Archdiocese of Wash. v. Wash. Metro. Area Transit Auth. ( 2018 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued March 26, 2018                   Decided July 31, 2018
    No. 17-7171
    ARCHDIOCESE OF WASHINGTON, DONALD CARDINAL WUERL,
    A ROMAN CATHOLIC ARCHBISHOP OF WASHINGTON, A
    CORPORATION SOLE,
    APPELLANT
    v.
    WASHINGTON METROPOLITAN AREA TRANSIT AUTHORITY
    AND PAUL J. WIEDEFELD, IN HIS OFFICIAL CAPACITY AS
    GENERAL MANAGER OF THE WASHINGTON METROPOLITAN
    AREA TRANSIT AUTHORITY,
    APPELLEES
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the District of Columbia
    (No. 1:17-cv-02554)
    Paul D. Clement argued the cause for appellant. With him
    on the briefs were Michael F. Williams and Kasdin M. Mitchell.
    John M. Gore, Acting Assistant Attorney General, U.S.
    Department of Justice, Matthew J. Glover, Counsel to the
    Assistant Attorney General, Matthew M. Collette and Nicholas
    Y. Riley, Attorneys, were on the brief for amicus curiae United
    States in support of appellant.
    2
    Shannen W. Coffin was on the brief for amici curiae Ethics
    and Public Policy Center and First Liberty Institute in support
    of appellant.
    Jeffrey M. Johnson and Lisa M. Kaas were on the brief for
    amicus curiae The Franciscan Monastery USA, Inc. in support
    of appellant.
    Ryan A. Shores was on the brief for amici curiae Becket
    Fund for Religious Liberty, et al. in support of appellant.
    Donald B. Verrilli Jr. argued the cause for appellees. With
    him on the brief were Chad I. Golder, Jonathan Meltzer,
    Patricia Y. Lee, and Rex S. Heinke. Anthony T. Pierce entered
    an appearance.
    Before: ROGERS, KAVANAUGH and WILKINS, Circuit
    Judges.
    Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge ROGERS.
    Concurring opinion filed by Circuit Judge WILKINS.
    ROGERS, Circuit Judge: The Washington Metropolitan
    Transit Authority (“WMATA”) was established by compact
    between the State of Maryland, the Commonwealth of
    Virginia, and the District of Columbia to provide safe and
    reliable transportation services. See Pub. L. No. 89-774, 80
    Stat. 1324 (1966). Like other transit authorities, it sells
    commercial advertising space to defray the costs of its services,
    and for years it had accepted ads on all types of subjects. In
    
    Circuit Judge Kavanaugh was a member of the panel at the
    time the case was argued but did not participate in this opinion.
    3
    2015 WMATA closed its advertising space to issue-oriented
    ads, including political, religious, and advocacy ads. This
    decision followed extended complaints from riders,
    community groups, business interests, and its employees,
    resulting in regional and federal concerns about the safety and
    security of its transportation services, vandalism of its property,
    and a time-intensive administrative burden reviewing proposed
    ads and responding to complaints about ads.
    Since Lehman v. City of Shaker Heights, 
    418 U.S. 298
    (1974), transit authorities have been permitted to accept only
    commercial and public service oriented advertisements
    because “a streetcar or bus is plainly not a park or sidewalk or
    other meeting place for discussion,” but rather “is only a way
    to get to work or back home.” 
    Id. at 306
    (Douglas, J.,
    concurring). Under the Supreme Court’s forum doctrine,
    WMATA, as a non-public forum, may restrict its advertising
    “[a]ccess . . . as long as the restrictions are ‘reasonable and [are]
    not an effort to suppress expression merely because public
    officials oppose the speaker’s view.’” Cornelius v. NAACP
    Legal Def. & Educ. Fund, Inc., 
    473 U.S. 788
    , 800 (1985)
    (quoting Perry Educ. Ass’n v. Perry Local Educators’ Ass’n,
    
    460 U.S. 37
    , 46 (1983)). Based on experience that its approach
    to advertising was interfering with its ability to provide safe
    and reliable transportation service, WMATA adopted
    Guidelines Governing Commercial Advertising, employing
    broad subject-matter prohibitions in order to maintain
    viewpoint neutrality and avoid ad hoc bureaucratic
    determinations about which ads are benign and which are not.
    Guideline 12 states: “Advertisements that promote or oppose
    any religion, religious practice or belief are prohibited.”
    The Archdiocese of Washington contends that Guideline
    12 violates the First Amendment and the Religious Freedom
    Restoration Act (“RFRA”) and seeks a mandatory preliminary
    4
    injunction that would require WMATA to place an avowedly
    religious ad on the exteriors of its buses. The Archdiocese has
    not shown, however, that WMATA is impermissibly
    suppressing its viewpoint on an otherwise permitted subject,
    and its claim of discriminatory treatment is based on
    hypothesis. Following Rosenberger v. Rector & Visitors of the
    University of Virginia, 
    515 U.S. 819
    , 831 (1995), WMATA
    may exclude religion as a subject matter from its advertising
    space.     Notably, there is no principled limit to the
    Archdiocese’s conflation of subject-matter restrictions with
    viewpoint-based restrictions as concerns religion. Were the
    Archdiocese to prevail, WMATA (and other transit systems)
    would have to accept all types of advertisements to maintain
    viewpoint neutrality, including ads criticizing and disparaging
    religion and religious tenets or practices. Because the
    Archdiocese has not demonstrated a likelihood of prevailing on
    the merits or that the equities weigh favorably, it has not met
    the demanding standard for a mandatory preliminary
    injunction. See Dorfmann v. Boozer, 
    414 F.2d 1168
    , 1173
    (D.C. Cir. 1969).
    I.
    Until 2015, WMATA had accepted most issue-oriented
    advertisements, including political, religious, and advocacy
    ads. Beginning in 2010, WMATA began to reconsider its
    approach as a result of near-monthly complaints from its
    employees, riders, elected officials, and community and
    business leaders about its advertisements. See Decl. of Lynn
    M. Bowersox, WMATA Ass’t Gen. Mgr., Cust. Serv., Comms.
    & Mktg., in support of Defs’ Opp. to Mot. for TRO and Prel.
    Inj., ¶¶ 4–5 & Ex. A (Dec. 1, 2017) (“Bowersox Decl.”). The
    complaints spanned objections to ads that were critical of the
    Catholic Church’s position against use of condoms, to ads by
    People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals with graphic
    5
    images of animal cruelty, to ads opposing discrimination based
    on sexual orientation. The condoms ad, for example,
    “generated hundreds of angry phone calls and letters and
    generated the second-largest negative response to any ad[] ever
    run in WMATA advertising space.” 
    Id. ¶ 25.
    An “anti-Islam
    ad . . . was also a factor in WMATA’s decision to change its
    advertising space to a nonpublic forum.” 
    Id. ¶¶ 11,
    26. The
    Metro Transit Police Department and the United States
    Department of Homeland Security “feared that certain ads
    would, due to world events, incite individuals to violence on
    the system and harm WMATA employees and customers.” 
    Id. ¶ 11.
    Specifically, they referred to events following “a contest
    to create a cartoon depiction of the Prophet Muhammad.” 
    Id. A cartoon
    that was submitted as an ad to WMATA “raised
    concerns, because some Muslims consider drawing the Prophet
    Mohammed so offensive that they have reacted violently to
    such depictions in the past.” 
    Id. (differing spellings
    in
    original). “WMATA was aware that two gunmen were killed
    after they attempted to attack the building where the contest . .
    . was being held.” 
    Id. Additionally, a
    survey showed that
    “98% of the public was familiar with the types of ads found on
    buses, in trains, and in stations,” that “58% opposed issue-
    oriented ads,” and that “46% were extremely opposed to . . .
    issue-oriented ads.” 
    Id. ¶ 14.
    On November 19, 2015, the WMATA Board of Directors,
    with representatives from Maryland, Virginia, and the District
    of Columbia, decided to narrow the subjects that it would
    accept in WMATA advertising space. Upon resolving that
    WMATA’s advertising space is closed “to issue-oriented ads,
    including political, religious and advocacy ads,” Res. 2015-55,
    the Board adopted Guidelines Governing Commercial
    Advertising, (Nov. 19, 2015) (eff. 30 days after adoption),
    including Guideline 12 prohibiting “[a]dvertisements that
    promote or oppose any religion, religious practice or belief.”
    6
    The Board concluded that any economic benefit derived from
    issue-oriented advertising was outweighed by four
    considerations: (1) complaints from its employees, community
    opposition and outcry, and adverse publicity for WMATA; (2)
    security concerns from the Metro Transit Police Department
    and the United States Department of Homeland Security; (3)
    vandalism of WMATA property; and (4) the administrative
    burden associated with the time-intensive process of reviewing
    proposed ads and responding to complaints about ads.
    Bowersox Decl. ¶¶ 9–13. Since the Guidelines took effect,
    WMATA has regularly rejected ads as non-compliant with its
    Guidelines, including Guideline 12. See 
    id. ¶ 17
    & Ex. C.
    The “Find the Perfect Gift” ad that the Archdiocese seeks
    to have WMATA place on the exterior of its buses depicts a
    starry night and the silhouettes of three shepherds and sheep on
    a hill facing a bright shining star high in the sky, along with the
    words “Find the Perfect Gift.” The ad includes a web address
    and a social media hashtag. Its website, although still under
    construction when the ad was submitted to WMATA,
    “contained substantial content promoting the Catholic
    Church,” including “a link to ‘Parish Resources,’ . . . a way to
    ‘Order Holy Cards,’ and . . . religious videos and ‘daily
    reflections’ of a religious nature.” 
    Id. ¶ 19.
    The Archdiocese
    explains that “[t]he ‘Find the Perfect Gift’ campaign is an
    important part of [its] evangelization efforts,” Decl. of Dr.
    Susan Timoney, S.T.D., Sec’y for Pastoral Ministry and Social
    Concerns, Archdiocese of Wash., ¶ 4 (Nov. 27, 2017)
    (“Timoney Decl.”), “welcoming all to Christmas Mass or . . .
    joining in public service to help the most vulnerable in our
    community during the liturgical season of Advent,” Decl. of
    Edward McFadden, Sec’y of Commns., Archdiocese of Wash.,
    serving Cardinal Donald Woerl, ¶ 3 (Nov. 27, 2017)
    (“McFadden Decl.”). Dr. Timoney advises: “It is critically
    important for the goals of the . . . campaign that the
    7
    Archdiocese begin spreading its message before the Advent
    season” because “[t]he Roman Catholic Church teaches” that
    in “sharing in the long preparation for the Savior’s arrival with
    the first Christmas, we renew our ardent desire for Christ’s
    second coming.” Timoney Decl. ¶ 5.
    When the Archdiocese sought to purchase space for the
    “Find the Perfect Gift” ad on the exterior of Metrobuses,
    WMATA declined on the ground that it was impermissible
    under Guideline 12 “because it depicts a religious scene and
    thus seeks to promote religion.” McFadden Decl. ¶¶ 7, 12, 16
    (internal quotations omitted). On November 28, 2017, the
    Archdiocese filed a complaint for declaratory and injunctive
    relief under the First Amendment’s Free Speech and Free
    Exercise Clauses, RFRA, and the Fifth Amendment’s
    guarantees of due process and equal protection. The
    Archdiocese sought a declaration that Guideline 12 was
    unconstitutional under the First and Fifth Amendments and
    violated RFRA, and an injunction preventing WMATA from
    enforcing Guideline 12 to reject the Archdiocese’s ad.
    The district court denied the Archdiocese’s motion for a
    temporary restraining order (“TRO”) and preliminary
    injunction. 
    281 F. Supp. 3d 88
    (D.D.C. 2017). Concluding the
    Archdiocese was not likely to succeed on the merits, the court
    ruled that Guideline 12 was consistent with the Free Speech
    Clause as a viewpoint neutral and reasonable regulation in a
    non-public forum, and that Guideline 12 did not burden the
    Archdiocese’s right to free exercise as a neutral and generally
    applicable regulation not singling out religious activity for
    
    suppression. 281 F. Supp. 3d at 102
    –05, 107–14. The court
    also rejected the Archdiocese’s arguments based on RFRA and
    the Fifth Amendment’s Due Process and Equal Protection
    Clauses. 
    Id. at 115–16.
    The court further concluded that the
    three other preliminary injunction factors did not weigh in
    8
    favor of granting injunctive relief, including because the
    Archdiocese’s “irreparable harm argument rises and falls with
    its merits arguments.” 
    Id. at 116.
    The Archdiocese appealed and filed an emergency motion
    for an injunction pending appeal, “preventing WMATA from
    denying the Archdiocese’s ‘Find the Perfect Gift’ campaign,”
    and an expedited appeal on the merits. This court denied the
    motion for a mandatory injunction pending appeal on
    December 20, 2017, but set an expedited briefing schedule.
    After initially maintaining the case is moot because Advent has
    passed, the government desisted once the Archdiocese
    indicated it “specifically intend[s] to ask to run this exact ad in
    the next Advent season,” Oral Arg. Tr. 27 (Mar. 26, 2018)
    (counsel for WMATA).
    II.
    A preliminary injunction is an “extraordinary remedy,”
    Monsanto Co. v. Geertson Seed Farms, 
    561 U.S. 139
    , 165
    (2010) (citation omitted). The moving party must make a
    “clear showing that four factors, taken together, warrant relief:
    likely success on the merits, likely irreparable harm in the
    absence of preliminary relief, a balance of the equities in its
    favor, and accord with the public interest.” League of Women
    Voters v. Newby, 
    838 F.3d 1
    , 6 (D.C. Cir. 2016) (citations
    omitted). This court “reviews the district court’s legal
    conclusions as to each of the four factors de novo, and its
    weighing of them for abuse of discretion.” 
    Id. at 6–7
    (citing
    Davis v. Pension Benefit Guar. Corp., 
    571 F.3d 1288
    , 1291
    (D.C. Cir. 2009)).
    9
    A.
    On appeal, the Archdiocese contends that Guideline 12
    “unconstitutionally abridges . . . free speech rights by
    suppressing religious viewpoints on subjects that WMATA
    otherwise allows on bus exteriors.” Appellant’s Br. 13
    (emphasis in original). The Archdiocese also contends that
    WMATA enforces Guideline 12 “arbitrarily by permitting
    some religious speech while excluding the Archdiocese’s,”
    which “violates the First Amendment’s free speech guarantee.”
    
    Id. at 14.
    Further, the Archdiocese contends that Guideline 12
    “raises problems under the Religion Clauses and RFRA”
    because “WMATA’s exclusion of all religious speech from bus
    exteriors and its interference with the Archdiocese’s religious
    exercise violates the Free Exercise Clause and RFRA, and
    WMATA’s arbitrary enforcement puts it in the position of a
    religious censor . . . favor[ing] some religions over others in
    violation of the Establishment Clause (and equal protection
    principles).” 
    Id. 1. To
    determine whether the Archdiocese has shown
    that it is likely to prevail on the merits requires a threshold
    determination of the nature of the forum at issue. The Supreme
    Court recently reaffirmed its “‘forum-based’ approach for
    assessing restrictions that the government seeks to place on the
    use of its property.” Minn. Voters Alliance v. Mansky, 138 S.
    Ct. 1876, 1885 (2018) (quoting Int’l Soc. For Krishna
    Consciousness, Inc. v. Lee, 
    505 U.S. 672
    , 678 (1992)). The
    Supreme Court has long recognized that “[e]ven protected
    speech is not equally permissible in all places and at all times”
    and that the government is not “require[d] . . . freely to grant
    access to all who wish to exercise their right to free speech on
    every type of [g]overnment property without regard to the
    nature of the property or to the disruption that might be caused
    by the speaker’s activities.” 
    Cornelius, 473 U.S. at 799
    –800.
    10
    Under the forum doctrine, the Supreme Court
    acknowledges that “[t]he existence of a right of access to public
    property and the standard by which limitations upon such right
    must be evaluated differ depending on the character of the
    property at issue.” Perry Educ. 
    Ass’n, 460 U.S. at 44
    . The
    Court identified three categories of property. First, public
    forums are “places which by long tradition or by government
    fiat have been devoted to assembly and debate,” such as
    sidewalks or parks, where “the rights of the state to limit
    expressive activity are sharply circumscribed.” 
    Id. at 45.
    To
    enforce a content-based exclusion in a public forum, the
    regulation must satisfy strict scrutiny. 
    Id. (citing Carey
    v.
    Brown, 
    447 U.S. 455
    , 461 (1980)). Second, designated public
    forums are those in which the government has “opened” public
    property “as a place for expressive activity.” 
    Id. “Although [the
    government] is not required to indefinitely retain the open
    character of the facility, as long as it does so it is bound by the
    same standards as apply in a traditional public forum.” 
    Id. at 46.
    Third, a non-public forum is public property which is not
    by tradition or designation a public forum, and “the
    [government] may reserve the forum for its intended purposes,
    communicative or otherwise, as long as the regulation on
    speech is reasonable and not an effort to suppress expression
    merely because public officials oppose the speaker’s view.” 
    Id. (citing U.S.
    Postal Serv. v. Council of Greenburgh Civic
    Ass’ns, 
    453 U.S. 114
    , 131 n.7 (1981)). In this third category,
    policy or practice may establish that the property is not held
    open to the public for general debate because “the
    [government], no less than a private owner of property, has
    power to preserve the property under its control for the use to
    which it is lawfully dedicated.” 
    Id. (quoting U.S.
    Postal 
    Serv., 453 U.S. at 129
    ; citing Greer v. Spock, 
    424 U.S. 828
    , 836
    (1976); Adderley v. Florida, 
    385 U.S. 39
    , 48 (1966)).
    11
    The Archdiocese fails to show that the advertising space
    on WMATA’s buses is not properly treated as a non-public
    forum. Indeed, the Archdiocese conceded as much in the
    district court, affirming in response to questions that it was
    “conceding at this point that it’s not a public forum” and that
    the district court “[did not] have to address that [contrary]
    argument anymore.” 2017 Motion Hg. Tr. at 4–5. The
    Archdiocese further stipulated that the legal standard for non-
    public forums requires there be “no viewpoint discrimination
    and the restrictions that are applied are reasonable in the
    context and based on the purposes of the forum,” 
    id. at 3–4,
    the
    standard to which its briefs to this court have conformed. Its
    attempt to backtrack now comes too late, see United States v.
    Olano, 
    507 U.S. 725
    , 733 (1993); Singleton v. Wulff, 
    428 U.S. 106
    , 120 (1976), because other than pointing to the emergency
    nature of the TRO proceeding, the Archdiocese offers no
    explanation why this court should depart from the usual
    practice of deeming concessions in the district court waived for
    the purposes of appeal, see, e.g., Flynn v. Comm’r, 
    269 F.3d 1064
    , 1068–69 (D.C. Cir. 2001).
    Even absent the Archdiocese’s concession, it is clear that
    WMATA’s advertising space is a non-public forum. Having
    treated its advertising space as an open forum, WMATA’s
    Board of Directors in 2015 made a considered decision based
    on experience to “close[]” its advertising space to specific
    subjects. Res. 2015-55. The Supreme Court’s has recognized
    that “a state is not required to indefinitely retain the open
    character of [a designated public forum],” Perry Educ. 
    Ass’n, 460 U.S. at 46
    , and that it may instead choose to convert a
    designated public forum back into a non-public forum because
    “the government retains the choice” regarding the status of its
    forum, Arkansas Educ. Television Comm’n v. Forbes, 
    523 U.S. 666
    , 680 (1998); see 
    Cornelius, 473 U.S. at 802
    , 803–04;
    
    Lehman, 418 U.S. at 304
    (plurality opinion). Previously, this
    12
    court concluded that by accepting political advertising
    WMATA had designated its subway stations public forums.
    Lebron v. WMATA, 
    749 F.2d 893
    , 896 (D.C. Cir. 1984); see
    also Am. Freedom Def. Initiative v. MTA, 
    109 F. Supp. 3d 626
    ,
    628 (S.D.N.Y. 2015), aff’d, 
    815 F.3d 105
    (2d Cir. 2016).
    Having plainly evinced its intent in 2015 to close WMATA’s
    advertising space to certain subjects, the Board of Directors
    converted that space into a non-public forum in the manner
    contemplated by the Supreme Court. See 
    Cornelius, 473 U.S. at 803
    –04.
    Treatment of WMATA’s advertising space as a non-public
    forum is consistent with longstanding Supreme Court
    precedent. In Lehman, the First Amendment challenge arose
    with respect to prohibiting political advertising on city buses.
    The Court held that advertising space on public transit was
    properly treated as a non-public forum because a “bus is plainly
    not a park or sidewalk or other meeting place for discussion”
    but rather “only a way to get to work or back home.” 
    Lehman, 418 U.S. at 306
    (Douglas, J., concurring); see also 
    Cornelius, 473 U.S. at 803
    –04. The Court drew on its precedent
    distinguishing between “traditional settings where First
    Amendment values inalterably prevail,” and “commercial
    venture[s],” where “[p]urveyors of goods and services saleable
    in commerce may purchase advertising space.” 
    Lehman, 418 U.S. at 302
    –04 (plurality opinion) (internal quotation marks
    and citation omitted); 
    id. at 305–06.
    (Douglas, J. concurring).
    In view of concerns about jeopardizing advertising revenues
    and “lurking doubts about favoritism, and sticky administrative
    problems [that] might arise in parceling out limited space,” the
    Court concluded “the managerial decision to limit car card
    space to innocuous and less controversial commercial and
    service oriented advertising does not rise to the dignity of a
    First Amendment violation.” 
    Id. at 304
    (plurality opinion); see
    also 
    id. at 305–06
    (Douglas, J., concurring). A contrary
    13
    conclusion would mean “display cases in public hospitals,
    libraries, office buildings, military compounds, and other
    public facilities immediately would become Hyde Parks open
    to every would-be pamphleteer and politician.” 
    Id. at 304
    (plurality opinion).
    The Archdiocese attempts to distinguish WMATA’s bus
    exteriors from the public transit advertising space in Lehman
    because they “reach[] an audience in a quintessential public
    forum.” Appellant’s Br. 17 n.1. But it points to no precedent
    that visibility from a quintessential public forum, like a park or
    street, renders a non-public forum public or alters its status for
    the purposes of First Amendment analysis; were that the law,
    then the mere visibility of the Supreme Court plaza from the
    sidewalk, or of a military installation to passersby, might
    convey a constitutional obligation to host expression. The
    Archdiocese also attempts to distinguish Lehman because bus
    exteriors are “unlike the interiors with their distinct captive
    audience problems addressed in [Lehman].” 
    Id. The rationale
    in Lehman was not so limited. The Supreme Court concluded
    that a city does not “by selling advertising space . . . turn[] its
    buses into free speech forums.” 
    Lehman, 418 U.S. at 305
    –06
    (Douglas, J., concurring); cf. Marks v. United States, 
    430 U.S. 188
    , 193 (1977) (citation omitted).
    The Supreme Court, in citing Lehman with approval in
    
    Cornelius, 473 U.S. at 803
    –04, underscored that transit
    systems, unlike spaces like parks and sidewalks that have
    historically been used for congregation and discussion, have a
    utilitarian purpose that governments are entitled to maintain, at
    least where they have provided a non-speech-suppressive
    rationale for regulation. City buses, by contrast, enjoy no
    historical tradition like parks and sidewalks because transit was
    a private enterprise in most American cities until the second
    half of the twentieth century. See George M. Smerk, Urban
    14
    Mass Transportation: From Private to Public to Privatization,
    26 TRANSPORTATION J. 83, 83–84 (1986); Jay Young,
    Infrastructure: Mass Transit in 19th- and 20th-Century Urban
    America, OXFORD RESEARCH ENCYCLOPEDIA OF AMERICAN
    HISTORY, 5 & n. 30 (Mar. 2015) (citing DAVID E. NYE,
    ELECTRIFYING AMERICA: SOCIAL MEANINGS OF A NEW
    TECHNOLOGY, 1880-1940 at 90–91 (Cambridge: MIT Press
    1992)).
    2.   WMATA’s decision in Guideline 12 was
    consonant with recognition by the Supreme Court that the
    government has wide latitude to restrict subject matters —
    including those of great First Amendment salience, see Minn.
    Voters 
    Alliance, 138 S. Ct. at 1885
    –86 (collecting citations on
    political speech); Cornelius, 
    473 U.S. 788
    (political speech);
    
    Rosenberger, 515 U.S. at 831
    (religious speech) — in a non-
    public forum as long as it maintains viewpoint neutrality and
    acts reasonably. Far from undermining First Amendment
    values, the Court has understood the latitude afforded the
    government in regulating a non-public forum to promote these
    values. The non-public forum preserves some speech where
    there is no constitutional obligation to do so. The Court
    explained:
    The Cornelius distinction between general and
    selective access furthers First Amendment interests.
    By recognizing the distinction, we encourage the
    government to open its property to some expressive
    activity in cases where, if faced with an all-or-nothing
    choice, it might not open the property at all. That this
    distinction turns on governmental intent does not
    render it unprotective of speech. Rather, it reflects the
    reality that, with the exception of traditional public
    fora, the government retains the choice of whether to
    15
    designate its property as a forum for specified classes
    of speakers.
    Arkansas Educ. Television 
    Comm’n, 523 U.S. at 680
    . The
    government need not be forced into the choice between “the
    prospect of cacophony, on the one hand, and First Amendment
    liability, on the other.” 
    Id. at 681.
    In addition to preserving speech, the non-public forum
    doctrine, by requiring that the government prospectively and
    categorically set subject matter regulations, see 
    Rosenberger, 515 U.S. at 829
    , preserves the government’s ability to manage
    potentially sensitive non-public forums while cabining its
    discretion to censor messages it finds more or less
    objectionable. This constraint is especially important in the
    context of religious speech, given our cultural and
    constitutional commitment to religious liberty and the historic
    role of religiously motivated dissent from government
    orthodoxy in the development of free-speech rights. See, e.g.,
    W. Va. Bd. of Educ. v. Barnette, 
    319 U.S. 624
    , 642 (1943).
    Because Guideline 12 prohibits religious and anti-religious ads
    in clear, broad categories, bureaucrats are not called upon to
    decide whether the ad criticizing the Catholic Church’s
    position on condom usage, or the anti-Islam Muhammad ad, or
    the Find a Perfect Gift campaign ad is the more “offensive,” or
    otherwise censor religious messages. WMATA’s subject-
    based prohibition abides by the Supreme Court’s recognition
    that “[i]f there is any fixed star in our constitutional
    constellation, it is that no official, high or petty, can prescribe
    what shall be orthodox in politics, nationalism, religion, or
    other matters of opinion.” 
    Barnette, 319 U.S. at 642
    ; see
    Masterpiece Cakeshop Ltd. v. Colorado Civil Rights Comm’n,
    
    138 S. Ct. 1719
    , 1731 (2018).
    16
    The Archdiocese’s position would eliminate the
    government’s prerogative to exclude religion as a subject
    matter in any non-public forum. It contends Supreme Court
    precedent prohibits governments from banning religion as a
    subject matter, and that Guideline 12 is unconstitutional for that
    reason. Not only is this position contrary to the Supreme
    Court’s recognition that governments retain the prerogative to
    exclude religion as a subject matter, see 
    Rosenberger, 515 U.S. at 831
    , it would also undermine the forum doctrine because the
    Archdiocese offers no principled reason for excepting religion
    from the general proposition that governments may exclude
    subjects in their non-public forums. Although religious speech
    might be an exception either because it is highly valuable or
    because it receives specific protection in the First Amendment,
    the same can be said of political speech on which the Supreme
    Court has upheld bans against constitutional challenges. See,
    e.g., Arkansas Educ. Television 
    Comm’n, 523 U.S. at 669
    ;
    Cornelius 
    473 U.S. 788
    . The Archdiocese’s position could
    have sweeping implications for what speech a government may
    be compelled to allow once it allows any at all, even forcing a
    choice between opening non-public forums to almost any
    private speech or to none, which the Supreme Court
    acknowledged in Arkansas Educational Television
    
    Commission, 523 U.S. at 680
    , was not merely hypothetical.
    The Archdiocese contends also that, notwithstanding
    whether the exclusion of religion could ever be constitutional
    in any non-public forum, Guideline 12 is unconstitutional
    because, like the restrictions challenged in Rosenberger,
    Lamb’s Chapel v. Center Moriches Union Free School Dist.,
    
    508 U.S. 384
    (1993), and Good News Club v. Milford Central
    School, 
    533 U.S. 98
    (2001), it suppresses the Archdiocese’s
    religious viewpoint on subjects that are otherwise includable in
    the forum. But far from being an abrogation of the distinction
    between permissible subject matter rules and impermissible
    17
    viewpoint discrimination, each of these cases represents an
    application of the Supreme Court’s viewpoint discrimination
    analysis, of which Guideline 12 does not run afoul. In each,
    the Court held that the government had engaged in
    unconstitutional viewpoint discrimination because the
    challenged regulation operated to exclude religious viewpoints
    on otherwise includable topics. An examination of each case
    demonstrates the contrast between the breadth of subjects
    encompassed by the forums at issue and WMATA’s in which,
    unlike the restrictions struck down by the Court, Guideline 12
    does not function to exclude religious viewpoints but rather
    proscribes advertisements on the entire subject matter of
    religion.
    In Rosenberger, the University’s Guidelines stated that
    “the purpose of the [Student Activities Fund (“SAF”)]” was “to
    support a broad range of extracurricular student activities that
    ‘are related to the educational purpose of the University,’”
    because “the University[] ‘recogni[zed] that the availability of
    a wide range of opportunities’ for its students ‘tends to enhance
    the University environment.’” 
    Rosenberger, 515 U.S. at 824
    (quoting Appendix to Pet. for Cert. 26, 61a). Its Guidelines
    “recognize[d] 11 categories of student groups that may seek
    payment to third-party contractors because they ‘are related to
    the educational purpose of the University of Virginia,’”
    including “student news, information, opinion, entertainment,
    or academic communications media groups.” 
    Id. (quoting Appendix
    to Pet. for Cert. 61a–62a). The University denied
    funding for Wide Awake: A Christian Perspective at the
    University of Virginia, “invok[ing]” a Guideline “prohibit[ing]
    . . . funding on behalf of publications that primarily promot[e]
    or manifes[t] a particular belie[f] in or about a deity or an
    ultimate reality.” 
    Id. at 836
    (internal quotation marks omitted).
    The Supreme Court found this Guideline to “effect[] a
    sweeping restriction on student thought . . . in the context of
    18
    University sponsored publications” and held the Guideline was
    viewpoint discriminatory because “[b]y the very terms of the
    SAF prohibition, the University does not exclude religion as a
    subject matter but selects for disfavored treatment those
    student journalistic efforts with religious editorial viewpoints.”
    
    Id. at 831,
    836 (emphasis added). The Court concluded that
    “[t]he prohibited perspective, not the general subject matter,
    resulted in the refusal to make third-party payments, for the
    subjects discussed [in Wide Awake] were otherwise within the
    approved category of publications.” 
    Id. at 831.
    In Lamb’s Chapel, the school property could be used for
    “the holding of ‘social, civic and recreational meetings and
    entertainments, and other uses pertaining to the welfare of the
    community,’” but it could “not be used by any group for
    religious purposes.” Lamb’s 
    Chapel, 508 U.S. at 386
    –87
    (quoting New York Educ. Law § 414(1)(c) & Appendix to Pet.
    for Cert. 57a). When an evangelical church in the community
    and its pastor applied for permission to use school facilities to
    show lectures by Doctor James Dobson on his “views on the
    undermining influences of the media that could only be
    counterbalanced by returning to traditional, Christian family
    values instilled at an early stage,” that is, a “[f]amily oriented
    movie — from a Christian perspective,” permission was
    denied. 
    Id. at 387–89
    (citation omitted). The Supreme Court,
    acknowledging that “[t]here is no suggestion from the courts
    below or from the [school] District or the State that a lecture or
    film about child rearing and family values would not be a use
    for social or civic purposes otherwise permitted,” reasoned that
    because “[t]hat subject matter is not one . . . off limits to any
    and all speakers,” the government had impermissibly “denie[d]
    access to a speaker solely to suppress the point of view he
    espouses on an otherwise includable subject.” 
    Id. at 393–94
    (quoting 
    Cornelius, 473 U.S. at 806
    ) (emphasis added).
    19
    Similar circumstances were present in Good News Club,
    where the Milford Central School “enacted a community use
    policy” stating purposes “for which its building could be used
    after school,” including that “district residents may use the
    school for ‘instruction in any branch of education, learning or
    the arts’” and that “the school is available for ‘social, civic and
    recreational meetings and entertainment events, and other uses
    pertaining to the welfare of the community, provided that such
    uses shall be nonexclusive and shall be opened to the general
    public.” Good News 
    Club, 533 U.S. at 102
    (quoting Appendix
    to Pet. for Cert. D1–D3). When the “sponsors of the local Good
    News Club, a private Christian organization for children ages
    6 to 12,” sought to use the school’s facilities “to have ‘a fun
    time of singing songs, hearing a Bible lesson and memorizing
    scripture,’” the district’s interim superintendent denied their
    request on the ground that their proposed use “was ‘the
    equivalent of religious worship.’” 
    Id. at 103
    (quoting Appendix
    to Pet. for Cert. H1–H2). The Supreme Court held that the
    school’s “exclusion of the Good News Club based on its
    religious nature is indistinguishable from the exclusions in
    [Rosenberger and Lamb’s Chapel]” and “that the exclusion
    constitutes viewpoint discrimination” because there was “no
    question that teaching morals and character development to
    children is a permissible purpose under Milford’s policy” and
    “it is clear that the [Good News] Club teaches moral and
    character development to children,” but was excluded from the
    use of school facilities “because Milford found the Club’s
    activities to be religious in nature.” 
    Id. at 107–08.
    The restriction in WMATA Guideline 12 is unlike those
    challenged in this trio of cases. In each case the property had
    been opened to a wide range of subjects without excluding
    religion and disallowing a religious viewpoint to be expressed
    in those forums was unconstitutional. To the extent those cases
    can be read to blur the line between religion-as-subject-matter
    20
    and a religious viewpoint, the Supreme Court’s analysis
    emphasizes the breadth of the forums involved: the “broad
    range” of activities in service of “educational purpose”
    contemplated in 
    Rosenberger, 515 U.S. at 824
    , and the
    capacious range of “social, civic and recreational meetings and
    entertainments, and other uses pertaining to the welfare of the
    community” that might have been permitted in Lamb’s 
    Chapel, 508 U.S. at 386
    , and Good News 
    Club, 533 U.S. at 102
    . By
    contrast, WMATA’s forum — its advertising space on the
    exteriors of its buses — is not so broad, much less inviting
    through its advertisements public debate on religion. Given the
    express boundaries and narrow character of WMATA’s forum,
    the Archdiocese’s “Find the Perfect Gift” ad does not represent
    an excluded viewpoint on an otherwise includable subject. The
    rejection of its ad instead reflects WMATA’s implementation
    of a policy that the Supreme Court has deemed permissible in
    a non-public forum, namely the “exclu[sion of] religion as a
    subject matter,” 
    Rosenberger, 515 U.S. at 831
    ; see Lamb’s
    
    Chapel, 508 U.S. at 393
    .
    The precedents from our sister circuits on which the
    Archdiocese relies do not disturb this understanding of the trio
    of Supreme Court cases. Although the Archdiocese maintains
    that Rosenberger does not permit the government to ban
    religion as a subject matter, Appellant’s Br. 22–23, and that the
    circuit cases “interpret[] Rosenberger in just this way[,]”
    “reject[ing] arguments materially indistinguishable from
    WMATA’s effort to defend the exclusion of religion and
    religious viewpoints,” Appellant’s Br. 23, in fact these cases
    underscore that precedent requires an evaluation of the forum
    the government has created in order to determine whether a
    challenged regulation discriminates on the basis of viewpoint,
    and are an application of that analysis, rather than an
    affirmation of the principle that religion as a subject may never
    be banned in a non-public forum.
    21
    Of the cases the Archdiocese cites, only the Second Circuit
    has directly addressed whether Rosenberger permits the
    exclusion of religion as a subject matter from a non-public
    forum. Byrne v. Rutledge, 
    623 F.3d 46
    (2d Cir. 2010)
    concerned a forum much broader in scope than WMATA’s.
    Vermont’s regulation of vanity license plates allowed motorists
    to place secular messages relating to their “personal
    philosophy, beliefs, and values . . . identity and affiliation . . .
    and statements of inspiration,” but excluded religious messages
    “on matters of self-identity or . . . statements of love, respect,
    or inspiration.” 
    Id. at 57.
    The Second Circuit held that the
    State had engaged in viewpoint discrimination because it
    “distinguish[ed] between those who seek to express secular and
    religious views on the same subjects.” 
    Id. at 56–57
    (emphasis
    in original). Although observing that “Lamb’s Chapel,
    Rosenberger, and Good News Club, read together, sharply
    draw into question whether a blanket ban such as Vermont’s on
    all religious messages in a forum that has otherwise been
    broadly opened to expression on a wide variety of subjects can
    neatly be classified as purely a ‘subject matter’ restriction for
    purposes of First Amendment analysis,” the court declined to
    “address bans on religious speech in forums limited to
    discussion of certain, designated topics,” 
    id. at 58–59.
    The
    court’s holding thus accords with WMATA’s view that the
    government may in a non-public forum it has established for
    its advertising space proscribe religion as a subject matter
    consistent with the Supreme Court’s precedent. This view also
    accords with that of the Ninth Circuit, which has held that
    Rosenberger permits a school district seeking to avoid
    “disruption” to proscribe display of religious messages in a
    non-public forum reserved for commercial messages. See
    DiLoreto v. Downey Unified School Dist., 
    196 F.3d 958
    , 967–
    70 (9th Cir. 1999).
    22
    The other circuit cases that the Archdiocese cites aid it
    even less because they do not construe Rosenberger, but apply
    it to invalidate as viewpoint discriminatory government
    policies that sought to exclude religious viewpoints on
    otherwise includable topics in a non-public forum. The
    Seventh Circuit struck down the exclusion of religious
    “seasonal displays” where “comparable secular holiday
    displays by other private groups are permitted,” Grossbaum v.
    Indianapolis-Marion County Bldg. Auth., 
    63 F.3d 581
    , 588 (7th
    Cir. 1995), and prior to Rosenberger had struck down a policy
    prohibiting the distribution of religious literature in school
    where only “obscenity and libel” were similarly prohibited,
    Hedges v. Wauconda Comm. Unit School Dist. No. 118, 
    9 F.3d 1295
    , 1297–98 (7th Cir. 1993). The Eighth Circuit cited
    Lamb’s Chapel in invalidating a school district policy
    permitting “any speech relating to moral character and youth
    development” but excluding a club that wished to speak on that
    topic from a religious perspective. Good News/Good Sports
    Club v. School Dist. of Cty. of Ladue, 
    28 F.3d 1501
    , 1506 (8th
    Cir. 1994). The Tenth Circuit simply reiterates the principle
    that “[i]f . . . the government permits secular displays on a
    nonpublic forum, it cannot ban displays discussing otherwise
    permissible topics from a religious perspective,” Summum v.
    Callaghan, 
    130 F.3d 906
    , 918 (10th Cir. 1997).
    The Archdiocese nonetheless contends that Guideline 12
    suppresses its religious viewpoint to the extent it wishes to
    address topics such as charitable giving, Christmas, and
    opening hours on which WMATA allows non-religious but not
    religious messages. Similarly, the Franciscan Monastery USA,
    one of the Archdiocese’s amici, maintains that its ad exhorting
    viewers to visit the Franciscan Monastery of the Holy Land in
    America expresses its religious viewpoint on places to visit, on
    which WMATA allows secular but not religious messages.
    These contentions are unpersuasive because the subjects on
    23
    which the Archdiocese and the Monastery claim they wish to
    speak through advertisements on WMATA buses are either not
    subjects within the forum or are not subjects on which they
    have shown they could not speak under Guideline 12.
    The Archdiocese’s “Find the Perfect Gift” ad is not
    primarily or recognizably about charitable giving, as it is not
    primarily or recognizably about opening hours or places to
    visit. Like the Monastery’s ad, the Archdiocese’s ad is a
    religious ad, an exhortation, repeatedly acknowledged by the
    Archdiocese to be part of its evangelization effort to attend
    mass at Catholic churches in connection with Advent.
    Timoney Decl. ¶ 4; McFadden Decl. ¶ 3. The imagery of the
    Archdiocese’s “Find the Perfect Gift” ad is evocative not of the
    desirability of charitable giving, but rather the saving grace of
    Christ, which is not a subject included in the WMATA forum.
    Had the Archdiocese wished to submit an ad encouraging
    charitable giving, nothing in the record suggests it could not do
    so. WMATA accepted the ad of the Salvation Army, a
    religious organization whose ad exhorted giving to charity but
    contained only non-religious imagery.                  WMATA
    acknowledged in the district court, 2017 Mot. Hg. Tr. at 64,
    and again in this court that it would not reject as running afoul
    of Guideline 12 an ad from the Archdiocese that read “[P]lease
    [G]ive to Catholic Charities,” Oral Arg. Tr. 31.
    Nor has the Archdiocese pointed to an ad WMATA has
    accepted addressing Christmas except for commercial ads for
    Christmastime sales of goods. From these ads the Archdiocese
    concludes that Guideline 12 impermissibly excludes a religious
    viewpoint on Christmas while permitting a secular one. The
    Supreme Court, however, has rejected the view that accepting
    commercial advertising “create[s] a forum for the
    dissemination of information and expression of ideas” and
    “sanction[s] . . . [a] preference for . . . commercialism.”
    24
    
    Lehman, 418 U.S. at 310
    , 315 (Brennan, J., dissenting); see 
    id. at 302
    (plurality opinion) (citations omitted); 
    id. at 305–06
    , 308
    (Douglas, J., concurring) (citations omitted). So understood,
    ads promoting Christmastime sales are not expressing a view
    on Christmas any more than a McDonald’s ad expresses a view
    on the desirability of eating beef that demands the acceptance
    of a contrary ad from an animal rights group, or than a
    Smithsonian Air and Space Museum ad for a special stargazing
    event expresses a view on the provenance of the cosmos that
    demands a spiritual response. Commercial advertisements are
    designed to sell products: As the district court observed in
    noting the Archdiocese’s evidentiary shortcomings for its
    argument that WMATA accepts advertisements that promote
    the     commercialization       of     Christmas,      commercial
    advertisements “proclaim: Shop Here! Buy This!” while saying
    nothing about the sellers’ viewpoints on how Christmas should
    be 
    observed. 281 F. Supp. 3d at 104
    . Or in terms used by the
    Supreme Court, the ads imploring the purchase of products do
    not invite “debate,” 
    Rosenberger 515 U.S. at 831
    , about how
    Christmas should be celebrated. Were a court to treat such
    commercial advertising as expressing a broader view, it would,
    furthermore, eviscerate the distinction between viewpoint-
    based and subject-based regulation on which the forum
    doctrine rests, and the longstanding recognition that the
    government may limit a non-public forum to commercial
    advertising.
    3. Because WMATA’s Guideline 12 is viewpoint
    neutral, the question remains whether “the distinctions drawn
    are reasonable in light of the purpose served by the forum.”
    
    Cornelius, 473 U.S. at 806
    (citing Perry Educ. 
    Ass’n, 460 U.S. at 49
    ). The reasonability inquiry is not a demanding one, but
    rather is a “forgiving test.” Minn. Voters 
    Alliance, 138 S. Ct. at 1888
    . The challenged “restriction ‘need not be the most
    reasonable or the only reasonable limitation,’” Hodge v. Talkin,
    25
    
    799 F.3d 1145
    , 1165 (D.C. Cir. 2015) (quoting 
    Cornelius, 473 U.S. at 808
    ), but the regulation must simply be reasonable as
    consistent with the government’s legitimate interest in
    maintaining the property for its dedicated use, Perry Educ.
    
    Ass’n, 460 U.S. at 46
    , 51.
    In 2015, WMATA decided to avoid the divisiveness
    caused by certain advertisements and specifically to avoid the
    inflamed passions surrounding religion. Its adoption of
    Guideline 12 reflected a considered judgment after study, and
    including examination of the views of the marketplace.
    WMATA had fielded security concerns arising from the
    controversial ad depicting the Prophet Mohammed, which had
    prompted an armed attack at the place where the cartoon was
    produced. It also had weathered controversy surrounding an
    ad critical of the Catholic Church’s position on condom usage.
    WMATA’s closure of its forum to certain broad subjects is
    reasonable in light of its core purpose and experience, and is
    responsive to the very circumstances that prompted WMATA
    to reevaluate its advertising approach. The non-public forum
    WMATA created has a history not unlike that in 
    Cornelius, 473 U.S. at 799
    –800, where the federal government redesigned a
    charity fundraising program in order to avoid workplace
    disruptions; so too WMATA’s decision in 2015 to abandon a
    former approach to its advertising space that interfered with its
    ability to provide safe and reliable transportation “attractive to
    the marketplace,” Int’l Soc. For Krishna 
    Consciousness, 505 U.S. at 682
    .
    Although a challenged regulation may be unreasonable,
    regardless of the reasons for its adoption, if it is inconsistently
    enforced, see Minn. Voters 
    Alliance, 138 S. Ct. at 1888
    –90, the
    Archdiocese has not shown that “WMATA . . . appl[ies] [its]
    policy in arbitrary and unreasonable ways,” Appellant Br. 30.
    The Archdiocese suggests WMATA has been inconsistent
    26
    insofar as it has accepted advertisements from religious
    speakers like the Salvation Army and a Christian radio station
    while rejecting the Archdiocese’s “Find the Perfect Gift” ad.
    In fact, running the Salvation Army’s and the radio station’s
    ads underscores that WMATA is consistently rejecting ads that
    have religious content rather than discriminating against ads
    submitted by religious speakers.            The Archdiocese’s
    suggestion that WMATA has been inconsistent because it
    accepted an ad from a yoga studio containing the slogan
    “Muscle + Mantra,” ignores that ad is not recognizably
    religious as the Archdiocese’s ad plainly is, by its own
    characterization.     Although a restriction may also be
    unreasonable if it is unclear what speech would be swept in or
    otherwise seriously hamper consistent administration, see
    Minn. Voters 
    Alliance, 138 S. Ct. at 1888
    –90, given the history
    and experience that prompted WMATA to adopt Guideline 12
    and WMATA’s enforcement of it, the Archdiocese has not
    shown that Guideline 12 has failed to give adequate guidance
    on what is prohibited, or created so many marginal cases that it
    cannot be fairly administered. On the contrary, WMATA has
    articulated a “sensible basis for distinguishing what may come
    in from what must stay out.” 
    Id. at 1888
    (citing 
    Cornelius, 473 U.S. at 80
    –09).
    The Archdiocese at oral argument clarified its position is
    that Guideline 12 is unreasonable because it is never reasonable
    to discriminate against religion. Oral Arg. Tr. 20–21. If by
    discrimination the Archdiocese refers to animus, there is no
    record evidence of WMATA animus, nor does the Archdiocese
    point to any now. Given Supreme Court precedent in
    Cornelius and Perry Education Association rejecting First
    Amendment challenges to subject matter exclusions in a non-
    public forum, the Archdiocese cannot mean discrimination as
    in demarcation of a subject matter. Any regulation must name
    its subject, and such naming is not the kind of textual hook from
    27
    which a court may infer animus. The Archdiocese’s position
    is inconsistent with Cornelius and Perry Education Association
    where the Supreme Court instructs courts to analyze the
    reasonableness of the regulation in light of the purpose of the
    forum, not to intuit whether a freestanding regulation seems
    objectionable in isolation.
    On the other hand, if the Archdiocese is objecting to the
    reasonableness standard itself where the subject of religion is
    barred in a non-public forum, this is either another attempt to
    backtrack from its concession in the district court or to undo
    long-standing precedent in Lehman as well as the forum
    doctrine. Addressing the argument on its own terms, the
    Archdiocese nowhere suggests that WMATA does not have a
    compelling interest in ensuring the safety and reliability of its
    transportation services and operating in a manner that
    maintains the attractiveness of its service to a multi-cultural,
    multi-ethnic, and religiously diverse ridership, including
    visitors to the Nation’s capital and its environs from home and
    abroad, while simultaneously avoiding censorship in accord
    with the principles set forth in 
    Barnette, 319 U.S. at 642
    . That
    is, even under a heightened standard, Guideline 12 is a
    management tool adopted in light of WMATA’s experience
    that appropriately defines a limited forum for its advertising
    space.
    B.
    The Archdiocese’s likelihood of success on its Free
    Exercise Clause and RFRA arguments is dubious at best. As a
    result, the Archdiocese’s hybrid rights claim, see Appellant’s
    Br. 37, fares no better because it requires independently viable
    free speech and free exercise claims, and “in law as in
    mathematics zero plus zero equals zero.” Henderson v.
    Kennedy, 
    253 F.3d 12
    , 19 (D.C. Cir. 2001).
    28
    1. Generally, the Free Exercise Clause does not
    exempt individuals from complying with neutral laws of
    general applicability. See Levitan v. Ashcroft, 
    281 F.3d 1313
    ,
    1318 (D.C. Cir. 2002) (citing Employment Div., Dep’t of
    Human Resources v. Smith, 
    494 U.S. 872
    , 878–79 (1990)).
    Non-neutral laws are impermissible because they have as their
    “object . . . to infringe upon or restrict practices because of their
    religious motivation.” Church of the Lukumi Babalu Aye v.
    Hialeah, 
    508 U.S. 520
    , 533 (1993); see also American Family
    Ass’n Inc. v. FCC, 
    365 F.3d 1156
    , 1170–71 (D.C. Cir. 2004).
    As the Supreme Court explained in Lukumi Babalu, “[t]here
    are . . . many ways of demonstrating that the object or purpose
    of a law is the suppression of religion or religious conduct.”
    Lukumi 
    Babalu, 508 U.S. at 533
    . The Court “begin[s] with its
    text” and then considers whether there might be “governmental
    hostility which is masked, as well as overt.” 
    Id. at 533–34.
    The
    “[f]actors relevant to the assessment of governmental neutrality
    include ‘the historical background of the decision under
    challenge, the specific series of events leading to the enactment
    or official policy in question, and the legislative or
    administrative history, including contemporaneous statements
    made by members of the decisionmaking body.” Masterpiece
    
    Cakeshop, 138 S. Ct. at 1731
    (quoting Lukumi 
    Babalu, 508 U.S. at 540
    ).
    Nothing in the record indicates Guideline 12 was
    motivated by the “hostility” that motivated the city ordinance
    in Lukumi Babalu. The Archdiocese has made no showing, nor
    purported to make a showing, that the WMATA Board of
    Directors harbored any discriminatory intent or pro- or anti-
    religion bias in its decisionmaking process. Instead, there is
    ample record basis from which WMATA could reasonably
    conclude in 2015 that controversial advertisements, including
    advertisements with religious messages, interfered with its
    29
    ability to ensure rider safety and maintain employee morale,
    posed potential security risks, and fostered community
    opposition — all to the detriment of its attractiveness to
    ridership. Contrary to the Archdiocese’s position that a
    discriminatory object is evident because WMATA’s interests
    are not sufficient to support an exclusion of the subject of
    religion and because the District of Columbia allows similar
    advertisements on its stationary bus shelters, Guideline 12
    evinces a level of means-and-ends fit that is inconsistent with
    the Archdiocese’s contentions and generally with finding
    discrimination. In the face of experience that running religious
    ads caused controversy and even had the potential to cause
    violence, see Bowersox Decl. ¶¶ 9, 11, WMATA chose to
    exclude the subject of religion from its advertising space. It has
    also offered a secular purpose for doing so, which includes
    maximizing security of its transit system and minimizing
    vandalism of WMATA property. That rationale, and the
    secular basis for which there is no evidence of pretext, is
    inconsistent with finding discrimination.
    Nor does the District of Columbia’s approach to
    advertising on its stationary bus shelters evince any
    irrationality in WMATA’s decisionmaking. The District
    government contracts with Clear Channel Outdoor to
    “provide[] and maintain[] bus shelters throughout the
    metropolitan area, and . . . sell[] advertising at or near the bus
    shelters.” Compl. ¶ 12. WMATA contracts with a different
    company to administer its policy on advertising space of bus
    exteriors. 
    Id. ¶ 16;
    Bowersox Decl. ¶ 27. The Archdiocese
    provides no reason the District government’s approach for
    stationary space it controls should dictate the degree to which
    WMATA, as an interstate compact, is entitled to manage
    advertising space on its buses.
    30
    Of course, WMATA may not target religious speakers for
    exclusion from a generally available benefit. In Trinity
    Lutheran Church of Columbia, Inc. v. Comer, 
    137 S. Ct. 2012
    (2017), the state government offered reimbursement grants to
    qualifying nonprofit organizations that installed playground
    surfaces made from recycled tires, but it had an express policy
    of denying grants to churches and other religious entities. That
    is, the state “pursued its preferred policy to the point of
    expressly denying a qualified religious entity a public benefit
    solely because of its religious character.” 
    Id. at 2024.
    WMATA is not discriminating based on the status of the
    speaker. As is clear, for example, from WMATA’s acceptance
    of the Salvation Army ad, religious speakers are not excluded
    because they are religious speakers. That alone is sufficient to
    distinguish Trinity Lutheran.
    Moreover, unlike Trinity Lutheran, this is a forum case.
    Trinity Lutheran involved a series of criteria for eligibility for
    which the church had “fully qualified,” 
    id. at 2023.
    WMATA,
    by contrast, has by adopting Guidelines created a forum in
    which the benefit in question — its advertising space — can no
    longer be said to be “generally available.” It would strain
    Trinity Lutheran to read its prohibition on discriminating
    against religious speakers or speakers because of religious
    speech to suggest that exclusion of religion as a subject matter
    is necessarily discrimination against religious speakers. If that
    were the correct understanding of Trinity Lutheran, then it
    would have upended, sub silentio, Rosenberger and Lamb’s
    Chapel as well as the forum doctrine because it would never be
    possible to exclude religion as a subject matter.
    2. The Archdiocese is also unlikely to succeed on its
    RFRA claim for alternative reasons: not only has it failed to
    demonstrate a “substantial[] burden” on its “exercise of
    religion,” 42 U.S.C. § 2000bb-1(a), that is, “substantial
    31
    pressure on an adherent to modify his behavior and to violate
    his beliefs,” Kaemmerling v. Lappin, 
    553 F.3d 669
    , 678 (D.C.
    Cir. 2008) (quoting Thomas v. Review Bd., 
    450 U.S. 707
    , 718
    (1981)), but also RFRA would appear to be inapplicable to
    WMATA.
    The Archdiocese alleges that advertising on public buses
    provide a “unique and powerful format” for its evangelization
    campaign because it “offers high visibility with consistent daily
    views,” including in “many areas of the metropolitan region
    that are otherwise underserved and that other, more static
    advertising campaigns might miss.” Compl. ¶ 15; see
    McFadden Decl. ¶¶ 8–10. But the Archdiocese has not alleged
    that its religion requires displaying advertisements on
    WMATA’s buses promoting the season of Advent, much less
    the display of any advertisements at all. Instead, the
    Archdiocese has acknowledged that it has many other ways to
    pursue its evangelization efforts: in newspapers, through social
    media, and even on D.C. bus shelters. Compl. ¶¶ 11–12.
    Sincere religious beliefs are not impermissibly burdened by
    restrictions on evangelizing in a non-public forum where a
    “multitude of means” remains for the same evangelization. See
    Mahoney v. Doe, 
    642 F.3d 1112
    , 1121 (D.C. Cir. 2011);
    
    Henderson, 253 F.3d at 17
    . In these circumstances, the
    Archdiocese has not demonstrated a likelihood of success on
    its RFRA claim.
    Even so, there is a threshold question whether RFRA can
    be constitutionally applied to WMATA. WMATA is an
    interstate compact between two sovereign states and the
    District of Columbia. See D.C. Code § 9-1107.01(4); Md.
    Code Transp. § 10-204(4); Va. Code Ann. § 33.2-3100(4). The
    Supreme Court has held that RFRA cannot constitutionally
    apply to the states, see City of Boerne v. Flores, 
    521 U.S. 507
    ,
    511 (1997), because it would impermissibly “curtail[] their
    32
    traditional general regulatory power” and impose “substantial
    costs” on the states, 
    id. at 534.
    Although adding Virginia and
    Maryland to the WMATA Compact may not free the District
    of Columbia from its own obligation to comply with RFRA,
    see Potter v. District of Columbia, 
    558 F.3d 542
    , 544 (D.C. Cir.
    2009), the District of Columbia’s compliance with RFRA is not
    at issue. Rather the Archdiocese has challenged WMATA’s
    compliance with RFRA, and WMATA is an instrumentality
    and agency of states to which the Supreme Court has concluded
    RFRA cannot constitutionally apply. Immunities conferred by
    Maryland and Virginia are not lost by the addition of the
    District of Columbia to the Compact. See Morris v. WMATA,
    
    781 F.2d 218
    , 228 (D.C. Cir. 1986).
    The Archdiocese’s responds that RFRA applies to
    WMATA because Section 76(e) the Compact provides that if
    WMATA rules violate the laws, ordinances, rules, or
    regulations of a signatory, then the law of that signatory applies
    and the WMATA rule is void. See D.C. Code § 9-
    1107.01(76(e)). The Archdiocese’s point would appear to cut
    against it, because the high degree of control each signatory
    retains over WMATA suggests the states did not cede their
    sovereignty by joining the Compact. In any event, it is unclear
    how RFRA could apply only to the District of Columbia as a
    Compact member when Maryland and Virginia have not ceded
    their sovereign prerogatives by joining the Compact, see
    Tarrant Regional Water Dist. v. Herrmann, 
    569 U.S. 614
    , 632
    (2013); 
    Morris, 781 F.2d at 227
    . The Archdiocese does not
    suggest that Section 76(e) could be judicially enforceable yet
    unconstitutional. Compacts generally have the status of federal
    law. See Kansas v. Nebraska, 
    135 S. Ct. 1042
    , 1053 (2015).
    To the extent enforcement in this context would “curtail[]”
    Maryland’s and Virginia’s “traditional general regulatory
    power,” City of 
    Boerne, 521 U.S. at 534
    , enforcing the
    33
    Compact provision would produce an unconstitutional result,
    see Texas v. New Mexico, 
    462 U.S. 554
    , 564 (1983).
    The immunity issue was not thoroughly briefed by the
    parties, however. Suffice it to say, the Archdiocese’s RFRA
    challenge poses that question as an antecedent issue due to the
    presence of two sovereign states in the Compact. For now the
    court need only conclude that the Archdiocese has not
    demonstrated that it is likely to prevail on the merits of its
    RFRA challenge, either due to the paucity of the TRO record
    or the immunity issue underlying the Archdiocese’s reliance on
    Section 76(e).
    C.
    The remaining preliminary injunction factors —
    irreparable injury, the balance of equities, and public interest
    — also do not weigh in the Archdiocese’s favor. Although
    “[i]n First Amendment cases, the likelihood of success will
    often be the determinative factor in the preliminary injunction
    analysis,” Pursuing America’s Greatness v. FEC, 
    831 F.3d 500
    , 511 (D.C. Cir. 2016) (internal quotation marks and
    citation omitted), this court has not yet decided whether Winter
    v. National Resources Defense Council, 
    555 U.S. 7
    , 20–22
    (2008), is properly read to suggest a “sliding scale” approach
    to weighing the four factors be abandoned, see League of
    Women 
    Voters, 838 F.3d at 7
    (citation omitted). The instant
    case likewise “presents no occasion for the court to decide
    whether the ‘sliding scale’ approach remains valid after
    Winter.” 
    Id. Were the
    Archdiocese to show a likelihood of success on
    the merits, 
    see supra
    Part II.A & B, it would prevail on the final
    three factors because “the loss of constitutional freedoms, ‘for
    even minimal periods of time, unquestionably constitutes
    34
    irreparable injury,’” Mills v. District of Columbia, 
    571 F.3d 1304
    , 1312 (D.C. Cir. 2009) (quoting Elrod v. Burns, 
    427 U.S. 347
    , 373 (1976) (plurality opinion)). This court has defined the
    irreparable injury analysis to “examine only whether [the
    constitutional] violation, if true, inflicts irremediable injury,”
    Chaplaincy of Full Gospel Churches v. England, 
    454 F.3d 290
    ,
    303 (D.C. Cir. 2006), because the harm both is “certain and
    great,” “actual and not theoretical,” and “imminen[t],” and also
    “beyond remediation,” 
    id. at 297
    (citation omitted).
    Conversely, the deprivation of constitutional rights constitutes
    irreparable injury only to the extent such deprivation is shown
    to be likely. See League of Women 
    Voters, 838 F.3d at 8-9
    (citing 
    Winter, 555 U.S. at 22
    ). The court has no occasion to
    decide whether, see Appellant’s Br. 49, irreparable injury could
    weigh in favor of granting a preliminary injunction where there
    is no showing of a likelihood of success on the merits.
    The same conclusion is true of the final two factors. See
    Pursuing America’s 
    Greatness, 831 F.3d at 511
    (citing Nken v.
    Holder, 
    556 U.S. 418
    , 435 (2009)). The Archdiocese maintains
    there will be no corresponding harm to WMATA if it runs the
    Archdiocese’s “Find the Perfect Gift” ad, and that WMATA
    will benefit because it will have gained advertising revenues.
    WMATA takes the opposite position, having concluded that
    the additional revenue from accepting such ads is outweighed
    by the impact on employee morale, community opposition,
    security concerns, vandalism, and administrative burdens that
    prompted WMATA to adopt the Guidelines. Resolution here
    hinges on the likelihood of success on the merits because while
    the costs that WMATA has identified associated with running
    political, religious, and advocacy ads may outweigh the
    marginal benefit of additional advertising revenue, the calculus
    would be different weighing WMATA’s costs against the
    Archdiocese’s suffering a constitutional violation.
    35
    Similarly, although the Archdiocese contends that the final
    factor weighs in its favor because the public interest favors the
    protection of constitutional rights, the strength of the
    Archdiocese’s showing on public interest rises and falls with
    the strength of its showing on likelihood of success on the
    merits. The public interest favors the protection of
    constitutional rights, see, e.g., Gordon v. Holder, 
    721 F.3d 638
    ,
    653 (D.C. Cir. 2013), but the Archdiocese would need to show
    a likelihood of violation of its constitutional rights, and it has
    not done so.
    In sum, religious speech and the free exercise of religion
    are of central First Amendment importance.             Yet the
    Archdiocese presses an untenable position under Supreme
    Court precedent. By urging a capacious vision of viewpoint
    discrimination, it would effectively prevent the limitation of a
    non-public forum to commercial advertising, and upend
    decades of settled doctrine permitting governments to run
    transit companies without establishing forums for debate on the
    controversial issues of the ages and of the day, including not
    only the subject of religion but also politics and advocacy
    issues. Indeed, having allowed any speech, governments might
    be required to accept speech on all subjects because the
    Archdiocese offers no principled limit cabining its position to
    religion. Urging the finding of a free exercise violation based
    on no evidence of animus other than Guideline 12’s naming of
    religion, the Archdiocese again invites the court to impute
    hostility on a heretofore unrecognized basis, and with no
    suggestion of how the proscription of the subject of religion
    might otherwise be effected in a non-public forum. This
    position not only finds no support in Supreme Court precedent,
    but would also upend it, something this lower court may not
    do. Accordingly, we affirm the denial of the preliminary
    injunction.
    1
    WILKINS, Circuit Judge: I join in the Court’s opinion. I
    write separately to discuss the importance of traditional forum
    doctrine to protecting First Amendment values and to
    emphasize that WMATA’s Guideline 12 conforms with those
    values.
    A founding premise of our political system is that
    government is not a “competent judge” of truth. See James
    Madison, Memorial and Remonstrance Against Religious
    Assessments (1785). That responsibility belongs to the people,
    whose superior ability and authority in the marketplace of ideas
    is reflected and secured by the First Amendment. See Turner
    Broadcasting Sys., Inc. v. FCC, 
    512 U.S. 622
    , 641 (1994) (“At
    the heart of the First Amendment lies the principle that each
    person should decide for himself or herself the ideas and beliefs
    deserving of expression, consideration, and adherence.”).
    Yet the Constitution accommodates those limited
    circumstances in which government must be permitted some
    control over expressive content to carry out its proper
    functions. For instance, the government may “speak[] on its
    own behalf.” Walker v. Tex. Div., Sons of Confederate
    Veterans, Inc., 
    135 S. Ct. 2239
    , 2251 (2015). Additionally, the
    government may place speech-restrictive conditions on
    participation in its programs if those conditions are confined to
    the scope of the program. See, e.g., U.S. Agency for Int’l
    Development v. Alliance for Open Society Int’l, Inc., 
    570 U.S. 205
    , 215-17 (2013); FCC v. League of Women Voters of Cal.,
    
    468 U.S. 364
    , 399-401 (1984). The government may also
    prohibit constitutionally unprotected speech, such as
    defamation or obscenity, so long as the restriction is based on
    proscribable content and not “hostility – or favoritism –
    towards the underlying message expressed.” R.A.V. v. City of
    St. Paul, 
    505 U.S. 377
    , 386 (1992); see also City of Lakewood
    v. Plain Dealer Pub. Co., 
    486 U.S. 750
    , 763-65 (1988).
    2
    These doctrines apply in different contexts but embody the
    same core First Amendment values: “that more speech, not
    less, is the governing rule,” Citizens United v. FEC, 
    558 U.S. 310
    , 361 (2010), and that “the danger of censorship . . . is too
    great where officials have unbridled discretion over a forum’s
    use,” Southeastern Promotions, Ltd. v. Conrad, 
    420 U.S. 546
    ,
    553 (1975).
    To preserve these values within the practical realities of
    government property, the Supreme Court has repeatedly held
    that the government may categorically limit the subject matter
    of private speech in nonpublic forums, provided the limitation
    is reasonably related to the forum’s purposes and, as with
    restrictions on unprotected speech, not a cover for suppressing
    viewpoints with which the government disagrees. See
    Cornelius v. NAACP Legal Def. & Educ. Fund, Inc., 
    473 U.S. 788
    , 799-800 (1985) (“Nothing in the Constitution requires the
    Government freely to grant access to all who wish to exercise
    their right to free speech on every type of Government
    property[.]”); see also Perry Educ. Ass’n v. Perry Local
    Educators’ Ass’n, 
    460 U.S. 37
    , 49 (1983) (holding that the
    exclusion of communications from one union to potential
    members while allowing communications from another was
    not viewpoint discrimination because there was “no indication
    that the school board intended to discourage one viewpoint and
    advance another” (emphasis added)); Widmar v. Vincent, 
    454 U.S. 263
    , 280 (1981) (“[T]he university . . . may not allow its
    agreement or disagreement with the viewpoint of a particular
    speaker to determine whether access to a forum will be
    granted.”) (Stevens, J., concurring); Greer v. Spock, 
    424 U.S. 828
    , 838-39 (1976) (concluding a restriction on partisan speech
    was properly applied because “there is no claim that the
    military authorities discriminated in any way among candidates
    for public office based on the candidates’ supposed political
    3
    views”); Initiative & Referendum Inst. v. U.S. Postal Serv., 
    685 F.3d 1066
    , (D.C. Cir. 2012) (A speech restriction in a
    nonpublic forum is permissible if “reasonable and not an effort
    to suppress expression merely because public officials oppose
    the speaker’s view.”).        Government must be able to
    prospectively set administrable subject-matter-based rules for
    its nonpublic forums if it is to allow any private speech at all.
    But because government favoritism in public debate is so
    pernicious to liberty and democratic decisionmaking,
    otherwise permissible subject-matter restrictions are rendered
    unconstitutional when the government chooses sides within the
    subject matter. Matal v. Tam, 
    137 S. Ct. 1744
    , 1766 (2017)
    (“[T]he test for viewpoint discrimination is whether – within
    the relevant subject category – the government has singled out
    a subset of messages for disfavor based on the views
    expressed.”); Good News Club v. Milford Cent. Sch., 
    533 U.S. 98
    , 112 (2001) (“[S]peech discussing otherwise permissible
    subjects cannot be excluded from a limited public forum on the
    ground that the subject is discussed from a religious
    viewpoint.”); 
    Cornelius, 473 U.S. at 806
    (The government acts
    unconstitutionally when prohibiting a speaker from expressing
    “[a] point of view he espouses on an otherwise includable
    subject.”).
    Properly understood, the distinction between subject
    matter and viewpoint is critical to forum doctrine’s balance of
    the practical need to regulate private speech on nonpublic
    property, on one hand, with maximizing opportunities for
    speech and vigilance against unbridled administrative
    discretion, on the other. See 
    Cornelius, 473 U.S. at 80
    0.
    Without reasonable control over the content of private speech
    in nonpublic forums, government may elect to close a forum
    entirely rather than deal with the administrative burden or
    floodgate consequences of accepting private speech without
    effective subject-matter restrictions. Further, by requiring
    4
    government to set prospective, categorical, subject-matter rules
    by which to evaluate private speech, forum doctrine provides
    public notice of what speech is permissible and constrains the
    discretion of government actors to pick favorites on an ad hoc
    basis. See City of 
    Lakewood, 486 U.S. at 758
    (“Only standards
    limiting the licensor’s discretion will eliminate this danger [of
    chilling private speech] by adding an element of certainty fatal
    to self-censorship.”); 
    id. at 756-57
    (collecting cases and
    explaining that “[a]t the root of this long line of precedent is
    the time-tested knowledge that in the area of free expression a
    licensing statute placing unbridled discretion in the hands of a
    government official or agency . . . may result in censorship”).
    Guideline 12 fits comfortably within this longstanding
    doctrinal framework. WMATA prohibits “[a]dvertisements
    that promote or oppose any religion, religious practice or
    belief.” J.A. 209 (emphasis added). Guideline 12 is thus a
    categorical subject-matter restriction by its own terms: It
    prohibits any advertisement whatsoever on the subject of
    religious or anti-religious advocacy, whether favoring or
    opposing religion in general, or any particular religion, belief,
    or practice. Cf. Rosenberger v. Rector & Visitors of Univ. of
    Va., 
    515 U.S. 819
    , 831 (1995) (“By the very terms of [its
    policy], the University does not exclude religion as a subject
    matter but selects for disfavored treatment those student
    journalistic efforts with religious editorial viewpoints.”). It
    does not take sides; it restricts all speech on the topic equally,
    without discriminating within the defined category. See Minn.
    Voter’s Alliance v. Mansky, 
    138 S. Ct. 1876
    , 1886 (2018) (“The
    text of the [ordinance] makes no distinction based on the
    speaker’s political persuasion, so [plaintiff] does not claim that
    the ban [on ‘political’ apparel] discriminates on the basis of
    viewpoint.”); Good News 
    Club, 533 U.S. at 111-12
    ; see also
    
    R.A.V., 505 U.S. at 388
    (“When the basis for the content
    discrimination consists entirely of the very reason the entire
    5
    class of speech at issue is proscribable, no significant danger of
    idea or viewpoint discrimination exists.”).
    By contrast, the speech restrictions struck down in Lamb’s
    Chapel, Rosenberger, and Good News Club each singled out
    religious viewpoints that otherwise fell within prospectively
    defined, permissible subject matter. Stated otherwise, those
    decisions involved rules that permitted private speakers to
    discuss categories A, B, and C, but when a speaker sought to
    discuss C from a pro-religious perspective, they were
    improperly prohibited from doing so. Applying traditional
    forum doctrine, the Supreme Court held that these prohibitions
    unconstitutionally singled out a subset of views within the
    forum’s permissible, previously established subject-matter
    categories. Good News 
    Club, 533 U.S. at 109
    (“Like the
    church in Lamb’s Chapel, the Club seeks to address a subject
    otherwise permitted under the rule, the teaching of morals and
    character, from a religious standpoint.”). This approach
    comports with the underlying purposes of forum doctrine:
    Practicality permits government to restrict content within its
    nonpublic forums in a prospective, administrable manner, but
    once the parameters of those restrictions are set, administrators
    cannot further discriminate against a disfavored view that falls
    within those predetermined parameters.
    Here, the Archdiocese does not challenge the exclusion of
    speech that otherwise fits within a permissible subject matter
    category – it challenges the subject-matter category itself. Cf.
    
    Rosenberger, 515 U.S. at 831
    (“[T]he University does not
    exclude religion as a subject matter but selects for disfavored
    treatment those student journalistic efforts with religious
    editorial viewpoints.”). The Archdiocese argues that if
    commercial advertisements mentioning the holiday season are
    approved, its religious-advocacy advertisements must also be
    permitted because they share the same holiday-season “subject
    6
    matter” and, therefore, any distinction would be based on
    “viewpoint.” Appellant Br. 19-20. But such alleged
    “viewpoint” discrimination could always be reverse-
    engineered by comparing a prohibited statement with any
    permitted statement – real or hypothetical – and finding some
    kind of subject-matter commonality between the two. This
    improperly inverts the forum-doctrine analysis, ignoring how
    the government prospectively defined permissible subject
    matter for its nonpublic forum in general, and instead focusing
    on how a stymied speaker wants to characterize the relevant
    “subject matter” in a particular case. Allowing an individual
    private speaker to retroactively redefine the relevant “subject
    matter” whenever her speech is restricted, as the Archdiocese
    would have us do, is not only contrary to how the Supreme
    Court has structured forum analysis, it would make crafting
    administrable content categories for nonpublic forums nearly
    impossible.
    At base, the Archdiocese asks us to erase the Supreme
    Court’s critical distinction between permissible subject-matter
    restrictions and impermissible viewpoint discrimination.
    However, as the primary opinion notes, the Supreme Court has
    repeatedly upheld and applied the distinction between subject
    matter and viewpoint. See, e.g., 
    Mansky, 138 S. Ct. at 1885
    (“[O]ur decisions have long recognized that the government
    may impose some content-based restrictions in nonpublic
    forums[.]”); Reed v. Town of Gilbert, 
    135 S. Ct. 2218
    , 2230
    (2015) (“Government discrimination among viewpoints – or
    the regulation of speech based on the specific motivating
    ideology or the opinion or perspective of the speaker – is a
    more blatant and egregious form of content discrimination”
    than subject-matter restrictions. (quotation marks omitted));
    
    Rosenberger, 515 U.S. at 830-31
    (distinguishing between
    restricting religious subject matter and religious viewpoints).
    And for good reason: Forum doctrine’s boundary between
    7
    permissible subject-matter restrictions and impermissible
    viewpoint discrimination is a load-bearing wall in the First
    Amendment’s structure. Adopting the Archdiocese’s position
    would topple the careful balance struck by the Supreme Court
    of allowing government to manage expressive content in
    nonpublic forums, while cabining its discretion with
    administrable rules and encouraging it to keep these forums
    open to private speech.
    Further, the lack of a principled limitation of the
    Archdiocese’s rule to religious speech could have sweeping
    implications for what private expression government may be
    compelled to allow in nonpublic forums once it allows any at
    all. See 
    Matal, 137 S. Ct. at 1763
    (holding, in the context of
    commercial speech, that the Lanham Act’s prohibition on
    registering offensive or disparaging trademarks constituted
    unconstitutional viewpoint discrimination analogous to that in
    a limited public forum); Heffron v. Int’l Soc. for Krishna
    Consciousness, Inc., 
    452 U.S. 640
    , 652 (1981) (“[R]eligious
    organizations [do not] enjoy rights to communicate . . . superior
    to those of other organizations having social, political, or other
    ideological messages to proselytize.”). In neither briefing nor
    at oral argument did the Archdiocese offer a cogent explanation
    of how such a rule could be restricted to religious speech. After
    all, political speech has frequently been designated as the most
    highly protected form of First Amendment expression. See,
    e.g., Pursuing America’s Greatness v. FEC, 
    831 F.3d 500
    , 508
    (D.C. Cir. 2016) (“The First Amendment ‘has its fullest and
    most urgent application to speech uttered during a campaign
    for political office.’” (quoting Ariz. Free Enter. Club’s
    Freedom Club PAC v. Bennett, 
    564 U.S. 721
    , 734 (2011))).
    And, in addition to naming the “free exercise of religion” as a
    fundamental right, the plain text of the First Amendment
    explicitly protects activities such as petitioning and the press.
    U.S. Const. amend. I. The Archdiocese’s approach of
    8
    collapsing subject matter and viewpoint might therefore
    reclassify the vast majority of what are now considered subject-
    matter restrictions as unconstitutional viewpoint restrictions,
    forcing government to choose between opening nonpublic
    forums to almost any private speech, or to none. Such a result
    is inimical to the First Amendment. See Ark. Educ. Television
    Comm’n v. Forbes, 
    52 U.S. 666
    , 680-81 (1998).
    Of course, it is not enough to avoid viewpoint
    discrimination; a subject-matter restriction must also be
    reasonable, i.e., “consistent with the government’s legitimate
    interest in maintaining the property for its dedicated use.”
    Initiative & Referendum 
    Inst., 685 F.3d at 1073
    . The Supreme
    Court recently provided further guidance on forum doctrine’s
    “reasonableness” prong in Minnesota Voters Alliance v.
    Manksy, which struck down a ban on any “political badge,
    political button, or other political insignia” in the interior of a
    polling place as unreasonable in relation to the purposes of the
    
    forum. 138 S. Ct. at 1883
    . “Although there is no requirement
    of narrow tailoring in a nonpublic forum, the State must be able
    to articulate some sensible basis for distinguishing what may
    come in from what must stay out.” 
    Id. at 1888
    . The vagueness
    of the word “political,” “combined with haphazard
    interpretations the State [] provided in official guidance and
    representations to [the] Court,” led the Supreme Court to
    conclude that the ban did not survive the “forgiving”
    reasonableness test. 
    Id. As the
    primary opinion explains, both record evidence and
    common sense show a “sensible basis” for WMATA’s
    conclusion that prohibiting religious or anti-religious advocacy
    advertisements avoids risks of vandalism, violence, passenger
    discomfort, and administrative burdens in a manner that serves
    the forum’s stated purpose of providing “safe, equitable, and
    reliable transportation services.” J.A. 204. Guideline 12 is also
    9
    readily distinguishable from the ordinance struck down in
    Mansky. WMATA’s prohibition on advertisements that
    “promote or oppose any religion, religious practice or belief,”
    is narrower and more precise than simply a general ban on
    “religious” or “political” speech. See 
    Mansky, 138 S. Ct. at 1891
    . Moreover, there is no indication that WMATA has
    promulgated anything like conflicting or confusing guidance
    that, “combined with” the vague term “political,” rendered the
    Minnesota ordinance unreasonable. 
    Id. at 1889.
    Because Guideline 12 readily meets the longstanding
    doctrinal test for permissible subject-matter restrictions in
    nonpublic forums, and because the Archdiocese’s novel
    analytical approach would both upend forum doctrine and
    undermine the First Amendment values that doctrine protects,
    I concur.
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 17-7171

Judges: Rogers, Kavanaugh, Wilkins

Filed Date: 7/31/2018

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 10/19/2024

Authorities (49)

Reed v. Town of Gilbert ( 2015 )

Levitan, Daniel J. v. Ashcroft, John D. ( 2002 )

United States Postal Service v. Council of Greenburgh Civic ... ( 1981 )

Singleton v. Wulff ( 1976 )

Monsanto Co. v. Geertson Seed Farms ( 2010 )

Walker v. Texas Div., Sons of Confederate Veterans, Inc. ( 2015 )

Employment Div., Dept. of Human Resources of Ore. v. Smith ( 1990 )

Southeastern Promotions, Ltd. v. Conrad ( 1975 )

Rosenberger v. Rector & Visitors of University of Virginia ( 1995 )

City of Boerne v. Flores ( 1997 )

Arkansas Educational Television Commission v. Forbes ( 1998 )

Winter v. Natural Resources Defense Council, Inc. ( 2008 )

Federal Communications Commission v. League of Women Voters ... ( 1984 )

Texas v. New Mexico ( 1983 )

Flynn, John J. v. Cmsnr IRS ( 2001 )

Davis v. Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp. ( 2009 )

West Virginia State Board of Education v. Barnette ( 1943 )

City of Lakewood v. Plain Dealer Publishing Co. ( 1988 )

International Society for Krishna Consciousness, Inc. v. Lee ( 1992 )

Nken v. Holder ( 2009 )

View All Authorities »