In re Pers. Restraint of Fero ( 2018 )


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  •                                                        This opinion was filed for record
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    SUSAN L. CARLSON
    HiEP
    SUPREME COURT CLERK
    IN THE SUPREME COURT OF THE STATE OF WASHINGTON
    In re the Personal Restraint of
    Heidi Charlene Fero,      No. 92975-1
    Respondent.     En Banc
    Filed            0 I MIS
    GonzAlez, J.—On a January night in 2002, Heidi Charlene Fero called
    emergency responders seeking help for an injured child. Minutes later, paramedics
    arrived and found fifteen-month-old Brynn Ackley unconscious and limp, with
    bruising on her face. Brynn's treating physicians later determined that she had
    suffered severe and debilitating injuries consistent with shaken baby syndrome:
    retinal hemonfiaging (bleeding in the eyes), cerebral edema (brain swelling),
    subdural hematoma (brain bleeding), a leg fracture, and large bruises on her pelvic
    and vaginal areas. 2 Verbatim Report ofProceedings(VRP)(Mar. 11, 2003) at
    183-85, 191; VRP (Mar. 13, 2003) at 13-14. Fero was charged and convicted of
    first degree child assault. In 2014, many years after her judgment became final.
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    she filed a personal restraint petition contending that the medical community's
    evolving understanding of shaken baby syndrome is newly discovered evidence
    that would undermine the expert evidence as to the causes and timing of Brynn's
    injuries. We hold that this evidence would not probably change the result at
    trial. In re Pers. Restraint ofBrown, 
    143 Wn.2d 431
    , 453, 
    21 P.3d 687
    (2001).
    We therefore dismiss Fero's petition.
    Background
    On January 7, 2002, Fero was babysitting Brynn and her four-year-old
    brother, Kaed, as she had occasionally done since August 2002. At around 2:00
    p.m. that day, Brynn and Kaed were dropped off at Fero's home by their mother,
    Breanne Franck. Fero's then-boyfriend, Dustin Goodwin, watched Kaed and
    Brynn as well as Fero's children, Rachel and Derrick. Fero returned home around
    3:00 p.m. and Goodwin left for work. For the rest ofthe night Fero was alone
    caring for the four children.
    Around 7:45 p.m., Fero called Jason Ackley, Brynn and Kaed's father. She
    reported that Kaed had pushed his sister's head into a wall and Brynn could not
    walk on one leg. Fero asked how best to discipline Kaed. A few hours later, Fero
    called her mother, panicked because Brynn was unresponsive. Fero's mother
    instructed her to call 911 immediately.
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    When paramedics arrived, they found Brynn "limp, like a rag doll" with
    obvious bruises on her face and chest, and blood in her mouth. 1 VRP (Mar. 11,
    2003) at 39-41. Fero explained to the emergency responders that she had not
    personally witnessed Brynn's injuries and her daughter told her Kaed had swung
    Brynn into the wall "like a baseball bat." Id. at 40. While in transport to the
    hospital, paramedics observed Brynn's facial bruising grow rapidly.
    At the hospital, multiple physicians examined and treated Brynn. One
    emergency room doctor reviewed her CAT(computed axial tomography) scan,
    which showed severe brain injury caused by a blood clot, bleeding, and swelling;
    another physician discovered hemorrhaging in both her eyes and another found she
    had a displaced fracture of her left tibia, bruising on her pelvis, and laceration on
    her vagina. Brynn underwent emergency surgery to remove the blood clot and a
    piece of bone from her skull to allow her brain to swell. Later, Brynn's therapists
    predicted that as a result of her trauma, she would likely never live without the
    need of a caregiver.
    Fero was charged with first degree child assault. At trial, the defense argued
    that Kaed caused Brynn's injuries. Fero testified that Kaed was difficult to care for
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    and was often aggressive toward his sister.^ Kaed's father echoed this
    characterization, clarifying that while Kaed sometimes pushed and pinched Brynn,
    he never injured her and described the behavior as "hard" playing. Id. at 126-30,
    144.
    Goodwin,Fero's then-boyfriend, testified that on January 7, 2002, Brynn's
    mother had carried the infant into the house in her car seat—an unusual occurrence
    according to Goodwin because normally the child was brought in first, her mother
    then returning to the car to retrieve the car seat separately. Goodwin also asserted
    that during his brieftime watching the children until Fero returned from work,
    Brynn appeared upset, refused to play, and cried whenever her leg was touched.
    Unlike Goodwin, Breanne Frank testified she saw no bruises or injuries to
    the child when she brought her to Fero's apartment. Frank stated that her daughter
    had no trouble walking and that she carried Bryrm into the home as usual,
    retrieving the car seat after. Regarding her son, Frank admitted that she had heard
    about Kaed pinching his sister and had seen him kick and jump on her. She
    acknowledged Kaed could be mean to his sister, but Frank thought it was only
    sibling rivalry that caused slight bruises and never injured Brynn.
    'Fero explained that at her son's birthday party in 2001, Kaed was disciplined by his father for
    throwing food at guests and in response the boy became angry enough to slam his fists into a
    glass tabletop and crack it.
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    Fero testified to the timeline of Brynn's injuries and remarked on the little
    girl's behavior while at Fero's home. She explained that Brynn was "distant" and
    remained sitting wherever Fero set her instead of following Fero around as she had
    in the past. 5A VRP (Mar. 17, 2003)at 75. Fero also stated she gave Brynn a bath
    that evening, noticing a large bruise on the child's pelvis which "disturbed" her.
    Id. at 77. Fero dressed Brynn and put her in the playpen downstairs where Kaed
    and Rachel were watching television. Fero then took her son. Derrick, upstairs.
    While bathing Derrick, Fero's daughter reported that Kaed was hurting Brynn;
    Fero checked downstairs and saw Kaed on the couch and Brynn in her crib. Fero
    went back upstairs to tend to her son. Soon Rachel returned to her mother's side
    saying that Kaed was once more hurting his sister by banging Bryrm's head against
    the wall.
    Downstairs, Fero saw Kaed scramble out of Brynn's crib; the little girl was
    on her hands and knees,"shaking and trembling more than [Fero had] seen a child
    do before." Id. at 82. Fero picked her up and saw a small amount of blood in her
    mouth. She asked Kaed what he had done and he responded that he was a Power
    Ranger. After comforting Brynn, Fero said the infant closed her eyes, relaxed, and
    appeared to fall asleep.
    Fero then put Brynn on the futon and called Ackley at about 7:45 p.m. Both
    Fero and Ackley testified that she told him about Brynn's inability to walk on one
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    leg and seeing Kaed push Brynn's head into a wall. But Fero did not mention any
    bleeding or bruising, according to Brynn's father; moreover, Ackley testified that
    Brynn was running around with no trouble and had no bruises when he left for
    work that day. Goodwin's testimony largely agreed with this version of events,
    adding that Fero had told him about the bruises and bleeding in Brynn's mouth.
    After calling Ackley, Fero proceeded to clean the house, checking on the
    children intermittently. At approximately 9:45 p.m., Fero noticed Brynn's eyes
    were lidded and that something was not "right." Id. at 88. When her attempts to
    wake Brynn were unsuccessful, Fero called her mother and then 911.
    Police aiTived at Fero's home after Brynn was taken to the hospital. Fero
    provided a written statement explaining how Kaed jumped out of the crib and that
    Fero saw blood in Brynn's mouth; she also stated that she checked on Brynn "in a
    few minutes" after putting her on the fliton and found she was unresponsive. Id. at
    102-03. Fero testified that she did not remember writing the statement or telling an
    officer that five minutes had passed from when she put Brynn on the ftiton and
    when she noticed Brynn's eyes were half open. Further, Fero admitted to telling
    the 911 operator that Kaed was "'chasing [his] sister'" and that when she came
    downstairs, she saw Kaed bash Brynn's head into a wall. Id. at 98-99. Fero said
    she was too upset to think clearly and so could not remember saying these things to
    the investigators.
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    Kaed and Rachel also testified at trial. Six-year-old Rachel stated that Brynn
    was injured when Kaed "push[ed] her into the wall" and hit her with toys. Id. at
    43. She testified that when she saw this, she went upstairs to tell Fero, who
    checked on the children downstairs. Rachel remembered telling the police officer
    that Kaed hit Brynn with toys, and that no one had instructed her to say it. Rachel
    also told police that Brynn was running around playing the day she was injured.
    Five-year-old Kaed testified that he heard Brynn crying upstairs the night
    she was hurt. Kaed stated that he went upstairs and saw Fero giving a bath to
    Brynn and another child. He also said that Fero took Brynn downstairs and laid
    her on the couch. Later, according to Kaed,Fero yelled at him because she
    believed he did something to the little girl. Kaed testified that he had been in the
    crib at Fero's home but not on the day Brynn was injured and he denied doing
    "anything at Heidi's to her." 1 VRP (Mar. 12, 2003)at 12.^
    The police officers that investigated the incident also testified. Officer Scott
    Telford testified that Fero recounted the events ofthe evening to him, which echo
    her testimony at trial. Notably, Fero told the officer that Brynn was crying in her
    crib with blood in her mouth. Officer Telford was unable to find blood or stains in
    ^ Kaed's testimony contained many inconsistent statements. For example, he first testified that
    he did not know who "Heidi" was and yet later stated she was Brynn's babysitter. 1 VRP (Mar.
    12, 2003) at 15-16. He also denied and then admitted hitting Brynn.
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    the area. Detective Scott Smith testified that Fero told him the crib had been
    situated against the wall on the night ofthe incident but was later moved. He
    examined and photographed the crib and markings in the carpet. He determined
    that it had not been moved. Detective Smith also collected as evidence two plastic
    toys he was told may have caused Brynn's injuries.
    Detective Steve Norton testified that he interviewed Fero the night Brynn
    was injured. Fero reported to him that she checked on the children downstairs
    twice that night, the second time seeing Kaed jump out of the crib. Detective
    Norton stated that Fero told him only five minutes passed from when she picked
    Brynn up and when she noticed the girl had fallen unconscious and called 911.
    Norton also testified that Fero said she had not given Brynn a bath and the infant
    had not been upstairs that day. Fero told him she had seen some red marks on
    Brynn's stomach and that Fero's daughter saw Kaed jump on and hit Brynn.
    Detective Norton interviewed Kaed and his father, Ackley, on the night of
    January 7, 2002. Ackley reported that Kaed was rough with Brynn, pushing and
    pinching her, and needed to be watched to prevent him from hurting his sister.
    Norton testified that Kaed was "hyperkinetic" during the interview and seemed to
    admit to causing Brynn's bleeding from her mouth. 2 VRP (Mar. 12, 2003) at 212-
    13. Kaed told the detective he made the blood come out, then said the
    "temperature just push[ed] it out," and "[djreams push it out." Id.
    In re Pars. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    Fero's daughter, Rachel, was interviewed on January 8, 2002. Detective
    Norton testified that Rachel was focused, with a good attention span. The girl told
    Norton that Kaed banged Brynn's head into the wall, hit her with plastic toys, and
    shook Brynn's high chair when she was in it.
    The State presented medical testimony from six expert witness about the
    cause of Bryrm's injuries.^ These witnesses, all physicians who treated Brynn,
    explained that the little girl suffered severe brain injury caused by a blood clot,
    bleeding, and swelling. The head trauma, bruising, and leg fracture were caused
    by severe shaking and "repetitive force," the type offorce a boy of Kaed's size and
    strength could not inflict. 1 VRP(Mar. 12, 2003) at 63-64. One physician agreed
    it was possible that the pelvic bruising could be the result of a four-year-old
    jumping on Brynn,the facial bruises could be inflicted by hitting her with a plastic
    toy, and that such a blow could cause a subdural hematoma. But the doctor also
    stated that it was unlikely a plastic toy could cause a local brain injury such as
    Brynn's. Kaed could not inflict the "constellation" of injuries Brynn suffered. 2
    VRP (Mar. 11, 2003) at 200.
    The medical experts described shaken baby syndrome. When the brain is
    shaken, the veins in the brain break and start to bleed, and a collection of blood
    ^ Another medical expert also testified regarding Brynn's rehabilitation therapy that began after
    her hospitalization but did not opine on the cause of her injuries.
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    forms in what is called a "subdural hematoma." 1 VRP (Mar. 12, 2003) at 84.
    Brynn had multiple hematomas and swelling in her brain, indicating severe trauma.
    Physicians found no external head injuries, such as a skull fracture,"goose egg," or
    scalp bleeding, which would be present if Brynn had been struck by a blow to her
    head; her doctors concluded that she had been severely shaken. Id. at 90-92.
    In addition, the trauma to Brynn's brain could not have been caused by
    repeated blows to her face because "[t]he amount of force necessary to produce a
    brain injury of this magnitude... would destroy the face, there wouldn't be just
    bruises and swelling, there would be destruction of all the bones ofthe face." VRP
    (Mar. 13, 2003) at 34. The medical experts also testified that Brynn's injuries
    could not be caused by a fall, being pushed into a wall, or being hit with a plastic
    toy.
    Regarding Brynn's leg injury, two physicians stated that it was a recent
    "displaced" or "pulled apart" oblique fracture ofthe left tibia. Id. at 13-14. Both
    doctors explained that in order to cause an oblique fracture such as this, a person
    would have to "twist the leg violently." Id. at 16. The physician who examined
    Brynn's X-rays stated he saw no indication that Brynn's bones were fragile, and,
    though agreeing a fracture could be sustained in a fall or by accident, medical
    experts stated that it would be very unlikely that Kaed had the strength to fracture
    10
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    Brynn's leg in this manner. A child suffering from a displaced fracture would not
    walk on the leg because it would be extremely painful.
    The medical experts also testified Brynn would likely have fallen
    unconscious at some point on the night of January 7, 2002. Given the severity of
    her injuries, multiple physicians stated that typically Brynn would have lost
    consciousness almost immediately after being shaken and would probably not have
    been consolable. Another doctor said it could take five minutes to two hours for
    signs of unconsciousness to manifest. Only one physician appears to have stated
    Brynn would have had no "lucid interval" after sustaining her injuries. Id. at 43.
    While unconscious, Brynn could have appeared to be sleeping and she may not
    have closed her eyes.
    Fero was found guilty of first degree child assault. The court imposed an
    exceptional sentence, finding Brynn was particularly vulnerable due to her youth
    and that Fero had breached her duty to protect the little girl. Fero was sentenced to
    15 years. She appealed and the court held the 15-year exceptional sentence
    violated Blakely v. Washington, 
    542 U.S. 296
    , 
    124 S. Ct. 2531
    , 
    159 L. Ed. 403
    (2004). State v. Fero, 
    125 Wn. App. 84
    , 102, 
    104 P.3d 49
    (2005). On remand,
    Fero was resentenced to 10 years. On May 6, 2014, Fero filed this personal
    restraint petition. She was released from prison in July 2014. In re Pers. Restraint
    ofFero, 
    192 Wn. App. 138
    , 148, 
    367 P.3d 588
     (2016).
    11
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    The Court of Appeals issued a published decision on January 5, 2016,
    granting Fero's petition and remanding for a new trial. Id. at 142. The State filed
    a motion for reconsideration on January 25, 2016. The Court of Appeals denied
    the motion on March 3, 2016. Less than thirty days later, on April 1, 2016,the
    State petitioned for review. The petition was redesignated as a motion for
    discretionary review,"^ which we granted. In re Pers. Restraint ofFero, 
    187 Wn.2d 1024
    , 390 P.Sd 356(2017).
    Analysis
    I.     Timeliness of the State's Motion for Discretionary Review
    Fero and the State agree that a party has 30 days to file a motion for
    discretionary review with this court. As previously stated, the State filed for
    review on April 1, 2016. Fero contends the motion is untimely because it was not
    filed within 30 days ofthe Court of Appeals' January 5 decision granting her
    personal restraint petition. Conversely, the State argues its motion was timely
    because the 30-day filing deadline began with the Court of Appeals' March 3
    decision denying its motion for reconsideration. Thus, the threshold question in
    The clerk ofthis court correctly treated the State's petition for review as a motion for
    discretionary review under RAP 16.14(c). To avoid confusion, we will refer to the State's
    petition as a motion for discretionary review throughout.
    12
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    this case is what "decision" under RAP 13.5(a) initiates the 30-day filing deadline
    for discretionary review with this court. We agree with the State.
    If a personal restraint petition is "decided by the Court of Appeals on the
    merits, the decision is subject to review by the Supreme Court only by a motion for
    discretionary review . . . [as] provided in rule 13.5A." RAP 16.14(c).
    Additionally, a party may seek review ofthe decision to grant or deny a personal
    restraint petition by filing a motion for reconsideration. RAP 12.4(a). A pleading
    is considered timely filed if it is timely filed in any division ofthe Court of
    Appeals or in the Supreme Court. RAP 18.23.
    The procedure governing a motion for discretionary review is specified in
    RAP 13.5(a) and (c). RAP 13.5A(c). RAP 13.5(a) states:
    A party seeking review by the Supreme Court of an interlocutory decision of
    the Court of Appeals must file a motion for discretionary review in the
    Supreme Court and a copy in the Court of Appeals within 30 days after the
    decision isfiled.
    (Emphasis added.)
    Most obviously, the emphasized phrase provides a period of 30 days in
    which to file a motion for review and a date from which to begin counting "the
    decision." But, the rule's language alone does not define what type of"decision"
    begins the filing deadline. Because this term is not defined within RAP 13.5(a),
    we look to the context, related rules, and rule-making scheme as a whole to
    13
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    determine its meaning. State v. Stump, 
    185 Wn.2d 454
    ,460, 
    374 P.3d 89
    (2016)
    (citing       V. Conover, 183 Wn.2d706, 711, 
    355 P.3d 1093
     (2015)).
    Presumably, Fero would direct us to RAP 13.5A for guidance. This rule
    governs motions for discretionary review of decisions dismissing or deciding
    personal restraint petitions. RAP 13.5A(a)(l). Thus, because this rule is triggered
    when a party files for review of a decision deciding a personal restraint petition as
    the State did here, the undefined "decision" ofRAP 13.5(a) must relate to the
    original January 5 Court of Appeals opinion.
    This argument would be persuasive if our analysis ended here. However,
    just as we look to the related provision RAP 13.5A in order to decipher and carry
    out the drafter's intent, we must also consult the rules in their entirety. Stump, 
    185 Wn.2d at
    460 {citing Dep't ofEcology v. Campbell & Gwinn, LLC, 
    146 Wn.2d 1
    ,
    9,
    43 P.3d 4
    (2002)). In doing so, RAP 1.2(a) is of critical importance. This rule
    governs our interpretation ofthe Rules of Appellate Procedure and explains:
    These rules will be liberally interpreted to promote justice and facilitate the
    decision of cases on the merits. Cases and issues will not be determined on
    the basis of compliance or noncompliance with these rules except in
    compelling circumstances where justice demands.
    RAP 1.2(c) provides that "[t]he appellate court may waive or alter the
    provisions of any ofthese rules in order to serve the ends ofjustice, subject to the
    restrictions in rule 18.8(b) and (c)." In light of RAP 1.2(a)'s directive to construe
    14
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    our rules "liberally" and not to dismiss a case solely on the basis of
    "noncompliance" with these rules, Fero's reading of RAP 13.5(a)'s "decision" is
    unnecessarily rigid. Concluding that the January 5 decision begins the 30-day
    filing deadline would not "facilitate the decision of cases on the merits" as this
    case would be dismissed without regard for the significant underlying issues ably
    argued by both Fero and the State. Such a summary dismissal would not be in
    keeping with RAP 1.2(a).
    Moreover, as the State points out, Fero's interpretation of RAP 13.5(a)
    would require a party to file a motion for discretionary review very likely before
    the Court of Appeals issued its decision on reconsideration. Pet'r's Reply to
    Answer at 4. Not only would Fero's case be pending in two courts at once, had the
    Court of Appeals granted the motion for reconsideration, the State may not have
    sought further review. Requiring multiple motions in multiple courts before an
    opinion that may decide the case is issued is inefficient for those seeking appellate
    review, as well as for the court. To construe RAP 13.5(a) in this way is
    unnecessary and risks signaling to parties that form matters more than substance. ^
    ^ We look to RAP 1.2(a) for guidance in interpreting our rules of appellate procedure. Invoking
    this provision does not accordingly mean that we have waived timely filing requirements
    contained in RAP 13.5.
    15
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    Thus, we conclude that the "decision" initiating the 30-day filing period
    under RAP 13.5(a)is the order on reconsideration. Here, the Court of Appeals
    denied reconsideration on March 3, 2016 and the State filed for review with this
    court less than 30 days later on April 1, 2016. The State complied with RAP
    13.5(a), and its motion for discretionary review was timely.
    II.    Newly Discovered Scientific Evidence
    Fero contends that the scientific community's advancements in
    understanding shaken baby syndrome constitute newly discovered evidence that
    undermines the State's theory of the case and entitles her to a new trial. The State
    contends this evidence is not newly discovered because it would not probably
    change the result at trial. We agree with the State and dismiss the petition.
    A. Standard OF Review
    Fero challenges her postrelease restrictions through a personal restraint
    petition. As this court has noted, personal restraint petitions are the modem
    version ofthe writs of old, most notably the "Great Writ" of habeas corpus. In re
    Pers. Restraint ofCoats, 
    173 Wn.2d 123
    , 128, 
    267 P.3d 324
    (2011); Toliver v.
    Olsen, 
    109 Wn.2d 607
    , 608, 
    746 P.2d 809
    (1987). Our review ofthese petitions is
    constrained, and relief gained through collateral challenges is "extraordinary." In
    re Coats, 
    173 Wn.2d at 132
    (citing In re Pers. Restraint ofCook, 
    114 Wn.2d 802
    ,
    16
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    810-12, 
    792 P.2d 506
    (1990)). A personal restraint petition, like its ancestor the
    Great Writ, is not granted "as a matter of course." See In re Frederick, 
    149 U.S. 70
    , 75, 
    13 S. Ct. 793
    , 
    37 L. Ed. 653
     (1893). The bar facing a petitioner is high, and
    overcoming it is necessary before this court will disturb a settled judgment. In re
    Coats, 
    173 Wn.2d at 132
    .
    The right to collateral review by a personal restraint petition requires the
    petitioner to make a heightened showing of prejudice. In re Cook, 
    114 Wn.2d at
    810 (citing/?? re Pers. Restraint ofHaverty, 
    101 Wn.2d 498
    , 504, 
    681 P.2d 835
    (1984)). A personal restraint petitioner must state "with particularity facts which,
    if proven, would entitle him [or her] to relief." In re Pers. Restraint ofRice, 
    118 Wn.2d 876
    , 886, 
    828 P.2d 1086
     (1992). "Bald assertions and conclusory
    allegations" alone are insufficient. Id.; RAP 16.7(a)(2)(i).
    Fero filed her personal restraint petition more than one year after her
    judgment became final, RCW 10.73.090(1), thus the petition is untimely unless she
    raises only grounds for relief exempt from the one-year limit under RCW
    10.73.100. See In re Pers. Restraint ofAdams, 
    178 Wn.2d 417
    ,422, 
    309 P.3d 451
    (2013). Newly discovered evidence is a potentially exempt ground for relief.
    RCW 10.73.100(1); RAP 16.4(c)(3);/« re                 Restraint ofLord, 123 Wn.2d296,
    319-20, 
    868 P.2d 835
     (1994).
    17
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    The court reviews a claim of newly discovered evidence raised by a personal
    restraint petition under the same test as newly discovered evidence asserted in a
    new trial motion. State v.                
    96 Wn.2d 215
    , 223, 
    634 P.2d 868
     (1981). To
    prevail on a claim of newly discovered evidence, a personal restraint petitioner
    must show evidence that(1)will probably change the result ofthe trial,(2) was
    discovered since the trial,(3)could not have been discovered before trial by the
    exercise of due diligence,(4)is material, and (5)is not merely cumulative or
    impeaching. 
    Id.
     If any ofthese factors is missing, the petitioner is not entitled to
    relief. 
    Id.
    B. Supporting Declarations
    Fero submitted declarations from Drs. Patrick Barnes and Janice Ophoven in
    support of her petition. Dr. Ophoven, a pediatric forensic pathologist, and Dr.
    Barnes, a pediatric neuroradiologist, specialize in shaken baby syndrome and
    pediatric head trauma.^ Both physicians focused on changes in the medical
    understanding of shaken baby syndrome and infant head injuries since Fero's trial.
    In his declaration. Dr. Barnes explains that alternative explanations for
    symptoms once associated with shaken baby syndrome have expanded to include
    ® Dr. Barnes is the chief of pediatric neuroradiology at Lucile Salter Packard Children's Hospital
    and professor of radiology at Stanford Medical Center. He has practiced, taught, and published
    articles, reviews, and book chapters on head injury in children for 35 years. Dr. Ophoven has
    expertise in shaken baby syndrome cases and has practiced as a physician for nearly 40 years.
    18
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    accidental and natural causes. Since 2003, members of the scientific community
    now question whether the brain swelling and bleeding in the eyes and brain are
    definitive signs of shaken baby syndrome. In the 1990s, doctors routinely testified
    that the force necessary to cause hemorrhaging in children was equivalent to the
    force from a high speed car accident or fall from multistory building. Dr. Barnes
    asserts that "several literature reviews" have shown no scientific basis for this
    testimony. Barnes Deck at 5 (included as an exhibit in Opening Br. in Supp. of
    Pers. Restraint Pet.). He also states that researchers have recognized that children
    who suffer trauma can remain lucid (conscious)for up to three days or more after
    injury. Dr. Barnes concludes,"[I]t is impossible to tell ... in the medical record
    when Brynn was injured, and there is a significant chance that she was injured
    before she arrived at Ms. Fero's home." Id. at 26-27.
    Dr. Barnes states in his declaration that the medical community once
    universally accepted that victims of shaken baby syndrome would fall
    unconsciousness immediately after injury. Since Fero's trial, it is now generally
    accepted that short and accidental falls can cause injuries like Brynn's and children
    can be lucid and "appear symptom-free" for up to three days. Ophoven Deck at 4
    (included as an exhibit in Opening Br. of Supp. of Pers. Restraint Pet.).
    Dr. Ophoven concludes that Brynn suffered a traumatic brain injury but
    could not determine whether the injury was accidental or nonaccidental or whether
    19
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    an adult or child caused it. The doctor also explains that the timing of Brynn's
    injuries could not be exactly determined but that "[i]t is more likely [she] suffered
    her injuries between 12 and 24 hours before" arriving at the hospital. Id. at 3.
    C. Merits of the Petition
    Fero contends that the result of her trial would probably be different because
    the medical community's current understanding of pediatric head trauma
    contradicts the medical testimony offered at trial on which she was convicted.
    Fero focuses on two advancements in shaken baby syndrome research, arguing
    scientists now recognize that(1)a child does not immediately fall unconscious
    after suffering a traumatic brain injury and (2) many causes other than severe
    shaking can inflict injuries such as those Brynn suffered. Fero argues that had this
    evidence been presented to the jury, the State could not have proved Brynn was
    injured in Fero's care and Fero injured the little girl.
    The declarations from Dr. Barnes and Dr. Ophoven state that children can
    remain lucid for up to three days postinjury. This, Fero argues, undermines the
    State because it presented medical evidence of unconsciousness occurring
    '"immediately"' after injury. Resp't's Suppl. Br. at 5-6. But Fero characterizes
    the State's evidence in a light most favorable to her. See, e.g., id. ("The State's
    trial experts testified that it would have been impossible for Brynn to remain lucid
    20
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    for more than a few minutes after suffering her injuries."(emphasis added)).
    Reviewing the medical testimony as a whole demonstrates that the trial experts
    described the general shaken baby syndrome case in which ''typically a patient
    loses consciousness right away," 1 VRP (Mar. 12, 2003)at 97(emphasis added),
    and that there would "{pyobably not" be a lucid interval between injury and onset
    of symptoms. VRP (Mar. 13, 2003)at 43(emphasis added). The State's witnesses
    did not state that Brynn necessarily immediately lost consciousness after being
    injured. Had the experts offered this categorical conclusion, Fero's lucidity
    evidence may have sufficiently refuted it.
    Furthermore, even though some State experts testified that a typical victim
    of shaken baby syndrome would lose consciousness immediately, the jury also
    heard testimony that signs of unconsciousness in victims could take anywhere from
    a few minutes to a few hours to manifest. Thus, the jury was already presented
    with the theory that Brynn could have been conscious for hours after she was
    injured. Fero does not address this point.
    Accepting arguendo that a child can remain conscious for up to three days
    after traumatic brain injury and that Brynn followed this lucidity pattern, though
    we note Fero alleged no particular facts showing this, such evidence merely invites
    the inference that Brynn might have been injured before January 7, 2002. Fero
    urges us to conclude from this possibility that someone else injured the little girl.
    21
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    Fero fails to show, however, how this evidence would have changed the result at
    trial since her theory ofthe case, at its most basic, was that someone else injured
    Brynn—indeed, she argued Kaed was to blame. Conceivably, the evidence could
    point to an alternative suspect in addition to Kaed, namely Brynn's parents, thus
    widening the field of possible suspects and strengthening Fero's theory. But
    strengthening the defense's trial theory is not the standard for newly discovered
    evidence. State v. Gassman, 
    160 Wn. App. 600
    , 609, 
    248 P.3d 155
     (2011)("the
    standard is 'probably change,' not just possibly change the outcome"(quoting
    Williams, 
    96 Wn.2d at 223
    )); see also State v. Riofta, 
    166 Wn.2d 358
    , 369, 
    209 P.3d 467
    (2009)("defendants seeking postconviction relief face a heavy burden
    and are in a significantly different situation than a person facing trial" (citing
    Schlup V. Delo, 
    513 U.S. 298
    , 326 n.42, 
    115 S. Ct. 851
    , 
    130 L. Ed. 2d 808
     (1995)).
    Fero also asserts, through her declarations, that short falls or natural causes
    present alternative explanations for Brynn's injuries. The State's experts testified
    that the type and severity of Brynn's injuries could only have been caused by
    violent shaking or trauma akin to falling from a multi-story building or being
    ejected from a moving vehicle. The jury might have doubted whether Fero
    violently shook the infant if it had been presented with testimony that a short fall
    from a counter or chair could cause head trauma like Brynn's. Fero contends this
    22
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    evidence would have changed the result at trial because the State could not prove
    she assaulted Brynn.
    This argument is unconvincing. Fero did not present at trial or allege in her
    personal restraint petition any evidence that Brynn suffered a fall—accidental or
    nonaccidental, short or long, either in Fero's care or at any other time."^ In support
    of her contention that an accidental event could have caused Brynn's head injuries,
    Fero citQS Ex Parte Henderson, 384 S.W.Bd 833, 833-34(Tex. Crim. App. 2012)
    (per curiam). In Henderson, a defendant was granted a new trial after expert
    witnesses testified the child victim's injuries could have been caused by a short fall
    onto concrete. Henderson is distinguishable because, unlike in Fero's trial,
    testimony was offered that the child had accidentally fallen from the defendant's
    arms onto a concrete floor. Id. at 838(Cochran, J., concurring). Here, nothing in
    the record suggests an accidental cause of Brynn's injuries. The record similarly
    fails to show and Fero's petition does not allege that Brynn suffered from any
    medical conditions that may have caused or contributed to her injuries. Dr.
    Ophoven recognized this in her declaration, stating "[njothing in the materials that
    [she] reviewed suggested that there were vascular, congenital, infectious or
    ^ Rachel told a police officer that Brynn was in a high chair and Kaed had shaken her while in
    the chair. At trial, however, Rachel stated she did not remember telling the officer this, and no
    other witnesses testified to this information. Furthermore, even if Rachel had told the jury that
    Kaed shook the chair while Brynn was in it, no evidence was offered that Brynnfell from the
    chair.
    23
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    metabolic causes for the cerebral edema, subdural hematoma or the retinal
    hemorrhages." Ophoven Decl. at 8,
    Fero's further citations to cases from other jurisdictions are similarly
    unpersuasive. For example, Fero cites Del Prete v. Thompson, 
    10 F. Supp. 3d 907
    (N.D. 111. 2014) dind People v. Bailey, 
    144 A.D.3d 1562
    , 
    41 N.Y.S.3d 625
     (2016).
    These cases recognize longer periods of consciousness posttrauma and alternative
    causes for injuries once considered diagnostic of abuse. Del Prete, 10 F. Supp. 3d
    at 956-57; Bailey, 
    144 A.D.3d at 1564
    .
    Both cases are distinguishable on their facts. In Del Prete, the child victim
    had been taking antibiotic medication for an infection, had a history of
    hospitalization, and displayed subdural head injuries two to four weeks before the
    alleged shaking. 10 F. Supp. 3d at 910, 956. In Bailey, undisputed evidence was
    presented that the two-and-a-half-year old victim had fallen from a bench and hit
    her head. Bailey, 
    144 A.D.3d at 1562-63
    ; see also People v. Bailey, A1 Misc. 3d
    355, 357,
    999 N.Y.S.2d 713
    (Monroe County Ct. 2014). The prosecution's expert
    witnesses testified at trial that short falls are rarely fatal. Bailey, 
    47 Misc. 3d at 358-59, 363
    . On collateral review, the court's opinion discussed in detail the
    evidence of the fall and the scientific community's advancements in this arena,
    concluding that the evidence "significantly, and substantially, undermines" the
    prosecution's trial testimony. Id. at 372-73. Unlike Del Prete and Bailey, Brynn
    24
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    had no history of hospitalization and did not display weeks' old head injuries, nor
    was any evidence offered that she had fallen while in Fero's care or outside it.
    In addition, Fero relies on State v. Edmunds, 
    2008 WI App 33
    , 
    308 Wis. 2d 374
    , 
    746 N.W.2d 590
     for analogous facts and its consideration ofrecent shaken
    baby syndrome research in the context of postconviction review. See also In re
    Fero, 192 Wn. App. at 157-60. In Edmunds, a caregiver was convicted ofreckless
    homicide for shaking a seven-month-old child. 308 Wis. 2d at 378-79. At
    Edmunds's trial, the State's experts testified that violent shaking caused the
    victim's head trauma. Id. at 378. The Wisconsin Court of Appeals held that
    Edmunds presented medical testimony showing a legitimate debate over whether
    infants can be fatally injured through shaking, the length of lucidity periods, and
    alternative causes that may mimic the symptoms once viewed as indicating shaken
    baby syndrome. Id. at 385-86. The Edmunds court reasoned that today a jury
    would encounter competing medical opinions concerning the cause ofthe victim's
    injuries, and that there was a reasonable probability that a jury faced with both the
    new and old medical testimony would have reasonable doubt as to Edmunds's
    guilt. Id. at 392. The court concluded this constituted newly discovered evidence
    that would probably change the result at trial. Id.
    Here, Fero's petition leans heavily on Edmunds for support. Such reliance is
    understandable; Edmunds is one ofthe first cases in the country to provide reliefto
    25
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    petitioners collaterally challenging their convictions based on shaken baby
    syndrome.® While Fero's reliance may be understandable, it is nevertheless
    misplaced.
    Edmunds is distinguishable because it does not present a similar factual
    background as the instant case. Though both children exhibited traumatic brain
    injuries, Edmunds,308 Wis. 2d at 380, Bryrm displayed extensive bruising on her
    face, chest, abdomen, and vaginal areas. Her vagina was lacerated and her leg
    severely fractured. It is not any one ofthese injuries alone that makes this case
    different from Edmunds, but all ofthem together. The dissent misunderstands our
    analysis on this point. See dissent(Gordon McCloud, J.) at 17, 18. Brynn
    Ackley's internal and external injuries differ significantly from those suffered by
    the victim in Edmunds. It is possible that in a different case, one resting solely or
    primarily on internal traumatic brain injuries, such as in Edmunds, Fero's lucidity
    and alternative cause evidence may meet the requisite standard for relief. That is
    not the case here.
    Therefore, a jury in Fero's case today would be faced with testimony stating
    that Brynn's injuries might have been caused by an accidental fall or medical
    ^ See Andrea L. Lewis & Sara L. Sommervold,Death, But Is It Murder? The Role ofStereotypes
    and Cultural Perceptions in the Wrongful Convictions of Women,
    78 Alb. L. Rev. 1035
    , 1035-36
    (2014-15); Emily Bazelon, Shaken-Baby Syndrome Faces New Questions in Court, N.Y. Times
    (Feb. 2, 2011), http://www.nytimes.eom/2011/02/06/magazine/06baby-t.html.
    26
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    condition, and perhaps the infant was injured outside Fero's care.^ In support,
    Fero's declarations offer many equivocal conclusions. See, e.g., Ophoven Decl.
    at 3 ("it is more likely" that Brynn suffered her injuries 12-24 hours before she was
    hospitalized (emphasis added)),9(her injuries "are consistent with the injuries that
    could occur from a short(less than 3 foot) fall"(emphasis added)); Barnes Decl. at
    31 (it is ''possible" that the injuries were inflicted early in the day of January 7,
    2002(emphasis added)). While evidence based on might and perhaps is sufficient
    to possibly change the result at trial, it is far too remote and speculative to prove
    the result would probably be different. In re Pers. Restraint of Wheeler, 
    183 Wn.2d 71
    , 82, 
    349 P.3d 820
    (2015)(citing Williams, 
    96 Wn.2d at 222-23
    ).
    ^ The dissent emphasizes the possibility that Kaed injured his sister prior to arriving at Fero's
    home due, in part, to Brynn's many injuries and Kaed's "pattern of assaults." Dissent(Gordon
    MeCloud, J.) at 21-22. The dissent offers no evidence of a specific injury caused by Kaed that
    caused or contributed to untreated head trauma. The evidence presented indicates only that Kaed
    had possibly hurt his sister in the past. This does not demonstrate a particular fact that if true
    would entitle Fero to relief. In re Rice, 
    118 Wn.2d at 886
    . Such particularized evidence is
    necessary on collateral review. Id.(bald assertions and conclusory allegations are insufficient to
    warrant relief).
    Dr. Ophoven states that the "[fjindings in the case that I believe are very important to the
    forensic analysis include: a. History that Brynn was irritable, less active and had trouble walking
    when she arrived to Heidi's residence on January 7, 2002.... b. Several bruises were noted at
    bath time." Ophoven Decl. at 14. Notably, these "findings" appear to be based on conflicting
    testimony before the court. While Fero and Goodwin testified that Brynn was carried into their
    home by her mother, cried whenever her leg was touched, and appeared distant throughout the
    night, Brynn's parents testified that the little girl had been running around while in their care and
    that her mother did not carry Brynn into Fero's home. Fero's daughter, Rachel, told
    investigators Brynn had been running and playing while in Fero's care. These "facts" referenced
    by Dr. Ophoven conflict with the testimony offered at trial and do not constitute "findings."
    27
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    Fero's lucidity and alternative cause evidence is insufficient to probably
    change the result at trial, thus her collateral challenge does not fall within the
    newly discovered evidence exception and the one-year time bar precludes any
    relief.^' 7ti.; RCW 10.73.100(1); In re Adams, 
    178 Wn.2d at 422
    . Therefore,
    Fero's petition is dismissed.
    Because Fero did not demonstrate that the evidence presented in Drs. Bames's and Ophoven's
    declarations would probably have changed the result at trial, we do not opine on whether Fero
    satisfies the additional requirements of newly discovered evidence. Williams, 
    96 Wn.2d at
    222-
    23. Nevertheless, we note that Fero does not appear to establish the lucidity and altemative
    causes evidence is "not merely .. . impeaching" under Williams, and thus constitutes an
    additional ground to dismiss Fero's petition. 
    Id.
     New evidence is "merely impeaching" if it
    serves only to discredit previously presented evidence at trial and the possibility of some
    impeachment value does not satisfy the "not merely ... impeaching" standard. In addition, we
    decline to address whether recent research on shaken baby syndrome constitutes a debate in the
    scientific and medical communities, whether the potential debate constitutes newly discovered
    evidence, or whether the evidence supporting shaken baby syndrome is still valid. We leave
    these issues for another day's discussion.
    28
    In re Pers. Restraint Petition ofHeidi Charlene Fero, No. 92975-1
    ^7
    WE CONCUR:
    29
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero, No. 92975-1
    (Yu, J., concurring)
    No. 92975-1
    YU,J.(concurring) — I concur in the well-reasoned and thoughtful lead
    opinion of Justice Gonzalez and write separately only to express my dismay at the
    result-driven dissent of Justice Gordon McCloud. The alleged "newly discovered
    evidence" in this case does not reflect any actual advancement in the medical
    community, and even if it did, it is unreasonable to elaim that this evidence "will
    probably change the result ofthe trial." State v. Williams, 
    96 Wn.2d 215
    , 223, 
    634 P.2d 868
     (1981). Heidi Charlene Fero is not entitled to relief or a reference
    hearing on her personal restraint petition.
    First, the dissent points to an alleged "paradigm shift in the medical
    community" that does not exist. Dissent(Gordon McCloud, J.) at 2. The attacks
    on abusive head trauma or shaken baby syndrome are just a concerted effort to
    minimize the harm when force is directly applied to an infant's head. According to
    the American Academy ofPediatrics, "[tjhere is no legitimate medical debate
    among the majority of practicing physicians as to the existence or validity of
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero, No. 92975-1
    (Yu, J., concurring)
    [shaken baby syndrome]. The only real debate and controversy appear to be in the
    legal system and the media." Pet. for Review, App. B,Ex. 1, at 3(Am.Acad.of
    Pediatrics,Understanding Abusive Head Trauma in Infants and Children:
    Answers from America's Pediatricians (2015)). Because there is no genuine
    factual dispute about any alleged paradigm shift in the medical community, Fero is
    not entitled to a reference hearing on that issue. See dissent(Gordon McCloud, J.)
    at 30.
    Second, even if Fero were presenting legitimate new medical evidence,
    which she is not, that evidence cannot possibly be viewed as likely to change the
    result of her trial. Fero's theory ofthe case has always been that someone else
    must have caused the child's extensive physical injuries, such as the child's five-
    year-old brother or some adult who assaulted the victim long before she got to
    Fero's house. After a full trial with competent counsel, the jury did not believe
    her, and for good reason. Regardless of any alleged newly discovered evidence, no
    one could look at the photographs depicting the child's physical injuries in this
    case and entertain a reasonable doubt as to Fero's guilt based on the theory that
    "someone else did it." The photographs have been sealed so the public will never
    see the child's horrific injuries, but there is no question that she suffered
    inconceivable trauma, and there is no way that the massive bruises covering her
    body were inflicted by a five-year-old, or developed over time as the result of
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero, No. 92975-1
    (Yu, J., concurring)
    preexisting injuries. It is simply beyond credibility and inconsistent with the
    proffered testimony.
    Unfortunately, this court is unable to come to a holding on this important
    issue and instead allows an erroneous Court of Appeals decision reversing Fero's
    conviction to stand. Our fractured opinion provides no clarity on what qualifies as
    new scientific or medical evidence that is generally accepted in the relevant
    scientific community for the purposes of sustaining a collateral attack.
    I therefore respectfully concur in Justice Gonzalez's lead opinion.
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero, No. 92975-1
    (Yu, J., concurring)
    In re Personal Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene)
    (Stephens, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part)
    92975-1
    STEPHENS, J. (concurring in part, dissenting in part)—I join Part I of the
    lead opinion regarding the timeliness ofthe State's motion for discretionary review.
    On the merits of the petition, I join Justice Gordon McCloud's dissenting opinion
    remanding for a reference hearing.
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi C.)
    No. 92975-1
    MADSEN,J.(dissenting)—I disagree with the lead opinion's holding that the
    State of Washington timely filed its motion for discretionary review. In order to be
    considered timely, the State's motion must have been filed no later than 30 days after
    January 5, 2016. The State filed its motion on April 1, 2016, clearly in excess ofthe 30
    day limitation. Accordingly, I would hold that the State's motion for discretionary
    review was untimely. Because I find that the State's motion was untimely, I do not
    address the other issues raised in this ease.
    RAP 13.5(a) governs the procedure for discretionary review of a personal restraint
    petition (PRP). RAP 16.14(c); RAP 13.5A(c). Specifically, RAP 13.5(a) states:
    A party seeking review by the Supreme Court of an interlocutory decision
    ofthe Court of Appeals must file a motion for discretionary review in the
    Supreme Court and a copy in the Court of Appeals within 30 days after the
    decision is filed.
    The rule is clear—a party has 30 days from the time an interlocutory decision is filed to
    file a motion for discretionary review. Here, the Court of Appeals granted Heidi Fero's
    PRP on January 5, 2016. A timely motion under RAP 13.5(a) would have been no later
    than 30 days after the date of that decision. However, the State subsequently filed a
    No. 92975-1
    Madsen, J., dissenting
    motion for reconsideration, and, incorrectly believing that its motion for reconsideration
    tolled the filing period, the State did not file a motion for discretionary review until
    April 1, 2016.
    The lead opinion does not dispute the State's noncompliance with RAP 13.5(a)
    but, rather, holds that the court may waive the timeliness requirement under RAP 1.2.'
    According to RAP 1.2(a), the "rules will be liberally interpreted to promote justice and
    facilitate the decision of cases on the merits." However,this rule is subject to the
    restrictions in RAP 18.8(b), which directly deals with the failure to timely perfect an
    appeal. RAP 18.8(b) states:
    The appellate court will only in extraordinary circumstances and to prevent
    a gross miscarriage ofjustice extend the time within which a party must
    file a notice of appeal, a notice for discretionary review, a motion for
    discretionary review of a decision ofthe Court of Appeals, a petition for
    review, or a motion for reconsideration.
    'The lead opinion asserts that by invoking RAP 1.2 it did not thereby waive the RAP 13.5(a)
    timely filing requirements. That is incorrect. The lead opinion unmistakably waived the RAP
    13.5(a) timely filing requirements and, in doing so, relied solely on RAP 1.2. Specifically, the
    lead opinion notes:
    RAP 1.2(a) is of critical importance. This rule governs our interpretation ofthe
    Rules of Appellate Procedure ....
    RAP 1.2(c) provides that "[t]he appellate court may waive or alter the
    provisions of any of these rules in order to serve the ends ofjustice, subject to the
    restrictions in rule 18.8(b) and (c)." In light of RAP 1.2(a)'s directive to construe
    our rules "liberally" and not to dismiss a ease solely on the basis of
    "noncompliance" with these rules,...[sjuch a summary dismissal would not be
    in keeping with RAP 1.2(a).
    Lead opinion at 14-15. Indeed, if the lead opinion is not invoking RAP 1.2 to waive the
    RAP 13.5(a) timely filing requirements, it is unclear on which basis the lead opinion
    relies in circumventing RAP 13.5(a).
    No. 92975-1
    Madsen, J., dissenting
    (Emphasis added); see Beckman v. Dep't ofSoc. & Health Servs., 
    102 Wn. App. 687
    ,
    693, 
    11 P.3d 313
    (2000)("RAP 18.8 expressly requires a narrow application"). The lead
    opinion is unfazed by this limitation, holding that allowing the case to move forward
    serves the ends ofjustice because a strict interpretation of"decision" in RAP 13.5(a) is
    "unnecessarily rigid" and it is possible that the State would be required to file its motion
    for discretionary review before the Court of Appeals ruled on its motion for
    reconsideration.
    While this court promulgates the court rules, we approach them "as though they
    had been drafted by the Legislature" and interpret the rules using principles of statutory
    construction. State v. Greenwood, 
    120 Wn.2d 585
    , 592, 
    845 P.2d 971
     (1993). To that
    end,
    [t]he intent to overturn settled principles of law will therefore not be
    presumed unless:
    an intention to do so plainly appears by express
    declaration or necessary or unmistakable implication, and the
    language employed in the [court rules] admits of no other
    reasonable construction.
    
    Id. at 593
     (quoting Ashenbrenner v. Dep't ofLabor & Indus., 
    62 Wn.2d 22
    , 26, 
    380 P.2d 730
    (1963)). Although the majority has concerns with the application of our court rules,
    those concerns should be addressed "through the normal rule-making process." In re
    Pers. Restraint ofCarlstad, 
    150 Wn.2d 583
    , 592 n.4, 
    80 P.3d 587
    (2003). However,
    "[fjoisting [an unfounded interpretation of the court rules] upon courts and parties by
    judicial fiat could lead to unforeseen consequences." 
    Id.
    No. 92975-1
    Madsen, J., dissenting
    Here, the State's failure to timely file its motion was neither the product of
    extraordinary circumstances nor a gross miscarriage ofjustice. An extraordinary
    circumstance includes "instances where the filing, despite reasonable diligence, was
    defective due to excusable error or circumstances beyond the party's control." Shumway
    V. Payne, 
    136 Wn.2d 383
    , 395, 
    964 P.2d 349
    (1998)(citing Hoirup v. Empire Airways,
    Inc., 
    69 Wn. App. 479
    ,482, 
    848 P.2d 1337
     (1993); Reicheltv. RaymarkIndus., Inc., 
    52 Wn. App. 763
    , 765, 
    764 P.2d 653
     (1988)). For example, this court has held that the RAP
    18.8(b) standard was met and granted an extension oftime where a pro se litigant
    misinterpreted the RAP. See Scannell v. State, 
    128 Wn.2d 829
    , 835, 
    912 P.2d 489
    (1996).
    However, this ease does not deal with a pro se litigant but, rather, the State. I am
    unpersuaded that the State, in exercising reasonable diligence, is incapable of
    understanding and adhering to the clear mandate set forth in RAP 13.5(a). Finally, if
    justice is served by allowing the State, perhaps the most sophisticated and experienced
    litigant to appear in this court, to circumvent the plain text of RAP 13.5(a), it is unclear as
    to whom this rule could possibly apply.
    Because the State's motion was untimely under RAP 13.5(a), and RAP 18.8(b)
    does not apply, I would decline to review the decision below. Accordingly, I respectfully
    dissent.
    No. 92975-1
    Madsen, J., dissenting
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    No. 92975-1
    GORDON McCLOUD, J. (dissenting)—^Petitioner Heidi Fero presents new
    scientific evidence that devastates the State's entire shaken baby theory.
    Fero's 2003 jury convicted her of first degree child abuse because an
    overwhelming number of state medical experts all confirmed to a reasonable degree
    of medical certainty that Fero must have been guilty of child abuse. Those experts
    came to this conclusion because, in their opinion, the child's injuries could have
    been inflicted only by an adult, only intentionally, and only during the time period
    when Fero was the sole adult present. Fero did not even try to rebut this testimony
    at trial with her own experts because those experts testified in accordance with the
    prevailing medical opinion at the time.
    But that opinion, Fero claims, has shifted dramatically in response to recent
    advances in medical technology and new scientific studies. These new studies show
    that the child's injuries could have been inflicted accidentally, could have been
    inflicted by another child, and were probably inflicted before the child arrived at
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    Fero's home. Fero contends that these new scientific conclusions are so dramatically
    different from the old shaken baby syndrome understanding as to constitute a
    paradigm shift in the medical community. This evidence (based as it is on recent
    scientific research and studies)is clearly new,could not have been discovered before
    trial, and would probably change the result oftrial. Fero is entitled to an opportunity
    to prove both of her critical factual claims—^that the studies credibly demonstrate a
    paradigm shift and that she exercised reasonable diligence. If those new scientific
    studies and paradigm shift claims are credible and if Fero was reasonably diligent in
    discovering them and filing her petition, then she is entitled to a new trial.
    I therefore respectfully dissent.'
    'On the threshold timeliness issue, I agree with the lead opinion that we should
    accept the State's motion for review, but I disagree with the lead opinion's underlying
    conclusion that the State's motion was timely. Lead opinion at 16. The lead opinion
    acknowledges the State's motion was w«timely under a literal application of RAP 13.5(a).
    It must do so, because that rule states that "[a] party seeking review . . . must file for
    discretionary review . . . within 30 days after the decision is filed." The lead opinion,
    however, chooses a nonliteral reading ofthe rule that begins counting the 30 days for filing
    from entry of the decision on reconsideration, rather than entry of the decision itself.
    Untimeliness, however, does not preclude us from considering the State's motion.
    RAP 18.8(b) authorizes us to excuse a missed filing deadline "in extraordinary
    circumstances and to prevent a gross miscarriage ofjustice." Although RAP 18.8(b) sets
    a high standard, that standard has been met in this case where the State did not realize RAP
    13.5(a) required that it file its motion for discretionary review within 30 days of the Court
    of Appeals' decision regardless of whether a motion for reconsideration was pending.
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    Relevant Facts
    On January 7, 2002, Heidi Fero agreed to watch 15-month-old Brynn and 4
    '/2-year-old Kaed while their parents, Breann Franck and Jason Ackley,^ were at
    work. Franck dropped the children off that afternoon at Fero's home around 2:00
    p.m. 1 Verbatim Report of Proceedings (VRP)(Mar. 11, 2003) at 152. Because
    Fero was not home at the time, Franck left the children with Fero's fiance. 
    Id.
     After
    Fero arrived, her fiance left for work. 1 VRP (Mar. 12, 2003) at 157-58. That left
    Fero home alone with Brynn, Kaed, and her own two young children, Rachel and
    Derrick, from that point until paramedics arrived at about 10:00 p.m. to transport
    Brynn to the hospital. Id. at 154; Excerpted VRP(Mar. 10,2003)at 37. When those
    paramedics arrived, Brynn was visibly limp and unconscious. She had bruises on
    her forehead, chin, and pelvic area; a fractured left tibia; and dried blood in her
    mouth. Additional hospital scans showed retinal hemorrhaging, brain bleeding, and
    brain swelling.
    Fero claims she did not cause any ofthese injuries. At trial, Fero's testimony
    suggested that Brynn was probably somewhat injured before she arrived and that
    ^ Ackley is Brynn's biological father but not Kaed's. 1 Verbatim Report of
    Proceedings(Mar. 11, 2003) 124-25.
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    Kaed likely aggravated those preexisting injuries at Fero's home when he climbed
    into Brynn's playpen, banged her head against the wall, and lifted her leg to her chin
    while pretending to be an action hero fighting monsters.
    A.     Fero's Evidence at Trial
    Fero testified that she noticed early that evening that Brynn was not walking
    around the house like she normally would, but Fero did not think much of it at the
    time. 5A VRP (Mar. 17, 2003) at 75. Fero explained that she watched Brynn
    occasionally while her parents were at work, id. at 69-70, so Brynn had bonded with
    her and would follow her around the house, id. at 75. But on that day, Brynn stayed
    mostly wherever Fero placed her. Id. Fero dismissed Brynn's unusual behavior,
    however, believing Brynn was acting distant because she had not seen Fero for three
    I
    weeks. See id. at 73, 75.
    Fero also testified that she saw an enormous bruise on Brynn's pelvic area
    early that evening. Fero testified that she first noticed that large bruise below
    Brynn's belly button, near her pelvis, while she was bathing Brynn. Id. at 76.
    Although the bruise "disturbed [her]" and made her feel sick when she saw it, she
    ultimately dismissed it since Brynn often had bruises on her body. Id. at 76-77.
    Brynn's father confirmed that Brynn often had bruises because she was a "pretty
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    clumsy" toddler and her older brother, Kaed, had a tendency to pinch and play too
    roughly with her. See 1 VRP(Mar. 11, 2003) at 142, 127-30. This is why Fero did
    not call Brynn's father right away.
    Fero testified that after she finished bathing Brynn, she dressed her, brought
    her downstairs, and placed her in her playpen. 5A VRP(Mar. 17, 2003) at 77. Fero
    then proceeded to bathe her son. Derrick. Id. at 78. While Fero was upstairs bathing
    Derrick, her five-year-old daughter, Rachel, came in and reported that Kaed was
    hurting Brynn. Id. at 80. Fero immediately stopped bathing Derrick, placed him in
    his crib, and went downstairs to investigate. Id. at 80-81. She found Kaed on the
    couch and Brynn in her playpen. Id. at 81. Fero checked on Brynn; she looked fine
    so Fero went back upstairs to finish drying and dressing Derrick. Id.
    While Fero was upstairs, Rachel appeared a second time. Id. This time, Fero
    recalled Rachel specifically saying that Kaed was banging his sister's head against
    the wall. Id. Rachel mostly confirmed Fero's recollection but said she saw Kaed
    pushing rather than banging Brynn against the wall. Id. at 43-44. Rachel added that
    she also saw Kaed hitting Brynn with a toy hammer and toy wooden cane and lifting
    Brynn's leg to her chin. Id. at 43, 49.
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    When Fero went downstairs this second time to investigate, she caught Kaed
    climbing out of Brynn's playpen. Id. at 82. Although Fero did not catch Kaed in
    the act, Fero believed Kaed probably hurt his sister because Bryrm was crying. Id.
    at 82-83. Brynn's cries, however, seemed unusual and silent, and she was shaking
    and trembling "more than [Fero had] seen a child do before." Id. at 82. Fero picked
    Brynn up and noticed a small amount of blood in Brynn's mouth. Id. Fero asked
    Kaed to explain what he had done to his little sister, but Kaed responded only that
    he was a "Power Ranger" action hero. Id. at 83. Although Kaed never described
    what he did to Brynn, he later admitted to the responding police officers that he
    caused his sister to stop breathing, though he also believed there was blood in
    Brynn's mouth because "the temperature just push[ed] it out" or her "[djreams
    push[ed] it out." 2 VRP(Mar. 12, 2003) at 212-13.
    Fero testified that she knew at that time that Brynn was hurt, but believed
    Brynn would be "okay," 5A VRP (Mar. 17, 2003) at 87, because Bryrm had only a
    few red marks forming on her face, 5B VRP (Mar. 17, 2003) at 122. Fero therefore
    focused on soothing Bryrm by rocking her until her eyes closed and her body "just
    kind of relaxed all of a sudden." 5A VRP (Mar. 17, 2003) at 84. Believing Bryrm
    had fallen asleep, Fero laid her down carefully against the back dip of her futon so
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    Brynn would not accidentally roll off and then called Brynn's and Kaed's father. Id.
    at 84-85. That call occurred around 7:45 p.m. Id. at 86.
    The father, Ackley, confirmed that Fero called him that evening while he was
    at work and told him that Rachel saw Kaed push Brynn's head against a wall. 1
    VRP (Mar. 11, 2003) at 118-19. Ackley also confirmed that Fero told him that
    Brynn was unable to walk on one leg. Id. In contrast to Fero's testimony, however,
    Ackley did not recall Fero mentioning blood in Brynn's mouth or bruises on her
    pelvis. Id. at 119-20. Ackley acknowledged the focus of his conversation with Fero
    was on disciplining Kaed for hurting his sister, id. at 120, rather than on identifying
    Brynn's precise injuries. The call ended with Ackley suggesting that Fero lock Kaed
    in a closet or bedroom. 5A VRP (Mar. 17, 2003) at 86. It is unclear whether Fero
    disciplined Kaed that night as Ackley suggested.
    Sometime after the call ended, Fero turned on a movie to occupy Kaed and
    Rachel while she cleaned her house. Id. at 87-88. Fero testified that she checked on
    the children every few minutes while she was cleaning. Id. at 88, 93.
    But a couple of hours later, around 9:45 p.m., when Fero was swapping in a
    new movie for the children, Fero noticed that Brynn's eyes were partially open and
    "something didn't look right." Id. at 88. Fero tried to wake Brynn by "wiggling her
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    chest and saying her name" and then splashing water on her face, but Brynn did not
    respond. Id. at 89. It was at this moment that Fero noticed dark bruises had formed
    on Brynn's face. SB VRP (Mar. 17, 2003) at 118. Fero immediately called her
    mother, who had some medical training, for advice. Her mother told her to call 911.
    Cell phone records show that Fero called her mother at 9:52 p.m. and called 911 two
    minutes later. 5A VRP (Mar. 17, 2003) at 90.^
    Fero explained to the paramedics and responding officers that Kaed might
    have been responsible for Brynn's injuries. Excerpted VRP (Mar. 10, 2003) at 41
    ^ Fere's statements to the responding officers and emergency personnel conflicted
    with her trial testimony in four ways. First, Fero told the 911 operator that Kaed was
    '"chasing"' his sister that night, 5A VRP (Mar. 17, 2003) at 98, which implied Brynn
    had been running even though Fero testified that Brynn was mostly sedentary that evening,
    id. at 75. Second, Fero told responding officers that she did not bathe Brynn that day, 2
    VRP (Mar. 12, 2003) at 193, even though she testified that she first noticed the bruise on
    Brynn's pelvic area while she was bathing Brynn,5A VRP(Mar. 17,2003)at 76-77. Third,
    Fero told the detectives that Brynn's playpen was originally located against the wall but
    had been recently moved even though there were no carpet indentations showing the
    playpen had been moved. 1 VRP (Mar. 11, 2003) at 66. Fourth, Fero signed a statement
    stating only "a few minutes" had elapsed between her seeing Kaed climb out of Brynn's
    playpen and her finding Brynn unconscious on the futon, 5A VRP(Mar. 17, 2003) at 102-
    03, even though she testified at trial that approximately two hours had elapsed in between,
    id. at 88, 93. But Fero contested the accuracy of the signed statement. According to Fero,
    she told the officers that she was checking on the children every five minutes during the
    two hours she was cleaning. Id. at 92-93. Notably, Captain Mitch Nelson of the fire
    department was present during the police interview and confirmed Fero's story. According
    to Captain Nelson, Fero reported that night—consistent with her trial testimony—that
    Brynn was sleeping for hours. 1 VRP(Mar. 11, 2003) at 101-02.
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No,92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    (Dohman); 1 VRP (Mar. 11, 2003) at 20 (same), 40 (Tone), 62 (Smith), 84-88
    (Telford), 101-02 (Nelson); 2 VRP (Mar. 11, 2003) at 190-91 (Dr. Lukschu), 195-
    97(Norton).
    Even Kaed's mother, Franck, believed Kaed was likely responsible for
    Brynn's injuries. 1 VRP (Mar 11, 2003) at 164. According to Franck, Kaed was
    mean to his baby sister. Id. at 154-56. Franck had seen Kaed kicking Brynn and
    once even saw him land on top of her while trying to jump over her. Id. at 161-63.
    Brynn's father, Ackley, confirmed that Kaed had problems with anger and
    violence, id. at 28, and believed Kaed may have been jealous of the attention his
    little sister received, id. at 130. Ackley himself had seen Kaed pushing and pinching
    Brynn and once even saw Kaed pull Brynn's legs out from under her. Id. at 128.
    This aggression, Ackley explained, had worsened in the months preceding the night
    at Fero's home. Id. at 130.
    B.      The State's Shaken Baby Theory
    The State rejected Fero's theory that Kaed caused Brynn's leg and head
    injuries. So did the jury. That was probably because the State presented expert
    testimony from six medical professionals all opining to a reasonable degree of
    In rePers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    medical certainty that Kaed lacked the strength to exert the magnitude of force
    necessary to cause Brynn's head injuries.
    The State's experts acknowledged that Kaed could have caused the bruises on
    Brynn's face and pelvic area by jumping on her or hitting her with a toy hammer or
    a wooden cane,2 VRP(Mar. 11, 2003) at 204-06, 218-19(Dr. Lukschu), and could
    have fractured her leg by tackling or knocking her down, VRP(Mar. 13, 2003)at 26
    (Dr. Bennett), But those activities, the experts testified, could not explain Brynn's
    head injuries.
    Specifically, the State's experts testified that it was physically impossible for
    Kaed to cause Brynn's head injuries. Id. at 34-35 (Dr. Bennett); 2 VRP (Mar. 11,
    2003) at 196, 200 (Dr. Lukschu); 1 VRP (Mar. 12, 2003) at 64, 72 (Dr. Gorecki).
    According to these experts, a substantial amount of force—equivalent to the force
    involved in an automobile accident or a fall from a multistory building—was needed
    to produce retinal hemorrhaging, brain bleeding, and brain swelling in a child. See
    id. at 84, 96 (Dr. Ockner); VRP (Mar. 13, 2003) at 50 (Dr. Grewe), 63, 75 (Dr.
    Goodman). This ruled out Kaed as a possible suspect since a four-and-a-half-year-
    old could not produce such substantial force.
    10
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    The State's experts also ruled out all other adults as potential suspects. Those
    experts opined that, given the amount offorce needed to cause Brynn's head injuries,
    Brynn would have lost consciousness either immediately,2 VRP(Mar. 11, 2003)at
    195,229(Dr. Lukschu); 1 VRP(Mar. 12,2003)at 97(Dr. Ocloier),74(Dr. Gorecki),
    or at least within 2 or 5 hours after injury, 70 (Dr. Gorecki)(2 hours); VRP (Mar.
    13, 2003) at 28 (Dr. Bennett)(5 hours). This expert testimony left Fero as the only
    possible suspect because she was the only adult with Brynn for over six hours from
    3:30 p.m. to 9:45 p.m.
    Based on this expert testimony, the State theorized that Fero—a normally
    loving caregiver—became so frustrated with Brynn while she was giving her a bath
    around 7:00 p.m. that she beat the toddler, twisted her leg until it fractured, and later
    around 9:45 p.m. when Brynn would not stop fussing over her injured leg, violently
    shook Brynn into immediate unconsciousness. 5B VRP(Mar. 17, 2003)at 160,162-
    63.   The State advanced this theory despite testimony from Brynn's parents
    describing Fero as a great mom, proclaiming how glad they were to have her as a
    babysitter, and confirming how they never saw her "lose her cool" with any children,
    including their daughter, Brynn. See 1 VRP(Mar. 11, 2003) at 131, 160.
    11
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    Since there was no eyewitness testimony to support the State's shaken baby
    theory, the jury must have convicted Fero based on the strength of the State's six
    expert witnesses. Those experts overwhelmingly confirmed that the force necessary
    to produce Brynn's head injuries had to have been inflicted intentionally, by an adult,
    and during the period when Fero was the only adult present."^
    C.     Fero's Newly Discovered Evidence
    Fero's new evidence undermines that expert testimony.                   Fero's two
    postconviction experts. Dr. Patrick Barnes and Dr. Janice Ophoven, describe new
    scientific studies and medical research that they believe prove the State's shaken
    baby theory was wrong and show that Fero is probably innocent. According to
    Fero's postconviction experts, these new studies and this new research disprove two
    critical assumptions underlying the State's shaken baby theory:(1)that a substantial
    amount offorce was required to produce Brynn's head injuries and(2)that this force
    would have been so violent that Brynn's injuries would probably have manifested
    immediately with no intervening period of lucidity.
    The State also suggested that Fero might have swung Brynn into a wall like a
    baseball bat, 5B VRP (Mar. 17, 2003) at 154, but it is unlikely the jury believed this. This
    theory was completely refuted by the State's own experts who said it was impossible for
    Brynn's head injuries to have been caused by blunt force impact without cracking her skull
    or shattering her facial bones, neither of which occurred. 2 VRP (Mar. 11, 2003) at 224-
    25 (Dr. Lukschu); VRP (Mar. 13, 2003) at 46, 48(Dr. Grewe), 34(Dr. Bennett).
    12
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    Dr. Barnes is a pediatric neuroradiologist with 35 years of practice and
    teaching experience. Barnes Decl. at 1 (included as an exhibit in Opening Br. in
    Supp. of Pers. Restraint Pet.). He is an expert in diagnosing possible child abuse.
    Id. at 1-2. Dr. Barnes explains that until about 2004 (the year after Fero's trial), he
    and virtually everyone else in the medical community—including the State's
    experts—believed that retinal hemorrhages, brain bleeding, and brain swelling were
    conclusive signs of child abuse by intentional shaking even though there was no
    scientific evidence to support that diagnosis. Id. at 4-8. That theory. Dr. Barnes
    explains, has since been refuted by actual scientific evidence. Id. at 5-6. For that
    reason. Dr. Barnes concludes, the State's theories on those points are no longer
    regarded as credible by many doctors in the medical community. Id.
    In fact, according to Dr. Barnes, research in biomechanics, neuropathology,
    and ophthalmology, coupled with advances in MRI (magnetic resonance imaging)
    technology over the past decade, have led medical experts to believe that subdural
    and retinal hemorrhages can be caused by far less force than previously assumed.
    Id. at 10-19. Indeed, one study shows that even "a relatively small impact following
    an unresolved head injury occurring days to weeks previously" could cause subdural
    hemorrhaging in a child. Id. at 19 (citing R. Cantu & A. Gean, Second-Impact
    13
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    Syndrome and a Small Subdural Hematoma: An Uncommon Catastrophic Result of
    Repetitive Head Injury with a Characteristic Imaging Appearance, 27 J.
    Neurotrauma 2557(2010)).
    Fero's other expert is Dr. Ophoven, a specialist in anatomic and forensic
    pathology and an expert in shaken baby syndrome. Ophoven Deck at 1 (included
    as an exhibit in Opening Br. in Supp. of Pers. Restraint Pet.). Dr. Ophoven agrees
    with Dr. Barnes that "new medical evidence .. . directly contradicts the positions of
    the prosecution's experts at trial" and explains that this new evidence is so
    compelling that the positions taken by the State's experts at trial "are no longer
    generally accepted within the medical community." Id. at 11. According to Dr.
    Ophoven, most experts now accept that "a broad range of phenomena, including
    accidental falls from a very short height, could cause injuries like Brynn's." Id. at
    4. And because the force required to cause such injuries is far less than previously
    assumed,"[a] child is more than capable of causing such injuries." Id.
    If Dr. Barnes and Dr. Ophoven are correct, these studies would have changed
    everything about Fero's trial. These studies show that Brynn's injuries could have
    been caused accidentally by Kaed's aggressive play. They also establish to a
    reasonable degree of medical certainty that Brynn's injuries were probably inflicted
    14
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No,92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    before Brynn arrived at Fero's home and were only aggravated later that night by
    Kaed when he climbed into Brynn's playpen and banged her head against the wall.
    Ophoven Decl. at 3, 9-10; Barnes Decl. at 26-27. Thus, this new evidence, if true,
    completely undermines the State's theory that Fero was the only person who could
    have hurt Brynn and shows that there are at least four others who could have harmed
    her: the brother, Kaed; the father, Ackley; the mother, Franck; and Fero's fiance,
    who was home with Brynn when she was first dropped off.
    Analysis
    To obtain a new trial based on newly discovered evidence, Fero has to prove
    '"the evidence (1) will probably change the result of the trial; (2) was discovered
    since the trial;(3)could not have been discovered before trial by the exercise of due
    diligence;(4) is material; and (5) is not merely cumulative or impeaching.'" In re
    Pers. Restraint ofBrown, 
    143 Wn.2d 431
    ,453, 
    21 P.3d 687
    (2001)(quoting State v.
    Williams, 
    96 Wn.2d 215
    , 223, 
    634 P.2d 868
     (1981)). Additionally, because Fero
    filed her personal restraint petition after the one-year period for collateral attacks
    under RCW 10.73.090 had expired, Fero must also prove that she '"acted with
    reasonable diligence in discovering the [new] evidence and filing the petition.'" In
    15
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    re Pers. Restraint ofStenson, 
    174 Wn.2d 474
    , 485, 
    276 P.3d 286
     (2012)(quoting
    RCW 10.73.100(1)).
    Fero claims her evidence meets this standard. She argues that because the
    majority of the medical community did not question the underlying assumptions of
    the State's shaken baby theory until after her trial was over, her evidence is obviously
    new and clearly could not have been discovered before trial. Opening Br. in Supp.
    of Pers. Restraint Pet. at 42-43. Fero also argues that this evidence, if believed, is
    material and would probably change the result of trial because the evidence
    completely undermines the State's entire shaken baby theory. For this reason, Fero
    concludes that she is entitled to a new trial without a need for a reference hearing.
    She says no reference hearing is warranted because the State offered no opposing
    evidence. Suppl. Br. of Resp't Heidi Charlene Fero at 12-16; In re Pers. Restraint
    ofRice, 
    118 Wn.2d 876
    ,886-87,
    828 P.2d 1086
    (1992)(holding no reference hearing
    is necessary if the State does not challenge the petitioner's prima facie evidence of
    prejudice).
    But the State did offer opposing evidence. The State challenged the newness
    of Fero's evidence and the credibility of her claim of a recent paradigm shift. See
    infra, Section D.l. Alternatively, the State argues that Fero's declarations are
    16
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    immaterial and would not have made a difference at trial because they do not account
    for all of Brynn's injuries—specifically her leg injury. Suppl. Br. ofPet'r at 19-22.
    Finally, the State asserts that Fero is not entitled to a new trial because her petition
    is tardy. Id. at 16-17. At most, the State concedes that Fero might be entitled to a
    reference hearing to evaluate the credibility of her expert declarations and the
    circumstances surrounding her delayed filing. Id. at 24-28.
    As discussed below, no one has tested the credibility of Fero's experts or
    determined the timeliness of her petition given the new "paradigm shift" on which
    she relies. I therefore agree with the State's (alternative) position that Fero has
    presented sufficient evidence to warrant a reference hearing under RAP 16.11 and
    16.12, andi?ice, 
    118 Wn.2d at 886-87
    .
    A.     Fero's Postconviction Evidence Undermines the State's Shaken Baby
    Theory—IfIt Is Believed, It Is Material and Would Probably Change
    the Result ofthe Trial
    Fero's postconviction evidence, if true, devastates the State's entire shaken
    baby theory. The State attempts to sidestep that fact. It argues that no matter how
    persuasive Fero's new evidence may be at proving she did not cause Brynn's head
    injuries, her evidence would not have made a difference at trial because it does not
    17
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    explain Brynn's displaced leg fracture. Suppl. Br. ofPet'r at 19-22. The lead opinion
    agrees with the State. Lead opinion at 26.
    The State, however, charged Fero with first degree assault of a child. A leg
    fracture is not enough to convict Fero of that crime. To convict Fero of that crime,
    the State had to prove that Fero intentionally assaulted Bryrm and recklessly inflicted
    "great bodily harm" on her. RCW 9A.36.120(b)(i); 5B VRP(Mar. 17, 2003)at 142.
    '"Great bodily harm' means bodily injury which creates a probability of death, or
    which causes significant serious permanent disfigurement, or which causes a
    significant permanent loss or impairment of the function of any bodily part or
    organ." RCW 9A.04.110(4)(c). There was no evidence at trial that Brynn's leg
    fracture was a "permanent" injury or "creat[ed] a probability of death." Indeed, the
    State conceded that Brynn's leg would heal within a couple of months. SB VRP
    (Mar. 17, 2003)at 143. Thus, even ifthe lead opinion were correct that a reasonable
    jury more probably than not would still have found beyond a reasonable doubt that
    Fero (a person whom everyone regarded as a wonderful mother and caregiver)
    intentionally assaulted Brynn (a child who was bonded with her) with force
    sufficient to cause her leg to fracture, a leg fracture alone would not have been
    sufficient to support Fero's conviction. The State's and the lead opinion's argument
    18
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    that the leg fracture alone supports Fero's conviction and that her new evidence
    would not have changed the outcome at trial therefore fails.
    We must therefore consider the main focus ofthe State's case at trial, that is,
    Brynn's head injuries. Fero's postconviction experts say that Fero could not have
    caused (per one expert), or probably did not cause (per her other expert), those head
    injuries, given the amount of time it takes for such head injuries to manifest.
    According to Dr. Ophoven,"brain swelling following serious brain damage peaks at
    48 to 72 hours." Ophoven Deck at 13. Because "Brynn already had significant brain
    swelling by the time she arrived at [the hospital]," id.. Dr. Ophoven was able to
    "conclude[], to a reasonable degree of medical certainty, that Brynn was injured at
    least 12 hours before her first CT [(computed tomography)] scan, which would have
    been before Brynn was dropped off at Heidi Fero's house," id. at 10. Dr. Barnes
    similarly concludes that "there is a significant chance that [Brynn] was injured
    before she arrived at Ms. Fero's home." Barnes Deck at 26-27.
    The lead opinion cautions against giving too much weight to Dr. Ophoven's
    and Dr. Barnes's declarations because the State's experts already acknowledged at
    trial that it could have taken some time for Brynn's injuries to manifest. Lead
    opinion at 20-21. In other words, the lead opinion characterizes Fero's experts'
    19
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    opinions as repetitive of the State's experts' opinions at trial on this point. Fero's
    postconviction evidence is critically different. It establishes through scientific
    evidence that Brynn probably experienced a prolonged lucid interval before losing
    consciousness. That means her injuries must have (according to one expert) or may
    have (according to another expert) occurred before, not after, she arrived at Fero's
    home. That obviously supports Fero's defense that she did not inflict the injuries—
    someone else did. The State's evidence was completely different. The State's
    experts testified that Brynn could have remained conscious for at most 2 or 5 hours
    after injury. That meant that Brynn was injured while she was in Fero's care. 1 VRP
    (Mar. 12, 2003) at 70 (Dr. Gorecki)(2 hours); VRP (Mar. 13, 2003) at 28 (Dr.
    Bennett)(5 hours). The State's experts never said a period of lucidity of days or
    weeks was possible as Fero's experts do. Barnes Deck at 19; Ophoven Deck at 13-
    14. Nor did the State's experts testify that a period oflucidity of48 to 72 hours was
    typical as Dr. Ophoven asserts. Ophoven Deck at 13. And most crucially,the State's
    experts never testified to a reasonable degree of medical certainty that Brynn
    probably experienced at least 12 hours oflucidity from the time she was injured until
    the time she was admitted into the hospital as Dr. Ophoven says, Ophoven Deck at
    3, 10, or that there was a "significant chance" Brynn was injured before she arrived
    20
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    at Fero's home as Dr. Barnes says, Barnes Decl. at 26-27. If believed, this evidence
    alone is sufficient to probably change the result of trial.
    But Fero's evidence undercuts the State's evidence even more. At trial, the
    State's experts ruled out Kaed as a possible assailant because he was so small
    (though they all acknowledged there was no scientific evidence to support that
    theory). In contrast, Fero's experts say that the newest, most reliable scientific
    evidence shows that a small child like Kaed could have caused Brynn's injuries.
    According to Dr. Barnes, one study proves that even a relatively small impact
    following an unresolved head injury can cause subdural hemorrhaging in a child. Id.
    at 19 (citing Cantu & Gean, supra). According to Dr. Ophoven, that means "[a]
    child is more than capable ofcausing such injuries." Ophoven Decl. at 4(citing G.T.
    Lueder et al., Perimacular Retinal Folds Simulating Nonaccidental Injury in an
    Infant, 124 Arch. OPHTHALMOLOGY 1782(2006)).
    The lead opinion dismisses these statements because there was no evidence
    that Brynn had one specific prior head injury. Lead opinion at 22-25. While the
    lead opinion correctly identifies the lack of one specific head injury, it ignores the
    unrebutted evidence at trial about the other injuries all over Brynn. That evidence
    included acknowledgements from Brynn and Kaed's own parents that Kaed
    21
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    committed a pattern of assaults against Brynn. The parents testified that Brynn often
    had bruises on her body because Kaed had a tendency to play too aggressively with
    her. 1 VRP (Mar. 11, 2003) 154-56, 161-63 (Franck), 128 (Ackley). That pattern
    of aggressive play included testimony that Kaed constantly pinched her, fell on her
    while jumping over her, and even pulled her leg out from under her at least once.
    This aggressive play, Brynn's father explained, only worsened in the months leading
    up to Brynn's arrival at Fero's home. Id. at 130. The lead opinion errs in dismissing
    the new experts' evidence that a small child could easily have exacerbated a
    preexisting head injury. In fact, there was overwhelming evidence at trial that Brynn
    might have had a preexisting head injury that was aggravated by Kaed at Fero's
    home.
    Fero's new evidence thus undermines the State's shaken baby theory, places
    the time of Brynn's injury outside the period when Fero was home alone with her,
    and confirms that Kaed, a person known for his violent and aggressive acts toward
    Brynn,could have caused those injuries. If credible, this new expert evidence would
    certainly be material and would probably change the result at trial.
    22
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    B.    Fero Claims There Was a Paradigm Shift in the Medical Community
    Discrediting the State's Shaken Baby Theory—IfCorrect, This Is a Shift
    That Could Not Have Been Discovered with Due Diligence or
    Reasonable Diligence before Trial
    The lead opinion next observes that Fero would not be entitled to a new trial
    if her evidence was not new. It continues that the State's own experts acknowledged
    at trial that Brynn could have remained lucid for a short period of time following
    injury, rather than falling unconscious immediately,so such evidence ofa short lucid
    interval is not new. Lead opinion at 20-21. This is correct. The State's experts
    specifically acknowledged during trial that Brynn could have been lucid for up to
    two or five hours following impact. Nor could Fero obtain a new trial based solely
    on the absence of scientific data to support the State's expert opinions because that
    inadequacy could have been discovered before trial. See VRP (Mar. 13, 2003) at
    66-71 (Dr. Goodman acknowledging an ongoing debate in the medical community
    over whether retinal hemorrhages were really conclusive signs of child abuse since
    there is no evidence to support that conclusion).
    But Fero does not rest her petition solely on these grounds. Instead, Fero
    identifies a slow avalanche of new scientific data collected over the past decade that
    has led to a significant shift in the medical community's views on the credibility of
    shaken baby diagnoses. This new scientific evidence, Fero explains, proves Brynn
    23
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    could have been lucid for days or even weeks following injury, rather than just a few
    hours. This new evidence also proves that the State's experts' opinions regarding
    shaken baby diagnoses were wrong, rather than simply unsupported.
    According to one of Fero's experts. Dr. Barnes, shaken baby syndrome was a
    medical hypothesis developed in the 1940s that gained nearly universal acceptance
    in the medical community by the 1990s, despite the lack of scientific or evidentiary
    data to support the hypothesis. Barnes Deck at 4-5. Thus, for years, doctors
    diagnosed children with shaken baby syndrome based simply on "circular
    reasoning." Id. at 9. "Since the triad (subdural hemorrhage,retinal hemorrhage and
    brain swelling) was considered to be pathognomonic of child abuse, a child who
    presented with the triad (or sometimes with a portion ofthe triad) was automatically
    classified as 'shaken' or 'abused.'" Id. "These diagnoses were then used to validate
    the theory and to diagnose other 'shaken' or 'abused' children," which only further
    legitimized the shaken baby theory in the medical community despite "the lack of
    an evidence base." Id. This, Dr. Barnes explains, was the state of medicine when
    Fero's trial was held. See id. at 5-6.
    But slowly over the last decade, propelled in part by a community push for
    more evidence-based medicine, doctors and other medical experts began to question
    24
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    the assumptions underlying the shaken baby theory. Id. at 6-8. This evidence-based
    approach led Fero's experts to believe that Brynn was mistakenly diagnosed with
    shaken baby syndrome. Barnes Deck at 30; Ophoven Deck at 9. Specifically, Dr.
    Barnes based his opinion on recent biomechanical research "confirm[ing] that short
    falls can cause the findings previously associated with abuse and that shaking would
    cause serious neck injury before it created subdural hemorrhages" and the fact that
    Brynn had no such neck injury. Barnes Deck at 11 (citing J. Plunkett, Fatal
    Pediatric Head Injuries Caused by Short-Distance Falls, 22 Am. J. FORENSIC Med.
    Pathology 1 (2001); A.K. Ommaya et ak, Biomechanics and Neuropathology of
    Adult and Pediatric Head Injury, 16 Brit. J. Neurosurgery 220 (2002); M.T.
    Prange et ak, Anthropomorphic Simulations ofFalls, Shakes, and Inflicted Impacts
    in Infants, 99 J. NEUROSURGERY 143 (2003); W. Goldsmith & J. Plunkett, A
    Biomechanical Analysis of the Causes of Traumatic Brain Injury in Infants and
    Children, 25 Am J. FORENSIC Med. & PATHOLOGY 89 (2004); F. Bandak, Shaken
    Baby Syndrome: A Biomechanics Analysis ofInjury Mechanisms, 1521 FORENSIC
    Sci. Int'L 71 (2005)), 30-31. Instead, Dr. Barnes explains,"increased research into
    second impact syndrome" now shows that "a relatively small impact following an
    unresolved head injury occurring days to weeks previously can result in cerebral
    25
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    edema, a small subdural hemorrhage and death." Id. at 19 (citing Cantu & Gean,
    supra). Such a smaller impact is consistent with Fero's account ofthat night.
    Finally, according to Fero's new experts, advances in radiology technology
    have "undercut a basic premise of shaken baby syndrome, which assumed that
    subdural hemorrhages are immediately symptomatic and that the perpetrator can
    therefore be identified based on timing." Barnes Decl. at 15; accord Ophoven Deck
    at 8. But that assumption—which Fero's experts discredit—is the only way the
    State's experts say they were able to narrow the list of possible assailants to only
    Fero.
    To be sure, Fero's expert. Dr. Barnes,recognizes that"[s]ome ofthis literature
    was available before Ms. Fero's trial." Barnes Decl. at 10. However, "it was not
    widely read or applied by clinicians or child protection teams." Id. Thus,"[a]t the
    time of Ms. Fero's trial, many doctors would have agreed with the doctors for the
    [S]tate." Id. at 31.
    Fero therefore describes her new evidence as a paradigm shift in the medical
    community regarding the credibility of shaken baby diagnoses. She explains that
    this shift is significant because it now allows her to do what she could not do at trial,
    that is, to persuasively challenge the State's experts' testimony with data-based
    26
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    evidence that their assumptions and opinions "are no longer generally accepted
    within the medical community." Ophoven Decl. at 11. In other words, "it is the
    emergence of a legitimate and significant dispute within the medical community as
    to the cause of... injuries [formerly considered definitively symptomatic of shaken
    baby syndrome] that constitutes newly discovered evidence." State v. Edmunds,
    
    2008 WI App 33
    , 
    308 Wis. 2d 374
    , 392, 
    746 N.W.2d 590
    .
    If Fero's experts are believed, this paradigm shift also undermines the State's
    experts' testimony. In addition, if Fero's experts are believed, this paradigm shift
    had not yet occurred at the time of her trial and therefore could not have been
    discovered before trial through the exercise ofdue diligence or reasonable diligence.
    Barnes Decl. at 31; Ophoven Decl. at 5.
    C.   Fero's Evidence Is Substantive, Not Merely Impeaching
    The only other thing that Fero needs to prove to gain a new trial is that her
    new, material, outcome-determinative evidence is more than "'merely cumulative or
    impeaching.'" Brown, 
    143 Wn.2d at 453
     (quoting Williams, 
    96 Wn.2d at 223
    ).
    "Impeachment evidence" refers to "[ejvidence used to undermine a witness's
    credibility." Black's Law Dictionary 676 (10th ed. 2014). Impeachment
    evidence typically tests a witness's ability to perceive or recall matters, highlights
    27
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    defects in a witness's character, or underscores a bias that may lead the witness to
    distort his or her testimony, either consciously or unconsciously. ROGER PARK &
    Tim Lininger, The New Wigmore: A Treatise on Evidence: Impeachment and
    Rehabilitation § 2.1, at 65 (2012). Substantive evidence conveying a different
    story or reaching a different conclusion is not impeachment evidence because it does
    not directly attack a witness's credibility. See id. § 2.1.5. Thus, even though
    alternative expert conclusions undermine the credibility of an opposing witness's
    opinions, such evidence does not belong under the traditional rubric ofimpeachment
    evidence.
    Dr. Barnes's and Dr. Ophoven's declarations fall into that latter category.
    They both opine that Fero probably did not cause Brynn's head injuries. Barnes
    Decl. at 26-27; Ophoven Decl. at 3, 10.        They explain they reached a different
    conclusion from the State's experts because they chose to rely on recent scientific
    data rather than past assumptions. Barnes Decl. at 5-6; Ophoven Decl. at 9-10. They
    do not dispute that the State's experts were correctly testifying to the current state of
    scientific knowledge at the time of trial. To the extent these opinions have a
    28
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    tendency to undermine the credibility of the State's experts, that tendency is
    ancillary.^
    D.     There Are Material Factual Disputes on Almost All of the Points
    Addressed Above; Under RAP 16.11 and 16.12 awJRice, They MustBe
    Resolved at a Reference Hearing in Superior Court
    1. Fero Is Entitled to a Reference Hearing on the Credibility of Her
    New Expert Evidence
    Fero presents evidence of a paradigm shift in the medical community on
    shaken baby syndrome. The State challenges Fero's claim of a paradigm shift.
    Wash. Court of Appeals oral argument,In re Pers. Restraint ofFero, No. 46310-5-
    II(Oct. 26,2015), at 12 min., 8 sec. through 32 sec. and 16 min., 49 sec. through 17
    min., 29 sec. (attached to Resp. to Br. of Amicus Curiae Wash. Assoc. of Criminal
    Defense Lawyers). According to the State, "the argument that there's a paradigm
    shift is to a large extent a straw man," id. at 12 min., 32 sec. through 40 sec., because
    ^ The Washington Association of Prosecuting Attorneys (WAPA) amicus brief
    advocates in favor of a new rule classifying all new scientific evidence as "merely
    impeaching" if it fails to discredit the evidence presented at trial so completely such that
    the old evidence would still be admissible under Frye v. United States, 
    54 App. D.C. 46
    ,
    
    293 F. 1013
     (1923). Am. Br. of Amicus Curiae WAPA at 12-13; State v. Canaday, 
    90 Wn.2d 808
    , 813, 
    585 P.2d 1185
     (1978) (explicitly adopting the Frye standard in
    Washington); State v. Copeland, 
    130 Wn.2d 244
    , 255, 
    922 P.2d 1304
    (1996)(adhering to
    the Frye standard). That proposed rule is neither advisable nor necessary for us to consider
    in this case because the new expert evidence here presents a new substantive theory, not
    an attack on the credibility ofthe State's experts at the time of trial.
    29
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    "there has never been a point in time when defense experts have not contested the
    validity and tested the science of these cases, so the idea that at some point in the
    past there was never a dispute and now, only now there has become a dispute is
    simply incorrect," 
    id.
     at 13 min., 15 sec. through 32 sec. The State also challenged
    the existence of a paradigm shift on the ground that at least some of the studies on
    which Fero's experts rely predated her trial. Resp. to Pers. Restraint Pet. at 14.
    The State is correct that we do not have to accept Fero's claim of a paradigm
    shift as true, but we also cannot accept the State's claim that there has not been one
    either. "[T]he purpose of a reference hearing is to resolve genuine factual disputes."
    Rice, 
    118 Wn.2d at 886
    . Thus, once a petitioner has stated with particularity facts
    that if proved would entitle him or her to relief—which Fero has done—^then a
    reference hearing is necessary to resolve any material dispute regarding the
    credibility ofthose factual assertions ifthey cannot be resolved on the record. 
    Id. at 885-86
    . That's the case here. It is therefore necessary for the superior court to
    conduct a reference hearing to determine whether Fero's expert evidence is credible.
    30
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    2. Faro Is Entitled to a Reference Hearing on Whether She Used
    "Reasonable Diligence" and "Due Diligence" in Discovering the
    New Evidence and Filing Her Petition
    Generally, a personal restraint petitioner seeking a new trial based on newly
    discovered evidence needs to satisfy only one diligence requirement.              That
    requirement is to show the evidence "could not have been discovered before trial by
    the exercise of due diligence." Williams, 
    96 Wn.2d at 222-23
     (emphasis added).
    But because Fero filed her petition more than a year after herjudgment and sentence
    became final, she must additionally prove that she "acted with reasonable diligence
    in discovering the [new] evidence and filing the petition." Stenson, 
    174 Wn.2d at 485
    .
    The State argues that Fero did not exercise such diligence because the most
    recent study that Dr. Barnes cites in his declaration was from 2010—four years
    before Fero filed her petition. Resp. to Pers. Restraint Pet. at 14-15. While the State
    correctly identifies the publication date ofthat study, that date alone does not prove
    Fero was dilatory in filing her petition, though it is evidence that she might have
    been. That's because it is unclear when the paradigm shift occurred.
    Although Fero's experts insist a paradigm shift has occurred, they are vague
    about its arrival. They cite "recent medical literature," Ophoven Deck at 9, and
    31
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    advances "[o]ver the past decade," Barnes Decl. at 5. Whether this shift occurred in
    2010(the date of Fero's most recent study), earlier or never(as the State asserts), or
    later (as Fero suggests) cannot be resolved on the record. It needs to be addressed
    at a reference hearing. Rice, 
    118 Wn.2d at 885-86
    ; RAP 16.11(b).
    Moreover, even if Fero could have filed her petition earlier, there remains the
    issue of whether it was "reasonable" for her to wait until the medical science
    repudiating shaken baby syndrome became more fully developed so she could cast
    serious doubt on the State's case. Personal restraint petitioners relying on new
    scientific developments face a legal dilemma: waiting too long risks a violation of
    the due diligence requirement, yet petitioning too early risks a failure to establish
    materiality and probable effect. What qualifies as a reasonable waiting period thus
    can depend largely on the facts of each case.
    Lastly, the reasonableness inquiry takes into consideration the circumstances
    of the petitioner. As Fero highlights, and the Court of Appeals accepted, many
    barriers could have prevented Fero from marshalling her new evidence earlier,
    including her incarceration for 10 years and her lack of medical knowledge. In re
    Pers. Restraint of Fero, 
    192 Wn. App. 138
    , 161, 
    367 P.3d 588
     (2016), review
    granted, 
    187 Wn.2d 1024
    , 
    390 P.3d 356
    (2017).
    32
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    Fero has certainly raised facts that, if believed, show that she discovered and
    presented her new evidence of a paradigm shift with diligence. The State has
    certainly challenged her factual assertions of a significant paradigm shift and/or its
    timing. It is therefore necessary for the superior court to conduct a reference hearing
    to determine whether she was diligent.
    Conclusion
    Fero presents evidence of a paradigm shift in the medical community that, if
    believed, undermines the State's entire shaken baby theory and supports her claim
    that she is innocent. This evidence, if credible, is material, not merely impeaching,
    and probably would have affected the result of trial. The State disputes whether a
    new paradigm shift exists, the date the alleged shift occurred, and the role Fero's
    incarceration played in impeding her ability to file her personal restraint petition
    sooner. These questions cannot be resolved based on the record. For that reason, I
    would reverse and remand to the superior court for a reference hearing pursuant to
    RAP 16.11(b) and 16.12.
    I therefore respectfully dissent.
    33
    In re Pers. Restraint ofFero (Heidi Charlene), No. 92975-1
    (Gordon McCloud, J., dissenting)
    34