United States v. Askia Washington , 869 F.3d 193 ( 2017 )


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  •                                       PRECEDENTIAL
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE THIRD CIRCUIT
    __________
    No. 16-2795
    __________
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
    v.
    ASKIA WASHINGTON,
    a/k/a SKI
    Askia Washington,
    Appellant
    __________
    On Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania
    (D.C. Criminal No. 2:13-cr-00171-002)
    District Judge: Honorable Joel H. Slomsky
    __________
    Argued on February 7, 2017
    Before: MCKEE, COWEN, and FUENTES, Circuit Judges
    (Opinion Filed: August 28, 2017)
    Mark S. Greenberg, Esq. [Argued]
    920 Lenmar Drive
    Blue Bell, PA 19422
    Counsel for Appellant
    Eric B. Henson, Esq. [Argued]
    Bernadette McKeon, Esq.
    Zane David Memeger, Esq.
    Office of United States Attorney
    615 Chestnut Street
    Suite 1250
    Philadelphia, PA 19106
    Counsel for the Appellee
    __________
    OPINION OF THE COURT
    __________
    FUENTES, Circuit Judge.
    Defendant-appellant Askia Washington was ensnared
    by a “stash house reverse sting” operation—one which hit
    many of the by-now-familiar beats.1 Acting on what
    appeared to be insider information from a drug courier,
    Washington and his three co-conspirators planned to rob a
    Philadelphia property where they thought 10 kilograms of
    cocaine were being stored for distribution. But as they
    discovered on the day of the robbery, the “stash house” was a
    1
    See United States v. Pedrin, 
    797 F.3d 792
    , 794 (9th Cir.
    2015) (explaining the basic framework of stash house reverse
    sting operations), cert. denied, 
    136 S. Ct. 2401
     (2016).
    2
    trap set by law enforcement. Their “courier” was an
    undercover federal agent with the Bureau of Alcohol,
    Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (“ATF”), which had
    developed the scenario from the ground up. The cocaine did
    not exist.
    Under federal law on conspiracy and attempt, the
    government could, and did, prosecute the crew as if fantasy
    had been reality. Washington, the sole member to take his
    chances at trial, was convicted by a jury of two Hobbs Act
    robbery charges and two drug charges (
    18 U.S.C. § 1951
    (a)
    and 
    21 U.S.C. § 846
    ), although he was acquitted on a gun
    charge.
    Developed by the ATF in the 1980s to combat a rise in
    professional robbery crews targeting stash houses, reverse
    sting operations have grown increasingly controversial over
    the years, even as they have grown safer and more refined.
    For one, they empower law enforcement to craft offenses out
    of whole cloth, often corresponding to statutory offense
    thresholds. Here, the entirely fictitious 10 kilograms of
    cocaine triggered a very real 20-year mandatory minimum for
    Washington, contributing to a total sentence of 264 months in
    prison—far more than even the ringleader of the conspiracy
    received. For another, and as Washington claimed on
    multiple occasions before the District Court—and now again
    on appeal—people of color are allegedly swept up in the
    stings in disproportionate numbers.
    These elements of controversy are bound up in the
    three claims Washington now raises on appeal. Two are
    constitutional claims: Washington challenges his conviction
    and sentence by arguing that the use of the statutory
    mandatory minimum term violated his rights to due process,
    3
    and he also alleges that the attorney who represented him at
    trial rendered constitutionally ineffective assistance. While
    stash-house reverse stings can raise constitutional concerns,
    the use of a mandatory minimum sentence on these particular
    facts did not deprive Washington of his right to due process.
    And while this is the rare case where a claim of ineffective
    assistance of counsel was properly raised on direct appeal
    instead of through a collateral attack, Washington has not
    shown prejudice sufficient to call into doubt the integrity of
    his trial. We thus conclude that both constitutional claims are
    without merit.
    The remaining claim challenges the District Court’s
    decision to deny Washington pretrial discovery on ATF’s
    operations and enforcement statistics. Washington contends
    that, in denying his motion, the District Court erroneously
    relied on the hard-to-meet test for “selective prosecution”
    discovery developed by the Supreme Court in United States v.
    Armstrong2 and United States v. Bass3 (which we will refer to
    as “Armstrong/Bass”). He encourages us to follow instead
    the en banc Seventh Circuit’s recent opinion in United States
    v. Davis,4 which distinguished between claims of selective
    prosecution and selective law enforcement and appeared to
    endorse a relaxed discovery standard for the latter.
    Like the Seventh Circuit, we conclude that the
    proposed distinction between enforcement and prosecution is
    well taken, and that the law supports greater flexibility when
    2
    
    517 U.S. 456
     (1996).
    3
    
    536 U.S. 862
     (2002) (per curiam).
    4
    
    793 F.3d 712
     (7th Cir. 2015) (en banc).
    4
    the discretionary decisions of law enforcement, rather than
    those of prosecutors, are targeted by a defendant’s request for
    discovery. We therefore hold that a district court may
    exercise its discretion to grant limited discovery, or otherwise
    to conduct in camera analysis of government data before
    deciding whether limited discovery is warranted. A district
    court may do so even if a defendant seeking discovery on a
    selective enforcement claim has not otherwise met his or her
    full burden under Armstrong/Bass. Because the District
    Court in this case thought that its discretion was cabined by
    Armstrong/Bass, and because we cannot otherwise say that
    the same result would have occurred under the standard we
    announce today, we will vacate the orders denying discovery
    and remand for limited post-judgment proceedings. The
    judgment of conviction and sentence are otherwise unaffected
    by this remand.
    5
    I.   BACKGROUND
    A. The Plan5
    Codefendant and ringleader Dwight Berry came to the
    attention of the ATF in late 2012, when he made it known
    that he was interested in conducting robberies of drug users
    and dealers. In the course of asking around, Berry spoke to
    an acquaintance who, unbeknownst to him, was an ATF
    confidential informant (“CI”). The CI alerted the ATF, which
    determined that Berry’s criminal history fit its required
    profile for a sting operation and opened an investigation in
    February 2013, under the supervision of ATF Special Agent
    John Bowman. From here on out, many of the meetings and
    phone calls about the developing robbery plan would be
    surreptitiously recorded for playback at trial.
    Meanwhile, the CI kept Berry on the line with word of
    a connection: a drug-courier friend who frequented a South
    Philadelphia stash house on his trips to and from New York.
    When Berry and the CI met again, they were joined by the
    5
    Our description of the trial and underlying scheme is drawn
    primarily from the District Court’s opinion denying
    Washington’s motion for a new trial, United States v.
    Washington [hereinafter “Washington New Trial”], 
    184 F. Supp. 3d 149
     (E.D. Pa. 2016). Washington accepts the
    factual accuracy of the District Court’s opinion, see
    Washington Br. at 7 n.4, and both parties have structured their
    briefs around it. As Washington is not challenging the
    sufficiency of the evidence, we strive to recite the facts in a
    balanced manner. See United States v. Cox, 
    851 F.3d 113
    ,
    118 n.1 (1st Cir. 2017).
    6
    supposed drug courier—in reality, undercover ATF Special
    Agent Patrick Edwards, a veteran of over a dozen robbery
    scenarios. In his role as the courier, Edwards reported seeing
    over 10 kilograms of cocaine (in the context of cocaine
    “bricks”) inside a cooler during a trip to the stash house.
    Berry indicated that he knew of a crew who might be
    interested in participating in the robbery and that he was
    willing to engage in violence if necessary.
    Washington first entered the picture about a week and
    a half after this encounter as one of two members of Berry’s
    proposed robbery crew (the other man, never identified,
    apparently dropped out of the plan shortly afterwards). At
    another meeting in early March 2013 with Berry, Edwards,
    and the CI, Washington probed Edwards about the logistics of
    the robbery: what level of resistance they could expect,
    whether the house would be watched from the outside, and so
    on. Prompted by Edwards, the conspirators also discussed
    how to move and sell the stolen cocaine.6
    6
    As captured by the recording, and as later explained at trial,
    the conspirators made frequent reference to “jawns” or
    “jauns,” a distinctive Philadelphia regionalism that serves as a
    wildcard stand-in for other nouns. See Dan Nosowitz, The
    Enduring Mystery Of ‘Jawn’, Philadelphia’s All-Purpose
    Noun,                       Atlas                      Obscura,
    http://www.atlasobscura.com/articles/the-enduring-mystery-
    of-jawn-philadelphias-allpurpose-noun (last visited Aug. 21,
    2017; archived at https://perma.cc/6XM6-JQEW); see also
    United States v. Gibbs, 
    190 F.3d 188
    , 200 n.4 (3d Cir. 1999)
    (“Apparently, ‘jawn’ is slang for any noun, and throughout
    this case it was used variously to describe a car, cocaine, a
    nightclub, and a beeper.”).
    7
    In a subsequent phone discussion, Edwards pressed
    Berry on the professionalism of his crew. Berry, in an
    attempt to reassure, told Edwards that “[t]his is what [our
    crew] do[es].”7 When Edwards singled out Washington for
    concern over a perceived lack of robbery experience, Berry
    said that Washington “rock[ed] out” and “put work in,” which
    Edwards interpreted to mean that Washington was some sort
    of shooter or enforcer.8
    On the day of the robbery, Washington and Berry met
    at Berry’s mother’s house, where Berry picked up two guns
    and hid them in an Eggo Waffles box. The group, which had
    added two new members—codefendants Antonio Ellis and
    Jermau Johnston—then gathered in the parking lot of the
    Philadelphia Airport Hilton to review its plan. (Washington’s
    girlfriend was also present, although she did not participate
    and remained in her parked car.) Edwards went over the
    salient details once more, emphasizing the 10 kilograms of
    cocaine and explaining that no money would be found in the
    house.
    In three cars—Berry, Ellis, and Johnston in a minivan;
    Washington and his girlfriend (the latter driving) following
    behind in a Chrysler 300; and Agent Edwards bringing up the
    rear—the crew made its way to the chosen address on
    Passyunk Avenue in southwest Philadelphia. As the caravan
    moved in, agents swooped down. All but Berry surrendered;
    Berry fled on foot but was apprehended shortly afterwards.
    From the minivan, law enforcement recovered two guns,
    ammo, gloves, and zip-ties. From Washington’s Chrysler
    7
    Supplemental Appendix (S.A.) 55.
    8
    S.A. 60–61.
    8
    300, they recovered a backpack, gloves, a mask, a lighter, and
    lighter fluid.
    B. Procedural History
    What follows is an abbreviated summary of the
    criminal proceedings, setting up the claims that Washington
    now raises on appeal. We will return in greater detail to the
    salient parts later, in the Analysis section of this opinion.
    1. Indictment; Codefendants Plead
    Guilty
    In April 2013, the four men were indicted in the
    Eastern District of Pennsylvania. Counts 1 and 2 of the
    indictment charged attempt/conspiracy to commit Hobbs Act
    robbery (
    18 U.S.C. § 1951
    (a)), while counts 3 and 4 charged
    attempt/conspiracy to possess with intent to distribute five
    kilograms or more of cocaine (
    21 U.S.C. § 846
     through 
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (a)(1), (b)(1)(A)). Count 5 charged all of the
    defendants with carrying a firearm during a crime of violence
    (
    18 U.S.C. § 924
    (c)) and count 6 charged all but Johnston
    with being felons in possession of a firearm (
    18 U.S.C. § 922
    (g)(1)).9
    Washington’s codefendants eventually pleaded guilty.
    Johnson and Ellis received 27-month and 46-month
    sentences, respectively. Although Berry, the ringleader, faced
    9
    The government later obtained a superseding indictment
    against Washington. A minor modification of the original, it
    focused on Washington as a defendant and amplified a few of
    the factual allegations.
    9
    a Guidelines range of 270–322 months, his binding plea
    agreement reflected a 180-month sentence,10 and the
    government did not seek to formally introduce his previous,
    eligible convictions to secure an enhanced mandatory
    minimum penalty. Berry ultimately received the agreed-upon
    180-month custodial sentence.
    Unlike his codefendants, Washington pleaded not
    guilty and prepared for trial. He was assigned a Criminal
    Justice Act attorney, whom we will refer to as the “defense
    counsel” or “trial counsel.”
    2. Motion for Discovery
    During the pretrial phase, Washington moved (both
    pro se and through trial counsel) for discovery relating to
    sting operations and related prosecutions, which he claimed to
    be racially motivated. Trial counsel’s filing cited three prior
    federal prosecutions in which all of the defendants were
    African American. The moving papers also clarified that the
    discovery was sought not for trial defense, but rather to
    support a motion to dismiss the indictment on the basis of
    “racial profiling or selective prosecution . . . by the
    Philadelphia District Office of [ATF] . . . in complicity with”
    the U.S. Attorney’s Office.11
    After oral argument, and as set forth in a thoughtful
    opinion, the District Court denied Washington’s motion for
    discovery. Finding the Armstrong/Bass standard to control,
    10
    Plea agreements under Fed. R. Crim. P. 11(c)(1)(C) “bind[]
    the court once the court accepts the plea agreement.”
    11
    Discovery Motion at 1, ECF No. 126.
    10
    the District Court held that Washington failed to meet this
    “rigorous standard to obtain discovery,”12 and later denied
    Washington’s requests for reconsideration.
    3. Recordings Deemed Admissible;
    Government Seeks Enhanced
    Mandatory Penalties
    With discovery denied, Washington did not file an
    actual motion to dismiss the indictment, and the parties
    otherwise prepared for trial. In an important ruling, the
    District Court decided that the government could use the
    audio and video recordings and related transcripts at trial.
    Meanwhile, the government filed a 
    21 U.S.C. § 851
    information stating that Washington had a prior Pennsylvania
    drug felony conviction from 2004—a prerequisite to
    enhanced mandatory minimum penalties at sentencing.
    4. The District Court Revisits Discovery on
    the Eve of Trial
    In June 2015, prior to opening statements, the District
    Court revisited the matter of discovery in the context of trial
    defenses. Referring back to United States v. Alexander,13 a
    Northern District of Illinois opinion cited in the earlier
    decision denying discovery, the District Court ordered the
    government to release redacted portions of an ATF policy
    12
    United States v. Washington [hereinafter “Washington
    Discovery”], No. 13-171-2, 
    2014 WL 2959493
    , at *7 (E.D.
    Pa. June 30, 2014).
    13
    No. 11 CR 148-1, 
    2013 WL 6491476
     (N.D. Ill. Dec. 10,
    2013).
    11
    manual on stash house sting operations—patterned after the
    disclosures ordered in Alexander. The District Court then
    issued a protective order restricting defense counsel’s use of
    the disclosed material.
    5. Washington’s Trial
    Over the five-day trial, defense counsel used the ATF
    disclosures to advance his theory of the case: Washington did
    not have the requisite intent to commit a dubious,
    discriminatory “conspiracy” that ATF had designed from the
    ground up.14 For instance, counsel pointed to Washington’s
    use of a separate vehicle and the presence of his girlfriend on
    the day of the robbery to suggest that he was cautious and not
    fully committed. Counsel also utilized the disclosed ATF
    materials to cross-examine supervising ATF Agent Bowman.
    But during that cross-examination, trial counsel
    appeared to fumble. He was attempting to show that, as
    Agent Bowman would later admit, the only person “targeted”
    by the ATF prior to the arrest was Berry, and that the ATF
    knew nothing about the other conspirators and could not have
    ensured that they fit its target profile, which required (in part)
    a violent criminal history. But in addition to asking whether
    Washington had a prior robbery arrest (which he did not),
    trial counsel also asked Agent Bowman whether Washington
    had a drug arrest. This question effectively allowed the
    prosecution to bring out Washington’s prior drug conviction
    on redirect.
    14
    We note that entrapment was not raised as a defense and is
    not now at issue on appeal.
    12
    6. The Jury Verdict
    The jury returned a guilty verdict on counts one
    through four of the superseding indictment: the drug and
    Hobbs Act robbery charges. It returned a not-guilty verdict
    on firearm count five; firearm count six was dismissed on the
    government’s motion.15 The jury specifically found that the
    government proved beyond a reasonable doubt that the
    (fictitious) cocaine at the center of the conspiracy was five
    kilograms or more.
    7. Pre-Sentencing Investigation into Trial
    Counsel’s Constitutional Effectiveness
    Shortly after the trial, Washington wrote a letter to the
    District Court requesting a substitution of attorney. He
    alleged, in part, that trial counsel had been under the
    influence of alcohol throughout the trial.
    The District Court swiftly reacted, appointing a new
    Criminal Justice Act attorney, Mark Greenberg—who has
    represented Washington ever since—in what became, in
    effect, a pre-sentencing investigation of trial counsel’s
    performance. After the District Court held an evidentiary
    hearing, Attorney Greenberg filed a formal motion for new
    trial predicated on the alleged ineffective assistance of trial
    counsel. This motion included an attack on trial counsel’s
    questions during cross-examination of Agent Bowman that
    opened the door to the introduction of Washington’s drug
    conviction. The motion was ultimately denied, with the
    District Court finding in part that the “mountain” of evidence
    15
    See Order, ECF No. 219.
    13
    against Washington forestalled a showing of prejudice under
    the two-part Strickland v. Washington16 test for ineffective
    assistance of counsel.17
    8. Sentencing Proceedings
    The ineffectiveness question resolved for the time
    being, the parties and District Court prepared for sentencing.
    Because of his criminal history, Washington was classified as
    a “Career Offender” under the Sentencing Guidelines. As a
    result of Guidelines calculations we need not delve into, that
    Career Offender status overrode the lower Guidelines level
    derived from quantity of drugs, yielding a sentencing range of
    360 months to life in prison.18
    In his sentencing memoranda, Washington challenged
    the proposed sentencing range, emphasizing the troubling
    nature of the sting operation and requesting that the District
    Court take into account the sentences of his co-conspirators.
    He also asked the District Court to disregard the mandatory
    minimum sentence of 20 years; if “the reverse sting in this
    case involved 0.9 kilograms of non-existent cocaine,” he
    argued, “Mr. Washington would not be facing a mandatory
    minimum sentence.”19         In response, the government
    emphasized that the mandatory minimum penalty was just
    that: mandatory.     Evincing some discomfort with the 20-
    year mandatory minimum, the District Court nevertheless
    16
    
    466 U.S. 668
     (1984).
    17
    See Washington New Trial, 184 F. Supp. 3d at 160–62.
    18
    See U.S.S.G. § 4B1.1(b).
    19
    Supplemental Sentencing Memorandum at 2, ECF No. 275.
    14
    ruled that he was “bound to follow the law,”20 imposing a 24-
    month sentence on the Hobbs Act robbery charges and a 240-
    month consecutive sentence on the drug charges for a total
    term of 264 months’ imprisonment. Washington timely
    appealed.21
    II.     Analysis
    Washington’s constitutional challenges, which directly
    attack the judgment of conviction and sentence, are
    considered first. We will then turn to his Armstrong/Bass
    discovery claim.
    A. Ineffective Assistance of Counsel
    Although he again invokes trial counsel’s alcohol use,
    Washington otherwise limits his ineffectiveness claim on
    appeal to the incident where trial counsel opened the door to
    testimony about his drug conviction. He attacks the District
    Court’s determination that the “overwhelming” evidence at
    trial precluded a showing of prejudice, and emphasizes, in
    particular, the jury’s acquittal on the firearm count and an
    alleged conflation of the prejudicial impact of the admission
    on the robbery counts with the far-greater impact on the drug
    counts.
    20
    S.A. 211.
    21
    We have appellate jurisdiction through 
    18 U.S.C. § 3742
    (a)
    and 
    28 U.S.C. § 1291
    .
    15
    1. Ineffectiveness Claims on Direct
    Appeal
    We open with the observation that ineffective
    assistance of counsel claims are generally not considered on
    direct appeal. Instead, they are more commonly brought in a
    collateral proceeding, such as through a post-conviction 
    28 U.S.C. § 2255
     motion to vacate.22
    Our “general aversion”23 to reaching ineffectiveness
    claims on direct appeal derives in part from their inherently
    collateral nature. The trial record, concerned as it is with the
    defendant’s guilt or innocence, will not in most instances be
    “developed precisely for the object of litigating or preserving
    the [ineffective assistance] claim and thus [will] often [be]
    incomplete or inadequate for this purpose.”24 Deferring the
    question of ineffectiveness to collateral review also protects
    22
    United States v. Hankerson, 
    496 F.3d 303
    , 310 (3d Cir.
    2007).
    23
    Gov’t of the V.I. v. Vanterpool, 
    767 F.3d 157
    , 164 (3d Cir.
    2014).
    24
    Massaro v. United States, 
    538 U.S. 500
    , 504–05 (2003);
    see also United States v. McLaughlin, 
    386 F.3d 547
    , 556 (3d
    Cir. 2004) (“[T]he lack of a fully developed record often
    precludes a comprehensive inquiry into the elements of
    strategy or tactics that may have entered into defense
    counsel’s challenged decision.”).
    16
    criminal defendants from the consequences of resolving the
    claims prematurely.25
    While cautioning that we will not “open[] the door to
    ineffective assistance of counsel claims on direct appeal as a
    matter of course,” we have nevertheless recognized an
    exception to the rule when the trial record “is sufficient to
    allow determination of ineffective assistance of counsel.”26
    Determining sufficiency is case- and claim-dependent.
    We think that Washington’s is the uncommon case
    where resolving an ineffectiveness claim on direct appeal is
    both feasible and efficient. Strictly speaking, he is not raising
    ineffectiveness for “the first time” on appeal. Rather,
    ineffectiveness was invoked in and resolved by the District
    Court, which held a post-trial, pre-sentencing hearing at
    which Washington and the AUSA both testified (trial counsel
    was invited to testify, but declined). The District Court—the
    trial judge—then denied the claim against the backdrop of the
    recently concluded trial.27 This development of the record
    25
    See, e.g., United States v. Brown, 
    849 F.3d 87
    , 90 n.5 (3d
    Cir. 2017) (“To spare Brown from having res judicata attach
    to the ineffective assistance claim, we decline to address it
    here.” (internal quotation marks and citation omitted)).
    26
    United States v. Polk, 
    577 F.3d 515
    , 520 & n.2 (quoting
    United States v. Headley, 
    923 F.2d 1079
    , 1083 (3d Cir.
    1991)).
    27
    See Massaro, 
    538 U.S. at 506
     (“[T]he § 2255 motion often
    will be ruled upon by the same district judge who presided at
    trial. The judge, having observed the earlier trial, should have
    an advantageous perspective for determining the effectiveness
    17
    amounted to, in effect, a mini collateral proceeding, akin to
    what is ordinarily expected under § 2255. It provides us with
    a sufficient foundation for direct appellate review.28 We
    therefore exercise our discretion to reach the ineffectiveness
    claim.29
    of counsel’s conduct and whether any deficiencies were
    prejudicial.”).
    28
    See United States v. Jones, 
    336 F.3d 245
    , 254 (3d Cir.
    2003) (reaching ineffectiveness claim when District Court
    “conducted a hearing with [the defendant] and his new
    counsel where it specifically considered . . . allegations
    concerning the representation he received from his prior
    counsel”). The appendix as initially compiled lacked most of
    the ineffectiveness-stage papers and transcripts, outside of the
    District Court’s decision itself and a single page of
    Washington’s new-trial motion. We asked the government to
    supplement our record with the relevant filings (which are all
    sealed on the District Court docket and, as a result, are not
    readily available to us), so as to allow for the determination of
    the sufficiency of the trial record and a more-searching
    review of Washington’s ineffectiveness claim. We thank the
    government for filing the supplement.
    29
    We note that Washington initially asked for substitution of
    counsel, but not a full hearing on trial counsel’s constitutional
    effectiveness. A district court is ordinarily required to warn
    pro se litigants when a filing recharacterization might
    implicate the second-or-successiveness bar of the
    Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act of 1996. See
    Castro v. United States, 
    540 U.S. 375
    , 383 (2003); 
    28 U.S.C. § 2244
    (b). However, Washington’s recharacterized filing
    18
    2. Strickland v. Washington and
    Standard of Review
    “Regardless of whether an ineffective assistance of
    counsel claim is raised in a motion for a new trial, on
    collateral review, or on direct appeal, the standard of review
    is the same.”30      Under the familiar two-part standard
    established in Strickland v. Washington,31 Washington bears
    the burden of showing 1) that trial counsel’s actions “were
    not supported by a reasonable strategy” and 2) that trial
    could not be counted as an initial 
    28 U.S.C. § 2255
     motion, as
    he was not yet “in custody under sentence of a [federal]
    court.” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2255
    (a); see also United States v.
    Stockstill, 
    26 F.3d 492
    , 497 n.10 (4th Cir. 1994) (“Because
    [the defendant] advanced his claims prior to sentencing, a
    § 2255 motion would not have been appropriate at the
    time.”). Because the § 2244(b) bar was not implicated, and
    because the mere possibility of preclusion does not otherwise
    “significantly alter[]” Washington’s rights, no warning was
    necessary here. Mala v. Crown Bay Marina, Inc., 
    704 F.3d 239
    , 245 (3d Cir. 2013). But see Mui v. United States, 
    614 F.3d 50
    , 51 (2d Cir. 2010) (“We hold that a defendant who
    raises on direct appeal ineffective assistance claims based on
    the strategies, actions, or inactions of counsel that can be, and
    are, adjudicated on the merits on the trial record, is precluded
    from raising new or repetitive claims based on the same
    strategies, actions, or inactions in a Section 2255
    proceeding.”).
    30
    United States v. Bishop, 
    629 F.3d 462
    , 469 (5th Cir. 2010).
    31
    
    466 U.S. 668
     (1984).
    19
    counsel’s errors were prejudicial.32 “[B]oth deficiency and
    prejudice must be proven to have a valid claim for relief.”33
    On appeal of the District Court’s decision, we exercise
    plenary review over the legal components of ineffectiveness,
    assess any underlying findings of fact for clear error, and
    “exercise independent judgment on whether those facts, as
    found by the District Court, show that counsel rendered
    ineffective assistance.”34
    We agree with the District Court that the general
    allegations of alcohol use do not require a departure from
    Strickland’s two-prong standard—a point conceded by
    Washington in his new-trial memorandum.35 Alcohol or drug
    use by trial counsel can certainly be relevant to both parts of
    an ineffectiveness inquiry, especially if amplified or systemic,
    or on close questions of strategy and jury perception. But on
    these facts, alleged substance abuse is not, without more, one
    of the rare forms of dereliction amounting to the per se denial
    32
    Massaro, 
    538 U.S. at 505
    .
    33
    United States v. Travillion, 
    759 F.3d 281
    , 289–90 (3d Cir.
    2014).
    34
    United States v. Davenport, 
    775 F.3d 605
    , 608 (3d Cir.
    2015).
    35
    See Washington New Trial, 184 F. Supp. 3d at 157; Sealed
    Supplemental Appendix 78; see also United States v. Cronic,
    
    466 U.S. 648
    , 659–60 & nn.25–26 (1984).
    20
    of a defendant’s Sixth Amendment right to the effective
    assistance of counsel.36
    3. Trial Counsel’s Cross-Examination
    of Agent Bowman
    Washington now limits his ineffectiveness allegation
    to the cross-examination of ATF Agent John Bowman, which
    allowed the prosecutor to bring out Washington’s previous
    drug conviction on redirect. He argues that trial counsel’s
    line of questioning lacked a strategic basis and caused him
    prejudice, as it undermined the “not committed to the crime”
    theory of defense.
    By way of background: Agent Bowman, who managed
    the ATF’s investigation of the conspiracy, was called to
    testify as the government’s final witness. His testimony
    established, among other things, the authenticity of the
    recorded calls and meetings among the conspirators (or
    “conspirator,” in the case of the undercover Agent Edwards)
    and their incriminating nature. For instance, Bowman
    36
    See Williams v. Trammell, 
    782 F.3d 1184
    , 1200–01 (10th
    Cir. 2015) (analyzing substance abuse ineffectiveness under
    Strickland), cert. denied, 
    136 S. Ct. 806
     (2016); Frye v. Lee,
    
    235 F.3d 897
    , 907 (4th Cir. 2000) (“[I]n order for an
    attorney’s alcohol addiction to make his assistance
    constitutionally ineffective, there must be specific instances
    of deficient performance attributable to alcohol.”); see also
    Berry v. King, 
    765 F.2d 451
    , 454 (5th Cir. 1985) (“[U]nder
    Strickland the fact that an attorney used drugs is not, in and of
    itself, relevant to an ineffective assistance claim.” (emphasis
    in original)).
    21
    testified that at the March 5 meeting, Berry assured Agent
    Edwards that Washington was committed to the robbery plan.
    Trial counsel’s extensive cross-examination of Agent
    Bowman dealt in part with inconsistencies in the investigation
    and in ATF’s targeting of Washington. Counsel also probed
    the racial dimensions of ATF sting operations; Bowman
    admitted that he had participated in three Philadelphia sting
    operations, all of which targeted only African American
    defendants. (A similar response had earlier been elicited from
    Agent Edwards, who admitted that perhaps two defendants in
    over 13 scenarios were not African American—and both of
    those were Latino.)
    Trouble arose when trial counsel began asking
    Bowman about Washington’s uneasy fit with the ATF
    targeting guidelines’ requirement of prior criminal histories.
    Q: All right. Now we know that you didn’t use – they
    didn’t have my client identified before he was arrested.
    You knew him as Ski, or some other name, right?
    A: Correct.
    Q: So you didn’t know if he had a prior criminal
    history, right?
    A: No, not during the investigation.
    Q: All right. And you found out after the arrest and
    some checking, you found out that my client doesn't
    have a history for robbery, right?
    A: (No verbal response)
    22
    Q: And he doesn’t have a history for drugs, does he?
    A: I don’t recall.
    Q: If he did, you would recall, sir, wouldn’t you? Isn’t
    that fair?
    A: I don’t want to misstate, but I’m pretty sure he had
    a --
    Q: If you’re not sure, you probably shouldn’t say --
    A: -- drug arrest.[37]
    Q: -- you probably shouldn’t say, you’re not sure. I’ve
    had his record, and I can say, I didn’t see a robbery
    conviction.
    A: I don’t think there’s a robbery conviction, no.
    Q: And I have his record, I didn’t see a drug
    conviction.
    A: I don’t recall.38
    37
    Washington argues that the jury twice heard evidence of
    Washington’s criminal history, once on direct and once on
    rebuttal. As the excerpt shows, however, the initial mention
    of Washington’s drug conviction was equivocal—“I’m pretty
    sure”—and broached in the context of an arrest, not a
    conviction.
    38
    S.A. 176–77.
    23
    But Washington did have a drug conviction. In fact,
    just a few days before Bowman took the stand, the
    government had filed its 
    21 U.S.C. § 851
     information
    identifying a “prior felony controlled substance violation”
    that it intended to use “as the basis for increased punishment”
    in the event that Washington was convicted.39
    While Bowman had not directly confirmed
    Washington’s criminal history on cross, the prosecutor saw
    the door swing open and, on redirect, invited Agent Bowman
    to stroll through it:
    Q: [Trial counsel] asked you some questions about Mr.
    Washington’s criminal history.
    A: Yes.
    Q: You said you weren’t sure when he asked you
    specific questions about whether he had a drug
    conviction, whether he had a robbery conviction,
    whether he had a violent crime conviction. You said, I
    don’t recall --
    ...
    Q: You said you weren’t sure, correct?
    A: Correct.
    Q: I want to take a moment and show you Government
    Exhibit 403, 404 and 405. That’s Government Exhibit
    403. Let’s move on to 404. And lastly, we move on to
    39
    Section 851 Information, ECF No. 202.
    24
    Government Exhibit 405. Did you review those three
    exhibits?
    A: Yes.
    Q: And after reviewing them, are you sure whether or
    not Mr. Washington has a prior drug conviction?
    A: He does have a prior drug conviction.40
    After this exchange, the issue of Washington’s criminal
    history does not appear to have come up again during trial.
    Further, trial counsel did not request, and the District Court
    did not give, any limiting instruction.
    4. Strickland’s Prejudice Prong
    We may consider the two Strickland prongs in either
    order; and, as we have observed, it is “often practical to
    consider the prejudice prong first,”41 not the least because we
    “prefer[] to avoid passing judgment on counsel’s performance
    when possible.”42 Accordingly, we turn first to prejudice,
    which requires showing a “reasonable probability”—a
    “probability sufficient to undermine confidence in the
    outcome”—that, “but for counsel’s unprofessional errors, ‘the
    result of the proceeding would have been different.’”43
    40
    June 8, 2015 Tr. at 99–100, ECF No. 245.
    41
    United States v. Fazio, 
    795 F.3d 421
    , 426 (3d Cir. 2015).
    42
    United States v. Cross, 
    308 F.3d 308
    , 315 (3d Cir. 2002).
    43
    Vanterpool, 767 F.3d at 165 (quoting Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 694
    ).
    25
    At the outset, we agree with the District Court that the
    evidence admitted at trial against Washington was daunting
    and, generally, damning. His recorded statements alone,
    bluster or not, showed a willing and inquisitive member of the
    conspiracy. On the day of the robbery itself, Washington
    appeared committed to its success.44 Washington attempts to
    push back on this reading of the record, but the big picture of
    the trial works against him.
    For instance, in support of his argument that the
    evidence was not actually “overwhelming,” he points out that
    the jury acquitted him of the count-five § 924(c) gun
    charge—which, unlike counts 1 through 4, was not a
    conspiracy or attempt charge. This is true, but we struggle to
    assign it more than limited relevance. The trial evidence
    showed that Berry, not Washington, hid the guns in the Eggo
    Waffles box, which he then handed to co-conspirator
    Johnson.     The guns were found in the minivan, not
    Washington’s Chrysler, when the caravan was taken down.
    Culpability arguably shifted away from Washington, and he
    has not satisfactorily shown how the jury’s apparent doubt
    with the firearm count is linked with the quantum of proof on
    the remaining counts of the indictment.
    Similarly, Washington points to two jury requests—
    one to see the video of the takedown, and another regarding
    44
    See Washington New Trial, 184 F. Supp. 3d at 153
    (recounting Washington’s concern, during the final pre-
    robbery briefing, that co-conspirators Johnson and Ellis had
    purchased supplies from a grocery store, where the men could
    have been—and were—recorded on the store’s surveillance
    system).
    26
    the definition of entrapment or enticement—as indicative of
    its hesitance to convict. The video was played back, and both
    the prosecution and defense agreed that entrapment was not at
    issue. Beyond that, we do not think that the jury’s questions
    evince the kind of doubt that might meet Washington’s
    burden for showing prejudice. If anything, all we can draw
    from the acquittal on this count is that the jury took seriously
    its duty to view the trial evidence on a count-by-count basis.45
    Washington also argues that the District Court erred by
    failing to separate the Hobbs Act robbery and drug counts in
    determining prejudice, contending the testimony about his
    drug conviction, and thus his propensity, affected the latter far
    more than the former.46 He emphasizes that the defense’s
    theory of the case rested in part on caution and lack of
    culpable intent, and points to selections of the recordings,
    admitted at trial, that show (or so he claims) that he was wary
    of cocaine and was not interested in dealing with it or
    45
    In fact, the count-five acquittal strikes against
    Washington’s claim that the jury used his drug conviction
    against him on the grounds of predisposition. Ample
    attention was drawn at trial to Washington’s alleged trigger-
    happy statements, yet the jury was not convinced of
    Washington’s guilt on count five.
    46
    While Washington’s PSR grouped the offenses for
    sentencing purposes, the District Court did not treat them as a
    single unit, imposing separate sentences on the robbery and
    drug counts of the indictment. Accordingly, we assume
    without deciding that the counts are appropriately
    disaggregated for the purposes of Strickland prejudice.
    27
    otherwise becoming involved. In one of these, Washington is
    recorded as saying that he “don’t fuck with coke.”47
    Even in light of the defense’s theory of the case,
    however, we do not agree that the charges can be so neatly
    separated. Washington wants us to view the likelihood of
    prejudice from admitting the conviction as higher for the drug
    counts than the robbery counts.48 The fundamental flaw of
    Washington’s argument is that he never quite explains, in a
    way that satisfies his Strickland burden, why he would have
    participated in the robbery, or even in its planning stages, if
    not for the cocaine. According to the testimony of ATF
    Agent Edwards, the “drug courier” told the other members of
    the conspiracy that no money would be found in the house.
    Even if Washington did not intend to personally handle the
    cocaine or move it for sale, he could not help but know that
    cocaine was the object of the robbery. Viewed against this
    47
    See, e.g., Washington Reply Br. at 7.
    48
    While we assume without deciding that Washington could
    have prevailed on this theory, we note that a “caution” or
    “lack of total commitment” defense is difficult to successfully
    mount given the broad liability for drug-conspiracy charges.
    See United States v. Caraballo-Rodriguez, 
    726 F.3d 418
    , 425
    (3d Cir. 2013) (en banc) (“To prove a conspiracy, the
    government must show: (1) a shared unity of purpose; (2) an
    intent to achieve a common illegal goal; and (3) an agreement
    to work toward that goal.”); see also Smith v. United States,
    
    133 S. Ct. 714
    , 719 (2013) (explaining withdrawal from a
    conspiracy); United States v. Shabani, 
    513 U.S. 10
    , 17 (1994)
    (holding that proof of an overt act is not required in a § 846
    conspiracy).
    28
    backdrop, the “I don’t fuck with coke” statement does not
    carry the expansive and exculpatory meaning that he would
    like to attribute to it. Moreover, we agree with the
    government that the broader defense strategy of the case,
    which focused on showing that Washington lacked the violent
    criminal history required for ATF targeting, was not
    necessarily undermined by a fleeting mention of
    Washington’s prior drug conviction, especially in light of his
    apparent willingness to participate in the broader drug
    conspiracy.49
    We do not mean to trivialize the introduction into the
    case of Washington’s drug conviction; although we do not
    formally reach the Strickland performance prong, we struggle
    to perceive a strategic basis for opening the door.
    Nevertheless, we agree with the District Court that
    Washington has not met his burden, under Strickland, of
    showing that the mistake undermined confidence in the jury’s
    verdict.50 Accordingly, the ineffective assistance claim fails.
    49
    The government notes that no additional details were given
    about the drug offense, so the jury did not know its nature or
    severity. However, the jury could infer from the line of
    questioning that it was not a violent drug offense.
    50
    Cf., e.g., Wilson v. Mazzuca, 
    570 F.3d 490
    , 502, 507 (2d
    Cir. 2009) (finding prejudice from admission of criminal
    history, in tandem with other errors, where the government
    presented a weak case in chief); Gilliam v. Sec’y for the Dep’t
    of Corr., 
    480 F.3d 1027
    , 1033–34 (11th Cir. 2007) (per
    curiam) (finding no prejudice on § 2254(d) review when
    theory of defense was “sufficiently compromised by other
    evidence”); Lyons v. McCotter, 
    770 F.2d 529
    , 532 n.5 (5th
    29
    B. Mandatory Minimum Due Process
    Challenge
    In challenging his 264-month sentence, Washington
    argues that the District Court erred in following the 20-year
    mandatory minimum term set forth in 
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (b)(1),
    which (as applicable here) kicks in when the quantity of
    cocaine is 5 kilograms or above and the defendant has a prior
    felony drug conviction. He does not appear to disagree with
    the government that, in the ordinary course of things, the
    “mandatory” minimum is precisely what it says on the tin.51
    Nor does he argue that the facts supporting the mandatory
    minimum sentence—an indictment charging 5 kilograms or
    more of cocaine, a corresponding jury verdict, and a properly
    filed § 851 notice of a prior conviction—were absent or
    infirm. Rather, he contends that its application in this kind of
    case, where the comprising elements were entirely fictitious
    and in the hands of the government, violates his right to due
    process.
    Cir. 1985) (“[W]e conclude that the prosecutor’s case was far
    from overwhelming and that the introduction into evidence of
    Lyons’ prior aggravated robbery conviction undermined the
    reliability of his present conviction.”).
    51
    See, e.g., United States v. Winebarger, 
    664 F.3d 388
    , 392
    (3d Cir. 2011) (“[D]istrict courts are required to sentence
    defendants guilty of that crime to a term of imprisonment no
    less than the Congressionally prescribed minimum, unless an
    explicit exception to the minimum sentence applies.”).
    30
    1. Standard of Review
    We begin by noting that although Washington did
    object to the mandatory minimum at sentencing, he argued
    there on the basis of congressional intent, not due process.
    The due process argument also does not appear in his three
    sentencing memoranda. While Washington’s failure to
    develop the constitutional basis for his objection might
    ordinarily limit the scope of our review, we retain discretion
    to    reach    unpreserved     arguments     in   appropriate
    52
    circumstances. Here, the government asks us to conduct de
    novo review and responds to Washington’s argument on the
    merits. While a party’s concession does not control the
    exercise of our discretion, it is certainly a factor we may
    consider. Hence, because Washington did raise an objection
    to the application of the mandatory minimum sentence, and
    the argument that he relied on came within a stone’s throw of
    the one he raises now, we will “waive the waiver” and
    consider Washington’s claim on the merits.53            As a
    52
    See United States v. Turner, 
    718 F.3d 226
    , 235 (3d Cir.
    2013); cf. United States v. Archuleta, 
    412 F.3d 1003
    , 1007
    (8th Cir. 2005) (reviewing newly raised constitutional
    argument for plain error)
    53
    See United States v. Castro-Taveras, 
    841 F.3d 34
    , 54 (1st
    Cir. 2016) (declining to enforce forfeiture when the
    government addressed the merits of unpreserved Fifth
    Amendment argument); United States v. Pendleton, 
    832 F.3d 934
    , 948 n.4 (8th Cir. 2016) (“[T]he Government does not
    assert forfeiture and instead argues for de novo review on the
    merits. Thus, we choose to apply the usual standard for
    evaluating the sufficiency-of-the-evidence claim.”); see also
    United States v. Jones, 
    833 F.3d 341
    , 343 (3d Cir. 2016)
    31
    constitutional challenge to the mandatory minimum, it draws
    plenary review.54
    (“Because we would reach the same result under either
    standard of review, we will apply de novo review, which is
    more favorable to [the defendant].”).
    Our decision in United States v. Joseph, 
    730 F.3d 336
     (3d Cir.
    2013), is not to the contrary.            Joseph “rectif[ied]
    imprecisions” in our preservation and waiver jurisprudence,
    and clarified too the oft-overlooked distinction between
    “issues” and “arguments,” at least as we use those terms in
    this Circuit. Id. at 337, 341–42. To the extent the specific
    waiver or forfeiture framework in Joseph applies outside of
    Fed. R. Crim. P. 12, see id. at 338–39 nn.2–3, it does not limit
    our discretion to excuse waiver or forfeiture concerns as we
    do here, especially when the government or appellee
    overlooks or disregards waiver or forfeiture and instead asks
    for review of the merits. See also Government’s Br. in
    United States v. Joseph, No. 12-3808, 
    2013 WL 1193044
    , at
    *16–20 (invoking waiver).
    54
    United States v. Walker, 
    473 F.3d 71
    , 75 (3d Cir. 2007).
    32
    2.   Outrageous Government
    Conduct and Sentencing
    Factor Manipulation55
    Washington’s due process challenge falls within the
    broader category of “outrageous government conduct”—that
    55
    The government suggests in its brief that Washington’s
    sentencing challenge is foreclosed by a sentence above the
    mandatory minimum. See Gov’t Br. at 57–58. We disagree.
    The District Court was clearly guided by the mandatory
    minimum term on the drug counts in crafting the overall
    sentence. As a result, Washington’s challenge remains viable
    despite a sentence above the bare minimum authorized by
    law. Compare United States v. Cardena, 
    842 F.3d 959
    ,
    1001–02 (7th Cir. 2016) (finding that, when the district court
    appeared to treat the mandatory minimum as the lower
    bracket for determining a below-Guidelines sentence, court
    could not say that the mandatory minimum had “absolutely
    no effect”), and United States v. Barnes, 
    769 F.3d 94
    , 98–99
    (1st Cir. 2014) (reaching the legality of a mandatory
    minimum sentence although the defendant’s net term was 10
    years above the minimum because of references throughout to
    the mandatory minimum), with United States v. Ramírez-
    Negrón, 
    751 F.3d 42
    , 49 (1st Cir. 2014) (finding no due
    process error when a defendant’s sentence was based
    “entirely on Guidelines considerations”), and United States v.
    Ramos, 
    695 F.3d 1035
    , 1049 (10th Cir. 2012) (concluding
    that a defendant lacked standing to challenge constitutionality
    of mandatory minimum because the “actual sentence of
    eighty-seven months was not affected by the statutorily
    prescribed mandatory minimum” but was instead based on
    “the § 3553(a) factors and the Guidelines”).
    33
    is, an allegation that the government’s conduct was so
    outrageous that due process and fundamental fairness cannot
    abide the defendant’s conviction.56 In our hallmark case on
    the doctrine, United States v. Twigg, we decided that a meth
    scheme that was substantially engineered by the
    government—agents supplied precursor chemicals (at a
    significant discount), glassware, and a rented farmhouse for a
    lab—displayed the requisite level of outrageousness.57
    Twigg led to the ultimate sanction: reversal of the defendant’s
    conviction.58
    But Twigg, decided in 1978, is apparently one of only
    “two reported court of appeals decisions . . . that have deemed
    the government’s conduct so outrageous as to violate due
    process.”59 We have found no occasion since Twigg in a
    published decision to reverse a conviction or invalidate an
    indictment on the theory that the government has strayed
    outside of the boundaries contemplated by due process.60 In
    United States v. Dennis, for instance, we refused to dismiss an
    indictment in a reverse sting case not dissimilar to the one
    56
    See United States v. Twigg, 
    588 F.2d 373
    , 378 (3d Cir.
    1978).
    57
    See 
    id.
     at 375–76, 380–81.
    58
    
    Id. at 381
    .
    59
    United States v. Combs, 
    827 F.3d 790
    , 795 (8th Cir. 2016).
    60
    See United States v. Fattah, 
    858 F.3d 801
    , 813 (3d Cir.
    2017) (citing Twigg for the proposition that “[t]his Court has
    granted relief on a claim of outrageous government
    misconduct only once”).
    34
    now at bar, while emphasizing the “exceedingly great”
    evidentiary burden placed on the challenging defendant.61
    While our Twigg decision recognized an outrageous
    government conduct claim in the context of an attack on an
    indictment—and, by extension, the fact of the judgment of
    conviction itself—other courts have applied similar reasoning
    to a narrower universe of sentencing-related claims, often
    under the label “sentencing factor manipulation”—although
    they have not done so consistently.62 The Eleventh Circuit
    described one model of sentencing factor manipulation in
    United States v. Ciszkowski:
    [S]entencing factor manipulation occurs when
    the government’s manipulation of a sting
    operation, even if insufficient to support a due
    process claim, requires that the manipulation be
    filtered out of the sentencing calculus.
    Outrageous government conduct would
    necessitate the reversal of a defendant’s
    conviction,      while      sentencing     factor
    manipulation would simply reduce the sentence
    applied to his conduct. . . . When a court filters
    the manipulation out of the sentencing calculus
    before applying a sentencing provision, no
    61
    
    826 F.3d 683
    , 694–95 (3d Cir. 2016); see also United
    States v. Mohamud, 
    843 F.3d 420
    , 435 (9th Cir. 2016)
    (recognizing that dismissal is warranted only in “extreme
    cases” (citation omitted)).
    62
    See United States v. Sed, 
    601 F.3d 224
    , 229–31 (3d Cir.
    2010) (describing the variation across courts of appeals).
    35
    mandatory minimum would arise in the first
    place.63
    Our previous precedential opinions have declined to
    take a definitive stance on the viability of this doctrine in our
    Circuit.64 But even assuming without deciding that the
    generous Ciszkowski framing of sentencing factor
    manipulation should apply—requiring a lesser showing than
    an “outrageous conduct” claim, and allowing for a District
    Court to depart below the mandatory minimum range—we
    find that Washington has failed to demonstrate, on the facts of
    this case, that the mandatory minimum should be excised
    from the indictment.
    At bottom, Washington argues that the government
    was uniquely positioned to determine the salient facts of his
    offense, which he was powerless to refute. Working through
    its undercover operative and informant, the ATF did indeed
    set the amount of the fictitious cocaine (10 kilograms) and
    63
    United States v. Ciszkowski, 
    492 F.3d 1264
    , 1270 (11th Cir.
    2007); see also United States v. Rivera-Ruperto, 
    852 F.3d 1
    ,
    14 (1st Cir. 2017) (“Sentencing factor manipulation occurs
    where government agents have improperly enlarged the scope
    or scale of a crime. . . . Where the government engages in
    such manipulation, we recognize the court’s power to impose
    a sentence below the statutory mandatory minimum as an
    equitable remedy.” (internal alterations, quotation marks, and
    citations omitted)). But see United States v. Lange, 
    862 F.3d 1290
    , 1296 (11th Cir. 2017) (observing that the Eleventh
    Circuit “has never reduced a sentence on the basis of
    sentencing factor manipulation”).
    64
    See Sed, 
    601 F.3d at
    229–31.
    36
    played up the likelihood of resistance (thereby encouraging
    the conspirators to arm themselves).
    But even assuming some impropriety here on the part
    of the government, most of the factors it created for the crime,
    and which were within its unique control, were not the drivers
    of Washington’s actual sentence. Agent Edwards told the
    conspirators that they would encounter resistance, so they
    brought guns—and, had Washington been convicted of the
    gun charge, he would have faced an additional mandatory
    consecutive term.65 But he was not. Further, Agent Edwards
    told the conspirators that they could expect to recover 10
    kilograms of cocaine in the robbery, corresponding to 2014
    Guidelines base offense level of 30.66 However, because he
    was a career offender, Washington’s Guidelines range was
    not governed directly by the 10 kilogram drug-quantity
    amount—and the District Court sentenced him far below the
    recommended Guidelines range anyway.67
    Instead, the 20-year mandatory minimum was the
    product of two factors: the 5 kilograms of cocaine charged in
    the indictment and found by a jury, and the § 851 statement
    65
    See 
    18 U.S.C. § 924
    (c)(1).
    66
    See U.S.S.G. § 2D1.1(c)(5) (2014).
    67
    To the extent the government manipulated factors that have
    not been shown to prejudice Washington, the weight of those
    factors is diminished. Cf. Werts v. Vaughn, 
    228 F.3d 178
    ,
    198 (3d Cir. 2000) (evaluating prosecutorial misconduct due
    process claim for presence of prejudice).
    37
    filed by the government.68 The latter, as the Supreme Court
    has indicated, is a matter of discretion “similar to the
    discretion a prosecutor exercises when he decides what, if
    any, charges to bring against a criminal suspect . . . and is
    appropriate, so long as it is not based upon improper
    factors.”69 Washington does not argue that the process
    envisioned by § 851 was not properly followed or was based
    on impermissible considerations.70
    68
    The career offender Guideline itself is based on the offense
    statutory maximum—here, life in prison, with or without the
    § 851 enhancement—so in that sense the Guidelines
    sentencing range was determined by a drug quantity. See
    U.S.S.G. § 4B1.1(b) (2014); 21 U.S.C. 841(b)(1)(A). Again,
    though, the District Court did not sentence in accordance with
    that range, and—as we discuss infra—the 5 kilogram amount
    is far below what courts have approved in other cases.
    69
    United States v. Labonte, 
    520 U.S. 751
    , 762 (1997); see
    also United States v. Sanchez, 
    517 F.3d 651
    , 671–72 (2d Cir.
    2008) (rejecting due process challenge when the government
    filed § 851 notice against one defendant, but not his
    codefendants).
    70
    That is not to say that we affirmatively endorse the
    prosecution’s decision here, which has the unavoidable
    appearance of punishing Washington for exercising his right
    to go to trial. But on these facts, this is not enough to declare
    the government’s actions beyond the pale or invidiously
    motivated, especially with the longstanding recognition—
    both by us and by the Supreme Court—of the deference
    afforded to prosecutorial decisions. For better or worse,
    prosecutors have a great deal of power to use specific
    38
    So it comes down, in the end, to the drug quantity. We
    acknowledge Washington’s concerns, which are well stated
    and logical, that the drugs did not exist, and that his ironclad
    mandatory minimum has no real-world foundation. Other
    courts of appeals, however, have roundly rejected claims that
    amounts greater than 5 kilograms, or even 10 kilograms,
    amount to sentencing factor manipulation.71 Further, Agent
    charging decisions to guide mandatory sentencing exposure.
    By way of example, a defendant in one recent New Jersey
    stash house case was charged in part with conspiring to
    possess with intent to distribute more than 5 kilograms of
    cocaine, exposing him to the mandatory minimum term.
    When the defendant agreed to plead guilty, the government
    filed a superseding information that simply deleted the drug
    quantity from the conspiracy charge, thereby eliminating the
    mandatory minimum. See U.S. Dep’t of Justice Press
    Release, Burlington County, New Jersey, Man Sentenced To
    Eight Years In Prison For Scheme To Rob Drug Dealers At
    Gunpoint,       https://www.justice.gov/usao-nj/pr/burlington-
    county-new-jersey-man-sentenced-eight-years-prison-
    scheme-rob-drug-dealers (Feb. 8, 2017; archived at
    https://perma.cc/Y5XD-UULW); United States v. Forman,
    D.N.J. Crim. No. 1:14-cr-00152, ECF Nos. 27, 81.
    71
    See United States v. Hare, 
    820 F.3d 93
    , 102–03 (4th Cir.
    2016) (collecting cases for the proposition that “15 to 20
    kilograms of cocaine” amounts to “considerably less than the
    quantity of cocaine at issue in other stash house sting cases”);
    United States v. Sanchez, 
    138 F.3d 1410
    , 1414 (11th Cir.
    1998) (“The fact that the government’s fictitious reverse sting
    operation involved a large quantity of drugs does not amount
    to the type of manipulative governmental conduct warranting
    a downward departure in sentencing.”).
    39
    Edwards testified at trial that the amount chosen for the sting
    was a “conservative” number based upon the drug weights
    found in “a typical [Philadelphia] stash house.”72 He
    explained that the proposed scenario “always has to be
    realistic” or it might be questioned by the robbery crews.73
    Washington has not offered anything to the contrary. Put
    simply, there is not enough here for us to conclude that the
    72
    June 3 Tr. at 84.
    73
    June 3 Tr. at 85–86. These statements were made in the
    context of Agent Edwards’s trial testimony, not at sentencing.
    It does not appear that the justifications for the amount
    chosen were re-raised at sentencing. We acknowledge that
    Agent Edwards’s testimony indicates that all Philadelphia
    stash-house stings crafted in accordance with ATF
    methodology will involve, in some sense, an amount above
    the mandatory minimum threshold. Insufficient evidence was
    presented to allow the determination of whether a lesser
    quantity, below the mandatory minimum amount, would have
    sufficed to entice a four-man crew. See, e.g., June 3 Tr. at
    129 (testimony by Agent Edwards that his “courier” wanted
    only one to one and a half kilogram as a nonparticipant). But
    see Rivera-Ruperto, 852 F.3d at 15 (“Although it is certainly
    feasible that . . . the agents could have used some lesser
    quantity of drugs and still made the deals look realistic, the
    mere fact that they did not, without more, does not establish
    that the agents engaged in the kind of extraordinary
    misconduct . . . that is required of a successful sentencing
    manipulation claim.” (internal quotation marks and citations
    omitted)). A district court is, of course, free to probe this
    reasoning, especially if culpability or entrapment are raised as
    specific defenses.
    40
    government chose the 10 kilogram amount primarily, or even
    secondarily, “to inflate [Washington’s] sentence upon a
    conviction.”74
    Washington encourages us to follow the reasoning of
    United States v. McLean, in which a different judge in the
    Eastern District of Pennsylvania sentenced below the
    mandatory minimum, on due process grounds, in a reverse-
    sting stash house case.75 McLean, which is nonbinding,76 is
    also distinguishable. The defendant there received a “split”
    jury verdict on the amount of cocaine involved: 5 kilograms
    with regard to conspiracy but 500 grams with regard to
    attempt.77 We detect no equivalent ambiguity in the jury’s
    verdict on Washington’s ultimate culpability, and therefore
    reject this argument.78
    74
    Ciszkowski, 
    492 F.3d at 1271
    .
    75
    
    199 F. Supp. 3d 926
    , 942–45 (E.D. Pa. 2016).
    76
    The government sought to appeal the McLean sentence, but
    (as the government explained at oral argument) was unable to
    obtain the Solicitor General’s permission to pursue the
    appeal. See C.A. No. 16-3227 (order dismissing appeal
    entered Sept. 15, 2016). The defendant appealed the
    judgment of conviction, which we recently affirmed. See
    generally United States v. McLean, No. 16-2993, 
    2017 WL 3309762
     (3d Cir. Aug. 3, 2017) (nonprecedential).
    77
    See McLean, 199 F. Supp. 3d at 939–40 & n.13.
    78
    We note that McLean contains an extensive recitation of the
    facts and factors that caused its district court to depart below
    the mandatory minimum. While constitutional challenges to
    41
    In sum, we conclude that the 5 kilograms of cocaine
    charged in the indictment and found by the jury did not
    amount to an impermissible manipulation of sentencing
    factors by the government. To the extent that the fictitious 10
    kilogram quantity is relevant, we find too that Washington
    has shown neither improper manipulation nor prejudice.
    Nevertheless, we remind the government that we have
    expressed misgivings in the past about the wisdom and
    viability of reverse stash house stings. That this case fell on
    the safe side of the due process divide should not be taken to
    indicate that all such prosecutions will share the same fate.
    As one of our colleagues said in a prior case, “I do not find it
    impossible for the Government to exercise its discretion
    rationally to set up stash house reverse stings. But I share the
    concern that this practice, if not properly checked, eventually
    will find itself on the wrong side of the line.”79
    C. Selective Enforcement Discovery Claim
    Finally, Washington appeals in part the denial of his
    pretrial motion for discovery, which he filed in order to
    “prepare a motion to dismiss the indictment on the basis of
    racial profiling and/or selective prosecution of racial
    minorities by the ATF Office in Philadelphia, in conjunction
    mandatory minimum sentences draw de novo review, it might
    be the case that a district court’s factfinding and underlying
    reasoning, as opposed to its application of a legal standard,
    may be due some level of deference. We need not resolve the
    question in this appeal.
    79
    See Dennis, 826 F.3d at 699 (Ambro, J., concurring in part
    and dissenting in part).
    42
    with the local U.S. Attorney’s Office.”80 He contends that the
    District Court erred in applying a strict discovery standard—
    Armstrong/Bass—to the portions of his motion that pertained
    to law enforcement and ATF material on stash-house reverse
    stings, as opposed to those portions (the denial of which he
    does not appeal) that sought information related to the
    prosecution of those offenses.         Instead of employing
    Armstrong/Bass, Washington contends, we should follow the
    Seventh Circuit’s opinion in United States v. Davis, which
    appeared to depart from the Armstrong/Bass model for claims
    of selective enforcement in stash house cases.
    While discovery rulings are ordinarily reviewed for
    abuse of discretion, “we exercise de novo review over the
    standards the district court used in exercising its discretion.”81
    And although we decline to adopt Davis wholesale, we
    80
    Washington Discovery, 
    2014 WL 2959493
    , at *2.
    81
    Redland Soccer Club v. Dep’t of the Army, 
    55 F.3d 827
    ,
    845 (3d Cir. 1995); see also Koon v. United States, 
    518 U.S. 81
    , 100 (1996) (“A district court by definition abuses its
    discretion when it makes an error of law.”), superseded by
    statute on other grounds as stated in United States v.
    Thurston, 
    358 F.3d 51
    , 70 (1st Cir. 2004). Although the
    government disputes whether Washington’s appellate claim
    matches what he raised below, its response brief generally
    answers on the merits; the procedural objection is to the scope
    of his request, not the consistency of his legal theory. We are
    satisfied, from our review of the record, that Washington
    adequately developed the claim across his District Court
    submissions.
    43
    nevertheless agree with the Davis court that district judges
    have more flexibility, outside of the Armstrong/Bass
    framework, to permit and manage discovery on claims like
    Washington’s. Accordingly, as explained further below, we
    will vacate the District Court’s discovery orders and issue a
    limited remand for further post-judgment proceedings.
    1. Substantive Equal Protection
    Claims: “Clear Evidence” of
    Discriminatory Effect and
    Intent
    Washington’s argument rests on the distinction
    between “selective prosecution” and “selective enforcement,”
    labels that we (and others) sometimes deploy
    interchangeably. Here, we use them as Washington does.
    “Prosecution” refers to the actions of prosecutors (in their
    capacity as prosecutors) and “enforcement” to the actions of
    law enforcement and those affiliated with law-enforcement
    personnel.
    We start with a point of commonality. Substantive
    claims of selective prosecution and selective enforcement are
    generally evaluated under the same two-part test, which is
    derived from a line of seminal Supreme Court cases about the
    collision between equal protection principles and the criminal
    justice system.82     A defendant challenging a criminal
    prosecution at either the law enforcement or prosecution
    82
    See Whren v. United States, 
    517 U.S. 806
    , 813 (1996)
    (“[T]he Constitution prohibits selective enforcement of the
    law based on considerations such as race.”); Wayte v. United
    States, 
    470 U.S. 598
    , 608 (1985).
    44
    inflection points must provide “clear evidence” of
    discriminatory effect and discriminatory intent (the latter is
    sometimes referred to as “discriminatory purpose”).83
    Meeting this standard generally requires evidence that
    similarly situated individuals of a difference race or
    classification were not prosecuted, arrested, or otherwise
    investigated.84
    83
    See, e.g., United States v. Taylor, 
    686 F.3d 182
    , 197 (3d
    Cir. 2012); Harajli v. Huron Twp., 
    365 F.3d 501
    , 508 (6th
    Cir. 2004); United States v. Alameh, 
    341 F.3d 167
    , 173 (2d
    Cir. 2003); see also United States v. Whitfield, 649 F. App’x
    192, 196 n.11 (3d Cir. 2016) (nonprecedential) (“[T]he prima
    facie elements for both selective prosecution and selective
    enforcement are the same: discriminatory effect and
    discriminatory intent.”), cert. denied, 
    137 S. Ct. 1063
     (2017);
    Lacey v. Maricopa Cty., 
    693 F.3d 896
    , 920 (9th Cir. 2012)
    (discussing a civil selective enforcement claim); Hill v. City
    of Scranton, 
    411 F.3d 118
    , 125 (3d Cir. 2005) (same);
    Marshall v. Columbia Lea Reg’l Hosp., 
    345 F.3d 1157
    , 1168
    (10th Cir. 2003) (“These standards have been applied to
    traffic stops challenged on equal protection grounds.”). We
    cite Whitfield for its description of the law in our Circuit and
    do not assign it the weight of precedent.
    84
    See United States v. Hare, 
    820 F.3d 93
    , 98–99 (4th Cir.
    2016); United States v. Brantley, 
    803 F.3d 1265
    , 1271 (11th
    Cir. 2015); Johnson v. Crooks, 
    326 F.3d 995
    , 1000 (8th Cir.
    2003) (“When the claim is selective enforcement of the traffic
    laws or a racially-motivated arrest, the plaintiff must normally
    prove that similarly situated individuals were not stopped or
    arrested in order to show the requisite discriminatory effect
    45
    2. Armstrong/Bass: “Some Evidence”
    A criminal defendant, however, will not often have
    access to the information, statistical or otherwise, that might
    satisfy a “clear evidence” burden. Thus, the two component
    cases that make up the Armstrong/Bass test—United States v.
    Armstrong85 and United States v. Bass86, both of which arose
    from selective prosecution challenges—propounded a facially
    less rigorous standard for criminal defendants seeking
    discovery on an anticipated selective prosecution claim.
    Instead of “clear evidence,” a successful discovery motion
    can rest on “some evidence.”87 “Some evidence” must still
    include a showing that similarly situated persons were not
    prosecuted.88     Furthermore, under Armstrong/Bass, the
    and purpose.”); see also Gov’t of V.I. v. Harrigan, 
    791 F.2d 34
    , 36 (3d Cir. 1986).
    85
    
    517 U.S. 456
     (1996).
    86
    
    536 U.S. 862
     (2002) (per curiam).
    87
    See Bass, 
    536 U.S. at 863
     (“[A] defendant who seeks
    discovery on a claim of selective prosecution must show
    some evidence of both discriminatory effect and
    discriminatory intent.”); see also United States v. Arenas-
    Ortiz, 
    339 F.3d 1066
    , 1068 (9th Cir. 2003) (“The showing
    necessary to obtain discovery is somewhat less” than
    prevailing on the merits).
    88
    Armstrong, 
    517 U.S. at 469
    ; Bass, 
    536 U.S. at 864
     (“Under
    Armstrong, therefore, because respondent failed to submit
    relevant evidence that similarly situated persons were treated
    differently, he was not entitled to discovery.”).
    46
    defendant’s showing must be “credible” and cannot generally
    be satisfied with nationwide statistics.89
    Armstrong/Bass has proven to be a demanding
    gatekeeper. In developing it, the Supreme Court sought to
    “balance[] the Government’s interest in vigorous prosecution
    and the defendant’s interest in avoiding selective prosecution”
    by creating a standard that, while difficult to meet, derived
    from “ordinary equal protection standards” and was not
    “insuperable.”90     The lived experience, however, has
    resembled less a challenge and more a rout, as practical and
    logistical hurdles abound—especially to proving a negative.91
    89
    See Armstrong, 
    517 U.S. at 470
    ; United States v. Thorpe,
    
    471 F.3d 652
    , 657 (6th Cir. 2006); see also United States v.
    Al Hedaithy, 
    392 F.3d 580
    , 607–08 & n.24. (3d Cir. 2004)
    (rejecting under Armstrong/Bass a selective prosecution
    discovery request premised on “numerous newspaper
    articles” showing rampant cheating on the Test of English as
    a Foreign Language exam; “[t]he defect in Al Hedaithy’s
    proffer is that none of this evidence indicates that similarly
    situated persons were treated differently. Demonstrating that
    thousands of other people have also cheated on the [] exam
    does nothing to identify persons who are similarly situated”).
    90
    Armstrong, 517 U.S. at 465, 470.
    91
    See, e.g., Donna Coker, Foreword: Addressing the Real
    World of Racial Injustice in the Criminal Justice System, 
    93 J. Crim. L. & Criminology 827
    , 828–29, 846–47 (2003)
    (discussing, among other things, the problems with the
    “similarly situated” discovery standard, including the
    possibility that the “data . . . may simply not exist” or is in
    “the exclusive control of the government”); Richard H.
    47
    The government itself concedes that “neither the Supreme
    Court nor this Court has ever found sufficient evidence to
    permit discovery of a prosecutor’s decision-making policies
    and practices.”92
    So, too, in Washington’s case, as the District Court
    here found that his discovery motion had fallen short of
    Armstrong/Bass. His list of three prior stash house cases, the
    District Court determined, revealed nothing about similarly
    situated individuals who were not ensnared in stash-house
    stings, and Washington had otherwise not shown
    discriminatory intent/purpose.93
    3. Armstrong/Bass in “Selective
    Enforcement” Cases
    On appeal, Washington does not argue that the District
    Court’s Armstrong/Bass analysis was wrong, but rather that
    McAdams, Race and Selective Prosecution: Discovering the
    Pitfalls of Armstrong, 
    73 Chi.-Kent L. Rev. 605
    , 640 (1998)
    (“The Armstrong holding and the implications of its
    reasoning create a barrier to discovery that, for the great
    majority of criminal cases, is insuperable.”); Thorpe, 
    471 F.3d at 663
    ; see also Whitfield, 649 F. App’x at 196 n.11;
    Erik Luna, Transparent Policing, 
    85 Iowa L. Rev. 1107
    , 1139
    (2000) (“The bar for selective enforcement and prosecution
    claims has been set at a nearly unreachable height for the vast
    majority of criminal defendants, an example of an abstract
    right with no practical remedy.”).
    92
    Gov’t Br. at 31.
    93
    Washington Discovery, 
    2014 WL 2959493
    , at *7.
    48
    Armstrong/Bass—which arose from discovery aimed at
    claims of selective prosecution, not selective enforcement—
    should not have applied at all to the subset of his claims
    seeking law-enforcement evidence.             “The sort of
    considerations that led to the outcome in Armstrong,” he
    contends, “do not apply to . . . ATF agents engaged in racial
    discrimination when selecting targets for sting operations, or
    when deciding which suspects to refer for prosecution.”94
    Washington also points to the difficulty of obtaining pre-
    discovery statistics in selective prosecution cases, arguing
    that requiring the same in law-enforcement cases—when
    there are likely to be no records of similarly situated
    individuals who were not arrested or investigated—would
    transform the functional impossibility of Armstrong/Bass into
    a complete impossibility.95 While substantive selective
    prosecution and enforcement cases must ultimately reach the
    same destination—“clear evidence” of discriminatory
    purpose/intent and effect—Washington suggests that
    enforcement cases, which do not implicate the heightened
    protections afforded to prosecution decisions, should be
    permitted to travel on a less rocky path.
    We have not previously addressed this particular
    prosecution/enforcement distinction in a precedential
    decision.96 And it is true that Armstrong and Bass, both of
    94
    Washington Br. at 19.
    95
    See 
    id.
     (citing Hare, 820 F.3d at 100).
    96
    See Whitfield, 649 F. App’x at 196 n.11. The government
    says that we have been “reluctant to permit discovery into the
    government’s investigatory and prosecutorial practices
    without a substantial showing by the defendant.” Gov’t Br. at
    49
    which arose from selective prosecution claims, were
    grounded in part on the special solicitude courts have shown
    to prosecutors’ discretion. For instance, the Armstrong Court
    said that a “selective-prosecution claim is not a defense on the
    merits to the criminal charge itself, but an independent
    assertion that the prosecutor has brought the charge for
    reasons forbidden by the Constitution,” and because of the
    great deference owed to prosecutorial decision-making, the
    Court was reluctant to abrogate the “background
    presumption” that “the showing necessary to obtain discovery
    should itself be a significant barrier to the litigation of
    insubstantial claims.”97
    Other courts of appeals, however, have extended the
    reasoning of Armstrong/Bass to claims of selective
    enforcement and have applied the same burden (“some
    evidence”) to the related discovery requests. The Fourth and
    Tenth Circuits are two,98 and until recently the Seventh
    31. While that is true, the two cases the government cites—
    Al Hedaithy and United States v. Abuhouran, 
    161 F.3d 206
    (3d Cir. 1998)—discussed prosecutorial decision-making,
    such as the (nonconstitutional) challenge to substantial
    assistance motions in Abuhouran, see 
    161 F.3d at 216
    . They
    do not provide a definitive answer to the question here:
    whether we may look behind the law-enforcement curtain.
    97
    Armstrong, 
    517 U.S. at
    463–64 (internal quotation marks
    and citation omitted).
    98
    See United States v. Alcaraz-Arellano, 
    441 F.3d 1252
    , 1264
    (10th Cir. 2006) (“[Armstrong’s] elements are essentially the
    same for a selective-enforcement claim.”); United States v.
    Mason, 
    774 F.3d 824
    , 829–30 (4th Cir. 2014).
    50
    Circuit appeared to be another. In United States v. Barlow,
    the Seventh Circuit addressed a discovery claim based on
    racial profiling, a “selective law enforcement tactic.”99 In
    deciding that the District Court had not abused its discretion
    in denying discovery, the Barlow court followed Armstrong
    (Bass had not yet been issued), finding that defendant Barlow
    had not presented relevant and reliable data on the “similarly
    situated” prong of the test.100
    4. The Seventh Circuit’s Davis
    Decision
    But in United States v. Davis,101 the en banc Seventh
    Circuit appeared to narrow the scope of Armstrong/Bass.
    Davis was an appeal from a pretrial order granting discovery
    in a stash-house reverse-sting case.102 The defendants had
    alleged that the prosecutor, FBI, and ATF had engaged in
    racial discrimination, pointing to some discomfiting statistics:
    out of 94 defendants across 20 Northern District of Illinois
    stash-house sting prosecutions, only six were non-Hispanic
    99
    
    310 F.3d 1007
    , 1010 (7th Cir. 2002).
    100
    See 
    id.
     at 1010–11.
    101
    
    793 F.3d 712
     (7th Cir. 2015).
    102
    We need not address Davis’s procedural intrigue, although
    we note that it marked the dividing line between the en banc
    majority and dissent. See Davis, 793 F.3d at 723 (Rovner, J.,
    joined by Hamilton, J., dissenting) (“For all of the prudential
    reasons that we do not permit civil litigants to manufacture
    appellate jurisdiction, we should not allow an appeal based on
    the sort of non-final dismissal that was fabricated here.”).
    51
    whites.103 The statistics, however, revealed nothing about
    similarly situated persons who were not prosecuted.104
    Nevertheless, the district court granted a broad discovery
    order, reasoning in part that the “overwhelming majority” of
    those prosecuted being persons of color met, by inference, the
    defendants’ burden under Armstrong/Bass.105
    The Seventh Circuit agreed with the government that
    the district court’s reasoning was inconsistent with
    Armstrong. If Armstrong’s record, which showed the
    exclusive prosecution of African Americans for crack
    offenses, was not sufficient, then a showing that “three-
    quarters of the defendants in stash-house cases have been
    black does not suffice.”106
    The Seventh Circuit then addressed whether
    Armstrong/Bass was the relevant test at all. In this Circuit’s
    view, the key distinction lay between prosecutors, who are
    “protected by a powerful privilege or covered by a
    presumption of constitutional behavior” recognized by
    Armstrong, and FBI/ATF agents, who “regularly testify in
    criminal cases” and whose “credibility may be relentlessly
    attacked by defense counsel.”107 For these and other reasons,
    the Seventh Circuit decided that “the sort of considerations
    103
    Davis, 793 F.3d at 714–15.
    104
    See id. at 715.
    105
    See Order at 2, United States v. Davis, N.D. Il. Crim. No.
    13-cr-63-2 (order entered October 30, 2013).
    106
    Davis, 793 F.3d at 719–20.
    107
    Id. at 720.
    52
    that led to the outcome in Armstrong do not apply to a
    contention that agents of the FBI or ATF engaged in racial
    discrimination when selecting targets for sting operations, or
    when deciding which suspects to refer for prosecution.”108
    Having ruled that Armstrong/Bass did not quite govern
    the law-enforcement aspects of the defendants’ discovery
    request, the Seventh Circuit decided that the District Court’s
    comprehensive discovery order was nonetheless an abuse of
    discretion. Sweeping and overbroad, the order engulfed too
    much that did implicate prosecutorial discretion and was not
    tailored to the boundaries of the case nor the scope of the
    defendants’ proffer.109
    On remand, instead of issuing a “blunderbuss order,”
    the district court was ordered to take “measured steps” to
    determine the scope and boundaries of discovery.110 First, the
    district court was to determine whether there was reason to
    believe that race played a role in the investigation—that
    “forbidden selectivity occurred or plausibly could have
    occurred”111—by evaluating the evidence already of record,
    new evidence acquired by the defendants, and (if necessary)
    the affidavits and limited testimony of case agents. If the
    inquiry gave the district court reason to believe that similarly
    situated persons would not have been pursued by law
    enforcement, in camera disclosure of targeting criteria might
    108
    Id. at 721.
    109
    See id. at 722.
    110
    Id.
    111
    Id. at 723.
    53
    be called for. If the trail of breadcrumbs continued,
    additional targeted inquiries might be justified; and if the
    obtained information crossed the Armstrong/Bass threshold,
    the discovery could be “extended to the prosecutor’s
    office.”112
    112
    Id. at 722–23. Although it is of limited relevance to the
    actual legal issue on appeal, the “switch” in Davis arose after
    years of unease in Seventh Circuit district courts—and in the
    Northern District of Illinois in particular—about reverse sting
    cases. See, e.g., United States v. Paxton, No. 13 CR 103,
    
    2014 WL 1648746
    , at *5 (N.D. Ill. Apr. 17, 2014) (granting
    discovery under Armstrong/Bass, in part because “no white
    defendants have been indicted for phony stash house cases
    since 2009, despite the diverse makeup of the Northern
    District of Illinois”). Post-Davis, the controversy continues.
    See Jason Meisner & Annie Sweeney, Lawyers: ATF Stings
    Racially Biased; U. of C.-led Team says Stash House Cases
    Show Feds Unfairly Targeted Minorities, Chi. Trib., Mar. 5,
    2017,             at          C1,            available         at
    http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/breaking/ct-atf-
    stash-house-sting-racial-discrimination-met-20170303-
    story.html (last visited Aug. 21, 2017; archived at
    https://perma.cc/XY4G-MKYG). A report in one pending
    case, prepared by Columbia Law professor Jeffrey Fagan,
    concludes among other things that “race remains a
    statistically significant predictor of selection as a Stash House
    defendant.” See Report of Jeffrey Fagan, United States v.
    Alfred Washington, N.D. Il. Crim. No. 12-CR-632, ECF No.
    510-2.
    54
    5. Davis’s Application to
    Washington’s Claims
    In sum, despite not being a straightforward affirmance
    of a pro-defendant discovery decision, Davis does more or
    less what Washington would like this Court to do: find
    Armstrong/Bass inapplicable in part and send the case back to
    the District Court to make additional inquiries—bolstered,
    perhaps, by whatever evidence has become available since.
    However, there are good reasons to be cautious about
    Davis, and its practical application in this case is not quite as
    straightforward as Washington suggests. While the Seventh
    Circuit did not follow Armstrong/Bass, Davis does not clearly
    state whether the test adopted in its stead was a variation of
    Armstrong/Bass or, alternatively, was intended to be a
    complete departure. For instance, Davis does not explicitly
    discuss the discriminatory purpose/intent prong of the
    traditional Armstrong/Bass analysis.113 Davis might therefore
    be fairly described as an opinion entirely about discriminatory
    effect as a gateway to discovery. Moreover, Davis does not
    mention the Seventh Circuit’s earlier decision in Barlow at
    all—not to harmonize it, distinguish it, or explicitly overrule
    it.114 Davis also arose on a different posture, where the
    113
    It is perhaps true that, in a given investigation, a finding
    that a defendant would not have been prosecuted if he had
    been non-Hispanic white is enough to suggest an inference of
    discriminatory purpose/intent.
    114
    At least one court has observed this ambiguity in the
    Seventh Circuit’s case law in declining to adopt the
    prosecution/enforcement discovery dichotomy. See United
    States v. Lamar, No. 14 CR 726, 
    2015 WL 4720282
    , at *5 n.3
    55
    defendant had prevailed below and, thus, benefitted from
    partial appellate deference to the trial court’s exercise of
    discretion. Here, by contrast, the District Court’s decision
    was not favorable to Washington; this Court’s deference thus
    tips the other way. The Davis framework was further
    influenced by the Seventh Circuit’s review of a pretrial
    decision, as indicated by the court’s repeated references to
    expediency—“limited inquiries that can be conducted in a
    few weeks” so as to not “sidetrack[]” the case.115 While any
    framework must be mindful of the pretrial context in which
    discovery motions will be filed and decided, we are reviewing
    a final judgment, one which (as discussed further below) is
    not unwound if we decide to remand.
    6. Strict Application of Armstrong/Bass
    is Inappropriate
    Despite our caution, we find ourselves in agreement
    with the core rationale of Davis: the special solicitude shown
    to prosecutorial discretion, which animated the Supreme
    Court’s reasoning in Armstrong and Bass—and our own
    reasoning in our pre-Armstrong/Bass case law on the same
    subject116—does not inevitably flow to the actions of law
    (S.D.N.Y. Aug. 7, 2015). The government, for its part,
    argues that Davis is wrongly decided, and points in particular
    to the Barlow that did not bark. See Gov’t Br. at 39 n.13.
    115
    Davis, 793 F.3d at 723.
    116
    See, e.g., United States v. Torquato, 
    602 F.2d 564
    , 569–70
    (3d Cir. 1979) (discussing the need to “minimize the intrusion
    on the prosecutorial function” in the context of the burden
    required to obtain an evidentiary hearing); see also In re
    Grand Jury, 
    619 F.2d 1022
    , 1030 (3d Cir. 1980).
    56
    enforcement, or even to prosecutors acting in an investigative
    capacity. Prosecutors are ordinarily shielded by absolute
    immunity for their prosecutorial acts,117 but police officers
    and federal agents enjoy no such categorical protection.118
    And, as the Davis court observed, officers and agents are
    expected to testify in criminal cases, with their honesty and
    candor “open to challenge.”119         That aspects of law
    enforcement and prosecutorial discretion are often
    intertwined does not make the distinction between the two
    realms any less legitimate; courts are often called upon to
    determine whether specific acts fall more into one category
    than the other.120
    117
    See, e.g., Buckley v. Fitzsimmons, 
    509 U.S. 259
    , 268–71
    (1993); Odd v. Malone, 
    538 F.3d 202
    , 208–09 (3d Cir. 2008).
    118
    See Orsatti v. N.J. State Police, 
    71 F.3d 480
    , 483 (3d Cir.
    1995); Forsyth v. Kleindienst, 
    599 F.2d 1203
    , 1216 (3d Cir.
    1979) (“[F]ederal law enforcement officers are entitled only
    to qualified, or good faith, immunity.”).
    119
    Davis, 793 F.3d at 720.
    120
    The government suggests that when a district court is
    presented with mixed claims, or some selective enforcement
    and some selective prosecution claims, applying the
    Armstrong/Bass standard across the board is appropriate.
    Gov’t Br. at 28. This contention was rejected by Davis, 793
    F.3d at 723 (observing that, if the “measured steps” discovery
    rises to the level required by Armstrong/Bass, the
    investigation can “extend[] to the prosecutor’s office”), and
    we agree that it unduly penalizes a defendant who casts a
    wide net. That said, it remains within the discretion of a
    district court—and, indeed, remains within the discretion of
    57
    A challenge to a law-enforcement policy also
    implicates another area where immunity is limited. The ATF
    reverse sting model is familiar to us and other courts precisely
    because it is a defined operation, one with policies, manuals,
    targeting criteria, and standards. Its appearance from coast to
    coast is not some kind of convergent law-enforcement
    evolution, but instead is due to the promulgation of official
    policies by a federal agency. Claims of unconstitutional
    policies or practices, lodged against entities rather than
    individuals, often cannot be met with qualified or good-faith
    immunity defenses at all.121
    In sum, while we do not lightly depart from the well-
    established Armstrong/Bass framework, the enforce-
    ment/prosecution distinction is a legitimate one, and we
    therefore join the Davis court in finding Armstrong/Bass to be
    distinguishable on these facts. Accordingly, motions for
    discovery seeking information on putative claims of
    unconstitutional selective enforcement are not governed by
    strict application of the Armstrong/Bass framework.
    Nevertheless, and as tacitly acknowledged by the
    Seventh Circuit, courts contemplating motions for discovery
    this District Court—to determine that a “selective
    enforcement” claim was either not appropriately raised or was
    simply a prosecution claim tailored to avoid the requirements
    of Armstrong/Bass. As always, a court must look beyond the
    labels affixed by the party and focus on the substance of what
    is sought.
    121
    See Carver v. Foerster, 
    102 F.3d 96
    , 102–04 (3d Cir.
    1996) (citing, among other things, Owen v. City of
    Independence, 
    445 U.S. 622
     (1980)).
    58
    on selective enforcement claims must still be guided by the
    spirit of Armstrong/Bass, which incorporates the demands
    placed on the underlying substantive claims: not just “some
    evidence,” but the heightened “clear evidence” standard.
    Further, while we agree with a general approach of taking
    “measured steps” over the course of discovery, we decline to
    mandate a precise system or order that a district court must
    follow. As we have often said, matters of docket control and
    discovery are committed to broad discretion of the district
    court.122 We are confident in the ability of district courts to
    react to the particular circumstances of a case—the likelihood
    of a near-term trial date, the complexity of the underlying
    matter, the strength of a defendant’s discovery proffer, the
    similarity to previous cases raising similar concerns, the need
    to avoid overly prejudicial or irrelevant disclosure, and so
    on—in crafting a measured approach to discovery. Finally,
    we note that although we are now in a post-trial posture, the
    fact of the matter is that most, if not all, appeals from criminal
    discovery orders will be properly brought only after judgment
    is entered.123
    122
    See, e.g., Sempier v. Johnson & Higgins, 
    45 F.3d 724
    , 734
    (3d Cir. 1995); In re Fine Paper Antitrust Litig., 
    685 F.2d 810
    , 817 (3d Cir. 1982); United States v. Newman, 
    476 F.2d 733
    , 739 (3d Cir. 1973) (referring to criminal discovery
    rulings under Fed. R. Crim. P. 16).
    123
    See United States v. Sciarra, 
    851 F.2d 621
    , 627–28 (3d
    Cir. 1988).
    59
    7. Selective Enforcement Discovery
    Standard
    We therefore hold as follows. In ruling on a pretrial
    discovery request that alleges selective prosecution and/or
    selective enforcement, a district court applies Armstrong/Bass
    to claims that implicate protected prosecutorial functions,
    such as those that arose in the namesake cases. If claims of
    selective law enforcement are raised, or there are “mixed”
    claims that involve prosecutors acting in investigative or
    other capacities (in short, performing functions that ordinarily
    would not draw absolute immunity), the standard guiding the
    district court’s discretion is different. While Armstrong/Bass
    remains the lodestar, a district court retains the discretion to
    conduct a limited pretrial inquiry into the challenged law-
    enforcement practice on a proffer that shows “some
    evidence” of discriminatory effect. The proffer must contain
    reliable statistical evidence, or its equivalent, and may be
    based in part on patterns of prosecutorial decisions (as was
    the case in Davis) even if the underlying challenge is to law
    enforcement decisions.124 Distinct from what is required
    under Armstrong/Bass, a defendant need not, at the initial
    124
    We do not reach the question of the geographical
    boundaries of the initial evidence the defendant must
    provide—whether, in other words, the application of a law
    enforcement policy or practice in the defendant’s specific
    district might be contextualized by its application elsewhere,
    so long as the defendant adequately connects the practice
    elsewhere to his or her situation. We leave this issue to the
    district court’s discretion and common sense, in light of the
    need to show that the policy ultimately acted upon, or did not
    act upon, persons similarly situated to the defendant.
    60
    stage, provide “some evidence” of discriminatory intent, or
    show that (on the effect prong) similarly situated persons of a
    different race or equal protection classification were not
    arrested or investigated by law enforcement. However, the
    proffer must be strong enough to support a reasonable
    inference of discriminatory intent and non-enforcement.
    If a district court finds that the above has been met, it
    may conduct limited inquiries of the sort recommended in
    Davis, and cabined to the same considerations of judicial
    economy and the need to avoid protracted pretrial litigation of
    matters collateral to the upcoming trial—as well as the need
    to avoid impinging on other areas of executive privilege.
    Areas of consideration could include the testimony, in person
    or otherwise, of case agents or supervisors, and the in camera
    analysis of policy statements, manuals, or other agency
    documents. Relevant information, having passed the filter,
    can also be disclosed to the defendant, although the district
    court retains discretion to forgo disclosure of or otherwise
    restrict the use of information that, while relevant to a
    selective enforcement claim, might not ordinarily be the sort
    of discovery material available to a criminal defendant under
    Fed. R. Crim. P. 16 or Brady and its progeny.
    Throughout, the district court must be mindful that the
    end “goal” of such a discovery motion is a valid claim of
    selective enforcement under the heightened substantive
    standards, which we are not asked to diminish or distinguish.
    If the district court’s initial or secondary inquiry sees that
    destination recede or stand still, not advance, the court
    operates within its discretion to deny additional discovery and
    to proceed to trial.
    61
    That limited discovery of this sort may be granted in
    one case does not guarantee—and should not guarantee—that
    it will be granted in another, similar case, even within the
    same district.125 But courts may, of course, consider the
    product of earlier investigations in deciding whether to
    conduct pretrial discovery on the individual claims they
    happen to confront.
    8. Remand is Necessary for the
    District Court to Exercise its
    Discretion under the Correct
    Framework
    Having set forth the governing standard for selective
    enforcement cases, we address its application to
    Washington’s case. It is clear that the District Court thought
    itself bound by the more-demanding Armstrong/Bass standard
    across the entirety of Washington’s discovery request, and
    then again on reconsideration. Because it exercised its
    discretion under the incorrect standard, we would normally
    remand for the District Court to reconsider its ruling in light
    of its now-enhanced discretion. The government, however,
    advances two primary reasons why, in its view, remand is
    unnecessary.
    First, the government emphasizes that it “did not
    actually select or target any of the defendants,” suggesting
    that a selective enforcement claim is categorically
    125
    See Threadgill v. Armstrong World Indus., Inc., 
    928 F.2d 1366
    , 1371 (3d Cir. 1991) (“[T]here is no such thing as ‘the
    law of the district.’”).
    62
    forestalled.126 This argument was raised in and rejected by
    Davis. We agree with the Seventh Circuit that, although
    Berry “himself initiated matters by [asking] the informant for
    robbery opportunities and then chose his own comrades . . .[,]
    it remains possible that the [government] would not have
    pursued the investigation had [the crew] been white.”127
    Second, the government argues in essence that the
    matter need not be remanded because any error was harmless;
    Washington received everything to which he was entitled
    when the District Court gave him a redacted portion of an
    ATF manual on the eve of trial. The Fourth Circuit took such
    an approach in United States v. Hare, decided shortly after
    Davis. Despite quoting Davis with approval and exhibiting
    some discomfort with the Armstrong/Bass test as applied to
    stash-house cases, the Fourth Circuit decided that the
    defendants “ha[d] not shown that they are entitled to
    discovery beyond what the government has already
    produced.”128 While Washington also has not shown that he
    is “entitled” to anything beyond what he has already received,
    we think that the District Court, not our Court, is better
    positioned to make that determination.129
    126
    Gov’t Br. at 35 n.10.
    127
    Davis, 793 F.3d at 722–23.
    128
    
    820 F.3d 93
    , 101 (4th Cir. 2016).
    129
    Further, we note that 1) the District Court copied the
    approach taken in the Alexander Northern District of Illinois
    case, and thus may not have been independently exercising its
    discretion; and 2) material relevant to a trial defense does not
    63
    Accordingly, we will vacate the District Court’s
    discovery orders and remand for a renewed decision under the
    framework we articulate today. We emphasize that we are
    not directing the District Court to grant discovery; our
    collective thumbs are not on the scale. Rather, we commit the
    inquiry to the District Court’s considerable discretion. We
    note that the District Court may, if it so chooses, consider
    additional information offered by Washington on remand as
    part of his proffer, as well as any relevant information (such
    as testimony about the racial cast of prior prosecutions) that
    was disclosed at trial.
    Two administrative considerations require additional
    attention. First, as indicated by the Supreme Court in
    Armstrong itself, discovery requests like Washington’s exist
    outside of the framework of Fed. R. Crim. P. 16, and are
    neither a challenge to nor a defense against the government’s
    actual case.130 It is well established, moreover, that both
    discovery orders and substantive equal protection challenges
    are appealable only after entry of final judgment.131
    necessarily coincide with what is relevant to a challenge to an
    indictment on equal protection grounds.
    130
    See Armstrong, 
    517 U.S. at
    463–64.
    131
    See Jarkesy v. SEC, 
    803 F.3d 9
    , 26 (D.C. Cir. 2015);
    Adapt of Phila. v. Phila. Hous. Auth., 
    433 F.3d 353
    , 360 (3d
    Cir. 2006); United States v. Howard, 
    867 F.2d 548
    , 552 (9th
    Cir. 1989); cf. United States v. Zone, 
    403 F.3d 1101
    , 1106–07
    (9th Cir. 2005) (per curiam) (merging discovery and
    substantive inquiry when underlying Double Jeopardy claim
    would have been appealable under the collateral order
    doctrine).
    64
    Accordingly, by remanding for partial reconsideration of
    Washington’s discovery request, we do not unwind his
    conviction or otherwise undermine the jury’s verdict. If
    discovery is granted, and if it leads to a successful selective
    enforcement claim, then his constitutional rights can be
    vindicated at that time by striking the indictment in whole or
    in part.132 Second, Washington did not file a motion to
    dismiss the indictment pursuant to Fed. R. Crim. P. 12(b), as
    his gateway discovery request was denied. Despite the
    requirement in Rule 12(b)(3) that certain motions be made
    “before trial,” we will not require defendants to file quixotic
    substantive motions even before their predicate discovery
    motions are granted or denied. In any event, we note that as
    of the 2014 revision to Fed. R. Crim. P. 12(b)(3), the
    language of the rule makes clear that the substantive motion
    must be made pretrial only if “the basis for the motion is then
    reasonably available.”
    III.         CONCLUSION
    For the foregoing reasons, we will affirm the judgment
    of the District Court, vacate the discovery orders, and remand
    for further proceedings.
    132
    See United States v. Jones, 
    159 F.3d 969
    , 978 & n.8 (6th
    Cir. 1998) (remanding for discovery on a selective
    prosecution claim, while noting that the remand “does not
    warrant a new trial, but only gives [the defendant] the
    opportunity to move to dismiss the indictment following
    discovery”); cf. United States v. Brizendine, 
    659 F.2d 215
    ,
    222 (D.C. Cir. 1981) (explaining how the court can “provide
    effective relief” on appeal from final judgment).
    65
    United States v. Washington, 16-2795
    McKEE, Circuit Judge, concurring in part and dissenting in
    part.
    I agree with the Majority’s thoughtful and persuasive
    discussion of the discovery and ineffective counsel issues this
    case presents. I therefore join Part II.A and Part II.C of the
    Majority Opinion. However, I disagree with my colleagues’
    rejection of Washington’s sentencing manipulation claim and
    his assertion that the mandatory minimum sentence should not
    apply in these unique circumstances. Accordingly, I must
    respectfully dissent from Part II.B.
    I.      Stash-House Sting Operations
    Arguably, undercover sting operations, including ones
    involving fictitious stash houses, can be a valuable
    investigative tactic for ferreting out those individuals who
    would otherwise commit crimes in their communities. I also
    agree that “[c]ourts should go very slowly before staking out
    rules that will deter government agents from the proper
    performance of their investigative duties.”1
    However, the potential for abuse and mischief that is
    endemic to fictitious stash-house stings should not be ignored.
    The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit has cautioned
    that stash-house stings “appear[] highly susceptible to abuse.”2
    The Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit is “wary of [stash-
    house] operations” due to the “the ease with which the
    government can manipulate . . . factors [like drug
    quantities][.]”3 The Ninth Circuit specifically warned that one
    of the problems with such operations is that they ignore
    questions about whether a planned stash-house robbery is
    within a defendant’s actual “ambition and means.”4 Indeed,
    1
    United States v. Montoya, 
    62 F.3d 1
    , 3 (1st Cir. 1995)
    (citation omitted).
    2
    United States v. Hare, 
    820 F.3d 93
    , 103–04 (4th Cir. 2016),
    cert. denied, 
    137 S. Ct. 224
     (2016), reh’g denied, 
    137 S. Ct. 460
     (2016).
    3
    United States v. Briggs, 
    623 F.3d 724
    , 730 (9th Cir. 2010).
    4
    
    Id.
    1
    my colleagues also express reservations about these operations
    here, even though they ultimately conclude that Washington is
    not entitled to relief. Moreover, federal courts have noted that
    such sting operations risk opening the door to the very kind of
    racial profiling Washington is alleging here.5 All of these
    problems with stash-house operations have led noted jurist
    Richard Posner of the Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit
    to conclude, on the whole, that such operations are “a
    disreputable tactic.”6
    The facts of this case illustrate that these cautions and
    misgivings are well-founded. This investigation began with a
    confidential informant (“Roc”) advising a supervising ATF
    agent that he knew of an individual (Dwight Berry) who
    wanted to rob a drug stash house. After Berry was identified,
    the ATF embarked upon inventing a scenario that would
    include weapons, a “crew,” and a mythical quantity of cocaine
    that would be the bait for those who would become ensnared
    in ATF’s trap.
    5
    In 2013, for example, Chief Judge Ruben Castillo of the
    U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois
    ordered the disclosure of prosecutorial records after defense
    attorneys filed for discovery. The defense attorneys argued
    that since 2011, all of the stash-house targets charged in
    Chicago’s federal courts had been minorities—19 African-
    American and seven Latino defendants. Chief Judge Castillo
    ordered discovery “on the sensitive issue of potential racial
    profiling” after concluding that “the defendants ha[d] made a
    strong showing of potential bias in the history of the
    prosecution of . . . ‘phony drug stash house rip off cases.’”
    Order, United States v. Brown, No. 12-cr-632, ECF No. 153,
    at 1 (N.D. Ill. July 31, 2013). Other district courts also have
    ordered discovery into the basis for ATF and federal
    prosecutors identifying suspects for investigation. See Maj.
    Op. at 54 n.112.
    6
    See, e.g., United States v. Kindle, 
    698 F.3d 401
    , 414 (7th
    Cir. 2012) (Posner, J., dissenting) (criticizing that “[l]aw
    enforcement uses [such stings] to increase the amount of
    drugs that can be attributed to the persons stung, so as to jack
    up their sentences”), reh’g en banc granted, opinion vacated
    (Jan. 16, 2013), on reh’g en banc sub nom. United States v.
    Mayfield, 
    771 F.3d 417
     (7th Cir. 2014).
    2
    It was the Government, not Berry, that selected
    cocaine—instead of, for example, marijuana—as the drug of
    choice for the stash house. Although no cocaine actually
    existed, the Government decided to entice targeted individuals
    with a predetermined quantity of cocaine—10 kilograms—
    which was double the amount needed to statutorily trigger the
    mandatory minimum provisions. We are told that this quantity
    was necessary in order to portray a “credible” stash house in
    the Philadelphia region.
    After initiating a plan to rob a stash house with Roc and
    an undercover Agent, Berry presumably enlisted Washington.
    Washington was a resident of the community whom the
    confidential informant had not initially targeted, and he was
    not of any initial interest to the Government based on past
    criminal activity.
    I realize, of course, that even though Washington was
    just a secondary target, his statements during the planning
    meetings and subsequent phone conversations show that he
    was neither a shrinking violet nor reluctant recruit. Rather,
    Washington was clearly interested in participating and even
    offered a number of disturbingly violent ideas that he thought
    would facilitate the planned robbery.
    Nevertheless, it comes as no surprise that, “having
    yielded to an extraordinary inducement [Washington] would
    do everything possible to earn the promised reward.”7
    According to the Special Agent’s testimony at trial, a single
    kilogram of cocaine was worth upwards of $40,000, as Berry
    (the person who enlisted Washington) no doubt knew.
    Despite the Government’s claim that the 10-kilogram
    quantity was only selected to make the scheme credible,
    nothing suggests that Washington was motivated by any
    knowledge of a specific drug quantity, nor is there any
    evidence of him having any involvement with stash-house
    robberies.8 To the contrary, Washington initially told the
    7
    See, e.g., Kindle, 698 F.3d at 415 (Posner, J., dissenting).
    8
    The Agent had only told Berry that he saw over 10
    kilograms of cocaine inside a cooler when the two men met.
    3
    group that he did not want to be involved with cocaine. He
    explained that he “don’t fuck with coke” and that he didn’t
    “really do this shit.” The Agent understood Washington’s
    claim that he didn’t “really do this . . .” to mean that
    Washington did not deal in home invasion robberies. Yet, the
    Agent and Roc forged ahead, greasing the skids to involve
    Washington in the criminal conspiracy. Washington was
    ultimately arrested and charged with conspiracy to possess, and
    attempt to possess, 5 kilograms or more of cocaine with intent
    to distribute after he carried out the Government-contrived
    crime.
    Despite Washington’s initial statements of disinterest in
    cocaine and stash-house robberies, I agree that Washington’s
    ultimate actions do establish his intent to carry out an armed
    theft of cocaine from a stash house. However, that should not
    obscure a more fundamental point. As another appellate court
    has explained, “[t]he risk [of targeting] . . . generalized
    populations [with stash-house investigations] is that the
    government . . . create[s] a criminal enterprise that would not
    have come into being but for the temptation of a big payday, a
    work of fiction spun out by government agents to persons
    vulnerable to such a ploy who would not otherwise have
    thought of doing such a robbery.”9
    Here, the Government created a criminal scheme that
    would not have otherwise existed. Washington had no prior
    history of stash-house robberies (or violent crimes generally,
    for that matter), and he expressed reluctance to get involved
    with cocaine. Thus, here, as in similar cases, there is a strong
    possibility that had Washington not been “fooled into
    conspiring and attempting to steal fictitious drugs,”10 he may
    well not have been sucked back into the criminal justice
    system. This is particularly true because he was not even the
    intended target of this operation. Despite his criminal past,
    The District Court makes no finding that Berry then told
    Washington of the exact quantity of drugs to be obtained in a
    potential stash-house robbery before Washington joined the
    initial planning meeting.
    9
    United States v. Black, 
    733 F.3d 294
    , 303 (9th Cir. 2013).
    10
    United States v. Yuman-Hernandez, 
    712 F.3d 471
    , 474 (9th
    Cir. 2013).
    4
    Washington was not necessarily destined to commit future
    crimes. “Criminals do sometimes change and get their lives
    back on track,” and, as Judge Posner reminds us, “we don’t
    want the government pushing [criminals] back into a life of
    crime.” 11,12
    II.    Sentencing in Stash-House Sting Cases
    As is all too often the case, not only do stash-house
    stings risk ensnaring those who might otherwise not have
    committed crimes, but also the resulting convictions regularly
    give rise to particularly dubious applications of the Sentencing
    Guidelines and mandatory minimum sentences. Here, as is
    typical of these stings, the Government intentionally set the
    amount of fictitious drugs at a level that substantially increased
    Washington’s sentencing exposure.
    11
    Kindle, 698 F.3d at 415–16 (Posner, J., dissenting).
    As I suggested earlier, given Washington’s statements
    during this scheme, he is not the best example of someone
    being lured into criminality who may otherwise have
    continued restoring his life in the community. Nonetheless,
    he still had the support of a family, and at the sentencing
    hearing, his loved ones told the court that Washington, after
    serving time for his first conviction, was “out doing the right
    thing . . . doing really good,” having, for example, acquired
    his own business and taking children in the community to
    baseball games. Sentencing Tr. 36. His mother stated: “He
    was doing a lot of good things and how he got caught up in
    that situation is beyond me.” Id.
    His statements during the scheme notwithstanding,
    concerns that have been expressed about fictitious stash-
    house schemes are no less valid. The tactic still is troubling.
    12
    See Alfred Blumstein and Kiminori Nakamura, Redemption
    in the Presence of Widespread Criminal Background Checks,
    47 Criminology 327, 327–59 (2009) (“Recidivism probability
    declines with time ‘clean,’ so some point in time is reached
    when a person with a criminal record, who remained free of
    further contact with the criminal justice system, is of no
    greater risk than a counterpart of the same age [who has no
    criminal record] . . . .”).
    5
    The potential for mischief and abuse is rewarded and
    encouraged by applying an extraordinarily heavy mandatory
    sanction that I doubt Congress ever intended to apply where no
    drugs exist,13 and where the defendant would not have
    committed a crime without the government’s assistance. Here,
    the Government decided to charge Washington with a
    conspiracy involving 5 kilograms or more of cocaine. As the
    majority notes, given that quantity, Washington’s prior
    convictions subjected him to a 20-year mandatory minimum
    sentence. Accordingly, the District Court concluded that it was
    required to impose the 20-year mandatory minimum sentence
    that Washington received.
    Surely, sentences should bear some rational relationship
    to culpability. Otherwise, the entire enterprise of criminal
    sanctions is reduced to little more than an abstract matrix of
    numbers and grids. Yet, on this record, there is absolutely
    nothing to suggest that Washington would not have conspired
    to rob a stash house containing, for example, a kilogram less
    than the 5-kilogram mandatory trigger. No mandatory
    minimum would have “applied” had this trap been baited with
    the illusion of a stash house containing four kilograms
    (translating roughly to upwards of $160,000 in value based on
    the trial testimony)—thereby placing him beyond the reach of
    the perceived need to impose a 20-year statutory mandatory
    minimum sentence.14
    It is worth repeating that Washington had no prior
    history of robbing stash houses containing any quantity of
    cocaine (let alone 10 kilograms of it), or any history of
    13
    See infra Part III for a discussion of what, ostensibly, were
    Congress’s original intentions for tying mandatory minimums
    to specific drug quantities.
    14
    I recognize that the 5-kilogram cutoff is equally arbitrary
    when defendants are sentenced for a quantity of drugs that
    actually exists. Some degree of arbitrariness may be
    necessary to any sentencing scheme, and this is no less true
    when sentencing ranges are largely determined by artificially
    constructed Federal Sentencing Guidelines ranges. However,
    that practical reality does not minimize or negate the very real
    issues of unfairness and the potential for sentencing
    manipulation in these kinds of cases.
    6
    committing violent crimes. In addition, as I have noted, he
    initially stated that he did not want to get involved with
    cocaine. Even if we accept the deterrent value of mandatory
    minimum sentences, it is fanciful to believe that Washington
    would not have been deterred from future criminal activity had
    a much shorter period of incarceration been imposed. As Judge
    Posner has argued in similar circumstances, if a shorter
    sentence had been imposed, “[could] there be any serious
    concern that upon emerging [from prison, Washington] would
    embark on a career of robbing stash houses? That if approached
    by anyone [subsequently] inviting him to launch such a career
    he would listen to the person?”15 I think not.
    My concern is exacerbated by the fact that very few
    nationally-reported cases of government sting operations or
    investigations specify any fictional amount of cocaine that is
    less than the 5 kilograms that triggers this mandatory minimum
    sentence. Other courts have recognized this problem. For
    example, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit
    noted in another stash-house case:
    It is unsettling that in this type of reverse sting, the
    government has a greater than usual ability to
    influence a defendant’s ultimate Guidelines level
    and sentence. It appears to be no coincidence that
    the [government] chose to [use] no less than [the
    amount of sham cocaine that would trigger as
    much as 78 more months of imprisonment] . . .16
    15
    Kindle, 698 F.3d at 416 (Posner, J., dissenting) (criticizing
    the fact that the defendant in that stash-house case was
    imprisoned for 27 years—and proposing that a sentence of 5
    years was “more than adequate,” in part because, as a result
    of the sting, “taxpayers w[ould] be supporting [the defendant]
    at considerable expense for the next quarter century”).
    16
    United States v. Caban, 
    173 F.3d 89
    , 93 (2d Cir. 1999)
    (recognizing the defendant’s argument as one paralleling
    sentence manipulation but concluding that the status of the
    doctrine at the time was unclear).
    7
    In fact, it is usually the government’s initial scripting of the
    stash-house operations, including the quantity of drugs, that
    automatically subjects defendants to particular sentences.17
    It is very troubling that the government can initiate and
    facilitate criminal conduct, and make strategic choices that
    result in sentences that have a relationship to culpability that
    is, at best, tenuous and theoretical. As other courts have
    observed, in fictitious stash-house stings, “the government has
    virtually unfettered ability to inflate the amount of drugs”
    involved—in addition to selecting the type of drugs—“thereby
    obtain[ing] a greater sentence for the defendant.”18 The
    government can also “minimize the obstacles that a defendant
    must overcome to obtain the drugs.”19 Though the District
    Court here felt compelled to rely on the fanciful quantity the
    Government selected and to impose the corresponding 20-year
    17
    It is also the government’s initial scripting of the type of
    drugs that bears on mandatory minimum sentencing. When
    asked about choosing that drug for the sting operation in this
    case, the Government witness described stash-house stings as
    a “technique . . . developed in the 1980s in response to a
    trend,” and that “[m]any of the robbery crews . . . specifically
    target houses where cocaine is stored.” Trial Tr. 82–83.
    Therefore, “[the sting operation] has to be realistic” and
    “mirror what’s really going on in the streets for them to
    believe it and for our safety.” Id. at 83. The witness
    explained that “when you’re talking about the operation of a
    stash house, cocaine lends itself . . . as opposed to say another
    drug like marijuana where—if you’re talking about a large
    scale, typically you’re talking about a grow house or
    something like that.” Id.
    As discussed, infra, however, my concerns about the
    degree to which such street-informed testimony can be tested
    leave me doubting whether the government must use cocaine
    to achieve its law enforcement objectives. Here, for example,
    Berry expressed only a general interest in robbing a drug
    stash house without regard for a specific type.
    18
    United States v. Briggs, 
    623 F.3d 724
    , 729 (9th Cir. 2010).
    19
    
    Id. at 730
    .
    8
    mandatory minimum, “the Government assured such a result
    in advance by the script that it wrote . . . .”20
    My colleagues correctly note that that there was little,
    if any, countervailing evidence for the District Court to
    consider in making the factual determination that the agents
    could have used an amount less than 10 kilograms in creating
    the stash house.21 The only relevant findings stem from the
    undercover Agent’s trial testimony that the 10-kilogram
    amount was selected because that quantity mirrored drug
    weights typically found in stash houses in Philadelphia. He
    explained that the proposed scenario had to be realistic, lest
    robbery crews question the operation’s legitimacy. He also
    testified that that quantity was based on a consultation with the
    Drug Enforcement Agency (presumably the Philadelphia
    Division), which, he claimed, provides “experts in this
    information.”22 Apparently, the DEA is “aware of exactly
    what was going on . . . in the Philadelphia Metropolitan region”
    and provided the quantity “based on search warrants and
    investigations that they had conducted.”23
    Another district court considering a stash-house sting
    prosecution using 10 kilograms of cocaine was faced with
    similar government evidence. However, unlike here, that court
    was able to conclude that “the record [there] [wa]s clear that
    [the defendant] was ‘in for a penny, in for a pound,’”24 and that
    the evidence before it had established that the defendant was
    “‘hungry’ enough to pursue . . .[the] undertaking regardless of
    any specific amount of drugs.” 25 That district court explained
    that “[o]nce the Government established that [the defendant]
    20
    United States v. McLean, 
    199 F. Supp. 3d 926
    , 939 (E.D.
    Pa. 2016).
    21
    While it was ultimately the 5 kilograms of cocaine that the
    Superseding Indictment charged that drove Washington’s 20-
    year mandatory minimum, the amount the Government
    selected allowed it to charge Washington with conspiring to
    rob 5 kilograms or more, and thereby trigger the mandatory
    minimum.
    22
    Trial Tr. 85.
    23
    
    Id.
    24
    McLean, 199
     F. Supp. 3d at 935.
    25
    
    Id. at 938
    .
    9
    was willing to engage in an armed robbery of any quantity
    large enough to resell, its core law enforcement objective was
    met.”26 The court cited to the government’s own testimony
    that “the street value” of a single kilogram of cocaine was
    $36,000 and that stolen narcotics “represent pure profit,” both
    factors that would seem to make the sting “sufficiently alluring
    well below 5 kilograms.”27
    My agreement with the Majority on this specific issue
    notwithstanding, it is nearly impossible for a defendant to ever
    rebut the government’s “expert”-based explanation for why a
    given fictitious quantity is necessary or appropriate. Accepting
    such testimony at face value invites the mischief I mentioned
    at the outset to drive the sentencing. The district court is also
    deprived of its well-established sentencing discretion,28 a
    concern compounded by the problems the district court in
    McLean identified:
    The netherworld of criminal activity is by its very
    nature opaque. For that reason, almost out of
    necessity, law enforcement officers, whose
    experiences give them familiarity with that world,
    are allowed to render certain opinions about use
    of coded language and street slang. When used in
    that way, the opinion testimony is interpretive. In
    stash house sting cases, the Government seeks to
    make [that opinion testimony] dispositive
    because the charges themselves are the product of
    opinion testimony as to 1) the amount of cocaine
    that would be “expected” to be found in a stash
    house, and 2) the necessity of specifying
    substantial amounts to preserve the credibility
    and safety of the operation. There is a third
    unstated premise as well—that the targets of the
    sting would have the same familiarity with the
    26
    
    Id. at 935
    .
    27
    
    Id. at 937
    .
    28
    See, e.g., Mistretta v. United States, 
    488 U.S. 361
    , 390
    (1989) (discussing the Sentencing Guidelines and Congress’s
    “strong feeling that sentencing has been and should remain
    primarily a judicial function” (internal quotation marks
    omitted)).
    10
    quantity of narcotics stored at the average stash
    house.
    By definition, such opinions are supported only
    by personal experience, and the dataset, to the
    extent that one exists, is created by, and only
    accessible to, law enforcement. There are no peer-
    reviewed journals within the narcotics trade.
    There is no way to test the premises on which
    these sting operations are based. None of the
    traditional means by which expert testimony can
    be tested in a systematic way apply here, yet
    courts are expected to accept such opinion as the
    justification for undercover operations that
    inexorably and indiscriminately give rise to large
    mandatory minimum sentences. 29
    I agree.
    Thus, regardless of whether a claim of sentencing
    manipulation is raised, any proffered evidence about the need
    for a given quantity or type of fictitious drugs deserves a great
    deal more scrutiny than courts give it. 30 Similarly, requiring
    evidence that a defendant only agreed to participate because of
    a given quantity or type of drugs seems more than appropriate.
    Requiring such scrutiny would not eliminate the myriad of
    problems that pervade these fictitious stash-house stings, but it
    would at least help minimize the unfairness that can arise from
    allowing the government to select the drug and the quantity
    that will reap the biggest reward at sentencing with little or no
    fear that a sentencing court would ever question the choices.31
    29
    
    Id.
     at 936–37.
    30
    Here, the District Court did not probe the testimony, which,
    as the Majority notes, it certainly was free to do. Maj. Op. at
    40 n.73. As the Majority further suggests, had there been
    more fact-finding by the District Court on this issue, some
    deference to the testimony about the drug quantity may have
    been appropriate. 
    Id.
     at 41 n.78.
    31
    To accept, wholesale, the unsubstantiated rationale that a
    fictitious quantity of drugs matches what is “realistic” in a
    particular geographic region also suggests that defendants
    across the United States could theoretically be subjected to
    11
    We should not be “delegat[ing] [sentencing discretion] all the
    way down to the individual drug agent operating in the field.”32
    Scrutinizing the basis for the drug quantity would help
    restore the alignment between culpability and punishment that
    is jettisoned when the government is allowed to control the
    defendant’s sentencing exposure. “Deeply ingrained in our
    legal tradition is the idea that the more purposeful is the
    criminal conduct . . . the more severely it ought to be
    punished.” 33 Absent unique circumstances not evident here, a
    defendant’s criminal exposure should be linked to actual
    culpability regarding his/her dealings in specific drug
    quantities.
    Insofar as sentencing manipulation is concerned, “[t]he
    question is not whether the underlying criminal conviction is
    lawful, but rather whether there is reason to reduce the sentence
    due to the inducements used by undercover police or their
    agents.” 34 Moreover, “a sentence based on an evaluation of a
    defendant’s culpability for particular offense conduct, which
    includes a consideration of police inducements,” serves the
    retributive goals of “proportional and fair punishment,” is
    “compatible with the consequentialist aims of incapacitation
    and deterrence,”35 and is “directly supported by the systemic
    goal of identifying less blameworthy defendants and mitigating
    their sentences accordingly.”36 These fundamental principles
    of criminal justice necessitate closer scrutiny for schemes that
    originate with, and are driven by, law enforcement because it
    is highly unlikely that the Sentencing Guidelines were intended
    to apply to such circumstances.37 This scrutiny is appropriate
    mandatory minimum sentences if the stash-house drug
    quantities allowing for such a sentence happen to be
    “realistic” for those geographic areas, as they apparently are
    in Philadelphia.
    32
    United States v. Staufer, 
    38 F.3d 1103
    , 1107 (9th Cir.
    1994).
    33
    Tison v. Arizona, 
    481 U.S. 137
    , 156 (1987).
    34
    Eda Katharine Tinto, Undercover Policing, Overstated
    Culpability, 
    34 Cardozo L. Rev. 1401
    , 1454 (2013).
    35
    Id. at 1418 (emphasis added).
    36
    Id. at 1420.
    37
    See infra Part III.
    12
    even absent specific evidence that the government “intended”
    to inflate a defendant’s sentence.38
    My colleagues discuss our precedent in United States v
    Twigg39 in rejecting Washington’s claim that the sentence that
    resulted from this scheme is a denial of his constitutional right
    to due process. I would emphasize, however, that Twigg does
    not defeat any claim of sentencing manipulation. Indeed, if
    anything, Twigg strongly suggests that we should recognize
    some kind of sentencing factor manipulation claim when
    appropriate. Although, for reasons the Majority explains, the
    conduct here may not have crossed the due process threshold,40
    38
    See Tinto, supra n.34 at 1426 (concluding that “in the
    context of a sentencing claim, the requirement of an improper
    [police] motive ignores the needed link between the police
    conduct and the justification for a reduction in sentence”
    because “[r]egardless of whether police officers are explicitly
    making strategic choices based on sentencing laws (and the
    desire to increase a suspect’s sentence), the motivation for the
    law enforcement conduct or the inducements used may or
    may not be relevant from the perspective of assessing the
    defendant’s culpability”).
    39
    
    588 F.2d 373
     (3d Cir. 1978).
    40
    I disagree with the Majority’s suggestion that Washington
    has not shown prejudice because Washington’s ultimate
    sentence was significantly below the recommended
    Sentencing Guidelines range. The Majority, itself, concludes
    that the District Court was “clearly guided by the mandatory
    minimum term on the drug counts in crafting the overall
    sentence.” Maj. Op. at 33 n.55. The District Court never
    mentioned whether, or the extent to which, it may have
    departed from the recommended Sentencing Guidelines range
    had it not been required to impose a sentence of at least 20
    years.
    Neither do I find persuasive the distinction the
    Majority makes between this case and McLean, to the extent
    that Washington could rely on that case for whatever
    persuasive value it may have for his due process argument.
    The Majority, for example, discusses that the defendant in
    McLean received a “split” jury verdict on the amount of
    cocaine involved (5 kilograms with regard to conspiracy but
    13
    I believe Washington’s sentencing manipulation claim is more
    meritorious than the Majority concludes.
    III.    Sentencing Factor Manipulation and Mandatory
    Minimum Sentences
    The fact that the sentence was mandatory does not
    necessarily deal a fatal blow to Washington’s sentence
    manipulation claim. It is difficult to believe that Congress ever
    considered requiring the imposition of a mandatory minimum
    sentence where 1) the sentence is tied to a fictitious drug
    quantity in a criminal endeavor that originates with the
    government, and 2) the defendant would not have engaged in
    the criminal conduct but for the government’s prompting and
    encouragement.
    Congress intended for the 10-year mandatory minimum
    sentences to apply to “major traffickers,”41 i.e., “manufacturers
    or the heads of organizations.” 42 The 5-year mandatory
    minimums were intended to apply to “serious traffickers,” i.e.,
    “managers of the retail level traffic . . . in substantial street
    500 grams with regard to attempt) and that there was “no
    equivalent ambiguity” in the jury’s verdict for Washington
    here. But that jury finding, while it highlighted the “inherent
    problems” these prosecutions presented for the district court,
    McLean, 199 F. Supp. 3d at 939, was not one of the “factors”
    that led the court to conclude that enforcing the mandatory
    minimum would “offend due process.” Id. at 943.
    Regardless of any “ambiguity,” the jury in McLean still found
    the defendant guilty of conspiring to possess 5 kilograms or
    more of cocaine which, “absent some constitutional
    prohibition,” purportedly “bound” the district court—like
    the District Court here—to a mandatory minimum sentence.
    Id. at 938.
    41
    U.S. Sentencing Comm’n, Special Report to the Congress:
    Cocaine and Federal Sentencing Policy, 119 (1995).
    42
    H.R. Rep. No. 99-845, 99th Cong., 2d Sess. 1986, 
    1986 WL 295596
    ; see also 132 Cong. Rec. 27, 193–94 (daily ed.
    Sept. 30, 1996); 132 Cong. Rec. 22, 993 (daily ed. Sept. 11,
    1986).
    42
    H.R. Rep. No. 99-845, 99th Cong., 2d Sess. 1986, 
    1986 WL 295596
    14
    quantities.”43 Despite Congress’s intention for mandatory
    minimums to reflect culpability based on drug quantities, the
    law instead has, over time, targeted low-level offenders (e.g.,
    street-level dealers and couriers) more often than high-level
    offenders.44 For example, in 2009, offenders sentenced for
    relatively minor roles represented the biggest share of federal
    drug offenders, while the highest-level traffickers made up a
    comparatively small share of federal drug offenders.45 The
    disconnect is not explained by the fact that there are more low-
    level dealers than high-level traffickers. The U.S. Sentencing
    Commission itself concluded in 2011 that “the quantity of
    drugs involved in an offense is not as closely related to the
    offender’s function in the offense as perhaps Congress
    expected.”46
    43
    
    Id.
    44
    U.S. Sentencing Comm’n, Report to the Congress:
    Mandatory Minimum Penalties in the Federal Criminal
    Justice System, Appendix D, Figure D-22, available at
    https://www.ussc.gov/sites/default/files/pdf/news/congression
    al-testimony-and-reports/mandatory-minimum-
    penalties/20111031-rtc-pdf/Appendix_D.pdf; see U.S.
    Sentencing Comm’n, Special Report to the Congress:
    Cocaine and Federal Sentencing Policy, 20–21, 85 (May
    2007). See also Deborah Young, Rethinking the
    Commission’s Drug Guidelines: Courier Cases where
    Quantity Overstates Culpability, 3 Fed. Sent. Rptr. 63 (1990)
    (tracking the disproportionate severity of quantity-based
    penalties for lower-level drug offenders and further observing
    that the quantity-based Sentencing Guidelines often apply to
    defendants less culpable than the key drug players, who are
    the “primary targets of the laws”).
    45
    U.S. Sentencing Comm’n, Report to the Congress:
    Mandatory Minimum Penalties in the Federal Criminal
    Justice System (October 2011), Appendix D, Figure D-22,
    available at
    https://www.ussc.gov/sites/default/files/pdf/news/congression
    al-testimony-and-reports/mandatory-minimum-
    penalties/20111031-rtc-pdf/Appendix_D.pdf.
    46
    U.S. Sentencing Comm’n, Report to the Congress:
    Mandatory Minimum Penalties in the Federal Criminal
    Justice System, 350, (October 2011) available at
    https://www.ussc.gov/sites/default/files/pdf/news/congression
    15
    Thus, there is no reason to believe that Congress
    anticipated—much less intended—for quantity-based
    mandatory minimums to reflexively apply in stash-house cases
    where, as here, the defendant is not only a low-level “drug”
    offender, but also became involved with non-existent drugs at
    the government’s urging. The circumstances of such phony
    stings will rarely lend themselves to a mandatory minimum
    sentence, or suggest that Congress intended a mandatory
    minimum to apply.         Concluding otherwise risks both
    perverting the congressional intent behind the mandatory
    minimums and, as I have explained, circumventing federal
    judges’ traditional sentencing authority.47
    Moreover, applying mandatory sentences where the
    criminal conduct and the type and quantity of drugs exist only
    in the law enforcement’s fertile imagination, rather than an
    offender’s actual possession, defeats the congressional intent
    of requiring judges to impose sentences that are guided by the
    factors in 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (a). In United States v. Olhovsky,
    we stressed that “[18 U.S.C. §] 3553(a) clearly states that a
    court must impose a sentence that is ‘sufficient but not greater
    than necessary, to comply with the purposes of
    [sentencing].’”48 We there quoted the Supreme Court’s
    admonition that this requirement, referred to as “the parsimony
    provision,” is 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (a)’s ‘“overarching
    instruction.’”49
    al-testimony-and-reports/mandatory-minimum-
    penalties/20111031-rtc-pdf/Chapter_12.pdf.
    47
    My discussion is limited to sentences imposed as
    punishment for involvement in a phony stash-house sting. I
    do not intend to suggest that a sentence designed primarily to
    incapacitate is necessarily inappropriate. Such sentences may
    be necessary for the protection of the community in rare
    circumstances. However, phony stash-house stings will
    rarely, if ever, present a court with such circumstances, and
    when they do, I have every confidence that the district court
    will sentence accordingly.
    48
    
    562 F.3d 530
    , 547 (3d Cir. 2009), as amended (May 5,
    2009).
    49
    
    Id. at 548
     (quoting Kimbrough v. United States, 
    552 U.S. 85
    , 111 (2008)).
    16
    Despite our conclusion that 
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (b)’s
    mandatory minimum sentence provision does not conflict with
    § 3553(a)’s parsimony provision,50 abandoning the “demand of
    parsimony that is the overarching instruction of the
    congressionally mandated sentencing factors”51 seems an
    unintended result in phony drug stings. There are no drugs that
    would otherwise endanger the community, and the criminal
    conspiracy probably would never have been hatched but for
    law enforcement’s intervention and direction. Congress could
    not have intended courts to impose otherwise applicable
    mandatory minimum sentences—which we have described as
    “draconian”52—where the criminal conduct is the result of the
    government’s initiative, rather than a defendant’s. I also find
    it hard to believe that Congress would create exceptions to
    mandatory minimums that spare actual drug traffickers
    exposure to draconian sentences53 while intending those same
    harsh sanctions to apply when the government lured a
    defendant into being involved with drugs that never even
    50
    See, e.g., United States v. Walker, 
    473 F.3d 71
    , 85 (3d Cir.
    2007) (finding that there is no conflict between § 3553 and a
    mandatory minimum sentence provision because Ҥ 3553(a)
    must be read in conjunction with [] § 3553(e), which prohibits
    courts from sentencing a defendant below the statutory
    mandatory minimum sentence unless the Government files a
    motion permitting such departure”).
    51
    Olhovsky, 
    562 F.3d at 548
     (internal quotation marks
    omitted).
    52
    See United States v. Williams, 
    299 F.3d 250
    , 258 (3d Cir.
    2002).
    53
    In Williams, we addressed one of those exceptions—
    Congress’s enactment of the “safety valve” in 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (f). 
    Id.
     It is not surprising that Congress did not
    include situations such as phony stash-house stings in the
    statutory exceptions for applying mandatory minimum
    sentences; Congress likely never contemplated that situation.
    Williams accurately characterizes the lengths of mandatory
    minimums as “draconian,” and exceptions like 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (f)’s safety valve, and § 3553(e) (granting authority
    upon government motion), at minimum, evince Congress’s
    intention that the mandatory sentences need not always be
    imposed.
    17
    existed.
    In addressing Congress’s intent, I recognize that there is
    no ambiguity on the face of the mandatory minimum
    sentencing statute. 
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (b)(1) does not distinguish
    between roles in a narcotics conspiracy, nor does it require that
    drugs actually exist.54 That is not surprising, as it would have
    taken something approaching clairvoyance for Congress to
    foresee that these severe sentences would extend to situations
    where drugs were not actually involved. In any event, it is, of
    course, axiomatic that “[w]hen Congress establishes a
    minimum sentence for a particular crime, district courts are
    required to sentence defendants guilty of that crime to a term
    of imprisonment no less than the Congressionally prescribed
    minimum, unless an explicit exception to the minimum
    sentence applies.”55 But as the U.S. Court of Appeals for the
    Eleventh Circuit explained, “[c]onceptually, . . . an adjustment
    for sentencing factor manipulation is not a departure” that the
    mandatory minimum statute would otherwise forbid.56 This is
    because “[w]hen a court filters the manipulation out of the
    sentencing calculus before applying a sentencing provision, no
    mandatory minimum would arise in the first place.”57
    Ironically, it may well be the lay testimony of Rashida
    Clover, Washington’s sister and former caretaker, that best
    expresses the arbitrariness of applying the mandatory sentence
    54
    As the Government points out, there are only two
    circumstances under which a district court can depart
    downward from a statutorily authorized mandatory minimum
    sentence: the government must file a motion to recognize the
    defendant’s “substantial assistance,” or the defendant must
    fall within the provisions of the “safety valve” embodied in
    
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (f). See, e.g., United States v. Kellum, 
    356 F.3d 285
    , 289 (3d Cir. 2004).
    55
    United States v. Winebarger, 
    664 F.3d 388
    , 392 (3d Cir.
    2011); see also United States v. Reevey, 
    631 F.3d 110
    , 113
    (3d Cir. 2010) (stating that the “exceptions are the only
    authority a district court has to depart below a mandatory
    minimum” (quoting Kellum, 
    356 F.3d at 289
    )).
    56
    United States v. Ciszkowski, 
    492 F.3d 1264
    , 1270 (11th Cir.
    2007).
    57
    
    Id.
    18
    where the government initiates the crime and no drugs are
    involved. At Washington’s sentencing hearing, she remarked:
    20 years? My brother . . . [has] already spent half
    of his life in jail. . . . That’s not doing anything.
    . . . It’s not rehabilitating him. . . . What he needs
    is education and an opportunity. . . . I understand
    that [the District Court has] guidelines to go by,
    but . . . I can’t imagine that . . . [the] Guideline
    book said . . . to go out and entrap young men
    who are not organized in organized crime and
    sentence people for fake drugs and put their own
    limitations on the amount of the drugs just to
    give them a [minimum] 20 years sentence or
    more. . . . I hardly think whoever created that
    book meant for this to happen. I feel like the
    system is being manipulated by that. And it’s . .
    . embarrassing and it’s hurtful because a lot of
    people are being affected by this. This is not just
    my brother. . . .This is about a lot of people in our
    communities that are affected by this. They
    really are.58
    I agree that applying mandatory minimum sentences in
    cases where no drugs exist and the government originates and
    perpetuates the criminal activity creates such an unfair and
    irrational divergence between culpability and conduct that
    Congress could hardly have intended the result.
    IV.    Conclusion
    This case is the latest illustration of why federal courts
    across the country continue to find the government’s reliance
    on phony stash-house sting operations disturbing. As I have
    explained, these cases raise serious issues of fairness while
    destroying the fundamental relationship between culpability
    and punishment that is so important to sentencing. The
    conduct being sanctioned is the direct result of the
    government’s initiative rather than the defendant’s.
    I reiterate that it is exceedingly difficult to conclude that
    Congress ever considered that mandatory minimum sentences
    58
    Sentencing Tr. 36.
    19
    would apply here. Nevertheless, it just may be that the ultimate
    systematic resolution of this very troublesome approach to
    sentencing will have to await clarification by Congress, the
    Sentencing Commission,59 or the U.S. Supreme Court.
    Meanwhile, it is worth echoing my colleagues’ caution: The
    Government’s success today should not be interpreted as a clue
    that “all such prosecutions will share the same fate” in the
    future.60
    Hopefully, this problem will be resolved by one of the
    authorities I have just mentioned. Until that day comes, we are
    left with the very poignant observation of Ms. Clover, who has
    experienced our sentencing laws “up close and personal.” As
    quoted earlier, she was skeptical that “whoever created that
    [Sentencing Guidelines] book meant for this to happen,” and
    59
    The Sentencing Commission has already “recognized the
    potential for government agents to use their knowledge of the
    Sentencing Guidelines to manipulate the quantity of drugs
    sold in a reverse sting in order to increase a defendant’s
    sentence.” United States v. Stavig, 
    80 F.3d 1241
    , 1245–46
    (8th Cir. 1996) (discussing how under Application Note 17 of
    U.S.S.G. § 2D1.1(b)(17), a district court can depart
    downward when law enforcement agents set a price below
    market that allows the defendant to purchase a significantly
    larger quantity of drugs, and that Application Note 12 of
    § 2D1.1 instructs a district court to remove from the
    sentencing calculation the amount that a defendant is unable
    to produce if the produced amount is less than negotiated).
    The provisions of the Sentencing Guidelines in place “show[ ]
    that the Sentencing Commission is aware of the unfairness
    and arbitrariness of allowing drug enforcement agents to put
    unwarranted pressure on a defendant in order to increase his
    or her sentence without regard for his predisposition, his
    capacity to commit the crime on his own, and the extent of his
    culpability.” United States v. Staufer, 
    38 F.3d 1103
    , 1107
    (9th Cir. 1994). But the “Sentencing Commission’s
    determination that the defendant may receive a downward
    departure when the government artificially lowers the price of
    the drugs . . . only addresses one of the ways in which drug
    enforcement agents are able to manipulate sentences.” 
    Id.
    60
    Maj. Op. at 42.
    20
    that “the system is being manipulated by that.”61 She added
    that it is “embarrassing and it’s hurtful because a lot of people
    are being affected by this.”62 And so they are.
    61
    Sentencing Tr. 36.
    62
    
    Id.
    21
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 16-2795

Citation Numbers: 869 F.3d 193, 2017 WL 3695129, 2017 U.S. App. LEXIS 16395

Judges: Cowen, Fuentes, McKEE, McKee

Filed Date: 8/28/2017

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 10/19/2024

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