Burgess v. Secretary of Health and Human Services ( 2022 )


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  •             In the United States Court of Federal Claims
    OFFICE OF SPECIAL MASTERS
    Filed: November 7, 2022
    *************************
    ANITA BURGESS,          *                            PUBLISHED
    *
    Petitioner,   *                            No. 17-688V
    *
    v.                      *                            Special Master Nora Beth Dorsey
    *
    SECRETARY OF HEALTH     *                            Entitlement; Tetanus-Diphtheria-Acellular
    AND HUMAN SERVICES,     *                            Pertussis (“Tdap”) Vaccine; Pre-Existing
    *                            Autoimmune Condition; Chronic Fatigue
    Respondent.   *                            Syndrome (“CFS”); Connective Tissue
    *                            Disease (“CTD”); Significant Aggravation.
    *************************
    Renee Ja Gentry, The Law Office of Renee J. Gentry, Washington, DC, for Petitioner.
    Austin Joel Egan, U.S. Department of Justice, Washington, DC, for Respondent.
    DECISION 1
    I.     INTRODUCTION
    On May 24, 2017, Anita Burgess (“Petitioner”) filed a petition for compensation under
    the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program (“Vaccine Act” or “the Program”), 42
    U.S.C. § 300aa-10 et seq. (2012) 2 alleging that she suffered significant aggravation of her pre-
    existing autoimmune condition as a result of a tetanus-diphtheria-acellular pertussis (“Tdap”)
    vaccination administered to her on August 8, 2014. Petition at ¶ 16 (ECF No. 1). Respondent
    filed his Rule 4(c) Report on January 19, 2018, arguing “this case is not appropriate for
    1Because this Decision contains a reasoned explanation for the action in this case, the
    undersigned is required to post it on the United States Court of Federal Claims’ website in
    accordance with the E-Government Act of 2002. 
    44 U.S.C. § 3501
     note (2012) (Federal
    Management and Promotion of Electronic Government Services). This means the Decision will
    be available to anyone with access to the Internet. In accordance with Vaccine Rule 18(b),
    Petitioner has 14 days to identify and move to redact medical or other information, the disclosure
    of which would constitute an unwarranted invasion of privacy. If, upon review, the undersigned
    agrees that the identified material fits within this definition, the undersigned will redact such
    material from public access.
    2The National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program is set forth in Part 2 of the National
    Childhood Vaccine Injury Act of 1986, 
    Pub. L. No. 99-660, 100
     Stat. 3755, codified as amended,
    42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa-10 to -34 (2012). All citations in this Decision to individual sections of the
    Vaccine Act are to 42 U.S.C. § 300aa.
    compensation under the terms of the [Vaccine] Act.” Respondent’s Report (“Resp. Rept.”) at 2
    (ECF No. 19).
    After carefully analyzing and weighing the evidence presented in this case in accordance
    with the applicable legal standards, the undersigned finds that Petitioner has failed to provide
    preponderant evidence that her pre-existing autoimmune condition was significantly aggravated
    by her Tdap vaccination. Thus, Petitioner has failed to satisfy her burden of proof under Loving
    v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, 
    86 Fed. Cl. 135
    , 142-44 (2009). Accordingly, the
    petition shall be dismissed.
    II.    ISSUES TO BE DECIDED
    First, the parties dispute diagnosis. Petitioner takes the position that she has an
    autoimmune condition “associated with a longstanding positive [antinuclear antibodies
    (“ANA”) 3] and a positive [Epstein-Barr virus (“EBV”)]” that “has been alternately described as
    connective tissue disease [(“CTD”)], mixed connective tissue disease [(“MCTD”)],
    undifferentiated connective tissue disease [(“UCTD”)], chronic fatigue, [and] some kind of
    immunodeficiency.” Petitioner’s Motion for Ruling on the Record (“Pet. Mot.”), filed Jan. 28,
    2022, at 20 (ECF No. 102). While she agrees that her diagnosis does not “fit neatly into any
    category,” she asserts that no specific diagnosis has been required for treatment purposes, and
    that her theory of causation does not turn on an “ultimate diagnosis.” 
    Id.
    In response, Respondent argues that “[P]etitioner has not clearly established the injury for
    which she seeks compensation,” and that it is “insufficient” to simple allege an “underlying
    autoimmune condition (whether termed [MCTD], [UCTD,] or chronic fatigue).” Resp.
    Response to Pet. Mot. (“Resp. Response”), filed Apr. 1, 2022, at 18-19 (ECF No. 105).
    Respondent bases this argument on the opinions of his experts. Drs. Erin Wilfong and Evan
    Anderson, who opined that each of these potential conditions are “unique and not
    interchangeable.” Id. at 19. Thus, Respondent asserts that “establishing a differential diagnosis
    is a vital preliminary step for [P]etitioner to establish vaccine causation.” Id. at 20.
    Regarding causation, Petitioner asserts that her Tdap vaccination significantly aggravated
    her pre-existing autoimmune condition, and maintains that she has proven by preponderant
    evidence the standards articulated in Loving. Pet. Mot. at 14-33. Respondent disagrees.
    Respondent contends that Petitioner’s claim fails because she has not satisfied her burden under
    the six-factor test established in Loving. Resp. Response at 18-29.
    3 Antinuclear antibodies are “antibodies directed against nuclear antigens; ones against a variety
    of different antigens are almost invariably found in systemic lupus erythematosus and are
    frequently found in . . . mixed connective tissue disease [(“MCTD”)].” Antinuclear Antibodies,
    Dorland’s Med. Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id
    =56804 (last visited Oct. 5, 2022).
    2
    III.   PROCEDURAL HISTORY
    Petitioner filed her petition on May 24, 2017, and medical records on May 26, 2017.
    Petition; Pet. Exhibits (“Exs.”) 1-15. Additional medical records were filed from November
    2017 to January 2018. Pet. Exs. 16-20. Respondent filed his Rule 4(c) Report on January 19,
    2018, arguing “this case is not appropriate for compensation under the terms of the [Vaccine]
    Act.” Resp. Rept. at 2.
    Petitioner filed an expert report from Dr. Judy A. Mikovits and Dr. Francis W. Ruscetti
    on May 29, 2018. Pet. Ex. 21. Respondent filed an expert report from Dr. Erin M. Wilfong on
    October 15, 2018. Resp. Ex. A. On January 31, 2019, Petitioner filed an expert report from Dr.
    Joseph A. Bellanti. Pet. Ex. 48.
    This case was reassigned to the undersigned in October 2019. Notice of Reassignment
    dated Oct. 8, 2019 (ECF No. 45). Petitioner filed additional medical records in October and
    December 2019. Pet. Exs. 58-59. On February 18, 2020, Respondent filed a supplemental
    expert report from Dr. Wilfong and an expert report from Dr. Evan J. Anderson. Resp. Exs. C,
    E. Petitioner filed a pre-hearing memorandum on March 9, 2020. Pet. Prehearing Memorandum
    (“Memo.”), filed Mar. 9, 2020 (ECF No. 60).
    The undersigned held a Rule 5 conference on March 10, 2020. Rule 5 Order dated Mar.
    11, 2020, at 1 (ECF No. 61). At the Rule 5 conference, Petitioner indicated she is not relying on
    the expert report from Drs. Mikovits and Ruscetti or their medical literature.4 Transcript (“Tr.”)
    5-6. Thereafter, Petitioner filed updated medical records in March 2020. Pet. Exs. 60-62.
    Respondent filed a pre-hearing brief on April 27, 2020. Resp. Pre-Hearing Brief (“Br.”), filed
    Apr. 27, 2020 (ECF No. 72).
    On May 6, 2020, the parties filed a joint status report, indicating the parties would like to
    proceed with a Ruling on the Record instead of an entitlement hearing in June 2020. Joint Status
    Rept., filed May 6, 2020 (ECF No. 77). Thereafter, Petitioner filed supplemental expert reports
    from Dr. Bellanti and updated medical records, and Respondent filed a supplemental expert
    report from Dr. Anderson. Pet. Exs. 63-66; Resp. Ex. H.
    Petitioner filed a motion for a ruling on the record on January 28, 2022. Pet. Mot.
    Respondent filed his response on April 1, 2022, and Petitioner filed a reply on April 22, 2022.
    Resp. Response; Pet. Reply to Resp. Response to Pet. Mot. (“Pet. Reply”), filed Apr. 22, 2022
    (ECF No. 106).
    The matter is now ripe for adjudication.
    4Further, Petitioner did not reference this expert report or supporting medical literature in her
    briefs. See Pet. Prehearing Memo.; Pet. Mot.; Pet. Reply to Resp. Response to Pet. Mot. (“Pet.
    Reply”), filed Apr. 22, 2022 (ECF No. 106).
    3
    IV.    MEDICAL TERMINOLOGY
    A.      Epstein-Barr Virus
    Petitioner asserts that the Tdap vaccine triggered reactivation of her latent EBV,
    significantly aggravating her pre-existing autoimmune condition. Pet. Mot. at 14. EBV, a
    herpes virus, infects approximately 90-95% of adults. Pet. Ex. 50 at 3. 5 The primary infection
    generally occurs early in life, and the majority of cases are asymptomatic. Id. In adolescence or
    early adulthood, EBV infections can cause infectious mononucleosis. Id. After primary
    infection, once the infection is “controlled by the immune response, the virus remains latent for
    the lifetime of the host in B-lymphocytes.” Id. The virus usually remains latent unless one is
    immunocompromised, has an HIV infection, or has drug-induced immunosuppression.6 Id. at 7-
    8. “Occasional reactivation from latency and virus production is triggered by environmental
    stimuli but tightly controlled by the immune system of healthy individuals.” Pet. Ex. 54 at 2. 7
    “What triggers reactivation [of EBV] is not known precisely. The presumption is that it occurs
    when latently infected B cells respond to unrelated infections, because B-cell receptor
    stimulation triggers reactivation in B-cell lines.” Pet. Ex. 55 at 3. 8
    Diagnosis can be confirmed by EBV-specific antibody 9 tests. Pet. Ex. 55 at 10. In
    “acute primary EBV infection,” there will be Immunoglobulin M (“IgM”) antibodies to the early
    viral capsid antigens (“VCA”). Id. After the onset of acute illness, from about the third week to
    the third month, VCA IgM antibodies decrease and VCA Immunoglobulin G (“IgG”) antibodies
    increase and continue to be present throughout life. Id. After about six months, “VCA IgM
    antibodies disappear, and Epstein-Barr nuclear antigen 1 (“EBNA1”) IgG antibodies become
    detectable and persist for life. All 3 antibodies may be present in late primary infection or
    subclinical reactivation . . . .” Id. EBV infection or reactivation can also be detected by
    polymerase chain reaction (“PCR”) testing. Id.
    5Jason Aligo et al., Is Murina Gammaherpesvirus-68 (MHV-68) a Suitable Immunotoxicological
    Model for Examining Immunomodulatory Drug-Associated Viral Recrudescence?, 12 J.
    Immunotoxicology 1 (2015) .
    6 Aligo et al. did not identify any of Petitioner’s illnesses as examples of those at risk for EBV
    reactivation. The authors also did not identify vaccines as associated with viral reactivation.
    7Bettina Kempkes & Erie S. Robertson, Epstein-Barr Virus Latency: Current and Future
    Perspectives, 17 Current Ops. Virology 138 (2015).
    8Oludare A. Odumade et al., Progress and Problems in Understanding and Managing Primary
    Epstein-Barr Virus Infections, 24 Clinical Microbiology Revs. 193 (2011).
    9 This Decision discusses various antibodies. An antibody is “an immunoglobulin molecule that
    has a specific amino acid sequence by virtue of which it interacts only with the antigen that
    induced its synthesis in cells of the lymphoid series (especially plasma cells), or with antigen
    closely related to it.” Antibody, Dorland’s Med. Dictionary Online,
    https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=3261 (last visited Oct. 5, 2022).
    4
    B.      Chronic Fatigue Syndrome
    Chronic fatigue syndrome (“CFS”) is “a multifaceted illness with a wide array of
    symptoms, potential etiological causes[,] and prognoses.” Pet. Ex. 66 at 1. 10 Alternative names
    for the condition include myalgic encephalomyelitis, chronic fatigue immune disorder syndrome,
    and systemic exertion intolerance disease (“SEID”). Id. Criteria for CFS include “fatigue,
    neurocognitive dysfunction, disturbed sleep[,] and autonomic dysfunction.” Id. at 2. The illness
    is characterized by “persistent and disabling fatigue that results in a significant reduction in
    activity for greater than six months” and “worsening of symptoms after mild physical and/or
    mental exertion.” Id.
    The cause of CFS is unknown, but there are a number of “popular hypotheses,” which
    include infection, “microbiome disruption, immune response dysregulation, endocrine
    abnormalities[,] and intracellular dysfunction” in those who are “genetically susceptible.” Pet.
    Ex. 66 at 2. There are two peak ages: between 10-19 years old and between 30-39 years old. Id.
    Additionally, CFS is more common in women. Id. A preceding infection is thought to be a risk
    factor, and the condition was first reported in association with fatigue following EBV infection.
    Id. at 3. “However, infection prior to its onset is not true of all [CFS] patients.” Id. Further, “[a]
    wide range or microorganisms have been described in relation to CFS with varying mechanisms
    of pathogenesis.” Id.
    Diagnosis of CFS is difficult “due to lack of diagnostic testing” and “variability in its
    presentation and shared clinical symptoms with many conditions.” Pet. Ex. 66 at 3. Moreover,
    “CFS is a diagnosis of exclusion, where it is important to rule out active diseases that share
    similar symptoms.” Id. at 4. Clinical criteria for diagnosis include the “[p]resence of disabling
    fatigue for a minimum duration of 6 months in adults.” Id. Fatigue “that affects both physical
    and mental functioning is an important indicator in diagnosis.” Id. In addition, four of the
    following symptoms must be present: “memory problems, sore throat, post-exertion malaise,
    tender cervical or axillary lymph nodes, myalgia, multi-joint pain, headaches, and troubled
    sleep.” Id. at 5. There are no abnormal laboratory tests or biomarkers required for diagnosis. Id.
    C.      Connective Tissue Disease, Undifferentiated Connective Tissue Disease, and
    Mixed Connective Tissue Disease
    Connective tissue disease (“CTD”) is an umbrella term encompassing both
    undifferentiated connective tissue disease (“UCTD”) and mixed connective tissue disease
    (“MCTD”). Resp. Ex. A at 3. UCTD is “characterized by the presence of clinical and
    serological manifestations suggestive of autoimmune diseases but not sufficient to make a
    diagnosis of a defined CTD,” such as systemic lupus erythematosus, Sjogren’s syndrome, and
    10Nazir Noor et al., A Comprehensive Update of the Current Understanding of Chronic Fatigue
    Syndrome, 11 Anesthesiology & Pain Med. e113629 (2021).
    5
    rheumatoid arthritis. Resp. Ex. A-1 at 1. 11 “[A] small percentage of patients with an
    undifferentiated onset, will evolve to defined CTDs while the majority of them will remain
    undifferentiated during the course of the disease.” Id. at 2. Generally, UCTDs are “systemic
    autoimmune conditions characterized by a mild clinical profile and a simplified autoimmune
    repertoire. Although these conditions are generally benign, an evolution to CTDs is reported and
    changes in the disease course may occur.” Id. at 3.
    The characteristic symptoms of UCTD include arthritis, arthralgias, Raynaud’s
    phenomenon, and leukopenia. Resp. Ex. A-1 at 2. Neurological symptoms and renal
    involvement are uncommon. Id. “About 90% of [] UCTD patients have [a] positive ANA” and
    10-30% have anti-ribonucleoprotein (“anti-RNP”) antibodies. Id. The majority of patients,
    however, have “a simple autoantibody profile characterized by a single antibody specificity.” Id.
    There are no generally accepted diagnostic criteria for UCTD. Id. at 3. There are “[n]o
    triggering factors for the evolution of undifferentiated disease to defined CTDs [that] have been
    so far identified.” Id. at 2.
    MCTD is a condition characterized by “mixed features of systemic lupus erythematosus
    [], systemic sclerosis [], polymyositis/dermatomyositis [], and rheumatoid arthritis [] together
    with the presence of high-[titer] anti-U1 small nuclear (sn) [anti-RNP] antibodies.” Resp. Ex. A-
    3 at 1. 12 MCTD can begin with a clinical presentation of any of the above identified illnesses at
    the time of onset or during the clinical course of the illness. Id. at 2. “The most common clinical
    features are polyarthritis, [Raynaud’s phenomenon], sclerodactyly, swollen hands, muscle
    disorders[,] and [esophageal] dysmotility. Alopecia, malar rash, lymphadenopathy[,] or kidney
    damage are less common but can be present,” and “fever, fatigue, arthralgias[,] or myalgias are
    also common.” Id.
    V.     FACTUAL SUMMARY
    A.      Summary of Relevant Facts 13
    1.     Pre-Vaccination Records
    Petitioner was sixty-one years of age when she received a Tdap vaccine on August 8,
    2014 in her left deltoid. Pet. Ex. 1 at 1. Her past medical history is notable for hysterectomy,
    11 M. Mosca et al., Undifferentiated Connective Tissue Diseases (UCTD), 6 Autoimmunity Revs.
    1 (2006).
    12Oscar-Danilo Ortega-Hernandez & Yehuda Shoenfeld, Mixed Connective Tissue Disease: An
    Overview of Clinical Manifestations, Diagnosis and Treatment, 26 Best Practice & Rsch.
    Clinical Rheumatology 61 (2012).
    13This section is primarily taken from Respondent’s Rule 4(c) Report. See Resp. Rept. at 2-10.
    Additional factual summaries are set forth in the parties’ briefs. See Pet. Mot. at 2-8; Resp.
    Response at 4-14.
    6
    hormone replacement therapy, adrenal insufficiency, hypothyroidism, chronic fatigue, and post-
    traumatic stress disorder. Pet. Ex. 1 at 17-26; Pet. Ex. 19 at 71; Pet. Ex. 16 at 43.
    More than two years before she received the vaccination at issue, on March 12, 2012,
    Petitioner’s medical records documented complaints of fatigue and myalgias under review of
    systems. Pet. Ex. 16 at 43. On June 13, 2013, over a year before Petitioner received the Tdap
    vaccine, she was seen by primary care provider Amena Hashmi, D.O., at CareHere Clinic for a
    routine check-up. Pet. Ex. 1 at 20-21. Petitioner reported that she “ha[d] not been taking any
    thyroid medication or hydrocortisone [for] several months now. Hydrocortisone helps to
    eliminate fatigue, but because of side effects of steroids[,] [Petitioner] [did] not desire to take this
    medication.” Id. at 21.
    On July 18, 2013, Petitioner presented for an initial consultation with William Rea, M.D.,
    of the Environmental Health Center-Dallas, complaining of a thirty-year history of fatigue and
    chronic infections. Pet. Ex. 5 at 28. Dr. Rea ordered labs, including ANA testing, which showed
    a positive ANA titer (1:40) with a homogenous pattern. Id. at 20. Dr. Rea also ordered a
    number of unconventional lab tests, including a urine screen for toxic metals, hair analysis for
    “Toxic & Essential Elements,” a “Chlorinated Pesticides Profile,” and a “Volatile Solvents
    Profile.” Id. at 6-17. On July 29, 2013, Dr. Rea ordered an “autogenous vaccine” 14 for
    Petitioner. Id. at 18.
    Over the next few months, Petitioner was seen by both Dr. Hashmi and Dr. Rea on
    multiple occasions. Pet. Ex. 1 at 18-20; Pet. Ex. 5 at 2-5, 41-67. On October 25, 2013,
    Petitioner saw treating physician, Stephen Dalton, D.O., at PNS Healthpoint Two. Pet. Ex. 6 at
    46. Dr. Dalton noted, under history of present illness, that Petitioner “presents with [g]etting
    infections too easily and then needs antibiotics and then antifungals. She recently saw Dr. [Rea]
    in Dallas. She is on a sauna protocol and on supportive supplements. Now feeling so much
    better[.] Energy and clarity are now all better.” Id. Petitioner wanted to discuss food allergies
    and fingernail infections. Id. She was taking estrogen and progesterone. Id. Physical exam
    revealed “fungal infection of some nails.” Id. at 47. Dr. Dalton’s diagnoses were reaction to
    food, bacterial vaginitis, menopause, and postmenopausal hormone replacement. Id.
    On December 9, 2013, Petitioner saw another physician at CareHere Clinic, Filippo
    Masciarelli, M.D., for postmenopausal symptoms. Pet. Ex. 1 at 17-18. A few months later, on
    March 7, 2014, Dr. Dalton described Petitioner’s recent history as follows:
    [Patient] is seeing Dr. [Rea] in Dallas - has had environmental lab testing - has
    been treating her with autogenous vaccine (whole blood) - also getting vaginal
    vaccine from the vaginal smear he did - using the bacteria he found - she states
    she is doing much better now - also sprained [right] ankle 5 [weeks] ago[,] seen in
    [emergency room (“ER”)] - no fracture - continues to swell.
    14An autogenous vaccine is “a vaccine prepared from a culture of microorganisms taken from
    the person to be treated with it.” Autogenous Vaccine, Dorland’s Med. Dictionary Online,
    https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=116495 (last visited Oct. 5, 2022).
    7
    Pet. Ex. 6 at 39.
    2.     Vaccination and Post-Vaccination Records
    Petitioner presented to CareHere Clinic on August 8, 2014, and saw Elizabeth Seymour,
    M.D. Pet. Ex. 16 at 60-62. Review of Systems was positive for fatigue. Id. at 60, 62. It was
    also noted that Petitioner “[h]as some type of immunodeficiency.” Id. at 62. Dr. Seymour noted
    that Petitioner was seeing Dr. Rea, and she “[h]ad ANA + elevated 1:40 [titer] in the past.” Id. at
    61. She was reportedly “[t]rying diet, less carbs, no grains,” and she wanted vitamin B12,
    vitamin D, and insulin, as well as a “complement differential performed.” Id. Physical
    examination was normal. Id. Petitioner was given a Tdap vaccine. Id. at 62. Labs were
    ordered, including anti-RNP antibodies. Id.
    Less than two weeks later, on August 20, 2014, Petitioner returned to Dr. Seymour, who
    reviewed the recent labs and noted,
    Cholesterol worse. Prediabetes improved. Also has positive RNP marker, for
    [CTD]. [Complains of] always being tired for 6+ months. Sometimes her joints
    ache, in hands, knees, and hips. Thinks she had a viral or possible reaction to the
    [Tdap] vaccine. [Complains of] fever, chills, aches, and fatigue. Now resolved.
    Pet. Ex. 16 at 64. Physical examination was normal. Id. at 63. Dr. Seymour’s diagnoses were
    “myalgia and myositis, unspecified” and “mixed hyperlipidemia.” Id. at 64 (emphasis omitted).
    She was referred to rheumatology. Id.
    On August 29, 2014, Petitioner saw Dr. Dalton for follow-up of her estrogen deficiency
    and medication refill. Pet. Ex. 6 at 30-31. Under Review of Systems, “[f]atigue” was noted with
    the additional comment that “[s]he has burned the candle at both ends for many years.” Id. at 30.
    Upon review of the musculoskeletal system, it was noted that “[s]he tried a Cowden protocol[15]
    and everything hurt.” Id. Physical examination revealed normal range of motion, normal
    strength, no tenderness, and minimal crepitus of the knees. Id. at 31. Dr. Dalton’s diagnoses
    were menopause, postmenopausal hormone replacement, subclinical hypothyroidism, and
    chronic fatigue. Id.
    Petitioner retuned to Dr. Hashmi on September 9, 2014, complaining of joint pain that
    “started after she got her Tetanus shot.” Pet. Ex. 16 at 65. She reported night sweats, headaches,
    whole-body joint pain, fatigue, and crusty eyes. Id. The history also noted that Petitioner
    “believe[d] she’s probably had symptoms of [MCTD] for several years, but believes after she got
    Tdap, it started a strong flare up that she can’t seem to control.” Id. Physical examination
    revealed tenderness in the metacarpophalangeal (“MCP”) joints in both hands. Id. Dr. Hashmi
    prescribed a Medrol Dosepak. Id.
    15 The Cowden protocol aims to “support immune system health, joint health, muscle and energy
    production as well as detox support” with the administration of various supplements. About the
    Program, NutraMedix, https://www.nutramedix.com/cowden-support-program-month-1.html
    (last visited Oct. 27, 2022).
    8
    One week later, on September 16, 2014, Petitioner saw rheumatologist Nuha R. Said,
    M.D., at the Medical Clinic of North Texas “at the request of Dr. Hashmi for evaluation of
    +ANA, +Sm[16] and RNP.” Pet. Ex. 7 at 1. The following history was obtained by Dr. Said:
    States that about 30 years ago she had EBV and was very ill with that. However,
    despite intermittent flares of her EBV has been fairly healthy and active and has
    had only mild joint pain. She was well until she had her Tdap booster and states
    [that] the day after she developed severe swelling of her joints, red, hot, and
    swollen; had fevers, felt absolutely ill and did not improve significantly until she
    was started on a [M]edrol dosepack. However, she was nervous about using too
    much medication and has been taking Medrol 4 mg daily; feels that her hands in
    particular are still painful and has felt that they hurt more than they did prior to
    the Tdap vaccine.
    Id. The musculoskeletal examination revealed good range of motion in all major joints, no joint
    swelling or redness, normal strength, and mild bony hypertrophy. Id. at 2. Dr. Said noted that
    Petitioner’s joint pain “may represent serum sickness after she had the T[d]ap vaccine,” which
    had improved, but symptoms could be masked by her current course of steroids. Id. at 3. Dr.
    Said prescribed pain medication and ordered additional tests. Id.
    On September 30, 2014, Petitioner told Dr. Hashmi that she ordered low-dose
    Naltrexone 17 through an online pharmacy and had been using it for treatment of her hand pain.
    Pet. Ex. 16 at 66. Dr. Hashmi indicated that he was not comfortable prescribing this medication
    for long-term off-label use. Id. at 67. On examination, Dr. Hashmi observed minimal edema in
    the small joints of Petitioner’s hands. Id. at 66. Magnetic resonance imaging (“MRI”) of the
    brain and spine were ordered and conducted on October 8, 2014. Id. at 67. The results were
    unremarkable. Pet. Ex. 10 at 2-10.
    Petitioner returned to Dr. Said for a rheumatology follow-up on October 23, 2014. Pet.
    Ex. 7 at 7. She was taking low-dose Naltrexone and Aleve. Id. She was not taking steroids. Id.
    Petitioner reported she was feeling better overall but was still having pain in some of her finger
    joints as well as paresthesias in her hands and feet. Id. Examination revealed no active swelling
    16Many studies have shown the presence of anti-Sm antibodies along with other manifestations
    can be “predictive for an evolution to [systemic lupus erythematosus].” Resp. Ex. A-1 at 2.
    17Naltrexone is “a synthetic congener of oxymorphone” that “acts as an opioid antagonist.”
    Naltrexone Hydrochloride, Dorland’s Med. Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/
    dorland/definition?id=33113 (last visited Oct. 5, 2022). Oxymorphone is “used as an analgesic
    for relief of moderate to severe pain.” Oxymorphone Hydrochloride, Dorland’s Med. Dictionary
    Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=36220 (last visited Oct. 5, 2022).
    9
    or synovitis. 18 Id. Dr. Said’s diagnoses were positive RNP antibody and arthralgia. Id. at 8.
    She advised Petitioner to follow-up in one month. Id.
    Six days later, on October 29, 2014, Petitioner presented to a different rheumatologist,
    Jonathan D. Reyes, M.D., of Denton Rheumatology. Pet. Ex. 3 at 8. Physical examination
    revealed decreased muscle strength in Petitioner’s shoulders and hip flexors, no swollen joints,
    and 12 tender points. Id. at 10. The “rheumatologic review” was positive for dry eyes, dry
    mouth, oral ulcers, arthralgias, leukopenia/eosinophilia, ANA, anti-RNP, Raynaud’s, and
    esophageal dysmotility problems. Id. at 9. Under assessment, Dr. Reyes stated,
    The patient is presenting with abnormal labs (ANA+, anti-RNP+) associated with
    joint pains. Joint pains got more pronounced after a recent immunization. We
    will have to consider and rule out [CTDs] at this time due to her positive ANA
    and the associated symptoms (joint pains, mouth sores, leucopenia, dry eyes, dry
    mouth).
    Id. at 11. Hand and feet X-rays were obtained on October 29, 2014. Pet. Ex. 8 at 2-7.
    According to the radiologist, the results were unremarkable. Id. Dr. Reyes, however, noted the
    findings were suggestive of early osteoarthritis (“OA”). Pet. Ex. 3 at 6.
    On November 19, 2014, Petitioner presented for a follow-up visit with Dr. Reyes. Pet.
    Ex. 3 at 6-7. The history noted that Petitioner was “doing just about the same with joint pains
    over her hands and feet.” Id. at 6. “[H]er labs showed a positive ANA and anti-RNP . . .
    otherwise the rest of the serologic markers [were] negative.” Id. Dr. Reyes noted further that
    Petitioner was not anemic or leukopenic, and her eosinophils were slightly elevated at seven. Id.
    Petitioner reported morning stiffness lasting “about half an hour.” Id. Physical examination
    revealed mild tenderness over some of the finger joints in both hands, as well as
    metatarsophalangeal (“MTP”) joints in both feet. Id. Dr. Reyes’ diagnoses were UCTD 19 and
    OA of the hands and feet. Id. He noted that Petitioner “ha[d] some signs and symptoms
    suggestive of [CTD] but she [did] not have enough criteria to diagnose [systemic lupus
    erythematosus] or [other] [CTDs] at this time.” Id. at 6-7. Given Petitioner’s positive ANA and
    anti-RNP, Dr. Reyes decided to “approach this [as] a case of [MCTD]” and observe Petitioner
    for the development of any specific disease in the future. Id. at 7. He prescribed Mobic and
    18Synovitis is “inflammation of a synovial membrane” that “is usually painful, particularly on
    motion, and is characterized by a fluctuating swelling due to effusion within a synovial sac.”
    Synovitis, Dorland’s Med. Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/
    definition?id=48576 (last visited Oct. 5, 2022). Synovial membrane is “the inner of the two
    layers of the articular capsule of a synovial joint, composed of loose connective tissue and
    having a free smooth surface that lines the joint cavity.” Membrana Synovialis Capsulae
    Articularis, Dorland’s Med. Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/
    definition?id=88558 (last visited Oct. 5, 2022).
    19The diagnosis code was “unspecified diffuse [CTD]” Pet. Ex. 3 at 6. For clarity, the
    undersigned will refer to this diagnosis as UCTD.
    10
    instructed Petitioner to stay active, perform muscle strengthening exercises, and return to the
    clinic in six months. Id.
    On May 20, 2015, Petitioner presented for a six-month follow-up visit with Dr. Reyes.
    Pet. Ex. 3 at 2-3. Petitioner reported Mobic gave her palpitations, so she switched to Aleve as
    needed. Id. at 2. Petitioner still complained of joint pains in hands and feet. Id. She also
    reported a burning sensation over her upper arms and thighs as well as fluctuating energy levels.
    Id. Rheumatologic review was positive for oral sores, arthralgias, dry eyes, and Raynaud’s in
    feet more than hands. Id. Physical examination revealed mild tenderness over some joints of
    both hands and both feet, as well as 4/5 strength in the hips. Id. Dr. Reyes’ diagnoses were
    UCTD, Raynaud’s syndrome, and generalized muscle weakness. Id. at 2-3. Petitioner was
    prescribed Tramadol and instructed to follow up in six months. Id. at 3.
    Petitioner followed up with Dr. Dalton on July 13, 2015. Pet. Ex. 6 at 59. Dr. Dalton’s
    history noted that Petitioner was diagnosed with MCTD by a rheumatologist and that “[a]ll of
    her symptoms of this started with a DTaP shot.” Id. On July 27, 2015, Petitioner presented to
    the Amarillo Veterans Affairs Health Care System (“VA”) to establish care. Pet. Ex. 19 at 70-
    71. She relayed her history of MCTD. Id. at 71. Physical examination showed “some
    tenderness over [MCPs] and [MTPs].” Id. at 72. Gabapentin was prescribed for myalgia, and
    the plan was to obtain more labs, review past records, and refer Petitioner to the VA’s
    rheumatologist. Id. at 73.
    About four months later, on November 18, 2015, Petitioner followed up with Dr. Reyes.
    Pet. Ex. 3 at 4. Petitioner stated that her joint pain continued, she felt more tired, she had a
    burning pain over her thighs when she got up from a seated position, and she noticed nighttime
    fever and sweats. Id. Petitioner also relayed her belief that her Tdap vaccination in August 2014
    “brought about or precipitated the expression/exacerbation of her symptoms.” Id. Physical
    examination showed mild tenderness over some joints of both hands and both feet, but no
    swollen, red, or hot joints. Id. Strength in Petitioner’s hips and shoulders was mildly decreased
    (4+/5). Id.
    On February 24, 2016, Petitioner presented for her first evaluation at the VA
    rheumatology clinic with Dr. Carlos A. Plata. Pet. Ex. 19 at 65. Dr. Plata took the following
    history:
    Patient indicates that while she was in the military she was diagnosed with [CFS]
    and at that time, workup was done and she was told [she had] high titers of
    [EBV]. She since then has had some problems with chronic fatigue and general
    malaise. She had a workup redone a few years ago by a rheumatologist in Denton
    where she lives and was found to have a positive ANA and a positive rheumatoid
    factor anti RNP. With that she was diagnosed possible tonic-clonic seizure
    disorder[20] however just anti-inflammatories were tried and since then she has
    had episodes of general malaise and joint swelling affecting mostly the hands and
    20The reference to a seizure disorder was an error. A later addendum clarified that Petitioner
    does not have a seizure disorder, but an autoimmune disorder. Pet. Ex. 19 at 67.
    11
    feet. She has ha[d] fatigue also and morning stiffness lasting an hour or 2. She
    has variable Raynaud phenomenon that could be pretty significant in the winter . .
    . otherwise no major skin issues. She does have some dryness in eyes and mouth
    that is mild not very significant never had any swelling, never had any
    photosensitivity.
    Id. Petitioner reported that her past medical history “[i]nclude[d] flare of her disease after a
    tetanus shot.” Id. Physical examination showed minimal chronic synovitis in some MCPs of
    both hands and minimal tenderness in the MTPs. Id. at 66. Dr. Plata thought Petitioner had an
    autoimmune disease, but he did not think that the differential diagnosis would “make a big
    difference” in her care. Id. at 66-67. The plan was for Petitioner to start on Plaquenil and use
    non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (“NSAIDs”) and tramadol for flare-ups. Id. at 67.
    Over the next year, Petitioner was followed by Dr. Reyes (Pet. Ex. 20 at 3-6),
    practitioners at CareHere Clinic (Pet. Ex. 16 at 73-80), and practitioners at the VA (Pet. Ex. 19 at
    58-65). On November 16, 2016, Dr. Reyes noted that Petitioner felt the low-dose Naltrexone
    and a gluten-free/grain-free diet were helping to control her symptoms. Pet. Ex. 20 at 3. Her
    joint pains were “not completely resolved but [were] manageable.” Id. Petitioner complained of
    feeling feverish at times, occasional pain over hands, feet, and upper back, and recent onset of
    achiness and stiffness in upper arms and thighs. Id. Dr. Reyes noted that these symptoms
    “make[] one think of the possibility of PMR (Polymyalgia Rheumatica).” Id. at 3-4.
    Nevertheless, Dr. Reyes concluded that Petitioner had “already completed 2 years of follow up
    for the positive ANA and thus far, there has not been any apparent development of specific
    [CTD]. I think that we can already stop monitoring her for possible CTD’s at this time, but this
    is not to say that she can never ever develop any CTD in the future.” Id. at 4.
    In 2016, genetic testing revealed that Petitioner had an MTHFR polymorphism,21 and
    treatment with folic acid was initiated. Pet. Ex. 16 at 76-78.
    On July 22, 2016, the VA issued a determination that Petitioner was 100% disabled. Pet.
    Ex. 4 at 1, 5. The VA “assigned a 100 percent evaluation for [Petitioner’s] [MCTD] with
    positive ANA/RNP and residuals of [EBV] based on: Acute, with frequent exacerbations,
    producing severe impairment of health. This is the highest schedular evaluation allowed under
    the law for systemic lupus erythematosus.” Id.
    On December 8, 2016, a nurse practitioner at CareHere Clinic noted that in addition to
    the folic acid preparation Enlyte, Petitioner’s medications included Naltrexone, estrogen,
    21 For an explanation of the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (“MTHFR”) gene and related
    variants, see MTHFR Gene, Folic Acid, and Preventing Neural Tube Defects, Ctrs. for Disease
    Control & Prevention, https://www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/folicacid/mthfr-gene-and-folic-acid.html
    (last reviewed June 15, 2022). A genetic polymorphism is “the long-term occurrence in a
    population of multiple alternative alleles at a locus, with the rarest ones being at a frequency
    greater than could be maintained by recurrent mutation alone.” Genetic Polymorphism,
    Dorland’s Med. Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id
    =99319 (last visited Oct. 5, 2022).
    12
    progesterone, tramadol, NSAIDs, and natural herbal medicines. Pet. Ex. 16 at 78. The history of
    allergies noted in this record included “[Tdap] vaccine - serum sickness reaction.” Id. Petitioner
    denied headaches, muscle aches, or weakness at that office visit. Id.
    In February 2017, Petitioner began receiving treatment from a holistic practitioner, Jerald
    L. Tennant, M.D., M.D. (H), PScD (doctor of pastoral medicine) through the Tennant Institute of
    Integrative Medicine. See Pet. Ex. 14 at 17-29; Pet. Ex. 15; Pet. Ex. 18.
    On March 15, 2017, Petitioner saw Dr. Plata in rheumatology for a follow-up and
    reported that she did not start the Plaquenil after her last visit. Pet. Ex. 19 at 57. Petitioner was
    reporting more frequent arthralgia, general malaise, and worsening fatigue. Id. Physical
    examination revealed “minimal chronic synovitis in MCPs of both hands, with mild tenderness
    especially on the right side,” and “straight dependent edema.” Id. Dr. Plata noted that Petitioner
    was affected by “a mild disease” with “constitutional symptoms that are mild, but are more
    annoying at this time.” Id. at 58. Dr. Plata recommended that Petitioner try Plaquenil, and
    Petitioner agreed. Id. By September 19, 2017, six months later, Petitioner’s achiness reportedly
    improved on the medication. Id. at 49.
    B.      Petitioner’s Affidavit
    Petitioner averred that prior to the vaccination at issue here, she “ha[d] an autoimmune
    condition, diagnosed approximately [one] month prior to the vaccine.” Pet. Ex. 12 at ¶ 1. “The
    autoimmune condition was discovered by . . . a positive RNP antibody, as well as a positive
    ANA.” Id. Petitioner related her positive ANA to her time “in the U.S. Marine Corps and [her]
    diagnosis of [CFS], with consequent highly positive antibodies for [EBV] in the 1980s.” Id.
    Upon exiting the Marine Corps, Petitioner stated her CFS lingered; she continued to have a
    positive ANA, but she had no joint or muscle pain. Id. at ¶¶ 1-2.
    Within hours of receiving the Tdap vaccine on August 8, 2014, Petitioner felt feverish
    and achy. Pet. Ex. 12 at ¶ 5. The following date, Petitioner was exhausted and had a fever. Id.
    Within a few days, Petitioner collapsed while standing due to “unbearable pain in [her] joints,
    [her] knees, [her] back, and [her] hands and feet. [She] could barely walk and suffered
    debilitating exhaustion.” Id. Petitioner returned to CareHere Clinic on August 20 and
    September 9, complaining of joint pain, mostly in her hands and feet. Id. Petitioner continued to
    see doctors, including two rheumatologists, for her painful and swollen joints, as well as muscle
    pain and muscle spasms. Id. at ¶ 6. Petitioner noted rheumatologist Dr. Said diagnosed her with
    “‘serum sickness’ from the Vaccine and [MCTD].” Id. Petitioner stated Dr. Reyes, a
    rheumatologist, “told [her] that the Vaccine was the precipitating factor that triggered [her]
    condition.” Id. “With a severely restricted diet and supplements, [she] ha[s] managed the pain
    somewhat better.” Id. at ¶ 8.
    As of the date Petitioner executed the affidavit, April 27, 2017, Petitioner averred that
    “[she] continue[s] to suffer joint and muscle pain and spasms which wax and wane and flare
    unexpectedly.” Pet. Ex. 12 at ¶ 9. She also stated that she “can hardly get out of bed in the
    morning for the stiffness in [her] legs and feet.” Id. “[Her] hands and feet are now disfigured
    13
    and remain inflamed and painful.” Id. In an attempt to reduce the inflammation, Petitioner eats
    mostly vegetables. Id.
    C.      Expert Reports 22
    1.        Petitioner – Dr. Joseph A. Bellanti 23
    a.     Background and Qualifications
    Dr. Bellanti is board certified in pediatrics and allergy and immunology. Pet. Ex. 49 at 4.
    He received his M.D. from the University of Buffalo in 1959, after which he completed an
    internship at Millard Fillmore Hospital in Buffalo, New York and a pediatric residency at the
    Children’s Hospital of Buffalo. Id. at 3. Dr. Bellanti completed a special NIH training in
    Immunology and was a Research Virologist at Walter Reed Army Institute of Research. Id. He
    currently works as a Professor of Pediatrics and Microbiology-Immunology at Georgetown
    University School of Medicine, and serves as Director of the International Center for
    Interdisciplinary Studies of Immunology at Georgetown University and Director of the Division
    of Immunology and Virology in the Department of Laboratory Medicine at Georgetown
    University Hospital. Id. at 1. Dr. Bellanti also holds pediatric staff positions at various
    hospitals, including Georgetown University Hospital, Children’s Hospital National Medical
    Center, Arlington Hospital, and INOVA Fairfax Hospital. Id. He has participated in numerous
    scientific and professional societies and committees, and has authored or co-authored over 450
    publications. Id. at 5-7, 12-51.
    b.     Opinion
    i.     Diagnosis
    Dr. Bellanti conceded that due to Petitioner’s clinical course, symptoms, findings, and
    treatments described in her records, it is difficult to arrive at “a definitive diagnosis.” Pet. Ex. 48
    at 3. He opined that UCTD, as shown in an illustration in Dr. Reyes’ medical record,24 is the
    diagnosis that “probably comes the closest to describing [Petitioner’s] condition.”25 Id. Other
    diagnoses that have been used to describe Petitioner’s illness include CTD, MCTD, CFS, and
    “some kind of immunodeficiency.” Pet. Ex. 63 at 14. He added that Petitioner’s “condition is
    22Because Petitioner does not rely on the expert report from Dr. Mikovits and Dr. Ruscetti, the
    undersigned will not address their report and opinions. See Tr. 5-6; Pet. Prehearing Memo.; Pet.
    Mot.; Pet. Reply; Pet. Witness & Exhibit List, filed Apr. 28, 2020, at 2 n.3 (ECF No. 74).
    23   Dr. Bellanti submitted three expert reports. Pet. Exs. 48, 63, 65.
    24   See Pet. Ex. 3 at 1.
    25Although Dr. Bellanti referenced an illustration of UCTD in Dr. Reyes’ records, Dr. Reyes’
    “working diagnosis [for Petitioner was] MCTD (ANA positive, anti-RNP positive) and
    [o]steoarthritis of the hands an[d] feet.” Pet. Ex. 3 at 1-2.
    14
    always associated with a longstanding positive ANA[] and a positive EBV,” and “does not fit
    neatly into any category.” Id. He opined that “[r]egardless of where on th[e] [CTD] spectrum
    [Petitioner] falls, they are all autoimmune conditions.” Id. at 15.
    Regardless of her specific diagnosis, Dr. Bellanti asserted that Petitioner’s “illness
    dramatically worsened,” and she developed new symptoms, after her Tdap vaccination. Pet. Ex.
    48 at 3.
    ii.     Loving Factor Four/Althen Prong One
    Regarding causation, Dr. Bellanti opined that Petitioner’s Tdap vaccine caused
    reactivation of latent EBV, which caused a dramatic worsening of a pre-existing
    autoimmune/auto-inflammatory disease. Pet. Ex. 63 at 14. He stated that “[t]here are several
    well-documented theories about how the [Tdap] vaccination could have triggered the activation
    of the EBV.” Pet. Ex. 48 at 4. He asserted that the latent EBV infection “in the healthy
    individual is maintained in check by the CD8 T lymphocytes. It is now well known that several
    environmental factors that depress the function of these viral-restricting T cells can activate the
    clinically silent latent infection, causing reactivation of virus with more destruction of the target
    cells and exacerbation of clinical symptoms.” Id. at 5. He opined that environmental stimuli
    include “stress, fever, infection[,] or vaccination.” Id.
    Dr. Bellanti discussed three mechanisms relevant to latent EBV infections and
    reactivation. First, “[t]he central mechanism[] controlling EBV reactivation [is] epigenetic.”
    Pet. Ex. 48 at 5. He defined this as “changes in the expression of genes, without a change in the
    nucleotide sequence of the virus.” Id. Dr. Bellanti added that while “much is known about the
    molecular pathways involved in viral reactivation[], what triggers reactivation in vivo is not
    known precisely. The presumption is that it occurs when latently infected B cells respond to
    unrelated infections, because B-cell receptor stimulation triggers reactivation in B-cell lines.”
    Pet. Ex. 63 at 17 (quoting Pet. Ex. 55 at 3).
    He cited a comprehensive article by Odumade et al., which addressed primary infection,
    EBV latency, and reactivation. Pet. Ex. 55. Odumade et al. explained that EBV, a human
    herpesvirus (HHV-4), is thought to cause an initial infection in the tonsils. Id. at 2.
    Lymphocytes and epithelia cells act as host cells. Id. EBV attaches to B cells, and ultimately the
    genome of the virus “is transported to the nucleus, where it is replicated by DNA polymerases.”
    Id. The authors defined latency as “the state of persistent viral infection without active viral
    production. EBV persists mostly in the memory B-cell compartment . . . . Currently, it is
    thought that one in a million B cells carry the EBV genome in an individual after recovery from
    acute infection.” Id. “Latently infected B cells can occasionally be stimulated to reactivate
    EBV. This produces virus that can reinfect new B cells and epithelial cells, becoming a source
    of viral transmission.” Id. at 3. Odumade et al. explained that “what triggers reactivation [] is
    not known precisely,” but that “[t]he presumption is that it occurs when latently infected B cells
    respond to unrelated infections.” Id.
    Second, Dr. Bellanti stated that “dysregulation of microglia, dendritic cells, B-cells
    (antigen presenting cells) by the specific antigens or excipients in the vaccine preparation can []
    15
    be responsible for EBV reactivation by altering DNA, leading to CD8+ T cell activation.” Pet.
    Ex. 48 at 5. Similarly, he opined that the “dysregulation of microglia, dendritic cells, B-Cells
    (antigen presenting cells) by aluminum and endotoxin in the vaccine can also allow the EBV to
    reactivate by altering DNA, leading to CD8+ T cell activation. These cells are critical to clearing
    acute EBV.” Pet. Ex. 63 at 16. However, Dr. Bellanti failed to explain how the Tdap vaccine
    alters DNA, or dysregulates cells to cause “chronic expression of inflammatory cytokines,” or
    otherwise cause reactivation of EBV. Pet. Ex. 48 at 5. Nor did he explain how aluminum and
    endotoxin in the vaccine lead to EBV reactivation.
    In support of this second mechanism, Dr. Bellanti cited Eligio et al., 26 who stated “CD8+
    T cells are essential for recovery from [infectious mononucleosis],” the acute illness caused by
    EBV. Pet. Ex. 52 at 4. But the authors did not discuss vaccines, or suggest that vaccines play
    any role in reactivation of EBV. They also did not discuss aluminum or endotoxin in vaccines.
    Eligio et al. also stated that CD8+ T cells are especially important in the context of
    “primary EBV infection in immunocompromised individuals who are unable to mount the
    appropriate response and who usually die of fulminating [infectious mononucleosis]-like
    syndrome within weeks of acquiring EBV.” Pet. Ex. 52 at 4. Dr. Bellanti stated that
    “[Petitioner] was unable to ‘clear’ the virus due to her immunodeficiency[,] . . . [y]et her
    condition remained relatively stable” until her vaccination. Pet. Ex. 63 at 16. Leaving aside the
    questions of whether Petitioner was immunocompromised, had an immunodeficiency order, or
    was able to “clear” her body of the EBV virus after she was initially infected, the Eligio et al.
    paper does not speak to EBV reactivation following vaccination.
    Third, Dr. Bellanti proposed that “[m]olecular mimicry can be involved at both the
    nucleic acid (altering regulatory RNA) or at the protein level due to cross reactivity among the
    various antigens in the vaccine.” Pet. Ex. 48 at 5. He explained that vaccines contain viral
    compounds and other excipients that stimulate an immune response. Pet. Ex. 63 at 17. If the
    antigens contained in the vaccine share homology with antigens in the host, “then the immune
    response will be directed at both the injected antigens and host antigens, leading to an
    autoimmune response.” Id. “Molecular mimicry can be involved at both the nucleic acid
    (altering regulatory RNA) or at the protein level due to cross reactivity among the various
    antigens in the Tdap vaccine, [and] the more than 100 [EBV] antigens and human cells.” Id. at
    17-18.
    He cited Kanduc and Shoenfeld 27 in support of this mechanism, stating that they “detail
    the mimicry that occurs with cross reactivity of hundreds of peptide and nuclear acid sequences
    expressed from [r]eactivated EBV and the human genome.” Pet. Ex. 48 at 5. The Kanduc and
    Shoenfeld article, however, does not speak to EBV reactivation at all. The question addressed
    was, “given the massive peptide overlap that characterizes the protein world, [are there] peptide
    26Pizzigallo Eligio et al., EBV Chronic Infections, 2 Mediterranean J. Hematology & Infectious
    Diseases e2010022 (2010).
    Darja Kanduc & Yehuda Shoenfeld, Inter-Pathogen Peptide Sharing and the Original
    27
    Antigenic Sin: Solving a Pardox, 8 Open Immunology J. 16 (2018).
    16
    commonalities among viruses, bacteria[,] and protozoans that might confound, intensify[,] or
    weaken the human immune responses that follow infection [and/or] active immunization?” Pet.
    Ex. 53 at 2. To study the question, they used HPV16 infections/vaccinations as a model to
    explore the “immunologic impact” that prior infections/vaccinations might have had on “human
    anti-HPV16 immune responses.” Id. The central question was whether certain viruses
    (including EBV) and bacteria which share epitopes, creating the potential for cross-reactivity,
    play a role in a mechanism whereby “different infections over time . . . imprint the host
    immunological memory,” leading to an enhanced or inappropriate immune response. Id. at 7.
    The research, however, did not address EBV reactivation, or how vaccines generally, or the Tdap
    vaccine specifically, can cause EBV reactivation. There was no suggestion that the Tdap
    vaccine, through the mechanism of molecular mimicry, or any other mechanism, could reactivate
    a latent EBV infection.
    After discussing the three mechanisms, Dr. Bellanti cited an illustration from his textbook
    entitled Immunology 28 to discuss how chronic viral infections, including one that is latent, may
    be reactivated to cause a “cytolytic infection with cell destruction” or “malignant
    transformation.” Pet. Ex. 48 at 6 (citing Pet. Ex. 51 at 5 fig.13-4).
    28Joseph A. Bellanti & Barry T. Rouse, Mechanisms of Immunity to Viral Disease, in
    Immunology IV: Clinical Applications in Health and Disease 459 (Bellanti et al. eds., 4th ed.
    2012).
    17
    Pet. Ex. 51 at 5 fig.13-4. The illustration, however, does not explain how vaccines, or the Tdap
    vaccine, can cause reactivation of the EBV infection.
    Lastly, Dr. Bellanti cited a comprehensive literature review article about CFS authored by
    Noor et al. Pet. Ex. 66. There, the authors acknowledged that CFS was initially associated with
    EBV infections, but that “it was later determined that it was not always preceded by EBV
    infection.” Id. at 1. The authors stated that “[p]ossible triggering events, such as infections
    followed by an immune dysregulation resulting have been proposed.” Id. But they concluded
    that the “cause of CFS remains unknown.” Id. at 2. The articles did not speak to a mechanism
    whereby EBV is reactivated, or discuss any role played by vaccines in EBV reactivation.
    Throughout his expert reports, Dr. Bellanti maintained that the literature “shows what
    [the] triggers [for EBV reactivation] are, and they include several excitants, like stress, fever,
    infection[,] or vaccination.” Pet. Ex. 63 at 21. He cited two sources in support of the proposition
    that vaccination is a trigger for EBV reactivation. Id. The first is a paper by Kempkes and
    Robertson. Pet. Ex. 54. However, it does not mention vaccines, or suggest that vaccines play
    any role in triggering reactivation. See id. The second article is by Scott, 29 and it focused on
    EBV’s oncogenic activity. Pet. Ex. 57. Scott does not discuss vaccines or reactivation or their
    relationship relative to CTDs or CFS. See id.
    iii.    Loving Factor Five/Althen Prong Two
    Dr. Bellanti opined that the Tdap vaccination caused reactivation of Petitioner’s EBV
    infection, which lead to a worsening of her underlying “autoimmune condition
    ([MCTD]/[CFS]).” Pet. Ex. 63 at 23. He explained that Petitioner previously had an underlying
    EBV infection, which was latent for 30 years, “during which there was a controlled mild
    presentation of the autoimmune condition.” Id. She received the Tdap vaccination on August 8,
    2014, which Dr. Bellanti asserted was followed by a “serum sickness like reaction [that]
    overwhelmed the balance of her immune system and thus [caused] the reactivated EBV.” Id.
    The consequence of EBV reactivation was “significant joint and muscle pain” and an “increase
    in her disability rating from 10% to 100%.” Id. He asserted that the Tdap vaccination, “likely
    through the initial serum sickness like reaction[], [] ultimately exacerbated the underlying
    autoimmune condition that had been originally caused by [] EBV.” Id. at 24.
    In his Factor Five/Prong Two opinions set forth in his second report, Dr. Bellanti
    mentioned Petitioner developed a serum sickness-like reaction, which exacerbated her
    underlying autoimmune condition. Pet. Ex. 63 at 22-23. He did not explain what a serum
    sickness-like reaction is, or how it could have played a role in causing an exacerbation of
    Petitioner’s underlying illness. Also, he did not explain how his proposed mechanisms caused a
    serum sickness-like reaction, or the relationship between his mechanisms and such a reaction.
    Further, he did not offer any medical literature or other supportive evidence on this point.
    29Rona S. Scott, Epstein-Barr Virus: A Master Epigenetic Manipulator, 26 Current Op. Virology
    74 (2017).
    18
    Dr. Bellanti made several assertions about why he believed Petitioner’s Tdap vaccination
    caused Petitioner’s EBV reactivation and the resulting worsening of her underlying condition.
    He first asserted that Petitioner’s underlying condition had been stable for 30 years because of a
    “careful balance [] between the virus and the immune system.” Pet. Ex. 63 at 18 (quoting Pet.
    Ex. 55 at 6). He further asserted that Petitioner “had not demonstrated any flares or changes of
    note in her condition during that [30-year time period].” Id. at 24. However, a review of
    Petitioner’s medical records belies the notion that her underlying condition was stable. For
    example on July 18, 2013, Petitioner presented to Dr. Rea, complaining of a thirty-year history
    of fatigue and chronic infections. Pet. Ex. 5 at 28. And on September 16, 2014, Petitioner saw
    Dr. Said and reported “intermittent flares of her EBV” since her EBV infection “about 30 years
    ago.” Pet. Ex. 7 at 1.
    The next assertion Dr. Bellanti made regarding Factor Five/Prong Two is that other than
    the vaccination at issue, there were no other “epigenetic or environmental factors” experienced
    by Petitioner prior to the worsening of her condition. Pet. Ex. 63 at 18. He noted “[a] review of
    her medical records indicate[d] no undue or unusual stress, there was no fever, no infection, no
    other unusual biological or chemical agent, and no other significant factor present other than her
    vaccination.” Id. (emphasis omitted). However, in July 2013, Petitioner complained of chronic
    infections. Pet. Ex. 5 at 28. Dr. Rea ordered the treatment of “autogenous vaccine” for
    Petitioner. Id. at 18; see also Pet. Ex. 6 at 39. On October 25, 2013, Petitioner saw Dr. Dalton,
    who noted that Petitioner “present[ed] with [g]etting infections too easily and then needs
    antibiotics and then antifungals.” Pet. Ex. 6 at 46. Dr. Dalton’s diagnoses included reactions to
    food, bacterial vaginitis, menopause, and postmenopausal hormone replacement. Id. at 47.
    iv.     Loving Factor Six/Althen Prong Three
    Dr. Bellanti stated Petitioner received the Tdap vaccination on August 8, 2014, and the
    next day, she developed severe swelling of her joints, with redness and warmth. Pet. Ex. 63 at
    24. Petitioner also reported fever, felt ill, and required a Medrol Dosepak for improvement. Id.
    Dr. Bellanti opined that “[t]his timing is appropriate for the initial immune-mediated response
    and the subsequent exacerbation of her condition.” Id. at 24-25.
    According to Dr. Bellanti, this timeframe of onset, described as one day, is supported by
    the medical literature. Pet. Ex. 63 at 25. He also stated that “several of [Petitioner’s] treating
    doctors relate the timing of her Tdap vaccination to her significantly aggravated condition.” Id.
    For support, he cited Dr. Dalton’s statement that “[a]ll hell broke loose with a tetanus shot.” Id.
    (quoting Pet. Ex. 6 at 7).
    Regarding the mechanism by which the Tdap vaccine reactivated Petitioner’s EBV, Dr.
    Bellanti relied upon on molecular mimicry. The articles cited by Petitioner, however, do not
    speak to the appropriate timeframe within which molecular mimicry could cause EBV
    reactivation post-vaccination.
    19
    2.     Respondent – Dr. Erin M. Wilfong 30
    a.     Background and Qualifications
    Dr. Wilfong is board certified in internal medicine and rheumatology. Resp. Ex. A at 1;
    Resp. Ex. B at 2. After receiving her M.D. and Ph.D. in Chemistry from Duke University, she
    completed an internal medicine residency at Johns Hopkins Hospital, a rheumatology fellowship
    at the University of California, San Francisco, and a pulmonary & critical care fellowship at
    Vanderbilt University. Resp. Ex. A at 1; Resp. Ex. B at 1. Dr. Wilfong has experience working
    with patients with CTD. Resp. Ex. A at 1. She has won numerous awards, completed various
    research projects, and co-authored several publications. Resp. Ex. B at 3-5.
    b.     Opinion
    i.     Diagnosis
    Dr. Wilfong opined as to each of Petitioner’s suggested diagnoses in turn. First,
    however, she described the umbrella term, CTDs, as the family of “systemic rheumatic diseases
    associated with a positive ANA.” Resp. Ex. A at 3. These include “systemic lupus
    erythematosus, [MCTD], Sjogren’s syndrome, [] systemic sclerosis, as well as [UCTD].” Resp.
    Ex. A at 3. Those who have UCTD “have some features of autoimmunity, but do not meet
    diagnostic/classification criteria for a defined [CTD].” Id. In contrast, UCTD is a “systemic
    autoimmune condition[] characterized by a mild clinical profile and a simplified autoimmune
    repertoire.” Id. (quoting Resp. Ex. A-1 at 3). “Only a minority of patients with UCTD evolve to
    develop a full [CTD].” Id.
    MCTD is defined by Dr. Wilfong as “a distinct condition with features of systemic lupus
    erythematosus, inflammatory myositis, and systemic sclerosis,” and its hallmark is “the presence
    of anti-U1RNP autoantibodies and anti-nuclear antibodies.” Resp. Ex. A at 3. In fact, U1RNP
    antibodies are pathognomonic for MCTD. Id. at 4. Patients with this illness often have
    “Raynaud’s phenomenon, sclerodactyly (skin tightening), arthritis, and esophageal dysmotility.”
    Id.
    Dr. Wilfong opined that Petitioner “did not develop MCTD after receiving the Tdap
    vaccine.” Resp. Ex. A at 4. In support of her opinion, she cited Dr. Reyes’ November 19, 2014
    note, which stated,
    The patient does have some signs and symptoms suggestive of [CTD,] but she
    does not have enough criteria to diagnose [systemic lupus erythematosus] or
    othe[r] [CTDs] at this time. [H]er [ANA] and anti-RNP are positive and thus we
    will treat and approach this [a]s a case of [MCTD], and observe her over time to
    see if she will develop any specific disease in the future.
    30   Dr. Wilfong submitted two expert reports. Resp. Exs. A, E.
    20
    Pet. Ex. 3 at 6-7. Thus, Dr. Wilfong believed that it was clear that Petitioner did not meet the
    criteria for MCTD at this visit in November 2014, and that Dr. Reyes planned to monitor her for
    a two-year period. Resp. Ex. A at 2, 5. Further, during this period of monitoring, Dr. Reyes
    used the diagnostic code for UCTD. Id. at 2.
    Two years later, on November 16, 2016, at the completion of the monitoring period, Dr.
    Reyes noted that Petitioner had “completed 2 years of follow up for the positive ANA and thus
    far, there has not been any apparent development of specific [CTD].” Pet. Ex. 20 at 4.
    Therefore, Dr. Wilfong concluded that Petitioner’s vaccination did not cause her to develop
    MCTD. Resp. Ex. A at 5.
    Similarly, Dr. Wilfong explained that Dr. Plata did not diagnosis Petitioner with MCTD.
    Resp. Ex. A at 5. Instead, Dr. Plata used the former name for CTD, “Collagen Vascular
    Disease,” as Petitioner’s diagnosis. Id.
    In addition to the fact that Petitioner’s treating physicians did not diagnose her with
    MCTD, Dr. Wilfong observed that Petitioner had a positive RNP on August 8, 2014, the date of
    vaccination. Resp. Ex. A at 2. Therefore, Petitioner’s abnormal lab value was not due to her
    vaccination. Id. Also, she observed that Petitioner did not have a “persistently positive RNP
    antibody,” which is a requirement for the diagnosis of MCTD. 31 Id. at 5, 13.
    A summary of Petitioner’s RNP lab results are shown below, in a summary prepared by
    Dr. Wilfong:
    31 Dr. Wilfong observed that Petitioner’s RNP antibody was “positive only when tested by
    LabCorp but not other reference labs.” Resp. Ex. A at 5. She opined that “[n]egative results
    [from] numerous other reference labs both simultaneously and over many years indicates a false
    positive result on the LabCorp test.” Id.
    21
    Resp. Ex. A at 2. As the chart shows, Petitioner had a positive RNP on the date of vaccination,.
    Id. Thereafter, the results were inconsistent. Id. Based on the fact that Petitioner did not have
    consistently positive RNP antibodies, Dr. Wilfong concluded that she did not meet the criteria
    for MCTD. Id. at 2, 5, 13.
    The next relevant diagnosis is CFS, 32 which Dr. Wilfong explained is characterized by
    fatigue, post-exertional malaise, and unrefreshing sleep, along with cognitive impairment or
    orthostatic intolerance. Resp. Ex. A at 4. The cause is not known, but EBV and other viruses
    have been proposed as causes. Id. Other possible causes include “immune dysfunction,
    endocrine-metabolic dysfunction, depression, sleep disruption, and genetic(s).” Id. Dr. Wilfong
    opined that it was not clear whether Petitioner suffered from CFS because although her records
    documented chronic fatigue, they did not document “cognitive impairment, orthostatic
    intolerance, or non-restorative sleep.” Id. at 5. She agreed, however, that Petitioner had been
    diagnosed with CFS. Id. Even if Petitioner met the criteria for CFS, and assuming she was
    properly diagnosed with CFS, Dr. Wilfong opined that there is no evidence that vaccination can
    cause CFS exacerbation. Id. at 4-5.
    Lastly, Dr. Wilfong discussed serum sickness. Resp. Ex. A at 6. She agreed with Dr.
    Bellanti that “serum sickness is a type III hypersensitivity with complement system activation.”
    Id. However, Dr. Wilfong explained that there is no evidence that Petitioner’s complement
    system was activated as she did not have abnormally low C3 or C4 levels. Id. Thus, she opined
    that “[t]here is no documentation to support that the [P]etitioner had serum sickness after
    vaccination.” Id.
    In summary, Dr. Wilfong opined that Petitioner was diagnosed with UCTD, and that she
    never had MCTD. Nor was she diagnosed with MCTD. Resp. Ex. A at 4-5, 13. Further, she
    never had consistently elevated RNP antibodies, and her initial positive result was the date of
    vaccination, and thus not caused by vaccination. Id. at 2, 5. Petitioner also did not have serum
    sickness. Id. at 6, 13. Dr. Wilfong agreed that Petitioner had been diagnosed with CFS,
    although it was not clear whether she meet the criteria for the diagnosis. Id. at 5-6. Dr. Wilfong
    further opined that vaccination did not exacerbate Petitioner’s underlying condition. Id. at 13.
    ii.    Loving Factor Four/Althen Prong One
    Dr. Wilfong opined that there is “no evidence that the Tdap vaccine leads to reactivation
    of EBV.” Resp. Ex. E at 3. She explained that the best example of EBV reactivation is in the
    context of organ transplantation, where patients are administered medication to induce
    “aggressive immunosuppression” to reduce the risk of organ rejection. Id. This degree of
    immunosuppression can contribute to EBV reactivation. Id. A significant complication of EBV
    32Dr. Wilfong also referred to CFS as systemic exertional intolerance disease, or SEID. For
    simplicity and consistency, CFS will be used throughout this Decision.
    22
    reactivation in this setting is EBV-related lymphoma.33 Id. “According to the United Network
    for Organ Sharing, 764,130 solid organ transplants have been performed since 1988,” and in
    2018, there were 36,519 performed. Id. at 3. As part of transplant protocol, the American
    Society of Transplant Surgeons, in 2009, recommended that patients receive the Tdap vaccine
    before and after organ transplantation. Id. Dr. Wilfong suggested that given this data, if the
    Tdap vaccine caused or contributed to EBV reactivation, there would likely be a published
    association between Tdap vaccination and EBV reactivation. Id. Dr. Wilfong used this lack of
    any such association to support her opinion that the Tdap vaccine does not cause EBV
    reactivation. Id.
    Further, Dr. Wilfong asserted that the medical literature cited by Dr. Bellanti does not
    support the conclusion that Tdap vaccination causes EBV reactivation. Resp. Ex. E at 3-4. Dr.
    Wilfong summarized articles referenced by Dr. Bellanti, and explained why they fail to support
    his assertions. Id. at 4 (citing Pet. Exs. 50-56). For example, in Dr. Bellanti’s book chapter, he
    wrote that herpes viral reactivation “is poorly understood, it seems to be related to conditions that
    depress cell-mediated immune function, such as stress or excessive exposure to sunlight, as well
    as underlying diseases, such as lymphoreticular malignancies, e.g. lymphoma.” Id. (quoting Pet.
    Ex. 51 at 7). Dr. Wilfong noted that there is no discussion about how vaccinations cause
    reactivation of EBV. Id. As for the articles by Aligo et al. and Eligio et al., Dr. Wilfong noted
    there is no discussion of how vaccines lead to viral reactivation. Id. (citing Pet. Exs. 50, 52). Dr.
    Wilfong concluded that there is “no evidence supporting that the tetanus vaccine is a trigger for
    EBV reactivation.” Id. at 5.
    Lastly, Dr. Wilfong opined that “[t]here is no evidence . . . that vaccinations cause
    autoimmune disease flares.” Resp. Ex. A at 11. Dr. Wilfong wrote “[v]accination of patients
    with autoimmune disease is safe and does not result in disease flare.” Id. She cited a study from
    Mok et al. 34 of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus who received HPV vaccinations.
    Resp. Ex. A-22 at 1. The vaccinations did not cause any increase in illness compared with
    systemic lupus erythematosus patients who were not vaccinated. Id. The same was true in
    studies of systemic lupus erythematosus patients and rheumatoid arthritis patients who received
    the hepatitis B vaccine. Resp. Ex. A at 11 (citing Resp. Ex. A-23 at 1; 35 Resp. Ex. A-24 at 1). 36
    33Lymphoma is “any neoplastic disorder of the lymphoid tissue.” Lymphoma, Dorland’s Med.
    Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=29056 (last visited
    Oct. 5, 2022).
    34Chi Chiu Mok et al., Immunogenicity and Safety of a Quadrivalent Human Papillomavirus
    Vaccine in Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: A Case-Control Study, 72 Annals
    Rheumatic Diseases 659 (2013).
    35K.A.M. Kuruma et al., Safety and Efficacy of Hepatitis B Vaccine in Systemic Lupus
    Erythematosus, 16 Lupus 350 (2007).
    36O. Elkayam et al., Safety and Efficacy of Vaccination Against Hepatitis B in Patients with
    Rheumatoid Arthritis, 61 Annals Rheumatic Diseases 623 (2002).
    23
    iii.    Loving Factor Five/Althen Prong Two
    Because “the mechanism by which EBV reactivates has yet to be elucidated,” Dr.
    Wilfong stated that “it is exceedingly challenging to demonstrate the Tdap vaccine more likely
    than not led to an EBV reactivation.” Resp. Ex. E at 3.
    In addition to the fact that the mechanism of EBV reactivation is not known, there are a
    number of salient features of Petitioner’s clinical course significant to Dr. Wilfong that weigh
    against vaccine causation. The first is that Petitioner was monitored by Dr. Reyes for two years
    after vaccination, and during this time she did not develop any specific CTD. Resp. Ex. A at 3.
    In fact, Dr. Reyes stopped monitoring Petitioner after that time. Id.
    The second feature relates to the diagnostic studies of Petitioner’s joints. In her petition,
    Petitioner described that “[h]er hands and feet are [] disfigured and remain inflamed and
    painful.” Resp. Ex. A at 3 (quoting Petition at 3). However, diagnostic studies and pertinent
    medical records cited by Dr. Wilfong showed no significant findings. Id. Hand X-rays from
    July 27, 2015 show Petitioner had “[n]o fracture, dislocation[,] or subluxation” and “[n]o
    significant degenerative changes.” Id. (quoting Pet. Ex. 19 at 7-8). Foot X-rays conducted the
    same day showed “[m]inimal degenerative changes without fracture, dislocation[,] or
    subluxation.” Id. (quoting Pet. Ex. 19 at 9). Dr. Plata’s records also did not document any
    deformity of the hands or feet. Id. Dr. Reyes records from November 2016 showed “[n]o
    tenderness or swelling over the wrists or MCPs. No tenderness over the knees, ankles[,] or toes.
    [P]rominent first MTPs but not tender.” Id. (quoting Pet. Ex. 20 at 3).
    Additional facts pertinent to Dr. Wilfong’s opinions relate to the lack of evidence of
    immune dysregulation. Dr. Wilfong referenced Petitioner’s visit to Dr. Rea on July 18, 2013,
    where labs were ordered due to the concern for immune dysregulation. Resp. Ex. E at 1 (citing
    Pet. Ex. 5 at 34). “[P]etitioner had immunoglobulin and lymphocyte subsets checked” and the
    results were “within normal limits.” Id. (citing Pet. Ex. 5 at 20, 22).
    Regarding Petitioner’s EBV flares and/or reactivation, Dr. Rea’s July 18, 2013 records
    documented that “[P]etitioner had an EBV titer of 2850. However, no date [was] associated with
    this titer, and the medical records [did] not include any associated lab work.” Resp. Ex. E at 1
    (internal citations omitted) (citing Pet. Ex. 5 at 29). At her rheumatology visit on September 16,
    2014, Petitioner reported a history of having EBV 30 years before. Id. (citing Pet. Ex. 7 at 1).
    “[D]espite intermittent flares of her EBV[,] [she] ha[d] been fairly healthy and active and ha[d]
    only had mild joint pain.” Id. at 1-2 (quoting Pet. Ex. 7 at 1). Dr. Wilfong stated the medical
    records did not include lab studies, or references to labs, evidencing that “[P]etitioner had an
    EBV infection or reactivation after 1992 to document any kind of ‘flare.’” Id. at 2. Based on her
    VA records, Petitioner’s “original diagnosis of EBV was made based upon an elevated EBV IgG
    with negative IgM in 1992. No elevated EBV viral load is included in the VA records.” Id.
    (internal citations omitted) (citing Pet. Ex. 58 at 390).
    24
    Instead of vaccination, Dr. Wilfong suggested that a possible explanation 37 for
    “[P]etitioner’s positive serologies and possible [UCTD] is . . . her chronic [EBV].” Resp. Ex. A
    at 12. Dr. Wilfong noted that chronic EBV is associated with autoimmune illness. Id. For
    example, the vast majority of systemic lupus erythematosus patients are EBV IgG positive when
    compared to healthy controls (99.5% versus 95%). Id. (citing Resp. Ex. A-30 at 5). 38 However,
    this is only a possibility, because there is no supportive evidence such as EBV titers, or other test
    results, to support a conclusion that Petitioner had chronic EBV. Id.; Resp. Ex. E at 3. Further,
    Dr. Wilfong observed there is no evidence of EBV reactivation after vaccination. Resp. Ex. E at
    3. No studies were done that showed any increase in Petitioner’s “EBV titers or viral load after
    vaccination to demonstrate EBV reactivation.” Id.
    iv.    Loving Factor Six/Althen Prong Three
    Dr. Wilfong did not specifically express an opinion as to the appropriateness of the
    temporal association between vaccination and alleged illness onset. The majority of her opinions
    addressed the different diagnoses at issue and the mechanism at play for each one. However, Dr.
    Wilfong opined that over the two-year period during which Dr. Reyes monitored Petitioner post-
    vaccination, Petitioner did not develop any specific CTD. Resp. Ex. A at 3.
    3.     Respondent – Dr. Evan J. Anderson 39
    a.     Background and Qualifications
    Dr. Anderson received his M.D. from the University of Chicago, after which he
    completed an internal medicine and pediatrics internship and residency, as well as an adult and
    pediatric infectious diseases fellowship. Resp. Ex. F at 2-3. He holds board certifications in
    pediatrics, internal medicine, infectious diseases, and pediatric infectious disease. Resp. Ex. C at
    1; Resp. Ex. F at 2. Dr. Anderson works as a Professor at Emory University School of Medicine,
    and is an Attending Physician at Children’s healthcare of Atlanta, Emory University Hospitals,
    and Grady Hospital. Resp. Ex. F at 1. He “continue[s] to provide clinical care for both adults
    and children with infectious diseases, teach, and conduct research. [His] research focuses on the
    epidemiology of infectious diseases and also on vaccine clinical trials.” Resp. Ex. C at 1. Dr.
    Anderson “ha[s] been a principal investigator or co-investigator on over 40 clinical trials and
    ha[s] well over 100 publications.” Id.; see also Resp. Ex. F at 17-43.
    37Dr. Wilfong suggested a “concurrent viral illness” as a second possible explanation in this
    case. Resp. Ex. A at 6. Dr. Wilfong raised this second explanation in the context of the medical
    record entries that referred to serum sickness as a differential diagnosis to explain Petitioner’s
    symptoms. Id. Other than suggesting this possibility, Dr. Wilfong did not elaborate on this
    opinion.
    38Micah T. McClain et al., The Role of Epstein-Barr Virus in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus, 6
    Frontiers Bioscience e137 (2001).
    39   Dr. Anderson submitted two expert reports. Resp. Exs. C, H.
    25
    b.      Opinion
    i.      Diagnosis
    Dr. Anderson offered opinions about CFS 40 and its association with the EBV. He
    explained that “[a]lthough multiple definitions and names for [CFS] exist, none of them require
    prior EBV infection or reactivation.” Resp. Ex. C at 4. He explained that CFS has been seen in
    patients after infections with giardia, Campylobacter, and Q-fever. Id. at 5. Dr. Anderson
    agreed that CFS has also been seen after infectious mononucleosis (which is caused by EBV).
    Id. While CFS may occur after EBV, Dr. Anderson opined that “no evidence exists for
    persistence or reactivation of EBV in patients with CFS[].” Id. Further, although the data
    suggests that “about 10% of patients after EBV will meet the definition of CFS[] at 6 months
    after infection (with additional declines occurring over time), ongoing CFS[] symptoms are not
    due to active EBV.” Id. He explained that this means “EBV can serve as the trigger for CFS[],
    but does not drive ongoing CFS[] symptoms.” Id.
    ii.     Loving Factor Four/Althen Prong One
    The first mechanism proposed by Petitioner’s expert, Dr. Bellanti, is that vaccination
    somehow induced epigenetic changes which may have played a role in EBV reactivation. Dr.
    Anderson agreed that “epigenetic changes . . . may regulate latency versus reactivation,” but he
    did not agree that “these epigenetic changes in EBV-infected cells occur[] after Tdap
    vaccination.” Resp. Ex. C at 6. He noted there is no medical literature support for such a theory.
    Id. Dr. Anderson confirmed that “[a] PubMed [41] search did not identify any articles linking
    EBV epigenetic changes with tetanus, diphtheria, or pertussis containing vaccines.” Id. He also
    reviewed all of Petitioner’s medical literature and did not find any support for any the idea that
    the Tdap vaccine, and the bacterial proteins in it, could cause EBV epigenetic changes. Id.
    Further, while Dr. Anderson stated that “biological agents can trigger EBV viral
    reactivation at the cellular level in vitro,” this has not been true in vivo. Resp. Ex. C at 6. He
    cited papers by Murata 42 and Murata and Tsurumi 43 to establish that the “[p]hysiological stimuli
    that trigger viral reactivation in vivo have not been clearly identified.” Id. at 4, 6 (quoting Resp.
    40Dr. Anderson also referred to CFS as systemic exertion intolerance disease (SEID). Resp. Ex.
    C at 4. The illness will be called CFS throughout this Decision.
    41 “PubMed is a free resource supporting the search and retrieval of biomedical and life sciences
    literature . . . . The PubMed database contains more than 34 million citations and abstracts of
    biomedical literature.” Nat’l Libr. Med., Nat’l Ctr. for Biotechnology Info., PubMed Overview,
    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/about/ (last visited Oct. 12, 2022).
    Takayuki Murata, Regulation of Epstein-Barr Virus Reactivation from Latency, 58
    42
    Microbiology & Immunology 307 (2014).
    43Takayuki Murata & Tatsuya Tsurumi, Switching of EBV Cycles Between Latent and Lytic
    States, 24 Revs. Med. Virology 142 (2014).
    26
    Ex. C-14 at 2) (citing Resp. Ex. C-13 at 2). The papers identified several biological reagents
    (TPA, calcium ionophore, sodium butyrate, anti-Ig, and TGF-ß) that can stimulate EBV
    reactivation in vitro. Id. at 4 (citing Resp. Ex. C-13 at 2; Resp. Ex. C-14 at 2). But, as described
    by Dr. Anderson, this is not relevant in the context of vaccination. Id. at 4, 6.
    Dr. Anderson next addressed Dr. Bellanti’s second theory, that vaccination led to
    dysregulation of antigen presenting cells (microglia, dendritic cells, B-Cells), which led to CD8+
    T cell activation, causing EBV reactivation. In support of this theory, Dr. Bellanti cited papers
    by Eligio et al. and Aligo et al. Dr. Anderson agreed that CD8+ T cells play an important role in
    controlling the initial primary EBV infection. Resp. Ex. C at 6. He disagreed, however, that
    there was evidence here of immune system dysfunction as described in Eligio et al. Id.; Resp.
    Ex. H at 1. He also disagreed that Aligo et al. was relevant, as it did not mention vaccination,
    tetanus, diphtheria, or pertussis. Resp. Ex. C at 6.
    The third causal mechanism proffered by Dr. Bellanti was molecular mimicry. Dr.
    Anderson explained that “[a]lthough the EBV genome encodes nearly 100 viral proteins, these
    do not necessarily share epitopes with human proteins.” Resp. Ex. H at 1-2 (internal citations
    omitted). He emphasized that none of the articles cited by Dr. Bellanti “discuss cross reactivity
    between various antigens in the Tdap vaccine, EBV, and human cells.” Id. at 2. Dr. Anderson
    added that “[w]hile Kempkes [and Robertson] does mention environmental stimuli as a cause of
    occasional EBV reactivation from latency, he does not state that vaccination can trigger this
    reactivation.” Id. (internal citations omitted) (citing Pet. Ex. 54). Further, Dr. Anderson opined
    that “[t]here is no evidence to connect molecular mimicry with Tdap vaccination and [MCTD] or
    EBV reactivation.” Resp. Ex. C at 7.
    In summary, Dr. Anderson opined that
    •   EBV can serve as a trigger for CFS[], but does not contribute to ongoing
    CFS[] symptoms through active replication or reactivation, and it is not clear
    [P]etitioner has CFS[].
    •   No data suggest that Tdap vaccination is associated with EBV reactivation
    despite millions of doses having been administered.
    •   No data suggest that Tdap vaccination can cause or worsen CFS[].
    •   No data suggest that Tdap can cause or worsen MCTD.
    •   Thus, there is no data supporting the purported link between Tdap vaccination
    and EBV reactivation with subsequent EBV-related worsening of either CFS[]
    or MCTD.
    Resp. Ex. C at 7.
    iii.    Loving Factor Five/Althen Prong Two
    Critical to her theories of causation, Petitioner posited that her vaccination caused a
    reactivation of her EBV, to which Dr. Anderson disagreed. Resp. Ex. H at 1. Dr. Anderson
    opined that “there is no data in [Petitioner’s] available medical records supporting the statement
    that more likely than not [] she had reactivation of her latent EBV.” Id. “Although EBV is noted
    27
    in her past medical history, no treating physician associated EBV with her current clinical
    condition. No testing by her treating physicians was even sent to evaluate for EBV reactivation.”
    Id. Dr. Anderson concluded that “[t]o suggest that [Petitioner’s] illness was due to EBV
    reactivation is completely speculative.” Id.
    In support of this conclusion, Dr. Anderson explained that Petitioner’s “medical records
    do not include any lab results showing that the [P]etitioner suffered a post-vaccination
    reactivation of EBV.” Resp. Ex. C at 1. He discussed the methods by which EBV reactivation is
    diagnosed. Id. at 3-4. EBV infection is generally diagnosed through antibody testing. Id. at 3.
    “Antibodies are directed against several antigens including the surface protein of the viral capsid
    antigen (VCA), early antigen (EA), and nuclear antigen (NA).” Id. An acute EBV infection is
    “diagnosed by the presence of EBV VCA IgM (with or without EBV VCA IgG) and the absence
    of EBNA IgG . . . . EBV VCA IgM will disappear after acute infection, but EBV VCA IgG and
    EBNA IgG will remain present for life.” Id.
    Based on his review of Petitioner’s records, Dr. Anderson opined that Petitioner “may
    have had acute EBV infection in 1981 [and] 1985 []as . . . she appears to have had a clinical
    syndrome potentially consistent with mononucleosis based upon available documentation.”
    Resp. Ex. C at 5. The only antibody results documented in her medical records show that on
    June 15, 1992, she had an EBV IgG 295 and an EBV IgM < 100. Id. at 6. According to Dr.
    Anderson, these results showed Petitioner had an EBV infection at some point before June 1992.
    Id. However, he found no antibody test result that evidenced EBV reactivation at any time after
    Petitioner’s Tdap vaccination on August 11, 2014. Id. at 5. Although there is a reference to a
    titer of 2850 in the record on July 18, 2013, prior to vaccination, Dr. Anderson explained that
    there is no information about the date of this result, and it is not known whether this result is for
    EBV VCA IgM, EBV VCA IgG, or EBNA IgG. Id. Therefore, this number is not evidence of
    EBV reactivation. Id.
    Further, he noted reactivation occurs in patients who are critically ill, with conditions like
    septic shock, or in patients who are severely immunocompromised (such as patients who receive
    drug therapy for organ transplantation). Resp. Ex. C at 4. Dr. Anderson explained, however,
    that vaccines “are not known to be associated with EBV reactivation.” Id. Moreover, Dr.
    Anderson noted “[P]etitioner’s immune system was able to control her initial infection with
    EBV,” and “[t]here is no evidence [that she had] a CD8+ deficiency or dysregulation.” Id. at 6.
    EBV reactivation can be detected through diagnostic testing, including PCR testing for
    EBV, or “detection of IgG directed against early antigen (EA-IgG) or VCA IgM.” Resp. Ex. C
    at 4. However, Dr. Anderson stated that none of these tests were ordered for Petitioner after she
    received the Tdap vaccination. Id. In summary, he concluded “there are no data supporting
    EBV reactivation as having occurred in the [P]etitioner after Tdap vaccination.” Id. at 6.
    In addition to his opinion that there is no foundational support for EBV reactivation here,
    Dr. Anderson opined that Petitioner’s clinical course does not demonstrate that her CFS
    worsened after vaccination. Resp. Ex. H at 2. He opined that
    28
    [a] common feature of CFS[] is diminished exercise capacity. It is noted in
    [Petitioner’s] medical record that:
    •   She has documentation of exercise 4 – 5 days/week between 2012 – 2014
    (Ex 1, page 100).
    •   On 2/15/2012, she was documented [to] “exercise – walk/jo[g] 3 miles
    daily . . .” and “able to complete here (sic) workout for 3 miles. Was in
    military, used to be very active, now states she’s ‘building’ it back up.”
    (Ex 1, page 25)
    •   On 6/13/2013 she stated that she “Ran 5 K in Dallas this year. Has been
    feeling energetic enough for these activities but will feel fatigued regularly
    as well.” (Ex 1, page 21).
    Id. at 2-3.
    Dr. Anderson opined that if the Tdap vaccination she received in August 2014 had
    worsened her CFS, “it would be expected that this impact would be sustained and not
    waxing/waning.” Resp. Ex. H at 3. Instead, Petitioner “had improvement in her exercise
    capacity by 4/20/16 with ability to walk 5 miles daily.” Id. (emphasis omitted) (citing Pet. Ex. 1
    at 5). Dr. Anderson concluded that Petitioner’s medical record does not support a finding that
    her CFS “severely impacted her functional status.” Id.
    Lastly, Dr. Anderson opined that Petitioner “has radiographic evidence of her clinical
    diagnosis of osteoarthritis, which is not related to vaccination.” Resp. Ex. H at 4. He believed
    osteoarthritis was more likely than not the cause of her arthralgia. Id. In support of this opinion,
    Dr. Anderson provided a summary of relevant medical records. Id. at 3. On November 19,
    2014, Petitioner was seen by Dr. Reyes. Id. (citing Pet. Ex. 3 at 6-7). Petitioner noted that she
    had morning stiffness lasting “about half an hour” and mild tenderness over some of the joints in
    her hands and feet. Pet. Ex. 3 at 6. Dr. Reyes documented that Petitioner had a diagnosis of
    osteoarthritis of her hands and feet. Resp. Ex. H at 3 (citing Pet. Ex. 3 at 6). On July 27, 2015,
    Petitioner had X-rays of her hands and feet. Id. (citing Pet. Ex. 19 at 7-8). The X-rays showed
    no fracture, dislocation, or subluxation, and “no significant degenerative changes.” Id. (quoting
    Pet. Ex. 19 at 7-8).
    Dr. Anderson opined that
    at no point around the time of Tdap vaccination does the [Petitioner] have arthritis
    present on examination (warm, swollen, tender joint or joints with fluid in the
    joint). Based on documentation, she has arthralgia (joint pain). Images of the
    joint do not demonstrate a destructive process, but both examination and also
    some images suggest a degenerative process. These findings fit with the clinical
    diagnosis of osteoarthritis that was diagnosed by Dr. Reyes . . . .
    Resp. Ex. H at 3. Further, Dr. Anderson opined that “[o]steoarthritis is not due to immunizations
    or to EBV, but is rather due to cumulative wear and tear on the joint, a common issue among
    29
    those > 60 years of age.” Id. He concluded that osteoarthritis is the most likely cause of
    Petitioner’s complaints of arthralgia. Id. at 4.
    iv.    Loving Factor Six/Althen Prong Three
    Dr. Anderson opined that there is no evidence that the Tdap vaccine can cause EBV
    reactivation, or that EBV reactivation can cause worsening of autoimmune diseases, CFS, or
    CTD. And he did not find evidence that Petitioner’s Tdap vaccination caused EBV reactivation,
    or otherwise caused aggravation of any underlying illness which she may have had. He did not
    specifically offer any opinions as to whether there was any temporal association between
    Petitioner’s Tdap vaccination and any worsening of her illnesses.
    VI.    LEGAL FRAMEWORK
    A.      Standard of Adjudication—Factual Issues
    A petitioner must prove, by a preponderance of the evidence, the factual circumstances
    surrounding her claim. § 13(a)(1)(A). To resolve factual issues, the special master must weigh
    the evidence presented, which may include contemporaneous medical records and testimony.
    See Burns v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    3 F.3d 415
    , 417 (Fed. Cir. 1993) (explaining that a
    special master must decide what weight to give evidence including oral testimony and
    contemporaneous medical records). Contemporaneous medical records, “in general, warrant
    consideration as trustworthy evidence.” Cucuras v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    993 F.2d 1525
    , 1528 (Fed. Cir. 1993). But see Kirby v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    997 F.3d 1378
    ,
    1382 (Fed. Cir. 2021) (rejecting the presumption that “medical records are accurate and complete
    as to all the patient’s physical conditions”); Shapiro v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    101 Fed. Cl. 532
    , 538 (2011) (“[T]he absence of a reference to a condition or circumstance is much less
    significant than a reference which negates the existence of the condition or circumstance.”
    (quoting Murphy v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    23 Cl. Ct. 726
    , 733 (1991), aff’d per curiam,
    
    968 F.2d 1226
     (Fed. Cir. 1992))), recons. den’d after remand, 
    105 Fed. Cl. 353
     (2012), aff’d
    mem., 503 F. App’x 952 (Fed. Cir. 2013).
    There are situations in which compelling testimony may be more persuasive than written
    records, such as where records are deemed to be incomplete or inaccurate. Campbell v. Sec’y of
    Health & Hum. Servs., 
    69 Fed. Cl. 775
    , 779 (2006) (“[L]ike any norm based upon common
    sense and experience, this rule should not be treated as an absolute and must yield where the
    factual predicates for its application are weak or lacking.”); Lowrie v. Sec’y of Health & Hum.
    Servs., No. 03-1585V, 
    2005 WL 6117475
    , at *19 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 12, 2005)
    (“[W]ritten records which are, themselves, inconsistent, should be accorded less deference than
    those which are internally consistent.” (quoting Murphy, 
    23 Cl. Ct. at 733
    )). Ultimately, a
    determination regarding a witness’s credibility is needed when determining the weight that such
    testimony should be afforded. Andreu v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    569 F.3d 1367
    , 1379
    (Fed. Cir. 2009); Bradley v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    991 F.2d 1570
    , 1575 (Fed. Cir.
    1993).
    30
    Despite the weight afforded to medical records, special masters are not bound rigidly by
    those records in determining onset of a petitioner’s symptoms. Valenzuela v. Sec’y of Health &
    Hum. Servs., No. 90-1002V, 
    1991 WL 182241
    , at *3 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Aug. 30, 1991); see
    also Eng v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 90-1754V, 
    1994 WL 67704
    , at *3 (Fed. Cl.
    Spec. Mstr. Feb. 18, 1994) (“[Section 13(b)(2)] must be construed so as to give effect also to §
    13(b)(1) which directs the special master or court to consider the medical records (reports,
    diagnosis, conclusions, medical judgment, test reports, etc.), but does not require the special
    master or court to be bound by them.” (emphasis omitted)).
    B.      Standards for Adjudication—Causation
    The Vaccine Act was established to compensate vaccine-related injuries and deaths. §
    10(a). “Congress designed the Vaccine Program to supplement the state law civil tort system as
    a simple, fair and expeditious means for compensating vaccine-related injured persons. The
    Program was established to award ‘vaccine-injured persons quickly, easily, and with certainty
    and generosity.’” Rooks v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    35 Fed. Cl. 1
    , 7 (1996) (quoting
    H.R. Rep. No. 908 at 3, reprinted in 1986 U.S.C.C.A.N. at 6287, 6344).
    Petitioner’s burden of proof is by a preponderance of the evidence. § 13(a)(1). The
    preponderance standard requires a petitioner to demonstrate that it is more likely than not that the
    vaccine at issue caused the injury. Moberly v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    592 F.3d 1315
    ,
    1322 n.2 (Fed. Cir. 2010). Proof of medical certainty is not required. Bunting v. Sec’y of Health
    & Hum. Servs., 
    931 F.2d 867
    , 873 (Fed. Cir. 1991). Petitioner need not make a specific type of
    evidentiary showing, i.e., “epidemiologic studies, rechallenge, the presence of pathological
    markers or genetic predisposition, or general acceptance in the scientific or medical communities
    to establish a logical sequence of cause and effect.” Capizzano v. Sec’y of Health & Hum.
    Servs., 
    440 F.3d 1317
    , 1325 (Fed. Cir. 2006). Instead, Petitioner may satisfy her burden by
    presenting circumstantial evidence and reliable medical opinions. 
    Id. at 1325-26
    .
    In particular, petitioner must prove that the vaccine was “not only [the] but-for cause of
    the injury but also a substantial factor in bringing about the injury.” Moberly, 
    592 F.3d at 1321
    (quoting Shyface v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    165 F.3d 1344
    , 1352-53 (Fed. Cir. 1999));
    see also Pafford v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    451 F.3d 1352
    , 1355 (Fed. Cir. 2006). The
    received vaccine, however, need not be the predominant cause of the injury. Shyface, 
    165 F.3d at 1351
    . A petitioner who satisfies this burden is entitled to compensation unless Respondent
    can prove, by a preponderance of the evidence, that the vaccinee’s injury is “due to factors
    unrelated to the administration of the vaccine.” § 13(a)(1)(B). However, if a petitioner fails to
    establish a prima facie case, the burden does not shift. Bradley, 
    991 F.2d at 1575
    .
    “Regardless of whether the burden ever shifts to the [R]espondent, the special master
    may consider the evidence presented by the [R]espondent in determining whether the [P]etitioner
    has established a prima facie case.” Flores v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    115 Fed. Cl. 157
    ,
    162-63 (2014); see also Stone v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    676 F.3d 1373
    , 1379 (Fed. Cir.
    2012) (“[E]vidence of other possible sources of injury can be relevant not only to the ‘factors
    unrelated’ defense, but also to whether a prima facie showing has been made that the vaccine
    was a substantial factor in causing the injury in question.”); de Bazan v. Sec’y of Health & Hum.
    31
    Servs., 
    539 F.3d 1347
    , 1353 (Fed. Cir. 2008) (“The government, like any defendant, is permitted
    to offer evidence to demonstrate the inadequacy of the [P]etitioner’s evidence on a requisite
    element of the [P]etitioner’s case-in-chief.”); Pafford, 451 F.3d at 1358-59 (“[T]he presence of
    multiple potential causative agents makes it difficult to attribute ‘but for’ causation to the
    vaccination. . . . [T]he Special Master properly introduced the presence of the other unrelated
    contemporaneous events as just as likely to have been the triggering event as the vaccinations.”).
    To receive compensation through the Program, Petitioner must prove either (1) that she
    suffered a “Table Injury”—i.e., an injury listed on the Vaccine Injury Table—corresponding to a
    vaccine that she received, or (2) that she suffered an injury that was actually caused by a
    vaccination. See §§ 11(c)(1), 13(a)(1)(A); Capizzano, 
    440 F.3d at 1319-20
    . Because Petitioner
    does not allege she suffered a Table Injury, she must prove a vaccine she received caused her
    injury. To do so, Petitioner must establish, by preponderant evidence: “(1) a medical theory
    causally connecting the vaccination and the injury; (2) a logical sequence of cause and effect
    showing that the vaccination was the reason for the injury; and (3) a showing of a proximate
    temporal relationship between vaccination and injury.” Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum.
    Servs., 
    418 F.3d 1274
    , 1278 (Fed. Cir. 2005).
    The causation theory must relate to the injury alleged. Petitioner must provide a sound
    and reliable medical or scientific explanation that pertains specifically to this case, although the
    explanation need only be “legally probable, not medically or scientifically certain.” Knudsen v.
    Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    35 F.3d 543
    , 543, 548-49 (Fed. Cir. 1994). Petitioner cannot
    establish entitlement to compensation based solely on his assertions; rather, a vaccine claim must
    be supported either by medical records or by the opinion of a medical doctor. § 13(a)(1). In
    determining whether Petitioner is entitled to compensation, the special master shall consider all
    materials in the record, including “any . . . conclusion, [or] medical judgment . . . which is
    contained in the record regarding . . . causation.” § 13(b)(1)(A). The undersigned must weigh
    the submitted evidence and the testimony of the parties’ proffered experts and rule in Petitioner’s
    favor when the evidence weighs in her favor. See Moberly, 
    592 F.3d at 1325-26
     (“Finders of
    fact are entitled—indeed, expected—to make determinations as to the reliability of the evidence
    presented to them and, if appropriate, as to the credibility of the persons presenting that
    evidence.”); Althen, 
    418 F.3d at 1280
     (noting that “close calls” are resolved in Petitioner’s
    favor).
    C.      Standards for Adjudication—Significant Aggravation
    The elements of an off-Table significant aggravation case are set forth in Loving. See
    Loving, 
    86 Fed. Cl. at 142-44
    ; see also W.C. v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    704 F.3d 1352
    ,
    1357 (Fed. Cir. 2013) (holding that “the Loving case provides the correct framework for
    evaluating off-table significant aggravation claims”). The Loving court combined the Althen
    test, which defines off-Table causation cases, with a test from Whitecotton. Whitecotton v.
    Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    17 F.3d 374
     (Fed. Cir. 1994), rev’d sub nom., Shalala v.
    Whitecotton, 
    514 U.S. 268
     (1995) (concerning on-Table significant aggravation cases). The
    resultant test has six components, which are:
    32
    (1) the person’s condition prior to administration of the vaccine, (2) the person’s
    current condition (or the condition following the vaccination if that is also
    pertinent), (3) whether the person’s current condition constitutes a ‘significant
    aggravation’ of the person’s condition prior to vaccination, (4) a medical theory
    causally connecting such a significant worsened condition to the vaccination, (5) a
    logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason
    for the significant aggravation, and (6) a showing of a proximate temporal
    relationship between the vaccination and the significant aggravation.
    Loving, 
    86 Fed. Cl. at 144
    .
    The statute defines “significant aggravation” as “any change for the worse in a pre-
    existing condition which results in markedly greater disability, pain, or illness accompanied by
    substantial deterioration in health.” § 33(4).
    VII.   ANALYSIS
    A.      Diagnosis
    As Federal Circuit precedent establishes, in certain cases it is appropriate to determine the
    nature of an injury before engaging in the Althen analysis. Broekelschen v. Sec’y of Health &
    Hum. Servs., 
    618 F.3d 1339
    , 1346 (Fed. Cir. 2010). Since “each prong of the Althen test is
    decided relative to the injury[,]” determining facts relating to the claimed injury can be
    significant in a case where diagnosis is not clear. 
    Id.
     Here, Petitioner asserts that she has an
    autoimmune condition with longstanding positive ANA and positive EBV that has been
    alternatively described a CTD, UCTD, MCTD, CFS, or an immunodeficiency illness.
    Respondent argues that Petitioner has not clearly established the nature of the illness which she
    alleges is vaccine-related, and that alleging an underlying autoimmune disorder is insufficient.
    Dr. Bellanti opines that while Petitioner’s condition is difficult to define, the diagnosis of
    UCTD comes the closest to describing her pre-vaccination condition. He also asserts that her
    illness is characterized by a longstanding positive ANA and positive EBV. As an alternative
    diagnosis, Dr. Bellanti believes that Petitioner’s diagnosis falls into the category of “autoimmune
    conditions,” which he asserts is the umbrella diagnosis for all CTDs.
    Respondent’s expert, Dr. Wilfong, did not disagree that Petitioner was diagnosed with
    UCTD. She also agreed that Petitioner had been diagnosed with CFS, although she was not sure
    that Petitioner met the diagnostic criteria for the illness. Regardless of Petitioner’s diagnosis, Dr.
    Wilfong opined that vaccination did not worsen or aggravate her underlying conditions. Dr.
    Anderson did not offer opinions as to Petitioner’s underlying diagnosis.
    Petitioner’s medical records establish that prior to vaccination on August 8, 2014, she had
    an acute EBV infection, likely in 1981 and 1985. Her records also establish that she did not have
    any diagnostic testing which established an acute EBV infection or reactivation after 1992. In
    addition to her history of EBV infection, Petitioner’s records also show that she had a
    longstanding diagnosis of CFS.
    33
    Regarding myalgias and joint pain, Petitioner’s records show that she complained of
    these symptoms in March 2012, prior to the vaccination at issue. Petitioner also had a positive
    ANA titer in July 2013, and on the day of vaccination in August 2014, diagnostic lab studies
    revealed that she had a positive RNP, a marker for a CTD. On August 20, 2014, she reported a
    six-month history of fatigue, and some aching in her joints, including her hands, knees and hips.
    Based upon the workup done by her rheumatologists, her positive ANA and anti-RNP, and her
    associated joint pain, she was diagnosed with UCTD.
    Thus, the undersigned finds that Petitioner had two relevant diagnoses, CFS and UCTD
    prior to her vaccination. While the UCTD diagnosis was not documented in Petitioner’s medical
    record until sometime after vaccination (October 2014, once she had a rheumatology workup),
    she had symptoms and positive serologies characteristic of the condition prior to vaccination.
    B.      Significant Aggravation
    1.     Loving Factor 1: What Was Petitioner’s Condition Prior to
    Administration of the Vaccine?
    The first step in the Loving test is to determine Petitioner’s condition with regard to CFS
    and UCTD before she received her Tdap vaccination on August 8, 2014. First, as to Petitioner’s
    EBV status, her medical records establish that long before her vaccination, she had an acute EBV
    infection, likely in 1981 and 1985. She did not have any diagnostic testing or other evidence of
    an acute EBV infection or reactivation after 1992.
    In addition, Petitioner had longstanding CFS, dating back at least 30 years. Regarding
    myalgias and joint pain, Petitioner’s records show that she complained of these symptoms in
    March 2012. Petitioner also had a positive ANA in July 2013, and on the day of vaccination
    (August 8, 2014), diagnostic lab studies revealed that she had a positive RNP, a marker for a
    CTD. On August 20, 2014, she reported a six-month history of fatigue, and some aching in her
    joints, including her hands, knees and hips. Based upon the workup done by her
    rheumatologists, her positive ANA and anti-RNP, and her joint pain, she was diagnosed with
    UCTD.
    Thus, prior to vaccination on August 8, 2014, the undersigned finds that Petitioner had
    two relevant diagnoses, CFS and UCTD, prior to her vaccination. She had fatigue, and she
    sometimes had aching in her joints, including her hands, knees, and hips.
    2.     Loving Factor 2: What Is Petitioner’s Current Condition (or Her
    Condition Following the Vaccination, If Also Pertinent)?
    The second part of the Loving test is to discuss “the person’s current condition (or
    condition following the vaccination if that is also pertinent).” Loving, 
    86 Fed. Cl. at 144
    . Here,
    Petitioner’s condition following vaccination is most pertinent.
    34
    Less than two weeks after Petitioner’s Tdap vaccination in August 2014, Petitioner
    complained of “always being tired for 6+ months,” sometimes experiencing achy joints in hands,
    knees, and hips, as well as “fever, chills, aches, and fatigue.” Pet. Ex. 16 at 64. Physical
    examination was normal. One month after Petitioner received the TdaP vaccination, on
    September 9, 2014, she reported night sweats, headaches, whole-body joint pain, and fatigue.
    Physical examination revealed tenderness in her hands. Approximately one week later, on
    September 16, 2014, physical examination revealed good range of motion in all of Petitioner’s
    major joints, no joint swelling or redness, normal strength, and mild bony hypertrophy. Dr. Said
    questioned whether Petitioner had experienced serum sickness post-vaccination. If so, her
    condition was improved. By the end of September 2014, minimal edema was observed in the
    small joints of her hands.
    Based on rheumatology workup done in October 2014, Petitioner had positive serologies
    for UCTD and associated joint pains. Other serologic markers for any specific CTD were
    negative. Petitioner’s joint pain was more pronounced after vaccination. X-rays showed early
    osteoarthritis and in November 2014, Petitioner was diagnosed with osteoarthritis, and there was
    no indication that it was related to her vaccination. Physical examination in November 2015
    showed mild tenderness over some joints in Petitioner’s hands and feet, but no swelling or
    redness. She had a mild decrease in strength in her hips and shoulders.
    Moving forward to February 2016, Petitioner had minimal chronic synovitis in the joints
    in her hands. On November 16, 2016, she had completed two years of monitoring by Dr. Reyes,
    and she had not developed any specific CTD. Dr. Reyes discontinued monitoring her for
    MCTD.
    Petitioner had some acute symptoms after she received her Tdap vaccination that raised
    the question of whether she had a serum sickness-like reaction. Those symptoms resolved by
    September 16, 2014, and she had good range of motion in all major joints, with no objective joint
    swelling or redness. She also had normal strength. By October 23, 2014, she was feeling better
    overall, except for some pain in her finger joints. Physical examination did not show active
    swelling or synovitis. She had no serological markers to suggest any worsening of her
    underlying CTD. She was diagnosed with early osteoarthritis, but Petitioner has not alleged that
    her osteoarthritis is vaccine-related, and she is not seeking compensation for that condition. Her
    expert, Dr. Bellanti, has not asserted that her osteoarthritis is related to her Tdap vaccine. And
    no treating physician attributed it to her vaccination.
    Thus, the undersigned finds that after vaccination, Petitioner had an acute illness that was
    characterized as serum sickness-like, which was short lived, and resolved. She also had some
    worsening of joint pain in the hands and feet. She did not have any worsening of her fatigue.
    Also, her underlying UCTD did not evolve into a distinct CTD or MTCD. In conclusion,
    Petitioner had an increase or aggravation of her joint pain, which was a symptom of her
    underlying CTD.
    However, the records do not show that Petitioner had any worsening of her fatigue post-
    vaccination. To the extent that she had a flare of her CFS, it began approximately six months
    35
    prior to her vaccination. On August 20, 2014, less than two weeks after vaccination, Petitioner
    saw Dr. Seymour and complained of “always being tired for 6+ months.” Pet. Ex. 16 at 64.
    Additionally, Dr. Anderson explained that a common characteristic of CFS is reduced
    exercise capacity. He cited medical records where Petitioner reported that she exercised four to
    five days per week from 2012 through 2014. See Pet. Ex. 1 at 100. In June 2013, she ran a 5K,
    and reported “feeling energetic enough for these activities but will fatigue regularly as well.” Id.
    at 21. After vaccination, she was able to walk five miles daily by April 2016. On this point, the
    undersigned finds Dr. Anderson’s opinions persuasive. Since Petitioner did not have worsening
    of her fatigue and was able to return to walking long distances on a regular basis post-
    vaccination, the undersigned finds that there is insufficient evidence to show that she had an
    aggravation of her CFS post-vaccination.
    In conclusion, the undersigned finds that the Petitioner had an increase in joint pain,
    which was a symptom of her underlying CTD after her Tdap vaccination.
    In reaching the above findings, the undersigned considered Petitioner’ testimony set forth
    in her affidavit as well as the histories she provided to physicians. For example, Petitioner
    averred that she complained of joint pain following vaccination. See Pet. Ex. 12 at ¶¶ 5-6.
    Additionally, Petitioner continuously complained of joint pain, mostly in her hands, knees, and
    hips. See Pet. Ex. 16 at 64 (“Sometimes her joints ache, in hands, knees, and hips.”); Pet. Ex. 16
    at 65 (reporting joint pain); Pet. Ex. 7 at 1 (“She . . . states [that] the day after [vaccination] she
    developed severe swelling of her joints, red, hot, and swollen . . . . [She] feels that her hands in
    particular are still painful and has felt that they hurt more than they did prior to the Tdap
    vaccine.”); Pet. Ex. 16 at 66 (noting a finding of minimal edema in the small joints of
    Petitioner’s hands on physical examination).
    To the extent that Petitioner’s affidavit or histories noted in the medical records are
    inconsistent with and contradicted by the physicians’ objective physical examinations or
    diagnostic testing, the undersigned defers to the physician findings as the most reliable source of
    information. See Cucuras, 
    993 F.2d at 1528
     (noting that “the Supreme Court counsels that oral
    testimony in conflict with contemporaneous documentary evidence deserves little weight”);
    Doe/70 v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    95 Fed. Cl. 598
    , 608 (2010); Stevens v. Sec’y of
    Health & Hum. Servs., No. 90-221V, 
    1990 WL 608693
    , at *3 (Cl. Ct. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 21, 1990)
    (noting that “clear, cogent, and consistent testimony can overcome such missing or contradictory
    medical records”); Vergara v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 08-882V, 
    2014 WL 2795491
    ,
    at *4 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 15, 2014) (“Special Masters frequently accord more weight to
    contemporaneously-recorded medical symptoms than those recorded in later medical histories,
    affidavits, or trial testimony.”).
    The undersigned does not rely on the VA Disability Rating Decisions, either pre- or post-
    vaccination, or find them to be persuasive evidence of Petitioner’s condition before or after
    vaccination for several reasons. The disability ratings did not occur contemporaneously before
    36
    or after the vaccination 44 at issue, and therefore, are less informative and reliable than the
    contemporaneous medical records. Additionally, it is not clear that all of the records, application
    forms, correspondence, and contract examinations used by the VA to determine Petitioner’s
    disability rating have been filed in the instant action, and to the extent they have not been filed,
    the undersigned has not reviewed them.45 Moreover, the criteria used by the VA to make its
    disability determinations are not included in the VA Decision or in Petitioner’s VA records, or
    otherwise available.
    Further, the VA Disability Rating Decisions are not binding on this Court, either by
    statute, regulation, or precedential case law. Petitioner acknowledges this point in her motion
    and supporting memorandum. See Pet. Mot. at 18.
    Perhaps the most compelling reason that the undersigned has not based her findings on
    the VA Disability Rating Decisions is that it includes information that is inconsistent with the
    contemporaneous medical records. In its decision, the VA states that Petitioner has a MCTD.
    Pet. Ex. 4 at 2. However, Petitioner’s records, and specifically the records of Dr. Reyes,
    establish that Petitioner was monitored by Dr. Reyes for a two-year period following vaccination
    to ensure that her CTD did not worsen or evolve into MCTD, and it did not. Next, the VA
    Disability Rating Decision states that Petitioner had “residuals of [EBV],” but no diagnostic tests
    were done to verify that to be true. 
    Id.
     The characterization of Petitioner’s fatigue and muscle
    and joint pain is inconsistent with what is described in her medical records. And lastly, a rating
    criteria for lupus was used, and described as an “acute disease, with frequent exacerbations,
    producing severe impairment of health.” 
    Id. at 50
    . Petitioner, however, has not been diagnosed
    with lupus.
    3.      Loving Factor 3: Does Petitioner’s Current Condition (or Condition
    After Vaccination) Constitute a “Significant Aggravation” of Her
    Condition Prior to Vaccination?
    The next factor of the Loving test is to determine whether there is a “significant
    aggravation” of Petitioner’s condition by comparing her condition before vaccination to her
    condition after vaccination. The statute defines “significant aggravation” as “any change for the
    worse in a pre-existing condition which results in markedly greater disability, pain, or illness
    accompanied by substantial deterioration in health.” § 33(4). Using this definition, the
    undersigned finds that, based on all of the facts and circumstances here, Petitioner had a
    significant aggravation of her underlying CTD.
    Petitioner’s records establish that after her Tdap vaccination, she had a significant
    increase in her joint pain, especially in her hands, that she took Medrol daily, as well as pain
    medication (low-dose Naltrexone). In 2016, Dr. Plata prescribed Plaquenil for her joint pain,
    with tramadol for flare-ups. Petitioner did not begin taking the Plaquenil, however, until 2017.
    44The initial VA disability rating of 10% was issued, and the rating was increased to 100% post-
    vaccination on July 22, 2016, effective December 31, 2015. Pet. Ex. 4 at 1-2, 4.
    45   For a complete list of evidence used by the VA, see Pet. Ex. 4 at 3; Pet. Ex. 62 at 219.
    37
    Her joint achiness improved on the medication. In 2017, Dr. Plata characterized her UCTD as a
    “mild disease,” with “constitutional symptoms that are mild, but . . . annoying.” Pet. Ex. 19 at
    58. Although her disease was described as mild, Petitioner’s pain required the use of steroids,
    pain medication, and Plaquenil. The undersigned finds that the aggravation of her illness
    resulted in pain which constituted a substantial deterioration of her health. Thus, she meets the
    criteria of Loving Factor Three.
    4.      Loving Factor Four/Althen Prong One: Medical Theory of Causation
    The fourth Loving factor has its origins in Althen Prong One, and Petitioner must set
    forth a medical theory explaining how the received vaccine could have caused the sustained
    injury. Andreu, 
    569 F.3d at 1379
    ; Pafford, 451 F.3d at 1355-56. Petitioner’s theory of causation
    need not be medically or scientifically certain, but it must be informed by a “sound and reliable”
    medical or scientific explanation. Boatmon v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    941 F.3d 1351
    ,
    1359 (Fed. Cir. 2019); see also Knudsen, 
    35 F.3d at 548
    ; Veryzer v. Sec’y of Health & Hum.
    Servs., 
    98 Fed. Cl. 214
    , 223 (2011) (noting that special masters are bound by both § 13(b)(1) and
    Vaccine Rule 8(b)(1) to consider only evidence that is both “relevant” and “reliable”). If
    Petitioner relies upon a medical opinion to support her theory, the basis for the opinion and the
    reliability of that basis must be considered in the determination of how much weight to afford the
    offered opinion. See Broekelschen, 
    618 F.3d 1339
     at 1347 (“The special master’s decision often
    times is based on the credibility of the experts and the relative persuasiveness of their competing
    theories.”); Perreira v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    33 F.3d 1375
    , 1377 n.6 (Fed. Cir. 1994)
    (stating that an “expert opinion is no better than the soundness of the reasons supporting it”
    (citing Fehrs v. United States, 
    620 F.2d 255
    , 265 (Ct. Cl. 1980))).
    The undersigned finds Petitioner has failed to establish a sound and reliable medical
    theory for how the Tdap vaccine can cause significant aggravation of her underlying
    autoimmune disorder by preponderant evidence for several reasons.
    Dr. Bellanti offers a two-step mechanistic theory. The first step is that the Tdap vaccine
    can cause EBV reactivation. The second step is that EBV reactivation can cause a significant
    aggravation of autoimmune disorders, including CFS and/or UCTD.
    Regarding the first step, that the Tdap vaccination can cause EBV reactivation, Dr.
    Bellanti posits three theories. First, he opines that the Tdap vaccine can trigger reactivation via
    epigenetic changes. He states that the “presumption is that [reactivation] occurs when latently
    infected B cells respond to unrelated infections.” Pet. Ex. 63 at 17. Through this statement, he
    seems to infer that vaccination is the same as an “unrelated infection.” But he did not cite any
    medical literature or other evidence to flesh out this theory or show that vaccination can act as an
    unrelated infection. The article by Odumade et al., cited by Dr. Bellanti in support of this theory,
    did not suggest that vaccines can act as “unrelated infections,” or that vaccines play any role in
    causing reactivation. Further, Dr. Bellanti does not explain how a vaccine in general, or the
    Tdap vaccine specifically, changes or alters the expression of EBV so as to cause reactivation.
    The undersigned therefore finds this theory to be unsupported by medical or scientific facts,
    research, or any other reliable evidence.
    38
    Dr. Bellanti’s second theory is based on the idea that the vaccination can cause
    “dysregulation of microglia, dendritic cells, B-cells” due to specific antigens, excipients,
    aluminum, or endotoxins in the vaccine, “leading to CD8+ T cell activation.” Pet. Ex. 48 at 5;
    Pet. Ex. 63 at 16. The paper he cites by Eligio et al. did not discuss vaccines, or explain how
    aluminum and/or endotoxins play a role in EBV reactivation. Dr. Bellanti did not offer any
    evidence to establish that the Tdap vaccine, or any ingredient in the vaccine, can lead to CD8+ T
    cell activation so as to cause EBV reactivation. He did not provide basic foundational evidence
    to show that aluminum is in the vaccine, or that it if it is, it can cause reactivation. The same is
    true for his allegation regarding endotoxins in the vaccine. He did not identify any endotoxins in
    the vaccine. This theory was not developed enough for the undersigned to reach any reasonable
    conclusions about its relevance or reliability.
    Dr. Bellanti’s third theory is based on molecular mimicry. He did not identify any
    medical literature, or other evidence, to support his opinion that molecular mimicry is a viable
    theory for EBV reactivation.46 Nor did he explain how molecular mimicry could trigger EBV
    reactivation. He cited Kanduc and Shoenfeld to suggest that homologous peptide sequences
    between the vaccine and the EBV “might confound, intensify[,] or weaken the human immune
    responses” post-vaccination, or otherwise “imprint the host immunological memory.” Pet. Ex.
    53 at 2, 7. Kanduc and Shoenfeld, however, did not address the Tdap vaccination or how it
    could confound, intensify, or weaken the immune system so as to cause reactivation. Dr.
    Bellanti does not identify any possible avenues of homology between the vaccine and the latent
    virus. Further, he does not explain how molecular mimicry would lead to viral reactivation.
    The Kanduc and Shoenfeld paper aimed to analyze “peptide commonality among viral . .
    . pathogens, and the immunopathologic consequences in the human host.” Pet. Ex. 53 at 1. The
    authors analyzed several viruses and bacteria for “common amino acid sequences that are []
    shared with the human host.” 
    Id.
     However, EBV was not studied. The authors did not address
    any homology or similar peptide sequences between the Tdap vaccine and humans. EBV
    reactivation was not addressed. The article does not appear to be relevant to whether molecular
    mimicry may be a possible mechanism for EBV reactivation.
    In the concluding discussion of the article, the authors question whether “minimal epitope
    determinants among pathogens,” including EBV, “and the consequent potential cross-reactivity
    might represent the molecular basis and mechanism by which different infections over time can
    irrevocably imprint the host immunological memory, thus leading to subsequent anamnestic,
    misled, immune responses.” Id. at 6-7. The authors suggest this is a way to think about why
    vaccines sometime fail or cause adverse events. This notion that host immunity can be affected
    over time by prior infections or vaccinations, without more foundational evidence, does not
    explain how the Tdap vaccine could cause EBV reactivation. There is no evidence that the
    Petitioner had any particular immunological memory which rendered her susceptible to an
    adverse reaction to the Tdap vaccination. The undersigned finds this theory to be lacking in
    46Of note, Eligio et al. explains that “[o]f the nearly 100 viral genes that are expressed during
    [EBV] replication, only 10 are expressed in latently infected B cells in vitro.” Pet. Ex. 52 at 5.
    This information suggests that Dr. Bellanti is incorrect, and it does not support the idea that
    molecular mimicry is an attractive theory for how a vaccine could trigger EBV reactivation.
    39
    relevance to the facts and circumstances here. As such, this is a conclusory opinion without
    foundational evidence to support it. 47
    When evaluating whether petitioners have carried their burden of proof, special masters
    consistently reject “conclusory expert statements that are not themselves backed up with reliable
    scientific support.” Kreizenbeck v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 08-209V, 
    2018 WL 3679843
    , at *31 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. June 22, 2018), mot. for rev. denied, decision aff’d, 
    141 Fed. Cl. 138
     (2018), aff’d, 
    945 F.3d 1362
     (Fed. Cir. 2020). The undersigned will not rely on
    “opinion evidence that is connected to existing data only by the ipse dixit of the expert.”
    Prokopeas v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 04-1717V, 
    2019 WL 2509626
    , at *19 (Fed.
    Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 24, 2019) (quoting Moberly, 
    592 F.3d at 1315
    ). Instead, special masters are
    expected to carefully scrutinize the reliability of each expert report submitted. See 
    id.
    In addition to offering conclusory opinions, Dr. Bellanti mischaracterizes the medical
    literature he cites, suggesting that articles support his opinion that vaccines are known to trigger
    EBV reactivation, when the authors did not address the issue. In fact, none of the articles cited
    by Dr. Bellanti discuss a mechanism whereby vaccines can cause EBV reactivation. For
    example, Aligo et al. make no reference to vaccines playing a role in viral reactivation. See Pet.
    Ex. 50. The paper by Eligio et al. is a very comprehensive discussion of EBV and the diseases it
    causes, but it makes no reference to vaccines. See Pet. Ex. 52.
    Kempkes and Robertson focus on EBV-related malignancies but make no mention of
    how vaccines could cause reactivation. See Pet. Ex. 54. Noor et al. provide a comprehensive
    review of CFS, and discuss possible triggering events such as infections, which are followed by
    immune dysregulation. However, they do not suggest that vaccines play a role in EBV
    reactivation, or cause, or contribute to exacerbation of CFS. See Pet. Ex. 66. Ultimately, Dr.
    Bellanti concedes that there is no literature “that directly relates EBV reactivation to Tdap
    vaccinations, or Tdap to [MCTD].” Pet. Ex. 63 at 21. But Dr. Bellanti’s tendency to stretch the
    application of medical literature too far renders his opinions less persuasive.
    Further, opining that molecular mimicry is a causal theory, without more, is insufficient.
    See, e.g., McKown v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 15-1451V, 
    2019 WL 4072113
    , at *50
    (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 15, 2019) (explaining that “merely chanting the magic words
    ‘molecular mimicry’ in a Vaccine Act case does not render a causation theory scientifically
    reliable, absent additional evidence specifically tying the mechanism to the injury and/or vaccine
    47 This is not the first time Dr. Bellanti has been criticized for conclusory opinions. See, e.g.,
    Temes v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 16-1465V, 
    2020 WL 4198036
    , at *20-21 (Fed. Cl.
    Spec. Mstr. May 12, 2020) (finding Dr. Bellanti made “conclusory statements . . . [with] no
    reliable literature [] offered” for support, he “did not substantiate his contention[s],” and “his
    theories were too thin”), mot. for rev. denied, 
    151 Fed. Cl. 448
    ; Miles v. Sec’y of Health & Hum.
    Servs., No. 12-254V, 
    2018 WL 3990987
    , at *46-49 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. June 28, 2018)
    (criticizing Dr. Bellanti’s theory and finding it was based on speculation), mot. for rev. denied,
    
    142 Fed. Cl. 136
    , aff’d, 769 F. App’x 926 (Fed. Cir. 2019); Brook v. Sec’y of Health & Hum.
    Servs., No. 04-405V, 
    2015 WL 3799646
    , at *15-16 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 14, 2015) (finding
    Dr. Bellanti’s opinions conclusory and speculative).
    40
    in question” (emphasis omitted)); Johnson v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 14-254V, 
    2018 WL 2051760
    , at *26 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Mar. 23, 2018) (“Petitioners cannot simply invoke the
    concept of molecular mimicry and call it a day. Rather, they need to offer reliable and
    persuasive medical or scientific evidence of some kind (whether expert testimony or literature) . .
    . . (internal citations omitted) (emphasis omitted)); Mattus-Long v. Sec’y of Health & Hum.
    Servs., No. 15-113V, 
    2022 WL 4242140
    , at *27 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Aug. 31, 2022) (noting
    “the mere mention of molecular mimicry is not a ‘get out of jail free card’ in the Program,
    entitling claimants to compensation, merely because it has scientific reliability as a general
    matter”); Sheets v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 16-1173V, 
    2019 WL 2296212
    , at *17
    (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 30, 2019) (determining Petitioner had not satisfied Althen prong one
    when he did not relate molecular mimicry “to either the vaccines in question or Petitioner’s own
    specific condition”).
    The second step of Dr. Bellanti’s mechanistic theory is that EBV reactivation can cause a
    significant aggravation of autoimmune disorders—here, CFS and/or UCTD. Since he failed to
    prove the first step of his theory, there is no foundational support for the second step.
    Moreover, Dr. Bellanti does not explain how EBV, once reactivated, causes significant
    aggravation of CFS or UCTD.
    For the above reasons, the undersigned finds that Petitioner has not established by
    preponderant evidence that a Tdap vaccine can cause EBV reactivation so as to lead to
    significant aggravation of CFS or UCTD.
    5.     Loving Factor Five/Althen Prong Two: Logical Sequence of Cause
    and Effect
    Under Althen Prong Two, and Loving Factor Five, Petitioner must prove by a
    preponderance of the evidence that there is a “logical sequence of cause and effect showing that
    the vaccination was the reason for the injury.” Capizzano, 
    440 F.3d at 1324
     (quoting Althen,
    
    418 F.3d at 1278
    ). “Petitioner must show that the vaccine was the ‘but for’ cause of the harm . . .
    or in other words, that the vaccine was the ‘reason for the injury.’” Pafford, 451 F.3d at 1356
    (internal citations omitted).
    In evaluating whether this prong is satisfied, the opinions and views of the vaccinee’s
    treating physicians are entitled to some weight. Andreu, 
    569 F.3d at 1367
    ; Capizzano, 
    440 F.3d at 1326
     (“[M]edical records and medical opinion testimony are favored in vaccine cases, as
    treating physicians are likely to be in the best position to determine whether a ‘logical sequence
    of cause and effect show[s] that the vaccination was the reason for the injury.’” (quoting Althen,
    
    418 F.3d at 1280
    )). Medical records are generally viewed as trustworthy evidence, since they are
    created contemporaneously with the treatment of the vaccinee. Cucuras, 
    993 F.2d at 1528
    .
    Petitioner need not make a specific type of evidentiary showing, i.e., “epidemiologic studies,
    rechallenge, the presence of pathological markers or genetic predisposition, or general
    acceptance in the scientific or medical communities to establish a logical sequence of cause and
    effect.” Capizzano, 
    440 F.3d at 1325
    . Instead, Petitioner may satisfy her burden by presenting
    circumstantial evidence and reliable medical opinions. 
    Id. at 1325-26
    .
    41
    Regarding the fifth Loving factor/second Althen prong, the undersigned finds that
    because Petitioner failed to prove by preponderant evidence that the Tdap vaccination can cause
    EBV reactivation, she is also unable to prove that the vaccination caused her to have a
    reactivation of EBV. Dr. Anderson provides the most cogent, sound, and reliable opinions on
    this aspect of causation, and the undersigned thus finds his opinions most persuasive.
    First, Dr. Anderson opines that although Petitioner had a history of EBV, her medical
    records do not include any lab results, or other diagnostic tests, showing that she had a post-
    vaccination reactivation of her EBV. He explained that EBV reactivation is diagnosed through
    antibody tests. An acute infection is characterized by EBV VCA IgM and the absence of EBNA
    IgG. Based on Dr. Anderson’s review of Petitioner’s records, she may have had acute EBV in
    1981 and 1985, when she was noted to have acute mononucleosis. The only antibody results in
    her records show that on June 15, 1992, Petitioner’s EBV IgG was 295 and her EBV IgM<100.
    Thus, Dr. Anderson concluded that Petitioner had an acute infection some time before 1992, but
    there is no evidence that she ever had reinfection/reactivation at any time after her Tdap
    vaccination.
    None of Petitioner’s numerous physicians, including her two rheumatologists,
    documented that they ever suspected a diagnosis of acute EBV infection/reactivation. None of
    Petitioner’s physicians ordered diagnostic testing for EBV reactivation. There are no antibody
    test results in the Petitioner’s record to show that she had EBV reactivation after her vaccination.
    Therefore, the undersigned agrees with Dr. Anderson that it is speculative to conclude that
    Petitioner had EBV reactivation at any time post-vaccination.
    Petitioner’s theory of causation hinges on EBV reactivation. She has failed, however, to
    prove that she had EBV reactivation, and thus, she has failed to prove that her Tdap vaccination
    significantly aggravated her underlying autoimmune illness.
    This finding is consistent with what is known about EBV reactivation. After a primary
    EBV infection, once the infection is controlled by the immune response, the virus remains latent,
    usually for the lifetime of the host, unless the host is immunocompromised. Examples of
    immunosuppressed hosts include organ transplant recipients, those who have HIV infections, and
    patients with drug-induced immunosuppression. Reactivation may also occur in patients with
    critical illness like septic shock.
    Dr. Anderson persuasively explained that Petitioner’s immune system was able to control
    her initial EBV infection and that there is no evidence in her records to establish that she had a
    CD8+ deficiency or dysregulation. Petitioner was not an organ donor recipient, she did not have
    drug-induced immunosuppression, and she was not septic or critically ill. She did not belong to
    any category of patients known to be susceptible to EBV reactivation.
    As explained by Dr. Wilfong, in July 2013, Dr. Rea ordered labs due to the concern about
    immune dysregulation. Petitioner’s immunoglobulin and lymphocytes were tested, and the
    results were normal. There is no diagnostic evidence in Petitioner’s records to establish that she
    had an immune dysregulation.
    42
    In summary, the undersigned finds that Petitioner did not belong to any category of
    patients who would be at risk for EBV reactivation, that she did not have an immune
    dysregulation that would predispose her to EBV reactivation, and she did not have evidence of
    EBV reactivation based on any concern, suspicion, or diagnostic testing.
    Dr. Bellanti asserts that Petitioner had a serum sickness-like reaction that overwhelmed
    her immune system, and this caused her EBV reactivation. But as described above, there is no
    evidence that Petitioner’s immune system was overwhelmed, or that she had EBV
    reaction/reactivation. Therefore, the undersigned rejects Dr. Bellanti’s assertion.
    Moreover, as explained by Dr. Wilfong, serum sickness is a type III hypersensitivity
    reaction with complement system activation. Petitioner did not have abnormally low C3 or C4
    levels which would be indicative of the illness. Therefore, there is no evidence that she had a
    serum sickness reaction post-vaccination.
    In September 2014, Dr. Said noted that Petitioner’s joint pain “may represent serum
    sickness after she had the T[d]ap vaccine.” Pet. Ex. 7 at 3. Petitioner’s history of allergies noted
    in a record from December 2016 included “[Tdap] vaccine - serum sickness reaction.” Pet. Ex.
    16 at 78. The undersigned finds these statements in Petitioner’s records, without more, do not
    meet the level of preponderant evidence. See § 13(b)(1) (providing that “[a]ny such diagnosis,
    conclusion, judgment, test result, report, or summary shall not be binding on the special master
    or court”); Snyder v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    88 Fed. Cl. 706
    , 745 n.67 (2009) (“[T]here
    is nothing . . . that mandates that the testimony of a treating physician is sacrosanct—that it must
    be accepted in its entirety and cannot be rebutted.”). Additionally, Petitioner’s treating
    physicians, including her rheumatologists, consistently treated Petitioner for CFS or a CTD, not
    serum sickness.
    Lastly, Respondent asserts there is an alternate cause of Petitioner’s joint pain, unrelated
    to her vaccination. Specifically, Dr. Anderson opined that osteoarthritis is more likely than not
    the cause of Petitioner’s arthralgia. In November 2014, Petitioner reported having 30 minutes of
    morning stiffness and subsequent X-rays showed degenerative changes consistent with
    osteoarthritis. Also, Dr. Reyes diagnosed Petitioner with osteoarthritis. Dr. Anderson agrees
    that Petitioner’s joint stiffness and X-rays suggest a degenerative process consistent with
    osteoarthritis. Further, osteoarthritis is not caused by vaccination, but is common in those over
    60 years of age due to wear and tear of joints.
    While the undersigned agrees that Dr. Reyes did make a diagnosis of osteoarthritis, this
    diagnosis did not supersede or replace Petitioner’s diagnosis of CTD. Regardless, the Petitioner
    has failed to prove a mechanistic theory, and she has failed to prove that she had EBV
    reactivation after her vaccination. For these reasons, the undersigned finds that Petitioner has
    failed to provide preponderant evidence of Loving Factor Five/Althen Prong Two, that her
    underlying autoimmune disease was significantly aggravated by her Tdap vaccination.
    43
    6.     Loving Factor Six/Althen Prong Three: Proximate Temporal
    Relationship
    The last element in the six-part Loving test has origins in Althen Prong Three. As stated
    in Loving, this element is “a showing of a proximate temporal relationship between vaccination
    and the significant aggravation.” 
    86 Fed. Cl. at 144
    . Althen Prong Three requires Petitioner to
    establish a “proximate temporal relationship” between the vaccination and the injury alleged.
    Althen, 
    418 F.3d at 1281
    . A proximate temporal relationship has been equated to mean a
    “medically acceptable temporal relationship.” 
    Id.
     Petitioner must offer “preponderant proof that
    the onset of symptoms occurred within a timeframe which, given the medical understanding of
    the disease’s etiology, it is medically acceptable to infer causation-in-fact.” de Bazan, 
    539 F.3d at 1352
    . The explanation for what is a medically acceptable time frame must also coincide with
    the theory of how the relevant vaccine can cause the injury alleged (under Althen Prong One).
    Id.; Koehn v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    773 F.3d 1239
    , 1243 (Fed. Cir. 2014); Shapiro,
    
    101 Fed. Cl. at 542
    .
    Based on the case law cited above, this Prong/Factor consists of two parts. The Petitioner
    must first establish the time frame within which it is medically acceptable to infer causation.
    And secondly, she must show that the onset of the worsening or aggravation of her illness
    occurred during this time frame.
    Petitioner received her Tdap vaccination on August 8, 2014. She states that the following
    day, she had severe swelling in her joints, with redness and warmth. She also reported fever and
    feeling ill. Dr. Bellanti opined that this onset was appropriate for “the initial immune-mediated
    response and the subsequent exacerbation of her condition.” Pet. Ex. 63 at 24-25. Thus, the
    Petitioner asserts an onset of one day.
    Dr. Bellanti proffered three mechanisms for how the Tdap vaccination can cause EBV
    reactivation. The first is based on epigenetics, or changes in the expression of genes triggered by
    “unrelated infections.” Other than his general opinion that onset was appropriate here, Dr.
    Bellanti did not provide an opinion about the medically acceptable time within which this
    mechanism could occur. However, this theory is premised on the notion that “B-cell receptor
    stimulation triggers reactivation in B-cell lines.” Pet. Ex. 63 at 17 (quoting Pet. Ex. 55 at 3).
    The paper by Odumade et al. describes the primary response to an acute infection in
    EBV. The viral infection is spread through exposure to oral secretions or blood, and it takes
    approximately five to seven weeks for the primary EBV infection to cause symptoms of
    infectious mononucleosis. Pet. Ex. 55 at 6. During this long incubation period there is viral
    replication. 
    Id.
     Odumade et al. state that after primary infection, the virus is latent in B
    lymphocytes as well as epithelial cells. And “viral gene expression patterns differ when the virus
    emerges from epithelial cells versus B cells.” Id. at 6. Eligio et al. describe reactivation of the
    44
    latent EBV infection, explaining that it “involves the production of new virions[48] and eventually
    the ‘shedding’ of complete viral particles.” Pet. Ex. 52 at 3.
    Given the lengthy period between exposure and onset of infectious mononucleosis in
    acute EBV infection, and the description of reactivation of latent EBV reactivation which
    includes the production of virus (viral replication), it is difficult to imagine a scenario where
    latent EBV could become active and replicate sufficiently to cause acute symptoms in the span
    of one day.
    The second mechanism proposed by Dr. Bellanti is that Petitioner had an immune
    deficiency, such as a CD8+ T cell deficiency, and that her vaccination triggered EBV
    reactivation due to her underlying immune deficiency. Dr. Bellanti did not offer an opinion
    about a specific appropriate temporal interval that would be expected given this mechanism.
    But, again, a period of viral replication would be necessary prior to symptom onset, as described
    above. And a one-day onset does not appear to be appropriate.
    As for Dr. Bellanti’s theory based on molecular mimicry, he did not offer any supportive
    literature or other evidence to support an onset of one day, nor has this onset been found to be
    supported in other cases. See, e.g., Castenada ex rel. N.A.C. v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs.,
    No. 15-1066V, 
    2020 WL 3833076
    , at *27-30 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 18, 2020) (finding onset
    of PANS 24 hours after vaccinations “is not consistent with the adaptive immune response
    inherent in the theory of molecular mimicry”), mot. for review denied, 
    152 Fed. Cl. 576
    ; Hock v.
    Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 17-168V, 
    2020 WL 6392770
    , at *28-29 (Fed. Cl. Spec.
    Mstr. Sept. 30, 2020) (finding a 24-hour onset of rheumatoid arthritis post-vaccination to be
    “entirely too fast for a disease process dependent on molecular mimicry to occur”). The
    undersigned agrees with the reasoning in these cases, and finds them consistent with her
    knowledge and experience gained from adjudicating other cases.
    In summary, Petitioner alleges an onset of one day after vaccination. Although Dr.
    Bellanti opined this was appropriate, he did not file any evidence to support his opinion. The
    medical literature filed by both parties suggests that the incubation prior for an initial EBV
    infection is long. Viral replication is required in both the acute infection, and when EBV is
    reactivated from its latent phase. The process of viral replication is not described as occurring
    within one day. Moreover, Petitioner did not provide evidence to support a one-day onset given
    the mechanism of molecular mimicry. Therefore, the undersigned finds that Petitioner has failed
    to establish by preponderant evidence that a one day is appropriate given the mechanisms
    proffered.
    48A virion is “the complete viral particle, found extracellularly and capable of surviving in
    crystalline form and infecting a living cell; it comprises the nucleoid (genetic material) and the
    capsid.” Virion, Dorland’s Med. Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/
    definition?id=53208 (last visited Oct. 5, 2022).
    45
    VIII. CONCLUSION
    It is clear that Petitioner has had a very difficult struggle with her health, and the
    undersigned extends her sympathy to her. The undersigned’s Decision, however, cannot be
    decided based upon sympathy, but rather on the evidence and law.
    For all of the reasons discussed above, the undersigned finds that Petitioner has failed to
    establish by preponderant evidence that the Tdap vaccination significantly aggravated her
    underlying autoimmune condition. Therefore, Petitioner is not entitled to compensation and her
    petition must be dismissed.
    IT IS SO ORDERED.
    s/Nora Beth Dorsey
    Nora Beth Dorsey
    Special Master
    46