’s game,” as Chief Justice
    Roberts phrased it. Massachusetts, 
    549 U.S. at 548
     (Roberts,
    J., dissenting). Sophisticated, well-resourced litigants can
    game the system, producing the types of proof that pass
    muster, while less sophisticated litigants may be left outside
    the courthouse doors. Our case law hardly provides clear
    guidance. Sometimes standing appears to rest on mere ipse
    dixit. “A litigant, it seems, will have standing if he is
    ‘deemed’ to have the requisite interest, and ‘if you . . . have
    standing then you can be confident you are’ suitably
    interested.” Flast v. Cohen, 
    392 U.S. 83
    , 130 (1968) (Harlan,
    J., dissenting) (quoting Ernest J. Brown, Quis Custodiet Ipsos
    Custodes?—The School-Prayer Cases, 1963 SUP. CT. REV. 1,
    22).
    More broadly, our obsession with standing “present[s]
    courts with an opportunity to avoid the vindication of
    unpopular rights, or even worse to disguise decision on the
    merits in the opaque standing terminology of injury,
    causation, remedial benefit, and separation of powers.” 13A
    14
    CHARLES ALAN WRIGHT ET AL., FEDERAL PRACTICE               AND
    PROCEDURE § 3531.3 (3d ed. 1998).
    ***
    In the not-so-distant past, Judge (and later Chief Justice)
    Burger could safely conclude that “experience rather than
    logic or fixed rules” guided the search for standing. Office of
    Commc'n of United Church of Christ v. FCC, 
    359 F.2d 994
    ,
    1004 (D.C. Cir. 1966) (Burger, J.) (upholding the standing of
    television viewers to intervene in broadcast license renewal
    proceedings as “private attorneys general”). Experience and
    logic no longer reign supreme. In place of “functional” tests
    “designed to insure [sic] that only those with a genuine and
    legitimate interest” may come into court, 
    id. at 1002
    , we now
    employ formalistic tests that may tend to discourage certain
    constitutional challenges. Today’s decision teaches a lesson:
    litigants bringing constitutional challenges must pay
    exceptionally close attention to standing requirements. The
    courts do—especially when litigants do not.
    No doubt the modern approach to standing serves to
    reduce our caseload. But there are much more important
    matters at stake. “Some [litigants] need bread; others need
    Shakespeare; others need their rightful place in the national
    society—what they all need is processors of law who will
    consider the people's needs more significant than
    administrative convenience.” 
    Id. at 1005
     (quoting Edmond
    Cahn, Law in the Consumer Perspective, 112 U. PA. L. REV.
    1, 13 (1963)). Our approach to standing, I fear, too often
    stifles constitutional challenges, ultimately elevating the
    courts’ convenience over constitutional efficacy and the needs
    of our citizenry.
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 14-5325

Citation Numbers: 418 U.S. App. D.C. 163, 797 F.3d 11, 2015 U.S. App. LEXIS 14270

Judges: Brown, Srinivasan, Pillard

Filed Date: 8/14/2015

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 11/5/2024

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Haitian Refugee Center v. James S. Gracey, Admiral/... , 809 F.2d 794 ( 1987 )

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Bell Atlantic Corp. v. Twombly , 127 S. Ct. 1955 ( 2007 )

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northwest-airlines-inc-v-federal-aviation-administration-larry-w , 795 F.2d 195 ( 1986 )

Islamic American Relief Agency v. Gonzales , 477 F.3d 728 ( 2007 )

United Transportation Union v. Interstate Commerce ... , 891 F.2d 908 ( 1989 )

Sherley v. Sebelius , 610 F.3d 69 ( 2010 )

Reno v. American-Arab Anti-Discrimination Committee , 119 S. Ct. 936 ( 1999 )

Arizona v. United States , 132 S. Ct. 2492 ( 2012 )

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