Ramos v. Louisiana ( 2020 )


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  • Justice SOTOMAYOR, concurring as to all but Part IV-A.

    I agree with most of the Court's rationale, and so I join all but Part IV-A of its opinion. I write separately, however, to underscore three points. First, overruling precedent here is not only warranted, but compelled. Second, the interests at stake point far more clearly to that outcome than those in other recent cases. And finally, the racially biased origins of the Louisiana and Oregon laws uniquely matter here.

    I

    Both the majority and the dissent rightly emphasize that stare decisis "has been a fundamental part of our jurisprudence since the founding." Post , at 1432 (opinion of ALITO, J.); see ante , at 1404 - 1405. Indeed, "[w]e generally adhere to our prior decisions, even if we question their soundness, because doing so 'promotes the evenhanded, predictable, and consistent development of legal principles, fosters reliance on judicial decisions, and contributes to the actual and perceived integrity of the judicial process.' " Alleyne v. United States , 570 U.S. 99, 118, 133 S.Ct. 2151, 186 L.Ed.2d 314 (2013) (SOTOMAYOR, J., concurring) (quoting Payne v. Tennessee , 501 U.S. 808, 827, 111 S.Ct. 2597, 115 L.Ed.2d 720 (1991) ).

    *1409But put simply, this is not a case where we cast aside precedent "simply because a majority of this Court now disagrees with" it. Alleyne , 570 U.S. at 133, 133 S.Ct. 2151 (ALITO, J., dissenting). Rather, Apodaca v. Oregon, 406 U. S. 404, 92 S.Ct. 1628, 32 L.Ed.2d 184 (1972), was on shaky ground from the start. That was not because of the functionalist analysis of that Court's plurality: Reasonable minds have disagreed over time-and continue to disagree-about the best mode of constitutional interpretation. That the plurality in Apodaca used different interpretive tools from the majority here is not a reason on its own to discard precedent.

    What matters instead is that, as the majority rightly stresses, Apodaca is a universe of one-an opinion uniquely irreconcilable with not just one, but two, strands of constitutional precedent well established both before and after the decision. The Court has long recognized that the Sixth Amendment requires unanimity. Ante, at 1399 - 1400, 1404 - 1406. Five Justices in Apodaca itself disagreed with that plurality's contrary view of the Sixth Amendment. Justice Powell's theory of dual-track incorporation also fared no better: He recognized that his argument on that score came "late in the day." Johnson v. Louisiana , 406 U.S. 356, 375, 92 S.Ct. 1620, 32 L.Ed.2d 152 (1972) (concurring opinion).

    Moreover, "[t]he force of stare decisis is at its nadir in cases concerning [criminal] procedur[e] rules that implicate fundamental constitutional protections." Alleyne , 570 U.S. at 116, n. 5, 133 S.Ct. 2151. And the constitutional protection here ranks among the most essential: the right to put the State to its burden, in a jury trial that comports with the Sixth Amendment, before facing criminal punishment. See Codispoti v. Pennsylvania , 418 U. S. 506, 515-516, 94 S.Ct. 2687, 41 L.Ed.2d 912 (1974) ("The Sixth Amendment represents a deep commitment of the Nation to the right of jury trial in serious criminal cases as a defense against arbitrary law enforcement" (internal quotation marks omitted)). Where the State's power to imprison those like Ramos rests on an erroneous interpretation of the jury-trial right, the Court should not hesitate to reconsider its precedents.

    II

    In contrast to the criminal-procedure context, "[c]onsiderations in favor of stare decisis are at their acme in cases involving property and contract rights." Payne , 501 U.S. at 828, 111 S.Ct. 2597. Despite that fact, the Court has recently overruled precedent where the Court's shift threatened vast regulatory and economic consequences. Janus v. State, County, and Municipal Employees , 585 U. S. ----, 138 S.Ct. 2448, 201 L.Ed.2d 924 (2018) ; id ., at ----, 138 S.Ct., at 2499 (KAGAN, J., dissenting) (noting that the Court's opinion called into question "thousands of ... contracts covering millions of workers"); see South Dakota v. Wayfair, Inc. , 585 U. S. ----, ----, 138 S.Ct. 2080, 2098, 201 L.Ed.2d 403 (2018) (noting the "legitimate" burdens that the Court's overruling of precedent would place on vendors who had started businesses in reliance on a previous decision).

    This case, by contrast, threatens no broad upheaval of private economic rights. Particularly when compared to the interests of private parties who have structured their affairs in reliance on our decisions, the States' interests here in avoiding a modest number of retrials-emphasized at such length by the dissent-are much less weighty. They are certainly not new: Opinions that force changes in a State's criminal procedure typically impose such costs. And were this Court to take the dissent's approach-defending criminal-procedure *1410opinions as wrong as Apodaca simply to avoid burdening criminal justice systems-it would never correct its criminal jurisprudence at all.

    To pick up on the majority's point, ante , at 1406 - 1407, in that alternate universe, a trial judge alone could still decide the critical facts necessary to sentence a defendant to death. Walton v. Arizona , 497 U.S. 639, 110 S.Ct. 3047, 111 L.Ed.2d 511 (1990), overruled by Ring v. Arizona , 536 U.S. 584, 122 S.Ct. 2428, 153 L.Ed.2d 556 (2002). An officer would still be able to search a car upon the arrest of any one of its recent occupants. New York v. Belton , 453 U.S. 454, 101 S.Ct. 2860, 69 L.Ed.2d 768 (1981), holding limited by Arizona v. Gant , 556 U.S. 332, 129 S.Ct. 1710, 173 L.Ed.2d 485 (2009). And States could still deprive a defendant of the right to confront her accuser so long as the incriminating statement was "reliable." Ohio v. Roberts , 448 U.S. 56, 100 S.Ct. 2531, 65 L.Ed.2d 597 (1980), abrogated by Crawford v. Washington , 541 U.S. 36, 124 S.Ct. 1354, 158 L.Ed.2d 177 (2004). The Constitution demands more than the continued use of flawed criminal procedures-all because the Court fears the consequences of changing course.

    III

    Finally, the majority vividly describes the legacy of racism that generated Louisiana's and Oregon's laws. Ante, at 1393 - 1394, 1400 - 1401, and n. 44. Although Ramos does not bring an equal protection challenge, the history is worthy of this Court's attention. That is not simply because that legacy existed in the first place-unfortunately, many laws and policies in this country have had some history of racial animus-but also because the States' legislatures never truly grappled with the laws' sordid history in reenacting them. See generally United States v. Fordice , 505 U.S. 717, 729, 112 S.Ct. 2727, 120 L.Ed.2d 575 (1992) (policies that are "traceable" to a State's de jure racial segregation and that still "have discriminatory effects" offend the Equal Protection Clause).

    Where a law otherwise is untethered to racial bias-and perhaps also where a legislature actually confronts a law's tawdry past in reenacting it-the new law may well be free of discriminatory taint. That cannot be said of the laws at issue here. While the dissent points to the "legitimate" reasons for Louisiana's reenactment, post , at 3-4, Louisiana's perhaps only effort to contend with the law's discriminatory purpose and effects came recently, when the law was repealed altogether.

    Today, Louisiana's and Oregon's laws are fully-and rightly-relegated to the dustbin of history. And so, too, is Apodaca . While overruling precedent must be rare, this Court should not shy away from correcting its errors where the right to avoid imprisonment pursuant to unconstitutional procedures hangs in the balance.

    Justice KAVANAUGH, concurring in part.

    In Apodaca v. Oregon , this Court held that state juries need not be unanimous in order to convict a criminal defendant. 406 U.S. 404, 92 S.Ct. 1628, 32 L.Ed.2d 184 (1972). Two States, Louisiana and Oregon, have continued to use non-unanimous juries in criminal cases. Today, the Court overrules Apodaca and holds that state juries must be unanimous in order to convict a criminal defendant.

    I agree with the Court that the time has come to overrule Apodaca . I therefore join the introduction and Parts I, II-A, III, and IV-B-1 of the Court's persuasive and important opinion. I write separately to explain my view of how stare decisis applies to this case.

    *1411I

    The legal doctrine of stare decisis derives from the Latin maxim "stare decisis et non quieta movere ," which means to stand by the thing decided and not disturb the calm. The doctrine reflects respect for the accumulated wisdom of judges who have previously tried to solve the same problem. In 1765, Blackstone-"the preeminent authority on English law for the founding generation," Alden v. Maine , 527 U.S. 706, 715, 119 S.Ct. 2240, 144 L.Ed.2d 636 (1999) -wrote that "it is an established rule to abide by former precedents," to "keep the scale of justice even and steady, and not liable to waver with every new judge's opinion." 1 W. Blackstone, Commentaries on the Laws of England 69 (1765). The Framers of our Constitution understood that the doctrine of stare decisis is part of the "judicial Power" and rooted in Article III of the Constitution. Writing in Federalist 78, Alexander Hamilton emphasized the importance of stare decisis : To "avoid an arbitrary discretion in the courts, it is indispensable" that federal judges "should be bound down by strict rules and precedents, which serve to define and point out their duty in every particular case that comes before them." The Federalist No. 78, p. 529 (J. Cooke ed. 1961). In the words of THE CHIEF JUSTICE, stare decisis ' "greatest purpose is to serve a constitutional ideal-the rule of law." Citizens United v. Federal Election Comm'n , 558 U.S. 310, 378, 130 S.Ct. 876, 175 L.Ed.2d 753 (2010) (concurring opinion).

    This Court has repeatedly explained that stare decisis "promotes the evenhanded, predictable, and consistent development of legal principles, fosters reliance on judicial decisions, and contributes to the actual and perceived integrity of the judicial process." Payne v. Tennessee , 501 U.S. 808, 827, 111 S.Ct. 2597, 115 L.Ed.2d 720 (1991). The doctrine "permits society to presume that bedrock principles are founded in the law rather than in the proclivities of individuals, and thereby contributes to the integrity of our constitutional system of government, both in appearance and in fact." Vasquez v. Hillery , 474 U.S. 254, 265-266, 106 S.Ct. 617, 88 L.Ed.2d 598 (1986).

    The doctrine of stare decisis does not mean, of course, that the Court should never overrule erroneous precedents. All Justices now on this Court agree that it is sometimes appropriate for the Court to overrule erroneous decisions. Indeed, in just the last few Terms, every current Member of this Court has voted to overrule multiple constitutional precedents. See, e.g., Knick v. Township of Scott , 588 U. S. ----, 139 S.Ct. 2162, 204 L.Ed.2d 558 (2019) ; Franchise Tax Bd. of Cal. v. Hyatt , 587 U. S. ----, 139 S.Ct. 1485, 203 L.Ed.2d 768 (2019) ; Janus v. State, County, and Municipal Employees , 585 U. S. ----, 138 S.Ct. 2448, 201 L.Ed.2d 924 (2018) ; Hurst v. Florida , 577 U. S. ----, 136 S.Ct. 616, 193 L.Ed.2d 504 (2016) ; Obergefell v. Hodges , 576 U. S. 644, 135 S.Ct. 2584, 192 L.Ed.2d 609 (2015) ; Johnson v. United States , 576 U. S. 591, 135 S.Ct. 2551, 192 L.Ed.2d 569 (2015) ; Alleyne v. United States , 570 U.S. 99, 133 S.Ct. 2151, 186 L.Ed.2d 314 (2013) ; see also Baude, Precedent and Discretion, 2020 S. Ct. Rev. 1, 4 (forthcoming) ("Nobody on the Court believes in absolute stare decisis").

    Historically, moreover, some of the Court's most notable and consequential decisions have entailed overruling precedent. See, e.g., Obergefell v. Hodges , 576 U. S. 644, 135 S.Ct. 2584, 192 L.Ed.2d 609 (2015) ; Citizens United v. Federal Election Comm'n , 558 U.S. 310, 130 S.Ct. 876, 175 L.Ed.2d 753 (2010) ; Montejo v. Louisiana , 556 U.S. 778, 129 S.Ct. 2079, 173 L.Ed.2d 955 (2009) ;

    *1412Crawford v. Washington , 541 U.S. 36, 124 S.Ct. 1354, 158 L.Ed.2d 177 (2004) ; Lawrence v. Texas , 539 U.S. 558, 123 S.Ct. 2472, 156 L.Ed.2d 508 (2003) ; Ring v. Arizona , 536 U.S. 584, 122 S.Ct. 2428, 153 L.Ed.2d 556 (2002) ; Agostini v. Felton , 521 U.S. 203, 117 S.Ct. 1997, 138 L.Ed.2d 391 (1997) ; Seminole Tribe of Fla. v. Florida , 517 U.S. 44, 116 S.Ct. 1114, 134 L.Ed.2d 252 (1996) ; Planned Parenthood of Southeastern Pa. v. Casey , 505 U.S. 833, 112 S.Ct. 2791, 120 L.Ed.2d 674 (1992) ;1 Payne v. Tennessee , 501 U.S. 808, 111 S.Ct. 2597, 115 L.Ed.2d 720 (1991) ; Batson v. Kentucky , 476 U.S. 79, 106 S.Ct. 1712, 90 L.Ed.2d 69 (1986) ; Garcia v. San Antonio Metropolitan Transit Authority , 469 U.S. 528, 105 S.Ct. 1005, 83 L.Ed.2d 1016 (1985) ; Illinois v. Gates , 462 U.S. 213, 103 S.Ct. 2317, 76 L.Ed.2d 527 (1983) ; United States v. Scott , 437 U.S. 82, 98 S.Ct. 2187, 57 L.Ed.2d 65 (1978) ; Craig v. Boren , 429 U.S. 190, 97 S.Ct. 451, 50 L.Ed.2d 397 (1976) ; Taylor v. Louisiana , 419 U.S. 522, 95 S.Ct. 692, 42 L.Ed.2d 690 (1975) ; Brandenburg v. Ohio , 395 U.S. 444, 89 S.Ct. 1827, 23 L.Ed.2d 430 (1969) (per curiam ); Katz v. United States , 389 U.S. 347, 88 S.Ct. 507, 19 L.Ed.2d 576 (1967) ; Miranda v. Arizona , 384 U.S. 436, 86 S.Ct. 1602, 16 L.Ed.2d 694 (1966) ; Malloy v. Hogan , 378 U.S. 1, 84 S.Ct. 1489, 12 L.Ed.2d 653 (1964) ; Wesberry v. Sanders , 376 U.S. 1, 84 S.Ct. 526, 11 L.Ed.2d 481 (1964) ; Gideon v. Wainwright , 372 U.S. 335, 83 S.Ct. 792, 9 L.Ed.2d 799 (1963) ; Baker v. Carr , 369 U.S. 186, 82 S.Ct. 691, 7 L.Ed.2d 663 (1962) ; Mapp v. Ohio , 367 U.S. 643, 81 S.Ct. 1684, 6 L.Ed.2d 1081 (1961) ; Brown v. Board of Education , 347 U.S. 483, 74 S.Ct. 686, 98 L.Ed. 873 (1954) ; Smith v. Allwright , 321 U.S. 649, 64 S.Ct. 757, 88 L.Ed. 987 (1944) ; West Virginia Bd. of Ed. v. Barnette , 319 U.S. 624, 63 S.Ct. 1178, 87 L.Ed. 1628 (1943) ; United States v. Darby , 312 U.S. 100, 61 S.Ct. 451, 85 L.Ed. 609 (1941) ; Erie R. Co. v. Tompkins , 304 U.S. 64, 58 S.Ct. 817, 82 L.Ed. 1188 (1938) ; West Coast Hotel Co. v. Parrish , 300 U.S. 379, 57 S.Ct. 578, 81 L.Ed. 703 (1937).

    The lengthy and extraordinary list of landmark cases that overruled precedent includes the single most important and greatest decision in this Court's history, Brown v. Board of Education , which repudiated the separate but equal doctrine of Plessy v. Ferguson , 163 U.S. 537, 16 S.Ct. 1138, 41 L.Ed. 256 (1896).

    As those many examples demonstrate, the doctrine of stare decisis does not dictate, and no one seriously maintains, that the Court should never overrule erroneous precedent. As the Court has often stated and repeats today, stare decisis is not an "inexorable command." E.g., ante, at 1405.

    On the other hand, as Justice Jackson explained, just "because one should avoid Scylla is no reason for crashing into Charybdis." Jackson, Decisional Law and Stare Decisis, 30 A. B. A. J. 334 (1944). So no one advocates that the Court should always overrule erroneous precedent.

    Rather, applying the doctrine of stare decisis , this Court ordinarily adheres to precedent, but sometimes overrules precedent. The difficult question, then, is when to overrule an erroneous precedent.

    To begin with, the Court's precedents on precedent distinguish statutory cases from constitutional cases.

    *1413In statutory cases, stare decisis is comparatively strict, as history shows and the Court has often stated. That is because Congress and the President can alter a statutory precedent by enacting new legislation. To be sure, enacting new legislation requires finding room in a crowded legislative docket and securing the agreement of the House, the Senate (in effect, 60 Senators), and the President. Both by design and as a matter of fact, enacting new legislation is difficult-and far more difficult than the Court's cases sometimes seem to assume. Nonetheless, the Court has ordinarily left the updating or correction of erroneous statutory precedents to the legislative process. See, e.g., Kimble v. Marvel Entertainment, LLC , 576 U.S. 446, 456-457, 135 S.Ct. 2401, 192 L.Ed.2d 463 (2015) ; Patterson v. McLean Credit Union , 491 U.S. 164, 172-173, 109 S.Ct. 2363, 105 L.Ed.2d 132 (1989) ; Flood v. Kuhn , 407 U.S. 258, 283-284, 92 S.Ct. 2099, 32 L.Ed.2d 728 (1972). The principle that "it is more important that the applicable rule of law be settled than that it be settled right" is "commonly true even where the error is a matter of serious concern, provided correction can be had by legislation ." Burnet v. Coronado Oil & Gas Co. , 285 U.S. 393, 406, 52 S.Ct. 443, 76 L.Ed. 815 (1932) (Brandeis, J., dissenting) (emphasis added).2

    In constitutional cases, by contrast, the Court has repeatedly said-and says again today-that the doctrine of stare decisis is not as "inflexible." Burnet , 285 U.S. at 406, 52 S.Ct. 443 (Brandeis, J., dissenting); see also ante, at 1404 - 1405; Payne , 501 U.S. at 828, 111 S.Ct. 2597 ; Scott , 437 U.S. at 101, 98 S.Ct. 2187. The reason is straightforward: As Justice O'Connor once wrote for the Court, stare decisis is not as strict "when we interpret the Constitution because our interpretation can be altered only by constitutional amendment or by overruling our prior decisions." Agostini , 521 U.S. at 235, 117 S.Ct. 1997. The Court therefore "must balance the importance of having constitutional questions decided against the importance of having them decided right. " Citizens United , 558 U.S. at 378, 130 S.Ct. 876 (ROBERTS, C. J., concurring). It follows "that in the unusual circumstance when fidelity to any particular precedent does more to damage this constitutional ideal than to advance it, we must be more willing to depart from that precedent." Ibid. In his canonical opinion in Burnet , Justice Brandeis described the Court's practice with respect to stare decisis in constitutional cases in a way that was accurate then and remains accurate now: In "cases involving the Federal Constitution, where correction through legislative action is practically impossible, this Court has often overruled its earlier decisions." 285 U.S. at 406-407, 52 S.Ct. 443 (dissenting opinion).

    That said, in constitutional as in statutory cases, to "overrule an important precedent is serious business." Jackson, 30 A. B. A. J., at 334. In constitutional as in statutory cases, adherence to precedent is the norm. To overrule a constitutional decision, the Court's precedents on precedent still require a "special justification," Allen v. Cooper , 589 U. S. ----, ----, 140 S.Ct. 994, 1003, --- L.Ed.2d ---- (2020) (internal quotation marks omitted);

    *1414Arizona v. Rumsey , 467 U.S. 203, 212, 104 S.Ct. 2305, 81 L.Ed.2d 164 (1984), or otherwise stated, "strong grounds," Janus , 585 U. S., at ----, 138 S.Ct., at 2478.

    In particular, to overrule a constitutional precedent, the Court requires something "over and above the belief that the precedent was wrongly decided." Allen , 589 U. S., at ----, 140 S.Ct., at 1003 (internal quotation marks omitted). As Justice Scalia put it, the doctrine of stare decisis always requires "reasons that go beyond mere demonstration that the overruled opinion was wrong," for "otherwise the doctrine would be no doctrine at all." Hubbard v. United States , 514 U.S. 695, 716, 115 S.Ct. 1754, 131 L.Ed.2d 779 (1995) (opinion concurring in part and concurring in judgment). To overrule, the Court demands a special justification or strong grounds.

    But the "special justification" or "strong grounds" formulation elides a key question: What constitutes a special justification or strong grounds?3 In other words, in deciding whether to overrule an erroneous constitutional decision, how does the Court know when to overrule and when to stand pat?

    As the Court has exercised the "judicial Power" over time, the Court has identified various stare decisis factors. In articulating and applying those factors, the Court has, to borrow James Madison's words, sought to liquidate and ascertain the meaning of the Article III "judicial Power" with respect to precedent. The Federalist No. 37, at 236.

    The stare decisis factors identified by the Court in its past cases include:

    • the quality of the precedent's reasoning;
    • the precedent's consistency and coherence with previous or subsequent decisions;
    • changed law since the prior decision;
    • changed facts since the prior decision;
    • the workability of the precedent;
    • the reliance interests of those who have relied on the precedent; and
    • the age of the precedent.

    But the Court has articulated and applied those various individual factors without establishing any consistent methodology or roadmap for how to analyze all of the factors taken together. And in my view, that muddle poses a problem for the rule of law and for this Court, as the Court attempts to apply stare decisis principles in a neutral and consistent manner.

    As I read the Court's cases on precedent, those varied and somewhat elastic stare decisis factors fold into three broad considerations that, in my view, can help guide the inquiry and help determine what constitutes a "special justification" or "strong grounds" to overrule a prior constitutional decision.

    First , is the prior decision not just wrong, but grievously or egregiously wrong? A garden-variety error or disagreement does not suffice to overrule. In the view of the Court that is considering whether to overrule, the precedent must be egregiously wrong as a matter of law in order for the Court to overrule it. In conducting that inquiry, the Court may examine the quality of the precedent's reasoning, consistency and coherence with other decisions, changed law, changed facts, and *1415workability, among other factors. A case may be egregiously wrong when decided, see, e.g ., Korematsu v. United States , 323 U.S. 214, 65 S.Ct. 193, 89 L.Ed. 194 (1944) ; Plessy v. Ferguson , 163 U.S. 537, 16 S.Ct. 1138, 41 L.Ed. 256 (1896), or may be unmasked as egregiously wrong based on later legal or factual understandings or developments, see, e.g ., Nevada v. Hall , 440 U.S. 410, 99 S.Ct. 1182, 59 L.Ed.2d 416 (1979), or both, ibid .

    Second , has the prior decision caused significant negative jurisprudential or real-world consequences? In conducting that inquiry, the Court may consider jurisprudential consequences (some of which are also relevant to the first inquiry), such as workability, as well as consistency and coherence with other decisions, among other factors. Importantly, the Court may also scrutinize the precedent's real-world effects on the citizenry, not just its effects on the law and the legal system. See, e.g., Brown v. Board of Education , 347 U.S. at 494-495, 74 S.Ct. 686 ; Barnette , 319 U.S. at 630-642, 63 S.Ct. 1178 ; see also Payne , 501 U.S. at 825-827, 111 S.Ct. 2597.

    Third , would overruling the prior decision unduly upset reliance interests? This consideration focuses on the legitimate expectations of those who have reasonably relied on the precedent. In conducting that inquiry, the Court may examine a variety of reliance interests and the age of the precedent, among other factors.

    In short, the first consideration requires inquiry into how wrong the precedent is as a matter of law. The second and third considerations together demand, in Justice Jackson's words, a "sober appraisal of the disadvantages of the innovation as well as those of the questioned case, a weighing of practical effects of one against the other." Jackson, 30 A. B. A. J., at 334.

    Those three considerations together provide a structured methodology and roadmap for determining whether to overrule an erroneous constitutional precedent. The three considerations correspond to the Court's historical practice and encompass the various individual factors that the Court has applied over the years as part of the stare decisis calculus. And they are consistent with the Founding understanding and, for example, Blackstone's shorthand description that overruling is warranted when (and only when) a precedent is "manifestly absurd or unjust." 1 Blackstone, Commentaries on the Laws of England, at 70.

    Taken together, those three considerations set a high (but not insurmountable) bar for overruling a precedent, and they therefore limit the number of overrulings and maintain stability in the law.4 Those three considerations also constrain judicial discretion in deciding when to overrule an erroneous precedent. To be sure, applying those considerations is not a purely mechanical exercise, and I do not claim otherwise. I suggest only that those three considerations may better structure how to consider the many traditional stare decisis factors.

    It is inevitable that judges of good faith applying the stare decisis considerations will sometimes disagree about when to overrule an erroneous constitutional precedent, as the Court does in this case. To begin with, judges may disagree about whether a prior decision is wrong in the first place-and importantly, that disagreement is sometimes the real dispute when judges joust over stare decisis . But even when judges agree that a prior decision *1416is wrong, they may disagree about whether the decision is so egregiously wrong as to justify an overruling. Judges may likewise disagree about the severity of the jurisprudential or real-world consequences caused by the erroneous decision and, therefore, whether the decision is worth overruling. In that regard, some judges may think that the negative consequences can be addressed by narrowing the precedent (or just living with it) rather than outright overruling it. Judges may also disagree about how to measure the relevant reliance interests that might be affected by an overruling. And on top of all of that, judges may also disagree about how to weigh and balance all of those competing considerations in a given case.5

    This case illustrates that point. No Member of the Court contends that the result in Apodaca is correct. But the Members of the Court vehemently disagree about whether to overrule Apodaca .

    II

    Applying the three broad stare decisis considerations to this case, I agree with the Court's decision to overrule Apodaca .

    First , Apodaca is egregiously wrong. The original meaning and this Court's precedents establish that the Sixth Amendment requires a unanimous jury. Ante, at 1396 - 1397; see, e.g., Patton v. United States , 281 U.S. 276, 288, 50 S.Ct. 253, 74 L.Ed. 854 (1930) ; Thompson v. Utah , 170 U.S. 343, 351, 18 S.Ct. 620, 42 L.Ed. 1061 (1898). And the original meaning and this Court's precedents establish that the Fourteenth Amendment incorporates the Sixth Amendment jury trial right against the States. See Duncan v. Louisiana , 391 U.S. 145, 149, 88 S.Ct. 1444, 20 L.Ed.2d 491 (1968) ; id., at 166, 88 S.Ct. 1444 (Black, J., concurring); see also Malloy , 378 U.S. at 10-11, 84 S.Ct. 1489 ; see generally Timbs v. Indiana , 586 U. S. ----, 139 S.Ct. 682, 203 L.Ed.2d 11 (2019) ; McDonald v. Chicago , 561 U.S. 742, 130 S.Ct. 3020, 177 L.Ed.2d 894 (2010). When Apodaca was decided, it was already an outlier in the Court's jurisprudence, and over time it has become even more of an outlier. As the Court today persuasively explains, the original meaning of the Sixth and Fourteenth Amendments and this Court's two lines of decisions-the Sixth Amendment jury cases and the Fourteenth Amendment incorporation cases-overwhelmingly demonstrate that Apodaca 's holding is egregiously wrong.6

    *1417Second , Apodaca causes significant negative consequences. It is true that Apodaca is workable. But Apodaca sanctions the conviction at trial or by guilty plea of some defendants who might not be convicted under the proper constitutional rule (although exactly how many is of course unknowable). That consequence has traditionally supplied some support for overruling an egregiously wrong criminal-procedure precedent. See generally Malloy , 378 U.S. 1, 84 S.Ct. 1489, 12 L.Ed.2d 653.

    In addition, and significant to my analysis of this case, the origins and effects of the non-unanimous jury rule strongly support overruling Apodaca . Louisiana achieved statehood in 1812. And throughout most of the 1800s, the State required unanimous juries in criminal cases. But at its 1898 state constitutional convention, Louisiana enshrined non-unanimous juries into the state constitution. Why the change? The State wanted to diminish the influence of black jurors, who had won the right to serve on juries through the Fourteenth Amendment in 1868 and the Civil Rights Act of 1875. See Strauder v. West Virginia , 100 U.S. 303, 308-310, 25 L.Ed. 664 (1880) ; T. Aiello, Jim Crow's Last Stand: Nonunanimous Criminal Jury Verdicts in Louisiana 16, 19 (2015). Coming on the heels of the State's 1896 victory in Plessy v. Ferguson , 163 U.S. 537, 16 S.Ct. 1138, 41 L.Ed. 256, the 1898 constitutional convention expressly sought to "establish the supremacy of the white race." Semmes, Chairman of the Committee on the Judiciary, Address at the Louisiana Constitutional Convention in 1898, in Official Journal of the Proceedings of the Constitutional Convention of the State of Louisiana 375 (H. Hearsey ed. 1898). And the convention approved non-unanimous juries as one pillar of a comprehensive and brutal program of racist Jim Crow measures against African-Americans, especially in voting and jury service. See Aiello, supra , at 16-26; Frampton, The Jim Crow Jury, 71 Vand. L. Rev. 1593, 1620 (2018).7

    In light of the racist origins of the non-unanimous jury, it is no surprise that non-unanimous juries can make a difference in practice, especially in cases involving black defendants, victims, or jurors. After all, *1418that was the whole point of adopting the non-unanimous jury requirement in the first place. And the math has not changed. Then and now, non-unanimous juries can silence the voices and negate the votes of black jurors, especially in cases with black defendants or black victims, and only one or two black jurors. The 10 jurors "can simply ignore the views of their fellow panel members of a different race or class." Johnson v. Louisiana , 406 U.S. 356, 397, 92 S.Ct. 1620, 32 L.Ed.2d 152 (1972) (Stewart, J., dissenting). That reality-and the resulting perception of unfairness and racial bias-can undermine confidence in and respect for the criminal justice system. The non-unanimous jury operates much the same as the unfettered peremptory challenge, a practice that for many decades likewise functioned as an engine of discrimination against black defendants, victims, and jurors. In effect, the non-unanimous jury allows backdoor and unreviewable peremptory strikes against up to 2 of the 12 jurors.

    In its 1986 decision in Batson v. Kentucky , the Court recognized the pervasive racial discrimination woven into the traditional system of unfettered peremptory challenges. See 476 U.S. at 85-89, 91, 106 S.Ct. 1712. The Court therefore overruled a prior decision, Swain v. Alabama , 380 U.S. 202, 85 S.Ct. 824, 13 L.Ed.2d 759 (1965), that had allowed those challenges. See generally Flowers v. Mississippi , 588 U. S. ----, 139 S.Ct. 2228, 204 L.Ed.2d 638 (2019).

    In my view, Apodaca warrants the same fate as Swain . After all, the "requirements of unanimity and impartial selection thus complement each other in ensuring the fair performance of the vital functions of a criminal court jury." Johnson , 406 U.S. at 398, 92 S.Ct. 1650 (Stewart, J., dissenting). And as Justice Thurgood Marshall forcefully explained in dissent in Apodaca , to "fence out a dissenting juror fences out a voice from the community, and undermines the principle on which our whole notion of the jury now rests." Johnson, 406 U.S. at 402, 92 S.Ct. 1651 (Marshall, J., dissenting in both Johnson and Apodaca ).

    To be clear, one could advocate for and justify a non-unanimous jury rule by resort to neutral and legitimate principles. England has employed non-unanimous juries, and various legal organizations in the United States have at times championed non-unanimous juries. See, e.g., Juries Act 1974, ch. 23, § 17 (Eng.); ABA Project on Standards for Criminal Justice, Trial By Jury § 1.1, p. 7 (App. Draft 1968); ALI, Code of Criminal Procedure § 355, p. 99 (1930). And Louisiana's modern policy decision to retain nonunanimous juries-as distinct from its original decision in the late 1800s to adopt non-unanimous juries-may have been motivated by neutral principles (or just by inertia).

    But the question at this point is not whether the Constitution prohibits non-unanimous juries. It does. Rather, the disputed question here is whether to overrule an erroneous constitutional precedent that allowed non-unanimous juries. And on that question-the question whether to overrule-the Jim Crow origins and racially discriminatory effects (and the perception thereof) of non-unanimous juries in Louisiana and Oregon should matter and should count heavily in favor of overruling, in my respectful view. After all, the non-unanimous jury "is today the last of Louisiana's Jim Crow laws." Aiello, supra, at 63. And this Court has emphasized time and again the "imperative to purge racial prejudice from the administration of justice" generally and from the jury system in particular. PenaRodriguez v. Colorado , 580 U. S. ----, ---- - ----, 137 S.Ct. 855, 867, 197 L.Ed.2d 107 (2017) (collecting cases).

    *1419To state the point in simple terms: Why stick by an erroneous precedent that is egregiously wrong as a matter of constitutional law, that allows convictions of some who would not be convicted under the proper constitutional rule, and that tolerates and reinforces a practice that is thoroughly racist in its origins and has continuing racially discriminatory effects?

    Third , overruling Apodaca would not unduly upset reliance interests. Only Louisiana and Oregon employ non-unanimous juries in criminal cases. To be sure, in those two States, the Court's decision today will invalidate some non-unanimous convictions where the issue is preserved and the case is still on direct review. But that consequence almost always ensues when a criminal-procedure precedent that favors the government is overruled. See Ring , 536 U.S. 584, 122 S.Ct. 2428 ; Batson , 476 U.S. 79, 106 S.Ct. 1712. And here, at least, I would "count that a small price to pay for the uprooting of this weed." Hubbard , 514 U.S. at 717, 115 S.Ct. 1754 (Scalia, J., concurring in part and concurring in judgment).

    Except for the effects on that limited class of directreview cases, it will be relatively easy going forward for Louisiana and Oregon to transition to the unanimous jury rule that the other 48 States and the federal courts use. Indeed, in 2018, Louisiana amended its constitution to require jury unanimity in criminal trials for crimes committed on or after January 1, 2019, meaning that the transition is already well under way in Louisiana.

    Importantly, moreover, this Court applies a separate non-retroactivity doctrine to mitigate the disruptive effects of overrulings in criminal cases. Under the Court's precedents, new constitutional rules apply on direct review, but generally do not apply retroactively on habeas corpus review. See Teague v. Lane , 489 U.S. 288, 311, 109 S.Ct. 1060, 103 L.Ed.2d 334 (1989) (plurality opinion); Griffith v. Kentucky , 479 U.S. 314, 328, 107 S.Ct. 708, 93 L.Ed.2d 649 (1987). Teague recognizes only two exceptions to that general habeas non-retroactivity principle: "if (1) the rule is substantive or (2) the rule is a 'watershed rul[e] of criminal procedure' implicating the fundamental fairness and accuracy of the criminal proceeding." Whorton v. Bockting , 549 U.S. 406, 416, 127 S.Ct. 1173, 167 L.Ed.2d 1 (2007) (internal quotation marks omitted). The new rule announced today-namely, that state criminal juries must be unanimous-does not fall within either of those two narrow Teague exceptions and therefore, as a matter of federal law, should not apply retroactively on habeas corpus review.

    The first Teague exception does not apply because today's new rule is procedural, not substantive: It affects "only the manner of determining the defendant's culpability." Schriro v. Summerlin , 542 U.S. 348, 353, 124 S.Ct. 2519, 159 L.Ed.2d 442 (2004).

    The second Teague exception does not apply because today's new rule, while undoubtedly important, is not a "watershed" procedural rule. This Court has flatly stated that "it is unlikely that any such rules" have "yet to emerge." Whorton , 549 U.S. at 417, 127 S.Ct. 1173 (internal quotation marks omitted). In "the years since Teague , we have rejected every claim that a new rule satisfied the requirements for watershed status." Id. , at 418, 421, 127 S.Ct. 1173 (rejecting retroactivity for Crawford v. Washington , 541 U.S. 36, 124 S.Ct. 1354, 158 L.Ed.2d 177 (2004) ); see, e.g., Beard v. Banks , 542 U.S. 406, 420, 124 S.Ct. 2504, 159 L.Ed.2d 494 (2004) (rejecting retroactivity for Mills v. Maryland , 486 U.S. 367, 108 S.Ct. 1860, 100 L.Ed.2d 384 (1988) ); Summerlin , 542 U.S. at 358, 124 S.Ct. 2519 (rejecting retroactivity for *1420Ring v. Arizona , 536 U.S. 584, 122 S.Ct. 2428, 153 L.Ed.2d 556 (2002) ); O'Dell v. Netherland , 521 U.S. 151, 167-168, 117 S.Ct. 1969, 138 L.Ed.2d 351 (1997) (rejecting retroactivity for Simmons v. South Carolina , 512 U.S. 154, 114 S.Ct. 2187, 129 L.Ed.2d 133 (1994) ); Lambrix v. Singletary , 520 U.S. 518, 539-540, 117 S.Ct. 1517, 137 L.Ed.2d 771 (1997) (rejecting retroactivity for Espinosa v. Florida , 505 U.S. 1079, 112 S.Ct. 2926, 120 L.Ed.2d 854 (1992) (per curiam )); Sawyer v. Smith , 497 U.S. 227, 241-245, 110 S.Ct. 2822, 111 L.Ed.2d 193 (1990) (rejecting retroactivity for Caldwell v. Mississippi , 472 U.S. 320, 105 S.Ct. 2633, 86 L.Ed.2d 231 (1985) ); see also Allen v. Hardy , 478 U.S. 255, 261, 106 S.Ct. 2878, 92 L.Ed.2d 199 (1986) (per curiam ) (rejecting retroactivity for Batson v. Kentucky , 476 U.S. 79, 106 S.Ct. 1712, 90 L.Ed.2d 69 (1986) ); DeStefano v. Woods , 392 U.S. 631, 635, 88 S.Ct. 2093, 20 L.Ed.2d 1308 (1968) (per curiam ) (rejecting retroactivity for Duncan, 391 U.S. 145, 88 S.Ct. 1444, 20 L.Ed.2d 491 ).

    So assuming that the Court faithfully applies Teague , today's decision will not apply retroactively on federal habeas corpus review and will not disturb convictions that are final.8

    In addition, as to ineffective-assistance-of-counsel claims, an attorney presumably would not have been deficient for failing to raise a constitutional jury-unanimity argument before today's decision-or at the very least, before the Court granted certiorari in this case. Before today, after all, this Court's precedents had repeatedly allowed non-unanimous juries in state criminal cases. In that situation, the Courts of Appeals have consistently held that an attorney is not ineffective for failing to anticipate or advocate for the overruling of a constitutional precedent of this Court. See, e.g., Walker v. United States , 810 F.3d 568, 577 (CA8 2016) ; United States v. Smith , 241 F.3d 546, 548 (CA7 2001) ; Honeycutt v. Mahoney , 698 F.2d 213, 216-217 (CA4 1983) ; see also Steiner v. United States , 940 F.3d 1282, 1293 (CA11 2019) (per curiam ); Snider v. United States , 908 F.3d 183, 192 (CA6 2018) ; Green v. Johnson , 116 F.3d 1115, 1125 (CA5 1997).

    For those reasons, the reliance interests at stake in this case are not especially substantial, and they do not mandate adherence to Apodaca .9

    * * *

    In sum, Apodaca is egregiously wrong, it has significant negative consequences, and overruling it would not unduly upset reliance interests. I therefore agree with the Court's decision to overrule Apodaca.10

    Justice THOMAS, concurring in the judgment.

    I agree with the Court that petitioner Evangelisto Ramos' felony conviction by a *1421nonunanimous jury was unconstitutional. I write separately because I would resolve this case based on the Court's longstanding view that the Sixth Amendment includes a protection against nonunanimous felony guilty verdicts, without undertaking a fresh analysis of the meaning of "trial ... by an impartial jury." I also would make clear that this right applies against the States through the Privileges or Immunities Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment, not the Due Process Clause.

    I

    I begin with the parties' dispute as to whether the Sixth Amendment right to a trial by jury includes a protection against nonunanimous felony guilty verdicts. On this question, I do not write on a blank slate. As the Court acknowledges, our decisions have long recognized that unanimity is required. See ante , at 1396 - 1397. Because this interpretation is not demonstrably erroneous, I would resolve the Sixth Amendment question on that basis.

    A

    This Court first decided that the Sixth Amendment protected a right to unanimity in Thompson v. Utah , 170 U.S. 343, 18 S.Ct. 620, 42 L.Ed. 1061 (1898). The Court reasoned that Thompson, a Utah prisoner, was protected by the Sixth Amendment when Utah was still a Territory because "the right of trial by jury in suits at common law appl[ied] to the Territories of the United States." Id. , at 346, 18 S.Ct. 620. The Court then stated that this right "made it impossible to deprive him of his liberty except by [a] unanimous verdict." Id. , at 355, 18 S.Ct. 620 ; see also id. , at 351, 353, 18 S.Ct. 620.

    The Court has repeatedly reaffirmed the Sixth Amendment's unanimity requirement. In Patton v. United States , 281 U.S. 276, 50 S.Ct. 253, 74 L.Ed. 854 (1930), the Court stated that the Sixth Amendment protects the right "that the verdict should be unanimous," id. , at 288, 50 S.Ct. 253. In Andres v. United States , 333 U.S. 740, 68 S.Ct. 880, 92 L.Ed. 1055 (1948), the Court repeated that "[u]nanimity in jury verdicts is required" by the Sixth Amendment, id. , at 748, 68 S.Ct. 880. And in Apodaca v. Oregon , 406 U.S. 404, 92 S.Ct. 1628, 32 L.Ed.2d 184 (1972), five Justices agreed that "the Sixth Amendment's guarantee of trial by jury embraces a guarantee that the verdict of the jury must be unanimous," id., at 414, 92 S.Ct. 1628 (Stewart, J., joined by Brennan and Marshall, JJ., dissenting); see also Johnson v. Louisiana , 406 U.S. 356, 371, 92 S.Ct. 1620, 32 L.Ed.2d 152 (1972) (Powell, J., concurring) (explaining views in Apodaca and its companion case); id. , at 382-383, 108 S.Ct. 1860 (Douglas, J., joined by Brennan and Marshall, JJ., dissenting) (same). We have accepted this interpretation of the Sixth Amendment in recent cases. See Southern Union Co. v. United States , 567 U.S. 343, 356, 132 S.Ct. 2344, 183 L.Ed.2d 318 (2012) ; Blakely v. Washington , 542 U.S. 296, 301, 124 S.Ct. 2531, 159 L.Ed.2d 403 (2004) ; Apprendi v. New Jersey , 530 U.S. 466, 477, 120 S.Ct. 2348, 147 L.Ed.2d 435 (2000).

    B

    The question then becomes whether these decisions are entitled to stare decisis effect. As I have previously explained, "the Court's typical formulation of the stare decisis standard does not comport with our judicial duty under Article III because it elevates demonstrably erroneous decisions-meaning decisions outside the realm of permissible interpretation-over the text of the Constitution and other duly enacted federal law." Gamble v. United States , 587 U. S. ----, ----, 139 S.Ct. 1960, 1981, 204 L.Ed.2d 322 (2019) (concurring *1422opinion). There is considerable evidence that the phrase "trial ... by ... jury" in the Sixth Amendment was understood since the founding to require that a felony guilty verdict be unanimous. Because our precedents are thus not outside the realm of permissible interpretation, I will apply them.

    1

    Blackstone-"the preeminent authority on English law for the founding generation," Alden v. Maine , 527 U.S. 706, 715, 119 S.Ct. 2240, 144 L.Ed.2d 636 (1999) -wrote that no subject can "be affected either in his property, his liberty, or his person, but by the unanimous consent" of a jury, 3 W. Blackstone, Commentaries on the Laws of England 379 (1772); see also 4 id. , at 343, 124 S.Ct. 2531. Another influential treatise author, Hale, wrote that "the law of England hath afforded the best method of trial, that is possible, ... namely by a jury ... all concurring in the same judgment." 1 M. Hale, Pleas of the Crown 33 (1736) (emphasis deleted). Such views continued in scholarly works throughout the early Republic. See, e.g., 2 J. Story, Commentaries on the Constitution of the United States § 777, p. 248 (1833); 6 N. Dane, Digest of American Law, ch. LXXXII, Art. 2, § 1, p. 226 (1824); 2 J. Wilson, Works of the Honourable James Wilson 349-350 (1804).

    The uniform practice among the States was in accord. Despite isolated 17th-century colonial practices allowing nonunanimous juries, "unanimity became the accepted rule during the 18th century, as Americans became more familiar with the details of English common law and adopted those details in their own colonial legal systems." Apodaca , supra , at 408, n. 3, 92 S.Ct. 1628 (plurality opinion). In the founding era, six States explicitly mentioned unanimity in their constitutions. See Del. Declaration of Rights § 14 (1776); Md. Declaration of Rights, Art. XIX (1776); N. C. Declaration of Rights § IX (1776); Pa. Declaration of Rights, Art. IX (1776); Vt. Const., Art. XI (1786); Va. Declaration of Rights § 8 (1776). Four more States clearly referred to the common-law jury right, which included unanimity. Ky. Const., Art. XII, § 6 (1792); N. J. Const., Art. XXII (1776); N. Y. Const., Art. XLI (1777); S. C. Const., Art. IX, § 6 (1790). Some States did not explicitly refer to either the common law or unanimity. See, e.g., Ga. Const., Art. LXI (1777); Mass. Declaration of Rights, Art. XII (1780). But there is reason to believe that they nevertheless understood unanimity to be required. See, e.g., Rouse v. State , 4 Ga. 136, 147 (1848).

    In light of the express language used in some State Constitutions, respondent Louisiana argues that the omission of an express unanimity requirement in the Sixth Amendment reflects a deliberate choice. This argument fails to establish that the Court's decisions are demonstrably erroneous. The House of Representatives passed a version of the amendment providing that "[t]he trial of all crimes ... shall be by an impartial jury of freeholders of the vicinage, with the requisite of unanimity for conviction, of the right of challenge, and other accustomed requisites," 1 Annals of Cong. 435 (1789), but the final Amendment contained no reference to vicinage or unanimity. See Amdt. 6. I agree with Justice Harlan and the Court that "the meaning of this change is wholly speculative" and that there is "no concrete evidence" that the Senate rejected the requirement of unanimity. Baldwin v. New York , 399 U.S. 66, 123, n. 9, 90 S.Ct. 1886, 26 L.Ed.2d 437 (1970) (Harlan, J., dissenting); see also ante , at 11-12; Letter from J. Madison to E. Pendleton (Sept. 14, 1789), in 1 Letters and Other Writings of James Madison 491 (1867). There is thus sufficient evidence to *1423support this Court's prior interpretation that the Sixth Amendment right to a trial by jury requires unanimity.

    2

    There is also considerable evidence that this understanding persisted up to the time of the Fourteenth Amendment's ratification. State courts, for example, continued to interpret the phrase "trial by jury" to require unanimity in felony guilty verdicts. The New Hampshire Superior Court of Judicature expounded on the point:

    "The terms 'jury,' and 'trial by jury,' are, and for ages have been well known in the language of the law. They were used at the adoption of the constitution, and always, it is believed, before that time, and almost always since, in a single sense.
    "A jury for the trial of a cause ... must return their unanimous verdict upon the issue submitted to them.
    "All the books of the law describe a trial jury substantially as we have stated it. And a 'trial by jury' is a trial by such a body, so constituted and conducted. So far as our knowledge extends, these expressions were used at the adoption of the constitution and always before, in these senses alone by all classes of writers and speakers." Opinion of Justices , 41 N.H. 550, 551-552 (1860).

    Other state courts held the same view. The Missouri Supreme Court in 1860 called unanimity one of the "essential requisites in a jury trial," Vaughn v. Scade , 30 Mo. 600, 603, and the Ohio Supreme Court in 1853 called it one of "the essential and distinguishing features of the trial by jury, as known at common law, and generally, if not universally, adopted in this country," Work v. State , 2 OhioSt. 296, 306.

    Treatises from the Reconstruction era likewise adopted this position. A leading work on criminal procedure explained that if a "statute authorizes [a jury] to find a verdict upon anything short of ... unanimous consent," it "is void." 1 J. Bishop, Criminal Procedure § 761, p. 532 (1866). A widely read treatise on constitutional law reiterated that " 'by a jury' is generally understood to mean" a body that "must unanimously concur in the guilt of the accused before a conviction can be had." G. Paschal, The Constitution of the United States 210 (1876) (capitalization omitted). And a volume on the jury trial was in agreement. See J. Proffatt, Trial by Jury § 77, p. 112 (1877).

    * * *

    Based on this evidence, the Court's prior interpretation of the Sixth Amendment's guarantee is not demonstrably erroneous. It is within the realm of permissible interpretations to say that "trial ... by ... jury" in that Amendment includes a protection against nonunanimous felony guilty verdicts.

    II

    The remaining question is whether that right is protected against the States. In my view, the Privileges or Immunities Clause provides this protection. I do not adhere to this Court's decisions applying due process incorporation, including Apodaca and-it seems-the Court's opinion in this case.

    The Privileges or Immunities Clause provides that "[n]o State shall make or enforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of citizens of the United States." Amdt. 14, § 1. At the time of the Fourteenth Amendment's ratification, "the terms 'privileges' and 'immunities' had an established meaning as synonyms of 'rights.' " McDonald v. Chicago , 561 U.S. 742, 813, 130 S.Ct. 3020, 177 L.Ed.2d 894 (2010) (THOMAS, J., concurring in part and concurring in judgment).

    *1424"[T]he ratifying public understood the Privileges or Immunities Clause to protect constitutionally enumerated rights" against abridgment by the States. Id. , at 837, 130 S.Ct. 3020. The Sixth Amendment right to a trial by jury is certainly a constitutionally enumerated right. See Maxwell v. Dow , 176 U.S. 581, 606-608, 20 S.Ct. 448, 44 L.Ed. 597 (1900) (Harlan, J., dissenting).

    The Court, however, has made the Due Process Clause serve the function that the Privileges or Immunities Clause should serve. Although the Privileges or Immunities Clause grants "United States citizens a certain collection of rights-i.e. , privileges or immunities-attributable to that status," the Court has interpreted the Clause "quite narrowly." McDonald , 561 U.S. at 808, 130 S.Ct. 3020 (opinion of THOMAS, J.). Perhaps to compensate for this limited view of the Privileges or Immunities Clause, it has incorporated individual rights against the States through the Due Process Clause. Id. , at 809, 130 S.Ct. 3020.

    Due process incorporation is a demonstrably erroneous interpretation of the Fourteenth Amendment. As I have explained before, "[t]he notion that a constitutional provision that guarantees only 'process' before a person is deprived of life, liberty, or property could define the substance of those rights strains credulity for even the most casual user of words." Id. , at 811, 130 S.Ct. 3020. The unreasonableness of this interpretation is underscored by the Court's struggle to find a "guiding principle to distinguish 'fundamental' rights that warrant protection from nonfundamental rights that do not," ibid. , as well as its many incorrect decisions based on this theory, see Obergefell v. Hodges , 576 U. S. 644, 135 S.Ct. 2584, 192 L.Ed.2d 609 (2015) ; Roe v. Wade , 410 U.S. 113, 93 S.Ct. 705, 35 L.Ed.2d 147 (1973) ; Dred Scott v. Sandford , 60 U.S. (19 How.) 393, 15 L.Ed. 691 (1857).

    I "decline to apply the legal fiction" of due process incorporation. Timbs v. Indiana , 586 U. S. ----, ----, 139 S.Ct. 682, 692, 203 L.Ed.2d 11 (2019) (THOMAS, J., concurring in judgment) (internal quotation marks omitted). As a result, I part ways with the Court on both its affirmative argument about the Fourteenth Amendment and its treatment of Apodaca , in which five Justices agreed the Sixth Amendment included a right to unanimity but a different majority concluded that the right did not apply to the States. See ante , at 1397 - 1400.

    I would accept petitioner's invitation to decide this case under the Privileges or Immunities Clause. The Court conspicuously avoids saying which clause it analyzes. See, e.g., ante, at 1394 - 1395, 1397. But one assumes from its silence that the Court is either following our due process incorporation precedents or believes that "nothing in this case turns on" which clause applies, Timbs , supra , at ----, 139 S.Ct., at 691 (GORSUCH, J., concurring).

    I have already rejected our due process incorporation cases as demonstrably erroneous, and I fundamentally disagree with applying that theory of incorporation simply because it reaches the same result in the case before us. Close enough is for horseshoes and hand grenades, not constitutional interpretation. The textual difference between protecting "citizens" (in the Privileges or Immunities Clause) and "person[s]" (in the Due Process Clause) will surely be relevant in another case. And our judicial duty-not to mention the candor we owe to our fellow citizens-requires us to put an end to this Court's due process prestidigitation, which no one is willing to defend on the merits.

    I would simply hold that, because all of the opinions in Apodaca addressed the *1425Due Process Clause, its Fourteenth Amendment ruling does not bind us because the proper question here is the scope of the Privileges or Immunities Clause. I cannot understand why the Court, having decided to abandon Apodaca , refuses to correctly root its holding in the Privileges or Immunities Clause.1

    III

    There is no need to prove the original meaning of the Sixth Amendment right to a trial by jury in this case.2 The evidence that I have recounted is enough to establish that our previous interpretations of the Sixth Amendment are not demonstrably erroneous. What is necessary, however, is a clear understanding of the means by which the Sixth Amendment right applies against the States. We should rely on the Privileges or Immunities Clause, not the Due Process Clause or the Fourteenth Amendment in some vague sense. Accordingly, I concur only in the judgment.

    Justice ALITO, with whom THE CHIEF JUSTICE joins, and with whom Justice KAGAN joins as to all but Part III-D, dissenting.

    The doctrine of stare decisis gets rough treatment in today's decision. Lowering the bar for overruling our precedents, a badly fractured majority casts aside an important and long-established decision with little regard for the enormous reliance the decision has engendered. If the majority's approach is not just a way to dispose of this one case, the decision marks an important turn.

    Nearly a half century ago in Apodaca v. Oregon , 406 U.S. 404, 92 S.Ct. 1628, 32 L.Ed.2d 184 (1972), the Court held that the Sixth Amendment permits non-unanimous verdicts in state criminal trials, and in all the years since then, no Justice has even hinted that Apodaca should be reconsidered. Understandably thinking that Apodaca was good law, the state courts in Louisiana and Oregon have tried thousands of cases under rules that permit such verdicts. But today, the Court does away with Apodaca and, in so doing, imposes a potentially crushing burden on the courts and criminal justice systems of those States. The Court, however, brushes aside these consequences and even suggests that the States should have known better than to count on our decision.

    To add insult to injury, the Court tars Louisiana and Oregon with the charge of racism for permitting nonunanimous verdicts-even though this Court found such verdicts to be constitutional and even though there are entirely legitimate arguments for allowing them.

    I would not overrule Apodaca . Whatever one may think about the correctness of the decision, it has elicited enormous and entirely *1426reasonable reliance. And before this Court decided to intervene, the decision appeared to have little practical importance going forward. Louisiana has now abolished non-unanimous verdicts, and Oregon seemed on the verge of doing the same until the Court intervened.1

    In Part II of this opinion, I will address the surprising argument, advanced by three Justices in the majority, that Apodaca was never a precedent at all, and in Part III, I will explain why stare decisis supports retention of that precedent. But before reaching those issues, I must say something about the rhetoric with which the majority has seen fit to begin its opinion.

    I

    Too much public discourse today is sullied by ad hominem rhetoric, that is, attempts to discredit an argument not by proving that it is unsound but by attacking the character or motives of the argument's proponents. The majority regrettably succumbs to this trend. At the start of its opinion, the majority asks this rhetorical question: "Why do Louisiana and Oregon allow nonunanimous convictions?" Ante , at 1394. And the answer it suggests? Racism, white supremacy, the Ku Klux Klan. Ante , at 1393 - 1394. Non-unanimous verdicts, the Court implies, are of a piece with Jim Crow laws, the poll tax, and other devices once used to disfranchise African-Americans. Ibid .

    If Louisiana and Oregon originally adopted their laws allowing non-unanimous verdicts for these reasons,2 that is deplorable, but what does that have to do with the broad constitutional question before us? The answer is: nothing.

    For one thing, whatever the reasons why Louisiana and Oregon originally adopted their rules many years ago, both States readopted their rules under different circumstances in later years. Louisiana's constitutional convention of 1974 adopted a new, narrower rule, and its stated purpose was "judicial efficiency." State v. Hankton , 2012-0375, p. 19 (La.App.4Cir. 8/2/13), 122 So.3d 1028, 1038. "In that debate no mention was made of race." Ibid. ; 7 Records of the Louisiana Constitutional Convention of 1973: Convention Transcripts 1184-1189 (La. Constitutional Convention Records Comm'n 1977). The people of Louisiana ratified the new Constitution. The majority makes no effort to show either that the delegates to the constitutional convention retained the rule for discriminatory purposes or that proponents of the new Constitution made racial appeals when approval was submitted to the people. The same is true for Oregon's revisions and reenactments. Ore. Const., Art. I, § 11 (amended May 18, 1934); Ore. Rev. Stat. § 136.450 (1997); § 136.610 (1971).

    The more important point, however, is that today's decision is not limited to anything particular about Louisiana or Oregon. The Court holds that the Sixth Amendment requires jury unanimity in all state criminal trials. If at some future time another State wanted to allow non-unanimous verdicts, today's decision would rule that out-even if all that State's lawmakers were angels.

    For this reason, the origins of the Louisiana and Oregon rules have no bearing on the broad constitutional question that the Court decides. That history would be relevant if there were no legitimate reasons *1427why anyone might think that allowing non-unanimous verdicts is good policy. But that is undeniably false.3

    Some years ago the British Parliament enacted a law allowing non-unanimous verdicts.4 Was Parliament under the sway of the Klan? The Constitution of Puerto Rico permits non-unanimous verdicts.5 Were the framers of that Constitution racists? Non-unanimous verdicts were once advocated by the American Law Institute and the American Bar Association.6 Was their aim to promote white supremacy? And how about the prominent scholars who have taken the same position?7 Racists all? Of course not. So all the talk about the Klan, etc., is entirely out of place.8 We should set an example of rational and civil discourse instead of contributing to the worst current trends.

    II

    Now to what matters.

    A

    I begin with the question whether Apodaca was a precedent at all. It is remarkable that it is even necessary to address this question, but in Part IV-A of the principal opinion, three Justices take the position that Apodaca was never a precedent. The *1428only truly fitting response to this argument is: "Really?"

    Consider what it would mean if Apodaca was never a precedent. It would mean that the entire legal profession was fooled for the past 48 years. Believing that Apodaca was a precedent, the courts of Louisiana and Oregon tried thousands of cases under rules allowing conviction by a vote of 11 to 1 or 10 to 2, and appellate courts in those States upheld these convictions based on Apodaca .9 But according to three Justices in the majority, these courts were deluded.

    This Court, for its part, apparently helped to perpetuate the illusion, since it reiterated time and again what Apodaca had established. See Timbs v. Indiana , 586 U. S. ----, ----, n. 1, 139 S.Ct. 682, 687 n. 1, 203 L.Ed.2d 11 (2019) ( Apodaca held "that the Sixth Amendment requires jury unanimity in federal, but not state, criminal proceedings"); McDonald v. Chicago , 561 U.S. 742, 766, n. 14, 130 S.Ct. 3020, 177 L.Ed.2d 894 (2010) (Sixth Amendment "does not require a unanimous jury verdict in state criminal trials"); United States v. Gaudin , 515 U.S. 506, 511, n. 2, 115 S.Ct. 2310, 132 L.Ed.2d 444 (1995) ( Apodaca "conclude[d] that jury unanimity is not constitutionally required"); Schad v. Arizona , 501 U.S. 624, 634, n. 5, 111 S.Ct. 2491, 115 L.Ed.2d 555 (1991) (plurality opinion) ("[A] state criminal defendant, at least in noncapital cases, has no federal right to a unanimous jury verdict"); Brown v. Louisiana , 447 U.S. 323, 330-331, 100 S.Ct. 2214, 65 L.Ed.2d 159 (1980) (plurality opinion) ("[T]he constitutional guarantee of trial by jury" does not prescribe "the exact proportion of the jury that must concur in the verdict"); Burch v. Louisiana , 441 U.S. 130, 136, 99 S.Ct. 1623, 60 L.Ed.2d 96 (1979) ( Apodaca "conclude[d] that a jury's verdict need not be unanimous to satisfy constitutional requirements"); Ludwig v. Massachusetts , 427 U.S. 618, 625, 96 S.Ct. 2781, 49 L.Ed.2d 732 (1976) ("holding" in Apodaca was that "the jury's verdict need not be unanimous"); see also Holland v. Illinois , 493 U.S. 474, 511, 110 S.Ct. 803, 107 L.Ed.2d 905 (1990) (Stevens, J., dissenting) ("we have permitted nonunanimous verdicts," citing Apodaca ); McKoy v. North Carolina , 494 U.S. 433, 468, 110 S.Ct. 1227, 108 L.Ed.2d 369 (1990) (Scalia, J., dissenting) (the Court has "approved verdicts by less than a unanimous jury," citing Apodaca ).

    Consistent with these statements of the governing law, whenever defendants convicted by non-unanimous verdicts sought review in this Court and asked that Apodaca be overruled, the Court denied those requests-without a single registered dissent.10 Even the legal academy, never shy *1429about puncturing misconceptions, was taken in.11 Everybody thought Apodaca was a precedent. But, according to three of the Justices in the majority, everybody was fooled. Apodaca , the precedent, was a mirage. Can this be true?

    No, it cannot. The idea that Apodaca was a phantom precedent defies belief. And it certainly disserves important objectives that stare decisis exists to promote, including evenhandedness, predictability, and the protection of legitimate reliance. See, e .g ., Gamble v. United States , 587 U. S. ----, ----, 139 S.Ct. 1960, 1981, 204 L.Ed.2d 322 (2019) ; Kimble v. Marvel Entertainment, LLC , 576 U.S. 446, 455-456, 135 S.Ct. 2401, 192 L.Ed.2d 463 (2015) ; Payne v. Tennessee , 501 U.S. 808, 827, 111 S.Ct. 2597, 115 L.Ed.2d 720 (1991).

    B

    Under any reasonable understanding of the concept, Apodaca was a precedent, that is, "a decided case that furnishes a basis for determining later cases involving similar facts or issues." Black's Law Dictionary 1366 (10th ed. 2014); see also J. Salmond, Jurisprudence 191 (10th ed. 1947); M. Gerhardt, The Power of Precedent 3 (2008); Landes & Posner, Legal Precedent: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis, 19 J. Law & Econ. 249, 250 (1976).

    Even though there was no opinion of the Court, the decision satisfies even the narrowest understanding of a precedent as this Court has understood the concept: The decision prescribes a particular outcome when all the conditions in a clearly defined set are met. See Seminole Tribe of Fla. v. Florida , 517 U.S. 44, 67, 116 S.Ct. 1114, 134 L.Ed.2d 252 (1996) (explaining that, at the very least, we are bound by the "result" in a prior case). In Apodaca, this means that when (1) a defendant is convicted in state court, (2) at least 10 of the 12 jurors vote to convict, and (3) the defendant argues that the conviction violates the Constitution because the vote was not unanimous, the challenge fails. A majority of the Justices in Apodaca expressly agreed on that result, and that result is a precedent that had to be followed in subsequent cases until Apodaca was overruled.

    That this result constituted a precedent follows a fortiori from our cases holding that even our summary affirmances of lower *1430court decisions are precedents for "the precise issues presented and necessarily decided" by the judgment below. Mandel v. Bradley , 432 U.S. 173, 176, 97 S.Ct. 2238, 53 L.Ed.2d 199 (1977) (per curiam ). If the Apodaca Court had summarily affirmed a state-court decision holding that a jury vote of 10 to 2 did not violate the Sixth Amendment, that summary disposition would be a precedent. Accordingly, it is impossible to see how a full-blown decision of this Court reaching the same result can be regarded as a non-precedent.12

    C

    What do our three colleagues say in response? They begin by suggesting that Louisiana conceded that Apodaca is not a precedent. See ante, at 1402 - 1403. This interpretation of the State's position is questionable,13 but even if Louisiana made that concession, how could that settle the matter? What about Oregon, the only State that still permits non-unanimous verdicts? Oregon certainly did not make such a concession. On the contrary, it submitted an amicus brief arguing strenuously that Apodaca is a precedent and that it should be retained. Brief for State of Oregon as Amicus Curiae 6-32. And what about any other State that might want to allow such verdicts in the future? So the majority's reliance on Louisiana's purported concession simply will not do.

    Our three colleagues' next try is to argue that Apodaca is not binding because a case has no ratio decidendi when a majority does not agree on the reason for the result. Ante , at 1404, and n. 54. This argument, made in passing, constitutes an attack on the rule that the Court adopted in Marks v. United States , 430 U.S. 188, 97 S.Ct. 990, 51 L.Ed.2d 260 (1977), for determining the holding of a decision when there is no majority opinion. Under the Marks rule, "[w]hen a fragmented Court decides a case and no single rationale explaining the result enjoys the assent of five Justices, the holding of the Court may be viewed as that position taken by those Members who concurred in the judgments on the narrowest grounds." Id. , at 193, 97 S.Ct. 990 (internal quotation marks omitted). This rule ascribes precedential status to decisions made without majority agreement on the underlying rationale, and it is therefore squarely contrary to the argument of the three Justices who regard Apodaca as non-precedential.

    The Marks rule is controversial, and two Terms ago, we granted review in a case that implicated its meaning. See Hughes v. United States, 584 U. S. ----, 138 S.Ct. 1765, 201 L.Ed.2d 72 (2018). But we ultimately decided the case on another ground and left the Marks rule intact. As long as that rule stands, it refutes the argument that Apodaca is not binding because a majority did not agree on a common rationale.

    Finally, our three colleagues contend that treating Apodaca as a precedent would require the Court "to embrace a new and dubious proposition: that a single Justice writing only for himself has the authority to bind this Court to propositions it has already rejected." Ante , at 1402. This argument appears to weave together *1431three separate questions relating to the precedential effect of decisions in which there is no majority opinion. I will therefore attempt to untangle these questions and address each in turn.

    An initial question is whether, in a case where there is no opinion of the Court, the position taken by a single Justice in the majority can constitute the binding rule for which the decision stands. Under Marks , the clear answer to this question is yes. The logic of Marks applies equally no matter what the division of the Justices in the majority, and I am aware of no case holding that the Marks rule is inapplicable when the narrowest ground is supported by only one Justice. Certainly the lower courts have understood Marks to apply in that situation.14

    The next question is whether the Marks rule applies any differently when the precedent that would be established by a fractured decision would overrule a prior precedent. Again, the logic of Marks dictates an affirmative answer, and I am aware of no case holding that the Marks rule applies any differently in this situation. But as far as the present case is concerned, this question is academic because Apodaca did not overrule any prior decision of this Court. At most, what the Court had "recognized," ante, at 1396 - 1397, in prior cases is that the Sixth Amendment guaranteed the right to a unanimous jury verdict in trials in federal and territorial courts .15 Whether the same rule applied in state prosecutions had not been decided, and indeed, until Duncan v. Louisiana , 391 U.S. 145, 154-158, 88 S.Ct. 1444, 20 L.Ed.2d 491 (1968), was handed down just four years before Apodaca , the Sixth Amendment had not been held to apply to the States.

    The final question is whether Justice Powell's reasoning in Apodaca -namely, his view that the Fourteenth Amendment did not incorporate every aspect of the Sixth Amendment jury-trial right-is a binding precedent, and the answer to that question is no. When, in the years after Apodaca , new questions arose about the scope of the jury-trial right in state court-as they did in cases like Apprendi v. New Jersey , 530 U.S. 466, 120 S.Ct. 2348, 147 L.Ed.2d 435 (2000), and Blakely v. Washington , 542 U.S. 296, 124 S.Ct. 2531, 159 L.Ed.2d 403 (2004) -nobody thought for a second that Apodaca committed the Court to Justice Powell's view that the right has different dimensions in state and federal cases. And no one on this Court or on a lower court had any trouble locating the narrow common ground between Justice Powell and the plurality in Apodaca : The States need not require unanimity to comply with the Constitution.

    For all these reasons, Apodaca clearly was a precedent, and if the Court wishes to be done with it, it must explain why *1432overruling Apodaca is consistent with the doctrine of stare decisis .

    III

    A

    Stare decisis has been a fundamental part of our jurisprudence since the founding, and it is an important doctrine. But, as we have said many times, it is not an "inexorable command." Payne , 501 U.S. at 828, 111 S.Ct. 2597 ; Gamble , 587 U. S., at ---- - ----, 139 S.Ct., at 1969-1970 (slip op., at 11-12). There are circumstances when past decisions must be overturned, but we begin with the presumption that we will follow precedent, and therefore when the Court decides to overrule, it has an obligation to provide an explanation for its decision.

    This is imperative because the Court should have a body of neutral principles on the question of overruling precedent. The doctrine should not be transformed into a tool that favors particular outcomes.16

    B

    What is the majority's justification for overruling Apodaca ? With no apparent appreciation of the irony, today's majority, which is divided into four separate camps,17 criticizes the Apodaca majority as "badly fractured." Ante , at 1397. But many important decisions currently regarded as precedents were decided without an opinion of the Court.18 Does the majority mean to suggest that all such precedents are fair game?

    The majority's primary reason for overruling Apodaca is the supposedly poor "quality" of Justice White's plurality opinion and Justice Powell's separate opinion. Ante , at 1404 - 1406. The majority indicts Justice White's opinion on five grounds: (1) it "spent almost no time grappling with the historical meaning of the Sixth Amendment's jury trial right,"19 (2) it did not give due weight to the "Court's long-repeated statements that [the right] demands unanimity,"20 (3) it did not take into account *1433"the racist origins of [the] Louisian[a] and Orego[n] laws,"21 (4) it looked to the function of the jury-trial right,22 and (5) it engaged in "a breezy cost-benefit analysis" that, in any event, did not properly weigh the costs and benefits.23 All these charges are overblown.

    First, it is quite unfair to criticize Justice White for not engaging in a detailed discussion of the original meaning of the Sixth Amendment jury-trial right since he had already done that just two years before in his opinion for the Court in Williams v. Florida , 399 U.S. 78, 92-100, 90 S.Ct. 1893, 26 L.Ed.2d 446 (1970). In Williams , after examining that history, he concluded that the Sixth Amendment did not incorporate every feature of the common-law right (a conclusion that the majority, by the way, does not dispute). And in Apodaca , he built on the analysis in Williams . Accordingly, there was no need to repeat what had been said before.

    Second, it is similarly unfair to criticize Justice White for not discussing the prior decisions that commented on jury unanimity. None of those decisions went beyond saying that this was a feature of the common-law right or cursorily stating that unanimity was required.24 And as noted, Williams had already held that the Sixth Amendment did not preserve all aspects of the common-law right.

    Third, the failure of Justice White (and Justice Powell) to take into account the supposedly racist origins of the Louisiana and Oregon laws should not be counted as a defect for the reasons already discussed. See supra, at 1426 - 1427.

    Fourth, it is hard to know what to make of the functionalist charge. One Member of the majority explicitly disavows this criticism, see ante , at 1409 (SOTOMAYOR, J., concurring in part), and it is most unlikely that all the Justices in the majority are ready to label all functionalist decisions as poorly reasoned. Most of the landmark criminal procedure decisions from roughly Apodaca 's time fall into that category. See Mapp v. Ohio , 367 U.S. 643, 654, 81 S.Ct. 1684, 6 L.Ed.2d 1081 (1961) (Fourth Amendment); Miranda v. Arizona , 384 U.S. 436, 444, 86 S.Ct. 1602, 16 L.Ed.2d 694 (1966) (Fifth Amendment); Gideon v. Wainwright , 372 U.S. 335, 344-345, 83 S.Ct. 792, 9 L.Ed.2d 799 (1963) (Sixth Amendment); Furman v. Georgia , 408 U.S. 238, 239, 92 S.Ct. 2726, 33 L.Ed.2d 346 (1972) (per curiam ) (Eighth Amendment).25 Are they all now up for grabs?

    The functionalist criticism dodges the knotty problem that led Justice White to look to the underlying purpose of the jury-trial right. Here is the problem. No one questions that the Sixth Amendment incorporated the core of the common-law jury-trial right, but did it incorporate every feature of the right? Did it constitutionalize the requirement that there be 12 jurors even though nobody can say why 12 is the magic number? And did it incorporate features that we now find highly objectionable, such as the exclusion of women from jury service? At the time of the adoption of *1434the Sixth Amendment (and for many years thereafter), women were not regarded as fit to serve as a defendant's peers. Unless one is willing to freeze in place late 18th-century practice, it is necessary to find a principle to distinguish between the features that were incorporated and those that were not. To do this, Justice White's opinion for the Court in Williams looked to the underlying purpose of the jury-trial right, which it identified as interposing a jury of the defendant's peers to protect against oppression by a " 'corrupt or overzealous prosecutor' " or a " 'compliant, biased, or eccentric judge.' " 399 U.S. at 100, 90 S.Ct. 1893 (quoting Duncan , 391 U.S. at 156, 88 S.Ct. 1444 ).

    The majority decries this "functionalist" approach but provides no alternative. It does not claim that the Sixth Amendment incorporated every feature of common-law practice, but it fails to identify any principle for identifying the features that were absorbed. On the question of jury service by women, the majority's only answer, buried in a footnote, is that the exclusion of women was outlawed by "further constitutional amendments," ante , at 1402, n. 47, presumably the Fourteenth Amendment. Does that mean that the majority disagrees with the holding in Taylor v. Louisiana , 419 U.S. 522, 95 S.Ct. 692, 42 L.Ed.2d 690 (1975) -another opinion by Justice White-that the exclusion of women from jury service violates the Sixth Amendment ? Id. , at 531, 533-536, 95 S.Ct. 692.26

    Fifth, it is not accurate to say that Justice White based his conclusion on a cost-benefit analysis of requiring jury unanimity. His point, rather, was that what the Court had already identified as the fundamental purpose of the jury-trial right was not undermined by allowing a verdict of 11 to 1 or 10 to 2.

    I cannot say that I would have agreed either with Justice White's analysis or his bottom line in Apodaca if I had sat on the Court at that time, but the majority's harsh criticism of his opinion is unwarranted.

    What about Justice Powell's concurrence? The majority treats Justice Powell's view as idiosyncratic, but it does not merit that derision. Justice Powell's belief that the Constitution allows the States a degree of flexibility in the interpretation of certain constitutional rights, although not our dominant approach in recent years, McDonald , 561 U.S. at 759-766, 130 S.Ct. 3020, has old and respectable roots. For a long time, that was the Court's approach. See id ., at 759-761, 130 S.Ct. 3020. Only gradually did the Court abandon this "two-tier" system, see id. , at 762-767, 130 S.Ct. 3020, and it was not until *1435Duncan , supra, at 154-158, 88 S.Ct. 1444, decided just four years before Apodaca , that the Sixth Amendment jury-trial right was held to apply to the States at all. Justice Powell's approach is also not without recent proponents, including, at least with respect to the Second Amendment, Justices now in the majority.27

    Even now, our cases do not hold that every provision of the Bill of Rights applies in the same way to the Federal Government and the States. A notable exception is the Grand Jury Clause of the Fifth Amendment, a provision that, like the Sixth Amendment jury-trial right, reflects the importance that the founding generation attached to juries as safeguards against oppression. In Hurtado v. California , 110 U.S. 516, 538, 4 S.Ct. 292, 28 L.Ed. 232 (1884), the Court held that the Grand Jury Clause does not bind the States and that they may substitute preliminary hearings at which the decision to allow a prosecution to go forward is made by a judge rather than a defendant's peers. That decision was based on reasoning that is not easy to distinguish from Justice Powell's in Apodaca. Hurtado remains good law and is critically important to the 28 States that allow a defendant to be prosecuted for a felony without a grand jury indictment.28 If we took the same approach to the Hurtado question that the majority takes in this case, the holding in that case could be called into question.

    The majority's only other reason for overruling Apodaca is that it is inconsistent with related decisions and recent legal developments. Ante , at 1405 - 1406; ante , at 1409 (SOTOMAYOR, J., concurring in part). I agree that Justice Powell's view on incorporation is not in harmony with the bulk of our case law, but the majority's point about "recent legal developments" is *1436an exaggeration. No subsequent Sixth Amendment decision has undercut the plurality. And while Justice Powell's view on incorporation has been further isolated by later cases holding that two additional provisions of the Bill of Rights apply with full force to the States, see Timbs , 586 U. S., at ----, 139 S.Ct., at 687 (Eighth Amendment's Excessive Fines Clause); McDonald , supra, at 791, 130 S.Ct. 3020 (plurality opinion) (Second Amendment), the project of complete incorporation was nearly done when Apodaca was handed down. See McDonald , supra , at 765, n. 13, 130 S.Ct. 3020.

    While the majority worries that Apodaca is inconsistent with our cases on incorporation, the majority ignores something far more important: the way in which Apodaca is intertwined with the body of our Sixth Amendment case law. As I have explained, see supra , at 1433 - 1434, the Apodaca plurality's reasoning was based on the same fundamental mode of analysis as that in Williams , 399 U.S. 78, 90 S.Ct. 1893, 26 L.Ed.2d 446, which had held just two years earlier that the Sixth Amendment did not constitutionalize the common law's requirement that a jury have 12 members. Although only one State, Oregon, now permits non-unanimous verdicts, many more allow six-person juries.29 Repudiating the reasoning of Apodaca will almost certainly prompt calls to overrule Williams.

    C

    Up to this point, I have discussed the majority's reasons for overruling Apodaca, but that is only half the picture. What convinces me that Apodaca should be retained are the enormous reliance interests of Louisiana and Oregon. For 48 years, Louisiana and Oregon, trusting that Apodaca is good law, have conducted thousands and thousands of trials under rules allowing non-unanimous verdicts. Now, those States face a potential tsunami of litigation on the jury-unanimity issue.

    At a minimum, all defendants whose cases are still on direct appeal will presumably be entitled to a new trial if they were convicted by a less-than-unanimous verdict and preserved the issue in the trial court. And at least in Oregon, even if no objection was voiced at trial, defendants may be able to challenge their convictions based on plain error. See Ore. Rule App. Proc. 5.45(1), and n. 1 (2019); State v. Serrano , 355 Ore. 172, 179, 324 P.3d 1274, 1280 (2014). Oregon asserts that more than a thousand defendants whose cases are still on direct appeal may be able to challenge their convictions if Apodaca is overruled. Brief for State of Oregon as Amicus Curiae 12-13.30 The State also reports that "[d]efendants are arguing that an instruction allowing for non-unanimous verdicts is a structural error that requires reversal for all convictions, even for those for which the jury was not polled or those for which the jury was unanimous." Id ., at 14.

    Unimpressed by these potential consequences, the majority notes that we "vacated and remanded nearly 800 decisions" for resentencing after United States v. Booker , 543 U.S. 220, 125 S.Ct. 738, 160 L.Ed.2d 621 (2005), held that the Federal Sentencing Guidelines are not mandatory. Ante , at 1406 - 1407. But the burden of *1437resentencing cannot be compared with the burden of retrying cases. And while resentencing was possible in all the cases affected by Booker , there is no guarantee that all the cases affected by today's ruling can be retried. In some cases, key witnesses may not be available, and it remains to be seen whether the criminal justice systems of Oregon and Louisiana have the resources to handle the volume of cases in which convictions will be reversed.

    These cases on direct review are only the beginning. Prisoners whose direct appeals have ended will argue that today's decision allows them to challenge their convictions on collateral review, and if those claims succeed, the courts of Louisiana and Oregon are almost sure to be overwhelmed.

    The majority's response to this possibility is evasive. It begins by hinting that today's decision will not apply on collateral review under the framework adopted in Teague v. Lane , 489 U.S. 288, 315, 109 S.Ct. 1060, 103 L.Ed.2d 334 (1989) (plurality opinion). Under Teague , "an old rule applies both on direct and collateral review," but if today's decision constitutes a new procedural rule, prisoners will be able to rely on it in a collateral proceeding only if it is what we have termed a "watershed rule" that implicates "the fundamental fairness and accuracy of the criminal proceeding." Whorton v. Bockting , 549 U.S. 406, 416, 127 S.Ct. 1173, 167 L.Ed.2d 1 (2007). Noting that we have never found a new rule of criminal procedure to qualify as "watershed," the Court hints that the decision in this case is likely to meet the same fate.

    But having feinted in this direction, the Court quickly changes course and says that the application of today's decision to prisoners whose appeals have ended should not concern us. Ante , at 1406 - 1407. That question, we are told, will be decided in a later case. Ibid .

    The majority cannot have it both ways. As long as retroactive application on collateral review remains a real possibility, the crushing burden that this would entail cannot be ignored. And while it is true that this Court has been chary in recognizing new watershed rules, it is by no means clear that Teague will preclude the application of today's decision on collateral review.

    Teague applies only to a "new rule," and the positions taken by some in the majority may lead to the conclusion that the rule announced today is an old rule. Take the proposition, adopted by three Members of the majority, that Apodaca was never a precedent. Those Justices, along with the rest of the majority, take the position that our cases established well before Apodaca both that the Sixth Amendment requires unanimity, ante , at 1396 - 1397, and that it applies in the same way in state and federal court, ante , at 1398 - 1399. Thus, if Apodaca was never a precedent and did not disturb what had previously been established, it may be argued that today's decision does not impose a new rule but instead merely recognizes what the correct rule has been for many years.

    Two other Justices in the majority acknowledge that Apodaca was a precedent and thus would presumably regard today's decision as a "new rule," but the question remains whether today's decision qualifies as a "watershed rule." Justice KAVANAUGH concludes that it does not and all but decides-without briefing or argument-that the decision will not apply retroactively on federal collateral review and similarly that there will be no successful claims of ineffective assistance of counsel for failing to challenge Apodaca . See ante, at 1418 - 1420 (opinion concurring in part).

    *1438The remaining Justices in the majority, and those of us in dissent, express no view on this question, but the majority's depiction of the unanimity requirement as a hallowed right that Louisiana and Oregon flouted for ignominious reasons certainly provides fuel for the argument that the rule announced today meets the test. And in Oregon, the State most severely impacted by today's decision, watershed status may not matter since the State Supreme Court has reserved decision on whether state law gives prisoners a greater opportunity to invoke new precedents in state collateral proceedings. See Verduzco v. State , 357 Ore. 553, 574, 355 P.3d 902, 914 (2015).31

    Whatever the ultimate resolution of the retroactivity question, the reliance here is not only massive; it is concrete. Cf. Dickerson v. United States , 530 U.S. 428, 443, 120 S.Ct. 2326, 147 L.Ed.2d 405 (2000) (reliance weighed heavily in favor of precedent simply because the warnings in Miranda v. Arizona , 384 U.S. 436, 86 S.Ct. 1602, 16 L.Ed.2d 694, had become "part of our national culture"). In my view, it weighs decisively against overruling Apodaca.

    In reaching this conclusion, I do not disregard the interests of petitioner and others who were convicted by a less-than-unanimous vote. It is not accurate to imply that these defendants would have been spared conviction if unanimity had been required. In many cases, if a unanimous vote had been needed, the jury would have continued to deliberate and the one or two holdouts might well have ultimately voted to convict.32 This is almost certainly the situation in Oregon, where it is estimated that as many as two-thirds of all criminal trials have ended with a non-unanimous verdict. See Brief for State of Oregon as Amicus Curiae 12. It is impossible to believe that all these cases would have resulted in mistrials if unanimity had been demanded. Instead, after a vote of 11 to 1 or 10 to 2, it is likely that deliberations would have continued and unanimity would have been achieved.

    Nevertheless, the plight of defendants convicted by non-unanimous votes is important and cannot be overlooked, but that alone cannot be dispositive of the stare decisis question. Otherwise, stare decisis would never apply in a case in which a criminal defendant challenges a precedent that led to conviction.

    D

    The reliance in this case far outstrips that asserted in recent cases in which past precedents were overruled. Last Term, when we overturned two past decisions, there were strenuous dissents voicing fears about the future of stare decisis . See Franchise Tax Bd. of Cal. v. Hyatt , 587 U. S. ----, ----, 139 S.Ct. 1485, 1492, 203 L.Ed.2d 768 (2019) (BREYER, J., dissenting); Knick v. Township of Scott , 588 U. S. ----, ----, 139 S.Ct. 2162, 2180, 204 L.Ed.2d 558 (2019) (KAGAN, J., dissenting). Yet in neither of those cases was there reliance like that present here.

    *1439In Franchise Tax Board , the dissent claimed only the airiest sort of reliance, the public's expectation that past decisions would remain on the books. 587 U. S., at ---- - ----, 139 S.Ct., at 1492 (opinion of BREYER, J.). And in Knick , the dissent disclaimed any reliance at all. 588 U. S., at ----, 139 S.Ct., at 2180 (opinion of KAGAN, J.). The same was true the year before in South Dakota v. Wayfair , Inc ., 585 U. S. ----, 138 S.Ct. 2080, 201 L.Ed.2d 403 (2018), where the dissent did not contend that any legitimate reliance interests weighed in favor of preserving the decision that the Court overruled. Id. , at ---- - ----, 138 S.Ct., at 2101 (opinion of ROBERTS, C. J.). And our unanimous decision in Pearson v. Callahan , 555 U.S. 223, 233, 129 S.Ct. 808, 172 L.Ed.2d 565 (2009), found that no reliance interests were involved.

    In other cases overruling prior decisions, the dissents claimed that reliance interests were at stake, but whatever one may think about the weight of those interests, no one can argue that they are comparable to those in this case.

    In Montejo v. Louisiana , 556 U.S. 778, 793-797, 129 S.Ct. 2079, 173 L.Ed.2d 955 (2009), the Court abrogated a prophylactic rule that had been adopted in Michigan v. Jackson , 475 U.S. 625, 106 S.Ct. 1404, 89 L.Ed.2d 631 (1986), to protect a defendant's right to counsel during postarraignment interrogation. The dissent did not claim that any defendants had relied on this rule, arguing instead that the public at large had an interest "in knowing that counsel, once secured, may be reasonably relied upon as a medium between the accused and the power of the State." Montejo , supra , at 809, 129 S.Ct. 2079 (opinion of Stevens, J.). This abstract interest, if it can be called reliance in any proper sense of the term, is a far cry from what is at stake here.

    In Citizens United v. Federal Election Comm'n , 558 U.S. 310, 130 S.Ct. 876, 175 L.Ed.2d 753 (2010), where we overruled precedent allowing laws that prohibited corporations' election-related speech, we found that "[n]o serious reliance interests" were implicated, id. , at 365, 130 S.Ct. 876, since the only reliance asserted by the dissent was the time and effort put in by federal and state lawmakers in adopting the provisions at issue, id ., at 411-412, 130 S.Ct. 876 (Stevens, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part). In this case, by contrast, what is at stake is not the time and effort of Louisiana and Oregon lawmakers but a monumental litigation burden and the potential inability to retry cases that might well have ended with a unanimous verdict if that had been required.

    Finally, in Janus v. State, County, and Municipal Employees , 585 U. S. ----, 138 S.Ct. 2448, 201 L.Ed.2d 924 (2018), where we overruled Abood v. Detroit Bd. of Ed. , 431 U.S. 209, 97 S.Ct. 1782, 52 L.Ed.2d 261 (1977), we carefully considered and addressed the question of reliance, and whatever one may think about the extent of the legitimate reliance in that case, it is not in the same league as that present here. Abood had held that a public sector employer may require non-union members to pay a portion of the dues collected from union members. 431 U.S. at 235-236, 97 S.Ct. 1782. In overruling that decision, we acknowledged that existing labor contracts might have been negotiated in reliance on Abood , but we noted that most labor contracts are of short duration, that unions had been on notice for some time that the Court had serious misgivings about Abood , and that unions could have insisted on contractual provisions to protect their interests if Abood later fell. Janus , supra , at ---- - ----, 138 S.Ct., at 2448-2499.33

    *1440By striking down a precedent upon which there has been massive and entirely reasonable reliance, the majority sets an important precedent about stare decisis . I assume that those in the majority will apply the same standard in future cases.

    * * *

    Under the approach to stare decisis that we have taken in recent years, Apodaca should not be overruled. I would therefore affirm the judgment below, and I respectfully dissent.

    In Casey , the Court reaffirmed what it described as the "central holding" of Roe v. Wade , 410 U.S. 113, 93 S.Ct. 705, 35 L.Ed.2d 147 (1973), the Court expressly rejected Roe 's trimester framework, and the Court expressly overruled two other important abortion precedents, Akron v. Akron Center for Reproductive Health, Inc. , 462 U.S. 416, 103 S.Ct. 2481, 76 L.Ed.2d 687 (1983), and Thornburgh v. American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists , 476 U.S. 747, 106 S.Ct. 2169, 90 L.Ed.2d 779 (1986). See Casey , 505 U.S. at 861, 112 S.Ct. 2791 ; id., at 870, 873, 112 S.Ct. 2791 (plurality opinion).

    The Court's precedents applying common-law statutes and pronouncing the Court's own interpretive methods and principles typically do not fall within that category of stringent statutory stare decisis . See Leegin Creative Leather Products, Inc. v. PSKS, Inc. , 551 U.S. 877, 899-907, 127 S.Ct. 2705, 168 L.Ed.2d 623 (2007) ; Kisor v. Wilkie , 588 U. S. ----, ---- - ----, 139 S.Ct. 2400, 2443-2445, 204 L.Ed.2d 841 (2019) (GORSUCH, J., concurring in judgment).

    The Court first used the term "special justification" in the stare decisis context in 1984, without explaining what the term might entail. See Arizona v. Rumsey , 467 U.S. 203, 212, 104 S.Ct. 2305, 81 L.Ed.2d 164. In employing that term, the Court did not suggest that it was imposing a new stare decisis requirement as opposed to merely describing the Court's historical practice with respect to stare decisis .

    Another important factor that limits the number of overrulings is that the Court typically does not overrule a precedent unless a party requests overruling, or at least unless the Court receives briefing and argument on the stare decisis question.

    To be clear, the stare decisis issue in this case is one of horizontal stare decisis -that is, the respect that this Court owes to its own precedents and the circumstances under which this Court may appropriately overrule a precedent. By contrast, vertical stare decisis is absolute, as it must be in a hierarchical system with "one supreme Court." U. S. Const., Art III, § 1. In other words, the state courts and the other federal courts have a constitutional obligation to follow a precedent of this Court unless and until it is overruled by this Court. See Rodriguez de Quijas v. Shearson/American Express, Inc. , 490 U.S. 477, 484, 109 S.Ct. 1917, 104 L.Ed.2d 526 (1989).

    Notwithstanding the splintered 4-1-4 decision in Apodaca , its bottomline result carried precedential force. In the American system of stare decisis , the result and the reasoning each independently have precedential force, and courts are therefore bound to follow both the result and the reasoning of a prior decision. See Seminole Tribe of Fla. v. Florida , 517 U.S. 44, 67, 116 S.Ct. 1114, 134 L.Ed.2d 252 (1996) ; Randall v. Sorrell , 548 U.S. 230, 243, 126 S.Ct. 2479, 165 L.Ed.2d 482 (2006) (opinion of BREYER, J.); County of Allegheny v. American Civil Liberties Union, Greater Pittsburgh Chapter , 492 U.S. 573, 668, 109 S.Ct. 3086, 106 L.Ed.2d 472 (1989) (Kennedy, J., concurring in judgment in part and dissenting in part). The result of Apodaca was that state criminal juries need not be unanimous. That precedential result has been followed by this Court and the other federal and state courts for the last 48 years. To be sure, Apodaca had no majority opinion. When the Court's decision is splintered, courts follow the result, and they also follow the reasoning or standards set forth in the opinion constituting the "narrowest grounds" of the Justices in the majority. See Marks v. United States , 430 U.S. 188, 193, 97 S.Ct. 990, 51 L.Ed.2d 260 (1977). That Marks rule is ordinarily commonsensical to apply and usually means that courts in essence heed the opinion that occupies the middle-ground position between (i) the broadest opinion among the Justices in the majority and (ii) the dissenting opinion. See United States v. Duvall , 740 F.3d 604, 610-611 (CADC 2013) (Kavanaugh, J., concurring in denial of rehearing en banc). On very rare occasions, as in Apodaca , it can be difficult to discern which opinion's reasoning has precedential effect under Marks. See also Nichols v. United States , 511 U.S. 738, 745-746, 114 S.Ct. 1921, 128 L.Ed.2d 745 (1994) (analyzing Baldasar v. Illinois , 446 U.S. 222, 100 S.Ct. 1585, 64 L.Ed.2d 169 (1980) (per curiam )). But even when that happens, the result of the decision still constitutes a binding precedent for the federal and state courts, and for this Court, unless and until it is overruled by this Court. As I read the Court's various opinions today, six Justices treat the result in Apodaca as a precedent for purposes of stare decisis analysis. A different group of six Justices concludes that Apodaca should be and is overruled.

    Oregon adopted the non-unanimous jury practice in 1934-one manifestation of the extensive 19th- and early 20th-century history of racist and anti-Semitic sentiment in that State. See Kaplan & Saack, Overturning Apodaca v. Oregon Should Be Easy: Nonunanimous Jury Verdicts in Criminal Cases Undermine the Credibility of Our Justice System, 95 Ore. L. Rev. 1, 3, 43-51 (2016) ; Mooney, Remembering 1857, 87 Ore. L. Rev. 731, 778, n. 174 (2008).

    In Allen v. Hardy , 478 U.S. 255, 106 S.Ct. 2878, 92 L.Ed.2d 199 (1986) (per curiam ), this Court concluded-without briefing or oral argument-that Batson would not apply retroactively. Under the well-settled Teague principles, there should be no doubt that today's decision likewise will not apply retroactively on collateral review.

    Justice ALITO's characteristically incisive dissent rests largely on his view of the States' reliance interests. My respectful disagreement with Justice ALITO primarily boils down to our different assessments of those reliance interests-in particular, our different evaluations of how readily Louisiana and Oregon can adjust to an overruling of Apodaca.

    As noted above, I join the introduction and Parts I, II-A, III, and IV-B-1 of Justice GORSUCH's opinion for the Court. The remainder of Justice GORSUCH's opinion does not command a majority. That point is important with respect to Part IV-A, which only three Justices have joined. It appears that six Justices of the Court treat the result in Apodaca as a precedent and therefore do not subscribe to the analysis in Part IV-A of Justice GORSUCH's opinion.

    I also note that, under my approach to stare decisis , there is no need to decide which reliance interests are important enough to save an incorrect precedent. I doubt that this question is susceptible of principled resolution in this case, compare ante, at 1406 - 1408 (principal opinion), with ante, at 1409 - 1410 (SOTOMAYOR, J., concurring); ante, at 1418 - 1420 (KAVANAUGH, J., concurring); and post , at 1436 - 1440 (ALITO, J., dissenting), or in any other case for that matter, see, e.g., Kimble v. Marvel Entertainment, LLC , 576 U.S. 446, 457-458, 135 S.Ct. 2401, 192 L.Ed.2d 463 (2015) ; Lawrence v. Texas , 539 U.S. 558, 577, 123 S.Ct. 2472, 156 L.Ed.2d 508 (2003) ; Dickerson v. United States , 530 U.S. 428, 443, 120 S.Ct. 2326, 147 L.Ed.2d 405 (2000) ; Planned Parenthood of Southeastern Pa. v. Casey , 505 U.S. 833, 855-856, 112 S.Ct. 2791, 120 L.Ed.2d 674 (1992).

    Similarly, I express no view on how fundamental the right to unanimity is, what other attributes of a criminal jury are protected by the Privileges or Immunities Clause, what rights are protected in misdemeanor cases, or what rights are protected in civil trials.

    See Brief for State of Oregon as Amicus Curiae 1-2.

    Both States resist this suggestion. See Brief for Respondent 36-39; Brief for State of Oregon as Amicus Curiae 6-8.

    Among other things, allowing non-unanimous verdicts prevents mistrials caused by a single rogue juror, that is, a juror who refuses to pay attention at trial, expressly defies the law, or spurns deliberation. When unanimity is demanded, the work of preventing this must be done in large measure by more intensive voir dire and more aggressive use of challenges for cause and peremptory challenges. See Amar, Reinventing Juries: Ten Suggested Reforms, 28 U. C. D. L. Rev. 1169, 1189-1191 (1995).

    Juries Act 1974, ch. 23, § 17 (replacing Criminal Justice Act 1967, ch. 80, § 13). See Lloyd-Bostock & Thomas, Decline of the "Little Parliament": Juries and Jury Reform in England and Wales, 62 Law & Contemp. Prob. 7, 36 (Spring 1999) ; see also Leib, A Comparison of Criminal Jury Decision Rules in Democratic Countries, 5 Ohio St. J. Crim. L. 629, 642 (2008).

    P. R. Const., Art. II, § 11 (establishing "verdict by a majority vote" of at least 9 of 12 jurors).

    ALI, Code of Criminal Procedure § 355 (1930); id ., Comment, at 1027; ABA Project on Standards for Criminal Justice Compilation, Trial by Jury 318 (1974).

    See, e.g. , Amar, supra , at 1189-1191; Holland, Improving Criminal Jury Verdicts: Learning From the Court-Martial, 97 J. Crim. L. & C. 101, 125-141 (2006) ; Leib, Supermajoritarianism and the American Criminal Jury, 33 Hastings Const. L. Q. 141, 142 (2006).

    The majority's defense of its reliance on the original reasons for the adoption of the Louisiana and Oregon rules is incoherent. On the one hand, it asks: "[I]f the Sixth Amendment calls on judges to assess the functional benefits of jury rules, as the Apodaca plurality suggested, how can that analysis proceed to ignore the very functions those rules were adopted to serve?" Ante , at 1401, n. 44. But three sentences later it answers its own question when it observes that "a jurisdiction adopting a nonunanimous jury rule for benign reasons today would still violate the Sixth Amendment." Ibid .

    Justice KAVANAUGH's defense, see ante , at 1417 - 1419 (opinion concurring in part), is essentially the same. After reiterating the history recounted by the majority, he eventually acknowledges that there are "neutral and legitimate" reasons for allowing non-unanimous verdicts and that Louisiana may have retained a version of its old rule for such reasons. He also agrees with the majority that a rule allowing nonunanimous verdicts would be unconstitutional no matter what the State's reasons. So what is the relevance of the original motivations for the Louisiana and Oregon rules? He offers no explanation. He does opine that allowing such verdicts works to the disadvantage of African-American defendants, but the effect of various jury decision rules is a complex question that has been the subject of much social-science research, none of which the opinion even acknowledges.

    For Oregon, see, e.g. , State v. Bowen , 215 Ore.App. 199, 168 P.3d 1208 (2007), rev. denied, 345 Ore. 415, 197 P.3d 1104 (2008), cert. denied, 558 U.S. 815, 130 S.Ct. 52, 175 L.Ed.2d 21 (2009) ; State v. Mayo , 13 Ore.App. 582, 511 P.2d 456 (1973). For Louisiana, see, e.g. , State v. Hodges , 349 So.2d 250, 260 (La. 1977), cert. denied, 434 U.S. 1074, 98 S.Ct. 1262, 55 L.Ed.2d 779 (1978) ; see also State v. Miller , 2010-718, pp. 42-43 (La.App.5Cir. 12/28/11), 83 So.3d 178, 204, writ denied, 2012-0282 (La. 5/18/12), 89 So.3d 1191, cert. denied, 568 U.S. 1157, 133 S.Ct. 1238, 185 L.Ed.2d 177 (2013) ; State v. McElveen , 2010-0172, pp. 95-96 (La.App.4Cir. 9/28/11), 73 So.3d 1033, 1092, writ denied, 2011-2567 (La. 4/9/12), 85 So.3d 692, cert. denied, 568 U. S. 1163, 133 S.Ct. 1237, 185 L.Ed.2d 188 (2013).

    See, e.g. , Magee v. Louisiana , 585 U. S. ----, 138 S.Ct. 2696, 201 L.Ed.2d 1086 (2018) ; Sims v. Louisiana , 584 U. S. ----, 138 S.Ct. 1592, 200 L.Ed.2d 780 (2018) ; Baumberger v. Louisiana , 583 U. S. ----, 138 S.Ct. 392, 199 L.Ed.2d 290 (2017) ; Jackson v. Louisiana , 572 U.S. 1088, 134 S.Ct. 1950, 188 L.Ed.2d 962 (2014) ; McElveen v. Louisiana , 568 U. S. 1163, 133 S.Ct. 1237, 185 L.Ed.2d 188 (2013) ; Miller v. Louisiana , 568 U.S. 1157, 133 S.Ct. 1238, 185 L.Ed.2d 177 (2013) ; Bowen v. Oregon , 558 U.S. 815, 130 S.Ct. 52, 175 L.Ed.2d 21 (2009) ; Lee v. Louisiana , 555 U.S. 823, 129 S.Ct. 130, 172 L.Ed.2d 37 (2008) ; McIntyre v. Louisiana , 449 U.S. 871, 101 S.Ct. 209, 66 L.Ed.2d 90 (1980) ; Hodges v. Louisiana , 434 U.S. 1074, 98 S.Ct. 1262, 55 L.Ed.2d 779 (1978). On June 7, 1972, shortly after Apodaca was handed down, the Court denied certiorari in a number of cases asking the Court to recognize a right to unanimity in state jury trials. Blevins v. Oregon , 406 U.S. 972, 92 S.Ct. 2419, 32 L.Ed.2d 673 ; Martinka v. Oregon , 406 U.S. 973, 92 S.Ct. 2419, 32 L.Ed.2d 673 ; Andrews v. Oregon , 406 U.S. 973, 92 S.Ct. 2419, 32 L.Ed.2d 673 ; Planck v. Oregon , 406 U.S. 973, 92 S.Ct. 2419, 32 L.Ed.2d 673 ; Riddell v. Oregon , 406 U.S. 973, 92 S.Ct. 2419, 32 L.Ed.2d 673 ; Mitchell v. Oregon , 406 U.S. 973, 92 S.Ct. 2419, 32 L.Ed.2d 673 ; Atkison v. Oregon , 406 U.S. 973, 92 S.Ct. 2420, 32 L.Ed.2d 673 ; Temple v. Oregon , 406 U.S. 973, 92 S.Ct. 2423, 32 L.Ed.2d 674 ; Davis v. Oregon , 406 U.S. 974, 92 S.Ct. 2420, 32 L.Ed.2d 673 ; O'Dell v. Oregon , 406 U.S. 974, 92 S.Ct. 2420, 32 L.Ed.2d 674 ; Miller v. Oregon , 406 U.S. 974, 92 S.Ct. 2418, 32 L.Ed.2d 674.

    Contrary to the majority opinion, I am not arguing that the denial of certiorari is precedential. See ante , at 1404 - 1405, n. 56. My point, instead, is that the Court's pattern of denying review in cases presenting the question whether unanimity is required in state trials is evidence that this Court regarded Apodaca as a precedent.

    D. Rudstein, C. Erlinder, & D. Thomas, 3 Criminal Constitutional Law § 14.03[3] (2019); W. LaFave, J. Israel, N. King, & O. Kerr, 6 Criminal Procedure § 22.1(e) (2015) ; W. Rich, 2 Modern Constitutional Law § 30:27 (2011).

    It is true, of course, that a summary affirmance has less precedential value than a decision on the merits, see, e.g. , Comptroller of Treasury of Md. v. Wynne , 575 U.S. 542, 560-561, 135 S.Ct. 1787, 191 L.Ed.2d 813 (2015), but we have never said the same about decisions on the merits that were reached without an opinion of the Court.

    What the State appears to have meant is that Justice Powell's reasoning was not binding. See Brief for Respondent 47; Tr. of Oral Arg. 37-38.

    See Grutter v. Bollinger , 539 U.S. 306, 321, 123 S.Ct. 2325, 156 L.Ed.2d 304 (2003) (discussing lower court's treatment of Justice Powell's opinion in Regents of Univ. of Cal. v. Bakke , 438 U.S. 265, 98 S.Ct. 2733, 57 L.Ed.2d 750 (1978) ); Planned Parenthood of Southeastern Pa. v. Casey , 947 F.2d 682, 694-698 (CA3 1991) (noting that "[t]he binding opinion from a splintered decision is as authoritative for lower courts as a nine-Justice opinion," and concluding based on opinions of Justice O'Connor that the test for the constitutionality of abortion regulations is undue burden), aff 'd in part and rev'd in part, 505 U.S. 833, 112 S.Ct. 2791, 120 L.Ed.2d 674 (1992) ; Blum v. Witco Chemical Corp. , 888 F.2d 975, 981 (CA3 1989) ; see also United States v. Duvall , 705 F.3d 479, 483, n. 1 (CADC 2013) (Kavanaugh, J., for the court).

    See, e.g. , Andres v. United States , 333 U.S. 740, 748, 68 S.Ct. 880, 92 L.Ed. 1055 (1948) ; Thompson v. Utah , 170 U.S. 343, 351, 18 S.Ct. 620, 42 L.Ed. 1061 (1898).

    It is also important that the Court as a whole adhere to its "precedent[s] about precedent." Alleyne v. United States , 570 U.S. 99, 134, 133 S.Ct. 2151, 186 L.Ed.2d 314 (2013) (ALITO, J., dissenting). If individual Justices apply different standards for overruling past decisions, the overall effects of the doctrine will not be neutral.

    Three Justices join the principal opinion in its entirety. Two Justices do not join Part IV-A, but each of these Justices takes a position not embraced by portions of the principal opinion that they join. See ante , at 1409 (SOTOMAYOR, J., concurring in part) (disavowing principal opinion's criticism of Justice White's Apodaca opinion as "functionalist"); ante, at 1418 - 1420 (KAVANAUGH, J., concurring in part) (opining that the decision in this case does not apply on collateral review). And Justice THOMAS would decide the case on entirely different grounds and thus concurs only in the judgment. See ante, at 1420 - 1421.

    See, e.g ., National Federation of Independent Business v. Sebelius , 567 U.S. 519, 132 S.Ct. 2566, 183 L.Ed.2d 450 (2012) ; Williams v. Illinois , 567 U.S. 50, 132 S.Ct. 2221, 183 L.Ed.2d 89 (2012) ; J. McIntyre Machinery, Ltd. v. Nicastro , 564 U.S. 873, 131 S.Ct. 2780, 180 L.Ed.2d 765 (2011) ; McDonald v. Chicago , 561 U.S. 742, 130 S.Ct. 3020, 177 L.Ed.2d 894 (2010) ; Shady Grove Orthopedic Associates, P. A. v. Allstate Ins. Co. , 559 U.S. 393, 130 S.Ct. 1431, 176 L.Ed.2d 311 (2010) ; Baze v. Rees , 553 U.S. 35, 128 S.Ct. 1520, 170 L.Ed.2d 420 (2008) ; Crawford v. Marion County Election Bd. , 553 U.S. 181, 128 S.Ct. 1610, 170 L.Ed.2d 574 (2008) ; Hamdan v. Rumsfeld , 548 U.S. 557, 126 S.Ct. 2749, 165 L.Ed.2d 723 (2006) ; Medtronic, Inc. v. Lohr , 518 U.S. 470, 116 S.Ct. 2240, 135 L.Ed.2d 700 (1996) ; Richmond v. J. A. Croson Co. , 488 U.S. 469, 109 S.Ct. 706, 102 L.Ed.2d 854 (1989) ; Bakke , 438 U.S. 265, 98 S.Ct. 2733 ; Gregg v. Georgia , 428 U.S. 153, 96 S.Ct. 2909, 49 L.Ed.2d 859 (1976) (joint opinion of Stewart, Powell, and Stevens, JJ.).

    Ante , at 1404 - 1405.

    Ante , at 1405 - 1406.

    Ibid.

    Ibid .

    Ante , at 1400 - 1401.

    See, e.g. , Andres , 333 U.S. at 748, 68 S.Ct. 880 ; Thompson , 170 U.S. at 351, 18 S.Ct. 620.

    Five Justices in Furman found that the Eighth Amendment imposes an evolving standard of decency, 408 U.S. at 255-257, 92 S.Ct. 2726 (Douglas, J., concurring); id ., at 265-269, 92 S.Ct. 2726 (Brennan, J., concurring); id ., at 309-310, 92 S.Ct. 2726 (Stewart, J., concurring); id ., at 312-314, 92 S.Ct. 2726 (White, J., concurring); id. , at 316, 322-333, 92 S.Ct. 2726 (Marshall, J., concurring), and our subsequent cases have done the same.

    The majority also notes that the Judiciary Act of 1789 pegged the qualifications for service on federal juries to those used in the State in which a case was tried, ante , at 1402, n. 47, but since all States barred women, see Taylor , 419 U.S. at 536, 95 S.Ct. 692, it is hard to see how the 1789 Act can provide a ground for distinguishing the common law's requirement of unanimity from its insistence that women were not fit to serve.

    Jury practice at the time of the founding differed from current practice in other important respects. Jurors were not selected at random. "[P]ublic officials called selectmen, supervisors, trustees, or 'sheriffs of the parish' exercised what Tocqueville called 'very extensive and very arbitrary' powers in summoning jurors." Alschuler & Deiss, A Brief History of the Criminal Jury in the United States, 61 U. Chi. L. Rev. 867, 879-880 (1994). And "American trial judges ... routinely summarized the evidence for jurors and often told jurors which witnesses they found most credible, and why." Sklansky, Evidentiary Instructions and the Jury as Other, 65 Stan. L. Rev. 407, 454 (2013). Any attempt to identify the aspects of late 18th-century practice that were incorporated into the Sixth Amendment should take the full picture into account and provide a principle for the distinction.

    As recently as 2010, prominent advocates urged us to hold that a provision of the Bill of Rights applies differently to the Federal Government and the States. In McDonald , 561 U.S. 742, 130 S.Ct. 3020, 177 L.Ed.2d 894, the city of Chicago and some of its amici argued that, despite our decision in District of Columbia v. Heller , 554 U.S. 570, 128 S.Ct. 2783, 171 L.Ed.2d 637 (2008), States and cities should be given leeway to regulate the possession of a firearm in the home for self-defense in accordance with the particular needs and desires of their citizens. 561 U.S. at 753, 130 S.Ct. 3020. Although this argument did not prevail, four Justices, some now in the majority, appeared to take that view. See id. , at 927, 130 S.Ct. 3020 (BREYER, J., joined by GINSBURG and SOTOMAYOR, JJ., dissenting) (observing that "gun violence ... varies as between rural communities and cities" and arguing that States and cities should be free to adopt rules that meet local needs and preferences); id. , at 866, 130 S.Ct. 3020 (Stevens, J., dissenting) ("The rights protected against state infringement by the Fourteenth Amendment's Due Process Clause need not be identical in shape or scope to the rights protected against Federal Government infringement by the various provisions of the Bill of Rights").

    See Ariz. Const., Art. 2, § 30 ; Ark. Const., Amdt. 21, § 1 ; Cal. Const., Art. I, § 14 ; Colo. Rev. Stat. § 16-5-205 (2019) ; Conn. Gen. Stat. § 54-46 (2017); Haw. Const., Art. I, § 10 ; Idaho Const., Art. I, § 8 ; Ill. Comp. Stat., ch. 725, § 5/111-2(a) (West 2018); Ind. Code § 35-34-1-1(a) (2019) ; Iowa Ct. Rule 2.5 (2020); Kan. Stat. Ann. § 22-3201 (2007); Md. Crim. Proc. Code Ann. §§ 4-102, 4-103 (2018); Mich. Comp. Laws § 767.1 (1979) ; Mo. Const., Art. I, § 17 ; Mont. Const., Art. II, § 20 (1); Neb. Rev. Stat. § 29-1601 (2016) ; Nev. Const., Art. I, § 8 ; N. M. Const., Art II, § 14 ; N. D. Rule Crim. Proc. 7(a) (2018-2019); Okla. Const., Art II, § 17 ; Ore. Const. (amended), Art. VII, §§ 5(3)-(5); Pa. Const., Art. I, § 10 (providing that "[e]ach of the several courts of common pleas may, with the approval of the Supreme Court, provide for the initiation of criminal proceedings therein by information"-a condition that has now been met in all counties); see also 42 Pa. Cons. Stat. § 8931 (2015); S. D. Const., Art. VI, § 10 ; Utah Const., Art. I, § 13 ; Vt. Rule Crim. Proc. 7(a) (2018); Wash. Rev. Code § 10.37.015 (2019); Wis. Stat. § 967.05 (2015-2016); Wyo. Stat. Ann. § 7-1-106(a) (2019).

    See Ariz. Rev. Stat. Ann. § 21-102 (2013); Conn. Gen. Stat. § 54-82 ; Fla. Rule Crim. Proc. § 3.270 (2019); Ind. Code § 35-37-1-1(b)(2) ; Utah Code § 78B-1-104 (2019).

    The majority arrives at a different figure based on the number of felony jury trials in Oregon in 2018, see ante , at 1406 - 1407, and n. 68, but it does not take 2019 into account. And since we do not know how many cases remain on direct appeal, such calculations are unreliable.

    Under our case law, a State must give retroactive effect to any constitutional decision that is retroactive under the standard in Teague v. Lane , 489 U.S. 288, 109 S.Ct. 1060, 103 L.Ed.2d 334 (1989), but it may adopt a broader retroactivity rule. Montgomery v. Louisiana , 577 U. S. ----, ----, 136 S.Ct. 718, 728, 193 L.Ed.2d 599 (2016) ; Danforth v. Minnesota , 552 U.S. 264, 275, 128 S.Ct. 1029, 169 L.Ed.2d 859 (2008).

    Studies show that when a supermajority votes for a verdict near the beginning of deliberations, a unanimous verdict is usually reached. See generally Devine, Clayton, Dunford, Seying, & Price, Jury Decision Making: 45 Years of Empirical Research on Deliberating Groups, 7 Psychology Pub. Pol'y & L. 622, 690-707 (2001).

    The reliance in this case also far exceeds that in Arizona v. Gant , 556 U.S. 332, 129 S.Ct. 1710, 173 L.Ed.2d 485 (2009), where the Court effectively overruled a decision, New York v. Belton , 453 U.S. 454, 101 S.Ct. 2860, 69 L.Ed.2d 768 (1981), that allowed a police officer to search the entire passenger compartment of a car if the officer had probable cause to arrest the driver or a passenger. 556 U.S. at 335, 129 S.Ct. 1710. Police departments had trained officers in reliance on the Belton rule, see Gant , supra , at 358-360, 129 S.Ct. 1710 (ALITO, J., dissenting), but the burden of retraining cannot compare with conducting a large number of retrials and potentially releasing defendants who cannot be retried due to post-trial events.