Friends of the Capital Crescent Trail v. Federal Transit Administration , 877 F.3d 1051 ( 2017 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued November 1, 2017            Decided December 19, 2017
    No. 17-5132
    FRIENDS OF THE CAPITAL CRESCENT TRAIL, ET AL.,
    APPELLEES/CROSS-APPELLANTS
    v.
    FEDERAL TRANSIT ADMINISTRATION, ET AL.,
    APPELLANTS/CROSS-APPELLEES
    STATE OF MARYLAND,
    INTERVENOR-APPELLANT/CROSS-APPELLEE
    Consolidated with 17-5161, 17-5174, 17-5175
    Appeals from the United States District Court
    for the District of Columbia
    (No. 1:14-cv-01471)
    Kevin W. McArdle, Attorney, U.S. Department of Justice,
    argued the cause for appellants/cross-appellees Federal Transit
    Administration, et al. With him on the briefs were Jeffrey H.
    Wood, Acting Assistant Attorney General, Eric Grant, Deputy
    Assistant Attorney General, Matthew Littleton and Erika
    Kranz, Attorneys, Paul M. Geier, Assistant General Counsel,
    2
    U.S. Department of Transportation, and Charles E. Enloe and
    Joy K. Park, Attorneys.
    Nick Goldstein, James M. Auslander, and Gus B. Bauman
    were on the brief for amicus curiae American Road &
    Transportation Builders Association in support of
    appellants/cross-appellees.
    Albert M. Ferlo argued the cause for intervenor-
    appellant/cross-appellee State of Maryland. With him on the
    briefs were Eric D. Miller, William G. Malley, Brian E. Frosh,
    Attorney General, Office of the Attorney General for the State
    of Maryland, and Julie T. Sweeney, Assistant Attorney General.
    Linda DeVuono, Assistant Attorney General, entered an
    appearance.
    Jared M. McCarthy and Milton E. McIver were on the brief
    for amicus curiae Prince George’s County, Maryland.
    John P. Markovs was on the brief for amicus curiae
    Montgomery County, Maryland.
    Eric R. Glitzenstein argued the cause for appellees/cross-
    appellants Friends of the Capital Crescent Trail, et al. With
    him on the briefs was David W. Brown. William S. Eubanks,
    II, entered an appearance.
    Before: GARLAND, Chief Judge, and ROGERS and
    SRINIVASAN, Circuit Judges.
    Opinion for the court filed by Circuit Judge ROGERS.
    ROGERS, Circuit Judge: This case concerns multiple
    challenges under the National Environmental Policy Act to
    Maryland’s proposed “Purple Line” light rail project. Two
    3
    orders of the district court are principally at issue. In the first
    order, the district court directed the Federal Transit
    Administration (“FTA”) to prepare a supplemental
    Environmental Impact Statement (“SEIS”) to analyze the
    effects of Metrorail’s recent safety and ridership problems on
    the Purple Line’s environmental impact and purpose; it also
    vacated FTA’s Record of Decision pending completion of the
    SEIS. In the second order, the district court rejected other
    challenges to FTA’s final Environmental Impact Statement
    (“FEIS”). For the following reasons, we reverse the order
    directing the preparation of a SEIS and vacating the Record of
    Decision, and we affirm the order rejecting the three challenges
    to the FEIS presented on appeal.
    For over two decades, beginning as early as 1990, the
    Maryland Transit Administration (“Maryland”) has developed
    plans to construct the “Purple Line” — a 16-mile public transit
    project that would connect communities in Maryland’s
    Montgomery and Prince George’s counties with each other and
    with other regional transit systems, including the Washington
    Metropolitan Area Transit Authority’s Metrorail system. In
    2003, Maryland applied for funding under the “New Starts”
    program administered by FTA, see 49 U.S.C. § 5309(b)(1); 49
    C.F.R. pt. 611, to defray part of the Purple Line’s construction
    costs. Notice of Intent to Prepare an EIS, 68 Fed. Reg. 52,452,
    52,454 (Sept. 3, 2003). Designed to “foster the development
    and revitalization of public transportation systems,” 49 U.S.C.
    § 5301(a), the “New Starts” program proceeds in three phases.
    First, FTA and the applicant together conduct an environmental
    review, including an analysis under the National
    Environmental Policy Act (“NEPA”), and develop and
    compare project alternatives. 
    Id. § 5309(d)(1);
    23 C.F.R.
    § 771.109(c)(2). This review culminates in a Record of
    4
    Decision (“ROD”) in which FTA identifies the alternative
    chosen and demonstrates the project’s compliance with NEPA.
    See 
    id. § 5309(d)(2)(A).
    In the next two phases, FTA evaluates
    the project’s compliance with other statutory and regulatory
    criteria not relevant here, finalizes the project’s engineering
    and design, and addresses the project’s financial aspects,
    ultimately deciding whether or not to enter into a grant
    agreement with the applicant that commits federal funding to
    the project. 
    Id. § 5309(k).
    NEPA, 42 U.S.C. § 4321 et seq., imposes a set of
    procedural requirements on federal agencies to “ensure[] that
    the[y] will not act on incomplete information, only to regret
    [their] decision after it is too late to correct.” Marsh v. Or.
    Nat. Res. Council, 
    490 U.S. 360
    , 371 (1989). It also requires
    “broad dissemination of information . . . [to] permit[] the
    public and other government agencies to react to the effects of
    a proposed action at a meaningful time.” 
    Id. Thus, planned
    actions that would have an impact on the physical environment
    will be “fully informed and well-considered.”                Del.
    Riverkeeper Network v. FERC, 
    753 F.3d 1304
    , 1309–10 (D.C.
    Cir. 2014) (quotation marks and citation omitted). Among
    other things, NEPA requires federal agencies proposing to
    undertake “major Federal actions significantly affecting the
    quality of the human environment” to prepare an
    environmental impact statement (“EIS”) that compares in
    detail the foreseeable environmental effects of project
    alternatives. 42 U.S.C. § 4332(C); see also Metro. Edison Co.
    v. People Against Nuclear Energy, 
    460 U.S. 766
    , 772 (1983).
    This requires an agency to “take a hard look at environmental
    consequences” of its proposed action, Robertson v. Methow
    Valley Citizens Council, 
    490 U.S. 332
    , 350 (1989) (quotation
    marks and citation omitted), thus ensuring that it will “consider
    every significant aspect of the environmental impact of a
    5
    proposed action” and “inform the public” of its analysis and
    conclusion. Balt. Gas & Elec. Co v. NRDC, Inc., 
    462 U.S. 87
    ,
    97 (1983). Completion of the EIS, however, does not always
    mark the end of the NEPA process. If “new information” arises
    that presents “a seriously different picture of the environmental
    landscape,” then the agency must prepare a supplemental EIS
    (“SEIS”). City of Olmsted Falls v. FAA, 
    292 F.3d 261
    , 274
    (D.C. Cir. 2002) (citation omitted).
    Between 2003 and 2008, FTA and Maryland jointly
    prepared a draft EIS (“DEIS”). See 23 U.S.C. § 139(c)(3); 23
    C.F.R. §§ 771.109(c)(2), 771.111(a). The DEIS, which was
    released for public comment in October 2008, discussed eight
    project design alternatives for the Purple Line. Six were
    “build” alternatives, contemplating new construction of a light
    rail or bus rapid transit system at varying investment levels.
    The seventh was a “transportation systems management”
    alternative in which there is no new construction but various
    improvements are made to existing systems. The eighth was
    the “no-build” alternative, in which no action is taken. See 40
    C.F.R. § 1502.14(d). The DEIS compared these alternatives on
    various grounds, including environmental impact, stating that
    because “the alternatives generally follow existing roadways
    and railroad rights-of-way . . . , the environmental and
    community impacts are relatively minor in type and degree for
    projects of this nature.” DEIS, ch. 6, at 6 (Oct. 2008). The
    DEIS therefore concluded that “[b]ecause all the alternatives
    would have similar alignment characteristics, [their] impacts
    on parks, wetlands, historic properties, business properties, and
    other environmentally sensitive sites would be similar . . . , and
    are thus unlikely to be a differentiating factor among the[m].”
    
    Id. After the
    close of the comment period, Maryland publicly
    identified in August 2009 a modified version of the medium-
    6
    investment light rail option as its “locally preferred alternative”
    for the Purple Line. See 49 U.S.C. § 5309(d)(2)(A)(i).
    Although acknowledging that the bus rapid transit option
    would be more cost-effective than light rail, Maryland
    identified offsetting benefits underlying its choice of light rail:
    greater expected ridership (and ability to expand capacity to
    meet future demand), greater opportunities for local economic
    development, faster travel times, and (importantly) local
    government support.          Purple Line Locally Preferred
    Alternative, at 4 (Aug. 2009).
    Upon further study by Maryland and FTA, and public
    involvement, FTA issued the Purple Line’s final EIS (“FEIS”)
    in August 2013. The FEIS sets forth the project’s three
    purposes:
    (1) Provide faster, more direct, and more reliable east–
    west transit service connecting the major activity
    centers in [Montgomery and Prince George’s
    counties, including] Bethesda, Silver Spring,
    Takoma/Langley Park, College Park, and New
    Carrollton,
    (2) Provide better connections to Metrorail services
    located in the corridor, and
    (3) Improve connectivity to the communities in the
    corridor located between the Metrorail lines.
    FEIS, ch. 1, at 1 (Aug. 28, 2013). With reference to these
    purposes, the FEIS compares in detail Maryland’s preferred
    light rail alternative and the “no-build” alternative. It includes
    chapters on adverse environmental effects resulting from
    construction and operation, indirect effects, impacts on nearby
    historic properties, mitigation and minimization measures,
    FTA’s responses to public comments, and technical reports on
    noise impacts, travel forecasts, and other issues. In addition,
    7
    the FEIS compares the alternatives’ transportation-related
    effects, including future ridership forecasts and impacts on
    low-income and minority communities. It also incorporates by
    reference the earlier analysis of alternatives contained in the
    DEIS. 
    Id. ch. 2,
    at 1. In total, including technical reports, the
    FEIS is over eight hundred pages.
    Based on the FEIS, DEIS, and other supporting technical
    and design documents, FTA issued the Purple Line’s Record of
    Decision (“ROD”) in March 2014. 79 Fed. Reg. 18,113 (Mar.
    31, 2014). It certified the project’s compliance with NEPA, see
    49 U.S.C. § 5309(d)(1)(A)(i)(II), thereby advancing it to the
    next “New Starts” phase, in which engineering and design
    elements are finalized. See 49 U.S.C. § 5309(d)(2).
    In August 2014, Friends of the Capital Crescent Trail and
    two individual environmentalists (collectively, “the Friends”)
    filed suit against FTA in the federal district court here, alleging
    that in developing the FEIS, FTA had violated NEPA and other
    environmental statutes. The State of Maryland intervened in
    support of FTA. In October 2015, while the lawsuit was
    pending, the Friends wrote to FTA about purported new
    information on Metrorail’s safety and ridership problems.
    Their letter stated that a “series of incidents,” including the
    death of a passenger in January 2015, “have raised questions
    about [Metrorail] passenger safety.” Friends Letter to FTA, at
    2–3 (Oct. 9, 2015) (“Friends 2015 Letter”). It also described
    the decline in Metrorail ridership since 2009 “due to
    interruptions, delays, accidents[,] and the adoption of other
    means and patterns of travel.” 
    Id. at 3.
    Because the Purple
    Line “is inextricably linked to and dependent upon” Metrorail,
    the Friends concluded that the problems experienced by
    Metrorail undermined the ridership projections in the FEIS
    and, therefore, necessitated preparation of a SEIS. 
    Id. at 3.
                                   8
    Attached to the Friends’ letter were three declarations
    questioning the assumptions and methodology underlying the
    ridership projections in the FEIS. 
    Id. at 5.
    Maryland’s
    response was that because the Purple Line and Metrorail are
    separate legal entities, “the financial or other issues currently
    being experienced by [Metrorail] do not involve the Purple
    Line, and they have no relationship to the environmental
    impacts of the Purple Line.” Maryland Letter to FTA, at 3
    (Dec. 7, 2015) (“Md. 2015 Letter”). Maryland characterized
    the declarations as simply “late-filed comment[s] on the
    analysis in the [F]EIS,” not new information warranting
    preparation of a SEIS. 
    Id. at 9–10.
    FTA agreed and declined
    to prepare a SEIS to address the ridership issue. FTA Letter to
    Maryland, at 4 (Jan. 7, 2016) (“FTA 2016 Letter”). The
    Friends then filed an additional complaint under the
    Administrative Procedure Act (“APA”), 5 U.S.C. § 706,
    alleging the refusal to prepare a SEIS was arbitrary. Cross-
    motions for summary judgment were filed.
    The district court granted partial summary judgment to the
    Friends. Friends of the Capital Crescent Trail v. FTA, 200 F.
    Supp. 3d 248 (D.D.C. Aug. 3, 2016). It concluded that
    Metrorail’s ridership decline and safety problems “directly
    undermined the [ridership] rationale” upon which the Purple
    Line was justified, and that because the FEIS had estimated
    approximately a quarter of expected Purple Line riders would
    transfer to or from Metrorail, a potentially large change to that
    forecast requires reevaluation of the Purple Line project
    alternatives. 
    Id. at 252–53.
    The district court ordered FTA to
    prepare a SEIS addressing the ridership issue and vacated the
    ROD pending its completion. 
    Id. at 254.
    Subsequently, in
    responding to FTA’s motion for reconsideration, the district
    court permitted FTA to examine on remand the “significance
    of [Metrorail’s] ridership and safety issues [on the Purple Line]
    and determine what level of additional environmental analysis
    9
    is required.” Friends of the Capital Crescent Trail v. FTA, 
    218 F. Supp. 3d 53
    , 58 (D.D.C. Nov. 22, 2016).
    In December 2016, FTA filed a memorandum with the
    district court based on Maryland’s evaluation of five
    hypothetical scenarios in which Metrorail ridership declines in
    varying degrees to the year 2040.              FTA Scenarios
    Memorandum (Dec. 13, 2016) (“FTA Scenarios Report”); see
    Maryland Metrorail Ridership Assessment (Nov. 3, 2016)
    (“Md. Ridership Assessment”). In the most extreme scenario,
    Metrorail ceases to function, resulting in zero transfers to and
    from the Purple Line. FTA Scenarios Report, at 4. FTA
    determined that under any of the five scenarios light rail would
    meet the Purple Line’s purposes as well as or better than any
    other option. 
    Id. at 6–7.
    In addition, FTA emphasized, no
    matter the level of Metrorail’s ridership, the Purple Line’s
    environmental impact during construction and operation would
    not worsen. 
    Id. at 4.
    Therefore, FTA again concluded that
    preparation of a SEIS was not required. 
    Id. at 7.
    The district court disagreed. Friends of the Capital
    Crescent Trail v. FTA, 
    253 F. Supp. 3d 296
    (D.D.C. May 22,
    2017). First, because FTA did not ascertain which of the five
    Metrorail ridership scenarios was most likely to occur, it found
    that FTA had no basis to conclude that the Purple Line would
    fulfill the stated purposes in all scenarios. 
    Id. at 301.
    Second,
    it found that FTA failed to respond specifically and
    meaningfully to the criticisms raised by the Friends’ declarants.
    
    Id. at 301–02.
    The district court therefore ordered the
    preparation of a SEIS. 
    Id. at 303.
    Its vacatur of the ROD
    pending completion of the SEIS remained intact. FTA and
    Maryland appeal.
    10
    NEPA itself does not state when a SEIS must be prepared,
    but the regulations promulgated by the Council on
    Environmental Quality (“CEQ”) do. As explained by the
    Supreme Court, “[t]he CEQ regulations, which . . . are entitled
    to substantial deference, impose a duty on all federal agencies
    to prepare supplements to either draft or final EIS’s if there ‘are
    significant new circumstances or information relevant to
    environmental concerns and bearing on the proposed action or
    its impacts.’” 
    Marsh, 490 U.S. at 372
    (quoting 40 C.F.R.
    § 1502.9(c)); see Union Neighbors United, Inc. v. Jewell, 
    831 F.3d 564
    , 569 n.1 (D.C. Cir. 2016). Similarly, FTA’s own
    NEPA regulations, supplementing those of CEQ, require, as
    relevant, preparation of a SEIS where “[n]ew information or
    circumstances relevant to environmental concerns and bearing
    on the proposed action or its impacts would result in significant
    environmental impacts not evaluated in the [F]EIS.” 23 C.F.R.
    § 771.130(a)(2); see 
    id. § 771.101.
    Consistent with a “rule of
    reason,” an agency need not supplement an EIS every time new
    information comes to light after the EIS is finalized; rather, the
    need for supplementation “turns on the value of the new
    information to the still pending decisionmaking process.”
    
    Marsh, 490 U.S. at 374
    .
    Our review of the district court’s grant of summary
    judgment is de novo. Defenders of Wildlife v. Zinke, 
    849 F.3d 1077
    , 1082 (D.C. Cir. 2017) (citation omitted). Review of
    FTA’s decision not to prepare a SEIS is “searching and
    careful,” but “narrow.” 
    Marsh, 490 U.S. at 375
    –76; 5 U.S.C.
    § 706(2)(A). Because this is a challenge to “an agency action
    under the APA, [this court] review[s] the administrative action
    directly, according no particular deference to the judgment of
    the [d]istrict [c]ourt.” In re Polar Bear Endangered Species
    Act Listing, 
    709 F. 3d
    . 1, 8 (D.C. Cir. 2013). If an agency’s
    11
    decision not to prepare a SEIS turns on a “factual dispute the
    resolution of which implicated substantial agency expertise,”
    the court defers to the agency’s judgment. 
    Marsh, 490 U.S. at 376
    (internal citation and quotation marks omitted). The
    Friends maintain the submitted Metrorail information
    undermines conclusions in the FEIS, while FTA and Maryland
    view the information as not significant with respect to either
    environmental effects or the choice of alternative. “Because
    analysis of the relevant documents requires a high level of
    technical expertise, we must defer to the informed discretion of
    the responsible federal agenc[y],” provided the “decision not to
    [prepare a SEIS] was not arbitrary or capricious.” 
    Id. at 377
    (citations omitted); see 
    id. n.23. In
    other words, the question is
    whether FTA’s “decision was based on a consideration of the
    relevant factors and whether there has been a clear error of
    judgment.” 
    Id. at 378
    (quoting Citizens to Preserve Overton
    Park, Inc. v. Volpe, 
    401 U.S. 402
    , 416 (1971)). “When
    specialists express conflicting views, an agency must have
    discretion to rely on the reasonable opinions of its own
    qualified experts even if, as an original matter, a court might
    find contrary views more persuasive.” 
    Id. At the
    same time,
    “in the context of reviewing a decision not to supplement an
    EIS, courts should not automatically defer to the agency[] . . .
    without carefully reviewing the record and satisfying
    themselves that the agency has made a reasoned decision based
    on its evaluation of the significance — or lack of significance
    — of the new information.” 
    Id. Consistent with
    this standard of review, central to our
    resolution of the challenges to the order requiring the
    preparation of a SEIS is FTA’s Scenarios Report, which
    assesses the impact of five hypothetical scenarios of future
    Metrorail ridership decline on the Purple Line’s ridership. In
    the most optimistic scenario of “near-term rebound,” Metrorail
    ridership declines through 2017, but after completion of safety
    12
    and reliability improvements, ridership returns to its prior
    growth path from 2018 through 2040, the study’s cutoff date.
    FTA Scenarios Report, at 3. In the second scenario, Metrorail
    ridership increases from 2018 through 2040, but at a slower
    rate. 
    Id. In the
    third scenario, Metrorail ridership stagnates
    between 2018 and 2040. 
    Id. In the
    fourth scenario, Metrorail
    ridership declines through 2040 at the same rate it has for the
    past decade. 
    Id. In the
    fifth scenario, Metrorail ceases to exist,
    resulting in no transfers to or from the Purple Line. 
    Id. at 4.
    With respect to the transportation-related impacts of
    Metrorail decline on the Purple Line, FTA acknowledged that
    in the fifth scenario the light rail option would no longer satisfy
    one of the Purple Line’s three purposes, namely, improving
    connectivity to Metrorail. 
    Id. at 7.
    Nonetheless, FTA
    determined:
    This would not affect the choice between alternatives,
    however, because no alternative would be capable of
    meeting that [purpose], as it relies on the existence of
    the Metrorail system. Moreover, the corresponding
    increases in roadway congestion would amplify the
    extent to which the [light rail] project meets the [other,
    non-Metrorail-related purposes of the Purple Line],
    making [light rail] still the best able to meet [the Purple
    Line’s] overall Purpose and Need, even under this
    highly unlikely scenario.
    
    Id. Separately, FTA
    determined with respect to environmental
    impacts that none of the five scenarios would “affect the
    [construction-related environmental] footprint” of the Purple
    Line. 
    Id. at 4–5.
    Indeed, were the Purple Line to reduce its
    frequency of service, its energy use and consequent operational
    13
    environmental impact would also decrease. 
    Id. at 5.
    Therefore,
    FTA concluded under its SEIS regulation, 23 C.F.R.
    § 771.130(a)(2), that the Friends’ information on Metrorail
    ridership decline does not present “significant . . . new
    information” with respect to the Purple Line’s purposes or
    environmental impact that was not already “evaluated in the
    [F]EIS.” 
    Id. at 7.
    This determination would appear to be precisely the type
    of judgment “implicat[ing] substantial agency expertise” to
    which the court owes deference. See 
    Marsh, 490 U.S. at 376
    –
    77. The Friends contend, however, that FTA erred as a matter
    of law because it should have applied the CEQ SEIS regulation
    rather than FTA’s own regulation, noting a textual difference
    between them. Compare 40 C.F.R. § 1502.9(c)(1)(ii) (CEQ
    regulation) with 23 C.F.R. § 771.130(a)(2) (FTA regulation).
    The Friends view the CEQ regulation as substantially broader,
    requiring a SEIS in a greater range of circumstances. See
    Appellee Br. at 38–41. Their focus on the textual difference is
    not implausible. For example, if an agency received “new
    information” that seriously undermined a project’s rationale,
    thereby making environmentally friendlier alternatives more
    attractive, then under the CEQ regulation, the Friends suggest,
    that information is “relevant to environmental concerns and
    bear[s] on the proposed action or its impacts,” thereby
    requiring preparation of a SEIS. 40 C.F.R. § 1502.9(c)(1)(ii).
    By contrast, under the FTA regulation, if that new information
    did not also reveal some new environmental impact “not
    evaluated in the [F]EIS,” then, they suggest, no SEIS would be
    required. 23 C.F.R. § 771.130(a)(2). The Friends, therefore,
    urge that even if its Metrorail ridership and safety information
    did not reveal an environmental impact of a kind not previously
    addressed in the FEIS, it was surely “relevant” to the Purple
    Line’s environmental impact and “bear[s] on the proposed
    action” because it makes the bus rapid transit and other
    14
    alternatives more attractive. Appellee Br. at 40. They maintain
    that the district court properly ordered the preparation of a
    SEIS. 
    Id. at 40–41.
    The Friends have overread the effect of the textual
    difference between the two regulations. As interpreted by the
    Supreme Court, NEPA requires the preparation of a SEIS
    where new information “will affect the quality of the human
    environment in a significant manner or to a significant extent
    not already considered.” 
    Marsh, 490 U.S. at 373
    –74
    (emphasis added). Over the course of a long-running project,
    new information will arise that affects, in some way, the
    analysis contained in a prior FEIS. NEPA does not require
    agencies to needlessly repeat their environmental impact
    analyses every time such information comes to light. Rather, a
    SEIS must be prepared only where new information “provides
    a seriously different picture of the environmental landscape.”
    Nat’l Comm. for the New River v. FERC, 
    373 F.3d 1323
    , 1330
    (D.C. Cir. 2004) (emphasis added).
    So understood, regardless of whether the CEQ or FTA
    regulation applies, FTA and Maryland reasonably explained
    why the Friends’ Metrorail information does not require
    preparation of a SEIS. Not only does that information not
    adversely affect the Purple Line’s environmental impact in an
    absolute sense — the construction and operational footprint
    would remain the same — neither does it have relative
    environmental or transportation effects that would alter
    Maryland’s selection of light rail over bus rapid transit or other
    alternatives. FTA determined that the Metrorail information
    offered no basis to distinguish the alternatives on
    environmental grounds: Each alternative “would have similar
    alignment characteristics” and thus similar “impacts on parks,
    wetlands, historic properties, residential and business
    properties, and other environmentally sensitive sites.” DEIS,
    15
    ch. 6, at 6. Given that the alternatives were rough equivalents
    with regard to their environmental impacts, Maryland
    concluded that “[a] reduction in Metrorail ridership, resulting
    in a reduction in Purple Line ridership, would not cause any
    increase or decrease in the relative environmental impacts of
    the [bus rapid transit] and light rail alternatives.” Md.
    Ridership Assessment, at 31; see also 
    id. at 33–34.
    Furthermore, the Metrorail information offered no reason
    for Maryland to reconsider the transportation reasons for
    selecting its preferred alternative. Even if Metrorail ceased to
    exist — an extreme and highly unlikely scenario given its
    centrality to transportation in the greater Washington
    metropolitan area — light rail would still provide faster (and
    higher-capacity) east–west connections between major
    Maryland activity centers in Montgomery and Prince George’s
    counties than would other alternatives, like bus rapid transit.
    See Md. Ridership Assessment, at 32. Light rail also would
    promote new economic opportunities in the underserved low-
    income and minority communities located between those
    centers, and provide better connections to non-Metrorail
    regional transit options, including the MARC train, the Amtrak
    railroad, and local bus routes. See FTA Scenarios Report, at 6;
    FEIS, ch. 1, at 1. And in contrast to bus rapid transit, light rail
    would help reduce roadway congestion in a region with a fast-
    growing population and economy. See ROD, at 3; FEIS, app.
    A, at 19–20; see also Md. Ridership Assessment, at 7–8, 32.
    FTA and Maryland, therefore, could reasonably conclude that
    the Metrorail information submitted by the Friends does not
    present any new environmental impacts, whether absolute or
    relative, that were “significant” enough to require preparation
    of a SEIS.         40 C.F.R. § 1502.9(c)(1)(ii); 23 C.F.R.
    § 771.130(a)(2).
    16
    The Friends resist this conclusion on an additional ground,
    pointing to Alaska Wilderness Recreation and Tourism
    Association v. Morrison, 
    67 F.3d 723
    (9th Cir. 1995). There,
    the Ninth Circuit required the agency to complete a SEIS in
    light of significantly changed conditions, namely, the
    cancellation of a long-term contract upon which the agency’s
    chosen alternative depended. 
    Id. at 728–30.
    No analogous
    situation exists here. Alaska Wilderness involved a basic
    change that undercut the rationale upon which the agency
    action depended. By contrast, even with reduced Metrorail
    ridership, a light rail Purple Line still meets its Metrorail-
    connection purpose as well as or better than the other
    alternatives, and still meets its non-Metrorail-related purposes.
    To the extent the district court faulted Maryland and FTA
    for failing to respond to the Friends’ three declarations
    questioning and raising methodological concerns regarding
    FTA’s ridership numbers in the FEIS, the court’s analysis is
    flawed. Friends of the Capital Crescent Trail v. FTA, 253 F.
    Supp. 3d 296, 301–03 (D.D.C. May 22, 2017). The district
    court analogized to Public Employees for Environmental
    Responsibility v. Hopper, 
    827 F.3d 1077
    (D.C. Cir. 2016),
    where an agency’s post-remand determination not to prepare a
    SEIS was vacated because it had ignored and excluded data
    submitted by the plaintiffs. 
    Id. at 1089–90.
    That is not what
    happened here. FTA and Maryland both referred to and
    discussed the views in the declarations. See FTA 2016 Letter,
    at 3; Md. 2015 Letter, at 9–10. Further, FTA had previously
    explained its assumptions in predicting Purple Line ridership,
    which the Friends’ declarants criticized without offering
    ridership numbers of their own. See DEIS, Travel Demand
    Forecasting Technical Report; FEIS, Travel Forecasts Results
    Technical Report. In these circumstances, treatment of the
    three declarations as “late-filed comments” was appropriate.
    Md. 2015 Letter, at 9–10. In addition, FTA’s response to the
    17
    Friends’ subsequent declarations criticizing its measurement of
    future Metrorail ridership was reasonable. See FTA Scenarios
    Report. Agencies are not always required to give “point-by-
    point responses” to every objection raised. Cf. Am. Forest &
    Paper Ass’n, Inc. v. EPA, 
    294 F.3d 113
    , 116 n.3 (D.C. Cir.
    2002). FTA and Maryland explained how they measured
    Metrorail ridership and its impact on the Purple Line. See FTA
    Scenarios Report, at 2–3; Md. Ridership Assessment, at 10–20.
    Absent more than mere disagreement about methodological
    choice, FTA’s responsive explanation “is entitled to deference
    from this court.” Cmtys. Against Runway Expansion, Inc. v.
    FAA, 
    355 F.3d 678
    , 689 (D.C. Cir. 2004).
    In sum, FTA and Maryland’s explanation of why the
    Metrorail problems identified by the Friends did not require
    preparation of a SEIS satisfies the CEQ and FTA regulations
    on supplementation, this court’s precedent, and Marsh’s “rule
    of 
    reason,” 490 U.S. at 373
    –74, the overarching principle
    governing judicial review of NEPA. Because NEPA “does not
    mandate particular results,” the court’s role is to ensure that
    agencies consider all significant and reasonably foreseeable
    environmental impacts. 
    Robertson, 490 U.S. at 350
    . Assuming
    that NEPA requires a SEIS where new information justifies
    reconsideration of a more environmentally favorable
    alternative, on this record the court cannot say that the Friends’
    Metrorail information constitutes such new information. At
    most it partially called into question one of the Purple Line’s
    purposes. It did not call into question the entirety of the Purple
    Line, or the choice of light rail over other alternatives, or the
    Purple Line’s environmental impact — or at least FTA was
    entitled to so conclude. FTA and Maryland sufficiently
    examined the impact of Metrorail issues on the Purple Line’s
    three purposes, and reasonably concluded that Metrorail
    problems would not change the project’s preferred alternative,
    grounding that conclusion on an assessment of five ridership
    18
    scenarios. These circumstances warrant deference by the court
    to FTA’s (and Maryland’s) reasonable, fact-intensive,
    technical determination that preparation of a SEIS was not
    required. Accordingly, we reverse the order requiring FTA to
    prepare a SEIS.
    Separate from the Metrorail-related SEIS issue, the district
    court granted partial summary judgment to FTA on the
    Friends’ other environmental challenges to the Purple Line
    FEIS. Friends of the Capital Crescent Trail v. FTA, 255 F.
    Supp. 3d 60 (D.D.C. June 9, 2017). The Friends now appeal
    three of the district court’s rulings, contending that the
    alternatives analysis in the FEIS violates NEPA, as does its
    indirect effects analysis, and that Maryland’s elimination of the
    “green track” mitigation technique necessitates preparation of
    a SEIS. We agree with the district court that the Friends’
    challenges to the sufficiency of the FEIS lack merit. See
    Defenders of 
    Wildlife, 849 F.3d at 1082
    ,
    Although the DEIS compared eight project alternatives,
    the FEIS for the Purple Line compared only two: Maryland’s
    “locally preferred” light rail alternative and the “no-build”
    option (i.e., taking no action and assuming all planned and in-
    progress local projects are completed). See 40 C.F.R.
    § 1502.14(d). In the Friends’ view, the comparison in the FEIS
    of only two starkly different alternatives precluded a
    meaningful analysis and was therefore insufficient.
    NEPA requires a detailed, meaningful alternatives
    analysis. See 42 U.S.C. §§ 4332(C)(iii), (E). The CEQ
    regulations, in turn, require agencies to “[r]igorously explore
    and objectively evaluate all reasonable alternatives, and for
    19
    alternatives which were eliminated from detailed study, [to]
    briefly discuss the reasons for their having been eliminated.”
    40 C.F.R. § 1502.14(a) (emphasis added). Further, the FTA
    NEPA regulations require the FEIS to “identify the preferred
    alternative and evaluate all reasonable alternatives
    considered.” 23 C.F.R. § 771.125(a)(1) (emphasis added); see
    also 
    id. § 771.111(f).
    The reasonableness of the analysis of project alternatives
    in a FEIS is resolved not by any particular number of
    alternatives considered, but by the nature of the underlying
    agency action. See Citizens Against Burlington, Inc. v. Busey,
    
    938 F.2d 190
    , 196 (D.C. Cir. 1991). For some agency actions,
    the FEIS itself should consider a broad range of reasonable
    alternatives. See, e.g., Union Neighbors United, Inc. v. Jewell,
    
    831 F.3d 564
    , 576–77 (D.C. Cir. 2016). But the NEPA process
    adopted by FTA and Maryland for the Purple Line — an
    enormously complex project involving coordination between
    multiple government and private actors — fulfilled NEPA’s
    purposes.      As the FEIS explained, Maryland initially
    considered numerous alternatives, evaluating them for their
    effectiveness in meeting project goals, engineering feasibility,
    cost, public support, and environmental impact. See FEIS, ch.
    2, at 4. Alternatives “not considered reasonable” were
    “eliminated from further consideration.” 
    Id. The eight
    alternatives that met the reasonableness standard were
    evaluated in the DEIS at a range of investment levels. 
    Id. at 5–
    12. Following further study, Maryland chose the light rail
    option as its locally preferred alternative. 
    Id. at 12–18.
    That
    choice narrowed FTA’s role: Its ultimate decision was to
    decide whether or not to fund the preferred alternative. The
    FEIS therefore focused on comparing light rail and the “no-
    build” option.
    20
    This “funneling approach” adopted by Maryland and FTA,
    narrowing alternatives over a period of years, was in accord
    with NEPA’s “rule of reason,” 
    Marsh, 490 U.S. at 373
    –74, and
    common sense: Agencies need not reanalyze alternatives
    previously rejected, particularly when an earlier analysis of
    numerous reasonable alternatives was incorporated into the
    final analysis and the agency has considered and responded to
    public comment favoring other alternatives. The alternatives
    analysis contained in the FEIS was sufficient under NEPA.
    The FEIS permissibly summarizes and expressly incorporates
    the analysis of eight alternatives contained in the DEIS,
    identifies the alternatives considered throughout the “New
    Starts” process, details the methodology used to compare
    alternatives, and explains the reasons light rail was chosen by
    Maryland. See FEIS, ch. 2. It then compares the light rail and
    “no-build” alternatives. See 
    id. ch. 3
    (comparing transportation
    effects); 
    id. ch. 4
    (comparing environmental impacts and
    presenting mitigation measures); 
    id. ch. 9
    (evaluating
    alternatives). The FEIS also includes FTA’s earlier responses
    to comments on the DEIS’s alternatives analysis. See 
    id. app. A.
    Requiring more detail on rejected alternatives would
    elevate form over function. The process undertaken fulfilled
    NEPA’s purpose to identify and analyze project alternatives, to
    make that analysis available for public comment, and to
    respond to those comments in a manner that explained the
    preferred alternative, thereby promoting reasoned, well-
    considered decisionmaking. See, e.g., Sierra Club v. U.S.
    Dep’t of Energy, 
    867 F.3d 189
    , 196 (D.C. Cir. 2017) (citations
    omitted).
    The Friends’ challenge to the adequacy of the FEIS’s
    examination of the Purple Line’s indirect environmental
    effects, see 40 C.F.R. §§ 1502.16(a), (b), is similarly
    unavailing. In the Friends’ view, FTA failed to analyze
    21
    adequately the impact of Purple Line-induced economic
    development on local water quality and wildlife or on the
    socioeconomic makeup of local communities.
    Under FTA’s regulations, “indirect effects” are those
    “caused by the action and are later in time or farther removed
    in distance, but are still reasonably foreseeable”; they include
    “growth inducing effects and other effects related to induced
    changes in the pattern of land use, population density or growth
    rate, and related effects on air and water and other natural
    systems, including ecosystems.” 40 C.F.R. § 1508.8(b). The
    required indirect effects analysis is thus limited to what is
    reasonably foreseeable, “with reasonable being the operative
    word.” Sierra 
    Club, 867 F.3d at 198
    . “[B]aseless speculation
    is unhelpful,” 
    id., and agencies
    “need not foresee the
    unforeseeable,” Del. Riverkeeper Network v. FERC, 
    753 F.3d 1304
    , 1310 (D.C. Cir. 2014). Still, agencies must “fulfill [their]
    duties to the fullest extent possible” with the information
    available. 
    Id. The analysis
    of indirect effects addressed in Chapter 7 of
    the FEIS meets this standard. That chapter defines the area of
    analysis as “a reasonable walking distance around station areas
    of approximately one-half-mile,” and identifies twelve urban
    light rail stations where the Purple Line would likely induce
    economic development. FEIS, ch. 7, at 2–6. It uses local land
    use and zoning plans to describe possible economic
    development at these stations to the cutoff year 2040. 
    Id. at 6–
    18. Cautioning that development plans may change for myriad
    market- and regulation-related reasons, the FEIS describes
    existing and reasonably foreseeable future projects that could
    have environmental and socioeconomic effects in areas
    surrounding the Purple Line Stations. 
    Id. This includes
    a
    discussion of water quality and stormwater drainage issues.
    For example, with respect to Coquelin Run, a stream near a
    22
    proposed Purple Line station in Chevy Chase, Maryland, the
    FEIS states that “any negative impact to water quality from the
    increased development [surrounding the station] would be
    avoided through the requirements of state and federal water
    quality regulations and the stated intent of the community to
    restore” the stream, as shown in local planning documents. 
    Id. at 11.
    The FEIS also acknowledges the potential for increased
    property values and discusses the potential socioeconomic
    effects at each station — including residential and commercial
    displacement, housing stock changes, business migration, and
    changes to neighborhood character.              
    Id. at 11–18.
    Additionally, in Chapter 4, it considers environmental justice
    issues and impacts on poor and minority communities. 
    Id. ch. 4,
    at 143–69. Because national, state, and local politico-
    economic factors affect these kinds of issues, FTA explains that
    “[t]he degree to which the Purple Line would affect . . .
    property values would be subjective and difficult to quantify.”
    ROD, at 96; see also FEIS, ch. 4, at 166–67.
    The Friends rely on Sierra Club v. FERC, 
    867 F.3d 1357
    (D.C. Cir. 2017). There, the court invalidated an indirect
    effects analysis because the agency had technical and
    contractual information on “how much gas the pipelines
    [would] transport” to specific power plants, and so could have
    estimated with some precision the level of greenhouse gas
    emissions produced by those power plants. 
    Id. at 1371–74.
    The court also recognized that “in some cases quantification
    may not be feasible.” 
    id. at 1374,
    and this is such a case. Local
    land use planning documents are inherently less concrete than
    numerical estimates based on pipeline capacity and contractual
    usage commitments. FTA discussed Purple Line-induced
    indirect effects based on local planning and zoning documents
    while acknowledging the limits of its prediction. Even
    assuming the indirect effects analysis could “be[] more
    thorough”, City of Alexandria v. Slater, 
    198 F.3d 862
    , 869–70
    23
    (D.C. Cir. 1999), the Friends have not identified a critical flaw
    or glaring hole that would inhibit NEPA’s information-
    promoting and accountability goals. See 
    Robertson, 490 U.S. at 348
    –49.
    Likewise unpersuasive is the Friends’ challenge to FTA’s
    decision to abandon its commitment to use a “green track”
    mitigation measure. In responding to public comments, FTA
    stated in the ROD that the Purple Line “will use” green track
    in certain locations, in which vegetation would be planted
    along the light rail route to reduce impervious surfaces, limit
    stormwater runoff, and provide aesthetic benefits. ROD,
    attach. C, at 91, 113; see FEIS, ch. 2, at 29. Subsequently,
    Maryland’s newly-elected Governor conditioned the State’s
    continued approval of the Purple Line on cost-cutting changes,
    including using other trackside mitigation measures such as
    crushed stone instead of green track. In the Friends’ view, this
    was a significant change that required preparation of a SEIS to
    reevaluate the Purple Line’s stormwater effects.
    Although breaking a promise to use green track mitigation
    may present a political issue, the Friends fail to show the
    change is legally significant enough to require preparation of a
    SEIS. Friends of the Capital Crescent Trail v. FTA, 255 F.
    Supp. 3d 60, 68–69 (D.D.C. June 9, 2017). Use of green track
    as a mitigation measure is hardly a central piece of the Purple
    Line, and FTA could reasonably conclude its elimination does
    not present a “seriously” different picture of environmental
    impacts that would require preparation of a SEIS. See Nat’l
    Comm. for the New 
    River, 373 F.3d at 1330
    . State
    environmental and stormwater standards will apply regardless
    of whether green track or another stormwater mitigation
    measure is used, and to that extent the environmental impact is
    the same. See Overview of Maryland Stormwater Management
    24
    Requirements and [Maryland’s] Approach to Stormwater
    Compliance for the Purple Line (Dec. 2015).
    National Wildlife Federation v. Marsh, 
    721 F.2d 767
    (11th Cir. 1983), illustrates the point. There, the agency
    revised its mitigation plan to consist of planting 200 acres of
    “green tree reservoirs” (i.e., wooded areas that are seasonally
    flooded to provide wildlife habitats) and adopting an “intense
    wildlife management” plan. 
    Id. at 772–73,
    782–83. The
    Eleventh Circuit concluded this was a “change in the character
    of the land itself,” and therefore required preparation of a SEIS.
    
    Id. at 783.
    Unlike those revisions, which “envision[ed] a
    change in the types of activities to be undertaken on the land,”
    
    id., there is
    no analogous basic change to the Purple Line
    project or its environmental effects.
    Finally, as to the district court’s order vacating the ROD
    pending completion of a SEIS, see Friends of the Capital
    Crescent Trail v. FTA, 
    200 F. Supp. 3d 248
    , 254 (D.D.C. Aug.
    3, 2016), our holdings that a SEIS was not required and that the
    FEIS challenges lack merit mean the vacatur was error. The
    court, therefore, need not address the parties’ contentions
    regarding the validity or not of vacatur.
    Accordingly, we reverse the grant of partial summary
    judgment to the Friends requiring the preparation of a SEIS and
    vacating the ROD, and we affirm the grant of partial summary
    judgment to FTA on the Friends’ challenges to the FEIS.