Henderson, Ex Parte Cathy Lynn ( 2012 )


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  •               IN THE COURT OF CRIMINAL APPEALS
    OF TEXAS
    NO. AP-76,925
    EX PARTE CATHY LYNN HENDERSON, Applicant
    ON APPLICATION FOR A WRIT OF HABEAS CORPUS
    FROM CAUSE NO. 94-2034 IN THE 229 TH DISTRICT COURT
    FROM TRAVIS COUNTY
    C OCHRAN, J., filed a concurring opinion in which W OMACK, J OHNSON, and
    A LCALA, JJ., joined.
    CONCURRING OPINION
    This case raises the same novel and difficult issue for the criminal-justice system that
    this Court faced, and, I maintain, fumbled in Ex parte Robbins:1 Changing science has cast
    doubt on the accuracy of the original jury verdict.2 Dr. Roberto Bayardo, who performed the
    autopsy of the victim in this case, testified unequivocally at trial that three-and-a-half-
    1
    
    360 S.W.3d 446
    (Tex. Crim. App. 2011).
    2
    For a thorough discussion of the jurisprudential issues raised by the problem of “shifting
    science” and the reliability of criminal verdicts over time, see Caitlin Plummer & Imran Syed,
    “Shifted Science” and Post-Conviction Relief, 8 STAN . J.C.R. & C.L. 259 (2012).
    Henderson     Concurring Opinion      Page 2
    month-old Brandon Baugh “came to his death as a result of a severe closed head injury. . .
    characteristic of abuse, homicide.” He concluded, without a scintilla of doubt, that the cause
    of Brandon’s death was a severe closed-head injury and the manner of death was homicide.
    Dr. Bayardo was the State’s star witness at trial on the cause and manner of Brandon’s death.
    But, based on advances in the science of pediatric head trauma, he has since changed his
    mind: “Based on the physical evidence in the case, I cannot determine with a reasonable
    degree of medical certainty whether Brandon Baugh’s injuries resulted from an intentional
    act or an accidental fall.” This scientific uncertainty about Brandon’s manner of death raises
    an extremely serious concern about the accuracy of the original jury verdict.3 I write
    separately to provide some factual context for the habeas judge’s recommendation to grant
    a new trial, the State’s decision to agree with that recommendation, and this Court’s
    adoption of the habeas judge’s findings of fact and ultimate recommendation.
    I.
    On the morning of January 21, 1994, Eryn and Melissa Baugh left their infant son,
    3
    See “Shifted Science, supra note 2 at 263-64 (noting the problem of “what happens
    when scientific testimony that led to a conviction is later proved to have been completely invalid
    - a phenomenon we call ‘shifted science.’ Science - its very character defined as the search for
    what lies beyond the present horizon of human understanding - advances, changes, and evolves
    constantly. Unfortunately, courtroom procedures, practices, and the institutional knowledge of
    legal actors are just the opposite: the law takes pride in its consistency and glacial pace of
    adaptation. If science is a leading indicator of where society is headed, the law is a lagging
    indicator of truths society recognized years before, and may since have moved above and beyond.
    When the two come together in the case of scientific evidence being used in courtrooms, it
    should be no surprise that the results are often less than palatable.”).
    Henderson     Concurring Opinion         Page 3
    Brandon, with applicant, their regular babysitter.4 That day, both applicant and Brandon
    disappeared. A kidnapping investigation began the next day. On February 1, applicant was
    arrested by the FBI in Kansas City. At first, applicant denied any knowledge of Brandon’s
    location or well-being. Later, she stated that Brandon’s grandmother, driving a car with
    Oklahoma license plates, picked him up during the afternoon of January 21. Eventually,
    applicant admitted that Brandon was dead, but claimed that his death was an accident. She
    also said that she had buried his body in a wooded area near Waco, that she had used a spade
    to dig the grave, and that she could take officers to his grave.
    The single contested issue in the 1995 capital-murder trial was whether applicant
    intended to kill Brandon or whether she recklessly, negligently, or accidentally caused his
    death. In her statement, applicant contended that Brandon’s death was an accident–he
    accidentally fell from her arms onto a linoleum-covered concrete floor.5 The State’s primary
    evidence to prove that applicant intended to kill Brandon consisted of the circumstantial
    evidence produced by the autopsy.6 At trial, Dr. Roberto Bayardo, the long-time and highly
    4
    These background facts are taken, largely verbatim, from our opinion on direct appeal.
    Henderson v. State, 
    962 S.W.2d 544
    , 548-49 (Tex. Crim. App. 1997).
    5
    Agent Napier testified that
    [I]n telling the story, one time she would say that [Brandon] fell out of her arms,
    that he dropped out of her arms, and the final version is that while she’s holding
    him with one hand . . . as she’s trying to turn the recorder off with the other one so
    she can answer the phone, that he pushes his feet against the wall, and that motion
    then causes him to flip out of her hands and on to the floor.
    6
    The trial judge noted in his factual findings that applicant’s flight and conduct after
    Brandon’s death was evidence of her guilty conscience that supported a finding of some culpable
    Henderson     Concurring Opinion      Page 4
    experienced medical examiner for Travis County, testified that it was “impossible” for
    Brandon’s extensive brain injuries to have occurred in the way that applicant stated. He said
    that her story was false and “incredible.” In his opinion (and that of Dr. Sparks Veasey, the
    Deputy Chief Medical Examiner of Lubbock County), Brandon’s injuries must have resulted
    from an intentional blow.7 He concluded, “I would say the baby was caught up with the
    hands by the arms along the body and then swung and slammed very hard against a surface.”
    In Dr. Bayardo’s opinion, Brandon’s death was the result of child abuse: “this is the worst
    case of head injury [at the hands of a person] I [have] ever seen.” The jury agreed and
    convicted applicant of capital murder in May 1995.
    This Court affirmed applicant’s conviction and death sentence on direct appeal8 and
    denied relief on her initial writ application in 2002.9 The federal district judge denied her
    mental state, but that “equivocal” evidence was not sufficient to establish, beyond a reasonable
    doubt, an intent to cause Brandon’s death. See Finding of Fact Number 23, quoted on page 19.
    7
    Dr. Veasey did not dispute Dr. Bayardo’s opinion that “this was the result of single
    massive blow,” but he had a “suspicion . . . that this may have been more than one impact
    causing these fractures[.]” The defense expert, Dr. Kris Sperry, testified that, although Brandon’s
    death was not an accident, it could have been the result of an impulsive, reckless act rather than a
    volitional, intentional or knowing one. The jury was charged on capital murder, intentional
    injury to a child, and reckless injury to a child.
    8
    Henderson v. State, 
    962 S.W.2d 544
    (Tex. Crim. App. 1997).
    9
    Ex parte Henderson, No. WR-49,984-01 (Tex. Crim. App. March 6, 2002) (not
    designated for publication).
    Henderson       Concurring Opinion    Page 5
    federal habeas petition in 2004,10 and the Fifth Circuit affirmed that denial in 2006.11
    The Honorable Jon Wisser presided over applicant’s 1995 trial and is currently
    presiding over her subsequent writ application. Judge Wisser was sufficiently troubled by
    the preliminary scientific evidence initially presented to him that, on April 4, 2007, he
    recalled applicant’s original death warrant and rescheduled her execution to give her
    sufficient time to gather additional material for this subsequent writ application.
    On May 23, 2007, three weeks before her re-scheduled execution date of June 13,
    2007, applicant filed this subsequent application for habeas relief based on recent scientific
    advances in the area of biomechanics and physics–advances that led Dr. Bayardo to recant
    his conclusive opinion that Brandon’s head injuries could not have been caused by an
    accidental, short-distance fall. Dr. Bayardo’s 2007 affidavit stated,
    Since 1995, when I testified at Cathy Henderson’s trial, the medical
    profession has gained a greater understanding of pediatric head trauma and the
    extent of injuries that can occur in infants as a result of relatively short
    distance falls, based in part on the application of principles of physics and
    biomechanics. Specifically, and as shown in the reports that I have read, even
    a fall of a relatively short distance onto a hard surface can cause the degree of
    injury that Brandon Baugh experienced. If this new scientific information had
    been available to me in 1995, I would have taken it into account before
    attempting to formulate an opinion about the circumstances leading to the
    injury.
    10
    Henderson v. Dretke, No. A–02–CA–758–SS, 
    2004 WL 5295477
    (W.D. Tex. March
    31, 2004) (not designated for publication).
    11
    Henderson v. Quarterman, 
    460 F.3d 654
    (5th Cir. 2006).
    Henderson   Concurring Opinion       Page 6
    I have reviewed the affidavit of John Plunkett dated May 18, 2007,12
    and I agree with his opinion. Based on the physical evidence in the case, I
    cannot determine with a reasonable degree of medical certainty whether
    Brandon Baugh’s injuries resulted from an intentional act or an accidental fall.
    In fact, had the new scientific information been available to me in 1995, I
    would not have been able to testify the way I did about the degree of force
    needed to cause Brandon Baugh’s head injury.
    Faced with this recantation, we held that applicant’s first two claims–(1) she is
    innocent of capital murder, and (2) but for constitutional errors she would not have been
    found guilty of capital murder–satisfied the requirements of article 11.071, § 5(a). We then
    remanded her application to the trial court for consideration of the merits. Judge Wisser held
    hearings between November 17, 2008, and March 5, 2009, and listened to the testimony of
    twelve witnesses. Seven of these witnesses were medical doctors and four were scientists
    with Ph.Ds. The twelfth witness was Linda Icenhauer-Ramirez, one of applicant’s trial
    attorneys.
    At the habeas hearing, Dr. Bayardo testified that, because of recent scientific
    knowledge about how head injuries occur, he would no longer use words like “impossible”
    or “incredible” to describe applicant’s version of the events. Also, he would no longer assert
    12
    Dr. Plunkett’s affidavit includes the following:
    Neither I . . ., nor anyone else, can prove Brandon’s injury and death was an
    accident. However, because of the new scientific information and analysis now
    available to scientifically evaluate Brandon’s injury and death, neither may anyone
    prove that Ms. Henderson intentionally caused it. It is impossible for any qualified
    scientist or physician to conclude, whether to a reasonable degree of medical
    certainty, or beyond a reasonable doubt, that any intentional and deliberate act by
    Ms. Henderson caused Brandon Baugh’s death, or that [his] injuries are such as to
    rule out an accidental cause.
    Henderson   Concurring Opinion    Page 7
    that Brandon’s injuries, if they were caused by an accidental fall, would have to be the result
    of a fall from a height of over two stories. He stood by the cause of death: a heavy blow to
    the head. But he would change the manner of death from “homicide” to “undetermined.”
    He stood by his trial testimony that the comminuted depressed fracture of the back of the
    skull, which caused radiating fractures, was the result of a single blow. Dr. Bayardo said
    that, because Brandon sustained just one injury and that was to the back of his head, he
    doubted his prior finding of “homicide.” In other child homicides, the infants had multiple
    injuries to the side or front, rather than the back, of the head.13          Dr. Bayardo flatly
    contradicted his trial testimony when he concluded, “I don’t believe it’s a case of child
    abuse.”
    Applicant also called Dr. Monson, an assistant professor of biomechanics at the
    University of Utah, who studies traumatic brain injury in children; Dr. Plunkett, a forensic
    pathologist who studies pediatric head trauma; and Dr. Van Ee, who has a Ph.D. in
    biomedical engineering and studies impact and orthopedic biomechanics. They testified that
    the application of biomechanics to the study of pediatric head trauma and the medical
    community’s recognition of the role of biomechanics in determining causes of injury are
    13
    At trial Dr. Bayardo had said just the opposite.
    Q.     Okay. Can you describe for the jury what is the significance of the location of the injury
    in this case?
    A.     Yes. Also the location is quite characteristic of an abused child because most of the
    accidental injuries are going to occur on the sides of the head in the parietal bone. So
    whenever we see a fracture that includes the occipital bone, we immediately think of
    abuse.
    Henderson   Concurring Opinion    Page 8
    recent and still developing.     The medical community did not recognize a role for
    biomechanics in cases such as this one in 1998, when applicant filed her first habeas
    application.
    These experts testified about “drop” experiments conducted with crash-test dummies
    and infant cadavers that measured the impact and injuries involved in short-distance falls,
    and how those experiments show the potential for head injury and death when babies fall
    short distances. Dr. Monson testified that he calculated the g-force involved in the fall (as
    described by applicant) to be 120 to 163g. Dr. Monson could not rule out the possibility that
    Brandon’s death resulted from a short-distance fall: “So recognizing that the calculated
    values are well above when simple skull fracture may occur and also recognizing that there
    aren’t data defining exactly when a fracture of this severity may occur, I have to conclude
    that you simply cannot rule out that possibility.”
    Dr. Plunkett testified about his playground-equipment study that included cases in
    which small children who fell short distances suffered complex skull fractures, brain injury,
    and death. He also could not rule out the possibility of an accident.
    Q.     As a pathologist who has done intensive work in this area and now is an author and
    speaker and expert in the field, do you think it’s scientifically plausible to offer an
    opinion on the cause of an infant’s death in a case like this without any review or
    application of biomechanics?
    A.     Not today, that’s not acceptable.
    Q.     Why not?
    A.     Unless your experience is in the area of bioengineering, very few physicians have the
    Henderson       Concurring Opinion   Page 9
    necessary knowledge to evaluate, to rigorously evaluate, Brandon’s injury. It’s got
    to go beyond medicine.
    Q.     Based on your studies and your work, Dr. Van Ee’s work, the CRABI14 dummy tests
    that you’ve seen, all of your review of the medical reports, and a portion of Brandon
    Baugh’s skull this morning, in your opinion, can any person conclude rationally and
    with certainty that the death of Brandon Baugh resulted from an intentional
    murderous act?
    A.     No.
    Q.     Could Brandon, in your opinion, have suffered a complex comminuted skull fracture
    from a drop of four feet–four and a half feet landing on the back of his head on a hard
    floor?
    A.     Yes.
    Dr. Van Ee performed an accident reconstruction using the CRABI-6 infant dummy.
    He testified that Brandon was probably traveling 11 miles per hour when he hit the concrete
    floor. “Severe injury is certainly a possibility and may even be likely for this type of impact.”
    He testified that Brandon’s skull fracture could have resulted from a fall of about four feet
    onto a carpeted or linoleum-covered concrete surface. He said there was now no “correct
    scientific support” for Dr. Bayardo’s trial testimony.
    Applicant’s experts generally concluded that it was possible that a short-distance fall,
    like the one that applicant reported, could have caused Brandon’s injuries. The State’s
    experts then testified about the limitations and shortcomings of the studies and experiments
    described by applicant’s experts and the rarity of head injuries with diffuse brain injury and
    complex skull fractures such as those Brandon suffered.
    14
    CRABI stands for “Child Restraint Air Bag Interaction.”
    Henderson     Concurring Opinion     Page 10
    The State called Dr. Rangarajan, who has a Ph.D. in biomedical engineering and
    engineering mechanics. He designs crash-test dummies for government and industry use.
    Dr. Rangarajan designed a newborn-infant dummy for car-seat tests in Japan, and he testified
    about the limitations of using a dummy’s response to predict injury. He noted that “dummies
    are calibrated to perform well in automotive seated posture.” And, the dummies are only
    biofidelic (able to produce true human-like responses) within calibration limits. He said that
    there are not enough biomechanics data to assess the probability of injury, but he did not
    know whether the tests conducted by the defense experts were an accepted way of predicting
    severe head injury: “I don’t know how to answer the question because I cannot say. I’m not
    like–I’m not the general secretary of the scientific community.”
    Dr. Case, a medical examiner, neuropathologist, and forensic pathologist who has
    published articles on short-distance falls and pediatric head injuries, also testified for the
    State. She has written on how to distinguish between accidental head injuries and inflicted
    or abusive head injuries. A marker, “the presence of the diffuse distribution of subdural
    blood over the cerebral convexities,” signals brain injury produced by a blow to the head.
    Short falls, on the other hand, cause focal injuries, not diffuse ones.15 Only “one to two to
    three percent of all short falls will result in a simple linear skull fracture.” Brandon’s injury,
    “a depressed comminuted skull fracture,” signaled that he had suffered a blunt impact blow.
    15
    Dr. Bayardo testified similarly at trial: “By just throwing the baby or just the baby
    falling from somebody’s arms, the injury would have linear, a single short fracture on the side of
    the head or maybe in the front, but not on the back or the occipital bone.”
    Henderson     Concurring Opinion      Page 11
    “In my opinion, this is not going to result from a short fall [of] less than six feet. This
    fracture is not a fracture that I have ever seen in a short fall or that I have ever seen described
    in a short fall.” Brandon had a “diffuse subdural hemorrhage,” but Dr. Case could not tell
    whether it was the result of a single impact or multiple impacts.
    Dr. Case disagreed with Dr. Bayardo about the significance of the fact that there were
    no other injuries on Brandon’s body. In her experience, 25 to 50 percent of children who
    died from abusive head injury had no other marks on their body. Dr. Case specifically
    criticized Dr. Plunkett’s work and testified that it was “on the fringe” and not widely
    accepted in the professional-medical community. Dr. Case thought the defense’s focus on
    the fracture was misguided because “You have to focus on the entirety of the head injury.”
    Dr. Pustilnik, the Chief Medical Examiner for Galveston County and an assistant
    professor in pathology at UTMB, testified for the State and said that biomechanical
    engineering “looks at the body in what they call finite-point analysis. . . . In certain instances
    it falls apart when you have to look at differential . . . mechanisms when you have both rigid
    structures in the body interacting with liquid or gelatinous structures in the body.” He said
    that there was “absolutely” a danger in taking readings from accelerometers in the crash-test
    dummies and making assumptions about how an infant of those dimensions would behave:
    [I]t’s not any good to use the CRABI for head injury in these young infants
    because no one has studies on head injuries on infants the way they have
    studies on CRABI models. . . . They don’t have–you know, three-month-olds
    don’t have accelerometers behind their ears, so you can never know.
    Dr. Pustilnik also criticized the cadaver studies because there were too many unknowns:
    Henderson     Concurring Opinion     Page 12
    Were the children stored cold, room temperature, or frozen? Were they dried out? Were they
    dropped with the scalp intact? “You just don’t know. It’s not in the papers.” It was Dr.
    Pustilnik’s opinion that Brandon suffered “multiple impacts to the back and left or perhaps
    even right left-side back area” of his head.
    Dr. Jenny, a professor of pediatrics and the director of the child protection program
    at a hospital in Providence, Rhode Island, has studied child abuse and car safety and has
    specialized in treating babies with head injuries. She also questioned the usefulness of the
    defense studies and testified that, based on the severity of Brandon’s fractures, it was “highly
    likely” that he had been a victim of multiple impacts or crush injuries to his head. The
    fracture pattern was not consistent with a short fall from a care-giver’s arms. Dr. Jenny
    characterized Dr. Plunkett’s testimony about playground falls as disingenuous, and Dr. Van
    Ee’s accident reconstruction “drop” tests with the CRABI-6 as lacking a proper protocol.
    She said it was “impossible” for Brandon to have suffered his injuries in a short fall. She
    disagreed with the other State’s experts that such injuries were possible, though improbable,
    from a short fall. Those falls create “linear parietal” fractures, rather than complex fractures.
    Dr. Gill-King, the director of the Laboratory of Forensic Anthropology and Human
    Identification, and a professor of forensic anthropology and pathology, who focuses on the
    material properties of bone, testified for the State. He likened the radiating fractures found
    on Brandon’s skull to those created from shooting a BB-gun multiple times at a window: “A
    fracture stops another fracture.” He disagreed with Dr. Bayardo that there was one blow to
    Henderson    Concurring Opinion      Page 13
    Brandon’s head because the injuries were distinct outside-to-inside injuries: “I concluded
    there were at least three separate applications of force. There may have been more, but there
    were at least three.” He also stated that the CRABI-6 dummy’s head does not in any way
    accurately portray the properties of a human infant head.
    In rebuttal, applicant called Dr. Ophoven, a pediatric forensic pathologist and medical
    examiner, and Dr. Stephens, a forensic pathologist and former medical examiner.
    Dr. Ophoven described the “pendulum swing” in the medical community with respect
    to pediatric injuries: before the 1980's, a doctor would generally accept a family member’s
    report that a child’s head injury occurred accidentally. In the late 1980's, doctors began to
    routinely disbelieve family members’ reports of children’s accidental head injuries and to
    assume abuse. Now, with studies applying biomechanics to the field of pediatric head
    injuries, doctors are more cautious about “ruling out” the possibility that a child’s head injury
    occurred accidently. After reviewing the materials in this case, including the State’s experts’
    testimony, Dr. Ophoven stated that short falls like that described here “rarely cause fatal
    injuries, but have the potential to kill.” She stated that biomedical analysis is important in
    cases like this one, where there is no evidence of pre-existing or fresh abuse or assault and
    where the history comes in as a possible accidental fall. She said that Dr. Van Ee’s and Dr.
    Monson’s reports support their opinions that fatal injuries can occur from a fall of 46 inches
    onto the concrete surface described here. She also said that Brandon’s injuries were
    consistent with a single blow; she did not see evidence of multiple impacts. She based this
    Henderson     Concurring Opinion      Page 14
    on “confluence bleeding from a single area of impact,” and the “clear continuity between
    the fractures in the back with the fractures on the side[.]” She said that she would not rely
    on a forensic anthropologist, like Dr. Gill-King, to help her with the cause of death or nature
    of injuries or number of impacts because “theirs is the area of bones and their training is not
    in making a determination and rendering it.”
    Recent studies have clearly said, very clearly, you can not tell the difference
    between an accidental fracture and an inflicted fracture by how bad it is, how
    complicated it is, whether or not it crosses the suture line, whether or not it
    comes apart on the sides, that you cannot look at the fracture and say, I see
    abuse.
    Dr. Ophoven summarized her testimony as follows:
    So this issue here is, is it my opinion that there is science to study the force that
    could be generated in a fall? Yes. Do we have reasonable expectations of
    what’s the amount of force it takes for those falls to cause a fatal injury or
    death? Yes. Could those forces have been generated in this case? Yes. Do
    I have an opinion about what happened to Brandon? I can’t answer the
    question, but what I can say is he sure could have fallen and died.
    The defense also called Dr. Stephens, who said that a medical examiner’s change of
    the manner of death from “homicide” to “undetermined” represents a paradigm shift. He did
    not regard Dr. Plunkett’s work as marginal but instead opined that some professionals in the
    medical community would not let go of old beliefs when faced with studies that challenged
    them. He personally had seen cases in which short-distance falls had killed children. He did
    not agree with much of what Dr. Pustilnik had to say, and discounted the significance of
    fracture lines hitting one another. He also agreed with Dr. Bayardo that the injuries Brandon
    sustained were the product of a single blow or impact.
    Henderson    Concurring Opinion     Page 15
    Applicant also called her trial attorney to testify that she filed a pre-trial motion for
    funds to employ a biomechanical expert, but her motion was denied.
    In sum, all but one of these ten medical and scientific experts agreed that Dr.
    Bayardo’s trial testimony was now known to be scientifically inaccurate: Brandon’s autopsy
    results did not establish that his death was the product of an intentional homicide. Indeed,
    all but one of these experts basically admitted that science cannot answer the question of
    whether Brandon’s death was the result of an intentional homicide. It could have been an
    intentional homicide; it could have been an accident. Based upon the totality of the evidence,
    Judge Wisser recommended that this Court
    vacate the judgment of conviction in this cause, and . . . order that Applicant
    be returned forthwith from her present place of confinement to the custody of
    the Sheriff of Travis County Texas, where she may thereafter be held to
    answer any indictment or other charges made against her arising out of the
    death of Brandon Baugh.
    II.
    Dr. Bayardo’s change in opinion on the manner of death from “homicide” to
    “undetermined” does not mean applicant is actually innocent of homicide. Nor does it mean
    that his trial testimony was “false” at the time it was given, based upon the state of scientific
    knowledge that he relied upon at that time. Due process was not violated at the time of trial,
    but nevertheless, the scientific testimony that supported a finding of “homicide” in the
    original trial has been retracted. Dr. Bayardo’s current scientific uncertainty, as well as the
    uncertainty of all but one of the experts at the habeas evidentiary hearing, casts a pall upon
    Henderson     Concurring Opinion       Page 16
    the basis for the jury’s verdict and upon its accuracy. At worst, the result of a change in the
    manner of Brandon’s death to “undetermined” is only an admission that science cannot
    resolve the issue of whether Brandon’s death was the result of a homicidal act. The jurors
    would have to decide that crucial question based upon the rest of the evidence.
    The problem is that we do not know whether the jury would have found that applicant
    intentionally (as opposed to recklessly, negligently, or accidentally) caused Brandon’s death
    absent Dr. Bayardo’s expert scientific opinion.16 I recognize that this case does not fit neatly
    into our habeas statute or our actual-innocence jurisprudence.17 But until the Supreme Court
    16
    I agree with Judge Price that
    while the applicant’s flight undoubtedly evinces a guilty conscience, it provides
    little rational basis to conclude she felt guilty of an intentional or knowing murder,
    as opposed to a reckless or negligent homicide or even an excusable accident.
    Ex parte Henderson, 
    246 S.W.3d 690
    , 694-95 (Tex. Crim. App. 2007) (Price, J., concurring).
    17
    As one law professor–addressing the tension between the governing framework for
    collateral relief and the issues presented by the “Shaken Baby Syndrome” cases–put it:
    Until scientific consensus has been achieved, the criminal justice system must
    find its own solutions to the problem of a diagnosis already morphed and still in
    transition.
    To date, our system has failed. In place of adaptation, we have seen massive
    institutional inertia. Once the SBS prosecution paradigm became entrenched, the
    crime became reified. Deferential review standards and a quest for finality
    perpetuated the system’s course. How expeditiously, and how deliberately, this
    course is righted will inform the meaning of justice.
    Complicating the endeavor, SBS prosecutions raise discomfiting possibilities
    that diverge from those presented by the innocence archetype. Here, no other
    perpetrator can be held accountable; indeed, no crime at all may have occurred. The
    problem is not individual, but systemic, and its source is error, not corruption.
    Responsibility is diffuse: prosecutors and scientists may each legitimately point
    fingers. Most fundamentally, scientific developments have cast new doubt without
    yet creating certainty in its place. The story of SBS thus challenges current notions
    Henderson     Concurring Opinion     Page 17
    (or this Court) holds that a conviction later found to be based upon unreliable scientific
    evidence violates the Due Process Clause,18 I will stick by what I said in my Robbins dissent.
    Who should decide whether the newly discovered unreliability of the expert
    scientific testimony was so crucial to the original jury’s verdict that the
    accuracy of that verdict can no longer be relied upon?
    I fall back upon the wisdom and experience of the habeas judge—the
    “Johnny–on–the–Spot” factfinder to whom we will defer whenever the record
    supports his essential factual findings.19
    Judge Wisser held a series of live hearings so that he could hear, first-hand, from all the
    experts. And he has concluded that the accuracy of the verdict can no longer be relied upon.
    The following findings–all supported by the record–are especially important to Judge
    Wisser’s recommendation of a new trial:
    7.     Dr. Roberto Bayardo served as the Chief Medical Examiner of Travis County for
    twenty-eight years, and personally conducted the autopsy of Brandon Baugh in
    of wrongful convictions. Underlying conceptual frameworks must evolve
    accordingly.
    For now, we find ourselves situated in an extraordinary moment; one which
    tests our commitment to innocence that is not proven, but presumed.
    Deborah Tuerkheimer, The Next Innocence Project: Shaken Baby Syndrome and the Criminal
    Courts, 87 WASH . U. L. REV . 1, 58 (2009).
    18
    In Han Tak Lee v. Glunt, the Third Circuit intimated that advances in forensic science
    may support a due-process claim. In sending an arson case back to district court for an
    evidentiary hearing, the Han Tak Lee court stated, “If Lee’s expert’s independent analysis of the
    fire scene evidence—applying principles from new developments in fire science—shows that the
    fire expert testimony at Lee’s trial was fundamentally unreliable, then Lee will be entitled to
    federal habeas relief on his due process claim.” Han Tak Lee v. Glunt, 
    667 F.3d 397
    , 407-08 (3d
    Cir. 2012).
    19
    Ex parte Robbins, 
    360 S.W.3d 446
    , 473-74 (Tex. Crim. App. 2011) (Cochran, J.,
    dissenting).
    Henderson    Concurring Opinion     Page 18
    February 1994.
    8.    [Applicant] claims that the infant died when he accidently fell from her arms to the
    concrete floor of her home, a distance of approximately four-and-one-half feet. At
    the trial, however, Dr. Bayardo strenuously disagreed that the infant’s death could
    have been accidental. Dr. Bayardo told the jury in no uncertain terms that “it would
    have been impossible” for an accidental fall to have produced the injuries sustained
    by the infant; that the claim of an accidental fall therefore was “incredible” and that
    to have sustained these injuries from a fall, the infant “would have to fall from the
    height higher than a two story building.” For these reasons, Dr. Bayardo opined in his
    autopsy report that the manner of death was “homicide,” meaning that the only way
    the infant could have sustained his fatal injuries was by means of a deliberate and
    murderous blow struck by Applicant.
    9.    Dr. Sparks Veasey, then the Deputy Chief Medical Examiner of Lubbock County, also
    testified for the State at the trial. He reviewed Dr. Bayardo’s autopsy report and
    photographs, and testified that the death resulted from blunt force trauma, probably
    resulting from “slamming into a wall or floor.” As Dr. Plunkett has pointed out,
    however, Dr. Veasey’s essentially repetitive testimony was uninformed by modern
    scientific learning and suffered the same vices as did the testimony of Dr. Bayardo.
    The State did not call Dr. Veasey as a witness at the evidentiary hearing. The Court
    does find that, if the jurors had heard Dr. Bayardo’s re-evaluation, they would not
    have credited the then-conflicting testimony of Dr. Veasey.
    10.   Based on the trial court record and the Court’s personal recollection of the trial, the
    Court finds that the trial testimony of Dr. Bayardo was the critical evidence upon
    which the conviction of Applicant rested, and was the evidence upon which the
    essential element of culpable mental state hinged. The “impossible,” “incredible,”
    “two story building” and “slamming” testimony of the State’s chief expert medical
    witness ruled out accidental cause. On that basis, the State persuaded the jurors that
    Applicant was guilty of murder beyond a reasonable doubt.
    ...
    13.   Dr. Bayardo and Dr. Plunkett both testified at the evidentiary hearing. Based upon
    the content of their written submissions, the testimony of each witness during direct
    and cross-examination, and the demeanor of each witness, the Court finds the
    Affidavit and testimony of Dr. Bayardo, and the Affidavit, report and testimony of Dr.
    Plunkett, are true, and that each of these witnesses is credible.
    ...
    Henderson     Concurring Opinion     Page 19
    17.   Dr. Bayardo testified at the evidentiary hearing that he continues to hold the opinions
    that he expressed in his Affidavit, and that [he] continues to share the views expressed
    by Dr. Plunkett in the latter’s evaluation. Addressing the words he used in his
    testimony to the jury in 1995, Dr. Bayardo testified at the evidentiary hearing that he
    would not use “impossible” or “incredible” were he to testify to the jury today,
    “because of the new knowledge about how these types of injuries occur.”
    18.   Dr. Bayardo also explained that he used the “two-story fall” analogy in his 1995
    testimony because “that’s what I was taught during my residency and during my
    training that that’s the way that these types of injuries happen,” and “at that time, we
    didn’t have any information about the biomechanical way of explaining these
    injuries.” The two-story analogy “would have been my usual answer in cases like
    this” in 1995, but he would not say so today, because the new scientific developments
    in biomechanical investigations “put a doubt in my mind.”
    19.   In his 1995 Medical Examiner’s Report Dr. Bayardo states that, in his professional
    opinion, the manner of the infant’s death was “homicide.” At the evidentiary hearing,
    however, Dr. Bayardo explained that he wrote “homicide” in 1994 because “at that
    time we didn’t have any information about the biomechanical way of explaining these
    injuries[.]” He then testified that if he were preparing his report today, he would not
    have opined that the manner of death was homicide, but instead, “I would leave it
    undetermined,” . . . .
    20.   Applicant’s witness, Dr. Peter J. [Stephens], is also a former Medical Examiner. He
    testified that this re-evaluation of the manner of death by Dr. Bayardo–from
    “homicide” to “undetermined”–was a significant “paradigm shift” representing a very
    fundamental re-evaluation.
    21.   In addition, Dr. Bayardo explained that there were other circumstances that now cause
    him to doubt that Brandon Baugh’s death was a homicide. He testified that
    All the previous cases I’ve seen that were the result of a
    homicide injury had the multiple, recent, and other injuries and
    also had multiple fractures of ribs and extremities, and they also
    had multiple bruises or scrapes of similar ages. And this baby
    did not have any of those injuries, and that the location [of the
    injury] was also different from the other cases I’ve seen . . . .
    22.   Because Dr. Bayardo’s testimony at trial was the critical evidence upon which the
    conviction of Applicant rested, and was the testimony upon which the essential
    Henderson     Concurring Opinion     Page 20
    element of culpable mental state hinged, the Court finds that if Dr. Bayardo’s re-
    evaluation had been presented to the jury in 1995, no rational juror could have or
    would have convicted Applicant of capital murder beyond a reasonable doubt in light
    of this new evidence.
    In his Finding of Fact Number 23, Judge Wisser explicitly addressed the “guilty conscience”
    evidence detailed by Judge Keasler:
    23.    In making its Finding No. 22, the Court has not overlooked the State’s evidence at
    trial concerning Applicant’s flight after the death of the infant. While flight might be
    some evidence of a guilty conscience, it is equivocal evidence at best, and on the basis
    of personal recollection, the Court finds that the evidence of flight did not have the
    capacity to prove the mens rea of capital murder beyond a reasonable doubt.
    24.    In making its Findings, the Court has also considered the Applicant’s evidence of the
    new scientific analysis, unavailable at the trial, upon which Dr. Bayardo based his re-
    evaluation. The Court has done so in order to assure itself that Dr. Bayardo’s re-
    evaluation is based upon a solid scientific foundation, and therefore supports the
    Court of Criminal Appeals’ statement that the re-evaluation is a “material exculpatory
    fact.”
    25.    In this regard, the Court has read, heard, considered, and evaluated the reports and
    materials of Drs. Plunkett, Stephens, and Monson upon which Dr. Bayardo relied in
    his Affidavit, the trial testimony of these three experts, and the corroborating reports
    and evidentiary hearing testimony of Drs. Janice Ophoven and Chris Van Ee.
    26.    The Court finds that Dr. Plunkett’s Affidavit, his own report and materials, as well as
    the report of Dr. Peter Stephens, and the report of Dr. Kenneth Monson and the
    observed testimony of each of these witnesses at the evidentiary hearing, are truthful
    and credible.
    27.    Dr. Plunkett’s report in the present case, and those of the other experts, show that the
    1995 testimony of the State’s chief experts was, at bottom, scientifically flawed and
    grounded upon the belief that “short-distance falls” can never case fatal infant head
    trauma. This belief no longer enjoys acceptance in today’s scientific community.
    28.    Dr. Monson made and explained a number of biomechanical calculations that he
    performed as an expert witness for Applicant, and concluded that the infant’s assumed
    fall from Applicant’s arms “had the potential to produce a serious injury,” and that
    Henderson     Concurring Opinion     Page 21
    “the possibility [of accidental death] cannot be ruled out given the current state of
    knowledge.” The Court finds that Dr. Monson’s Report and testimony are truthful
    and credible.
    29.   Dr. Monson testified that, from an assumed fall height of 46 inches from Ms.
    Henderson’s arms, the head of the infant would have been traveling at a speed of
    almost 11 miles an hour when it struck the floor, and that because the floor was a
    concrete, unyielding surface, the deceleration from 11 miles per hour to zero was
    virtually “instantaneous.”
    30.   Applicant’s witness Dr. Kenneth Monson, and State’s witness Dr. Nagaranjan
    Rangarajan, largely agree that scientific evidence available today cannot rule out the
    possibility of accidental death.
    31.   At trial, Dr. Bayardo testified that the fatal trauma sustained by Brandon Baugh was
    the product of a single blow to the infant’s head. This, of course, is consistent with
    the infant having fallen from Applicant’s arms, and reaching a speed of eleven miles
    per hour when the back of his head struck the concrete floor, and thereby absorbed all
    the energy (G force) of the fall “virtually instantaneously.” No evidence was
    introduced by the State that would have permitted the jury to find, much less beyond
    a reasonable doubt, that the infant sustained fatal trauma by reason of multiple blows
    to the head.
    32.   At the evidentiary hearing, Dr. Bayardo provided a detailed explanation of his
    conclusion that the infant died as a result of a single blow to the head. He used his
    autopsy photos for this purpose, as well as explaining the “soft tissue” and other
    analyses that he observed or performed during the autopsy. Based both upon its
    assessment of Dr. Bayardo’s testimony at the evidentiary hearing, and upon its
    personal recollection of Dr. Bayardo’s testimony at the trial of this case in 1995, and
    at many other criminal trials at which this Court served as trial judge, this Court finds
    that Dr. Bayardo’s “single blow” analysis is truthful and credible.
    33.   Drs. John Plunkett, Janice Ophoven, and Peter Stephens each testified at the
    evidentiary hearing that they agreed with Dr. Bayardo’s single blow analysis. The
    Court finds that all this testimony is truthful and credible.
    34.   The reports of Drs. Plunkett, Stephens, Ophoven, and Monson, and these witnesses’
    corresponding testimony at the evidentiary hearing, support a finding that the
    biomechanical analysis that has been presented and used in this case was not available
    to Applicant in November 1998. Although biomechanical studies and analyses had
    Henderson     Concurring Opinion     Page 22
    been used theretofore for accident prevention research and application–helmets,
    airbags, seatbelts, child restraint seats, etc.–it was not until the early 2000’s that
    research began to focus for the first time on short distance falls and other traumatic
    events involving head injuries to infants and young children.
    35.    The Court also heard the testimony of the State’s experts, Drs. Mary Case, M.D.,
    Carole Jenny, M.D., N. Rangarajan, Ph.D., Stephen Pustilnik, M.D., and Harrell Gill-
    King, Ph.D. The Court finds that their testimony is truthful and credible.
    36.    However, despite finding that both Applicant’s and State’s expert witnesses were
    truthful and credible, the Court finds that Dr. Bayardo’s re-evaluation is based upon
    credible, new scientific evidence, and that the re-evaluation is, as the Court of
    Criminal Appeals stated, a “material exculpatory fact.”
    37.    Accordingly, the Court finds that Applicant has met her burden of proof under
    Sections, 5(a)(1) and 5(e) of Article 11.071, namely, that the factual basis of her claim
    was unavailable to her at the time she filed her prior application on November 17,
    1998, and that the basis of her claim was not ascertainable through the exercise of
    reasonable diligence on or before that date.
    Judge Wisser’s single Conclusion of Law is: “Applicant Cathy Lynn Henderson has
    proved by clear and convincing evidence that no reasonable juror would have convicted her
    of the capital murder of Brandon Baugh in light of the new evidence presented in her
    Application.” Judge Wisser signed his findings and conclusions on May 14, 2012. On June
    13, 2012, the State filed its response:
    The State has reviewed the habeas court’s findings and conclusions on the first
    subsequent writ application. Given that Dr. Roberto Bayardo, one of the
    State’s major witnesses, has changed his opinion concerning the cause and
    manner of death of the infant Brandon Baugh, and in light of the court’s
    findings that this new medical testimony would have impacted the jury’s
    decision, the State does not oppose the habeas court’s recommendation that the
    applicant’s cause be remanded for a new trial.
    The State’s position is not based on the belief that the applicant is not guilty.
    Nor do we agree with the theory of biomechanics as presented by defense
    Henderson      Concurring Opinion      Page 23
    experts and relied upon by Dr. Bayardo. But we do believe that the community
    must have confidence in a fair process and accurate outcome. To this end, we
    believe Dr. Bayardo’s reevaluation and the habeas court’s recommendation are
    important enough to merit a reconsideration of all the evidence, including the
    new scientific theories, by a jury.
    Our decision not to file objections to the habeas court’s findings, nor to oppose
    the court’s recommendation for a new trial, is done so that this matter can be
    fully and fairly litigated.20
    Under the standard for determining a bare claim of actual innocence announced in Ex
    parte Elizondo, an applicant must show “by clear and convincing evidence that no reasonable
    juror would have convicted him in light of the new evidence.”21 This is what applicant
    claims; this is what the trial court concluded–that no reasonable juror would have found
    applicant guilty of the capital murder of Brandon Baugh–at least not to a level of confidence
    beyond a reasonable doubt.
    Judge Wisser did not have to find that Brandon’s death was an accident to conclude
    that applicant was entitled to a new trial based on Dr. Bayardo’s changed testimony and the
    new expert testimony concerning scientific advances in biomechanics and forensic
    pathology. Judge Wisser’s factual finding that “if Dr. Bayardo’s re-evaluation had been
    presented to the jury in 1995, no rational juror could have or would have convicted Applicant
    of capital murder beyond a reasonable doubt in light of this new evidence” is entitled to
    20
    The Travis County District Attorney’s Office should be commended for its fidelity to
    the admonition that “[i]t shall be the primary duty of all prosecuting attorneys . . . not to convict,
    but to see that justice is done.” TEX . CODE CRIM . PROC. art. 2.01.
    21
    
    947 S.W.2d 202
    , 209 (Tex. Crim. App. 1996).
    Henderson     Concurring Opinion      Page 24
    deference because it is supported by the record.22 That does not mean that applicant is
    actually innocent of capital murder. It simply means that the crucial evidence that had
    supported both the cause of Brandon’s death and applicant’s intent to cause his death has
    been retracted. The present guilty verdict is based on scientifically unreliable evidence, but,
    after another capital murder trial, a guilty verdict could be based on scientifically reliable
    evidence or evidence that forthrightly admits that science cannot resolve the question of
    either causation or intent.
    Given Judge Wisser’s profound concerns about the impact of Dr. Bayardo’s expert
    testimony at trial on the critical, disputed issue of applicant’s intent, I agree that applicant did
    not receive a fundamentally fair trial based upon reliable scientific evidence.23          Despite
    22
    FF&CL 22.
    23
    See, e.g., State v. Edmunds, 
    746 N.W.2d 590
    , 592 (Wis. Ct. App. 2008) (defendant,
    infant’s babysitter, was originally convicted of first degree reckless homicide based on evidence
    of “shaken baby syndrome,” but was entitled to new trial based upon her claim of newly
    discovered evidence in the form of advances in medical science that cast serious doubt upon the
    cause of infant’s death).
    In Edmunds the court noted that the State had, in the original trial of the case, called
    numerous expert witnesses who testified, to a reasonable degree of medical certainty, that the
    cause of the infant’s death was violent shaking or violent shaking combined with an impact that
    caused a fatal head injury. 
    Id. The defense’s
    own expert agreed with that cause of death, but
    suggested that the fatal injury could have occurred before the infant was brought to the
    defendant-babysitter’s home. 
    Id. Ten years
    after the original trial, the defendant filed a
    subsequent motion for new trial alleging that there had been significant developments in the
    medical community concerning whether the infant’s symptoms showed either “shaken baby
    syndrome” or shaking combined with head trauma. 
    Id. at 593.
    “The experts explained that there
    was not a significant debate about this issue in the mid-1990s and that the opinions offered in
    Edmunds’s first postconviction motion would have been considered minority or fringe medical
    opinions.” 
    Id. The State
    presented four experts who disagreed with the defense experts and
    maintained that the evidence at trial established that the infant had been violently injured while in
    the defendant’s care. 
    Id. The trial
    judge agreed that the defense had presented newly discovered
    Henderson      Concurring Opinion      Page 25
    evidence, but denied relief because he concluded that Edmunds had not established that there was
    a reasonable probability of a different result with the new expert evidence. 
    Id. at 594.
    The court
    of appeals reversed and remanded the case for a new trial based upon the new scientific
    advances.
    The court of appeals explained,
    The newly discovered evidence in this case shows that there has been a shift in
    mainstream medical opinion since the time of Edmunds’s trial as to the causes of
    the type of trauma [the infant] exhibited. We recognize, as did the circuit court,
    that there are now competing medical opinions as to how [the infant’s] injuries
    arose and that the new evidence does not completely dispel the old evidence.
    Indeed, the debate between the defense and State experts reveals a fierce
    disagreement between forensic pathologists, who now question whether the
    symptoms [the infant] displayed indicate intentional head trauma, and
    pediatricians, who largely adhere to the science as presented at Edmunds’s trial.
    However, it is the emergence of a legitimate and significant dispute within the
    medical community as to the cause of those injuries that constitutes newly
    discovered evidence. . . . Now, a jury would be faced with competing credible
    medical opinions in determining whether there is a reasonable doubt as to
    Edmunds’s guilt. Thus, we conclude that the record establishes that there is a
    reasonable probability that a jury, looking at both the new medical testimony and
    the old medical testimony, would have a reasonable doubt as to Edmunds’s guilt.
    
    Id. at 598-99.
    Thus, the court of appeals remanded the case for a new trial, not because the
    defendant had established that she was actually innocent of the offense, but because she had
    established a reasonable probability that a new jury, hearing both the new scientific evidence and
    the old medical testimony, would have a reasonable doubt as to her guilt. 
    Id. at 599.
    This is the
    same standard as that for establishing prejudice in an ineffective assistance of counsel claim or
    materiality in a Brady claim. The defendant’s position is not that he has proven actual
    innocence, but that he has raised sufficient doubts as to the accuracy and reliability of the original
    verdict, that he is entitled to a new trial. See also Burr v. Branker, No. 1:01CV393, 
    2009 WL 1298116
    , at *21 (M.D.N.C. May 6, 2009) (federal magistrate recommended granting habeas
    relief to state-court death-sentenced capital murder defendant for death of child based on
    counsel’s failure to call biomechanical experts, including Dr. Plunkett, and specialized doctors
    who would have disputed cause of death as an intentionally inflicted blow to the head rather than
    an earlier short-distance fall; “This court concludes that there is a reasonable probability that the
    jury, or at least one juror, in Petitioner’s case would have formed a reasonable doubt as to his
    guilt on the charge of first-degree murder had they heard the expert medical testimony that
    should have, and could have, been presented on Petitioner’s behalf.”), report adopted, 
    2012 WL 1950444
    (M.D.N.C. May 30, 2012) (not designated for publication). See generally “Shifted
    Science,”supra note 2 at 267-71 (discussing Edmunds, “shaken baby syndrome,” traumatic head
    injuries and the emergence of new scientific theories that undermine confidence in the original
    Henderson    Concurring Opinion     Page 26
    every participant’s honesty and good faith, this–as the District Attorney of Travis County
    forthrightly recognizes–is a case that should be retried to ensure the accuracy of our verdicts
    and the integrity of our system. With these comments, I join the Court’s order.
    Filed: December 5, 2012
    Publish
    trial verdict).