Coble, Billie Wayne ( 2010 )


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  •               IN THE COURT OF CRIMINAL APPEALS
    OF TEXAS
    NO. AP-76,019
    BILLIE WAYNE COBLE, Appellant
    v.
    THE STATE OF TEXAS
    ON DIRECT APPEAL FROM THE 54TH JUDICIAL DISTRICT COURT
    McLENNAN COUNTY
    C OCHRAN, J., delivered the opinion of the Court in which P RICE, W OMACK,
    J OHNSON, and H OLCOMB, JJ., joined. M EYERS, J., joined except for points of error 3
    and 4. K ELLER, P.J., filed a concurring opinion in which M EYERS and K EASLER, JJ.,
    joined. H ERVEY, J., concurred.
    OPINION
    Appellant was originally convicted in 1990 of capital murder for the shooting deaths
    of his wife’s mother, father, and brother. Based upon the jury’s answers to the special
    punishment issues, the trial judge sentenced him to death. This Court upheld his conviction
    and sentence on direct appeal.1 In 2007, the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals granted habeas
    1
    Coble v. State, 
    871 S.W.2d 192
    (Tex. Crim. App. 1993).
    Coble    Page 2
    relief and remanded the case for a new trial on punishment.2 On retrial in 2008, a second
    jury sentenced appellant to death. Appellant raises twenty-five points of error. Finding no
    reversible error, we affirm the judgment and sentence.
    Factual Background
    Karen Vicha was appellant’s third wife. They were married in July 1988 and lived
    in a house down the road from her brother and across the street from her parents. Appellant
    was almost forty years old. The marriage quickly disintegrated,3 and, after a year, Karen told
    appellant to move out. She wanted a divorce. Appellant attempted to talk her out of this
    decision and would randomly call her and show up at her work place.
    Appellant then kidnapped Karen as a further effort to dissuade her from divorcing
    him. He hid in the trunk of her car while she was at a bar one evening with a girlfriend.
    When Karen started to drive home, appellant folded down the back seat and “popped out of
    the trunk with a knife.” He jumped over the console, halfway into the front seat, and stuck
    the knife against Karen’s ribs. He told her to keep driving until they came to a field. Karen
    stopped the car, and appellant said that he if couldn’t have her, then no one else could. He
    pulled out a roll of black electrical tape, but Karen kept talking, and, after about two hours,
    she convinced him that she would reconsider the divorce issue. He let her go, and she called
    her brother, Bobby, who was a police officer. Bobby told Karen to report the kidnapping.
    2
    Coble v. Quarterman, 
    496 F.3d 430
    (5th Cir. 2007).
    3
    Karen was worried by appellant’s sudden personality switches from calm to aggressive–
    “agitated and angry”–as well as his interest in watching young girls.
    Coble     Page 3
    After he arrested appellant for kidnapping Karen, Officer James Head looked in his
    patrol-car mirror and saw appellant staring at him with a look that “made the hair on the back
    of [his] head stand up.” He got “the heebie-jeebies.” Appellant muttered something like
    “They’re going to be sorry.” Officer Head called Karen’s brother, Bobby, and warned him
    about appellant. When appellant was released on bail for the kidnapping charge, Bobby got
    Karen a German shepherd for protection. A few days later, appellant told Karen, “Oh, I see
    you–you’ve got a dog now. . . . [T]hat’s a big mean dog you’ve got.” Shortly thereafter,
    Karen found the dog lying dead in front of her house.
    Nine days after he had kidnapped Karen, appellant went to her house in the early
    afternoon. As Karen’s three daughters each came home from school along with Bobby’s
    son,4 appellant handcuffed them, tied up their feet, and taped their mouths closed. Karen’s
    oldest daughter testified that she heard appellant cut the telephone lines. Then he left to
    ambush and shoot Karen’s father, mother, and brother Bobby as each of them came home.5
    Appellant returned to Karen’s house after the triple killings and waited for his wife
    to come home from work. He told the children, “I wish I had blown you away like I intended
    4
    All four children, ages 16, 14, 11, and 10, testified that they had liked appellant prior to
    the murders.
    5
    Karen’s father, the first victim, was found inside his home, covered with blankets and
    towels. Karen’s mother was found in her garage. Bobby was found in his car in his garage.
    Later that day, appellant told Karen that her brother was tough. “He put up one hell of a
    fight. . . . I chased him down the road one way, and I chased him back. And then I shot him, and
    he was going for the gun in his car. And he wouldn’t die. . . . So, finally I had to blow a hole that
    big in his neck.” Appellant also told Karen that he “really hated to do that to your mom. But
    when she found out about your dad, she just went crazy.”
    Coble     Page 4
    to.” When Karen arrived, appellant came out of one of the bedrooms with a gun. Appellant
    said, “Karen, I’ve killed your momma and your daddy and your brother, and they are all dead,
    and nobody is going to come help you now.” She didn’t believe him, so appellant showed
    her Bobby’s gun lying on the kitchen table and pulled the curtains so she could see her
    father’s truck parked behind the house. He showed her $1,000 in cash that he had taken from
    her mother. Appellant told Karen that she was lucky that he hadn’t molested her daughters,
    and he told her to kiss them good-bye. She did. He made her put on handcuffs. Karen
    talked appellant into leaving the house and taking her with him.6 He said he was going to
    take her away for a few weeks and torture her.7
    As appellant drove, Karen tried to escape by freeing one hand from the handcuffs and
    grabbing at the steering wheel, making the car swerve into a ditch. She grabbed one of
    appellant’s guns, pointed it at his stomach, and pulled the trigger, but nothing happened.
    Then Karen and appellant fought over the gun, with appellant repeatedly pulling the trigger,
    but still the gun did not fire. Appellant pistol-whipped Karen until she couldn’t see for all
    of the blood on her face. A woman passerby started shouting at appellant, “[W]hat are you
    6
    While Karen and appellant were still at her house, Bobby’s girlfriend dropped by and
    saw Karen in handcuffs. She then went to Bobby’s house and called Karen’s uncle to tell him
    about seeing Karen in handcuffs. After that call, she looked around Bobby’s house and saw
    blood everywhere, plants and furniture up-ended, and general disarray. She called the sheriff’s
    office. Officers then came to Karen’s house, talked to the four children, found the bodies of the
    three victims, and started the hunt for appellant.
    7
    Karen testified that when she came to a court hearing in 1998, appellant kept turning
    around and smiling at her with “a wicked evil grin.” Even in 2008, she was still scared of him
    and felt that he was a continuing threat to her.
    Coble    Page 5
    trying to do to that woman,” so appellant drove the car out of the ditch as Karen lay in the
    passenger seat. He shouted at her that if she got blood on his clothes, he would kill her. But
    he was also rubbing her between her legs as he drove. He told her that his reputation was
    ruined because she had had him arrested and his name was in the papers.
    He drove to a deserted field in Bosque County where he threatened to rape her. After
    dark, he drove out of the field, but they passed a sheriff’s patrol car which turned around to
    follow them. Appellant grabbed a knife and started stabbing Karen’s chin, forehead, and
    nose, as he was driving. Appellant said that he did not want to die in prison, so he “floored
    it” and rammed into a parked car. After the crash, appellant turned to Karen and said, “I
    guess now you’ll get a new car.” Both appellant and Karen were injured in the crash.
    Officers had to cut the car door open to get Karen out. Appellant was found with Karen’s
    father’s watch and wallet, as well as .37 and .38 caliber revolvers.
    Although appellant was forty years old when he committed this triple murder, the
    State’s evidence showed that he was no stranger to violence. He had a long history of
    brutalizing and molesting women. Appellant beat both of his former wives and molested
    several young girls, including relatives.
    His first wife, Pam Woolley, testified that they were married in 1970 when appellant
    was twenty-two. They had two children, but their marriage started downhill after two years.
    By 1974, appellant had become violent, and he used to beat her on the head so that her hair
    Coble    Page 6
    would hide the marks. 8 Pam said that appellant could go from normal to extremely angry in
    a split second, and he always blamed her for his violent acts. Appellant told her that if she
    ever filed for divorce, he would “fix her” so no other man would look at her again.
    During this ten-year marriage, appellant molested Pam’s younger sister and punched
    her on the mouth, “busting” her lip. He molested his children’s thirteen-year-old babysitter
    while teaching her how to water ski. He groped the breast of another neighborhood girl. In
    1979, when appellant was thirty, he raped his cousin who was about fifteen at the time.
    When appellant’s niece was fifteen, he grabbed her ankles as she sat in a chair wearing a
    nightgown, spread open her legs, and gestured with his tongue as if he were performing oral
    sex on her. Later that same day, he forcibly kissed her and then threw her a $5 bill.
    Appellant married Candy Ryan, his second wife, when he was thirty-five and she was
    eighteen. After one year of marriage, appellant started physically abusing her. He regularly
    hit her on the head. Once he grabbed her by the hair and repeatedly hit her against the
    cabinet and floor. After she dared to throw something at him, he hit her with a sledge
    hammer. Candy said that appellant had a “switch-type” personality–changing from sweet to
    nasty in a split-second. He stalked her, both during and after their marriage. He would sit
    in his car outside the gas station where Candy worked, and, if a customer stayed inside too
    long, appellant came in and gave the customer an intimidating look. After Candy left
    8
    He also threw a plate at Pam when she cooked something he did not like; he knocked
    her to the floor with an open-hand slap; he hit her on the back with a baseball bat so hard that she
    had to go the hospital; and he sat on her chest and punched her in the face, breaking her nose.
    Coble    Page 7
    appellant, he would call her late at night and tell her where she had been, whom she had been
    with, and what she had been doing. Appellant threatened Candy’s father when he tried to
    help Candy leave.
    Appellant’s childhood did not augur well for his future. His earliest years were spent
    in the custody of an alcoholic stepfather who worked only periodically and a sickly,
    withdrawn, and depressed mother. When appellant was four, his mother was institutionalized
    in the Austin State Hospital with a psychoneurotic disorder. Appellant, his brother, and his
    older sister were sent to the Corsicana State Home for Children. Because of her promiscuous
    acting-out, appellant’s older sister was sent to a convent school, and his problematic older
    brother was placed under the supervision of the Waco Probation Department. Appellant
    remained at the Home for twelve years.
    When appellant was fifteen, a psychiatrist, Dr. Hodges, evaluated him and concluded
    that he was paranoid, distant, and impulsive; he showed poor self-control, displayed hostility
    to women, and blamed others for his own bad conduct. Dr. Hodges’s impression was that
    appellant “represent[ed] a sociopathic personality disturbance of the dissocial type.” People
    with this diagnosis gratify their own desires without regard for the cost to others. Appellant’s
    “long term prognosis [did] not look good.”
    At age seventeen, appellant joined the Marine Corps and was sent to Vietnam.
    Although he received an honorable discharge after his four-year tour of duty, he was not
    recommended for re-enlistment because of a series of violations and convictions. He married
    Coble    Page 8
    his first wife shortly after he left the Marines.
    Dr. Richard Coons, a psychiatrist, had testified at appellant’s 1990 trial that he would
    be a future danger. Dr. Coons testified at the 2008 retrial that appellant would still be a
    future danger even though appellant did not have a single disciplinary report for the eighteen
    years that he had been on death row. Dr. Coons explained this discrepancy by stating that
    all those on death row have an incentive to behave because their convictions are on appeal,
    and thus they are less violent than they would be in the general prison population.
    Appellant called several witnesses to attest to his prison reformation and lack of
    violence for the entire time that he had been on death row. According to one fellow inmate,
    appellant was well liked by everyone; he was always even-tempered and had the ability to
    “talk sense” into some of the more violent inmates. He said that appellant had organized a
    sports league at the Ellis Unit and that he helped inmates write letters and would read them
    their letters from family members. After Death Row was moved to the Polunsky Unit,
    appellant’s behavior was the same; he was always helpful and upbeat.
    Another inmate testified that appellant would take people “under his wing” and help
    the “agitated” ones. He stated that, while at the Ellis Unit, appellant was an SSI, which was
    like a trustee, and would often walk around with female officers. A third inmate testified that
    appellant was generous and gave commissary items to other inmates. A fourth inmate said
    that appellant helped him to learn English and to file a federal habeas petition. Appellant
    helped mentally-retarded inmates and was known for his respect for the law and God.
    Coble    Page 9
    Appellant’s older sister testified about their childhood and how appellant changed for
    the worse after coming home from Vietnam. She said that, shortly before the triple murders,
    she saw appellant throwing away many of his most prized possessions, and he began talking
    about his experiences in Vietnam, something he had never done before. On the day of the
    murders, appellant threw his truck keys at her and said that, if anything happened, the truck
    was hers. Appellant’s son testified that appellant taught him welding, and he described his
    father as loving and helpful to others.
    Dr. Cunningham, a forensic psychologist, testified that he had reviewed appellant’s
    prison record which contained no disciplinary write-ups. Dr. Cunningham conducted a
    violence risk assessment of appellant. In his opinion, appellant had a very low probability
    of committing acts of violence while in prison.
    Sufficiency of the Evidence to Prove Future Dangerousness
    In his first and second points of error, appellant asserts that the evidence is legally and
    factually insufficient to support the jury’s finding that there is a probability that he would
    commit criminal acts of violence in the future. As appellant acknowledges, we have
    consistently held that we lack authority to conduct a factual sufficiency review of the jury’s
    future-dangerousness verdict.9 Appellant’s arguments do not persuade us otherwise.
    In assessing the legal sufficiency of the evidence to support future dangerousness, we
    9
    See McGinn v. State, 
    961 S.W.2d 161
    , 169 (Tex. Crim. App. 1998); see also Williams v.
    State, 
    270 S.W.3d 112
    , 138 (Tex. Crim. App. 2008) (“We do not apply a factual-sufficiency
    review to the jury’s answer to the future-dangerousness special issue.”).
    Coble       Page 10
    “view the evidence in the light most favorable to the jury’s findings and determine whether
    any rational trier of fact could have found beyond a reasonable doubt that there is a
    probability that [the defendant] would commit criminal acts of violence that would constitute
    a continuing threat to society.” 10 Only if, after reviewing all of the record evidence, we
    conclude that a rational jury would necessarily have entertained a reasonable doubt about the
    defendant’s future dangerousness, will we find that the evidence is legally insufficient.11
    Appellant does not suggest that the evidence of his gruesome triple murder and his
    life-long history of violence toward women and young girls is–viewed in a
    vacuum–insufficient to support the jury’s finding. Clearly it is sufficient. Instead, he argues
    that, like Saul on the road to Damascus, he has experienced a character conversion while
    spending the last eighteen years in prison with a spotless disciplinary record. He has proven
    that he no longer poses any realistic threat of violence. This is, at first blush, a compelling
    argument.
    Appellant notes that he was almost sixty years old and in poor health 12 at the time of
    the present trial. Appellant points to the evidence that shows that he has not merely stayed
    out of trouble for eighteen years in prison, but that he has made positive contributions to his
    prison society. He worked in the prison garment factory when he was housed in the Ellis
    10
    Berry v. State, 
    233 S.W.3d 847
    , 860 (Tex. Crim. App. 2007) (citation omitted).
    11
    
    Id. 12 Medical
    evidence showed that appellant has a history of heart disease, including a heart
    attack in 2004. He takes medications for high blood pressure and high cholesterol.
    Coble    Page 11
    Unit; he helped diffuse potential conflicts by talking “sense” into frustrated inmates; he
    formed a prison sports league; he gave commissary items to inmates who did not have
    money; he helped an inmate learn English and draft legal papers. Dr. Cunningham, his
    expert forensic psychologist, placed appellant in the lowest risk group for violence in prison.
    But, as the prosecutors pointed out, appellant had done many of these same positive things
    before the murders as well: he coached one of Karen’s daughter’s baseball teams; he fixed
    things around the house; he tended the garden; he praised Karen; he repaired their car; he
    helped organize a school sports banquet. Appellant’s son, Gordon, testified that his father
    helped him with sports and took him fishing and hunting. He taught Gordon welding,
    electrical work, and a good work ethic. He was a very patient teacher and friendly, talkative,
    happy, and helpful to others.
    Appellant agrees with the proposition that “the past is the best predictor of the future,”
    and he relies upon a spotless, positive prison record as a realistic predictor of the future.
    Appellant concludes that, “[i]n light of [his] age and his prison record, . . . the only rational
    finding in this case is that he would not be a continuing threat to society. For that reason, his
    sentence must be vacated.” 13
    This is the same argument that appellant made during the trial, and the jury must have
    taken it seriously because it asked for just three pieces of evidence during its deliberations,
    evidence that was directly relevant to this argument:
    13
    Appellant’s Brief at 31.
    Coble     Page 12
    (1)     Dr. Hodges’s Austin State School psychiatric report from 1964 when appellant
    was 15. That report stated that appellant seemed paranoid and distant and
    “extremely hostile to women”; Dr. Hodges’s impression was that “this boy
    represents a sociopathic personality disturbance of the dissocial type.” 14 He
    concluded, “The long term prognosis does not look good.”
    (2)     The military medical record from appellant’s 1967 self-inflicted stabbing
    wound in his thigh after he had a fight with his girlfriend.15 According to the
    military doctor, appellant “revealed evidence of lifelong maladjustment.” On
    the hospital ward he was “hostile and belligerent” and only slowly “began to
    conform to the ward milieu.”
    (3)     The pictures and cards that appellant had in his death row cell. These included
    numerous pictures of scantily clad young women and girls–young gymnasts
    and skaters–as well as romantic cards and photographs from a female pen pal.
    14
    During the psychiatric interview, appellant “talked at some length about [a] fairly
    involved series of thefts and many anti-social acts such as stealing the ball bearings out of other
    children’s bicycles so the wheels would not roll because he did not have a bicycle.” Appellant
    told Dr. Hodges about “several thefts and [a] burglary in which he and his brother were suspected
    which he never admitted to the police but which he readily told me about during the interview.”
    The penultimate paragraph of Dr. Hodges’s report reads,
    [Appellant] seemed rather paranoid, distant, and deliberately non-smiling,
    as if he must deliberately keep people away from him to avoid the hurt from
    further rejection and hostility. He said that he did have some friends, but
    throughout the interview he seemed extremely hostile to women, made very
    deprecating remarks about them, and in general seemed to have a very low
    opinion of women. For instance, he told of beating up a young girl in the
    classroom because she said something smart to him, and he seemed impulsive,
    had poor controls, a very low self-esteem and he seemed to project a great deal of
    responsibility for his own actions on other people.
    15
    The medical report set out appellant’s explanation for the injury:
    According to the patient, his fiancée came from Texas so that he and she could
    become married. He had arrived from Da Nang and had met her and she was in
    an apartment with another fellow. The patient thought that his fiancée was having
    an affair with this other fellow and he became so angry and enraged that he
    threatened to kill him and also threatened to kill his fiancée. He stated that while
    he was involved in a fight, he picked up a knife and accidentally stabbed himself
    in the right thigh. His previous story, upon admission, was that he attempted to
    kill himself and was trying to stab himself in the abdomen and missed, finally
    stabbing himself in the right thigh.
    Coble    Page 13
    The jury had also heard from several different sources about appellant’s mercurial
    moods: one moment calm and sweet, the next moment in a towering rage.16
    The jury also heard evidence that appellant, after all his time on death row, was still
    hostile to women. Karen testified that when she appeared for a hearing in 1998, almost ten
    years after appellant’s original conviction, appellant “turned around and watched me sit
    down. And then, after that, he kept turning around and looking at me and grinning.” It was
    a “weird evil grin.” Karen “called it to the Judge’s attention, and then he told him to stop.
    And then, he did it again. And [the judge] told him–I think his words were, I have to
    admonish you for that and I’ll have to call you in contempt if you don’t stop it.” According
    to Karen, appellant had that same grin when she testified at the 2008 trial.
    Appellant’s attorney explained at trial that, “I’m not saying Bill Coble is a different
    person–okay–than he was in 1989. But you can see that he’s made changes. You can see
    that he has adapted himself to prison environment, that[] he’s adapted himself to institutional
    life. That’s very clear.” That is clear; appellant has adapted very well to prison life, but that
    fact, by itself, does not resolve the special issue:
    Is there a probability that the defendant would commit criminal acts of
    violence that would constitute a continuing threat to society? 17
    16
    Karen testified that she was really scared when she and appellant were in the Bosque
    County field after the murders because appellant would veer from pistol-whipping her and
    threatening to kill her to wanting to carry her over the brambles in the field so she wouldn’t
    stumble and hurt her bare feet.
    17
    T   EX . CODE   CRIM . PROC. art. 37.071, § 2(b)(1).
    Coble    Page 14
    This question is essentially a normative one as the Legislature declined to specify a particular
    level of risk or probability of violence.18 But the “future dangerousness” special issue
    ensures that no defendant, regardless of how heinous his capital crime, will be sentenced to
    death unless the jury finds that he poses a real threat of future violence.
    The special issue focuses upon the character for violence of the particular individual,
    not merely the quantity or quality of the institutional restraints put on that person.19 As we
    18
    See Jurek v. State, 
    522 S.W.2d 934
    , 945 (Tex. Crim. App. 1975) (Odom, J., concurring
    and dissenting). As Judge Odom complained, the Legislature declined to specify any particular
    level of probability in this special issue:
    What did the Legislature mean when it provided that a man’s life or death
    shall rest upon whether there exists a “probability” that he will perform certain
    acts in the future? Did it mean, as the words read, is there a probability, some
    probability, any probability? We may say there is a twenty percent probability that
    it will rain tomorrow, or a ten or five percent probability. Though this be a small
    probability, yet it is some probability, a probability, and no one would say it is no
    probability or not a probability. It has been written: “It is probable that many
    things will happen contrary to probability,” and “A thousand probabilities do not
    make one fact.” The statute does not require a particular degree of probability but
    only directs that some probability need be found. The absence of a specification as
    to what degree of probability is required is itself a vagueness inherent in the term
    as used in this issue. Our common sense understanding of the term leaves the
    statute too vague to pass constitutional muster.
    
    Id. (footnote omitted).
    But the Supreme Court disagreed with Judge Odom’s constitutional
    concerns about the vague nature of “a probability” in the special issue. See note 19 infra.
    19
    In upholding the Texas death penalty scheme and its special issues in Jurek v. Texas,
    
    428 U.S. 262
    (1976), the United States Supreme Court agreed that it is
    not easy to predict future behavior. The fact that such a determination is difficult,
    however, does not mean that it cannot be made. Indeed, prediction of future
    criminal conduct is an essential element in many of the decisions rendered
    throughout our criminal justice system. . . . The task that a Texas jury must
    perform in answering the statutory question in issue is thus basically no different
    from the task performed countless times each day throughout the American
    system of criminal justice. What is essential is that the jury have before it all
    possible relevant information about the individual defendant whose fate it must
    determine. Texas law clearly assures that all such evidence will be adduced.
    Coble    Page 15
    recently stated in Estrada v. State,20 “This Court’s case law has construed the future-
    dangerousness special issue to ask whether a defendant would constitute a continuing threat
    ‘whether in or out of prison’ without regard to how long the defendant would actually spend
    in prison if sentenced to life.” 21 That is, this special issue focuses upon the internal restraints
    of the individual, not merely the external restraints of incarceration. It is theoretically
    possible to devise a prison environment so confining, isolated, and highly structured that
    virtually no one could have the opportunity to commit an act of violence, but incapacitation
    is not the sole focus of the Legislature or of our death penalty precedents.22
    
    Id. at 274-76.
    Thus, the Supreme Court focused on the particular characteristics of the individual
    defendant himself, not upon an outside entity to constrain or control the individual defendant. It
    did not disagree with this Court’s original opinion in Jurek which had suggested possible types of
    evidence that jurors could use in assessing the probability that the defendant would commit
    future acts of violence:
    In determining the likelihood that the defendant would be a continuing threat to
    society, the jury could consider whether the defendant had a significant criminal
    record. It could consider the range and severity of his prior criminal conduct. It
    could further look to the age of the defendant and whether or not at the time of the
    commission of the offense he was acting under duress or under the domination of
    another. It could also consider whether the defendant was under an extreme form
    of mental or emotional pressure, something less, perhaps, than insanity, but more
    than the emotions of the average man, however inflamed, could 
    withstand. 522 S.W.2d at 939-40
    . These are all factors that relate to the individual defendant, not to the
    efficacy of external controls.
    20
    
    313 S.W.3d 274
    (Tex. Crim. App. 2010).
    21
    
    Id. at 281.
           22
    See, e.g., Druery v. State, 
    225 S.W.3d 491
    , 506-07 (Tex. Crim. App. 2007) (“State has
    the burden of proving beyond a reasonable doubt that there is a probability that [the defendant]
    would commit criminal acts of violence in the future, so as to constitute a continuing threat,
    whether in or out of prison”); Smith v. State, 
    898 S.W.2d 838
    , 846 (Tex. Crim. App. 1995)
    (plurality op.) (how long a life-sentenced capital defendant will spend in prison “is not proper
    even in the context of the [future-dangerousness] special issue because when a jury is considering
    Coble    Page 16
    The Supreme Court has stated that “a state capital sentencing system must: (1)
    rationally narrow the class of death-eligible defendants; and (2) permit a jury to render a
    reasoned, individualized sentencing determination based on a death-eligible defendant’s
    record, personal characteristics, and the circumstances of his crime.” 23            Thus, juries
    appropriately focus upon the defendant’s individual character for violence and the probability
    that he would commit acts of violence in whatever society he found himself.24 Obviously,
    the likelihood that a defendant does not or will not pose a heightened risk of violence in the
    structured prison community is a relevant, indeed important, criterion, but it is not the
    exclusive focus of the “future dangerousness” issue.
    There is no denying appellant’s impressive history of nonviolence in prison. Nor did
    the prosecutors at trial try to minimize that record. They noted that appellant has always
    done some good things in his life. The issue, however, is whether he is the same person–with
    whether a defendant represents a continuing threat to society, the term ‘society’ includes both the
    prison and non-prison populations”).
    23
    Kansas v. Marsh, 
    548 U.S. 163
    , 173-74 (2006).
    24
    In proving future dangerousness, the State may rely on several factors, including but not
    limited to: (1) “the circumstances of the capital offense, including the defendant’s state of mind
    and whether he was working alone or with other parties,” (2) “the calculated nature of the
    defendant’s acts,” (3) “the forethought and deliberateness exhibited by the crime’s execution,”
    (4) “the existence of a prior criminal record, and the severity of the prior crimes,” (5) “the
    defendant’s age and personal circumstances at the time of the commission of the offense,” (6)
    “whether the defendant was acting under duress or the domination of another at the time of the
    offense,” (7) “psychiatric evidence,” and (8) “character evidence.” Keeton v. State, 
    724 S.W.2d 58
    , 61 (Tex. Crim. App. 1987). These factors do not constitute an exhaustive list. Barnes v.
    State, 
    876 S.W.2d 316
    , 322 (Tex. Crim. App. 1994). Significantly, these factors do not include
    the incapacitation capacity or competency of the particular prison system.
    Coble     Page 17
    the same character for sudden explosive violence–that he was when he was diagnosed at age
    15 as having a “sociopathic personality disturbance of the dissocial type.” Has his character
    changed since he was again diagnosed as having a lifelong history of maladjustment,
    belligerence and violence, when he was hospitalized at the age of 19 after fighting with his
    fiancee and stabbing himself in the thigh as a Marine? Was the “evil grin” Karen said that
    he gave her in court when appellant was fifty years old, and then again when he was sixty,
    indicative of a continuing animosity and character for brutality toward women? And did the
    pictures in his death row cell indicate an unnatural interest in young, athletic, scantily clad
    women for a sixty-year-old man with a heart condition? It was the jury’s duty to assess
    appellant’s present character for future dangerousness, and there was ample evidence to
    support its finding, beyond a reasonable doubt, that appellant had not experienced a
    conversion on the road to Damascus; rather, he had the same character for violence at age
    60 that he did at ages 15, 19, and 40, despite his spotless prison record.25
    The evidence is legally sufficient to support the jury’s finding on the future
    dangerousness special issue. We overrule points of error one and two.
    The Admissibility of Dr. Coons’s Expert Testimony
    25
    See, e.g., Blue v. State, 
    125 S.W.3d 491
    , 493-96 (Tex. Crim. App. 2003) (evidence
    sufficient to support jury’s finding of future dangerousness despite defendant’s evidence of
    nonviolence on death row for seven years before retrial and expert testimony that there was no
    more than a 48% statistical probability that defendant would commit acts of violence in prison
    because his prior violence was largely “relationship-driven”; evidence showed that defendant
    doused his girlfriend in gasoline and set her afire and he had a lengthy history of abusing other
    women, especially current and former girlfriends).
    Coble    Page 18
    In points of error three and four, appellant contends that Dr. Richard Coons’s expert
    testimony concerning future dangerousness was not admissible under Rule 702 26 because it
    was insufficiently reliable. We agree. In point of error five, appellant asserts that this type
    of evidence fails to meet the heightened reliability requirement of the Eighth Amendment,
    but the United States Supreme Court, in Barefoot v. Estelle,27 rejected this argument, and we
    are required to follow binding precedent from that court on federal constitutional issues.28
    A.     The Daubert/Kelly Hearing.
    At trial, appellant objected to Dr. Coons’s proposed testimony and requested a
    Daubert/Kelly 29 hearing outside the presence of the jury. At that hearing, Dr. Coons testified
    that he is board certified in general psychiatry and has been practicing forensic psychiatry for
    thirty-one years. He has evaluated the competency or sanity of between 8,000 to 10,000
    people, has performed 150 evaluations of “future dangerousness,” and has testified in fifty
    trials as an expert.
    26
    T EX . R. EVID . 702. Rule 702 reads,
    If scientific, technical, or other specialized knowledge will assist the trier of fact
    to understand the evidence or to determine a fact in issue, a witness qualified as an
    expert by knowledge, skill, experience, training, or education may testify thereto
    in the form of an opinion or otherwise.
    27
    
    463 U.S. 880
    (1983).
    28
    Casarez v. State, 
    913 S.W.2d 468
    , 475 n.10 (Tex. Crim. App. 1994) (“As judges on
    this honorable Court, we are bound to apply the United States Constitution as interpreted by the
    Supreme Court; we do not have the luxury or the liberty to ignore binding precedent.”).
    29
    See Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, 
    509 U.S. 579
    (1993); Kelly v. State, 
    824 S.W.2d 568
    (Tex. Crim. App. 1992).
    Coble    Page 19
    Dr. Coons testified that psychiatric principles are commonly used when making
    determinations of a person’s danger to himself or others in the context of involuntary
    psychiatric commitments. He said that he also relies upon psychiatric principles when he
    evaluates defendants for “future dangerousness” for capital murder trials. He repeatedly
    stated that “the best predictor of the future is the past” and noted that
    there are certain trends in people who are, in other words, habit patterns or
    personality patterns that–that we rely on. Um, and then, of course, there’s the
    experience one has, the training and then the experience that one has in seeing
    quite a number of people and, uh–uh–watching classifications within various
    jails and so forth. Uh, those are kind of the principles or the things that are
    –opinions are based on.
    Dr. Coons noted that there are some psychiatric diagnoses that are listed in the DSM,30 such
    as antisocial personality disorder, that might indicate that a person is dangerous. But in this
    case, Dr. Coons relied on materials supplied by the District Attorney’s Office.
    Dr. Coons explained his standard methodology in assessing the issue of future
    dangerousness. For at least the past twenty years he has relied upon several different factors:
    (1)     The person’s history of violence;
    (2)     The person’s attitude toward violence;
    (3)     The particulars of the criminal offense;
    (4)     The person’s personality and general behavior;
    (5)     The person’s conscience; and
    (6)     Where the person will be–in or out of prison.
    30
    D     IAGNOSTIC AND   STATISTICAL MANUAL OF MENTAL DISORDERS.
    Coble    Page 20
    He assesses these factors based on the information that he has been given. This is his own
    personal methodology. He does not know whether others rely upon this method, and he does
    not know of any psychiatric or psychology books or articles that use his factors. But “[t]hese
    are matters that are discussed commonly at–at forensic meetings and among forensic
    psychiatrists. . . . [B]ut generally speaking, those are the–are the kinds of things that, uh,
    forensic psychiatrists would take into consideration in reaching an opinion.” He doubts that
    his methodology is shared by everyone because different psychiatrists construct their own
    methodologies.
    Dr. Coons stated that multiple psychiatrists would not necessarily agree on what is
    important in the first factor–looking to past conduct to predict future conduct. “I’m the one
    who’s making the decision–about whether it means something to me in terms of what I–my
    education or experience or background is.” It is a subjective evaluation. When assessing
    past violence, Dr. Coons looks at its nature and context.
    The same subjectivity is true for the second factor, a person’s attitude about violence,
    as well as the third factor, the circumstances of the offense. Two different psychiatrists may
    come to different conclusions based on the same facts. Dr. Coons said that forensic
    psychiatrists develop an experiential body of knowledge and information and approach that
    helps them make their decisions. But Dr. Coons disagreed that it was “just a gut feeling.”
    When it comes to the fourth factor of personality and behavior, Dr. Coons looks to
    whether the crime was an aberration or whether that person has had a problem looking out
    Coble    Page 21
    for other people. Is he controlling? Manipulative? With the fifth factor, “conscience is
    involved in–in helping people control their behavior. And, I mean, really, I guess almost
    everybody knows that.” There is no yardstick to measure it. With the final factor, Dr. Coons
    stated that if the person is on death row he will be less violent because “everybody that’s on
    death row is on appeal by definition. And they tend to be on their good behavior. Uh,
    because if they–on their bad behavior and they get another trial or punishment, they uh–they
    know they’ll hear about it again. Their violence on death row or threats or whatever.” 31
    All of these factors overlap and blend, but Dr. Coons knows of no book or article that
    discusses these factors or their overlap. He is not aware of any studies in psychiatric journals
    regarding the accuracy of long-term predictions into future violence in capital murder
    prosecutions or of any error rates concerning such predictions. Nor is he aware of any
    psychiatric studies which support the making of these predictions. Dr. Coons has never gone
    back and obtained records to try to check the accuracy of the “future dangerousness”
    predictions he has made in the past. He cannot tell what his accuracy rate is.
    On redirect, the prosecutor asked Dr. Coons to read from a legal brief containing the
    names and titles of some articles on future dangerousness that had been filed in a different
    case, but Dr. Coons was not familiar with any of those articles.
    31
    Dr. Coons admitted that there is no objective way of differentiating between the two
    locations, death row versus general population, “[j]ust logic. . . . I think if you took a thousand
    psychiatrists and presented that to them, most people would say they have motivation to be on
    their better behavior if they’re on death row.” But Dr. Coons stated that there is no objective way
    of proving that proposition and he knows of no studies that support that theory.
    Coble    Page 22
    Based on this testimony, the trial judge found that Dr. Coons qualified as an expert
    witness, that the subject matter of his testimony was an appropriate one for experts, and “that
    admitting the expert testimony will actually assist the factfinder in deciding this case.”
    Dr. Coons then testified before the jury and, in response to a lengthy hypothetical
    setting out the salient features of appellant’s life and crimes, opined that there was a
    probability that appellant would commit future acts of violence.
    B.     Legal Principles Concerning the Admission of Expert Psychiatric or
    Psychological Testimony Concerning Future Dangerousness.
    The admission of expert testimony is reviewed on appeal for an abuse of discretion.32
    However, trial judges must act as a true “gatekeeper” when addressing the reliability and
    relevance of expert testimony.33 In Daubert, the United States Supreme Court held that when
    the subject of the expert’s testimony is “scientific knowledge,” the basis of his testimony
    must be grounded in the accepted methods and procedures of science.34 As that court
    explained,
    [I]n order to qualify as “scientific knowledge,” an inference or assertion must
    be derived by the scientific method. Proposed testimony must be supported by
    appropriate validation–i.e., “good grounds,” based on what is known. In short,
    32
    Lagrone v. State, 
    942 S.W.2d 602
    , 616 (Tex. Crim. App. 1997) (“[T]he trial court’s
    judgment regarding experts’ qualifications and the admissibility of expert testimony is subject to
    an abuse of discretion standard of review.”).
    33
    Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 
    509 U.S. 579
    , 589-92 (1993); see also
    Kumho Tire v. Carmichael, 
    526 U.S. 137
    , 147 (1999) (“gatekeeping” role assigned to trial judges
    under Daubert applies the same reliability standard to all “scientific,” “technical,” or “other
    specialized” matters within the scope of Rule 702).
    34
    
    Daubert, 509 U.S. at 589-90
    .
    Coble     Page 23
    the requirement that an expert’s testimony pertain to “scientific knowledge”
    establishes a standard of evidentiary reliability.35
    Four “general observations” guide the inquiry into scientific reliability: (1) falsifiability; (2)
    peer review and publication; (3) the existence of methodological standards, including the
    error rate; and (4) general acceptance within the relevant scientific field.36 The goal of these
    “flexible” guidelines is to evaluate the admissibility of expert testimony by the standards that
    comparable experts within the same scientific field use in evaluating each other’s
    professional work.37
    In Kelly v. State,38 this Court adopted several procedural and substantive limitations
    upon the admission of expert scientific testimony to ensure that unreliable expertise would
    be excluded from the jury’s consideration.39 Under Kelly, a trial judge must, upon request,
    conduct a “gatekeeping” hearing outside the presence of the jury to determine whether
    scientific evidence is sufficiently reliable 40 and relevant41 to help the jury in reaching an
    35
    
    Id. at 590.
           36
    
    Id. at 593-94.
           37
    See id.
    38
    
    824 S.W.2d 568
    (Tex. Crim. App. 1992).
    39
    
    Id. at 572-73.
           40
    In Kelly, we set out the following list of nonexclusive factors that a trial court could
    consider in determining scientific reliability:
    (1)    The extent to which the underlying theory and technique are accepted as valid by the
    relevant scientific community;
    (2)    The qualifications of the testifying expert;
    (3)    The existence of literature supporting or rejecting the underlying scientific theory and
    Coble     Page 24
    accurate result. Then the judge must decide whether, on balance, that expert testimony might
    nonetheless be unhelpful or distracting for other reasons.42 To be considered reliable,
    evidence from a scientific theory must satisfy three criteria: “(a) the underlying scientific
    theory must be valid; (b) the technique applying the theory must be valid; and (c) the
    technique must have been properly applied on the occasion in question.” 43 The trial court’s
    essential gatekeeping role is to ensure that evidence that is unreliable because it lacks a basis
    in sound scientific methodology is not admitted.44
    Forensic psychiatry is certainly a science;45 as Dr. Coons stated, it is practiced solely
    technique;
    (4)     The potential error rate;
    (5)     The availability of other experts to test and evaluate the technique;
    (6)     The clarity with which the underlying scientific theory and technique can be explained to
    the court; and
    (7)     The experience and skill of the person who applied the technique in this case.
    
    Id. at 573.
           41
    In Jordan v. State, 
    928 S.W.2d 550
    , 553-54 n.4 (Tex. Crim. App. 1996), we discussed
    the “relevance” prong of the gatekeeping analysis as the closeness of the “fit” between the
    scientific evidence and the fact to which it is offered. “Whether evidence ‘will assist the trier of
    fact’ and is sufficiently tied to the facts of the case is a simpler, more straight-forward matter to
    establish than whether the evidence is sufficiently grounded in science to be reliable.” 
    Id. at 555.
           42
    
    Kelly, 824 S.W.2d at 572
    .
    43
    
    Id. at 573.
           44
    Hartman v. State, 
    946 S.W.2d 60
    , 63 (Tex. Crim. App. 1997).
    45
    Forensic psychiatry is defined as “the branch of medicine that deals with disorders of
    the mind and their relation to legal principles.” Thomas G. Gutheil, LEGAL ISSUES IN
    PSYCHIATRY , IN COMPREHENSIVE TEXTBOOK OF PSYCHIATRY /VI 2747 (Harold I. Kaplan &
    Benjamin J. Sadock eds., 1995). The official definition of forensic psychiatry, promulgated by
    the American Board of Forensic Psychiatry and adopted in the Ethical Code of the American
    Academy of Psychiatry and the Law, is “a subspecialty of psychiatry in which scientific and
    Coble    Page 25
    by those with a medical degree.46 It may be a “soft science,” but trial courts, in their
    gatekeeping function, must ensure that the expertise is not only soft, but that it is science as
    well.47 “Soft” science does not mean soft standards.48 When “soft” sciences are at issue, the
    trial court must inquire “(1) whether the field of expertise is a legitimate one, (2) whether the
    subject matter of the expert’s testimony is within the scope of that field, and (3) whether the
    expert’s testimony properly relies upon and/or utilizes the principles involved in the field.” 49
    This inquiry is somewhat more flexible than the Kelly factors applicable to Newtonian
    clinical expertise is applied in legal contexts involving civil, criminal, correctional, regulatory or
    legislative matters, and in specialized clinical consultations in areas such as risk assessment or
    employment. These guidelines apply to psychiatrists practicing in a forensic role.” Ethics
    Guidelines for the Practice of Forensic Psychiatry (Am. Acad. Psychiatry & L. May 2005).
    46
    There is some empirical evidence that jurors tend to rate medical expertise higher than
    “mere” scientific evidence, such that when the information is identical, jurors rate the testimony
    from a psychiatrist, a medical doctor, as more persuasive than that from a psychologist. See J.
    Greenberg & A. Wursten, The Psychologist and the Psychiatrist as Expert Witnesses: Perceived
    Credibility and Influence, 19 PROF. PSYCHOL. RES. & PRAC. 373, 378 (1988). This might be
    termed “the Marcus Welby Effect” from the 1970’s television series of the same name.
    47
    See, e.g., Holiday v. State, No. AP-74,446–AP-74,448, 
    2006 WL 288661
    *1 (Tex.
    Crim. App. February 8, 2006) (Womack, J., dissenting) (not designated for publication) (“If it
    cannot be validated, it’s not science. Not even soft science. It may be soft, as many things are,
    but it’s not science.”).
    48
    See Watkins v. Telsmith, Inc., 
    121 F.3d 984
    , 991 (5th Cir. 1997) (“[I]t seems exactly
    backwards that experts who purport to rely on general engineering principles and practical
    experience might escape screening by the district court simply by stating that their conclusions
    were not reached by any particular method or technique. The moral of this approach would be,
    the less factual support for an expert’s opinion, the better.”).
    49
    Nenno v. State, 
    970 S.W.2d 549
    , 561 (Tex. Crim. App. 1998) (upholding the admission
    of expert testimony by a special agent in the Behavioral Sciences unit of the FBI concerning
    future dangerousness in a capital murder trial). Although Nenno dealt with the admission of
    expert testimony concerning future dangerousness, it dealt with testimony by a layman whose
    analysis was based on his experience studying sexual victimization of children. 
    Id. at 562.
                                                                                      Coble    Page 26
    and medical science.50 “The general principles announced in Kelly (and Daubert) apply, but
    the specific factors outlined in those cases may or may not apply depending upon the
    context.” 51 Under either Daubert/Kelly or Nenno, reliability should be evaluated by reference
    to the standards applicable to the particular professional field in question.52
    Appellant does not quarrel with the first prong– the legitimacy of the field of forensic
    psychiatry, nor, apparently, with the second prong–Dr. Coons’s testimony is within the scope
    of forensic psychiatry, but he contends that Dr. Coons’s testimony did not properly rely upon
    the accepted principles of forensic psychiatry, at least as far as those principles apply to the
    prediction of long-term future dangerousness.
    While the United States Supreme Court (as well as other American courts) has
    recognized the fallibility of psychiatric assessments of future dangerousness, it nevertheless
    acknowledged the necessary reliance on psychiatry to assist in judicial decisionmaking.53 We
    50
    
    Id. at 561.
           51
    
    Id. at 560.
           52
    Kumho Tire Co. v. Carmichael, 
    526 U.S. 137
    , 152 (1999) (Daubert requires the trial
    court to assure itself that the experience-based expert “employs in the courtroom the same level
    of intellectual rigor that characterizes the practice of an expert in the relevant field.”).
    53
    Barefoot v. Estelle, 
    463 U.S. 880
    , 897 (1983). The dissent in Barefoot noted that the
    American Psychiatric Association, in an amicus curiae brief, estimated that two out of three
    predictions of long-term future violence made by psychiatrists are wrong. 
    Id. at 920
    (Blackmun,
    J., dissenting). More recent psychiatric and legal articles have reached a similar conclusion,
    although some conclude that the accuracy of clinicians’ predictions may now be slightly better
    than chance when they also use risk assessment and actuarial tools. See, Daniel W. Shuman &
    Bruce D. Sales, The Admissibility of Expert Testimony Based Upon Clinical Judgment and
    Scientific Research, 4 PSYCHOLOGY , PUBLIC POLICY AND LAW 1226, 1240 (1998) (stating that
    mental health clinicians’ “future dangerousness” predictions fail to meet the scientific evidentiary
    Coble    Page 27
    reaffirm that such expert testimony may, in a particular case, be admissible under Rule 702
    standards in Daubert; noting that the stereotypes that mental health practitioners have of
    dangerous individuals are likely to be inaccurate and contain many attributes that are not linked
    to future danger); Grant H. Morris, Defining Dangerousness: Risking a Dangerousness
    Definition, 10 J. CONTEMP . LEGAL ISSUES 61, 85-86 (1999) (“More than twenty years ago, Alan
    Stone acknowledged that psychiatrists cannot predict whether a person will engage in dangerous
    behavior with a certainty, or beyond a reasonable doubt, or by clear and convincing evidence, or
    even by a preponderance of the evidence. As to clinically-based predictions of dangerousness, the
    passage of time has not altered the accuracy of Stone’s judgment.”) (footnote omitted); William
    Gardner, Charles W. Lidz, Edward P. Mulvey, & Esther C. Shaw, Clinical Versus Actuarial
    Predictions of Violence in Patients With Mental Illness, 64 J. OF CONSULTING AND CLINICAL
    PSYCH . 602, 608-09 (1996) (suggesting that mental health practitioners are moderately better
    than chance in predicting future dangerousness based on recent estimates of their use of
    sophisticated statistical analysis techniques); John Monahan & Henry Steadman, VIOLENCE AND
    MENTAL DISORDER: DEVELOPMENTS IN RISK ASSESSMENT 109-10 (University of Chicago Press
    1994) (mental health practitioners are generally unaware of the relevance of base rates of
    violence and thus greatly overestimate the likelihood that a specific individual will commit future
    violent acts); Daniel A. Krauss & Bruce D. Sales, The Effects of Clinical and Scientific Expert
    Testimony on Juror Decision Making in Capital Sentencing, 7 PSYCH . PUB. POL. & L. 267, 280-
    81 (2001) (stating that mental health practitioners make inaccurate future violence predictions,
    they lack training in making such predictions, and their predictions are biased by their reliance on
    several cognitive heuristics which cause them to overestimate rates of future violence, but noting
    that the “development of actuarial instruments specifically designed to forecast risk of future
    dangerousness has significantly improved the accuracy of predictions of future violence”). In
    summing up the findings of three other researchers spanning the years from 1982 to 2004, one
    group of authors stated:
    In making long-term predictive judgements [of dangerousness], however,
    pure clinical decisionmakers are inaccurate for a number of reasons. Reasons for
    mental health practitioners’ errors include such problems as (a) ignoring base rate
    information (the failure to take into account the normal level at which an event is
    likely to occur), (b) assigning non-optimal weights to factors (combining factors
    in manner that is subjectively appealing rather than empirically derived), and ©
    employing the representativeness heuristic (the tendency to make decisions or
    judge information in a manner that fits our preconceived categories or stereotypes
    of a situation).
    Daniel A. Krauss, Joel D. Lieberman, & Jodi Olson, The Effects of Rational and Experiential
    Information Processing of Expert Testimony in Death Penalty Cases, 22 BEHAV . SCI. LAW 801,
    803 (2004).
    Coble    Page 28
    and helpful to the jury in a capital murder trial.54 However, the burden is on the proponent
    of such psychiatric testimony to establish its admissibility in each individual case.55 Science
    is constantly evolving and, therefore, the Rule 702-703 “gatekeeping” standards of the trial
    court must keep up with the most current understanding of any scientific endeavor, including
    54
    At the time Barefoot was decided, and at the time Texas trial courts began admitting
    expert psychiatric and psychological testimony of “future dangerousness,” the Supreme Court
    had not yet decided Daubert, and this Court had not yet decided Kelly or Nenno. Those three
    cases have significantly altered the evidentiary threshold requirements of reliability and relevance
    of any expert’s testimony, including psychiatric or psychological expertise. Some have criticized
    the courts for failing to apply the standards set out in Daubert and Kelly to psychiatric testimony
    offered to prove future dangerousness in capital sentencing. See, e.g., Flores v. Johnson, 
    210 F.3d 456
    , 464-65 (5th Cir. 2000) (Garza, J., concurring) (“The scientific community virtually
    unanimously agrees that psychiatric testimony on future dangerousness is, to put it bluntly,
    unreliable and unscientific. It is as true today as it was in 1983 that ‘[n]either the Court nor the
    State of Texas has cited a single reputable scientific source contradicting the unanimous
    conclusion of professionals in this field that psychiatric predictions of long-term future violence
    are wrong more often than they are right.’ . . . On the basis of any evidence thus far presented to a
    court, it appears that the use of psychiatric evidence to predict a murderer’s ‘future
    dangerousness’ fails all five Daubert factors. . . . Overall, the theory that scientific reliability
    underlies predictions of future dangerousness has been uniformly rejected by the scientific
    community absent those individuals who routinely testify to, and profit from, predictions of
    dangerousness.”).
    55
    See Hernandez v. State, 
    116 S.W.3d 26
    , 30-31 (Tex. Crim. App. 2003) (“The State had
    the burden of proof at trial . . . to show, by clear and convincing evidence, that the ADx analyzer
    is a reliable method of determining the presence of marijuana in a person’s body. It failed to offer
    any testimony, any scientific material, or any published judicial opinions from which the trial
    court might take judicial notice of its scientific reliability.”) (footnote omitted); Kelly v. State,
    
    824 S.W.2d 568
    , 573 (Tex. Crim. App. 1992) (“before novel scientific evidence may be admitted
    under Rule 702, the proponent must persuade the trial court, by clear and convincing evidence,
    that the evidence is reliable and therefore relevant”); see also 
    Daubert, 509 U.S. at 592-93
    (“Faced with a proffer of expert scientific testimony, then, the trial judge must determine at the
    outset, pursuant to Rule 104(a), whether the expert is proposing to testify to (1) scientific
    knowledge that (2) will assist the trier of fact to understand or determine a fact in issue. This
    entails a preliminary assessment of whether the reasoning or methodology underlying the
    testimony is scientifically valid and of whether that reasoning or methodology properly can be
    applied to the facts in issue.”) (footnotes omitted).
    Coble    Page 29
    the field of forensic psychiatry and its professional methodology of assessing long-term
    future dangerousness.56 The objective of the “gatekeeping” requirement is to make certain
    that an expert employs the same professional standards of intellectual rigor in the courtroom
    as is expected in the practice of the relevant field.57 The validity of the expert’s conclusions
    depends upon the soundness of the methodology.58
    56
    The State argues that this Court has previously upheld the admission of Dr. Coons’s
    “future dangerousness” testimony in many cases, most recently in Ramey v. State, No. AP-
    75,678, 2009 Tex. Crim. App. Unpub. LEXIS 124, *44-45 (Tex. Crim. App. Feb. 11, 2009) (not
    designated for publication), and Espada v. State, No. AP-75,219, 2008 Tex. Crim. App. Unpub.
    LEXIS 806, *21-27 (Tex. Crim. App. Nov. 5, 2008) (not designated for publication). These
    cases are unpublished and therefore cannot be cited as precedent. At any rate, courts do not
    “grandfather in” expert testimony in a particular field or by a particular witness simply because
    the court has admitted expert testimony in that field or by that witness in the past. See
    
    Hernandez, 116 S.W.3d at 30
    (fact that trial court may have admitted testimony from particular
    expert witness before does not mean that evidence is reliable in the particular case).
    Furthermore, each record and the Daubert/Kelly hearing of each record must be examined on its
    own merits. We cannot tell what the precise content of the Daubert/Kelly gatekeeping hearing, if
    any, was in these other cases, nor could we rely upon the content of such a hearing in another
    case in assessing the admissibility of Dr. Coons’s testimony in this case, unless the former
    testimony were introduced at the current gatekeeping hearing.
    57
    See Paul C. Gianelli, Daubert: Interpreting the Federal Rules of Evidence, 15 CARDOZO
    L. REV . 1999, 2001-03 (1994); see Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharm., Inc., 
    43 F.3d 1311
    , 1319-20
    (9th Cir. 1995) (“Daubert II”) (if expert evidence is not based upon independent professional
    research outside of its possible litigation purposes, courts should look for “other objective,
    verifiable evidence that the testimony is based on ‘scientifically valid principles’”; this
    requirement may be met by “precisely [explaining] how [the experts] went about reaching their
    conclusions and point[ing] to some objective source–a learned treatise, the policy statement of a
    professional association, a published article in a reputable scientific journal or the like–to show
    that they have followed the scientific method, as it practiced by (at least) a recognized minority
    of scientists in their field.”).
    58
    See Whirlpool Corp. v. Camacho, 
    298 S.W.3d 631
    , 637 (Tex. 2009) (“When expert
    testimony is involved, courts are to rigorously examine the validity of facts and assumptions on
    which the testimony is based, as well as the principles, research, and methodology underlying the
    expert’s conclusions and the manner in which the principles and methodologies are applied by
    the expert to reach the conclusions.”).
    Coble     Page 30
    C.     The Application of Daubert/Kelly and Nenno Principles in This Case.
    As the Seventh Circuit observed in Rosen v. Ciba-Geigy Corp.,59 “under the regime
    of Daubert a district judge asked to admit scientific evidence must determine whether the
    evidence is genuinely scientific, as distinct from being unscientific speculation offered by
    a genuine scientist.” 60 Here, there is no question that Dr. Coons is a genuine forensic
    psychiatrist with a lengthy medical career, but the issue under Rule 702 is whether his “future
    dangerousness” testimony is based upon the scientific principles of forensic psychiatry.
    From this record, we cannot tell what principles of forensic psychiatry Dr. Coons
    might have relied upon because he cited no books, articles, journals, or even other forensic
    psychiatrists who practice in this area.61 There is no objective source material in this record
    to substantiate Dr. Coons’s methodology as one that is appropriate in the practice of forensic
    psychiatry. He asserted that his testimony properly relied upon and utilized the principles
    involved in the field of psychiatry, but this is simply the ipse dixit of the witness.62 Dr. Coons
    59
    
    78 F.3d 316
    (7th Cir. 1996).
    60
    
    Id. at 318
    (internal citation omitted).
    61
    See Christopher Slobogin, Dangerousness and Expertise, 133 U. PA . L. REV . 97, 129
    (1984) (“a clinician unfamiliar with the research literature on dangerousness prediction should
    not be considered qualified to offer a clinical prediction of dangerousness, regardless of her
    educational or experiential attainments.”) (citing George W. Dix, The Death Penalty,
    “Dangerousness,” Psychiatric Testimony, and Professional Ethics, 5 AM . J. CRIM . L. 151, 175-
    77 (1977)).
    62
    See Burrow v. Arce, 
    997 S.W.2d 229
    , 235 (Tex. 1999) (“Although expert opinion
    testimony often provides valuable evidence in a case, ‘it is the basis of the witness’s opinion, and
    not the witness’s qualifications or his bare opinions alone, that can settle an issue as a matter of
    law; a claim will not stand or fall on the mere ipse dixit of a credentialed witness.’”); Earle v.
    Coble     Page 31
    agreed that his methodology is idiosyncratic and one that he has developed and used on his
    own for the past twenty to thirty years. Although there is a significant body of literature
    concerning the empirical accuracy of clinical predictions versus actuarial and risk assessment
    predictions,63 Dr. Coons did not cite or rely upon any of these studies and was unfamiliar
    Ratliff, 
    998 S.W.2d 882
    , 890 (Tex. 1999) (“An expert’s simple ipse dixit is insufficient to
    establish a matter; rather, the expert must explain the basis of his statements to link his
    conclusions to the facts.”); see also General Electric Co. v. Joiner, 
    522 U.S. 136
    , 146 (1997)
    (noting that “conclusions and methodology are not entirely distinct from one another. Trained
    experts commonly extrapolate from existing data. But nothing in either Daubert or the Federal
    Rules of Evidence requires a district court to admit opinion evidence which is connected to
    existing data only by the ipse dixit of the expert.”).
    63
    As early as 1974, the American Association Task Force on Clinical Aspects of the
    Violent Individual published a report assembling the then-current knowledge concerning violent
    persons and the clinical issues they present, including the evaluation and prediction of violent
    behavior. See AMERICAN PSYCHIATRIC ASSOCIATION TASK FORCE ON CLINICAL ASPECTS OF THE
    VIOLENT INDIVIDUAL, CLINICAL ASPECTS OF THE VIOLENT INDIVIDUAL (APA TASK FORCE
    REPORT NO . 8, 1974) (concluding that “the state of the art regarding predictions of violence is
    very unsatisfactory. The ability of psychiatrists [to] . . . reliably predict future violence is
    unproved.”). In recent years, actuarial predictions, based upon statistically analyzed data, have
    taken on greater importance and achieved some professional acceptance in the field of
    predictions of future dangerousness, especially in the area of sexual offenders. See generally
    John Monahan, et. al., A Jurisprudence of Risk Assessment: Forecasting Harm Among Prisoners,
    Predators, and Patients, 92 VA . L. REV . 391 (2006) (discussing distinction between clinical and
    actuarial risk assessment which depends on actuarial instruments that measure risk of future
    violence); John Monahan, RETHINKING RISK ASSESSMENT : THE MACARTHUR STUDY OF
    MENTAL DISORDER AND VIOLENCE 7 (Oxford University Press 2001) (discussing the superiority
    of actuarial predictive methods to clinical predictive methods); William M. Grove et al., Clinical
    Versus Mechanical Prediction: A Meta-Analysis, 12 PSYCHOL. ASSESSMENT 19, 19 (2000)
    (finding that actuarial prediction techniques were, on average, ten percent more accurate than
    clinical predictions); Howard E. Barbaree et al., Evaluating the Predictive Accuracy of Six Risk
    Assessment Instruments for Adult Sex Offenders, 28 CRIM . JUST . & BEHAV . 490, 492 (2000)
    (discussing the accuracy of the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide at predicting recidivism by sex
    offenders); Mark Dolan and Mary Doyle, Violence Risk Prediction: Clinical and Actuarial
    Measures and the Role of the Psychopathy Checklist, 177 BRIT . J. PSYCH . 303, 305-09 (2000)
    (listing assessment instruments used for violence risk assessment in the mentally disordered and
    citing studies).
    Coble    Page 32
    with the journal articles given to him by the prosecution.
    Dr. Coons stated that he relies upon a specific set of factors: history of violence,64
    attitude toward violence, the crime itself, personality and general behavior, conscience, and
    where the person will be (i.e., the free community, prison, or death row). These factors
    sound like common-sense ones that the jury would consider on its own,65 but are they ones
    that the forensic psychiatric community accepts as valid? 66           Have these factors been
    64
    At least some psychiatric literature supports this factor as highly predictive of future
    violence. See John W. Parry, et al., ABA COMM ’N ON MENTAL HEALTH AND PHYSICAL
    DISABILITY LAW , NATIONAL BENCHBOOK ON PSYCHIATRIC AND PSYCHOLOGICAL EVIDENCE AND
    TESTIMONY 223 (1998) (“A history of past violence repeatedly has been shown to be one of the
    best predictors of violence.”); Deidre Klassen & William A. O’Connor, A Prospective Study of
    Predictors of Violence in Adult Male Mental Health Admissions, 12 LAW & HUM . BEHAV . 143,
    152 & tbl. 1 (1988) (finding that a recent history of violent crime associated strongly with post-
    release arrests in studies of men released from psychiatric hospitals). These are the types of
    professional sources and studies that a psychiatric expert could reasonably cite as support for his
    methodology, and the proponent could offer them into evidence so that an appellate court could
    rely upon them.
    65
    Indeed, some researchers have found that “laypersons and the clinicians had few
    differences of opinion” about assessments of future dangerousness, but neither had much
    accuracy. Vernon L. Quinsey, et al., VIOLENT OFFENDERS: APPRAISING AND MANAGING RISK 62
    (1998).
    66
    In the early 1970s, one influential research clinician, Dr. Kozol, described the
    “dangerous” person as
    one who has actually inflicted or attempted to inflict serious physical injury on
    another person; harbors anger, hostility, and resentment; enjoys witnessing or
    inflicting suffering; lacks altruistic and compassionate concern for others; sees
    himself as a victim rather than as an aggressor; resents or rejects authority; is
    primarily concerned with his own satisfaction and with the relief of his own
    discomfort; is intolerant of frustration or delay of satisfaction; lacks control of his
    own impulses; has immature attitudes toward social responsibility; lacks insight
    into his own psychological structure; and distorts his perception of reality in
    accordance with his own wishes and needs.
    Harry L. Kozol, Richard J. Boucher & Ralph F. Garofalo, The Diagnosis and Treatment of
    Dangerousness, 18 CRIME & DELINQ . 371, 379 (1972). This description is not unlike that given
    Coble    Page 33
    empirically validated as appropriate ones by forensic psychiatrists? And have the predictions
    based upon those factors been verified as accurate over time? 67 Some of Dr. Coons’s factors
    have great intuitive appeal to jurors and judges,68 but are they actually accurate predictors of
    future behavior? Dr. Coons forthrightly stated that “he does it his way” with his own
    methodology and has never gone back to see whether his prior predictions of future
    dangerousness have, in fact, been accurate. Although he had interviewed appellant before
    the first trial in 1990, Dr. Coons had lost his notes of that interview in a flood and apparently
    had no independent memory of that interview. He relied entirely upon the documentary
    by Dr. Coons about appellant, and it may be a valid assessment of a person who would likely be
    “dangerous” in the future, but there is nothing in this record that shows Dr. Coons relied upon the
    principles and methodology of Dr. Kozol or his colleagues.
    67
    “One study of capital murderers commuted as a result of the Furman decision found
    that 188 murderers were paroled by the end of 1987, serving an average of 5.3 years in the
    outside community. Only one killed again, for a rate of .1% committing repeat homicides per
    year. Six of the 188 committed violent offenses, resulting in a violent recidivism rate of .6% per
    year.” Jonathan R. Sorensen & Rocky L. Pilgrim, An Actuarial Risk Assessment of Violence
    Posed by Capital Murder Defendants, 90 J. CRIM . L. & CRIMINOLOGY 1251, 1255 (2000) (citing
    James W. Marquart & Jonathan R. Sorensen, A National Study of the Furman-Commuted
    Inmates: Assessing the Threat to Society from Capital Offenders, 23 LOY . L.A. L. REV . 5, 24
    (1989)). One does not know whether any psychiatric expert predicted that some or all of these
    capital murderers would constitute a future danger.
    68
    If these factors are not scientifically appropriate ones for predicting future violence,
    then their intuitive appeal is doubly dangerous as the jury might accept such testimony
    uncritically. See Flores v. Johnson, 
    210 F.3d 456
    , 465-66 (5th Cir. 2000) (Garza, J., concurring)
    (“[T]he problem here (as with all expert testimony) is not the introduction of one man’s opinion
    on another’s future dangerousness, but the fact that the opinion is introduced by one whose title
    and education (not to mention designation as an ‘expert’) gives him significant credibility in the
    eyes of the jury as one whose opinion comes with the imprimatur of scientific fact.”); see also C.
    Robert Showalter & Richard J. Bonnie, Psychiatrists and Capital Sentencing: Risks and
    Responsibilities in a Unique Legal Setting, 12 BULL. AM . ACAD . PSYCH . L. 159, 165 (1984)
    (noting that because jurors are already likely to believe that a defendant poses a future danger of
    violence, they will tend to overvalue expert predictions that confirm those beliefs).
    Coble    Page 34
    materials given to him by the prosecution, including his 1989 report. Dr. Coons, therefore,
    did not perform any psychiatric assessment of appellant after his eighteen years of nonviolent
    behavior on death row, nor did he refer to any psychological testing that might have occurred
    in that time frame.
    Based upon the specific problems and omissions cited above, we conclude that the
    prosecution did not satisfy its burden of showing the scientific reliability of Dr. Coons’s
    methodology for predicting future dangerousness by clear and convincing evidence during
    the Daubert/Kelly gatekeeping hearing in this particular case.69 We conclude that the trial
    judge therefore abused his discretion in admitting Dr. Coons’s testimony before the jury.70
    D.     Did Dr. Coons’s Inadmissible Expert Testimony Affect Appellant’s Substantial
    Rights to a Fair Sentencing Trial?
    69
    Weatherred v. State, 
    15 S.W.3d 540
    , 542 (Tex. Crim. App. 2000) (“Under Rule 702,
    the proponent of scientific evidence must show, by clear and convincing proof, that the evidence
    he is proffering is sufficiently relevant and reliable to assist the jury in accurately understanding
    other evidence or in determining a fact in issue.”; proponent of expertise on eyewitness reliability
    offered nothing more than his own testimony at gatekeeping hearing); see also Moore v. Ashland
    Chemical, Inc., 
    151 F.3d 269
    , 276 (5th Cir. 1998) (“Thus, the party seeking to have the district
    court admit expert testimony must demonstrate that the expert’s findings and conclusions are
    based on the scientific method, and, therefore, are reliable. This requires some objective,
    independent validation of the expert’s methodology. The expert’s assurances that he has utilized
    generally accepted scientific methodology is insufficient.”).
    70
    Cooper Tire & Rubber Co. v. Mendez, 
    204 S.W.3d 797
    , 800 (Tex. 2006) (“Admission
    of expert testimony that does not meet the reliability requirement is an abuse of discretion.”); see
    also E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Co., Inc. v. Robinson, 
    923 S.W.2d 549
    , 557 (Tex. 1995)
    (“Scientific evidence which is not grounded ‘in the methods and procedures of science’ is no
    more than ‘subjective belief or unsupported speculation.’ Unreliable evidence is of no assistance
    to the trier of fact and is therefore inadmissible under Rule 702.”) (quoting 
    Daubert, 509 U.S. at 590
    ; citing Kelly v. State, 
    824 S.W.2d 568
    , 572 (Tex. Crim. App. 1992)); Gammill v. Jack
    Williams Chevrolet, Inc., 
    972 S.W.2d 713
    , 720 (Tex. 1998).
    Coble    Page 35
    Having found error in the admission of Dr. Coons’s expert testimony, we must decide
    whether that error affected appellant’s substantial rights to a fair sentencing trial.71 A
    substantial right is affected when the error had a substantial and injurious effect or influence
    in determining the jury’s verdict.72 But if the improperly admitted evidence did not influence
    the jury or had but a slight effect upon its deliberations, such non-constitutional error is
    harmless.73 In making a harm analysis, we examine the entire trial record and calculate, as
    much as possible, the probable impact of the error upon the rest of the evidence.74 We
    consider overwhelming evidence supporting the particular issue to which the erroneously
    admitted evidence was directed–here, the “future dangerousness” special issue–but that is
    only one factor in our harm analysis.75 It is the responsibility of the appellate court to assess
    71
    T EX . R. APP . P. 44.2(b); see King v. State, 
    953 S.W.2d 266
    , 271 (Tex. Crim. App.
    1997) (applying TEX . R. APP . P. 44.2(b) to erroneously admitted hearsay documents to prove
    future dangerousness in sentencing phase of capital murder trial; error harmless); see also Garcia
    v. State, 
    126 S.W.3d 921
    , 927-28 (Tex. Crim. App. 2004) (in capital murder sentencing phase,
    erroneously admitted hearsay statements by murder victim– defendant’s wife–that defendant had
    physically and psychologically abused her was harmless error given the considerable amount of
    other evidence from which the jury could have concluded that defendant had been abusive
    toward his wife and more than ample evidence to support the jury’s answer to the “future danger”
    special issue).
    72
    Kotteakos v. United States, 
    328 U.S. 750
    , 776 (1946).
    73
    See Johnson v. State, 
    967 S.W.2d 410
    , 417 (Tex. Crim. App. 1998) (a criminal
    conviction should not be reversed for non-constitutional error under TEX . R. APP . P. 44.2(b) if the
    appellate court, after examining the record as a whole, has fair assurance that the error did not
    influence the jury, or had but a slight effect).
    74
    See Morales v. State, 
    32 S.W.3d 862
    , 867 (Tex. Crim. App. 2000); Miles v. State, 
    918 S.W.2d 511
    , 517 (Tex. Crim. App. 1996).
    75
    Motilla v. State, 
    78 S.W.3d 352
    , 356-58 (Tex. Crim. App. 2002).
    Coble    Page 36
    harm after reviewing the record, and the burden to demonstrate whether the appellant was
    harmed by a trial court error does not rest on either the appellant or the State.76
    In his Brief, appellant cites articles that note the high persuasive value of “scientific”
    expert testimony, especially clinical psychological testimony concerning future danger-
    ousness.77 Indeed, some studies have shown that juror reliance on an expert’s credentials is
    directly proportional to the complexity of the information represented: the more complex the
    information, the more the jury looks to the background, experience, and status of the expert
    himself rather than to the content of his testimony.78 There is also some evidence that jurors
    value medical expertise higher than other scientific expertise; thus, even when the
    information is identical, jurors find evidence from a doctor more persuasive than the very
    same testimony from a psychologist.79 Furthermore, evidence that corresponds to firmly held
    76
    Johnson v. State, 
    43 S.W.3d 1
    , 5 (Tex. Crim. App. 2001).
    77
    See CHARLES T. MCCORMICK ET AL., MCCORMICK ON EVIDENCE § 203, at 608-09 (3d
    ed. 1984); John W. Strong, Language and Logic in Expert Testimony: Limiting Expert Testimony
    by Restrictions of Function, Reliability, and Form, 71 OR. L. REV . 349, 361 n.81 (1992) (“There
    is virtual unanimity among courts and commentators that evidence perceived by jurors to be
    ‘scientific’ in nature will have particularly persuasive effect”); Daniel A. Krauss & Bruce D.
    Sales, The Effects of Clinical and Scientific Expert Testimony on Juror Decision Making in
    Capital Sentencing, 7 PSYCH . PUB. POL. & L. 267, 305 (2001) (clinical psychological expert
    testimony concerning future dangerousness in mock trial setting had strong effect on jurors).
    78
    Joel Cooper et al., Complex Scientific Testimony: How Do Jurors Make Decisions?, 20
    LAW & HUM . BEHAV . 379, 379 (1996).
    79
    Jeff Greenberg & April Wursten, The Psychologist and the Psychiatrist as Expert
    Witnesses: Perceived Credibility and Influence, 19 PROF. PSYCH . RES. & PRAC. 373, 378 (1988).
    Coble    Page 37
    beliefs may be particularly persuasive to jurors.80 Thus, an expert’s appeal to the juror’s own
    common sense may be considerably more persuasive than a counterintuitive and complex,
    but empirically verified, theory.
    These studies and articles would support a determination that the erroneous admission
    of a psychiatrist’s unreliable testimony concerning the defendant’s future dangerousness
    affects a substantial right to a fair sentencing hearing under Tex. R. App. P. 44.2(b).
    However, each case must be examined on its own facts, taking into account the specific
    evidence and the probable impact of the erroneously admitted expert evidence upon the jury’s
    decisionmaking in the particular case.
    In this case, there was ample evidence that there was a probability that appellant
    would commit future acts of violence quite apart from Dr. Coons’s testimony. And, as noted
    above, it was some of that independent evidence that the jury requested to see during its
    deliberations. First, the psychiatric interview and evaluation done by Dr. Hodges more than
    twenty years before the offense and forty years before the trial reached the same basic
    conclusion as Dr. Coons did concerning appellant’s character and his animosity toward
    women. Dr. Hodges’s 1964 interview and clinical evaluation was completed long before any
    possible motive to view the facts and events of appellant’s later life through any “future
    dangerousness” litigation prism had arisen. Expertise that is developed entirely independent
    80
    See C. Robert Showalter & Richard J. Bonnie, Psychiatrists and Capital Sentencing:
    Risks and Responsibilities in a Unique Legal Setting, 12 BULL. AM . ACAD . PSYCH . & L. 159, 165
    (1984) (noting that jurors tend to overvalue predictions that confirm their pre-existing beliefs).
    Coble    Page 38
    of litigation by professionals acting in their normal field is more likely to be considered
    reliable than expertise developed especially for trials.81 The same is true with the 1967
    military medical report which noted appellant’s “lifelong maladjustment” and his jealous
    violent rage when he thought that his fiancée was having an affair with someone else.
    Significantly, the jury asked to see these two reports during its deliberations; it did not ask
    to see Dr. Coons’s 1989 report. We have often held that erroneously admitting evidence
    “will not result in reversal when other such evidence was received without objection, either
    before or after the complained-of ruling.” 82 Although neither Dr. Hodges nor the military
    doctor specifically opined on whether there was a probability in 2008 that appellant would
    81
    See FED . R. EVID . 702 advisory committee notes to 2000 amendments (noting that one
    factor courts have used both before and after Daubert in determining whether expert testimony is
    sufficiently reliable to be admitted is “Whether experts are ‘proposing to testify to matters
    growing naturally and directly out of research they have conducted independent of the litigation,
    or whether they have developed their opinions expressly for purposes of testifying.’”) (quoting
    Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 
    43 F.3d 1311
    , 1317 (9th Cir. 1995)). As the
    Ninth Circuit explained,
    That an expert testifies based on research he has conducted independent of the
    litigation provides important, objective proof that the research comports with the
    dictates of good science. For one thing, experts whose findings flow from
    existing research are less likely to have been biased toward a particular conclusion
    by the promise of remuneration; when an expert prepares reports and findings
    before being hired as a witness, that record will limit the degree to which he can
    tailor his testimony to serve a party’s interests. Then, too, independent research
    carries its own indicia of reliability, as it is conducted, so to speak, in the usual
    course of business and must normally satisfy a variety of standards to attract
    funding and institutional support.
    
    Id. (internal citations
    omitted).
    82
    Leday v. State, 
    983 S.W.2d 713
    , 718 (Tex. Crim. App. 1998); see also Valle v. State,
    
    109 S.W.3d 500
    , 509 (Tex. Crim. App. 2003) (“An error [if any] in the admission of evidence is
    cured where the same evidence comes in elsewhere without objection.”).
    Coble       Page 39
    commit acts of future violence, their psychiatric and medical assessment of appellant’s
    character for violence is remarkably similar to that of Dr. Coons.
    Furthermore, Dr. Coons’s testimony was rebutted and refuted by appellant’s expert,
    Dr. Mark Cunningham, a forensic psychologist. Although Dr. Cunningham is not a medical
    doctor, he did win the 2005 Texas Psychology Association award for his outstanding
    contribution to science and, in 2006, he was awarded the American Psychological
    Association (APA) award for distinguished contributions to research in public policy. Both
    awards were for his research concerning factors that predict violence in prison and his
    research in capital sentencing. He is also among the 2,000-3,000 psychologists elected as a
    Fellow of the APA out of the 155,000 members. He has published a significant number of
    peer-reviewed studies and articles. He testified, with a PowerPoint slide presentation to
    illustrate,83 about the violence risk assessment factors that he uses to assess the probability
    of future dangerousness in prison. His factors are based on research data from prisons, as
    well as other research and scholarly writings. He explained how his research is “scientific,”
    replicable, and less subjective: “It’s not based on my gut feeling about something. It’s based
    on what the data tells me. And so, it’s accurate. It’s reliable.”
    After explaining the various studies, data, and statistical analysis, Dr. Cunningham
    83
    His slides included statistical charts and numerous references to comprehensive
    scientific articles.
    Coble    Page 40
    concluded that appellant fell within the lowest risk-of-violence category.84 He criticized “the
    hypothetical inference” mode of predicting future dangerousness as
    entirely speculative. . . . That’s just blind guessing unless those factors have
    been demonstrated to be predictive of violence in prison. Critically important.
    . . . That’s the problem with not knowing the literature, without knowing
    anything about the scientific studies that have been done in this area is then
    you have no idea whether the factors that you’re looking at are predictive of
    anything or not.
    According to Dr. Cunningham, if “what you’re doing is basing it on your own gut and you
    haven’t done anything to check whether your gut reaction is correct or not, then your
    accuracy level never improves.”
    He pointed to appellant’s first trial as an example of the “tea-leaf-reader” school of
    subjective clinical assessments. In that trial, Dr. James Grigson,85 who used the same
    84
    The American Psychiatric Association’s 1974 Task Force report concluded,
    Predictions of “dangerousness” are judgments of a “relative risk” sort, statements
    of comparative probabilities that are usually quite low. All that may be
    reasonably concluded in most cases is that in the clinician’s experience, and from
    his knowledge of the literature, some persons are at a comparatively higher risk
    for future violence than are others.
    APA Task Force Report, supra note 63 at 31. As Judge Johnson has noted in this same context,
    A probability that a single individual will engage in a given behavior does not
    exist. The probability that does exist is the likelihood that a person like that
    individual will engage in a given behavior. . . . The proceedings in capital trials
    are on much more stable ground if the future-dangerousness witnesses are
    questioned about the probability of future violence by a person who is like the
    defendant in, for example, background, criminal history, mental status, and
    demonstrated propensity for violence against others.
    Allen v. State, No. AP-74,951, 
    2006 WL 1751227
    , *9 (Tex. Crim. App. June 28, 2006) (not
    designated for publication) (Johnson, J., concurring).
    85
    Dr. Grigson was nicknamed “Dr. Death” by the media and was one of the two
    psychiatrists whose “future dangerousness” testimony was at issue in Barefoot v. Estelle, 
    463 U.S. 880
    (1983); see Mines v. State, 
    852 S.W.2d 941
    , 949 (Tex. Crim. App. 1992).
    Coble    Page 41
    subjective methodology as Dr. Coons, testified that, in his opinion, appellant posed no risk
    of future violence: “[H]e said, the ladies and gentlemen of the jury are more likely to kill
    somebody in the future” than appellant. Dr. Coons, using that very same methodology and
    facts concerning appellant, came to exactly the opposite conclusion.86 Dr. Cunningham also
    told the jury that the major psychological associations had criticized Dr. Coons and his
    methodology as “unreliable and inconsistent with the standard of practice.” In sum, Dr.
    Cunningham refuted Dr. Coon’s expertise and the whole “tea-leaf-reader” notion of clinical
    psychiatric predictions of future dangerousness.
    Furthermore, the prosecution did not rely heavily upon Dr. Coons’s testimony during
    its closing arguments. Instead, the prosecutor emphasized his position that appellant was
    exactly the same person that he was when he killed Karen’s parents and her brother back in
    1989. He had not changed a bit.87 The prosecutor then went on to recount evidence from the
    86
    Dr. Cunningham concluded,
    Both of those represent absurd unreliable conclusions based on a completely
    unreliable method. That’s the benefit of using a subjective unreliable method is
    whatever case you go into you can say whatever you want, because it’s based on
    reading tea leaves.
    87
    The prosecutor’s theory was that “[t]his is the same person 20 years later exactly.
    There is no difference.” He explained,
    The evidence in this case, the evidence presented to you from the witness stand
    here and testified to shows that he has no remorse. He had no remorse on August
    29, 1989, when he individually killed three people and then kidnapped Karen
    Vicha and told her all about what he’d done. He had no sorrow in that at all. And
    he–he simply–he doesn’t have it. It’s not here. It’s not within him. And what did
    he do later after the unspeakable horror that he inflicted on her? There was a
    hearing in this court ten years later and she was sitting out there in the audience.
    This man turned and was glaring at her, giving her an evil smile ten years later
    after slaughtering her family and giving her heartache that lasts for a life. He’s
    Coble    Page 42
    murders themselves and appellant’s bragging to Karen afterwards. The prosecutor then
    turned to the topic of predicting future dangerousness:
    Can we predict a person’s future? Well, we absolutely can. You heard
    what Dr. Hodges said. He made an analysis of it. He talked about how he had
    a dislike of women, how he had a low opinion of them. Did he? His conduct
    was absolutely borne out. And Dr. Hodges said the prognosis is poor, and it
    was, because this person ultimately cares only about himself.
    He then recounted how Bobby’s fellow officer had predicted that appellant would commit
    some violent act after he had been arrested for kidnapping Karen before the murders. He
    then turned briefly to Dr. Coons:
    Dr. Coons examined–first he talked to [appellant] personally before the first
    trial in 1990. He interviewed him, then he gave his assessment of him. And
    the assessment is–sure, you deal with medical predictions and the training of
    psychiatrists–but it’s just common sense. If you don’t have a conscience and
    you’ve committed dangerous violent acts and you’ve shown that you have no
    regard for human beings in any form unless it’s something that serves you, of
    course, there’s a probability that you will commit criminal acts of violence.
    The prosecutor then referred to appellant’s expert psychologist, Dr. Cunningham, and how
    grinning at her. Is that any remorse? Ten years later he’s the same person that did
    the killing.
    And then in the courtroom during the trial last week, she told you that
    when she–after she burst into tears and was sobbing and looked at him, as you
    saw her do, he gave her the same smile. I got you. I hurt you. Folks, this is the
    same man that committed those murders.
    What’s another thing we can prove? He has the same unnatural
    attachment to young girls that he did when he was out in the free world molesting
    them. You’ve heard that testimony. You’ve heard what he did. There’s no
    questioning the evidence about that. And so now, what does he do in his jail cell?
    He’s got pictures of–not pinups of 30-year-old women from Playboy. He’s got
    pictures of young girls in various gymnast positions. He is the same person that
    was a molester and a murderer back on August 29, 1989.
    Coble     Page 43
    he had called Karen biased for saying that appellant twice gave her an evil grin in two
    different court appearances. The prosecutor then returned to his theme of appellant’s lack
    of conscience and how he had simply been restrained, not changed, in prison.
    The defense, in its closing argument, quickly focused on the future dangerousness
    issue as well. Counsel argued that the statistical evidence that Dr. Cunningham had
    presented made it very difficult for the prosecution to prove that appellant would commit
    future acts of violence. He compared the two experts:
    I want to talk about Dr. Coons versus Dr. Cunningham, because it really does
    sort of come down to Dr. Coons versus Dr. Cunningham. Dr. Coons is a
    likable guy. Dr. Coons does an excellent job of testifying. He seems to have
    a lot of horse sense. Okay. He seems to have a lot of common sense. That’s
    totally true. Dr. Cunningham is extremely long-winded. Okay. He has a hard
    time sort of answering a question directly. I recognize those facts. But that’s
    because he is a scientist.88 All right. And Dr. Cunningham talked about being
    a scientist and what that means. What that means is, I don’t just look at the
    evidence and make a wild guess. Okay. I’m not a tea-leaf reader. I’m not a
    guy who says, well, I’m just going to depend on my–my experience and say
    this person is a future danger–okay–without going back and checking my
    work, without quantifying things, without being able to say, you know, I’m
    correct to this certain quantum of correctness. . . . So he’s a scientist. A
    scientist comes up with an idea, a theory. Okay. He tests that theory. He
    doesn’t just test the theory, but he also gives his data to other scientists to look
    at, so they can test his theory. Then he goes back and double-checks his work.
    Then he thinks, now, maybe there’s a weakness in my own argument that I’ve
    already made. Let’s go back and double-check that weakness and see it that
    changes our numbers or does that reinforce our numbers. All right. So that’s
    what a scientist is supposed to do.
    Do you remember Dr. Coons’s testimony? Dr. Coons, do you check
    88
    Defense counsel had already explained why he had called Dr. Cunningham: “Because
    Dr. Cunningham is the leading scientist in this field. All right. Out of every scientist who is
    looking at these numbers, out of every scientist who is studying this issue, he’s the leading guy.”
    Coble    Page 44
    your work? Not really. Dr. Coons, do you remember going back and looking
    at the records of people that you have predicted are going to be a future danger
    to see if they really were? Well, I’m sure I’ve done it, but I can’t tell you who
    I’ve done it with. In other words, he’s a guy who is completely uninterested
    in whether he’s correct or not. . . .
    . . . How can he ever get better? How can he establish for the jury that
    his opinion is reliable? He can’t because he’s not a scientist. He’s a tea-leaf
    reader.
    The defense then recapped Dr. Cunningham’s testimony which had been that appellant
    posed an extremely low risk of committing future acts of violence because (1) he is well-
    adjusted to institutional life; (2) he is sixty years old and thus has “aged out” of his violent
    years; (3) he has performed many positive acts and developed a positive attitude toward
    fellow inmates; (4) he is serving a very long sentence and “40 years of tests” show that long-
    term inmates are statistically less likely to commit acts of aggression than are “short-
    termers;” (5) he has a GED and additional work certificates; and (6) he has continuing family
    ties to the community. All of these factors are supported by “the numbers that exist in reality.
    These are the official numbers. So he’s not making up the numbers. He’s a scientist. He’s
    just reporting what the data is.”       The defense concluded its discussion of “future
    dangerousness,” with the statement that “Dr. Cunningham’s conclusions are very appropriate
    and very reasonable and scientific and provable as opposed to Dr. Coons’s conclusions,
    which are nonscientific and not provable. Okay. And even if they were provable, he hasn’t
    bothered to go out and try to prove them.” Counsel then moved on to the mitigation issue
    and appellant’s miserable childhood and youth.
    During his final argument, the prosecutor mentioned Dr. Coons very briefly by
    Coble    Page 45
    reminding the jury that another psychiatrist, Dr. Hodges, had talked to appellant back in 1964
    and “he looked at him and listened to his answers” and reached the conclusion that appellant
    was “extremely hostile to women, very low opinion of women, has poor control, very low
    self-esteem. Projects a great deal of responsibility for his own actions on other people. It
    was Karen’s fault that she got kidnapped. It was Karen’s fault because she stood up to him.
    And it ruined his life. So it was her fault. And he had to extract revenge on her and he did
    it in the most brutal, the most selfish way he possibly could.” The prosecutor then referred
    to the military doctor’s assessment from 1967, with both doctors reaching the “same common
    sense assessment” of appellant.
    Based upon the complete record of this case, we find that the error in admitting Dr.
    Coons’s testimony did not affect appellant’s substantial right to a fair sentencing hearing
    because
    (1)    There was ample other evidence supporting a finding that there was a
    probability that appellant would commit future acts of violence;89
    89
    See Motilla v. State, 
    78 S.W.3d 352
    , 356-57 (Tex. Crim. App. 2002) (reiterating that
    “overwhelming evidence” of guilt is one consideration in deciding whether improper admission
    of evidence was harmful in a particular case); Sanne v. State, 
    609 S.W.2d 762
    , 773-74 (Tex.
    Crim. App. 1980) (erroneous admission of expert opinion testimony by forensic pathologist
    concerning “future dangerousness” in capital murder trial was harmless even under constitutional
    harmless error rule because there was ample evidence of defendant’s prior criminal acts of
    violence and facts of capital murder; other evidence demonstrated defendant’s “antisocial
    personality” and thus “the minds of an average jury would not have found the State’s case (on the
    second punishment issue) less persuasive” had witness’s testimony been excluded) (internal
    quotation marks omitted); Redmon v. State, 
    828 P.2d 395
    , 400 (Nev. 1992) (erroneous
    admission of “highly unreliable” psychiatric evidence of “future dangerousness” in capital
    murder trial was harmless because record contained “plentiful other evidence from which [the
    factfinder] could reasonably infer appellant’s future dangerousness”), overruled on other grounds
    by Alford v. State, 
    906 P.2d 714
    (Nev. 1995).
    Coble    Page 46
    (2)    The same basic psychiatric evidence of appellant’s character for violence was
    admissible and admitted, without objection, through other, entirely objective,
    independent medical sources–the reports by Dr. Hodges and the military doctor
    years before appellant committed these murders;90
    (3)    Dr. Coons’s opinion was not particularly powerful, certain, or strong;91 his
    opinion, coming after an extremely long and convoluted hypothetical was
    simply that “there is a probability that” appellant would be a continuing threat
    to society by committing criminal acts of violence;
    (4)    Dr. Coons’s testimony was effectively rebutted and refuted by Dr.
    Cunningham, who not only relied upon specifically listed scientific materials
    and data during his testimony, but who also noted that Dr. Coons and his
    methodology had been criticized by both the American and Texas
    Psychological Associations; and
    (5)    The State barely mentioned Dr. Coons during closing argument and did not
    emphasize him or his opinions.
    Given these particular circumstances, we conclude that the error in admitting Dr. Coons’s
    testimony did not have a “substantial and injurious” effect upon the jury’s deliberations
    concerning the future dangerousness special issue.92 We therefore overrule points of error
    90
    See Leday v. State, 
    983 S.W.2d 713
    , 718 (Tex. Crim. App. 1998).
    91
    Compare Cook v. State, 
    821 S.W.2d 600
    , 602 (Tex. Crim. App. 1991) (given its
    strength and character, admission of psychiatrist’s testimony was harmful error; expert (1)
    testified that defendant had “an antisocial personality disorder termed sociopath”; (2) opined that
    defendant “certainly will, from a medical psychiatric standpoint probability, continue to behave
    and act in a way that does represent a very serious threat to the people within our society”; and
    (3) concluded that defendant would be an “‘extremely severe’” threat to others: “‘You can’t
    come any more severe than that. If I had the least doubt, if I had any question in my mind, I
    certainly would not mind telling you that. I feel absolutely one hundred percent certain that he is
    and will continue to be a threat no matter where he is.’”).
    92
    See King v. State, 
    953 S.W.2d 266
    , 271-73 (Tex. Crim. App. 1997) (harmless error in
    erroneous admission of hearsay disciplinary reports; reports “did not have a substantial or
    injurious influence on the jury’s decision” concerning future dangerousness special issue because
    (1) properly admitted evidence showed an escalating pattern of disregard for the law; (2) the
    Coble    Page 47
    three, four, and five.
    The Admissibility of A.P. Merillat’s Testimony
    In his sixth point of error, appellant claims that the trial court erred in admitting the
    testimony of A.P. Merillat, an investigator for the Special Prosecution Unit, about the Texas
    prison classification system and violence in prison. Appellant argues that: (1) Mr. Merillat’s
    testimony was irrelevant as it did not relate to appellant personally, and (2) this witness
    testified to information that was already common knowledge among jurors. The State argues
    that Mr. Merillat’s rebuttal testimony was relevant to refute Dr. Cunningham’s statistical data
    and to impeach the accuracy of his “low risk” future dangerousness prediction.93 We agree
    that Mr. Merillat’s testimony was admissible as rebuttal “educator-expert” evidence.
    On voir dire, Mr. Merillat stated that his testimony is based on his specialized
    knowledge of Texas prisons and prison violence during his nineteen years as a criminal
    investigator with the Special Prosecution Unit. He proposed to testify concerning the under-
    reporting of prison violence in official data compilations, the prison classification system,
    and the opportunities for violence inside prison.
    The trial judge allowed Mr. Merillat’s testimony, although he granted appellant’s
    motion in limine to avoid mention of any specific instances of misconduct by other inmates
    offense itself was particularly brutal; (3) after the murder, the defendant bragged that he would
    kill again; and (4) the State did not emphasize the documents during closing argument).
    93
    In the trial court, the State noted, “We have all of these statistics that Dr. Cunningham
    relied upon and we have a right to show that there’s a substantial reason to believe that they may
    be inaccurate.”
    Coble     Page 48
    except for one anecdote concerning an inmate’s forced starvation death which served as “a
    great example for underreporting of violence.”
    Mr. Merillat then testified before the jury about the inmate classification system and
    the under-reporting of violence in prison. He also described administrative segregation and
    how it is used as “punitive housing” for recalcitrant inmates. Mr. Merillat explained why the
    official prison statistics used by Dr. Cunningham are not completely reliable: (1) the prison
    reporting system does not match the penal code definitions of “violent” behavior;94 and (2)
    not all incidents of inmate-on-inmate incidents of violence are reported. Finally, he told the
    jury that, in the last few years, his unit had prosecuted 94 inmates who were serving life
    sentences for capital murder for both assaultive and non-assaultive felonies.
    On cross-examination, Mr. Merillat agreed that he knew nothing about appellant
    except that his office had never prosecuted him. He agreed that he was not qualified to
    express any opinion regarding appellant’s “future dangerousness.” He also explained how
    death row inmates “had the run of the row” and could work in the garment factory when
    death row was in the Ellis Unit. Mr. Merillat agreed that the point of his testimony was that
    there are abundant opportunities for inmates to be either violent or good, depending upon
    their own decisions.
    94
    For example, Mr. Merillat said that the official TDCJ statistics define serious assaults
    on staff as only those that result in injuries requiring more than first aid. Thus, while the official
    prison data showed 78 serious assaults on staff for 2007, the Special Prosecution Unit prosecuted
    197 assaults against prison staff members. Similarly, there is no official prison data entry for
    homicides of prison guards in the line of duty because it is not an inmate death.
    Coble   Page 49
    Appellant asserts that the primary subject of Mr. Merillat’s testimony–opportunities
    for violence in prison–is within the common knowledge of the jurors. Indeed, most jurors
    probably have some understanding that violence can and does occur in prison, but a trial
    court need not exclude expert testimony when the general subject matter is within the
    comprehension of the average juror, as long as the witness has some specialized knowledge
    on the topic that will “assist” the jury.95 It is only when the expert offers no appreciable aid
    that his testimony fails to meet the Rule 702 standard.96 The question under Rule 702 is not
    whether the jurors know something about this subject, but whether the expert can expand
    their understanding in a relevant way.
    In this case, Mr. Merillat confined his testimony to specific information about the
    operations of the Texas prison system and the opportunities for violence or productive
    behavior. His expert testimony was intended to (1) educate the jury about an area in which
    it lacked a thorough understanding;97 and (2) cast doubt upon the official prison data that Dr.
    95
    See Duckett v. State, 
    797 S.W.2d 906
    , 914 (Tex. Crim. App. 1990) (under Rule 702, if
    “specialized knowledge will assist the jury to understand the evidence or will assist them to
    determine a fact in issue, an expert may be allowed to provide the jury with the benefit of that
    knowledge. Two themes are prevalent within the language of the rule. First, the jury must not be
    qualified to intelligently and to the best possible degree determine the particular issue without
    benefit of the expert witness’ specialized knowledge. Second, the clear meaning of the rule must
    be observed. . . . The use of expert testimony must be limited to situations in which the expert’s
    knowledge and experience on a relevant issue are beyond that of an average juror.”) (internal
    citation omitted).
    96
    See, e.g., Pierce v. State, 
    777 S.W.2d 399
    , 414 (Tex. Crim. App. 1989).
    97
    See, e.g., Fielder v. State, 
    756 S.W.2d 309
    , 321 (Tex. Crim. App. 1988) (defense expert
    should have been allowed to testify about why a woman who was physically and sexually abused
    would continue to stay with an abusive husband because the “average lay person has no basis for
    Coble     Page 50
    Cunningham relied upon. Mr. Merillat acted “as an advisor to the jury, much like a
    consultant might advise a business[.]” 98 Because Mr. Merillat’s testimony was educator-
    expertise information designed to “assist” the jury under Rule 702, the trial judge did not
    abuse his discretion in admitting it. Point of error six is overruled.
    In point of error seven, appellant contends that the trial court erred by allowing Mr.
    Merillat to testify to hearsay information in violation of the Confrontation Clause 99 and of
    the Texas Rules of Evidence. Out of six instances in which appellant claims that Mr.
    Merillat testified to hearsay information, we have found only three trial objections based on
    hearsay or the Confrontation Clause. We will address only those three instances:
    (1)    Appellant objected on the basis of hearsay to Mr. Merillat’s statement that 78
    serious staff assaults were documented in the official prison report that Dr.
    Cunningham had used as the basis for his statistical analysis;
    (2)    Appellant objected on the basis of hearsay and the Confrontation Clause to Mr.
    Merillat’s explanation of why inmate-on-inmate violence is under-reported–
    nobody wants to be a “snitch” which is the “very lowest form of life in the
    penitentiary”; and
    understanding the conduct of a woman who endures an abusive relationship”); see also FED . R.
    EVID . 702 advisory committee note (“Most of the literature assumes that experts testify only in
    the form of opinions. The assumption is logically unfounded. The rule accordingly recognizes
    that an expert on the stand may give a dissertation or exposition of scientific or other principles
    relevant to the case, leaving the trier of fact to apply them to the facts.”).
    98
    2 STEPHEN SALTZBURG ET AL., FEDERAL RULES OF EVIDENCE MANUAL 1250 (7th ed.
    1998).
    99
    Appellant’s Confrontation Clause objection is based on his assertion that Mr. Merillat’s
    testimony involved “testimonial hearsay” statements. See Crawford v. Washington, 
    541 U.S. 36
    ,
    51 (2004). If the testimony did not involve hearsay, it ineluctably follows that it did not involve
    “testimonial hearsay.”
    Coble    Page 51
    (3)      Appellant objected on the basis of hearsay and an inability to confront and
    cross-examine when Mr. Merillat cited the story of an inmate who had been
    beaten and starved to death by his stronger, gang-member cellmate, as an
    example of why and when fellow inmates fail to report acts of violence.
    The trial judge properly overruled these three hearsay and confrontation objections.
    Hearsay is an out-of-court statement by a person offered for the truth of the matter
    asserted.100 None of these three pieces of testimony fits that definition. In the first, Mr.
    Merillat was not offering his statement of the official prison data compilation of “78 serious
    staff assaults” for the truth of the matter asserted–that there were 78 serious staff assaults in
    the previous year. Quite the reverse. Mr. Merillat’s point was that the official number of 78
    was significantly lower than the actual number of serious assaults and thus the official prison
    statistics that Dr. Cunningham used as the basis for his expert opinion were inaccurate.101
    In the second, the testimony concerning why assaults upon inmates aren’t reported “because
    by telling on the person who did it, they are going to be much worse off[,]” Mr. Merillat did
    not disclose any out-of-court statement.102         He was simply explaining, as a general
    proposition, why inmates do not “snitch” on each other. In the third, the inmate who was
    beaten and starved to death, appellant does not point to any out-of-court statement. There
    100
    T    EX . R. EVID .   801(d).
    101
    See, e.g., Bell v. State, 
    877 S.W.2d 21
    , 24 (Tex. App.–Dallas 1994, pet. ref’d) (“If the
    out-of-court statement is relevant only if the trier of fact believes that the statement was both
    truthful and accurate, then the statement is hearsay. If the relevancy of the statement does not
    hinge on the truthfulness of the statement, it is not hearsay.”).
    102
    Appellant’s objection would have merit if Mr. Merillat had testified, “Cool Hand Luke
    told me that he would never be a snitch for Dragline.”
    Coble    Page 52
    is none. Mr. Merillat was recounting an event, not a verbal or written statement. He may
    have first heard of the event by someone telling him of it,103 but he did not recite or imply
    any out-of-court statements.104 Because the trial judge did not abuse his discretion in
    overruling appellant’s hearsay and confrontation objections, we overrule point of error seven.
    In his eighth point of error, appellant asserts that Mr. Merillat’s testimony was
    inadmissible because of the Eighth Amendment’s “heightened reliability” requirement in
    capital murder prosecutions.       Appellant fails to cite any authority for increasing the
    admissibility requirements for evidence in a capital murder sentencing trial. Indeed, some
    state and federal courts have suggested that the Confrontation Clause, the Rules of Evidence,
    and the rule against hearsay do not apply with full force in capital murder sentencing trials.105
    103
    Mr. Merillat testified, however, that he investigated this case and “worked the trial of
    the person responsible” for the prison death, so he would have first-hand knowledge of at least
    the events that he briefly described.
    104
    When appellant objected that “the gruesome details of how some other individual
    tortured some other individual has nothing to do with the jury’s decision here,” presumably
    invoking Rules 401-403, the trial judge sustained his objection, and the prosecutor moved on.
    105
    See United States v. Fields, 
    483 F.3d 313
    , 332 (5th Cir. 2007) (“Here we are asked to
    decide whether the confrontation right applies with full force throughout capital sentencing,
    despite the fact that it is nonexistent at ordinary sentencing. Given that, as shown above, no other
    Sixth Amendment right has been applied (vel non) differently at capital sentencing from how it is
    applied at noncapital sentencing, there is little reason to establish divergent rules with regard to
    the confrontation right when the sentencing authority is selecting a sentence from within an
    authorized range. On the basis of the Supreme Court’s consistent treatment of Sixth Amendment
    rights across capital and noncapital cases alone, we find unpersuasive the dissent’s textual
    argument for why the Confrontation Clause should extend through the entirety of the capital
    sentencing process, in light of the fact that the jury right extends only as far as the eligibility
    determination.”), cert. denied, 
    522 U.S. 1144
    (2008); see also United States v. Johnson, 378 F.
    Supp. 2d 1051, 1059-62 (N.D. Iowa 2005) (questioning whether the Confrontation Clause
    applies in capital sentencing phase); State v. Johnson, 
    284 S.W.3d 561
    , 583-84 (Mo. 2009) (no
    Coble    Page 53
    We express no opinion on that matter, but we reject appellant’s Eighth Amendment claim
    and therefore overrule point of error eight.
    Emotional Outbursts by Two Witnesses
    In points of error nine and ten, appellant claims that the trial court erred in denying
    his motion for a mistrial when Karen Vicha and Lorna Sawyer made separate emotional
    outbursts during the punishment trial. In each case, the trial judge sustained appellant’s
    objection to the outburst and instructed the jury to disregard the remarks. We conclude that
    the trial court did not abuse his discretion in these rulings.
    During Karen Vicha’s testimony describing what appellant told her about how he had
    chased and shot her brother, she explained that
    [Appellant] started talking about–he told me, you’re pretty tough, you put up
    a good fight with that gun. And he said, your brother thought–he said, your
    brother thought he was tough too. He said, all cops think they’re tough, but he
    thought he was really tough. He said–he said–he told me he said, all I was
    trying to do was keep you away from my sister. And he said, I finally had to
    shut him up and blow a hole that big in his neck.
    At that point, Karen broke down crying and said, “And I hate you for making me go through
    abuse of discretion to admit written victim impact statement in capital murder sentencing trial
    over hearsay and confrontation objections). In Fields, the Fifth Circuit explained that in
    Woodson v. North Carolina, 
    428 U.S. 280
    , 305 (1976),
    The [Supreme] Court explained that the need for greater reliability in the selection
    of an appropriate punishment entails not stricter evidentiary rules, but the
    assurance of “individualized sentencing” once a defendant is eligible for the
    death penalty.
    
    Fields, 483 F.3d at 336
    .
    Coble    Page 54
    this again and my kids. You’re mean.” The trial judge immediately called a recess.106 When
    the jury returned, the trial judge instructed them: “Ladies and gentlemen of the jury, at this
    time I am going to give you an instruction to disregard the last comment of the witness and
    not consider it for any purpose whatsoever.” He denied appellant’s motion for mistrial, and
    the prosecutor continued with his questions.
    After six more witnesses had testified, the State called Lorna Sawyer, appellant’s
    cousin. As soon as she had been sworn in, but before any questioning, she burst out, “Evil
    piece of shit.” The defense immediately responded: “Judge we object. Call for a mistrial.
    Request an instruction to disregard. Call for a mistrial.” The Judge said, “I’ll instruct the
    jury to disregard the last comment of the witness,” and Ms. Sawyer said, “Sorry.” When
    appellant then requested that she be excluded as a witness, the trial judge took a recess.107
    106
    While the jury was out, defense counsel explained what had happened:
    We would like to note for the record that the last comment of the witness
    was–was made with the witness in a very tearful state. What the witness did was
    to turn in her chair, look directly at [appellant] and say something along the lines
    of, I hate you for making me go through this. That was an unsolicited comment
    not made in response to any of the Government’s questions. So at this time, we
    would ask the Court to rule that’s an inadmissible statement and not relevant and
    unfairly prejudicial and we would like to ask the Court to instruct the jury to dis–
    disregard the last remark.
    The prosecutor agreed that, although it was “spontaneous,” and “in response to the emotion of
    the moment,” it would be appropriate to instruct the jury. The defense then asked for a mistrial,
    based on Rule 403, the Fifth Amendment, Sixth Amendment and the Eighth Amendment.
    107
    During the recess, appellant reiterated his objection under Rule 403 and stated, “I think
    it’s completely poisoned the jury, this display of emotion, something that not even the–the
    complainants–you know, the Vicha family did, I think the jury’s going to be unfairly influenced
    by that to the point that [appellant] now can’t get a fair trial.” The record reflects that the witness
    then made a laughing sound. The trial judge said that he would instruct the jury to disregard the
    comment, and he admonished the witness to answer only the questions that are asked and to “not
    Coble    Page 55
    When the jury returned, Ms. Sawyer testified that appellant offered her a job at a
    drive-in theater when she was 16. She had worked there for about two and a half weeks when
    appellant picked her up for work, but he took her to his house and raped her instead. She was
    so scared that she had never told anyone, except her sister, about this experience. When the
    prosecutor asked Ms. Sawyer if she was still afraid of appellant, the following occurred:
    Witness:        Actually, uh, without being ugly, I’d like to go there and just knock the shit out
    of him.
    Defense:        Judge, I’m, going to have to object, Your Honor.           I think that was an
    inappropriate comment.
    Witness:        It is not inappropriate.
    Defense:        I’d object to the sidebar from the witness. Judge. I’d ask that–the jury to
    disregard.
    Court:          The jury is instructed to disregard the last comment of the witness and not
    consider it for any purpose.
    Defense:        I’d ask for a mistrial, You Honor.
    Court:          That’s denied.
    State:          Lorna–
    Witness:        I’m sorry, I’m sorry.
    And the testimony then continued.
    Appellant argues that these outbursts, individually or collectively, unfairly influenced
    the jury and that influence could not be limited by an instruction to disregard.
    make any voluntary statements.”
    Coble    Page 56
    A trial judge’s denial of a motion for mistrial is reviewed under an abuse of discretion
    standard,108 and his ruling must be upheld if it was within the zone of reasonable
    disagreement.109 We have held that an outburst from a bystander or witness “which interferes
    with the normal proceedings of a trial will not result in reversible error unless the defendant
    shows that a reasonable probability [exists] that the conduct interfered with the jury’s
    verdict.” 110 In the context of such outbursts, the trial judge’s instructions to disregard are
    generally considered sufficient to cure the impropriety because it is presumed that the jury
    will follow those instructions.111
    Appellant relies upon Stahl v. State112 for his claim that the judge’s instruction to
    disregard the spontaneous outbursts could not have cured their prejudicial effect and those
    outbursts must have interfered with the jury’s verdict. But Stahl was decided upon the basis
    of prosecutorial misconduct, not merely the witness’s emotional outburst. In Stahl, the
    108
    Gamboa v. State, 
    296 S.W.3d 574
    , 580 (Tex. Crim. App. 2009).
    109
    Ocon v. State, 
    284 S.W.3d 880
    , 884 (Tex. Crim. App. 2009).
    110
    Stahl v. State, 
    749 S.W.2d 826
    , 829 (Tex. Crim. App. 1988) (internal quotation marks
    omitted) (quoting Landry v. State, 
    706 S.W.2d 105
    , 112 (Tex. Crim. App. 1985)).
    111
    
    Gamboa, 296 S.W.3d at 580
    ; (capital murder defendant not entitled to a mistrial based
    on an outburst by the victim’s family member, shouting “You did this for 200 dollars?”, during
    the testimony of a prosecution witness); Brown v. State, 
    92 S.W.3d 655
    , 661 (Tex. App.–Dallas
    2002) (victim’s father’s outburst of “Give my son justice, please[,]” during murder trial cured by
    trial judge’s instructions to disregard his comment), aff’d on other grounds, 
    122 S.W.3d 794
    (Tex. Crim. App. 2003); Matthews v. State, 
    960 S.W.2d 750
    , 757 (Tex. App.–Tyler 1997, no
    pet.) (outburst by manslaughter victim’s brother contradicting defense attorney’s question about
    whether the victim’s car stereo was on was cured by the judge’s instruction to disregard).
    112
    
    749 S.W.2d 826
    (Tex. Crim. App. 1988).
    Coble    Page 57
    prosecutor called the victim’s mother to the stand, knowing that she was prone to emotional
    outbursts, and asked her to identify a photograph of her dead son.113 She burst into tears and
    yelled, “Oh, my god. My baby. My God. . . . May he rest in hell. May he burn in hell. Oh,
    my baby.” 114 The judge instructed the jury to disregard, but the prosecutor “exacerbated”
    the impact by repeatedly referring to the incident in closing argument.115 The prosecutor’s
    “deliberate” and “persistent” conduct, “in direct contravention of prior rulings by the judge”
    indicated “a desire to impermissibly sway the jury.” 116 Indeed, the court of appeals had
    suggested that the Stahl prosecutor “actually orchestrated the original outburst.” 117
    In this case, however, there is no suggestion that the prosecutor anticipated the short
    emotional outburst by Ms. Vicha in the middle of her lengthy testimony or the entirely
    inappropriate start of Ms. Sawyer’s testimony. In the first instance, the prosecutor agreed
    with the correctness of an instruction to disregard and, in the second, he did not attempt to
    justify Ms. Sawyer’s outburst.118 The trial judge immediately instructed the jury to disregard
    113
    
    Id. at 828.
           114
    
    Id. at 828-29.
           115
    
    Id. at 830
    (“The persistent appeals in the face of adverse rulings speak loudly of the
    prosecutor’s desire to use the outburst for inflammatory purposes.”).
    116
    
    Id. at 830
    -31.
    117
    
    Id. at 826-27.
           118
    Ms. Sawyer could charitably be called a “feisty” witness, and both the prosecutor and
    defense had difficulty controlling her nonresponsive answers. She was quickly excused.
    Coble    Page 58
    those outbursts, and we must presume that the jurors followed these instructions.119 The
    prosecution did not refer to, or attempt to capitalize upon, the outbursts during closing
    arguments. Furthermore, they occurred during the sentencing stage of a capital murder trial,
    not the guilt stage as in Stahl. At the punishment hearing, evidence of the defendant’s
    character is both relevant and admissible as is the opinion testimony concerning good or bad
    character traits by those who know him.120 Obviously, character evidence must be offered
    in a proper form and be responsive to specific questions, so these outbursts were not proper,
    but their potential for prejudice was less than had they occurred during the guilt phase of a
    trial.
    Because we conclude that nothing in the record suggests that the outbursts were of
    such a nature that the jury could not follow the trial judge’s instructions to disregard them,121
    we overrule appellant’s points of error nine and ten.
    The Admission of the Hearsay Statement by a Witness’s Sister
    In his eleventh point of error, appellant claims that the trial judge erred in admitting
    Amy Zuniga’s testimony that her sister, Karen, told her that appellant was looking in her
    bedroom window as she was dressing. Appellant objected to hearsay, but the trial judge
    119
    See 
    Gamboa, 296 S.W.3d at 580
    .
    120
    See TEX . CODE CRIM . PROC. art. 37.071, § 2(a)(1); see also Martinez v. State, 
    924 S.W.2d 693
    , 696 n.6 (Tex. Crim. App. 1996); Jones v. State, 
    944 S.W.2d 642
    , 652-53 (Tex.
    Crim. App. 1996).
    121
    See 
    Gamboa, 296 S.W.3d at 580
    .
    Coble    Page 59
    admitted Amy’s testimony as both an excited utterance and a present sense impression. We
    conclude that the trial judge did not abuse his discretion in finding that Karen’s out-of-court
    statement was admissible as an excited utterance exception to the hearsay rule.122
    Amy Zuniga testified that appellant was her uncle and, when she was young, she
    thought he was a model of how a parent should be because he was so nice to his own son.
    However, Amy changed her mind about appellant when she was fifteen. She explained that
    one day she was sitting in a rocking chair in her nightgown, when appellant came in and
    pulled her legs apart; then he made “a vulgar display like he was licking me” between her
    legs. After that, she avoided him. But right before appellant moved into Amy’s mother’s
    home shortly before the murders, Amy came out of the shower and was changing her clothes
    in her bedroom when she heard a “commotion from the kitchen, a beating on the window.”
    Then Karen ran through Amy’s bedroom door from the kitchen, went outside through her
    back bedroom door, and started yelling. Amy peeked out through the curtains and saw
    appellant driving off in his truck. Then Karen came back inside, “very mad and frustrated.
    She was red, angry.” Karen told Amy that she had seen appellant outside looking through
    the curtains as Amy was dressing.
    The trial judge admitted Karen’s out-of-court statement to Amy based on it being both
    an excited utterance and a present sense impression. We need examine its admissibility only
    under the excited utterance exception. An excited utterance is a statement that relates to a
    122
    T     EX . R. EVID .   803(2).
    Coble    Page 60
    startling event or condition, and it is made when the declarant is still under the stress of
    excitement caused by the event or condition.123
    Appellant contends that Karen’s statement was not admissible as an excited utterance
    because there was no showing that she was in the “grip of violent emotion, excitement or
    pain.” 124 She was angry, not excited. The critical question, however, is not the specific type
    of emotion that the declarant is dominated by–anger, fear, happiness–but whether the
    declarant was still dominated by the emotion caused by the startling event when she spoke.125
    Appellant also argues that Karen’s statement was not admissible because there was no
    independent evidence of the startling event–appellant’s “Peeping Tom” conduct. Appellant
    cites to a Texas Supreme Court case, Richardson v. Green,126 which applied the common-law
    “res gestae” rule. But Rule 803(2) changed the common law; the current rule does not
    require independent evidence of the exciting event before the trial judge may admit the
    123
    Id.; see McCarty v. State, 
    257 S.W.3d 238
    , 239 (Tex. Crim. App. 2008); Zuliani v.
    State, 
    97 S.W.3d 589
    , 596 (Tex. Crim. App. 2003).
    124
    King v. State, 
    631 S.W.2d 486
    , 491 (Tex. Crim. App. 1982).
    125
    
    Zuliani, 97 S.W.3d at 596
    ; see also Apolinar v. State, 
    155 S.W.3d 184
    , 190 (Tex.
    Crim. App. 2005) (declarant was “animated, angry, and excited” when he made statement about
    aggravated assault); see also United States v. Jennings, 
    496 F.3d 344
    , 348-49 (4th Cir. 2007)
    (statements by 13-year-old airline passenger who was “shocked, angry, and confused” by
    defendant-passenger’s groping of her inner thigh were admissible under FED . R. EVID . 803(2)),
    cert. denied, 
    552 U.S. 1214
    (2008).
    126
    
    677 S.W.2d 497
    , 500 (Tex. 1984) (“To be admissible as res gestae a statement must be
    shown to have been a spontaneous reaction to an exciting event, and there must be independent
    proof of the occurrence to which the statements relate; the statements themselves cannot be used
    to prove the exciting event.”).
    Coble    Page 61
    declarant’s statements relating to that event.127 The trial judge decides, under Rule 104(a),
    whether there is sufficient evidence to prove an exciting event, and he may consider the
    statement itself in making that decision.128 Here, for example, the trial judge could consider
    the evidence that Amy said that she (1) heard her sister banging on the kitchen window, (2)
    saw Karen run through her bedroom and out the door, and (3) saw appellant driving off just
    before Karen returned to tell her that appellant was peeping in her bedroom window. That
    evidence, when combined with Karen’s statement, would support a finding of the startling
    event–appellant’s “Peeping Tom” conduct.129
    Because we conclude that the trial court did not abuse his discretion in admitting
    Karen’s excited utterance, we overrule appellant’s eleventh point of error.
    Miscellaneous Claims
    A.     Limitation of Voir Dire Questions
    127
    See 2 STEVEN GOODE, OLIN GUY WELLBORN , III, & M. MICHAEL SHARLOT , GUIDE TO
    THE TEXAS RULES OF EVIDENCE : CIVIL AND CRIMINAL § 803.3, at 132-33 (2d ed. 1993) (stating
    that Rule 803(2) overturns prior Texas law on the need for independent evidence of the startling
    event); DAVID A. SCHLUETER & ROBERT R. BARTON , TEXAS RULES OF EVIDENCE MANUAL §
    803.02[3][d], at 852-53 (8th ed. 2009); see also FED . R. EVID . 803(2), advisory committee note;
    Christopher B. Mueller & Laird C. Kirkpatrick, Federal Evidence § 436, at 405-06 (2d ed. 1994).
    128
    See United States v. Moore, 
    791 F.2d 566
    , 570-71 & n.1 (7th Cir. 1986) (stating that
    the “appearance, behavior and condition of the declarant may establish that a startling event
    occurred. Further, the declaration itself may establish that a startling event occurred.”) (citations
    omitted); see also United States v. Brown, 
    254 F.3d 454
    , 459-60 (3d Cir. 2001) (collecting cases
    and scholarly authority to support its conclusion that “an excited utterance may itself be
    sufficient to establish that a startling event occurred and that the question whether corroborating
    evidence independent of the declaration is needed in a given case to establish the occurrence of
    such an event is committed to the discretion of the trial judge.”).
    129
    See 
    Moore, 791 F.2d at 570-71
    & n.1.
    Coble     Page 62
    In his twelfth point of error, appellant claims that the trial court erred in limiting his
    voir dire by refusing to allow him to question the jurors about the mitigation value of specific
    facts, including evidence of a troubled childhood, mental illness or extreme emotional
    distress, community service, age, kindness to others, work ethic, or military service. The
    State objected, citing Standefer v. State,130 Sells v. State,131 and Wingo v. State,132 and stated
    that these were commitment questions. The trial judge sustained the State’s objections, but
    allowed more general mitigation questions about whether there was anything that the jurors
    “could consider under the circumstances of having found [appellant] a future danger to
    society which might merit a life penalty.”
    In Raby v. State, we rejected appellant’s claim that he is entitled to ask potential jurors
    in a death penalty case about what specific evidence that juror could or would consider as
    mitigating.133 We stated that “[a] trial court does not abuse its discretion by refusing to allow
    a defendant to ask venire members questions based on facts peculiar to the case on trial (e.g.
    questions about particular mitigating evidence).” 134 Appellant does not persuade us that Raby
    130
    
    59 S.W.3d 177
    , 180 (Tex. Crim. App. 2001).
    131
    
    121 S.W.3d 748
    , 755-58 (Tex. Crim. App. 2003).
    132
    
    189 S.W.3d 270
    , 270-72 (Tex. Crim. App. 2006).
    133
    Raby v. State, 
    970 S.W.2d 1
    , 3 (Tex. Crim. App. 1998) (“[T]he law does not require a
    juror to consider any particular piece of evidence as mitigating; all the law requires is that a
    defendant be allowed to present relevant mitigating evidence and that the jury be provided a
    vehicle to give mitigating effect to that evidence if the jury finds it to be mitigating.”).
    134
    
    Id. (citing Green
    v. State, 
    912 S.W.2d 189
    (Tex. Crim. App. 1995)); see also Davis v.
    State, 
    313 S.W.3d 317
    , 346 (Tex. Crim. App. 2010) (following Raby and holding that the trial
    Coble    Page 63
    was wrongly decided. We therefore overrule appellant’s twelfth point of error.
    B.     The Mitigation Instruction
    In his thirteenth point of error, appellant claims that the trial court erred by refusing
    to instruct the jurors that they need not unanimously agree on what particular evidence
    supports an affirmative finding on the mitigation issue. Appellant invokes Mills v.
    Maryland 135 in support of his argument. We addressed and rejected this same argument in
    Segundo v. State,136 and appellant has not persuaded us that Segundo was wrongly decided.
    We overrule his thirteenth point of error.
    C.     The Definition of Mitigating Evidence
    In his fourteenth and fifteenth points of error, appellant argues that the trial court
    should not have given the jury the statutory definition of mitigating evidence “as evidence
    that a juror might regard as reducing the defendant’s moral blameworthiness.” 137 This same
    court does not abuse his discretion in finding that appellant’s questioning consider specific
    mitigation evidence was an improper commitment question); Rosales v. State, 
    4 S.W.3d 228
    , 233
    (Tex. Crim. App. 1999) (“This Court has held on numerous occasions that an appellant is not
    entitled to voir dire prospective jurors on whether they could consider particular types of
    mitigating evidence during the capital sentencing phase.”).
    135
    
    486 U.S. 367
    (1988).
    136
    
    270 S.W.3d 79
    , 102-03 (Tex. Crim. App. 2008).
    137
    T EX . CODE CRIM . PROC. art. 37.0711, § 3(f)(3) (“The court shall charge the jury that,
    in answering the issue submitted under Subsection (e) of this section [the mitigation issue], the
    jury . . . shall consider mitigating evidence that a juror might regard as reducing the defendant’s
    moral blameworthiness.”).
    Coble     Page 64
    claim was rejected in Roberts v. State,138 and appellant’s arguments do not persuade us to
    overrule that case. He also contends that the trial judge should have instructed the jury that
    there need be no nexus between the mitigating evidence and the capital murder because the
    mandatory statutory definition, he argues, implies that there must be a connection between
    the reduced moral blameworthiness and the capital offense itself. We do not see any
    “nexus” requirement in the statutory definition. Appellant relies upon Tennard v. Dretke,139
    but the Supreme Court, in that case, simply chastised the Fifth Circuit for requiring a nexus
    between the crime and the mitigating evidence.140 It never suggested that a jury can, should,
    or must be instructed not to consider any nexus between the crime and the mitigating
    evidence. Such an instruction would be necessary only if the jury would be reasonably likely
    to infer a nexus requirement from the statutory words. 141 That is not the case. We overrule
    appellant’s fourteenth and fifteenth points of error.
    D.     The Mitigation Issue
    In his sixteenth point of error, appellant relies on Apprendi142 and Ring 143 to argue that
    138
    
    220 S.W.3d 521
    , 534 (Tex. Crim. App. 2007).
    139
    
    542 U.S. 274
    (2004).
    140
    
    Id. at 287
    (rejecting any suggestion that its prior opinions would require a nexus
    between low I.Q. and the crime).
    141
    See 
    Segundo, 270 S.W.3d at 103
    .
    142
    Apprendi v. New Jersey, 
    530 U.S. 466
    (2000).
    143
    Ring v. Arizona, 
    536 U.S. 584
    (2002).
    Coble    Page 65
    Article 37.0711 is unconstitutional because it fails to require the State to prove beyond a
    reasonable doubt that there are no mitigating circumstances that warrant a life sentence. He
    fails to mention that this Court has rejected that claim in numerous cases,144 and he fails to
    persuade us that our prior decisions were mistaken.
    In his eighteenth point of error, appellant claims that the Texas death-penalty scheme
    is unconstitutional under Penry II,145 because the mitigation issue sends “mixed signals” to
    the jury, thus rendering any finding reached on that special issue unreliable. Penry II is
    distinguishable because, in that case, the jury was given a judicially crafted nullification
    instruction.146 Here, the jury was given the statutorily mandated mitigation question, which
    does not contain a nullification instruction. No error exists, and we have repeatedly rejected
    this claim.147 We overrule appellant’s eighteenth point of error
    E.     Constitutional Challenges to Art. 37.0711
    In his seventeenth point of error, appellant contends that the Texas death-penalty
    statute gives the jury too much discretion and therefore permits arbitrary and inconsistent
    144
    See 
    Segundo, 270 S.W.3d at 102
    ; Crutsinger v. State, 
    206 S.W.3d 607
    , 613 (Tex.
    Crim. App. 2006); Perry v. State, 
    158 S.W.3d 438
    , 446-48 (Tex. Crim. App. 2004); Hankins v.
    State, 
    132 S.W.3d 380
    , 387 (Tex. Crim. App. 2004); Resendiz v. State, 
    112 S.W.3d 541
    , 550
    (Tex. Crim. App. 2003).
    145
    
    532 U.S. 782
    (2001).
    146
    
    Id. at 797-99.
           147
    See, e.g., Saldano v. State, 
    232 S.W.3d 77
    , 107 (Tex. Crim. App. 2007); Scheanette v.
    State, 
    144 S.W.3d 503
    , 506 (Tex. Crim. App. 2004); Jones v. State, 
    119 S.W.3d 766
    , 790 (Tex.
    Crim. App. 2003).
    Coble    Page 66
    application of the ultimate penalty. We have repeatedly rejected this claim and appellant
    does not persuade us to overrule these prior cases.148 In fact, he fails to mention them.
    In his nineteenth and twentieth point of error, appellant argues that the jurors should
    have been instructed on the consequences of a hung jury so that they would immediately stop
    deliberating if a single juror voted in appellant’s favor on an issue that required unanimity.
    He also argues that the jurors should not have been instructed on the “10-12” Rule. Although
    appellant fails to mention controlling precedent from this Court, we have repeatedly rejected
    these claims.149 We do so again.
    In his twenty-first through twenty-third points of error, appellant argues that the
    statutory “future dangerousness” special issue is unconstitutional because the terms
    “probability,” “criminal acts of violence,” and “society” are not defined. We have repeatedly
    rejected these claims,150 and, although counsel suggests that we should revisit this precedent,
    we decline to do so.
    In his twenty-fourth point of error, appellant contends that the statutory “future
    148
    Escamilla v. State, 
    143 S.W.3d 814
    , 828 (Tex. Crim. App. 2004); Turner v. State, 
    87 S.W.3d 111
    , 118 (Tex. Crim. App. 2002); Shannon v. State, 
    942 S.W.2d 591
    , 600 (Tex. Crim.
    App. 1996); Bell v. State, 
    938 S.W.2d 35
    , 53-54 (Tex. Crim. App. 1996); Lawton v. State, 
    913 S.W.2d 542
    , 558 (Tex. Crim. App. 1995).
    149
    See, e.g., Resendiz v. State, 
    112 S.W.3d 541
    , 548-49 (Tex. Crim. App. 2003); Johnson
    v. State, 
    68 S.W.3d 644
    , 656 (Tex. Crim. App. 2002); Wright v. State, 
    28 S.W.3d 526
    , 537 (Tex.
    Crim. App. 2000); Chamberlain v. State, 
    998 S.W.2d 230
    , 238 (Tex. Crim. App. 1999);
    McFarland v. State, 
    928 S.W.2d 482
    , 519 (Tex. Crim. App. 1996).
    150
    See, e.g., Druery v. State, 
    225 S.W.3d 491
    , 509 (Tex. Crim. App. 2007); Blue v. State,
    
    125 S.W.3d 491
    , 504-05 (Tex. Crim. App. 2003); Martinez v. State, 
    924 S.W.2d 693
    , 698 (Tex.
    Crim. App. 1996); Earhart v. State, 
    877 S.W.2d 759
    , 767 (Tex. Crim. App. 1994).
    Coble    Page 67
    dangerousness” special issue violates the Eighth Amendment because no one can reliably
    predict whether another person will commit acts of violence in the future and therefore this
    is an arbitrary factor. The “future dangerousness” aggravating factor has been recognized
    by the Supreme Court as properly narrowing the jury’s consideration to ensure individualized
    sentencing as recently as two years ago in Kennedy v. Louisiana.151 Although appellant
    asserts that only one other state, Oregon, requires a finding of future dangerousness in his
    effort to prove that a “national consensus” has developed against imposing the death penalty
    based on that factor, he fails to note that twenty-one other states include a defendant’s
    possible future dangerousness among the aggravating circumstances to be considered at the
    sentencing stage of a capital case.152 Furthermore, we have previously rejected this claim,153
    and we are not persuaded by appellant’s arguments that our precedent should be overruled.
    In his final point of error, appellant claims that the “future dangerousness” statutory
    scheme violates the Texas constitutional ban on cruel or unusual punishment. As appellant
    151
    
    128 S. Ct. 2641
    , 2661 (2008) (“The [Supreme] Court . . . has upheld the
    constitutionality of aggravating factors ranging from whether the defendant was a ‘cold-blooded,
    pitiless slayer,’ to whether the ‘perpetrator inflict[ed] mental anguish or physical abuse before the
    victim’s death,’ to whether the defendant ‘would commit criminal acts of violence that would
    constitute a continuing threat to society.’”) (internal citations omitted; some internal quotation
    marks omitted).
    152
    Jonathan R. Sorenson & Rocky L. Pilgrim, Criminology: An Actuarial Risk
    Assessment of Violence Posed by Capital Murder Defendants, 90 J. Crim. & Criminology 1251,
    1252 (2000) (“The goal of incapacitating dangerous offenders prompted twenty-one states to
    include a defendant’s potential for future violence among the aggravating circumstances jurors
    may be directed to consider before reaching a punishment decision.”).
    153
    See, e.g., McBride v. State, 
    862 S.W.2d 600
    , 611 (Tex. Crim. App. 1993); Joiner v.
    State, 
    825 S.W.2d 701
    , 709 (Tex. Crim. App.1992).
    Coble    Page 68
    acknowledges, we have already rejected this argument.154 Appellant asserts that we now
    have before us his “evidence” that the “future dangerousness inquiry results in inaccurate,
    unreliable, arbitrary and disproportionate determinations.” His evidence is the citation to an
    article written by the Texas Defender Service,155 an advocacy group that represents inmates
    on death row. This is not the type of “evidence” upon which we can base a finding that the
    “future dangerousness” special issue is necessarily an unreliable factor to use in determining
    whether a life or death sentence is appropriate. Evidence proves historical facts; the “future
    dangerousness” special issue is a normative assessment mandated by the legislature and
    determined by the jury. Questions about its “appropriateness” as a factor in determining a
    life or death sentence should be addressed to the legislature. Furthermore, the article speaks
    of psychiatric predictions, not of the unreliability of jury verdicts. We overrule appellant’s
    twenty-fifth point of error.
    Having found no reversible error, we affirm the trial court’s judgment and sentence.
    Delivered: October 13, 2010
    Publish
    154
    See Anderson v. State, 
    932 S.W.2d 502
    , 509-10 (Tex. Crim. App. 1996); see also
    Cantu v. State, 
    939 S.W.2d 627
    , 639 (Tex. Crim. App. 1997).
    155
    Texas Defender Service, Deadly Speculation: Misleading Texas Capital Juries with
    False Predictions of Future Dangerousness, 47-48 (2004).