Quintana v. Secretary of Health and Human Services ( 2022 )


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  •     In the United States Court of Federal Claims
    OFFICE OF SPECIAL MASTERS
    Filed: February 15, 2022
    * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *
    HELENE QUINTANA,                           *       No. 15-1273V
    *
    Petitioner,                  *       Special Master Sanders
    *
    v.                                        *
    *       Denial of Entitlement; Influenza
    SECRETARY OF HEALTH                        *       (“Flu”) Vaccine; Uveitis; Peripheral
    AND HUMAN SERVICES,                        *       Ulcerative Keratitis (“PUK”); Herpes
    *       Simplex Virus (“HSV”); Herpes Keratitis
    Respondent.                  *
    * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *
    Ronald Homer, Conway, Homer, P.C., Boston, MA, for Petitioner.
    Joseph Lewis, United States Department of Justice, Washington, DC, for Respondent.
    DECISION ON ENTITLEMENT 1
    On October 28, 2015, Helene Quintana (“Petitioner”) filed a petition for compensation
    pursuant to the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program. 2 Pet. at 1, ECF No. 1; 42 U.S.C.
    §§ 300aa-1 to -34 (2012). Petitioner alleges that the influenza (“flu”) vaccine she received on
    November 3, 2012, caused her to suffer from peripheral ulcerative keratitis (“PUK”). 3 Pet. at 1.
    Petitioner further alleges that her flu vaccine caused her to suffer from “uveitis 4 and subsequently
    herpes keratitis 5 and related sequelae.” Pet’r’s Br. at 1, ECF No. 88.
    1
    This Decision shall be posted on the United States Court of Federal Claims’ website, in accordance with
    the E-Government Act of 2002, 
    44 U.S.C. § 3501
     note (2012) (Federal Management and Promotion of
    Electronic Government Services). In accordance with Vaccine Rule 18(b), a party has 14 days to identify
    and move to delete medical or other information that satisfies the criteria in § 300aa-12(d)(4)(B). Further,
    consistent with the rule requirement, a motion for redaction must include a proposed redacted Decision. If,
    upon review, I agree that the identified material fits within the requirements of that provision, such material
    will be deleted from public access.
    2
    National Childhood Vaccine Injury Act of 1986, Pub L. No. 99-660, 
    100 Stat. 3755
    . Hereinafter, for ease
    of citation, all “§” references to the Vaccine Act will be to the pertinent subparagraph of 42 U.S.C. § 300aa
    (2012).
    3
    Peripheral ulcerative keratitis (“PUK”) is “a rare type of keratitis with inflammation of the limbal part of
    the cornea and nearby sclera, which have cellular infiltration, vascular changes, and ulceration that may
    cause blindness; it may be a complication of rheumatoid arthritis or a bacterial infection but sometimes is
    idiopathic.” Dorland’s Illustrated Medical Dictionary 1, 979 (32nd ed. 2012) [hereinafter “Dorland’s”].
    4
    Uveitis is “an inflammation of part or all of the uvea, commonly involving the other tunics of the eye
    (sclera, cornea, and retina).” Dorland’s at 2014. The uvea is “vascular layer of eyeball: the middle,
    pigmented, vascular coat of the eye, comprising the choroid, the ciliary body, and the iris[.]” Id. at 1990.
    5
    Herpes keratitis is “a viral infection of the eye caused by the herpes simplex virus (“HSV”). It is a virus
    of the genus Simplexvirus that is an etiologic agent of herpes simplex and causes predominantly non[-
    After carefully analyzing and weighing all the evidence and testimony presented in this
    case in accordance with the applicable legal standards, 6 I find that Petitioner has failed to provide
    preponderant evidence that the flu vaccine she received on November 3, 2012, was the cause-in-
    fact of her PUK, uveitis, or herpes keratitis. Accordingly, Petitioner is not entitled to compensation.
    I.      Procedural History
    Petitioner filed her petition for compensation on October 28, 2015. Pet. at 1. On November
    5, 2015, Petitioner filed her vaccination record and twelve medical records. Pet’r’s Exs. 1–13, ECF
    Nos. 8-1–9-4. Petitioner filed one additional medical record and a statement of completion on
    December 8, 2015. Pet’r’s Ex. 14, ECF Nos. 10-1, 11. On December 16, 2015, Petitioner submitted
    two affidavits. Pet’r’s Exs. 15–16, ECF Nos. 12-1–12-2. Petitioner filed additional medical records
    and an amended statement of completion on January 7, 2016. Pet’r’s Exs. 17–18, ECF Nos. 15-1–
    15-2, 16.
    Respondent filed his Rule 4(c) report on January 26, 2016, recommending that
    compensation be denied. Resp’t’s Report, ECF No. 17. A status conference was held on February
    23, 2016, to discuss “concern[s] with the timing of onset and a possible alternate cause.” Sched.
    Order, ECF No. 18; see also Min. Entry, docketed Feb. 23, 2016. Following the conference, the
    presiding special master ordered Petitioner to file medical records “relating to Petitioner’s herpes
    diagnosis and treatment[]” and a status report “delineat[ing] next steps and an appropriate
    timeline.” Sched. Order at 1. Petitioner filed a status report on March 15, 2016, advising that “no
    additional medical records exist regarding herpes treatment or status.” ECF No. 19. Petitioner
    indicated that “an appropriate next step is to file a medical expert report.” Id.
    On July 12, 2016, after several extensions of time, Petitioner filed an expert report from
    Frederick Fraunfelder, M.D., and supporting medical literature. Pet’r’s Exs. 19–20, ECF Nos. 24-
    1–24-2. Respondent filed his responsive expert report from Hamid Bassiri, M.D., on September
    20, 2016, along with supporting medical literature. Resp’t’s Exs. A–L, ECF Nos. 27-1–27-12.
    The parties convened for a status conference on September 29, 2016, at which time the
    presiding special master discussed the experts’ reports. Sched. Order, ECF No. 28; see also Min.
    Entry, docketed Sept. 29, 2016. The presiding special master noted that the experts failed “to
    address Petitioner’s apparent use of Acyclovir . . . [and] that Petitioner’s expert ought to address
    the potential alternative causes identified by Respondent’s expert.” Sched. Order at 1. The
    presiding special master ordered Petitioner to file medical records reflecting whether she was
    ]genital infections. Primary infection usually occurs in early childhood and is often asymptomatic, although
    gingivostomatitis and pharyngitis may occur. The virus can pass along nerves and remain latent in ganglia,
    from which it may be reactivated. Called also herpes simplex virus (“HSV”) . . . .” Dorland’s at 979.
    6
    While I have reviewed all of the information filed in this case, only those filings and records that are most
    relevant to the decision will be discussed. Moriarty v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    844 F.3d 1322
    , 1328
    (Fed. Cir. 2016) (“[w]e generally presume that a special master considered the relevant record evidence
    even though he does not explicitly reference such evidence in his decision.”) (citation omitted); see also
    Paterek v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    527 F. App'x 875
    , 884 (Fed. Cir. 2013) (“[f]inding certain
    information not relevant does not lead to—and likely undermines—the conclusion that it was not
    considered.”).
    2
    pursuing a corneal transplant and a status report clarifying her use of Acyclovir. 
    Id.
     The presiding
    special master further ordered Petitioner to file a supplemental expert report. 
    Id.
    On October 27, 2016, Petitioner submitted additional medical records and a supplemental
    affidavit. Pet’r’s Exs. 21–26, ECF Nos. 29-1–29-5, 30-1, 31. The same day, Petitioner filed a
    motion for extension of time to file her remaining outstanding medical records, which was granted.
    ECF No. 33. Petitioner filed additional medical records on November 21, 2016. Pet’r’s Exs. 27–
    30, ECF Nos. 34-1–34-5. On November 23, 2016, Petitioner filed a motion for extension of time
    to file her supplemental expert report, which was granted the same day. ECF No. 35. On December
    8, 2016, Petitioner filed an additional medical record. Pet’r’s Ex. 31, ECF No. 36-2. Petitioner
    filed her supplemental expert report on January 5, 2017. Pet’r’s Ex. 32, ECF No. 37-1.
    This case was reassigned to me on January 9, 2017. ECF Nos. 40–41. After several
    extensions of time, Respondent filed his supplemental expert report on April 25, 2017. Resp’t’s
    Ex. M, ECF No. 45-1. I held a status conference with the parties on May 9, 2017. See Min. Entry,
    docketed May 9, 2017. During the status conference, I discussed my main concerns with
    Petitioner’s expert reports, including “a failure to explain the causal mechanism by which an
    influenza vaccine causes [T]ype IV hypersensitivity and uveitis; and [] a lack of response to
    alternative causes identified by Respondent . . . .” Sched. Order at 1, ECF No. 46. Following the
    conference, I ordered Petitioner to file the outstanding medical literature cited in Petitioner’s initial
    expert report and an additional supplemental expert report clarifying her medical theory and
    addressing the potential alternative causes identified by Respondent’s expert. 
    Id.
    Petitioner filed her outstanding medical literature on May 11, 2017. Pet’r’s Exs. 19, Tabs
    A, C, ECF Nos. 47-1–47-2. On August 9, 2017, Petitioner submitted a supplemental expert report
    and supporting medical literature. Pet’r’s Exs. 33, Tabs A–F, ECF Nos. 49-1–49-7. Respondent
    filed a responsive supplemental expert report and supporting medical literature on September 15,
    2017. Resp’t’s Exs. N, O, ECF Nos. 52-1–52-2.
    On September 29, 2017, the parties communicated via e-mail and agreed to proceed with
    an entitlement hearing. Informal Comm., docketed Sept. 29, 2017; Order, ECF No. 53. Petitioner
    filed updated medical records on April 9 and April 23, 2018, and December 11 and 17, 2019.
    Pet’r’s Exs. 34–40, ECF Nos. 54-1–56-1, 67-1, 70-1. This matter was set for an entitlement hearing
    on March 2, 2020. Non-PDF Order, docketed Sept. 3, 2019. Petitioner filed her pre-hearing brief
    on December 12, 2019. Pet’r’s Br., ECF No. 69. Respondent filed his pre-hearing response brief
    on January 10, 2020. Resp’t’s Resp., ECF No. 72. On January 14, 2020, Petitioner filed additional
    updated medical records. Pet’r’s Exs. 41–43, ECF Nos. 74-1–74-3. Petitioner submitted her pre-
    hearing reply brief and medical literature on February 14, 2020. Pet’r’s Reply Br., ECF No. 85;
    Pet’r’s Exs. 44–45, ECF Nos. 79-1, 81, 82. The entitlement hearing was held as scheduled on
    March 2, 2020. See Min. Entry, docketed Mar. 2, 2020.
    Following the entitlement hearing, Petitioner filed her opening post-hearing brief on June
    10, 2020. Pet’r’s Br., ECF No. 88. On July 27, 2020, Respondent filed his post-hearing response
    brief. Resp’t’s Resp., ECF No. 90. Petitioner did not submit a post-hearing reply brief. This matter
    is now ripe for consideration.
    3
    II.     Factual Background
    A. Medical Records
    Petitioner’s pre-vaccination history is rather “unremarkable[,]” and she was “healthy.” Pet.
    at 1; Resp’t’s Report at 2; Pet’r’s Exs. 3, 4, ECF Nos. 8-3–8-4. Petitioner received an influenza
    vaccine on November 3, 2012. Pet’r’s Ex. 1, ECF No. 8-1. She was fifty-five years old at the time
    of vaccination. Pet. at 1. On November 12, 2012, Petitioner reported to Lilia Alvarez, D.O. Pet’r’s
    Ex. 2 at 1, ECF No. 8-2. Dr. Alvarez wrote that Petitioner “had [a] stye 7 start after [receiving the]
    flu shot. Progressed to turning red and swollen on [November 5, 2012].” 
    Id.
     Dr. Alvarez also wrote
    that Petitioner had a “fever [on November 7, 2012 through November 8, 2012], [which] was gone
    by [November 10, 2012].” 
    Id.
     Dr. Alvarez further wrote that Petitioner “had [another] stye [on
    November 10, 2012, which became] worse [on November 11, 2012,]” and that Petitioner was
    suffering from “a mild cold.” 
    Id.
     She noted that Petitioner’s “nasal nerves on cheeks are tender[.]”
    
    Id.
     Petitioner reported that her vision “fe[lt] blurry from discharge[.]” 
    Id.
     An examination revealed
    yellow mucous and itchiness, along with pain below the eye. 
    Id.
     Dr. Alvarez’s examination also
    revealed a clear cornea. 8 
    Id.
     Dr. Alvarez assessed Petitioner with bacterial conjunctivitis 9 of the
    right eye greater than the left, and she prescribed Tobradex, 10 an antibiotic eyedrop. 
    Id. at 2
    .
    On November 13, 2012, Petitioner returned to Dr. Alvarez reporting feeling “much better”
    after doing hot compresses. 
    Id.
     Petitioner reported “some mild discomfort, but fe[lt] better and
    [was] less swollen[.]” 
    Id.
     Dr. Alvarez’s examination revealed a “30% improvement” in Petitioner’s
    right eye, while her left eye was “better.” 
    Id.
     Dr. Alvarez directed Petitioner to continue her
    antibiotic eye drops for three days and then cut back. 
    Id.
    Petitioner returned to Dr. Alvarez for a follow-up on December 10, 2012. 
    Id. at 3
    . Petitioner
    reported “some improvement with [prescription,]” and there was “no discharge[]” but still
    itchiness. 
    Id.
     Dr. Alvarez’s examination revealed dry corneas and yellow discharge and she
    diagnosed Petitioner with a bacterial infection. 
    Id.
     Dr. Alvarez prescribed Petitioner a different
    antibiotic eye drop. 
    Id.
    On January 7, 2013, Petitioner presented to ophthalmologist Michael W. Foote, M.D., with
    complaints of “pain and redness in her right eye[, which she described as a] 7 out of 10 [in]
    severity.” Pet’r’s Ex. 5 at 1, ECF No. 8-5. Petitioner reported that this pain began six weeks prior
    7
    A stye or hordeolum is “a localized, purulent, inflammatory staphylococcal infection of one or more
    sebaceous glands . . . of the eyelids[.]” Dorland’s at 869, 1789.
    8
    A cornea is “the transparent structure forming the anterior part of the fibrous layer of the eyeball. It consists
    of five layers: (1) the anterior corneal epithelium, continuous with that of the conjunctiva; (2) the anterior
    limiting layer . . .; (3) the substantia propria, or stroma; (4) the posterior limiting layer . . .; and (5) the
    endothelium of the anterior chamber.” Dorland’s at 415.
    9
    Conjunctivitis is “inflammation of the conjunctiva, generally consisting of conjunctival hyperemia
    associated with a discharge.” Dorland’s at 405.
    10
    Tobradex is the “trademark for combination preparations of tobramycin and dexamethasone.” Dorland’s
    at 1933. Tobramycin is “effective against a wide range of aerobic gram-negative bacilli and some gram-
    positive bacteria, having a range of antibacterial activity similar to that of gentamicin; used topically in the
    treatment of external infections of the eye and its adnexa.” 
    Id.
     Dexamethasone is “an anti-inflammatory and
    administered orally in replacement therapy for adrenocortical insufficiency . . . .” 
    Id. at 504
    .
    4
    and “is constant.” 
    Id.
     Petitioner denied any trauma. 
    Id.
     Dr. Foote’s examination revealed “diffuse
    papillary changes” and severe redness of the right eye and “minimal papillary changes, mild
    injection” in her left eye. 
    Id. at 2
    . Dr. Foote’s impression was a “marginal corneal ulcer 11 [in
    Petitioner’s] right eye[,]” which Dr. Foote “suspect[ed was of an] infectious etiology.” 
    Id.
     He noted
    that Tobradex and Petitioner’s existing treatment “seem[ed] to make it better[.]” 
    Id. at 1
    . Dr. Foote
    prescribed Vigamox 12 and tobramycin drops 13 and directed Petitioner to follow up the next day.
    
    Id.
    Petitioner returned to Dr. Foote on January 8, 2013. 
    Id. at 3
    . Petitioner complained of
    “blurry vision, in and around eye pain, [and] redness. [Her] vision is affected both at near and far.”
    
    Id.
     In addition to medications described above, Petitioner also reported taking Acyclovir, an
    antiviral for herpes infections. 14 
    Id.
     Dr. Foote wrote that a “gram stain [of Petitioner’s discharge]
    was negative for organism.” 
    Id.
     Dr. Foote considered the possibility that this was PUK, but
    “suspect[ed it was] more likely infectious.” 
    Id.
    On January 11, 2013, Petitioner returned to Dr. Foote with worsening symptoms, including
    “redness, tearing, and light sensitivity.” 
    Id. at 5
    . Dr. Foote wrote that Petitioner’s condition was
    “presumed to [be] an infectious keratitis but now [he is] suspecting more a peripheral ulcer
    keratitis[,] which has progress[ed] dispite [sic] topical antibiotic and negative corneal cultures at
    this point.” 
    Id. at 6
    . He directed Petitioner to continue her current medications, except for
    Acyclovir, and prescribed a Medrol Dosepak 15 and Durezol, a steroidal eye drop. 
    Id. at 6, 7
    .
    Petitioner returned to Dr. Foote on January 14, 2013, and reported that her “condition is
    improving.” 
    Id. at 9
    . During this visit, Dr. Foote noted that he “suspect[ed] possible [rheumatoid
    arthritis (“RA”)] vs. other autoimmune process, she has a family [history] of autoimmune disorders
    . . . .” 
    Id.
     Dr. Foote also ordered numerous tests, including erythrocyte sedimentation rate (“ESR”),
    C-reactive protein, antinuclear antibody (“ANA”), and RA factor. 
    Id.
     These results returned on
    January 28, 2013, and showed a positive ANA and HLA-B27 haplotype. 
    Id. at 15
    . The same day,
    Dr. Foote noted that Petitioner has a sister with possible RA and a son with possible ankylosing
    spondylitis. 16 
    Id. at 21
    . He also indicated that Petitioner’s corneal ulcer had “slowly” continued to
    heal. 
    Id. at 16
    .
    11
    A corneal ulcer is also called ulcerative keratitis, which is “keratitis with ulceration of the corneal
    epithelium[.]” Dorland’s at 980.
    12
    Vigamox is the brand name for moxifloxacin. Dorland’s at 1184. Moxifloxacin is an eye drop “effective
    against many . . . bacteria.” 
    Id.
    13
    See supra note 10.
    14
    Dr. Foote’s notes indicate that Petitioner began taking Acyclovir on January 11, 2013. Pet’r’s Ex. 5 at 1.
    However, Dr. Foote noted during Petitioner’s January 8, 2013 appointment that she was on Acyclovir then.
    15
    A Medrol Dosepak is a prescription of Medrol. Medrol is the “trademark for preparation of
    methylprednisolone.” Dorland’s at 1120. Methylprednisolone is “a synthetic glucocorticoid [steroid]
    derived from progesterone, used in replacement therapy for adrenocortical insufficiency and as an anti[-
    ]inflammatory and immunosuppressant in a wide variety of disorders[.]” Id. at 1154.
    16
    Ankylosing spondylitis is “a chronic multisystem inflammatory disorder associated with presence of the
    HLA-B27 antigen, and thus one of the group of seronegative spondyloarthropathies; it usually initially
    affects the sacroiliac joints and often later involves other joints of the axial skeleton and peripheral joints,
    5
    On March 4, 2013, Petitioner returned to Dr. Foote at his “request to re-evaluate blurry
    vision in [her] right eye.” Id. at 22. During this visit, Petitioner reported “doing much better from
    [her] last visit . . . .” Id. Dr. Foote noted that Petitioner’s ulcer “is finally sealed,” and he decreased
    her steroidal and antibiotic eye drops. Id.
    On May 10, 2013, Petitioner returned to Dr. Foote to complain of a “reaction to Restasis 17
    in both [of her] eyes.” Id. at 28. She described the “severity [as] moderate[,]” and her “vision is
    not affected.” Id. Petitioner further described the onset as “sudden” and noted that the symptoms
    began “[one] week ago.” Id. Dr. Foote wrote that Petitioner’s PUK had returned. Id. Petitioner
    returned to Dr. Foote ten days later, on May 20, 2013. Id. at 33. Petitioner stated that her ulcer was
    “improving,” and she “denie[d] redness, pain, light sensitiv[ity], tearing, or itch[iness].” Id. She
    also stated that her vision was “better” and that she was taking Durezol, Vigamox, and “art[ificial]
    tears.” Id. Dr. Foote reaffirmed the PUK diagnosis and noted that it was “improving.” Id.
    Petitioner presented to rheumatologist Karen Smith, M.D., on June 5, 2013. Pet’r’s Ex. 8
    at 12, ECF No. 8-8. Dr. Smith noted that Petitioner was “here after severe ulcerative keratitis after
    flu shot.” Id. An examination revealed “on eye red injected eye ulcer at right internal lower
    quadrant with limbal haze[, but] otherwise” was a normal exam. Id. Dr. Smith diagnosed Petitioner
    with “Reiter’s [syndrome] 18 most likely[,]” and she prescribed methotrexate 19 and folic acid. 20 Id.
    The same day, Petitioner presented to internist Branch Craige, M.D., to establish care.
    Pet’r’s Ex. 9 at 2, ECF No. 8-9. Dr. Craige noted that Petitioner was “here to get acquainted,
    frustrated over a second episode of PUK . . .[,] which she attributes to our dry Southwest or
    possibly [an] allergy to a vehicle and whatever eyedrops.” Id. However, an addendum entered on
    December 1, 2014, states, “[Petitioner] asked us to amend our initial note to reflect the fact that
    she attribute[s] her PUK to a reaction to [a flu] vaccine.” Id. He noted that Petitioner had “just
    begun therapy with Dr. Karen Smith for Reiter [sic] syndrome[.]” Id. Under past medical history,
    Dr. Craige noted that Petitioner’s Reiter’s syndrome with PUK had an “onset [of] 2012[.]” Id. at
    3. Upon examination, Dr. Craige wrote that Petitioner’s “right eye seem[ed] somewhat inflamed,”
    causing pain and progressive stiffness and restricted range of motion. Extraskeletal manifestations include
    ocular, pulmonary, cardiovascular, renal, and neurologic complications.” Dorland’s at 1754.
    17
    Restasis is the trademark preparation of cyclosporine. Dorland’s at 1629. Cyclosporine is an
    immunosuppressant, “produced as a metabolite by the soil fungus Tolypocladium inflatum Gams; it acts by
    inhibiting activation of helper T lymphocytes. Administered orally or intravenously to prevent and treat
    rejection in organ transplant recipients, to treat severe psoriasis, and as a disease-modifying antirheumatic
    drug to treat rheumatoid arthritis; also administered topically to the conjunctiva in the treatment of chronic
    dry eye.” Id. at 456.
    18
    Reiter’s syndrome is “the triad of acute aseptic arthritis, nongonococcal urethritis, and conjunctivitis; . .
    . It usually affects young men and runs a self-limited but relapsing course. Some authorities now consider
    this symptom complex to be more appropriately classified as reactive arthritis and not distinguished or
    named separately.” Dorland’s at 1845.
    19
    Methotrexate is “a folic acid antagonist that acts by inhibiting synthesis of DNA, RNA, thymidylate and
    protein . . . It is also used as an anti[-]psoriatic and antiarthritic in the treatment of severe, recalcitrant,
    disabling psoriasis and severe rheumatoid and psoriatic arthritis.” Dorland’s at 1151.
    20
    Folic acid is “1. a water-soluble vitamin of the B complex . . .; 2. a preparation of folic acid administered
    orally or parenterally in the prophylaxis and treatment of folic acid deficiency states, including
    megaloblastic anemia.” Dorland’s at 725.
    6
    but was otherwise normal. Id. His assessment included “Reiter [sic] syndrome, HLA-B27
    positive.” Id.
    On June 21, 2013, Petitioner returned to Dr. Foote for a follow-up. Pet’r’s Ex. 5 at 45. Dr.
    Foote noted that “[t]he erosion over [Petitioner’s] right eye has significantly improved, though the
    epithelial is fairly irregular.” Id. at 46. Five days later, on June 26, 2013, Petitioner presented to
    Dr. Smith for continued concerns. Pet’r’s Ex. 8 at 11. Dr. Smith wrote that “[Petitioner’s] ulcers
    have healed but her eye is redder. . . . She is on her eye drops and has had her contact in place. No
    problems with the methotrexate.” Id. Dr. Smith’s examination revealed a “red eye[, but] nothing
    else.” Id. Dr. Smith assessed Petitioner with keratitis, prescribed her minocycline, 21 and directed
    her to stop methotrexate due to her then-upcoming trip to Norway. Id.
    Petitioner returned to Dr. Foote for a follow-up on July 2, 2013. Pet’r’s Ex. 5 at 50. Dr.
    Foote wrote that Petitioner exhibited “decreased redness.” Id. Dr. Foote wrote that “[t]he [three]
    abrasions noted previously have turned into one large abrasion[,]” and that Petitioner had begun
    to take “Pred [F]orte[.] 22” Id.
    On July 17, 2013, Petitioner presented to Dr. Smith, who wrote that Petitioner had “severe
    right eye pain [with] no fever[,] chills[,] cough or rash.” Pet’r’s Ex. 8 at 10. Upon examination,
    Petitioner exhibited “severe uveitis with hypopyon 23” but was “well otherwise.” Id. Dr. Smith’s
    assessment was that Petitioner’s condition “needs aggressive control[,]” and she noted that she had
    spoken to Dr. Foote Id. She prescribed Cimzia 24 and a higher dose of methotrexate. Id. Dr. Smith
    also requested “STAT” Remicade. 25 Id. She wrote that the “severity and suddenness of
    [Petitioner’s] flare suggests [B]ehcet’s” syndrome. 26 Id.
    Petitioner returned to Dr. Smith on July 26, 2013, for her first dose of Remicade. Id. at 7.
    During this visit, Petitioner reported “moderate pain[.]” Id. Dr. Smith’s examination revealed that
    Petitioner’s “eye [was] very red [with] no discharge . . . [and] no edema around [her] eye [and]
    less corneal edema.” Id. She assessed Petitioner with “hypopyon uveitis” and noted that she would
    “defer to optho [sic].” Id. Dr. Smith indicated that Petitioner was scheduled to see two additional
    ophthalmologists that day. Id.
    21
    Minocycline is “a semisynthetic broad-spectrum antibiotic . . . .” Dorland’s at 1168.
    22
    Pred Forte is the brand name for prednisolone. Prednisolone is “a synthetic glucocorticoid derived from
    cortisol, administered orally in replacement therapy for adrenocortical insufficiency and as an anti-
    inflammatory and immunosuppressant in a wide variety of conditions.” Dorland’s at 1508.
    23
    Hypopyon is “an accumulation of pus in the anterior chamber of the eye.” Dorland’s at 905.
    24
    Cimzia is the trademark preparation of certolizumab pegol. Dorland’s at 361. Certolizumab pegol is “a
    tumor necrosis factor blocker used for reduction of signs and symptoms of Crohn disease; administered by
    subcutaneous injection.” Id. at 333.
    25
    Remicade is the trademark preparation of infliximab. Dorland’s at 1623. Infliximab is “a chimeric
    human-murine immunoglobulin that acts as a tumor necrosis factor blocker; administered intravenously in
    treatment of Crohn disease and rheumatoid arthritis.” Id. at 937.
    26
    Behcet’s syndrome is “a variant of neutrophilic dermatosis of unknown etiology, involving the small
    blood vessels, characterized by recurrent aphthous ulceration of oral and pharyngeal mucous membranes
    and genitalia, with skin lesions, severe uveitis, retinal vasculitis, optic atrophy, and often involvement of
    the joints, gastrointestinal system, and central nervous system.” Dorland’s at 1822.
    7
    Petitioner presented to ophthalmologist Mario Di Pascuale, M.D., on July 26, 2013. Pet’r’s
    Ex. 10 at 15, ECF No. 9-1. Dr. Di Pascuale wrote that Petitioner “received [the] flu vaccine on
    November 2, 2012, then contracted conjunctivitis.” Id. He continued that this “was treated” but
    “worsened and [Petitioner] was told [she] had [an] ulcer by Dr. Foote and was treated with
    steroids[, which] helped.” Id. During this visit, Petitioner complained of pain, photophobia, and
    light sensitivity in her right eye. Id. Dr. Di Pascuale diagnosed Petitioner with PUK and re-
    prescribed Acyclovir, while discontinuing Vigamox. Id.
    The same day, Petitioner saw a second ophthalmologist, Ruben Ramirez, M.D. Pet’r’s Ex.
    6 at 1, ECF No. 8-6. Dr. Ramirez noted that the onset of Petitioner’s condition occurred “after [the]
    flu vaccine.” Id. Dr. Ramirez assessed Petitioner with “severe vasculitis with associated
    keratitis[,]” although he was “unclear if [it was] infectious[,]” as the culture was negative. Id. at 5.
    Dr. Ramirez suggested adding systemic steroids to Petitioner’s medications. Id. On July 30, 2013,
    Petitioner was formally prescribed oral steroids by Dr. Di Pascuale. Id. at 4.
    Petitioner took a trip to Norway in August of 2013. Pet’r’s Ex. 11 at 1, ECF No. 9-2. On
    August 23, 2013, Atle Einar Ostern, M.D., wrote a letter documenting the issues Petitioner
    experienced while in Norway. Id. Dr. Ostern wrote that Petitioner “was admitted to the eye
    Dep[artment] at Oslo University Hospital [on August 8, 2013].” Id. She noted that Petitioner’s
    right eye had “corneal edema . . . with a large corneal epithelial defect[,] which was measured
    vertically 4.2 [mms] and horizontally 6.7 [mms, and] corneal sensibility was almost absent.” Id.
    Dr. Ostern noted that all specimen cultures were negative. Id. Dr. Ostern wrote that “the condition
    may be consistent with an (initial) stromal or endothelial herpes keratitis even if all specimens are
    negative[,] ([Petitioner] feels the pain was diminished after starting [sic] taking Acyclovir).” Id.
    Dr. Ostern also wrote that the “drastically reduced corneal sensibility . . . has lead [sic] to
    neurotrophic keratopathy[,]” for which Dr. Ostern gave Botox injections into the “eyelid to induce
    a complete ptosis.” Id. Petitioner was treated with lubricants, prophylactic antibiotics, and
    Valacyclovir tablets, 27 which “gradually improved” Petitioner’s condition. Id. Petitioner’s corneal
    defect had reduced in size (1.8 mms by 2.5 mms) upon discharge. Id. Petitioner was discharged
    with eye gels, ointments, drops, and Valacyclovir, which Dr. Ostern noted “may [need to] be
    continued . . . for perhaps months.” Id.
    Upon her return to the United States, Petitioner resumed care with Dr. Smith. Pet’r’s Ex. 8
    at 6. On August 28, 2013, Dr. Smith wrote that Petitioner received treatment in Norway and had
    been diagnosed with “herpetic keratitis/vasculitis.” Id. Dr. Smith noted that a biopsy had “+Abs
    [(antibodies)] in the serum.” Id. Dr. Smith diagnosed Petitioner with “Reiter’s keratitis with herpes
    as the AG [aggravating] driver.” Id. Her plan was for Petitioner to “stay on the Valtrex [] for a
    week then taper off pred[nisone].” Id.
    The same day, Petitioner also returned to Dr. Di Pascuale. Pet’r’s Ex. 10 at 11. Petitioner
    reported feeling “better” after her treatment in Norway. Id. Dr. Di Pascuale recommended
    continuing her treatment. Id. Two days later, on August 30, 2013, Petitioner returned to Dr. Foote.
    27
    Valacyclovir hydrochloride tablets are “used as an antiviral agent in the treatment of genital herpes and
    herpes zoster in immunocompetent adults; administered orally. Following absorption, valacyclovir is
    converted by intestinal and hepatic metabolism to the active drug acyclovir.” Dorland’s at 2020. The
    trademark preparation is Valtrex. Id. at 2021.
    8
    Pet’r’s Ex. 5 at 67. Dr. Foote noted that Petitioner was on oral prednisone and Valtrex, but the
    remainder of her medications had been discontinued. Id.
    On September 9, 2013, Petitioner reported to Dr. Di Pascuale with complaints of “eye
    sensitivity and swelling” while she was tapering off prednisone. Pet’r’s Ex. 10 at 9. Upon
    examination, Dr. Di Pascuale noted a corneal ulcer that was “significantly improved.” Id. Dr. Di
    Pascuale diagnosed Petitioner with keratitis and increased her prednisone dosage. Id.
    Petitioner returned to Dr. Smith on October 8, 2013, and reported “some eye pain[,]” so
    “she is back on her eye drops.” Pet’r’s Ex. 8 at 5. Dr. Smith noted that Petitioner was on Valtrex
    and prednisone. Id. Dr. Smith’s examination revealed a “cloudy right cornea with limbal
    injection[.]” Dr. Smith diagnosed Petitioner with “Reiters [sic] [syndrome] with herpes keratitis.”
    Id.
    On December 2, 2013, Petitioner returned to Dr. Foote, who wrote that “[Petitioner’s] eye
    appears fairly quiet today [without] peripheral inflammation.” Pet’r’s Ex. 5 at 70–71. However, he
    noted that Petitioner “ha[d] marked corneal vascularization. 28” Id. at 71. Petitioner reported that
    she had been in Norway in August and “saw an [sic] uveitis specialist there who [diagnosed] her
    with herpetic keratouveitis 29 and stated her HLA-B27 status caused her to have a severe reaction
    to [the] herpes virus.” Id.
    Petitioner had another follow-up for the ulcer in her right eye with Dr. Foote on April 15,
    2014. Id. at 73. Dr. Foote noted that “[t]he severity [of the ulcer] is improving” and “[t]he condition
    is resolved.” Id. He wrote that Petitioner’s “[v]ision [wa]s affected both at near and far . . . .” Id.
    Dr. Foote indicated that Petitioner “continue[d] to have vascularization . . . [which has] regress[ed]
    over time.” Id. He noted that Petitioner “initially presented with peripheral ulcerative keratitis[,]
    which was ultimately [diagnosed] as herpetic keratouveitis [that was] exacerbated by her HLA-
    B27 status.” Id. Regarding Petitioner’s cataract, Dr. Foote wrote that her “condition is moderate
    to severe [and s]he has posterior synechia from previous uveitis episodes.” Id. Dr. Foote
    recommended surgical intervention and to continue taking Acyclovir and prednisone. Id.
    Petitioner followed up with Dr. Di Pascuale two days later, on April 17, 2014. Pet’r’s Ex.
    7 at 22, ECF No. 8-7. Dr. Di Pascuale noted that Petitioner had 20/20 vision in her right eye. Id. at
    23. He wrote that Petitioner no longer had a corneal ulcer, but she still had a corneal scar and
    neovascularization of the cornea. Id. at 24. Dr. Di Pascuale diagnosed Petitioner with a corneal
    28
    Corneal vascularization is “any formation of new blood vessels” in the cornea. Dorland’s at 2026.
    29
    Herpetic keratouveitis is “1. Keratitis caused by infection with herpes simplex virus, often with dendritic
    ulceration . . . 2. Keratitis occurring as a complication of herpes zoster ophthalmicus.” Dorland’s at 979.
    9
    scar, scleritis, 30 and a cataract. 31 Id. He wrote that “cataract surgery will be required at some point.”
    Id. at 25.
    On May 8, 2014, Petitioner had another follow-up with Dr. Smith, who wrote that
    Petitioner was “stable and has not had any new problems other than she was in an accident at work
    and fell hard on her right thigh and is still limping.” Pet’r’s Ex. 8 at 2. Dr. Smith’s examination
    revealed “some corneal scarring [in Petitioner’s] right eye[,] but no signs of activity [of connective
    tissue disease (“CTD”) 32].” Id. Dr. Smith assessed Petitioner with “CTD in remission” and
    “traumatic injury right thigh.” Id. Dr. Smith noted that Petitioner’s “CTD [was] in remission [for
    six months].” Id.
    Petitioner presented to orthopedist Jacob Heydemann, M.D. on May 22, 2014, for right hip
    pain that she associated with the work-related injury she experienced on March 15, 2014. Pet’r’s
    Ex. 12 at 5–6, ECF No. 9-3. Petitioner explained that while working for ski patrol, she fell on a
    patch of ice. Id. Dr. Heydemann wrote that Petitioner “has a viral keratitis from a flu vaccine that
    has affected her right eye and [Petitioner] has also been diagnosed with a rheumatoid type pattern,
    but its only symptom is that it started after the flu vaccine, unrelated to this trauma [i.e., the hip
    injury].” Id. Dr. Heydemann diagnosed Petitioner with joint pain and ordered an MRI, which
    showed a “small tear of the anterior lip of the labrum.” Id. at 11. He treated Petitioner’s condition
    accordingly. Id. Dr. Heydemann released Petitioner from his care on September 19, 2014, and
    noted that Petitioner was still in some hip discomfort. Id. at 1.
    Petitioner returned to Dr. Di Pascuale on October 7, 2014. Pet’r’s Ex. 7 at 8. Petitioner
    complained of “some headaches and . . . vision fluctuating in the right eye.” Id. at 9. Dr. Di
    Pascuale’s examination showed punctate epithelial erosions of both corneas, a right corneal scar
    with corneal neovascularization, and bilateral cataracts. Id. at 9–10. Dr. Di Pascuale’s impression
    included dry eye syndrome, corneal scar, a flare of scleritis, and cataracts. Id. at 10–11. Dr. Di
    Pascuale increased Petitioner’s Acyclovir dosage and steroid eye drops and ordered Petitioner to
    follow up in six weeks. Id. at 11.
    On November 6, 2014, Petitioner returned to Dr. Smith for a follow-up. Pet’r’s Ex. 8 at 1.
    Dr. Smith wrote that Petitioner was “generally stable except she has a permanent eye injury.” Id.
    Petitioner reported that her eye injury began after receipt of a flu vaccine. Id. Dr. Smith noted that
    “[i]t is immunologically possible that [the flu vaccine] could be the trigger.” Id. Dr. Smith’s
    examination revealed that Petitioner had a “red hazy right eye [with a] small amount of clear
    discharge[,]” but “otherwise [had a] normal exam.” Id. Dr. Smith assessed Petitioner with
    30
    Scleritis is “inflammation of the sclera, with dilation of the scleral, episcleral, and bulbar conjunctival
    vessels. It may be confined to a sector or diffuse, and presents with severe, boring pain, photophobia,
    tearing, and decreased visual acuity. It is often associated with systemic disease, particularly rheumatoid
    arthritis.” Dorland’s at 1679.
    31
    A cataract is “a partial or complete opacity on or in the lens of the eye or its capsule, especially one
    impairing vision or causing blindness. Cataracts are classified by their morphology (size, shape, location)
    or etiology (cause or time of occurrence).” Dorland’s at 303.
    32
    Connective tissue disease is “any disease that affects the parts of the body that connect the structures of
    the body together . . . [c]onnective tissues are made up of two proteins: collagen and elastin.” Connective
    Tissue Diseases, CLEV. CLINIC, https://my.clevelandclinic.org/health/diseases/14803-connective-tissue-
    diseases (last visited Feb. 1, 2022).
    10
    “inflammatory eye disease. 33” Id. Dr. Smith’s plan was for Petitioner to “send [Dr. Smith a]
    timeline and lot number for [her] initial incident with [the flu] vaccine and [Dr. Smith would] then
    do a letter for [the] vaccine compensation fund[.]” Id.
    Petitioner returned to Dr. Di Pascuale on December 4, 2014, complaining of “some
    headaches and . . . plunctuating in the right eye.” Pet’r’s Ex. 7 at 6. Dr. Di Pascuale assessed
    Petitioner with corneal dry eye syndrome, stable sclerokeratitis, 34 which he noted could be HSV-
    related, a corneal scar, and cataracts. Id. at 7, 8. Dr. Di Pascuale increased Petitioner’s Acyclovir
    dosage and eye lubricant. Id.
    On April 23, 2015, Petitioner returned to Dr. Foote, who wrote that Petitioner’s corneal
    ulcer had “essentially resolved.” Pet’r’s Ex. 5 at 78. Dr. Foote also wrote that Petitioner “ha[d]
    corneal thinning, which remains stable[, and] she had some calcification as well. In general, there
    appears to be some overall reduction in the size of the scar and the vascularity is regressing.” Id.
    He indicated that Petitioner was to continue her current treatment regimen, which included
    prednisolone, serum tears, and Acyclovir. Id. Dr. Foote noted that “the entire episode began [three]
    days subsequent to [a] flu vaccination . . . .” Id.
    Petitioner saw Dr. Di Pascuale several months later, on July 2, 2015, complaining of
    “blurry vision.” Pet’r’s Ex. 7 at 29. Dr. Di Pascuale diagnosed Petitioner with sclerokeratitis, HSV-
    related, which he noted was “stable.” Id. at 31. He also maintained his diagnoses of corneal dry
    eye syndrome, a corneal scar, scleritis, and cataracts. Id. Dr. Di Pascuale recommended Petitioner
    continue taking Acyclovir and using eye drops. Id.
    Petitioner presented to Lookman Lawal, M.D., on April 18, 2016, for complaints of heart
    murmurs. Pet’r’s Ex. 35 at 1–2, ECF No. 54-2. Dr. Lawal noted that Petitioner had a “flu shot
    reaction [-] eye inflammatory[.]” Id. at 1. He indicated that “[s]he had an autoimmune reaction in
    her right eye after a flu shot [two] years ago.” Id. at 2.
    On May 6, 2016, Petitioner presented to Dr. Smith for a follow-up and reported vision loss,
    sensitivity to light, wind, and dust. Pet’r’s Ex. 30 at 2, ECF No. 34-5. Dr. Smith noted that
    Petitioner was on Acyclovir. Id. On November 4, 2016, Petitioner returned to Dr. Smith and stated
    that she was doing well throughout the summer but “was given a skin test for [tuberculosis (“TB”)]
    and she has had [the Bacille Calmette-Guerin (“BCG”) vaccine for TB] before. She has had an
    enormous [reaction] and since then her eyes are flaring.” Id. at 1. Dr. Smith’s examination revealed
    that Petitioner was experiencing “erythema and redness [that were] moderate [in Petitioner’s] right
    eye [and] mild [in her] left eye.” Id. Dr. Smith wrote a “[n]ote to avoid all things that stimulate
    dendritic cells[,] which is vaccines and BCG as it activates her eye disease . . . .” Id. Dr. Smith
    continued to monitor Petitioner’s condition and directed her to follow up again in four months. Id.
    33
    Inflammatory eye disease is an umbrella term for “a range of conditions associated with eye
    inflammation” including uveitis, keratitis, conjunctivitis, and thyroid eye disease. Eye Diseases &
    Conditions: Eye Inflammation and Inflammatory Eye Disease, PREVENT BLINDNESS,
    https://preventblindness.org/eye-inflammation/ (last visited Feb. 1, 2022).
    34
    Sclerokeratitis is “inflammation of the sclera and of the cornea.” Dorland’s at 1680.
    11
    Petitioner traveled to Norway in late 2017, and while there, returned to Dr. Ostern. Pet’r’s
    Ex. 38 at 1A, ECF No. 56-1. Dr. Ostern summarized Petitioner’s medical history and noted that
    “[o]n November 3, 2012, [Petitioner] was given [the flu] vaccine . . . [and three] days later [she
    developed a] fever . . . [and] conjunctivitis in both eyes . . . [then d]eveloped assumed peripheral
    ulcerative keratitis.” Id. Dr. Ostern continued that “the ulcer redeveloped on [Petitioner’s]
    cornea[.]” Id. Dr. Ostern explained that as of the last time Petitioner was in Norway, on August 8,
    2013, her diagnosis was “[a]ssumed to be residual [h]erpes [k]eratitis with [u]veitis reaction in
    [her] right eye[.]” Id. She noted that Petitioner’s “[s]equelae is seen from assumed residual herpes
    keratitis . . . [and h]erpes keratitis can be set off by stress[.]” Id. at 2A. Dr. Ostern wrote that
    Petitioner had lost a son in 2015. Id. She continued that “[i]n connection with [a] TB test . . . with
    inoculation in October 2016[, Petitioner] got local swelling in arm, but also at the same time strong
    swelling around the eyes, mostly around [her] right eye with local irritation without wounds[.]” Id.
    Dr. Ostern concluded that Petitioner “seems to react strongly to vaccines, also around the eyes.
    This is assumed to secondarily set of [her h]erpes [k]eratitis.” Id. Petitioner has not filed any
    additional medical records.
    B. Petitioner’s Affidavits
    Petitioner submitted three affidavits in support of her petition and did not testify at the
    entitlement hearing. See Pet’r’s Exs. 15, 16, 26, ECF Nos. 12-1, 12-2, 30-1. In her first affidavit,
    Petitioner averred that no civil actions had previously been filed on her behalf for her vaccine-
    related injury. Pet’r’s Ex. 15 at 1.
    In her second affidavit, Petitioner explained that prior to receiving her flu shot on
    November 3, 2012, she “had never had any major health issues . . . [and she] led an active lifestyle,
    playing competitive tennis . . . coach[ing] . . . r[unning] and lift[ing] weights several times per
    week.” Pet’r’s Ex. 16 ¶ 1. Petitioner wrote that her occupations as a paramedic and member of a
    ski patrol team kept her “physically fit[.]” Id. ¶ 2. She noted that as a paramedic, she was “tasked
    with driving the ambulance, triaging medical situations[,] and transporting patients to hospital
    destinations.” Id. She elaborated that as a member of the ski patrol, she “extract[ed] injured skiers
    from mountainous terrain.” Id.
    Petitioner described the timeline of her post-vaccination condition. Petitioner averred that
    after receiving the flu shot on November 3, 2012, she “did not notice anything immediately
    wrong.” Id. ¶ 3. She wrote that “[s]everal days later, [she] developed a fever and both of [her] eyes
    became extremely red, itchy[,] and painful . . . [and] a stye had developed on [her] right eye.” Id.
    ¶ 4. Petitioner noted that she “thought [it] was just a normal case of conjunctivitis, and [she] waited
    to see if it got better . . . [but] it did not.” Id. She explained that “[o]ver the following couple of
    days,” her fever went away but her eyes worsened, in that “[t]he redness was getting more intense,”
    and her eyes produced a discharge. Id. Petitioner wrote that in response, she sought treatment with
    Dr. Alvarez. Id. ¶ 5. Petitioner indicated that “the redness in [he] left eye resolved, but [her] right
    eye continued to bother [her,]” which led to her referral to ophthalmologist Dr. Foote. Id.
    She wrote that “a few days before Christmas,” prior to presenting to Dr. Foote, her right
    eye was getting “progressively worse . . . [and she] noticed a white spot on the cornea of her right
    eye.” Id. Petitioner noted her “failing eyesight” around this time. Id. Petitioner described her visit
    with Dr. Foote on January 7, 2013, and wrote that “he examined [her] eye and told [her she] had
    12
    an ulcer on the cornea of [her] right eye.” Id. ¶ 6. She noted that she maintained treatment with Dr.
    Foote “[f]or the next several weeks,” and that “the ulcer in [her] right eye started to heal slightly,
    but [her] vision was not back to normal.” Id. Petitioner expressed that the tests performed by Dr.
    Foote “did not reveal any specific cause for [her] eye problems, but [he] did tell [her] that [she]
    was ANA and HLA-B27 positive.” Id. Petitioner noted that Dr. Foote prescribed Acyclovir during
    this appointment, but that she “only took the medication for a short time because the virus cultures
    were negative, and Dr. Foote told [her] not to take it anymore.” Pet’r’s Ex. 26 ¶ 1. Petitioner
    averred that prior to this visit, she had never taken Acyclovir and “had never previously sought
    medical care concerning any type of herpes infection[,]” as she had no prior “signs or symptoms
    to suggest [she] had a herpes infection.” Id. ¶ 2.
    Petitioner continued that in June of 2013, she presented to Dr. Smith, who “performed more
    tests and started [her] on methotrexate.” Pet’r’s Ex. 16 ¶ 8. Petitioner noted that she noticed her
    eye to be “slightly better[,]” but by July of 2013, “the pain and blurry vision in the right eye
    increased dramatically.” Id. Petitioner averred that at that time, she “had recently stopped taking
    the steroids that were prescribed to [her], and it appeared [her] eye was worsening.” Id. In response,
    Petitioner wrote that she returned to Dr. Foote, “who placed an amniotic membrane graft over [her]
    cornea in an attempt to heal the ulcer and get the swelling and redness to go down.” Id.
    Petitioner wrote that prior to her travels to Norway in August of 2013, her eye “was very
    bad[.]” Id. ¶ 9. She explained that her eye “hurt to even open the refrigerator as any light would
    cause [her] great pain . . . [e]ven with the atropine drops[.]” Id. Petitioner corroborated that while
    in Norway, she presented to the Eye Clinic at Oslo University Hospital. Id. ¶ 10. She noted that
    the doctors told her “that the ulcer had now grown to over [six] millimeters wide.” Id. In response,
    “[t]hey injected [her] eye with Botox to get it to close to protect the ulcer and help it to heal[,] . . .
    prescribed different medications[,] and stopped the methotrexate.” Id. Petitioner wrote that “[t]his
    made [her] eye much more comfortable.” Id. Petitioner noted that her eye “continued to be
    stable[]” on oral steroids, antiviral medication, and “large doses of ibuprofen[]” throughout the fall
    of 2013. Id. ¶ 11. She wrote that “[o]nce the ulcer had healed . . . [she] maintained it with 3–4
    steroid drops a day[,] as well as constant lubrication[.]” Id.
    Next, Petitioner described the effect the issues with her right eye have had on her daily life.
    Id. ¶¶ 7, 12–14. Petitioner wrote that in the spring of 2013, she “had to forego a job offer from an
    ambulance company . . . [, which had] show[n] a lot of interest in hiring [her] because [she] was
    licensed in both Texas and New Mexico.” Id. ¶ 7. She averred that she was not able to pursue this
    opportunity because of her “worsening eye sight [sic] and the inflammation that continued to affect
    [her] eye [and] hindered [her] ability to drive and would have negatively affected [her] work
    performance.” Id. Petitioner stated that in January of 2014, she began taking classes to become a
    certified EMS instructor, as her “eye issue had taken away [her] ability to actively respond as a
    paramedic[.]” Id. ¶ 12. She continued that during teaching, she noticed that her “eyesight posed a
    slight problem[]” because her lack of depth perception “made it difficult to show the students how
    to intubate properly[] or insert an IV.” Id.
    Petitioner continued that her responsibilities as a member of the ski patrol “changed
    drastically.” Id. ¶ 7. She noted as a member of the ski patrol, she used to respond to emergencies
    by skiing in difficult terrain and transporting injured skiers in a sled. Id. Petitioner cited an
    accident, in which she fell in March of 2014 while “bringing an empty toboggan down the
    13
    mountain[.]” Id. ¶ 13. She wrote that her lack of depth perception “caused [her] to miss some
    crucial changes in the terrain and [she] suffered a labral tear in [her] right hip[]” as a result. Id.
    Petitioner indicated that “[a]fter [her] eye injury, [she] was relegated to the ski patrol office . . . a
    more administrative position.” Id. ¶ 7. She noted that she still continues to work for the ski patrol,
    but that she “often find[s her]self tentative on the mountain due to certain light conditions or
    questionable terrain[, as she] cannot distinguish well between shadows and actual moguls or
    bumps[.]” Id. ¶ 14. Petitioner wrote this “significantly impacts” her safety. Id.
    She also described her then-current eye condition. Id. Petitioner explained that her “eye
    has been stable[,] and the ulcer has healed, but the whole ordeal has left considerable scarring on
    [her] right cornea . . . [and she] continue[s] to have trouble with depth perception.” Id. As an
    example, she wrote that she has problems “parking a car . . . because [she] do[es not] fully trust
    [her] spatial vision.” Id. Petitioner noted that she no longer plays tennis “at a high level[]” but
    instead “just [] for fun, because sometimes [she] cannot even see the tennis ball . . . .” Id. She
    expressed that she “strive[s] to live as normal a life as possible in light of the continued problems
    with [her] eye.” Id.
    III.    Experts
    A. Expert Review
    1. Petitioner’s Expert, Frederick W. Fraunfelder, M.D., M.B.A.
    Dr. Fraunfelder received his medical degree from Oregon Health Sciences University
    (“OHSU”) in 1994. Pet’r’s Ex. 20 at 3. He completed two post-graduate residencies at Providence
    Medical Center in Portland, Oregon, and Alice Springs Hospital in Australia in 1995 and 1997,
    respectively. Id. Dr. Fraunfelder completed a residency in ophthalmology at the University of
    Washington Medical Center in Seattle, Washington in 2000. Id. He also completed a fellowship in
    Cornea/External Disease and Refractive Surgery at the Casey Eye Institute at OHSU in 2002. Id.
    The same year, he became board-certified in ophthalmology. Id. at 1. He has served as the
    Chairman and Distinguished Professor of the Cornea/External Disease, Ocular Oncology and
    Refractive Surgery of the Mason Eye Institute at the University of Missouri since 2014. Id. He
    also serves as the Clinic Medical Director in the Department of Ophthalmology at the same
    institution. Id. Prior to that, Dr. Fraunfelder was the Director/Chief of the Cornea/External
    Disease/Refractive Surgery Division at the Casey Eye Institute from 2008–2014. Id. He became a
    Professor of Ophthalmology in the same specialty at OHSU in 2011 until 2014. Id. Dr.
    Fraunfelder’s curriculum vitae includes over one-hundred and fifty published articles, book
    chapters, and abstracts of which he is a listed author. See id. at 5–17.
    During the hearing, Dr. Fraunfelder explained that his clinical practice involves “see[ing]
    patients . . . and [he is] a cornea external disease eye specialist[, s]o [he] only see[s] people that
    have diseases on the front of the eye and the front half of the eye.” Tr. 12:14–19. Dr. Fraunfelder
    stated that he treats patients with uveitis “almost daily[,]” as “[u]veitis is a common condition that
    occurs in the front of the eye[.]” Tr. 12:20–24. He estimated that he has seen “hundreds” of patients
    with herpes keratitis. Tr. 13:16–23. He made the same estimation in relation to the number of his
    patients with uveitis as well. Tr. 13:23–25.
    14
    Dr. Fraunfelder submitted three expert reports and testified during the hearing. See Pet’r’s
    Exs. 19, 32, 33; Tr. 8:20–63:5. Petitioner offered Dr. Fraunfelder as an expert in ophthalmology
    without objection, and I recognized him as such. Tr. 14:1–6.
    2. Respondent’s Expert, Hamid Bassiri, M.D.
    Dr. Bassiri received his medical degree from the University of Pennsylvania in 2004.
    Resp’t’s Ex. B at 1. He received his Ph.D. in immunology from the same institution in 2002. Id.
    Dr. Bassiri completed a residency in general pediatrics at the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia
    in 2007. Id. He also completed a fellowship in pediatric infectious diseases at the same institution
    in 2010. Id. Dr. Bassiri has been an attending physician in the Division of Infectious Disease,
    Department of Pediatrics at the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia since 2011. Id. He has served
    as an Assistant Professor of Pediatrics at the Perelman School of Medicine at the University of
    Pennsylvania since 2013. Id. He is board-certified in general pediatrics and pediatric infectious
    diseases. Id. Dr. Bassiri has received numerous awards and honors, and he holds memberships in
    several professional and scientific societies. Id. His curriculum vitae lists over thirty publications,
    including articles, book chapters, and editorials of which he is a listed author. See id. at 3–5.
    During the hearing, Dr. Bassiri explained that as part of his clinical practice as an attending
    in pediatric infectious disease, he “see[s] general infections in presumably immune competent
    hosts, [but] what [he] specialize[s] more highly in are hosts who have compromise to their
    immunity.” Tr. 64:14–20. He elaborated that he “see[s] many patients with cancer, many patients
    who are immune modulators because they have . . . unknown autoimmune diseases and/or have
    what we call primary immune deficiencies[.]” Tr. 64:21–25. Dr. Bassiri described his training in
    immunology and stated that his “initial training was in T cell development and T cell functions.
    And subsequent to that, [he] maintain[s] a lab that examines T cells and non-T cell populations for
    use in cancer immunotherapy.” Tr. 65:10–14. He noted that he treats children with dysregulated
    immunity as part of his work on a multidisciplinary committee. Tr. 65:17–21. He testified that in
    addition to his other responsibilities as the Associate Program Director for the Pediatric Infectious
    Disease fellowship, he “see[s] patients roughly about [twenty-five] percent of the time . . . [and]
    regularly give[s] lectures . . . regarding different concepts of infectious diseases as well as concepts
    in immunology[.]” Tr. 66:5–6, 12–14.
    Dr. Bassiri submitted three expert reports and testified at the hearing. See Resp’t’s Exs. A,
    M, N; Tr. 64:6–135:5. Respondent offered Dr. Bassiri as an expert in immunology and infectious
    disease without objection, and I recognized him as such. Tr. 66:17–21.
    B. Expert Reports and Testimony
    1. Petitioner’s Expert, Dr. Fraunfelder
    Dr. Fraunfelder submitted three expert reports and testified during the hearing. Pet’r’s Exs.
    19, 32, 33; Tr. 8–63. Throughout his written and oral testimony, he relied on his specialization in
    ophthalmology “to point out that [he is] uniquely qualified to form an opinion in this case.” Pet’r’s
    Ex. 32 at 1; Tr. 9–14. In his first expert report, Dr. Fraunfelder wrote that “[t]he event speaks for
    itself[,]” and Petitioner’s “flu vaccine administered on November 3, 2012, more likely than not
    15
    substantially contributed [to] or caused her eye condition[.]” Pet’r’s Ex. 19 at 2. Dr. Fraunfelder
    described this as a “domino effect” that began with Petitioner’s flu vaccine. Id. He opined that “it
    is reasonable to assume that the flu vaccine led to uveitis. The uveitis led to the [herpes] zoster
    (shingles) keratitis. The zoster keratitis led [to] neurotrophic keratitis. The neurotrophic keratitis
    led to a permanent corneal scar and the need for a corneal transplant.” Id. Dr. Fraunfelder explained
    that this occurred because the flu vaccine caused a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction, which
    weakened Petitioner’s immune status, and allowed an opportunistic infection like herpes to occur.
    Tr. 43:21–25. He wrote that “but[-]for the November 3, 2012 flu vaccine and subsequent
    development of uveitis, [Petitioner] would not have suffered from herpes keratitis.” Pet’r’s Ex. 19
    at 2.
    First, Dr. Fraunfelder addressed Petitioner’s condition and opined that “shingles occurred
    in her eye.” Id. He noted that “[i]t [wa]s most likely unrecognized by her initial doctors treating
    her eye condition[]” on November 12, 2012. Id. Dr. Fraunfelder opined that “[i]t was probably
    never a peripheral ulcerative keratitis or a bacterial conjunctivitis. It was a uveitis, caused by the
    vaccine.” Id. Dr. Fraunfelder stated that he based his opinion on Petitioner’s symptom presentation
    recorded in the notes from her November 12, 2012 appointment. Tr. 15:3–25. Petitioner “had a
    fever on Tuesday [November 6, 2012] through Wednesday [November 7, 2012,] which was gone
    by Friday [November 9, 2012]. She had a stye on Saturday [November 10, 2012,] which was worse
    on Friday [November 9, 2012]. And she had a mild cold . . . pain below her eye[,]” blurred vision,
    and discharge in the right eye. Tr. 15:13–18 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 2 at 1). Dr. Fraunfelder opined that
    the redness and pain reported during Petitioner’s November 12, 2012 examination were symptoms
    of uveitis. Tr. 19:10–17. He later stated that Petitioner “could have been[]” experiencing symptoms
    of uveitis during this visit. Tr. 40:11–15. Dr. Fraunfelder indicated that Dr. Alvarez did not perform
    tests to confirm the diagnosis of uveitis during Petitioner’s November 12, 2012 visit. Tr. 19:24–
    25.
    Dr. Fraunfelder stated that “by pure luck,” Dr. Alvarez prescribed treatment, including a
    low-potency steroid, that “would undertreat [uveitis] but would treat it.” Tr. 20:15–18. He opined
    that “undertreating it with the Tobradex probably would have led to a slight improvement but not
    an all-the-way improvement[,] which is exactly what happened in this instance.” Tr. 20:24–25,
    21:1–2 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 2 at 2 indicating a 30% improvement on November 13, 2012). He stated
    that Petitioner’s slight improvement following treatment with Tobradex (which undertreats
    uveitis) is more consistent with Petitioner having uveitis than herpes keratitis during her November
    12, 2012 visit. Tr. 21:9–20. He opined that if Petitioner had the latter, her herpes keratitis would
    have gotten worse with steroids. See id.
    He then focused on the visit notes from Petitioner’s January 7, 2013 appointment with Dr.
    Foote to opine that Petitioner had uveitis and was developing herpes keratitis at that time. Tr. 16:9–
    24, 39:5–8; see also Pet’r’s Ex. 19 at 1. As support, Dr. Fraunfelder stated that Dr. Foote “found
    some – some things on the exam that were new to what Dr. Alvarez had noted in her exams.” Tr.
    16:20–22. Dr. Fraunfelder noted that “[o]f significance[,]” Dr. Foote found “cells [] floating in the
    front of the eye [] that hadn’t been noted before.” Tr. 16:22, 17:1–2. Dr. Fraunfelder indicated that
    Dr. Foote also noted “keratic precipitates[]” on the back of Petitioner’s cornea, which “are markers
    of inflammation in the eye[,]” also not previously noted. Tr. 17:7–9. He wrote that “[k]eratic
    precipitates are deposits of inflammatory cells on the back of the cornea and are a sign of uveitis.”
    16
    Pet’r’s Ex. 19 at 1. Dr. Fraunfelder defined uveitis as “inflammation of any part of the uvea.” Tr.
    17:23–24. He opined “[i]t is possible and even probable that [Petitioner] may have had uveitis well
    before these findings[]” even though they were not documented in her medical records. Pet’r’s Ex.
    19 at 1.
    Next, Dr. Fraunfelder explained that the “[f]lu vaccine is not a vaccine with a live virus of
    herpes zoster, the virus that causes shingles. However, the flu vaccine can be a trigger to cause an
    immunologic reaction[.]” Id. at 2. He continued that “[w]hen a person develops an eye disease . .
    . they are susceptible to opportunistic infections from viruses that are dormant within [the body].”
    Id. Based on this, Dr. Fraunfelder opined that Petitioner’s “flu vaccine let [sic] to an altered
    immune status and shingles occurred in her eye.” Id. He maintained that “the sequence of events
    that took place was that the flu vaccine caused uveitis. This resulted in an altered immune status
    whereby the zoster virus was able to arise[,] and this led to further damage.” Pet’r’s Ex. 33 at 2.
    He wrote that “[z]oster is an opportunistic infection, and it is highly likely it was activated in the
    setting of the altered immune state brought about by the uveitis.” Id. By opportunistic, he explained
    that herpes zoster “takes the opportunity to cause an infection somewhere when you’re weak.” Tr.
    42:21–23. Dr. Fraunfelder stated that Petitioner “had no history of herpes zoster, making it
    exceedingly unlikely that the convergence of her flu vaccine, uveitis[,] and zoster was due to
    coincidence alone.” Pet’r’s Ex. 33 at 2.
    Dr. Fraunfelder commented on Petitioner’s treating physicians’ opinions that her eye
    condition was caused or triggered by her flu vaccine. Tr. 41:12–16. He noted that Dr. Ostern did
    not feel that Petitioner had PUK, but rather a herpes keratitis. Tr. 48:4–17. He testified that these
    opinions are “significant” to him. Tr. 41:15–17. He stated he would have made the same
    connection if he were her treater. Tr. 41:16–17. However, Dr. Fraunfelder admitted that throughout
    the course of his career, he has not seen a patient whereby a vaccination caused uveitis, which
    allowed the herpes keratitis to manifest, as “that’s a rare thing.” Tr. 42:24–25, 43:1–7. Dr.
    Fraunfelder then noted that, “if a rare condition occurs to a patient, it is not rare for them.” Pet’r’s
    Ex. 32 at 2. He admitted he has, however, seen an infection cause uveitis and then herpes keratitis.
    Tr. 43:8–10.
    He addressed the connection between the flu vaccine and uveitis. Dr. Fraunfelder stated
    that “there’s a general consensus” in the medical community that “vaccine-induced uveitis
    occurs[.]” Tr. 31:25–25, 32:1. Dr. Fraunfelder relied on an article by Benage, 35 of which he is also
    listed author, to explain that “all vaccines, albeit rarely[,]” can cause an immunologic reaction,
    manifesting as uveitis. Pet’r’s Ex. 19 at 2; Pet’r’s Ex. 19, Tab A at 1, ECF No. 81-1 (noting that
    “[a]ll of the widely administered vaccines have been reported to cause uveitis.”). The authors noted
    that “[d]uring a 26-year period, a total of 289 cases of vaccine-associated uveitis were reported to
    three adverse reaction reporting databases. Hepatitis B [(“Hep. B”)] vaccine . . . appears to be the
    leading offender.” Pet’r’s Ex. 19, Tab A at 1. Dr. Fraunfelder stated that “the flu vaccine . . . was
    the third most common cause for uveitis based on this [] case series.” Tr. 26:19–21. Dr. Fraunfelder
    relied on an article by London et al., 36 which used the Naranjo criteria 37 in place of a clinical trial,
    35
    M. Benage & F.W. Fraunfelder, Vaccine-Associated Uveitis, 113:1 MISSOURI MED. 48–52 (2016).
    36
    N. London, et al., Drug-induced uveitis, 3 J. OPHTHALMIC INFLAMMATION & INFECTION 43–61 (2013).
    37
    The Naranjo criteria, or the Adverse Drug Reaction (“ADR”) Probability Scale, was “developed to help
    standardize assessment of causality for all adverse drug reactions[.]” It consists of 10 questions that are
    17
    to show that “the influenza vaccination was ‘probable’ in causation in relation to uveitis.” Tr.
    31:13–18 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 45 at 13, ECF No. 79-2). The authors identified a score of 7 to ascribe
    “probable” causation to the flu vaccine and uveitis. Pet’r’s Ex. 45 at 13. Dr. Fraunfelder indicated
    that the Naranjo criteria “take[] into account a temporal relationship between taking the drug . . .
    positive rechallenge, positive dechallenge . . . take[] into account is there a plausible biological
    mechanism, . . . [and] are there other drugs or diseases that could have occurred.” Tr. 30:22–25,
    31:1–3.
    Dr. Fraunfelder relied on an article by Suhler et al., 38 of which he is also listed author, to
    describe the mechanism by which this occurs, a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction. Pet’r’s Ex. 19
    at 2; Pet’r’s Ex. 19, Tab D at 4, ECF No. 81-4; see also Tr. 33:20–25, 34:1–3, 35:3–17. He argued
    that “vaccines are known to cause [T]ype IV hypersensitivity responses systemically.” Pet’r’s Ex.
    19 at 2. Dr. Fraunfelder wrote that “all vaccinations, including [the] influenza vaccination, can
    cause a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction.” Pet’r’s Ex. 33 at 1 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 33, Tab A, ECF
    No. 82-1). 39 He explained that a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction alters the immune status of an
    individual and makes the patient “immunosuppressed.” Tr. 43:21–25.
    However, Dr. Fraunfelder acknowledged that “[t]he mechanisms underlying [T]ype IV
    hypersensitivity reactions are complex and not completely understood.” Pet’r’s Ex. 33 at 1. He
    relied on an article by Nussenblatt, 40 to explain that “Type IV hypersensitivity mechanisms (i.e.,
    T-cell mediated) are of primary importance in the development if [sic] uveitis.” Id.; Pet’r’s Ex. 33,
    Tab C, ECF No. 82-3. Dr. Fraunfelder stated that the authors in this study “wanted to know [if] it
    is feasible that a systemically applied medicine like a vaccine given in your shoulder . . . could
    cause an inflammation inside the eye[.]” Tr. 37:17–20 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 33, Tab C). The authors
    examined “bovine models, rat models[,]” in which “they injected rats [] with retinal S-antigen
    systemically not in the eye but in the body.” Tr. 37:21–24. The authors found that “this elicited a
    reaction in the eye which led to uveitis and blindness.” Tr. 37:24–25. Nussenblatt explained that
    this occurs because “immune cells may ‘home’ to a target organ, [which] is in part due to the
    expression of HLA antigens on non-immune tissues in the eye.” Pet’r’s Ex. 33, Tab C at 2. This
    observation implicated the importance of T-cell mediation of diseases such as uveitis. Id.
    Nussenblatt based his conclusion, in part, on the efficacy of treatment of uveitis with anti-T-cell
    answered as either Yes, No, or “unknown.” “Different point values (-1, 0, +1, or +2) are assigned to each
    answer.” The questions include “are there previous conclusive reports of this reaction? Did the adverse
    event appear after the drug was given? Did the adverse reaction improve when the drug was discontinued,
    or a specific antagonist was given? Did the adverse reaction reappear upon readministering the drug? Were
    there other possible causes for the reaction? Did the adverse reaction reappear upon administration of
    placebo? Was the drug detected in the blood or other fluids in toxic concentrations? Was the reaction
    worsened upon increasing the dose? Or, was the reaction lessened upon decreasing the dose? Did the patient
    have a similar reaction to the drug or a related agent in the past? Was the adverse event confirmed by any
    other objective evidence?” Total scores range from -4 to +13; the reaction is considered definite if the score
    is 9 or higher, probable if 5 to 8, possible if 1 to 4, and doubtful if 0 or less. Adverse Drug Reaction
    Probability Scale (Naranjo) in Drug Induced Liver Injury, NAT’L CENTER FOR BIOTECHNOLOGY INFO.,
    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov (last visited Dec. 17, 2021).
    38
    F.W. Fraunfelder, E.B. Suhler, et al., Hepatitis B vaccine and uveitis: an emerging hypothesis suggested
    by review of 32 case reports, 29:1 CUTANEOUS & OCULAR TOXICOL. 26–29 (2010).
    39
    E. Chung, Vaccine Allergies, 3 CLIN. EXP. VACCINE RES. 50–57 (2014).
    40
    R.B. Nussenblatt, Basic and Clinical Immunology in Uveitis, 31 J. OPHTHALMOL. 368–74 (1987).
    18
    drugs such as cyclosporine. Id. Dr. Fraunfelder opined that this study supports the fact that a Type
    IV hypersensitivity reaction occurs in the development of vaccine-caused uveitis. Tr. 37:14–16.
    He argued this “proves the theory in an animal model that a systemically applied immunization
    can cause a localized eye inflammation like uveitis.” Tr. 38:1–3.
    As further support, Dr. Fraunfelder relied on an article by Meng et al., 41 to discuss the
    “critical” role of dendritic cells and T lymphocytes in Type IV hypersensitivity reactions. Pet’r’s
    Ex. 33 at 1; Pet’r’s Ex. 33, Tab B, ECF No. 82-2. The authors wrote that “[dendritic cells] take up
    and process complex antigens into short peptides which can be represented as peptide – HLA
    complexes on the surface of [dendritic cells] for T-cell recognition.” Pet’r’s Ex. 33, Tab B at 5.
    They continued that “[t]he interaction of T-cell receptors with peptide – HLA complexes determine
    the specificity of the response.” Id. The authors went on to explain that “[d]rug-specific T cells
    have been detected in peripheral blood from hypersensitive patients . . . [e]ach T-cell subset can
    promote different types of inflammatory responses but also be able to counter-regulate each other.”
    Id. Dr. Fraunfelder relied on the principles put forth in the Meng et al. article to argue that there is
    “an association between certain drug hypersensitivity reactions and specific HLA alleles, which
    could explain why the target organ for [Petitioner] was the eye.” Pet’r’s Ex. 33 at 1.
    Dr. Fraunfelder relied on an article by Hassman et al. 42 to show that the flu vaccine can
    cause severe inflammation in the central nervous system, which can lead to infection with HSV
    and herpes encephalitis. Tr. 45:4–21 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 44 at 1, ECF No. 79-1). The authors noted
    that the flu vaccine triggered the reactivation of a latent HSV infection in 13 out of 38 million
    doses over ten years. Pet’r’s Ex. 44 at 5. Dr. Fraunfelder testified that this occurs if the recipient
    experiences a “positive rechallenge” to prior flu vaccines. See Pet’r’s Ex. 44 at 5; Tr. 45:4–21. He
    explained that “any time there is a rechallenge of a drug, like a vaccine being administered a second
    time and then that person gets a reaction again like they did the first time, that’s called a positive
    rechallenge.” Tr. 25:15–19. He continued that “if they get a positive rechallenge and they take [the
    drug] a second time and another positive rechallenge and they take it a third time, that’s really
    strong evidence for a causal relationship with a drug and a side effect.” Tr. 25:23–25, 26:1–2. Dr.
    Fraunfelder reiterated that a “positive rechallenge is relevant to an assessment of causation for a
    particular vaccine[.]” Tr. 25:12–14. He noted that the authors of the Hassman et al. study found
    that the patient developed retinitis each time that he received a vaccine. Tr. 45:16–17 (citing Pet’r’s
    Ex. 44 at 1). Dr. Fraunfelder equated this to Petitioner’s case and explained that this occurred
    because “the brain is considered a neurologic tissue in the area of the retina because the retina is
    contiguous with the nerves of the optic nerve and then the rest of the brain.” Tr. 45:13–16. He
    therefore opined that this article provided “really strong evidence for the flu vaccine causing
    [central nervous system] side effects including retinitis[,] which is a type of inflammation like
    uveitis[,]” in Petitioner’s case. Tr. 45:19–21. As further support, Dr. Fraunfelder noted that the
    Suhler et al. 43 study found one patient had “recurrent uveitis after both [the] second and third doses
    of [the Hep. B] vaccine.” Tr. 25:10–11 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 19, Tab D). He also relied on an article
    41
    X. Meng, et al., Immunological Mechanisms of Drug Hypersensitivity, 22:45 CURR. PHARM. DES. 6734–
    47 (2016).
    42
    L.M. Hassman, et al., Immunologic factors may play a role in herpes simplex virus 1 reactivation in the
    brain and retina after influenza vaccination, 6 ID CASES 47–51 (2016).
    43
    See Fraunfelder & Suhler, et al., supra note 38.
    19
    by Blanche et al., 44 which discussed a 68-year-old woman who developed uveitis two days after
    her first flu vaccine. Tr. 27:23–25, 28:1–10 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 19, Tab B at 1, ECF No. 81-2).
    During his testimony, Dr. Fraunfelder cited an article by Knopf et al., 45 as support for the notion
    of rechallenge based on its title, “Recurrent Uveitis After Influenza Vaccination.” Tr. 28:16–17.
    He stated that the author “brings up the idea of ‘immune priming’ which is the idea that some event
    can make somebody susceptible to eye inflammation such as a trauma or a surgery or a
    vaccination.” Tr. 28:19–25, 29:1. Under my questioning, Dr. Fraunfelder admitted that he did not
    know if Petitioner had ever received a flu vaccine prior to the one at issue. Tr. 55:17–25.
    Regarding timing, Dr. Fraunfelder opined that “Type IV reactions usually occur days after
    a reaction.” Tr. 41:4–5. He again relied on the Suhler et al. 46 article, which shows that uveitis
    caused by a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction “has occurred at time intervals of up to fifteen days
    post vaccination.” Pet’r’s Ex. 33 at 1; Pet’r’s Ex. 33, Tab D. He stated that the authors found that
    “the mean number of days until uveitis was reported after a vaccination was three days. And the
    range was 1–15 days.” Tr. 24:17–19. Dr. Fraunfelder opined that “[t]his [range] suggests that more
    than one mechanism is likely responsible.” Pet’r’s Ex. 33 at 1. He relied on an article by Wildner
    et al., 47 to argue that “[s]everal peptides have been shown to induce uveitis via [molecular
    mimicry].” Id.; Pet’r’s Ex. 33, Tab F, ECF No. 82-5. However, during his testimony, he abandoned
    his theory as it relates to molecular mimicry and instead proceeded on Type IV hypersensitivity
    only, “pick[ing one] pony[.]” See Tr. 33:22–25, 34:21.
    He then addressed the time of onset in Petitioner’s case. Dr. Fraunfelder opined that “[i]t
    is not insignificant that [Petitioner] had no [pre-existing] ocular complaints until nine days after
    her flu vaccination.” Pet’r’s Ex. 32 at 1 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 2 at 1). Dr. Fraunfelder testified that
    Petitioner’s “uveitis probably began within a few days of the flu vaccine[]” at the time she
    developed a fever. Tr. 53:15–17. He stated that “[p]robably at the time that [Petitioner] presented
    with pain and redness and had partially systemic reaction with the fever and the cold [on November
    12, 2012], that she probably had uveitis then[.]” Tr. 18:11–14. However, Dr. Fraunfelder opined
    that “it was unrecognized by her optometrist[.]” Tr. 18:14–15.
    Dr. Fraunfelder explained that Petitioner “had symptoms that fits [sic] within the plausible
    biological mechanism of the type for hypersensitivity reaction, that she had symptoms within three
    days . . . and then, . . . many weeks later[,] that are consistent with uveitis related to the vaccine.”
    Tr. 49:7–14. Dr. Fraunfelder relied on Petitioner’s fever, redness, pain, and blurred vision
    beginning three days post vaccination to opine that a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction occurred.
    Tr. 38:18–22, 60:3–8. He posited that “in general, if it’s a Type IV reaction, we should expect it
    within one day to three days, usually.” Tr. 49:25, 50:1–2. He stated that Petitioner “was having a
    [Type IV hypersensitivity] reaction probably at day three[]” when she experienced a fever, which
    he opined, was consistent with the filed medical literature. Tr. 41:6 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 33, Tab D).
    44
    P. Blanche, et al., Development of Uveitis Following Vaccination for Influenza, 19:5 CLIN. INFECT. DIS.
    979 (1994).
    45
    Petitioner did not file the full article for consideration, it was merely cited in another exhibit. See Tr.
    28:11–22; see also Pet’r’s Ex. 19, Tab B.
    46
    See Fraunfelder & Suhler, et al., supra note 38.
    47
    G. Wildner, et al., Autoimmune Uveitis Induced by Molecular Mimicry of Peptides from Rotavirus, Bovine
    Casein & Retinal S-Antigen, 33 EUR. J. IMMUNOL. 2577–87 (2003).
    20
    Next, Dr. Fraunfelder responded to Dr. Bassiri’s assertion that alternative causes could
    have been responsible for her injuries. He wrote that “Dr. Bassiri postulates on several anecdotes
    about what could have happened[,]” but Dr. Fraunfelder noted that he did not agree with Dr.
    Bassiri’s proposals. Pet’r’s Ex. 32 at 2. Dr. Fraunfelder agreed that Petitioner is “uniquely
    susceptible to herpes keratitis because . . . a person with [the] HLA-B27 haplotype do [sic] express
    herpes more than other people after having received an insult such as trauma or surgery, and, in
    this case, a vaccine.” Tr. 39:8–13. He therefore opined that Petitioner was “immune primed” to
    develop herpes keratitis because of the uveitis and her positive HLA-B27 haplotype. Tr. 39:10–
    14. Dr. Fraunfelder wrote, however, that Dr. Bassiri “fail[ed] to consider [] that HLA-B27 status
    confers susceptibility and is not a determinant of disease[, a]s . . . many individuals who are HLA-
    B27 positive never go on to develop uveitis.” Pet’r’s Ex. 32 at 1. He stated that HLA-B27 is a
    “valid reason for uveitis, but in [Petitioner’s] case it’s more likely than not [sic] HLA-B27 as the
    primary cause for her uveitis.” Tr. 47:11–13. Dr. Fraunfelder did not focus on whether HSV caused
    Petitioner’s uveitis, as he postulated that her flu vaccine caused her uveitis and herpes keratitis.
    See, e.g., Pet’r’s Ex. 32 at 1. He did, however, state that a flu vaccine could be a trigger to reactivate
    a latent HSV infection. Tr. 44:8–10.
    He then proposed a different alternative cause for Petitioner’s uveitis and an explanation
    for her cold-like symptoms present on November 12, 2012. Tr. 45:22–25, 46:1–3. He stated “[i]t’s
    possible . . . there’s a syndrome that’s well described from [the] flu vaccine called oculorespiratory
    syndrome.” Tr. 46:1–3. Dr. Fraunfelder defined this condition as “a constellation of upper
    respiratory infectious signs. It’s not infectious though. You might have a cough or a wheeze, stuffy
    nose. And then you also get uveitis.” Tr. 46:6–9. He asserted that Petitioner’s fever, cough, and
    cold symptoms reported during her November 12, 2012 appointment, could have been symptoms
    of oculorespiratory syndrome. Tr. 46:14–17.
    On cross-examination, Dr. Fraunfelder conceded that he is not an expert in immunology or
    infectious diseases. Tr. 51:15–17, 52:5–7. Dr. Fraunfelder admitted that the Suhler et al. 48 article
    talks about the Hepatitis B vaccine, not the flu vaccine. Tr. 53:23–25. He agreed that the article
    noted ‘“there is a debate that uveitis occurs because of the [H]epatitis B infection.’” Tr. 54:15–17
    (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 19, Tab D). He also conceded that that particular article discussed a Type III
    hypersensitivity reaction, not a Type IV as initially postulated, which is the type of reaction that
    he maintained occurred in Petitioner’s case. Tr. 54:1–3. When asked about the Benage 49 article,
    Dr. Fraunfelder maintained that the authors found an association between vaccines and the
    occurrence of uveitis and would not agree that the number of cases identified was small, noting
    “[t]hat’s relative.” Tr. 52:12–20. Dr. Fraunfelder agreed that Petitioner developed a herpes
    infection, and that they are usually either a primary infection or reactivation. Tr. 55:1–7. However,
    Dr. Fraunfelder was “not certain” whether Petitioner suffered a primary infection or reactivation
    of the herpes virus. Tr. 55:8–11.
    Under my questioning, leaving the type of hypersensitivity reaction aside, I asked Dr.
    Fraunfelder to tell me what evidence he relied on to show that Petitioner experienced a
    hypersensitivity reaction, in general. Tr. 59–61. He first answered that he relied on her redness,
    pain, and loss of vision to indicate a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction occurred, but he later could
    48
    See Fraunfelder & Suhler, et al., supra note 38.
    49
    See Benage & Fraunfelder, supra note 35 at 1.
    21
    not point to specific evidence of a hypersensitivity reaction, generally. See id. In response, he
    stated he “just do[esn’t] think that way,” and instead arrived at the conclusion that Petitioner
    experienced a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction because of her delayed temporal response and
    “the number of days to onset[]” between her vaccination and onset of symptoms. Tr. 61:19–25,
    62:1–15.
    2. Respondent’s Expert, Dr. Bassiri
    Dr. Bassiri submitted three expert reports and testified during the hearing. Resp’t’s Exs. A,
    M, N; Tr. 64–135. He relied on his expertise in immunology and specialized knowledge in what
    makes patients predisposed to specific types of infections. Tr. 65–66. In his first expert report, Dr.
    Bassiri opined that there is no evidence of a causal relationship between the flu vaccine and
    Petitioner’s condition. Resp’t’s Ex. A at 2. He wrote that Petitioner’s flu vaccine “is exceedingly
    unlikely to have been the cause of the ensuing uveitis.” Id. at 5.
    First, Dr. Bassiri questioned Dr. Fraunfelder’s reliance on the Benage 50 article to show a
    causal relationship between the flu vaccine and uveitis. Id. at 2. Dr. Bassiri explained that this
    article “revealed 28 cases of such an association” between vaccines and uveitis, “over a 30-year
    period (1984–2014)[.]” Id.; Resp’t’s Ex. C at 1, ECF No. 27-3. Dr. Bassiri stressed the significance
    of this statistical finding and argued that Dr. Fraunfelder has been unable to establish a causal link
    between the flu vaccine and uveitis, noting an association only. Resp’t’s Ex. M at 1, 2. Dr. Bassiri
    agreed that “there is entirely the possibility that things are associated,” but stated that “if vaccines
    caused uveitis, [he] would [] expect to see a lot more cases[.]” Tr. 68:10–11, 22–24. He expressed
    that “we would probably see this more commonly than what Dr. Fraunfelder reported to us as 28
    cases in 30 years.” Tr. 69:12–14.
    In response to the Benage article, Dr. Bassiri cited an article by Grajewski et al., 51 in which
    the authors’ findings ‘“argue against a substantial influence of allergies and atopy 52 on the onset
    of uveitis.’” Resp’t’s Ex. N at 1 (citing Resp’t’s Ex. O, ECF No. 52-2). The authors of the study
    examined patients with uveitis and some who were controls who did not have uveitis, to see if
    those with the condition had a significant disproportionately higher level of atopy or allergy to
    drugs. Resp’t’s Ex. O at 1. Dr. Bassiri explained that the authors found “there wasn’t a []
    statistically significant higher proportionate of atopy or allergy in the patients who [] develop
    uveitis.” Tr. 78:12–15. Dr. Bassiri testified that the authors thought “that the presence of atopy or
    allergy was probably only minimally contributing to the development of uveitis.” Tr. 78:16–18.
    He wrote that “associations are frequently misinterpreted as evidence of causal
    connections.” Resp’t’s Ex. A at 2 (emphasis in original). He emphasized that “association is strictly
    50
    See id.
    51
    R.S. Grajewski, et al., Analysis of the impact of allergy and atopy on new onset of uveitis, 95:3 ACTA
    OPHTHALMOL. 236–41 (2017).
    52
    Atopy “refers to the genetic tendency to develop allergic diseases such as allergic rhinitis, asthma, and
    atopic dermatitis (eczema). Atopy is typically associated with heightened immune responses to common
    allergens, especially inhaled allergens and food allergens.” AM. ACAD. OF ALLERGY, ASTHMA &
    IMMUNOLOGY, https://www.aaaai.org/Tools-for-the-Public/Allergy,-Asthma-Immunology-
    Glossary/Atopy-Defined (last visited Dec. 16, 2021).
    22
    that [] two events may have some type of temporal connection that lends one to believe that there
    may be an association between one event leading to the other.” Tr. 67:9–12. He continued:
    [b]ut in reality[,] whenever one pairs a frequent event (in this case influenza
    vaccination) with an infrequent one (e.g., uveitis), in the absence of a clear and
    proven pathophysiologic and biological causal connection, the chances of the two
    events being causally related may be nil, and the existence of a causal relation must
    be interpreted with extreme caution. As an analogy, if earthquakes (“rare events”)
    were to happen on cloudy days (“frequent events”), then one could claim the
    existence of an association between cloudy days and earthquakes. While this
    association would be true, the two events would not be causally connected.
    Resp’t’s Ex. A at 2 (emphasis in original). He differentiated association from causation and noted
    that causation “is one in which there is a mechanistic description that fits one event directly leading
    to another and can be repeatedly elicited and more tested experimentally.” Tr. 67:13–16.
    On cross-examination, Dr. Bassiri admitted that hypersensitivity reactions, including Type
    IV, are “postulated” mechanisms in the literature of how uveitis can occur. Tr. 114:21–25, 115:1–
    3. However, Dr. Bassiri opined that Dr. Fraunfelder’s proposed biological mechanism of causation,
    a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction, did not occur in Petitioner’s case because neither the timing
    of onset nor the symptoms of her condition match what is understood about the mechanism.
    Resp’t’s Ex. A at 2–3; see also Tr. 94:19–20. Dr. Bassiri broke down the four types of
    hypersensitivity reactions. Tr. 69–70. He explained that the classification of the reaction depends
    on the onset time of the reaction, type of cellular involvement, and reactions to drugs or treatment
    meant to “block” the reaction. Tr. 70–71, 100:1–20. He noted that Type I hypersensitivity reactions
    “can be measured in seconds to minutes” and commonly occur in food allergies, which can be
    “deadly in the right setting.” Tr. 70:1–7. Dr. Bassiri compared this to Type IV hypersensitivity
    reactions, in which “T cells . . . have seen an antigen, have seen that foreign particle previously
    presented to them in the context of another protein on the surface of cells . . . [a]nd then once they
    get re[-]exposed, they mount a reaction.” Tr. 70:25, 71:1–6. Dr. Bassiri described a Type IV
    reaction as one which produces “a local inflammatory response[]” which “eventually dissipates[.]”
    Tr. 71:16, 72:18–19. He explained that the response dissipates because the antigens are eventually
    “metabolized, broken down, and they go away.” Tr. 72:19–23. This is the type of reaction Dr.
    Bassiri would expect to see from a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction. Tr. 72:14–19. He stated that
    this response occurs “within about 24 hours . . . till about 48 hours[.]” Tr. 71:19–20. Dr. Bassiri
    testified that “[i]t’s rarer that you have the delay result in occurrence of symptomatology much,
    much later like two to three weeks later.” Tr. 73:14–16. To support his assertion, Dr. Bassiri relied
    on the article by Chung, 53 to show that “Type IV hypersensitivity reactions typically begin to
    manifest within 24–48 hours after antigen encounter (or immunization) and peak at 72–96 hours.”
    Resp’t’s Ex. A at 3; Resp’t’s Ex. D at 2, ECF No. 27-4.
    Dr. Bassiri noted that Type IV hypersensitivity reactions “are generally considered to be
    harmless.” Resp’t’s Ex. N at 1 (citing Resp’t’s Ex. D at 2). He provided two common examples of
    53
    See Chung, supra note 39.
    23
    Type IV hypersensitivity reactions, including poison ivy and a PPD test 54 for tuberculosis, which
    is read within 48 hours. Tr. 71–72. Dr. Bassiri placed “emphasis on the delayed being in contrast
    to the immediate seconds to minutes reaction that we expect with [Type I hypersensitivity]
    reactions.” Tr. 72:9–12. Dr. Bassiri stated that there “should not [be] ongoing symptomatology [in
    a Type IV reaction] unless there’s an alternative explanation.” Tr. 75:15–17.
    Regarding the onset of symptoms, Dr. Bassiri wrote that “Type IV hypersensitivity
    [reactions] would not typically present as a ‘stye’” as it did in Petitioner’s case. Resp’t’s Ex. A at
    3. He testified that the tenderness noted along Petitioner’s cheeks or nose during her November
    12, 2012 appointment with Dr. Alvarez “would be atypical for a delayed-type hypersensitivity
    reaction.” Tr. 74:6–10. Dr. Bassiri also noted that Petitioner reported a fever several days post
    vaccination. Resp’t’s Ex. A at 3 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 16 ¶ 4). He continued that “[T]ype IV
    hypersensitivity is rarely associated with fever – especially when the inoculum size of the antigen
    (e.g., that in influenza vaccines) is small.” Resp’t’s Ex. M at 2; Tr. 73:1–6. He elaborated that
    “[v]ery rarely does [a Type IV reaction] involve systemic signs where somebody gets febrile, feels
    ill.” Tr. 73:2–3. Dr. Bassiri opined that “[w]hile fever can occur with severe and systemic Type III
    hypersensitivity reactions (such as Serum Sickness), it is otherwise not typical in Type III and
    Type IV hypersensitivity responses[.]” Resp’t’s Ex. A at 3; see also Tr. 106:16–22. He agreed that
    a fever could occur in a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction “if you were to give somebody who has
    a prior sensitization a large amount of that antigen, you would have a relatively large or robust
    immune response[,] . . . the end result of which could be fever.” Tr. 107:2–8. Dr. Bassiri testified
    that he did not see the level of systemic response in Petitioner that he would expect to see to suggest
    that a fever was a part of her hypersensitivity reaction. Tr. 130:11–20. He noted that Petitioner was
    not “otherwise manifesting signs and symptoms of a severe hypersensitivity reaction.” Resp’t’s
    Ex. A at 3. As an example, Dr. Bassiri testified he would have expected to see signs of liver or
    kidney dysfunction if Petitioner actually experienced a Type IV or even Type III hypersensitivity
    reaction. Tr. 115:18–25. Dr. Bassiri agreed with Dr. Fraunfelder that it is oftentimes difficult to
    classify a particular outcome with a particular type of hypersensitivity reaction. Tr. 98:4–6. But he
    maintained that “widespread used tests” could have been used in Petitioner’s case to determine the
    type of hypersensitivity reaction, but they were not done. Tr. 98:23–25, 99:1–2.
    On cross-examination, Dr. Bassiri addressed the Meng et al. 55 article, which stated
    ‘“delayed type reactions present with much more complex clinical phenotypes ranging from mild
    skin reactions to life-threatening reactions.’” Tr. 101:1–4 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 33, Tab B). Dr. Bassiri
    agreed that “that can occur[]” and that Type IV hypersensitivity reactions are more “heterogenous”
    than Type I or II reactions. Tr. 101:5–10. He explained this is possible because there are “a variety
    of different mechanisms in play . . . that lead to a variety of different . . . side effects[]” depending
    on the individual and the formulation of the drug. Tr. 101:11–21, 102:2–3. He agreed that a positive
    54
    Dr. Bassiri defined a PPD test as one that “test[s] for exposure to tuberculosis in which a small needle is
    used to insert under the skin and antigens or foreign materials that are very similar to the components of
    the tuberculosis. And what is measured is the actual response.” Tr. 71:9–13. He explained that “if someone
    has seen TB before and they have generated T cells that are responsive against TB, what happens in them
    is you get an inflammatory response that can actually be measured . . . within about 24 hours.” Tr. 71:13–
    19.
    55
    See Meng, et al., supra note 41 at 1.
    24
    HLA status can also provoke a different reaction. Tr. 102:20–23. Dr. Bassiri maintained that a
    Type IV hypersensitivity reaction did not occur in Petitioner’s case. Tr. 116–117.
    Dr. Bassiri disagreed with Dr. Fraunfelder’s statement that “‘all vaccinations, including
    [the] influenza vaccination, can cause a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction.’” Resp’t’s Ex. N at 1
    (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 33 at 1). Dr. Bassiri relied on the same Chung 56 article to show that “nowhere
    in this article is it stated that all vaccines can cause Type IV hypersensitivity.” Resp’t’s Ex. N at 1
    (emphasis in original) (citing Resp’t’s Ex. D at 1). He continued that while the article does indicate
    that ‘“[a]lmost all the vaccine components can be considered as potential triggers of an allergic
    reaction,”’ this “general statement [] does not suggest that all vaccines cause Type IV
    hypersensitivities.” See id.
    Under my questioning, I asked Dr. Bassiri whether it was possible for a patient to develop
    a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction without exposure to the vaccine, but through exposure to the
    wild virus itself. Tr. 133:5–8. He explained that “[o]ftentimes when you’ve been exposed to the
    wild-type virus, you develop a robust enough T cell response so that if you are exposed again you
    never even become symptomatic.” Tr. 134:8–11. He continued that a patient “might never even
    know that you were re-exposed because you have antibodies that bind those viruses and clear them
    from your system . . . with what are called memory T cells that are formed that can then much
    more rapidly take care of any replicating virus.” Tr. 134:12–17.
    Dr. Bassiri was asked about Dr. Fraunfelder’s reliance on the Hassman et al. 57 article. Tr.
    79–80 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 44). He stated that this article is “an example” of “the causal relationship,
    especially with the positive – [] positive sort of development in a temporal fashion” of HSV and
    herpes encephalitis following a flu vaccine. Tr. 79:3–8. However, Dr. Bassiri highlighted some
    distinctions between the article and Petitioner’s case. Tr. 79:9. He noted that the article examined
    a patient with a pre-existing “immune defect or immune dysregulation.” Tr. 79:14–15. Dr. Bassiri
    stated that there is no evidence that Petitioner suffered from an immune defect. Tr. 79:18–20. He
    also pointed out that the patient in the article had “repeated reactions” to the vaccines he received.
    Tr. 80:7–9. Dr. Bassiri testified that Petitioner “had at least checked a box” indicating that she had
    never had a prior reaction to a flu vaccine. Tr. 79:24–25, 80:1–7 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 1 at 1). Dr.
    Bassiri noted that he did not know how many flu vaccines Petitioner had received in the past, but
    he knew she had received at least one based on the contents of the same medical record. Tr. 132:1–
    15 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 1 at 1).
    He addressed the London et al. 58 article relied upon by Dr. Fraunfelder. Tr. 80:20–25
    (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 45). He noted that the article rated associations between the administration of a
    drug, such as the flu vaccine, and adverse reactions, such as uveitis, using the Naranjo scale. Tr.
    81:1–8. While the authors came up with an association of “probable” (score of 7) between the flu
    vaccine and uveitis in a general sense, Dr. Bassiri used the same scale and applied it to the facts of
    Petitioner’s case. Tr. 81:9–11. He stated that “if [he] were to go through and score each one of the
    criteria for her specific case, actually the value that would be derived and – and generously giving
    56
    See Chung, supra note 39.
    57
    See Hassman, et al., supra note 42 at 1.
    58
    See London, et al., supra note 36 at 1.
    25
    points to her case would be a value of 3, 59 which would put it in the ‘possible,’ but not the
    ‘probable’ range.” Tr. 81:12–17. He opined that the main reason for the discrepancy is that the
    authors only analyzed “a general guideline” and did not consider the alternative explanations in
    the case of Petitioner. Tr. 81:18–22. Dr. Bassiri stated that “quite frankly, those alternative
    explanations are much more commonly accepted as a reason for developing uveitis[.]” Tr. 81:23–
    25.
    Dr. Bassiri questioned Dr. Fraunfelder’s conclusion that Petitioner had uveitis during her
    November 12, 2012 appointment with Dr. Alvarez instead of bacterial conjunctivitis, for which
    she was treated. Resp’t’s Ex. M at 1. He also criticized Dr. Fraunfelder’s assertion that Petitioner
    “had developed uveitis ‘well before the[ January 7, 2013] findings,’” because he failed to provide
    “distinct data or proof of this statement.” Resp’t’s Ex. A at 3 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 19 at 1). Dr. Bassiri
    wrote that “it is [] difficult to conclusively know when the uveitis may have started.” Resp’t’s Ex.
    A at 3. Dr. Bassiri “emphasized that the signs and symptoms consistent with uveitis were not
    documented in [Petitioner] until [January 7, 2013], over two months after her influenza
    immunization.” Id. On cross-examination, Dr. Bassiri testified that the symptoms “consistent” with
    uveitis “include things like redness of the eye and pain[.]” Tr. 108:6–13. He admitted that
    Petitioner’s record from November 12, 2012, shows she was experiencing redness and pain during
    that appointment. Tr. 108:14–16 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 2 at 1). He further admitted that Petitioner’s
    affidavit indicates she experienced those same symptoms “contemporaneous with her fever[,]”
    three days post-vaccination. Tr. 108:17–21 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 16 at 1). Dr. Bassiri stated that
    Petitioner’s fever, eye pain, and redness occurred approximately three to four days post
    vaccination. Tr. 117:11–14.
    He stated that a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction occurs “within about 24 hours . . . till
    about 48 hours[.]” Tr. 71:19–20. Dr. Bassiri testified that “[i]t’s rarer that you have the delay result
    in occurrence of symptomatology much, much later like two to three weeks later.” Tr. 73:14–16.
    Based on this, Dr. Bassiri wrote “it is just as reasonable to postulate that other etiologies led to the
    development of uveitis in [Petitioner] after the closing of what would be considered a reasonable
    window within which to implicate the involvement of the influenza vaccine.” Resp’t’s Ex. A at 3.
    Next, Dr. Bassiri indicated that there are “multiple alternative” causes for the development
    of uveitis in Petitioner’s case. Resp’t’s Ex. M at 2. He wrote that while Dr. Fraunfelder “postulated
    a causal connection for the [] association between influenza vaccination and development of
    59
    Dr. Bassiri went through each of the Naranjo criteria as it pertained to Petitioner. He awarded a “plus 1”
    in response to the first criteria, as there are previous reports of the occurrence of this reaction. Tr. 82:11–
    14. He awarded a “plus 2” in response to the second criteria, as the adverse event happened after
    administration of the drug (the flu vaccine). Tr. 82:16–18. He awarded a “no” or “not known” (equivalent
    to a value of “zero”) in response to the third criteria regarding whether the adverse reaction improved after
    the drug was discontinued, as it was only given once. Tr. 82:19–25. The drug was not re-administered, so
    he awarded a “zero” for criteria four. Tr. 83:1–4. Criteria five addressed alternative causes, which he
    awarded a “minus 1” since he has posited alternative causes for Petitioner’s condition. Tr. 83:5–9. He
    awarded scores of “zero” for criteria six through eight, as Petitioner never received a placebo, the flu
    vaccine is not known to be “toxic,” and she never received a higher or lower dosage of the vaccine. Tr.
    83:10–25. He awarded a zero in response to the ninth criteria based on Petitioner’s history of no adverse
    reactions following prior flu vaccines. Tr. 83:24–25, 84:1–4. He awarded a “plus 1” in response to the tenth
    criteria, citing the objective evidence of uveitis noted by Dr. Foote on January 7, 2013. Tr. 84:5–10.
    26
    uveitis, he has not excluded any other possibilities that are known to be causally-related common
    causes of uveitis.” Resp’t’s Ex. A at 3. Dr. Bassiri considered two “[o]ther etiologies that much
    more commonly result in the development of uveitis[.]” Id. at 3–4 (emphasis in original). First,
    Dr. Bassiri discussed the fact that Petitioner “was noted to carry the HLA-B27 allele[.]” Id. at 4
    (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 5 at 15). He wrote that “[c]arriers of the HLA-B27 allele have a significantly
    elevated frequency of developing recurrent uveitis.” Resp’t’s Ex. A at 4. He stated that this is
    relevant in Petitioner’s case because “HLA-B27 is highly associated with the possibility of
    development of a number of autoimmune diseases including uveitis[.]” Tr. 86:3–8. He relied on
    an article by Wakefield et al., 60 to show that “HLA-B27-mediated uveitis accounts for 18–32% of
    all cases of anterior uveitis[.]” Resp’t’s Ex. A at 4; Resp’t’s Ex. K, ECF No. 27-11. On cross-
    examination, he admitted that a majority of people that are HLA-B27 positive “never go on to
    develop uveitis.” Tr. 112:3–8. However, he noted that the authors of the Wakefield et al. article
    still found that 20% of HLA-B27 positive patients do develop uveitis, which is “still quite
    significant.” Tr. 112:14–19 (citing Resp’t’s Ex. K). Dr. Bassiri explained that in order for HLA-
    B27 uveitis to manifest, “it depends on [an] environmental factor,” which could include infections
    or “vaccination . . . in the right setting.” Tr. 112:9–12, 20–24.
    Dr. Bassiri addressed the possible mechanism responsible for Petitioner’s HLA-B27
    haplotype causing her uveitis. Tr. 84:20–25, 85:1–3. He explained that “immunologists think that
    HLA-B27 may be resulting in predisposition to a variety of autoimmune phenomen[a], including
    uveitis.” Tr. 85:1–3. He noted this is possible because of molecular mimicry whereby “the HLA-
    B27 can present certain parts of antigens or foreign materials in a way that makes it appear to the
    T cells that those are similar to self-proteins or self-antigens. And those T cells then inappropriately
    would attack those self-tissues[.]” Tr. 85:5–9. Dr. Bassiri also explained that there is evidence that
    the HLA-B27 molecule itself can elicit a response in cells when it goes through the process of
    “getting folded.” Tr. 85:11–14. He continued that the “folding can actually set off focal
    inflammatory signaling by cells. And if you have enough of it going on, that could predispose to
    initiation of an inflammatory cascade even in the absence of an actual trigger.” Tr. 85:14–18. He
    added one other possibility is that pieces of the HLA-B27, “which eventually get expressed onto
    cell surfaces could . . . come together in an inappropriate manner that actually ends up allowing
    inflammatory ligons [sic] on other cells to bind them and start an inflammatory cascade, again, in
    the absence of a specific trigger.” Tr. 85:19–25, 86:1–2.
    Dr. Bassiri also wrote that “reactivation [of HSV] is known to cause uveitis and
    neurotrophic keratitis.” Resp’t’s Ex. M at 2; Resp’t’s Ex. A at 4; see also Resp’t’s Ex. F at 1, ECF
    No. 27-6. 61 He provided medical literature supporting this conclusion. Resp’t’s Ex. A at 4 (citing
    Resp’t’s Ex. J at 1, ECF No. 27-10. 62). The Tsirouki et al. article noted that “[h]erpes and
    toxoplasmosis are the leading infectious causes of uveitis.” Resp’t’s Ex. J at 1. Based on this, Dr.
    Bassiri posited that he is “not sure why one would invoke an unproven association as being the
    cause of [Petitioner’s] uveitis.” Resp’t’s Ex. M at 2. He postulated that “even if [Petitioner’s] HLA-
    60
    D. Wakefield, et al., What is New HLA-B27 Acute Anterior Uveitis, 19 OCULAR IMMUNOL. &
    INFLAMMATION 139–144 (2011).
    61
    S.B. Engelhard, et al., Infectious Uveitis in Virginia, 9 CLIN. OPHTHALMOL. 1589–94 (2015).
    62
    T. Tsirouki, et al., A Focus on the Epidemiology of Uveitis, 0:0 OCULAR IMMUNOL. & INFLAMMATION
    1–15 (2016).
    27
    B27, which is also independently a risk factor for uveitis, were not the cause of her uveitis, then
    her proven HSV disease very easily could have been.” Id.
    Dr. Bassiri opined that Petitioner’s herpesvirus preceded her uveitis and subsequent herpes
    keratitis. Tr. 86:11–14. Dr. Bassiri relied on Petitioner’s fever and “mild cold” symptoms noted
    several days post vaccination to support his assertion that Petitioner experienced either a primary
    or reactivated herpesvirus instead of uveitis at that time. Resp’t’s Ex. A at 4 (citing Pet’r’s Ex 2 at
    1). He stated that in both the primary and reactivation of herpesviruses, “one can see systemic
    signs of [] an illness, such as fever.” Tr. 75:4–5. Dr. Bassiri also focused on the tenderness noted
    in Petitioner’s nose during her November 12, 2012 appointment, and stated that it is relevant
    because in the reactivation of herpesvirus, itchiness or irritation can be found. Tr. 74:20–25.
    Maintaining that Petitioner’s symptom presentation did not fit that of a Type IV hypersensitivity
    reaction, Dr. Bassiri opined that Petitioner’s cold symptoms during her November 12, 2012
    appointment with Dr. Alvarez “point towards an alternative hypothesis [] by which this damage
    occurred to her, . . . instead of [] the vaccine induc[ing] a delayed-type hypersensitivity, which
    resulted in uveitis . . . .” Tr. 76:1–5. He testified that “the possibility exists that she could have had
    a herpesvirus infection that then presented as uveitis.” Tr. 76:7–9. He nonetheless agreed that other
    than her fever mentioned during her November 12, 2012 appointment, Petitioner did not report
    any other cold or flu-like symptoms during November of 2012, or subsequent visits in early 2013.
    Tr. 104:11–16, 105–106 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 2 at 1; Pet’r’s Ex. 16 at 1; Pet’r’s Ex. 38 at 1A).
    Dr. Bassiri cited two articles by Darougar & Wishart et al., 63 to explain that “these [cold]
    symptoms are common findings accompanying either primary or reactivation [of] herpesvirus
    ocular infections.” Resp’t’s Ex. A at 4; Resp’t’s Ex. E at 1, ECF No. 27-5; Resp’t’s Ex. L at 2,
    ECF No. 27-12; see also Tr. 75:17–22. The authors found that in primary herpesvirus ocular
    infections, upper respiratory tract “cold” symptoms are observed in 35% of patients, with fever in
    31% of cases. Resp’t’s Ex. E at 1. They compared that to reactivated herpesvirus ocular infections
    and found such upper respiratory tract or cold symptoms increases and occurs in 48% of cases.
    Resp’t’s Ex. L at 2.
    He focused on Petitioner’s stye diagnosis on November 12, 2012. Resp’t’s Ex. A at 4
    (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 2 at 1). Dr. Bassiri opined that this was a manifestation of Petitioner’s
    herpesvirus and should not have been diagnosed as a stye by Dr. Alvarez. See id. He posited that
    this misdiagnosis occurred “due to the presence of pustules instead of clear-fluid filled vesicles.”
    Resp’t’s Ex. M at 2. Dr. Bassiri relied on the same Darougar & Wishart et al. 64 articles, in which
    the authors found “15 and 23% of patients with primary or reactivation herpesvirus ocular
    infections displayed chronic blepharitis (inflammation of the eyelid margin).” Resp’t’s Ex. A at 4.
    Dr. Bassiri concluded that based on “[t]he cadence of what happened to [Petitioner], the presence
    of systemic signs and symptoms of disease [fever], and then the focal signs and symptoms of the
    disease making you think that there probably are alternative explanations as to what actually
    happened to her.” Tr. 74:15–19.
    63
    S. Darougar & M.S. Wishart, et al., Epidemiological and clinical features of primary herpes simplex
    virus ocular infection, 69 BR. J. OPHTHALMOL. 2–6 (1985); M.S. Wishart & S. Darougar, et al., Recurrent
    herpes simplex virus ocular infection: epidemiological and clinical features, 9 BR. J. OPHTHALMOL. 669–
    72 (1987).
    64
    See id.
    28
    Dr. Bassiri addressed the possible mechanism responsible for Petitioner’s herpesvirus
    ocular infection causing her uveitis. Resp’t’s Ex. A at 5. He wrote that “viral illnesses, via
    molecular mimicry, are frequently postulated to be triggers for development of autoimmune
    phenomena such as uveitis.” Id. Dr. Bassiri testified that Petitioner experienced a herpesvirus
    which led to uveitis, as herpesviruses can affect “immunocompetent and immunocompromised
    hosts[]” and one does not “have to have a defect in [the] immune status to be infected and/or to
    actually have reactivation of the disease.” Tr. 86:15–19. Dr. Bassiri stated that while it is true that
    people are “more prone” to reactivation of latent viruses, including HSV, if they are
    immunocompromised, “you don’t need to have that.” Tr. 94:1–3. He testified that the reactivation
    of HSV can occur in “immunocompetent hosts that [] reactivate their herpesvirus family.” Tr.
    94:3–5. Dr. Bassiri agreed that “severe stress can induce immune dysfunction which can
    predispose to the possibility of reactivation of herpesviruses.” Tr. 109:18–21. He opined that it is
    possible, but rare, that a vaccine could also reactivate a latent HSV infection. Tr. 110:18–22. He
    posited that if that occurrence was common, however, “we would probably stop giving [the]
    influenza vaccination to immunocompromised hosts[.]” Tr. 110:23–25. Dr. Bassiri agreed that it
    would be difficult to determine who susceptible people would be before receipt of the vaccine. Tr.
    111:4–7.
    Dr. Bassiri noted the fact that viral illnesses are triggers for development of an autoimmune
    phenomena such as uveitis is significant in Petitioner’s case because she has a family history
    consisting of a sister with possible rheumatoid arthritis and a son with possible ankylosing
    spondylitis. Resp’t’s Ex. A at 5. He wrote that this suggests “a relatively strong predisposition to
    autoimmune diseases.” Id. He also testified that a positive HLA-B27 haplotype may result in a
    predisposition to a variety of autoimmune phenomenon, including uveitis. Tr. 85:1–3. Dr. Bassiri
    concluded that given Petitioner’s predisposing family history, her positive ANA, and HLA-B27
    allele, “it would be reasonable to wonder if she already had a genetic predisposition to
    autoimmunity that may have led to development of uveitis triggered by a viral infection.” Resp’t’s
    Ex. A at 5; see also Tr. 77:6–20.
    Next, Dr. Bassiri highlighted that Dr. Fraunfelder failed to differentiate whether Petitioner
    suffered from a primary infection or a reactivation of a latent HSV infection. Resp’t’s Ex. N at 2.
    Dr. Bassiri explained that this differentiation is an “important distinction and not merely
    semantics[.]” Id. He argued that this omission makes Dr. Fraunfelder’s proposed theory that
    Petitioner suffered from an altered immune status that led to her susceptibility of HSV disease and
    herpes keratitis, “extremely confusing from an immunological and infectious disease perspective.”
    Id. Dr. Bassiri explained that if Petitioner experienced an HSV infection as he posited, Dr.
    Fraunfelder’s theory of altered immunity does not make sense because “you don’t need to have
    altered immunity in order to develop HSV infections and [] recrudescence [there]of.” Tr. 93:22–
    25. He noted that Petitioner did not have an altered immunity. Tr. 87:2–5. He continued that “the
    pathogenesis of neither primary nor reactivation [of] HSV disease is consistent with uveitis
    resulting in infection[.]” Resp’t’s Ex. N at 2.
    Dr. Bassiri admitted that it is “difficult” to know if Petitioner, in fact, had a primary disease.
    Tr. 90:9–10. However, he stated it is “entirely more likely because of [] epidemiologically that she
    had been exposed to herpesviruses previously.” Tr. 90:10–12. Dr. Bassiri noted that Dr.
    Fraunfelder seems to posit that Petitioner “suffered from a primary infection (as suggested by his
    29
    claim that she had no prior history of herpes zoster)[.]” Resp’t’s Ex. N at 2 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 33
    at 3). Dr. Bassiri argued that if this was true, “there would be no reason to implicate altered
    immunity in the pathogenesis of this infection, as primary HSV infections happen very commonly
    in healthy[,] non-immunosuppressed individuals[.]” Resp’t’s Ex. N at 2. Dr. Bassiri also argued
    that if Dr. Fraunfelder asserted that Petitioner suffered from a reactivation of a latent infection,
    “this commonly occurs in immunosuppressed patients. Yet, [Petitioner] was not on any
    immunosuppressive medications[.]” Id. He continued that even if Petitioner “were somehow
    immunosuppressed, it is unclear why immunosuppression would be associated with T cell
    activation (which is a requisite for development of a Type IV hypersensitivity)[.]” Id. He testified
    that a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction would not lead to an altered immune system. Tr. 92–93.
    He noted that “in fact, hypersensitivity reactions are commonly treated by giving
    immunosuppressive medications.” Resp’t’s Ex. N at 2 (emphasis in original). Dr. Bassiri
    concluded that “Dr. Fraunfelder’s proposed mechanism for development of uveitis is not consistent
    with either type of HSV infection.” Id. Instead, Dr. Bassiri proposed that “what is significantly
    more likely is [a] HSV infection resulting in uveitis[.]” Id. Overall, he concluded that “the simplest
    explanation here is that [Petitioner’s] HLA-B27 and/or herpesvirus infection, which are well-
    known to be associated with uveitis, possibly led to her uveitis . . . .” Tr. 82:2–4.
    While Dr. Bassiri maintained that Petitioner did not experience a hypersensitivity reaction
    following the flu vaccine, he addressed Dr. Smith’s note from November 4, 2016. Tr. 119:19–22
    (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 30 at 1). The note indicated that Petitioner was “given a skin test for TB[,] has
    had a BCG shot before [and] ha[d an] enormous reaction and since then her eyes are flaring.” Tr.
    119:24, 120:1–2. The note cautioned Petitioner ‘“to avoid all things that stimulate dendritic cells[,]
    which is vaccines and BCG as it activates her eye disease.”’ Tr. 120:4–6 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 30 at
    1). He admitted that this warning could have possibly been an indication that Dr. Smith believed
    Petitioner had a hypersensitivity reaction to the TB test. Tr. 122:24–25, 123:1, 124:18–24. Dr.
    Bassiri, however, noted that Petitioner did not have a reaction to the BCG as a child or the skin
    test in 2012, but did have a reaction in 2016. Tr. 120:7–9. He explained that one reason this could
    have happened is that “people who receive the BCG in their initial phase will not have a response
    to that BCG vaccine. But when [] they have follow-up PPDs, they can have a response to that.”
    Tr. 123:11–14. He could not opine as to what caused Petitioner’s flare in 2016, and could therefore
    not determine if it was, in fact, a hypersensitivity reaction. Tr. 122:11–22. He acknowledged that
    Petitioner’s symptom presentation was described as “waxing and waning[.]” Tr. 123:1–2. But
    opined that “all that says is that it gets better and worse potentially depending on what sort of
    medication she’s on.” Tr. 123:2–5.
    He acknowledged Petitioner’s negative Varicella Zoster virus (“VZV”) antibody test in
    January of 2011, prior to the onset of her injury, and compared it to the “+Abs” notation in her
    records from Norway in August of 2013. Resp’t’s Ex. A at 4 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 8 at 7). He noted
    that while she was tested for VZV in January of 2011, Petitioner was not tested for HSV. Tr.
    90:15–16. He wrote that “Dr. Ostern’s [August 2013] note from Norway reports that specimens
    from the cornea and anterior chamber were negative for viruses, bacteria, and fungi[.]” Resp’t’s
    Ex. A at 4 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 11 at 1). As an explanation for the negative test, Dr. Bassiri opined
    that “these samples had been obtained well after several rounds of therapy with multiple topical
    and systemic antibiotics and antivirals.” Resp’t’s Ex. A at 4; see also Tr. 91:1–13. He relied on an
    30
    article by Tsatsos et al., 65 to explain that “[i]f herpesviruses such as HSV or VZV were the etiology
    for [Petitioner’s] uveitis and keratitis, then it is possible that some of the damage may have been
    mitigated by the continued use of appropriate antivirals[.]” Resp’t’s Ex. A at 4; Resp’t’s Ex. I,
    ECF No. 27-9.
    On cross-examination, Dr. Bassiri reiterated that the mechanism linking vaccines and
    uveitis has not been proven. Tr. 96:19–20. When asked what evidence he would require to prove
    the mechanism linking vaccines to uveitis, Dr. Bassiri stated that “since obviously one cannot
    experiment on humans[,]” he would require animal models. Tr. 96:23–25, 97:1–4. Dr. Bassiri
    addressed the Nussenblatt 66 article containing an animal model proffered by Dr. Fraunfelder. Tr.
    97:5–6. He testified that he did not place a lot of stock in this animal study. Tr. 131:16–19. Dr.
    Bassiri did not agree that the study supports the role of hypersensitivity reactions in the
    development of uveitis. Tr. 97:11–18. Instead, he stated the study indicates “what we sort of expect
    the immune system to do, which is that if you immunize an animal or human to a particular piece
    of the body, that you could break what’s called tolerance . . . and induce a response [] against self-
    antigens.” Tr. 97:14–18, 98:1–2, 132:1–3. However, when pressed, he acknowledged that the
    Nussenblatt 67 article showed support for a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction causing uveitis in an
    animal model. Tr. 115:3–7.
    Under my questioning, Dr. Bassiri stated that it does not matter whether Petitioner had a
    primary or latent HSV infection. Tr. 125:3–8. He testified that while both forms are associated
    with the development of uveitis, a reactivation is “probably much more likely because . . . the
    prevalence of people who have HSV as part of them is much larger than the people who acquire it
    on a yearly basis[.]” Tr. 125:9–13. He clarified that, independent of a positive HLA-B27 status,
    one can experience the reactivation of HSV and develop uveitis. Tr. 125:22–25. He stated that the
    converse is also true, “[i]f you have HLA-B27 independent of HSV, you can have uveitis.” Tr.
    126:2–3. Dr. Bassiri stressed that in Petitioner’s case, “both of those are playing a role[]” and are
    known causes. Tr. 126:4–11. He emphasized that these are not merely known associations of
    uveitis but known causes. Tr. 126:7–14. He concluded that Petitioner was “prone for [uveitis] to
    happen at any point. And just because it happened after she received her [flu] vaccination is almost
    always agnostic to that.” Tr. 126:18–20.
    I asked Dr. Bassiri to tell me why, while he did not agree, did Petitioner have more than
    one treater opining that she experienced a hypersensitivity reaction to the vaccine and therefore
    cautioned her not to get further vaccinations. Tr. 128:14–25, 129:1–5 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 30 at 1).
    He stated that he was “not entirely sure about that.” Tr. 129:18.
    IV.     Applicable Legal Standards
    To receive compensation under the Vaccine Act, a petitioner must demonstrate either that:
    (1) the petitioner suffered a “Table injury” by receiving a covered vaccine and subsequently
    developing a listed injury within the time frame prescribed by the Vaccine Injury Table set forth
    65
    M. Tsatsos, et al., Herpes Simplex Virus Keratitis: an update of the pathogenesis and current treatment
    with oral and topical antiviral agents, CLIN. EXP. OPHTHALMOL. (2016).
    66
    See Nussenblatt, supra note 40 at 1.
    67
    See id.
    31
    at 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-14, as modified by 
    42 C.F.R. § 100.3
    ; or (2) that petitioner suffered an “off-
    Table injury,” one not listed on the Table, as a result of his receiving a covered vaccine. See 42
    U.S.C. §§ 300aa-11(c)(1)(C); Moberly v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    592 F.3d 1315
    , 1321
    (Fed. Cir. 2010); Capizzano v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    440 F.3d 1317
    , 1319-20 (Fed. Cir.
    2006). Petitioner does not allege a Table injury in this case; thus, she must prove that her injury
    was caused-in-fact by a Table vaccine.
    To establish causation-in-fact, a petitioner must demonstrate by a preponderance of the
    evidence that the vaccine was the cause of the injury. 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-13(a)(1)(A). A petitioner
    is required to prove that the vaccine was “not only a but-for cause of the injury but also a substantial
    factor in bringing about the injury.” Moberly, 
    592 F.3d at
    1321–22 (quoting Shyface v. Sec’y of
    Health & Hum. Servs., 
    165 F.3d 1344
    , 1352–53 (Fed. Cir. 1999)).
    In the seminal case of Althen v. Sec’y of the Dept. of Health & Hum. Servs, the Federal
    Circuit set forth a three-pronged test used to determine whether a petitioner has established a causal
    link between a vaccine and the claimed injury. See 
    418 F.3d 1274
    , 1278–79 (Fed. Cir. 2005). The
    Althen test requires petitioners to set forth: “(1) a medical theory causally connecting the
    vaccination and the injury; (2) a logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination
    was the reason for the injury; and (3) a showing of a proximate temporal relationship between
    vaccination and injury.” 
    Id. at 1278
    . To establish entitlement to compensation under the Program,
    a petitioner is required to establish each of the three prongs of Althen by a preponderance of the
    evidence. 
    Id.
     “[C]lose calls regarding causation are resolved in favor of injured claimants.” 
    Id. at 1280
    . Further, evidence used to satisfy one prong of the test may overlap to satisfy another prong.
    Capizzano, 
    440 F.3d at 1326
    .
    A petitioner who satisfies all three prongs of the Althen test has established a prima facie
    showing of causation. Hammitt v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    98 Fed. Cl. 719
    , 726 (2011). A
    petitioner who demonstrates by a preponderance of the evidence that he suffered an injury caused
    by vaccination is entitled to compensation unless the respondent can demonstrate by a
    preponderance of the evidence that the injury was caused by factors unrelated to the vaccination.
    See Althen, 
    418 F.3d at 1278
    ; Knudsen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    35 F.3d 543
    , 547 (Fed.
    Cir. 1994). In such a case, the government must not merely prove the existence of an alternative
    cause, but that such an alternative actually caused the injury. Knudsen, 
    35 F.3d at 549
    .
    Consequently, when and if Petitioner establishes a prima facie case, the burden then shifts to the
    government to prove that an alternative cause, unrelated to the administration of the vaccine, was
    the “sole substantial factor” in causing the alleged injury. See de Bazan v. Sec’y of Health & Hum.
    Servs., 
    539 F.3d 1347
    , 1354 (Fed. Cir. 2008); see also Hammitt, 98 Fed. Cl. at 726 (explaining
    that the respondent’s burden is to show that the “factor unrelated” was the “sole substantial factor”
    in causing the injury). Additionally, a factor unrelated “may not include ‘any idiopathic,
    unexplained, unknown, hypothetical, or undocumentable cause, factor, injury, illness or
    condition.’” 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-13(a)(2); see also Doe v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    601 F.3d 1349
     (Fed. Cir. 2010) (opining that an idiopathic diagnosis cannot be a “factor unrelated,” as it is
    idiopathic).
    In considering the reliability of a petitioner’s evidence of a prima facie case, the special
    master may consider alternative causes for a petitioner’s condition that are reasonably raised in the
    32
    record, even if the respondent does not pursue a formal alternative cause argument. Doe, 
    601 F.3d at 1358
    . Thus, in weighing a petitioner’s case-in-chief, a special master may consider evidence
    that the petitioner’s alleged injury could have been caused by alternative causes. 
    Id.
     Proof of a
    “logical sequence of cause and effect” will eliminate potential likely alternatives. Walther v. Sec’y
    of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    485 F.3d 1146
    , 1151 (Fed. Cir. 2007).
    V.      Discussion
    A. Petitioner’s Diagnoses
    As a factual predicate to proving vaccine-causation, it is Petitioner’s burden to demonstrate
    that she actually suffers from the injuries alleged to have been caused by her November 3, 2012
    flu vaccination. See Hibbard v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    698 F.3d 1358
    , 1364–65 (Fed. Cir.
    2012); Lombardi v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    656 F.3d 1343
    , 1353 (Fed. Cir. 2011);
    Broekelschen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    618 F.3d 1339
    , 1346 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (finding that
    in a case where the injury itself is in dispute, it is appropriate for the special master to “first
    determine which injury was best supported by the evidence presented in the record before applying
    the Althen test so that the special master could subsequently determine causation relative to the
    injury.”). The Vaccine Act provides that a treating physician’s diagnosis “shall not be binding on
    the special master or court,” but that the special master should consider the “entire record and the
    course of the injury” when evaluating how much weight to afford a treating physician’s diagnosis.
    42 U.S.C. § 300aa-13(b)(1). In this case, Petitioner alleged that she suffered from PUK, uveitis,
    and herpes keratitis. She therefore must show by preponderant evidence that she suffers from each
    condition. See Broekelschen, 
    618 F.3d at 1349
    ; see also Lombardi, 
    656 F.3d at 1353
    .
    Petitioner has failed to show by preponderant evidence that she suffered from PUK.
    Although three of Petitioner’s treaters initially diagnosed her with PUK, they all later ruled it out.
    Most notably, two of Petitioner’s treating ophthalmologists altered their diagnoses in light of
    Petitioner’s symptomatology and progression. Dr. Foote, who was the first to formally diagnose
    Petitioner with PUK, later agreed with Dr. Ostern that Petitioner suffered from herpetic
    keratouveitis that was exacerbated by her positive HLA-B27 status. Pet’r’s Ex. 5 at 73–74 (citing
    Pet’r’s Ex. 11 at 1). Dr. Di Pascuale, another treating ophthalmologist, concluded that Petitioner
    did not have PUK but rather HSV-related sclerokeratitis. Pet’r’s Ex. 7 at 7–8, 29, 31. Dr. Smith, a
    rheumatologist, also altered her diagnosis and assessed Petitioner with Reiter’s syndrome with
    herpes keratitis, noting specifically “Reiter’s keratitis with herpes as the AG [aggravating] driver.”
    Pet’r’s Ex. 8 at 5–6, 11. Dr. Smith also proposed several other conditions to explain Petitioner’s
    condition, including inflammatory eye disease, hypopyon uveitis, and Behcet’s syndrome. Id. at
    1, 7, 11. Additionally, upon establishing care with ophthalmologist Dr. Ramirez, he noted
    Petitioner’s history of PUK but, after his own review, diagnosed her with severe vasculitis with
    associated keratitis. Pet’r’s Ex. 6 at 1–4. It is therefore not likely that Petitioner’s treaters believed
    she suffered from PUK. 68 In fact, Petitioner’s own expert in ophthalmology opined that she never
    68
    Petitioner’s primary care physician Branch Craige made a note of Petitioner’s self-reported history of
    PUK. Pet’r’s Ex. 9 at 2. He also noted that Petitioner was being treated by Dr. Karen Smith for Reiter’s
    syndrome. Id. His separate assessment of Petitioner documented “Reiter [sic] syndrome, HLA-B27
    positive.” Id. at 3. Therefore, his reference to Petitioner’s history of PUK does not provide support for such
    a diagnosis.
    33
    suffered from PUK but rather “uveitis caused by the vaccine.” See Pet’r’s Ex. 19 at 2. Dr.
    Fraunfelder relied on Petitioner’s symptom presentation and her response to initial treatment on
    November 12, 2012, to establish that her condition was consistent with uveitis instead of PUK.
    Notably, Petitioner seemed to abandon her claim as it relates to PUK and instead chose to proceed
    only with her uveitis and herpes keratitis claims. See, e.g., Pet’r’s Br. at 1, 17. Indeed, Petitioner’s
    ensuing claim hinges on her not having PUK. Therefore, Petitioner has failed to show by
    preponderant evidence that she suffers from PUK and this condition will not be analyzed in relation
    to causation-in-fact.
    Petitioner has presented preponderant evidence that she suffered from uveitis. Both
    Petitioner’s and Respondent’s experts agree that Petitioner exhibited “well-recognized” symptoms
    consistent with uveitis, including inflammation, pain, and redness of the eye. Pet’r’s Ex. 19 at 2;
    Resp’t’s Ex. A; Tr. 18, 108. However, the experts disagree about when her uveitis manifested and
    the chain of cause and effect resulting in her uveitis. This discrepancy will be discussed with
    respect to Althen prongs two and three. However, for the purposes of determining diagnosis,
    Petitioner has shown by a preponderant standard that she suffers from uveitis.
    Petitioner has also presented preponderant evidence that she suffered from a herpesvirus
    infection, which progressed to herpes keratitis. Neither expert disputes the fact that Petitioner
    suffered from either a primary or reactivated latent herpesvirus infection. Pet’r’s Ex. 19 at 2;
    Resp’t’s Ex. A. Petitioner’s expert opined that Petitioner’s herpesvirus progressed to herpes
    keratitis. 69 While Respondent’s expert did not explicitly admit that Petitioner suffered from herpes
    keratitis, he implied it in light of her HSV infection, and he did not deny that she has the condition.
    Indeed, the fact that several of Petitioner’s treating physicians ultimately diagnosed her with
    herpes-related keratitis after ruling out other conditions, as described above, provides preponderant
    support for establishing such diagnosis. Additionally, two of Petitioner’s treating
    ophthalmologists, Drs. Ostern and Ramirez, diagnosed her with keratitis with an infectious
    etiology, such as herpes, despite her cultures being negative. Pet’r’s Ex. 11 at 1; Pet’r’s Ex. 6 at 4.
    It is persuasive that, in support for his own theory, Respondent’s expert opined that Petitioner’s
    testing from August of 2013 and thereafter did not show signs of viruses, such as the herpesvirus,
    because “these samples had been obtained well after several rounds of therapy with multiple
    topical and systemic antibiotics and antivirals.” Resp’t’s Ex. A at 4; see also Tr. 91:1–13.
    Respondent’s reliance on the Tsatsos et al., 70 article to show that the use of antivirals, such as
    Acyclovir, are used to prevent recurrent episodes of HSV is compelling evidence that Petitioner’s
    steady treatment course with appropriate antivirals explains her negative cultures at the time of
    testing. See Resp’t’s Ex. I at 6. Therefore, Petitioner has shown by a preponderance of the evidence
    that she suffers from herpes keratitis.
    B. Experts
    Although special masters have the discretion to be informed by past rulings and
    experiences, case-specific filings and testimony are the most helpful types of evidence, given the
    fact-specific nature of each decision. See Doe v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    76 Fed. Cl. 328
    ,
    338–39 (2007). To that end, experts are an essential piece of a petitioner’s claim and Respondent’s
    69
    See supra note 5 (defining herpes keratitis as “a viral infection of the eye caused by HSV.”).
    70
    See Tsatsos, et al., supra note 65 at 1.
    34
    defense. Where both sides offer expert testimony, a special master’s decision may be “based on
    the credibility of the experts and the relative persuasiveness of their competing theories.”
    Broekelschen, 
    618 F.3d at
    1347 (citing Lampe v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    219 F.3d 1357
    ,
    1361 (Fed. Cir. 2000)).
    This case ultimately turns not only on Petitioner’s medical history, but also the
    persuasiveness of the written reports, supporting documentation, and expert testimony. I therefore
    must assess each expert’s expertise in relation to the facts of Petitioner’s case and assign weight
    accordingly. This assessment will inform my analysis pursuant to each prong of Althen.
    I base this decision on entitlement, in part, on Dr. Bassiri’s credentials and expertise in
    immunology and infectious diseases specifically, as compared to Dr. Fraunfelder’s main focus in
    ophthalmology. While I in no way discount Dr. Fraunfelder’s understanding and experience
    involving immunology, I must afford Dr. Bassiri’s specialized knowledge in immunology and
    infectious diseases more weight. Notably, in relevant part, Dr. Bassiri received a Ph.D. in
    immunology from the University of Pennsylvania in 2002. Resp’t’s Ex. B at 1. Dr. Bassiri has
    been an attending physician in the Division of Infectious Disease, Department of Pediatrics at the
    Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia for a decade. 
    Id.
     He currently sees patients with
    immunodeficiencies, and studies T-cell function as part of his research for cancer immunotherapy.
    Tr. 65:10–14. He also frequently gives lectures regarding concepts of infectious diseases, such as
    herpesviruses and immunology. Tr. 66:5–6, 12–14.
    Dr. Fraunfelder is an extremely qualified expert in his field. He has a history of providing
    useful testimony and persuasive explanations in cases before me, as well as other special masters
    in the Program. In this case however, his ultimate opinion was delivered with ambiguities,
    compared to the well-reasoned opinion of Respondent’s expert. See Broekelschen, 
    618 F.3d at
    1347 (citing Lampe, 
    219 F.3d at 1362
    ) (finding that where both sides offer expert testimony, a
    special master’s decision may be “based on the credibility of the experts and the relative
    persuasiveness of their competing theories.”). Further, Dr. Bassiri’s background and knowledge in
    immunology and infectious diseases is more applicable to this case than Dr. Fraunfelder’s
    expertise in ophthalmology when considering the parties’ arguments regarding the immunologic
    response involved in Petitioner’s proposed mechanism and the infectious nature and
    immunological involvement of herpesviruses, such as HSV.
    C. Althen Prong One
    Under the first prong of Althen, a petitioner must offer a scientific or medical theory that
    answers in the affirmative the question: “can the vaccine[] at issue cause the type of injury
    alleged?” See Pafford v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 01-0165V, 
    2004 WL 1717359
    , at *4
    (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 16, 2004), mot. for rev. denied, 
    64 Fed. Cl. 19
     (2005), aff’d, 
    451 F.3d 1352
     (Fed. Cir. 2006). To satisfy this prong, a petitioner’s theory must be based on a “sound and
    reliable medical or scientific explanation.” Knudsen, 
    35 F.3d at 548
    . Such a theory must only be
    “legally probable, not medically or scientifically certain.” Knudsen, 
    35 F.3d at
    548–49. Petitioners
    are not required to identify “specific biological mechanisms” to establish causation, nor are they
    required to present “epidemiologic studies, rechallenge[] the presence of pathological markers or
    genetic disposition, or general acceptance in the scientific or medical communities.” Capizzano,
    35
    
    440 F.3d at 1325
     (quoting Althen, 
    418 F.3d at 1280
    ). Scientific and “objective confirmation” of
    the medical theory with additional medical documentation is unnecessary. Althen, 
    418 F.3d at
    1278–81; see also Moberly, 
    592 F.3d at 1322
    . However, as the Federal Circuit has made clear,
    “simply identifying a ‘plausible’ theory of causation is insufficient for a petitioner to meet her
    burden of proof.” LaLonde v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    746 F.3d 1334
    , 1339 (Fed. Cir. 2014)
    (citing Moberly, 
    592 F.3d at 1322
    ). Rather, “[a] petitioner must provide a reputable medical or
    scientific explanation that pertains specifically to the petitioner’s case.” Moberly, 
    592 F.3d at 1322
    .
    In general, “the statutory standard of preponderance of the evidence requires a petitioner to
    demonstrate that the vaccine more likely than not caused the condition alleged.” LaLonde, 746
    F.3d at 1339.
    Furthermore, establishing a sound and reliable medical theory connecting the vaccine to
    the injury often requires a petitioner to present expert testimony in support of her claim. Lampe,
    
    219 F.3d at 1361
    . The Supreme Court’s opinion in Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc.,
    
    509 U.S. 579
     (1993), requires that courts determine the reliability of an expert opinion before it
    may be considered as evidence. “In short, the requirement that an expert’s testimony pertain to
    ‘scientific knowledge’ establishes a standard of evidentiary reliability.” 
    Id. at 590
     (citation
    omitted). Thus, for Vaccine Act claims, a “special master is entitled to require some indicia of
    reliability to support the assertion of the expert witness.” Moberly, 
    592 F.3d at 1324
    . The Daubert
    factors are used in the weighing of the reliability of scientific evidence proffered. Davis v. Sec’y
    of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    94 Fed. Cl. 53
    , 66–67 (2010) (“uniquely in this Circuit, the Daubert
    factors have been employed also as an acceptable evidentiary-gauging tool with respect to
    persuasiveness of expert testimony already admitted.”). Nothing requires the acceptance of an
    expert’s conclusion “connected to existing data only by the ipse dixit of the expert,” especially if
    “there is simply too great an analytical gap between the data and the opinion proffered.” Snyder v.
    Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    88 Fed. Cl. 706
    , 743 (2009) (quoting Gen. Elec. Co. v. Joiner, 
    522 U.S. 136
    , 146 (1997)).
    a. Uveitis
    Petitioner has failed to meet her burden under Althen prong one with respect to uveitis.
    Petitioner posited a scientific or medical theory explaining the flu vaccine’s role in the
    development of uveitis through a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction and the notion of positive
    rechallenge. I will discuss each in turn.
    i. Type IV Hypersensitivity Reaction
    Petitioner relied on the Meng et al. 71 article to describe a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction.
    The authors emphasized the role of dendritic cells that “take up and process” antigens which are
    then represented on the surface of those cells with specific peptide – HLA complexes for T-cell
    recognition. Pet’r’s Ex. 33, Tab B at 5. They explained that from there, the interaction between
    dendritic and T cells dictates the specificity of the reaction and location of the inflammatory
    response. See 
    id.
     While Petitioner’s reliance on the Meng et al. article aids my understanding of
    the mechanisms underlying a Type IV hypersensitivity response, the article does not advance
    Petitioner’s case with respect to the flu vaccine and uveitis under Althen prong one. Petitioner’s
    71
    See Meng, et al., supra note 41 at 1.
    36
    main support for her biological mechanism is the Nussenblatt 72 animal model, which she contends
    shows that her proposed mechanism connecting the flu vaccine to uveitis has been tested and
    documented in the existing medical literature. See Pet’r’s Ex. 33, Tab C. Further, Dr. Fraunfelder
    argues that this study proves that a systemically applied immunization can cause a localized
    inflammation, such as uveitis, via a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction. Tr. 38:1–3. However,
    Petitioner’s reliance on this study is wholly misplaced. While the study discusses the role of Type
    IV hypersensitivity reactions in the development of uveitis, it fails to discuss vaccines in general,
    or the flu vaccine specifically. Instead, the rats in the study developed localized inflammation after
    being injected with a retinal S-antigen. 73 Pet’r’s Ex. 33, Tab C at 2. The article therefore fails to
    show how a systemic flu vaccine can produce a localized Type IV hypersensitivity reaction.
    Petitioner did not otherwise submit evidence supporting her theory that the flu vaccine can
    cause uveitis via a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction. 74 Instead, Petitioner conceded that the
    mechanisms underlying Type IV hypersensitivity reactions “are complex and not completely
    understood.” Pet’r’s Ex. 33 at 1. While Petitioner is not required to present objective confirmation
    or epidemiological studies to support her biological mechanism, she must do more than simply
    identify a “plausible” theory of causation. Capizzano, 
    440 F.3d at 1325
     (quoting Althen, 
    418 F.3d at 1280
    ); see also LaLonde, 746 F.3d at 1339 (citing Moberly, 
    592 F.3d at 1322
    ). I therefore find
    that Petitioner has failed to show by preponderant evidence that the flu vaccine can cause uveitis
    via a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction.
    Additionally, while prior decisions of special masters are not binding on my analysis, it is
    persuasive that Petitioner’s proposed Type IV hypersensitivity reaction theory has previously been
    rejected in the Program. See Yates v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 14-560V, 
    2020 WL 72
    See Nussenblatt, supra note 40 at 1.
    73
    A retinal S-antigen (S-ag) is not akin to a vaccine. Rather, it is “found in the photoreceptors of the eye,
    [and] is a potent autoantigen that is commonly involved in inflammatory eye disease leading to blindness[.]”
    See abstract of Suleyman, et al., Idiotypic Expression of Antibodies to Retinal S-antigen in Experimental
    Autoimmune Uveoretinitis, 62(4) IMMUNOL. 537–41 (1987).
    74
    Petitioner’s reliance on other articles showing a connection between the flu vaccine and uveitis is
    informative but inapplicable to Althen prong one, as the articles do not indicate that this phenomenon occurs
    because of a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction. For instance, Petitioner relied on the Benage et al. article
    to show that an association exists between the flu vaccine and uveitis, as twenty-eight instances were
    reported over a thirty-year period. Pet’r’s Ex. 19, Tab A. However, the article does not describe a causal
    connection between the flu vaccine and uveitis, nor does it elaborate on the mechanism by which this
    occurs. See id. Petitioner relied on the article by London et al., which used the Naranjo criteria in place of
    a clinical trial, to determine that the flu vaccine has a “probable” causal association with uveitis. Pet’r’s Ex.
    45 at 4, 13. The authors determined this score signified more than a mere possibility of occurrence, but still
    less than definite probability. Id. It does not identify a biological mechanism. Id. Similarly, Petitioner also
    relied on the article by Suhler et al. to argue that all vaccinations can cause a Type IV hypersensitivity
    reaction. Pet’r’s Ex. 19, Tab D at 4. However, Petitioner conceded that the Suhler et al. article is
    distinguishable because the article talks about the Hepatitis B vaccine, not the flu vaccine, and the authors
    allege a Type III hypersensitivity reaction as the mechanism, not a Type IV. Tr. 53:23–25, 54:1–17 (citing
    Pet’r’s Ex. 19, Tab D). The authors also fail to elaborate on the mechanics of a “delayed-type
    hypersensitivity reaction[,]” merely stating that it is one possible mechanism for the development of uveitis.
    Pet’r’s Ex. 19, Tab D at 4. As Respondent’s expert correctly maintained, the distinctions between the types
    of hypersensitivity reaction are not “merely semantics” and instead, implicate different cell responses.
    Therefore, I must afford such articles little to no weight.
    37
    2313691 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 16, 2020), mot. for rev. denied, 
    150 Fed. Cl. 575
     (2020)
    (finding that Petitioner failed to explain how a T-cell mediated Type IV hypersensitivity immune
    response to a Menactra vaccine can cause lymphocytic myocarditis, as there is a distinction
    between lymphocytic myocarditis being viral and eosinophilic myocarditis being a
    hypersensitivity reaction.); see also Forrest v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 10-032V, 
    2017 WL 4053241
     (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Aug. 10, 2017) (rejecting Petitioner’s argument that four-month
    infant vaccinations, including Hep. B, inactivated polio, diphtheria-tetanus-acellular pertussis,
    haemophilus influenza, and pneumococcal conjugate vaccines, could cause a Type IV
    hypersensitivity reaction resulting in sudden infant death syndrome (“SIDS”). The special master
    based this decision, in part, on Petitioner’s failure to provide evidence in favor of a Type IV
    response other than the time between vaccination and injury. The special master acknowledged
    that the fever the infant experienced post vaccination was not a Type IV response but a humoral
    or antibody sensitivity.). While these cases are not completely analogous to Petitioner’s case in
    terms of vaccine or injury, the special masters’ reasoning for rejecting the proposed Type IV
    hypersensitivity reaction is informative.
    ii. Positive Rechallenge
    Petitioner has also failed to provide preponderant evidence establishing that the flu vaccine
    can cause uveitis via a positive rechallenge. While Dr. Fraunfelder’s testimony explaining the
    concept of positive rechallenge is useful, Petitioner did not otherwise present evidence supporting
    her claim as it relates to this biological mechanism and uveitis. Dr. Fraunfelder testified that a
    positive rechallenge occurs when an individual receives a vaccine more than once and experiences
    a negative reaction following each subsequent receipt of the vaccine, as the body has seen that
    specific antigen before and reacts the same way. See Tr. 25–26. Even though Petitioner is not
    required to provide specifics of the biological mechanism or provide epidemiological studies that
    explain her disease pathology, to the extent that she does, they must make sense. Instead,
    Petitioner’s submitted medical literature is inconsistent with her claim, and her reliance on the
    Suhler et al. 75 article is detrimental to her case. The authors of the article, including Petitioner’s
    own expert, studied the Hep. B vaccine and the development of recurrent uveitis. Pet’r’s Ex. 19,
    Tab D. The authors found that one patient in the study had recurrent uveitis after the second and
    third doses of the Hep. B vaccine. 
    Id. at 1
    . Another patient in the study developed uveitis after the
    first dose of a Hep. B vaccine and again after the second. 
    Id.
     This article is not completely
    analogous to Petitioner’s case because it fails to discuss the flu vaccine. It also fails to support
    Petitioner’s proposed biological mechanism of a positive rechallenge, as a patient in the study
    developed uveitis after the first exposure to the Hep. B vaccine. See 
    id.
     As such, this article does
    not provide preponderant evidence to support Petitioner’s claim regarding the flu vaccine causing
    uveitis via a positive rechallenge.
    Petitioner also relies on the Hassman et al. 76 article to argue that a flu vaccine can cause
    severe inflammation in the central nervous system and recurrent uveitis through a positive
    rechallenge. Pet’r’s Ex. 44 at 1. However, this article is inapplicable to Petitioner’s claim as it
    relates to uveitis. The authors of the article found that the flu vaccine can play a role in the
    development of severe inflammation of the central nervous system, but only because the flu
    75
    See Fraunfelder & Suhler, et al., supra note 38 at 1.
    76
    See Hassman, et al., supra note 42 at 1.
    38
    vaccine can cause activation of HSV, not uveitis directly. See id. In fact, the article fails to mention
    uveitis altogether, and instead discusses retinitis. 77 While such conditions may be medically
    comparable because they both involve inflammation of the eye, the article fails to advance
    Petitioner’s case pursuant to Althen prong one. Further, Petitioner’s expert testified regarding an
    article by Knopf et al. as support for the notion of positive rechallenge based on its title, “Recurrent
    Uveitis After Influenza Vaccination.” See Tr. 28:16–17. However, Dr. Fraunfelder did not rely on
    this article in any of his written reports. Petitioner did not file the full article, or even an abstract,
    for consideration. Instead, it was merely cited in another exhibit and briefly mentioned for the first
    time during his testimony. See Tr. 28:11–22; see also Pet’r’s Ex. 19, Tab B. I therefore do not
    consider this article as support for Petitioner’s claim. Petitioner has failed to show by preponderant
    evidence how the flu vaccine can cause uveitis via a positive rechallenge.
    b. Herpesvirus and Herpes Keratitis
    Petitioner argues that the flu vaccine causes an altered immune system via a Type IV
    hypersensitivity reaction, which creates a susceptibility to HSV, and herpes keratitis can develop.
    Petitioner does not, however, present preponderant evidence that a Type IV hypersensitivity
    reaction can lead to herpes keratitis. While Petitioner does not explicitly argue that the flu vaccine
    triggers HSV reactivation via a positive rechallenge, the record as a whole, including Petitioner’s
    submitted medical literature and testimony from both experts, provides evidence that the flu
    vaccine can cause HSV reactivation and eventual herpes keratitis via a positive rechallenge. I find
    Petitioner has met her burden under Althen prong one with respect to the flu vaccine’s role in the
    development of HSV reactivation and subsequent herpes keratitis via the notion of a positive
    rechallenge.
    i. Type IV Hypersensitivity Reaction
    Petitioner alleges that because the flu vaccine can act as an immunological trigger resulting
    in an altered immune status and uveitis, said vaccine also creates a susceptibility to HSV and the
    development of herpes keratitis. Dr. Fraunfelder argues that this occurs because a Type IV
    hypersensitivity reaction alters the immune system and “[w]hen a person develops an eye disease
    . . . they are susceptible to opportunistic infections from viruses that are dormant within [the
    body,]” such as HSV. Pet’r’s Ex. 19 at 2; Tr. 43:21–25. Respondent’s expert’s testimony regarding
    the expected immune response caused by a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction directly contradicts
    Dr. Fraunfelder’s argument. Indeed, Dr. Bassiri’s expertise in immunology is evident during his
    rebuttal of Dr. Fraunfelder’s argument. Dr. Bassiri explained that a Type IV hypersensitivity
    reaction would not lead to an altered immune system, because a Type IV reaction produces a
    localized inflammatory response that dissipates, similar to that of a PPD test or poison ivy. Dr.
    Bassiri continued that this type of reaction is not systemic and manifests as localized itchiness, not
    a fever. Dr. Bassiri then compared the types of hypersensitivity reactions and explained that a
    “[T]ype IV hypersensitivity is rarely associated with fever – especially when the inoculum size of
    the antigen (e.g., that in influenza vaccines) is small.” Resp’t’s Ex. M at 2; Tr. 73:1–6. He admitted
    that a fever could occur in a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction “if you were to give somebody who
    77
    Retinitis is “inflammation of the retina, marked by impairment of sight, abnormalities of vision, edema,
    and exudation into the retina, and occasionally by hemorrhages into the retina. The term is sometimes used
    more loosely to denote also noninflammatory disorders of the retina.” Dorland’s at 1633.
    39
    has a prior sensitization a large amount of that antigen, you would have a relatively large or robust
    immune response[,] . . . the end result of which could be fever.” Tr. 107:2–8. It therefore stands to
    reason that the typical immunologic response triggered by a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction
    would not rise to the level of altering or weakening the immune system when it generally fails to
    produce any systemic response.
    Turning to the herpesvirus specifically, which is responsible for the development of herpes
    keratitis, 78 Dr. Bassiri testified that the manifestation of a primary herpesvirus infection would not
    presumably implicate altered immunity “in the pathogenesis of this infection[]” because primary
    HSV infections commonly occur without a trigger in immunocompetent individuals. Dr. Bassiri
    explained that reactivation of HSV infections can occur if a patient is immunosuppressed because
    the patient is more prone to developing latent viruses. He also noted reactivation can occur in
    healthy patients, wherein the immune system is not implicated. Based on this, he reasonably
    concluded that he did not see an immunological association with T-cell activation and reactivation
    of HSV, a requisite for the development of a Type IV hypersensitivity. Overall, Petitioner’s
    proposal that a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction weakens the immune system to the point that
    “opportunistic” infections like HSV surface, is not sufficiently supported. See Tr. 42:21–23.
    Therefore, Petitioner has failed to show how a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction can result in the
    manifestation of HSV and the development of herpes keratitis.
    ii. Positive Rechallenge
    Even though Dr. Bassiri’s testimony refutes Petitioner’s claim with respect to the flu
    vaccine causing HSV and herpes keratitis via a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction, the same is not
    true regarding the notion of positive rechallenge. Indeed, Dr. Bassiri conceded that it is rare but
    “possible” that a vaccine could reactivate a latent HSV infection, which is a “known cause” of
    herpes keratitis. 79 See Tr. 110:18–22; Resp’t’s Ex. A at 3–4. This phenomenon is supported by
    Petitioner’s reliance on the Hassman et al. 80 article, which noted that the flu vaccine triggered the
    reactivation of a latent HSV infection in 13 out of 38 million doses over ten years. Pet’r’s Ex. 44
    at 5. While this article did not advance Petitioner’s case with respect to a positive rechallenge and
    uveitis, it does provide support for her claim that the flu vaccine can trigger the reactivation of a
    HSV infection via a positive rechallenge. Indeed, the authors determined that “disruptions” in the
    immune system, such as vaccines, can activate the virus. Id. at 1. To support their conclusion, the
    authors noted a study wherein the patient had “three consecutive yearly [HSV] episodes
    (encephalitis, seizure, and retinitis), each within days of his influenza vaccination.” Id. The authors
    found that, through a positive rechallenge, a flu vaccine can cause severe inflammation in the
    central nervous system, which can lead to infection with HSV and herpes encephalitis. Id.; Tr.
    45:4–21. However, it is important to note that the authors conceded that “[a] subtle immunological
    deficiency in [their] patient may have lowered the threshold for clinically significant HSV
    reactivation in the [central nervous system].” Pet’r’s Ex. 44 at 5. Nonetheless, this study supports
    Petitioner’s claim related to positive rechallenge, as the patient in the study experienced a re-
    occurrence of HSV-related symptoms and ailments upon re-administration of subsequent flu
    vaccines.
    78
    See supra note 5 (defining herpes keratitis as “a viral infection of the eye caused by HSV.”).
    79
    See id.
    80
    See Hassman, et al., supra note 42 at 1.
    40
    While the Hassman et al. study shows that this occurrence is uncommon (13 out of 38
    million doses over ten years), I do not find persuasive Respondent’s argument that because we
    have not seen this occur often, it could not occur. Simply because HSV does not require a trigger
    to manifest does not mean that a flu vaccine could not be the trigger, especially if the individual
    has had negative reactions from repeated exposure to the same vaccine. I do not find Dr. Bassiri’s
    arguments regarding the rarity of this occurrence to be equivalent to an explanation of the
    improbability of this type of occurrence. In fact, Petitioner’s expert also conceded that this
    occurrence is rare, and he has not seen it throughout the course of his career in ophthalmology.
    However, such concessions do not weaken Petitioner’s argument under Althen prong one. Indeed,
    by the nature of the Program, a petitioner’s claims often arise out of the rarest and most unique of
    circumstances. As absolute certainty is not the standard in the Program, I find that Petitioner has
    presented preponderant evidence establishing that a flu vaccine can trigger HSV through a positive
    rechallenge. See Althen, 
    418 F.3d at
    1278–81; see also Moberly, 
    592 F.3d at 1322
     (finding
    scientific and “objective confirmation” of the medical theory with additional medical
    documentation is unnecessary.). Accordingly, I find Petitioner has satisfied prong one of Althen
    with respect to HSV and herpes keratitis.
    D. Althen Prong Two
    Under the second prong of Althen, a petitioner must prove that the vaccine actually did
    cause the alleged injury in a particular case. See Pafford, 
    2004 WL 1717359
    , at *4; Althen, 
    418 F.3d at 1279
    . The second Althen prong requires proof of a logical sequence of cause and effect,
    usually supported by facts derived from a petitioner’s medical records. Althen, 
    418 F.3d at 1278
    ;
    Capizzano, 
    440 F.3d at 1326
    ; Grant v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    956 F.2d 1144
    , 1148 (Fed.
    Cir. 1992). A petitioner does not meet this obligation by showing only a temporal association
    between the vaccination and the injury; instead, the petitioner “must explain how and why the
    injury occurred.” Pafford, 
    2004 WL 1717359
    , at *4 (emphasis in original). The special master in
    Pafford noted petitioners “must prove [] both that her vaccinations were a substantial factor in
    causing the illness . . . and that the harm would not have occurred in the absence of the
    vaccination.” 
    2004 WL 1717359
    , at *4 (citing Shyface, 
    165 F.3d at 1352
    ). A reputable medical or
    scientific explanation must support this logical sequence of cause and effect. Hodges v. Sec’y of
    Health & Hum. Servs., 
    9 F.3d 958
    , 961 (Fed Cir. 1993) (citation omitted). Nevertheless,
    “[r]equiring epidemiologic studies . . . or general acceptance in the scientific or medical
    communities . . . impermissibly raises a claimant’s burden under the Vaccine Act and hinders the
    system created by Congress . . . .” Capizzano, 
    440 F.3d at
    1325–26. “[C]lose calls regarding
    causation are resolved in favor of injured claimants.” Althen, 
    418 F.3d at 1280
    .
    In Program cases, contemporaneous medical records and the opinions of treating
    physicians are favored. Capizzano, 
    440 F.3d at
    1326 (citing Althen, 
    418 F.3d at 1280
    ). Indeed,
    when reviewing the record, a special master must consider the opinions of treating physicians.
    Capizzano, 
    440 F.3d at 1326
    . This is because “treating physicians are likely to be in the best
    position to determine whether ‘a logical sequence of cause and effect show[s] that the vaccination
    was the reason for the injury.’” 
    Id.
     In addition, “[m]edical records, in general, warrant
    consideration as trustworthy evidence. The records contain information supplied to or by health
    professionals to facilitate diagnosis and treatment of medical conditions. With proper treatment
    hanging in the balance, accuracy has an extra premium. These records are also generally
    41
    contemporaneous to the medical events.” Cucuras v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    993 F.2d 1525
    , 1528 (Fed. Cir. 1993). While a special master must consider these opinions and records,
    they are not “binding on the special master or court.” 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-13(b)(1). Rather, when
    “evaluating the weight to be afforded to any such . . . [evidence], the special master . . . shall
    consider the entire record . . . .” Id. The record often includes “evidence of possible sources of
    injury” that can show alternate causes for the alleged vaccine-related injury. See Stone v. Sec’y of
    Health & Hum. Servs., 
    676 F.3d 1373
    , 1379 (Fed. Cir. 2012).
    I have considered the notations 81 from Petitioner’s treaters ascribing causation to the flu
    vaccine, but I must weigh such records against Petitioner’s treaters that considered both her flu
    vaccine and HSV status, and alternatively ascribed causation to the latter. See supra Section V.A.;
    see also 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-13(b)(1) (finding statements of treating physicians are not binding on
    special masters and the special master shall consider the entire record); Capizzano, 
    440 F.3d at
    1326 (citing Althen, 
    418 F.3d at 1280
    ); Pafford, 
    2004 WL 1717359
    , at *4; Stone, 
    676 F.3d at 1379
    .
    Additionally, such notations were made more than two years after Petitioner’s November 3, 2012
    flu vaccine, and Petitioner has failed to present preponderant evidence that such notations refer to
    the flu vaccine at issue. See Pet’r’s Ex. 35 at 2; Pet’r’s Ex. 30 at 1 (noting that Petitioner
    experienced reactions to a flu vaccine in 2014 and a TB test in 2016). When considering the record
    as a whole, I must afford Petitioner’s treaters’ notations ascribing causation to the flu vaccine less
    weight. For the reasons discussed herein, Petitioner has failed to establish that it is more likely
    than not that the flu vaccine administered on November 3, 2012, caused her to develop uveitis and
    herpes keratitis. As such, Petitioner has failed to satisfy prong two of Althen. See Hodges, 
    9 F.3d at 961
     (noting that “[a] reputable medical or scientific explanation must support this logical
    sequence of cause and effect.”).
    a. Uveitis
    Petitioner has failed to provide preponderant evidence that her November 3, 2012 flu
    vaccine caused her uveitis via her proposed biological mechanisms pursuant to Althen prong two.
    i. Type IV Hypersensitivity Reaction
    Petitioner argued, based solely on the time between vaccination and onset of symptoms,
    that she suffered a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction resulting in uveitis. Her expert was otherwise
    unable to identify any signs or symptoms that distinguished her alleged vaccine-caused uveitis via
    81
    On November 6, 2014, Dr. Karen Smith indicated that Petitioner “[i]n reviewing her records[, ] noted the
    eye inflammatory disease came on immediately after the flu shot.” Pet’r’s Ex. 8 at 1. Dr. Smith wrote that
    “[i]t is immunologically possible that this could be the trigger.” 
    Id.
     On April 18, 2016, Dr. Lawal, a
    cardiologist Petitioner saw for heart murmurs, noted that she had an autoimmune reaction in her right eye
    after a flu shot two years ago. Pet’r’s Ex. 35 at 2. Dr. Smith noted on November 4, 2016, that Petitioner
    was given a TB test, had an “enormous” reaction, and experienced a flare in her eye symptoms ever since.
    Pet’r’s Ex. 30 at 1. Dr. Smith then went so far as to warn Petitioner “to avoid all things that stimulate
    dendritic cells which is vaccines . . . as it activates her eye disease[.]” 
    Id.
     Petitioner’s treater in Norway, Dr.
    Ostern, also noted that Petitioner “seems to react strongly to vaccines . . . [t]his is assumed to secondarily
    set off herpes keratitis.” Pet’r’s Ex. 38 at 2A. Such notations do not provide preponderant support for
    Petitioner’s claim that her November 3, 2012 flu vaccine caused her uveitis and related injuries.
    42
    a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction from uveitis that is not caused by a vaccine. Respondent’s
    expert, however, was able to describe signs and symptoms that would signify Petitioner did not
    experience a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction caused by the flu vaccine. Dr. Bassiri’s reliance on
    the record to support his position is persuasive.
    Dr. Bassiri credibly and consistently explained that a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction
    would not manifest as a fever, stye, or nasal tenderness, as it did in Petitioner’s case. See Resp’t’s
    Ex. A at 3; Tr. 74:6–10. While Dr. Bassiri admitted that a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction could
    result in fever if you were to give someone who has a prior sensitization a large amount of that
    antigen, such occurrence is inapplicable to the facts of Petitioner’s case. Dr. Bassiri recounted
    Petitioner’s vaccination record and noted that she “at least checked a box” that she had never had
    a negative reaction to previous flu vaccines. See, e.g., Pet’r’s Ex. 1 at 1. Petitioner also failed to
    provide evidence showing that she received a high-dose flu vaccine with an amount of an antigen
    large enough to induce a Type IV hypersensitivity response. The record does not provide
    preponderant evidence that she had a sensitization to the components of the flu vaccine; therefore,
    she has not established by preponderant evidence that she experienced a systemic response to her
    flu vaccine that altered her immune system via a Type IV reaction. Petitioner has failed to show
    that it is more likely than not that her November 3, 2012 flu vaccine caused her uveitis via a Type
    IV hypersensitivity reaction.
    In this case, Respondent does not have a burden to prove Petitioner’s injuries were caused
    by something other than her flu vaccine because Petitioner is unable to establish a prima facie case
    of vaccine-caused uveitis pursuant to Althen prong two. See LaLonde, 746 F.3d at 1340. However,
    Respondent has presented numerous arguments related to alternative causes, and I will consider
    those applicable to his argument that Petitioner has not met her burden showing that her flu vaccine
    was the cause of her uveitis via the proposed biological mechanism. See Stone, 
    676 F.3d at 1379
    (finding that the record often includes “evidence of possible sources of injury” that can show
    alternate causes for the alleged vaccine-related injury.).
    Dr. Bassiri referenced Petitioner’s symptoms noted several days post vaccination,
    including her fever and “mild cold” symptoms, such as nasal inflammation and tenderness, to
    support his assertion that Petitioner did not experience a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction. Instead,
    he relied on these same symptoms to opine that Petitioner experienced either a primary or
    reactivated herpesvirus, leading to her herpes keratitis and uveitis. Resp’t’s Ex. A at 4 (citing
    Pet’r’s Ex. 2 at 1).
    Respondent’s argument, that in both the primary and reactivation of herpesviruses, “one
    can see systemic signs of [] an illness, such as fever[]” and other cold symptoms, is well-supported
    by the medical literature. Tr. 74:20–25, 75:4–5, 76:1–5. The articles by Darougar & Wishart et
    al. 82 provide that such cold symptoms are common findings accompanying either a primary or
    reactivation of the herpesvirus. Their findings are significant in that they found that in primary
    herpesvirus ocular infections, upper respiratory tract or “cold” symptoms, such as nasal
    inflammation and tenderness, are observed in 35% of patients, with fever in 31% of cases. Resp’t’s
    Ex. E at 1. Their comparison to reactivated herpesvirus ocular infections is notable in that they
    found such upper respiratory tract or cold symptoms, including fever, occurs in 48% of cases.
    82
    See S. Darougar & M.S. Wishart, et al., supra note 63.
    43
    Resp’t’s Ex. L at 2. Even more persuasive, is that the authors also found that “15 and 23% of
    patients with primary or reactivation herpesvirus ocular infections displayed chronic blepharitis
    (inflammation of the eyelid margin).” Resp’t’s Ex. A at 4. Dr. Bassiri’s explanation that blepharitis
    is a symptom of herpesviruses, and presents as inflammation in the eyelid, supports his opinion
    that Dr. Alvarez misdiagnosed Petitioner with a stye on November 12, 2012. Petitioner’s
    symptoms of fever and mild cold symptoms, including nasal tenderness and inflammation plus
    blepharitis three days post vaccination, provide strong evidence that she was suffering the onset of
    her herpesvirus infection at that time, rather than a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction caused by
    the flu vaccine.
    ii. Positive Rechallenge
    Petitioner’s assertion that a positive rechallenge caused her uveitis is greatly hindered by
    Dr. Fraunfelder’s admission that he did not know if Petitioner had ever received a prior flu vaccine,
    or if she had a negative reaction to prior flu vaccines. Petitioner did not offer that information,
    either through testimony or affidavit. 83 Yet, as noted, Dr. Bassiri recounted Petitioner’s
    vaccination record and indicated that Petitioner had received the flu vaccine before and had “at
    least checked a box” that she had never had a negative reaction to previous flu vaccines. See, e.g.,
    Pet’r’s Ex. 1 at 1. Dr. Bassiri’s reliance on the record to support his position is determinative. Dr.
    Fraunfelder’s omission regarding Petitioner’s exposure and reaction to prior flu vaccines prevents
    Petitioner from establishing a logical chain of cause and effect for a “positive rechallenge” as it
    pertains to her uveitis.
    While Petitioner’s reliance on the Hassman et al. 84 article was informative to Althen prong
    one, Respondent has successfully negated its effectiveness as it relates to Petitioner’s case under
    Althen prong two. The authors of the article discussed an immunodeficient patient who
    experienced reactions to repeated vaccinations. Pet’r’s Ex. 44 at 1. Respondent effectively
    distinguished this case from Petitioner’s by noting that the record does not contain evidence that
    she had a pre-existing immune defect 85 or experienced negative reactions to “repeated
    vaccinations[,]” as previously discussed. Tr. 79:18–20, 80:7–9. Petitioner’s reliance on the London
    83
    At the conclusion of the hearing, I noted that Petitioner exercised her right not to testify. Therefore, I do
    not have “the benefit of the doubt on something that I don’t know.” Tr. 136:7–8. I indicated that even if she
    were to submit written affidavits, they would not “have nearly the same weight as being questioned in real
    time[.]” Tr. 136:9–13. I continued that Petitioner would “have the benefit of knowing exactly what answers
    are the right answers.” Tr. 136:13–14. I stressed that I was not suggesting that Petitioner would
    “intentionally deceive” the Court, but I acknowledged that “there is a tendency, just human nature, to
    remember things in such a way that fit in with your . . . perspective of what happened.” Tr. 136:15–18.
    Petitioner ultimately did not request, nor did I order her to, submit affidavits on unresolved facts.
    84
    See Hassman, et al., supra note 42 at 1.
    85
    Respondent’s expert addressed Petitioner’s family history and genetic susceptibility for developing
    autoimmune diseases, such as uveitis, following viral infections like herpesviruses. He explained that the
    fact that Petitioner has a sister “with possible rheumatoid arthritis” and a son with “possible ankylosing
    spondylitis” suggests “a relatively strong predisposition to autoimmune diseases.” Resp’t’s Ex. A at 5. He
    also testified that a positive HLA-B27 haplotype, present in Petitioner, may result in a predisposition to a
    variety of autoimmune phenomenon, including uveitis. Tr. 85:1–3. While Respondent noted potential
    genetic susceptibilities and predispositions to autoimmune diseases, the record fails to provide preponderant
    evidence that Petitioner, in fact, suffers from an immune defect.
    44
    et al. 86 article is also inapplicable to her case under Althen prong two. The Naranjo criteria, as
    applied to Petitioner, do not support her claim that the flu vaccine caused her uveitis and ensuing
    injuries. While the authors of the London et al. article found that a “probable” association exists
    between the flu vaccine and uveitis in general, Respondent’s application of the Naranjo criteria to
    the facts of Petitioner’s case casts doubt on her theory that she experienced her injuries via her
    proposed biological mechanism. Indeed, when Respondent’s expert applied the Naranjo criteria to
    Petitioner’s case, he was able to consider her lack of negative reactions to prior flu vaccines and
    the potential for alternate causes that could explain her condition, which are “much more
    commonly accepted” as causes of both uveitis and herpes keratitis. See Tr. 81:23–25. Therefore,
    Petitioner has failed to show by a preponderant standard that her November 3, 2012 flu vaccine
    caused her uveitis via a positive rechallenge.
    b. Herpesvirus and Herpes Keratitis
    Petitioner has also failed to provide preponderant evidence that her November 3, 2012 flu
    vaccine triggered her herpesvirus and subsequent herpes keratitis via her proposed biological
    mechanisms pursuant to Althen prong two.
    i. Type IV Hypersensitivity Reaction
    Petitioner’s argument that the flu vaccine acts as an immunological trigger, weakening the
    immune system via a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction and leading to HSV and herpes keratitis is
    not supported by the facts of her case. Indeed, Dr. Bassiri credibly explained that a Type IV
    hypersensitivity reaction would not alter the immune system. This is because a Type IV reaction
    produces a localized inflammatory response, such as itchiness. His testimony that a Type IV
    hypersensitivity reaction would not impact the immune system enough to produce a basic systemic
    response, such as a fever, is persuasive. Petitioner developed a fever three days post vaccination,
    which, as previously discussed, is more indicative of an HSV infection, rather than a Type IV
    hypersensitivity reaction. This conclusion is supported by the fact that Dr. Bassiri also testified
    that a Type IV hypersensitivity response could result in a fever, but only if you were to give
    someone with a prior sensitization a large amount of that antigen. See Resp’t’s Ex. M at 2; see also
    Tr. 73:1–6, 107:2–8. Petitioner, however, has failed to present preponderant evidence showing that
    she had a prior sensitization to flu vaccines. Her record affirmatively notes a lack of negative
    reactions in the past, and it does not reflect that she received a high-dose flu vaccine containing a
    large enough antigen to produce a fever via a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction. Petitioner has
    therefore failed to establish that her November 3, 2012 flu vaccine altered her immune system
    creating a susceptibility to HSV and subsequent herpes keratitis through a Type IV hypersensitivity
    reaction.
    ii. Positive Rechallenge
    As discussed, Petitioner cannot establish by preponderant evidence that the flu vaccine at
    issue caused a positive rechallenge, triggering the activation of her HSV. While the Hassman et
    al. 87 article described cases wherein a patient experienced three HSV-type illnesses following
    86
    See London, et al., supra note 36 at 1.
    87
    See Hassman, et al., supra note 42 at 1.
    45
    receipt of each yearly flu vaccine, Petitioner’s record does not show that she had negative reactions
    to prior flu vaccines. Therefore, Petitioner cannot establish that her November 3, 2012 flu vaccine
    caused her HSV and herpes keratitis via a positive rechallenge.
    E. Althen Prong Three
    Under the third prong of Althen, a petitioner must show that the timing of the injury fits
    with the causal theory. See Althen, 
    418 F.3d at 1278
    . For example, if a petitioner’s theory involves
    a process that takes several days to develop after vaccination, an injury that occurred within a day
    of vaccination would not be temporally consistent with that theory. Conversely, if the theory is
    one that anticipates a rapid development of a reaction post vaccination, the development of the
    alleged injury weeks or months post vaccination would not be consistent with that theory. See de
    Bazan, 
    539 F.3d at 1352
    . Causation-in-fact cannot be inferred from temporal proximity alone. See
    Grant, 
    956 F.2d at 1148
    ; Thibaudeau v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    24 Cl. Ct. 400
    , 403–04
    (1991); see also Hasler v. U.S., 
    718 F.2d 202
    , 205 (6th Cir. 1983) (“[w]ithout more, [a] proximate
    temporal relationship will not support a finding of causation.”).
    Petitioner has failed to meet her burden with respect to Althen prong three. She argues that
    the eye pain and redness she experienced three- to- four- days post vaccination was the onset of
    her vaccine-caused uveitis via a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction. Petitioner admitted that her
    medical records from November 12, 2012, nine days post vaccination, do not contain a diagnosis
    of uveitis, but rather that of a stye and conjunctivitis. See, e.g., Pet’r’s Ex. 2 at 1. It is persuasive
    that Petitioner’s expert could not say unequivocally that Petitioner had uveitis during the time of
    her November 12, 2012 appointment. At best, he opined that she “probably had uveitis then[.]”
    See Tr. 18, 53. Petitioner’s medical records do not reflect symptoms consistent with uveitis until
    January 7, 2013, approximately two months post vaccination. See, e.g., Pet’r’s Ex. 5 at 2; see also
    Pet’r’s Ex. 19 at 1. Respondent’s expert agreed that Petitioner experienced symptoms of uveitis,
    such as pain and redness, on January 7, 2013. Resp’t’s Ex. A at 3; Tr. 108:6–13. The presence of
    Petitioner’s uveitis at that time is consistent with Petitioner’s expert’s concession that on January
    7, 2013, Dr. Foote noticed additional symptoms consistent with uveitis, such as marked
    inflammation and keratic precipitates, that were not noted during Petitioner’s November 12, 2012
    visit. See Pet’r’s Ex. 19 at 1.
    While Respondent’s expert admitted that Petitioner’s medical records reflect that she was
    experiencing symptoms “consistent with uveitis,” namely pain and redness, during her November
    12, 2012 visit, his alternative explanation for the presence of those symptoms is compelling. See
    Tr. 108:6–16 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 2 at 1). It is informative that Respondent’s expert noted that
    Petitioner experienced the onset of eye pain and redness “contemporaneous with her fever”
    beginning three- to- four days post vaccination. Tr. 108:17–21 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 16 at 1). He
    credibly explained, consistent with the medical literature, 88 that the pain and redness Petitioner
    experienced at this time contemporaneously with her fever, is actually evidence of a herpesvirus
    infection manifesting with blepharitis and cold symptoms instead of uveitis. Resp’t’s Ex. E at 1;
    Resp’t’s Ex. L at 2; Tr. 75:17–22. Petitioner has failed to establish by preponderant evidence that
    she experienced the onset of her uveitis beginning three- to- four days post vaccination or before
    November 12, 2012. She has presented preponderant evidence that she was suffering from uveitis
    88
    See S. Darougar & M.S. Wishart, et al., supra note 63.
    46
    on January 7, 2013, but it is otherwise unclear when Petitioner’s uveitis began. For purposes of
    evaluating Petitioner’s claim under Althen prong three, I will assume arguendo that the onset of
    her uveitis was no earlier than January 7, 2013.
    The timing of onset of Petitioner’s uveitis does not support her theory of causation by
    means of a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction. See de Bazan, 
    539 F.3d at 1352
    . Respondent’s
    opinion that a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction typically manifests within 24–48 hours of the
    vaccine, and peaks within 72–96 hours, is well-supported by the medical literature. In fact, the
    Chung 89 article documented the same onset interval for a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction. Pet’r’s
    Ex. 33, Tab A at 2; Resp’t’s Ex. D at 2. Respondent’s expert’s evidence regarding how Type IV
    reactions “dissipate” and do not prolong for two or three weeks is persuasive. Tr. 73:14–16. Indeed,
    Dr. Bassiri’s proffered examples of common Type IV hypersensitivity reactions, including PPD
    tests for tuberculosis, inform my decision. PPD tests are routinely read within 24–48 hours of
    injection because it is accepted that an inflammatory response will manifest during this time
    period, if applicable. Petitioner has therefore presented preponderant evidence that Type IV
    hypersensitivity reactions manifest within one- to- two days and peak at day three- to- four.
    Petitioner did not provide preponderant evidence that her symptoms were consistent with
    uveitis until approximately two months post vaccination. The onset of Petitioner’s injuries is
    therefore well outside the accepted timeframe for a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction to occur. It
    is convincing that Petitioner’s expert could not support his opinion that Petitioner experienced a
    Type IV hypersensitivity reaction based on more than a temporal association. See Grant, 
    956 F.2d at 1148
    . In fact, after repeated questioning, Dr. Fraunfelder conceded that the only reason he
    opined that she experienced a Type IV hypersensitivity reaction in response to the flu vaccine was
    because of the time between vaccination and the onset of her symptoms. Tr. 61:19–25, 62:1–15.
    That is not the standard in the Program. Grant, 
    956 F.2d at 1148
    .
    It is also compelling that neither expert discussed the onset time of a positive rechallenge.
    While the authors of the Hassman et al. 90 article found that the patient in the study experienced
    HSV flares “within days” of his yearly flu vaccines, without more, I am unable to find by a
    preponderant standard that Petitioner experienced the onset of her HSV symptoms consistent with
    the timeframe for a positive rechallenge to occur.
    I find that Petitioner has failed to present preponderant evidence to establish that the onset
    of her uveitis occurred in a timeframe consistent with her proposed theory of causation. Therefore,
    she has failed to satisfy her burden under Althen prong three.
    VI.        Conclusion
    Petitioner has failed to establish by preponderant evidence that the flu vaccine she received
    on November 3, 2012, was the cause-in-fact of her uveitis and herpes keratitis. Therefore, the
    89
    See Chung, supra note 39.
    90
    See Hassman, et al., supra note 42 at 1.
    47
    evidence Petitioner presented has not demonstrated entitlement to compensation. Accordingly, this
    case is hereby DISMISSED. 91
    IT IS SO ORDERED.
    s/Herbrina D. Sanders
    Herbrina D. Sanders
    Special Master
    91
    Pursuant to Vaccine Rule 11(a), entry of judgment is expedited by the parties’ joint filing of a notice
    renouncing the right to seek review.
    48