Brierley v. Layton City , 824 Utah Adv. Rep. 5 ( 2016 )


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  •                  This opinion is subject to revision before final
    publication in the Pacific Reporter
    
    2016 UT 46
    IN THE
    SUPREME COURT OF THE STATE OF UTAH
    CHELSE MARIE BRIERLEY,
    Petitioner,
    v.
    LAYTON CITY,
    Respondent.
    No. 20150760
    Filed October 21, 2016
    On Certiorari from the Court of Appeals
    Second District, Layton
    The Honorable David R. Hamilton
    No. 135605273
    Attorneys:
    Russell S. Pietryga, Mark W. Brown, Salt Lake City, for petitioner
    Gary R. Crane, Marlesse D. Jones, Layton, for respondent
    JUSTICE PEARCE authored the opinion of the Court, in which
    CHIEF JUSTICE DURRANT, ASSOCIATE CHIEF JUSTICE LEE,
    JUSTICE DURHAM, and JUSTICE HIMONAS joined.
    JUSTICE PEARCE, opinion of the Court:
    INTRODUCTION
    ¶1 Two Layton City police officers investigating a hit-and-run
    accident entered a private residence with neither permission nor a
    warrant. While there, they discovered evidence linking Chelse Marie
    Brierley to the accident. Brierley moved to suppress that evidence,
    arguing Layton City (City) had obtained it in violation of her Fourth
    Amendment rights. The City argued that the officers were in the
    process of obtaining a search warrant at the time they entered the
    house and that the evidence should therefore be admitted under the
    inevitable-discovery exception to the exclusionary rule. The district
    court granted Brierley’s suppression motion, concluding that the
    BRIERLEY v. LAYTON CITY
    Opinion of the Court
    City had failed to demonstrate that it would have inevitably
    discovered the challenged evidence by lawful means.
    ¶2 The City sought interlocutory review by the Utah Court of
    Appeals, which reversed the district court’s ruling. See Layton City v.
    Brierley, 
    2015 UT App 207
    , 
    357 P.3d 1018
    , cert. granted, 
    363 P.3d 523
    (Utah 2015). The court of appeals evaluated the City’s inevitable-
    discovery argument using four factors enunciated in United States v.
    Souza, 
    223 F.3d 1197
    (10th Cir. 2000). The court of appeals held that
    the officers would have inevitably discovered the evidence resulting
    from the warrantless search if they had obtained a lawful warrant
    and reversed the district court’s suppression order. Brierley, 2015 UT
    App 207, ¶ 23.
    ¶3 We granted Brierley’s petition for a writ of certiorari. We
    conclude that the City failed to meet its burden of proving that we
    should apply the inevitable-discovery exception in this case. We
    reverse the decision of the court of appeals, affirm the district court’s
    order granting Brierley’s suppression motion, and remand for
    further proceedings.
    BACKGROUND 1
    ¶4 On September 30, 2013, two City police officers received a
    report of a hit-and-run accident. Dispatch informed the officers that
    a blonde woman driving a black SUV had been spotted leaving the
    scene of the accident. Dispatch provided the officers with the SUV’s
    license plate number and the home address of the registered owner.
    ¶5 When Sergeants Joseph and Dixon arrived at the address,
    they saw a black SUV parked in an open garage and a blonde
    woman standing nearby. As the officers approached the garage, the
    woman stepped out to greet them. In response to questions, the
    woman identified herself as the housekeeper, denied that she had
    been driving the SUV, and told the officers that she thought that the
    homeowner’s daughter—Brierley—had pulled the car into the
    garage.
    ¶6 The housekeeper also told the officers that she was afraid the
    SUV might be on fire. At least one officer, Joseph, accompanied the
    housekeeper into the garage to check on the vehicle. Joseph smelled
    _____________________________________________________________
    1 We take the background facts primarily from the district court’s
    factual findings, which are not challenged on appeal.
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                            Opinion of the Court
    steam coming from the vehicle and saw that the front end was
    damaged, but he concluded that there was no danger of combustion.
    ¶7 The officers further questioned the housekeeper, who related
    that she had been inside the house when she heard a loud noise. As
    she went to investigate, she saw Brierley come into the house
    through the garage and go downstairs toward her bedroom. The
    housekeeper told the officers that Brierley “looked like she was in a
    bad way.” The housekeeper clarified that Brierley looked to be under
    the influence of alcohol or drugs.
    ¶8 The housekeeper invited the officers to come inside the house
    to speak with Brierley. The officers declined because, according to
    Dixon’s testimony, they did not “feel that [they] had enough to
    actually enter the residence at that time without any exigent
    circumstances.” Joseph told the housekeeper that he needed to speak
    with Brierley. The housekeeper went downstairs to see if she could
    get Brierley to speak with the officers.
    ¶9 While the housekeeper was downstairs, Joseph entered the
    backyard and banged on a window in an unsuccessful attempt to
    make contact with Brierley. The officers then decided that they
    needed legal advice on how to proceed. Dixon called a Layton City
    Attorney and, apparently based on that conversation, the officers
    decided that they needed to obtain a warrant.
    ¶10 The housekeeper testified that she returned from the
    basement to the sound of the officers pounding on the front door.
    She opened the door and told the officers that Brierley had told her
    to tell them that Brierley was not at home. The officers then asked
    the housekeeper if she could give them Brierley’s father’s phone
    number so they could seek his permission to enter the home. The
    housekeeper returned into the house to get the number and left the
    front door open.
    ¶11 Dixon stepped through the open door and announced to the
    housekeeper that no one would be allowed to leave. Dixon told the
    housekeeper that she was welcome to let Brierley know that the
    officers were in the process of obtaining a search warrant. The
    housekeeper returned downstairs to speak with Brierley. Dixon
    stayed inside.
    ¶12 While Dixon was speaking with the housekeeper, Joseph
    walked to his motorcycle to retrieve his tablet to draft a search
    warrant request. When Joseph returned to the front door, he saw
    that Dixon had moved inside. Joseph joined Dixon in Brierley’s
    home. Once inside, Joseph placed his tablet on a table and began
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    BRIERLEY v. LAYTON CITY
    Opinion of the Court
    drafting a warrant request. 2 While Joseph was typing the search
    warrant application, Brierley came upstairs with the housekeeper.
    Dixon asked Brierley to step outside to discuss the situation, and the
    two went to the garage. While in the garage, Dixon obtained
    evidence from Brierley, including incriminating statements, the
    results of a blood-alcohol test, and information retrieved from a
    driver license check.
    ¶13 The City charged Brierley with driving under the influence,
    driving on a denied license, and leaving the scene of a property-
    damage accident. Brierley moved to suppress all evidence
    discovered after the officers entered the house, arguing that the
    warrantless entry violated her Fourth Amendment rights. The City
    argued that the inevitable-discovery exception to the exclusionary
    rule applied because the officers were in the process of obtaining a
    warrant when they entered the house.
    ¶14 The district court concluded that the inevitable-discovery
    exception, which allows for the admission of illegally obtained
    evidence if it would have inevitably been discovered absent the
    police misconduct, did not apply in this case. The district court
    ruled,
    Whether Sergeant Joseph’s warrant request would have
    actually been granted and whether the same evidence
    would have inevitably been discovered remains [too]
    speculative to justify application of the inevitable
    discovery doctrine. This Court concludes that to apply
    the inevitable discovery doctrine under the facts of this
    case would significantly weaken Fourth Amendment
    protections.
    The district court also noted that application of the exception would
    provide “no deterrent at all” to future warrantless entries. The
    district court granted Brierley’s motion, ordering that “all evidence
    obtained in this matter following the warrantless entry into
    [Brierley’s] home” be suppressed.
    ¶15 The City sought interlocutory review of the district court’s
    suppression order. The court of appeals granted the City’s petition.
    See Layton City v. Brierley, 
    2015 UT App 207
    , ¶ 9, 
    357 P.3d 1018
    . On
    _____________________________________________________________
    2The record does not reflect why the officers decided that they
    should work on their warrant application inside the home.
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                             Opinion of the Court
    review, the court of appeals concluded that the City had established
    the applicability of the inevitable-discovery exception to the
    warrantless search. 
    Id. ¶¶ 17–18.
    The court of appeals evaluated the
    exception using four factors the Tenth Circuit Court of Appeals
    enumerated in United States v. Souza, 
    223 F.3d 1197
    , 1204 (10th Cir.
    2000). These factors examined (1) the steps the officers had taken
    toward getting a warrant before entering; (2) the strength of the
    probable cause showing; (3) whether officers eventually obtained a
    warrant, albeit after the entry; and (4) whether officers “jumped the
    gun” in an attempt to overcome a lack of probable cause. Brierley,
    
    2015 UT App 207
    , ¶ 16 (citing 
    Souza, 223 F.3d at 1204
    ).
    ¶16 The court of appeals concluded that the first two factors
    weighed in favor of the City; that the third factor weighed “against
    the City, but not strongly”; and that testimony of the officers
    suggested the fourth factor weighed in favor of the City. 
    Id. ¶¶ 17–
    20. “Taking these factors together,” the court of appeals concluded
    that “the City met its burden to show by a preponderance that the
    evidence would have been discovered by lawful means.” 
    Id. ¶ 21.
    Accordingly, the court of appeals reversed the district court’s
    suppression order and remanded for further proceedings. 
    Id. ¶ 23.
       ¶17 We granted Brierley’s petition for a writ of certiorari. We
    reverse.
    STANDARD OF REVIEW
    ¶18 On certiorari, we review the decision of the court of appeals,
    not that of the district court, and we afford no deference to the court
    of appeals’ decision. See State v. Strieff, 
    2015 UT 2
    , ¶ 12, 
    357 P.3d 532
    ,
    rev’d on other grounds, 
    136 S. Ct. 2056
    (2016). “The correctness of the
    court of appeals’ decision turns on whether that court accurately
    reviewed the trial court’s decision under the appropriate standard of
    review.” State v. Tripp, 
    2010 UT 9
    , ¶ 23, 
    227 P.3d 1251
    (citation
    omitted). “A trial court’s ruling on a motion to suppress is reviewed
    for correctness, including its application of the law to the facts.” 
    Id. We review
    for correctness because the application of the
    exclusionary rule presents a “law-like” mixed question that lends
    itself to “consistent resolution by a uniform body of appellate
    precedent.” Strieff, 
    2015 UT 2
    , ¶ 13 (citation omitted).
    ANALYSIS
    ¶19 The Fourth Amendment to the United States Constitution
    prohibits unreasonable searches of both persons and property. See
    U.S. CONST. amend. IV; State v. Roberts, 
    2015 UT 2
    4, ¶ 24, 
    345 P.3d 1226
    . “[P]hysical entry [into] the home is the chief evil against which
    5
    BRIERLEY v. LAYTON CITY
    Opinion of the Court
    the wording of the Fourth Amendment is directed.” 3 State v. Duran,
    
    2007 UT 23
    , ¶ 6, 
    156 P.3d 795
    (quoting United States v. U.S. Dist.
    Court, 
    407 U.S. 297
    , 313 (1972)). “Accordingly, ‘searches and seizures
    inside a home without a warrant are presumptively unreasonable,’
    even when officers have probable cause to search.” 
    Id. (quoting Payton
    v. New York, 
    445 U.S. 573
    , 586 (1980)).
    ¶20 Courts have breathed life into the Fourth Amendment’s
    protections by developing the exclusionary rule, which generally
    requires suppression of evidence obtained in violation of
    constitutional protections. See Mapp v. Ohio, 
    367 U.S. 643
    , 654–55
    (1961). Nevertheless, evidence discovered as a result of an illegal
    search or seizure may sometimes be admitted under various
    exceptions to the exclusionary rule. “Three of these exceptions
    [examine] the causal relationship between the unconstitutional act
    and the discovery of evidence.” Utah v. Strieff, 
    136 S. Ct. 2056
    , 2061
    (2016). These “three closely related but analytically distinct
    exceptions” are (1) the independent-source exception, (2) the
    inevitable-discovery exception, and (3) the attenuation exception.
    United States v. Terzado-Madruga, 
    897 F.2d 1099
    , 1113 (11th Cir. 1990).
    Brierley’s case involves the inevitable-discovery exception, which
    permits the admission of evidence that would have inevitably been
    lawfully discovered notwithstanding its actual discovery as the
    result of an unconstitutional search or seizure. See State v. Topanotes,
    
    2003 UT 30
    , ¶ 14, 
    76 P.3d 1159
    . 4
    _____________________________________________________________
    3 This respect for the home predates our federal constitution and
    hearkens back to our English common-law roots. In the words of
    William Pitt the Elder,
    The poorest man may in his cottage bid defiance to all
    the forces of the Crown. It may be frail, its roof may
    shake; the wind may blow through it; the storms may
    enter, the rain may enter,—but the King of England
    cannot enter; all his forces dare not cross the threshold
    of the ruined tenement.
    William Pitt, the Elder, Earl of Chatham, Speech in the House of
    Lords (1763).
    4 It bears emphasizing that the parties have argued only about
    inevitable discovery. We are not asked to opine on whether any
    other exception might apply.
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                            Opinion of the Court
    ¶21 The United States Supreme Court formally recognized the
    inevitable-discovery exception in Nix v. Williams, 
    467 U.S. 431
    (1984).
    In Nix, a police detective questioned the defendant in violation of his
    right to counsel. In response to the questioning, the defendant led
    police to the body of his deceased victim. 
    Id. at 435–36.
    Despite the
    constitutional violation, the Court concluded that evidence
    regarding the body should not be suppressed because at the time of
    the illegal questioning “search parties were approaching the actual
    location of the body” and would have inevitably located it without
    reliance on the defendant’s statements. 
    Id. at 448–50.
    The Court held
    that when “the evidence in question would inevitably have been
    discovered without reference to the police error or misconduct, there
    is no nexus sufficient to provide a taint and the evidence is
    admissible.” 
    Id. at 448.
        ¶22 The Supreme Court reasoned that the competing public
    interests of “deterring unlawful police conduct and . . . having juries
    receive all probative evidence of a crime are properly balanced by
    putting the police in the same, not a worse, position [than] they would
    have been in if no police error or misconduct had occurred.” 
    Id. at 443
    (emphasis added). When evidence would have inevitably been
    discovered regardless of any police misconduct, it follows that the
    “police would have obtained that evidence if no misconduct had
    taken place.” 
    Id. at 444.
    The inevitable-discovery exception is
    therefore necessary to “ensure[] that the prosecution is not put in a
    worse position simply because of some earlier police error or
    misconduct.” 
    Id. at 443
    .
    ¶23 Since Nix, this court has analyzed the inevitable-discovery
    exception on a handful of occasions, finding in each instance that the
    State had not demonstrated that the evidence would have inevitably
    been discovered. In State v. Topanotes, 
    2003 UT 30
    , 
    76 P.3d 1159
    , we
    concluded that the exception did not apply where an officer illegally
    detained a woman, conducted a warrants check on her during the
    illegal detention, and then arrested and searched her after the check
    revealed an outstanding arrest warrant. See 
    id. ¶¶ 19–21.
    In State v.
    Worwood, we rejected the State’s argument that an officer would
    have conducted field sobriety tests at the scene of his initial
    encounter with a suspected drunk driver if the officer had not
    instead chosen to illegally transport the suspect to the officer’s
    nearby house to administer the tests. 
    2007 UT 47
    , ¶¶ 5, 48–49, 
    164 P.3d 397
    . And in State v. Tripp, we affirmed a court of appeals ruling
    that a warrantless blood draw was inadmissible despite the State’s
    argument that had the officer not acted without a warrant, he
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    BRIERLEY v. LAYTON CITY
    Opinion of the Court
    inevitably “would have taken the necessary steps to secure a
    warrant.” 
    2010 UT 9
    , ¶ 59, 
    227 P.3d 1251
    .
    ¶24 Our cases involving the inevitable-discovery exception have
    developed some guidelines for its application. We have rejected the
    proposition that the exception “can be satisfied only by an ‘entirely
    independent, alternate, intervening, appreciably attenuated
    investigation aside from the tainted investigation.’” State v. James,
    
    2000 UT 80
    , ¶ 15, 
    13 P.3d 576
    (emphasis added) (citation omitted).
    However, independence remains a “crucial element” of the
    exception. Topanotes, 
    2003 UT 30
    , ¶ 16. While there must not
    necessarily be an entirely independent investigation, “there must be
    some ‘independent basis for discovery,’” 
    id. (alteration in
    original)
    (quoting United States v. Boatwright, 
    822 F.2d 862
    , 865 (9th Cir. 1987)),
    and “the investigation that inevitably would have led to the evidence
    [must] be independent of the constitutional violation,” 
    id. (quoting United
    States v. Larsen, 
    127 F.3d 984
    , 987 (10th Cir. 1997)).
    Furthermore, “the fact or likelihood that makes the discovery
    inevitable [must] arise from circumstances other than those disclosed
    by the illegal search itself.” Topanotes, 
    2003 UT 30
    , ¶16 (alteration in
    original) (quoting 
    Boatwright, 822 F.2d at 864
    –65).
    ¶25 In addition, we have declined to adopt a formal test “to
    elaborate upon or elucidate the Nix standard, by adopting more
    specific requirements.” James, 
    2000 UT 80
    , ¶ 16. Thus, “the
    appropriate standard governing the inevitable discovery exception”
    remains what Nix enunciated: “whether ‘the prosecution can
    establish by a preponderance of the evidence that the information
    ultimately would have been discovered by lawful means.’” 
    Id. (quoting Nix
    v. Williams, 
    467 U.S. 431
    , 444 (1984)); see also State v.
    Tripp, 
    2010 UT 9
    , ¶ 56, 
    227 P.3d 1251
    (“The inevitable discovery
    doctrine admits unlawfully obtained evidence if the police would
    have, in spite of the illegality, discovered the evidence by some other
    legal means.”).
    ¶26 The City argues that evidence discovered after the
    warrantless entry into Brierley’s home falls within the inevitable-
    discovery exception because the officers would have obtained the
    same evidence had they obtained a warrant. The possibility that a
    police officer would have obtained a warrant if he had not chosen to
    act without one is quite different than the circumstances—an
    ongoing, independent search—that led the United States Supreme
    Court to adopt the inevitable-discovery exception in Nix. In fact, this
    court has characterized arguments similar to the City’s as “[i]f we
    hadn’t done it wrong, we would have done it right.” Topanotes, 2003
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                             Opinion of the Court
    UT 30, ¶ 19 (alteration in original) (quoting United States v. Thomas,
    
    955 F.2d 207
    , 210 (4th Cir. 1992)); see also Tripp, 
    2010 UT 9
    , ¶ 59. Such
    arguments, we have observed, are “far from compelling.” Topanotes,
    
    2003 UT 30
    , ¶ 19.
    ¶27 Other courts have, nevertheless, extended the inevitable–
    discovery exception to situations where government agents have
    acted without a warrant but the government argues that officers
    would have procured such a warrant absent the police illegality. In
    some instances, courts have found that such a showing can satisfy
    the inevitable-discovery exception. See, e.g., United States v. Souza, 
    223 F.3d 1197
    , 1206 (10th Cir. 2000) (applying the exception after
    concluding that “but for [one agent] opening the package, [a
    different agent] would have obtained a warrant and the evidence
    would have been discovered”). In other instances, courts have
    viewed such arguments skeptically. See, e.g., United States v. Griffin,
    
    502 F.2d 959
    , 961 (6th Cir. 1974) (per curiam) (“[P]olice who believe
    they have probable cause to search cannot enter a home without a
    warrant merely because they plan subsequently to get one. . . . Any
    other view would tend in actual practice to emasculate the search
    warrant requirement of the Fourth Amendment.”).
    ¶28 The disparate results reflect the tension between two
    competing—and compelling—policies. The inevitable-discovery
    exception promotes the “interest of society in deterring unlawful
    police conduct and the public interest in having juries receive all
    probative evidence of a crime.” Nix v. Williams, 
    467 U.S. 431
    , 443
    (1984); supra, ¶ 22. The United States Supreme Court has opined that
    these policies are properly balanced when the police are placed “in
    the same, not a worse, position [than] they would have been in if no
    police error or misconduct had occurred.” 
    Id. But it
    becomes difficult
    to strike the precise balance in cases where the police have probable
    cause to seek a warrant but act without one. In that class of cases, a
    rule that would “excuse the failure to obtain a warrant merely
    because the officers had probable cause and could have inevitably
    obtained a warrant would completely obviate the warrant
    requirement of the fourth amendment.” United States v. Echegoyen,
    
    799 F.2d 1271
    , 1280 n.7 (9th Cir. 1986).
    ¶29 Courts have responded to this tension by attempting to
    ensure that the exception is available only when the government can
    forward evidence that the police actually would have lawfully
    discovered the same evidence had they obtained a warrant, not just
    that they had probable cause to obtain the warrant. See, e.g., 
    Souza, 223 F.3d at 1204
    (“The key issue in these cases, one of probability, is
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    BRIERLEY v. LAYTON CITY
    Opinion of the Court
    how likely it is that a warrant would have been issued and that the
    evidence would have been found pursuant to the warrant.”).
    ¶30 Here, the court of appeals followed this approach and
    viewed the case in light of the four factors Souza discussed. Souza
    evaluated inevitability by examining
    [1] the extent to which the warrant process has been
    completed at the time those seeking the warrant learn
    of the search; [2] the strength of the showing of
    probable cause at the time the search occurred;
    [3] whether the warrant ultimately was obtained, albeit
    after the illegal entry; and [4] evidence that law
    enforcement agents “jumped the gun” because they
    lacked confidence in their showing of probable cause
    and wanted to force the issue by creating a fait
    accompli.
    Layton City v. Brierley, 
    2015 UT App 207
    , ¶ 16, 
    357 P.3d 1018
    (alterations in original) (quoting 
    Souza, 223 F.3d at 1204
    ). The court of
    appeals concluded that, “[t]aking these factors together,” the City
    had established inevitability by a preponderance of the evidence. 
    Id. ¶ 21.
        ¶31 We decline to adopt the Souza factors as a test to evaluate
    claims that police would have inevitably discovered evidence by
    lawfully obtaining a warrant. 5 Instead, we resort to Nix’s
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    5  We acknowledge that the court of appeals expressly stated that
    it was not adopting Souza as a formal test. See Layton City v. Brierley,
    
    2015 UT App 207
    , ¶ 16, 
    357 P.3d 1018
    (“Although we do not formally
    adopt this test, we find it useful to our analysis in this case.”).
    However, we know that in practice, identified factors have a way of
    evolving into formal tests through their repeated application. See,
    e.g., State v. Lucero, 
    2014 UT 15
    , ¶ 32, 
    328 P.3d 841
    (explaining that the
    probative value of evidence must be balanced against its prejudicial
    effect under rule 403 of the Utah Rules of Evidence and not merely
    under “the limited list of considerations outlined in [State v.]
    Shickles,” 
    760 P.2d 291
    (Utah 1988)). As a hedge against that result,
    we expressly disclaim the use of the Souza factors as a test. We
    consider this caution particularly necessary in this instance as the
    Souza factors, if they are weighed and balanced against each other,
    possess the potential to allow a strong showing of probable cause to
    swallow the other factors and distract a reviewing court from
    (continued . . .)
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                             Opinion of the Court
    requirement that the prosecution “establish by a preponderance of
    the evidence that the information ultimately would have been
    discovered by lawful means.” State v. James, 
    2000 UT 80
    , ¶ 16, 
    13 P.3d 576
    (quoting 
    Nix, 467 U.S. at 444
    ). In this case, then, the City must
    show that Joseph and Dixon would have sought and obtained a
    warrant and that the same evidence would have been discovered
    after receiving that warrant. Evaluating the City’s inevitable-
    discovery argument under the appropriate Nix standard, we reverse
    the decision of the court of appeals. We agree with the district court
    that the City’s arguments rely too heavily on speculation.
    ¶32 Here, the City argued that if the officers had not entered the
    house, a warrant would have issued and the officers would have
    conducted a legal search. To succeed on this particular theory, the
    City first needed to demonstrate that the police would have sought
    and obtained a warrant. 6 Parties have, at times, prevailed on this
    theory. For example, in United States v. Christy, an FBI agent had
    developed probable cause that the defendant was involved in the
    disappearance and sexual abuse of a sixteen-year-old girl. 
    739 F.3d 534
    , 537–38 (10th Cir. 2014). Before the agent could obtain a warrant
    to search the defendant’s residence, two sheriff’s deputies sent to
    _____________________________________________________________
    focusing on the probability that officers would actually have
    uncovered the same evidence legally.
    6 At least one jurisdiction has adopted a bright-line rule requiring
    the prosecution to demonstrate that officers have taken concrete
    steps to obtain a warrant before it will apply the inevitable-discovery
    exception. See Rodriguez v. State, 
    187 So. 3d 841
    , 849 (Fla. 2015) (“We
    conclude that permitting warrantless searches without the
    prosecution demonstrating that the police were in pursuit of a
    warrant is not a proper application of the inevitable discovery
    rule.”). We decline to adopt such a bright-line rule because we can
    envision instances where the state might demonstrate that evidence
    would have been lawfully discovered without a warrant. For
    example, some courts have concluded that evidence would have
    been discovered by lawful means when the government proved that
    a routine inventory search would have uncovered the evidence. See,
    e.g. United States v. Johnson, 
    777 F.3d 1270
    , 1277 (11th Cir. 2015);
    United States v. Pritchett, 
    749 F.3d 417
    , 437 (6th Cir. 2014). But because
    the City argues only that officers would have inevitably entered
    Brierley’s home with a warrant, we confine our analysis to whether
    the City proved that contention.
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    BRIERLEY v. LAYTON CITY
    Opinion of the Court
    check on the residence entered it without a warrant. 
    Id. at 538.
    The
    reviewing appellate court concluded that the investigating officer
    “would have successfully obtained a warrant independent of the
    illegal search [by two other deputies].” 
    Id. at 543.
    Similarly, in Souza,
    one agent was in the process of getting a warrant to search a package
    when another agent opened the seized package. United States v.
    Souza, 
    223 F.3d 1197
    , 1205–06 (10th Cir. 2000). The court concluded
    that “but for [one agent] opening the package, [a different agent]
    would have obtained a warrant and the evidence would have been
    discovered.” 
    Id. at 1206.
        ¶33 Unlike the prosecutors in Christy and Souza, the City did not
    argue that an officer other than those who violated the Fourth
    Amendment would have obtained a warrant. Instead, the City
    attempted to meet its burden with evidence that Joseph and Dixon
    intended to obtain a warrant to enter the Brierley residence and had
    taken significant steps toward that end. The City argued that, despite
    having reason to believe that the driver in the hit-and-run accident
    was inside the home, the officers declined to enter when the
    housekeeper initially invited them in because they recognized their
    obligation to procure a warrant before entering the home. They
    contacted a city attorney to discuss the situation. After that
    conversation, one of the officers retrieved his tablet from his
    motorcycle to fill out a warrant application. The City contends this
    demonstrates that the officers would have eventually obtained a
    warrant had they not entered the home illegally.
    ¶34 We disagree. If, while the officers were outside the home,
    some third officer had appeared on the scene and burst into the
    home without a warrant, we could hypothesize that absent the third
    officer’s actions, Joseph and Dixon would have stayed outside while
    they completed and submitted their warrant application. But there
    was no third officer or anything else that could allow a court to
    conclude that the officers would have done anything differently than
    what they actually did. The City cannot meet its burden by
    speculating about what Joseph and Dixon might have done if they
    had not entered the home without a warrant because we know what
    they actually did. When presented with the question of whether they
    should wait to get a warrant before entering the home, they walked
    in without a warrant.
    ¶35 “For courts confidently to predict what would have
    occurred, but did not actually occur, there must be persuasive
    evidence of events or circumstances apart from those resulting in
    illegal police activity that would have inevitably led to discovery.”
    12
    Cite as: 
    2016 UT 46
                             Opinion of the Court
    State v. Topanotes, 
    2003 UT 30
    , ¶ 16, 
    76 P.3d 1159
    . Although we have
    not required parties advocating inevitable discovery to point to a
    wholly separate investigation, we do require that they forward
    evidence sufficient to support a conclusion that but for the illegal
    search something different would have happened and that the
    “something different” would have inevitably resulted in the
    discovery of the same evidence by lawful means. Here, the City
    presented no evidence of any other investigation, any routine
    procedure, or any other officers working on the matter. The City is
    left to argue that Joseph and Dixon would have obtained the warrant
    before entering if they had not done the exact opposite. In other
    words, the “something different” the City offers consists entirely of
    the discredited argument that the officers “would have done it right”
    if they “hadn’t done it wrong.” See 
    id. ¶ 19
    (citation omitted); see also
    State v. Tripp, 
    2010 UT 9
    , ¶ 59, 
    227 P.3d 1251
    (affirming the court of
    appeals’ conclusion that blood draw evidence was not saved by the
    inevitable-discovery exception where police had “threatened to seek
    a warrant, [but] took no steps whatsoever to obtain one”).
    ¶36 Although the City’s inevitable-discovery argument fails
    solely because the City cannot show that the officers would have
    sought and obtained a warrant, we are also not convinced a warrant
    would have ultimately revealed all of the same evidence the officers
    uncovered as a result of the warrantless entry. Nix requires a
    showing that the evidence subject to the suppression motion “would
    have been discovered by lawful means”—in this case, the
    hypothetical 
    warrant. 467 U.S. at 444
    . As a practical matter, this
    requires an examination of the nature of the evidence and the
    likelihood that it would still be discovered after a warrant could be
    lawfully procured.
    ¶37 When police have lawfully secured an inanimate object,
    such as a package, we can in most instances conclude with some
    certainty that its contents would not have changed in the time it
    would have taken police to obtain a warrant. See, e.g., 
    Souza, 223 F.3d at 1206
    (“[T]he package was secured by the officers and there was no
    chance that it would not still be there when the warrant actually was
    issued.”). When the evidence has not been secured and faces the
    possibility of human tampering, or any other mechanism of change,
    we may be less certain that the evidence would not have changed in
    the time it would have taken to secure a warrant.
    ¶38 And when the evidence turns on an individual’s reaction to
    an illegal search, we can be even less certain that the police would
    have obtained identical evidence after obtaining a warrant. As we
    13
    BRIERLEY v. LAYTON CITY
    Opinion of the Court
    recognized in Topanotes, “[c]ases that rely upon individual behavior
    as a crucial link in the inevitable-discovery chain, particularly when
    that behavior is heavily influenced by the illegality that did occur,
    rarely sustain an inevitable discovery theory.” 
    2003 UT 30
    , ¶ 20. In
    Topanotes, we found “the assumption that Topanotes would have
    waited for the police to check for warrants and arrest her with heroin
    in her possession even if she had not been unlawfully detained” to
    be “most unrealistic.” 
    Id. Other courts
    have made similar
    observations. For example, the Third Circuit Court of Appeals has
    noted,
    While we know of no articulation of the inevitable
    discovery doctrine that restricts its application to
    physical evidence, and we are not prepared in this case
    to enunciate such a condition, it is patent why cases
    have generally, if not always, been so limited. A
    tangible object is hard evidence, and absent its removal
    will remain where left until discovered. In contrast, a
    statement not yet made is, by its very nature,
    evanescent and ephemeral. Should the conditions
    under which it was made change, even but a little,
    there could be no assurance the statement would be the
    same.
    United States v. Vasquez De Reyes, 
    149 F.3d 192
    , 195–96 (3d Cir. 1998).
    ¶39 The City has offered nothing more than a bare assertion that
    Brierley’s testimony and blood-alcohol test would have been the
    same had they awaited a warrant. We cannot say with confidence
    that Brierley’s actions were not influenced by her knowledge that
    police had entered her home. Nor can we say that her actions and
    reactions would have been the same had the officers taken the time
    to obtain a warrant. But we can say with confidence that the City has
    not met its burden of demonstrating that the evidence would have
    been the same had the officers waited for a warrant.
    ¶40 The City has not established that the evidence against
    Brierley would have inevitably been discovered had the officers
    obtained a warrant because it has not established that the officers
    would have sought and obtained a warrant absent the unlawful
    entry and that such a warrant would have revealed the same
    evidence against Brierley. Therefore, we reverse the court of appeals’
    ruling and reinstate the district court’s order suppressing the
    evidence.
    14
    Cite as: 
    2016 UT 46
                           Opinion of the Court
    CONCLUSION
    ¶41 The prosecution, in some instances, can meet the burden of
    establishing the inevitable-discovery exception by demonstrating
    that officers would have sought and obtained a warrant. Here, the
    record supports the district court’s determination that the City’s
    evidence was too speculative to establish inevitable discovery, and
    the court of appeals erred by concluding that the exception applies.
    We therefore reverse the court of appeals, reinstate the district
    court’s suppression order, and remand this matter for further
    proceedings.
    15