Contreras v. Secretary of Health and Human Services ( 2015 )


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  •        In the United States Court of Federal Claims
    OFFICE OF SPECIAL MASTERS
    *********************
    JESSIE CONTRERAS,         *                          No. 05-626V
    *
    Petitioner, *                          Special Master Christian J. Moran
    *
    v.                   *                          Filed: October 24, 2014
    *
    SECRETARY OF HEALTH       *                          hepatitis B vaccine; tetanus-
    AND HUMAN SERVICES,       *                          diphtheria vaccine; transverse myelitis
    *                          (TM); Guillain-Barré syndrome
    Respondent. *                          (GBS); one-day onset; decision on
    *                          remand; credibility of expert;
    *                          reliability of expert.
    ********************* ***
    Jeffrey S. Pop, Jeffrey S. Pop, Attorney at Law, Beverly Hills, CA, for petitioner;
    Linda S. Renzi, United States Dep’t of Justice, Washington, DC, for respondent.
    PUBLISHED DECISION ON REMAND DENYING ENTITLEMENT1
    On June 16, 2003, Mr. Contreras received the hepatitis B vaccine and the
    tetanus-diphtheria vaccine. Approximately 24 hours later, he started experiencing
    symptoms that marked the onset of a very severe neurologic disease, transverse
    myelitis. Mr. Contreras claims that the vaccinations, particularly the hepatitis B
    vaccine, caused his neurologic problems and seeks compensation through the
    National Childhood Vaccine Injury Compensation Program, codified at 42
    U.S.C. § 300aa—10 through 34 (2006).
    Judicial officials have issued four substantive rulings.2 In the most recent
    one, the Court vacated a decision denying compensation and remanded for more
    1
    The E-Government Act of 2002, Pub. L. No. 107-347, 
    116 Stat. 2899
    , 2913 (Dec. 17,
    2002), requires that the Court post this decision on its website. Pursuant to Vaccine Rule 18(b),
    the parties have 14 days to file a motion proposing redaction of medical information or other
    information described in 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-12(d)(4). Any redactions ordered by the special
    master will appear in the document posted on the website.
    specific findings of fact with respect to the experts’ credibility. This additional
    fact-finding was necessitated by the revelation that Dr. Sladky, one of the two
    experts who testified on behalf of the Secretary, misrepresented his background
    and failed to disclose problems in his medical licensing. The dimensions of Dr.
    Sladky’s misdeeds are set forth in a review of the procedural history of this case,
    which is Section I below.
    The remainder of the Decision attempts to respond to the Court’s three
    instructions. First, the Court required an “unambiguous assessment” of Dr.
    Sladky’s credibility and reliability. For the reasons discussed in Section II, Dr.
    Sladky was not credible regarding his background, but credible for his substantive
    opinions. His substantive opinions were reliable because they were based upon a
    sound methodology. Second, the Court required an evaluation of the credibility of
    all the testifying experts and a comparison among them. Section III explains that
    Dr. Sladky’s credibility was less than all but one of the other testifying doctors.
    Third, the Court directed an assessment of the issues without regard for Dr.
    Sladky’s evidence. Section IV reviews the evidence regarding diagnosis, timing,
    theory, and logical sequence of cause and effect. Excluding Dr. Sladky’s evidence
    does not change the outcome.
    Consequently, Mr. Contreras remains not entitled to compensation. The
    Clerk’s Office is directed to enter judgment in accord with the decision unless
    another motion for review is filed.
    I.     Procedural History Focused on Dr. Sladky’s Misconduct
    On June 15, 2005, Mr. Contreras filed his petition. With it, Mr. Contreras
    filed medical records and statements from three doctors who treated him, Dr. Fred
    Kyazze, Dr. Mark Wagner, and Dr. Jeremy Garrett. Exhibits 11-13. Dr. Garrett
    identified Mr. Contreras’s injury as “cervical transverse myelitis” and opined that
    the hepatitis B vaccination caused the transverse myelitis. Exhibit 13 at 4 ¶ 7, 7 ¶
    2
    An April 5, 2012 Entitlement Decision denied compensation because Mr. Contreras did
    not meet his burden of proof regarding the appropriate interval between vaccination and the
    onset of the transverse myelitis. 
    2012 WL 1441315
     (“Contreras 1”). The United States Court of
    Federal Claims (“the Court”) vacated this decision and remanded with instructions. 
    107 Fed. Cl. 280
     (2012) (“Contreras 2”). A November 19, 2013 Remand Decision again denied
    compensation. 
    2013 WL 6698382
     (“Contreras 3”). The Court also vacated the Remand
    Decision. 
    116 Fed. Cl. 472
     (2014) (“Contreras 4”).
    Citations to Contreras 3 will include both the page number to the version published on
    Westlaw and, to maintain consistency with Contreras 4, the page number of the slip opinion.
    2
    12 (“[Mr. Contreras’s] diagnosis was thus established as transverse myelitis”), 13 ¶
    17. In addition, Mr. Contreras submitted an affidavit from Dr. Charles Poser. Dr.
    Poser, unlike Dr. Garrett, stated that Mr. Contreras suffered from Guillain-Barré
    syndrome and transverse myelitis. Yet, like Dr. Garrett, Dr. Poser also proposed
    that the vaccinations caused the Guillain-Barré syndrome and transverse myelitis.
    Exhibit 22 at 3 ¶ 4-5. Dr. Poser found a causal relationship despite “[t]he very
    short latency of the neurological complications following the vaccination,” which
    Dr. Poser acknowledged was “unusual.” Id. at ¶ 5. Dr. Poser did not otherwise
    propose a mechanism by which a vaccine can cause a neurologic injury in one day.
    See exhibit 22. Dr. Poser, later, authored another affidavit, expanding upon the
    bases for his assertion that the vaccines can cause neurologic injury. Exhibit 23.
    On October 27, 2005, the Secretary filed her report, pursuant to Vaccine
    Rule 4. Before submitting Dr. Sladky’s first report, the Secretary raised the issue
    of timing. Citing a 1994 report from the Institute of Medicine (IOM), the
    Secretary asserted that “a plausible interval between vaccination and the onset of
    symptoms is 5-45 days.” Resp’t’s Rep’t, filed Oct. 7, 2005, at 9.3 The Secretary
    argued that Dr. Poser “offers no explanation as to how [Mr. Contreras’s] condition
    could plausibly evolve within [24 hours]. Even the case studies referred to by Dr.
    Poser do not describe symptoms immediately following vaccination.” Id. at 10.
    The Secretary’s report concluded by maintaining that “the temporal relation
    between vaccination and the onset of [Mr. Contreras’s] illness does not support the
    conclusion that [Mr. Contreras’s] condition was caused by the administration of
    the Hepatitis B vaccine; in fact, it supports the opposite,” and committed to submit
    an expert report. Id.
    The Secretary filed a report from Dr. Sladky dated October 21, 2005, and his
    curriculum vitae (“CV”), which were initially labelled as exhibits A and B. These
    appear in the record as exhibit I and exhibit J.
    Dr. Sladky’s CV contained an error when it was submitted. Dr. Sladky
    asserted that he was licensed to practice medicine in two states, Pennsylvania and
    Georgia. However, it is now known that Dr. Sladky’s license in Pennsylvania had
    expired in 1996, nine years earlier. The Court commented “Dr. Sladky’s CV,
    3
    The Secretary’s report contains two minor errors. First, while the Secretary recounts the
    IOM’s estimate for latency as “5-45 days,” the IOM actually states “5 days to 6 weeks.” Second,
    although the Secretary’s report accurately cites pages 37-49 of the 1994 IOM report (a more
    precise citation is to page 45 and/or 47), the Secretary did not include those pages within the
    document she actually submitted as exhibit A. She later filed pages 45-46 as exhibit F.
    3
    bearing no notation that his license in Pennsylvania had expired, misrepresented
    Dr. Sladky’s credentials. Thus, the expert report filed by Dr. Sladky in 2005 was
    supported by an inaccurate and misleading CV.” Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 477.
    Dr. Sladky’s error in presenting his qualifications appears not to have carried
    over to his report. There is no evidence or allegation that Dr. Sladky’s first report
    was erroneous in any respect. Dr. Sladky’s first report emphasized the timing was
    not appropriate for causation. He stated “the brief interval between the hepatitis B
    vaccine administration and the onset of symptoms of transverse myelitis in Jessie
    Contreras is the most compelling evidence that immunization and demyelinating
    disease, in this instance, are purely coincident.” Exhibit I at 3. He explained
    “[a]utoimmune demyelinating disorders such as transverse myelitis are caused by a
    complex cascade of immunological events ultimately acting in concert to cause
    injury to constituents of the central nervous system.” Id.4 Dr. Sladky then asserted
    “[i]t is virtually impossible to believe that the intricate process of immune
    activation, tissue targeting and ultimately immunologic attack on the nervous
    system could occur within a 24 hour interval.” Id. Dr. Sladky’s basis was the
    1994 IOM article that found that “the duration from immunization to onset of
    symptoms should fall between 5 days at a minimum and 6 weeks at maximum to
    conform to biological plausibility.” Id. He also described the basis for the 1994
    IOM findings, noting that the IOM used animal models. Id. at 4-5 (citing exhibit K
    (Divya J. Mekala et al., IL-10-dependent Infectious Tolerance After the Treatment
    of Experimental Allergic Encephalomyelitis with Redirected CD4+CD25+ T
    Lymphocytes, 102(33) PNAS 11817 (2005)); and exhibit D (E.P.K. Mensah-
    Brown et al., Neuroglial Response After Induction of Experimental Allergic
    Encephalomyelitis in Susceptible and Resistant Rat Strains, 233 Cellular
    Immunology 140 (2005))).
    Thus, in 2005, timing was an important issue. Dr. Poser flagged the issue in
    his first report, describing the latency as “unusual.” Exhibit 22 at 3 ¶ 5. The
    Secretary raised this issue in her Rule 4 Report. Resp’t’s Rep’t, filed Oct. 7, 2005,
    at 9. Separately, Dr. Sladky raised it in his October 21, 2005 report. Exhibit I.
    Significantly, both the Secretary and Dr. Sladky relied upon the 1994 IOM report.
    In the ensuing status conference, the then-presiding special master also discussed
    the 1994 IOM report as well as Dr. Sladky’s opinion. The then-presiding special
    master stated “whether there exists an adequate basis, grounded in principles of
    4
    Testimony from Dr. Steinman and Dr. Whitton elaborated on the concept of the
    “complex cascade of immunological events.” See Tr. 123-38, 237-40, 413-23, 441-43.
    4
    immunology, for the special master to find that the interval of less than 24 hours…
    medically appropriate” may be a “potentially dispositive issue.” Order, filed Nov.
    18, 2005, at 2.5
    The then-presiding special master’s response to the Secretary’s report and
    Dr. Sladky’s report was to order Mr. Contreras to file a medical opinion from an
    “immunologist or a neuroimmunologist.” Id. Mr. Contreras presented Dr.
    Steinman’s first report on March 9, 2006. Exhibit 55. Dr. Steinman compared Mr.
    Contreras’s asserted reaction to the vaccinations to a reaction to tuberculin. In Dr.
    Steinman’s view because the latter reaction can take place in 24 hours, the former
    reaction can happen in 24 hours as well. Id. at 3.
    Following the submission of Dr. Steinman’s report, the formal progression
    of Mr. Contreras’s litigation largely stalled. Instead, the parties attempted to
    resolve the dispute using alternative dispute resolution (“ADR”).
    During this interlude in the formal litigation, on August 19, 2008, Dr. Sladky
    agreed not to practice medicine in Georgia while he was treated for alcohol
    dependence. Resp’t’s Status Rep’t, filed May 1, 2013, at 4; see also Contreras 4,
    116 Fed. Cl. at 476. Dr. Sladky, apparently, did not inform the Secretary that he
    had agreed not to practice medicine because the Secretary did not disclose this
    information until 2013. At the hearing, Dr. Sladky testified that he did not work on
    Mr. Contreras’s case in 2008 or 2009. Tr. 321.
    The then-chief special master conducted an ADR session on September 3,
    2008. However, the parties did not resolve their differences. Accordingly, the
    parties resumed pursuing a formal resolution of Mr. Contreras’s petition for
    compensation. As the first step in this renewed process, the Secretary was ordered
    to file a response to Dr. Steinman’s report. Orders, filed Apr. 3, 2008, Jan. 21,
    2009, and Feb. 10, 2009. The Secretary did not rely upon Dr. Sladky, who had
    previously opined in this case. Instead, the Secretary opted to retain Dr. Whitton,
    who has extensive experience in immunology. See exhibit M (CV).
    In 2009, the parties exchanged a series of reports written by Dr. Whitton and
    Dr. Steinman. Exhibit L (Dr. Whitton’s Rep’t, filed Feb. 19, 2009); exhibit 105
    5
    While Mr. Contreras’s case was pending, the presiding special master adopted the 5-42
    day interval between the introduction of an antigen and the development of a demyelinating
    disease of the central nervous system. Fant v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 02-1419V,
    
    2007 WL 5161767
    , at *11 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Mar. 9, 2007).
    5
    (Dr. Steinman’s Supp’l Rep’t, filed June 29, 2009); exhibit N (Dr. Whitton’s
    Supp’l Rep’t, filed Sept. 8, 2009). In this back and forth, Dr. Whitton opined that
    one day was not a sufficient amount of time to cause transverse myelitis and Dr.
    Steinman maintained that it was. The Secretary’s continued use of Dr. Whitton in
    2009 led to a question about whether the Secretary was maintaining her reliance on
    Dr. Sladky.
    Meanwhile, as the parties were exchanging expert reports, there were
    additional (unknown) developments with Dr. Sladky. Less than one year after he
    voluntarily relinquished his medical license on a temporary basis, Dr. Sladky’s
    dependence on alcohol was the basis for a more serious action by the Georgia
    Composite State Board of Medical Examiners. On June 19, 2009, the Georgia
    Board suspended Dr. Sladky’s license indefinitely. Resp’t’s Status Rep’t, filed
    May 1, 2013, at 4; see also Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 476. Again, the
    Secretary’s disclosure of this suspension came in 2013, approximately four years
    after it occurred.6
    On January 8, 2010, a status conference was held. It appeared that before
    the interlude for ADR, the Secretary had been relying upon the opinion of Dr.
    Sladky to respond to Dr. Poser, but after the litigation resumed, it appeared that the
    Secretary was relying upon the opinion of Dr. Whitton as the Secretary had not
    obtained a report from Dr. Sladky in response to Dr. Steinman’s report. Thus,
    during the January 8, 2010 status conference, the parties discussed whether the
    Secretary intended to present testimony from Dr. Sladky at the forthcoming
    hearing. During this status conference, the Secretary apparently was ignorant of
    the Georgia Board’s suspension of Dr. Sladky’s license.
    In response to the order from the January 8, 2010 status conference, the
    Secretary disclosed that she intended to call Dr. Sladky at the hearing. In this
    context, the Secretary stated, “Dr. Sladky is preparing a supplemental expert report
    to address the issues raised by petitioner’s expert, Dr. Steinman. Respondent will
    file Dr. Sladky’s report, an updated curriculum vitae, and referenced medical
    articles, no later than March 8, 2010.” Resp’t’s Status Rep’t, filed Jan. 27, 2010, at
    1; accord Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 477. The Court’s recitation of this status
    report emphasized that respondent recounted Dr. Sladky “is preparing” a
    supplemental report.
    6
    The Georgia Board’s suspension was a public consent order that is, now, available
    through a website. Whether the Georgia Board made this order available to the public through
    its website in 2009 is not known.
    6
    The Court cited the phrase “is preparing” as one piece of evidence that
    showed Dr. Sladky was working on his supplemental report while his license to
    practice medicine in Georgia was suspended. Other evidence supporting the same
    proposition were “the detailed analysis of Dr. Steinman’s opinions in Dr. Sladky’s
    second expert report” and “the date marked on Dr. Sladky’s report, March 4,
    2010.” Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 477.
    On March 4, 2010, the Georgia Board issued another Public Consent Order.
    The Georgia Board restored Dr. Sladky’s medical license on a probationary basis.
    The Georgia Board conditioned Dr. Sladky’s retention of his license on several
    factors, including continued participation in support groups for alcoholics,
    supervision by another doctor, and restrictions on the number of hours and location
    of his practice. Resp’t’s Status Rep’t, filed May 1, 2013, at 4-13.
    March 4, 2010, is also the date at the top of Dr. Sladky’s supplemental
    expert report. The Secretary filed this report, which is exhibit O, on March 8,
    2010. The original submission lacked a signature. The Secretary submitted
    another copy of the report dated March 4, 2010, still labelled as exhibit O, on
    March 22, 2010. Dr. Sladky signed the second version.
    Dr. Sladky’s supplemental report, exhibit O, matched his initial report,
    exhibit I, with respect to his ultimate opinion --- that there was no evidence to
    support the conclusion that the vaccinations caused Mr. Contreras’s transverse
    myelitis. The primary basis for Dr. Sladky’s opinion --- that the timing was
    insufficient --- remained the same.
    Dr. Sladky did not reveal in his reports dated March 4, 2010, that the
    Georgia Board had suspended his license and had restored his license to a
    probationary status on the same day as he dated his report. The Court also noted
    that the supplemental report remained “supported by an inaccurate and misleading
    CV as to licensure in Pennsylvania.” Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 477. The Court
    also stated that “[t]here is no information in the record which explains why
    respondent never filed an updated CV for Dr. Sladky to accompany his second
    expert report, as promised in the January 27, 2010 status report.” Id.
    On April 20, 2010, Dr. Sladky testified at the hearing held in California.
    The Secretary asked general questions about Dr. Sladky’s background. Dr. Sladky
    stated that he was employed in the Department of Pediatric Neurology at Emory
    University. Tr. 274-75. He elaborated:
    7
    I'm senior faculty in pediatric neurology at Emory. I see
    patients. I do a little bit of research. That's become
    markedly attenuated as I get eaten by the clinical monster
    as I think the rest of us are. And I teach medical
    students, residents and fellows.
    I see patients every week, usually five half days a week,
    probably average 40-50 patients a week, and attend on
    the inpatient neurology service roughly three months a
    year, a little less. And during those periods, I have very
    hectic months very much like the one Dr. Steinman just
    survived. Congratulations, incidentally. We look at
    those as benchmarks in moving along life. Pretty
    standard, busy clinical and academic lifestyle.
    Tr. 275. Dr. Sladky also provided information about his undergraduate education
    (Yale University), his medical school (also Yale University), and fellowship
    training (University of Pennsylvania). He stated he was board-certified in
    pediatrics, neurology with a special competence in child neurology, and electro-
    diagnostic medicine. Tr. 276. When the Secretary offered Dr. Sladky as an expert
    witness in the area of pediatric neurology, the Secretary referenced Dr. Sladky’s
    CV, exhibit J, which had been filed in 2005. Tr. 278.
    The Court noted that Dr. Sladky’s description of his responsibilities
    regarding seeing 40-50 patients per week was “misleading.” The Court determined
    that in “the two-year period of time leading up to this testimony, Dr. Sladky was
    licensed to practice medicine for eight and a half of those twenty-four months, and
    more than one month of the time that he was licensed to practice medicine during
    that period was under supervised probation.” Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 479.
    When given an opportunity to ask questions about Dr. Sladky’s background
    on voir dire, petitioner’s counsel declined. Tr. 278. As the Court noted,
    [Dr. Sladky] did not state, and was not asked to state,
    whether he was licensed to practice medicine in
    Pennsylvania and Georgia. He was not asked whether
    his license to practice medicine was on probation (which
    it was at the time he testified), and he was not asked
    whether he had been subject to disciplinary proceedings
    which led to the suspension of his license.
    8
    Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 479.
    At the hearing, there was relatively little testimony from Dr. Sladky about
    the medically acceptable interval between vaccination and the onset of transverse
    myelitis. The Secretary elicited some as part of Dr. Sladky’s direct examination.
    Tr. 310.7 On cross-examination, Mr. Contreras asked Dr. Sladky about his opinion
    regarding the minimal amount of time for an immune-mediated response. Tr. 329-
    30. Otherwise, Dr. Sladky’s testimony was on other topics, including how
    Hispanics respond to vaccinations.
    Instead of using Dr. Sladky, the Secretary presented testimony from Dr.
    Whitton about the immune system and how long the immune system requires to
    generate a response that could lead to transverse myelitis. In support of his
    opinion, Dr. Whitton testified about many articles, including Lafaille, Zamvil, and
    Kakar. See Tr. 424-37, 441-43 (discussing exhibit 77 (Juan J. Lafaille, Myelin
    Basic Protein-specific T Helper 2(Th2) Cells Cause Experimental Autoimmune
    Encephalomyelitis in Immunodeficient Hosts Rather than Protect Them from the
    Disease, 186(2) J. Experimental Med. 307 (1997)); exhibit 67 (Scott Zamvil et al.,
    T-cell Clones Specific for Myelin Basic Protein Induce Chronic Relapsing
    Paralysis and Demyelination, 317 Nature 355 (1985)); exhibit 72 (Atul Kakar &
    P.K. Sethi, Guillain Barre Syndrome Associated with Hepatitis B Vaccination,
    64(5) Indian J. Pediatrics 710 (1997))). Dr. Whitton was asked follow-up
    questions about the anticipated interval. See Tr. 455-56, 462-64, 477-85.
    After the parties submitted a set of briefs, it appeared that the Odoardi article
    could potentially assist Mr. Contreras in establishing that one day was an
    appropriate interval. Exhibit 118 (F. Odoardi et al., Blood-borne soluble protein
    antigen intensifies T cell activation in autoimmune CNS lesions and exacerbates
    clinical disease, 104(47) PNAS 18625 (2007)). While both Dr. Steinman and Dr.
    Whitton had testified about Odoardi during the April 2010 hearing, their testimony
    seemed incomplete. See Tr. 175 (Dr. Steinman), 243-46 (same) 479-82 (Dr.
    Whitton). Consequently, the undersigned requested another hearing to hear
    testimony from Dr. Steinman and Dr. Whitton. Order, filed June 6, 2011; see also
    Contreras 2, 107 Fed. Cl. at 289 n.19 (the topic of the second hearing “is indicative
    of the special master’s increasing focus on Dr. Steinman’s and Dr. Whitton’s
    diverging opinions as to the science relevant to determine a medically-appropriate
    7
    Dr. Sladky also discussed the onset of Mr. Contreras’s neurologic problem, Tr. 279-81,
    but the precise number of hours between vaccination and onset has never been a material fact.
    9
    timeframe for the onset of Jessie’s illness”). Dr. Sladky did not participate in this
    hearing because his expertise was not in immunology on which timing is based.
    After this second hearing, the case was submitted for adjudication. Mr.
    Contreras was found not entitled to compensation because he had not established
    that 24 hours is an appropriate temporal interval between vaccination and the onset
    of symptoms. Contreras 1, 
    2012 WL 1441315
     (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 5,
    2012).8
    Mr. Contreras filed a motion for review, which was granted. The April 5,
    2012 entitlement decision was vacated and the case was remanded. Contreras 2,
    
    107 Fed. Cl. 280
    .
    While on remand, on May 1, 2013, the Secretary disclosed much of the
    detrimental information about Dr. Sladky to Mr. Contreras and to the Office of
    Special Masters.9 The Secretary’s citation to Shaffer Equip. Co. v. United States,
    
    11 F.3d 450
    , 458-59 (4th Cir. 1993), suggested that the Secretary understood that
    she was obligated to reveal information about her expert’s background once she
    learned of the misrepresentations. Specifically, the Secretary revealed
    Respondent has become aware that Dr. Sladky agreed not
    to practice medicine in the state of Georgia from August
    19, 2008 to March 18, 2009, and agreed to the indefinite
    suspension of his license to practice medicine on June 17,
    2009, and that on March 4, 2010, the suspension of his
    license was lifted and his license to practice restored on a
    probationary basis. The probation was terminated on
    July 5, 2011. The details of the suspensions and
    probation are set forth in the attached public orders of the
    Georgia Composite Medical Board.
    Resp’t’s Status Rep’t., filed May 1, 2013, at 1. In this status report, the Secretary
    did not reveal that Dr. Sladky’s medical license for Pennsylvania had expired in
    1996.
    8
    Section IV below discusses the reasoning in the Entitlement Decision in greater detail.
    9
    The Secretary filed substantively the same status report in every active case in which
    Dr. Sladky had submitted a report. For closed cases, the Secretary submitted a letter notifying
    the petitioner and the presiding special master of Dr. Sladky’s licensure issues.
    10
    Mr. Contreras, however, discovered the misrepresentation on Dr. Sladky’s
    2005 CV. Mr. Contreras presented evidence from the Pennsylvania Department of
    State that Dr. Sladky’s license to practice medicine in that state expired on
    December 31, 1996. Pet’r’s Status Rep’t, filed May 10, 2013, at exhibit 2. In
    response to Shaffer Equip., Mr. Contreras appeared to acknowledge that his case
    was different in the sense that there was no evidence that the Secretary or her
    attorneys actually knew of Dr. Sladky’s licensing problems. Pet’r’s Status Rep’t,
    filed May 10, 2013, at 4-5. Mr. Contreras proposed that the “Special Master
    should find that [Dr.] Sladky’s opinion and conclusion carry little, if any[,] weight,
    due to the circumstances under which he was providing testimony.” Id. at 9. Mr.
    Contreras did not propose striking Dr. Sladky’s evidence.
    The Secretary was permitted to respond to Mr. Contreras’s arguments
    regarding Dr. Sladky as part of her brief on remand. The Secretary mostly
    addressed accusations about Dr. Sladky that Mr. Contreras did not substantiate, but
    the Secretary did not address the accusation about Dr. Sladky’s Pennsylvania
    license that Mr. Contreras did substantiate. The Secretary concluded that:
    [T]he opinion[] of . . . Dr. Sladky [is] based upon sound
    scientific principles that were clearly articulated at
    hearing and supported by the medical literature.
    Respondent’s disclosure of the temporary suspension and
    later probationary status of Dr. Sladky’s license . . .
    should not be used to circumvent the fact that petitioner
    has failed to prove causation.
    Resp’t’s Resp., filed June 12, 2013, at 39.
    Mr. Contreras had the last word, repeating some of the problems with Dr.
    Sladky. Pet’r’s Reply, filed Aug. 13, 2013, at 31-34. The reply brief argued that
    Dr. Sladky’s testimony should be “scrutinized and given diminished importance.”
    Id. at 34.
    On November 19, 2013, a 76-page decision on remand denied entitlement.
    Approximately two and half pages were devoted to Dr. Sladky’s background.
    Ultimately, the remand decision concluded that “Dr. Sladky’s opinions retain some
    value.” Contreras 3, slip op. at 7, 
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *5. Dr. Sladky’s name
    appears in the remand decision in approximately 20 places, which are discussed at
    length below. The Remand Decision included a statement that the analysis
    11
    contained therein “does not rely upon Dr. Sladky’s opinion extensively.”
    Contreras 3, slip op. at 71 n.51, 
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *55 n.51.
    Mr. Contreras filed a second motion for review. In his objections, Mr.
    Contreras argued, among other things, that:
    The Special Master heavily relied on the testimony of Dr.
    Sladky, despite the fact that Dr. Sladky has been
    discredited and failed to disclose to the Court and
    Counsel that his medical license was suspended and later
    he was on probation due to alcohol abuse problems at
    times he rendered his opinions.
    Pet’r’s Second Mot. for Rev., filed Dec. 19, 2013, at 2. This objection was
    developed as the first argument in the motion for review.
    After summarizing Dr. Sladky’s faults, Mr. Contreras concluded: “Dr.
    Sladky’s lack of transparency and untruthfulness is appalling. He could not
    actually see patients if he was suspended. Dr. Sladky’s medical license suspension
    and later probation with restrictions when he testified is relevant. His incorrect
    C.V. bears on his character and critically undermines his credibility as an expert.”
    Id. at 5. Mr. Contreras’s motion for review argued that the Remand Decision’s
    statement that “Dr. Sladky’s opinions retained ‘some’ value is a misnomer.” Id.
    However, Mr. Contreras’s second motion for review did not argue for striking Dr.
    Sladky’s opinion entirely.
    In deciding the second motion for review, the Court reviewed the disclosures
    that the Secretary made regarding Dr. Sladky’s licensing in Georgia and the
    information Mr. Contreras presented regarding Dr. Sladky’s licensing in
    Pennsylvania. In addition, the Court reviewed information that Dr. Sladky had
    presented in other cases, including Roberts v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs.,
    No. 09-427V, 
    2013 WL 5314698
     (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Aug. 29, 2013), and Raymo
    v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 11-654V, 
    2014 WL 1092274
     (Fed. Cl.
    Spec. Mstr. Feb. 24, 2014). Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 480. The Court vacated
    the November 19, 2013 Remand Decision and ordered another decision that more
    explicitly discusses Dr. Sladky’s credibility and reliability. Id. at 484.
    Upon remand, the parties were again ordered to file briefs. Order, issued
    May 27, 2014. The Secretary’s brief, as discussed more thoroughly in section II.A
    below, focused more upon the reliability of Dr. Sladky’s opinions and less upon
    the credibility of Dr. Sladky. Resp’t’s Resp., filed June 23, 2014. Mr. Contreras
    12
    also filed a response. His primary argument was that “Dr. Sladky’s testimony must
    be completely disregarded.” Pet’r’s Resp., filed July 21, 2014, at 1 (capitalization
    changed without notation). This request from relief differed from the remedy
    (increased scrutiny) for which Mr. Contreras previously advocated. See Pet’r’s
    Reply, filed Aug. 13, 2013, at 34.10 Mr. Contreras argued that the result in his case
    should match the outcome in Raymo. Pet’r’s Resp., filed July 21, 2014, at 3.
    Beyond citing Raymo, Mr. Contreras did not cite other cases, not even Roberts, a
    case in which the special master considered Dr. Sladky’s evidence but found it
    unpersuasive.
    Mr. Contreras’s July 21, 2014 response additionally discussed the
    substantive issues in his case. For example, Mr. Contreras maintained that he
    suffered from both Guillain-Barré syndrome and transverse myelitis. He also
    argued that he had established that the hepatitis B vaccine caused his neurologic
    injuries. Pet’r’s Resp., filed July 21, 2014, at 6-13.
    A status conference was held on July 30, 2014. The parties indicated that
    they did not wish to submit additional information. Thus, the case is again ready
    for adjudication.
    The remainder of this decision is organized into three large sections with
    each section corresponding to a specific question the Court asked. The first section
    addresses Dr. Sladky’s credibility and reliability. This section also encompasses
    an evaluation of Mr. Contreras’s motion to strike Dr. Sladky’s evidence. The next
    section compares Dr. Sladky’s credibility to other witnesses who testified either by
    affidavit or in person. The third section assumes that Dr. Sladky’s evidence is not
    part of the case and evaluates the remaining evidence. Before the conclusion, there
    is a short section presenting “additional comments.”
    II.    Dr. Sladky’s Credibility and Reliability
    A.     Background, including Court’s Instructions and Parties’
    Arguments
    After the Secretary disclosed Dr. Sladky’s alcohol problem and consequent
    licensing problems in Georgia, Mr. Contreras discovered the additional
    10
    Mr. Contreras could justify his changed position because the Court’s June 16, 2014
    Opinion and Order revealed details about Dr. Sladky’s misrepresentations in other cases about
    which Mr. Contreras was previously uninformed.
    13
    misrepresentation on Dr. Sladky’s CV concerning the expiration of his
    Pennsylvania license. See Pet’r’s Status Rep’t, filed May 10, 2013. Mr. Contreras
    concluded his submission by arguing that his testimony should be “scrutinized and
    diminished.” Id. at 10.
    The Remand Decision stated that Dr. Sladky’s opinion retained “some
    value” (page 7) and added, in the context of the discussion regarding timing, “the
    problems in Dr. Sladky’s licensing and the non-disclosure of these problems ha[ve]
    minimal effect on this case.” Contreras 3, slip op. at 7, 71 n.51, 
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *55 n.51. The Court held that this assessment was “ambiguous.”
    Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 481.
    In directing the scope of the remand, the Court stated the special master
    “must first determine whether or not Dr. Sladky is a credible witness providing
    reliable opinions.” Id. at 483. The Court ordered the special master to “provide an
    unambiguous estimation of Dr. Sladky’s credibility and reliability as an expert.”
    Id. at 484. The Court instructed:
    A distinction should be drawn between the content of Dr.
    Sladky’s opinions, which may match the special master’s
    view of the case, and the credibility of Dr. Sladky as an
    expert who provided two expert reports and testimony in
    this case. In essence, the question of credibility focuses
    on whether Dr. Sladky was a reliable source of expert
    opinion, not whether his opinions . . . were persuasive.
    Id. at 484 n.12 (emphasis in original). Further, it appears that the Court expects
    that Dr. Sladky’s credibility will be evaluated before the substance of his opinion is
    weighed because, it appears, that if Dr. Sladky is not credible as a person, then his
    opinion would be rejected entirely.
    The Secretary’s most recent brief seems to miss this distinction between the
    credibility of a person and the reliability of the opinion a person offers. The
    Secretary asserted that “[i]n assessing the credibility of an expert witness, factors
    such as education, board certification, academic achievements, publications and
    clinical experience are relevant.” Resp’t’s Resp., filed June 23, 2014, at 4. These
    factors, in the Secretary’s view, are also relevant in determining “whether the
    expert possesses the underlying expertise to render an accurate and reliable
    opinion. . . . No matter how qualified an expert is, his opinion is only as reliable as
    the underlying scientific principles on which he relies.” Id. The Secretary’s
    14
    confusion between credibility and reliability is also evident later when the
    Secretary argued that “[i]n assessing the credibility and reliability of Dr. Sladky’s
    opinion in unambiguous terms, an emphasis should be placed on Dr. Sladky’s
    professional qualifications and experience to offer a reliable opinion.” Id. at 8.
    What is missing from the Secretary’s list of factors to consider in assessing
    a person’s credibility is, perhaps, the most basic aspect. Did the person understand
    and appreciate the oath obliging him (or her) to tell the truth? To place this factor
    in context with a factor that the Secretary cited (education), does Dr. Sladky’s
    graduation from Yale University affect his ability to speak honestly? The
    Secretary does not grapple with the tension between misleading testimony
    regarding qualifications and accurate testimony regarding other topics, such as the
    significance of medical articles. At best, the Secretary conceded that “Respondent
    does not dispute Dr. Sladky’s decision not to be forthcoming with the professional
    ramifications of his alcoholism raises legitimate concerns regarding his
    credibility.” Id. at 3. In this characterization, the Secretary skips past the Court’s
    strong admonishments.11
    In contrast, Mr. Contreras’s post-remand submission describes Dr. Sladky’s
    misrepresentations. In his post-remand view, Mr. Contreras argues that “the only
    remedy is to disregard his entire testimony.” Pet’r’s Resp., filed July 21, 2014, at 5
    (emphasis omitted). In support, Mr. Contreras cites Raymo, a case in which the
    chief special master refused to give weight to Dr. Sladky’s evidence.
    While the Secretary can be faulted for not paying sufficient attention to Dr.
    Sladky’s misconduct, Mr. Contreras goes to the other extreme. In his view, the
    “only” penalty for an expert’s misrepresentations in qualifications is disregarding
    the testimony entirely. However, this absolute consequence is not required in all
    cases. Striking testimony from an expert who misrepresented his (or her)
    background may be an appropriate penalty in some cases, but it is not the singular
    11
    The Court commented “Dr. Sladky was not candid about the events chronicled here
    with either respondent’s counsel or the court. . . . Dr. Sladky’s curriculum vitae misrepresented
    the state of his medical licensure at all times relevant to this litigation.” Contreras 4, 116 Fed.
    Cl. at 476 (emphasis in original). “Thus, the expert report filed by Dr. Sladky in 2005 was
    supported by an inaccurate and misleading CV.” Id. at 477. “Here, Dr. Sladky’s inaccurate CV
    prevented the special master and petitioner from ascertaining the true nature of Dr. Sladky’s
    medical practice and credentials at the times he opined as an expert in this case.” Id. “Dr.
    Sladky’s testimony, like his CV, failed to fully represent the existing state of his credentials and
    the existing conditions of his medical practice.” Id. at 479. Dr. Sladky’s testimony about the
    nature of his practice “is misleading.” Id.
    15
    appropriate response. For example, in a case not involving Dr. Sladky, the
    Secretary’s cross-examination revealed instances of an expert’s “resume padding,”
    yet the special master proceeded to analyze the substance of the expert’s opinion.
    Snyder v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 01-162V, 
    2009 WL 332044
    , at
    *14-15, *52 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 12, 2009), mot. for rev. denied, 
    88 Fed. Cl. 706
    , 744 n.65 (2009). In addition, as discussed by the Court, in Roberts, the
    special master did not strike Dr. Sladky’s testimony. Instead, the special master
    described Dr. Sladky’s opinion as “questionable” and found the petitioners’ experts
    more reliable and persuasive. Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 481 (citing Roberts,
    
    2013 WL 5314698
    , at *9). Mr. Contreras does not present any reasoned basis for
    preferring the outcome in Raymo, rather than the outcome in Roberts.
    B.     Standards for Adjudication
    A survey of cases from other jurisdictions suggests that admitting evidence
    relating to an expert witness’s failure to disclose problems with licensing tends to
    be a question for the trial judge to consider as a matter of discretion. See George
    L. Blum, Annotation, Propriety of questioning expert witness regarding specific
    incidents or allegations of professional conduct or professional negligence, 
    11 A.L.R. 5th 1
     (1993). For example, appellate courts have held cross-examination
    about the expert’s record before a disciplinary board to be improper. Foley v. Mad
    River Internal Med., No. 2006-311, 
    2007 WL 5313351
     (Vt. 2007) (exclusion of
    evidence sustained as within trial court’s discretion); Tormey v. Trout, 
    748 So.2d 303
     (Fla. Dist. Ct. App. 1999) (finding admission of testimony to be harmless
    error); Poole v. Univ. of Chicago, 
    542 N.E.2d 746
    , 750-51 (Ill. App. Ct. 1989)
    (ordering new trial). Similarly, a district court acts within its discretion to exclude
    testimony about misrepresentations in qualifications about a doctor in a
    malpractice trial. White v. United States, 
    148 F.3d 787
    , 791-92 (7th Cir. 1998).
    At the other end of a spectrum are cases in which courts have reasoned that
    experts who misrepresent their qualifications should not be permitted to testify at
    all. Hamilton v. Negi, No. 09-CV-0860, 
    2012 WL 1067857
     (W.D. La. Mar. 15,
    2012) (magistrate recommendation). A case that approved this result is In re
    Unisys Savings Plan Litig., 
    173 F.3d 145
     (3d Cir. 1999).
    In Unisys, the plaintiffs alleged that their employer breached its fiduciary
    duty as prescribed by the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974. The
    case was tried to the district court, not to a jury. The district court excluded the
    testimony of the plaintiff’s proposed expert for three reasons, one of which was the
    expert had testified untruthfully about his credentials during voir dire. Id. at 156.
    16
    The three-judge panel of the Third Circuit split in its review of the decision to
    exclude the plaintiff’s witness.
    The majority of the panel affirmed the district court’s decision to exclude the
    testimony as within the trial court’s discretion. The majority reasoned that the fact
    that the district court was acting as both the gatekeeper who admits expert
    testimony and the finder of fact which weighs expert testimony was significant.
    Once the district court judge found that he could not find the expert’s testimony
    credible, the judge was not required to hear “the witness’s direct examination,
    cross-examination, and rebuttal examination in an extended trial when [the judge]
    knew that he would only reject it as unbelievable.” Id. at 157.
    Chief Judge Becker dissented from the ruling regarding the admissibility of
    the expert’s testimony. Chief Judge Becker distinguished two aspects of
    reliability. In his view, the reliability of an expert’s opinion under Daubert
    concerns the expert’s methodology. “Credibility plays no appropriate part in the
    analysis of the reliability of a proposed expert’s methodology.” Unisys, 173 F.3d
    at 166 (citing Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 
    509 U.S. 579
    , 593-94
    (1993)). Because, according to the dissent, the expert’s methodology was
    otherwise appropriate, the district court should have admitted the testimony. Chief
    Judge Becker asserted “that there is a reasonable chance that, if the District Court
    had given [the expert] the opportunity to present his testimony in full, it would
    have found him to be a credible witness.” Id. at 173.
    As noted, Chief Judge Becker’s Unisys opinion was a dissent. However, in
    the next year, he wrote for a unanimous panel that reviewed a district court’s
    decision to admit expert testimony in a case tried to a jury. Elcock v. Kmart Corp.,
    
    233 F.3d 734
     (3d Cir. 2000). The Third Circuit held that the district court erred in
    admitting the expert’s testimony without conducting a Daubert hearing to address
    the reliability of the expert’s testimony because of concerns about the expert’s
    methodology. As guidance for the remand, the Third Circuit also discussed
    whether the expert’s dishonesty should affect the reliability inquiry. (The expert
    had pleaded guilty to embezzlement and knowing conversion of federal property.)
    The Third Circuit held “in reaching our conclusion about the reliability of [the
    expert’s] methods, we do not consider evidence regarding [the expert’s] credibility,
    or his alleged character for untruthfulness.” 
    Id. at 750
    . The Third Circuit declined
    to follow the outcome of Unisys because, in part, the finder of fact in Elcock was a
    jury, not a judge. 
    Id. at 751
    . The District Court retained discretion to limit the
    cross-examination about the details about the expert’s acts of dishonesty in front of
    the jury.
    17
    The approach taken in Elcock has been used frequently. In several cases, the
    trial court has permitted the expert to testify, has allowed the opposing side to
    cross-examine the expert about the professional misconduct (and the failure to
    disclose the misconduct), and expected that the finder of fact might consider the
    misconduct. See, e.g., Pikas v. Williams Companies, Inc., No. 8-CV-101, 
    2013 WL 622234
     (N.D. Okla. 2013) (despite actuary’s misrepresentation in his
    qualifications, his declarations would be considered); In re Heparin Prod. Liab.
    Litig., 
    803 F.Supp. 2d 712
    , 752 (N.D. Ohio 2011) (an expert who misrepresented
    his qualifications would not be excluded but the jury would be instructed that it
    may give his opinions greater scrutiny), aff'd sub nom. Rodrigues v. Baxter
    Healthcare Corp., 
    567 F. App'x 359
     (6th Cir. 2014); Fitzpatrick v. Teleflex, Inc.,
    
    763 F.Supp. 2d 224
    , 236 (D. Me. 2011) (finding that the proffered person remains
    an expert in accounting despite having his CPA license revoked and stating that if
    the expert “testifies the factfinders will be allowed to hear about [his] difficulties
    with the licensing authority and that in spite of his license being suspended, he
    described himself as a CPA. A factfinder might well decide to give his opinion
    little weight in light of his professional difficulties, or not”). On appeal, this
    approach has been recognized as within the trial court’s discretion. Creighton v.
    Thompson, 
    639 N.E.2d 234
    , 239-40 (Ill. App. Ct. 1994) (distinguishing Poole).
    Notably, even the majority of the Third Circuit in Unisys recognized that
    “‘appellate decisions affirming the trial court [regarding the qualifications of an
    expert witness] do not necessarily stand for the proposition that the opposite ruling
    would constitute error.’” In re Unisys, 173 F.3d at 157 n.17 (quoting Hanson v.
    Baker, 
    534 A.2d 665
    , 667 (Me. 1987)).
    Here, the Remand Decision attempted to follow the course for which Chief
    Judge Becker advocated. Because Mr. Contreras had not filed a motion to strike
    Dr. Sladky’s evidence and merely argued that this evidence receive greater
    scrutiny, an explicit assessment about the admissibility of his testimony seemed
    unnecessary. Therefore, the Remand Decision weighed the evidence coming from
    Dr. Sladky. See 42 U.S.C. § 300aa—13 (directing special master to make decision
    upon the entire record).
    After the second remand, the status of Dr. Sladky’s evidence has changed in
    two respects. First, the Court independently investigated Dr. Sladky’s disclosures
    in other Vaccine Program cases, including Crosby v. Sec'y of Health & Human
    Servs., No. 07-799V, 
    2012 WL 3758430
     (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. June 19, 2012).
    18
    Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 478.12 Second, Mr. Contreras has now argued for the
    striking of Dr. Sladky’s evidence. Pet’r’s Resp., filed July 21, 2014, at 1.
    The Court’s instructions included a direction that “the special master must
    address Dr. Sladky’s credibility and reliability in light of the consistent pattern of
    misrepresentations by Dr. Sladky in his work as an expert for respondent and
    provide an unambiguous estimation of Dr. Sladky’s credibility and reliability as an
    expert.” Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 484. The Court appears to have adopted,
    implicitly, the views of the trial court and panel-majority from Unisys --- some
    expert witnesses may be so untruthful that they cannot be trusted in any respect.
    Nonetheless, the Court recognized that the initial evaluation of the expert’s
    credibility and reliability is for the special master. Id. at 484 (citing Piscopo v.
    Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    66 Fed. Cl. 49
    , 53 (2005)).
    C.      Assessments
    The Court has ordered evaluations of two aspects of Dr. Sladky, his
    credibility and his reliability. The following sections attempts to respond to the
    Court’s instructions regarding credibility and reliability.
    1.     Credibility
    As suggested earlier, the parties’ briefs concerning the standards by which to
    evaluate an expert’s credibility were not particularly helpful. The Secretary’s brief
    tended to focus on factors that contribute to the expert’s reliability and
    persuasiveness, while ignoring the factors that concern truthfulness. Mr.
    Contreras, in turn, seemed to assume that once Dr. Sladky’s pattern of misconduct
    was revealed, the sanction of striking his testimony would follow as a matter of
    rote.
    12
    Coincidentally, one issue in Crosby resembles an issue Mr. Contreras’s case. As a
    preliminary matter, the special master determined that the vaccinee (a child) started to experience
    symptoms of transverse myelitis one day after vaccination. Crosby, 
    2012 WL 3758430
    , at *5.
    The ensuing question, which matches a question in the case at hand, was whether 24 hours was a
    sufficient amount of time for the vaccine to have caused transverse myelitis. Based upon the
    evidence presented, the special master found “that 96 hours was the minimum amount of time
    necessary for an adaptive immune response, which is the type of immune response petitioner
    alleged caused the [transverse myelitis]. This evidence was agreed to by petitioner’s own
    immunologist … [who] specifically testified that onset within 24 hours would not be an
    appropriate time frame.” 
    Id.
    19
    Neither party identified any Federal Circuit decisions addressing how a trial
    court should respond to the revelation that an expert misrepresented his
    qualifications. Independent research also has not discovered any Federal Circuit
    cases. On the topic of the credibility of expert witnesses more generally, the
    Federal Circuit has given limited, and arguably inconsistent, guidance.13 The
    Federal Circuit has explicitly recognized that a “finder of fact has to make the
    effort to decide which side has the stronger case. This can be based on the
    demeanor of the witnesses (if so, the trial judge should say) or the intellectual
    strength of the evidence based thereon.” Andrew Corp. v. Gabriel Elec., Inc., 
    847 F.2d 819
    , 824 (Fed. Cir. 1988) (quoting United States v. Gen. Motors Corp., 
    561 F.2d 923
    , 933 (D.C. Cir. 1977)).
    In a trial before the court, the right of a judge to weigh the expert’s
    credibility was implicitly recognized in Energy Capital Corp. v. United States, 
    302 F.3d 1314
     (Fed. Cir. 2002). The Federal Circuit stated: “As for the relative weight
    given to both sides’ expert witnesses, we accord the trial court broad discretion in
    determining credibility because the court saw the witnesses and heard the
    testimony.” 
    Id. at 1329
    .
    Consistent with those cases, which concerned judges as finders of fact, the
    Federal Circuit has accepted a special master’s reliance upon an expert’s
    credibility. The Federal Circuit commented:
    Summarizing his assessment of the experts’ testimony on
    the issue of causation, the special master credited Dr.
    Snyder's evidence, but found the testimony given by Dr.
    Conkling and Dr. Lewis “unpersuasive.” Those findings,
    which are at the core of the special master's decision in
    this case, are largely based on his assessments of the
    credibility of the witnesses and the relative
    13
    Some of the inconsistency may stem from imprecision in the term “credibility.” See
    Isaac v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 08-601V, 
    2012 WL 3609993
    , at *19 (Fed. Cl.
    Spec. Mstr. July 30, 2012) (stating “[w]hat is meant by credibility in the Vaccine Program is not
    coextensive with the concept of reliability as applied to fact witnesses in a conventional trial
    setting. In the Vaccine Program, the concept is closer to reliability than believability”) (footnote
    omitted), mot. for rev. denied, 
    108 Fed. Cl. 743
    , aff’d without op., 
    540 Fed. Appx. 999
     (Fed. Cir.
    2013); cf. Haebe v. Dep’t of Justice, 
    288 F.3d 1288
    , 1300 (Fed. Cir. 2002) (noting imprecision in
    the use of “deference” as it relates to “concepts of credibility and demeanor”).
    20
    persuasiveness of the competing medical theories of the
    case.
    Lampe v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 
    219 F.3d 1357
    , 1361-62 (Fed. Cir.
    2000) (affirming a judgment denying compensation because the special master’s
    determinations are “virtually unchallengeable on appeal”).
    But, the Federal Circuit’s resolution of Lampe included a dissenting opinion
    from Judge Plager. Although acknowledging that “evaluations of credibility are
    ‘virtually unreviewable,’” the dissent asserted that “credibility is not really the
    issue in this case.” 
    Id. at 1373
     (Plager, J., dissenting) (citation omitted). The
    dissent proposed that the special master’s finding that petitioner’s experts were not
    persuasive was arbitrary and capricious. 
    Id. at 1374
     (“my quarrel is with the
    special master’s evaluation of the evidence”).
    The Federal Circuit again discussed an expert’s credibility in a 2009 case
    originating in the Vaccine Program. In that case, the special master found that
    petitioners were not entitled to compensation for three reasons: “(A) conflicts
    between [the child’s] clinical presentation and Dr. Tornatore’s [(the petitioners’
    expert)] theory; (B) the weight of the medical research showing no connection
    between DPT and afebrile seizures; and (C) my assessment of witness credibility.”
    Andreu v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 98-817V, 
    2008 WL 2517179
    , at
    *5 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 29, 2008). When the case reached the Federal
    Circuit, it stated, “[t]he special master framed her rejection of [petitioners’
    expert’s] theory of causation under the rubric of a ‘credibility’ determination.”
    Andreu v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 
    569 F.3d 1367
    , 1379 (Fed. Cir 2009).
    The Federal Circuit held that this was an error because special masters may
    not disguise an “erroneous legal standard” as a “credibility determination”
    regarding an expert witness. 
    Id.
     The dissent from Lampe was the sole authority
    cited in support for the conclusion that a “trial court makes a credibility
    determination in order to assess the candor of a fact witness, not to evaluate
    whether an expert witness’ medical theory is supported by the weight of
    epidemiological evidence.” Andreu, 
    569 F.3d at 1379
    . After identifying this error,
    the Federal Circuit reviewed the evidence, found “the totality of the evidence . . .
    sufficient to meet the Vaccine Act’s preponderant evidence standard,” and ruled
    the petitioners were entitled to compensation, reversing the Court’s judgment,
    based upon the special master’s dismissal. 
    Id. at 1382
    .
    21
    The Federal Circuit’s reversal in Andreu led to a conclusion that special
    masters should not consider an expert’s credibility. See Rotoli v. Sec’y of Health
    & Human Servs., 
    89 Fed. Cl. 71
    , 80-81 (2009), rev’d on this ground sub nom.
    Porter v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 
    663 F.3d 1242
     (Fed. Cir. 2011). But,
    interpreting Andreu to mean that special masters may never consider an expert’s
    credibility was held to be too extreme. The Federal Circuit explained:
    [T]he Claims Court read Andreu to mean that it is
    inappropriate for a special master to consider a
    petitioner's expert's credibility in evaluating a petitioner's
    showing of causation in fact.
    The Claims Court's reading of Andreu is incorrect.
    Indeed, this court has unambiguously explained that
    special masters are expected to consider the credibility of
    expert witnesses in evaluating petitions for compensation
    under the Vaccine Act.
    Porter, 
    663 F.3d at 1250
    . In this context, the Federal Circuit discussed opinions
    issued after Andreu, including Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1325, and Broekelschen, 618
    F.3d at 1347. Porter, 
    663 F.3d at
    1250 (citing Andreu, 
    569 F.3d at 1379
    ; Moberly
    v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 
    592 F.3d 1315
    , 1325 (Fed. Cir. 2010); and
    Broekelschen v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 
    618 F.3d 1339
    , 1347 (Fed. Cir.
    2010)).
    Nevertheless, after Moberly and Porter, special masters rarely comment
    directly on an expert’s credibility (in the sense of truthfulness) for several reasons.
    First, special masters may be faulted, after Andreu, of using credibility to escape
    appellate review. Second, the experts usually appear to be speaking honestly.
    Although the experts have differences in opinions and reach different conclusions,
    those disagreements frequently appear to be caused by differences in backgrounds
    and philosophies. In these circumstances, there is little to be gained by stating that
    each expert testified truthfully. Third, special masters generally respect the experts
    and appreciate their willingness to participate in the Vaccine Program. This
    gratitude typically extends even to those experts whom special masters do not find
    persuasive. Thus, special masters are often reluctant to criticize an expert on a
    personal level, such as by saying the expert appeared to be lying or misleading.
    But, when the special master needs to tell it like it is, the special master will
    describe instances of dishonest conduct. See King v. Sec'y of Health & Human
    Servs., 03-584V, 
    2011 WL 5926126
    , at *12 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Sept. 22, 2011)
    22
    (citing cases involving Dr. Mark Geier); Baker v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs.,
    No. 99-653V, 
    2003 WL 22416622
    , at *33-36 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Sept. 26, 2003)
    (Dr. John Barthelow Classen), mot. for rev. denied, 
    61 Fed. Cl. 669
     (2004), appeal
    dismissed, 
    112 Fed. Appx. 35
     (Fed. Cir. 2004); Mahaffey v. Sec'y of Health &
    Human Servs., No. 01-392V, 
    2003 WL 22424989
    , at *12 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr.
    May 30, 2003), aff’d on other grounds, 
    368 F.3d 1378
     (Fed. Cir. 2004).
    The revelation that Dr. Sladky was not forthright in disclosing his Georgia
    licensing problems places Mr. Contreras’s case among the minority of cases in
    which the expert’s credibility (again, in the sense of truthfulness) is a factor. A list
    of factors to consider in evaluating whether a person speaks credibly (or honestly)
    is based upon jury instructions. These factors include: “(1) the witness’s
    demeanor; (2) the witness’s motives, biases, interests, and prejudices; (3) whether
    the witness is contradicted by prior inconsistent statements or by other evidence;
    (4) the reasonableness of the witness’s testimony, in light of other evidence; and
    (5) any other factors that bear on believability.” Hennessey v. Sec'y of Health &
    Human Servs., No. 01-190V, 
    2009 WL 1709053
    , at *43 n.136 (Fed. Cl. Spec.
    Mstr. May 29, 2009), mot. for rev. denied, 
    91 Fed. Cl. 126
     (2010). This list of
    factors to consider in evaluating the credibility of an expert witness from
    Hennessey is very similar to the Merit System Protection Board’s list of factors to
    consider in evaluating the credibility of a percipient witness. The MSPB’s factors
    are
    (1) The witness's opportunity and capacity to observe the
    event or act in question; (2) the witness's character; (3)
    any prior inconsistent statement by the witness; (4) a
    witness’s bias, or lack of bias; (5) the contradiction of the
    witness’s version of events by other evidence or its
    consistency with other evidence; (6) the inherent
    improbability of the witness’s version of events; and (7)
    the witness’s demeanor.
    Hillen v. Dep’t of the Army, 
    35 M.S.P.R. 453
    , 458 (1987), quoted in Haebe, 
    288 F.3d at
    1301 n.30. By these standards, Dr. Sladky was credible at times and not
    credible at other times.14
    14
    To be more precise, “credibility” in this context is roughly synonymous with honesty.
    “Credibility” also has a measure of accuracy, attention to detail, forthrightness, and impartiality.
    23
    The evidence has revealed four instances where Dr. Sladky was not truthful
    and all relate to his background. Presented in chronological order, beginning with
    the earliest, these events occurred as follows. First, Dr. Sladky did not change his
    CV to note that his license to practice medicine in Pennsylvania had expired
    although Dr. Sladky changed his CV in other respects. Second, Dr. Sladky’s
    alcoholism led to issues at the Georgia State Medical Board.15 Third, Dr. Sladky
    failed to disclose the loss and restriction of his license. Fourth, Dr. Sladky testified
    misleadingly about the nature of his practice.
    This list also roughly corresponds to the degree of severity. Dr. Sladky’s
    alcoholism does not, by itself, reduce Dr. Sladky’s credibility. The issues that
    underlie Dr. Sladky’s alcoholism are not necessarily the same as an inability or an
    unwillingness to speak truthfully. See Settle v. Basinger, No. 11CV1342, 
    2013 COA 18
    , ¶ 81-86, 
    2013 WL 781110
    , at *11-12 (Colo. App. Feb. 28, 2013), cert.
    denied, 
    2013 WL 6804561
     (Colo. 2013); State v. Porter, 
    738 A.2d 1271
    , 1274
    (N.H. 1999). The problem, however, is that Dr. Sladky did not disclose how his
    alcoholism affected his medical license.
    The lack of disclosure (the third event) more significantly reduces Dr.
    Sladky’s credibility than the mistake in Dr. Sladky’s CV (the first event). Dr.
    Sladky should have indicated that his license to practice medicine in Pennsylvania
    expired. His failure to show the correct status of his license was an error. But, the
    error still appears to be an oversight, not an intentional effort to mislead the parties,
    the undersigned, or the Court. The basis for this conclusion is that Dr. Sladky
    would be unlikely to believe that the Secretary or he would gain any advantage in
    litigation because he was licensed to practice medicine in two states (Pennsylvania
    and Georgia), rather than one state (Georgia). The Court found that Dr. Sladky did
    not correct the status of his Pennsylvania license in his CV submitted in other
    cases, despite updates in other respects. Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 478. This is
    true. Nevertheless, this pattern does not show an intent to deceive. The pattern is
    consistent with an oversight that remains unnoticed (and, therefore, uncorrected).16
    If Dr. Sladky’s only fault were a misstatement about his licensure status in one
    jurisdiction, he would be found credible to testify.
    15
    A sequence of events took place before the Georgia Board: a voluntary relinquishment
    of Dr. Sladky’s license for a time, a suspension of his license, and the restoration of the license
    with conditions. All these problems seem to flow from his alcoholism.
    16
    If an error in an expert’s CV were called to the expert’s attention and the expert did not
    correct the error, the inference of intent to deceive could be found more readily.
    24
    However, as discussed at length, Dr. Sladky’s mistakes did not end with the
    expired Pennsylvania license. He also failed to disclose that his Georgia license
    was voluntarily relinquished, suspended, and restored on a probationary basis.
    District courts, usually in the context of cases being tried to a jury, have not always
    excluded the expert’s testimony due to misrepresentations in the proposed expert’s
    qualifications. Instead, the district court has admitted the testimony, allowed
    cross-examination, and left the finder of fact to weigh the expert’s testimony.
    White, 
    148 F.3d at 791-92
     (finding doctor’s credibility was a collateral issue);
    Fitzpatrick, 
    763 F.Supp. 2d at 236
     (finding expert remained qualified due to
    experience); Pikas, 
    2013 WL 622234
    , at *2 (court considered declaration of
    actuary when it ruled on damages issues).
    Unlike the situation regarding the Pennsylvania license, Dr. Sladky’s lack of
    disclosure for Georgia problems appears to be intentional. Dr. Sladky could easily
    have understood that a doctor’s experience in treating patients may affect how a
    special master evaluates testimony from that doctor. For example, a neurologist
    with 15 years of experience may be more readily accepted than a neurologist with
    only 5 years of experience. In not being forthcoming about his licensing issues in
    Georgia, Dr. Sladky was implicitly representing himself as a doctor with
    experience in neurology since at least 1983, when he received his board
    certification. See exhibit J (CV) at 3. However, as the Court calculated, he could
    not practice medicine for 15 and a half months. Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 479.
    Thus, he did not really have the experience he claimed.
    In addition, the loss of his license leads to questions about why it was lost.
    If the Georgia State Medical Board suspended Dr. Sladky’s license due to errors in
    treating patients, then this disciplinary action would undermine Dr. Sladky’s
    medical knowledge. It is relatively easy to find that Dr. Sladky feared answering
    questions about why he lost his license and his fear motivated him to do what he
    could to avoid answering those questions. What Dr. Sladky did to protect himself
    was to remain silent. This was an error on Dr. Sladky’s part and this error appears
    to be intentional.
    The final factor weighing against Dr. Sladky’s credibility was his testimony
    regarding his practice. He, again, did not disclose his Georgia licensure problems.
    The Court found “Dr. Sladky’s testimony was misleading as to his experience and
    qualifications to testify as an expert.” Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 479.
    On the basis of these four factors, the chief special master in Raymo found
    that Dr. Sladky “demonstrated a lack of candor that, although not related directly to
    25
    the substance of [his] causation opinions, reflect[s] [a] willingness to, at the very
    least, shade the truth.” Raymo, 
    2014 WL 1092274
    , at *16. Thus, the chief special
    master in Raymo found that Dr. Sladky’s testimony should not be credited in any
    respect and did not further analyze the substance of his testimony.
    Given that Dr. Sladky testified in Mr. Contreras’s case, it is appropriate to
    review the remainder of his testimony to look for places when he could be viewed,
    in the words of the chief special master in Raymo, as shading the truth. See In re
    Unisys, 173 F.3d at 173 (Becker, C.J., dissenting) (“there is a reasonable chance
    that, if the District Court had given [the expert] the opportunity to present his
    testimony in full, it would have found him to be a credible witness”). The
    remainder of Dr. Sladky’s testimony should be considered in evaluating his
    credibility because special masters should consider the entire record in making a
    decision. 42 U.S.C. § 300aa—13.
    Does Dr. Sladky’s substantive testimony demonstrate other examples of
    presenting something other than the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the
    truth? Apart from the aspect of his testimony concerning his personal
    qualifications, Dr. Sladky appeared accurate, honest, and forthcoming. Dr. Sladky
    was accurate, for instance, in 2005, when he cited the 1994 IOM report for the
    proposition this group of scientists found that the minimum amount of time for an
    immune-mediated response is 5 days. Exhibit I at 3. The IOM actually does assert
    “a conservative estimate of the limits of the latencies for both GBS and ADEM is
    conserved to be from 5 days to 6 weeks.” Exhibit F at 45. Dr. Sladky’s reliance
    on the 1994 IOM report does not appear to constitute an attempt to mislead the
    special master or to shade the truth.
    Moreover, Dr. Sladky was forthcoming in his substantive opinion. He was
    not adverse to everything Mr. Contreras asserted. For example, Dr. Sladky
    conceded that he did not identify any factor that could have caused Mr. Contreras’s
    transverse myelitis. Tr. 299, 351. Dr. Sladky maintained that Mr. Contreras’s
    previous exposure to the Epstein Barr virus did not make Mr. Contreras vulnerable
    to developing transverse myelitis. Tr. 301. These opinions helped Mr. Contreras
    because they negated the possibility of the Secretary mounting a defense based
    upon a factor unrelated to a vaccine caused the transverse myelitis.
    More significantly, Dr. Sladky assisted Mr. Contreras regarding Mr.
    Contreras’s attempt to establish the first prong of Althen. Althen v. Sec'y of
    Health & Human Servs., 
    418 F.3d 1274
    , 1278 (Fed. Cir. 2005). In the context of
    considering whether a medical theory supported the claim that the hepatitis B
    26
    vaccine can cause transverse myelitis, Dr. Sladky was asked about the factors from
    Daubert. Dr. Sladky stated that he believed that a majority of neurologists would
    accept that vaccines can cause transverse myelitis. Tr. 386. The Remand Decision
    discussed this concession. Contreras 3, slip op. at 46, 
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *36.
    For purposes of assessing Dr. Sladky’s credibility or his willingness to shade
    the truth, it is important to recognize that Dr. Sladky was not compelled to opine
    that the theory that vaccines can cause transverse myelitis is generally accepted.
    He could have asserted that very few neurologists accepted this theory because
    there was no way to verify Dr. Sladky’s assertion. This example demonstrates that
    Dr. Sladky was willing to be honest about information that was detrimental to the
    Secretary’s position on one occasion. Cf. Tr. 395 (Dr. Sladky testified that he
    recommended that the Secretary compensate a petitioner in a case 12-13 years
    earlier).
    For his substantive opinions, Dr. Sladky appeared credible. When asked on
    cross-examination whether he tried to be “fair and straightforward with the Court
    on what [he] saw and what [his] opinions are,” Dr. Sladky responded affirmatively.
    Tr. 328. Notably, the Secretary queried whether Dr. Sladky interpreted a peer-
    review article incorrectly. Resp’t’s Resp., filed June 23, 2014, at 8. Yet, given this
    challenge, Mr. Contreras did not propose that Dr. Sladky misinterpreted an article.
    Mr. Contreras did not identify any instances in which Dr. Sladky arguably
    presented a shaded opinion in substance. See Pet’r’s Resp., filed July 21, 2014; at
    1-5.
    On the whole, Dr. Sladky’s candor on substantive matters offsets his lack of
    disclosures regarding personal matters. Dr. Sladky is sufficiently credible that his
    testimony should be evaluated for its reliability.
    2.     Reliability17
    Within the Vaccine Program, the reliability of an expert’s opinion is often
    analyzed using the Daubert factors. See Caves v. Sec’y of Health & Human
    Servs., 
    100 Fed. Cl. 119
    , 133 (2011), aff’d per curiam, 
    463 Fed. Appx. 932
     (Fed.
    Cir. 2012). This evaluation is usually for petitioner’s expert because the petitioner
    usually bears the burden of demonstrating the reliability of the opinion. The
    Daubert factors include:
    17
    The reliability of Dr. Sladky’s opinion does not take into account the lack of
    disclosures that diminish his credibility.
    27
    (1) whether a theory or technique can be (and has been)
    tested; (2) whether the theory or technique has been
    subjected to peer review and publication; (3) whether
    there is a known or potential rate of error and whether
    there are standards for controlling the error; and, (4)
    whether the theory or technique enjoys general
    acceptance within a relevant scientific community.
    Daubert, 
    509 U.S. at 592-95
    . Assessing the reliability of the expert’s opinion
    usually includes considering the expert’s methodology. Gen. Elec. Co. v. Joiner,
    
    522 U.S. 136
    , 146 (1998) (citing Daubert, 
    509 U.S. at 595
    ).
    The Remand Decision analyzed all the evidence regarding the theory that the
    hepatitis B vaccine can cause transverse myelitis via molecular mimicry.
    Contreras 3, slip op. at 43-48, 
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *34-38. However,
    Contreras 3 did not separately evaluate Dr. Sladky’s opinion. Because the Court
    has required an appraisal of Dr. Sladky’s “reliability,” this task is undertaken now
    with respect to Dr. Sladky’s opinions regarding diagnosis, timing, and causation.
    See Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 484.
    a)    Diagnosis
    From October 2005 through the April 20, 2010 hearing, Dr. Sladky opined
    that Mr. Contreras suffered from transverse myelitis and only transverse myelitis.
    The aspect of Dr. Sladky’s opinion that Mr. Contreras suffered from transverse
    myelitis was not contested. The second MRI showed a lesion in Mr. Contreras’s
    spinal cord, indicating inflammation in his spinal cord. Exhibit 7 at 177, 1723.
    The consensus among the experts about transverse myelitis establishes the
    reliability of Dr. Sladky’s opinion for transverse myelitis.
    The aspect of Dr. Sladky’s opinion that Mr. Contreras suffered from only
    transverse myelitis (and not Guillain-Barré syndrome) is disputed. During this
    litigation, Dr. Steinman and Dr. Poser revived Guillain-Barré syndrome. However,
    a mere disagreement among experts does not necessarily make one expert’s
    opinion unreliable. The opinion could be reliable but not persuasive.
    Here, Dr. Sladky followed an appropriate methodology in ruling out
    Guillain-Barré syndrome as a diagnosis for Mr. Contreras. See Tr. 281-93. Mr.
    Contreras did not present any persuasive evidence that Dr. Sladky deviated from
    general medical practice by, for instance, using an outdated set of diagnostic
    28
    criteria or ignoring test results.18 Dr. Sladky’s opinion regarding diagnosis is
    reliable.
    b)     Timing
    The next opinion from Dr. Sladky is an assertion that one day is not a
    sufficient amount of time for a vaccine to cause a demyelinating disease. Dr.
    Sladky expressed this opinion in his October 21, 2005 report (exhibit J at 4-5), in
    his March 4, 2010 supplemental report (exhibit O at 2), and in his testimony on
    cross-examination (Tr. 329).19
    A substantial amount of evidence supports the reliability of Dr. Sladky’s
    opinion. The most important article is the 1994 report from the Institute of
    Medicine (IOM). Exhibits A, F, and V. Cases from the Vaccine Program have
    cited the 1994 IOM report because of the expertise of the contributors to the IOM
    report and Congress directed the IOM to research the safety of vaccines as part of
    the Vaccine Program. See Kelley v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 
    68 Fed. Cl. 84
    , 91 n.11 (2005); Kuperus v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 01-60V, 
    2003 WL 22912885
    , at *10 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Oct. 23, 2003); White v. Sec'y of
    Health & Human Servs., No. 98-426V, 
    2002 WL 1488764
    , at *6, *11 (Fed. Cl.
    Spec. Mstr. May 10, 2002) (setting forth petitioner’s arguments and accepting
    petitioner’s argument regarding timing); Exhibit C (Institute of Medicine,
    Immunization Safety Review: Hepatitis B Vaccine and Demyelinating
    Neurological Disorders (Kathleen Stratton et al., eds. 2002)) at 2 (discussing
    congressional mandate for vaccine safety research).20
    18
    Dr. Sladky appears to have weighed results of some tests particularly the Babinski
    reflex differently than Dr. Steinman. But, assigning different weights to a test is not the same as
    ignoring the test.
    19
    The Secretary, on direct examination, elicited a small amount of testimony from Dr.
    Sladky about the timing between vaccination and onset. Tr. 279-81, 310 (discussing rodent
    studies).
    20
    For examples of appellate authorities endorsing a special master’s reliance on reports
    from the IOM other than the 1994 report, see Porter, 
    663 F.3d at 1252-54
     (2002 report); Cucuras
    v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 
    993 F.2d 1525
    , 1529 (Fed. Cir. 1993) (1991 report); Isaac v.
    Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 
    108 Fed. Cl. 743
    , 768-74 (2013), aff’d, 
    540 Fed. Appx. 999
    (Fed. Cir. 2013) (2011 pre-publication report); Terran v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 
    41 Fed. Cl. 330
    , 337 (1998) (1991 report and different 1994 report), aff’d, 
    195 F.3d 1302
    , 1317
    (Fed. Cir. 1999).
    29
    The 1994 IOM report stated that an immune-mediated response leading to a
    demyelinating disease would take “5 days to 6 weeks.” Exhibit F at 45. The
    Secretary cited the 1994 IOM report in her October 7, 2005 Rule 4 Report and Dr.
    Sladky also cited it in his October 21, 2005 report. Exhibit J at 3.
    Given the pedigree of the IOM report, Dr. Sladky’s reliance on it means that
    his opinion easily surpasses the minimum standards for reliability. A methodology
    of relying upon the work from a set of extremely well-qualified experts is sound.
    Mr. Contreras has not called into question the findings of the 1994 IOM panel by
    challenging their credibility or expertise.21
    Other articles, although less prestigious than an IOM report, further buttress
    the reliability of Dr. Sladky’s opinion regarding latency. Two articles collected
    case reports of patients who developed neurological problems after vaccination.
    One stated “[a]cute transverse myelitis . . . begins three to 14 days after an
    antecedent immunization.” Exhibit 29 (L. Reik, Jr., Neurological complications of
    immunization, 2 Neurology Infections & Epidemiology 69, 75 (1997)) at 7. In the
    other case series, the minimum amount of time between vaccination and the onset
    of neurologic symptoms was four days. Exhibit 34 (A. Tourbah et al., Encephalitis
    after hepatitis B vaccination: Recurrent disseminated encephalitis or MS?, 53
    Neurology 396 (1999)).
    For his opinion regarding timing, Dr. Sladky easily meets the Daubert
    criteria for peer review and general acceptance. Thus, his opinion is reliable.
    c)     Causation
    A third opinion offered by Dr. Sladky was that the evidence did not support
    a finding that the hepatitis B vaccine can cause transverse myelitis. One reason
    was that the epidemiological studies, such as Touze, that investigated a possible
    connection between the hepatitis B vaccine and demyelinating diseases and found
    none. See exhibit I at 4 (citing exhibit E (E. Merelli & F. Casoni, Prognostic
    factors in multiple sclerosis: role of intercurrent infections and vaccinations against
    influenza and hepatitis B, 21 Neurological Science S853 (2000)); exhibit G
    (Emmanuel Touze et al., Hepatitis B Vaccination and First Central Nervous
    21
    In the context of cross-examining Dr. Whitton, who relied upon yet another IOM
    report, Mr. Contreras suggested that the IOM required scientific certainty. Tr. 464-66.
    However, Dr. Whitton understood that the standard for proof in the Vaccine Program is more
    likely than not. Tr. 500.
    30
    System Demyelinating Event: A Case-Control Study, 21 Neuroepidemiology 180
    (2002)); and exhibit H (Frauke Zipp et al., No increase in demyelinating diseases
    after hepatitis B vaccination, 5(9) Nature Medicine 964 (1999)). In emphasizing
    the results of epidemiologic studies, Dr. Sladky downplayed the significance of
    case reports. Tr. 295-97.
    This methodology is reliable, both from a medical perspective and a legal
    perspective. As discussed in the Remand Decision, Dr. Chen from the Centers of
    Disease Control stated “[i]n the hierarchy of weight of scientific evidence, data
    from well-designed randomized clinical trials clearly outweighs that from well-
    controlled observational studies, which in turn, is hierarchically better than
    uncontrolled observational studies, case series, and then finally, case reports.”
    Exhibit 15 (Robert T. Chen et al., Epidemiology of Autoimmune Reactions
    Induced by Vaccination, 16 Journal of Autoimmunity 309, 312 (2001)) at 4.
    Similarly, the 2002 IOM panel placed little weight on case reports, commenting
    “[c]ase reports are useful for describing the domain of concerns, but the data are
    usually uncorroborated clinical descriptions that are insufficient to permit
    meaningful comment or to contribute to a causality argument.” Exhibit C (2002
    IOM) at 39. In addition, the Federal Judicial Center has published guidance to
    judges, indicating that case reports are usually not sufficient to show causation.
    David H. Kaye & David A. Freedman, Reference Guide on Statistics, in Reference
    Manual on Scientific Evidence 211, 218 (Federal Judicial Center, 3d ed. 2011).
    Thus, Dr. Sladky, in reaching his conclusion that the evidence does not show that
    hepatitis B vaccine causes demyelinating diseases, followed an appropriate
    methodology.22
    Overall
    Dr. Sladky satisfies the minimal standard for credibility. Dr. Sladky also
    offered opinions based upon reliable methodologies. His opinions, therefore,
    remain in the record and, to the extent that Mr. Contreras has argued that his
    testimony should be stricken, Mr. Contreras’s request is denied.
    22
    Dr. Sladky’s methodology is appropriate for a doctor. The standards for this profession
    differ from the standards special masters use in adjudicating claims. In the Vaccine Program, a
    petitioner is not required to submit epidemiological studies, but when those studies are
    submitted, the special master may consider them. Andreu, 
    569 F.3d at 1379
    .
    31
    III.   Comparisons
    The Court directed a second determination: “the special master must
    compare Dr. Sladky’s credibility to the credibility of the experts for the petitioner
    and the witnesses testifying for petitioner.” Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 484. The
    standards for reviewing an expert’s credibility were set forth in the preceding
    section. See section II.B. The relevant factors include the testifying witness’s
    demeanor. See Bailey v. United States, 
    54 Fed. Cl. 459
    , 461-63 (2002) (citing
    cases), aff’d, 
    94 Fed. Appx. 828
     (Fed. Cir. 2004). In accord with the Court’s
    instructions, the following is an assessment of credibility listed from the least
    credible to the most credible.
    Dr. Wagner: Dr. Wagner’s background indicates that he is knowledgeable
    about emergency room medicine and the records created on June 17, 2003, show
    that he used his skills to stabilize Mr. Contreras. Exhibit 13 (CV) at 13-19; exhibit
    6 (medical records). His testimony about how he cared for Mr. Contreras largely
    tracked the records from that time. Tr. 67-90. His testimony about Mr.
    Contreras’s signs and symptoms and Dr. Wagner’s response to those signs and
    symptoms was believable. There is no doubt that Dr. Wagner sincerely thought
    that transverse myelitis, Guillain-Barré syndrome, and other diseases were
    potentially affecting Mr. Contreras.
    Dr. Wagner’s differential diagnosis, although honest, is not worth as much
    as the more definitive conclusion reached by Mr. Contreras’s treating neurologist,
    Dr. Lake, that Mr. Contreras suffered from transverse myelitis and not Guillain-
    Barré syndrome. Dr. Wagner’s opinion regarding diagnosis is discounted for two
    reasons, neither of which implicates his credibility. First, Dr. Wagner saw Mr.
    Contreras for approximately five hours. Tr. 91; see exhibit 6 at 9 (showing
    examination time as 12:20); Tr. 67 (same); exhibit 6 at 5 (showing discharge time
    as 4:59 P.M.). During this five-hour period, Mr. Contreras underwent one MRI.
    However, after Mr. Contreras left Dr. Wagner’s hospital for a facility that provided
    a higher level of care, Mr. Contreras had another MRI. See Tr. 89. This second
    MRI, which Dr. Wagner never reviewed, was the basis for Dr. Lake’s conclusion
    that Mr. Contreras suffered from transverse myelitis. See Tr. 84 (Dr. Wagner
    acknowledging that an early MRI may not show transverse myelitis). The second
    reason for crediting Dr. Lake’s opinion over Dr. Wagner’s opinion is that Dr. Lake
    is a neurologist. She specializes in diseases that affect the nervous system, such as
    transverse myelitis and Guillain-Barré syndrome. Thus, she had better information
    about Mr. Contreras and is better qualified to interpret that information.
    32
    Although Dr. Wagner was credible but not persuasive in opining about Mr.
    Contreras’s diagnosis, his opinion regarding etiology was much less credible. Dr.
    Wagner is not a specialist is immunology or neurology, the two specialties most
    relevant to Mr. Contreras’s claim. Tr. 90. In addition, Dr. Wagner displayed a
    prejudice in favoring a claim that vaccines can cause harm. Dr. Wagner appeared
    angry that a vaccine, given to him in the 1970’s, harmed him. Tr. 93.
    In addition, as noted in the Entitlement Decision, Dr. Wagner informed his
    opinion that the hepatitis B vaccine harmed Mr. Contreras based on a review of
    only the reports of Drs. Garrett and Steinman, and not those of Drs. Sladky or
    Whitton. Contreras 1, 
    2012 WL 1441315
    , at * 22 (citing Tr. 97-98). This
    selective review suggests that Dr. Wagner formed an opinion about causation and
    then looked for support for that opinion. He did not consider an opposing
    viewpoint. This lack of neutrality made Dr. Wagner appear to be more of an
    advocate than an expert who sees his role as being one to help the finder of fact
    make informed decisions. Special masters have given biased testimony from
    experts less weight. Brousard-Pacot v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No.
    09-107V, 
    2012 WL 5357478
    , at *13 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Sept. 4, 2012) (rejecting
    testimony of expert who “reasoned backwards”); Isaac, 
    2012 WL 3609993
    , at *23
    n.37 (“[t]o the extent that [petitioner’s expert’s] opinion appears to be that of a
    partisan rather than an objective expert, his opinion carries less weight”); Hopkins
    v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 00-746V, 
    2007 WL 5403504
    , at *6 (Fed.
    Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 14, 2007) (citing position statement of American Academy of
    Emergency Medicine that a member must “impartially assist the Court”), mot. for
    rev. denied, 
    84 Fed. Cl. 517
     (2008).
    This bias about the issues in Mr. Contreras’s case makes Dr. Wagner a
    witness with less credibility than Dr. Sladky. Although Dr. Sladky was misleading
    about his background, Dr. Sladky testified accurately about the issues in Mr.
    Contreras’s case. Accurate testimony about the issues in the case is more
    important to me than accurate testimony about a person’s background. Although
    other finders of fact could reasonably weigh these factors differently, my sense is
    that Dr. Wagner is less credible than Dr. Sladky.
    Dr. Sladky: The next witness in terms of credibility is Dr. Sladky. He was
    deceptive with respect to his background but forthright on issues involving Mr.
    Contreras.
    33
    Dr. Steinman: Dr. Steinman’s credibility has not been called into question
    in the way that Dr. Sladky’s credibility has been diminished. There has been no
    argument that he was deceptive or misleading about his background.
    Nonetheless, there are concerns about his credibility. Dr. Steinman’s
    demeanor suggests that he saw his role as advocate for the party retaining him and
    he, at times, used language to elicit an emotional response to favor Mr. Contreras.
    Tr. 116, 155, 221 (“I’m trying to argue as strongly as I can”), 256, 262 (“I choose
    to look at that part of the story to strengthen the case here for the Petitioner”), 535.
    His interpretation of some articles seemed far-fetched and evidenced a willingness
    to stretch to find some material to support his position.23 See Tr. 218-22. He was
    not always precise in recounting what an experiment showed. See Tr. 243-49
    (discussing exhibit 118 (Odoardi)).
    Dr. Steinman also was inconsistent at times. Within Mr. Contreras’s case,
    Dr. Steinman’s opinion about race and ethnicity seemed to fluctuate, depending
    upon whether the result helped or hurt Mr. Contreras. Dr. Steinman argued that
    epidemiological studies like Zipp (exhibit H) and Touze (exhibit G), which made a
    causal connection between vaccinations and neurologic disease less likely, could
    not be applied to Mr. Contreras because of his Hispanic ancestry. Tr. 192. Yet,
    Dr. Steinman drew upon case reports of injuries occurring after vaccination in non-
    Hispanic people as well as the Bogdanos study (exhibit 61) that also did not
    involve Hispanics. Tr. 193-95, 256 (discussing Dimitrios-Petrou Bogdanos et al.,
    A study of molecular mimicry and immunological cross-reactivity between
    hepatitis B surface antigen and myelin mimics, 12(3) Clinical & Developmental
    Immunology 217 (2005). This inconsistent treatment diminishes Dr. Steinman’s
    credibility to some degree.24
    23
    Another special master made a similar appraisal of Dr. Steinman’s approach to
    litigation. See Mueller v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 06-775V, 
    2011 WL 1467938
    , at
    *19 n.19 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Mar. 16, 2011) (“advocating a position is not credible”).
    24
    While the example of racial background occurred solely within Mr. Contreras’s case,
    Dr. Steinman appears to have offered an opinion in Mr. Contreras’s case that is inconsistent with
    opinions Dr. Steinman offered in other cases. Whether evidence from other cases may be a
    factor in determining an expert’s credibility is unclear. The Court stated that “a special master
    should not base his findings on causation-in-fact in one case on other Vaccine Act cases.”
    Contreras 2, 107 Fed. Cl. at 308. The Court also considered Dr. Sladky’s CV in Crosby.
    Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 478.
    (continued…)
    34
    Dr. Poser: Dr. Poser submitted two affidavits and did not testify in person.
    Thus, there was no opportunity to assess his demeanor.
    There is no evidence to suggest that Dr. Poser was deceptive about his
    background or made assertions in his affidavits that he knew were untruthful. In
    that sense, Dr. Poser was credible.
    On the other hand, Dr. Poser’s affidavits present generalities. For example,
    although Dr. Poser recognized that the minimum time for an immune-mediated
    reaction is usually five days, Dr. Poser also asserted that there would always be
    people who react differently from the masses. Exhibit 23 at 3-4, ¶ 6. Dr. Poser did
    not explain why an “outlier” could react in only one day. The lack of explicit
    reasoning from Dr. Poser calls into question the reliability of his assertion. This
    determination probably is better characterized as a lack of persuasiveness (as
    opposed to a lack of credibility).
    Dr. Garrett: Dr. Garrett, like Dr. Poser, testified by affidavit. Since he did
    not appear in person, there was no opportunity to observe his demeanor.
    Dr. Garrett appeared credible in his role as a treating doctor. When caring
    for Mr. Contreras, he deferred to Dr. Lake’s opinion on diagnosis. Exhibit 7 at
    136. He also refrained from speculating about the cause of Mr. Contreras’s
    transverse myelitis when counseling Mr. Contreras’s parents. Id. at 147.
    If outside evidence were an appropriate source for finding inconsistent opinions, then
    there would be more examples of Dr. Steinman’s inconsistency. Cf. Holmes v. Sec'y of Health
    & Human Servs., 
    115 Fed. Cl. 469
    , 490-91 (2014) (suggesting, but not deciding, that a special
    master may consider other cases’ determination of an expert’s reputation and credibility). In
    other cases, Dr. Steinman has asserted that the time for a vaccine to cause an injury via
    molecular mimicry is several days. Dillon v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 10-850V,
    
    2013 WL 3745900
    , at *9 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. June 25, 2013) (Dr. Steinman “observed that the
    medically accepted time frame for the onset of a post-vaccinal transverse myelitis would be a
    few weeks”); Brown v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 09-426V, 
    2011 WL 5029865
    , at
    *21 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Sept. 30, 2011) (“Dr. Steinman accepts a causal interval of a week or
    two up to 10 weeks”); Ricci v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 99-524V, 
    2011 WL 2260391
    , at *12 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 16, 2011) (quoting Dr. Steinman as testifying that the
    process of molecular mimicry can damage a part of the brain and cause a seizure “within a week.
    A lot short than that, we could have problems making the argument”), mot. for rev. denied, 
    101 Fed. Cl. 385
     (2011). When the Secretary asked about at least one of these instances on cross-
    examination, Dr. Steinman requested an opportunity to review the transcript from his earlier
    testimony. Tr. 202.
    35
    In this litigation, Dr. Garrett opined that the hepatitis B vaccine caused Mr.
    Contreras’s transverse myelitis. Dr. Garrett did not explain the reasoning for a
    change in his views regarding etiology from first not knowing the cause, to then
    identifying the vaccine as a cause. This lack of explanation undercuts Dr. Garrett’s
    opinion. The Court has previously recognized that a special master may give less
    weight to the statement of a treating doctor that is presented in the context of
    litigation, especially when the treater’s statement “is devoid of any supporting
    evidence.” Ruiz v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 02-156V, 
    2007 WL 5161754
    , at *15 (Fed. Cl. Oct. 15, 2007).
    Like Dr. Poser, Dr. Garrett’s conclusion that one day is an appropriate
    temporal interval was not persuasive. He appeared to use a methodology in which
    he looked for examples (case reports) of demyelinating diseases that appeared after
    vaccination. The problem, as discussed in the Remand Decision, is that none of
    the case reports Dr. Garrett cites shows such a quick onset. Contreras 3, slip op. at
    52, 
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *41. The lack of corroboration from the material that
    Dr. Garrett cited makes his opinion less persuasive, and maybe less credible.
    Dr. Kyazze: Dr. Kyazze appeared credible. He testified in accord with the
    examination he conducted of Mr. Contreras on June 16, 2003. Exhibit 4 at 25; Tr.
    43-52, 59-61 (indicating that Dr. Kyazze reviewed his records before testifying).
    Dr. Kyazze appeared to care that what he was saying was accurate. For
    example, he stated that although some infections cause an increase in white blood
    cells, not all infections do. Tr. 53.
    Similarly, he was not willing to exceed the basis of his knowledge. He
    would not say that the vaccinations caused the transverse myelitis because he did
    not know that assertion to be accurate. Tr. 56.
    Overall, Dr. Kyazze was a believable doctor. He testified about what he
    knew and refrained from testifying about what he did not know.
    Dr. Whitton: Of all the testifying doctors, the most credible witness was
    Dr. Whitton. His demeanor suggested that he undertook the role of an expert from
    the perspective of someone who was asked to present a report. See Tr. 473. Dr.
    Whitton, in contrast to Dr. Steinman, appeared interested in providing the most
    accurate information, not the information that would help “his side” prevail.
    Dr. Whitton appeared to possess prudent judgment. For example, he
    declined the position of editor for one important journal because he was already
    36
    serving as an editor on another journal. Dr. Whitton did not want to hinder the
    dissemination of multiple viewpoints. Tr. 410. Although he relied upon
    epidemiological studies, he also appreciated that epidemiological studies are
    limited. Tr. 469.
    Before concluding that one day was not a medically appropriate interval
    from which to infer causation, Dr. Whitton reviewed Dr. Steinman’s reports and
    the articles cited in those reports with care. Dr. Whitton appeared to look to see if
    anything supported Dr. Steinman’s views. See Tr. 434-38, 473. Dr. Whitton
    brought a positive tone to the hearings. See Tr. 435, 438 (complimenting the work
    of Dr. Steinman and colleagues at Stanford and calling Drs. Steinman and Poser
    “renowned” neurologists). This lack of bias contributed to Dr. Whitton’s extremely
    high credibility.25
    IV.    Adjudication after Excluding Dr. Sladky
    For the reasons explained in Section II, Dr. Sladky is sufficiently credible
    and sufficiently reliable that his evidence should remain in the record. Thus, the
    outcome of the Remand Decision, a denial of compensation, does not differ.
    Nonetheless, the Court’s third (and final) instruction was for the undersigned
    to make alternative findings of fact without any consideration of Dr. Sladky’s
    evidence. This section complies with the Court’s direction. The section begins
    with the standards for adjudication, which are brief because they have been set
    forth in earlier discussions and decisions in this case.
    Next, there are four sections corresponding to four aspects of Mr.
    Contreras’s case: diagnosis, timing, theory, and logical sequence. For each of
    these sections, the Remand Decision is summarized, highlighting the citations to
    Dr. Sladky’s evidence. Then, the effect of excluding Dr. Sladky’s evidence is
    described. The same result is reached because of the strength of the other evidence
    remaining in the case.
    25
    Another special master “found Dr. Whitton’s testimony on the lack of evidence for
    molecular mimicry at work in humans after viral infection to be highly persuasive.” Hennessey,
    
    2009 WL 1709053
    , at *53 n.156. Dr. Whitton “was an exceptionally good expert witness, one
    who made difficult immunologic concepts readily understandable. His thoughtful (and helpful)
    responses to questions both on cross-examination and from the court could serve as a model for
    what expert testimony should be, and unfortunately, so rarely is.” Id. at *11.
    37
    A.     Standards for Adjudication
    The Court previously set forth the parties’ respective burdens and the
    elements of compensation. Contreras 2, 107 Fed. Cl. at 291-92. Those statements
    are incorporated into this decision.
    In brief, Mr. Contreras seeks compensation on the theory that he suffered
    Guillain-Barré syndrome, he must establish that he actually suffered from Guillain-
    Barré syndrome. In addition, Mr. Contreras must satisfy the three prongs from
    Althen. 
    418 F.3d 1274
    , 1278. For each of these aspects of Mr. Contreras’s case,
    his burden of proof is the preponderance of the evidence.
    B.   Did Mr. Contreras Suffer from Guillain-Barré Syndrome in
    Addition to Transverse Myelitis?
    The first issue for resolution is identifying the disease or diseases afflicting
    Mr. Contreras. As noted in the Remand Decision, everyone agrees that he suffers
    from transverse myelitis. The second MRI revealed a lesion in Mr. Contreras’s
    cervical spine. The radiologist interpreting the image (Dr. Lipson) and Mr.
    Contreras’s treating neurologist (Dr. Lake) determined that this was evidence of
    transverse myelitis, not Guillain-Barré syndrome. Exhibit 7 at 167-71, 177-78.
    The discharge report from Miller’s Children’s Hospital identified Mr. Contreras’s
    condition as “cervical transverse myelitis.” Id. at 6.
    In this litigation, Mr. Contreras obtained an affidavit from Dr. Garrett. Dr.
    Garrett was a member of the team of doctors who cared for Mr. Contreras during
    his approximately two-month stay at Miller’s Children’s Hospital. In the part that
    is pertinent to this aspect of the decision, Mr. Garrett averred that Mr. Contreras’s
    disease was transverse myelitis. Exhibit 13 at 7.
    Mr. Contreras also obtained two reports from Dr. Poser, of which the first
    presented Dr. Poser’s opinion regarding the diseases affecting Mr. Contreras. Dr.
    Poser recognized that “[t]he original diagnosis of [GBS] . . . was then changed to
    cervical transverse myelitis as a result of a second MRI . . . on June 18, 2003,” yet
    opined that “[f]rom the clinical examination and the MRI, it is clear that [Mr.
    Contreras] suffered from a combination of [GBS] . . . and . . . transverse myelitis.”
    Exhibit 22 at 2, ¶ 3, 3, ¶ 4.
    Dr. Poser’s report, however, does not explain the bases for his opinion
    regarding diagnosis. Dr. Poser’s assessment of the June 18, 2003 MRI conflicts
    directly with the view of Dr. Lipson, who saw the MRI as not consistent with GBS.
    38
    Dr. Poser’s reference to Mr. Contreras’s clinical course is also in conflict with the
    conclusions reached by Dr. Lake, who, after the June 18, 2003 MRI, consistently
    stated that Mr. Contreras suffered from transverse myelitis. Dr. Poser’s report
    leaves unanswered the question of why Dr. Poser thinks that his opinion about Mr.
    Contreras’s diagnosis is more accurate than the opinions reached by the team of
    doctors who cared for him. Despite the views of Dr. Lake, Dr. Lipson, and Dr.
    Garrett, Mr. Contreras claimed that the vaccinations caused him to suffer both
    transverse myelitis and Guillain-Barré syndrome. Pet. at 1; Pet’r’s Resp., filed
    July 21, 2014, at 6-10.
    In October 2005, Dr. Sladky wrote his first report. As to diagnosis, Dr.
    Sladky agreed with the treating doctors that the diagnosis was transverse myelitis.
    Exhibit I at 2. Both Dr. Garrett and Dr. Sladky discussed Mr. Contreras as
    suffering from transverse myelitis only, not transverse myelitis and Guillain-Barré
    syndrome. Thus, a complete disregard of Dr. Sladky’s October 2005 report does
    not mean that the evidence concerning Mr. Contreras’s diagnosis is on Mr.
    Contreras’s side entirely.
    More evidence favoring Mr. Contreras’s position that he suffered from both
    transverse myelitis and GBS came when Mr. Contreras filed Dr. Steinman’s first
    report. Dr. Steinman agreed with the diagnosis of transverse myelitis. Dr.
    Steinman also asserted “a secondary diagnosis of inflammatory
    polyradiculopathy/polyneuropathy [Guillain-Barre Syndrome] could also be
    made.” Exhibit 55 at 2 (bracketed material in original). Dr. Steinman did not
    provide any basis for this conclusion.
    Before Dr. Steinman had an opportunity to explain the basis for his
    suggestion that “a secondary diagnosis” of Guillain-Barré syndrome “could also be
    made,” exhibit 55 at 2, the Federal Circuit issued Broekelschen. 
    618 F.3d at 1325
    .
    In Broekelschen, the Federal Circuit declared that in the circumstances of that case
    “it was appropriate in this case for the special master to first determine which
    injury was best supported by the evidence presented in the record before applying
    the Althen test.” Broekelschen, 
    618 F.3d at 1346
    .26 Broekelschen, a binding
    precedent, prompted attention to the correct diagnosis for Mr. Contreras. See
    order, issued Feb. 16, 2010 (requesting the parties set forth their positions
    regarding diagnosis in a pre-trial brief).
    26
    The Court held that “the Broekelschen exception to the general rule is inapplicable to
    this case.” Contreras 2, 107 Fed. Cl. at 293.
    39
    In accord with the February 16, 2010 order, Mr. Contreras elicited testimony
    from Dr. Steinman about the disease or diseases that affected Mr. Contreras. Dr.
    Steinman stated that Mr. Contreras suffered from both transverse myelitis and
    Guillain-Barré syndrome. He testified on direct examination:
    I think there are elements of both transverse myelitis and
    elements of Guillain-Barre. They’re nice textbook
    entries where we talk about transverse myelitis as being
    an inflammatory disease of the spinal cord, and a nice
    textbook description[] of Guillain-Barre being an
    inflammatory disease of the peripheral nerve. The
    peripheral nerve ends at a certain varied definitive
    boundary with the central nervous system. However, the
    diseases unfortunately sometimes blend, and sometimes
    you can have elements of both inflammations in the
    central nervous system and inflammation in the
    peripheral nervous system. And those are the realities we
    have to deal with.
    So Jesse Contreras had elements of both the transverse
    myelitis and the Guillain-Barre. . . . [It’s] not possible to
    say he had only one or only the other. He had elements
    of both.
    Tr. 118-19.
    On cross-examination, Dr. Steinman was asked more about the basis for his
    opinion that Mr. Contreras suffered from Guillain-Barré syndrome. He conceded
    that none of the MRIs showed peripheral nerve involvement, although MRIs,
    according to Dr. Steinman, are not very useful in detecting peripheral problems.
    Tr. 184. Dr. Steinman agreed that a better method of testing peripheral nerves is
    an electromyelogram (EMG), but the doctors did not order that test for Mr.
    Contreras. Tr. 185. Dr. Steinman’s main support for his conclusion that Mr.
    Contreras also suffered from Guillain-Barré syndrome was Mr. Contreras’s
    Babinski’s response. Tr. 186, 255-56.27
    27
    Dr. Steinman’s testimony about the Babinski response was, unfortunately, not as clear
    as it might have been. In this part of his testimony, Dr. Steinman stated:
    (continued…)
    40
    Dr. Sladky disagreed with Dr. Steinman’s conclusion about the significance
    of Mr. Contreras’s downward going Babinski reflex. To summarize, Dr. Sladky
    opined that Mr. Contreras’s results should be considered in context, such as who
    performed the test and when the test was performed and in the context of other
    evaluations. Tr. 281-86, 333-34. This testimony tended to balance, to some
    degree, Dr. Steinman’s testimony. This testimony was one place in the Remand
    Decision where Dr. Sladky’s opinion was credited and not redundant with other
    witness’s testimony. Contreras 3, slip op. at 11 n.6, 
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *9 n.6.
    If Dr. Sladky’s testimony is removed, then Mr. Contreras’s claim that he
    suffered from two diseases is more plausible. The meaningful evidence would
    include, on one hand, Dr. Steinman’s report and testimony, and, on the other hand,
    the conclusions reached by Dr. Lake, Dr. Garrett, and the other doctors who treated
    Mr. Contreras. In this circumstance, the evidence still preponderates in favor of
    Mr. Contreras suffering from a single disease, transverse myelitis.
    The Remand Decision found Dr. Lake’s opinion “highly persuasive.”
    Contreras 3, slip op. at 30, 
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *24. Similarly, the Remand
    Decision found that, among the witnesses who testified, Dr. Garrett was the “most
    persuasive.” Contreras 3, slip op. at 30, 
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *25. This
    assessment did not depend (and does not depend) on Dr. Sladky’s opinion. As
    pointed out in the Remand Decision, Dr. Lake saw Mr. Contreras almost every day
    for nearly three months. Dr. Lake, who performed a Babinski test on Mr.
    Contreras, specifically revised her tentative diagnosis that Mr. Contreras suffered
    from atypical Guillain-Barré syndrome due to the MRI results. Exhibit 7 at 1723.
    Her conclusion was persuasive to Dr. Babbitt, who, as a resident, was assisting Dr.
    Garrett in caring for Mr. Contreras. Id. at 123.
    [Guillain-Barré syndrome] was the presentation and the lack of
    Babinskis when the neurologist was eliciting the -- you know,
    usually if you have severe damage to the upper motor neurons,
    you're going to lose your plantar responses and you're going to
    have an upgoing Babinski response. And that wasn't seen. So
    again, I feel that this was a combination of Guillain-Barre and
    transverse myelitis. It doesn't perfectly fit into either category.
    Tr. 186.
    It appears that when Dr. Steinman used the phrase “upper motor neurons,” he was
    referring to nerves in the spinal cord meaning transverse myelitis. But, Dr. Steinman did not
    explain (and was not asked to explain) how Mr. Contreras could have downgoing Babinski
    response if he were suffering from both transverse myelitis and Guillain-Barré syndrome.
    41
    The combined value of Dr. Lake and Dr. Garrett --- without any assistance
    from Dr. Sladky --- is greater than the opinion of Dr. Steinman. In most cases, the
    treating doctors’ views about the disease that afflicts their patients are likely to be
    persuasive because the doctors have the advantage of touching, seeing, and hearing
    their patient.28 Occasionally, doctors retained in the Vaccine Program have such a
    great amount of expertise in relatively arcane subjects that they are able to add
    insights about a person’s diagnosis simply by reviewing the medical records. See,
    e.g., Barclay v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 07-605V, 
    2014 WL 2925245
    , at *1 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 7, 2014) (respondent’s doctor
    recommended genetic testing); cf. 42 U.S.C. § 300aa—13(b) (statements of
    treating doctors are not binding on special masters). But, Mr. Contreras’s case is
    not one in which the treating doctors’ diagnosis can be readily dismissed. Dr.
    Steinman’s citation to the Babinski test provides a colorable basis for his
    suggestion that Dr. Lake and Dr. Garrett missed the fact that Mr. Contreras was
    suffering from not one, but two neurologic problems. But, ultimately, Dr. Lake’s
    treatment of Mr. Contreras was thorough, caring, and professional. So was Dr.
    Garrett’s. These factors, and not the opinion of Dr. Sladky, support the conclusion
    in the Remand Decision that Mr. Contreras did not suffer from Guillain-Barré
    syndrome.
    The Remand Decision also discussed other evidence concerning the proper
    diagnosis, but this other evidence is weak. While Dr. Whitton, in his first report,
    accepted Dr. Poser’s and Dr. Steinman’s dual diagnosis, upon additional reflection,
    Dr. Whitton backed away from that conclusion. Compare exhibit L at 3 with
    exhibit N at 5. Dr. Poser, as discussed above, did not specify what factors in Mr.
    Contreras’s MRI or his clinical presentation led Dr. Poser to add Guillain-Barré
    syndrome. Finally, Dr. Wagner’s opinion that Mr. Contreras suffered from
    atypical Guillain-Barré syndrome, exhibit 6 at 5, was based upon less than five
    hours of observation and only one MRI. His opinion, although valuable in 2003,
    when he transferred Mr. Contreras to a higher care facility, cannot match the
    opinions of Doctors Lake and Garrett, who had much more information available
    to them.
    The possibility that Mr. Contreras might suffer from “atypical” Guillain-
    Barré syndrome was a consideration very early in his hospitalizations. See exhibit
    6 at 5 (Dr. Wagner); exhibit 7 at 1735 (Dr. Lake). Dr. Lake ceased to consider this
    possibility once she received the second MRI. Exhibit 7 at 1723.
    28
    Dr. Sladky, too, recognized the value of Dr. Garrett’s opinion on diagnosis. Tr. 345.
    42
    In this litigation, Dr. Poser and Dr. Steinman have attempted to raise the
    dual diagnosis again. In doing so, they appear to be straining to fit a square peg
    into a round hole. Moreover, the persistence of Mr. Contreras’s arguments appears
    to be overlooking the big picture of how his diagnosis fits with his claim for
    compensation. As the Remand Decision attempted to explain, if, on a strictly
    hypothetical basis, Mr. Contreras were persuasive in claiming that he suffered from
    both a central nervous system problem (transverse myelitis) and a peripheral
    nervous system problem (Guillain-Barré syndrome), see exhibit C (2002 IOM) at
    28, Mr. Contreras’s claim for compensation in the Vaccine Program would be
    more complicated. Mr. Contreras would be required to show how the hepatitis B
    vaccination can cause neurologic problems in two areas of the body involving two
    types of nerves within approximately one day of vaccination. See Tr. 447 (Dr.
    Whitton’s opinion that one day is too short a latency period would not change
    depending upon the demyelinating disease).
    C.      Timing
    By far, the most important issue in this case has been the one-day interval
    between vaccination and the onset of neurological problems. This issue has been
    discussed throughout the case.
    After the parties submitted briefs in 2011, Mr. Contreras was denied
    compensation. The sole and sufficient reason was that Mr. Contreras did not
    establish that the timing was medically appropriate for causation. Contreras 1,
    
    2012 WL 1441315
    , at *23-24. The Entitlement Decision did not evaluate either
    the second or third prong from Althen. The Entitlement Decision also did not
    discuss whether factors other than the vaccines could have caused Mr. Contreras’s
    transverse myelitis.29
    The analysis of Mr. Contreras’s arguments regarding timing was divided
    into discrete sections. These were:
    29
    In Mr. Contreras’s first motion for review, he argued that the exclusive focus on timing
    (Althen prong 3) was an error. The Court, however, disagreed and, stated that a special master
    may resolve a case based upon just one Althen prong. Contreras 2, 107 Fed. Cl. at 295. After
    the Court’s first remand, the Federal Circuit has explicitly approved the resolution of a Vaccine
    Program case without an evaluation of all Althen prongs. Hibbard v. Sec’y of Health & Human
    Servs., 
    698 F.3d 1355
    , 1364-65 (Fed. Cir. 2012).
    43
    1. Steps Involved in Molecular Mimicry
    2. How Much Time Does Molecular Mimicry Take
    3. Observations of Molecular Mimicry in Medical Articles
    a. Odoardi
    b. Additional Medical Articles (Lafaille, Zamvil, Mensah-Brown,
    Mekala, Ufret-Vincentry)
    c. Kakar Case Report
    d. Summary Regarding Medical Articles
    4. Petitioner’s Explanation that Molecular Mimicry Can Occur in One Day
    a. Tuberculin Response
    b. Priming
    5. Treating Doctors
    a. Dr. Kyazze
    b. Dr. Wagner
    c. Dr. Garrett
    6. Synopsis on Timing
    The analysis largely, but not entirely, focused on the competing opinions of
    Dr. Steinman and Dr. Whitton. For example, the basic explanation for molecular
    mimicry came from Dr. Steinman upon which Dr. Whitton elaborated. In this
    section, Dr. Sladky was cited only in a footnote and not for any substantive
    information about molecular mimicry. Contreras 1, 
    2012 WL 1441315
    , at *10
    n.10.
    In the second section, the Entitlement Decision relied primarily upon Dr.
    Whitton for finding that “at least five days is needed for molecular mimicry.” It
    found one step in the process of molecular mimicry that takes three days by itself
    and stated, “Dr. Whitton was superbly qualified to express [this] opinion.” This
    section also credited Dr. Whitton’s reliance on the blood-brain barrier and noted
    that “Dr. Steinman offered no persuasive response.” Contreras 1, 
    2012 WL 1441315
    , at *11-12.
    This section also cited Dr. Sladky’s opinion in three places. It quoted Dr.
    Sladky’s initial report. It also referenced Dr. Sladky’s opinion regarding the
    blood-brain barrier as a “see also” cite, supporting Dr. Whitton’s testimony.
    Finally, the summary paragraph mentioned Dr. Sladky’s opinion in conjunction
    with Dr. Whitton’s opinion. Id. at 12.
    The Entitlement Decision’s third section on timing was a multi-part
    discussion about medical articles. The Odoardi article was a significant reason Mr.
    44
    Contreras was denied compensation, warranting a part by itself. Id. at 12 (stating
    “[t]he most important article about the timing of molecular mimicry was exhibit
    118”). This discussion did not include any citations to Dr. Sladky, who had not
    testified about Odoardi. Although Dr. Steinman pointed to this article as an
    experiment in which an animal developed a central nervous system problem within
    one day of receiving an antigen that was roughly equivalent to a vaccination (see
    exhibit 105 (Supp’l Rep’t) at 7; Tr. 243-46, 589-90), the article, in fact, did not
    illustrate this chronology. The Entitlement Decision found persuasive Dr.
    Whitton’s assessment that Dr. Steinman “did not understand” the Odoardi
    experiment. Contreras 1, 
    2012 WL 1441315
    , at *13 (quoting Tr. 633). Dr.
    Steinman’s misinterpretation of the article that appeared to be the most helpful
    article to Mr. Contreras’s claim severely diminished Dr. Steinman’s
    persuasiveness.
    The next part discussed five medical articles. Three of them were cited by
    Dr. Steinman. Two (Mensah-Brown (exhibit D) and Mekala (exhibit K)) came
    from Dr. Sladky. Eliminating these two does not change the analysis because the
    remaining three articles also did not show a one-day interval.
    The third part of the section about medical articles on timing was a
    discussion of a case report by Kakar. Exhibit 72. Kakar reported on a patient who
    received the hepatitis B vaccine and developed a condition like Guillain-Barré
    syndrome the next day. 
    Id.
     The Entitlement Decision cited Dr. Sladky and Dr.
    Whitton for their views that case reports usually do not provide valuable
    information regarding causation. Contreras 1, 
    2012 WL 1441315
    , at *16-17.
    Eliminating Dr. Sladky’s testimony would not affect the outcome because Dr.
    Whitton’s similar testimony would remain. Moreover, the value that Dr. Sladky,
    Dr. Whitton, or Dr. Steinman place upon any piece of evidence is not decisive
    because the special master, ultimately, must evaluate all the evidence. See
    Whitecotton v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    81 F.3d 1099
    , 1108 (Fed. Cir.
    1996) (“Congress desired the special masters to have very wide discretion with
    respect to the evidence they would consider and the weight to be assigned that
    evidence”).
    While the witnesses’ comments about the (lack of) value about case reports
    may be helpful, the undersigned did not need Dr. Sladky to testify, as he did, that
    Kakar presents a sequence of events from which causality cannot be presumed. Tr.
    298-99. The authors of the Kakar case report noted that one possibility was the
    patient’s “GBS was unrelated to the vaccine.” Exhibit 72 (Kakar) at 711. Thus,
    45
    even if Dr. Sladky’s evidence were entirely excluded, Kakar would have minimal
    weight for the reasons Dr. Whitton explained. See Tr. 430.
    The section on medical articles concludes with a short summary, which
    again mentions Dr. Sladky. However, in light of the overwhelming reliance on Dr.
    Whitton, the result would have been the same in the absence of Dr. Sladky.
    The fourth section of the Entitlement Decision discusses two explanations
    for why Mr. Contreras could have reacted more quickly than expected by medical
    science: tuberculin and priming. For tuberculin, the Entitlement Decision often
    cited and eventually credited the testimony of Dr. Whitton. Although Dr. Sladky is
    occasionally mentioned, citations to Dr. Sladky are usually to his testimony as a
    supporting, not primary, authority. For priming, Dr. Sladky is not cited at all.
    Contreras 1, 
    2012 WL 1441315
    , at *20-21.
    The fifth section discusses the views of treating doctors whose testimony
    Mr. Contreras presented either by affidavit (Dr. Garrett) or by affidavit and orally
    (Dr. Kyazze and Dr. Wagner). This aspect did not cite Dr. Sladky. Contreras 1,
    
    2012 WL 1441315
    , at *21-23.
    After Mr. Contreras filed a motion for review, the Court vacated the
    Entitlement Decision. Among other failures, the Entitlement Decision did “not
    convince the court that the special master considered all the relevant evidence in
    the record that bears upon Althen prong three.” Contreras 2, 107 Fed. Cl. at 296.
    The Court stated “the special master committed legal error in failing to give the
    opinions of Dr. Wagner and Dr. Garrett significant weight in his analysis of the
    evidence relevant to Althen prong three.” Id. at 300. The Court also stated the
    “special master erred when he crafted a higher standard of proof than that required
    in de Bazan.” Id. at 303 (citation omitted). The Court also disagreed with the
    special master’s reliance on Porter, which the Entitlement Decision had interpreted
    as finding a special master’s attribution of little value for case reports not arbitrary
    and capricious. Id. at 304. Consequently, the Court remanded the case with
    specific instructions, including a re-analysis of Althen prong 3. Id. at 308-09.
    In accord with these instructions, the Remand Decision re-evaluated the
    evidence regarding timing, organized into the following parts. This section began
    with a brief review of the previous adjudications, mentioning Dr. Sladky four times
    --- once as a matter of procedural history, once in the context of a summary of his
    testimony, and twice in conjunction with testimony from Dr. Whitton.
    46
    Next, there is a synopsis of 11 types of evidence. An asterisk marks the
    sections in which Dr. Sladky is mentioned.
    b)     Synopsis of Evidence (*)
    (1) Dr. Wagner
    (2) Dr. Garrett
    (3) Dr. Cheung
    (4) Dr. Poser
    (5) Dr. Steinman
    (6) Dr. Sladky (*)
    (7) Dr. Whitton
    (8) Newly Cited Case Reports
    (9) Other Case Reports
    (10) Review Articles
    (11) Animal Studies
    The assessment of the evidence ran approximately four pages in which Dr.
    Sladky’s testimony was cited twice. In the first place, Dr. Sladky’s opinion was
    cited in conjunction with Dr. Whitton. The Remand Decision noted that Dr.
    Sladky had opined that a one-day onset was “virtually impossible.” Contreras 3,
    slip op. at 59, 
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *46 (citing exhibit I at 3). The next sentence
    indicated that Dr. Whitton had opined that it was “‘exceedingly unlikely’ that Mr.
    Contreras could have developed an immune response to his vaccination within 24
    hours.” 
    Id.
     (citing exhibit N at 9). The second place where Dr. Sladky was cited
    was in the context of describing the contents of the record. Id. at *47. Neither
    citation to Dr. Sladky was consequential.
    The Remand Decision found “the testimony of Dr. Whitton to be the most
    persuasive.” Contreras 3, slip op. at 61, 
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *48. Two reasons
    for crediting Dr. Whitton’s testimony were his study, the Whitmire article, that
    showed memory T cells in mice required at least three days to divide, and the
    Odoardi article. 
    Id.
     (citing exhibit L, tab 31 (Jason K. Whitmire, Tentative T Cells:
    Memory Cells Are Quick to Respond, but Slow to Divide, 4 PLos Pathogens
    e1000041 (2008)) at e1000042. Dr. Sladky did not enhance the value of the
    Whitmire article or the Odoardi article. He did not testify about them.
    If all evidence originating with Dr. Sladky were struck, would the result
    change? The answer is no.
    47
    The fundamental problem with Mr. Contreras’s case is that his evidence is
    not persuasive. Mr. Contreras bears the burden of “establish[ing] by a
    preponderance of the evidence that his onset of symptoms occurred within a
    timeframe for which it is medically acceptable to infer causation-in-fact.”
    Contreras 2, 107 Fed. Cl. at 303. There is no dispute that the onset of symptoms
    occurred approximately 24 hours after vaccination. The ensuing question,
    therefore, becomes is 24 hours a “timeframe for which it is medically acceptable to
    infer causation-in-fact?”
    Mr. Contreras’s supporting evidence consists of the affidavit from Dr.
    Garrett, the affidavit and testimony from Dr. Wagner, the affidavits from Dr.
    Poser, and the affidavit and testimony from Dr. Steinman. Of these, Dr. Poser and
    Dr. Wagner contribute very little. Although each says that the timing was
    acceptable, neither presents any basis for the doctor’s opinion. Special masters are
    not required to accept the unsupported testimony of an expert. Snyder, 88 Fed. Cl.
    at 742 (citing Gen. Elec. Co., 522 U.S. at 146); see also Cedillo v. Sec'y of Health
    & Human Servs., 
    617 F.3d 1328
    , 1339 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (citing Gen. Elec. Co., 522
    U.S. at 146).
    On the face of it, Dr. Garrett and Dr. Steinman stand on ground that is more
    solid. They cite many case reports in which the administration of different
    vaccines preceded the onset of assorted illnesses. The details of the case reports
    were presented in the Entitlement Decision (Contreras 1, 
    2012 WL 1441315
    , at
    *16-17), and the Remand Decision (Contreras 3, slip op. at 55-57, 
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *43-43). The details about vaccine / disease combination are largely
    irrelevant. The logical fallacy of attempting to draw causal conclusions from
    isolated reports can be temporarily set aside, too. For purposes of determining
    whether Dr. Garrett, or Dr. Steinman, or Dr. Garrett and Dr. Steinman were
    persuasive in opining that one day is a “medically acceptable” timeframe, the
    temporal interval in the case reports is most important.
    Except for Kakar (exhibit 72), the interval is usually not close to one day.
    For example, Iniguez reported a case of transverse myelitis one week after a
    hepatitis B vaccination. Exhibit 47 (C. Iniguez et al., Acute transverse myelitis
    secondary to hepatitis B vaccination, 31(5) Rev. Neurol. 430 (2000)). How does
    Iniguez’s report of a seven-day interval support Dr. Steinman, who cited Iniguez,
    in asserting that one day is medically acceptable? Iniguez and most of the other
    articles are entirely consistent with Dr. Whitton’s opinion that, assuming that
    molecular mimicry actually explains how a vaccine can cause a demyelinating
    disease, the process of molecular mimicry probably takes five days.
    48
    After elimination of the case reports in which the onset is five days or
    longer, Dr. Garrett is similarly situated with Dr. Wagner and Dr. Poser.30 Dr.
    Garrett asserted an opinion without any supporting basis. As a matter of law, the
    opinion of doctor who treats a person is not elevated to such a favored status that
    the special master must accept it. See 42 U.S.C. § 300aa—13(b); see also Ruiz,
    
    2007 WL 5161754
    , at *15 (stating “The fact that [a treating doctor] did not identify
    the hepatitis B vaccine as the cause of Ms. Ruiz's psychological injury until well
    after his treatment relationship with petitioner had ended undermines the
    persuasiveness of his findings”). To be persuasive, Dr. Garrett does not have to
    dot every “i” and to cross every “t” because petitioners do not bear the burden of
    proving their case to a scientific certainty. Bunting v. Sec’y of Health & Human
    Servs., 
    931 F.2d 867
    , 872-73 (Fed. Cir. 1991). Yet, special masters may examine
    petitioner’s case to see whether the expert’s opinion is “sound.” Knudsen v. Sec’y
    of Health & Human Servs., 
    35 F.3d 543
    , 548 (Fed. Cir. 1994).
    It might be argued that any examination of Dr. Garrett’s opinion is
    erroneous. After all, Dr. Garrett treated Mr. Contreras and “treating physicians are
    likely to be in the best position to determine whether a logical sequence of cause
    and effect show[s] that the vaccination was the reason for the injury.” Capizzano v.
    Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 
    440 F.3d 1317
    , 1326 (Fed. Cir. 2006) (citation
    and quotation marks omitted).
    This argument, however, is belied by Bazan. There, a petitioner presented
    the opinion from her treating doctor that a repeat dose of the tetanus-diphtheria
    vaccine caused the onset of a demyelinating disease of the central nervous system,
    acute disseminated encephalomyelitis (“ADEM”), 11 hours later. The special
    master did not accept the opinion of this treating doctor and credited, instead, the
    opinion of the Secretary’s expert. On appeal, the Federal Circuit did not require
    the special master to defer to the opinion of the treating doctor. The Federal
    Circuit ruled that the special master’s finding regarding timing was not arbitrary or
    capricious. Bazan v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 
    539 F.3d 1347
    , 1352-53
    (Fed. Cir. 2008).
    30
    Dr. Garrett cited an article written by Dr. Poser. Exhibit 13 at 11, ¶ 15 (citing exhibit
    21 (Charles M. Poser, Neurologic syndromes that arise unpredictably, Consultant 45 (Jan.
    1987))). In this 1987 article, Dr. Poser wrote that “[a]s a general rule, postvaccinal
    complications develop between one and six weeks after vaccination, although shorter periods
    have been reported… [T]his period can be as short as 12 to 24 hours.” Exhibit 21 (Posner) at 46-
    47. Dr. Poser provided no basis for this assertion. In addition, Dr. Poser does not specify what
    type of reaction could take place in 12 hours.
    49
    Although a simple review of the literature Dr. Garrett cited erodes the basis
    for his conclusion that one day is medically acceptable, Dr. Steinman’s opinion is
    slightly stronger. Certainly, the Kakar article, which presents a sequence in which
    an Indian girl received a hepatitis B vaccine and then developed Guillain-Barré
    syndrome (or something like GBS) within 24 hours, supports Dr. Steinman’s
    opinion that one day is medically acceptable. As Dr. Steinman testified, the
    presence of one case report makes the petitioner’s case more persuasive than if
    there are no case reports. Tr. 164.
    Two other articles are helpful to Mr. Contreras by reporting instances of
    demyelinating diseases that developed less than five days after vaccination.
    Douglas A. Kerr and Harold Ayetey cited a case report of transverse myelitis
    developing two days after influenza vaccination.31 Exhibit N, tab 2 (Douglas A.
    Kerr & Harold Ayetey, Immunopathogenesis of Acute Transverse Myelitis, 15(3)
    Current Opinion in Neurology 339 (2002)). Sinsawaiwong presents an occasion
    on which hepatitis B vaccination preceded Guillain-Barré syndrome by three days.
    Exhibit 71 (Suwanna Sinsawaiwong & Pornpen Thampanitchawong, Guillain-
    Barré Syndome Following Recombinant Hepatitis B Vaccine and Literature
    Review, 83 J. Med. Assoc’n Thai 1124 (2000)).
    In addition, there are two reports of diseases that are not demyelinating
    diseases developing within one day of vaccination. These could lend some support
    if the difference between the reported injury and demyelinating disease is ignored.
    See exhibit 38 (B. Biacabe et al., A case report of fluctuant sensorineural hearing
    loss after hepatitis B vaccination, 24 Auris Nasus Larynx 457 (1997)) (hearing
    loss); and exhibit 45 (P.M. Bantz et al., Peripheral neurological symptoms after
    hepatitis B virus vaccination, 96 Q. J. Med. 611 (2003)) (vertigo and dysarthria).
    Thus, the core of Mr. Contreras’s case is Dr. Steinman’s opinion as
    supported by at least one and potentially as many as five case reports. Does this
    constitute a persuasive case? If the record consisted of only this material, it could
    satisfy petitioner’s burden. But, there is other evidence and a special master may
    consider evidence that contradicts a petitioner’s case before determining whether
    the petitioner has met the burden of proof. Bazan, 
    539 F.3d at 1354
    .
    31
    Doctors Kerr and Ayetey noted that “such case reports must be viewed with caution, as
    it is entirely possible that two events occurred in close proximity by chance alone.” Exhibit N,
    tab 2 at 341.
    50
    Here, the Secretary presented Dr. Whitton’s report and testimony that
    effectively undermined Mr. Contreras’s evidence, which came from Dr. Poser, Dr.
    Garrett, Dr. Wagner, and Dr. Steinman. Dr. Whitton persuasively showed that the
    process of a molecular mimicry reaction takes time. This time is measured in days,
    not hours. Hence, one day is not a medically acceptable timeframe to infer
    causation.
    The Remand Decision also discussed theories by which Mr. Contreras
    proposed that his circumstances made relying upon the normally accepted minimal
    amount of time, five days, inappropriate. See Contreras 3, slip op. at 19-21, 
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *16-17. He suggested five factors could have accelerated his
    response: (1) previous exposures / priming, (2) his Hispanic ethnicity, (3) receipt
    of two vaccines at once, (4) the adjuvant, and (5) exposure to previous infections
    (the Epstein-Barr virus and mycoplasma pneumonia). The general impression left
    about these ideas was that Mr. Contreras and Dr. Steinman were throwing out ideas
    to see what would stick.
    Mr. Contreras’s presentation on each of these topics was discussed in the
    Remand Decision. The Remand Decision also cited the Secretary’s evidence,
    which, at times, included Dr. Sladky. Even if Dr. Sladky’s evidence were
    excluded,32 Mr. Contreras has failed to present persuasive basis for finding that any
    of these proposed factors would make it possible for him to respond in one day,
    when normal people would require at least five days.
    The Entitlement Decision closed its analysis about timing with a quotation
    from Dr. Whitton that a one-day onset presents a “black and white” issue. In Dr.
    Whitton’s opinion, one day was well outside of any shades of grey about which
    reasonable people could differ. Contreras 1, 
    2012 WL 1441315
    , at *23. On the
    first motion for review, the Court wondered if the situation were truly as stark as
    Dr. Whitton contended and suggested that if it were weighing the evidence in the
    first instance, the evidence might present a “close call.” Contreras 2, 107 Fed. Cl.
    at 307. Contreras 3 attempted to address the Court’s concern and cited Dr.
    Whitton as an example of an immunologist who understands the relevant biologic
    processes and the necessary amount of time for them. See Broekelschen, 
    618 F.3d at 1345
     (holding “a petitioner must provide a reputable medical or scientific
    explanation that pertains specifically to the petitioner’s case”). Dr. Sladky’s
    32
    Regarding Mr. Contreras’s prior infections with Epstein-Barr virus and mycoplasma
    pneumonia, Dr. Sladky testified that they played no role in his neurologic disease. This
    testimony actually helps Mr. Contreras by eliminating potential alternative causes.
    51
    evidence added little to the analysis. Thus, eliminating the (meager) contributions
    from Dr. Sladky does not change the undersigned’s view that the evidence is not
    close. The evidence preponderates in favor of finding that the minimal amount of
    time needed for molecular mimicry exceeds one day and is likely to be around five
    days.
    D.    Theory
    The initial Entitlement Decision did not address the first prong of Althen
    because the finding that Mr. Contreras did not establish the third prong of Althen
    was sufficient to deny compensation. Contreras 1, 
    2012 WL 1441315
    , at *1. As
    part of its instructions for the first remand, the Court ordered a consideration of
    prong one. Contreras 2, 107 Fed. Cl. at 295. The Remand Decision analyzed the
    relevant evidence, which included evidence from Dr. Sladky, and concluded that
    Mr. Contreras did not meet his burden of proof. Contreras 3, slip op. at 32-49,
    
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *26-39. Contreras 3 organized the analysis of Althen prong
    1 into the following sections with an asterisk marking the sections in which Dr.
    Sladky is mentioned:
    1. Synopsis of Mr. Contreras’s Evidence
    a. Dr. Kyazze
    b. Dr. Wagner
    c. Dr. Garrett
    d. Dr. Poser
    e. Dr. Steinman
    2. Synopsis of the Secretary’s Evidence
    a. Dr. Sladky *
    b. Dr. Whitton
    3. Assessment of Evidence
    a. Treating Doctors
    b. Dr. Poser and Dr. Steinman
    c. Daubert Analysis of Molecular Mimicry Theory
    i. Whether the theory of molecular mimicry can be (and has
    been) tested
    ii. Whether the theory or technique has been subject to peer
    review and publication
    iii. Whether there is a known potential error rate and whether
    there are methods for controlling the error
    iv. Whether the theory or technique enjoys general acceptance
    within a relevant scientific community *
    52
    v. Epidemiologic studies *
    vi. Case Reports *
    4. Finding on Althen Prong One *
    As mentioned in the Remand Decision, Dr. Sladky’s opinion played little
    role in this analysis. Dr. Sladky could not affect how the opinions of the treating
    doctors were weighed because he did not treat Mr. Contreras. The Remand
    Decision found that the opinions of Dr. Lake and Dr. Cheung were better informed
    than the opinions of Dr. Garrett and Dr. Wagner. Contreras 3, slip op. at 42, 
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *34. Dr. Lake and Dr. Cheung each indicated that the
    vaccinations did not cause Mr. Contreras’s transverse myelitis. Exhibit 7 at 126,
    147.
    Dr. Sladky also did not affect the analysis of the first three Daubert factors.
    Mr. Contreras could have used the first two Daubert factors,33 concerning
    testability and peer-review, to demonstrate the persuasiveness of Dr. Steinman’s
    theory that the hepatitis B vaccine can cause transverse myelitis via molecular
    mimicry. See Veryzer v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 06-522V, 
    2010 WL 2507791
    , at *8 n.14 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. June 15, 2010) (quoting In re Paoli
    R.R. Yard PCB Litigation, 
    35 F.3d 717
    , 744 (3d Cir. 1994)), mot. for rev. denied,
    
    100 Fed. Cl. 344
     (2011), aff’d without op., 
    475 Fed. Appx. 765
     (Fed. Cir. 2012);
    Robles v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 90-3001V, 
    2000 WL 748169
    , at *2
    n.10 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 19, 2000) (quoting Daubert, at 1316). Mr.
    Contreras did not present any supporting evidence. Dr. Sladky did not contribute
    to the lack of evidence from Mr. Contreras. Thus, the same result would have been
    reached even if there were no evidence from Dr. Sladky.
    For the fourth Daubert factor, concerning general acceptance, Dr. Sladky’s
    testimony actually helped Mr. Contreras. Dr. Sladky’s concession on this factor, in
    turn, was mentioned as part of the overall finding. Contreras 3, slip op. at 49, 
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *38-39. Striking Dr. Sladky’s testimony would weaken this
    specific aspect of Mr. Contreras’s case.
    The next factor, epidemiological studies, is a place where Dr. Sladky’s
    evidence played some role. Dr. Sladky was the expert who originally placed into
    the record two studies the Remand Decision discussed, exhibit G (Touze) and
    33
    The third Daubert factor (error rate) does not apply to molecular mimicry.
    53
    exhibit H (Zipp). See exhibit I (Dr. Sladky’s Oct. 21, 2005 report) at 4.34 To avoid
    any dispute about the scope of the Court’s instruction for removing Dr. Sladky’s
    evidence, the Touze and Zipp articles will be disregarded.
    Removing Touze and Zipp does not eliminate all epidemiological studies.
    Dr. Whitton cited a very important study by Mikaeloff. Exhibit L, tab 29 (Yann
    Mikaeloff et al., Hepatitis B vaccine and the risk of relapse after a first childhood
    episode of CNS inflammatory demylination, 130 Brain 1105 (2007)). The
    Mikaeloff article was informative because these researchers studied 356 people
    who had experienced an episode of demyelination in their central nervous system
    before age 16. These participants were given a dose of the hepatitis B vaccine and
    followed for more than five years on average to see whether they had a relapse
    lasting more than 24 hours. The authors found that the hepatitis B vaccine “was
    not associated with a significant increase in the risk of relapse.” Exhibit L, tab 29
    (Mikaeloff) at 1108.
    In addition to Mikaeloff, Dr. Whitton cited other epidemiological studies,
    although these were not as relevant. These studies analyzed a possible connection
    between vaccinations and other neurological diseases, such as multiple sclerosis
    and Guillain-Barré syndrome. See Contreras 3, slip op. at 39 n.29, 
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *31 n.29.
    The sixth factor (case reports) also did not depend on Dr. Sladky’s evidence.
    Dr. Sladky was cited as providing testimony that supported a statement that case
    reports may signal the need for additional study. Although the Remand Decision
    cited Dr. Sladky, special masters are very familiar with this concept.
    The role of case reports as a signal was part of a more basic question
    concerning whether routine case reports provide meaningful information on which
    an informed judgment on causation may be made. The Remand Decision cited
    both Dr. Sladky and Dr. Whitton as people who find case reports carry relatively
    34
    The 2002 IOM report, which the Secretary had placed into evidence before Dr.
    Sladky’s report, cited Touze and Zipp. Exhibit C (2002 IOM) at 57, 61. After Dr. Sladky’s
    report, Dr. Steinman also cited to Touze and Zipp and Mr. Contreras submitted these studies as
    exhibits 75 and 76. Conceivably, even if Dr. Sladky had not cited Touze and Zipp, Dr. Steinman
    could have presented the epidemiological studies in accord with an expert’s duty to present all
    relevant information to the judicial official. However, a voluntary presentation seems unlikely as
    Dr. Steinman has not previously cited Touze and Zipp in relatively similar circumstances.
    54
    little value. The Remand Decision also noted that Dr. Poser and Dr. Steinman,
    contrastingly, more readily valued case reports.
    Ultimately, the opinion of any witness, including Dr. Sladky, about the
    strength or weakness of the evidence is not particularly important. The views of
    Dr. Steinman, Dr. Whitton, Dr. Poser, and Dr. Sladky are interesting because these
    people are educated and trained in medicine. Thus, the undersigned considers and
    reflects on those informed views in weighing the evidence. But, at the end of the
    day, “Congress made clear that the initial decision in these cases was the Special
    Master’s.” Hodges v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 
    9 F.3d 958
    , 962 (Fed. Cir.
    1993).
    As suggested in the Remand Decision, the undersigned chooses to give
    routine case reports little, if any, weight in determining causation. The
    undersigned has reached this conclusion after hearing not only the testimony of Dr.
    Sladky, Dr. Whitton, and Dr. Steinman, but also similar testimony from many
    doctors in many different hearings. See Porter v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs.,
    No. 99-639V, 
    2008 WL 4483740
    , at *13 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Oct. 2, 2008) (citing
    cases), mot. for rev. granted sub nom., Rotoli, 89 Fed. Cl. at 86-87, reinstated,
    Porter, 
    663 F.3d at 1254
    ; Tiufekchiev v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No.
    05-437V, 
    2008 WL 3522297
    , at *9 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 24, 2008) (quoting
    testimony from petitioner’s expert and citing cases). The undersigned has also
    considered --- and the Remand Decision cited --- the teachings from the Reference
    Manual on Scientific Evidence, published by the Federal Judicial Center. In
    addition, numerous cases in which plaintiffs claim exposure to a substance caused
    them harm have also discussed case reports. These, too, have affected the
    undersigned’s orientation to the usefulness of case reports.
    Against this background, Dr. Sladky’s testimony that case reports do not
    provide meaningful information about causation amounts to little more than a drop
    in a bucket. Even in the absence of Dr. Sladky’s evidence, the undersigned would
    have assessed the case reports the same way. Although an appellate tribunal may
    determine that the weight the undersigned assigned to case reports was arbitrary
    and capricious (but see Porter, 
    663 F.3d at 1254
     (ruling that the weight given to the
    evidence including case reports was not arbitrary or capricious)); that finding
    would be a determination about the undersigned’s weighing of the evidence, not
    Dr. Sladky’s weighing of the evidence.
    On the whole, striking Dr. Sladky’s evidence does not change the outcome
    regarding Althen prong one. The main weakness in Mr. Contreras’s case was that
    55
    he failed to show the persuasiveness of Dr. Steinman’s theory as measured against
    the Daubert factors. Dr. Steinman’s theory that the hepatitis B vaccine can cause
    transverse myelitis via molecular mimicry is a plausible construct. But,
    plausibility does not satisfy Mr. Contreras’s burden and the Secretary does not bear
    the burden of establishing that a petitioner’s theory is impossible. See Moberly,
    
    592 F.3d at 1322
    . The Remand Decision cited evidence from Dr. Sladky (Touze
    and Zipp) because those studies further undermined Dr. Steinman’s theory that
    molecular mimicry can explain how the hepatitis B vaccine can cause transverse
    myelitis. But, striking those epidemiological studies does not strengthen Mr.
    Contreras’s case, especially since another epidemiological study remains. In other
    words, Mr. Contreras needed to have more positive support for Dr. Steinman’s
    theory.35 Subtracting negative evidence does not equal adding positive evidence.
    E.      Althen Prong 2
    The remaining Althen prong is the second. Because Mr. Contreras has not
    established through preponderant evidence that the hepatitis B vaccine can cause
    transverse myelitis (prong 1) and has not established that his transverse myelitis
    arose in time for which it is medically acceptable to infer causation (prong 3), he
    cannot establish “a logical sequence” between the vaccination and his transverse
    myelitis. Nonetheless, in accord with the Court’s instructions, the evidence
    regarding this element is again reviewed without any consideration of Dr. Sladky’s
    evidence.
    35
    Saying that Mr. Contreras required more evidence to demonstrate the persuasiveness of
    Dr. Steinman’s theory is not the same as saying that Mr. Contreras had to establish Dr.
    Steinman’s theory to a level of medical certainty. See La Londe v. Sec'y of Health & Human
    Servs., 
    110 Fed. Cl. 184
    , 201 (2013) (the petitioner’s expert “could not back up his hypothesis
    with a reliable medical or scientific explanation. . . . [The special master] quite properly required
    petitioner to carry her burden to bring forward a reliable or scientific explanation”), aff’d, 
    746 F.3d 1334
    , 1340 (Fed. Cir. 2014); Langland v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 
    109 Fed. Cl. 421
    , 441 (2013) (“the Special Master did not commit a legal error by requiring a sufficiently-
    detailed explanation” of how a vaccine can cause a disease); Taylor v. Sec'y of Health & Human
    Servs., 
    108 Fed. Cl. 807
    , 819 (2013) (“the mere existence” of expert testimony about a theory “is
    insufficient to satisfy the burden of showing a ‘persuasive’ medical theory --- this theory must
    also preponderate”). Petitioners are required to present preponderant cases, not certain cases.
    Hodges, 
    9 F.3d at 961-62
     (“[t]he fact that the opinion of petitioner’s doctors was rejected does
    not mean that the Special Master was demanding scientific certainty; he might simply have been
    demanding some degree of acceptable scientific support when concluding that the [petitioners’]
    claim for causation in-fact was not supported by a preponderance of the evidence”).
    56
    The Remand Decision addressed two types of evidence. The first type was
    reports from treating doctors. The Remand Decision did not find persuasive the
    testimony from Dr. Garrett and Dr. Wagner, and found more persuasive the
    statements that Dr. Babbitt, Dr. Cheung, and Dr. Lake made during their course of
    treating Mr. Contreras. Dr. Sladky’s evidence played no role regarding this first
    type of evidence.
    The second type of evidence was evidence of alternative cause as the Court
    directed. See Contreras 2, 107 Fed. Cl. at 296-97. The Remand Decision cited Dr.
    Sladky as not identifying any other potential cause. Contreras 3, slip op. at 73,
    
    2013 WL 6698382
    , at *57 (citing Tr. 351). Dr. Sladky’s position was not special.
    The treating doctors did not identify any possible other cause. See exhibit 7 at 6-8
    (discharge report); exhibit 13 (Dr. Garrett’s affidavit) at 6-7 ¶ 12. Thus, even if Dr.
    Sladky’s testimony were eliminated, there would still be no other alternative causal
    factor.
    As discussed in the Remand Decision, the lack of a known alternative factor
    does not mean that the vaccinations caused Mr. Contreras’s transverse myelitis.
    See Caves, 100 Fed. Cl. at 141; Fadelalla v. United States, 
    45 Fed. Cl. 196
    , 201
    (1999). The lack of alternative factors might be more significant if Mr. Contreras
    had established that the hepatitis B vaccine can cause transverse myelitis and if Mr.
    Contreras had established that the hepatitis B vaccine can cause transverse myelitis
    in one day. But, for the reasons explained above in sections IV.C-D, Mr. Contreras
    has not established these predicates even if Dr. Sladky’s evidence is excluded.
    In the absence of a finding that the vaccinations caused Mr. Contreras’s
    transverse myelitis, the cause of his tragic disease remains unknown. See Tr. 263-
    64 (Dr. Steinman: the vast majority of TM cases are idiopathic).
    V.    Additional Comments
    On a personal level, Mr. Contreras’s episode with transverse myelitis was a
    terrible ordeal. The attention given to him by Dr. Wagner, Dr. Garrett, Dr. Lake
    and other doctors sustained him during a perilous time. It is fortunate that he has
    recovered as much as he has, even though his health remains impaired. He
    deserves sympathy for his suffering.
    The process of litigating this Vaccine Program claim is, almost certainly,
    bringing more disappointment to Mr. Contreras. For reasons not entirely within
    Mr. Contreras’s control, the litigation has been an unduly lengthy process. The
    fact that the most recent delay is to address misconduct by the Secretary’s expert
    57
    witness may be especially irritating. Mr. Contreras may understandably question
    how the Secretary can prevail after relying upon a witness who was deceptive
    about his background.
    This Decision has attempted to demonstrate that the penalty for a witness’s
    deception is not always the striking of the witness’s testimony. On occasion, a
    reasonable remedy is to bar the witness from testifying and to strike all evidence
    associated with that witness. The chief special master in Raymo took a similar
    approach for Dr. Sladky by refusing to give his testimony any weight. But, another
    special master kept Dr. Sladky’s evidence in the record. Roberts, 
    2013 WL 5314698
    , at *9. These two cases demonstrate that there can be more than one
    (correct) answer to the question “what should happen to Dr. Sladky’s evidence?”
    As discussed in section II.A, the response in the Remand Decision was
    closer to Roberts than Raymo. However, the overall outcome in Mr. Contreras is
    the opposite of the outcome in Roberts and Raymo. How can these disparate
    outcomes be reconciled?
    The evidence among the three cases is much different. In Roberts, the
    primary dispute was whether the vaccinee suffered from transverse myelitis as
    three of her treating doctors testified or suffered from an embolism as the
    Secretary’s experts, Dr. Sladky and a neuroradiologist, testified. The special
    master credited the views of the treating doctors. She found Dr. Sladky’s
    testimony not “as reliable and persuasive as the testimony” of petitioner’s treating
    doctors for multiple reasons, one of which was Dr. Sladky’s failure to disclose his
    licensing problems. Roberts, 
    2013 WL 5314698
    , at *9. The special master also
    considered that the Secretary’s neuroradiologist thought the vaccinee’s imaging
    presented a close call between the two diagnoses. Thus, the balance of the
    evidence was on petitioners’ side.
    In Raymo, after the chief special master disregarded Dr. Sladky’s testimony,
    the Secretary had “no other witnesses to counter Dr. Kinsbourne’s theory that [the
    vaccinee] suffered from [acute transverse myelitis].” Raymo, 
    2014 WL 1092274
    ,
    at *2 n.9. The chief special master returned to the absence of evidence in
    beginning her analysis. She stated:
    Because I attach no weight to the opinions of Drs. Sladky
    and Becker, Dr. Kinsbourne’s opinion is largely
    unrebutted. Although I have considered the expert report
    and testimony of Dr. Gill, her evidence was almost
    58
    exclusively focused on demonstrating that Dr. Becker's
    theory regarding a vascular cause for [the vaccinee’s]
    infarction was unsound, and thus is not relevant to the
    causation theory still before me.
    Id. at 17 (footnote omitted). The “largely unrebutted” testimony from Dr.
    Kinsbourne persuaded the chief special master to find in petitioner’s favor.
    Here, even if Dr. Sladky’s testimony were excluded, Mr. Contreras’s
    evidence is far from “largely unrebutted.” There is conflicting evidence on
    virtually every point. For example, Dr. Garrett’s opinion about the diagnosis does
    not match the opinions of Dr. Steinman and Dr. Poser.
    The most prominent example of a conflict in evidence, independent of Dr.
    Sladky’s evidence, concerns timing. Here, the contest was largely between Dr.
    Steinman and Dr. Whitton. Dr. Whitton persuasively explained why a one-day
    interval between vaccination and the onset of neurologic symptoms associated with
    a lesion in the cervical spine was not biologically possible. Dr. Whitton’s position
    is in accord with the 1994 IOM report (exhibits A, F, and V). In contrast, Dr.
    Steinman could present only weak and unpersuasive support for his opinion that all
    the steps associated with molecular mimicry can happen within one day. Dr.
    Whitton’s testimony on timing was very strong and persuasive, making Dr.
    Sladky’s testimony on this topic redundant. See Hulbert v. Sec'y of Health &
    Human Servs., 
    49 Fed. Cl. 485
    , 490 (2001) (ruling that special master did not
    commit reversible error in declining to strike one expert’s testimony when the
    denial of compensation rested upon the testimony of another expert), aff’d, 35 Fed.
    Appx 899 (Fed. Cir. 2002).
    VI.   Conclusion
    Contreras 4, 116 Fed. Cl. at 484, remanded this case for a discussion of three
    issues. First, the Court ordered an assessment of Dr. Sladky’s credibility and
    reliability. Dr. Sladky, despite some misleading testimony about his qualifications,
    remained credible enough to offer opinions. His opinions were based upon a
    reliable methodology. In conjunction with these findings, Mr. Contreras’s post-
    remand motion to strike Dr. Sladky’s evidence is denied. Second, the Court
    ordered a comparison of credibility among the different people who testified either
    by affidavit or in person. Dr. Sladky falls near the bottom of the list and Dr.
    Whitton is at the top. Third, the Court ordered an analysis of the evidence
    remaining after Dr. Sladky’s evidence was removed. This analysis does not
    59
    change the outcome of the case. Mr. Contreras would still have failed to establish
    the Althen prongs.
    Mr. Contreras remains not entitled to compensation. The Clerk’s Office is
    instructed to enter judgment in accord with this decision unless a motion for review
    is filed. The Clerk’s Office is also instructed to provide this decision to the
    presiding judge pursuant to Vaccine Rule 28.1(a).
    IT IS SO ORDERED.
    s/Christian J. Moran
    Christian J. Moran
    Special Master
    60