People v. Bryant ( 2012 )


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  •                                                                             Michigan Supreme Court
    Lansing, Michigan
    Chief Justice:          Justices:
    Opinion                                               Robert P. Young, Jr. Michael F. Cavanagh
    Marilyn Kelly
    Stephen J. Markman
    Diane M. Hathaway
    Mary Beth Kelly
    Brian K. Zahra
    FILED JUNE 28, 2012
    STATE OF MICHIGAN
    SUPREME COURT
    PEOPLE OF THE STATE OF MICHIGAN,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v                                                             No. 141741
    RAMON LEE BRYANT,
    Defendant-Appellee.
    BEFORE THE ENTIRE BENCH
    ZAHRA, J.
    This case presents the question whether defendant was denied his Sixth
    Amendment right to an impartial jury drawn from a fair cross section of the community.
    A fair-cross-section claim under the Sixth Amendment requires a defendant to make a
    prima facie case as set forth by the United States Supreme Court in Duren v Missouri.1
    Namely, a defendant must show:
    1
    Duren v Missouri, 
    439 US 357
    ; 
    99 S Ct 664
    ; 
    58 L Ed 2d 579
     (1979).
    (1) that the group alleged to be excluded is a ‘distinctive’ group in
    the community; (2) that the representation of this group in venires from
    which juries are selected is not fair and reasonable in relation to the number
    of such persons in the community; and (3) that this underrepresentation is
    due to systematic exclusion of the group in the jury-selection process.[2]
    The Court of Appeals concluded that defendant had satisfied the three Duren
    prongs, establishing a violation of his right to an impartial jury drawn from a fair cross
    section of the community, and granted defendant a new trial. We conclude that the Court
    of Appeals erred because defendant failed to show under the second prong that the
    representation of African-Americans in venires from which juries were selected was not
    fair and reasonable in relation to the number of African-Americans in the community.
    The Court of Appeals erred in evaluating the second prong in two significant ways.
    First, the Court of Appeals wrongly relied on misleading representation data by
    considering the representation of African-Americans only in defendant’s venire when
    addressing whether representation was fair and reasonable. Duren explicitly requires
    courts to consider the representation of a distinct group in venires. The use of this
    inadequate sample from only defendant’s venire caused the tests evaluating the degree of
    any underrepresentation to produce skewed and exaggerated results.
    Second, the Court of Appeals misapplied our decision in People v Smith.3 In
    Smith, we held that an evaluation of the second prong requires courts to employ a case-
    by-case approach that considers all the relevant statistical tests for evaluating the data
    regarding representation of a distinct group without using any one individual method
    2
    
    Id. at 364
    .
    3
    People v Smith, 
    463 Mich 199
    ; 615 NW2d 1 (2000).
    2
    exclusive of the others.   Contrary to this holding, the Court of Appeals effectively
    adopted a bright-line rule in favor of the comparative-disparity test in all instances in
    which the population of the distinct group is small. Given that all the relevant tests have
    shortcomings, Smith requires courts to take a comprehensive view of the degree of
    underrepresentation without elevating one test over the others. Nonetheless, the Court of
    Appeals, using a skewed result from the comparative-disparity test, elevated this test
    above the others in precisely the situation in which its use is most criticized—distorting
    the degree of underrepresentation when the population of the distinct group is small.
    We hold that when applying all the relevant tests for evaluating the representation
    data, a court must examine the composition of jury pools or venires over time using the
    most reliable data available to determine whether representation of a distinct group is fair
    and reasonable.4 Having considered the results of these tests using the most reliable data
    set, which included the composition of jury pools or venires over a three-month period,
    we conclude that defendant failed to show that the representation of African-Americans
    was not fair and reasonable. Accordingly, we reverse the judgment of the Court of
    Appeals and reinstate defendant’s convictions and sentences. 5
    4
    The terms “venire,” “jury pool,” “jury panel,” and “array” are sometimes used
    interchangeably. See Black’s Law Dictionary (9th ed) (defining “venire” as “[a] panel of
    persons selected for jury duty and from among whom the jurors are to be chosen. — Also
    termed array; jury panel; jury pool”). Because of this, our references to “venire” are to
    the group of potential jurors in the courtroom from which a defendant’s petit jury are
    selected and our references to “jury pool” are to the group of people summoned to appear
    for jury duty on a particular day.
    5
    The dissent believes that this opinion engages in unnecessary error correcting. For
    obvious reasons, we disagree that addressing a published Court of Appeals opinion that
    3
    I. FACTS AND PROCEDURAL HISTORY
    A jury convicted defendant of first-degree criminal sexual conduct, MCL
    750.520b(1)(e), armed robbery, MCL 750.529, and possession of marijuana, MCL
    333.7403(2)(d). The victim testified that when she attempted to buy crack cocaine from
    defendant, he put a gun to her head and demanded her money. He then ordered her to
    perform oral sex on him, taking her car keys and telling her that he would not let her
    leave until she did so. When the police apprehended defendant, he had marijuana in his
    possession.
    After the jury was selected, but before it was sworn, defendant made a timely
    objection to the racial composition of his jury venire. The trial court noted that it
    observed one African-American and one Latino in defendant’s 45-person venire, but
    decided to reserve its ruling on the objection until a hearing the following day.6
    At the hearing, the jury clerk testified in regard to the procedure for composing
    jury pools and venires. According to the jury clerk, the Secretary of State provides the
    court a list of all the residents of Kent County who are at least 18 years of age and have a
    valid driver’s license or valid state identification. From that list, a computer program
    randomly selects residents to be sent jury questionnaires. The program then randomly
    misapplied constitutional principles, United States Supreme Court precedent, and our
    precedent is unnecessary.
    6
    Before the court went off the record, an exchange between defense counsel and the trial
    court showed confusion about whether the individual that the trial court had identified as
    an African-American member of defendant’s venire was actually defendant’s step-father.
    4
    selects jurors to be summoned using the names of those who responded to the jury
    questionnaire and had not been disqualified or opted out of jury service because of age.7
    The jury clerk testified that the Secretary of State database does not include the
    race of the individuals listed and that the computer program does not account for race
    when selecting jurors. For the date defendant’s jury was selected, January 28, 2002, only
    132 of the 182 people who had been randomly selected by the computer program and
    issued jury summonses appeared for service. By the jury clerk’s visual inspection, only
    one was African-American. Of the 132 appearing, the computer program randomly
    selected 45 people for defendant’s venire. The jury clerk also submitted to the trial court
    the results of voluntary surveys taken by some of those actually appearing for jury duty
    on given days in January 2002.8
    Defendant, relying on the results of the voluntary surveys, argued that the disparity
    of African-Americans appearing for jury duty compared to the African-American
    population of the county showed that the current jury-selection method did not include a
    7
    See MCL 600.1307a (addressing grounds for disqualification and exemption from jury
    service).
    8
    The results, which were contained in a document entitled “Jury Community
    Representation Survey Compilation,” reflect that on January 7, 160 of 169 of those
    appearing responded, with 2 individuals indicating that they were African-American and
    2 indicating that they were multiracial; on January 9, 3 of the 77 potential jurors
    appearing responded, with none indicating that he or she was African-American; on
    January 14, 130 of the 140 potential jurors appearing responded, with 2 indicating that
    they were African-American and 2 indicating that they were multiracial; on January 22,
    16 of the 18 potential jurors appearing responded, with none indicating that he or she was
    African-American and 1 indicating that he or she was multiracial and; on January 23, 52
    of the 54 potential jurors appearing responded, with 1 indicating that he or she was
    African-American.
    5
    fair cross section of the community.      The trial court ultimately denied defendant’s
    challenge to his venire, ruling that because the jury-selection system was race neutral, the
    underrepresentation of African-Americans was a function of the voluntary failure of
    those individuals to participate.
    Following his conviction and sentencing, defendant appealed.       The Court of
    Appeals majority affirmed in part, but remanded the case to the trial court for an
    evidentiary hearing regarding defendant’s claim that his venire did not reflect a fair cross
    section of the community.9 Addressing whether the representation of the distinct group
    (African-Americans) was fair and reasonable under Duren’s second prong, the majority
    concluded that defendant had not shown that the representation was not fair and
    reasonable under the relevant statistical tests.10 Nonetheless, the majority applied the
    approach set forth in People v Hubbard (After Remand),11 in which “the defendant was
    found to have shown substantial underrepresentation where the disparity resulted from
    ‘non-benign’ circumstances; that is, where the underrepresentation did not occur as the
    result of random chance.”12 Under this approach, the majority assumed that defendant
    9
    People v Bryant, unpublished opinion per curiam of the Court of Appeals, issued March
    16, 2004 (Docket No. 241442) (Bryant I).
    10
    Id. at 2-4.
    11
    People v Hubbard (After Remand), 
    217 Mich App 459
    , 477-478, 481; 552 NW2d 493
    (1996).
    12
    Bryant I, unpub op at 4.
    6
    had satisfied the second prong because the evidence indicated the possibility that the
    underrepresentation was not the result of random selection.13
    Regarding the third prong, the prosecution admitted that the jury-selection process
    disproportionately selected jurors from certain zip codes.14 As a result, the majority
    remanded the case to the trial court for an evidentiary hearing in which defendant could
    “present evidence that the Kent County jury selection system resulted in systematic
    exclusion of African-Americans causing this group to be substantially underrepresented
    in defendant’s jury venire.”15
    On remand, the trial court16 held several hearings and heard testimony from the
    court’s case manager, the jury clerk, a member of the Kent County Jury Board, and two
    statistical experts.      From this testimony, the trial court found that a computer
    13
    
    Id.
    14
    
    Id.
    15
    Id. at 5. The Court of Appeals rejected defendant’s remaining issues on appeal. Id. at
    5-7. Judge BORRELLO concurred with the majority on these issues, but dissented with
    regard to defendant’s fair-cross-section claim because he believed that the evidence
    established sufficient underrepresentation and that the computer error excluding zip codes
    having larger minority populations constituted systematic exclusion of African-
    Americans from the venire. Id. at 2 (BORRELLO, J., concurring in part and dissenting in
    part).
    16
    This case was reassigned to Judge Dennis Kolenda on remand because Judge David
    Soet, who had presided over defendant’s trial, had retired.
    7
    programming error was responsible for the underrepresentation of African-Americans in
    venires from June 2001 to August 2002.17
    The trial court found that Kent County, in an effort to save money spent on
    software fees, switched in April 2001 from using a vendor’s software for summoning
    jurors to software developed by its information technology department. Rather than
    drawing from the entire database18 of 456,435 names that the Michigan Secretary of State
    had provided for Kent County, the new computer program had an erroneous setting using
    only 118,169 of those names. The program selected randomly who from the list of
    118,169 names would be sent jury questionnaires. Because the 118,169 individuals
    selected came disproportionately from certain zip codes, jury questionnaires were
    disproportionately sent to those zip codes.19 This resulted in a disproportionately larger
    number of jury questionnaires going to zip codes with smaller African-American
    17
    The frequency with which prospective jurors from certain zip codes were sent jury
    questionnaires prompted an investigation, which resulted in discovery of the
    programming error in June 2002, four months after defendant’s trial.
    18
    As noted in the summary of the jury clerk’s testimony, this database included the
    names and addresses of people shown to have a Michigan driver’s license or Michigan
    personal identification card with an address in Kent County.
    19
    The trial court found that the there was no evidence that the underrepresentation of
    certain zip codes was anything other than the “result of a random draw.” There is some
    evidence, however, that reflects that the original database from the Secretary of State
    grouped the names by zip code. This discrepancy does not affect our analysis because we
    conclude in either event that the underrepresentation was inherent in the jury system and
    thus constituted a systematic exclusion within the meaning of Duren’s third prong.
    8
    populations and disproportionately fewer questionnaires going to zip codes with larger
    African-American populations.20
    For the week that defendant’s jury was selected, the court summoned 293 people
    for jury service. The court specifically summoned 183 of the 293 for January 28, 2002,
    when defendant’s jury was picked. Of the 183 people summoned, 132 appeared and 45
    of them were randomly placed in defendant’s venire. As noted, the court used voluntary
    surveys to identify the gender and race of those appearing for jury duty. All 132 potential
    jurors who appeared on January 28 responded to the voluntary survey, with one
    individual specifying African-American and one individual specifying multiracial.
    Two statistical experts testified at the hearings. First, Dr. Chidi Chidi testified as a
    statistical expert for defendant. He analyzed the voluntary surveys that potential jurors
    who appeared completed from 2001 to 2004. Relying on the results of the voluntary
    surveys, Dr. Chidi concluded that the standard-deviation and comparative-disparity tests
    proved that there had been systematic exclusion of African-Americans from jury duty.
    The trial court, however, rejected Dr. Chidi’s testimony, finding that Dr. Chidi showed
    personal bias and a failure to understand basic statistics because he had analyzed only
    those individuals who opted to answer the voluntary survey after appearing for jury
    duty.21
    20
    Kent County corrected the error the following month by again hiring an outside vendor
    and changing the computer program it used.
    21
    Defendant summarizes Dr. Chidi’s testimony in his brief and asserts without any
    meaningful analysis that the trial court wrongly rejected the testimony. Our review of the
    record does not suggest that the trial court’s rejection of his testimony amounted to clear
    9
    Given its disapproval of Dr. Chidi’s testimony, and pursuant to MRE 706,22 the
    trial court selected Dr. Paul Stephenson as its expert. Using data from the 2000 Census,
    Dr. Stephenson conducted his analysis with the assumption that the population of
    African-Americans old enough to serve as jurors constituted 8.25 percent of Kent
    County.
    From court records, Dr. Stephenson identified the number of jurors summoned
    from each zip code for each month from January 2002 through March 2002.
    Dr. Stephenson then used those records and the census data for racial population in each
    zip code to estimate that, as a result of the zip-code bias, only 163 of the 3,898
    summonses (4.17 percent) sent out from January through March 2002 went to African-
    Americans. If 8.25 percent of the summonses sent out during that period had gone to
    African-Americans, then 322 African-Americans would have been sent them.
    Considering only defendant’s venire, Dr. Stephenson calculated that the absolute
    disparity23 was 6.03 percent and the comparative disparity24 was 73.1 percent. However,
    error, MCR 2.613(C). Accordingly, we will not consider Dr. Chidi’s testimony in our
    analysis.
    22
    MRE 706 permits a court to appoint an expert witness on its own motion.
    23
    The absolute-disparity test measures the portion of the overall population of a distinct
    group that has been excluded by subtracting the percentile representation of that group in
    jury pools or venires from the percentile representation of that group in the overall
    population of the relevant community. See part III(B)(2)(a) of this opinion.
    24
    The comparative-disparity test measures the decreased likelihood that members of an
    underrepresented group will be called for jury service and is calculated by dividing the
    result of the absolute-disparity test by the percentage of the distinct group in the overall
    population of the community. See part III(B)(2)(b) of this opinion.
    10
    Dr. Stephenson disregarded the results of these tests, explaining in his report that because
    of the small population of African-Americans in Kent County, the absolute-disparity test
    could not identify whether the underrepresentation was statistically significant.        He
    further explained that small changes of representation in the venire had the effect of
    distorting the result of the comparative-disparity test.
    Dr. Stephenson also considered the standard-deviation test,25 but rejected the use
    of this test because “the normal approximation is not valid . . . .”26 Dr. Stephenson,
    however, applied a test analogous to the standard-deviation test, calculating the binomial
    distribution to determine whether the venire-selection process was valid.27 From this
    calculation, Dr. Stephenson concluded that there was insufficient evidence to find that
    African-Americans were significantly underrepresented in defendant’s venire because
    even if there had been no bias in how the summonses were sent out, 10.477 percent of
    randomly selected venires would have had one or no African-Americans.                     In
    Dr. Stephenson’s view, this likelihood was sufficient for the disparity in African-
    American representation to be statistically insignificant, but this conclusion was related to
    the small sample size when examining just defendant’s venire.
    25
    The standard-deviation test measures the probability that the degree of
    underrepresentation could be the result of random chance. See part III(B)(2)(c) of this
    opinion.
    26
    The standard-deviation test uses a normal approximation of a binomial random
    variable. Dr. Stephenson indicated that the sample size was not large enough for the test
    given the proportion of African-Americans in the community.
    27
    This analogous test used the “exact” binomial distribution.
    11
    Examining the larger three-month sample, Dr. Stephenson performed further
    calculations using the binomial results to find that there was essentially “no chance” that
    the reduced numbers of African-Americans in jury pools between January and March
    2002 occurred as a result of random chance. Further, a venire selected during the time
    the zip-code problem occurred was approximately four times more likely to contain no
    more than one African-American than if this problem had not been present.                He
    concluded that if the estimates matched actual practice, “a systematic bias did exist in the
    selection of individuals summoned for jury duty . . . [that] inevitably led to the under
    representation” of African-Americans in the jury pools from January through March
    2002.
    In a written opinion, the trial court ruled that defendant was not entitled to a new
    trial because he had failed to satisfy Duren’s second and third prongs. Addressing
    whether the representation of African-Americans was fair and reasonable, the trial court
    reasoned that there was no proof of actual underrepresentation in the group of individuals
    that the computer program identified and to whom jury questionnaires were sent because
    the Secretary of State database does not identify race.28       In the trial court’s view,
    comparing an estimate of how many African-Americans were sent questionnaires and
    28
    The trial court only considered this group of individuals, not the resulting pools
    because the pools were affected by considerations for which the court was not
    responsible such as racial disparities in whether the questionnaire was delivered, response
    rates, disqualifications, hardships, and people who failed to appear.
    12
    how many would have been sent questionnaires absent the computer program flaw was
    not sufficient because hard data is required under Smith.29
    The trial court also concluded that there was no systematic exclusion under
    Duren’s third prong because there was no evidence that the defective computer setting
    had any bias. Rather, it simply randomly reduced the number of individuals whom jurors
    were selected from.      Therefore, the end result—that these individuals were taken
    disproportionately from certain zip codes—was not inherent in the court’s jury-selection
    processes.
    On defendant’s second appeal, the Court of Appeals concluded in an authored
    opinion that defendant had established a violation of the Sixth Amendment’s fair-cross-
    section requirement and reversed and remanded the case for a new trial.30 The panel
    referred to each of the tests generally used to measure whether representation of a distinct
    
    29 Smith, 463
     Mich 199. The trial court read Smith for the holding that statistical
    estimates are mere speculation, insufficient to show underrepresentation. As we discuss,
    the trial court misapprehended Smith on this point. As an alternative rationale, the trial
    court concluded that even if Smith did permit statistical estimates, these estimates had a
    marginal value because of the many variables involved in their accuracy and defendant
    could not prove his claim because no hard data included what percentage of African-
    Americans were sent jury questionnaires. As an additional alternative rationale, the trial
    court concluded that even if statistical estimates could satisfy the second prong,
    defendant failed to show that the representation was not fair and reasonable because he
    was not actually the victim of underrepresentation in his particular venire. In particular,
    the trial court found that it was not statistically significant that there was only one
    African-American in defendant’s venire because such a result would occur 10 percent of
    the time even if the pools had been derived without the zip-code problem.
    30
    People v Bryant, 
    289 Mich App 260
    ; 796 NW2d 135 (2010) (Bryant II).
    13
    group is fair and reasonable, purportedly following the case-by-case approach set forth in
    Smith.31
    First, relying on Dr. Stephenson’s calculations for only defendant’s venire, the
    panel stated that the absolute disparity was 6.03 percent. Although acknowledging that
    such a result does not indicate substantial underrepresentation, the panel declined to find
    the absolute-disparity test controlling because it viewed it as an ineffective measure of
    acceptable disparity in circumstances, like this one, in which the group in question makes
    up a small percentage of the total population.32
    Next, the panel addressed the comparative-disparity test and acknowledged the
    difficulties in applying this test to a group that makes up a small percentage of the
    population.33 Nonetheless, the panel decided that the comparative-disparity test was the
    most appropriate to measure the underrepresentation in cases in which the percentage of
    the distinct group in the population is low.34 Relying on Dr. Stephenson’s calculations
    for only defendant’s venire, the panel stated that the comparative disparity was 73.1
    percent, which it viewed as a significant disparity and “sufficient to demonstrate that the
    31
    Id. at 267.
    32
    Id. at 269.
    33
    Id. at 269-270.
    34
    Id. at 270-271. On this point, the panel relied on United States v Rogers, 73 F3d 774,
    777 (CA 8, 1996), which concluded that “the comparative disparity calculation provides a
    more meaningful measure of systematic impact vis-a-vis the ‘distinctive’ group: it
    calculates the representation of African Americans in jury pools relative to the African-
    American[s] [in the] community rather than relative to the entire population.”
    14
    representation of African-Americans in the venire for defendant’s trial was unfair and
    unreasonable.”35
    In addition, the panel briefly addressed the standard-deviation test. It concluded
    that because Dr. Stephenson testified that the test was not appropriate because the normal
    approximation was not valid and no court has accepted the standard-deviation analysis as
    determinative in this type of challenge, it had little value here.36
    Addressing   the   third   prong   from    Duren,    the     panel   held   that   the
    underrepresentation was caused by the systematic exclusion of African-Americans.37
    The panel concluded that the underrepresentation in this case was inherent in the Kent
    County jury-selection process in which a computer programming error resulted in
    overselection of jurors from zip codes with small minority populations and
    underselection of jurors from zip codes with large minority populations. Further, the
    evidence showed that this underrepresentation occurred over a significant period of
    time.38 Therefore, because defendant established a prima facie case for a fair-cross-
    section claim under the Sixth Amendment that the prosecution failed to rebut, the panel
    reversed and remanded for a new trial.39
    35
    Bryant II, 289 Mich App at 271. The panel concluded that the 73.1 percent
    comparative disparity was sufficient to demonstrate an unfair and unreasonable
    representation because it was substantially higher than the 30 or 40 percent that has been
    deemed sufficient in other cases. Id. at 271-272.
    36
    Id. at 272-273.
    37
    Id. at 274.
    38
    Id. at 273-275.
    39
    Id. at 275-276.
    15
    The prosecution sought leave to appeal in this Court, which we granted.40
    II. STANDARD OF REVIEW
    Whether defendant was denied his Sixth Amendment right to an impartial jury
    drawn from a fair cross section of the community is a constitutional question that we
    review de novo.41 We review the factual findings of a trial court for clear error, which
    exists “if the reviewing court is left with a definite and firm conviction that the trial court
    made a mistake.”42
    III. ANALYSIS
    A. FAIR-CROSS-SECTION JURISPRUDENCE
    The Sixth Amendment of the United States Constitution guarantees a defendant
    the right to be tried by an impartial jury drawn from a fair cross section of the
    40
    People v Bryant, 
    489 Mich 924
     (2011) (Bryant III). Our order stated in part:
    The parties shall include among the issues to be briefed: (1) whether,
    in evaluating whether a distinctive group has been sufficiently
    underrepresented under Duren v Missouri, 
    439 US 357
     (1979), so as to
    violate the Sixth Amendment’s fair cross-section requirement, courts may
    choose to examine only the composition of the defendant’s particular jury
    venire, or whether courts must always examine the composition of broader
    pools or arrays of prospective jurors; (2) whether a defendant’s claim of
    such underrepresentation must always be supported by hard data, or
    whether statistical estimates are permissible and, if so, under what
    circumstances; and (3) whether any underrepresentation of African-
    Americans in the defendant’s venire, or in Kent County jury pools between
    2001 and 2002, was the result of systematic exclusion under the third prong
    of Duren. [Id.]
    41
    See People v Armstrong, 
    490 Mich 281
    , 289; 806 NW2d 676 (2011).
    42
    
    Id.
    16
    community.43        The United States Supreme Court recognized the fair-cross-section
    guarantee in Taylor v Louisiana.44 In Taylor, the defendant successfully challenged
    Louisiana’s jury-selection scheme in which women would not be considered for jury
    service unless they filed a written declaration of their willingness to serve.45 For the
    defendant’s jury district, in which 53 percent of the population was female, of the 1,800
    43
    Berghuis v Smith, 559 US ___, ___; 
    130 S Ct 1382
    , 1384; 
    176 L Ed 2d 249
     (2010).
    The Sixth Amendment provides:
    In all criminal prosecutions, the accused shall enjoy the right to a
    speedy and public trial, by an impartial jury of the State and district
    wherein the crime shall have been committed, which district shall have
    been previously ascertained by law, and to be informed of the nature and
    cause of the accusation; to be confronted with the witnesses against him; to
    have compulsory process for obtaining witnesses in his favor, and to have
    the Assistance of Counsel for his defence. [US Const, Am VI.]
    Although the text of the Sixth Amendment only provides in reference to a jury “the right
    to . . . an impartial jury,” the United States Supreme Court has ascribed to that right that
    the jury must be drawn from sources reflecting a fair cross section of the community in
    order to effectuate the purpose of a jury: “guard[ing] against the exercise of arbitrary
    power [by making] available the commonsense judgment of the community as a hedge
    against the overzealous or mistaken prosecutor and in preference to the professional or
    perhaps overconditioned or biased response of a judge.” Taylor v Louisiana, 
    419 US 522
    , 530; 
    95 S Ct 692
    ; 
    42 L Ed 2d 690
     (1975), citing Duncan v Louisiana, 
    391 US 145
    ,
    155-156; 
    88 S Ct 1444
    ; 
    20 L Ed 2d 491
     (1968). We are cognizant that there is a
    reasonable argument that fair-cross-section claims should be exclusively evaluated under
    the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment, not the Sixth Amendment,
    see Berghuis, 559 US at ___;
    130 S Ct at 1396
     (Thomas, J., concurring), but we will not
    consider such an argument because we are bound by the United States Supreme Court’s
    decisions evaluating this claim under the Sixth Amendment, see Taylor, 
    419 US at 526
    ;
    see also Duncan, 
    391 US at 154-155
     (incorporating the right to a jury trial in the Sixth
    Amendment to the states through the Due Process Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment).
    
    44 Taylor, 419
     US 522.
    45
    
    Id. at 523, 525
    .
    17
    individuals drawn to fill venires in a period of nearly a year, only 12 were female.46 The
    Court held that Louisiana’s practice systematically eliminated women, a “numerous and
    distinct” group, from the jury pool, denying the defendant his right to a jury drawn from a
    fair cross section of the community in violation of the Sixth Amendment.47
    In Duren, the United States Supreme Court set forth a more substantive
    framework designed to evaluate fair-cross-section challenges. Specifically, to make a
    prima facie case of a violation of the Sixth Amendment’s fair-cross-section requirement,
    a defendant must show must show:
    (1) that the group alleged to be excluded is a ‘distinctive’ group in
    the community; (2) that the representation of this group in venires from
    which juries are selected is not fair and reasonable in relation to the number
    of such persons in the community; and (3) that this underrepresentation is
    due to systematic exclusion of the group in the jury-selection process.[48]
    The defendant in Duren successfully argued that the underrepresentation of
    women in jury venires violated the fair-cross-section requirement. Regarding the first
    prong, there was no dispute that women were a distinct group in the community.49 The
    defendant established the second prong “by [his] statistical presentation,” showing that
    while women were 54 percent of the county’s population, women were only 26.7 percent
    46
    
    Id. at 524
    .
    47
    
    Id. at 531
    . In reaching its decision, the Court emphasized that it was not imposing a
    requirement “that petit juries actually chosen must mirror the community and reflect the
    various distinctive groups in the population.” 
    Id. at 538
    .
    48
    Duren, 
    439 US at 364
    .
    49
    
    Id.
    18
    of the persons summoned for jury service and 14.5 percent of veniremembers during an
    approximately nine-month period.50           The Court concluded that “[s]uch a gross
    discrepancy between the percentage of women in jury venires and the percentage of
    women in the community requires the conclusion that women were not fairly represented
    in the source from which petit juries were drawn . . . .”51
    Regarding the third prong, the Court concluded that the underrepresentation was a
    result of the systematic exclusion of the group in the jury-selection process. Specifically,
    the defendant’s statistics, evidence that the selection scheme automatically exempted
    women from jury service upon their request, and evidence that a large discrepancy had
    occurred in every weekly venire for almost a year established “that the cause of the
    underrepresentation was systematic—that is, inherent in the particular jury-selection
    process utilized.”52
    B. APPLICATION OF THE DUREN TEST
    1. WHETHER A DISTINCT GROUP IS ALLEGED TO HAVE BEEN EXCLUDED
    There is no dispute that African-Americans, the group alleged to be excluded, are
    a distinct group in the community for the purposes of determining whether there is a
    50
    
    Id. at 362, 364
    .
    51
    
    Id. at 366
    . The Court, without naming its calculation, applied the absolute-disparity
    test by comparing the difference between the percentage of the distinct group in the
    population and the percentage of the distinct group appearing in venires.
    52
    
    Id.
    19
    violation of the Sixth Amendment’s fair-cross-section requirement.53         Accordingly,
    defendant satisfied Duren’s first prong.
    2. WHETHER REPRESENTATION IS FAIR AND REASONABLE
    The second prong requires defendant to show that “representation of this group in
    venires from which juries are selected is not fair and reasonable in relation to the number
    of such persons in the community[.]”54 As we recognized in Smith,55 the United States
    Supreme Court has not identified a method or test that courts must use to measure
    whether the representation of distinct groups is fair and reasonable.56 In light of the
    United States Supreme Court’s decision not to mandate what method or methods should
    be used, and given the various tests used by lower federal courts, we concluded in Smith
    that “no individual method should be used exclusive of the others,” adopting “a case-by-
    case approach.”57 We further held that “[p]rovided that the parties proffer sufficient
    53
    See, e.g., United States v Carmichael, 560 F3d 1270, 1280 (CA 11, 2009); United
    States v Odeneal, 517 F3d 406, 412 (CA 6, 2008); United States v Weaver, 267 F3d 231,
    240 (CA 3, 2001).
    54
    Duren, 
    439 US at 364
    .
    
    55 Smith, 463
     Mich at 203.
    56
    See Berghuis, 559 US at ___; 
    130 S Ct at 1393-1394
     (acknowledging that no decision
    of the Court has specified the proper method or methods by which underrepresentation is
    appropriately measured and taking no position on the method or methods that should be
    used). Additionally, the United States Supreme Court has not identified a threshold for
    what level of underrepresentation is not fair and reasonable. United States v Maskeny,
    609 F2d 183, 190 (CA 5, 1980).
    
    57 Smith, 463
     Mich at 204.
    20
    evidence, courts should consider the results of all the tests in determining whether
    representation was fair and reasonable.”58
    But in order to properly consider the results of the relevant tests, we must answer
    the questions we posed in our grant order to identify what data to input into the tests.
    Specifically, we asked the parties to brief whether in evaluating the second prong, “courts
    may choose to examine only the composition of the defendant’s particular jury venire, or
    whether courts must always examine the composition of broader pools or arrays of
    prospective jurors” and “whether a defendant’s claim of such underrepresentation must
    always be supported by hard data, or whether statistical estimates are permissible . . . .”59
    We hold that when applying the relevant statistical tests, a court must examine the
    composition of jury pools and venires over time using the most reliable data available to
    determine whether representation is fair and reasonable. Our reading of Duren compels
    this conclusion. Specifically, Duren sets forth that the second prong is used to evaluate
    “representation of [the distinct] group in venires from which juries are selected . . . .”60
    The Court again used the plural “venires” when it evaluated the defendant’s evidence
    under the second prong, pointing out the “discrepancy between the percentage of women
    in jury venires and the percentage of women in the community . . . .”61 In addition, the
    58
    
    Id.
    59
    Bryant III, 
    489 Mich 924
    .
    60
    Duren, 
    439 US at 364
     (emphasis added).
    61
    
    Id. at 366
     (emphasis added). In particular, Duren considered the venires used for
    nearly a year as a part of its reasoning for concluding that the second prong was satisfied
    by the defendant’s statistical presentation. 
    Id. at 362-363, 365-366
    .
    21
    Court referred back to the requirement that the second-prong underrepresentation must
    occur over time when introducing its discussion on the third prong, stating, “[I]t was
    necessary for petitioner to show that the underrepresentation of women, generally and on
    his venire, was due to their systematic exclusion in the jury-selection process.”62
    Therefore, when considering whether representation is fair and reasonable, Duren
    requires a court to evaluate the composition of venires over a significant time period
    rather than just the defendant’s individual venire.63
    62
    
    Id. at 366
     (emphasis added).
    63
    See United States v Miller, 771 F2d 1219, 1228 (CA 9, 1985) (stating in a discussion of
    Duren’s second prong that “[i]t appears to us that the Supreme Court’s use of the plural
    in setting up the Duren test is a clear indication that a violation of the fair cross-section
    requirement cannot be premised upon proof of underrepresentation in a single jury”);
    United States v Allen, 160 F3d 1096, 1103 (CA 6, 1998) (stating in a discussion of
    Duren’s second prong that “[a]ppellants, however, must show more than that their
    particular panel was unrepresentative”); People v De Rosans, 27 Cal App 4th 611, 621;
    32 Cal Rptr 2d 680 (1994) (“The second Duren prong requires a showing that the
    cognizable group is underrepresented in venires from which juries are selected, not on the
    panel from which the defendant’s jury is selected.”); United States v Verdugo-Munoz,
    unpublished order of the United States District Court for the District of Arizona, entered
    October 12, 2005 (Docket No. CR-03-1161-PHX-SRB), 
    2005 WL 2571608
    , * 2; 2005
    US Dist LEXIS 23448, * 5 (“[B]ecause of the Supreme Court’s use of the plural in
    describing the second prong of Duren, a defendant must proffer evidence that the
    underrepresentation has occurred in multiple venires.”); cf. United States v Williams, 264
    F3d 561, 568 (CA 5, 2001). In addition, an abundance of caselaw supports that when
    applying Duren’s second prong, courts look to the degree of underrepresentation over
    time. See, e.g., United States v Orange, 447 F3d 792, 798 (CA 10, 2006); Weaver, 267
    F3d at 238, 243; United States v Royal, 174 F3d 1, 5, 10-11 (CA 1, 1999); Thomas v
    Borg, 159 F3d 1147, 1150 (CA 9, 1998); United States v Rioux, 97 F3d 648, 657-658
    (CA 2, 1996); Francis v Fabian, 669 F Supp 2d 970, 984 (D Minn, 2009); People v
    Washington, 179 P3d 153, 162-164 (Colo, 2007); People v Bell, 49 Cal 3d 502, 526-527;
    262 Cal Rptr 1; 778 P2d 129 (1989).
    Despite our straightforward reading of Duren and this supporting authority, in her
    dissent Justice MARILYN KELLY disagrees that the second prong requires a pattern of
    22
    Consequently, the Court of Appeals wrongly considered the results of the tests
    from a data set that included only defendant’s venire. Relying solely on the composition
    of defendant’s venire resulted in misleading and exaggerated results.64                The
    representation of African-Americans in defendant’s venire is only relevant as a part of the
    larger picture of venires or jury pools. Because underrepresentation in a single venire
    could result from chance, evaluating whether representation of a distinct group is fair and
    reasonable requires evaluating venire composition over time. Only then is it possible to
    see the degree of any underrepresentation.
    underrepresentation over time. She does so while choosing not to address the language in
    Duren that compels this treatment of the second prong. She also attempts to critique
    some of our supporting caselaw by ignoring that those same cases explicitly support our
    reading of Duren’s second prong. Moreover, some of the cases she cites do not even
    contain a substantive discussion of the second prong, while no case that she cites actually
    concludes that the second prong may be satisfied by a showing of underrepresentation in
    only a particular defendant’s venire.
    In addition, contrary to Justice KELLY’s suggestion, our approach does not ignore
    defendant’s venire under the second prong. Instead, we merely follow Duren by
    including it in the data set of venires used to calculate the degree of underrepresentation.
    See Duren, 
    439 US at 362-366
     (considering under the second prong a data set that
    included January through March 1976, when the defendant’s trial began in March 1976).
    Of course, as in Duren, 
    439 US at 363
    , the distinct group was underrepresented in
    defendant’s individual venire, giving rise to this claim in the first place. But Duren
    reflects that such underrepresentation does not amount to a constitutional fair-cross-
    section violation without a showing that includes the degree of underrepresentation over
    time under the second prong. Thus, defendant’s venire is simply part of the larger
    statistical presentation in this analysis.
    64
    When only a particular defendant’s venire is examined, the results may look more or
    less significant depending on the actual composition of the individual venire compared to
    the broader picture. But it is only by considering the broader picture that a court can
    evaluate whether the representation of a distinct group was fair and reasonable.
    23
    In addition, evaluating the representation of a distinct group in venires over time
    requires using the most reliable data available to input into the relevant tests. In this case,
    hard data regarding the race of those sent questionnaires or appearing for jury service are
    not available for two primary reasons. First, the Secretary of State did not include the
    racial identity of individuals in the potential-juror database that was provided to Kent
    County, and thus the court’s computer program did not include a record of the race of the
    individuals who were selected.       Second, the voluntary surveys that the court made
    available to potential jurors who appeared for jury service, which included a section in
    which those persons could identify their race, were plagued by wildly inconsistent
    participation and therefore do not provide a meaningful data set.
    The circuit court did keep records of the zip code of each person sent a jury
    summons. Reviewing and using those records for the period from January through
    March 2002, Dr. Stephenson, a statistical expert, was able to estimate, using the racial
    makeup of each zip code from the census data, the number of African-Americans who
    had been summoned for jury service from January through March 2002. Given the
    available zip-code data and the limitations regarding the other potential data sources, it is
    appropriate to evaluate venire composition using Dr. Stephenson’s statistical estimate.65
    Dr. Stephenson estimated that 4.17 percent of the summonses issued were sent to
    African-Americans from January through March 2002.              Given that the census data
    65
    We note that Dr. Stephenson’s estimate is more relevant than the results of the
    voluntary survey in determining whether the body of potential African-American jurors
    as a whole was underrepresented because it actually looked at who was chosen to receive
    summonses rather than who decided to appear for service on a given day.
    24
    reflects that the jury-age population of African-Americans in the community is 8.25
    percent, it is clear that African-Americans were underrepresented. The pertinent question
    then is whether this underrepresentation in the composition of jury pools and venires
    during this time was nonetheless fair and reasonable.
    a. ABSOLUTE-DISPARITY TEST
    The absolute-disparity test is the most widely applied test and is used by the
    majority of jurisdictions to evaluate whether the representation of a distinct group was
    fair and reasonable.66 This test measures a group’s underrepresentation by subtracting
    the percentile representation of that group in jury pools or venires from the percentile
    representation of that group in the overall population of the relevant community.67 The
    absolute-disparity test is useful because it permits a straightforward and undistorted
    measure of the percentage of the group that has been excluded.68 Courts have generally
    required an absolute disparity of more than 10 percent to indicate that the representation
    of the distinct group was not fair and reasonable.69
    66
    See Delgado v Dennehy, 503 F Supp 2d 411, 425-426 (D Mass, 2007) (collecting
    cases).
    67
    See Royal, 174 F3d at 6-7, 10.
    68
    See id. at 7; see also Note, Re-justifying the fair cross section requirement: Equal
    representation and enfranchisement in the American criminal jury, 116 Yale L J 1568,
    1596 (2007).
    69
    See United States v Ashley, 54 F3d 311, 313-314 (CA 7, 1995); Maskeny, 609 F2d at
    190. Although the United States Supreme Court has not endorsed the absolute- disparity
    test, it performed the same calculation to evaluate the disparity in Duren. Duren, 
    439 US at 364-366
    ; see also People v Burgener, 29 Cal 4th 833, 860; 129 Cal Rptr 2d 747; 62
    P3d 1 (2003).
    25
    The absolute-disparity test, however, is often criticized because it makes it
    difficult, if not impossible, for a defendant to make this showing if the distinct group has
    a small population in the community.70 For example, even if the 8.25 percent African-
    American population here had been entirely excluded from jury pools and venires for the
    three-month period analyzed, the absolute disparity would have been only 8.25 percent,
    falling below the threshold generally applied to determine whether the representation is
    fair and reasonable.71
    Given that the Kent County African-American jury-age population figure is 8.25
    percent and the percentage of African-Americans sent jury summonses from January
    through March 2002 was 4.17 percent, the absolute disparity is 4.08 percent.72 The Court
    of Appeals, however, disregarded the result of this test because the African-American
    
    70 Smith, 463
     Mich at 203-204. One commentator elaborated on a problem with the
    absolute-disparity test as follows:
    If the jurisdiction is 99% African American and venires are 49%
    African American, then defendants would be virtually assured of having
    African Americans on their petit juries, despite the 50% absolute disparity.
    If, on the other hand, the overall population is 50% African American and
    venires are 0% African American, then the odds of having an African
    American petit juror would drop from near-certainty to total impossibility.
    The fact that the absolute disparity test cannot distinguish between these
    radically different scenarios indicates that it does not measure defendants’
    probabilistic injuries. [Commentary, Jury poker: A statistical analysis of
    the fair cross-section requirement, 8 Ohio St J Crim L 533, 545 (2011).]
    71
    See, e.g., Thomas, 159 F3d at 1151 (addressing an absolute disparity of approximately
    5 percent); United States v Suttiswad, 696 F2d 645, 649 (CA 9, 1982) (addressing
    absolute disparities of 2.8 percent, 7.7 percent, and 4.7 percent); United States v Clifford,
    640 F2d 150, 155 (CA 8, 1981) (addressing an absolute disparity of 7.2 percent).
    72
    8.25 percent minus 4.17 percent is 4.08 percent.
    26
    population is small. Although the African-American population in Kent County falls
    below 10 percent, Smith nonetheless requires “consider[ation] [of] the results of all the
    tests in determining whether representation was fair and reasonable” and instructs that
    “no individual method should be used exclusive of the others.”73 Thus, even when the
    African-American population is small, Smith does not allow a court to simply ignore the
    absolute-disparity test entirely. Rather, a reviewing court should look at the results of
    each test and how far each test is below or above the necessary threshold in determining
    whether, on the whole, the defendant has established that the representation was not fair
    and reasonable. Consequently, despite the criticism of the absolute-disparity test, the
    Court of Appeals should not have disregarded the test’s results.
    b. COMPARATIVE-DISPARITY TEST
    Some courts have used the comparative-disparity test, which measures “the
    decreased likelihood that members of an underrepresented group will be called for jury
    service . . . .”74 It is calculated by dividing the result of the absolute-disparity test by the
    percentage of the distinct group in the overall population of the community.75 The
    comparative-disparity test is not widely used and is criticized because it invites distortion
    
    73 Smith, 463
     Mich at 204.
    74
    United States v Shinault, 147 F3d 1266, 1272 (CA 10, 1998) (emphasis omitted).
    75
    
    Id.
     Unlike the absolute-disparity test, the United States Supreme Court has never
    applied the comparative-disparity test in practice.
    27
    of the alleged underrepresentation, particularly when the population of the distinct group
    is small.76
    The Court of Appeals, after disfavoring the result of the absolute-disparity test
    because the percentage of the distinct group in the relevant community was low,
    effectively established a bright-line rule favoring the comparative-disparity test when the
    population of the distinct group is small. This holding directly contradicts the case-by-
    
    76 Smith, 463
     Mich at 204; see also Thomas, 159 F3d at 1150 (disfavoring the
    comparative-disparity test because “it exaggerates the effect of any deviation”); accord
    Royal, 174 F3d at 8-9. For example, assuming that the population of the distinct group
    was one and that person was excluded, the result of the comparative disparity is 100
    percent even though a jury without that member “would clearly form a ‘fair cross section’
    of the community.” United States v Hafen, 726 F2d 21, 24 (CA 1, 1984). As one
    commentator put it, “[a] test that finds maximal underrepresentation in a situation in
    which the defendant’s chances of jury composition are virtually unaffected cannot be a
    good one to apply generally.” Note, A proposal for measuring underrepresentation in
    the composition of the jury wheel, 103 Yale L J 1913, 1928 (1994). Another
    commentator described the problem with the comparative-disparity test as follows:
    Yet the comparative disparity test lacks the absolute disparity test’s
    awareness of what fraction of the total [population] has been tampered
    with. For example, when all African Americans are absent from venires,
    the result is the highest possible comparative disparity score, 100%. But
    that figure is useless unless one also accounts for how many African
    Americans are in the overall population. If the total population is majority
    African American, then the observed underrepresentation would reduce the
    odds of drawing an African American juryperson from near certainty to
    total impossibility. If, on the other hand, African Americans comprise just
    0.1% of the total population, then the likelihood of drawing an African
    American would not have significantly declined. Thus, despite its support
    among prominent commentators, the comparative disparity test, like the
    absolute disparity test, simply does not measure the probabilistic injuries
    generated by fair cross-section violations. [Jury Poker, 8 Ohio St J Crim L
    at 545-546.]
    28
    case approach set forth in Smith.77 Again, the comparative-disparity test is particularly
    defective when the claim involves a small population of a distinct group because it
    distorts the extent of any underrepresentation. Thus, it does not follow to elevate the
    comparative-disparity test while disregarding the others tests in precisely the
    circumstance that the comparative-disparity test is most criticized and apt to produce
    distorted results.
    The Court of Appeals further erred when it considered the 73.1 percent result of
    the comparative-disparity test for only defendant’s venire. Using the proper data from
    Dr. Stephenson’s three-month examination of venires, the comparative-disparity was
    49.45 percent.78 The United States Courts of Appeal for the First, Third, Ninth, and
    Tenth Circuits have each found permissible comparative disparities above 50 percent.79
    
    77 Smith, 463
     Mich at 204.           Justice MARILYN KELLY claims that we have
    mischaracterized the Court of Appeals’ opinion regarding the establishment of a bright-
    line rule in favor of the comparative-disparity test when the population of the distinct
    group is small. The Court of Appeals’ opinion belies this claim. In particular, the panel,
    after a discussion of the absolute-disparity test and the comparative-disparity test stated,
    “We must apply some test to measure the representation of African-Americans in
    defendant’s venire . . . .” Bryant II, 289 Mich App at 270. It continued, “[T]he
    comparative-disparity test is most appropriate to measure underrepresentation in cases in
    which the percentage of African-Americans in the relevant community is low.” Id.
    Thus, contrary to Justice KELLY’s dissent, the Court of Appeals ultimately used only the
    result from the comparative-disparity test to evaluate defendant’s claim under the second
    prong. This approach is clearly contrary to Smith, 
    463 Mich at 204
    , which requires that
    “no individual method should be used exclusive of the others.” By ultimately using the
    comparative-disparity test and no other, the Court of Appeals did just the opposite of
    what Smith requires.
    78
    The absolute-disparity result of 4.08 percent divided by the 8.25 percent African-
    American population figure yields a result of 49.45 percent.
    79
    See Orange, 447 F3d at 798-799 (noting that the court had upheld selection procedures
    involving comparative disparities between 38.17 percent and 51.22 percent); United
    29
    Moreover, the cases cited by the Court of Appeals for the proposition that 30 or 40
    percent has been deemed sufficient to demonstrate unfair and unreasonable representation
    are readily distinguishable.
    In United States v Rogers, a 30.96 percent comparative disparity was deemed
    significant by an Eighth Circuit panel, but this determination was made in dicta as the
    panel was bound by earlier Eighth Circuit precedent regarding the particular jury system
    under review.80 Accordingly, the panel had to affirm the defendant’s convictions.81
    Thus, given that the Eighth Circuit has not adopted the comparative-disparity test or
    found it determinative in any case, we do not afford Rogers any weight and view it as an
    outlier in fair-cross-section jurisprudence. Additionally, in Ramseur v Beyer, which the
    Court of Appeals also cited, a 40 percent comparative disparity was deemed
    “borderline.”82 The minority population in that case was 35.9 percent, and the absolute
    disparity was 14.1 percent. Thus, the minority population was far larger than in the case
    at hand. A 40 percent comparative disparity is not a persuasive baseline for this case
    because the comparative-disparity test distorts the results in cases involving small
    States v Sanchez-Lopez, 879 F2d 541, 547-549 (CA 9, 1989) (concerning a comparative
    disparity of 52.9 percent); Hafen, 726 F2d at 23 (concerning a comparative disparity of
    54.2 percent); Shinault, 147 F3d at 1273 (concerning comparative disparities between
    48.63 percent and 59.84 percent); Royal, 174 F3d at 10 n 10 (concerning a comparative
    disparity of 60.9 percent); Weaver, 267 F3d at 243 (concerning comparative disparities
    between 40.01 percent and 72.98 percent).
    80
    United States v Rogers, 73 F3d 774, 775-777 (CA 8, 1996).
    81
    Id. at 775.
    82
    Ramseur v Beyer, 983 F2d 1215, 1232 (CA 3, 1992).
    30
    populations.83 Given that the comparative-disparity test distorts the results when the
    population of the distinct group is small and because the result here falls below the level
    of disparity that has generally been deemed acceptable by other courts, we conclude that
    defendant has failed to establish that African-American representation was not fair and
    reasonable under the comparative-disparity test.
    c. STANDARD-DEVIATION TEST
    The standard-deviation test, also known as the statistical-significance test,
    calculates the probability that the observed underrepresentation of the distinct group was
    the result of chance.84 The standard-deviation test compares the actual distribution of the
    distinct group within the data set to the proportional distribution, measuring the “extent to
    which an observed result is likely to vary from an expected result. The larger the number
    of standard deviations an observed result is from an expected result, the lower the
    probability that the observed result is random.”85 The use of this test has its roots in
    United States Supreme Court caselaw considering juror representation in the equal-
    protection context.86 However, “‘no court in the country has accepted [a standard-
    83
    See Weaver, 267 F3d at 243 (distinguishing Ramseur for the same reason).
    84
    See Jury Poker, 8 Ohio St J Crim L at 549-550.
    85
    Jefferson v Morgan, 962 F2d 1185, 1189 (CA 6, 1992).
    86
    See Castaneda v Partida, 
    430 US 482
    , 496 n 17; 
    97 S Ct 1272
    ; 
    51 L Ed 2d 498
     (1977)
    (“As a general rule for such large samples, if the difference between the expected value
    and the observed number is greater than two or three standard deviations, then the
    hypothesis that the jury drawing was random would be suspect to a social scientist.”).
    31
    deviation analysis] alone as determinative in Sixth Amendment challenges to jury
    selection systems.’”87
    It is unsurprising that no court has ever accepted the result of this test alone as
    determinative in this type of challenge because the test in effect has nothing to do with
    the evaluation of the second prong. That is, whether the degree of underrepresentation is
    statistically significant and not the result of chance does not inform whether the level of
    representation is fair and reasonable.88 Instead, such a result is more appropriately
    considered in the equal-protection context as an aid in determining whether intentional
    discrimination exists or perhaps as a part of the evaluation of the third Duren prong.89
    This reality is simply a function of what the test actually measures—the randomness of a
    given disparity, not the extent of the disparity.90
    Further, Dr. Stephenson concluded that it was inappropriate to apply the standard-
    deviation test in this case because the normal approximation was not valid. He did,
    
    87 Smith, 463
     Mich at 204, quoting Rioux, 97 F3d at 655 (alteration in original).
    88
    As one commentator stated:
    [T]he question answered by [the standard-deviation test], while an
    interesting one, is not the appropriate one for a fair cross-section analysis.
    The probability that the composition of a jury wheel arose by random
    selection from the community is not directly related to the defendant’s
    chances of drawing a jury of a certain composition. [Measuring
    underrepresentation, 103 Yale L J at 1928.]
    89
    See Jefferson, 962 F2d at 1189 (setting forth that “in the context of racial
    discrimination claims, the larger the number of standard deviations, the more likely the
    observed result is the product of discrimination rather than chance”).
    90
    See Jury Poker, 8 Ohio St J Crim L at 550.
    32
    however, apply a related test to determine that the extent of underrepresentation from
    January through March 2002 was not the result of random chance. Nonetheless, all we
    garner from the result is just that—the underrepresentation was not a random occurrence.
    The mere fact that the underrepresentation was not the result of random chance does not
    establish that it was not fair and reasonable. Thus, we afford the result of this test no
    weight.91
    d. DISPARITY-OF-RISK TEST
    Another test that is sometimes discussed is the disparity-of-risk test.92 This test
    measures “the likelihood that the difference between a group’s representation in the jury
    pool and its population in the community will result in a significant risk that the jury will
    not fairly represent the group.”93 It does so by comparing the chance that a defendant’s
    jury (before or without voir dire)94 will include members of a distinct group if that
    91
    Justice MARILYN KELLY’s dissent views this treatment of the standard-deviation test as
    inconsistent with our criticism of the Court of Appeals. Yet she does not contest that the
    standard-deviation test has nothing to do with measuring whether the representation is
    fair and reasonable. Thus, it is not that the standard-deviation test merely has flaws like
    the other tests; it is that it is irrelevant to the consideration of the second prong.
    Therefore, unlike the other tests, it cannot logically inform our evaluation.
    92
    Although occasionally discussed, it appears that no court has applied it.
    93
    Commonwealth v Arriaga, 438 Mass 556, 566-567; 
    781 NE2d 1253
     (2003); see
    Measuring underrepresentation, 103 Yale L J 1913 (proposing the use of the disparity-
    of-risk test).
    94
    The analysis focuses on the effects of the jury-selection system, not the effects of
    peremptory or for-cause strikes because the effects of these strikes on a defendant’s jury
    are resolved under an equal-protection analysis. See Batson v Kentucky, 
    476 US 79
    ; 
    106 S Ct 1712
    ; 
    90 L Ed 2d 69
     (1986). The strategic decisions in voir dire shed no light on
    whether representation in venires is fair and reasonable at the outset. Thus, this analysis
    33
    group’s representation in the jury pool is consistent with its population in the community
    with the chance that a defendant’s jury will include members of the same group given the
    particular underrepresentation alleged.95
    considers the probability of drawing a given number from a distinct group when
    randomly drawing 12 potential jurors at a time.
    95
    See Jury Poker, 8 Ohio St J Crim L at 537 n 25. This test employs the binomial
    theorem to obtain the necessary probabilities for comparison. The binomial theorem in
    this situation expresses as a percentage the difference between what would be the
    expected normal distribution of a distinct group in 12-person juries assuming that
    representation in the jury pool is the same as in the community and the actual distribution
    of a group in 12-person juries assuming that the distinct group is underrepresented in the
    jury pool. The following results were computed using a binomial calculator available at
    Texas A&M University Department of Statistics  (accessed June 26, 2012), with “n” representing the number
    of jurors drawn, “p” representing the probability of success in choosing a juror from the
    distinct group in one drawing, “x” representing the possible number of jurors from that
    group on the jury, and “Prob (x)” representing the probability of that number resulting.
    The results show the probabilities for an expected number of members of the distinct
    group in a 12-person jury if the drawing were fully representative (p = 0.0825) and the
    probabilities for an expected number of members of the distinct group in a 12-person
    jury given the known degree of underrepresentation in this case (p = 0.0417):
    x     Prob (x)        Prob (x)
    When p = 0.0825 When p = 0.0417
    and n = 12      and n = 12
    0      0.3559          0.5998
    1      0.3840          0.3132
    2      0.1899          0.0750
    3      0.0569          0.0109
    4      0.0115          0.0011
    5      0.0017         0.00007
    6     0.00002         0.00000
    7     0.00001         0.00000
    8     0.00000         0.00000
    9     0.00000         0.00000
    10    0.00000         0.00000
    11    0.00000         0.00000
    34
    Although this test is not new, the primary reason for its disfavor is because it has
    yet to garner approval from any court.96 But given the absence of uniformity for what
    tests to apply, we will consider it among other measures of underrepresentation. Its
    purpose—to estimate the probability of actual underrepresentation on a jury—is
    consistent with the United States Supreme Court’s aims to protect a defendant’s right to
    an impartial jury and a fair trial by means of a jury drawn from a fair cross section of the
    community.97 Moreover, considering this test is consistent with Smith’s holding that
    “[p]rovided that the parties proffer sufficient evidence, courts should consider the results
    of all the tests in determining whether representation was fair and reasonable.”98 Thus, it
    is relevant to consider the extent to which a defendant’s chances of a representative jury
    were altered by underrepresentation in the jury pool by measuring the diminished
    likelihood that a randomly drawn 12-person jury includes a given number from a distinct
    To take an example from these results, a 12-person jury drawn from a pool proportionate
    to the actual population of African-Americans in Kent County (8.25 percent) would be
    expected to have one African-American 38.4 percent of the time, while a 12-person jury
    drawn from a pool containing 4.17 percent African-Americans would be expected to have
    one African-American 31.32 percent of the time. For a more detailed mathematical
    description of the binomial theorem see Jury Poker, 8 Ohio St J Crim L at 537 n 25.
    96
    See Arriaga, 438 Mass at 566; United States v Green, 389 F Supp 2d 29, 54 (D Mass,
    2005), overruled on other grounds by In re United States, 426 F3d 1 (CA 1, 2005);
    Delgado, 503 F Supp 2d at 425 (D Mass, 2007).
    97
    See Williams v Florida, 
    399 US 78
    , 100; 
    90 S Ct 1893
    ; 
    26 L Ed 2d 446
     (1970) (stating
    that juries must be selected so as “to provide a fair possibility for obtaining a
    representative cross-section of the community”).
    
    98 Smith, 463
     Mich at 204. The necessary evidence is available in the record to calculate
    the risk disparity in this case.
    35
    group.99 In this case, when considering the likelihood that a defendant’s 12-person jury
    would contain no African-Americans the disparity of risk was 24.39 percent.100
    Unlike the absolute-disparity test and the comparative-disparity test, courts have
    not considered the appropriate threshold under which the disparity of risk should be
    deemed fair and reasonable. We believe the normative line should be drawn at 50
    percent.101 That is, disparities of risk that exceed 50 percent should be deemed unfair and
    unreasonable. This is a logical normative line because when measuring a defendant’s
    probabilistic injuries, a risk disparity of 50 percent or lower shows that, more likely than
    not, removing the underrepresentation would not have altered the composition of a
    99
    See Re-Justifying the fair cross section requirement, 116 Yale L J at 1597 (stating that
    underrepresentation of what already is a small group does not “appreciably impact the
    defendant’s ‘fair possibility’ of a representative jury”).
    100
    We consider the disparity between the ideal risk and the actual risk for having no
    African-Americans on a randomly selected 12-person jury because it is the largest
    disparity. Thus, it represents where the underrepresentation most affected the
    expectations of a particular result. See Jury Poker, 8 Ohio St J Crim L at 540 n 28.
    In any randomly drawn 12-person jury drawn from a pool exactly proportionate to
    Kent County’s African-American population as a whole (8.25 percent), a defendant can
    expect no African-Americans on the jury 35.59 percent of the time. This is called the
    “ideal risk” because it measures the probability of a particular result without
    underrepresentation. However, when randomly drawing from the disproportionate jury
    pool that occurred in this case (4.17 percent African-American), the probability of a 12-
    person jury containing no African-Americans rises to 59.98 percent. This is called the
    “actual risk” because it measures the probability of a particular result given the actual
    underrepresentation. With a 4.17 percent representation rate, a defendant would expect
    to have no African-Americans on a 12-person jury 59.98 percent of the time. The
    disparity-of-risk test, thus, calculates the difference between the ideal risk (35.39 percent)
    and the actual risk (59.98 percent), resulting in a disparity of risk of 24.39 percent.
    101
    See 
    id. at 541-542
     (proposing a 50 percent threshold).
    36
    defendant’s jury.102 Consequently, defendant has failed to show that the representation of
    African-Americans was not fair and reasonable under the disparity-of-risk test.103
    Given the results of the foregoing tests, defendant has failed to show that the
    representation of African-Americans in the venires at issue was not fair and reasonable.
    Instead, the results of the absolute-disparity test, comparative-disparity test, and
    disparity-of-risk test all support the opposite conclusion: that the representation of
    African-Americans was fair and reasonable. Accordingly, we conclude that defendant
    did not make out a prima facie case for his Sixth Amendment fair-cross-section claims.
    Notwithstanding our conclusion on this determinative issue, we will address the third
    prong in order to consider the argument that a defendant who shows systematic exclusion
    under the third prong is entitled to make a lesser showing under the second prong.
    3. WHETHER UNDERREPRESENTATION RESULTS FROM SYSTEMATIC
    EXCLUSION
    The third Duren prong requires a defendant to show that “this underrepresentation
    is due to systematic exclusion of the group in the jury-selection process.”104 A systematic
    102
    See 
    id.
     (stating that such a line “parallel[s] the commonplace legal rule that claimants
    are entitled to no relief when they fail to show it is more likely than not that they have
    been wronged”). We also note that defendant’s risk disparity of roughly 24 percent even
    falls below the 37 percent threshold proposed by the author who first introduced this test.
    Measuring underrepresentation, 103 Yale L J at 1936-1937. We do not adopt the 37
    percent threshold because there is no normative rationale for doing so.
    103
    Although the dissenting Justices question our use of the disparity-of-risk test, they
    notably make no substantive critique of the test itself.
    104
    Duren, 
    439 US at 364
    .
    37
    exclusion is one that is “inherent in the particular jury-selection process utilized.”105 In
    Duren, the United States Supreme Court concluded that the practice of excluding women
    in every weekly venire for nearly a year constituted underrepresentation that was
    systematic.106
    The evidence here shows that a computer programming error in the computer
    software used to randomly select potential jurors from the Secretary of State database of
    names of eligible jurors in Kent County truncated that database of names from 453,414
    eligible jurors to 118,169. The smaller list of names was used to randomly select
    potential jurors. This list, however, disproportionately included more individuals in
    certain zip codes and fewer from other zip codes. The underrepresented zip codes on the
    whole had higher concentrations of African-Americans. Thus, the computer program
    error, which was the cause of the systematic exclusion, was one that was “inherent” in the
    computer program, which was “the particular jury-selection process utilized” to select
    potential jurors for service.
    It is irrelevant for the purpose of this analysis that the computer error was not
    intentional and was corrected upon its discovery because under the third prong
    “systematic disproportion itself demonstrates an infringement of the defendant’s interest
    in a jury chosen from a fair community cross section.”107 Thus, the fact that the computer
    error was unintentional, and that it was fixed upon its discovery, is immaterial to whether
    105
    
    Id. at 366
    .
    106
    
    Id. at 359, 366
    .
    107
    
    Id.
     at 368 n 26 (emphasis added).
    38
    systematic exclusion was occurring at the time defendant’s jury was selected.
    Accordingly, we conclude that defendant satisfied the third prong by showing that the
    exclusion was systematic.108
    In Hubbard, a panel of our Court of Appeals addressed a fair-cross-section claim
    and held that the threshold for underrepresentation is lower when the underrepresentation
    is “the result of circumstances less benign than random selection . . . .”109 In that case,
    “[t]he evidence produced on remand reveal[ed] that the juror allocation process employed
    by Kalamazoo County before July 1992—and not random selection—caused the
    underrepresentation.”110     The panel concluded that “given the lack of benign
    causation, . . . the level of disparity [absolute disparity of 3.4 percent to 4.1 percent]
    constituted substantial underrepresentation under the Sixth Amendment.”111
    In lowering the threshold of the second prong in circumstances in which the level
    of disparity was the result of nonbenign circumstances, the Hubbard panel erroneously
    108
    Because defendant presented direct evidence of a systematic exclusion, we need not
    address whether statistics alone may establish that underrepresentation was the result of a
    systematic exclusion inherent in the jury-selection process.
    109
    Hubbard, 217 Mich App at 480. The minority population in Hubbard was 7.4
    percent. The panel considered only the absolute-disparity test, but found the test flawed,
    relying largely on United States v Osorio, 801 F Supp 966, 978-979 (D Conn, 1992), for
    its holding that such a level of disparity resulting from nonbenign circumstances satisfied
    the second Duren prong.
    110
    Hubbard, 217 Mich App at 480.
    111
    Id. at 481. Although not addressed by the panel in Hubbard, given that the minority
    population in Hubbard was 7.4 percent, the comparative disparity ranged from 44.6
    percent to 55.4 percent.
    39
    assumed that the underrepresentation contemplated by the second Duren prong depends
    in part on the reason for the underrepresentation. The reason for the underrepresentation
    is the basis of the third prong, and the only issue in the second prong is whether the
    degree of underrepresentation is acceptable. In other words, Duren requires satisfaction
    of three distinct prongs. An approach that arbitrarily gives a defendant the benefit of the
    doubt on the second prong vitiates the three-part analysis. Even if a defendant can show
    underrepresentation that was systematic, a defendant must show that the extent of any
    underrepresentation was not fair and reasonable. Moreover, it would be inconsistent to
    conclude that a certain level of underrepresentation that would otherwise be fair and
    reasonable absent systematic exclusion is suddenly not fair and reasonable because the
    cause of the underrepresentation is nonbenign.
    Additionally, Hubbard’s rationale for adopting the approach set forth in United
    States v Osorio112 is belied by our case-by-case approach.         Specifically, Hubbard
    articulated concerns about applying the absolute-disparity test in a situation in which the
    minority population was relatively small. Smith, however, instructs courts not to limit the
    statistical tests to be considered.113   Thus, the justification for turning to Osorio is
    diminished by our case-by-case approach evaluating all the relevant tests. As a result,
    because the Hubbard approach improperly conflates the second and third prongs as set
    forth in Duren and because its rationale is unnecessary in light of our case-by-case
    112
    Osorio, 801 F Supp 966.
    113
    In Smith, we disapproved the concurring opinion’s endorsement of Hubbard, but
    declined to reach the issue because it was unnecessary to resolve the case. Smith, 
    463 Mich at
    205 n 1.
    40
    approach, we reject it and overrule Hubbard to the extent that it is inconsistent with this
    opinion.
    IV. CONCLUSION
    This case presented the issue whether defendant was denied his Sixth Amendment
    right to an impartial jury drawn from a fair cross section of the community. Because we
    conclude that defendant did not establish that the representation of African-Americans
    was not fair and reasonable under second prong of the Duren test, we reverse the
    judgment of the Court of Appeals and reinstate defendant’s convictions and sentences.
    Brian K. Zahra
    Robert P. Young, Jr.
    Stephen J. Markman
    Mary Beth Kelly
    41
    STATE OF MICHIGAN
    SUPREME COURT
    PEOPLE OF THE STATE OF MICHIGAN,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v                                                             No. 141741
    RAMON LEE BRYANT,
    Defendant-Appellee.
    MARKMAN, J. (concurring).
    I join in the majority opinion, which reasonably applies the test governing the
    Sixth Amendment’s “fair cross section” requirement, as articulated by the United States
    Supreme Court in Duren v Missouri, 
    439 US 357
    , 364; 
    99 S Ct 664
    ; 
    58 L Ed 2d 579
    (1979). I write separately only because I have questions concerning both Duren’s test
    and the constitutional standard toward which this test is directed.
    The Sixth Amendment guarantees criminal defendants the right to a trial “by an
    impartial jury . . . .” In Taylor v Louisiana, 
    419 US 522
    , 526; 
    95 S Ct 692
    ; 
    42 L Ed 2d 690
     (1975), the Supreme Court determined that “the presence of a fair cross section of the
    community on venires, panels, or lists from which petit juries are drawn is essential to the
    fulfillment” of this constitutional guarantee. The “fair cross section” requirement is
    satisfied as long as “distinctive” groups are reasonably represented on the jury venire;
    however, it does not entitle a defendant to a jury whose composition is proportional to
    that group’s presence within the community from which the venire is chosen. As Taylor
    emphasized:
    Defendants are not entitled to a jury of any particular
    composition, but the jury wheels, pools of names, panels, or
    venires from which juries are drawn must not systematically
    exclude distinctive groups in the community and thereby fail to be
    reasonably representative thereof. [Id. at 538 (citations omitted).]
    Under the “fair cross section” analysis, it is unnecessary for a defendant to show
    that the lack of “reasonable representation” of a “distinctive” group is the result of
    discrimination in the jury-selection system, as would be required under the Equal
    Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment. See, e.g., Castaneda v Partida, 
    430 US 482
    , 494; 
    97 S Ct 1272
    ; 
    51 L Ed 2d 498
     (1977). Rather, in “fair-cross-section cases,
    systematic disproportion itself demonstrates an infringement of the defendant’s interest in
    a jury chosen from a fair community cross section.” Duren, 
    439 US at
    368 n 26
    (emphasis added). So the critical constitutional inquiry appears to be directed toward the
    extent or magnitude of the “systematic disproportion.”              While “proportional”
    representation of “distinctive” groups is not required, what constitutes “proportional”
    representation must nonetheless be constantly borne in mind so that the level of
    “disproportion” can be calculated because, at some uncertain point, a level of
    “disproportion” that is apparently constitutionally acceptable is transformed into a level
    of “disproportion” that breaches the Sixth Amendment. And it is the responsibility of
    this Court to determine on a “case by case” basis when that point of transformation
    occurs, principally through the application of myriad statistical tests, some of which have
    been given the explicit imprimatur of the United States Supreme Court and others of
    2
    which have not, but at the same time have not been repudiated, in light of the apparent
    nonexclusivity of the approved tests.
    In Duren, the Supreme Court set forth a three-part test to evaluate “fair cross
    section” challenges. Specifically, in order to establish a prima facie case, a defendant
    must show
    (1) that the group alleged to be excluded is a “distinctive” group in
    the community; (2) that the representation of this group in venires
    from which juries are selected is not fair and reasonable in relation
    to the number of such persons in the community; and (3) that this
    underrepresentation is due to systematic exclusion of the group in
    the jury-selection process. [Id. at 364.]
    The dispositive question in this case concerns the second part of Duren’s test-- i.e.,
    whether the representation of African-Americans in venires from which juries were
    selected in Kent County during the period in which defendant was tried and convicted is
    “fair and reasonable in relation to the number of such persons in the community.” 
    Id.
    To determine whether representation is “fair and reasonable” under the Duren test,
    courts have applied yet more tests. In People v Smith, 
    463 Mich 199
    ; 615 NW2d 1
    (2000), this Court discussed three statistical tests that have been used to measure whether
    representation of a “distinctive” group in the jury pool is “fair and reasonable”: the
    “absolute disparity” test, the “comparative disparity” test, and the “standard deviation”
    test. Recognizing that all three tests are imperfect and susceptible to criticisms, Smith
    held:
    We thus consider all these approaches to measuring whether
    representation was fair and reasonable, and conclude that no
    individual method should be used exclusive of the others.
    Accordingly, we adopt a case-by-case approach. Provided that the
    3
    parties proffer sufficient evidence, courts should consider the
    results of all the tests in determining whether representation was
    fair and reasonable. [Id. at 204.]
    After a decision on habeas corpus review by the United States Court of Appeals
    for the Sixth Circuit asserting that Smith constituted an “unreasonable” application of
    “clearly established federal law,” Smith v Berghuis, 543 F3d 326, 329, 334 (CA 6, 2008),
    the United States Supreme Court unanimously reversed the Sixth Circuit, holding that
    “neither Duren nor any other decision of this Court specifies the method or test courts
    must use to measure the representation of distinctive groups in jury pools.” Berghuis v
    Smith, 559 US ___, ___; 
    130 S Ct 1382
    , 1393; 
    176 L Ed 2d 249
     (2010). Noting that
    “[e]ach test is imperfect,” the Supreme Court declined “to take sides today on the method
    or methods by which underrepresentation is appropriately measured.” 
    Id.
     at ___; 
    130 S Ct at 1393-1394
    .
    Given this state of the law, I join the majority opinion because it engages in a
    reasoned application of the relevant decisions of the United States Supreme Court and
    this Court. Consistently with the approach outlined in our decision in Smith, the majority
    opinion considers the results of all three tests for which the parties have proffered
    evidence in determining whether the representation of African-Americans, the
    “distinctive” group in question, was “fair and reasonable” in Kent County venires.
    Specifically, the majority opinion considers the results of the “absolute disparity” and the
    “comparative disparity” tests, as well as those of an additional test, the “disparity of risk”
    4
    test,1 and concludes that the results are insufficient to warrant a finding that African-
    American representation in the venires during the relevant period was not “fair and
    reasonable.” Thus, defendant has failed to establish a prima facie violation of the Sixth
    Amendment’s “fair cross section” requirement. Although the Court of Appeals’ opinion
    and the dissenting opinions of this Court also, in my judgment, reflect reasonable efforts
    to apply Duren, their use of only the results from the “comparative disparity” test to
    ascertain a “fair cross section” violation, their decisions not to use data from multiple
    venires over time, and their decisions not to fully consider the results of the “absolute
    disparity” test cause me to prefer the majority’s analysis. See Smith, 
    463 Mich at 204
    (“[N]o individual method should be used exclusive of the others.”).
    That said, the fact that both sides have sought reasonably and in good faith to
    apply Duren underscores questions concerning Duren’s test itself. These largely arise
    from the sense that in applying Duren, this Court seems to me engaged more in the
    judicial equivalent of a Rorschach test, an essentially standardless inquiry in which
    judicial conclusions are indicative more of personal judgments concerning the “fairness
    and reasonableness” of the Kent County venire than in the application of any discernible
    constitutional command.
    In particular, I am concerned about the statistical tests used to determine whether
    Duren’s second part has been satisfied. The limitations of these tests have been widely
    1
    The majority opinion does not analyze the results of the “standard deviation” test
    because the only expert whom the trial court found credible, Dr. Paul Stephenson,
    testified that the test was “not appropriate” in the present circumstances.
    5
    noted, see, e.g., Berghuis, 559 US at ___; 
    130 S Ct at 1393
    ; ante at 25-37; post at 5-7,
    and need not be revisited here. It suffices to say that when, as here, members of the
    “distinctive” group comprise only a relatively small percentage of the community’s jury-
    eligible population, one test arguably makes it difficult for a defendant to ever satisfy the
    requisite showing of “underrepresentation,” another arguably exaggerates this
    “underrepresentation,” and the third appears to be generally disfavored because it does
    not constitute an appropriate measure of anything obviously relevant to a determination
    whether the level of representation on the venires was “fair and reasonable.” In light of
    these deficiencies, how do the results of these tests, either considered individually or
    collectively, usefully illuminate whether representation was “fair and reasonable”? How
    do the bench and bar draw a meaningful legal conclusion from the application of these
    tests to the available statistical data? How rational, and how flexible, are the statistical
    thresholds that have been established by some courts in distinguishing between
    “underrepresentations” that are compatible with a “fair cross section,” and those that are
    not? To what extent, if any, may these thresholds be raised or lowered, as a function of
    the nature or the degree of any “systematic exclusion” under the third part of Duren, or
    must these parts be analyzed entirely discretely? To what extent, if any, should these
    thresholds be raised or lowered by Fourteenth Amendment considerations of
    discriminatory purpose or intention, or are those considerations simply irrelevant to the
    “fair and reasonable” analysis under the Sixth Amendment? To what extent are these
    thresholds emblematic of what the dissent in Duren predicted would become a mere
    “constitutional numbers game,” Duren, 
    439 US at 375
     (Rehnquist, J., dissenting), or do
    6
    these effectively communicate some independent reality as to what is required by the
    Constitution? Existing statistical tests and thresholds certainly provide one means by
    which to address Duren’s second part, but is it now the law of the land that the fate of
    criminal defendants, such as Ramon Bryant, as well as the effectiveness of the criminal
    justice system in communities, such as Kent County, in maintaining the security of their
    citizens are to be determined as a function of whether the data emerging from a host of
    statistical tests are to be “rounded up” or “rounded down,” the number of decimal points
    considered, and whether the denominator reflecting the presence of the “distinctive”
    group within the community has been determined by the most recent census figures, by
    mid-census estimates, or by the latest moving-van rental figures? In summary, which
    specific statistical tests best communicate whether jury representation of “distinctive”
    groups is constitutionally “fair and reasonable,” and under what circumstances, and by
    the application of which thresholds of deviation from the “proportional” representation
    standard? If the fate of individual defendants, and the ability of individual communities
    to carry out the enormous responsibility of protecting their citizens from criminal
    predators, is to be dependent on statistical testing, then there should be no uncertainty
    regarding either the relevance of a particular test in a particular circumstance or the
    standards for assessing, and thereby according legal and constitutional significance to, the
    results of those tests.
    However, perhaps an even more fundamental question is also raised here-- why
    certain statistical tests and not others?        The United States Supreme Court has
    acknowledged that the three tests described in Smith are each imperfect, Berghuis, 559
    7
    US at ___; 
    130 S Ct at 1393
    , and has declined “to take sides today on the method or
    methods by which underrepresentation is appropriately measured,” 
    id.
     at ___; 
    130 S Ct at 1393-1394
    . Doubtless, there is no end to statistical tests by which a court might seek to
    compare various-sized populations of “distinctive” groups within a community and their
    representation on venires. Equally doubtless, as evidenced in this very case, tests can be
    devised that will tend both toward sustaining and repudiating a finding of
    “underrepresentation.” Is the new “disparity of risk” test a genuinely valid means of
    adducing the existence of a Sixth Amendment violation, or are the dissenting justices
    correct that it “neither improves nor clarifies this area of the law”? Post at 1. What are
    the standards by which this Court can discern which tests are relevant in identifying
    Sixth Amendment violations? And what is the relevance of the fact that some tests might
    point in one direction regarding the second Duren part, and others might point in the
    opposite direction? Does this suggest that these tests are asking and answering different
    questions, or that one test is asking and answering the wrong question? How do judges
    test the tests to ensure that the right question is being asked? When tests differ in their
    results, how are these results to be reconciled in answering the ultimate constitutional
    question? May the court compare and contrast the degree or extent to which different
    tests deviate from thresholds distinguishing acceptable and unacceptable levels of
    statistical disparity? Is the court simply free to choose at its discretion among such
    conflicting tests? If there is some actual decision-making standard in selecting among
    conflicting tests, what is it? If such a standard has anything to do with determining which
    test better identifies “fair and reasonable” representation of “distinctive” groups in
    8
    venires, then is this not a Catch-22 tautology, to wit, in choosing among tests that best
    identify the absence of “fair and reasonable” representation, a court must employ the test
    that best identifies “fair and reasonable” representation? What if multiple tests are
    applied, as in the instant case, and these produce split results of 2-1 or 3-1 or 7-6 in favor
    of the plaintiff or the defendant? Is there some “majority rule” that requires that we
    resolve conflicts in favor of the outcome of the majority of statistical tests applied? If so,
    does this not render all-important the court’s initial determination of which tests are
    going to be considered, and how that is to be determined? And if the “majority rule”
    does not apply, how do courts distinguish among conflicting tests in determining which
    of these will be dispositive in concluding that the Sixth Amendment has or has not been
    breached?2
    These and related questions concern the meaning of Smith’s directive that courts
    must “consider all . . . approaches to measuring whether representation was fair and
    reasonable . . . .” Smith, 
    463 Mich at 204
     (emphasis added). Indeed, very different
    conceptions of this obligation are reflected in the majority and dissenting opinions.
    Justice MARILYN KELLY argues that the Court of Appeals below “properly considered the
    results of all tests [including the absolute-disparity test], but decided that the comparative
    2
    While these questions may seem a mere quibble to some, when judges are free to pick
    and choose among disparate tests, pointing to disparate constitutional conclusions,
    defendants and communities that are not significantly disparate may end up being treated
    in a disparate manner as a function of the judicial decision-making involved in: (a)
    choosing appropriate tests; (b) evaluating or considering such tests; and (c) reconciling
    such tests when they produce conflicting results.
    9
    disparity test was ‘the most appropriate test to measure underrepresentation in this case,’”
    post at 7, quoting People v Bryant, 
    289 Mich App 260
    , 271; 796 NW2d 135 (2010),
    while the majority concludes that Smith requires more than simply alluding to a test and
    then failing to “consider” it. One might think that such a difference of opinion could be
    easily resolved if there were some clear sense regarding why a particular test is or is not
    “appropriate” in furthering our understanding of whether “fair and reasonable”
    representation has been achieved, which, of course, would require a clear understanding
    of what is meant by “fair and reasonable” representation, which in turn would require a
    clear understanding of whether the constitutional task at hand is simply to calculate the
    divergence of actual representation on the venire from the “ideal” of proportional
    representation   (an    ideal   certainly    implied    by    the   Duren     concept    of
    “underrepresentation”)3 and then apply some statistical equivalent of the “I know it when
    3
    See also Duren, 
    439 US at
    372 n * (Rehnquist, J., dissenting) (observing that if the fair-
    cross-section requirement “were truly an essential element of the due process right to trial
    by an impartial jury, a defendant would be entitled to a jury composed of [distinctive
    groups] in perfect proportion to their numbers in the community”). For a similar
    perspective, see Leipold, Constitutionalizing jury selection in criminal cases: A critical
    evaluation, 86 Geo L J 945, 965 (1998):
    A defendant is thus placed in a strange position: he is
    entitled to a jury drawn from a fair cross section specifically
    because it increases the odds that different groups and perspectives
    will be represented in the jury pool, which in turn helps ensure that
    the panel is impartial; when actually seating a jury, however, he
    may not take those same characteristics into account. He may not
    base his peremptory strikes on the very same proxy for viewpoints
    that the Court has already used to justify the cross-section
    requirement, even if his efforts are designed to bring about the
    exact benefit that the cross-section requirement provides. An
    10
    I see it” test once articulated by former United States Supreme Court Justice Potter
    Stewart in the realm of obscenity law. Jacobellis v Ohio, 
    378 US 184
    , 197; 
    84 S Ct 1676
    ; 
    12 L Ed 2d 793
     (1964) (Stewart, J. concurring).4
    That is, even if I could clearly answer each of the aforementioned questions, and
    knew which tests to “consider” and how to give legal import to their results, it still would
    be difficult to apply Duren because the ultimate constitutional standard to which it is
    directed remains unclear. I know what the constitutional standard in “fair cross section”
    cases is not. It is not an equal-protection standard under which any “underrepresentation”
    resulting from intentional or purposeful discrimination in the jury venire is prohibited by
    the Constitution. See Taylor, 
    419 US at 526-528
    ; Duren, 
    439 US at
    368 n 26. And it is
    not a “proportional” representation standard under which any systematic exclusion that
    results in the “underrepresentation” of a “distinctive” group is prohibited by the
    Constitution, Taylor, 
    419 US at 538
    ; Duren, 
    439 US at
    364-- although references by the
    Supreme Court to “underrepresentation,” “disproportion,” and “representative[ness]”
    would certainly cause some judges to look in precisely that direction, absent the Court’s
    admonition to the contrary. Thus, the “fair cross section” requirement, which purports to
    attempt to support the cross-section requirement on impartiality
    grounds thus runs headlong into the rule that race or gender may
    not be used as a substitute for inclinations, biases, or possible
    votes.
    4
    As did Justice Stewart, I also recognize that both this Court and the United States
    Supreme Court are quite possibly faced here with “the task of trying to define what may
    be indefinable.” Jacobellis, 
    378 US at 197
     (Stewart, J., concurring).
    11
    eschew both principles of nondiscrimination and proportional representation, must be
    premised on some alternative standard drawn from the Sixth Amendment’s guarantee of
    an “impartial jury.” See Taylor, 
    419 US at 526
    . But see Berghuis, 559 US at ___; 
    130 S Ct at 1396
     (Thomas, J., concurring) (arguing that the fair-cross-section requirement “rests
    less on the Sixth Amendment than on an ‘amalgamation of the Due Process Clause and
    the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment’”) (citations omitted).
    Thus, some amount of “underrepresentation” is “fair and reasonable” and some
    amount is not, and the courts are to choose where the line is to be drawn. The problem is
    not that judges are ill equipped to determine what is “fair and reasonable,” as such
    inquiries are made daily by judges in other constitutional contexts. In the context of the
    Duren test, however, there is no agreed-upon standard or “ideal” by which to measure the
    constitutional mandate of an “impartial jury” at the venire stage. The United States
    Supreme Court has stated that proportionality constitutes one relevant measure, but that it
    is also not required in order to satisfy the Constitution, which leads to uncertainty
    because there is also no agreed-upon standard by which to measure how close a venire
    must come to proportionality, or indeed even how one measures proportionality. What
    “systemic,” but nondiscriminatory, deviations are acceptable under the Constitution, and
    what “systemic,” but nondiscriminatory, deviations are not? Given this lack of clear
    external standards and the wealth of divergent statistical measurements available, how
    can a judge ensure that his or her own private sensibilities concerning what is “fair and
    reasonable” in the make-up of the venire do not come to prevail over what is required by
    the Constitution and that statistical tests do not come to be selected, and standards for
    12
    evaluating their results not come to be adopted, that merely tend to match those
    sensibilities? Focusing exclusively on the merits of the various tests obscures the forest
    for the trees, for without some clear sense of what the constitutional guarantee of an
    “impartial jury” requires at the venire stage, it will prove difficult, if not impossible, to
    achieve uniformity in the analyses of the composition of different venires. This, in turn,
    incurs the risk of making judicial determinations regarding “impartial juries” fraught with
    partiality and mathematical gamesmanship, while lending credence to Justice Rehnquist’s
    concerns about a “constitutional numbers game.” Duren, 
    439 US at 375
     (Rehnquist, J.,
    dissenting).
    In the end, many trial and appellate judges have reviewed this case, and the
    question whether the venire here was “fair and reasonable” has closely divided them in
    favor of a negative response. While I have no doubt that each of these judges has
    addressed the question in this case “fairly and reasonably,” and in accordance with his or
    her own best understanding of Duren, there seems to be little in the way of a coherent
    constitutional standard that distinguishes between “systematic exclusions” that violate the
    Constitution and “systematic exclusions” that do not, much less a clear statistical method
    for giving effect to this constitutional standard. And as a result, I believe that our
    decision-making in this realm resembles uncomfortably a judicial Rorschach test, in
    which the judge is ultimately required to look inward in determining what is “fair and
    reasonable,” rather than outward to a comprehensible constitutional rule of law. In
    joining the majority opinion, and despite what I believe to be confusion concerning
    13
    aspects of the Duren test, I have sought to the best of my understanding of what is
    required by the United States Supreme Court to give reasonable meaning to this test and
    to the guarantees of the Constitution.
    Stephen J. Markman
    14
    STATE OF MICHIGAN
    SUPREME COURT
    PEOPLE OF THE STATE OF MICHIGAN,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v                                                             No. 141741
    RAMON LEE BRYANT,
    Defendant-Appellee.
    CAVANAGH, J. (dissenting).
    I respectfully dissent because I do not think that the Court of Appeals clearly erred
    by concluding that defendant is entitled to a new trial under the unique facts presented in
    this case.
    I agree with Justice MARILYN KELLY that courts have not always applied Duren v
    Missouri, 
    439 US 357
    ; 
    99 S Ct 664
    ; 
    58 L Ed 2d 579
     (1979), with precision and that
    reasonable minds can disagree regarding the proper application of Duren. Regardless of
    the debate raised in this case, however, I agree with Justice KELLY that defendant is
    nevertheless entitled to relief, even if a broader time frame for evaluating Duren’s second
    prong is considered.
    As I explained in People v Smith, 
    463 Mich 199
    , 216, 222; 615 NW2d 1 (2000)
    (CAVANAGH, J., concurring), the approach taken by the Court of Appeals in People v
    Hubbard (After Remand), 
    217 Mich App 459
    ; 552 NW2d 493 (1996), should be a
    relevant     consideration   in       determining   whether   unfair   and    unreasonable
    underrepresentation has been shown.               Specifically, “[w]hen the showing of
    underrepresentation is close, or none of the methods of analysis are particularly well-
    suited to a case,” I believe courts should “glance ahead” to Duren’s third prong and
    consider a defendant’s evidence of systematic exclusion. Smith, 
    463 Mich at 222
    . Under
    this approach, if the jury-selection process appears likely to systematically exclude a
    distinctive group, that is, the jury-selection process bears the mark of a nonbenign
    influence, a court may give a defendant the benefit of the doubt on underrepresentation.
    
    Id. at 218, 222-224
    . Applying this approach to the facts of this case, I agree with Justice
    KELLY’s conclusion that the Court of Appeals did not clearly err by holding that
    defendant is entitled to a new trial.
    The majority’s decision to hastily adopt the “disparity of risk” test has also given
    me pause, when, as Justice KELLY aptly observes, the test was not addressed by the lower
    courts, was not briefed or argued to this Court, and, as the majority concedes, has not
    been endorsed by any court in the country. Thus, because the substantive merits of the
    disparity-of-risk test and the majority’s 50 percent threshold1 were not presented to this
    Court, I decline to pass judgment on the merits of the test at this time without the benefit
    of full briefing and oral argument.
    Accordingly, I respectfully dissent.
    Michael F. Cavanagh
    1
    Indeed, aside from the fact that the issue was not raised or argued by the parties in this
    case, given the majority’s conclusion that defendant’s risk disparity falls below even the
    threshold proposed by the author first introducing the disparity of risk test, see ante at 37
    n 102, I question whether it is necessary to adopt a higher threshold in this case.
    2
    STATE OF MICHIGAN
    SUPREME COURT
    PEOPLE OF THE STATE OF MICHIGAN,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v                                                              No. 141741
    RAMON LEE BRYANT,
    Defendant-Appellee.
    MARILYN KELLY, J. (dissenting).
    I concur with the majority that defendant satisfied the first and third prongs of the
    test for a fair-cross-section violation of the Sixth Amendment under Duren v Missouri.1
    However, I disagree that defendant failed to meet the second prong of Duren.
    Accordingly, I respectfully dissent from the majority’s decision to reverse the judgment
    of the Court of Appeals.
    The Court of Appeals used existing law and, for the most part, applied it properly.
    The majority opinion imputes error where there is none. Worse, it sua sponte introduces
    a “disparity of risk” test not accepted by any court in the country. The analysis the
    majority has set forth today neither improves nor clarifies this area of the law.2
    1
    Duren v Missouri, 
    439 US 357
    , 364; 
    99 S Ct 664
    ; 
    58 L Ed 2d 579
     (1979).
    2
    It is also altogether unnecessary. The error in the jury-selection process at issue here
    occurred between June 2001 and August 2002 as a result of a computer programming
    error. Accordingly, the number of cases raising this issue that remain in the appellate
    pipeline is likely low. The majority’s decision today is dressed-up error correction, pure
    and simple.
    The majority concludes that the Court of Appeals erred in two ways when
    evaluating the second prong of Duren. First, it considered the representation of African-
    Americans only in defendant’s venire, not in multiple venires over time. Second, it
    misapplied our decision in People v Smith3 by “effectively adopt[ing] a bright-line rule in
    favor of the comparative-disparity test in all instances in which the population of the
    distinct group is small.”4 With regard to the first contention, the majority does not make
    a persuasive case that the Court of Appeals erred. And the second allegation of error is
    based on an inaccurate statement of what the Court of Appeals did.
    I generally agree with the majority that, under Duren, courts must consider the
    composition of venires over time. The Court of Appeals considered the specific disparity
    in the composition of defendant’s venire when evaluating the second Duren prong. And
    it considered multiple venires over time when applying the third Duren prong.5 I am not
    persuaded that this was erroneous.
    Some of the authority the majority relies on undermines its conclusion. For
    example, if a distinctive group is not underrepresented in a defendant’s particular venire,
    there is no cognizable Sixth Amendment claim.               Thus, a distinctive group’s
    underrepresentation in a defendant’s particular venire is a necessary component of a Sixth
    Amendment claim. Accordingly, the composition of a defendant’s particular venire must
    3
    People v Smith, 
    463 Mich 199
    ; 615 NW2d 1 (2000).
    4
    Ante at 3.
    5
    People v Bryant, 
    289 Mich App 260
    , 273-275; 796 NW2d 135 (2010) (applying the
    third Duren prong using data and statistics for venires over a three-month period).
    2
    be examined at some point in the Duren analysis. Yet the majority’s approach effectively
    ignores it.6
    Other cases that the majority cites do not conclusively demonstrate that the
    composition of multiple venires over time must be considered under the second Duren
    prong rather than the third.     To the contrary, these cases seem to stand for the
    uncontroversial proposition that a defendant must show underrepresentation in multiple
    venires over time to satisfy the Duren test generally.7 Indeed, one of the majority’s
    6
    The majority asserts that its approach takes defendant’s venire into account by
    “including it in the data set of venires used to calculate the degree of
    underrepresentation.” Ante at 23 n 63. But disparity in the composition of a defendant’s
    particular venire must be shown in order to demonstrate that the defendant was harmed
    because a constitutional violation actually occurred. Accordingly, the disparity in that
    particular venire must be considered independently, not simply lumped in with statistics
    concerning other venires.
    7
    See, e.g., United States v Miller, 771 F2d 1219, 1228 (CA 9, 1985) (“[A] violation of
    the fair cross-section requirement cannot be premised upon proof of underrepresentation
    in a single jury.”) (emphasis added); United States v Allen, 160 F3d 1096, 1103 (CA 6,
    1998) (“Appellants have satisfied the first prong [of] the Duren test, but they have not
    satisfied the other two.”) (emphasis added). The majority asserts that Duren itself
    “compels” the majority’s analysis of the second prong. Ante at 21. However, the
    quotations from Miller and Allen, coupled with the authority that I cite in footnote 9,
    demonstrate that courts have not applied Duren with precision. Thus, the majority’s
    analysis is far from a foregone conclusion. It is also telling that the majority identifies
    few cases decided since 1979 that attribute such significance to the use of the plural
    “venires” in Duren’s discussion of the second-prong analysis. The reliance in these cases
    on the use of the plural is also undercut by statements in subsequent caselaw from the
    United States Supreme Court. See, e.g., Holland v Illinois, 
    493 US 474
    , 478, 480; 
    110 S Ct 803
    ; 
    107 L Ed 2d 905
     (1990) (“It has long been established that racial groups cannot
    be excluded from the venire from which a jury is selected. . . . [A] fair-cross-section
    venire requirement is imposed by the Sixth Amendment[.]”) (emphasis added).
    3
    quotations from Duren supports this analysis.8 Moreover, cases not cited by the majority
    contradict its conclusion and suggest that multiple venires over time are relevant to the
    question of systematic exclusion rather than the question of underrepresentation.9
    Consequently, I do not agree with the majority that Duren stands for the
    proposition that “evaluating whether representation of a distinct group is fair and
    reasonable requires evaluating venire composition over time.”10 Rather, I believe that
    evaluating whether systematic exclusion occurred requires looking for a pattern of
    underrepresentation over time. This makes sense because to show a constitutional flaw in
    8
    See ante at 22, quoting Duren, 
    439 US at 366
     (“Finally, in order to establish a prima
    facie case, it was necessary for petitioner to show that the underrepresentation of women,
    generally and on his venire, was due to their systematic exclusion in the jury-selection
    process.”) (emphasis added).
    9
    State v Bowman, 349 NC 459, 469; 509 SE2d 428 (1998) (noting in its discussion of the
    third Duren prong that the “[d]efendant’s only evidence in the instant case consisted of
    the statistical makeup of this particular jury venire” and that “[s]tatistics concerning one
    jury pool, standing alone, are insufficient to meet the third prong of Duren”); State v
    Holland, 2009 Me 72, ¶ 39; 976 A2d 227, 239 (2009) (concluding that the defendant
    failed to meet the third Duren prong because “it is unknown how many African–
    Americans were in any jury pool other than [the defendant’s]”); United States v DeFries,
    327 US App DC 181, 189; 129 F3d 1293 (1997) (“Underrepresentation of a cognizable
    group in a single venire, without evidence of a greater pattern, is insufficient to establish
    the ‘systematic exclusion of the group’ required by Duren . . . .”) (emphasis added);
    United States v Hardwell, 80 F3d 1471, 1486 (CA 10, 1996) (“[Defendant] has not
    shown that under-representation of African–Americans on his jury venire was the result
    of systematic exclusion, but simply argues that systematic exclusion can be inferred from
    the under-representation in a single venire. This argument is without merit.”); United
    States v Jones, 687 F2d 1265, 1269 (CA 8, 1982) (“Even assuming that the first two
    requirements have been met, there is no evidence of systematic exclusion in the jury
    selection procedure. . . . No evidence was introduced regarding the composition of other
    venires in the district.”).
    10
    Ante at 23.
    4
    a jury-selection system, a defendant must show that the system consistently leads to
    unrepresentative venires. Indeed, in general it is the consistency of the system’s failure to
    produce representative venires that proves systematic exclusion.11
    Thus, the Court of Appeals did not err by using the comparative disparity in
    defendant’s venire—73.1 percent—when applying the second prong of Duren.12 And it
    appropriately evaluated the disparity in the racial composition of venires over time when
    applying the third Duren prong. The majority’s first assignment of error is therefore
    without merit.
    The majority’s second criticism of the Court of Appeals’ opinion is that it
    supposedly established “a bright-line rule favoring the comparative-disparity test” and
    disregarded the results of the other tests.13 Respectfully, I believe that the majority
    misreads or mischaracterizes the Court of Appeals’ opinion.
    11
    Duren, 
    439 US at 366
     (“[T]hat a large discrepancy occurred not just occasionally but in
    every weekly venire for a period of nearly a year manifestly indicates that the cause of
    the underrepresentation was systematic . . . .”).
    12
    Other courts also examine the disparity between the racial composition of the
    community and the composition of the defendant’s venire when applying the second
    Duren prong. See, e.g., State v Hester, 
    324 SW3d 1
    , 42-44 (Tenn, 2010) (applying the
    second Duren prong by calculating the disparity between the racial composition of the
    county’s population and the racial makeup of the defendant’s venire); Bowman, 349 NC
    at 467-468 (same); Holland, 2009 Me at ¶ 31; 976 A2d at 237-238 (same).
    In any event, for reasons explained later in this opinion, I conclude that defendant
    established a Sixth Amendment fair-cross-section violation even if I use the three-month
    comparative disparity of 49.4 percent.
    13
    Ante at 28.
    5
    The Court of Appeals did consider the results of both the absolute-disparity test
    and the standard-deviation test, but found both unhelpful to resolving defendant’s
    appeal.14 The majority determines that this was error, but offers little explanation why
    this is so. It repeats that Smith mandated that courts consider the results of all the tests
    when determining whether the second prong of Duren is met. But the Court of Appeals
    specifically recognized that Smith requires such an approach and did analyze the results
    of each test. It simply found the results of one test—the comparative-disparity test—
    most helpful. It does not follow that because the Court of Appeals ultimately settled on
    one test as most meaningful, it relied on that test without considering the others. Nothing
    supports the majority’s sweeping assertion that the Court of Appeals established a bright-
    line rule in favor of the comparative-disparity test.
    Moreover, in what respect does the majority think that the Court of Appeals
    should have further “regarded” the results of the absolute-disparity test? The panel
    correctly recognized that if the absolute-disparity test controlled, a successful Sixth
    Amendment fair-cross-section challenge would be impossible in cases like this one in
    which the minority population is small. Even the expert who testified at the evidentiary
    hearing concluded that an analysis of absolute disparity is not a viable method of
    14
    See Bryant, 289 Mich App at 269 (concluding that “‘the absolute disparity test is an
    ineffective measure of acceptable disparity’ because of the low percentage of African–
    Americans who were eligible to vote in Kent County” and for that reason “declin[ing] to
    find the absolute-disparity test controlling in this case”), quoting People v Hubbard (After
    Remand), 
    217 Mich App 459
    , 477; 552 NW2d 493 (1996) (citation omitted); 
    id.
     at 272-
    273 (“[I]n this case, the standard-deviation test has little value in measuring the
    underrepresentation of African-Americans in Kent County jury venires.”).
    6
    measuring underrepresentation in this case. Thus, I cannot see what further insight the
    majority believes that the Court of Appeals should have divined from the results of the
    absolute-disparity test.
    When discussing the results of the standard-deviation test, the majority makes
    precisely the same error that it accuses the Court of Appeals of making. It notes the flaws
    in the standard-deviation test and decides to “afford the result of this test no weight.”15 It
    does so notwithstanding Smith’s mandate that courts consider the results of all three tests.
    This inconsistency highlights why the majority’s criticism of the Court of Appeals in this
    respect is misplaced. Smith may mandate consideration of the results of all tests, but it
    does not dictate that a court give no more weight to one test than another. The Court of
    Appeals properly considered the results of all tests, but decided that the comparative-
    disparity test was “the most appropriate test to measure underrepresentation in this
    case.”16
    Finally, I cannot agree with the majority’s importation of a fourth test—its
    disparity-of-risk test—into this appeal. First, no party or amicus curiae mentioned the
    disparity-of-risk test, let alone requested that we adopt it. Thus, the test was not properly
    considered by the parties or the courts below.17 Second, as the majority notes, its test has
    yet to garner approval from a single court as a viable means to test Sixth Amendment
    15
    Ante at 33.
    16
    Bryant, 289 Mich App at 271.
    17
    Because the propriety of this test is not properly before us, I decline the majority’s
    invitation to indulge in a substantive critique of it. See ante at 37 n 103.
    7
    fair-cross-section claims. Despite these shortcomings, the majority sua sponte adopts it,
    applies it to this case, and declares that a violation occurs under that test when the
    disparity of risk exceeds 50 percent.      The majority’s decision to do so absent any
    advocacy, let alone vigorous advocacy, on the issue is highly questionable.
    I believe that my analysis dispels the majority’s findings of error by the Court of
    Appeals and demonstrates that the Court of Appeals correctly analyzed this case. The
    majority’s sole remaining basis for reversing the Court of Appeals’ judgment is its
    disagreement with that court’s reliance on People v Hubbard (After Remand).18              I
    disagree that Hubbard should be partially overruled.
    Under Hubbard, a court may consider the reason for a systematic exclusion when
    deciding whether representation of the distinctive group was fair and reasonable. If a
    jury-selection process systematically excludes a distinctive group on the basis of
    nonbenign factors, a court may give a defendant the benefit of the doubt on
    underrepresentation.19 Hubbard borrowed this approach from United States v Biaggi20
    and United States v Osorio.21 Although Biaggi and Osorio are not binding on this Court,
    they are persuasive. Moreover, contrary to the majority’s conclusion that this approach
    18
    Hubbard, 
    217 Mich App 459
    .
    19
    
    Id. at 478, 481
    .
    20
    United States v Biaggi, 909 F2d 662, 678 (CA 2, 1990).
    21
    United States v Osorio, 801 F Supp 966 (D Conn, 1992).
    8
    “vitiates the three-part analysis,”22 other courts have endorsed an analysis that merges the
    second and third Duren prongs in this fashion.23
    Accordingly, I would follow Hubbard, as Justice CAVANAGH advocated in his
    concurring opinion in Smith.24 Thus, I give defendant “the benefit of the doubt on
    underrepresentation” and “glance ahead” to the third Duren prong.25             Unlike the
    defendant in Smith, defendant here has established that systematic exclusion occurred
    because the computer error that caused the exclusion was “inherent” in the jury-selection
    process used. As in Hubbard, the exclusion “did not result from ‘benign’ random
    selection, but, instead, resulted from a defect inherent in the juror allocation
    process . . . .”26
    Because defendant established that systematic exclusion occurred and “the
    showing of underrepresentation is close,”27 I conclude that defendant has established a
    prima facie violation of the Sixth Amendment’s fair-cross-section requirement. The
    22
    Ante at 40.
    23
    United States v Rioux, 930 F Supp 1558, 1566 (D Conn, 1995) (“[T]he second and
    third prongs of the Duren test, unfair representation and systematic exclusion, are
    intertwined inextricably.”); Commonwealth v Arriaga, 438 Mass 556, 566; 
    781 NE2d 1253
     (2003) (“Evidence of a disparity smaller than 10% can support a conclusion of
    unconstitutional underrepresentation of smaller minority groups, especially when coupled
    with persuasive evidence of systematic exclusion.”) (emphasis added).
    
    24 Smith, 463
     Mich at 222-224 (CAVANAGH, J., concurring).
    25
    Id. at 224.
    26
    Hubbard, 217 Mich App at 481.
    
    27 Smith, 463
     Mich at 222 (CAVANAGH, J., concurring); see also id. at 219 (identifying
    comparative disparities as large as forty percent as “borderline”).
    9
    prosecution identifies no significant state interest that was advanced by the selection
    process that systematically excluded African-Americans from Kent County venires.
    Thus, defendant’s Sixth Amendment claim should prevail.
    Finally, we must not lose sight of the fact that the right at issue here—the right to a
    jury trial—is the cornerstone of the American justice system.28 The right to be adjudged
    by a jury of one’s peers is a precious part of that right.29 The majority’s careless decision
    imposes a new, wholly unnecessary restriction on this right by creating error where there
    is none and new law that no party has advocated.
    For these reasons, I believe that the Court of Appeals correctly reversed
    defendant’s convictions and remanded for a new trial. I would affirm its judgment.
    Marilyn Kelly
    Diane M. Hathaway
    28
    “Just as suffrage ensures the people’s ultimate control in the legislative and executive
    branches, jury trial is meant to ensure their control in the judiciary.” Blakely v
    Washington, 
    542 US 296
    , 306; 
    124 S Ct 2531
    ; 
    159 L Ed 2d 403
     (2004).
    29
    “Providing an accused with the right to be tried by a jury of his peers gave him an
    inestimable safeguard against the corrupt or overzealous prosecutor and against the
    compliant, biased, or eccentric judge.” Duncan v Louisiana, 
    391 US 145
    , 156; 
    88 S Ct 1444
    ; 
    20 L Ed 2d 491
     (1968).
    10