Faup v. Secretary of Health and Human Services ( 2020 )


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  •              In the United States Court of Federal Claims
    No. 12-87V
    (Filed Under Seal: December 27, 2019 | Reissued: April 6, 2020) *
    )   Keywords: Vaccine Act; Motion for
    LISA FAUP, as Parent of A.F., a minor,         )   Review; Systemic Juvenile Idiopathic
    )   Arthritis (sJIA); Diphtheria-Tetanus-
    Petitioner,               )   acellular-Pertussis (DTaP) Vaccine;
    )   Inactivated Polio (IP) Vaccine; Althen
    v.                                             )   Causation.
    )
    SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN                  )
    SERVICES,                                      )
    )
    Respondent.               )
    )
    Sylvia Chin-Caplan, Law Office of Sylvia Chin-Caplan, LLC, Boston, MA, for Petitioner.
    Catherine E. Stolar, Trial Attorney, Torts Branch, Civil Division, U.S. Department of Justice,
    with whom were Gabrielle M. Fielding, Assistant Director, Catharine E. Reeves, Deputy
    Director, C. Salvatore D’Alessio, Acting Director, Joseph H. Hunt, Assistant Attorney General.
    OPINION AND ORDER
    KAPLAN, Judge.
    The Petitioner, Lisa Faup, seeks review of a decision dismissing a petition for
    compensation issued under the National Childhood Vaccine Injury Act of 1986, 42 U.S.C.
    §§300aa-1 to -34 (the “Vaccine Act” or “the Act”), as amended, that she filed on behalf of her
    daughter, A.F. Dec. on Entitlement, Faup v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 12-87V (Fed.
    Cl. Spec. Mstr. June 17, 2019), ECF No. 120 (hereinafter the “Decision” or “Dec.”). The Special
    Master dismissed the petition based on her conclusion that Petitioner failed to show that the
    Diphtheria-Tetanus-acellular-Pertussis (“DTaP”) and inactivated polio (“IP” or “polio”) vaccines
    A.F. received on March 13, 2009 caused A.F. to develop systemic Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis
    (“sJIA”).
    In her motion for review, Petitioner contends that: 1) the Special Master improperly
    heightened her burden of proof by requiring her to prove the validity of the so-called
    *
    This opinion was previously issued under seal on December 27, 2019. The parties were given
    the opportunity to propose redactions on or before January 10, 2020. Because the parties have
    not filed proposed redactions, the Court reissues its decision in its entirety.
    “Autoimmune (auto-inflammatory) Syndrome Induced by Adjuvants” theory (“ASIA”),
    notwithstanding that her experts’ actual theory was a narrower one specific to A.F.’s medical
    history and injury; 2) she ignored some of Petitioner’s evidence regarding causation; and 3) her
    decision was not based on the record as a whole. In response, the government argues that the
    Special Master applied the correct evidentiary standards and that the record supports the
    conclusions she reached regarding Petitioner’s failure to establish causation.
    The Court agrees with Petitioner that the Special Master’s decision reflects some
    conflation of Petitioner’s specific theory of causation with the more generic ASIA theory. The
    Special Master’s error in that regard, however, was a harmless one because the Special Master’s
    decision also demonstrates that she rationally concluded based on the evidence before her that: 1)
    Petitioner had failed to prove by preponderant evidence the viability of her experts’ specific
    theory of causation; and 2) it was more likely that A.F.’s sJIA was triggered by a viral infection
    than her vaccinations. The Court further finds unpersuasive Petitioner’s arguments that the
    Special Master ignored relevant evidence and/or that her decision was not based on the record as
    a whole. In light of the deference the Court owes to the findings and credibility determinations of
    special masters under the Vaccine Act, Petitioner’s motion for review must be DENIED.
    BACKGROUND
    I.     Medical History
    A.F. was born prematurely on March 9, 2004, the oldest of a set of triplets. Pet’r’s Ex. 1
    at 1, 22–23, ECF No. 8-1. She showed no signs of any lasting health concerns at birth.
    Id. At seven
    weeks of age, A.F. was diagnosed with an “innocent heart murmur” but was found
    “otherwise normal” by a pediatric cardiologist.
    Id. at 27–28.
    A.F. received all of her early
    immunizations without incident.
    Id. at 2.
    On March 2, 2009, a pediatrician diagnosed A.F. with an ear infection, known as otitis
    media, and prescribed a seven-day course of amoxicillin, an antibiotic. Pet’r’s Ex. 15 at 1, ECF
    No. 10-1; Pet’r’s Ex. 1 at 72. Several days later, on March 13, A.F. received her regular DTaP
    and polio vaccines. Pet’r’s Ex. 15 at 1.
    On March 20, A.F. visited her pediatrician for a maculopapular rash 1 that had developed
    on or around March 17. Id.; Pet’r’s Ex. 1 at 16. While at her pediatrician’s office, A.F. did not
    have a fever and tested negative for strep throat. Pet’r’s Ex. 1 at 16; Pet’r’s Ex. 11 at 2, ECF No.
    8-11. She received prednisone for the rash. Pet’r’s Ex. 15 at 1. A pediatric note from that same
    day stated that A.F. “[complains of] . . . [left] elbow [and] wrist pains.”
    Id. On March
    25, A.F.’s
    symptoms had worsened, and she returned to her pediatrician for abdominal pain, a swollen
    elbow, a painful knee and ankles, and a recurring fever of up to 104 degrees Fahrenheit. Pet’r’s
    Ex. 1 at 16. Her pediatrician considered a diagnosis of Henoch-Schönlein purpura (“HSP”). 2
    1
    A maculopapular rash is one characterized by “both flat and raised skin lesions . . . [which] are
    usually red and can merge together.” Dec. at 3 n.7.
    2
    Henoch-Schönlein purpura is “a form of nonthrombocytopenic purpura, sometimes a type of
    hypersensitivity vasculitis and sometimes of unknown cause, usually seen in children and
    2
    Pet’r’s Ex. 15 at 1. On March 27, A.F. saw an allergist who could not determine whether A.F.’s
    rash was allergic or viral but gave her Benadryl to rule out an allergy. Pet’r’s Ex. 3 at 3, ECF No.
    8-3. The allergist recommended that A.F. go to the emergency room.
    Id. A.F. was
    admitted to the emergency room at Robert Wood Johnson University Hospital
    later that day, where it was noted that she had an itchy “maculopapular rash to her face, trunk,
    and extremities, slightly raised, [with] some rashes to her ankles [that were] darker in color[,]
    slightly brown and discolored,” and that she experienced “mild difficulty walking due to
    discomfort.” Pet’r’s Ex. 2 at 2, ECF No. 8-2. The rash on her “lower extremity” was described as
    “with petechia 3 and purpura.” 4
    Id. at 4.
    A.F.’s mother reported that A.F. had a “fever
    intermittently over the past 6 days” and that the rash started about ten days earlier as “‘itchy
    small pink bumps’ over [her] extremities and buttocks, [which] spread to [the] rest of [her]
    body.”
    Id.
    at 2.
    A.F. was diagnosed with HSP and discharged the same day.
    Id. at 1.
    On March 31, A.F. saw an infectious disease specialist at Richmond Pediatrics presenting
    with a fever, joint pain, a rash, difficulty walking, and loss of appetite. Pet’r’s Ex. 4 at 1, ECF
    No. 8-4. She returned to the same specialist on April 8 and reported a temperature of “102-104
    since Saturday . . . [, painful] joints . . . [,] and [swollen] wrists and hands.”
    Id. at 2.
    The
    specialist documented an impression of “Viral vs. [Juvenile Rheumatoid Arthritis], HSP.”
    Id. On April
    16, A.F. was seen by Dr. Yukiko Kimura, a pediatric rheumatologist, for an
    initial evaluation. Pet’r’s Ex. 5 at 1, ECF No. 8-5. At that time, A.F. “appeared well” and had not
    complained of pain for several days.
    Id. She reported
    a continuous itchy rash, however, which
    worsened when she had a fever.
    Id. The prednisone
    prescribed on March 26 “did not seem to
    help with the fever,” although Motrin “seem[ed] to help quite a bit.”
    Id. In a
    letter summarizing
    her evaluations, Dr. Kimura reported that A.F. “received a DTaP/[I]PV on 3/13/09 [and s]he was
    also treated with amoxicillin for [otitis media] on 3/2 for 7 days.”
    Id. Dr. Kimura
    characterized
    A.F.’s rash as “the classic rash of systemic [Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis (“sJIA”)] on her face,
    arms and legs.” Id.5 The doctor’s “impression at that time was that [A.F.] most likely had
    associated with symptoms including urticaria, erythema, arthopathy, arthritis, gastrointestinal
    symptoms, and renal involvement.” Dorland’s Illustrated Medical Dictionary at 1557 (32nd ed.
    2012) (hereinafter “Dorland’s”).
    3
    Petechia is “a pinpoint, nonraised, perfectly round, purplish red spot caused by intradermal or
    submucous hemorrhage.” Dorland’s at 1422.
    4
    Purpura is defined as “any of a group of conditions characterized by ecchymoses or other small
    hemorrhages in the skin, mucous membranes, or serosal surfaces; causes include blood disorders,
    vascular abnormalities, and trauma.” Dorland’s at 1557.
    5
    Juvenile idiopathic arthritis is a type of “rheumatoid arthritis in children, [characterized by]
    swelling, tenderness, and pain in one or more joints, which may lead to impaired growth and
    development, limitation of movement, ankylosis, and flexion contractures.” Dorland’s at 150.
    Systemic onset juvenile idiopathic arthritis is “a form of juvenile idiopathic arthritis
    3
    systemic JIA, but that she appeared to be improving without treatment.”
    Id. at 2.
    Accordingly,
    Dr. Kimura asked A.F.’s mother “to keep a detailed fever and symptom diary,”
    id., and directed
    her to give A.F. Motrin or Naprosyn if her fever or joint pain reappeared,
    id. at 9.
    A.F. went to a
    follow-up appointment with Dr. Kimura two weeks later on April 28 and reported “only two
    days of fever the previous week, and [that she] was otherwise OK except for some joint pain.”
    Id. at 2.
    For several weeks after that appointment, A.F.’s mother reported that A.F. “seemed to do
    well except for [a] rash[, with] no fever or joint pain.”
    Id. The weekend
    of May 8, however, A.F.
    had a severe flare up of her rash and joint pain and developed a high fever.
    Id. Dr. Kimura
    prescribed naproxen, “which improved her symptoms.”
    Id. Early in
    the week of May 18, A.F. “developed fever and rash at the time that one of her
    siblings had strep, and Mrs. Faup started her on amoxicillin.”
    Id. A.F.’s mother
    characterized this
    rash as a “strep rash” that was “different from the JIA rash.”
    Id. A.F. had
    lab work done on May
    26, which “showed possible MAS (macrophage activation syndrome—a hemophagocytic
    syndrome that can be life threatening in systemic JIA).”
    Id. Dr. Kimura
    reported that the “fever
    and rash episode that she had early in the week may have been MAS.”
    Id. Dr. Kimura
    advised
    petitioner that “MAS is a life threatening complication of [s]JIA that can flare at any time, and
    that [A.F.] most likely needs steroids or a biologic agent that blocks IL-1, which has been shown
    to be very effective in treating children with systemic JIA.”
    Id. Immediately after
    A.F.’s alarming lab results came in on May 27, A.F.’s mother was
    advised to take her daughter to the hospital to have the labs repeated immediately.
    Id. Although A.F.
    had no symptoms at this time, with no fever, rash, or joint pain, A.F.’s mother took A.F. to
    the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia emergency department on May 28. Id.; Pet’r’s Ex. 12 at
    1, ECF No. 8-12. Rheumatology assessed A.F.’s condition and concurred with the diagnosis of
    sJIA. Pet’r’s Ex. 12 at 12. The repeated lab work “showed some improvement (from 5/27),” and
    A.F.’s mother was asked to keep a close eye on A.F. and take her immediately to the emergency
    room if her symptoms worsened. Pet’r’s Ex. 5 at 2.
    On June 4, A.F. remained largely asymptomatic, but had a bone marrow evaluation done
    to rule out leukemia or MAS. Pet’r’s Ex. 1 at 65. This test was “normal and showed no evidence
    of either malignancy or MAS.”
    Id. A.F. attended
    a follow-up appointment with Dr. Kimura the
    same day.
    Id. at 66.
    Dr. Kimura opined that A.F.’s MAS episode from May had “spontaneously
    improved since she [was] asymptomatic at this time.” Pet’r’s Ex. 5 at 2. Dr. Kimura documented
    that A.F. had swelling in both ankles, a rash, a low-grade fever, and “occas[ional] joint pain.”
    Pet’r’s Ex. 1 at 66–67. Dr. Kimura assessed that A.F.’s sJIA was “still active” although her
    “[status post] MAS [was] self controlled.”
    Id. at 67.
    On June 16, A.F. saw Dr. Kimura for “some
    rash [and] occas[ional] joint pain,” although she had not had a fever since her last visit.
    Id. at 46.
    A.F. began treatment with methotrexate,
    id., a drug
    “used as an antipsoriatic and antiarthritic in
    the treatment of . . . severe rheumatoid and psoriatic arthritis,” Dorland’s at 1151.
    accompanied by systemic manifestations such as spiking fever, transient rash on the trunk and
    limbs, hepatosplenomegaly, generalized lymphadenopathy, and anemia.”
    Id. at 157.
    4
    On June 17, 2009, Petitioner took A.F. for an assessment by Dr. Thomas Lehman,
    another pediatric rheumatologist. Pet’r’s Ex. 6 at 1–2. Although her symptoms had greatly
    improved, Dr. Lehman found that A.F. “ha[d] clearly documented systemic-onset [juvenile
    rheumatoid arthritis] by history and laboratory findings,” confirming her sJIA diagnosis by Dr.
    Kimura.
    Id. at 2.
    6
    A.F. returned to see Dr. Kimura multiple times between July 14, 2009 and July 13, 2010.
    Pet’r’s Ex. 1 at 43, 49, 52, 55, 58. Throughout this period, A.F.’s symptoms continued to
    dramatically improve, until on July 13, 2010, A.F. reported no symptoms at all since her last
    visit.
    Id. at 5
    8. 
    Around July 16 of 2009, Dr. Kimura advised Petitioner to stop the Naprosyn, and
    around June 1, 2010, A.F. stopped taking the methotrexate without any resurgence in symptoms.
    Id. at 44,
    58–59. Although A.F.’s lab results continued to be abnormal, A.F. remained healthy
    with no return of her sJIA symptoms. Pet’r’s Ex. 5 at 78–79; Pet’r’s Ex. 18 at 4, ECF No. 18-1.
    II.    Procedural Background
    A.      Pre-Hearing Proceedings Before the Special Master
    On February 9, 2012, Petitioner filed a petition alleging that the vaccinations that A.F.
    received on March 13, 2009 caused her to suffer “rheumatologic injury.” Pet. For Vaccine
    Compensation at ¶¶ 1–2, ECF No. 1. In February and April of 2012, Petitioner submitted A.F.’s
    medical records for consideration in connection with her petition. ECF Nos. 8, 10.
    On June 18, 2012, the Secretary of Health and Human Services filed a Rule 4(c) Report,
    recommending against compensation on the grounds that, in relevant part, Petitioner had failed
    to proffer a medical theory causally linking A.F.’s injuries with the vaccines she received on
    March 13, 2009. See Resp’t’s Rule 4(c) Report at 1, 14, ECF No. 12.
    On September 12, 2013, Petitioner submitted an expert report prepared by Dr. Robert
    Sundel, M.D., a pediatric rheumatologist, along with his curriculum vitae and supporting
    literature. ECF No. 30. Petitioner submitted Dr. Sundel’s first supplemental expert report on June
    15, 2015, ECF No. 44, and his second supplemental expert report on February 5, 2016, ECF No.
    51. On February 13, 2017, Petitioner filed an expert report from Dr. Michael Gurish, a Ph.D. in
    Experimental Pathology (Immunology). ECF No. 76.
    The government submitted an expert report from Dr. Carlos Rose, M.D., C.I.P, a
    pediatric rheumatologist, on January 13, 2014, along with his curriculum vitae and supporting
    articles. ECF No. 32. On August 14, 2015, the government filed the first supplemental expert
    report of Dr. Rose, along with expert reports from Dr. Edward W. Cetaruk, M.D., and Dr. J.
    Lindsay Whitton, M.D., Ph.D. ECF No. 45. The government submitted Dr. Whitton’s first
    supplemental expert report on August 4, 2016, ECF No. 60, and his second supplemental expert
    report on May 30, 2017, ECF No. 86.
    6
    Systemic juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) and systemic juvenile rheumatoid arthritis (JRA) are
    the same condition. See Dorland’s at 157 (providing the same definition for JIA and JRA).
    5
    B.      The Entitlement Hearing
    An entitlement hearing was held in Washington, D.C. on March 13–14, 2018. ECF Nos.
    114, 115. At the hearing, both parties presented the testimony of their experts, which is
    summarized below.
    1.      Petitioner’s Experts 7
    a.      Opinion of Dr. Robert Sundel
    i.     Overview
    Dr. Robert Sundel, a pediatric rheumatologist, submitted three expert reports in this case
    and testified at the entitlement hearing. In his opinion, the DTaP and polio vaccines administered
    on March 13, 2009 were the most likely cause of A.F.’s sJIA.
    Although the pathogenesis of sJIA is unknown, Dr. Sundel postulated during his
    testimony that its cause is likely “multifactorial,” Tr. 27:6–10, ECF Nos. 114, 115, involving “a
    multitude of environmental, genetic and epigenetic factors,” Pet’r’s Ex. 24 at 3, ECF No. 51-1
    (Second Supplemental Expert Report of Dr. Sundel). Dr. Sundel opined that A.F. developed sJIA
    because of her “genetic susceptibility, [the] stimulation of [her] immune system, and the[
    immunization which served as the] one final jerk to the immune system.” Tr. at 304:17–18,
    303:16–20.
    Dr. Sundel based his theory of causation on the “common understanding today [that s]JIA
    is an innate immune system inflammatory disorder [(“autoinflammatory disease”)].”
    Id. at 37:8–
    9. The innate immune system, Dr. Sundel testified, is the system’s first responder,
    id. at 28
    :6–8,
    
    yet it is the “more primitive” arm of the immune system,
    id. at 28
    :17. 
    “[I]t has the advantage of
    working quickly and taking care of most of the major early pathogens.”
    Id. at 28
    :17–19. 
    It does
    so by “rapidly identify[ing] and destroy[ing]” invading organisms.
    Id. at 28
    :6–8. 
    After the innate
    immune system gets to work, Dr. Sundel explained, the adaptive arm of the immune system
    takes over, which “changes its response depending on the exact invader, and also adjusts its
    attack on the invader over time.”
    Id. at 28
    :9–11. 
    Dr. Sundel explained that “innate [immune]
    responses . . . , occur more rapidly than adaptive [immune] responses—minutes to hours rather
    than . . . days to weeks.” Pet’r’s Ex. 24 at 2.
    Implicated in the innate immune system, sJIA, and MAS, according to Dr. Sundel, are
    monocytes, the cytokine 8 “IL-18,” and the cytokines “IL-1 and IL-6 . . . that cause fever and . . .
    inflammation.” Tr. at 31:6–13. These “markers of the innate immune system are abnormal in
    [s]JIA.”
    Id. at 31
    :6–16. 
    Monocytes, he explained, “can become macrophages,” which in turn are
    7
    For a recitation of the qualifications of Petitioner’s and the government’s expert witnesses, see
    Dec. at 7–16.
    8
    Cytokine is the “generic term for nonantibody proteins released by one cell population . . . on
    contact with specific antigen, which act as intercellular mediators, as in the generation of an
    immune response.” Dorland’s at 466.
    6
    primarily responsible for “releasing the cytokines in [MAS]” and are one component of the
    body’s innate immune response.
    Id. at 31
    :24–32:21. 
    “IL-18,” he further explained, “is the central
    cytokine in the innate immune system,”
    id. at 40:3–5,
    and it is “much higher in [s]JIA and higher
    still in [MAS]” than it is in other inflammatory diseases or infections,
    id. at 48:6–8.
    Thus, Dr.
    Sundel testified, it is unsurprising that a “significant percentage” of patients with sJIA also suffer
    from MAS, and “high levels [of IL-18] are predictive . . . of developing MAS.”
    Id. at 39:23–
    40:8. MAS, Dr. Sundel explained, is a “cytokine storm . . . [,] where the innate immune system[]
    and . . . the adaptive immune system[] are all triggered simultaneously.”
    Id. at 38:22–39:3.
    The
    immune system is overwhelmed, he stated, which causes multiple dangerous symptoms,
    including fever.
    Id. at 39:3–7,
    39:19–22.
    Autoinflammatory diseases, Dr. Sundel testified, are characterized by a dysregulation of
    the innate immune system’s ability to respond, specifically “poor control of inflammation
    [where] . . . the normal mechanisms by which the body [controls and prevents inflammation]
    continually [do not] work.”
    Id. at 30:16–20.
    Therefore, Dr. Sundel concluded, “fever and rashes
    and arthritis [occur] in children with systemic JIA, because their innate immune system is . . . out
    of control.”
    Id. at 30:22–24.
    Dr. Sundel explained that systemic JIA involves “systemic features of inflammation” in
    addition to inflammation of the joints.
    Id. at 26:13–16.
    SJIA must be “diagnosed clinically” as its
    cause is unknown, and it has “numerous manifestations that can differ from child to child.”
    Id. at 26:18–22.
    A.F.’s symptoms supportive of her sJIA diagnosis, Dr. Sundel testified, were her rash,
    fever, arthritis, enlarged liver and spleen, and swollen lymph nodes.
    Id. at 26:24–27:5.
    SJIA is triggered, according to Dr. Sundel, when a “genetically susceptible host[],”
    Pet’r’s Ex. 20 at 2, ECF No. 30-1 (Expert Report of Dr. Sundel), 9 experiences “low-grade
    inflammation that is controlled and then [some trigger] increases the amount of inflammation in
    the child, the child is no longer able to maintain control of this low-grade inflammation and . . . it
    explodes into a case of [s]JIA,” Tr. at 27:15–21.
    Dr. Sundel’s theory is based at least partially on the fact that the DTaP vaccine contains
    an aluminum adjuvant (“aluminum” or “alum”). See
    id. at 45:4–5.
    10 Adjuvants, Dr. Sundel
    testified, are intentionally designed to “stimulate[]” the innate immune response.
    Id. at 34:24–25.
    Dr. Sundel posited that adjuvants “activate[] the inflammasomes, which are the control center[s]
    of the innate immune system, causing release of [the] IL-18 [cytokine], and trigger[ing] . . .
    inflammation . . . in the innate immune system.”
    Id. at 34:24–35:4.
    Dr. Sundel also explained
    that the innate immune system “is built to recognize” another primary component of a vaccine,
    the antigen, so that the immune system launches “a speedy attack . . . mediated by the innate
    9
    For Pet’r’s Ex. 20, the Court uses the pagination of the PDF document from the CM-ECF
    system.
    10
    An adjuvant is defined as “a substance that aids another,” or, “in immunology, a nonspecific
    stimulator of the immune response, such as BCG vaccine.” Dorland’s at 32. More specifically,
    Dr. Sundel explained that “[a]djuvants, particularly aluminum[,] . . . are additives used to
    increase the immunologic response to vaccines.” Pet’r’s Ex. 24 at 4.
    7
    immune system.”
    Id. at 34:2–7.11
    But while he concluded that A.F.’s sJIA “could[ not] have
    happened without the vaccine,”
    id. at 88:6–8,
    he stated that there was not “enough data” to
    pinpoint specifically which part of the vaccine (i.e., the adjuvants or the antigen) caused her
    sJIA,
    id. at 87:24–25,
    and he did not know “[w]hether it was essential to have all aspects of the
    . . . vaccine,”
    id. at 310:19–21.
    ii.     Dr. Sundel’s Discussion of “ASIA”
    Of significance to the issues raised in the motion for review, Dr. Sundel’s expert reports
    also contained references to research concerning what has been characterized as the
    “Autoimmune (auto-inflammatory) Syndrome Induced by Adjuvants” (also known as “ASIA”).
    See Pet’r’s Ex. 23 at 3–4, ECF No. 44-1 (First Supplemental Report of Dr. Sundel). 12 The
    existence of that syndrome was first proposed in an article published in 2011 in the Journal of
    Autoimmunity. See Pet’r’s Ex. 23, Tab D (Yehuda Shoenfeld & Nancy Agmon-Levin, ‘ASIA’ –
    Autoimmune/inflammatory syndrome induced by adjuvants, 36 J. Autoimm. 4 (2011)
    (hereinafter the “Shoenfeld article”). The article’s authors, Drs. Shoenfeld and Agmon-Levin,
    hypothesized that a “genetically susceptible subject may develop an autoimmune or auto-
    inflammatory disease . . . following exposure” to an “adjuvant.”
    Id. at 37.
    They also posited that
    “in rare occasions, . . . vaccines can induce . . . enigmatic inflammatory condition and overt
    autoimmune disease . . . weeks and even months or years following vaccination.”
    Id. at 38.
    Drs.
    Shoenfeld and Agmon-Levin recommended that four different medical conditions that “share
    clinical and pathogenic resemblances . . . be included under a common syndrome entitled the
    ‘Autoimmune (Auto-Inflammatory Syndrome Induced by Adjuvants’ (ASIA).”
    Id. at 40.
    These
    allegedly related medical conditions included siliconosis, Gulf War syndrome, macrophagic
    myofascitis syndrome, and a variety of “post-vaccination phenomena.”
    Id. at 37.
    The article
    proposed several major and minor criteria that would justify an ASIA diagnosis.
    Id. at 40.
    In his first supplemental expert report, Dr. Sundel included several references to the
    ASIA theory, observing that it has “raised the possibility that triggering of arthritis and other
    forms of autoimmunity may be the result of immune potentiation by additives to immunizations
    rather than the vaccines themselves.” Pet’r’s Ex. 23 at 4 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 23, Tab D (Shoenfeld
    article)). He also wrote that A.F.’s “arthritis is consistent with the . . . rapid response that may
    occur when [an] adjuvant triggers pathologic inflammation,” and that the “[d]ata supporting such
    a mechanism in the pathogenesis of post-vaccination phenomena” was summarized in the
    Shoenfeld article.
    Id. at 4.
    Dr. Sundel also cited an article, which attempted to test the ASIA
    hypothesis, as “support[ing] a role of aluminum adjuvants particularly in young girls who
    develop arthritis shortly after an immunization.”
    Id. at 5
    (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 23, Tab L (Sergio
    11
    An antigen is “any substance capable, under appropriate conditions, of inducing a specific
    immune response and of reacting with the products of that response . . . [and] may be soluble
    substances, such as toxins and foreign proteins, or particulate, such as bacteria and tissue cells.”
    Dorland’s at 103.
    12
    For Pet’r’s Ex. 23, the Court uses the pagination of the PDF document from the CM-ECF
    system.
    8
    Cerpa-Cruz et al., Adverse Events Following Immunization with Vaccines Containing
    Adjuvants, 56 Immunol. Research 299 (2013)).
    Dr. Sundel did not bring up the ASIA theory in his direct testimony, but it was raised by
    counsel for the government in her cross-examination. In response to her questions, he
    characterized ASIA as “an overly broad generalization of what happens with vaccines.” Tr. at
    72:5–6. Nonetheless, he stated that the ASIA theory had value because it showed “[t]hat we had
    not been paying enough attention to what the adjuvants do, and we had not been considering
    possible adverse effects.”
    Id. at 74:9–11.
    “[T]hroughout history,” he continued, “vaccines have
    had both good and bad effects, and the relative number of good and bad effects vary, and over
    time, the claims that certain good or bad effects are caused by the vaccines are proven or
    disproven by scientists.”
    Id. at 74:11–16.
    He stated that while the Shoenfeld article was “not
    proof,” it provided “a reasonable hypothesis that in some patients [adjuvants have] an adverse
    effect.”
    Id. at 83:9–11.
    The Special Master also questioned Dr. Sundel regarding his understanding of ASIA. He
    characterized ASIA as “a general theory that there can be adverse effects from the effects of
    adjuvants on people, basically, very broadly,” and observed that it was “too broad for a theory
    that will have any use in clinical medicine, or even in the legal system.”
    Id. at 84:18–22.
    Upon
    further questioning by the Special Master, he also stated that another difference between his
    theory and ASIA is that he was unsure whether it was the adjuvant, an antigen, or a combination
    that caused A.F.’s sJIA.
    Id. at 88:10–13.
    He stated that “[i]t couldn’t have happened without the
    vaccine,” although he really did not know “was it the IP [vaccine], was it the DTaP, was it
    alum?” “[B]ut,” he said, “I do know that the combination was not good for her.”
    Id. at 88:5–9.
    b.      Opinion of Dr. Michael Gurish
    Dr. Michael Gurish, a Ph.D. in Experimental Pathology (Immunology), submitted one
    expert report and testified at the entitlement hearing. Dec. at 10. 13 Dr. Gurish agreed with Dr.
    Sundel that “[t]here is good reason to believe the adjuvanted Diphtheria and Tetanus vaccine
    induced or provoked the inflammatory response that led to the appearance of [A.F.’s] sJIA.”
    Pet’r’s Ex. 29 at 1, ECF No. 76-1 (Expert Report of Dr. Gurish).
    At the entitlement hearing, Dr. Gurish began his testimony by explaining, as had Dr.
    Sundel, that “the immune system [is] divided into the innate versus the adaptive immune
    system.” Tr. at 96:23–24. Dr. Gurish described the innate immune system as “the first to be
    activated” in an immune response,
    id. at. 97:16–18,
    “which then stimulates the adaptive immune
    system . . . by presenting components (antigens) of the pathogens . . . and by their secretion of
    mediators (cytokines),” Pet’r’s Ex. 29 at 2. In his expert report, Dr. Gurish observed that sJIA is
    an “autoinflammatory reaction,” meaning that it “principally involves innate cells, such as
    13
    Dr. Gurish is also an associate immunochemist at Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston,
    and an associate professor of medicine at Harvard Medical School. Dec. at 10. The Special
    Master noted that Petitioner “did not move to admit Dr. Gurish as an expert in the field of
    immunology,” but that “he provided opinion testimony in that area.”
    Id. at 11.
    9
    macrophages.”
    Id. In A.F.’s
    case, Dr. Gurish wrote, “it appears that [her] innate immunity was
    over stimulated and uncontrolled because [A.F. also] experienced [MAS].”
    Id. at 3.
    Dr. Gurish testified that—in combination with a number of other factors, such as A.F.’s
    previous ear infection and recent treatment with antibiotics—the alum from the vaccine
    “stimulate[d A.F.’s] immune system” and set off a chain of internal immune responses that led to
    the “robust innate activation” that ultimately triggered A.F.’s sJIA. Tr. at 114:24–115:4. Dr.
    Gurish explained that “alum . . . forms a complex” that “activates the macrophage and induces
    the formation of inflammasomes.”
    Id. at 105:14–16,
    105:24–106:2. In turn, “the formation of the
    inflammasome” produces “cytokines,” such as “IL-1 and IL-18.”
    Id. at 106:6–15.
    The
    “subsequent elaboration of cytokines such as IL-1 and IL-6,” Dr. Gurish wrote in explanation,
    are “two of the most important mediators of sJIA.” Pet’r’s Ex. 29 at 4.
    2.     The Government’s Experts
    a.      Opinion of Dr. Carlos Rose
    Dr. Carlos Rose, a pediatric rheumatologist, submitted two expert reports and testified at
    the entitlement hearing, where he evaluated and criticized Petitioner’s vaccine-induced theory of
    causation and posited an alternative theory of viral causation to explain why A.F. developed
    sJIA. Dr. Rose agreed with Petitioner’s experts on a number of points relating to sJIA’s
    characterization as an autoinflammatory disease and the immunologic effects of adjuvants on the
    body. But he concluded that—contrary to Petitioner’s experts—the vaccine played no role in the
    onset of A.F.’s sJIA. Tr. at 141:19–22. Rather, he opined that the cause was more likely viral in
    origin, encompassing both the viral ear infection that preceded the vaccination and a possible
    exposure to an undiagnosed viral infection “between vaccin[ation] and [the] onset of [her s]JIA.”
    Resp’t’s Ex. G at 2, ECF No. 45-1 (First Supplemental Expert Report of Dr. Rose). Dr. Rose
    reasoned that if the vaccines had caused “a clinical and relevant activation of the innate immune
    system,” then he thought A.F. should have had “at least some fever . . . within . . . 24 or 48
    hours” after she was vaccinated. Tr. at 160:1–6.
    b.      Opinion of Dr. James Whitton
    Dr. James Whitton, an immunologist, submitted three expert reports and testified at the
    entitlement hearing. In his first supplemental expert report, Dr. Whitton proposed that A.F.’s
    sJIA was triggered by her previous ear infection, whose “[b]acterial DNA is a strong stimulator
    of the innate immune response.” Resp’t’s Ex. J at 11, ECF No. 60-1 (First Supplemental Expert
    Report of Dr. Whitton). He also “note[d] with interest Dr. Rose’s contention that the purpuric
    rash that she displayed early in the course of disease might have been reflective of an
    undiagnosed viral infection.”
    Id. Like Dr.
    Rose, Dr. Whitton agreed with Petitioner’s experts overview of the basic
    mechanics of aluminum’s activation of the innate immune system, Tr. at 201:14–17, and sJIA’s
    characterization as an autoinflammatory disease,
    id. at 238:1–3,
    15–18. But the fact that “alum
    will be taken up by macrophages and cause a local inflammatory response,” Dr. Whitton warned,
    should not be “conflate[d]” with the notion that this can “cause an autoimmune disease.”
    Id. at 260:1–13.
    He disagreed with Petitioner’s theory of vaccine-induced causation based primarily on
    10
    his opinion that the triggering of the innate immune system that results from alum, including the
    production of cytokines, is of limited duration,
    id. at 201:17–202:4,
    occurring “usually within the
    first 24 to 48 hours and [then] dissipat[ing] fairly rapidly thereafter,”
    id. at 202:15–20.
    In Dr.
    Whitton’s view, an “ongoing driver” of inflammation is required to “drive a serious
    autoinflammatory disease,” and the relatively short-lived activation of the innate immune system
    that occurs in response to an alum adjuvant does not provide such a driver. Resp’t’s Ex. J at 8–9
    (internal quotation marks omitted).
    C.      The Special Master’s Decision
    Following the hearing, the parties submitted post-hearing briefs. ECF Nos. 116, 118, 119.
    On June 17, 2019, the Special Master issued a decision ruling that A.F. was not entitled to
    compensation under the Vaccine Act because Petitioner failed to show that A.F.’s condition was
    caused by the vaccines. ECF No. 120.
    1.     Credibility of Petitioner’s Experts
    The Special Master began her analysis with a general critique of the credibility of
    Petitioner’s experts, Drs. Sundel and Gurish. She acknowledged Dr. Sundel’s “impressive
    credentials” and his extensive experience treating sJIA patients but found that his expertise “was
    undercut” by what she characterized as “a vague and inconsistent causation theory.” Dec. at 28.
    Among other things, she found it significant that despite his “clear assertion that sJIA is an
    autoimmune syndrome induced by adjuvants,” Dr. Sundel had “not refer[red] to his theory by the
    ASIA acronym well known in the [Vaccine] program.”
    Id. 14 The
    Special Master acknowledged that Dr. Sundel had disavowed reliance on the ASIA
    theory during his testimony, and that he had stated that, in his view, ASIA is “too broad for a
    theory that will have any use in clinical medicine, or even in the legal system.” See
    id. at 28
    (quoting Tr. at 84:20–22). But the Special Master considered his “rejection of ASIA . . .
    contradicted by his filed medical literature,” in particular by: 1) his citation of the Cerpa‐Cruz
    
    article, supra
    , as his “best evidence that aluminum salt adjuvant can trigger pathologic
    inflammation or another adverse event,” and 2) the citation of the Shoenfeld article in his expert
    report and his statements under questioning by the Special Master in which he “praised Dr.
    Shoenfeld’s work while acknowledging that it needs to be understood better,” and “conceded”
    that the 2011 article “is not proof,”
    id. (internal quotation
    marks and citations omitted).
    “For many of the same reasons,” the Special Master also found Dr. Gurish unpersuasive.
    Id. at 29
    . 
    Specifically, she observed that Dr. Gurish—who, like Dr. Sundel, had disavowed
    reliance upon ASIA as the basis for his theory of causation—had failed to “explain how he had
    14
    The Special Master’s reference to ASIA as being “well-known” in the vaccine program is
    based on several decisions that she discussed subsequently in her opinion, in which, she stated,
    its validity was “called into doubt.” Dec. at 29.
    11
    narrowed Dr. Shoenfeld’s ASIA theory”; nor had he “explained away holes in the [ASIA]
    causation theory that relate to its vague symptoms or unspecified triggers.”
    Id. at 28
    –29.15
    
    2.      Althen Prong One
    The Special Master then analyzed whether Petitioner had met her burden to prove by a
    preponderance of the evidence that the vaccine caused her injury using the three-prong test set
    forth in Althen v. Secretary of Health and Human Services. 
    418 F.3d 1274
    (Fed. Cir. 2005).
    Turning to Althen prong one, the Special Master concluded that Petitioner “failed to prove by a
    preponderance of the evidence her theory causally connecting A.F.’s DTaP and IP vaccinations
    to her sJIA.” Dec. at 29. She noted that Dr. Sundel’s theory was constructed on the basis of
    sJIA’s characterization as an autoinflammatory disease, “the general principles of the innate
    immune system, and the accepted premise that the DTaP and IP vaccines are designed to elicit an
    immune response.”
    Id. The Special
    Master stated that Petitioner’s medical theory “can best be summed up by
    Dr. Sundel’s assertion, “was it the IP[vaccine], was it the DTap, was it alum? I don’t really
    know, but I know that the combination was not good for her.”
    Id. at 29
    (citing Tr. at 88:5–9)
    (testimony of Dr. Sundel). She observed again that despite Dr. Sundel’s critique of the ASIA
    theory, his “stated theory is based on the role of adjuvants in the development of adverse events.”
    Id. Therefore, she
    stated, “[Dr. Sundel’s theory] is ASIA and it fails now for the same reasons it
    has previously failed: the diagnostic criteria proposed by the ASIA study’s authors are both
    vague and flawed.”
    Id. Drs. Sundel
    and Gurish’s reports, she noted, “do not add precision to the ASIA criteria,
    elaborate on the role of aluminum or specify how much is needed, provide any further support
    from scientific or medical experts in the field, or add any additional evidence to support the
    theory.”
    Id. at 30.
    In her view, Petitioner’s experts merely “repeat[ed] what has already been
    rejected” in previous cases repudiating ASIA.
    Id. In short,
    the Special Master concluded,
    Petitioner “failed to provide a reputable medical theory” sufficient to prove Althen prong one
    because “she is unable to distinguish [her theory] from ASIA” and has “failed to present any new
    evidence to overcome” the “previously identified shortcomings” of ASIA.
    Id. at 31
    .
    
    3.      Althen Prong Two
    The Special Master then turned to Althen prong two, which requires a petitioner to
    demonstrate a logical sequence of cause and effect showing the vaccination caused the injury.
    Id. at 32
    . 
    According to the Special Master, Dr. Sundel’s conclusion that A.F.’s sJIA was vaccine
    induced was grounded in the short period of time between vaccination and the onset of A.F.’s
    symptoms and on “the absence of alternative explanations” for her sJIA.
    Id. (quoting Pet’r’s
    Ex.
    15
    Dr. Gurish testified that he would “echo Dr. Sundel’s opinion that while the ASIA hypothesis
    is intriguing in the sense that someone is trying to understand these adverse events on a very
    global scale,” the ASIA hypothesis is “also is disruptive in the sense, for me as a scientist, it’s
    hard to make predictions based on this global hypothesis . . . , and I want testable hypotheses to
    test, to try to prove whether there is a cause-and-effect relationship.” Tr. at 127:24–128:7.
    12
    20 at 2). She noted, however, that “Petitioner’s theory does not explain the roles any of the non-
    adjuvanted vaccines played in the development of A.F.’s sJIA,” and that Petitioner’s experts did
    not say which vaccines were necessary to cause A.F. to manifest symptoms.
    Id. The Special
    Master asserted that Dr. Gurish had stated in his report that the symptoms
    A.F. experienced “two to four days after vaccination . . . match both the ASIA criteria and data
    from several studies.”
    Id. (citing Pet’r’s
    Ex. 29 at 5). She observed that “ASIA’s diagnostic
    criteria are unclear” and concluded that “Petitioner has failed to provide preponderant evidence
    establishing that ASIA (or the ASIA-like theory proposed by Dr. Sundel) can be applied to any
    specific case generally, or A.F.’s specifically.”
    Id. at 32
    –33.
    
    The Special Master also found unavailing Dr. Sundel’s testimony that A.F.’s sJIA was
    caused by a “confluence of events,” including “her genetic predisposition and a variety of
    environmental factors.”
    Id. at 33.
    She found more persuasive the alternative theory of causation
    proposed by the government’s experts—that A.F.’s sJIA was triggered by a viral infection.
    Id. She cited
    their testimony that the effects of the small amount of aluminum contained in the
    vaccines are both localized and short lived and therefore “A.F.’s sJIA could not have been
    caused by her vaccines.”
    Id. (citing Resp’t’s
    Ex. A at 7–8, ECF No. 32-1 (Expert Report of Dr.
    Rose); Resp’t’s Ex. J at 11–12). Further, she observed, they had opined that “A.F.’s genetic
    predisposition and MAS, which are both commonly triggered by viral infections, support the
    need for an ‘ongoing driver’ that gives rise to sJIA.”
    Id. In a
    ddition, she noted that the
    government’s experts had “also explained that because of A.F.’s genetic predisposition to sJIA—
    which is linked to the innate immune system via the cytolysis pathway—a similar MAS-like or
    JIA-like response would have occurred after every vaccination with an aluminum adjuvant.”
    Id. As this
    did not occur, the Special Master found it “more likely that a viral infection triggered
    A.F.’s sJIA.”
    Id. The Special
    Master also found credible Dr. Rose’s explanation that since A.F.’s lab
    results did not support the existence of MAS on March 27, 2009, the more likely explanation for
    A.F.’s purpuric rash was a viral infection.
    Id. And, the
    Special Master found, “[g]iven A.F.’s
    genetic predisposition and the symptoms she exhibited at the time, it is more likely that this viral
    infection was the substantial factor that triggered her sJIA than the vaccines in question.”
    Id. 4. Althen
    Prong Three
    Turning to prong three of the Althen test, which requires a petitioner to show a proximate
    temporal relationship between vaccination and injury, the Special Master observed that the
    parties disagreed on whether A.F.’s sJIA developed in mid-to-late March, i.e., within days after
    she was vaccinated on March 13, 2009, or whether its onset occurred weeks later, in early April
    2009.
    Id. at 34.
    Dr. Sundel’s “proposed time frame for disease onset was four to five days post
    vaccination,” the Special Master wrote, which he based on A.F.’s medical records and her
    ultimate diagnosis of sJIA.
    Id. (citing Tr.
    at 19:13–17). According to the Special Master, this
    theory was based on “circular reasoning.”
    Id. In her
    view, Dr. Sundel had posited “that because
    A.F.’s injury is vaccine induced, the onset of A.F.’s symptoms establishes the appropriate time
    frame for a vaccine-related injury.”
    Id. 13 The
    Special Master observed, however, that the government’s expert, Dr. Rose, did not
    believe that the purpuric rash A.F. had on March 27 was a symptom of sJIA, and that he had
    found that she did not have diagnosable MAS at that time.
    Id. Dr. Rose
    concluded on the basis of
    lab results that A.F.’s initial rash was caused by a viral infection, “which would place the onset
    for sJIA, weeks later, in early April 2009.”
    Id. The Special
    Master found that “based on the
    preponderant standard, A.F.’s sJIA was more likely caused by a viral infection [and t]he time
    frame proposed by Dr. Rose is therefore more appropriate.”
    Id. The Special
    Master explained that neither party had offered medical literature that
    discussed an appropriate time frame for vaccine-induced sJIA.
    Id. It was
    therefore “[t]he broader
    deficiencies with Petitioner’s theory (which did not otherwise establish that the DTaP and IP
    vaccines could cause sJIA) [that] render[ed her] unable to find that the timing at issue in this case
    of the alleged vaccine-induced sJIA has been shown to be medically acceptable.”
    Id. D. The
    Present Motion for Review
    Petitioner filed her motion for review of the Special Master’s Decision with this Court on
    July 17, 2019. Petitioner’s Mot. for Review (“Pet’r’s Mot.”), ECF No. 121. In her motion,
    Petitioner argues that the Special Master “improperly heightened” her burden of proof, “and
    failed to consider the record as a whole.”
    Id. at 13.
    Specifically, according to Petitioner, the
    Special Master required Petitioner to prove what she characterizes as a new “nebulous” theory,
    known as ASIA, that links adjuvanted vaccines to autoinflammatory diseases.
    Id. She also
    contends that the Special Master required “proof of the exact amount of the aluminum adjuvant
    needed to cause [s]JIA.”
    Id. at 23.
    Finally, Petitioner argues that the Special Master committed
    legal error by requiring greater evidence from Petitioner than that articulated in Althen prong
    three, and that the Special Master failed to consider the record as a whole in denying entitlement
    based on the government’s alternative theory of viral causation, which Petitioner contends is not
    supported by the evidence.
    Id. at 25–26.
    The government filed its response to Petitioner’s motion on August 16, 2019. Resp’t’s
    Mem. in Resp. to Pet’r’s Mot. for Review, ECF No. 125. It argues that the Special Master
    properly identified and applied the legal standard, that Petitioner failed to establish a logical
    sequence of causation between the vaccines and the onset of A.F.’s injury, and that Petitioner did
    not establish that the timing between vaccination and the onset of her sJIA was medically
    appropriate.
    Id. at 9,
    15, 17.
    Oral argument was held on December 4, 2019. See ECF No. 127.
    DISCUSSION
    I.     Jurisdiction and Standard of Review
    Congress established the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program in 1986 to
    provide a no-fault compensation system for vaccine-related injuries and deaths. Figueroa v.
    Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    715 F.3d 1314
    , 1316–17 (Fed. Cir. 2013). The Vaccine Act is
    remedial legislation that should be construed in a manner effectuating its underlying spirit and
    purpose.
    Id. 14 A
    petition seeking compensation under the Vaccine Act is filed in the Court of Federal
    Claims, after which the Clerk of Court forwards it to the chief special master for assignment to a
    special master. 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-11(a)(1). The special master to whom the petition is assigned
    “issue[s] a decision on such petition with respect to whether compensation is to be provided
    under the [Vaccine Act] Program and the amount of such compensation.”
    Id. § 300aa-12(d)(3)(A).
    The Vaccine Act grants the Court of Federal Claims jurisdiction to review the record of
    the proceedings before a special master, and authority, upon such review, to:
    1)     Uphold the findings of fact and conclusions of law of the special master and
    sustain the special master’s decision;
    2)      Set aside any findings of fact or conclusion of law of the special master found to
    be arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law and issue
    its own findings of fact and conclusions of law; or
    3)      Remand the petition to the special master for further action in accordance with the
    Court’s direction.
    Id. § 300aa-12(e);
    see also Vaccine Rule 27.
    On review of the special master’s decision, the Court applies the arbitrary and capricious
    standard to factual findings and the “not in accordance with law” standard to legal rulings.
    Moberly ex rel. Moberly v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    592 F.3d 1315
    , 1321 (Fed. Cir.
    2010). The Court’s scope of review is a narrow one. The Court “do[es] not reweigh the factual
    evidence, assess whether the special master correctly evaluated the evidence, or examine the
    probative value of the evidence or the credibility of the witnesses,” because those “are all matters
    within the purview of the fact finder.” Porter v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    663 F.3d 1242
    ,
    1249 (Fed. Cir. 2011) (citing Broekelschen v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    618 F.3d 1339
    ,
    1345 (Fed. Cir. 2010)). “[A]s long as a special master’s finding . . . is ‘based on evidence in the
    record that [is] not wholly implausible,’” the Court must uphold it.
    Id. (quoting Cedillo
    v. Sec’y
    of Health & Human Servs., 
    617 F.3d 1328
    , 1338 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (alteration in original)).
    “‘[T]he standard of review is uniquely deferential’” to a special master’s decisions. Milik v.
    Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    822 F.3d 1367
    , 1376 (Fed. Cir. 2016) (quoting Hodges v.
    Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    9 F.3d 958
    , 961 (Fed. Cir. 1993). If a special master “‘has
    considered the relevant evidence of record, drawn plausible inferences and articulated a rational
    basis for the decision,’ then reversible error is ‘extremely difficult to demonstrate.’” 
    Milik, 822 F.3d at 1376
    (quoting Hines v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    940 F.2d 1518
    , 1528 (Fed. Cir.
    1991)).
    II.    Petitioner’s Burden of Proving Causation
    To secure compensation under the Vaccine Act, a petitioner must prove by a
    preponderance of the evidence that the injury at issue was caused by a vaccine. See 42 U.S.C.
    §§ 300aa-11(c)(1), -13(a)(1). Where a petitioner sustains an injury in association with a vaccine
    listed in the Vaccine Injury Table, causation is presumed. 
    Broekelschen, 618 F.3d at 1341
    –42
    (citing 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-11(c)(1)(C)(i)); Andreu v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    569 F.3d 1367
    , 1374 (Fed. Cir. 2009)). Where, as in this case, the injury is not listed in the Table, the
    15
    petitioner must prove causation in fact. 
    Broekelschen, 618 F.3d at 1342
    (citing 
    Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1321
    ). To discharge that burden, “a petitioner must show that the vaccine was not only a
    but-for cause of the injury but also a substantial factor in bringing about the injury.” Stone v.
    Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    676 F.3d 1373
    , 1379 (Fed. Cir. 2012) (quotations omitted).
    “Once the petitioner has demonstrated causation, she is entitled to compensation unless the
    government can show by a preponderance of the evidence that the injury is due to factors
    unrelated to the vaccine.” 
    Broekelschen, 618 F.3d at 1342
    (citing Doe v. Sec’y of Health &
    Human Servs., 
    601 F.3d 1349
    , 1351 (Fed. Cir. 2010); see also 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-13(a)(1)(B)).
    The three-pronged test that the Federal Circuit announced in Althen v. Sec’y of Health &
    Human Servs., 
    418 F.3d 1274
    (Fed. Cir. 2005), guides the causation determination. Under that
    test, to make a prima facie case that a vaccination caused the petitioner’s injury, he or she must
    provide: “(1) a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury; (2) a logical
    sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason for the injury; and (3) a
    showing of a proximate temporal relationship between vaccination and injury.”
    Id. at 1278.
    If
    Petitioner makes her prima facie case under Althen, the burden of proof shifts to the government
    “to establish that [a] factor unrelated to the vaccination is the more likely or principal cause of
    the injury alleged.” Deribeaux ex rel. Deribeaux v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    717 F.3d 1363
    , 1369 (Fed. Cir. 2013).
    III.   Merits of the Motion for Review
    In this case, Petitioner argues that the Special Master “improperly heightened” her burden
    of proving causation. Pet’r’s Mot. at 13. Specifically, she contends that the Special Master
    faulted her for failing to address and resolve the apparent flaws of the ASIA theory,
    notwithstanding that her experts articulated a narrower theory of causation specific to A.F.
    Id. She further
    contends that the Special Master failed to consider the record as a whole and instead
    premised her denial of entitlement “on the Petitioner’s failure to prove a different and much
    larger theory”—i.e. ASIA.
    Id. at 22.
    For the reasons set forth below, the Court agrees with Petitioner that the Special Master’s
    decision includes passages in which she appears to have conflated Petitioner’s specific theory of
    causation with the more generic “ASIA theory,” which prior decisions under the Vaccine Act
    have found too vague and overbroad to support a causal relationship between vaccines and
    autoimmune or autoinflammatory diseases. See Dec. at 29–30 (listing cases). Nonetheless, the
    Court concludes that the error was a harmless one because, as explained below, the Special
    Master’s decision reflects that she also found that Petitioner failed to show by preponderant
    evidence that the specific theory of causation her experts articulated satisfied prongs one and/or
    two of the Althen test. Because those findings are “based on evidence in the record that [is] not
    wholly implausible,” they must be affirmed. See 
    Porter, 663 F.3d at 1249
    .16
    16
    Because the Court sustains the Special Master’s findings regarding Althen prongs one and
    two, it does not address Petitioner’s claims regarding the Special Master’s analysis under prong
    three.
    16
    A. The Special Master’s Decision Reflects Some Conflation of Petitioner’s Specific
    Theory of Causation with the More Generic ASIA Theory
    As the Special Master observed, to satisfy prong one of the Althen test, Petitioner was
    required to set forth a medical theory explaining how the vaccines A.F. received could have
    caused her injury. Dec. at 26–27. (citing Pafford v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 01-
    01765V, 
    2004 WL 1717359
    , at *4 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 16, 2004) aff’d sub nom. Pafford ex
    rel. Pafford v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    64 Fed. Cl. 19
    (2005), and aff’d sub nom.
    Pafford v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    451 F.3d 1352
    (Fed. Cir. 2006)) (noting that prong
    one addresses whether the vaccine at issue can cause the type of injury alleged). To pass muster,
    the theory had to be more than merely “plausible” or “possible.” Boatmon v. Sec’y Health &
    Human Servs., 
    941 F.3d 1351
    , 1360 (Fed. Cir. 2019). Instead it was required to be both “sound
    and reliable,” Knudsen ex rel. Knudsen v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    35 F.3d 543
    , 548
    (Fed. Cir. 1994), and to rise to the level of more probable than not, 
    Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1322
    ;
    see also 
    Althen, 418 F.3d at 1279
    .
    Petitioner’s medical theory regarding causation is based on sJIA’s characterization as an
    autoinflammatory disease triggered by activation of the innate, rather than the adaptive, arm of
    the immune system. This characterization of sJIA is not in dispute. See, e.g., Tr. at 172:1–4
    (testimony of Dr. Rose that sJIA is an autoinflammatory, not autoimmune, disease); Resp’t’s Ex.
    A at 11 (expert report of Dr. Rose stating that autoinflammatory diseases are “associated with
    pathogenic pathways of the innate immunity”); Tr. at 238:1–3, 15–18 (testimony of Dr. Whitton
    that the “pathogenesis of [sJIA] is driven by the innate immune system” and is
    “autoinflammatory”). Also not in dispute is the fact that “cytokines . . . aris[ing] out of the innate
    immune system . . . [lead] to the symptoms of sJIA.”
    Id. at 182:2–5,
    13–16 (testimony of Dr.
    Rose).
    All of the testifying experts also agreed on another essential element of Petitioner’s
    theory of causation: that aluminum “stimulate[s] the innate immune system.”
    Id. at 114:24–25
    (testimony of Dr. Gurish); see
    id. at 200:23–25
    (testimony of Dr. Whitton concurring that there is
    “no question [that] alum, as well as other adjuvants, activate the innate immune system”). Dr.
    Rose acknowledged that “cytokines are generated after immunizations.”
    Id. at 184:13–18.
    Dr.
    Whitton similarly testified that he “fundamentally . . . agree[d]” that “alum is internalized by
    macrophages, [] activates the macrophages, [and] . . . rapidly triggers [] cytokine production by
    the macrophages.”
    Id. at 201:14–17.
    Finally, experts for both parties also agreed: 1) that the precise cause of sJIA is unknown,
    Resp’t’s Ex. A at 9–10 (report of Dr. Rose stating that sJIA’s “relationship with presumptive
    triggers” as well as which triggers are necessary for disease onset are unknown), and 2) that its
    occurrence in any particular individual requires a “confluence of events,” namely a combination
    of genetic susceptibility and environmental triggers, Tr. at 172:7–9, 173:16–20, 174:6–13
    (testimony of Dr. Rose); see also Resp’t’s Ex. G at 6 (expert report of Dr. Rose).
    Petitioner’s experts proposed a theory of causation that was based on these agreed-upon
    principles and that took into consideration A.F.’s particular characteristics and medical history.
    Dr. Sundel’s opinion was that in A.F.’s case, the sJIA was triggered by a “combination of
    factors” which included her “genetic[] susceptib[ility],” a change in her “microbiome . . .
    17
    because her diet was different,” her recent ear infection, which “activate[d] the adaptive immune
    system,” and her recent treatment with “amoxicillin . . . [which has] effects on the innate immune
    system.” Tr. at 42:16–17, 43:10–44:1. As the Special Master observed, according to Dr. Sundel,
    A.F.’s condition was akin to “‘a bubbling pot’ created by a combination of her genetic
    predisposition and a variety of environmental factors, with the vaccines being a ‘brick [thrown]
    into [the pot] and it overflowed.’” Dec. at 21 (quoting Tr. at 53:9–25). Put another way, Dr.
    Sundel testified that the immunization acted as “the ultimate hammer blast . . . which provided
    the alum which stimulated her innate immune system . . . [and] the DTaP and the polio vaccine,
    which were all antigens which stimulated both the innate and adaptive immune system.” Tr. at
    44:2–9. Having all of the components of the vaccine administered to A.F. “at the same time,” he
    opined, was “sufficient to increase [A.F.’s] levels of inflammation” beyond that which her body
    could control.
    Id. at 304:9–16.
    In short, Petitioner’s experts articulated a specific theory of causation that involves a
    specific adjuvant (aluminum), the etiology of a specific auto-inflammatory disease (sJIA), and
    A.F.’s own pertinent medical history. The ASIA theory, on the other hand, sets forth a much
    more global hypothesis: that a “genetically susceptible subject may develop either an
    autoimmune or auto-inflammatory disease . . . following exposure” to an “adjuvant[] (i.e.
    silicone, alum, pristane, infectious components).” Pet’r’s Ex. 23, Tab D at 37 (Shoenfeld article).
    It proposes that there may be links between exposure to these various adjuvants and the
    occurrence of a number of different autoimmune/autoinflammatory diseases and conditions,
    including siliconosis, Gulf War syndrome, macrophagic myofascitis syndrome, and a variety of
    “post-vaccination phenomena.”
    Id. The ASIA
    theory does not propose any specific timetable for the onset of symptoms after
    exposure to an adjuvant. It hypothesizes that “vaccines can induce . . . inflammatory condition[s]
    and overt autoimmune disease[s] . . . weeks and even months or years following vaccination.”
    Id. at 38.
    Further, the Shoenfeld article provided that ASIA “syndrome” could be identified on the
    basis of a variety of vague and unspecific diagnostic criteria.
    Id. at 37,
    40. These included: 1)
    “exposure to a variety of external stimuli (infection, vaccine, silicone, adjuvant)”; and 2) “the
    appearance of ‘typical’ clinical manifestations,” including: “[a]rthralgia and/or arthritis,”
    “[c]hronic fatigue, un-refreshing sleep or sleep disturbances,” “[n]eurological manifestations,”
    “[c]ognitive impairment, memory loss,” and “[p]yrexia, dry mouth.”
    Id. at 40.
    Petitioner’s theory is distinct from ASIA in a number of respects. First, it is based on
    uncontroverted processes linked to auto-inflammatory diseases, like sJIA, and makes no claims
    about autoimmune diseases. Second, Petitioner’s expert testimony and literature extensively
    discusses the role of the aluminum adjuvant on the body, and not just the role of adjuvants more
    generally. Third, Petitioner’s experts allege that their theory encapsulates the larger immunologic
    effect of the antigen within the vaccine. See, e.g., Tr. at 33:21–34:9, 304:8–16 (testimony of Dr.
    Sundel). Fourth, Petitioner’s theory of causation provides a specific timetable for the onset of
    symptoms following vaccination positing the onset of sJIA within two to six days after exposure
    to an alum adjuvant in combination with the antigens in the vaccine.
    Finally, Petitioner’s theory is based on the impact of the vaccine as a “hammer blow”
    struck in the context of her genetic susceptibility and a host of other environmental factors that
    had upregulated primarily her innate, but also her adaptive, immune system. The impact of some
    18
    of these environmental factors, such as her ear infection and her antibiotic treatment, are
    undisputed by the government’s experts. She does not seek to prove her theory on the basis of
    ASIA’s diagnostic criteria.
    Because of the particularized nature of Petitioner’s theory of causation in this case, the
    ASIA-related cases the Special Master cited, see Dec. at 29, are inapposite. In D’Angiolini v.
    Secretary of Health and Human Services, for example, the court affirmed the Special Master’s
    rejection of a petitioner’s argument that his child suffered from “ASIA syndrome” because
    research on ASIA was still preliminary and incomplete and because its criteria were currently so
    “‘ill-defined . . . that it makes it very difficult to . . . make [a] diagnosis.’” 
    122 Fed. Cl. 86
    , 95
    (2015), aff’d, 645 F. App’x 1002 (Fed. Cir. 2016) (quoting testimony of the government’s
    expert).
    The special master in Garner v. Secretary of Health and Human Services rejected
    petitioner’s reliance on ASIA to support a showing of causation where the date of the onset of
    petitioner’s autoimmune disease was forty-five days after vaccination. No. 15-063V, 
    2017 WL 1713184
    , at *16 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Mar. 24, 2017), aff’d, 
    133 Fed. Cl. 140
    (2017). He
    observed that ASIA “defines virtually any length of time passing between vaccine receipt and
    injury as medically appropriate—a concept antithetical to the legal rationale for the third Althen
    prong.”
    Id. at *17.
    In Rowan v. Secretary of Health and Human Services, the special master
    similarly rejected the ASIA-based theory that the alum adjuvant could cause chronic headaches
    that began several months after vaccination. No. 10-272V, 
    2014 WL 7465661
    , at *8 (Fed. Cl.
    Spec. Mstr. Dec. 8, 2014). And in another case where the injury onset did not occur until several
    months following vaccination, the special master rejected a theory of causation that was based on
    the what he characterized as the assertions of the originator of the ASIA theory (Dr. Shoenfeld)
    that “all adjuvants are basically the same,” that “all autoimmune diseases are the same,” and that
    “the only timing that is relevant is that the disease came after the vaccine and not before.”
    Johnson v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 10-578V, 
    2016 WL 4917548
    , at *8 (Fed. Cl.
    Spec. Mstr. Aug. 18, 2016) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    In this case, Petitioner’s experts did not contend that A.F. suffered from ASIA syndrome,
    as did the petitioner in D’Angiolini. Nor did they purport to use ASIA theory to reconcile the
    amount of time that elapsed between A.F.’s vaccination and the onset of her sJIA, as did the
    petitioners in the other cases the Special Master cited. To the contrary, their theory posits a
    reasonable time period between vaccination and onset of two to six days. In addition, they were
    careful to separate and distinguish their theories from ASIA and, as noted, even rejected ASIA as
    “too broad for a theory that will have any use in clinical medicine.” Tr. at 84:20–22. Indeed, like
    the Special Master herself, they concluded that its diagnostic criteria are not useful because they
    are vague and overbroad. See
    id. at 127:24–129:2.
    Further, the fact that Petitioner’s experts referenced ASIA or studies designed to test its
    hypothesis in their reports or testimony does not mean—as the Special Master found—that their
    theory “is” ASIA. See Dec. at 29. That misperception caused the Special Master to impose some
    evidentiary requirements on Petitioner that were inappropriate. For example, in assessing the
    relative credibility of the parties’ experts, the Special Master was critical of Dr. Sundel for not
    “refer[ring] to his theory by the ASIA acronym well known in the program . . . [d]espite his clear
    assertion that sJIA is an autoimmune syndrome induced by adjuvants.”
    Id. at 28
    . 
    She also was
    19
    critical of Dr. Gurish for “not explain[ing] away holes in the [ASIA] causation theory that relate
    to its vague symptoms or unspecific triggers.”
    Id. at 29
    .
    
    Similarly, in conducting her prong one analysis, the Special Master held that Petitioner’s
    theory of causation “fails now for the same reasons it has previously failed: the diagnostic
    criteria proposed by the ASIA study’s authors are both vague and flawed.”
    Id. In support
    of her
    conclusion as to prong one, she cited the cases set forth above, which, as the Court has
    explained, are inapposite. She challenged the Petitioner’s theory on the grounds that, among
    other things, her experts “d[id] not add precision to the ASIA criteria,” or “elaborate on the role
    of aluminum or specify how much is needed.”
    Id. at 30.
    In addition, the Special Master criticized
    Petitioner’s experts for not providing evidence to overcome their own critiques of the ASIA
    theory.
    Id. at 31
    .
    
    The Special Master’s supposition that Petitioner’s theory was synonymous with ASIA
    also affected her Althen prong two analysis. In particular, she criticized Dr. Gurish on the
    grounds that he had argued that the symptoms A.F. developed four days after vaccination “match
    both the ASIA criteria and data from several studies.”
    Id. at 32
    (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 29 at 5). The
    Special Master then engaged in a critique of the overbreadth and generality of ASIA’s diagnostic
    criteria.
    Id. at 32
    –33. 
    But in evaluating Dr. Gurish’s Expert Report cited by the Special Master,
    the Court did not find any passage in which Dr. Gurish purported to match A.F.’s symptoms to
    the ASIA criteria. See Pet’r’s Ex. 29 at 5. Instead, his report consists of an overview of the
    mechanics of the immune system, the effects of vaccinations on the immune system, the etiology
    and nature of sJIA, and his opinion regarding the particular events that he concluded led A.F. to
    develop sJIA, with citation to what he argued were supporting studies.
    B. The Special Master’s Error Was a Harmless One
    Notwithstanding the foregoing, the Court concludes that the Special Master’s erroneous
    conflation of Petitioner’s theory of causation with the ASIA hypothesis constituted harmless
    error. It was not outcome determinative because the Special Master’s findings also reflect that
    she found Petitioner’s specific theory of causation unpersuasive independent of her findings
    regarding Petitioner’s failure to prove ASIA’s validity. In other words, the conclusion the
    Special Master reached—that Petitioner failed to satisfy prongs one and/or two of Althen—
    would have been the same even if she had not, in some respects, conflated the theory articulated
    by Petitioner’s experts with ASIA as described above. Because her findings were based on the
    record as a whole and were not unreasonable, her decision must be sustained. See 
    Broekelschen, 618 F.3d at 1350
    (citing Hines ex rel. Sevier v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    940 F.2d 1518
    ,
    1526 (Fed. Cir. 1991)) (finding that the special master’s improper consideration of certain
    evidence regarding causation was harmless error where his decision was based on a number of
    factors and petitioner did not show that consideration of the evidence was “likely critical to the
    result”); Tebcherani ex rel. Tebcherani v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    55 Fed. Cl. 460
    , 476
    (2003) (holding that the court was “constrained to find . . . errors to be harmless in this case,
    because neither the Special Master’s inappropriate reference to the presence of an alleged viral
    illness nor the improper assignment of the burden of proof impacted the ultimate decision in this
    matter”); Johnson v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    33 Fed. Cl. 712
    , 728 (1995), aff’d, 
    99 F.3d 1160
    (Fed. Cir. 1996) (finding the failure to consider an expert report was harmless where
    the report did not contain evidence “that [was] sufficiently detailed or probative of the causation
    20
    issue to change the outcome determined by the special master”); Cox v. Sec’y of Health &
    Human Servs., 
    30 Fed. Cl. 136
    , 143 (1993) (stating that “while the special master abused his
    discretion by striking” an expert’s medical report from the record, “it was harmless error to do
    so,” because the court’s own review of that report showed that it “deserve[d] little or no weight
    in light of the entire record”).
    1.      The Special Master Reasonably Found that Petitioner Did Not Prove
    the Validity of Her Specific Theory of Causation
    First, the Special Master reasonably found that Petitioner had failed to meet her burden
    under Althen prong one to establish a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the
    injury. She discredited the specific theory proposed by Petitioner’s experts because she
    concluded: 1) that it “does not explain the roles any of the non-adjuvanted vaccines played in the
    development of A.F.’s sJIA,” and 2) that it does not identify “which . . . vaccines were needed
    for A.F.’s symptoms to manifest.” Dec. at 32. “In fact,” the Special Master observed, “Dr.
    Sundel “[did] not apply his theory to the specific vaccinations that A.F. received.”
    Id. The Special
    Master found Dr. Sundel’s expert testimony undermined by his equivocation
    and lack of clarity on these points.
    Id. at 28
    (citing Tr. at 88:5–9) (observing that petitioner’s
    medical theory “can best be summed up by Dr. Sundel’s assertion, ‘was it the IP[ vaccine], was it
    the DTap, was it the alum? I don’t really know but I know that the combination was not good for
    her.’”). The Special Master is, of course, “entitled—indeed, expected” to make such
    determinations concerning “the reliability of the evidence presented to [her] and, if appropriate,
    as to the credibility of the persons presenting the evidence.” See 
    Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1326
    . And
    the Court’s role in reviewing such determinations is an exceedingly narrow one.
    The Court finds unpersuasive Petitioner’s argument that the Special Master improperly
    required her to prove the “exact quantity” of aluminum necessary to trigger sJIA. See Pet’r’s
    Mot. at 23. According to Petitioner, this imposed a requirement that she supply direct evidence
    of causation when circumstantial evidence should be sufficient.
    Id. But the
    Special Master did
    not base her rejection of Petitioner’s theory of causation on the failure of Petitioner’s experts to
    prove the precise amount of aluminum needed to trigger sJIA. She merely identified the fact that
    Petitioner’s experts did not “elaborate on the role of aluminum or specify how much is needed,”
    as one of a number of flaws and/or unanswered questions raised by their theory of causation.
    Dec. at 30.
    The Special Master further cast doubt on the probative value of many of the studies upon
    which Petitioner’s experts relied, including the study Dr. Sundel referenced when asked for his
    “best evidence that aluminum salt can trigger pathological inflammation or another adverse
    event.” Dec. at 28 (citing Tr. at 82:1–18). Dr. Sundel had opined that the Cerpa‐Cruz et al. 
    study, supra
    , supports the role of aluminum adjuvants “particularly in young girls who develop arthritis
    shortly after an immunization,” Dec. at 10 (citing Pet’r’s Ex. 23, Tab L). Citing Dr. Whitton, one
    of the government’s experts, the Special Master found that this study “suffers from serious
    limitations.”
    Id. at 30.
    Specifically, it “included no control group, its population size was small,
    and there was an inherent selection bias.”
    Id. She noted
    that Dr. Gurish (and the study’s own
    authors) had conceded that “the study’s retrospective design and lack of control group make it
    impossible ‘to prove causal correlation between sJIA alone and the various vaccines analyzed.’”
    21
    Id. (citing Pet’r’s
    Ex. 23, Tab L at 5). The Special Master concluded that, given these
    deficiencies, “the study does not provide persuasive support, under the preponderant standard,
    for the contention that aluminum-adjuvated vaccines can cause sJIA.”
    Id. Finally, the
    Special Master credited the testimony of the government’s experts that A.F.’s
    sJIA could not have been caused by her vaccines “because the effects of the small amount of
    aluminum contained in the vaccines in question are localized and short lived.”
    Id. at 33.
    This
    finding was critical because while the parties’ experts agreed on the existence of the underlying
    biological mechanism which causes adjuvants to stimulate the innate immune system, they
    disagreed on whether or not the stimulation caused by adjuvants was too transient and short lived
    to trigger the onset of sJIA.
    Dr. Whitton opined that aluminum’s triggering effect on the innate immune system,
    including cytokine production, occurs “usually within the first 24 to 48 hours and [then]
    dissipate[s] fairly rapidly thereafter.” Tr. at 202:15–20. In support, he cited a study that he stated
    demonstrated that the effect of the adjuvant, and thus its ability to trigger an immune response, is
    “local” and “short-lived.”
    Id. at 206:13–14;
    see
    id. at 204:4–206:18.17
    In his view, an adjuvant’s
    transient effect was insufficient to “drive a serious autoinflammatory disease.” Resp’t’s Ex. J at
    8–9.
    Petitioner’s expert, Dr. Gurish, acknowledged that aluminum must provide an ongoing
    driver of inflammation to trigger sJIA. Pet’r’s Ex. 29 at 7. In his view, however, alum may
    supply such a driver because it is “taken up by macrophages,” which he stated “translocate” and
    are “found containing alum throughout the body.” Tr. at 106:18–107:2. But when asked for his
    “best evidence that the alum distributed around the body is pathogenic,”
    id. at 125:7–18,
    Dr.
    Gurish cited a study that “involved the administration of high doses of aluminum in sheep over a
    prolonged period of time,” i.e., Lluis Lujan et al., Autoimmune/Autoinflammatory Syndrome
    Induced by Adjuvants (ASIA) Syndrome in Commercial Sheep, 56 Immunol. Research 317
    (2013), Dec. at 31 (citing Resp’t’s Ex. K at 5, 8, ECF No. 86-1) (Second Supplemental Expert
    Report of Dr. Whitton). Dr. Whitton criticized the study’s probative value, observing that “the
    sheep were given a combination of fourteen different vaccines,” which he opined made it
    “impossible to determine whether a specific vaccine, if any, was responsible for adjuvant-related
    complications.” Dec. at 31. The Special Master concluded that “Dr. Whitton’s critiques
    effectively render the study and its findings inapposite because it cannot link sJIA with a specific
    vaccine and/or adjuvant.”
    Id. She also
    criticized Dr. Gurish for comparing “a single adjuvanted
    17
    In the study, Dr. Whitton reported, antigen was injected into one leg of a mouse and “a slightly
    different adjuvant” than alum was injected into the opposite leg, and this resulted in no immune
    response. Tr. at 204:15–205:6. To Dr. Whitton, if petitioner’s notion that “systemically
    distributed alum has a biological impact” was correct, then there would have been “an immune
    response to the antigen.”
    Id. at 205:6–14.
    The study also showed that the effect of the adjuvant
    was “short-lived,” according to Dr. Whitton, because no immune response occurred when an
    antigen was injected in the same anatomical spot twenty-four hours after the adjuvant injection,
    indicating that “the immunostimulatory effect of the adjuvant has gone.”
    Id. at 206:2–4,
    12–18.
    22
    vaccine to aluminum hydroxide content so high that the study’s authors were concerned about
    possible cytotoxicity.”
    Id. Similarly, the
    Special Master rejected Dr. Gurish’s reliance upon the Bagavant article to
    support his theory that alum can “enhance[] autoimmune response in individuals with a specific
    genetic disposition to . . . an autoimmune disease.”
    Id. at 31
    (citing Harini Bagavant et al., Alum,
    an Aluminum-based Adjuvant, Induces Sjögren’s Syndrome-like Disorder in Mice, 32 Clin. &
    Exper. Rheum. 251 (2014)). She noted several limitations to the study, including that “the mice
    were dosed [with alum] using routes of administration other than the intramuscular route used
    when administering vaccines to humans” and that the high dose of alum administered meant that
    the “study’s findings could also be explained by aluminum toxicity rather than the vaccination.”
    Dec. at 31.18
    Finally, the Court notes that even if it might have reached a different conclusion had it
    considered the evidence on a de novo basis, its scope of review of the Special Master’s Decision
    is a very narrow one.. See Paterek v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 527 F. App’x 875, 882
    (Fed. Cir. 2013) (holding that it was legal error for the court of federal claims to “reevaluate[] the
    evidence and c[ome] to its own findings,” especially regarding fact-intensive conclusions where
    the “medical evidence of causation is in dispute”). The Special Master’s finding that Petitioner
    had failed to establish by preponderant evidence a medical theory causally connecting the
    vaccination and the injury was based on the record as a whole, adequately explained, and not
    unreasonable. The Court therefore sustains the Special Master’s decision that Petitioner did not
    meet her burden of proof under Althen prong one.
    2.      Althen Prong Two
    In addition to finding that Petitioner failed to show a medical theory that causally
    connected A.F.’s development of sJIA to the vaccines she received, the Special Master also
    found that the Petitioner failed to show by preponderant evidence “a logical sequence of cause
    and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason for the injury.” Dec. at 34 (quoting
    18
    At oral argument, Petitioner’s counsel asserted that the Special Master failed to discuss
    Petitioner’s counter evidence on the amount of aluminum the mice in the Bagavant study
    received when compared to the amount a human would receive. Oral Arg. at 2:14:05–2:14:45.
    The Special Master in discrediting the Bagavant study cited Dr. Whitton’s statement from his
    expert report that “‘when corrected for body weight, the[ study] mice appear to have been given
    around . . . [nine hundred and twenty-four thousand] times the dose that is given in a human
    vaccine.’” Dec. at 31 (quoting Resp’t’s Ex. K at 8). The Court agrees with Plaintiff that the
    Special Master failed to note that in testimony, Dr. Whitton stated he “ha[d] to now correct” this
    number in A.F.’s case and stated instead that the researchers “gave [the mice] roughly 300,000
    times more alum on a weight-for-weight basis than were given to humans,” Tr. at 215:7–21, and
    that she further failed to address Dr. Gurish’s counter contention that the dose is only “to the
    order of 10 to 50 times” higher than the dose used in humans, Tr. at 322:19–20. It is unnecessary
    for the Court to resolve this disagreement because the Special Master also rejected the article’s
    probative value based on the differences between the routes of alum administration to the mice in
    the study versus the intramuscular route used to administer vaccines.
    23
    
    Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278
    ). The Court concludes that the Special Master’s denial of entitlement is
    independently sustainable on that ground because she considered the evidence of record relevant
    to that finding, drew plausible inferences, and articulated a rational basis for her determination.
    The Special Master concluded that the Petitioner did not prove that the vaccination was
    the reason for A.F.’s injury because she found that the government’s experts had “argued
    persuasively that the facts of this case are more consistent with an alternative cause” for the
    triggering of A.F.’s sJIA—namely, “a viral infection.”
    Id. at 33.
    Dr. Whitton, for example, found
    it more biologically plausible that a virus caused A.F.’s sJIA because of his view, discussed
    above, that “autoinflammatory disease requires an ongoing driver of inflammation.” Resp’t’s
    Ex. J at 8. Alum, he testified, “cannot replicate,” so whatever amount of alum is injected into a
    person is the “maximum.” Tr. at 207:2–4. A virus, by contrast, is “massively replicating” and “a
    single viral particle” could replicate into “billions of copies” within “24 hours.”
    Id. at 208:3–13.
    Dr. Whitton opined that an individual could therefore have a “very profound innate immune
    response to virus infection.”
    Id. at 209:21–22.
    He concluded that a viral infection would
    therefore be “more likely” than the alum adjuvant “to cause havoc in someone with a genetic
    susceptibility to [MAS].”
    Id. at 226:19–25.
    Dr. Rose similarly opined that it was more “plausible” that a “viral infection” initiated the
    onset of A.F.’s sJIA. Resp’t’s Ex. A at 15. At the outset, he noted that A.F. had experienced an
    ear infection before she was vaccinated.
    Id. at 7.
    After analyzing her March 24, 2009 lab results,
    Dr. Rose testified that “any clinician” would say that A.F.’s cell count “suggests a viral
    infection” and is “[d]efinitely not the cell count of [s]JIA,” Tr. at 146:16–20; 147:10–13.
    Moreover, he testified that MAS, with which A.F. was diagnosed in May 2009, “is
    overwhelmingly a post-viral phenomenon” and is “highly suggestive of carrying [the] genes that
    [cause] . . . an abnormal response to viral infections.”
    Id. at 188:18–24.
    Hence, Dr. Rose opined
    in response to questioning by Petitioner’s counsel that “A.F.’s fever, joint pain, [and] rash” at the
    end of March were caused by a virus.
    Id. at 191:2–7.
    19
    Dr. Rose also testified that the “clinical features of the rash” A.F. developed on March
    17, four days after her vaccination on March 13, were more consistent with a virus than with the
    rash that typically accompanies sJIA. Tr. at 145:20–21. He observed that until Dr. Kimura
    identified an sJIA rash on April 16, “at least three doctors . . . described a rash that does[ not] fit
    the rash of [s]JIA [because of] the presence of petechiae and . . . purpura.”
    Id. at 145:21–25.
    According to Dr. Rose, many viruses are capable of causing “petechiae or purpura.”
    Id. at 178:13–19,
    179:8–12. On the other hand, the purpuric nature of the rash would be “unusual” in
    cases of sJIA “except when the presentation of the disease coincides with an episode of [MAS].”
    Resp’t’s Ex. A at 6. But Dr. Rose opined that “based on laboratory results,” A.F. “did not have
    diagnosable MAS on March 27,” when the petechiae and purpura were observed by clinicians.
    Id. 19 In
    his direct testimony, Dr. Rose testified that although in his view A.F.’s cell count and the
    nature of her rash in late March of 2009 were “two pieces of solid evidence that are beyond
    question that [A.F.] was experiencing a viral insult,” she also “had joint pains” and
    “constitutional symptoms” that could have been attributable to sJIA.
    24
    Finally, Dr. Rose found it significant that prior vaccinations had not had a similar effect
    on A.F. As the Special Master noted, Dr. Rose had “explained that because of A.F.’s genetic
    predisposition to sJIA—which is linked to the innate immune system via the cytolysis
    pathway—a similar MAS-like or sJIA-like response would have occurred after every vaccination
    with an aluminum adjuvant.” Dec. at 33 (citing Resp’t’s Ex. A at 16–17). The Special Master
    concluded that because there had not been similar responses to prior vaccinations, it was more
    likely that the immediate trigger for A.F.’s illness was a viral one.
    In her motion for review, Petitioner contends that the Special Master ignored evidence
    and failed to consider the record as a whole when she adopted the position of the government’s
    experts that a viral infection most likely triggered A.F.’s sJIA. Pet’r’s Mot. at 26. Among other
    things, Petitioner asserts that the Special Master ignored that all of the tests administered to A.F.
    to check for viruses had come back negative and that none of the physicians who treated A.F. in
    the weeks after she was vaccinated diagnosed a viral infection. See
    id. at 27.
    The Court does not agree that in finding a virus the more likely cause for the occurrence
    of sJIA in A.F., the Special Master ignored the fact that test results for viruses had come back
    negative. To the contrary, she acknowledged as much in her discussion of Dr. Rose’s opinion.
    See Dec. at 24–25. The Special Master concluded that the negative test results were not
    dispositive, and that finding is supported by the testimony of the government’s experts. Dr. Rose
    explained, for example, that in practice doctors only “test for the most common and the most
    likely [viruses] that [they] have a test for.” Tr. at 171:17–18. Dr. Whitton similarly testified that
    there are not “available tests for all viruses,”
    Id. at 223:8–10.
    He also testified that “often, by the
    time the disease is florid, the virus is gone.”
    Id. at 223:10–11.
    Therefore, he said, “depending on
    what types of tests were done, and that’s a very important qualifier, the tests may turn out
    negative.”
    Id. at 223:14–16.
    Petitioner also argues that the Special Master ignored Dr. Sundel’s testimony that on
    March 20, when A.F. was first evaluated for her rash, she received prednisone, which Dr. Sundel
    testified is an “immunosuppressive drug” and therefore is not typically prescribed if the cause of
    the rash was “thought to be a bacterial . . . or viral infection.”
    Id. at 275:23–25,
    278:15–17. It is
    not prescribed because “in the case of a bacterial infection, steroids can actually worsen the
    outcome and increase the risk of morbidity and mortality.”
    Id. at 278:22–25.
    Dr. Sundel
    concluded that based on his review of the record, A.F.’s treating physician on March 20 were
    “not thinking viral infection.”
    Id. at 279:3–6.
    Notwithstanding the prednisone prescription, there is other evidence in the record that
    seems to refute Dr. Sundel’s statement that none of the physicians were “thinking viral infection”
    in the weeks following the vaccinations. See
    id. Indeed, as
    discussed above, A.F.’s doctors
    ordered tests that were intended to rule out a viral infection.
    Id. at 162:18–163:3.
    In addition,
    several of A.F.’s medical records demonstrate that her doctors did consider a viral diagnosis. See
    Pet’r’s Ex. 3 at 3 (medical records from allergy and asthma center documenting an “Assessment”
    of either “allergic” or “viral”); Pet’r’s Ex. 4 at 2 (medical records from Richmond Pediatrics
    noting an “Impression” of “viral[,] JRA, [or] HSP”). In any event, even if her treating physicians
    had not thought of the possibility that A.F. had a viral infection, the Special Master was entitled
    to credit Dr. Rose’s opinions regarding the greater likelihood that a virus triggered A.F.’s sJIA
    25
    than the vaccine, particularly given her conclusion—also based on the opinion of the
    government’s experts—that Petitioner’s own theory of causation was flawed.
    In short, the Special Master’s finding that Petitioner had failed to prove by preponderant
    evidence that the vaccination caused A.F. to develop sJIA, and her conclusion that it was more
    likely caused by a viral infection, is supported by evidence in the record. The Special Master
    drew plausible inferences from the record and articulated a reasonable basis for her conclusion
    that Petitioner had failed to satisfy Althen prong two. For those reasons her decision must be
    sustained.
    CONCLUSION
    On the basis of the foregoing, Petitioner’s motion for review is DENIED and the
    Decision of the Special Master is SUSTAINED. The Clerk is directed to enter judgment
    accordingly.
    IT IS SO ORDERED.
    s/ Elaine D. Kaplan
    ELAINE D. KAPLAN
    Judge
    26