Mount Vernon Fire Insurance Co. v. Visionaid, Inc. , 875 F.3d 716 ( 2017 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 15-1351
    MOUNT VERNON FIRE INSURANCE COMPANY,
    Plaintiff, Appellee,
    v.
    VISIONAID, INC. f/k/a H.L. Boulton Co. Inc.,
    Defendant, Appellant.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF MASSACHUSETTS
    [Hon. Nathaniel M. Gorton, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Thompson, Circuit Judge,
    Souter, Associate Justice,*
    and Barron, Circuit Judge.
    Kenneth R. Berman, with whom Heather B. Repicky and Nutter,
    McClennen & Fish LLP were on brief, for appellant.
    David Burgess, Wilchins Cosentino & Novins LLP, Edward J.
    Stein, Marshall Gilinsky, and Anderson Kill P.C. on brief for
    United Policy Holders, amicus curiae.
    James J. Duane III, with whom Scarlett M. Rajbanshi and
    Peabody & Arnold LLP were on brief, for appellee.
    Michael F. Aylward and Morrison Mahoney LLP on brief for
    American International Group, Inc. and Massachusetts Insurance
    Federation Inc., amici curiae.
    * The Hon. David H. Souter, Associate Justice (Ret.) of the
    Supreme Court of the United States, sitting by designation.
    November 15, 2017
    THOMPSON, Circuit Judge.
    Prologue
    This is a diversity-based declaratory-judgment action
    governed (all agree) by Massachusetts substantive law.    See Erie
    R.R. Co. v. Tompkins, 
    304 U.S. 64
    , 78 (1938).     The case pits an
    insured, VisionAid, against its employment-practices liability
    insurer (say that ten times fast!), Mount Vernon (each party's
    official name appears in the caption).   VisionAid and Mount Vernon
    are back after the busy Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court
    ("SJC," for short) answered some state-law questions — arising
    from this litigation — that we had certified to it (we thank the
    SJC for its help).     As things now stand, the only question left
    for us to decide is:     Does a conflict of interest exist between
    the parties that permits VisionAid to choose the attorney to defend
    a suit brought against it by an ex-employee, with the tab for that
    defense picked up by Mount Vernon? Like the federal district judge
    below, we believe the answer is no.
    How We Got to This Point
    Our opinion certifying the questions is found at 
    825 F.3d 67
     (1st Cir. 2016).    And the SJC's opinion responding to the
    questions is found at 
    76 N.E.3d 204
     (Mass. 2017).      Rather than
    fill up the pages repeating everything said before, we assume the
    reader's familiarity with these decisions and mention here only
    those details necessary to put today's matter into perspective.
    - 3 -
    VisionAid is a defendant in a suit filed by Gary Sullivan
    in Massachusetts state court.        Sullivan essentially alleges there
    that VisionAid fired him as its vice president because he was too
    old.     An attorney named Todd Bennett filed VisionAid's answer,
    insisting that VisionAid had canned Sullivan not because of his
    age, but because he had performed his job poorly, had acted
    insubordinately, and had embezzled money from VisionAid on a grand
    scale.     Bennett got involved thanks to Mount Vernon, which —
    invoking the liability policy's terms — picked him to defend
    VisionAid.     Mount Vernon originally acted under a "reservation of
    rights" (for anyone untutored in matters of insurance law, a proper
    reservation preserves an insurer's right to challenge any duty to
    defend at a later stage).        But after VisionAid objected, Mount
    Vernon explicitly withdrew its reservation of rights and assumed
    the defense unconditionally.
    In the midst of all this, Sullivan offered to drop his
    age-discrimination claim if VisionAid agreed not to pursue its
    embezzlement claim.      VisionAid said no.      VisionAid also made it
    clear around this time that it wanted Bennett to do more than just
    raise Sullivan's embezzlement as a defense — it wanted Bennett to
    raise the embezzlement allegation as a counterclaim.         Mount Vernon
    refused, explaining that because the policy between them was a
    defense-liability policy, it had no duty to fund affirmative
    actions    and    so   would   not     fund   VisionAid's   counterclaim.
    - 4 -
    Ultimately, VisionAid's personal counsel drafted the embezzlement
    counterclaim against Sullivan.
    Pulling no punches, Mount Vernon filed the underlying
    federal-diversity         action       seeking     a    declaratory     judgment
    vindicating its understanding of the policy.               Not willing to back
    down, VisionAid responded with a two-count counterclaim: the first
    count seeking a declaration that Mount Vernon's duty to defend
    includes a duty to prosecute the embezzlement counterclaim, and
    the second count seeking a declaration that a conflict of interest
    between Mount Vernon and VisionAid entitles VisionAid to select
    the attorney to defend it in Sullivan's suit — we will say more
    later about the conflict issue; for now it is enough to note that
    VisionAid thinks Mount Vernon has an interest in "diminishing" the
    value of VisionAid's counterclaim, because the counterclaim is
    "impeding" settlement.
    Eventually the parties cross-moved for summary judgment.
    Acting on the motions, the federal district judge ruled that given
    the policy's plain language, Mount Vernon's duty to defend does
    not    oblige   it   to   foot   the    bill     for   VisionAid's   affirmative
    counterclaim — a result, he added, that did not violate any state
    law.     And then the judge rejected what he called VisionAid's
    "counter-intuitive assertion" that Mount Vernon and Bennett "have
    an interest in devaluing the counterclaim."                  "The strength of
    VisionAid's counterclaim," the judge wrote,
    - 5 -
    both weakens the wrongful termination case against
    VisionAid and increases appointed counsel's bargaining
    power in settlement negotiations.         Devaluing the
    counterclaim would undermine Mount Vernon's own interest
    in   limiting    Sullivan's   recovery   for    wrongful
    termination.
    Finally, the judge refused "to acknowledge VisionAid's parade of
    horribles" it believes will occur if appointed counsel defends
    against    Sullivan's   claims   and    VisionAid's     personal     counsel
    prosecutes the counterclaim.       "[T]here is," the judge noted,
    "nothing   inherently   impractical     or   unwieldy    about     VisionAid
    relying on its own separate counsel to assert the counterclaim."
    For support, the judge noted that in responding to Sullivan's
    complaint, appointed counsel wrote the answer and VisionAid's own
    counsel wrote the counterclaim.        Which, the judge stressed, goes
    to show that these "separate attorneys" can "collaborate and yet
    accomplish their distinct objectives."
    A disappointed VisionAid appealed to us.          And for the
    reasons recorded in our prior opinion, we certified three questions
    to the SJC — two on the duty-to-defend issue and one on the
    conflict-of-interest issue:
    (1) Whether, and under what circumstances, an insurer
    (through its appointed . . . counsel) may owe a duty to
    its insured . . . to prosecute the insured's
    counterclaim(s) for damages, where the insurance
    contract provides that the insurer has a "duty to defend
    any Claim," i.e., "any proceeding initiated against [the
    insured]"?
    (2) Whether, and under what circumstances, an insurer
    (through its appointed . . . counsel) may owe a duty to
    - 6 -
    its insured to fund the prosecution of the insured's
    counterclaim(s) for damages, where the insurance
    contract requires the insurer to cover "Defense Costs,"
    or the "reasonable and necessary legal fees and expenses
    incurred by [the insurer], or by any attorney designated
    by [the insurer] to defend [the insured], resulting from
    the investigation, adjustment, defense, and appeal of a
    Claim"?
    (3) Assuming the existence of a duty to prosecute the
    insured's counterclaim(s), in the event it is determined
    that an insurer has an interest in devaluing or otherwise
    impairing such counterclaim(s), does a conflict of
    interest arise that entitles the insured to control
    and/or appoint independent counsel to control the entire
    proceeding, including both the defense of any covered
    claims    and   the    prosecution    of   the    subject
    counterclaim(s)?
    825 F.3d at 72 (brackets in original; ellipses added).                That court
    recently returned its answers, albeit by a divided vote.                        On
    question (1), the SJC ruled that "an insurer with a contractual
    duty   to   defend    an   insured   is     not   required     to   prosecute   an
    affirmative counterclaim on the insured's behalf," either under
    the "contractual language in the policy at issue or the common-
    law" of Massachusetts.        76 N.E.2d at 208.          On question (2), the
    SJC held that "the duty to pay defense costs has the same scope as
    the duty to defend, and thus does not require an insurer to pay
    the    costs   of    prosecuting     a    counterclaim    on    behalf   of     the
    insured[.]" Id. And on question (3), the SJC concluded that given
    its other two answers, it need not reach the conflict-of-interest
    issue as framed by us.       Id.
    - 7 -
    After the SJC's opinion came down, VisionAid asked us to
    let each side file supplemental briefs "to address how the [SJC's]
    decision affects the resolution of the remaining" conflict-of-
    interest question.     In its telling, regardless of who pays the
    fees to prosecute the embezzlement counterclaim (VisionAid or
    Mount Vernon), an obvious conflict of interest exists "that affects
    the right to select counsel" to "defend VisionAid against Gary
    Sullivan's complaint."    Mount Vernon opposed the request for more
    briefing.   Accepting VisionAid's view that the SJC's decision does
    not   necessarily   dispose    of   the     conflict   issue,   we   allowed
    additional briefing from both sides and invited any interested
    amicus to chime in too.       With these materials in hand, we tackle
    the conflict question (which again is the only question before
    us), without requiring another round of oral argument.1
    The Parties' Take
    The parties argue over the conflict-of-interest matter
    keenly and vigorously — which is not a surprise, given how hard
    1 We thank the amici for their participation in this matter
    (their names appear up near our caption). But we cue the reader
    — with the citation at the end of this sentence — that precedent
    tells us to ignore arguments advanced only "by amici and not by
    parties." In re Sony BMG Music Entm't, 
    564 F.3d 1
    , 3 (1st Cir.
    2009).
    - 8 -
    they have fought in multiple courts.         Bear with us now as we plow
    through their contentions.
    VisionAid's Arguments
    VisionAid throws a lot of arguments at us, all based on
    its understanding of Massachusetts law.          For starters, VisionAid
    argues that Bennett — the insurer-appointed counsel — represents
    both VisionAid and Mount Vernon.            This being so, the argument
    continues, Bennett must act in good faith, diligently carrying out
    his duties without sacrificing VisionAid's interests to Mount
    Vernon's interests.      But to VisionAid's way of thinking, Bennett
    has not lived up to — and will not live up to — his obligations.
    Elaborating on why it feels this way, VisionAid insists
    Bennett has a conflict of interest caused by "the settlement
    dynamics underlying" Sullivan's case — a conflict that prevents
    VisionAid from being able to "trust any attorney appointed by Mount
    Vernon to protect VisionAid's interests."            In VisionAid's mind,
    Mount Vernon's "settlement leverage comes not from proving every
    dollar [Sullivan] embezzled but from developing the embezzlement
    evidence only to the point that . . . [he] is incentivized" to
    settle by executing a mutual release, with no money changing hands.
    Actually, as VisionAid points out, Sullivan now says he will
    dismiss his age-discrimination claim if VisionAid dismisses its
    embezzlement counterclaim, with not a penny going to any party.
    But,   the   argument   proceeds,   if   Bennett's   development   of   the
    - 9 -
    embezzlement evidence "gives VisionAid a pathway to recover most
    or all" of what Sullivan took, then VisionAid would be crazy to
    settle on those terms, because such a settlement would let Sullivan
    keep the stolen cash.      And letting Sullivan shuffle off with the
    loot would, in VisionAid's telling, mean that VisionAid "would
    . . . be funding the settlement of a claim that Mount Vernon
    contractually insured and would be relieving Mount Vernon of its
    indemnity obligation"      — a result Mount Vernon would love (because
    the case would end at the lowest cost to Mount Vernon) but
    VisionAid would hate (because, again, VisionAid would be kissing
    the embezzled money goodbye).
    Explaining further, VisionAid argues that to help make
    Mount Vernon's best-case self-interest scenario a reality, Mount
    Vernon will pull out all the stops — including having Bennett
    "devalue" the counterclaim, something Bennett will do to curry
    favor with Mount Vernon (so he can keep getting cases from Mount
    Vernon).      "[A] devalued counterclaim," the theory goes, "would
    reduce what VisionAid could justifiably expect to recover, thus
    giving [it] fewer reasons to litigate and more incentive to
    settle."   And to hear VisionAid tell it, any Mount Vernon-selected
    defense lawyer could pursue this devaluation strategy to the hilt,
    given   the    enormous   "influence"   he   will   have   "over   how   the
    embezzlement aspect of the case is shaped," even as VisionAid's
    - 10 -
    own lawyer pursues the counterclaim.            "That influence," VisionAid
    writes,
    comes from questions the [Mount Vernon-selected] defense
    attorney chooses to ask, information the defense
    attorney volunteers to [Sullivan's] counsel, gratuitous
    statements the defense attorney makes in court filings
    or open court, defense counsel's strategy decisions,
    defense counsel's request for jury instructions and
    special questions, and the like.
    And even if Mount Vernon does not "subjectively" want to "devalue
    the   counterclaim,"       VisionAid    believes   Mount   Vernon       is   still
    conflicted "because, objectively," it is in Mount Vernon's best
    interest    to   cheapen    the   counterclaim.      Further,     any    "common
    interest"   Mount   Vernon     and     VisionAid   may   have   "in   defeating
    Sullivan's claim" is not enough to "cure" this conflict.
    Moving on, VisionAid also notes that the policy has a
    clause    saying   Mount    Vernon     cannot   settle   any    claim    without
    VisionAid's "consent."2       But VisionAid contends this clause hardly
    ensures against a conflict of interest, because — to quote its
    appellate papers — if VisionAid does "veto a settlement," Mount
    Vernon can "take away policy benefits, adding pressure on VisionAid
    not to veto a settlement."3          So instead of "curing the conflict,
    2The policy states (emphasis ours) that "[Mount Vernon], as
    it deems expedient, has the right to investigate, adjust, defend,
    appeal and, with the consent of [VisionAid], negotiate a settlement
    of any Claim."
    3The part of the policy VisionAid points to says that if
    VisionAid "refuses to consent to a settlement recommended by [Mount
    Vernon]," then Mount Vernon's obligation is
    - 11 -
    the consent-to-settle clause exacerbates it" — at least that is
    what VisionAid says.
    Expanding on its worst conjured-up nightmare, VisionAid
    talks about how this "dual representation" — with a Mount Vernon-
    chosen    lawyer       working    to    defeat     Sullivan's    complaint,      and   a
    VisionAid-chosen lawyer working to prevail on the counterclaim —
    will     create    a    number     of     problems.      For     one    thing,      dual
    representation          will     result      in    a   sort     of     "schizophrenic
    representation":           instead      of    a    "single    lawyer"     working      to
    "implement[] a cohesive case strategy" as VisionAid's "advocate,"
    VisionAid will have two attorneys possibly providing separate
    (a) opening and closing statements, (b) objections to questions
    and answers, and (c) requests for jury instructions, to name just
    a few of the "logistical problems" VisionAid fears.                      For another
    thing, dual representation could lead "the jury to infer the
    existence of insurance coverage, a fact courts scrupulously seek
    limited to:
    (1) the amount of the covered Loss in excess of the
    Retention which [Mount Vernon] would have paid in
    settlement at the time the Insured first refused to
    settle;
    (2) plus covered Defense Costs incurred up to the date
    [VisionAid] first refused to settle;
    (3) plus seventy five percent (75%) of covered Loss and
    Defense Costs in excess of the first settlement amount
    recommended by [Mount Vernon] to which [VisionAid] did
    not consent.
    - 12 -
    to keep away from juries."        And finally, because Sullivan's
    embezzlement "is just as much a ground for denying relief under
    the complaint as it is for awarding relief under the counterclaim,"
    dual representation "raises the prospect that Mount Vernon could
    provide less than a robust defense (and less than the full defense
    required by the insurance contract) by relying on VisionAid's
    counsel to pull the laboring oar."       Or so VisionAid frets.
    As a final point, VisionAid argues that any insurer-
    appointed counsel in Bennett's shoes would be conflicted out under
    Rule 1.7 of the Massachusetts Rules of Professional Conduct.4          And
    4   The current version of Rule 1.7 declares:
    (a) Except as provided in paragraph (b), a lawyer shall
    not represent a client if the representation involves a
    concurrent conflict of interest. A concurrent conflict
    of interest exists if:
    (1) the representation of one client         will     be
    directly adverse to another client; or
    (2) there is a significant risk that the
    representation of one or more clients will be
    materially limited by the lawyer's responsibilities
    to another client, a former client or a third person
    or by a personal interest of the lawyer.
    (b) Notwithstanding the existence of a concurrent
    conflict of interest under paragraph (a), a lawyer may
    represent a client if:
    (1) the lawyer reasonably believes that the lawyer
    will be able to provide competent and diligent
    representation to each affected client;
    (2) the representation is not prohibited by law;
    (3) the representation does not involve the
    assertion of a claim by one client against another
    client represented by the lawyer in the same
    - 13 -
    VisionAid thinks the only way out of this mess is to let it choose
    "its own counsel to handle its entire representation," i.e., to
    let it pick the one lawyer who will defend against Sullivan's claim
    (on Mount Vernon's dime) and press the counterclaim (on VisionAid's
    dime).       VisionAid concedes that "[n]ot all counterclaims create a
    conflict of interest."           Quoting comment 17 to Rule 1.7, VisionAid
    argues that "[w]hether clients are aligned directly against each
    other    .    .   .   requires   an   examination   of   the   context   of   the
    proceeding" — as a for-instance, VisionAid says "there might be no
    conflict . . . if the tort claimant will settle the complaint
    without requiring that the counterclaim be dismissed or released."
    VisionAid believes context shows a conflict here.               So ultimately,
    VisionAid asks us to vacate the judgment below and remand for entry
    of a new judgment — a judgment that would declare that VisionAid
    has the right to select its own lawyer to defend it in Sullivan's
    suit at Mount Vernon's expense, with the obvious exception (because
    of the SJC's ruling) that VisionAid will have to pay for the
    counterclaim's prosecution.
    litigation or other proceeding before a tribunal;
    and
    (4) each affected client gives informed consent,
    confirmed in writing.
    - 14 -
    Mount Vernon's Arguments
    Mount Vernon's views on the conflict-of-interest issue
    are different from VisionAid's, to say the least.                      Mount Vernon,
    for example, says appointed counsel has one (and only one) client
    in this case — VisionAid.          And, the argument goes, consistent with
    his contractual and ethical obligations, Bennett will not do
    anything to water down the counterclaim.                  Insisting it wants a
    strong counterclaim, not a weak one, Mount Vernon writes that a
    powerful counterclaim "could help" defeat "Sullivan's claim, a
    claim that both Mount Vernon and VisionAid clearly have an interest
    in defeating."
    What VisionAid wants us to do, writes Mount Vernon, is
    to   conclude   that     appointed-counsel          Bennett    "will     neglect   his
    obligations and duties to VisionAid and try to impair or harm the
    counterclaim" — even though, according to Mount Vernon, there is
    no basis (either legal or factual) to support such "a serious
    allegation."       But    even     if    Bennett     wanted    to   "devalue"      the
    counterclaim,     he     could   not     do   so,    because    —   to    quote    its
    supplemental brief — "VisionAid's personal counsel is the attorney
    who will be responsible for handling the counterclaim."                    So during
    the Sullivan suit, Bennett and VisionAid's personal lawyer will
    present   "a    unified    front    on    behalf     of   their     common   client,
    VisionAid."      On top of that, Mount Vernon believes VisionAid's
    devaluation theory is completely off base, because "Sullivan has
    - 15 -
    already proposed an exchange of releases, reducing the value of
    his claim to zero, and the counterclaim was not 'devalued'" in the
    slightest.
    Mount Vernon is equally adamant that the counterclaim is
    not an "impediment" to settling Sullivan's claim, noting that the
    counterclaim helped nudge "settlement negotiations in VisionAid's
    and Mount Vernon's favor because the counterclaim convinced [him]
    to reduce his settlement demand to zero on the condition that
    VisionAid dismiss the counterclaim against him."                     More, Mount
    Vernon believes VisionAid holds all the trump cards:                   given the
    consent-to-settle       clause,     Mount    Vernon    cannot    resolve    "any
    [c]laim" without VisionAid's OK; and even without that clause,
    because   VisionAid's        own    lawyer    will     be     prosecuting    the
    counterclaim, any settlement would require VisionAid's blessing.
    Still more, while Mount Vernon surely wants to "keep[] [defense]
    costs and expenses low," it thinks that interest is completely
    "outweighed"     both   by   "its    obligation       to    defend   [VisionAid]
    vigorously" and by the "[p]olicy's consent to settle clause" — a
    clause Mount Vernon states it must "honor, and has honored,
    throughout this litigation."         And, Mount Vernon says, if VisionAid
    wants to take Sullivan to trial, then Mount Vernon "will have to
    pay to defend the case" to the end.
    - 16 -
    Beyond that, Mount Vernon sees no conflict under Rule
    1.7(a).    And, to boot, Mount Vernon says VisionAid waived any
    supposed conflict under Rule 1.7(b).5
    The bottom line is Mount Vernon wants us to affirm the
    district   judge   by   holding   "that    the   mere   existence"   of   the
    embezzlement "counterclaim, which Mount Vernon has no duty to
    prosecute, does not give rise to a conflict of interest between
    Mount Vernon and VisionAid that entitles VisionAid to independent
    counsel at Mount Vernon's expense" — to hold otherwise would mean
    that in all cases "in which an insured file[s] a counterclaim," a
    conflict would result "that would entitle the insured to have its
    personal counsel defend against the plaintiff's claim."
    5 To save the reader the need to peek back to footnote 4, we
    re-quote Rule 1.7(b) here:
    (b) Notwithstanding the existence of a concurrent
    conflict of interest under paragraph (a), a lawyer may
    represent a client if:
    (1) the lawyer reasonably believes that the lawyer
    will be able to provide competent and diligent
    representation to each affected client;
    (2) the representation is not prohibited by law;
    (3) the representation does not involve the
    assertion of a claim by one client against another
    client represented by the lawyer in the same
    litigation or other proceeding before a tribunal;
    and
    (4) each affected client gives informed consent,
    confirmed in writing.
    - 17 -
    Our Take
    Because the SJC saw no need to answer the certified
    question     on    the   conflict-of-interest   matter   —   which   is
    understandable, given how we had framed question (3) — we must do
    a bit of mind reading and predict how that court would handle the
    issue.     See, e.g., Candelario Del Moral v. UBS Fin. Servs. Inc.,
    
    699 F.3d 93
    , 98 (1st Cir. 2012) (calling such an exercise "an Erie
    prediction").      And after reviewing the matter de novo — which is
    a fancy way of saying we take a fresh look at the issue, see 
    id.
    at 99 — we think the federal district judge decided the case the
    way the SJC would have decided it. We explain our reasoning below,
    rejecting most of VisionAid's arguments in the text of our opinion
    and others in the opinion's footnotes.
    Putting first things first, we begin with the parties'
    quarrel over who Bennett is counsel for — VisionAid and Mount
    Vernon (as VisionAid argues), or just VisionAid (as Mount Vernon
    contends).        An insurer-appointed lawyer "is attorney for the
    insured as well as the insurer" — those are not our words, but the
    SJC's.   See McCourt Co. v. FPC Props., Inc., 
    434 N.E.2d 1234
    , 1235
    (Mass. 1982).        And according to another SJC case, this dual-
    representation phenomenon means that an insurer-appointed lawyer
    "owes to each a duty of good faith and due diligence in the
    discharge of his duties," which in turn means that he cannot
    "subordinate[]" "[t]he rights of one . . . to those of the other."
    - 18 -
    Imperiali v. Pica, 
    156 N.E.2d 44
    , 47 (Mass. 1959), abrogated in
    part on other grounds by Darcy v. Hartford Ins. Co., 
    554 N.E.2d 28
    , 32-33 (Mass. 1990).             Mount Vernon tries to sidestep these
    statements, essentially calling them dicta, while VisionAid treats
    them as holdings — dicta, by the way, are parts of an opinion that
    are not integral to the decision's analysis and so do not generally
    bind later courts.          See, e.g., United States v. Martinez, 
    762 F.3d 127
    , 134-35 (1st Cir. 2014).
    Unfortunately for Mount Vernon, a case of ours — Vicor
    Corp.       v.   Vigilant    Ins.   Co.   —   read   "Massachusetts   law"   as
    recognizing that "an attorney retained by an insurer to represent
    the insured" is "the attorney for both."              See 
    674 F.3d 1
    , 19 (1st
    Cir. 2012) (emphasis added) (citing and relying on Imperiali).
    Vicor Corp.'s conclusion is not only consistent with the Imperiali
    line of cases, it is also jibes with an ethics opinion by the
    Massachusetts Bar Association declaring that "an attorney . . .
    retained by" an insurer "to represent an insured" represents both
    the   insurer       and   the   insured   "in   defeating   the   plaintiff's
    litigation . . . ."          See Mass. Bar Ass'n Comm. on Prof'l Ethics,
    Op. 77-16 (1977).6
    6
    The Bay State's law books are full of SJC decisions relying
    on ethics opinions from the Massachusetts Bar Association. See,
    e.g., Clark v. Beverly Health & Rehab. Servs., Inc., 
    797 N.E.2d 905
    , 912 n.11 (Mass. 2003); Commonwealth v. Goldman, 
    480 N.E.2d 1023
    , 1028 n.7 (Mass. 1985).
    - 19 -
    Mount Vernon cites no contrary authority.             Nor does it
    offer any persuasive reason to doubt the applicability of the cases
    just discussed.     So, consistent with Vicor Corp., we agree with
    VisionAid that Bennett represents both VisionAid and Mount Vernon.
    See generally United States v. Wogan, 
    938 F.2d 1446
    , 1449 (1st
    Cir. 1991) (explaining "that in a multi-panel circuit, prior panel
    decisions are binding upon newly constituted panels in the absence
    of   supervening    authority   sufficient    to   warrant      disregard   of
    established precedent").
    But winning the who-does-Bennett-represent battle does
    not help VisionAid win the war.
    VisionAid's   appeal    stands    or   falls   on    whether    (as
    VisionAid    puts   it)   Mount    Vernon's    objective        "interest    in
    devaluing" the embezzlement counterclaim causes a conflict that
    gives VisionAid the right to choose the lawyer to defend Sullivan's
    suit (with Mount Vernon paying for everything but costs associated
    with prosecuting the counterclaim).           We think the appeal falls
    flat.
    By our lights, both Mount Vernon and VisionAid want to
    crush Sullivan's suit.    A muscular counterclaim will go a long way
    in making that happen.    But a weak one certainly will not.           No one
    doubts that the counterclaim's strength convinced Sullivan to drop
    his settlement demand to zero dollars, with the proviso that
    VisionAid dismiss its claim against him.           Surely if Mount Vernon
    - 20 -
    or Bennett did something to cripple the counterclaim, Sullivan
    could demand more to settle his claim.                And it goes without saying
    (but we say it anyway) that giving Sullivan any kind of leverage
    is not in either Mount Vernon's or VisionAid's best interests,
    since (at the risk of sounding like an iPod stuck on replay) they
    share   the    same   goal   —     parrying     Sullivan's        suit.     Also    and
    critically,      we   see    nothing       in   the    summary-judgment         record
    suggesting Mount Vernon wants to torpedo the counterclaim.                         See,
    e.g., RTR Techs., Inc. v. Helming, 
    707 F.3d 84
    , 93 (1st Cir. 2013)
    (emphasizing that to stop "the entry of summary judgment, the law
    requires more than arguments woven from the gossamer strands of
    speculation and surmise").
    But even if we assume — counterintuitively — that Mount
    Vernon wants to diminish the counterclaim, it is hard to see how
    it could pull that off.          Remember, per the SJC's response to our
    certified questions, neither Mount Vernon nor Bennett will play
    any role in prosecuting the counterclaim — VisionAid will have its
    own lawyer handling that job.               See 76 N.E.3d at 213.               And in
    fulfilling      his   or     her    ethical      duty        to   provide       zealous
    representation, VisionAid's personal attorney can make sure that
    no one devalues the counterclaim in any way, shape, or form.                       Also
    protecting VisionAid is the undisputed fact that, per the insurance
    policy's   terms,     neither      Mount    Vernon     nor    Bennett     can   settle
    Sullivan's suit — regardless of how low the settlement figure is
    - 21 -
    (even if it is zero!) — without VisionAid's consent.7 And VisionAid
    cites no summary-judgment evidence suggesting anyone connected
    with Mount Vernon has ignored VisionAid's wishes to let the
    underlying litigation play out so that VisionAid can pursue its
    counterclaim — that spells trouble for VisionAid, because as all
    summary-judgment movants should know, arguments "that depend not
    on verified facts but 'on arrant speculation, optimistic surmise,
    or farfetched inference' cannot forestall summary judgment."          See
    Fragoso v. Lopez, 
    991 F.2d 878
    , 887 (1st Cir. 1993) (quoting Kelly
    v. United States, 
    924 F.2d 355
    , 357 (1st Cir. 1991)).
    As for VisionAid's battalion of counterarguments, though
    ably presented, we believe none persuades.
    Take   VisionAid's   claim   that   "even   an   'overwhelming
    common interest'" between it and Mount Vernon does not cure the
    conflict.     The case VisionAid cites for support involves an
    attorney who represented both the debtor and the creditor on a
    loan and a sale to satisfy a debt.          See In re Wainwright, 
    861 N.E.2d 440
    , 446 (Mass. 2007).     "[A] creditor's legally enforceable
    rights against his debtor presents a classic conflict of legal
    interests" such that "[e]ven if the parties had an 'overwhelming
    7  Because an exchange of releases requires VisionAid's
    signature and because VisionAid's own lawyer will be in the case
    prosecuting the counterclaim, neither Mount Vernon nor Bennett can
    push a settlement through without VisionAid's acceptance and
    assistance.
    - 22 -
    common    interest,'   each    considering       the   transaction    mutually
    advantageous, the debtor-creditor relationship necessarily created
    'conflicting interests.'" 
    Id.
     And while there may be some tension
    between   VisionAid    and    Mount    Vernon,   we    see   no   disqualifying
    conflict — let alone the kind of classic conflict at play in
    Wainwright.    So Wainwright holds no sway here.
    Also holding no sway is VisionAid's contention — made in
    its supplemental reply brief — that the consent-to-settle clause
    fails to protect against a conflict of interest.              As noted above,
    VisionAid's big complaint is that if it "veto[es]" a settlement
    offer, then under the policy it could lose "insurance benefits" —
    meaning the clause has the effect of incenting VisionAid to cave
    in and settle.8   But VisionAid's theory about how the consent-to-
    settle clause "punishes" it for killing "a settlement" is triply
    waived:   first because VisionAid did not develop the theory in its
    summary-judgment memos, see McCoy v. Mass. Inst. of Tech., 
    950 F.2d 13
    , 22 (1st Cir. 1991);9 second because VisionAid did not
    8 The provision VisionAid points to appears to be a standard
    clause. Cf. generally Quantum Park Prop. Owners' Assoc., Inc. v.
    U.S. Liab. Ins. Co., No. 14-80845-Civ-Dimitrouleas, 
    2015 WL 11422283
    , at *2 (S.D. Fla. Mar. 26, 2015) (quoting a substantially
    similar provision).
    9 VisionAid's one-sentence footnote statement in a summary-
    judgment memo that "[t]he policy lays out certain consequences to
    VisionAid if it withholds consent and a judgment is rendered
    against [it]" does not suffice, given how VisionAid provided no
    discussion of the policy's provisions or citation to relevant
    authority.   See McCoy, 
    950 F.2d at 22
     (declining to address an
    issue when a district-court party mentioned it only in passing "—
    - 23 -
    develop the theory in its opening appellate brief, see Cornwell
    Entm't, Inc. v. Anchin, Block & Anchin, LLP, 
    830 F.3d 18
    , 32 (1st
    Cir. 2016); and third because VisionAid cites no authority for the
    theory in its supplemental reply brief (nor does VisionAid give a
    convincing explanation of what the law should be, assuming it found
    no caselaw), see Medina–Rivera v. MVM, Inc., 
    713 F.3d 132
    , 140–41
    (1st Cir. 2013); Town of Norwood v. Fed. Energy Regulatory Comm'n,
    
    202 F.3d 392
    , 405 (1st Cir. 2000).10
    And despite what VisionAid thinks, there is nothing
    unworkable     or    "schizophrenic"   about   having     two    attorneys
    representing    it    in   the   Sullivan   litigation.         VisionAid's
    imaginings about the fights between lawyers over trial strategy
    overlooks a critical fact:       VisionAid is the final decision-maker
    on that score.       One need not take our word on this.         Listen to
    what the person Mount Vernon designated to testify on its behalf
    had to say:    asked "[w]ho would resolve disagreements" between the
    a mention which, in its entirety, comprised two sentences and one
    citation (to a tangentially relevant case)"); see also United
    States v. Bongiorno, 
    106 F.3d 1027
    , 1034 (1st Cir. 1997)
    (admonishing that "matters not squarely presented below generally
    cannot be advanced on appeal").     This raise-or-waive rule is
    "founded upon important considerations of fairness, judicial
    economy, and practical wisdom," Nat'l Ass'n of Soc. Workers v.
    Harwood, 
    69 F.3d 622
    , 627 (1st Cir. 1995), and there is no sound
    reason not to apply the rule here.
    10FYI: nothing in our order granting VisionAid's request for
    supplemental briefing suggests we would ignore longstanding raise-
    or-waive principles.
    - 24 -
    attorneys "if they could not," he declared that "[u]ltimately they
    have to go with whatever VisionAid want[s] to do."                     The dissenters
    in the SJC opinion answering our certified questions argued —
    similar to the way VisionAid argues here — that "[i]n almost all
    situations   it    is   totally   impracticable         to    have      two   lawyers"
    representing the insured.         See 76 N.E.3d at 214-15 (Gants, C.J.,
    with whom Lenk, J., joined, dissenting) (alteration in original)
    (quoting Richard L. Neumeier, Serving Two Masters: Problems Facing
    Insurance Defense Counsel and Some Proposed Solutions, 
    77 Mass. L. Rev. 66
    , 80 (1992)).       But tellingly, the majority was unmoved —
    which also catapults this argument into thin air.                       If more were
    needed — and we do not think that it is — a just-released decision
    by a Massachusetts intermediate appellate court suggests that the
    fact that the insurer and the insured hold differing views about
    defense "tactics . . . do[es] not give rise to a sufficient
    conflict   of   interest      under   [Bay     State]    law      to    justify     [the
    insured's] refusal of [the insurer's] control of the defense."
    See OneBeacon Am. Ins. Co. v. Celanese Corp., No. 16-P-203, 
    2017 WL 4583266
    , at *5 (Mass. App. Ct. Oct. 16, 2017).                  And lest anyone
    wonder   whether   we   can    look   to     OneBeacon       in   making      our   Erie
    predication — we can, because we do not think the SJC would reject
    the lower court's reasoning.          See Candelario Del Moral, 699 F.3d
    - 25 -
    at 102 n.7; see also Andrew Robinson Int'l, Inc. v. Hartford Fire
    Ins. Co., 
    547 F.3d 48
    , 51 (1st Cir. 2008).11
    A major part of VisionAid's conflict theory turns on the
    idea that Bennett — in defiance of his ethical obligations to
    VisionAid — will do anything he can to help client Mount Vernon
    and to hurt client VisionAid.        And VisionAid believes Fiandaca v.
    Cunningham,    
    827 F.2d 825
       (1st    Cir.   1987),   makes   its   charge
    plausible.     We reject this theory.
    As for evidence that Bennett will act unethically —
    evidence is important, because we (like the district judge) cannot
    credit    "conclusory       allegations,     improbable     inferences,     and
    unsupported speculation," Medina–Muñoz v. R.J. Reynolds Tobacco
    Co., 
    896 F.2d 5
    , 8 (1st Cir. 1990) — VisionAid fleetingly suggests
    in its reply brief here that a note by a Mount Vernon employee
    "show[s]" the Mount Vernon-appointed counsel "told Mount Vernon"
    (before the SJC opinion came down) that "he might be forced to
    file VisionAid's counterclaim but would not recognize its validity
    11 As for VisionAid's worry that the jury might infer the
    existence of insurance based on the dual-representation scenario,
    it appears "in a single sentence" in its appellate submissions,
    "is not seriously supported, and is therefore waived." Bandt v.
    Wand Partners, 
    242 F.3d 6
    , 22 (1st Cir. 2001).          Ditto for
    VisionAid's suggestion — made without citation to legal authority
    — that an insurer-appointed counsel has an automatic conflict with
    an insured because counsel may get multiple case assignments from
    the insurer. See, e.g., Rezende v. Ocwen Loan Servicing, LLC, 
    869 F.3d 40
    , 43 (1st Cir. 2017) (concluding that a party "waived" an
    "argument by failing to cite any authority whatsoever in support
    of his conclusory assertion").
    - 26 -
    as a defense."     Even putting aside any possible hearsay problems,
    we think this argument does VisionAid no good.                There is a strong
    argument   that    the   highlighted       statement    —     reflecting     Mount
    Vernon's position before the SJC opinion came down — has no oomph
    now that the SJC has held that Mount Vernon is not required to
    prosecute the counterclaim.        Regardless, we consider the argument
    doubly waived — first for not being made below (and the situation
    does not fit within any of the rare exceptions to the raise-or-
    waive rules), and then for not being developed in its initial brief
    here.   See respectively McCoy, 
    950 F.2d at 22
    ; Small Justice LLC
    v. Xcentric Ventures LLC, 
    873 F.3d 313
    , 323 n.11 (1st Cir. 2017).
    And    as   far   as   Fiandaca   goes,     we    see   night-and-day
    differences between that case and this one.                 The Fiandaca lawyer
    (simplifying slightly) represented a class of female state inmates
    housed by the state prison warden.         See 
    827 F.2d at 826
    .        The class
    plaintiffs wanted better facilities.           
    Id.
       The parties eventually
    agreed to settle the suit by having the state set up a facility at
    the site of a state school.         
    Id. at 827
    .      But class counsel also
    represented residents of that school in a suit challenging the
    school's conditions.         
    Id. at 829
    .     These residents did not want
    the state to establish a facility there, it turns out.                 
    Id.
        And
    the settlement fell apart.         
    Id. at 827-28
    .       The state complained
    to us that the district court stumbled by not disqualifying class
    counsel for a conflict of interest.          
    Id. at 826
    .      We agreed, saying
    - 27 -
    that "the combination of clients and circumstances placed [class
    counsel]      in   the    untenable     position   of    being    simultaneously
    obligated to represent vigorously the interests of two conflicting
    clients."      
    Id. at 829
    .        Getting back to our case, we believe
    Bennett is not in an "untenable position," because Mount Vernon is
    contractually barred from making him settle the case against
    VisionAid's wishes — which means Fiandaca is not a game-changer
    for VisionAid.
    Switching to VisionAid's Rule 1.7 arguments, we need
    only    say   this:       Given   our    conclusion     that     Bennett   has   no
    disqualifying conflict, the crucial premise behind VisionAid's
    Rule 1.7 thesis — that Bennett's representation of Mount Vernon is
    (in Rule 1.7 lingo) "directly adverse" to his representation of
    VisionAid, or that his representation of VisionAid is "materially
    limited" by his responsibilities to Mount Vernon — is a no-go.
    That,    unsurprisingly,       dooms     VisionAid's      Rule    1.7   argument.
    Obviously     then,      VisionAid's     intimation     that   Mount    Vernon   is
    "aligned directly against" it also goes nowhere, because the
    circumstances here cut against that theory.
    Epilogue
    Tasked with settling a dispute about Massachusetts law
    the way the SJC would settle it, our best assessment is:                    Given
    the particulars of the current controversy, we believe the SJC
    would agree that the presence of the embezzlement counterclaim —
    - 28 -
    which Mount Vernon neither has to prosecute nor pay for — does not
    generate a conflict of interest entitling VisionAid to separate
    counsel    to   defend   against   Sullivan's   suit   at   Mount   Vernon's
    expense.    We say this knowing that because federal courts cannot
    make their state-law interpretations binding on state courts,
    Massachusetts "is free to tell us" in some future case that our
    analysis is "all wet" and so "wipe away what we have written."
    See Candelario Del Moral, 699 F.3d at 101; see also Smith v. F.W.
    Morse & Co., 
    76 F.3d 413
    , 429 n.12 (1st Cir. 1996) (explaining
    that "[w]hen the highest court of a state disposes of an issue of
    state law contrary to the resolution of the issue theretofore
    suggested by a federal court, the latter ruling must give way");
    cf. generally Diginet, Inc. v. W. Union ATS, Inc., 
    958 F.2d 1388
    ,
    1395 (7th Cir. 1992) (Posner, C.J.) (stressing that "[s]tate courts
    are not bound by federal courts' interpretations of state law" and
    noting that "[a] state judge will give such interpretations no
    more weight than their persuasiveness earns them").
    Affirmed.
    - 29 -